[Analysis and prediction of burden of viral hepatitis C-associated diseases in China from 1990 to 2044]

OBJECTIVE

To measure the burden of hepatitis C-associated diseases in China from 1990 to 2019, and to predict its changes from 2020 to 2044, so as to provide insights into formulation of the targeted hepatitis C control strategy.

METHODS

The total burden due to hepatitis C-associated diseases in China from 1990 to 2019 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 (GBD 2019) data resources, and the trends in age-standardized prevalence, incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate of hepatitis C-associated acute hepatitis C (AHC), chronic liver diseases (CLD) and liver cancer in China from 1990 to 2019 were evaluated in China from 1990 to 2019 using estimated annual percentage change (EAPC). In addition, the changes in the burden of hepatitis C-associated diseases were predicted in China from 2020 to 2044 using a Bayesian model.

RESULTS

The prevalence, incidence, mortality and DALY rate of hepatitis C-associated diseases all appeared an overall tendency towards a decline in China from 1990 to 2019 (EAPC = -2.64%, -2.24%, -3.81% and -3.90%, respectively); however, there was a minor rise in the incidence and prevalence of hepatitis C-associated diseases from 2015 to 2019. The overall prevalence of hepatitis C-associated diseases reduced from 2 152.7/105 in 1990 to 1 254.1/105 in 2019 in China, with a reduction of 41.7%. The overall incidence reduced from 87.9/105 in 1990 to 55.0/105 in 2019 in China, with a reduction of 37.4%, and the highest incidence was seen for AHC, followed by CLD and liver cancer. The overall mortality and DALY rate of hepatitis C-associated diseases was 4.0/105 and 100.8/105 in China from 1990 to 2019, with CLD showing the largest contributions to the gross mortality and DALY. The mortality and DALY rate of hepatitis C-associated diseases were 5.5/105 and 142.4/105 among men in China in 2019, which were both much higher than among women (2.8/105 and 60.3/105, respectively), and the overall prevalence (1 604.9/105), mortality (30.2/105) and DALYs (437.1/105) of hepatitis C-associated diseases were all highest among patients at ages of 70 years and older, and the highest incidence was seen among patients at ages of 0 to 9 years (167.3/105). The incidence of hepatitis C-associated diseases was predicted to rise in China from 2020 to 2044; however, the DALY rate was projected to appear a tendency towards a decline.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the burden of hepatitis C-associated diseases showed a tendency towards a decline in China from 1990 to 2019, the burden remained high, and was predicted to slightly rise from 2020 to 2044. High attention should be paid to screening of hepatitis C among infants and treatment among adults.

Increased Neuron-Specific Enolase Level Predicts Symptomatic Intracranial Hemorrhage in Patients with Ischemic Stroke Treated with Endovascular Treatment

BACKGROUND

Neuron-specific enolase (NSE), which is a highly specific marker for neurons, could be a predictor for prognosis in patients with symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) with acute ischemic stroke who are receiving endovascular treatment (EVT). This study aimed to investigate the relationship between NSE and sICH in patients with acute anterior circulation stroke undergoing EVT.

METHODS

A total of 215 consecutive patients with acute stroke treated with EVT were included. Patients with stroke and acute anterior circulation occlusion, receiving EVT treated at our hospital, were enrolled between January 2017 and August 2021. NSE level was measured on arrival at the neurology intensive care unit after EVT. The patients were divided into 2 groups according to whether sICH was present. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed. NSE level was also incorporated into the TAG score (modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction score, Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score, and glucose level), which was developed as a scoring system to predict sICH, and the prediction capability was compared with the TAG score alone. Causal inference was performed using the package DoWhy in Python to evaluate the causal relationship between NSE and sICH.

RESULTS

The area under the curve (AUC) value of NSE showed moderate accuracy, with an AUC value of 0.729 (95% confidence interval, 0.655-0.795; P < 0.001). The NSE cutoff value was set at 23.88 ng/mL. When the NSE level ≥23.88 ng/mL, the sensitivity was 58.33% and the specificity was 78.72% (P < 0.001). The AUC for the TAG + NSE score was 0.801 compared with an AUC of 0.632 for the TAG score (Z = 2.034; P = 0.042). A causal inference model using the DoWhy library shows a proportional relationship between NSE and the diagnosis of sICH.

CONCLUSIONS

This study is the first to show that increased NSE level is an independent predictor of sICH in patients with acute anterior circulation stroke who are undergoing endovascular treatment.

[Burden of hepatitis B-associated diseases in China from 1990 to 2030]

OBJECTIVE

To measure the burden of hepatitis B-associated diseases in China from 1990 to 2019, and to predict its changes from 2020 to 2030.

METHODS

The age-standardized prevalence, incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) rate of hepatitis B-associated diseases in China from 1990 to 2019 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 (GBD 2019) data resources, and the trends in burdens of hepatitis B-associated diseases were evaluated from 1990 to 2019 using estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) and annual percent change (APC). In addition, the changes in the burden of hepatitis B-associated diseases were predicted in China from 2020 to 2023 using the Bayesian model.

