Association between depression, gender and Alzheimer's neuropathology in older adults without dementia

OBJECTIVES

Previous studies regarding the relationship between depression and Alzheimer's neuropathology in older adults without dementia have reported conflicting findings. This study examined whether depression is associated with Alzheimer's neuropathology and whether sex moderates these relationships.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional study of older adults without dementia (normal cognition or mild cognitive impairment, age 50+; CDR ≤ 0.5) who had autopsy within 1 year of their last clinic visit in the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center database (2005-2020). Logistic regression models were fitted to determine if a recent or remote history of depression was associated with amyloid spread beyond the neocortex measured by modified Thal phase score, density of amyloid plaques measured by CERAD score or tau neuropathology measured by modified Braak score. A moderator analysis was performed to determine if any of these associations were moderated by sex.

RESULTS

This study included 407 participants (96 Thal, 405 Braak, and 406 CERAD). Those who had recently active depression (within previous 2 years) but not remote depression only were more likely to have higher Thal phase score compared to those without a history of depression (OR = 3.74; 95% CI, 1.15-12.17; p = 0.028). Sex did not moderate this association. No significant associations between recent depression and Braak or CERAD scores were observed.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that the association between late life depression and Alzheimer's neuropathology is associated with spread of amyloid pathology beyond the neocortex to include allocortical and subcortical regions critical for regulation of mood and motivated behavior.

Correlates of Opioid Use Among Ontario Long-Term Care Residents and Variation by Pain Frequency and Intensity: A Cross-sectional Analysis

Background

Chronic non-cancer pain is common among older residents of long-term care (LTC) homes and often poorly recognized and treated. With heightened concerns regarding opioid prescribing in recent years, it is important to examine the current prevalence of opioid use and its association with resident characteristics to help identify those potentially at risk of medication harms as well as suboptimal pain management.

Objectives

The aims were to estimate the prevalence and correlates of opioid use among non-palliative LTC residents and explore variation in opioid prevalence and correlates across strata defined by pain frequency and intensity.

Methods

We conducted a population-based cross-sectional study of all older (aged > 65 years) LTC residents (excluding those with cancer or receiving palliative care) in Ontario, Canada during 2018–2019. Health administrative databases were linked with standardized clinical assessment data to ascertain residents’ health and pain characteristics and their opioid and other medication use. Modified Poisson regression models estimated unadjusted and adjusted associations between residents’ characteristics and opioid use, overall and across strata capturing pain frequency and intensity.

Results

Among 75,020 eligible residents (mean age 85.1 years; 70% female), the prevalence of opioid use was 18.5% and pain was 29.4%. Opioid use ranged from 12.2% for residents with no current pain to 55.7% for those with severe pain. In adjusted models, residents newly admitted to LTC (adjusted risk ratio [aRR] = 0.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.57–0.62) and with moderate to severe cognitive impairment (aRR = 0.69, 95% CI 0.66–0.72) or dementia (aRR = 0.76, 95% CI 0.74–0.79) were significantly less likely to receive an opioid, whereas residents with select conditions (e.g., arthritis, aRR = 1.37, 95% CI 1.32–1.41) and concurrently using gabapentinoids (aRR = 1.80, 95% CI 1.74–1.86), benzodiazepines (aRR = 1.33, 95% CI 1.28–1.38), or antidepressants (aRR = 1.31, 95% CI 1.27–1.35) were significantly more likely to receive an opioid. The associations observed for residents newly admitted, with dementia, and concurrently using gabapentinoids, benzodiazepines, or antidepressants were largely consistent across all pain strata.

Conclusions

Our findings describe resident sub-groups at potentially higher risk of adverse health outcomes in relation to both opioid use and non-use. LTC clinical and policy changes informed by research are required to ensure the appropriate recognition and management of non-cancer pain in this setting.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40266-022-00972-9.

Opioid Initiation and the Hazard of Falls or Fractures Among Older Adults with Varying Levels of Central Nervous System Depressant Burden

BACKGROUND

Co-prescription of opioids with other central nervous system (CNS) depressants is common but the combination may increase the risk for adverse events such as falls and fractures, particularly among older adults. We explored the risk of fall- or fracture-related hospital visits after opioid initiation among older adults with varying degrees of concomitant CNS depressant burden.

METHODS

We used population-based administrative health data from Ontario, Canada, to examine the relationship between hospital visits for falls or fractures at different levels of CNS burden among individuals aged 66 and older who started prescription opioids between March 1, 2008, and March 31, 2019. For comparison, we identified individuals starting prescription non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs). The outcome was a hospital visit for falls or fractures within 14 days after starting analgesic therapy. We stratified the cohort according to additional CNS burden: none, low (one concurrent CNS depressant drug class) and high (≥ 2 concurrent CNS depressant classes) on the index date. We balanced opioid and NSAID recipients using inverse probability of treatment weighting and reported weighted hazard ratios from Cox proportional hazards models. We then used pairwise comparisons to determine differences between hazard ratios at different levels of CNS burden.

