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Seraphim A, Knott K, Menacho K, Augusto J, Davies R, Joy G, Hui X, Treibel T, Cooper J, Petersen S, Fontana M, Hughes A, Moon J, Manisty C, Kellman P. Comparison of the prognostic value of stress and rest pulmonary transit time estimation using myocardial perfusion CMR. Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging 2021. [DOI: 10.1093/ehjci/jeab090.017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Funding Acknowledgements
Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): British Heart Foundation Clinical Research Training Fellowship
Background
Pulmonary transit time (PTT) is a quantitative biomarker of cardiopulmonary status. Rest PTT was previously shown to predict outcomes in specific disease models, but clinical adoption is hindered but challenges in data acquisition. Whether evaluation of PTT during stress encodes incremental prognostic information has not been previously investigated as scale.
Objectives
To compare the prognostic value of stress and rest PTT derived from a fully automated, in-line method of estimation using perfusion CMR, in a large patient cohort.
Methods
A retrospective two-center study of patients referred clinically for adenosine stress myocardial perfusion assessment using CMR. Analysis of right and left ventricular cavity arterial input function curves from first pass perfusion was performed automatically, allowing the in-line estimation of both rest and stress PTT. Association with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) was evaluated. MACE was defined as a composite outcome of myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure admission and ventricular tachycardia or appropriate ICD treatment (including ICD shock and/or anti-tachycardia pacing).
Results
985 patients (67% male, median age 62 years (IQR 52,71)) were included, with median left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of 62% (IQR 54-69). Median stress PTT was shorter than rest PTT 6.2 (IQR 5.1, 7.7) seconds versus 7.7 (IQR, 6.4, 9.2) seconds. Stress and rest PTT were highly correlated (r = 0.69; p < 0.001). Stress PTT also correlated with LVEF (r=-0.37), stress MBF (r=-0.31), LVEDVi (r = 0.24), LA area index (r = 0.32) (p < 0.001 for all). Over a median follow-up period of 28.6 (IQR, 22.6 35,7) months, MACE occurred in 61 (6.2%) patients. After adjusting for prognostic factors, both rest and stress PTT, independently predicted MACE, but not all-cause mortality. For every 1xSD (2.39s) increase in rest PTT the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for MACE was 1.43 (95% CI 1.10-1.85, p = 0.007). The hazard ratio for one standard deviation (2.64s) increase in stress PTT was 1.34 (95% CI 1.048-1.723; p = 0.020) after adjusting for age, LVEF, hypertension, diabetes, sex and presence of LGE
Conclusions
In this 2-center study of 985 patients, we deploy a fully automated method of PTT estimation using perfusion mapping with CMR and show that both stress and rest PTT are independently associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes. In this patient cohort, there is no clear incremental prognostic value of stress PTT, over its evaluation during rest.
Figure 1. Stress and Rest Pulmonary Transit Time estimation using myocardial perfusion CMR
Figure 2. Event-free survival curves for major adverse cardiovascular events (Heart failure hospitalization, myocardial infarction, stroke and ventricular tachycardia/ICD treatment) according to mean rest PTT (8.05seconds) and mean stress PTT (6.7seconds). Log-rank for both p < 0.05
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Joy G, Artico J, Kurdi H, Lau C, Adam RD, Menacho KM, Pierce I, Captur G, Davies R, Schelbert EB, Fontana M, Kellman P, Treibel TA, Manisty C, Moon JC. Prospective case-control study of cardiovascular abnormalities six months following mild COVID-19 in healthcare workers. Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging 2021. [PMCID: PMC8344927 DOI: 10.1093/ehjci/jeab090.064] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Funding Acknowledgements
Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): Barts Charity UCLH Charity
OnBehalf
COVIDsortium
Background
Recent CMR studies have reported cardiac abnormalities after COVID-19 are common, even after mild, non-hospitalised illness with evidence of ongoing myocardial inflammation. Such a prevalence of chronic myocarditis after mild disease has prompted societal concerns in diverse domains, and suggests that screening should be considered post COVID-19, even in asymptomatic individuals. Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) has proven utility for diagnosis in patients with COVID-19 infection and elevated troponin from unclear causes by measuring cardiac structure, function, myocardial scar (late gadolinium enhancement) and oedema (T1 and T2 mapping).
Objectives
We aimed to determine the prevalence and extent of late cardiac and cardiovascular sequelae after mild non-hospitalised SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Methods
Participants were recruited from COVIDsortium, a three-hospital prospective study of 731 healthcare workers who underwent first wave weekly symptom, PCR and serology assessment over 4 months, with seroconversion in 21.5% (n = 157). At 6 months post infection, 74 seropositive and 75 age-, sex-, ethnicity-matched seronegative controls were recruited for cardiovascular phenotyping (comprehensive phantom-calibrated Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance and blood biomarkers). Analysis was blinded, using objective AI analytics where available.
Results
149 subjects (mean age 37 years, range 18-63, 58% female) were recruited. Seropositive infections had been mild with case definition/non-case definition/asymptomatic disease in 45(61%), 18(24%) and 11(15%) with one person hospitalised (for 2 days). Between seropositive and seronegative groups, there were no differences in cardiac structure (left ventricular volumes, mass; atrial area), function (ejection fraction, global longitudinal shortening, aortic distensibility), tissue characterisation (T1, T2, ECV mapping, late gadolinium enhancement) or biomarkers (troponin, NT-proBNP). With abnormal defined by the 75 seronegatives (2 standard deviations from mean, e.g. EF < 54%, septal T1 > 1072ms, septal T2 > 52.4ms), individuals had abnormalities including reduced EF (n = 2, minimum 50%), T1 elevation (n = 6), T2 elevation (n = 9), LGE (n = 13, median 1%, max 5% of myocardium), biomarker elevation (borderline troponin elevation in 4; all NT-proBNP normal). These were distributed equally between seropositive and seronegative individuals.
Conclusions
Cardiovascular abnormalities are no more common in seropositive vs seronegative otherwise healthy, workforce representative individuals 6 months post mild SARS-CoV-2 infection. Our study provides societal reassurance for the cardiovascular health of working-aged individuals with convalescence from mild SARS-CoV-2. Screening asymptomatic individuals following mild diseases is not indicated.
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Benton S, Rier J, Davies R, Harvey J, Schuler B, Tolerico P, Hill A, Veillet-Chowdhury M. One-stop-shop Strategy For Concurrent Diagnosis And Treatment Of Ambulatory Patient With Stable Chest Pain: Feasibility, Case Example And Workflow Using A Hybrid Angio-CT System. J Cardiovasc Comput Tomogr 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jcct.2021.06.176] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/20/2022]
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Whitfield C, Adamson M, Davies R. The effect of coincidental SARS-CoV-2 infection on pre-operative cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Anaesth Rep 2021; 9:122-126. [PMID: 34142086 PMCID: PMC8188990 DOI: 10.1002/anr3.12124] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/21/2021] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
This case report demonstrates the significant impact active infection with SARS-CoV-2 can have on functional capacity evaluated by cardiopulmonary exercise testing, even in minimally symptomatic individuals. A 75-year-old man underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing before a right hemicolectomy; SARS-CoV-2 was incidentally diagnosed following his test. The patient underwent a period of isolation and recovery before a second pre-operative cardiopulmonary exercise test 6 weeks later. His resting pulmonary function tests did not vary between tests but his peak work, anaerobic threshold, oxygen pulse, pulse oximetry nadir, ventilation perfusion matching and heart rate response to exercise all improved significantly after this recovery period. These are unique results that add to the existing knowledge of the pathophysiology and management of SARS-CoV-2 in the peri-operative setting. While our patient demonstrated dramatic improvement in his functional capacity following 6 weeks of recovery, he remained in a high-risk group for surgery according to our local guidelines. Cardiopulmonary exercise testing has a valuable role in individualised risk assessment and shared decision-making in complex, urgent surgical cases where the benefits of delaying surgery to recover from SARS-CoV-2 infection should be balanced against the potential risks.
