Meta-analysis: Use of proton pump inhibitors and risk of gastric cancer in patients requiring gastric acid suppression

BACKGROUND

Proton-pump inhibitors (PPIs) are suspected to increase the risk of gastric cancer.

AIM

To assess the risk of gastric cancer associated with the use of PPIs.

METHODS

We systematically searched Medline/PubMed, Embase and Scopus databases (until June 1, 2022) for randomised and non-randomised studies (NRS) of the association between PPIs and gastric cancer having considered Histamine-2 receptor antagonists (H2RAs) users as controls. We chose this comparison to minimise confounding by indication, and focus on patients requiring gastric acid suppression. Two authors independently extracted study data and assessed each study's risk of bias. Maximally-adjusted relative risk (RR) estimates were extracted. Heterogeneity and small-study effect were examined, and summary estimates were calculated using random- and fixed-effect models. Stratified analyses and meta-regression were employed to explore heterogeneity. We used GRADE to evaluate the certainty of evidence.

RESULTS

Of 8375 records, 12 NRS (>6 million patients; 11,554 gastric cancers) and two randomised clinical trials (498 patients; 1 gastric cancer) fulfilled the eligibility criteria. Randomised evidence was very imprecise and provided very-low certainty evidence. Meta-analysis of six NRS providing a comprehensive adjustment for confounding (2.5 million patients; 7372 gastric cancers) did not show any association between PPIs and gastric cancer (RR_random  = 1.07, 0.97-1.19; RR_fixed  = 1.05, 0.98-1.12). The certainty of the evidence was low. No convincing evidence of dose-response, or increased risk with long-term use, was found. Lack of or minimal adjustment for confounding was associated with larger effect sizes.

CONCLUSIONS

We found no association between PPIs and gastric cancer in NRS having adequately controlled for confounding. Published studies may suffer residual confounding.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

CRD42022335971.

Fibrinolysis shutdown and elevated D-dimer levels have high prognostic capacity for postoperative thromboembolic complications in patients with bone tumors

Surgical resection of malignant bone tumors is associated with a high risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between rotational thromboelastometry (ROTEM) parameters and VTE following oncologic resections, and to evaluate their prognostic capacity for this complication. A prospective observational study was conducted including 113 patients who underwent surgical resection of malignant bone tumors. ROTEM analysis and conventional coagulation studies were performed preoperatively and on the 2nd postoperative day, while patients were followed for the development of VTE. Logistic regression was used to assess the association between ROTEM parameters and occurrence of VTE. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity were calculated as measures of discrimination and predictive accuracy. Fourteen patients (12.4%) developed symptomatic VTE. Development of VTE was associated with shortened INTEM CFT (Odds Ratio [OR] 0.90, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.84 - 0.96, p = 0.004), higher INTEM A10 (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.07 - 1.36, p = 0.002), higher INTEM MCF (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.08 - 1.37, p = 0.001) and higher INTEM LI60 (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.38 - 3.21, p = 0.001). An INTEM LI60 value indicative of fibrinolysis shutdown (≥ 98%) had the best predictive accuracy for VTE (AUC = 0.887, 95% CI 0.824 - 0.951, sensitivity = 100%, specificity = 67.0%), higher than that of D-dimer levels (p = 0.028). ROTEM parameters were promising predictors of symptomatic VTE. Fibrinolysis shutdown as reflected by ROTEM LI60 and high D-dimer levels can aid the identification of high-risk patients. Future studies should evaluate whether the addition of ROTEM findings to an expanded risk-assessing model can improve the predictive capacity and provide better guidance in thromboprophylaxis.

Simpson's Paradox in Clinical Research: A Cautionary Tale

The word paradox comes from the Greek paradoxon, meaning something that was contrary to, or contradicted, common sense [...].

Use of biologics for the management of Crohn's disease: IG-IBD clinical guidelines based on the GRADE methodology

A cure for Crohn's disease (CD), a chronic inflammatory disease of the gastrointestinal tract of unknown etiology, is not available, so patients require lifelong management to keep inflammation under control. The therapeutic armamentarium has expanded with approval of several biological drugs, including infliximab, adalimumab, vedolizumab and ustekinumab - monoclonal antibodies that target different inflammatory pathways - and darvadstrocel, a suspension of expanded human allogeneic, adipose-derived, mesenchymal stromal cells for the treatment of refractory complex perianal fistula. Notwithstanding existing practice guidelines on medical therapy for CD, the Italian Group for the Study of Inflammatory Bowel Disease felt the need to issue new guidelines focused on the use of biologics for managing the intestinal manifestations of CD and based on the GRADE methodology. This document presents recommendations regarding six clinical settings, from the induction to the maintenance of clinical remission, and from optimization and de-escalation of treatments to dealing with perianal CD and post-operative recurrence. The 19 evidence-based statements are supported by information on the quality of the evidence, agreement rate among panel members, and panel comments mainly based on evidence from real world studies.