RESULTS

The cohort included 1,066,692 older adults, with 562,692 new opioid recipients and 504,000 new NSAID recipients. Among opioid recipients, 83 % had no additional CNS burden, 13 % had low burden and 4 % had high burden. The short-term rate of falls or fractures for new opioid recipients increased by CNS burden from 97 per 1000 person-years (no burden) to 233 per 1000 person-years (high CNS burden). Opioid recipients had a similarly elevated hazard of falls or fractures within each CNS burden level compared to NSAID recipients (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.62, 95 % CI 1.50-1.76 for no burden; aHR 1.69, 95 % CI 1.45-1.97 for low burden; aHR 1.40, 95 % CI 1.08-1.82 for high burden).

CONCLUSION

Among older adults, initiation of opioids is associated with an increased hazard of falls; however, this hazard is not modified by different levels of CNS depressant burden. This suggests that it remains important for physicians, patients, and caregivers to be vigilant when starting new opioid therapy regardless of other CNS medications taken concurrently.

Visits to the emergency department by community-dwelling people with dementia during the first 2 waves of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ontario: a repeated cross-sectional analysis

BACKGROUND

Community-dwelling people with dementia have been affected by COVID-19 pandemic health risks and control measures that resulted in worsened access to health care and service cancellation. One critical access point in health systems is the emergency department. We aimed to determine the change in weekly rates of visits to the emergency department of community-dwelling people with dementia in Ontario during the first 2 waves of the COVID-19 pandemic compared with historical patterns.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based repeated cross-sectional study and used health administrative databases to compare rates of visits to the emergency department among community-dwelling people with dementia who were aged 40 years and older in Ontario during the first 2 waves of the COVID-19 pandemic (March 2020-February 2021) with the rates of a historical period (March 2019-February 2020). Weekly rates of visits to the emergency department were evaluated overall, by urgency and by chapter from the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th Revision. We used Poisson models to compare pandemic and historical rates at the week of the lowest rate during the pandemic period and the latest week.

RESULTS

We observed large immediate declines in rates of visits to the emergency department during the COVID-19 pandemic (rate ratio [RR] 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.47-0.53), which remained below historical levels by the end of the second wave (RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.83-0.92). Rates of both nonurgent (RR 0.33, 95% CI 0.28-0.39) and urgent (RR 0.51, 95% CI 0.48-0.55) visits to the emergency department also declined and remained low (RR 0.68, 95% CI 0.59-0.79, RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.86-0.96), respectively. Visits for injuries, and circulatory, respiratory and musculoskeletal diseases declined and remained below historical levels.

INTERPRETATION

Prolonged reductions in visits to the emergency department among people with dementia during the first 2 pandemic waves raise concerns about patients who delay seeking acute care services. Understanding the long-term effects of these reductions requires further research.

Prevalence of prescription and non-prescription polypharmacy by frailty and sex among middle-aged and older Canadians

BACKGROUND

Estimates of polypharmacy have primarily been derived from prescription claims, and less is known about the use of non-prescription medications (alone or in combination with prescription medications) across the frailty spectrum or by sex. Our objectives were to estimate the prevalence of polypharmacy (total, prescription, non-prescription, and concurrent prescription and non-prescription) overall, and by frailty, sex and broad age group.

DATA

Canadian Health Measures Survey, Cycle 5, 2016 to 2017.

METHODS

Among Canadians aged 40 to 79 years, all prescription and non-prescription medications used in the month prior to the survey were documented. Polypharmacy was defined as using five or more medications total (prescription and non-prescription), prescription only and non-prescription only. Concurrent prescription and non-prescription use was defined as two or more and three or more of each. Frailty was defined using a 31-item frailty index (FI) and categorized as non-frail (FI ≤ 0.1) and pre-frail or frail (FI > 0.1). Survey-weighted descriptive statistics were calculated overall and age standardized.

RESULTS

We analyzed 2,039 respondents, representing 16,638,026 Canadians (mean age of 56.9 years; 51% women). Overall, 52.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 47.3 to 57.4) were defined as pre-frail or frail. Age-standardized estimates of total polypharmacy, prescription polypharmacy and concurrent prescription and non-prescription medication use were significantly higher among pre-frail or frail versus non-frail adults (e.g., total polypharmacy: 64.1% versus 31.8%, respectively). Polypharmacy with non-prescription medications was common overall (20.5% [95% CI = 16.1 to 25.8]) and greater among women, but did not differ significantly by frailty.

INTERPRETATION

Polypharmacy and concurrent prescription and non-prescription medication use were common among Canadian adults, especially those who were pre-frail or frail. Our findings highlight the importance of considering non-prescribed medications when measuring the exposure to medications and the potential risk for adverse outcomes.

Rates of health services use among residents of retirement homes in Ontario: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Because there are no standardized reporting systems specific to residents of retirement homes in North America, little is known about the health of this distinct population of older adults. We evaluated rates of health services use by residents of retirement homes relative to those of residents of long-term care homes and other populations of older adults.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study using population health administrative data from 2018 on adults 65 years or older in Ontario. We matched the postal codes of individuals to those of licensed retirement homes to identify residents of retirement homes. Outcomes included rates of hospital-based care and physician visits.