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Lauper K, Kearsley-Fleet L, Davies R, Watson K, Lunt M, Hyrich K. OP0241 SERIOUS INFECTION WITH TOCILIZUMAB COMPARED TO TNF-INHIBITORS AND OTHER BDMARDS IN RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS PATIENTS: DOES LINE OF THERAPY MATTER? Ann Rheum Dis 2021. [DOI: 10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-eular.595] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Abstract
Background:In the real-world, tocilizumab is prescribed to a population of patients different from those prescribed TNF-inhibitors, often older with longer disease duration, worse functional status and more previous b- or tsDMARDs.Objectives:The aim of this study was to evaluate if and how the risk of serious infection on tocilizumab and other bDMARDs differs when stratifying by line of therapy in a real-world population of rheumatoid arthritis patients.Methods:We included patients registered in the BSRBR-RA treated with tocilizumab, etanercept, adalimumab, infliximab, certolizumab, abatacept or rituximab, including biosimilars. Primary outcome was the occurrence of a serious infection (defined as infection requiring hospitalisation, intravenous antibiotics or resulting in death). Primary covariate of interest was line of therapy (from first to fifth line of therapy). Every change to another b- or tsDMARD was considered a new line of therapy, but not a change between a bio-original and a biosimilar.Hazard ratios (HR) of serious infections were estimated using an inverse probability weighted Cox regression, based on a propensity score including baseline patient and disease characteristics, and adjusting for time in study (see Table). The reference group was etanercept, which included the highest number of patients. Treatment exposure was analysed without and with stratification by line of therapy.Table.NETNTCZADAIFXCERTRTXABAN33,91610,6552,6327,8394,4301,6165,5561,188Patient-years19,1294,34214,5048,1352,72612,0091,686Infections8071926814817443374Incidence per 100 patient-years (95%CI)4.2 (3.9-4.5)4.4 (3.8-5.1)4.7 (4.4-5.1)5.9 (5.4-6.6)2.7 (2.2-3.4)3.6 (3.3-4.0)4.0 (3.2-5.1)Unadjusted HR (95%CI)Ref.1.0 (0.9-1.2)1.1 (1.0-1.2)1.4 (1.2-1.6)0.6 (0.5-0.8)0.9 (0.8-1.0)0.9 (0.7-1.2)Adjusted HR* (95% CI)All lines of therapy33,916Ref.1.2 (1.0-1.5)1.1 (1.0-1.3)1.3 (1.1-1.6)0.8 (0.6-1.0)1.0 (0.8-1.1)1.2 (0.8-1.7)1stline16,152Ref.0.9 (0.5-1.5)1.1 (1.0-1.3)1.3 (1.1-1.6)0.6 (0.5-0.9)1.6 (1.2-2.2)-2ndline10,378Ref.1.4 (1.0-2.0)1.1 (0.9-1.4)1.1 (0.7-1.6)0.9 (0.4-2.2)1.0 (0.8-1.2)0.9 (0.5-1.9)3rdline4,676Ref.1.4 (0.9-2.3)1.3 (0.8-2.2)0.9 (0.4-1.9)0.9 (0.3-2.9)0.8 (0.5-1.2)1.5 (0.7-2.9)4thline1,947Ref.1.0 (0.5-2.3)1.3 (0.4-3.7)1.4 (0.5-4.4)0.2 (0.0—2.1)1.0 (0.5.-2.2)0.9 (0.4-2.3)5thline763Ref.0.9 (0.2-3.5)2.5 (0.5-12.4)0.7 (0.1-7.1)3.3 (0.6-18.4)0.9 (0.2-3.5)0.8 (0.2-3.5)ABA, abatacept; ADA, adalimumab; CERT, certolizumab; ETN, etanercept; HR, hazard ratio; IFX, infliximab; RTX, rituximab; TCZ, tocilizumab*Adjusted using inverse probably weighting (with age, gender, concomitant steroids, concomitant DMARDs, comorbidities, seropositivity, smoking, disease duration, HAQ and DAS28 at baseline in the model) and time since study entry (categorised from 0 to 4, 0 starting just before or at the moment of entering study, 1 starting during the first year, 2 starting during the second year until 4 for the fourth year and more)Results:A total of 33,916 treatment courses were included (Table) contributing to 62,532 years of follow-up. Compared to etanercept, participants starting abatacept, tocilizumab and rituximab were older, had more previous bDMARDs, longer disease duration and more comorbidities. The crude HR of serious infections were higher with infliximab and adalimumab, lower with certolizumab and rituximab, and not significantly different for abatacept and tocilizumab compared to etanercept. After adjustment, HR of serious infections were higher with tocilizumab, adalimumab and infliximab. However, when stratified by line of therapy, HR were no longer significantly different compared to etanercept for tocilizumab, adalimumab and infliximab for most lines of therapy.Conclusion:Whilst initially there appears to be a difference in rates of serious infection between biologic therapies, line of therapy may be a confounding factor when comparing the risk of serious infections between bDMARDs.Disclosure of Interests:Kim Lauper Consultant of: Gilead-galapagos, Grant/research support from: AbbVie, Lianne Kearsley-Fleet: None declared, Rebecca Davies: None declared, Kath Watson: None declared, Mark Lunt: None declared, Kimme Hyrich Consultant of: AbbVie, Grant/research support from: Pfizer, BMS
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De Lucia A, Card RM, Duggett N, Smith RP, Davies R, Cawthraw SA, Anjum MF, Rambaldi M, Ostanello F, Martelli F. Reduction in antimicrobial resistance prevalence in Escherichia coli from a pig farm following withdrawal of group antimicrobial treatment. Vet Microbiol 2021; 258:109125. [PMID: 34033985 DOI: 10.1016/j.vetmic.2021.109125] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2020] [Accepted: 05/13/2021] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
Abstract
An important element in the control of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is reduction in antimicrobial usage. In the veterinary sector individual antimicrobial treatment of livestock, rather than the use of group treatment, can help achieve this goal. The aim of this study was to investigate how cessation of group antimicrobial treatment impacted the prevalence of AMR in commensal Escherichia coli in pigs at one farm over an 11-month period. Minimum inhibitory concentrations of eight antimicrobials were determined for 259 E. coli isolates collected during the study. A significant reduction in the prevalence of multidrug resistance and a significant increase in the proportion of full susceptibility to the panel of nine antimicrobials tested was seen after 11 months. Whole genome sequencing of 48 multidrug resistant isolates revealed E. coli clones that persisted across multiple visits and provided evidence for the presence of plasmids harbouring AMR genes shared across multiple E. coli lineages. E. coli were also isolated from on-farm environmental samples. Whole genome sequencing of one multidrug resistant isolate obtained from cleaning tools showed it was clonal to pig-derived E. coli that persisted on the farm for 11 months. In this study we provide evidence that withdrawal of group antimicrobial use leads to significant reductions in key indicators for AMR prevalence and the importance of the farm environment as a reservoir of resistant bacteria. These findings support policy makers and producers in the implementation of measures to control AMR and reduce antimicrobial use.
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Katsogridakis E, Lea T, Yap T, Batchelder A, Saha P, Diamantopoulos A, Saratzis N, Davies R, Zayed H, Bown MJ, Saratzis A. Acute kidney injury following endovascular intervention for peripheral artery disease. Br J Surg 2021; 108:152-159. [PMID: 33711140 DOI: 10.1093/bjs/znaa057] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2020] [Revised: 08/21/2020] [Accepted: 09/27/2020] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The incidence of, and risk factors for, acute kidney injury (AKI) after endovascular intervention for peripheral artery disease (PAD) remain unknown. The aim of this study was to assess the proportion of patients who develop AKI and explore the risk factors. METHODS Prospectively collected data on patients undergoing femoropopliteal endovascular intervention for symptomatic PAD across three vascular centres were analysed. The proportion of patients developing AKI (according to the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes definition) within 48 h, and the proportion developing the composite Major Adverse Kidney Events (MAKE) endpoints (death, dialysis, drop in estimated glomerular filtration rate at least 25 per cent) at 30 days (MAKE30) and remains 90 days (MAKE90) were calculated. Multivariable regression analysis was used to assess predictors of AKI, and the association between AKI and death. RESULTS Some 2041 patients were included in the analysis. AKI developed in 239 patients (11.7 per cent), with 47 (2.3 per cent) requiring dialysis within 30 days, and 18 (0.9 per cent) requiring ongoing dialysis. The MAKE30 and MAKE90 composite endpoints were reached in 358 (17.5 per cent) and 449 (22.0 per cent) patients respectively. Risk factors for AKI were age, sex, congestive heart failure, chronic limb-threatening ischaemia, emergency procedure, and pre-existing chronic kidney disease. AKI, dementia, congestive heart failure, and major amputation were risk factors for medium-term mortality. CONCLUSION AKI is a common complication after intervention for PAD and is associated with medium-term mortality.
