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Zhou XF, Li GY, Wang YQ, Guo L, Wang DX, Yu M, Dong HH, Rong L, Tang SC. [Analysis of the self-conscious health status and influencing factors of greenhouse agricultural workers in Beijing suburb]. ZHONGHUA LAO DONG WEI SHENG ZHI YE BING ZA ZHI = ZHONGHUA LAODONG WEISHENG ZHIYEBING ZAZHI = CHINESE JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL HYGIENE AND OCCUPATIONAL DISEASES 2021; 39:25-29. [PMID: 33535335 DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121094-20191129-00547] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
Objective: To explore the self-conscious health status and related influencing factors of greenhouse agricultural workers in Beijing suburb, so as to provide scientific basis for developing strategies to improve and promote the occupational health conditions of those workers. Methods: According to the production characteristics and scale of the main agricultural districts or counties in the suburb of Beijing, 182 agricultural production personnel were randomly selected to investigate the general situation, occupational situation and self-conscious health status during June 2018 to December 2019. The relevant factors which may affect the self-conscious health conditions were also analyzed by statistical methods. Results: The detection or reported rate of self-conscious health problems was 51.6% (94/182) , among which 29.1% (53/182) workers reported musculoskeletal disorder diseases and 21.4% (39/182) workers reported nervous system diseases. And the self-conscious health status of greenhouse agricultural workers were statistically different in household registration, gender, marital status, working years, mixing or spraying pesticides, smoking or eating in the greenhouse (P<0.05) . Moreover, gender, mixing or spraying pesticide, eating and smoking behavior in the workplace all had an impact on the risk of self-conscious health status of greenhouse agricultural workers (P< 0.05) . Specifically, male is the protective factor to reduce the occurrence of self-conscious symptoms of greenhouse agricultural workers (OR=0.447, 95%CI: 0.234~0.852) , while mixing or spraying pesticides and smoking or eating behaviors in the workplace are the risk factors (OR=1.055, 2.524; 95%CI: 0.503~2.210, 1.107~5.755) . Conclusion: Reducing pesticide use from the source thus minimize related exposure opportunities, strengthening occupational health education thus foster good hygienic habits and improve individual protection consciousness are of great significance for the health protection of greenhouse agricultural workers in Beijing suburb.
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Zhong C, Xu L, Peng HL, Tam S, Xu L, Dahlstrom KR, Wu CF, Fu S, Chan W, Sturgis EM, Ramondetta LM, Rong L, Lairson DR, Miao H. An economic and disease transmission model of human papillomavirus and oropharyngeal cancer in Texas. Sci Rep 2021; 11:1802. [PMID: 33469199 PMCID: PMC7815750 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-81375-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/06/2020] [Accepted: 01/06/2021] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
In 2017, 46,157 and 3,127 new oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) cases were reported in the U.S. and Texas, respectively. About 70% of OPC were attributed to human papillomavirus (HPV). However, only 51% of U.S. and 43.5% of Texas adolescents have completed the HPV vaccine series. Therefore, modeling the demographic dynamics and transmission of HPV and OPC progression is needed for accurate estimation of the economic and epidemiological impacts of HPV vaccine in a geographic area. An age-structured population dynamic model was developed for the U.S. state of Texas. With Texas-specific model parameters calibrated, this model described the dynamics of HPV-associated OPC in Texas. Parameters for the Year 2010 were used as the initial values, and the prediction for Year 2012 was compared with the real age-specific incidence rates in 23 age groups for model validation. The validated model was applied to predict 100-year age-adjusted incidence rates. The public health benefits of HPV vaccine uptake were evaluated by computer simulation. Compared with current vaccination program, increasing vaccine uptake rates by 50% would decrease the cumulative cases by 4403, within 100 years. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of this strategy was $94,518 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Increasing the vaccine uptake rate by 50% can: (i) reduce the incidence rates of OPC among both males and females; (ii) improve the quality-adjusted life years for both males and females; (iii) be cost-effective and has the potential to provide tremendous public health benefits in Texas.