RESULTS

We identified 54 733 residents of 757 retirement homes (mean age 86.7 years, 69.0% female) and 2 354 385 residents of other settings. Compared to residents of long-term care homes, residents of retirement homes had significantly higher rates per 1000 person months of emergency department visits (10.62 v. 4.48, adjusted relative rate [RR] 2.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.55 to 2.67), hospital admissions (5.42 v. 2.08, adjusted RR 2.77, 95% CI 2.71 to 2.82), alternate level of care (ALC) days (6.01 v. 2.96, adjusted RR 1.51, 95% CI 1.48 to 1.54), and specialist physician visits (6.27 v. 3.21, adjusted RR 1.64, 95% CI 1.61 to 1.68), but a significantly lower rate of primary care visits (16.71 v. 108.47, adjusted RR 0.13, 95% CI 0.13 to 0.14).

INTERPRETATION

Residents of retirement homes are a distinct population with higher rates of hospital-based care. Our findings can help to inform policy debates about the need for more coordinated primary and supportive health care in privately operated congregate care homes.

Follow-up after post-partum psychiatric emergency department visits: an equity-focused population-based study in Canada

BACKGROUND

Emergency department visits for a psychiatric reason in the post-partum period represent an acute need for mental health care at a crucial time, but little is known about the extent of timely outpatient follow-up after these visits or how individual and intersecting social determinants of health influence this outcome. This study aimed to examine outpatient mental health care follow-up by a physician in the 30 days after an individual attended the emergency department for a psychiatric reason in the post-partum period and understand how social determinants of health affect who receives follow-up care.

METHODS

In this population-based cohort study, routinely collected health data from Ontario, Canada were accessed through ICES to identify all post-partum individuals whose sex was listed as female on their health card and who had attended an emergency department in Ontario before the COVID-19 pandemic for a psychiatric reason. Individuals admitted to hospital at the time of the emergency department visit, who died during the visit, or who left without being seen were excluded from the study. Ethnicity data for individuals were not collected. The primary outcome was the proportion of individuals with any outpatient physician (psychiatrist or family physician) visit for a mental health reason within 30 days of the index emergency department visit. Family physician mental health visits were identified using a validated algorithm for Ontario Health Insurance Plan-billed visits and mental health diagnostic codes for community health centre visits. We examined the associations between social determinants of health (age, neighbourhood income, community size, immigration, neighbourhood ethnic diversity) and who received an outpatient mental health visit. We used modified Poisson regression adjusting for the other social determinants of health, clinical, and health services characteristics to examine independent associations with follow-up, and conditional inference trees to explore how social determinants of health intersect with each other and with clinical and health services characteristics in relation to follow-up.

FINDINGS

We analysed data collected between April 1, 2008, and March 10, 2020, after exclusions we identified 12 158 people who had attended the emergency department for a psychiatric reason in the post-partum period (mean age 26·9 years [SD 6·2]; range 13-47); 9848 individuals lived in an urban area, among these 1518 (15·5%) were immigrants and 2587 (26·3%) lived in areas with high ethnic diversity. 5442 (44·8%) of 12 158 individuals received 30-day follow-up. In modified Poisson regression models, younger age, lower neighbourhood income, smaller community size, and being an immigrant were associated with a lower likelihood of follow-up. In the CTREE, similar variables were important, with several intersections between social determinants of health and between social determinants of health and other variables.

INTERPRETATION

Fewer than half of emergency department visits for a psychiatric reason in the post-partum period were followed by timely outpatient care, with social-determinants-of-health-based disparities in access to care. Improvements in equitable access to post-emergency department mental health care are urgently needed in this high-risk post-partum population.

FUNDING

Department of Psychiatry, University of Toronto; Canadian Institutes of Health Research.

Reasons for repeated emergency department visits among community-dwelling older adults with dementia in Ontario, Canada

BACKGROUND

Community-dwelling older adults living with dementia visit the emergency department (ED) more frequently than other older adults, but research on the reasons for repeated visits is lacking. We examined the rate of repeated ED visits and reasons for visits in a cohort of individuals with dementia.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study of community-dwelling older adults (≥66 years) living with dementia in Ontario, Canada, who visited the ED and were discharged home between April 1, 2010, and March 31, 2019. We calculated the proportion of the population with one, two, and three or more repeat ED visits within 1 year of the baseline visit and the categorized the reason for the visits.

RESULTS

Our cohort contained 175,863 individuals with dementia who visited the ED at least once. Overall, 66.1% returned at least once to the ED within 1 year, 39.4% returned twice, and 23.5% returned 3 or more times. Visit reasons were heterogenous and were most frequently related to general signs and symptoms (25.3%) while being infrequently due to cognitive or behavioral reasons (5.9%). Individuals typically visited for different reasons across successive visits.

CONCLUSIONS

Community-dwelling older adults with dementia who visited an ED were very likely to return to the ED within a year, with a substantial proportion visiting multiple times. The high frequency of repeated visits for different reasons highlights the complexity of caring for this population and indicates greater need for comprehensive community and primary care as well as timely communication between the ED and the community.

Behavioral Nudges to Improve Audit and Feedback Report Opening among Antibiotic Prescribers: A Randomized Controlled Trial

Background

Peer comparison audit and feedback has demonstrated effectiveness in improving antibiotic prescribing practices, but only a minority of prescribers view their reports. We rigorously tested three behavioral nudging techniques delivered by email to improve report opening.