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Sweat K, Power A, Dykes J, Ma M, Davies R, Hollander S, Profita E, Rosenthal D, Chen C, Almond C. UNOS Match Runs for Pediatric Heart Transplant Organ Allocation—How Well Do They Sequence Patients Based on Medical Urgency? J Heart Lung Transplant 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.healun.2021.01.1832] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
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Shezad M, Rosenthal D, Larkins C, Heile T, Zafar F, Jeewa A, Barnes A, Lorts A, Joong A, Kwiatkowski D, Sutcliffe D, Sparks J, Simpson K, Ploutz M, Ghanayem N, Niebler R, Davies R, Auerbach S. The Adjudication Process at ACTION - Providing Real-World High-Quality Data. J Heart Lung Transplant 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.healun.2021.01.512] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
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Shirazian AA, Davies R. Dental school before or after core surgical training? Consideration for medically qualified junior trainees prior to embarking on - their second degree. Br J Oral Maxillofac Surg 2021; 60:34-35. [PMID: 34261607 DOI: 10.1016/j.bjoms.2021.03.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2021] [Accepted: 03/19/2021] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
Abstract
Medical graduates who are interested in pursuing a career in oral and maxillofacial surgery require attainment of a degree in dental surgery (BDS). A common question facing this cohort of junior trainees is whether to study dentistry before or after core surgical training; both routes have advantages and disadvantages that must be considered. Here we provide our perspective into this common dilemma.
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Singh AK, Blackorby A, Cizman B, Carroll K, Cobitz AR, Davies R, Jha V, Johansen KL, Lopes RD, Kler L, Macdougall IC, McMurray J, Meadowcroft AM, Obrador GT, Perkovic V, Solomon S, Wanner C, Waikar SS, Wheeler DC, Wiecek A. Study design and baseline characteristics of patients on dialysis in the ASCEND-D trial. Nephrol Dial Transplant 2021; 37:960-972. [PMID: 33744933 PMCID: PMC9035347 DOI: 10.1093/ndt/gfab065] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2020] [Indexed: 01/15/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The Anemia Studies in chronic kidney disease (CKD): Erythropoiesis via a Novel prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor Daprodustat-Dialysis (ASCEND-D) trial will test the hypothesis that daprodustat is noninferior to comparator epoetin alfa or darbepoetin alfa for two co-primary endpoints: hemoglobin (Hb) efficacy and cardiovascular (CV) safety. Methods We report the trial design, key demographic, clinical and laboratory findings, and baseline therapies of 2964 patients randomized in the open-label (sponsor-blinded) active-controlled, parallel-group, randomized ASCEND-D clinical trial. We also compare baseline characteristics of ASCEND-D patients with patients who are on dialysis (CKD G5D) enrolled in other large CV outcome trials (CVOTs) and in the most relevant registries. Results The median age of patients was 58 years, 43% were female; 67% were White and 16% were Black. The median Hb at baseline was 10.4 g/dL. Among randomized patients, 89% were receiving hemodialysis and 11% peritoneal dialysis. Among key comorbidities, 42% reported a history of diabetes mellitus and 45% a history of CV disease. Median blood pressure was 134/74 mmHg. The median weekly dose of epoetin was 5751 units. Intravenous and oral iron uses were noted in 64 and 11% of patients, respectively. Baseline demographics were similar to patients with CKD G5D enrolled in other CVOTs and renal patient registries. Conclusions ASCEND-D will evaluate the efficacy and safety of daprodustat compared with epoetin alfa or darbepoetin alfa in the treatment of patients with anemia with CKD G5D. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02879305. EudraCT Number: 2016-000541-31; Sponsor Protocol Number: 200807.
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Antonelli M, Capdevila J, Chaudhari A, Granerod J, Canas LS, Graham MS, Klaser K, Modat M, Molteni E, Murray B, Sudre CH, Davies R, May A, Nguyen LH, Drew DA, Joshi A, Chan AT, Cramer JP, Spector T, Wolf J, Ourselin S, Steves CJ, Loeliger AE. Optimal symptom combinations to aid COVID-19 case identification: Analysis from a community-based, prospective, observational cohort. J Infect 2021; 82:384-390. [PMID: 33592254 PMCID: PMC7881291 DOI: 10.1016/j.jinf.2021.02.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2020] [Revised: 02/08/2021] [Accepted: 02/10/2021] [Indexed: 01/10/2023]
Abstract
Objectives Diagnostic work-up following any COVID-19 associated symptom will lead to extensive testing, potentially overwhelming laboratory capacity whilst primarily yielding negative results. We aimed to identify optimal symptom combinations to capture most cases using fewer tests with implications for COVID-19 vaccine developers across different resource settings and public health. Methods UK and US users of the COVID-19 Symptom Study app who reported new-onset symptoms and an RT-PCR test within seven days of symptom onset were included. Sensitivity, specificity, and number of RT-PCR tests needed to identify one case (test per case [TPC]) were calculated for different symptom combinations. A multi-objective evolutionary algorithm was applied to generate combinations with optimal trade-offs between sensitivity and specificity. Findings UK and US cohorts included 122,305 (1,202 positives) and 3,162 (79 positive) individuals. Within three days of symptom onset, the COVID-19 specific symptom combination (cough, dyspnoea, fever, anosmia/ageusia) identified 69% of cases requiring 47 TPC. The combination with highest sensitivity (fatigue, anosmia/ageusia, cough, diarrhoea, headache, sore throat) identified 96% cases requiring 96 TPC. Interpretation We confirmed the significance of COVID-19 specific symptoms for triggering RT-PCR and identified additional symptom combinations with optimal trade-offs between sensitivity and specificity that maximize case capture given different resource settings.
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Antonelli M, Capdevila J, Chaudhari A, Granerod J, Canas LS, Graham MS, Klaser K, Modat M, Molteni E, Murray B, Sudre CH, Davies R, May A, Nguyen LH, Drew DA, Joshi A, Chan AT, Cramer JP, Spector T, Wolf J, Ourselin S, Steves CJ, Loeliger AE. Optimal symptom combinations to aid COVID-19 case identification: analysis from a community-based, prospective, observational cohort. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2021:2020.11.23.20237313. [PMID: 33269364 PMCID: PMC7709185 DOI: 10.1101/2020.11.23.20237313] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Diagnostic work-up following any COVID-19 associated symptom will lead to extensive testing, potentially overwhelming laboratory capacity whilst primarily yielding negative results. We aimed to identify optimal symptom combinations to capture most cases using fewer tests with implications for COVID-19 vaccine developers across different resource settings and public health. METHODS UK and US users of the COVID-19 Symptom Study app who reported new-onset symptoms and an RT-PCR test within seven days of symptom onset were included. Sensitivity, specificity, and number of RT-PCR tests needed to identify one case (test per case [TPC]) were calculated for different symptom combinations. A multi-objective evolutionary algorithm was applied to generate combinations with optimal trade-offs between sensitivity and specificity. FINDINGS UK and US cohorts included 122,305 (1,202 positives) and 3,162 (79 positive) individuals. Within three days of symptom onset, the COVID-19 specific symptom combination (cough, dyspnoea, fever, anosmia/ageusia) identified 69% of cases requiring 47 TPC. The combination with highest sensitivity (fatigue, anosmia/ageusia, cough, diarrhoea, headache, sore throat) identified 96% cases requiring 96 TPC. INTERPRETATION We confirmed the significance of COVID-19 specific symptoms for triggering RT-PCR and identified additional symptom combinations with optimal trade-offs between sensitivity and specificity that maximize case capture given different resource settings.