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Gao S, Martcheva M, Miao H, Rong L. A Dynamic Model to Assess Human Papillomavirus Vaccination Strategies in a Heterosexual Population Combined with Men Who have Sex with Men. Bull Math Biol 2021; 83:5. [PMID: 33387083 DOI: 10.1007/s11538-020-00830-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/28/2020] [Accepted: 11/02/2020] [Indexed: 01/22/2023]
Abstract
Vaccination is effective in preventing human papillomavirus (HPV) infection. It is imperative to investigate who should be vaccinated and what the best vaccine distribution strategy is. In this paper, we use a dynamic model to assess HPV vaccination strategies in a heterosexual population combined with gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (MSM). The basic reproduction numbers for heterosexual females, heterosexual males and MSM as well as their average for the total population are obtained. We also derive a threshold parameter, based on basic reproduction numbers, for model analysis. From the analysis and numerical investigations, we have several conclusions. (1) To eliminate HPV infection, the priority of vaccination should be given to MSM, especially in countries that have already achieved high coverage in females. The heterosexual population gets great benefit but MSM only get minor benefit from vaccinating heterosexual females or males. (2) The best vaccination strategy is to vaccinate MSM firstly as many as possible, then heterosexual females, lastly heterosexual males. (3) Given a fixed vaccination coverage of MSM, distributing the remaining vaccines to only heterosexual females or males leads to a similar prevalence in the total population. This prevalence is lower than that when vaccines are distributed to both genders. The evener the distribution, the higher the prevalence in the total population. (4) Vaccination becomes less effective in reducing the prevalence as more vaccines are given. It is more effective to allocate vaccines to a region with lower vaccination coverage. This study provides information that may help policymakers formulate guidelines for vaccine distribution to reduce HPV prevalence on the basis of vaccine availability and prior vaccination coverage. Whether these guidelines are affected when the objective is to reduce HPV-associated cancer incidence remains to be further studied.
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Au M, Liu Z, Rong L, Zheng Y, Wen C. Endothelin-1 induces chondrocyte senescence and cartilage damage via endothelin receptor type B in a post-traumatic osteoarthritis mouse model. Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2020; 28:1559-1571. [PMID: 32858189 DOI: 10.1016/j.joca.2020.08.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2020] [Revised: 08/08/2020] [Accepted: 08/14/2020] [Indexed: 02/02/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aimed to investigate the role of endothelin-1 (ET-1), originally known as the potent vasoconstrictor, and its receptors in chondrocyte senescence and osteoarthritis (OA) development. METHOD Temporal changes of ET-1 and its receptors with OA development were characterized in a posttraumatic OA (PTOA) mouse model at time zero, 1-month and 4-month after surgical induction via destabilization of medial meniscus (DMM). A transgenic ET-1 overexpression (TET-1) mouse model was deployed to assess the impact of upregulated ET-1 on chondrocyte senescence and cartilage degradation. Effects of endothelin receptor blockade on chondrocyte senescence and OA development were further examined both in vitro and in vivo. RESULTS Local expression of ET-1 in subchondral bone and synovium upregulated after DMM with an increase of plasma ET-1 level from 3.18 ± 0.21 pg/ml at time zero to 6.47 ± 0.34 pg/ml at 4-month post-surgery. Meanwhile, endothelin type B receptor (ETBR) (53.31 ± 2.42% to 83.8 ± 2.65%) and p16INK4a (10.91 ± 1.07% to 28.2 ± 1.0%) positve chondrocytes accumulated in articular cartilage since 1-month prior to cartilage loss at 4-month post-surgery. Overexpressed ET-1 promoted p16INK4a-positive senescent chondrocytes accumulation and cartilage degradation in TET-1 mice. Selective blockade of ETBR, but not ETAR, lowered the expression of p16INK4a in ET-1 or H2O2-induced chondrocyte senescence model, and mitigated the severity of murine PTOA. Intriguingly, reactive oxygen species (ROS) scavenger, Vitamin C, could rescue ET-1-induced chondrocyte senescence in vitro associated with restoration of mitochondrial dynamics. CONCLUSION ET-1 could induce chondrocytes senescence and cartilage damages via ETBR in PTOA.