Methods

We conducted a pragmatic randomized controlled trial among Ontario long-term care (LTC) prescribers enrolled in an ongoing peer comparison audit and feedback program which includes data on their antibiotic prescribing patterns. Physicians were randomized to 1 of 8 possible sequences of intervention/control allocation to 3 different behavioral email nudges: a social peer comparison nudge (January 2020), a maintenance of professional certification incentive nudge (October 2020), and a prior participation nudge (January 2021). The primary outcome was feedback report opening; the primary analysis pooled the effects of all 3 nudging interventions.

Results

The trial included 421 physicians caring for more than 28,000 residents at 450 facilities. In the pooled analysis, physicians opened only 29.6% of intervention and 23.9% of control reports (odds ratio (OR) 1.51 (95%CI 1.10-2.07, p=0.011); this difference remained significant after accounting for physician characteristics and clustering (adjusted OR (aOR) 1.74 (95%CI 1.24-2.45, p=0.0014). Of individual nudging techniques, the prior participation nudge was associated with a significant increase in report opening (OR 1.62, 95%CI 1.06-2.47, p=0.026; aOR 2.16, 95%CI 1.33-3.50, p=0.0018). In the pooled analysis, nudges were also associated with accessing more report pages (aOR 1.28, 95%CI 1.14-1.43, p<0.001).

Conclusions

Enhanced nudging strategies modestly improved report opening, but more work is needed to optimize physician engagement with audit and feedback.

Incidence of neurological and psychiatric comorbidity over time: a population-based cohort study in Ontario, Canada

INTRODUCTION

Comprehensive, population-based investigations of the extent and temporality of associations between common neurological and psychiatric disorders are scarce.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used linked health administrative data for Ontarians aged 40-85 years on 1 April 2002, to estimate the adjusted rate of incident dementia, Parkinson's disease (PD), stroke or mood/anxiety disorder (over 14 years) according to the presence and time since diagnosis of a prior disorder. Sex differences in the cumulative incidence of a later disorder were also examined.

RESULTS

The cohort included 5,283,546 Ontarians (mean age 56.2 ± 12.1 years, 52% female). The rate of dementia was significantly higher for those with prior PD (adjusted hazard ratio [adjHR] 4.05, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.99-4.11); stroke (adjHR 2.49, CI 2.47-2.52) and psychiatric disorder (adjHR 1.79, CI 1.78-1.80). The rate of PD was significantly higher for those with prior dementia (adjHR 2.23, CI 2.17-2.30) and psychiatric disorder (adjHR 1.77, CI 1.74-1.81). The rate of stroke was significantly higher among those with prior dementia (adjHR 1.56, CI 1.53-1.58). Prior dementia (adjHR 2.36, CI 2.33-2.39), PD (adjHR 1.80, CI 1.75-1.85) and stroke (adjHR 1.47, CI 1.45-1.49) were associated with a higher rate of an incident psychiatric disorder. Generally, associations were strongest in the 6 months following a prior diagnosis and demonstrated a J-shape relationship over time. Significant sex differences were evident in the absolute risks for several disorders.

CONCLUSIONS

The observed nature of bidirectional associations between these neurological and psychiatric disorders indicates opportunities for earlier diagnosis and interventions to improve patient care.

Greater opioid use among nursing home residents in Ontario, Canada during the first two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic

Objectives

To examine the association between the COVID-19 pandemic and opioid use among nursing home residents followed up to March 2021, and possible variation by dementia and frailty status.

Design

Population-based cohort study with an interrupted time series analysis.

Setting and Participants

Linked health administrative databases for residents of all nursing homes (n = 630) in Ontario, Canada were examined. Residents were divided into consecutive weekly cohorts (first observation week was March 5 to 11, 2017 and last was March 21 to March 27, 2021).

Methods

The weekly proportion of residents dispensed an opioid was examined overall and by strata defined by the presence of dementia and frailty. Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average models with step and ramp intervention functions tested for immediate level and slope changes in weekly opioid use after the onset of the pandemic (March 1, 2020) and were fit on prepandemic data for projected trends.

Results

The average weekly cohort ranged from 76,834 residents (prepandemic) to 69,359 (pandemic period), with a consistent distribution by sex (69% female) and age (54% age 85 + years). There was a statistically significant increased slope change in the weekly proportion of residents dispensed opioids (parameter estimate (β) = 0.035; standard error (SE) = 0.005, P < .001). Although significant for all 4 strata, the increased slope change was more pronounced among nonfrail residents (β = 0.038; SE = 0.008, P < .001) and those without dementia (β = 0.044; SE = 0.008, P < .001). The absolute difference in observed vs predicted opioid use in the last week of the pandemic period ranged from 1.25% (frail residents) to 2.28% (residents without dementia).

Conclusions and Implications

Among Ontario nursing home residents, there was a statistically significant increase in opioid dispensations following the onset of the pandemic that persisted up to 1 year later. Investigations of the reasons for increased use, potential for long-term use and associated health consequences for residents are warranted.

Examining the association between loneliness and emergency department visits using Canadian Longitudinal Study of Aging (CLSA) data: a retrospective cross-sectional study

Background

Loneliness is a public health concern and its influence on morbidity and mortality are well documented. The association between loneliness and emergency department visits is less clear. Further, while sex and gender-related factors are known to be associated with loneliness and health services use, little research looks at the relationship by gender. Our study aimed to estimate the association between loneliness and emergency department use in the previous 12 months. We aimed to determine if this association differed based on gender identity and gender-related characteristics.