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Keating C, Bolton-Warberg M, Hinchcliffe J, Davies R, Whelan S, Wan AHL, Fitzgerald RD, Davies SJ, Ijaz UZ, Smith CJ. Temporal changes in the gut microbiota in farmed Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) outweigh the response to diet supplementation with macroalgae. Anim Microbiome 2021; 3:7. [PMID: 33500003 PMCID: PMC7934267 DOI: 10.1186/s42523-020-00065-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2020] [Accepted: 11/24/2020] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Aquaculture successfully meets global food demands for many fish species. However, aquaculture production of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) is just 2.5% of total market production. For cod farming to be a viable economic venture specific challenges on how to increase growth, health and farming productivity need to be addressed. Feed ingredients play a key role here. Macroalgae (seaweeds) have been suggested as a functional feed supplement with both health and economic benefits for terrestrial farmed animals and fish. The impact of such dietary supplements to cod gut integrity and microbiota, which contribute to overall fish robustness is unknown. The objective of this study was to supplement the diet of juvenile Atlantic cod with macroalgae and determine the impacts on fish condition and growth, gut morphology and hindgut microbiota composition (16S rRNA amplicon sequencing). Fish were fed one of three diets: control (no macroalgal inclusion), 10% inclusion of either egg wrack (Ascophyllum nodosum) or sea lettuce (Ulva rigida) macroalgae in a 12-week trial. RESULTS The results demonstrated there was no significant difference in fish condition, gut morphology or hindgut microbiota between the U. rigida supplemented fish group and the control group at any time-point. This trend was not observed with the A. nodosum treatment. Fish within this group were further categorised as either 'Normal' or 'Lower Growth'. 'Lower Growth' individuals found the diet unpalatable resulting in reduced weight and condition factor combined with an altered gut morphology and microbiome relative to the other treatments. Excluding this group, our results show that the hindgut microbiota was largely driven by temporal pressures with the microbial communities becoming more similar over time irrespective of dietary treatment. The core microbiome at the final time-point consisted of the orders Vibrionales (Vibrio and Photobacterium), Bacteroidales (Bacteroidetes and Macellibacteroides) and Clostridiales (Lachnoclostridium). CONCLUSIONS Our study indicates that U. rigida macroalgae can be supplemented at 10% inclusion levels in the diet of juvenile farmed Atlantic cod without any impact on fish condition or hindgut microbial community structure. We also conclude that 10% dietary inclusion of A. nodosum is not a suitable feed supplement in a farmed cod diet.
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Bodansky D, Thornton L, Sargazi N, Philpott M, Davies R, Banks J. Impact of COVID-19 on UK orthopaedic training. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2021. [DOI: 10.1308/rcsbull.2021.11] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
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Comber SDW, Gardner MJ, Constantino C, Firth S, Hargreaves A, Davies R. Modelling scenarios of environmental recovery after implementation of controls on emissions of persistent organic pollutants. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE. PROCESSES & IMPACTS 2020; 22:1865-1876. [PMID: 32794543 DOI: 10.1039/d0em00137f] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
Comparison of monitoring data with toxicologically-derived environmental quality standards (EQSs) forms the basis of assessments of the quality status of the water environment. Having established the status quo, the logical next step is to address instances of non-compliance with EQSs by applying remedial measures, including reducing the use or at least the emission of the substances of concern or by taking steps to reduce concentrations already present using technological solutions such as enhanced wastewater treatment. The selection of suitable remedial measures must be a compromise between cost, likely effectiveness and the timescale over which improvements might be acceptable. The decision on overall environmental management has also to take into account the need for demonstrable progress; this might mean that it is preferable to address some more readily achievable goal rather than to attempt to solve a more serious, but ultimately intractable problem. This paper describes the development and application of a generic modelling tool that provides a way of assessing the potential requirements for remedial actions and their likely outcomes over a timescale of up to forty years taking account of sediment partitioning, environmental degradation and biological accumulation. The tool was validated using a detailed UK wastewater treatment works effluent discharge dataset. Examples involving several chemicals that are of current concern are provided. Some substances (e.g. tributyltin, PFOS) are identified as likely to meet EQS values in sediments or biota in a relatively short timescale; others (PAHs, DEHP) appear to represent more intractable problems.
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Powell AGMT, Eley C, Abdelrahman T, Coxon AH, Chin C, Appadurai I, Davies R, Bailey DM, Lewis WG. Physiological performance and inflammatory markers as indicators of complications after oesophageal cancer surgery. BJS Open 2020; 4:840-846. [PMID: 32749071 PMCID: PMC7528531 DOI: 10.1002/bjs5.50328] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2020] [Accepted: 06/24/2020] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The extent to which physiological factors influence outcome following oesophageal cancer surgery is poorly understood. This study aimed to evaluate the extent to which cardiorespiratory fitness and selected metabolic factors predicted complications after surgery for carcinoma. METHODS Two hundred and twenty-five consecutive patients underwent preoperative cardiopulmonary exercise testing to determine peak oxygen uptake ( V ˙ o2peak ), anaerobic threshold and the ventilatory equivalent for carbon dioxide ( V ˙ e/ V ˙ co2 ). Cephalic venous blood was assayed for serum C-reactive protein (CRP) and albumin levels, and a full blood count was done. The primary outcome measure was the Morbidity Severity Score (MSS). RESULTS One hundred and ninety-eight patients had anatomical resection. A high MSS (Clavien-Dindo grade III or above) was found in 48 patients (24·2 per cent) and was related to an increased CRP concentration (area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) 0·62, P = 0·001) and lower V ˙ o2peak (AUC 0·36, P = 0·003). Dichotomization of CRP levels (above 10 mg/l) and V ˙ o2peak (below 18·6 ml per kg per min) yielded adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for a high MSS of 2·86 (P = 0·025) and 2·92 (P = 0·002) respectively. Compared with a cohort with a low Combined Inflammatory and Physiology Score (CIPS), the OR was 1·70 (95 per cent c.i. 0·85 to 3·39) for intermediate and 27·47 (3·12 to 241·69) for high CIPS (P < 0·001). CONCLUSION CRP and V ˙ o2peak were independently associated with major complications after potentially curative oesophagectomy for cancer. A composite risk score identified a group of patients with a high risk of developing complications.