Monkeypox disease and pregnancy. Where are we today? A review of literature

Monkeypox has emerged as a significant human pathogen, posing severe risks in vulnerable populations. At present, there is not enough data available as to whether pregnant women are more vulnerable to monkeypox infection, or they suffer more severe symptoms, and studies on this issue as well as to the possible adverse effects on the developing fetus are limited. The aim of this review, was to bring together what is known so far about monkeypox virus transmission, the clinical course of the disease, and associated maternal-fetal outcomes. Furthermore, to summarize the current available recommendations on the prevention and management of monkeypox infection during pregnancy, in order to help obstetricians and neonatologists navigate through this new challenging area and provide the best available care to their patients.

Variability in adenoma detection rate in control groups of randomized colonoscopy trials: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Adenoma detection rate (ADR) is still the main surrogate outcome parameter of screening colonoscopy, but most studies include mixed indications, and basic ADR is quite variable. We therefore looked at the control groups in randomized ADR trials using advanced imaging or mechanical methods to find out whether indications or other factors influence ADR levels.

METHODS

Patients in the control groups of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on ADR increase using various methods were collected based on a systematic review; this control group had to use high-definition white-light endoscopy performed between 2008 and 2021. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool ADR in control groups and its 95% confidence interval (CI) according to clinical (indication and demographic), study setting (tandem/parallel, number of centers, sample size), and technical (type of intervention, withdrawal time) parameters. Interstudy heterogeneity was reported with the I² statistic. Multivariable mixed-effects meta-regression was performed for potentially relevant variables.

RESULTS

From 80 studies, 25,304 patients in the respective control groups were included. ADR in control arms varied between 8.2% and 68.1% with a high degree of heterogeneity (I² = 95.1%; random-effect pooled value, 37.5%; 95% CI, 34.6‒40.5). There was no difference in ADR levels between primary colonoscopy screening (12 RCTs, 15%) and mixed indications including screening/surveillance and diagnostic colonoscopy; however, fecal immunochemical testing as an indication for colonoscopy was an independent predictor of ADR (odds ratio [OR], 1.6; 95% CI, 1.1-2.4). Other well-known parameters were confirmed by our analysis such as age (OR, 1.038; 95% CI, 1.004-1.074), sex (male sex: OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.03), and withdrawal time (OR, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.0-1.1). The type of intervention (imaging vs mechanical) had no influence, but methodologic factors did: More recent year of publication and smaller sample size were associated with higher ADR.

CONCLUSIONS

A high level of variability was found in the level of ADR in the control groups of RCTs. With regards to indications, only fecal immunochemical test-based colonoscopy studies influenced basic ADR, and primary colonoscopy screening appeared to be similar to other indications. Standardization for variables related to clinical, methodologic, and technical parameters is required to achieve generalizability and reproducibility.

SARS-CoV-2 Infection and Outcomes in Children with Inflammatory Bowel Diseases: A Systematic Review

The impact of COVID-19 on pediatric patients with inflammatory bowel disease (PIBD) is still not clear and the knowledge acquired over the last 2 years is still evolving. This study aims to investigate the risk and clinical outcomes of COVID-19 in patients with PIBD. A systematic search of PubMed and Scopus databases was conducted to identify studies published up until September 2022. Out of the 475 articles screened, 14 studies were included in the review. Of the 4006 children with PIBD included, 390 (9.7%) tested positive for COVID-19. Among those with COVID-19, 5.9% (0-16.7%) needed hospitalization, 0.6% (0-1%) were admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU), and no deaths were reported. Among the included studies, only four presented details regarding patients' symptoms, with 21% (0-25%) presenting gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms. An association between PIBD activity or specific treatment and COVID-19 outcome could not be established. The prevalence of COVID-19 in patients with PIBD was low; therefore, the initial concerns regarding higher infection risk and worse prognosis in this population are not supported by the currently available data. Further research is needed to determine the natural history of the infection and the optimal treatment for these patients. Much is still unclear and additional studies should be performed in order to optimize prevention and care for this special group of patients.