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Wang X, Chen Y, Martcheva M, Rong L. Asymptotic analysis of a vector-borne disease model with the age of infection. JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL DYNAMICS 2020; 14:332-367. [PMID: 32324106 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2020.1745912] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2019] [Accepted: 03/09/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
Vector-borne infectious diseases may involve both horizontal transmission between hosts and transmission from infected vectors to susceptible hosts. In this paper, we incorporate these two transmission modes into a vector-borne disease model that includes general nonlinear incidence rates and the age of infection for both hosts and vectors. We show the existence, uniqueness, nonnegativity, and boundedness of solutions for the model. We study the existence and local stability of steady states, which is shown to be determined by the basic reproduction number. By showing the existence of a global compact attractor and uniform persistence of the system, we establish the threshold dynamics using the Fluctuation Lemma and the approach of Lyapunov functionals. When the basic reproduction number is less than one, the disease-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable and otherwise the disease will be established when there is initial infection force for the hosts. We also study a model with the standard incidence rate and discuss the effect of different incidence rates on the disease dynamics.
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Wang S, Pan Y, Wang Q, Miao H, Brown AN, Rong L. Modeling the viral dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Math Biosci 2020; 328:108438. [PMID: 32771304 PMCID: PMC7409942 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108438] [Citation(s) in RCA: 76] [Impact Index Per Article: 19.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/10/2020] [Revised: 07/31/2020] [Accepted: 07/31/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), an infectious disease caused by the infection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is spreading and causing the global coronavirus pandemic. The viral dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection have not been quantitatively investigated. In this paper, we use mathematical models to study the pathogenic features of SARS-CoV-2 infection by examining the interaction between the virus, cells and immune responses. Models are fit to the data of SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients and non-human primates. Data fitting and numerical simulation show that viral dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection have a few distinct stages. In the initial stage, viral load increases rapidly and reaches the peak, followed by a plateau phase possibly generated by lymphocytes as a secondary target of infection. In the last stage, viral load declines due to the emergence of adaptive immune responses. When the initiation of seroconversion is late or slow, the model predicts viral rebound and prolonged viral persistence, consistent with the observation in non-human primates. Using the model we also evaluate the effect of several potential therapeutic interventions for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Model simulation shows that anti-inflammatory treatments or antiviral drugs combined with interferon are effective in reducing the duration of the viral plateau phase and diminishing the time to recovery. These results provide insights for understanding the infection dynamics and might help develop treatment strategies against COVID-19.
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Khatib D, Farooq U, Rahouma M, Zhang E, Markowitz S, Rong L. Transesophageal echocardiographic predictors of intraventricular conduction delay in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2020. [DOI: 10.1053/j.jvca.2020.09.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
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Guo T, Qiu Z, Kitagawa K, Iwami S, Rong L. Modeling HIV multiple infection. J Theor Biol 2020; 509:110502. [PMID: 32998053 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2020.110502] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/01/2020] [Revised: 08/09/2020] [Accepted: 09/19/2020] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
Abstract
Multiple infection of target cells by human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) may lead to viral escape from host immune responses and drug resistance to antiretroviral therapy, bringing more challenges to the control of infection. The mechanisms underlying HIV multiple infection and their relative contributions are not fully understood. In this paper, we develop and analyze a mathematical model that includes sequential cell-free virus infection (i.e.one virus is transmitted each time in a sequential infection of target cells by virus) and cell-to-cell transmission (i.e.multiple viral genomes are transmitted simultaneously from infected to uninfected cells). By comparing model prediction with the distribution data of proviral genomes in HIV-infected spleen cells, we find that multiple infection can be well explained when the two modes of viral transmission are both included. Numerical simulation using the parameter estimates from data fitting shows that the majority of T cell infections are attributed to cell-to-cell transmission and this transmission mode also accounts for more than half of cell's multiple infections. These results suggest that cell-to-cell transmission plays a critical role in forming HIV multiple infection and thus has important implications for HIV evolution and pathogenesis.