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Davies R, Vivekanantham A, Lunt M, Watson K, Hyrich K, Bluett J. SAT0103 THE EFFECT OF BODYWEIGHT ON RESPONSE TO INTRAVENOUS OR SUBCUTANEOUS TOCILIZUMAB IN PATIENTS WITH RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS. Ann Rheum Dis 2020. [DOI: 10.1136/annrheumdis-2020-eular.4164] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Abstract
Background:Tocilizumab is an IL-6 receptor humanised monoclonal antibody treatment option in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) who have not responded or are intolerant of disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs) or other biologics. Tocilizumab was available initially as an intravenous (IV) preparation, dosed according to weight, and more recently as a subcutaneous (SC) preparation given at 162mg/weekly irrespective of bodyweight.Obesity is highly prevalent in RA and there has been concern that starting or switching patients to SC tocilizumab could reduce its effectiveness in those patients with a higher body weight when compared to IV tocilizumab.Objectives:To investigate the relationship between bodyweight and DAS28 response at 6 months in tocilizumab naïve RA patients starting IV or SC tocilizumab.Methods:The study population comprised RA subjects recruited to the BSRBR-RA up to 30/11/2018 commencing IV or SC tocilizumab for the first time. Patients had to be tocilizumab naïve and have at least one six monthly study follow-up recorded after starting tocilizumab. Baseline characteristics at point of starting tocilizumab are described. Linear regression, fully adjusted for relevant confounders, was used to investigate the relationship between change in DAS28 score from baseline to six months and body weight per ten kilograms (kg), and in a separate analysis, as BMI category. Multiple imputation was used to handle missing data.Results:1241 patients starting tocilizumab (902 IV, 339 SC) were eligible for analysis. The median age was 59 years, majority were female, and had median disease duration of 11 years at baseline. Over seventy percent had prior biologic exposure. Median weight was 77kg for IV and 76kg for SC starters, and the majority of patients were categorised as normal weight (30% IV, 37% SC) or pre-obesity (31% IV & SC) according to BMI. Median DAS28 score was 5.8 (IV) and 5.5 (SC) at start of treatment with median improvement after 6-months of 1.50 and 2.02 units respectively. The fully adjusted linear regression model showed no association between body weight or BMI and change in DAS28 score at six months for patients starting IV or SC tocilizumab. (Table).TableBaseline VariableIntravenous TCZ patients (n=902)Subcutaneous TCZ patients (n=339)Age, median (IQR)58 (50-67)60 (51-70)Gender, n (%) female708 (78)233 (74)Disease duration, median (IQR) years11 (4-21)11 (4-21)DAS28 score, median (IQR)5.8 (5.1-6.6)5.5 (4.7-6.5)Change in DAS28 score, median (IQR)-1.50 (-3.10 - -0.23)-2.02 (-3.72- -0.37)Weight in KGs, median (IQR)77 (64-91)76 (64-88)Change in DAS28, coefficient (95% CI)Body weight per 10kgs*0.04 (-0.01-0.09)-0.005 (-0.11-0.10)BMI category*Normal weightrefrefUnderweight-0.41 (-1.27-0.46)0.08 (-1.62-1.77)Pre-obesity-0.26 (-0.57-0.05)0.02 (-0.44-0.48)Obesity class I, II & III-0.03 (-0.35-0.29)0.08 (-0.40-0.55)*Fully adjusted for age, gender, disease duration, baseline DAS28 score, baseline HAQ score, co-morbidities, and number of previous biologicsConclusion:Data from this study show that body weight does not appear to affect initial response to IV or SC tocilizumab. This is reassuring given that patients are likely to be given SC tocilizumab due to ease of administration and reduced hospital costs.Disclosure of Interests:Rebecca Davies: None declared, Arani Vivekanantham: None declared, Mark Lunt: None declared, Kath Watson: None declared, Kimme Hyrich Grant/research support from: Pfizer, UCB, BMS, Speakers bureau: Abbvie, James Bluett: None declared
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Boughey P, Jones C, Williams V, Rowe L, Marchant A, Lacey E, Evans B, Morcam C, Webb N, Davies R, Smith E, Shankland H, Leopold N, Harris W, Hudson C, Edwards R. Integrated care of older people (iCOP): an service delivering comprehensive geriatric assessment on the acute assessment unit at Singleton Hospital. Physiotherapy 2020. [DOI: 10.1016/j.physio.2020.03.249] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
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Chapman SJ, Blanco-Colino R, Pérez-Ajates S, Bautista OA, Hodson J, Blanco-Colino R, Chapman SJ, Glasbey JC, Pata F, Pellino G, Soares ASA, van Elst T, Van Straten S, Nepogodiev D, Hodson J, Borakati A, Bath MF, Yasin IH, Mclean K, Arthur T, Kovacevic M, Delibegovic S, Karamanliev M, Swamad M, Žebrák R, Paramasivam R, Martensen A, Larsen HM, Rãdeker L, Frey PE, Kechagias A, Venara A, Duchalais E, Ioannidis A, Pata F, Pellino G, Pasquali S, Simioni ASA, Farina V, Podda M, Lorenzon L, ItSURG, Schaeff V, Otto A, Jakubauskas M, van Elst TR, Chu M, Fagan PVB, Wells CI, João AA, Soares A, Juloski J, Blanco-Colino R, Pérez-Ajates S, Bautista OA, El Kasmi YEK, Espin-Basany E, Clerc D, Ciubotaru C, Popescu S, Yanishev A, Lee S, Ozkan BB, Sen AY, Aktas MK, Baki BE, Yüksek B, Glasbey JC, Kamarajah S, Mclean K, Borakati A, Yasin IH, Khaw RA, Mills E, Goodson R, Thakral N, Ablett AD, Adra M, Kwek I, Khan SM, Quinn P, Manley LR, Badran A, Ramjeeawon A, Campbell A, Tan HL, Rye DS, Rajaraman N, Norman JG, Vutipongsatorn K, Solomou G, Akhbari M, Ali A, Brandao BD, Stainer B, Thavayogan R, Jones D, Onafowokan OO, Gharooni A, Dabab N, Carlton-Carew S, Kungwengwe G, Gabriel M, Sewart E, Shortland TC, Lawday S, Pockney P, Dawson A, Stewart P, Ng B, Luong JK, Delibegovic S, Ivanov V, Borisova A, Neykov V, Žebrák MFR, Harbjerg JL, Brandsborg S, Mark-Christensen A, Unbehaun KP, Dalsgaard P, Lycke KD, Kechagias A, LeNaoures P, Duchalais E, Brigand C, Dumange E, Gout M, Moehwald C, Prem M, Alhalabi O, Sliwinski S, Krupp J, Gablenz E, Schmitzer L, Kopp A, Steinle J, Gsenger J, Pohl LJ, Riccardi M, Christodoulou IM, Konstantinidis M, Machairas N, Zoikas A, Balalis D, Manatakis DK, Aguilera ML, Simioni ASA, Marano L, Fleres F, Lovisetto F, Sasia D, Segalini E, Pata G, Lucchi A, Sagnotta A, Campagnaro T, Petrelli F, Gallo G, Papandrea M, Testa V, Sinibaldi G, Di Candido F, Colombo F, Perrone G, Aresu S, Biancafarina A, Canonico G, Pagnanelli M, Curletti G, Bini R, de Manzoni Garberini A, Impellizzeri H, Cillara N, Tutino R, Picciariello A, Coletta