RESULTS

The overall incidence of hepatitis B-associated diseases reduced from 2 725.98/105 in 1990 to 1 397.31/105 in 2019 in China [estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) = -2.35%, 95% confidential interval (CI): (-2.58%, -2.13%)], with a reduction in the prevalence from 12 239.53/105 in 1990 to 6 566.12/105 in 2019 [EAPC = -2.34%, 95% CI: (-2.54%, -2.14%)], a reduction in the mortality from 24.67/105 in 1990 to 8.07/105 in 2019 [EAPC = -4.92%, 95% CI: (-5.37%, -4.47%)], and a reduction in the DALY rate from 793.38/105 in 1990 to 247.71/105 in 2019 [(EAPC = -5.15%, 95% CI: (-5.64%, -4.66%)]. The DALY rate of hepatitis B-associated diseases were mainly attributed to liver cancer, and the DALY rate of hepatitis B-associated diseases appeared a tendency towards a rise in China from 2012 to 2019 [APC = 1.30%, 95% CI: (0.16%, 2.45%)]. The overall burden of hepatitis Bassociated diseases was higher in males than in females, and the DALY rate of hepatitis B-associated diseases increased with age, with the greatest DALY rate seen among patients at ages of 50 to 69 years. The overall incidence of hepatitis B-associated diseases was projected to be 866.79/105 in China in 2030, with the greatest incidence seen in acute hepatitis B (854.87/105), and the burden of hepatitis B-associated diseases was predicted to decline in China from 2020 to 2030; however, the burden of liver disease was projected to appear a tendency towards a rise.

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of hepatitis B-associated diseases appears an overall tendency towards a decline in China from 1990 to 2030; however, the burden of liver cancer appears a tendency towards aggravation. Early diagnosis and treatment of liver cancer should be given a high priority.

[Spatial distribution characteristics of the prevalence of advanced schistosomiasis and seroprevalence of anti-Schistosoma antibody in Hunan Province in 2020]

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the spatial distribution characteristics of the prevalence of advanced schistosomiasis and seroprevalence of anti-Schistosoma antibody, and to examine the correlation between the prevalence of advanced schistosomiasis and seroprevalence of anti-Schistosoma antibody in Hunan Province in 2020, so as to provide insights into advanced schistosomiais control in the province.

METHODS

The epidemiological data of schistosomiasis in Hunan Province in 2020 were collected, including number of permanent residents in survey villages, number of advanced schistosomiasis patients, number of residents receiving serological tests and number of residents seropositive for anti-Schistosoma antibody, and the prevalence advanced schistosomiasis and seroprevalence of anti-Schistosoma antibody were descriptively analyzed. Village-based spatial distribution characteristics of prevalence advanced schistosomiasis and seroprevalence of anti-Schistosoma antibody were identified in Hunan Province in 2020, and the correlation between the revalence advanced schistosomiasis and seroprevalence of anti-Schistosoma antibody was examined using Spearman correlation analysis.

RESULTS

The prevalence of advanced schistosomiasis was 0 to 2.72% and the seroprevalence of anti-Schistosoma antibody was 0 to 20.25% in 1 153 schistosomiasis-endemic villages in Hunan Province in 2020. Spatial clusters were identified in both the prevalence of advanced schistosomiasis (global Moran's I = 0.416, P < 0.01) and the seroprevalence of anti-Schistosoma antibody (global Moran's I = 0.711, P < 0.01) in Hunan Province. Local spatial autocorrelation analysis identified 98 schistosomiasis-endemic villages with high-high clusters of the prevalence of advanced schistosomiasis, 134 endemic villages with high-high clusters of the seroprevalence of anti-Schistosoma antibody and 36 endemic villages with high-high clusters of both the prevalence of advanced schistosomiasis and seroprevalence of anti-Schistosoma antibody in Hunan Province. In addition, spearman correlation analysis showed a positive correlation between the prevalence of advanced schistosomiasis and seroprevalence of anti-Schistosoma antibody (rs = 0.235, P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

There were spatial clusters of the prevalence of advanced schistosomiasis and seroprevalence of anti-Schistosoma antibody in Hunan Province in 2020, which were predominantly located in areas neighboring the Dongting Lake. These clusters should be given a high priority in the schistosomiasis control programs.

Safety and efficacy of oral anticoagulants in extreme weights

BACKGROUND

The 2021 International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis' (ISTH) recommends standard doses of apixaban and rivaroxaban regardless of high body mass index (BMI) and weight, but had not compare DOACs head-to-head in obesity or address underweight patients.

METHODS

Our aim is to evaluate the safety and efficacy of DOACs in underweight and obese patients compared to warfarin. The primary endpoints include incidence of thromboembolic and bleeding events. Descriptive statistics was used for continuous variables. The Kruskal-Wallis test was used to compare the four-groups for continuous measures and the chi-square test or Fisher's exact test was used to analyze categorical data. The chi-square test or Fisher's exact test, was used for categorical variables, and the Mann-Whitney test (the non-parametric counterpart to the two-sample t-test) for continuous data.

RESULTS

Of 2940 patients receiving anticoagulation for venous thromboembolism (VTE) treatment or atrial fibrillation (AF), 492 met eligibility criteria. Within each group, 248 patients received warfarin, 101 received apixaban, 100 received rivaroxaban and 43 received dabigatran. Patients were characterized in 4 body mass index (BMI) categories, in which 80 were underweight and 412 were obese.

CONCLUSIONS

When each DOAC was compared to warfarin in rates of VTE, apixaban showed statistically significant lower rate of VTE (p = 0.0149). However, no statistical significance was identified in the rate of VTE between DOACs combined vs. warfarin (p = 0.1529). When each DOAC was compared to warfarin, apixaban showed the lowest rate of overall bleeding (p = 0.0194). However, no statistical difference in the rate of bleeding was observed between DOACs combined vs. warfarin (p = 0.3284). Patients with extreme body weights requiring anticoagulation for VTE and AF may safety benefit from DOAC therapy. This evaluation showed apixaban with the lowest rate of VTE and bleeding compared to warfarin, rivaroxaban, and dabigatran. These results provide experience for the clinician to use DOACs, particularly apixaban, in underweight and obese populations.