Combined Overview on Diverticular Assessment:a new score for the management of diverticular disease

Background

Diverticulosis is increasing worldwide as a public health problem. The Combined Overview on Diverticular Assessment (CODA) score, merging Diverticular Inflammation and Complication Assessment (DICA) and few clinical parameters, may reliably predict the occurrence of acute diverticulitis and surgery due to complications. Thus, the aim of the study is to confirm the value of DICA classification and to develop and validate the CODA endoscopic-clinical score.

Methods

A number of 2198 patients, at the first diagnosis of diverticulosis/diverticular disease were enrolled in a multicentre, prospective, international cohort study. Participants were scored according to DICA classifications. A 3-year follow-up was performed. Survival methods for censored observation were used to develop and validate the CODA score for predicting diverticulitis and surgery.

Results

The 3-year cumulative probability of diverticulitis and surgery was ≤4%, and ≤0.7% in CODA A; <10%and <2.5% in CODA B; >10%and >2.5% in CODA C, respectively. The 3-year cumulative probability of diverticulitis and surgery was of 3.3% (95% CI 2.5% to 4.5%) in DICA 1, 11.6% (95% CI 9.2% to 14.5%) in DICA 2 and 22.0% (95% CI 17.2% to 28.0%) in DICA 3 (p < 0.001), and 0.15% (95% CI 0.04% to 0.59%) in DICA 1, 3.0% (95% CI 1.9% to 4.7%) in DICA 2 and 11.0% (95% CI 7.5% to 16.0%) in DICA 3 (p < 0.001), respectively. The CODA score showed optimal discrimination capacity in predicting the risk of surgery in the development (cstatistic: 0.829; 95%CI 0.811 to 0.846) and validation cohort (c-statistic: 0.943; 95% CI 0.905 to 0.981).

Conclusions

DICA endoscopic classification was confirmed to have a significant predictive value in terms of acute diverticulitis occurence/recurrence and risk of surgery. CODA score could provide a new risk stratification tool useful for everyday clinical practice and also with a significant public health impact in terms of treatment effectiveness and decision making.

Key messages

• DICA endoscopic classification of diverticular disease is a clear predictor of the outcome of diverticulosis/diverticular disease.

• The CODA score, combining DICA and few clinical parameters, may reliably predict the occurence of acute diverticulitis and surgery due to complications.

Real World-Big Data Analytics in Healthcare

The term Big Data is used to describe extremely large datasets that are complex, multi-dimensional, unstructured, and heterogeneous and that are accumulating rapidly and may be analyzed with appropriate informatic and statistical methodologies to reveal patterns, trends, and associations [...].

Ulcerative colitis: Impact of early disease clearance on long‐term outcomes ‐ A multicenter cohort study

Background

Clinical remission and endoscopic mucosal healing are the main treatment targets in patients with ulcerative colitis (UC). Recently, the concept of disease clearance has been proposed as a potential target in UC.

Objective

We aimed to evaluate the impact of disease clearance on long‐term outcomes in UC patients.

Methods

A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted at the Humanitas Research Hospital‐IRCCS (Italy) and at the Nancy University Hospital (France) between 2014 and 2021. Disease clearance in UC was defined as simultaneous clinical (partial‐Mayo score ≤2), endoscopic (endoscopic‐Mayo score = 0), and histological (Nancy index = 0) remission, and patients were monitored over a long‐time follow‐up (≥12 months), to compare the occurrence of negative outcomes.

Results

A total of 494 patients with UC was included in the study (269, 54.4% males). Disease clearance was present in 109 patients (22.1%) at baseline. Median follow up was 24 months. Patients with disease clearance were associated to a significantly lower risk of UC‐related hospitalization compared with the control group (5.5% vs. 23.1%; p < 0.001) at last observation. Similarly, a lower rate of surgeries was detected in patients with disease clearance at baseline compared with those without (1.8% vs. 10.9%; p = 0.003). The Kaplan Meier curves confirmed that patients with disease clearance at baseline had a lower risk of hospitalization (log‐rank p < 0.0001) and surgery (log‐rank p < 0.00095).

Conclusion

In UC patients with early disease clearance are at significant lower risk for hospitalization and surgery. Disease clearance should be considered as a new composite outcome.