D, Savino G, Ferrara F, Tamini N, Talamo G, Parini D, Giamundo P, Pagano G, Ripetti V, Pesce A, Menduni N, Pellino G, Giudicissi R, Podda M, Goldin E, Rega D, Belli A, Andriola V, Gordini L, Pata F, Foppa C, Piccolo G, Birindelli A, Ferrari C, Ballarini Z, Tirelli F, Milone M, De Rosa M, Federico NSP, Molteni B, Tilocca PL, Sancini G, Piozzi GN, Lauretta A, Mulas S, Schaeff V, Otto A, Jakubauskas M, Simcikas D, Portelli L, van Wijnbergen JWM, Dinger TL, ten Doesschate SFH, van Dalen ASHM, van den Bos DD, Hansmann M, Feliz JM, Kuiper SZ, Abdulrahman Z, Pruijssers SR, Geneta VP, Chu M, Wilton S, Kandelaki H, Peng SL, Campbell S, Lim YK, Yassaie SS, Murray M, Fagan PVB, Haran C, Tan J, Castro J, Laranjeira A, Catarino S, Neves-Marques C, Correia JG, Vieira BN, Quintela AC, Serra ML, Maciel J, Cunha M, Aparício DJ, Neves J, Azevedo J, Romano M, Eiró F, Romano J, Monteiro C, Claro M, Almeida, Peyroteo M, Machado ND, Capote H, Ferreira M, Sousa X, Devesa H, Cavadas D, Guerreiro I, Costa M, Rosete M, Salman M, English C, Mohammed N, Popescu S, Yanishev A, Litvin A, Ćuk VV, Mészárosová K, Van Straten S, Jaich R, De Lima H, Brooks S, Marx M, Salvation MN, Cardo JG, Mora-Guzmán I, Muriel JS, de Andres Olabarria U, Muriel P, Viñas CJ, Alconchel F, Sinovas OE, El Kasmi YEK, Oro CF, Pérez-Ajates S, Otero ML, Jiménez SF, Bellmunt OC, Caballero JM, Rubio-Pérez I, Aguilar-Martínez MM, Segura-Sampedro JJ, Moreno CO, Parra DN, Diz AME, Martín-Balbuena R, Recuenco CB, Bolaños REL, Fernández P, Padillo AD, Forero-Torres A, Román IAS, Rosés HS, Campos PV, Moreira CCL, Peralta PU, Navidad MS, Ripollés-Melchor J, Garcea A, Facundo HG, Bautista OA, Pereira PT, Guarinos CVP, Clerc D, Blaser B, Piazza G, Gagliardi B, Serin H, Sen AY, Yurdaor SS, Aktas MK, Arslan E, Kopac O, Uyanik A, Ozmen BB, Tiftik E, Aksoy B, Yalcinkaya A, Bilicen G, Cinar EN, Uslu Ö, Kaya Y, Wong J, Farhan-Alanie MMH, Suresh G, Asif A, Finch BJ, Bhahirathan Y, Herron J, Tew ZY, Obukofe R, Russell C, Suchett-Kay I, Netke T, Williams L, Kisiel A, Liu FY, Claireaux H, James P, Mondal A, Kalderon R, Nadama HH, Al-Saraff Z, Tam JPH, Powell-Chandler A, Wood F, Campbell A, Gorgievska R, Ragavoodoo A, Thakrar C, Rojoa D, Palmer C, Davidson K, Giacci L, Hale J, Gan FW, Makin-Taylor R, Hey CY, Toh C, Findlay JM, Griffiths N, Ganesananthan S, Jasionowska S, Poustie M, Wong C, Turner T, Pyc W, Sloper W, Warner C, Coey J, Mason D, Sait S, Kowal M, Shortland TC, Owen M, Saiyed A, Ashworth I, Akbari K, Curran M, Martin P, Parker D, Dawson A, Kwok K, Lye C, Pockney P, Ghaly M, Sammour T, Lewis D, Mundasad R, Wilkes A, Ctercteko G, Stewart P, Delibegovic S, Maslyankov S, Dimov R, Iliev S, Dimitrov D, Marek F, Örhalmi J, Skalický P, Skalický T, Chrz K, Christensen P, Worsøe J, Kristensen ES, Emmertsen KJ, Loeve US, Duchalais E, Mihaljevic AL, Herrle F, Konstantinidis KM, Manatakis DK, Korkolis D, Karanikas I, Aguilera ML, Vincenti L, Anania G, Borghi F, Agresta F, Maretto I, Parisi A, Bucci L, De Palma G, Guglielmi A, Cucinotta E, La Torre F, Cianchi F, Guerrieri M, Lauretta A, Trompetto M, Persiani R, Micheletto G, Delrio P, Belli A, Cantafio S, Lovisetto F, Ronconi M, Bisagni PAG, De Prizio M, Tamini N, Sinibaldi G, Franceschi A, Galleano R, Cavallini M, Brescia A, D'Ambra L, Benevento A, Niolu P, Calgaro M, Colangelo E, Grottola T, Altomare DF, Puleo S, Salamone G, Pietrabissa A, Poggioli G, Ripetti V, Erdas E, Ottonello R, Canonico G, Tonini V, Selvaggi F, Sammarco G, Ceccarelli G, De Nisco C, Surgo D, Taglietti L, Ozolins A, Sivinš A, Poskus T, Psaila J, Bemelman WA, Graat LJ, Langenhoff B, Wijnhoven BPL, van de Ven AHW, Poelman M, Stassen LPS, Slooter G, Acherman YIZ, Hoff C, Gerhards MF, Stommel MWJ, Hazebroek EJ, van Geloven AAW, Schasfoort RA, van Leeuwen BL, Tuynman JB, van Tilburg MWA, Boerma EG, Sharma P, Jenkins B, Bissett IP, Peng SL, Herd A, Gordon A, Vernon D, Omundsen M, Ly J, Reddy A, Bonnet G, Harmston C, Morales M, Francisco V, Costa S, Manso A, Amorim E, Pereira J, Cardoso J, Ourô S, Caratão M, Nascimento C, da Silva BR, Taranu V, Dias R, Devesa H, Mendes J, Allen M, Silva A, Carlos S, Barbosa E, Carneiro C, Ramos L, Maciel J, Lencastre L, Martins R, Silva-Vaz P, Cahill R, Hogan A, Larkin J, Negoi I, Abelevich A, Ćuk VM, Vician M, Ede C, Sardiwalla I, Mulira S, Montwedi D, Oyomno M, Sabia D, Porras VP, Vigorita V, Ortega GS, García J, Macías AE, Antona FB, Mompeán JAL, Ruiz SS, Villarejo-Campos P, Simó MR, Sánchez-Guillén L, Jiménez-Gómez LM, López AS, Golda T, Bergkvist DJ, Nevado C, Aguilar JFN, Felipe BR, Septiem J, Sánchez AR, Cañete-Gómez J, Montesinos IR, Ripollés-Melchor J, Millán-Scheiding M, Prieto-Nieto I, Segura-Sampedro JJ, Espin-Basany E, Frasson M, Román IAS, Olmo DG, Hübner M, Petermann D, Sauvain MO, Ozben V, Geçim IE, Disçi E, Rencuzogullari A, Kurt A, Bisgin T, Pehlivan M, Isik A, Onur E, Leventoglu S, Keskin M, Guner A, Sahin ST, Ozbalci GS, Pergel A, Albayrak D, Bruce D, Fearnhead N, Arthur J, Harron M, Beattie G, Titu L, Ali A, Saunders M, Phillips J, Dindyal S, Cresswell B, Gercek Y, Lee J, Linn T, Faulkner G, Lockwood S, Rees J, Charalabopoulos A, Campbell B, Kontovounisios C, Amarnath T, Johnson M, Epanomeritakis E, Vigs S, Nastro P, Gilliam A, Smolarek S, Wilson T, Orbell J, McIntyre R, Agarwal T, Hainsworth P, Patel P, Vijay J, Liu B, Rao PD, Roxburgh C, Vipond M, Youssef H, Thorn C, Schizas A, Denley S, Bowley D, Das K, Cuming T, Saha A, Chung L, Pitt J, Davis P, Jones O, Taylor M, Bhargava A, Haji A, Watson N, Bloom I, Singh B, Norwood M, Gurjar S, Stylianides N, Mirza S, Evans M, Williams G, Patil P, Hernon J, Finch G, Green S, Chapple K, Fafemi O, Warusavitarne J, Samee A, Carden C, Ong L, Verma K, Joseph A, Rawat N, Pinkney T, Oke O, Glen P, Maxwell-Armstrong C, Oliphant R, Garner J, Moug SJ, Middleton S, Lund JN, Smart NJ, Osborn G, Moore T, Raymond T, Knowles CH, Hany TS, Clarke R, Khera G, Brady R, Sellahewa C, Mason C, Torrance A, Lasithiotakis K, Knight J, Pullybank A, Ainsworth P, Reid F, Ramwell A, Maslekar S, George R, Skull A, Holtham S, Muhammad K, Lal R, Varcada M, Smith FM, Howlader M, Defriend D, Kirk S, Richards T, Evans C, Borg CM, Telford K, Sarfraz N, Busby K, Hollingshead J, Speake D, Pawa N, West D, Chadwick M, Komolafe O, Richardson S, Thornton M, Goede A, Osborne C, Bandyopadhyay D, Foong J, Lee YJ, Liebenberg P, Mijalkov D, Wells A, Bull N, Ajmera A, Warburton T, Morgan S, Mahmoud A, Schachtel M, Mikhail B, Fomin I, Mekaeil B, Taylor N, Stevenson C, Drane A, Pahalawatta U, Lai LT, Debiasio A, Chrimes A, Agarwal A, Zhao J, Williams