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Shen M, Peng Z, Guo Y, Rong L, Li Y, Xiao Y, Zhuang G, Zhang L. Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households. Int J Infect Dis 2020; 96:503-505. [PMID: 32416146 PMCID: PMC7207105 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.05.019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 68] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/10/2020] [Revised: 05/04/2020] [Accepted: 05/05/2020] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
A new dynamic compartmental model involving two modes of transmission (public space and households) is proposed to evaluate the impact of the metropolitan-wide quarantine on the trend and transmission pattern of the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei, China. The quarantine reduces more than 70% of new infections in both households and the public space, as well as the deaths caused by COVID-19 pneumonia. Household transmission is the dominant route of disease spread regardless of quarantine. The results will provide important evidence and scientific insights to other worldwide countries that are currently under quarantine.
Hubei province in China has completed cycle of quarantine-resumption in 23rd Janauary and 8th April 2020, providing a unique opportunity as for now to assess its intervention impact and the pattern of SARS-COV-2 transmission during the quarantine period. In this study, we evaluate the impact of the metropolitan-wide quarantine on the trend and transmission route of the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei, China. The intervention reduces more than 70% of new infections in both households and the public space, as well as the deaths caused by COVID-19 pneumonia. Household transmission is the dominant route of disease spread regardless of quarantine. This will provide important evidence and scientific insights to other worldwide countries that are currently under quarantine.
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He S, Tang SY, Rong L. A discrete stochastic model of the COVID-19 outbreak: Forecast and control. MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING : MBE 2020; 17:2792-2804. [PMID: 32987496 DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2020153] [Citation(s) in RCA: 65] [Impact Index Per Article: 16.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/19/2023]
Abstract
The novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) is spreading and has caused a large-scale infection in China since December 2019. This has led to a significant impact on the lives and economy in China and other countries. Here we develop a discrete-time stochastic epidemic model with binomial distributions to study the transmission of the disease. Model parameters are estimated on the basis of fitting to newly reported data from January 11 to February 13, 2020 in China. The estimates of the contact rate and the effective reproductive number support the efficiency of the control measures that have been implemented so far. Simulations show the newly confirmed cases will continue to decline and the total confirmed cases will reach the peak around the end of February of 2020 under the current control measures. The impact of the timing of returning to work is also evaluated on the disease transmission given different strength of protection and control measures.
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Xu X, Hu B, Rong L, Xie H, Zhang F, Zhang C, Ye Q, Ma X, Bai Y. Diffusion-Weighted MRI and 18f-FDG PET/CT in Assessing Response to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Potentially Resectable Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2019. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijrobp.2019.06.2035] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
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Chen SS, Cheng CY, Rong L. Within-Host Viral Dynamics in a Multi-compartmental Environment. Bull Math Biol 2019; 81:4271-4308. [DOI: 10.1007/s11538-019-00658-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2019] [Accepted: 08/09/2019] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
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Tian Y, Rong L, Nian WD, Wang X, Cai YL, Liu GY, Zhang JX, Liang JY. [Clinical short-term and long-term efficacy of endoscopic submucosal dissection in the treatment of early low rectal cancer and precancerous lesions]. ZHONGHUA WEI CHANG WAI KE ZA ZHI = CHINESE JOURNAL OF GASTROINTESTINAL SURGERY 2019; 22:639-642. [PMID: 31302961 DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.1671-0274.2019.07.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
Objective: To evaluate the short-term and long-term efficacy of endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) in the treatment of early low rectal cancer and precancerous lesions. Methods: Inclusion criteria: (1) Distance from the lower margin of tumor to the anal was ≤ 5 cm. (2) Early low rectal cancers were any size rectal epithelial tumors with infiltration depth limited to the mucosa and submucosa, which were diagnosed by postoperative pathology as high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia or adenocarcinoma of the rectum with infiltration depth of intramucosal or submucosal cancer (M or SM stage). (3) Precancerous lesions included adenoma and low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia of the rectum. (4) Patients received ESD treatment. Patients with tumor invasion depth over submucosa by pathology were excluded. From January 2008 to January 2018, 63 patients meeting the above criteria in Peking University First Hospital were enrolled in this descriptive cohort study. The disease characteristics, clinical manifestations, pathological types, treatment time, hospitalization time, en bloc resection rate (resection of the whole lesion), complete resection rate (both the horizontal and vertical incision margins were negative), postoperative complications and follow-up results were analyzed. Cummulative survival rate was calculated by Kaplan-Meier. Results: The diameter of the lesion was (29.0±23.4) mm and the distance from the lesion to the anus was (2.7±1.8) cm. The median operation time was 45.0 (range, 10.0 to 360.0) minutes, the median hospitalization time was 3.0 (range, 2.0 to 12.0) days, en bloc resection rate was 100%, complete resection rate was 96.8% (61/63), and 1 case (1.6%) had postoperative bleeding. The follow-up rate was 87.3% (55/63) and the median follow-up time was 57.9 (range, 15.6 to 121.1) months. No local recurrence was found during the follow-up period and the 5-year survival rate was 100%. Conclusion: Short- and long-term efficacy of ESD are quite good in the treatment of patients with early low rectal cancer and precancerous lesions.