Methods

We used a retrospective cohort study design to analyze population-based survey data from the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (CLSA). We analysed data from the baseline and follow-up 1 survey respondents (2015-2018) from both the tracking (telephone interviews) and comprehensive (in-home data collection) cohorts (n=44816). Loneliness was assessed using a dichotomous measure (lonely/not lonely) from a validated scale. Emergency department visits were dichotomous (yes/no) by self-reported emergency department use in the 12 months prior to the survey date. Multivariable logistic regression analyses using analytic weights examined the association between loneliness and emergency department visit, controlling for other demographic, social, and health related factors.

Results

We identified 44,413 respondents to the baseline and follow-up 1 survey. The prevalence of loneliness in our sample was 23.1% (n=10263). Of those who had been to the emergency department in the previous year, 27.2% (n=2793) were lonely. Lonely respondents had higher odds of an emergency department visit (aOR: 1.13, 95% CI: 1.05-1.21), adjusted for various demographic and health factors. Loneliness was associated with emergency department visits more so in women (aOR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.05-1.25) than in men (aOR: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.99-1.22).

Conclusions

In our study, loneliness was associated with emergency department visits in the previous 12 months. When our analysis was disaggregated by gender, we found differences in the odds of emergency department visit for men, women, and gender-diverse respondents. The odds of ED visit were higher in women than men. These findings highlight the general importance of identifying loneliness in both primary care and hospital. Care providers in ED need resources to refer patients who present in this setting with health issues complicated by social conditions such as loneliness.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-022-02763-8.

Trends in Health Service Use for Canadian Adults With Dementia and Parkinson Disease During the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Question

Was the COVID-19 pandemic associated with changes in health service use and mortality among community-dwelling persons with dementia and Parkinson disease compared with older adults?

Findings

In this population-based repeated cross-sectional analysis, large declines in hospital use and nursing home admission were experienced across all cohorts. After the first wave, most services returned to historical levels, with physician visits elevated and mostly virtual, nursing home admissions reduced, and excess all-cause mortality.

Meaning

The pandemic was associated with meaningful health service disruptions for persons with dementia and Parkinson disease, highlighting that continued support for virtual care is needed to ensure optimal health outcomes.

Importance

Persons with dementia and Parkinson disease (PD) are vulnerable to disruptions in health care and services.

Objective

To examine changes in health service use among community-dwelling persons with dementia, persons with PD, and older adults without neurodegenerative disease during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Repeated cross-sectional analysis using population-based administrative data among community-dwelling persons with dementia, persons with PD, and adults 65 years and older at the start of each week from March 1 through the week of September 20, 2020 (pandemic period), and March 3 through the week of September 22, 2019 (historical period), in Ontario, Canada.

Exposures

COVID-19 pandemic as of March 1, 2020.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Main outcomes were weekly rates of emergency department visits, hospitalizations, nursing home admissions, home care, virtual and in-person physician visits, and all-cause mortality. Poisson regression models were used to calculate weekly rate ratios (RRs) with 95% CIs comparing pandemic weeks with historical levels.

Results

Among those living in the community as of March 1, 2020, persons with dementia (n = 131 466; mean [SD] age, 80.1 [10.1] years) were older than persons with PD (n = 30 606; 73.7 [10.2] years) and older adults (n = 2 363 742; 74.0 [7.1] years). While all services experienced declines, the largest drops occurred in nursing home admissions (RR for dementia: 0.10; 95% CI, 0.07-0.15; RR for PD: 0.03; 95% CI, 0.00-0.21; RR for older adults: 0.11; 95% CI, 0.06-0.18) and emergency department visits (RR for dementia: 0.45; 95% CI, 0.41-0.48; RR for PD: 0.40; 95% CI, 0.34-0.48; RR for older adults: 0.45; 95% CI, 0.44-0.47). After the first wave, most services returned to historical levels except physician visits, which remained elevated (RR for dementia: 1.07; 95% CI, 1.05-1.09; RR for PD: 1.10, 95% CI, 1.06-1.13) and shifted toward virtual visits. Older adults continued to experience lower hospitalizations. All-cause mortality was elevated across cohorts.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this population-based repeated cross-sectional study in Ontario, Canada, those with dementia, those with PD, and older adults sought hospital care far less than usual, were not admitted to nursing homes, and experienced excess mortality during the first wave of the pandemic. Most services returned to historical levels, but virtual physician visits remained a feature of care. While issues of equity and quality of care are still emerging among persons with neurodegenerative diseases, policies to support virtual care are necessary.

Pivoting data and analytic capacity to support Ontario's COVID-19 response

Introduction

Health care systems have faced unprecedented challenges due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Access to timely population-based data has been vital to informing public health policy and practice.

Methods

We describe how ICES, an independent not-for-profit research and analytic institute in Ontario, Canada, pivoted existing research infrastructure and engaged health system stakeholders to provide near real-time population-based data and analytics to support Ontario's COVID-19 pandemic response.