A cytokine/PTX3 prognostic index as a predictor of mortality in sepsis

Background

Early prognostic stratification of patients with sepsis is a difficult clinical challenge. Aim of this study was to evaluate novel molecules in association with clinical parameters as predictors of 90-days mortality in patients admitted with sepsis at Humanitas Research Hospital.

Methods

Plasma samples were collected from 178 patients, diagnosed based on Sepsis-3 criteria, at admission to the Emergency Department and after 5 days of hospitalization. Levels of pentraxin 3 (PTX3), soluble IL-1 type 2 receptor (sIL-1R2), and of a panel of pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines were measured by ELISA. Cox proportional-hazard models were used to evaluate predictors of 90-days mortality.

Results

Circulating levels of PTX3, sIL-1R2, IL-1β, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-18, IL-1ra, TNF-α increased significantly in sepsis patients on admission, with the highest levels measured in shock patients, and correlated with SOFA score (PTX3: r=0.44, p&lt;0.0001; sIL-1R2: r=0.35, p&lt;0.0001), as well as with 90-days mortality. After 5 days of hospitalization, PTX3 and cytokines, but not sIL-1R2 levels, decreased significantly, in parallel with a general improvement of clinical parameters. The combination of age, blood urea nitrogen, PTX3, IL-6 and IL-18, defined a prognostic index predicting 90-days mortality in Sepsis-3 patients and showing better apparent discrimination capacity than the SOFA score (AUC=0.863, 95% CI: 0.780−0.945 vs. AUC=0.727, 95% CI: 0.613-0.840; p=0.021 respectively).

Conclusion

These data suggest that a prognostic index based on selected cytokines, PTX3 and clinical parameters, and hence easily adoptable in clinical practice, performs in predicting 90-days mortality better than SOFA. An independent validation is required.

Risk of Cancer in Inflammatory Bowel Diseases: Umbrella Review and Reanalysis of Meta-analyses

BACKGROUND & AIMS

To summarize the epidemiologic evidence and assess the validity of claimed associations of inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs) with overall and site-specific cancer risk.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed, Embase, and Scopus from inception to May 10, 2021, to identify and comprehensively reanalyze the data of meta-analyses on associations between IBDs (ie, Crohn's disease [CD] and ulcerative colitis [UC]) and subsequent risk of cancer. The strength of epidemiologic evidence was graded as high, moderate, or weak, by applying prespecified criteria that included the random effects estimate, its 95% confidence interval, and P value, estimates of heterogeneity, small-study effects, and robustness to unmeasured confounding.

RESULTS

This study critically appraised 277 estimates derived from 24 published meta-analyses and our own meta-analyses. The association between pediatric-onset IBDs and overall risk of cancer showed high epidemiologic evidence. Twenty associations (15 cancer types) demonstrated moderate evidence: any cancer (pediatric-onset UC), mouth to terminal ileum (CD), small bowel (CD/UC), colon (CD), rectum (CD/UC), colon-rectum (IBDs, pediatric-onset CD/UC), bile ducts and liver (CD/UC), liver (CD), intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (IBDs), bile ducts (CD), skin (CD), squamous cell carcinoma of the skin (CD), nonmelanoma skin cancer (UC), kidney (CD), and thyroid cancer (IBDs). Another 40 associations (23 cancer types) showed statistical significance; however, our confidence in these effect estimates was weak. No statistical significance was found regarding further 47 associations.

CONCLUSIONS

Associations between IBDs and different types of malignancy showed varying levels of evidence and magnitude of risk. Further primary research investigating the impact of a consistent set of risk factors that are known to affect cancer risk is warranted.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42021254996.

The Hypercoagulable Profile of Patients with Bone Tumors: A Pilot Observational Study Using Rotational Thromboelastometry