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Shen M, Xiao Y, Rong L, Meyers LA. Conflict and accord of optimal treatment strategies for HIV infection within and between hosts. Math Biosci 2019; 309:107-117. [PMID: 30684516 PMCID: PMC10826718 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2019.01.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/14/2018] [Revised: 01/23/2019] [Accepted: 01/23/2019] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
Most of previous studies investigated the optimal control of HIV infection at either within-host or between-host level. However, the optimal treatment strategy for the individual may not be optimal for the population and vice versa. To determine when the two-level optimal controls are in accord or conflict, we develop a multi-scale model using various functions that link the viral load within host and the transmission rate between hosts, calibrated by cohort data. We obtain the within-host optimal treatment scheme that minimizes the viral load and maximizes the count of healthy cells at the individual level, and the coupled optimal scheme that minimizes the basic reproduction number at the population level. Mathematical analysis shows that whether the two-level optimal controls coincide depends on the sign of the product of their switching functions. Numerical results suggest that they are in accord for a high maximal drug efficacy but may conflict for a low drug efficacy. Using the multi-scale model, we also identify a threshold of the treatment effectiveness that determines how early treatment initiation can affect the disease dynamics among population. These results may help develop a synergistic treatment protocol beneficial to both HIV-infected individuals and the whole population.
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Olabode D, Rong L, Wang X. Optimal control in HIV chemotherapy with termination viral load and latent reservoir. MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING : MBE 2019; 16:619-635. [PMID: 30861659 DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2019030] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
Although a number of cost-e ective strategies have been proposed for the chemotherapy of HIV infection, the termination level of viral load and latent reservoir is barely considered. However, the viral load at the termination time is an important biomarker because suppressing viral load to below the detection limit is a major objective of current antiretroviral therapy. The pool size of latently infected cells at the termination time may also play a critical role in predicting a rapid viral rebound to the pretreatment level or post-treatment control. In this work, we formulate an optimal control problem by incorporating the termination level in terms of viral load, latently and productively infected T cells into an existing HIV model. The necessary condition for this optimal system is derived using the Pontryagin's maximum principle. Numerical analysis is carried out using Runge-Kutta 4 method for the forward-backward sweep. Our results suggest that introducing the termination viral load into the control provides a better strategy in HIV chemotherapy.