Results

Since April 2020, ICES provided the Ontario COVID-19 Provincial Command Table and public health partners with regular and ad hoc reports on SARS-CoV-2 testing and COVID-19 vaccine coverage. These reports: 1) helped identify congregate care/shared living settings that needed testing and prevention efforts early in the pandemic; 2) provided early indications of inequities in testing and infection in marginalized neighbourhoods, including areas with higher proportions of immigrants and visible minorities; 3) identified areas with high test positivity, which helped Public Health Units target and evaluate prevention efforts; and 4) contributed to altering the province's COVID-19 vaccine roll-out strategy to target high-risk neighbourhoods and helping Public Health Units and community organizations plan local vaccination programs. In addition, ICES is a key component of the Ontario Health Data Platform, which provides scientists with data access to conduct COVID-19 research and analyses.

Discussion and Conclusion

ICES was well-positioned to provide rapid analyses for decision-makers to respond to the evolving public health emergency, and continues to contribute to Ontario's pandemic response by providing timely, relevant reports to health system stakeholders and facilitating data access for externally-funded COVID-19 research.

Resident loneliness, social isolation and unplanned emergency department visits from supportive living facilities: a population-based study in Alberta, Canada

BACKGROUND

Supportive living (SL) facilities are intended to provide a residential care setting in a less restrictive and more cost-effective way than nursing homes (NH). SL residents with poor social relationships may be at risk for increased health service use. We describe the demographic and health service use patterns of lonely and socially isolated SL residents and to quantify associations between loneliness and social isolation on unplanned emergency department (ED) visits.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study using population-based linked health administrative data from Alberta, Canada. All SL residents aged 18 to 105 years who had at least one Resident Assessment Instrument-Home Care (RAI-HC) assessment between April 1, 2013 and March 31, 2018 were observed. Loneliness and social isolation were measured as a resident indicating that he/she feels lonely and if the resident had neither a primary nor secondary caregiver, respectively. Health service use in the 1 year following assessment included unplanned ED visits, hospital admissions, admission to higher levels of SL, admission to NH and death. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models examined the association between loneliness and social isolation on the time to first unplanned ED visit.

RESULTS

We identified 18,191 individuals living in Alberta SL facilities. The prevalence of loneliness was 18% (n = 3238), social isolation was 4% (n = 713). Lonely residents had the greatest overall health service use. Risk of unplanned ED visit increased with loneliness (aHR = 1.10, 95% CI: 1.04-1.15) but did not increase with social isolation (aHR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.84-1.06).

CONCLUSIONS

Lonely residents had a different demographic profile (older, female, cognitively impaired) from socially isolated residents and were more likely to experience an unplanned ED visit. Our findings suggest the need to develop interventions to assist SL care providers with how to identify and address social factors to reduce risk of unplanned ED visits.

The impact of the first wave of the COVID‐19 pandemic on health service use by persons with dementia in Ontario, Canada: A population‐based time series analysis

Background

Little has been quantified, at a population‐level, about the magnitude of heath service disruption to persons living with dementia in community settings during the COVID‐19 pandemic. Sustained access to health care services is particularly important for persons with dementia and other neurodegenerative diseases as they are vulnerable to decline.

Method

Health administrative data from Ontario, Canada were used to examine patterns of health service use among all persons with Alzheimer disease and related dementias (dementia) who were alive and living in the community. This cohort was compared to persons with Parkinson’s disease (PD) as well as all older adults (age 65+ years) without neurodegenerative diseases. Rates of all‐cause hospital admissions, emergency department visits, primary care and specialist physician visits and home care visits were analyzed for all individuals alive and eligible for provincial health insurance at the start of each weekly period from March 1, 2020 to September 20, 2020 (pandemic period) and from March 3, 2019 to September 22, 2019 (pre‐pandemic period). Rates of health service use during specific weeks in the pandemic period (i.e., lowest week, last available week) were compared to corresponding weeks in the pre‐pandemic period within each cohort using percent changes.

Results

On March 1, 2020, 128,696 persons with dementia, 30,099 with PD and 2,460,358 older adults were eligible for provincial health services. Across cohorts and services, dramatic declines in use of health services were observed at the lowest week: hospitalization (‐38.7% dementia, ‐72.3% PD, ‐44.2% older adults); emergency department (‐54.9% dementia, ‐57.7% PD, ‐53.6% older adults); home care (‐14.8% dementia, ‐19.4% PD, ‐7.4% older adults). Health services varied in how quickly they rebounded to pre‐pandemic levels within cohorts; notably, by the end of the study period, emergency department visits had increased to a level higher than corresponding 2019 weekly rates (24.2% dementia, 15.2% PD, 7.4% older adults).

Conclusions

The first wave of the COVID‐19 pandemic meaningfully and immediately disrupted use of health care services for persons living with dementia and PD and may have resulted in long‐term consequences that should be monitored.

The Impact of COVID-19 on Outpatient Antibiotic Prescriptions in Ontario, Canada; An Interrupted Time Series Analysis

Background

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has potentially impacted outpatient antibiotic prescribing. Investigating this impact may identify stewardship opportunities in the ongoing COVID-19 period and beyond.

Methods

We conducted an interrupted time series analysis on outpatient antibiotic prescriptions and antibiotic prescriptions/patient visits in Ontario, Canada, between January 2017 and December 2020 to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on population-level antibiotic prescribing by prescriber specialty, patient demographics, and conditions.