Introduction: A detailed evaluation of the malignancy-associated coagulopathy (MAC) in surgical patients with bone tumors may allow for more effective thromboprophylactic measures. The purpose of this study was to assess the perioperative hemostatic changes in patients with bone tumors, using rotational thromboelastometry (ROTEM). Methods: An observational study was performed, including 50 patients with bone tumors who underwent oncologic resection and 30 healthy controls, matched for age and gender. The preoperative and postoperative laboratory evaluation of coagulation in both groups included conventional coagulation tests and a ROTEM analysis. The results of the conventional coagulation tests and the ROTEM analysis were compared between the two groups. Results: The results of the conventional coagulation tests were comparable between the tumor patients and the healthy controls. However, compared to the healthy adults, the tumor patients had lower CT (p < 0.001) and CFT (p < 0.001) values suggesting a rapid induction of the coagulation cascade, elevated A10 (p < 0.001) and MCF (p < 0.001) values indicating a higher clot strength and platelet activation, and elevated LI60 (p < 0.001) values indicating hypofibrinolysis in patients with bone tumors. The multiple linear regression analysis (controlling for potential confounding factors) confirmed the independent association of bone tumors with these hemostatic changes. Conclusions: Our results support the advantageous use of a ROTEM in patients with bone tumors over conventional coagulation tests because the qualitative changes in the hemostatic profile of these patients that can be detected by a ROTEM analysis cannot be identified by conventional tests. The ROTEM results indicate that the hypercoagulable state in patients with bone tumors is caused by the malignancy-associated activation of the coagulation cascade, platelet activation, and hypofibrinolysis.

Aspergillus spp. osteoarticular infections: an updated systematic review on the diagnosis, treatment and outcomes of 186 confirmed cases

Aspergillus spp. osteoarticular infections are destructive opportunistic infections, while there is no clear consensus on their management. The purpose of this review is to investigate the current literature regarding Aspergillus spp. osteoarticular infections. An electronic search of the PubMed and Scopus databases was conducted considering studies that assessed osteoarticular infections from Aspergillus spp. We included only studies with biopsy proven documentation of positive cultures or histological findings for Aspergillus spp., and those with essential information for each case such as the anatomical location of the infection, the type of treatment (conservative, surgical, combination), the antifungal therapy, and the outcome. Overall, 148 studies from 1965 to 2021 including 186 patients were included in the review. One hundred and seven (57.5%) patients underwent surgical debridement in addition to antifungal therapy, while 79 (42.7%) patients were treated only conservatively. Complete infection resolution was reported in 107 (57.5%) patients, while partial resolution in 29 (15.5%) patients. Surgical debridement resulted in higher complete infection resolution rate compared to only antifungal therapy (70.0% vs. 40.5%, P < 0.001), while complete resolution rate was similar for antifungal monotherapy and combination/sequential therapy (58.3% vs. 54.5%; P = 0.76). Last, complete resolution rate was also similar for monotherapy with amphotericin B (58.1%) and voriconazole (58.6%; P = 0.95). The results of this study indicate that antifungal monotherapy has similar efficacy with combination/sequential therapy, while voriconazole has similar efficacy with amphotericin B. Moreover, surgical debridement of the infected focus results in better outcomes in terms of infection eradication compared to conservative treatment.

LAY SUMMARY

Antifungal monotherapy has similar efficacy with combination/sequential therapy, and voriconazole has similar efficacy with amphotericin B for the treatment of Aspergillus spp. osteoarticular infections, while surgical debridement of the infected focus improves the infection eradication rate.

Prognostic performance of the 'DICA' endoscopic classification and the 'CODA' score in predicting clinical outcomes of diverticular disease: an international, multicentre, prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the predictive value of the Diverticular Inflammation and Complication Assessment (DICA) classification and to develop and validate a combined endoscopic-clinical score predicting clinical outcomes of diverticulosis, named Combined Overview on Diverticular Assessment (CODA).

DESIGN

A multicentre, prospective, international cohort study.

SETTING

43 gastroenterology and endoscopy centres located in Europe and South America.

PARTICIPANTS

2215 patients (2198 completing the study) at the first diagnosis of diverticulosis/diverticular disease were enrolled. Patients were scored according to DICA classifications.

INTERVENTIONS

A 3-year follow-up was performed.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

To predict the acute diverticulitis and the surgery according to DICA classification. Survival methods for censored observation were used to develop and validate a novel combined endoscopic-clinical score for predicting diverticulitis and surgery (CODA score).

RESULTS

The 3-year cumulative probability of diverticulitis and surgery was of 3.3% (95% CI 2.5% to 4.5%) in DICA 1, 11.6% (95% CI 9.2% to 14.5%) in DICA 2 and 22.0% (95% CI 17.2% to 28.0%) in DICA 3 (p<0.001), and 0.15% (95% CI 0.04% to 0.59%) in DICA 1, 3.0% (95% CI 1.9% to 4.7%) in DICA 2 and 11.0% (95% CI 7.5% to 16.0%) in DICA 3 (p<0.001), respectively. The 3-year cumulative probability of diverticulitis and surgery was ≤4%, and ≤0.7% in CODA A; <10% and <2.5% in CODA B; >10% and >2.5% in CODA C, respectively. The CODA score showed optimal discrimination capacity in predicting the risk of surgery in the development (c-statistic: 0.829; 95% CI 0.811 to 0.846) and validation cohort (c-statistic: 0.943; 95% CI 0.905 to 0.981).