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Shen M, Xiao Y, Rong L, Meyers LA, Bellan SE. The cost-effectiveness of oral HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis and early antiretroviral therapy in the presence of drug resistance among men who have sex with men in San Francisco. BMC Med 2018; 16:58. [PMID: 29688862 PMCID: PMC5914040 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-018-1047-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2017] [Accepted: 03/28/2018] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Poor adherence to either antiretroviral treatment (ART) or pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) can promote drug resistance, though this risk is thought to be considerably higher for ART. In the population of men who have sex with men (MSM) in San Francisco, PrEP coverage reached 9.6% in 2014 and has continued to rise. Given the risk of drug resistance and high cost of second-line drugs, the costs and benefits of initiating ART earlier while expanding PrEP coverage remain unclear. METHODS We develop an infection-age-structured mathematical model and fit this model to the annual incidence of AIDS cases and deaths directly, and to resistance and demographic data indirectly. We investigate the impact of six various intervention scenarios (low, medium, or high PrEP coverage, with or without earlier ART) over the next 20 years. RESULTS Low (medium, high) PrEP coverage with earlier ART could prevent 22% (42%, 57%) of a projected 44,508 total new infections and 8% (26%, 41%) of a projected 18,426 new drug-resistant infections, and result in a gain of 43,649 (74,048, 103,270) QALYs over 20 years compared to the status quo, at a cost of $4745 ($78,811, $115,320) per QALY gained, respectively. CONCLUSIONS High PrEP coverage with earlier ART is expected to provide the greatest benefit but also entail the highest costs among the strategies considered. This strategy is cost-effective for the San Francisco MSM population, even considering the acquisition and transmission of ART-mediated drug resistance. However, without a substantial increase to San Francisco's annual HIV budget, the most advisable strategy may be initiating ART earlier, while maintaining current strategies of PrEP enrollment.
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Yu CH, Wang H, Wang Y, Cui NX, Zhao X, Rong L, Yi ZC. Protease sensitivity and redistribution of CD71 and glycophorin A on K562 cells. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2017; 63:40-45. [PMID: 28980921 DOI: 10.14715/cmb/2017.63.9.8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2017] [Revised: 08/26/2017] [Accepted: 08/21/2017] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
Transmembrane proteins are delivered to plasma membrane from the endoplasmic reticulum and Golgi complex by vesicular transport along with the cytoskeletal network. Disruption of this process likely affects transmembrane protein expression. K562 cells were digested with Streptomyces griseus protease for different periods of time, and then re-cultured with different cytoskeletal and glycosylation inhibitors. Cell viability and surface expression of transferrin receptor (CD71) and glycophorin A (GPA) were analyzed before and after re-culture by flow cytometry. We found that digestion with protease almost completely removed extracellular CD71 and GPA but their expression recovered to the initial levels after re-culture for 8 h and 24 h, respectively. The microtubule depolymerizer colchicine promoted cell surface recovery of CD71 but inhibited that of GPA; the microtubule stabilizer paclitaxel inhibited cell surface recovery of CD71 but promoted that of GPA; the microfilament depolymerizer cytochalasin D had no effect on cell surface recovery of CD71 and GPA; the microfilament stabilizer phalloidin inhibited cell surface recovery of GPA. The glycosylation inhibitor tunicamycin inhibited the recovery of both CD71 and GPA, and BADGP inhibited the recovery of GPA. These studies show differential sensitivities of surface proteins on K562 cells to proteases, and suggest molecular mechanisms of transmembrane protein transport and cycling.
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Wang X, Tang S, Song X, Rong L. Mathematical analysis of an HIV latent infection model including both virus-to-cell infection and cell-to-cell transmission. JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL DYNAMICS 2017; 11:455-483. [PMID: 27730851 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2016.1242784] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
HIV can infect cells via virus-to-cell infection or cell-to-cell viral transmission. These two infection modes may occur in a synergistic way and facilitate viral spread within an infected individual. In this paper, we developed an HIV latent infection model including both modes of transmission and time delays between viral entry and integration or viral production. We analysed the model by defining the basic reproductive number, showing the existence, positivity and boundedness of the solution, and proving the local and global stability of the infection-free and infected steady states. Numerical simulations have been performed to illustrate the theoretical results and evaluate the effects of time delays and fractions of infection leading to latency on the virus dynamics. The estimates of the relative contributions to the HIV latent reservoir and the virus population from the two modes of transmission have also been provided.