The economic burden of coronary heart disease in mainland China

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to systematically evaluate the current economic burden of coronary heart disease (CHD) in mainland China and provide a reference for the formulation of policies to reduce the economic burden of CHD.

STUDY DESIGN

A systematic literature review was conducted of empirical studies on the economic burden of CHD over the past 20 years.

METHODS

PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, China Knowledge Resource Integrated Database and the WANFANG database were comprehensively searched for relevant articles published between 1 January 2000 and 22 December 2021. Content analysis was used to extract the data, and Stata 17.0 software was used for analysis. The median values were used to describe trends.

RESULTS

A total of 35 studies were included in this review. The annual median per-capita hospitalisation expense and the average expense per hospitalisation were $3544.40 ($891.64-$18,371.46) and $5407.34 ($1139.93-$8277.55), respectively. The median ratio on medical consumables expenses, drug expenses, medical examination expenses and treatment expenses were 41.59% (12.40%-63.73%), 26.90% (7.30%-60.00%), 9.45% (1.65%-33.40%) and 10.10% (2.36%-66.00%), respectively. The median per-capita hospitalisation expense in the eastern, central and western regions were $9374.45 ($2056.13-$18,371.46), $4751.5 ($2951.95-$8768.93) and $3251.25 ($891.64-$13,986.38), respectively. The median average expense per hospitalisation in the eastern and central regions were $6177.15 ($1679.15-$8277.55) and $1285.49 ($1239.93-$2197.36), respectively. The median average length of stay in the eastern, central and western regions were 9.3 days, 15.2 days and 16.1 days, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The economic burden of CHD is more severe in mainland China than in developed countries, especially in terms of the direct economic burden. In terms of the types of direct medical expenses, a proportion of medical examination expenses, treatment expenses and drug expenses were lowest in the eastern region, but medical consumables expenses were the highest in this region. This study provides guidance for the formulation of policies to reduce the economic burden of CHD in mainland China.

Occurrence, removal, and risk assessment of emerging contaminants in aquatic products processing sewage treatment plants

Emerging contaminants (ECs) in aquatic environments have attracted attention due to their wide distribution and potential ecotoxicities. Sewage treatment plants (STPs) are proven to be the major source of ECs in the aquatic environment, while there remains insufficient understanding of the removal and risk assessment of ECs in STPs. Here, we clarified the degradation and risk impact of 13 ECs in two aquatic product processing sewage treatment plants (APPSTPs) along the southeast coast of China. The concentrations of ECs followed the order: endocrine-disrupting chemicals (1877.85-15,398.02 ng/L in influent, 3.37-44.47 ng/L in effluent) >  > sulfonamide antibiotics (SAs, 75.14-906.19 ng/L in influent, 1.14-15.33 ng/L in effluent) > pharmaceutical and personal care products (PPCPs, 44.47-589.93 ng/L in influent, 2.54-34.16 ng/L in effluent) ≈ fluoroquinolone antibiotic (54.76-434.83 ng/L in influent, 10.75-32.82 ng/L in effluent) > other antibiotics (16.21-51.96 ng/L in influent, 0.68-6.17 ng/L in effluent). Moreover, the concentrations of PPCPs (decreased by 55.33-87.65% in peak fishing season) and antibiotics (increased by 44.99% in peak fishing season) were affected by fishing activities. In particular, the sequencing batch reactor (SBR) process had a better removal effect than the anaerobic-anoxic-oxic (A2/O) process on the treatment of some contaminants (e.g., norfloxacin and nonylphenol). Risk evaluations of ECs demonstrated that nonylphenol and SAs were at high- and low-risk states, respectively. Overall, our results provide important information for the degradation treatment of ECs, which is essential for pollutant management policy formulation.

Final Results of GERDA on the Two-Neutrino Double-β Decay Half-Life of ^{76}Ge

We present the measurement of the two-neutrino double-β decay rate of ^{76}Ge performed with the GERDA Phase II experiment. With a subset of the entire GERDA exposure, 11.8 kg yr, the half-life of the process has been determined: T_{1/2}^{2ν}=(2.022±0.018_{stat}±0.038_{syst})×10^{21}  yr. This is the most precise determination of the ^{76}Ge two-neutrino double-β decay half-life and one of the most precise measurements of a double-β decay process. The relevant nuclear matrix element can be extracted: M_{eff}^{2ν}=(0.101±0.001).

Experimental Validation of a Kinetic Ballooning Mode in High-Performance High-Bootstrap Current Fraction Fusion Plasmas

We report the observation of a set of coherent high frequency electromagnetic fluctuations that leads to a turbulence induced self-regulating phenomenon in the DIII-D high bootstrap current fraction plasma. The fluctuations have frequency of 130-220  kHz, the poloidal wavelength and phase velocity are 16-30  m^{-1} and ∼30  km/s, respectively, in the outboard midplane with the estimated toroidal mode number n∼5-9. The fluctuations are located in the internal transport barrier (ITB) region at large radius and are experimentally validated to be kinetic ballooning modes (KBM). Quasilinear estimation predicts the KBM to be able to drive experimental particle flux and non-negligible thermal flux, suggesting its significant role in regulating the ITB saturation.