S, Jayalath JMSN, Liebenberg P, Khor S, Muddasani T, Childs S, Ridgway S, Blefari NDA, Tam H, Puchalski N, Ngai C, Horne D, Borrow JL, Campbell C, Cousins G, Jackson L, Maheepala K, Zhao S, Holden E, Tutt L, Thompson B, Collins H, Louie F, Buckland B, Smith D, Chong C, Chua TH, Nayak C, Redmond J, Tan RR, Gramlick M, Teh JS, Ng SY, Britten-Jones P, Rosli RM, Pham HDV, Jegathees T, Coulter-Nile SMCJ, Gosselink MP, Luong JK, Wang YL, Maciaszek M, Chrapko PS, Nair A, Thirugnanasundralingam V, Muir K, Salibasic M, Pavlov V, Paycheva T, Borisova A, Lyulenina E, Kolev N, Ivanov V, Nguen D, Mitkov Y, Mitkov E, Vladova P, Dimitrov V, Hussain M, Gabarski A, Ivanov T, Yotsov T, Ilieva I, Karamanliev M, Akisheva A, Shoshkova M, Nawaz E, Feradova H, Mladenov T, Neykov V, Jozaf V, Klail MFT, Pös M, Adel A, Sotona O, Bartoš M, Amjad T, Malý O, Berec S, Hurný MHM, Chodora S, Houdek O, Novický R, Antonova T, Cha KSS, Kimle KŠ, Jirankova K, Bujda M, Paclík A, Trap A, Jürgens-Lahnstein J, Storm M, Dalsgaard P, Damgaard I, Olawi F, Ehlern F, Raos M, Kristensen FP, Lycke KD, Bønnerup K, Unbehaun KP, Brandsborg S, Amiri S, Enevoldsen M, Harbjerg JL, Pedersen JH, Jepsen BN, Hillgaard TK, Erichsen SB, Nielsen CV, Madsen CP, Bjerke J, Skejø CD, Aabling RR, Sørensen JS, Mark-Christensen A, Kechagias A, Turunen A, Katunin J, Niskakangas M, Vignaud T, Frey S, Ricolleau C, Chanut F, Magnin J, Gout M, Seiboldt T, Beck L, Pohl LJ, Zamzow K, Betge F, Poncelet A, Truant M, Hauschild H, Neugebauer N, Schöning L, Simon SCS, Galata C, Karampinis I, Thãwel T, Seckler AM, Kerem C, Durdevic S, Ioannidis A, Antonakopoulos F, Konstantinidis M, Mathioulaki A, Chrysoheris P, Athanasopoulos PG, Kalles V, Spyrou I, Barkolias C, Paspala A, Machairas N, Papaconstantinou D, Spartalis E, Arkadopoulos N, Prodromidou A, Garoufalia Z, Balalis D, Zoikas A, Christodoulou IM, Mendez D, Rosales J, Flores M, Garcia M, Garcia A, Garcia M, Noriega Z, Torselli D, Aguilera ML, Rodriguez J, Lafranceschina S, Artioli E, Giaccari S, Nevoso V, Schimera A, Marino S, Geretto P, Pellegrino L, Borghi B, Sasia D, Marano A, Corino C, Cannata G, Giuffrida MC, Landra F, Pata G, Ongaro D, Baronio G, Raimondo S, Casiraghi S, Salvadori R, Savino G, Finotti E, Ciccioli E, Galgano A, Zuin M, Simioni A, Bettella A, Barina A, Vendramin E, Palano G, Schiavone D, Di Cintio A, Gemini A, Trastulli S, De Luca 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Hollywood JL, Saiyed A, Hammond RFL, Matthews J, Mendonca V, Spinty J, Khan K, Cheng J, Glynn N, Muhammad U, Khan M, Anderson L, Mccormack K, Mak J, Patrawala S, Milinkovic N, Schofield R, Chauhan M, Hartley L, Hind J, Ashworth I, Nelson L, Ratnasingham D, Akbari K, Whitehead T, Dimitriadis S, Marshall K, Flint EJ, Curran M, Horner C, Heybourne A, Morgan H, Wickstone C, Panagiotou D, O'Connell E, Dean K, Iqbal R, Walsh L, Yu N, Rana N, Massie E, Ng J, Jung M, Lee YD, Harris M, White S, Delibegovic S, Boev B, Tonchev P, Prochazka V, Örhalmi J, Riško J, Skalický A, Chrz K, Ravn S, Ojakããr A, Duchalais E, Dörr-Harim C, Herrle F, Koutserimpas C, Giraudo G, Armellini A, Ruzzenente A, Mazzeo C, De Padua C, Luc AR, Maroli A, Vitali M, Ceccarelli G, Gusai GP, Quattromani R, Virgilio E, Berti S, Mulas S, Di Mola FF, Papagni V, Tuminello F, Magnoli M, Vittori L, Longheu A, Loche GA, Braccio B, De Luca E, Resta G, Ancans G, Tamosiunas A, Petrulionis M, Abdulrahman N, van de Pas KGH, Thomas G, Brandsma AM, Davids J, Rottier SJ, de Roy van Zuidewijn D, Hawkins R, Ong HI, Li Y, Desmond B, Winstanley J, Martins M, Rosete M, Americano M, Santos M, Frade S, Senhorinho R, Peixoto R, João AA, Alves-Vale C, Lamas M, O'Connor DB, Hoo M, Gopaul A, Scanlon K, O'Dwyer N, Negoi I, Jovanović M, Panyko A, De Lima H, Van Vuuren S, Centeno A, Bernado IR, Señorans MPG, Amor LG, Ramírez AC, Abrisqueta J, Gomez ME, Arroyo A, Cerdán C, Romeu NG, Forero-Torres A, Enriquez-Navascues JM, Collado-Roura F, Curchod P, Gaspar S, Imadalou L, Mutlu D, Akyol C, Uygur FA, Eray IC, Biyiklioglu O, Çetin MF, Isik AE, Karip B, Dogan H, Sarıgül L, Tunc E, Aydin T, Bodur S, Karabulut K, Francis AA, Al-hadithi A, Lau ISF, Smith E, Mahapatra S, McAuliffe O, Francis AA, Imam L, Akram B, Hossaini S, Davies R, Ko M, Collins J, Pandya A, Reilly S, Archer J, Livie J, Chaudhry FA, Ntakomyti E, Diallo R, Bylinski T, Wright J, Lawday S, Masiha E, Tung J, Shirazi B, Neilson A, Epton S, Patel N, Trussell S, Couldrey A, Donnelly C, Eftychiou S. Safety of hospital discharge before return of bowel function after elective colorectal surgery. Br J Surg 2020; 107:552-559. [PMID: 31976560 DOI: 10.1002/bjs.11422] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/19/2019] [Revised: 10/06/2019] [Accepted: 10/08/2019] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Ileus is common after colorectal surgery and is associated with an increased risk of postoperative complications. Identifying features of normal bowel recovery and the appropriateness for hospital discharge is challenging. This study explored the safety of hospital discharge before the return of bowel function. METHODS A prospective, multicentre cohort study was undertaken across an international collaborative network. Adult patients undergoing elective colorectal resection between January and April 2018 were included. The main outcome of interest was readmission to hospital within 30 days of surgery. The impact of discharge timing according to the return of bowel function was explored using multivariable regression analysis. Other outcomes were postoperative complications within 30 days of surgery, measured using the Clavien-Dindo classification system. RESULTS A total of 3288 patients were included in the analysis, of whom 301 (9·2 per cent) were discharged before the return of bowel function. The median duration of hospital stay for patients discharged before and after return of bowel function was 5 (i.q.r. 4-7) and 7 (6-8) days respectively (P < 0·001). There were no significant differences in rates of readmission between these groups (6·6 versus 8·0 per cent; P = 0·499), and this remained the case after multivariable adjustment for baseline differences (odds ratio 0·90, 95 per cent c.i. 0·55 to 1·46; P = 0·659). Rates of postoperative complications were also similar in those discharged before versus after return of bowel function (minor: 34·7 versus 39·5 per cent; major 3·3 versus 3·4 per cent; P = 0·110). CONCLUSION Discharge before return of bowel function after elective colorectal surgery appears to be safe in appropriately selected patients.