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Shen M, Xiao Y, Rong L, Meyers LA, Bellan SE. Early antiretroviral therapy and potent second-line drugs could decrease HIV incidence of drug resistance. Proc Biol Sci 2017; 284:20170525. [PMID: 28659449 PMCID: PMC5489726 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2017.0525] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2017] [Accepted: 05/26/2017] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Early initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) reduces the risk of drug-sensitive HIV transmission but may increase the transmission of drug-resistant HIV. We used a mathematical model to estimate the long-term population-level benefits of ART and determine the scenarios under which earlier ART (treatment at 1 year post-infection, on average) could decrease simultaneously both total and drug-resistant HIV incidence (new infections). We constructed an infection-age-structured mathematical model that tracked the transmission rates over the course of infection and modelled the patients' life expectancy as a function of ART initiation timing. We fitted this model to the annual AIDS incidence and death data directly, and to resistance data and demographic data indirectly among men who have sex with men (MSM) in San Francisco. Using counterfactual scenarios, we assessed the impact on total and drug-resistant HIV incidence of ART initiation timing, frequency of acquired drug resistance, and second-line drug effectiveness (defined as the combination of resistance monitoring, biomedical drug efficacy and adherence). Earlier ART initiation could decrease the number of both total and drug-resistant HIV incidence when second-line drug effectiveness is sufficiently high (greater than 80%), but increase the proportion of new infections that are drug resistant. Thus, resistance may paradoxically appear to be increasing while actually decreasing.
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Wang S, Wu J, Rong L. A note on the global properties of an age-structured viral dynamic model with multiple target cell populations. MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING : MBE 2017; 14:805-820. [PMID: 28092964 DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2017044] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
Some viruses can infect different classes of cells. The age of infection can affect the dynamics of infected cells and viral production. Here we develop a viral dynamic model with the age of infection and multiple target cell populations. Using the methods of semigroup and Lyapunov function, we study the global asymptotic property of the steady states of the model. The results show that when the basic reproductive number falls below 1, the infection is predicted to die out. When the basic reproductive number exceeds 1, there exists a unique infected steady state which is globally asymptotically stable. The model can be extended to study virus dynamics with multiple compartments or coinfection by multiple types of viruses. We also show that under some scenarios the age-structured model can be reduced to an ordinary differential equation system with or without time delays.
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He X, Zhao R, Rong L, Yao K, Chen S, Wei B. Answers to if the Lead Aprons are Really Helpful in Nuclear Medicine from the Perspective of Spectroscopy. RADIATION PROTECTION DOSIMETRY 2017; 174:558-564. [PMID: 27613748 DOI: 10.1093/rpd/ncw255] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2015] [Accepted: 08/12/2016] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
Wearing lead X-ray-protective aprons is a routine in nuclear medicine department in parts of China. However, the staff are often perplexed by questions such as if it is imperative to wear aprons when injecting radioactive drugs, how much radiation dosage can be shielded and if the apron will produce secondary radiation instead? To answer these questions, a semiconductor detector was employed to record different gamma and X-ray spectra with and without the lead apron or lead sheet. Then, we could estimate the signal shielding ratio to different photons for the lead apron and compare with the hospitals measured data. In general, the two results coincided well. The spectral results showed that the detrimental secondary X-rays irradiation rises when the energy of gamma rays exceeds the K absorption edge of lead (88 keV). Moreover, the aprons are not so effective for gamma rays of 364 keV emitted from 131I and 511 keV emitted from the positron radioactive nuclides. This work is purely a physical measurement in the laboratory. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first quantitative study on the level of gamma rays protection offered by the medical lead aprons and the importance of the spectroscopic measurements is discussed in this paper.
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Alshorman A, Samarasinghe C, Lu W, Rong L. An HIV model with age-structured latently infected cells. JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL DYNAMICS 2017; 11:192-215. [PMID: 27338168 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2016.1198835] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
HIV latency remains a major obstacle to viral elimination. The activation rate of latently infected cells may depend on the age of latent infection. In this paper, we develop a model of HIV infection including age-structured latently infected cells. We mathematically analyse the model and use numerical simulations with different activation functions to show that the model can explain the persistence of low-level viremia and the latent reservoir stability in patients on therapy. Sensitivity tests suggest that the model is robust to the changes of most parameters but is sensitive to the relative magnitude of the net generation rate and the long-term activation rate of latently infected cells. To reduce the sensitivity, we extend the model to include homeostatic proliferation of latently infected cells. The new model is robust in reproducing the long-term dynamics of the virus and latently infected cells observed in patients receiving prolonged combination therapy.