A Pilot Study of Simulation-Free Hippocampal-Avoidance Whole Brain Radiotherapy Using Diagnostic MR-Based and Online Adaptive Planning

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

We aimed to demonstrate the clinical feasibility and safety of a simulation-free hippocampal avoidance whole brain radiotherapy (HA-WBRT) workflow in a Phase I clinical trial (NCT05096286). Feasibility was defined as successful completion of the simulation-free HA-WBRT workflow through treatment delivery in at last 70% of treated patients.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Ten candidates for HA-WBRT were enrolled for treatment on a ring gantry CT-guided Linac with online adaptive capabilities. Structures were contoured on the diagnostic brain MRI, which was then registered to a separate head computed tomography (CT) of similar head shape, obtained from an atlas-based database. A HA-WBRT "pre-plan" was generated using the atlas-based CT (AB-CT) and the NRG-CC001 constraints. At first fraction, the AB-CT was used as the primary dataset and deformed to the patient's cone-beam CT (CBCT) for dose calculation. The brain, ventricles, and brainstem contours were matched through rigid translation and rotation to the corresponding anatomy on the CBCT to aid in alignment, given the differences in rotational head positioning from diagnostic MRI to CBCT setup. Lastly, the lens, optic nerves, and brain contours were manually edited based on CBCT visualization. Plans were then optimized, and the adaptive plan was chosen for treatment if the plan met all objectives. Workflow tasks were timed. In addition, conventional plans using patients' sim CTs were created for each patient for the purpose of prospective dosimetric comparison. The dosimetric parameters were compared for each patient between the delivered sim-free plan and the conventional sim CT plan using the sign test via statistical software, with p<.05 indicating significance.

RESULTS

Median time from approved sim order to first fraction was 4 days (range: 2-7); median time in room (door-to-door) was 49 minutes (range: 35-70). All patients successfully completed all ten fractions and 90% of the simulation-free radiation plans met all NRG-CC001 constraints. For one patient, the sim-free plan at fraction one failed the planning target volume (PTV) coverage objective (coverage of 89%); this was deemed acceptable for delivery by the treating radiation oncologist. An offline replan was then performed to meet NRG-CC001 constraints and used for the subsequent nine fractions. There was no clinically meaningful difference in dosimetric constraints between the sim-free plan (calculated on AB-CT) and conventional CT sim plan. Statistically, the sim-free plans provided improved PTV coverage to higher doses compared to the conventional plans (Table). At a median follow-up of 43 days (range: 9 -280), the intracranial progression-free survival rate was 90%.

CONCLUSION

Simulation-free HA-WBRT is feasible, results in plans that are dosimetrically comparable to conventional CT sim workflows and succeeds in decreasing time to initiation of HA-WBRT by at least 50%. Further studies with a larger cohort are warranted to optimize the workflow.

Low Dose Fractionated Radiation Therapy as a Chemo-Potentiator of Salvage Temozolomide (TMZ) for Recurrent Anaplastic Astrocytoma (AA) and Glioblastoma Multiforme (GBM): A Single-Arm Phase I/II Trial

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Cell survival curves demonstrate low-dose radiation hypersensitivity, with steepest cell kill at 0.3-0.5 Gy/fx. This phase 1/2 study assessed the safety and efficacy of low-dose fractionated radiation therapy (LDFRT) as a chemopotentiator of concurrent TMZ for patients with recurrent GBM or AA.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Patients with recurrent GBM or AA s/p standard of care therapy and ≥12 months from prior RT and ≥2 months from prior TMZ were eligible to receive 0.5 Gy of RT twice daily for 10 fx with concurrent TMZ (150-200 mg/m2), both delivered in 5 consecutive days of a 28-day cycle for up to 6 cycles, followed by 6 more cycles of adjuvant TMZ. In phase 1, hematologic toxicity was assessed 1 month after starting therapy. Brain MRIs were obtained every 2 months, or every 1 month in cases of potential progression. Progression was defined by RANO criteria. Pseudoprogression consisted of MRI changes independent of clinical deterioration or steroid use that stabilize/reverse without oncologic intervention. The primary endpoint was 1-year overall survival (OS), with a lower bound of an 80% CI >28% deemed promising for further study based on historical data. Secondary endpoints were rates of pseudoprogression and hematologic toxicity.

RESULTS

Thirty-one patients were enrolled/analyzed. Grade 3-4 acute hematologic toxicity was seen in 8 (27%) patients. Median follow-up was 9.5 (range: 0.1-66.3) months (mos). Median and 1-yr OS were 9.6 (95% CI = 7.0-15.4) mos and 34.5% (95% CI = 20.9%-57.0%). The lower bound of the 80% CI for 1-yr OS was 24.8%. 77% of patients experienced pseudoprogression, with a median time to pseudoprogression from start of LDFRT of 1.9 (95% CI = 1.7-4.4) mos and median duration of 3.6 (95% CI = 1.6-Not estimable) mos. Patients with pseudoprogression had improved OS vs. those without (N = 6; median 10.6 vs 3.9 mos, HR = 0.12 [95% CI = 0.03-0.40]; P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

LDFRT in the re-irradiation setting for GBM or AA was safe. High rates of pseudoprogression were observed at strikingly low RT doses, with improved OS amongst patients with vs. without pseudoprogression. While pseudoprogression is common at definitive doses of brain RT, it is rare at palliative doses (e.g., 30 Gy/10 fx). Thus, low-dose RT hypersensitivity may be elicited by LDFRT with TMZ for patients with GBM/AA. Further study is needed to optimally apply this radiobiological property to improve patient outcomes.

Phase II Study of Hemithoracic Intensity-Modulated Pleural Radiation Therapy (IMPRINT) for Patients with Pleural Metastases from Thymic Malignancies

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Pleural metastases are common sites for recurrence and progression in patients with thymic malignancies. The management of pleural metastases typically involves surgical resection with or without neoadjuvant or adjuvant systemic therapy. After surgical resection of pleural metastases, the 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) rate is about 29-45%. While radiation therapy (RT) is standardly used in the management of locally-advanced thymic malignancies, the role of RT in patients with pleural metastases in unclear. Intensity-modulated pleural radiation therapy (IMPRINT) is a RT technique currently being used to treat malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) patients with 2 intact lungs at centers that specialize in MPM treatment. This IMPRINT technique can potentially be extrapolated to thymic patients with pleural metastases. Because the risk of toxicity is of greater concern for thymic patients given their overall relatively favorable prognosis, the rate of toxicity, particularly radiation pneumonitis, needs to be established in the thymic patient population.