CONCLUSIONS

DICA classification has a significant role in predicting the risk of diverticulitis and surgery in patients with diverticulosis, which is significantly enhanced by the CODA score.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT02758860.

Assessment of agreement between EXTEM and NATEM thromboelastometry measurement assays in critically ill neonates

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the agreement between the EXTEM and NATEM measurements.

METHODS

In this retrospective observational study, EXTEM and NATEM analyses were performed on blood samples from 162 ill neonates, providing 324 paired measurements. The agreement between EXTEM and NATEM measurements was evaluated by the nonparametric spearman's rank correlation to assess the correlation between the paired measurements, by the Bland-Altman analysis for the graphical presentation of the agreement, and by the Deming regression model to assess the significance of the agreement. The agreement between the two methods for the detection of bleeding events was determined by kappa statistic.

RESULTS

Strong correlations were found between EXTEM and NATEM measurements for A10, MCF. The Bland-Altman plots showed good agreement for A10, MCF, LI60, and alpha angle parameters, while CT showed a nearly linear slope indicating that bias increased with the mean. The highest agreement for bleeding events was found for the A10 parameter (κ = 0.70, p < .001), while the lowest for the CT parameter (κ = 0.36, p = .94).

CONCLUSIONS

NATEM parameters that reflect clot firmness and fibrinolytic activity are strongly correlated with the corresponding EXTEM measurements with a good agreement between them, indicating that these two methods could be used interchangeably.

Use of biologics and small molecule drugs for the management of moderate to severe ulcerative colitis: IG-IBD technical review based on the GRADE methodology

The increased knowledge on the biological mechanisms underlying ulcerative colitis (UC) has triggered an advance in drug development, drastically changing the therapeutic landscape. Several biologics and small-molecule drugs have been regulatory approved (i.e., infliximab, adalimumab, golimumab, vedolizumab, ustekinumab and tofacitinib), and frequently pose clinical dilemmas: physicians need to know how these therapies can be used to optimize patient-important outcomes. Adhering to the "Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation" (GRADE) methodology, this technical review systematically searched and identified the evidence, synthesized it using rigorous meta-analytic methodology, appraised its quality, and concisely presented it in a transparent way, forming the basis for developing clinical recommendations on the use of biologics and small-molecule drugs in adult patients with UC.

Comparative efficacy and safety of vaccines to prevent seasonal influenza: A systematic review and network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Influenza is one of the most common respiratory viral infections worldwide. Numerous vaccines are used to prevent influenza. Their selection should be informed by the best available evidence. We aimed to estimate the comparative efficacy and safety of seasonal influenza vaccines in children, adults and the elderly.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and network meta-analysis (NMA). We searched the Cochrane Library Central Register of Controlled Trials, MEDLINE and EMBASE databases, and websites of regulatory agencies, through December 15th, 2020. We included placebo- or no vaccination-controlled, and head-to-head randomized clinical trials (RCTs). Pairs of reviewers independently screened the studies, abstracted the data, and appraised the risk of bias in accordance to the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions. The primary outcome was laboratory-confirmed influenza. We also synthesized data for hospitalization, mortality, influenza-like illness (ILI), pneumonia or lower respiratory-tract disease, systemic and local adverse events (AEs). We estimated summary risk ratios (RR) using pairwise and NMA with random effects. This study is registered with PROSPERO, number CRD42018091895.