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Alshorman A, Wang X, Joseph Meyer M, Rong L. Analysis of HIV models with two time delays. JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL DYNAMICS 2017; 11:40-64. [PMID: 26889761 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2016.1148202] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/05/2023]
Abstract
Time delays can affect the dynamics of HIV infection predicted by mathematical models. In this paper, we studied two mathematical models each with two time delays. In the first model with HIV latency, one delay is the time between viral entry into a cell and the establishment of HIV latency, and the other delay is the time between cell infection and viral production. We defined the basic reproductive number and showed the local and global stability of the steady states. Numerical simulations were performed to evaluate the influence of time delays on the dynamics. In the second model with HIV immune response, one delay is the time between cell infection and viral production, and the other delay is the time needed for the adaptive immune response to emerge to control viral replication. With two positive delays, we obtained the stability crossing curves for the model, which were shown to be a series of open-ended curves.
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Wang X, Mink G, Lin D, Song X, Rong L. Influence of raltegravir intensification on viral load and 2-LTR dynamics in HIV patients on suppressive antiretroviral therapy. J Theor Biol 2016; 416:16-27. [PMID: 28025011 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2016.12.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2016] [Revised: 11/21/2016] [Accepted: 12/20/2016] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
Antiretroviral therapy can suppress HIV-1 plasma viral load to below the detection limit but cannot eradicate the virus. Whether residual ongoing viral replication persists during suppressive therapy remains unclear. A few clinical studies showed that treatment intensification with an additional drug led to a lower viral load or an increase in 2-LTR (long terminal repeat), a marker for ongoing viral replication. However, some other studies found no change in the viral load and 2-LTR. In this paper, we developed multi-stage models to evaluate the influence of treatment intensification with the integrase inhibitor raltegravir on viral load and 2-LTR dynamics in HIV patients under suppressive therapy. We analyzed one model and obtained the local and global stability of the steady states. The model and its variation predict that raltegravir intensification induces a very minor decrease in the viral load and a minor increase in 2-LTR. We also compared modeling prediction with the 2-LTR data in a raltegravir intensification study. To achieve the 2-LTR increase observed in some patients, the level of viral replication needs to be substantially high, which is inconsistent with the sustained viral suppression in patients during treatment intensification. These modeling results, together with the theoretical estimate of the upper bound of the 2-LTR increase, suggest that treatment intensification with raltegravir has a minor effect on the plasma viremia and 2-LTR in patients under suppressive therapy. Other treatment strategies have to be developed for the cure or functional control of the infection.
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Rong L, Wu J, Wang W, Zhao RP, Xu XW, Hu D. Sirt 1 activator attenuates the bleomycin-induced lung fibrosis in mice via inhibiting epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT). EUROPEAN REVIEW FOR MEDICAL AND PHARMACOLOGICAL SCIENCES 2016; 20:2144-2150. [PMID: 27249616] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/05/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of resveratrol on the idiopathic bleomycin (BLM)-induced pulmonary fibrosis, which is increasingly recognized as an epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT)-associated disease. MATERIALS AND METHODS We evaluated the effect of resveratrol on the BLM-induced fibrosis in a mouse model, via monitoring the pathological chance in mice lung, the mice body weight change and the mice death. And we also explored the regulation by BLM on (and) resveratrol on the expression and activity of Sirt 1 and on the expression of epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT)-associated markers in mice lung. RESULTS It was demonstrated that resveratrol ameliorated the BLM-induced fibrosis-like pathological change in mice lung, inhibited BLM-induced mice body weight loss and death. Moreover, resveratrol also inhibited the BLM-induced EMT-associated molecular events, such as reduced E-cadherin and elevated Collagen I and α-SMA. We also confirmed the amelioration by resveratrol on the BLM-mediated inhibition of Sirt 1 in expression and activity in mice lung. CONCLUSIONS Our study confirmed the inhibitory role of resveratrol in the BLM-induced pulmonary fibrosis in a mouse model. Resveratrol ameliorated the BLM-induced pathological change of fibrosis, mice body weight loss and death. And such amelioration might be associated with the activation of Sirt 1 in mice lung. The present study implied that resveratrol might be a promising agent for effective control the pulmonary fibrosis.
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