Results

In the evaluated COVID-19 period (March–December 2020), there was a 31.2% (95% CI, 27.0% to 35.1%) relative reduction in total antibiotic prescriptions. Total outpatient antibiotic prescriptions decreased during the COVID-19 period by 37.1% (95% CI, 32.5% to 41.3%) among family physicians, 30.7% (95% CI, 25.8% to 35.2%) among subspecialist physicians, 12.1% (95% CI, 4.4% to 19.2%) among dentists, and 25.7% (95% CI, 21.4% to 29.8%) among other prescribers. Antibiotics indicated for respiratory infections decreased by 43.7% (95% CI, 38.4% to 48.6%). Total patient visits and visits for respiratory infections decreased by 10.7% (95% CI, 5.4% to 15.6%) and 49.9% (95% CI, 43.1% to 55.9%). Total antibiotic prescriptions/1000 visits decreased by 27.5% (95% CI, 21.5% to 33.0%), while antibiotics indicated for respiratory infections/1000 visits with respiratory infections only decreased by 6.8% (95% CI, 2.7% to 10.8%).

Conclusions

The reduction in outpatient antibiotic prescribing during the COVID-19 pandemic was driven by less antibiotic prescribing for respiratory indications and largely explained by decreased visits for respiratory infections.

New Opioid Use and Risk of Emergency Department Visits Related to Motor Vehicle Collisions in Ontario, Canada

IMPORTANCE

Opioids can impair motor skills and may affect the ability to drive; however, the association of opioid use with driving ability is not well established.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the risk of motor vehicle collisions (MVCs) among drivers starting opioid therapy compared with that among drivers starting nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) therapy.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This population-based, retrospective cohort study included all residents of Ontario aged 17 years or older who started new prescription analgesic therapy between March 1, 2008, and March 17, 2019.

EXPOSURES

Initiation of opioid therapy or NSAID therapy, ascertained through prescription dispensing records in administrative data.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was an emergency department visit for injuries sustained as a driver in an MVC during the 14 days after starting analgesic therapy. Inverse probability treatment weighting was used to balance baseline covariates, and weighted Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the association between new analgesic therapy and hazard of an emergency department visit after an MVC.

RESULTS

Of the 1 454 824 individuals included in the study, 765 464 (52.6%) were new opioid recipients and 689 360 (47.4%) were new NSAID recipients. Most participants were aged 65 years or older (75.2%), and 55.2% were women. Of 194 individuals who had emergency department visits for injuries from an MVC within 14 days of initiating therapy, 98 (50.5%) were opioid recipients (3.41 per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 2.80-4.15 per 1000 person-years) and 96 (49.5%) were NSAID recipients (3.64 per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 2.98-4.45 per 1000 person-years). There was no significant difference in the risk of an emergency department visit for MVC injuries between opioid and NSAID recipients (weighted hazard ratio, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.70-1.25).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The findings of this study suggest that the hazard of an emergency department visit for injuries relating to an MVC as a driver is similar between individuals starting prescription opioids and those starting prescription NSAIDs. These results may be useful for patients, clinicians, and caregivers when considering new analgesic therapy.

Co-Locating Older Retirement Home Residents: Uncovering an Under-Researched Population via Postal Code

BACKGROUND

Retirement home residents represent a growing proportion of older Ontarians who cannot be identified within existing administrative databases.

OBJECTIVE

This article aims to develop an approach for determining, from an individual's postal code, their likelihood of residing in a retirement home.

METHODS

We identified 748 licensed retirement homes in Ontario as of June 1, 2018, from a public registry. We developed a two-step evaluation and verification process to determine the probability (certain, likely or unlikely) of identifying a retirement home, as opposed to other dwellings, within a postal code.

RESULTS

We identified 274 (36.7%) retirement homes within a postal code certain to indicate that a person was residing in a retirement home, 200 (26.7%) for which it was likely and 274 (36.7%) for which it was unlikely. Postal codes that were certain and likely identified retirement homes with a capacity for 59,920 residents (79.9% of total provincial retirement home capacity).

CONCLUSION

It is feasible to identify a substantive cohort of retirement home residents using postal code data in settings where street address is unavailable for linkage to administrative databases.

Association of Neighborhood-Level Material Deprivation With Health Care Costs and Outcome After Stroke

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

To determine the association between material deprivation and direct health care costs and clinical outcomes following stroke in the context of a publicly funded universal health care system.

METHODS

In this population-based cohort study of patients with ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke admitted to the hospital between 2008 and 2017 in Ontario, Canada, we used linked administrative data to identify the cohort, predictor variables, and outcomes. The exposure was a 5-level neighborhood material deprivation index. The primary outcome was direct health care costs incurred by the public payer in the first year. Secondary outcomes were death and admission to long-term care.

RESULTS

Among 90,289 patients with stroke, the mean (SD) per-person costs increased with increasing material deprivation, from $50,602 ($55,582) in the least deprived quintile to $56,292 ($59,721) in the most deprived quintile (unadjusted relative cost ratio and 95% confidence interval 1.11 [1.08, 1.13] and adjusted relative cost ratio 1.07 [1.05, 1.10] for least compared to most deprived quintile). People in the most deprived quintile had higher mortality within 1 year compared to the least deprived quintile (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.07 [1.03, 1.12]) as well as within 3 years (adjusted HR 1.09 [1.05, 1.13]). Admission to long-term care increased incrementally with material deprivation and those in the most deprived quintile had an adjusted HR of 1.33 (1.24, 1.43) compared to those in the least deprived quintile.