FINDINGS

We identified 13,439 citations. A total of 231 RCTs were included after screening: 11 studies did not provide useful data for the analysis; 220 RCTs [100,677 children (< 18 years) and 329,127 adults (18-60 years) and elderly (≥ 61 years)] were included in the NMA. In adults and the elderly, all vaccines, except the trivalent inactivated intradermal vaccine (3-IIV ID), were more effective than placebo in reducing the risk of laboratory-confirmed influenza, with a RR between 0.33 (95% credible interval [CrI] 0.21-0.55) for trivalent inactivated high-dose (3-IIV HD) and 0.56 (95% CrI 0.41-0.74) for trivalent live-attenuated vaccine (3-LAIV). In adults and the elderly, compared with trivalent inactivated vaccine (3-IIV), no significant differences were found for any, except 3-LAIV, which was less efficacious [RR 1.41 (95% CrI 1.04-1.88)]. In children, compared with placebo, RR ranged between 0.13 (95% CrI 0.03-0.51) for trivalent inactivated vaccine adjuvanted with MF59/AS03 and 0.55 (95% CrI 0.36-0.83) for trivalent inactivated vaccine. Compared with 3-IIV, 3-LAIV and trivalent inactivated adjuvanted with MF59/AS03 were more efficacious [RR 0.52 (95% CrI 0.32-0.82) and RR 0.23 (95% CrI 0.06-0.87)] in reducing laboratory-confirmed influenza. With regard to safety, higher systemic AEs rates after vaccination with 3-IIV, 3-IIV HD, 3-IIV ID, 3-IIV MF59/AS03-adj, quadrivalent inactivated (4-IIV), quadrivalent adjuvanted (4-IIV MF59/AS03-adj), quadrivalent recombinant (4-RIV), 3-LAIV or quadrivalent live attenuated (4-LAIV) vaccines were noted in adults and the elderly [RR 1.5 (95% CrI 1.18-1.89) to 1.15 (95% CrI 1.06-1.23)] compared with placebo. In children, the systemic AEs rate after vaccination was not significantly higher than placebo.

INTERPRETATION

All vaccines cumulatively achieved major reductions in the incidence of laboratory-confirmed influenza in children, adults, and the elderly. While the live-attenuated was more efficacious than the inactivated vaccine in children, many vaccine types can be used in adults and the elderly.

FUNDING

The directorate general of welfare, Lombardy region.

Use of biologics and small molecule drugs for the management of moderate to severe ulcerative colitis: IG-IBD clinical guidelines based on the GRADE methodology

The management of moderate to severe ulcerative colitis has undergone significant changes over the past 15 years due to the regulatory approval of several new drugs. In particular, following the approval of the first biological, i.e. infliximab, a number of further biological drugs, such as adalimumab, golimumab, vedolizumab and ustekinumab, and small molecules, such as tofacitinib, have been approved, thus enriching the therapeutic armamentarium for ulcerative colitis. Choice of therapy must take into consideration not only the need to induce and maintain disease remission according to the patient's profile, but also age, co-morbidities, and prior treatments. To guide these decisions, the Italian Group for the Study of Inflammatory Bowel Disease has developed clinical guidelines that supersede its earlier document from 2011. These new guidelines were developed following the GRADE methodology for rating the quality of the evidence and for determining the strength of the recommendations. This article presents the methodology and results, in the form of 20 statements with commentary on the use of the five biologics and tofacitinib for managing the intestinal manifestations of active ulcerative colitis and for maintaining remission. A separate technical review reports the analyses of the evidence upon which the present recommendations are based.

Predictive value of Milan ultrasound criteria in ulcerative colitis: A prospective observational cohort study

Background

Endoscopic healing is an established treatment target for ulcerative colitis (UC). We have recently validated the Milan ultrasound criteria (MUC) to assess endoscopic activity in UC; a MUC score > 6.2 is a valid cut‐off to discriminate endoscopic activity (Mayo endoscopic subscore > 1).

Objective

The aim of this study was to assess the predictive value of MUC on disease course in a prospective cohort of UC patients.

Methods

UC patients regardless of disease activity and current therapy, underwent colonoscopy and bowel ultrasound (US) at baseline in a blinded fashion. Correlations between baseline MUC and Mayo endoscopic subscore were assessed using Spearman's rank correlation. UC‐related negative course (defined as the need for corticosteroids, or treatment escalation, or hospitalization, or need for colectomy: a composite outcome) over a median 20 months follow‐up, was investigated using the Kaplan‐Meier method and Cox regression analysis.

Results

98 UC patients were followed up for a median time of 1.6 years (IQR 0.9¬2.7). Milan ultrasound criteria and Mayo endoscopic subscore significantly correlated at baseline (ρ = 0.653; p < 0.001). 70 patients (71%) had negative disease course during the follow‐up period. Milan ultrasound criteria > 6.2 at baseline was statistically significantly associated with negative disease course (HR: 3.87, 95% CI: 2.25–6.64, p < 0.001). Kaplan–Meier analyses drawed a statistically significantly lower cumulative probability of treatment escalation, need of corticosteroids, hospitalization and colectomy, among patients who had MUC ≤ 6.2 at baseline as compared to patients with MUC > 6.2 (p < 0.05 for all outcomes).