MATERIALS/METHODS

This is a single-arm, single institution Phase II study of hemithoracic IMPRINT for patients with pleural metastases from thymic malignancies. The primary endpoint of this study is grade 3 or higher radiation pneumonitis within 4 months of completing RT. Secondary endpoints include any toxicity, progression-free survival, patterns of failure and overall survival. Patients must have a pathologically confirmed diagnosis of a thymic malignancy with radiologic or pathologic evidence of pleural metastases. Thymoma or thymic carcinoma are allowed. Patients may have de novo stage IVA disease or recurrent disease in the pleura. There must be no evidence of extrathoracic metastatic disease or contralateral pleural/pericardial disease. Surgical resection of the pleural nodules (ex: pleurectomy/decortication, debulking/metastasectomy) are allowed. Extrapleural pneumonectomy is not allowed. Patients are excluded if they have undergone prior thoracic radiation therapy preventing hemithoracic pleural IMRT, whereas prior thymic bed radiation and/or prior pleural SBRT are allowed. RT will be administered to the ipsilateral pleura to 50.4 Gy in 28 fractions. An optional dose-painting boost to gross disease up to 60 Gy while respecting normal tissue constraints is allowed. Patients can be treated with photon or proton therapy. Simulation, contouring and RT planning guidelines have been developed. Patients will be followed per protocol at regular intervals for at least 12 months following RT. The expected accrual is 36 patients over 4 years. Further information can be found on clinicaltrials.gov (NCT05354570).

RESULTS

To be determined.

CONCLUSION

To be determined.

Standard Therapy vs. Individualized Therapy in Elderly Locally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Real-World Study

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT) with/without induction chemotherapy has been the standard therapy (ST) for locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC). However, most patients supporting these clinical trials were younger than 65 years of age. For the toxicity of CRT and the poor tolerance of elderly patients, it is still controversial whether ST could bring the most promising survival benefits for elderly NPC compared with individualized therapy (IT). Thus, in this real-world study we compared the survival and safety of ST with IT in elderly LA-NPC to explore an effective and tolerable treatment strategy for elderly LA-NPC.

MATERIALS/METHODS

A total of 109 newly diagnosed elderly LA-NPC (>65 years old) from Jan. 2013-Jul. 2020 were retrospectively enrolled and divided into the ST group and IT group according to the original treatment tendency. ST refers to CRT with/without induction chemotherapy. IT group included patients not suitable for CRT and were given individualized treatment fully discussed by at least two oncologists from our head and neck team. A 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) generated a matched cohort of ST and IT. The survivals and treatment related toxicities were compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

There were 46 cases in the ST group and 63 cases in the IT group. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate, cancer-specific survival (CSS) rate, progression- free survival (PFS) rate, local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) rate and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) rate were 68.64%, 76.42%, 73.69%, 85.67% and 86.82%, respectively. By 1:1PSM, 35 cases in each group were matched. No significant differences of OS, CSS, PFS, LRFS and DMFS were found between ST and IT groups in the PSM-matched cohorts (P = 0.87, P = 0.79, P = 0.51, P = 0.81 and P = 0.24, respectively). Compared with patients in the ST group, cases received IT were associated with less severe acute toxicities including anemia, leucopenia, neutropenia, and thrombocytopenia.

CONCLUSION

For elderly LA-NPC, IT had similar survivals while less severe toxicities compared with ST, which revolutionarily challenged the role of ST for elderly LA-NPC. In the future, more studies are need to explore a less toxic treatment modality with noninferior efficacy for elderly LA-NPC.

Dose-Effect of Proton and Photon Craniospinal Irradiation on Vertebral Growth in Pediatric Patients with Medulloblastoma

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Craniospinal irradiation (CSI) directly damages vertebral growth plates causing skeletal dysplasia leading to reduced height in pediatric long-term survivors. The objective of this study is to quantify the adjusted effect of CSI on standing and sitting height by radiation dose and modality in children.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Two hundred sixty-five patients (M/F 169/96) were treated at a single institution on a clinical and molecular risk-directed trial for medulloblastoma (NCT01878617) using proton or photon therapy. Three CSI dose regimens were evaluated: 15 Gy (n = 31), 23.4 Gy (n = 103), ≥36 Gy (n = 131). Vertebral body dose was limited to 18-20 CGE for 23.4 Gy or 36 Gy proton therapy. All patients received post-CSI protocol-specified chemotherapy. Non-parametric tests were applied for baseline patient comparison. Changes in growth over time were calculated using random coefficients models using patient-specific intercepts and slopes. Dose-effects were modeled for ages 5, 10, and 18 years.