DISCUSSION

Material deprivation is a risk factor for increased costs and poor outcomes after stroke. Interventions targeting health inequities due to social determinants of health are needed.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class II evidence that the neighborhood-level material deprivation predicts direct health care costs.

Long-term survival in high-risk older adults following emergency general surgery admission

BACKGROUND

Emergency general surgery (EGS) conditions are increasingly common among nursing home residents. While such patients have a high risk of in-hospital mortality, long-term outcomes in this group are not well described, which may have implications for goals of care discussions. In this study, we evaluate long-term survival among nursing home residents admitted for EGS conditions.

METHODS

We performed a population-based, retrospective cohort study of nursing home residents (65 years or older) admitted for one of eight EGS diagnoses (appendicitis, cholecystitis, strangulated hernia, bowel obstruction, diverticulitis, peptic ulcer disease, intestinal ischemia, or perforated viscus) from 2006 to 2018 in a large regional health system. The primary outcome was 1-year survival. To ascertain the effect of EGS admission independent of baseline characteristics, patients were matched to nursing home residents without an EGS admission based on demographics and baseline health. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate survival across groups.

RESULTS

A total of 7,942 nursing home residents (mean age, 85 years) were admitted with an EGS diagnosis and matched to controls. One quarter of patients underwent surgery, and 18% died in hospital. At 1 year, 55% of cases were alive, compared with 72% of controls (p < 0.001). Among those undergoing surgery, 61% were alive at 1 year, compared with 72% of controls (p < 0.001). The 1-year survival probability was 57% in patients who did not require mechanical ventilation, 43% in those who required 1 to 2 days of ventilation, and 30% in those who required ≥3 days of ventilation.

CONCLUSION

Although their risk of in-hospital mortality is high, most nursing home residents admitted for an EGS diagnosis survive at least 1 year. While nursing home residents presenting with an EGS diagnosis should be cited realistic odds for the risk of death, long-term survival is achievable in the majority of these patients.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Epidemiological, level III.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Home Care Services Among Community-Dwelling Adults With Dementia

Objective

To examine how the COVID-19 pandemic impacted use of home care services for individuals with dementia across service types and sociodemographic strata.

Design

Population-based time series analysis.

Setting and Participants

Community-dwelling adults with dementia in Ontario, Canada, from January 2019 to September 2020.

Methods

We used health administrative databases (Ontario Registered Persons Database and Home Care Database) to measure home care services used by participants. Poisson regression models were fit to compare weekly rates of home care services during the pandemic to historical trends with rate ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) stratified by service type (nursing, personal care, therapy), sex, rurality, and neighborhood income quintile.

Results

During the first wave of the pandemic, personal care fell by 16% compared to historical levels (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.84, 0.85) and therapies fell by 50% (RR 0.50, 95% CI 0.48, 0.52), whereas nursing did not significantly decline (RR 1.02, 95% CI 1.00, 1.04). All rates had recovered by September 2020, with nursing and therapies higher than historical levels. Changes in services were largely consistent across sociodemographic strata, although the rural population experienced a larger decline in personal care and smaller rebound in nursing.

Conclusions and Implications

Personal care and therapies for individuals with dementia were interrupted during the early months of the pandemic, whereas nursing was only minimally impacted. Pandemic responses with the potential to disrupt home care for individuals living with dementia must balance the impacts on individuals with dementia, caregivers, and providers.

Population-Wide Peer Comparison Audit and Feedback to Reduce Antibiotic Initiation and Duration in Long-Term Care Facilities with Embedded Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

Antibiotic overprescribing in long-term care settings is driven by prescriber preferences and is associated with preventable harms for residents. We aimed to determine whether peer comparison audit and feedback reporting for physicians reduces antibiotic overprescribing among residents.

METHODS

We employed a province wide, difference-in-differences study of antibiotic prescribing audit and feedback, with an embedded pragmatic randomized controlled trial (RCT) across all long-term care facilities in Ontario, Canada, in 2019. The study year included 1238 physicians caring for 96 185 residents. In total, 895 (72%) physicians received no feedback; 343 (28%) were enrolled to receive audit and feedback and randomized 1:1 to static or dynamic reports. The primary outcomes were proportion of residents initiated on an antibiotic and proportion of antibiotics prolonged beyond 7 days per quarter.

RESULTS

Among all residents, between the first quarter of 2018 and last quarter of 2019, there were temporal declines in antibiotic initiation (28.4% to 21.3%) and prolonged duration (34.4% to 29.0%). Difference-in-differences analysis confirmed that feedback was associated with a greater decline in prolonged antibiotics (adjusted difference -2.65%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -4.93 to -.28%, P = .026), but there was no significant difference in antibiotic initiation. The reduction in antibiotic durations was associated with 335 912 fewer days of treatment. The embedded RCT detected no differences in outcomes between the dynamic and static reports.

CONCLUSIONS

Peer comparison audit and feedback is a pragmatic intervention that can generate small relative reductions in the use of antibiotics for prolonged durations that translate to large reductions in antibiotic days of treatment across populations. Clinical Trials Registration. NCT03807466.