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Ibrahim A, Kler A, Reynolds L, Mohamed SH, Majeed Y, Fakim B, Jones A, Kowal M, Liversedge G, Carrington Z, Windebank J, Izzarina A, Akbani U, Craven J, Aldarragi A, Harding S, Millward A, Shortland TC, Bedford M, Stroud R, Obukofe R, Mackenzie E, Gopalan V, Midgen A, Khadka P, Cheng O, Taneja S, Manobharath N, Kok JY, Lim DWE, Buick T, Boland M, Piya S, Devlin R, Fairfield CJ, George RJ, Rahi M, Zaman S, Hajiev S, Ross T, Owen M, Crisp E, Thompson C, Charalambous A, Hollywood JL, Saiyed A, Hammond RFL, Matthews J, Mendonca V, Spinty J, Khan K, Cheng J, Glynn N, Muhammad U, Khan M, Anderson L, Mccormack K, Mak J, Patrawala S, Milinkovic N, Schofield R, Chauhan M, Hartley L, Hind J, Ashworth I, Nelson L, Ratnasingham D, Akbari K, Whitehead T, Dimitriadis S, Marshall K, Flint EJ, Curran M, Horner C, Heybourne A, Morgan H, Wickstone C, Panagiotou D, O'Connell E, Dean K, Iqbal R, Walsh L, Yu N, Rana N, Massie E, Ng J, Jung M, Lee YD, Harris M, White S, Delibegovic S, Boev B, Tonchev P, Prochazka V, Örhalmi J, Riško J, Skalický A, Chrz K, Ravn S, Ojakäär A, Duchalais E, Dörr-Harim C, Herrle F, Koutserimpas C, Giraudo G, Armellini A, Ruzzenente A, Mazzeo C, De Padua C, Realis Luc A, Maroli A, Giani I, Cufari ME, Vitali M, Ceccarelli G, Gusai GP, Quattromani R, Virgilio E, Berti S, Mulas S, Di Mola FF, Papagni V, Tuminello F, Magnoli M, Vittori L, Longheu A, Loche GA, Braccio B, De Luca E, Resta G, Ancans G, Tamosiunas A, Petrulionis M, Andrejevic P, Stellingwerf ME, Abdulrahman N, Pas KGH, Thomas G, Brandsma AM, Davids J, Rottier SJ, Roy van Zuidewijn D, Hawkins R, Ong HI, Li Y, Desmond B, Winstanley J, Martins M, Rosete M, Americano M, Santos M, Frade S, Senhorinho R, Peixoto R, Alagoa João A, Alves-Vale C, Lamas M, O'Connor DB, Hoo M, Gopaul A, Scanlon K, O'Dwyer N, Negoi I, Jovanović M, Panyko A, De Lima H, Van Vuuren S, Curchod P, Gaspar S, Imadalou L, Mutlu D, Akyol C, Uygur FA, Eray IC, Biyiklioglu O, Çetin MF, Isik AE, Karip B, Dogan H, Sarıgül L, Tunc E, Aydin T, Bodur S, Karabulut K, Francis AA, Al-hadithi A, To N, Lau ISF, Smith E, Mahapatra S, McAuliffe O, Francis AA, Imam L, Akram B, Hossaini S, Davies R, Ko M, Collins J, Pandya A, Reilly S, Archer J, Auty C, Roche CD, Livie J, Chaudhry FA, Ntakomyti E, Diallo R, Bylinski T, Wright J, Lawday S, Masiha E, Tung J, Shirazi B, Neilson A, Epton S, Patel N, Trussell S, Couldrey A, Donnelly C, Eftychiou S. Safety and efficacy of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs to reduce ileus after colorectal surgery. Br J Surg 2020; 107:e161-e169. [PMID: 31595986 DOI: 10.1002/bjs.11326] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2019] [Revised: 05/06/2019] [Accepted: 07/04/2019] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Ileus is common after elective colorectal surgery, and is associated with increased adverse events and prolonged hospital stay. The aim was to assess the role of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) for reducing ileus after surgery. METHODS A prospective multicentre cohort study was delivered by an international, student- and trainee-led collaborative group. Adult patients undergoing elective colorectal resection between January and April 2018 were included. The primary outcome was time to gastrointestinal recovery, measured using a composite measure of bowel function and tolerance to oral intake. The impact of NSAIDs was explored using Cox regression analyses, including the results of a centre-specific survey of compliance to enhanced recovery principles. Secondary safety outcomes included anastomotic leak rate and acute kidney injury. RESULTS A total of 4164 patients were included, with a median age of 68 (i.q.r. 57-75) years (54·9 per cent men). Some 1153 (27·7 per cent) received NSAIDs on postoperative days 1-3, of whom 1061 (92·0 per cent) received non-selective cyclo-oxygenase inhibitors. After adjustment for baseline differences, the mean time to gastrointestinal recovery did not differ significantly between patients who received NSAIDs and those who did not (4·6 versus 4·8 days; hazard ratio 1·04, 95 per cent c.i. 0·96 to 1·12; P = 0·360). There were no significant differences in anastomotic leak rate (5·4 versus 4·6 per cent; P = 0·349) or acute kidney injury (14·3 versus 13·8 per cent; P = 0·666) between the groups. Significantly fewer patients receiving NSAIDs required strong opioid analgesia (35·3 versus 56·7 per cent; P < 0·001). CONCLUSION NSAIDs did not reduce the time for gastrointestinal recovery after colorectal surgery, but they were safe and associated with reduced postoperative opioid requirement.
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Davies R, Hammond D, Ridout F, Hutchison I, Magennis P. British Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons' National Facial Injury Surveys: hard tissue facial injuries presenting to UK emergency departments. Br J Oral Maxillofac Surg 2019; 58:152-157. [PMID: 31866062 DOI: 10.1016/j.bjoms.2019.11.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/12/2019] [Accepted: 11/04/2019] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
Abstract
The British Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons (BAOMS) and Saving Faces undertook two national prospective surveys 11 years apart. They recorded the facial injuries treated in UK emergency departments and collected data on 14872 patients. In this paper, which aims to act as a feasibility study for a third national survey of facial injuries, we have reviewed hard-tissue injuries and specifically focused on temporal changes in their morphology. The two sets of directly comparable, categorical, unpaired, cross-sectional data were evaluated independently for statistical significance. In 1997, there were 1977 hard-tissue facial injuries (33%) but in 2008 this had decreased to 1899 (22%) (p<0.05). In 1997, there were 1315 fractures (22%) and 662 dental injuries (11%) compared with 1462 (17%) fractures and 438 (5%) dental injuries in 2008 (p<0.05). There were proportional increases in orbital (21%), nasal (139%), and cranial fractures (340%) (p<0.05). The data showed a small reduction in the total number of hard-tissue injuries, but this was a considerable reduction as a proportion of the total injuries. Analysis of the type and subtype of injury generally pointed towards a reduction in their energy and severity, and to likely changes in mechanism. The project has proved the feasibility of a third national survey of facial injury.
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Lobenhofer E, Werner J, Giffin M, Engwall M, Davies R, Homann O, Lafleur M, Moffat G. P1.12-18 Nonclinical Safety Assessment of AMG 757, a DLL3 Bispecific T Cell Engager, in the Cynomolgus Monkey. J Thorac Oncol 2019. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jtho.2019.08.1131] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
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Scaife J, Boughey P, Jones C, Williams V, Rowe L, Marchant A, Lacey E, Rees O, Morcam C, Webb N, Davies R, Smith E, Leopold N, Harris W, Hudson C, Edwards R. 20INTEGRATED CARE OF OLDER PEOPLE (ICOP): A NEW SERVICE DELIVERING COMPREHENSIVE GERIATRIC ASSESSMENT (CGA) ON THE ACUTE ASSESSMENT UNIT AT SINGLETON HOSPITAL: RESULTS OF 2 PDSA CYCLES. Age Ageing 2019. [DOI: 10.1093/ageing/afz055.20] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
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Patel K, Bachiller RE, Boubertakh R, Moir S, Kozor R, Davies R, Bhuva A, Scully P, Herrey AS, Manisty C, Moon JC, Treibel TA. P434Left ventricular mechanics reveals a benign reduction in ejection fraction after valve replacement in aortic stenosis. Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging 2019. [DOI: 10.1093/ehjci/jez118.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
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