RESULTS

Age at CSI and race were similar between the three dose levels. Females most often received 23.4 Gy and males ≥36 Gy (p = 0.001). Higher CSI doses were associated with photon therapy (p<0.001). Median follow-up was 3 years (range 0.1-7.1). Annual growth rate was significantly different between 15 Gy (3.66 cm/year) and the higher dose levels of 23.4 Gy (2.81 cm/year, p = 0.0389) and ≥36 Gy (2.46 cm/year, p = 0.0032). Lower annual growth rate in females (vs. males, p = 0.0331) was observed in models for those aged 5 (-0.17 cm/year), 10 (-0.35 cm/year), and 18 years (-0.62 cm/year). In multivariate analysis, modelled annual growth rate was dose-dependent at ages 5 and 10 years. The differences were, respectively, 1.68 cm/year between 15 and 23.4 Gy (p = 0.0005) and 0.98 cm/year between 23.4 and ≥36 Gy (p = 0.0002), and 1.13 cm/year between 15 and 23.4 Gy (p = 0.0002) and 0.68 cm/year between 23.4 and ≥36 Gy (p = 0.0003). Radiation modality did not impact standing height over time significantly. Annual sitting height growth was 2.34, 1.67 and 1.1 cm/year for the three dose levels (p<0.0001-0.001). In the multivariate model, a 5-year-old receiving 15 or 23.4 Gy had similar annual sitting height growth, but not when 23.4 Gy was compared to ≥36 Gy (0.83 cm/year, p<0.0001). In a separate model for a patient aged 10 years, there was a difference comparing all CSI regimens (0.81 cm/year, p<0.0001, 15 vs 23.4 Gy; 0.54 cm/year, p = 0.0002, 23.4 vs ≥36 Gy). Sitting height growth was affected by CSI dose at age 18 years, with a difference of 2.2 cm/year between 15 vs 23.4 Gy (p = 0.0013), and no difference between 23.4 and ≥36 Gy.

CONCLUSION

Annual growth rates show a dose-response relationship, independent of treatment modality. A dose-response in sitting height growth rate is seen at any age, while the annual standing height growth rate was only affected by CSI dose in 5- and 10-year-olds. While all CSI doses had a significant impact on the annual standing height, sitting height growth rates approximated normal values for those treated with a low CSI dose.

Facial expression of patients with Graves' orbitopathy

PURPOSE

Patients with Graves' orbitopathy (GO) have characteristic facial expressions that are different from those of healthy individuals due to the combination of somatic and psychiatric symptoms. However, the facial expressions of GO patients have not yet been described and analyzed systematically. Thus, the present study aimed to present the facial expressions of GO patients and explore their applications in clinical practice.

METHODS

Facial image and clinical data of 943 GO patients were included, and 126 patients answered quality of life (GO-QOL) questionnaires. Each patient was labeled for one facial expression. Then, a portrait was drawn for every facial expression. Logistic and linear regression was performed to analyze the correlation between facial expression and clinical indicators, including QOL, disease activity and severity. The VGG-19 network model was utilized to discriminate facial expressions automatically.

RESULTS

Two groups, i.e., the non-negative emotion (neutral, happy) and the negative emotion (disgust, angry, fear, sadness, surprise), and seven expressions of GO patients were systematically analyzed. Facial expression was statistically associated with GO activity (P = 0.002), severity (P < 0.001), QOL visual functioning subscale scores (P = 0.001), and QOL appearance subscale score (P = 0.012). The deep learning model achieved satisfactory results (accuracy 0.851, sensitivity 0.899, precision 0.899, specificity 0.720, F1 score 0.899, and AUC 0.847).

CONCLUSIONS

As a novel clinical sign, facial expression holds the potential to be incorporated into GO assessment system in the future. The discrimination model may assist clinicians in real-life patient care.

Multi-Institutional Report of Re-Irradiation for Recurrent High-Grade Glioma

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Significant heterogeneity exists with regards to prior published reports of re-irradiation (re-RT) in patients with recurrent high grade glioma (HGG). A multi-institutional database of 10 academic centers across the United States was created to analyze prognostic outcomes for re-RT for recurrent HGG, which included WHO Grade III and Grade IV tumors.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Patients with HGG who had initially received standard radiotherapy (RT) and were subsequently treated with a course of re-RT at recurrence were included in the study. Factors assessed to delineate a significant association with overall survival (OS) and toxicity included age, KPS, number of relapses, dose, use of bevacizumab (BEV) or temozolomide (TMZ), time from prior RT, histology, RT target, re-RT target> 5cm and extent of resection, and MGMT methylation status. The Kaplan-Meier Method was used to estimate OS. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify factors associated with OS. Toxicity outcomes were assessed using logistic regression. Significance was assumed if p<0.05. Data management and decision management software were used for all analyses.

RESULTS

Between 2001 and 2022, 280 patients from 10 academic institutions were treated with re-RT for diagnosis of recurrent HGG. 133 patients (71.1%) had a histologic glioblastoma (GBM) at the time of re-RT, with the remainder having Grade 3 gliomas. Median dose delivered at re-RT was 47 Gy BED10 (IQR 47 - 53 Gy BED10), with the most common regimen being 35 Gy in 10 fractions. 83 patients (56%) had GTV greater than 5 cm treated with re-RT. 183 patients (79%) received concurrent systemic therapy, including 95 (41%) who received concurrent TMZ and 86 (45%) who received concurrent BEV. Median OS for the entire cohort was 10 months. Increasing dose at re-RT was associated with improved OS (OR 0.80 95% CI 0.67-0.95, p = 0.10 per 10 Gy BED10), as was dose greater than 47 Gy BED10, which is equivalent to 35 Gy in 10 fractions (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.54-0.91). Concurrent TMZ was also associated with improved OS (OR 0.68, 95% CI 0.46-0.83, p < 0.01). 32/143 (22%) patients evaluable for toxicity experienced Grade 2 or greater adverse radiation effect (ARE). Use of BEV was associated with decreased toxicity (OR 0.45, 95% CI 0.21-0.98, p = 0.05). Dose at re-RT (OR 1.07 per 10 Gy BED10, p = 0.78), a GTV > 5cm (OR 1.39, p = 0.44), and the use of concurrent TMZ (OR 1.90, p = 0.10) were not associated with Grade 2 or greater ARE.