Conclusion

we have demonstrated for the first time the value of bowel US and an US score in predicting disease course in UC. Milan ultrasound criteria, a validated US‐based score, predicts disease course in UC. Milan ultrasound criteria ≤ 6.2 may be the new treatment target to achieve to reduce the risk of worse outcomes.

ECCO Guidelines on Therapeutics in Ulcerative Colitis: Surgical Treatment

This is the second of a series of two articles reporting the European Crohn's and Colitis Organisation [ECCO] evidence-based consensus on the management of adult patients with ulcerative colitis [UC]. The first article is focused on medical management, and the present article addresses medical treatment of acute severe ulcerative colitis [ASUC] and surgical management of medically refractory UC patients, including preoperative optimisation, surgical strategies, and technical issues. The article provides advice for a variety of common clinical and surgical conditions. Together, the articles represent an update of the evidence-based recommendations of the ECCO for UC.

Bowel ultrasound score is accurate in assessing response to therapy in patients with Crohn's disease

BACKGROUND

We developed a non-invasive bowel ultrasound score (BUSS) to assess disease activity in Crohn's disease (CD). BUSS >3.52 is an indicator of endoscopic activity (SES-CD>2).

AIM

To assess whether BUSS, in addition to detecting inflammatory lesions, also detects relevant changes of these lesions over time.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational study of 49 patients with active CD. All patients underwent bowel ultrasound and colonoscopy at baseline and at re-assessment after treatment with biologics and/or immunosuppressants. The primary objective was to assess the sensitivity to change of BUSS in patients treated for active CD, using the SES-CD as reference standard.

RESULTS

BUSS changed significantly from baseline to re-assessment in patients achieving endoscopic response (a reduction of SES-CD of at least 50% vs baseline: 4.87 [3.78-6.0] vs 2.47 [2.25-3.36], P < 0.001) and endoscopic remission (SES-CD ≤ 2: 4.65 [3.58-6.03] vs 2.25 [2.25-3.46], P = 0.003). A change of -1.2 in BUSS over time predicted endoscopic response (AUC 0.786, 95% CI 0.645-0.890; sensitivity 74%, specificity 83%). BUSS determined endoscopic response with 80% accuracy, and endoscopic remission with 78% accuracy. BUSS accurately detected changes in lesion severity (Guyatt score: 1.41 and standardized effect score: 1.74). BUSS did not change significantly in patients who did not achieve endoscopic response (5.62 [5.26-6.15] vs 5.70 [4.97-6.19], P = 0.53) or endoscopic remission (5.62 [5.18-6.14] vs 5.10 [4.58-6.05]; P = 0.10).

CONCLUSION

BUSS is sensitive to change in CD.

Development and validation of a sepsis diagnostic scoring model for neonates with suspected sepsis

BACKGROUND

We aimed to develop and validate a diagnostic model for sepsis among neonates evaluated for suspected sepsis, by incorporating thromboelastometry parameters, maternal/neonatal risk factors, clinical signs/symptoms and laboratory results.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 291 neonates with presumed sepsis, hospitalized in a NICU, from 07/2014 to 07/2021. Laboratory tests were obtained on disease onset and prior to initiating antibiotic therapy. Τhromboelastometry extrinsically activated (EXTEM) assay was performed simultaneously and Tοllner and nSOFA scores were calculated. Sepsis diagnosis was the outcome variable. A 10-fold cross-validation least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logit regression procedure was applied to derive the final multivariable score. Clinical utility was evaluated by decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

Gestational age, CRP, considerable skin discoloration, liver enlargement, neutrophil left shift, and EXTEM A10, were identified as the strongest predictors and included in the Neonatal Sepsis Diagnostic (NeoSeD) model. NeoSeD score demonstrated excellent discrimination capacity for sepsis and septic shock with an AUC: 0.918 (95% CI, 0.884-0.952) and 0.974 (95% CI, 0.958-0.989) respectively, which was significantly higher compared to Töllner and nSOFA scores.

CONCLUSIONS

The NeoSeD score is simple, accurate, practical, and may contribute to a timely diagnosis of sepsis in neonates with suspected sepsis. External validation in multinational cohorts is necessary before clinical application.