CONCLUSION

Higher dose of re-RT and use of concurrent TMZ led to improved OS in recurrent HGG patients without an associated increased rate of ARE. Use of BEV decreased the likelihood of Grade 2 or greater ARE in the re-RT setting for these recurrent HGG patients.

Clinical validation of an adapted Eleveld Model for high-dose propofol treatments for depression

Repeated administration of high doses of propofol to patients with treatment-resistant depression (TRD) has been shown to produce antidepressant effects in small clinical trials. These effects can be elicited when the patient's EEG burst-suppression ratio (BSR) is maintained at 70-90% for 15 min in repeated treatments. This deep anesthesia domain lies beyond the range of current propofol pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) models. In this study, we adapt the Eleveld model for use at deep anesthesia levels with a BSR endpoint, with the goal of aiding the estimation of the dosage of propofol needed to achieve 70-90% BSR for 15 min. We test the ability of the adapted model to predict BSR for these treatments. Twenty participants underwent 6-9 treatments of high doses of propofol (5-9 of which were included in this analysis) for a total of 115 treatments. To adapt the Eleveld model for this endpoint, we optimized the model parameters Ke0, γ and Ce50. These parameters were then used in the adapted model to estimate second-by-second BSR for each treatment. Estimated BSR was compared with observed BSR for each treatment of each participant. Median absolute performance error (MdAPE) between the estimated and observed BSR (25th-75th percentile) was 6.63 (3.79-12.96) % points and 8.51 (4.32-16.74) % between the estimated and observed treatment duration. This predictive performance is statistically significantly better at predicting BSR compared with the standard Eleveld model at deep anesthesia levels. Our adapted Eleveld model provides a useful tool to aid dosing propofol for high-dose anesthetic treatments for depression.

CNS Control after First-Line Osimertinib in Patients with Metastatic EGFR-Mutant NSCLC

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Although osimertinib (osi) has excellent intracranial activity in EGFR-mutant metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), there is no consensus regarding whether to continue osi for central nervous system (CNS) control with second-line chemotherapy (chemo) at the time of systemic progression. We aimed to compare CNS outcomes after first-line osi in patients receiving second-line chemo with or without continuation of osi.

MATERIALS/METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed patients with EGFR-mutant NSCLC with brain metastases (BrM) at the time of initiating first-line osi who experienced progression and started second-line chemo. Cumulative incidence of local and distant CNS progression, and extracranial (EC) progression was calculated from time of second-line chemo initiation with death as a competing risk. Overall survival (OS) was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier.

RESULTS

We included 52 patients with a median follow up of 9.6 months (range 0.4-36.4). Median OS and CNS progression-free survival (PFS) from the time of starting second-line chemo was 12.5 months (95% CI 8.1-16.9), and 5.3 months (95% CI 3.35-7.26), respectively. The 1-year cumulative incidence of local, distant CNS progression, any CNS progression, and EC progression was 14.4% (95% CI 4.5-24.2), 42.8% (95% CI 22.8-56.8), 42.8% (95% CI 22.8-56.8) and 66.8% (95% CI 53.5-80.2), respectively. After progression on first-line osi, 25 (48.1%) and 27 patients (51.9%) continued and discontinued osi, respectively. Patients who continued osi had significantly higher BrM burden than those who did not, with 17 (68%), 3 (12%), and 5 (20%) versus 26 (96%), 0, and 1 (3.7%) patient having <10 or >11 parenchymal brain lesions, or leptomeningeal disease (LMD) at the time of second line therapy, respectively (p<0.01). In those who continued osi vs those who did not, median OS (10.8 vs 12.5 months; p = 0.37), median intracranial PFS (5.3 vs 4.8 months; p = 0.99), 1-year cumulative incidence of local (8.4% versus 20 % p = 0.26), and 1-year distant CNS progression (24.8% vs 60%; p = 0.08) was not significantly different. CNS complications such as symptomatic, hospitalizations, and steroid initiation for CNS disease, and progression of LMD were not significantly different between the two groups. Eventually, 10 patients underwent salvage RT post first-line osi and median time to salvage RT was 7.8 months (range 2-9.4). Of patients who underwent salvage RT, 2 patients (20%) had continued osi with second-line chemo. Twelve patients (44.4%) who did not continue osi eventually re-started osi for progressive disease.

CONCLUSION

Patients who continued osi had significantly higher BrM tumor burden. Despite these patients being at higher risk for CNS progression, time to CNS progression and incidence of CNS complications were not significantly different in the two cohorts. Patients who discontinued osi were more likely to undergo salvage RT. Continuation of osi may allow patients to defer salvage RT.

Efficacy of Nimotuzumab plus Concurrent Chemo-Radiotherapy for Unresectable Esophageal Cancer: A Real-World Study

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

The esophageal cancer ranked 7th in the morbidity of malignant cancer and the 6th contributed to carcinoma deaths. Most patients are diagnosed of advanced stage at first visiting. The 5-year survival rate of unresectable esophageal cancer is about 20% after the standard treatment of concurrent chemo-radiotherapy. Nimotuzumab, a humanized anti-EGFR antibody, has shown good efficacy and low toxicity in epithelial tumors. This two-center, real-world study evaluated the efficacy and safety of nimotuzumab combined with concurrent chemoradiotherapy in unresectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

MATERIALS/METHODS

Totally 503 eligible unresectable ESCC patients from Jan 2014 to Dec 2020 were included. 1:2 nearest neighbor propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to match the Nimo group (nimotuzumab plus concurrent chemo-radiotherapy) and CRT group (concurrent chemo-radiotherapy), and the covariates included age, gender, tumor location, lesion length, TNM stage, clinical stage, and radiotherapy dose. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). The secondary endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and disease control rate (DCR).

RESULTS

A total of 61 patients were in Nimo group which received nimotuzumab (200 mg/w, 4-6 weeks) combined with concurrent chemo-radiotherapy (chemotherapy: S-1/FP/TP/DP for 2-4 cycles; radiotherapy: 2DRT,3D-CRT or IMRT, 50-70 Gy in 25-35 fractions) and 107 patients in CRT group only received concurrent chemo-radiotherapy. The baseline characteristics were well balanced between the two groups. The efficacy of Nimo group was better than that of CRT group. The ORR was 85.2% vs. 71.0%, (P=0.037), the DCR was 98.4% vs. 91.6%, (P>0.05). The median PFS was 28.07 months vs. 19.54 months, and the 1-, 3- and 5-year PFS rates were 78.2% vs. 72.9%, 37.5% vs. 28.3%, and 29.1% vs. 21.3%, respectively (HR: 0.6860, 95% CI: 0.4902-0.9600, P=0.034). The median OS was 34.93 months vs. 24.30 months and the 1-, 3- and 5-year OS rates were 88.5% vs. 81.3%, 46.8% vs. 35.2% and 37.4% vs. 28.0%, respectively (HR: 0.6701, 95% CI: 0.4792-0.9372, P=0.024). The adverse events including radiation esophagitis, radiation pneumonitis, bone marrow suppression, nausea, vomiting, and rash were no significantly different between the two groups (P>0.05).

CONCLUSION

Nimotuzumab combined with concurrent chemo-radiotherapy improved the ORR, and prolonged PFS and OS in unresectable ESCC patients with a good tolerance.

Financial Improvements from Short Course Adjuvant Vaginal Cuff Brachytherapy (VCB) in Early Endometrial Cancer Compared to Standard of Care, "SAVE" Trial

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Early-stage endometrial cancer is often managed with hysterectomy followed by adjuvant VCB. Financial toxicity from cancer treatment is a strong driver of adherence. The SAVE trial is a multicenter, prospective randomized trial of standard of care (SoC) VCB doses delivered in 3-5 fractions per physician discretion compared to a 2-fraction course. We report on secondary cost endpoints, quantifying the financial impacts of shorter treatment courses on institutions and participating patients.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Technical (TechCs), professional (PCs), and total charges (TotCs) were collected prospectively and are reported as raw and Medicare-adjusted charges per patient. Geographic variations were standardized with CMS Geographic Practice Cost Indices (GPCI), and inflation was adjusted using the Consumer Price Index (CPI): Medical Care. Distance to treatment center was calculated from the patient's zip code to the corresponding treatment center. Cost of commutes was estimated through round-trip travel distance multiplied by average gas MPG for new vehicles by treatment year and state. Median income for each patient's zip code was estimated using 5-year Household income in 2021 inflation-adjusted dollars from the US Census. Mann-Whitney U, T- and Chi-square tests were used to compare characteristics between the two groups.

RESULTS

One hundred eight patients were analyzed. SoC VCB was delivered in 3, 4 and 5 fractions for 27/54 (50%), 11/54 (20%), and 16/54 (30%), respectively. Median total distance traveled per patient for SoC vs. experimental arms was 213 vs 137 miles (p = .12), and median cost of commute for patients was 36.3 vs 18.0 USD (p = .11). Compared to 2-fraction treatment, 5-fraction treatment resulted in longer travel distances (median 462 vs. 137 miles, p < 0.01) and increased travel costs (median 59.3 v. 18.0 USD, p = < 0.01). Median income by zip code for SoC v. experimental arms was 79,704 vs. 79,671 USD (p = 1.0). For SoC v. experimental arms, 11 (20%) vs 7 (13%) of patients had zip codes with median income in the lowest or second lowest quintiles (p = 0.5). Adjusted raw PCs per patient did not differ between SoC vs. experimental arms (9,159$ vs. 7,532$, p = 0.19). TechCs were significantly higher on the SoC arm (35,734$ vs. 24,696$ p = < 0.01), as were TotCs (44,892$ vs. 32,228$, p < 0.01;). Medicare-adjusted PCs, TechCs, and TotCs were higher for the SoC arm (Table 1).

CONCLUSION

Two-fraction VCB resulted in fewer treatments per patient, reduced cost of travel compared to longer courses, and an adjusted reduction in healthcare expenditures compared to standard of care. Ongoing work will include assessment of patient-reported financial toxicities.

Electrodeposition-Assisted Crystal Growth Regulation of PdBi Clusters on Carbon Cloths for Ethanol Oxidation

Carbon-supported Pd-based clusters are one of the most promising anodic catalysts for ethanol oxidation reaction (EOR) due to their encouraging activity and practical applications. However, unclear growth mechanism of Pd-based clusters on the carbon-based materials has hindered their extensive applications. Herein, we first introduce multi-void spherical PdBi cluster/carbon cloth (PdBi/CC) composites by an electrodeposition routine. The growth mechanism of PdBi clusters on the CC supports has been systemically investigated by evaluating the selected samples and tuning their compositions, which involve the big difference in standard redox potential between Pd2+/Pd and Bi3+/Bi and easy adsorption of Bi3+ on the surface of Pd-rich seeds. Benefitting from the ensembles of many nanocrystal subunits, multi-void spherical PdBi clusters can present collective properties and novel functionalities. In addition, the outstanding characteristics of CC supports enable PdBi clusters with stable nanostructures. Thanks to the unique structure, Pd20Bi/CC catalysts manifest higher EOR activity and better stability compared to Pd/CC. Systematic characterizations and a series of CO poisoning tests further confirm that the dramatically enhanced EOR activity and stability can be attributed to the incorporation of Bi species and the strong coupling of the structure between PdBi clusters and CC supports.