Mapping EQ5D utilities from forced vital capacity and diffusing capacity in fibrotic interstitial lung disease

OBJECTIVES

Fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD) includes a large group of conditions that lead to scarring of the lungs. The lack of available 5-level EuroQol 5D (EQ5D) data has limited the ability to conduct economic evaluations in ILD. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a mapping algorithm that predicts EQ5D utilities from commonly collected pulmonary function measurements (forced vital capacity [FVC] and diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide [DLCO]) in fibrotic ILDs.

METHODS

EQ5D utility and pulmonary function measurements from the Canadian Registry for Pulmonary Fibrosis were included. Ordinary least squares (OLS), beta regression, two-part, and tobit models were used to map EQ5D utilities from FVC or DLCO. Model performance was assessed by comparing the predicted and observed utilities. Subgroup analyses were also conducted to test how well models performed across different patient characteristics. The models were then externally validated in the Australian Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Registry.

RESULTS

The OLS model performed as well as other more complex models (root mean squared error: 0.17 for FVC and 0.16 for DLCO). As with the other models, the OLS algorithm performed well across the different subgroups (except for EQ5D utilities < 0.5) and in the external validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

We developed a mapping algorithm that predicts EQ5D utilities from FVC and DLCO, with the intent that this algorithm can be applied to clinical trial populations and real-world cohorts that have not prioritized collection of health-related utilities. The mapping algorithm can be used in future economic evaluations of potential ILD therapies.

Machine learning in radiology: the new frontier in interstitial lung diseases

Challenges for the effective management of interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) include difficulties with the early detection of disease, accurate prognostication with baseline data, and accurate and precise response to therapy. The purpose of this Review is to describe the clinical and research gaps in the diagnosis and prognosis of ILD, and how machine learning can be applied to image biomarker research to close these gaps. Machine-learning algorithms can identify ILD in at-risk populations, predict the extent of lung fibrosis, correlate radiological abnormalities with lung function decline, and be used as endpoints in treatment trials, exemplifying how this technology can be used in care for people with ILD. Advances in image processing and analysis provide further opportunities to use machine learning that incorporates deep-learning-based image analysis and radiomics. Collaboration and consistency are required to develop optimal algorithms, and candidate radiological biomarkers should be validated against appropriate predictors of disease outcomes.

Novel diagnostic techniques in interstitial lung disease

Research into novel diagnostic techniques and targeted therapeutics in interstitial lung disease (ILD) is moving the field toward increased precision and improved patient outcomes. An array of molecular techniques, machine learning approaches and other innovative methods including electronic nose technology and endobronchial optical coherence tomography are promising tools with potential to increase diagnostic accuracy. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the current evidence regarding evolving diagnostic methods in ILD and to consider their future role in routine clinical care.

The relative contribution of co-morbidities to health-related quality of life of people with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis using the Assessment of Quality of Life-8-Dimension multi-attribute utility instrument

PURPOSE

Little is known about the impact of co-morbidities on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) for people with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). We aimed to investigate the relative contribution of co-morbidities to HRQoL of people with IPF.

METHODS

N = 157 participants were recruited from the Australian IPF Registry (AIPFR). Health state utilities (HSUs), and the super-dimensions of physical and psychosocial scores were measured using the Assessment of Quality of Life-8-Dimensions (AQoL-8D). The impact of co-morbidities on HRQoL was investigated using linear regression and general dominance analyses.

RESULTS

A higher number of co-morbidities was associated with lower HSUs (p trend = 0.002). Co-morbidities explained 9.1% of the variance of HSUs, 16.0% of physical super-dimensional scores, and 4.2% of psychosocial super-dimensional scores. Arthritis was associated with a significant reduction on HSUs (β =  - 0.09, 95% confidence interval [CI] - 0.16 to - 0.02), largely driven by reduced scores on the physical super-dimension (β =  - 0.13, 95% CI - 0.20 to - 0.06). Heart diseases were associated with a significant reduction on HSUs (β =  - 0.09, 95% CI - 0.16 to - 0.02), driven by reduced scores on physical (β =  - 0.09, 95% CI - 0.16 to - 0.02) and psychosocial (β = -0.10, 95% CI - 0.17 to - 0.02) super-dimensions.

CONCLUSIONS

Co-morbidities significantly impact HRQoL of people with IPF, with markedly negative impacts on their HSUs and physical health. A more holistic approach to the care of people with IPF is important as better management of these co-morbidities could lead to improved HRQoL in people with IPF.

Quantitative computed tomography predicts outcomes in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Prediction of disease course in patients with progressive pulmonary fibrosis remains challenging. The purpose of this study was to assess the prognostic value of lung fibrosis extent quantified at computed tomography (CT) using data-driven texture analysis (DTA) in a large cohort of well-characterized patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) enrolled in a national registry.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis included participants in the Australian IPF Registry with available CT between 2007 and 2016. CT scans were analysed using the DTA method to quantify the extent of lung fibrosis. Demographics, longitudinal pulmonary function and quantitative CT metrics were compared using descriptive statistics. Linear mixed models, and Cox analyses adjusted for age, gender, BMI, smoking history and treatment with anti-fibrotics were performed to assess the relationships between baseline DTA, pulmonary function metrics and outcomes.

RESULTS

CT scans of 393 participants were analysed, 221 of which had available pulmonary function testing obtained within 90 days of CT. Linear mixed-effect modelling showed that baseline DTA score was significantly associated with annual rate of decline in forced vital capacity and diffusing capacity of carbon monoxide. In multivariable Cox proportional hazard models, greater extent of lung fibrosis was associated with poorer transplant-free survival (hazard ratio [HR] 1.20, p < 0.0001) and progression-free survival (HR 1.14, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

In a multi-centre observational registry of patients with IPF, the extent of fibrotic abnormality on baseline CT quantified using DTA is associated with outcomes independent of pulmonary function.

Clinical utility of a standardized chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis exposure questionnaire

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Identification of an exposure is integral to the diagnosis, management, and prognostication of chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis (CHP). Standardized questionnaires may aid in the identification of exposures, however, there currently are no evidence-based patient-validated questionnaires available. Key qualifiers (including duration and frequency) which indicate exposure relevance are also poorly defined. This study assessed the use of a standardized CHP exposure questionnaire in the identification of exposures and diagnostic confidence of CHP.

METHODS

People with a multi-disciplinary meeting (MDM) diagnosis from five Australian interstitial lung disease (ILD) expert centres who provided informed consent were included. Participants completed a previously developed standardized CHP Exposure Questionnaire. Responses were collected with the participant's MDM data, including diagnosis, diagnostic confidence, and clinician-elicited exposures.

RESULTS

One hundred thirty participants (IPF = 58, CHP = 24, CTD-ILD = 17, unclassifiable = 19, other = 12) were included. In 33% of CHP participants, a standardized questionnaire elicited an exposure where the clinician did not. 63% of these had provisional low confidence CHP; and an exposure history would have increased the diagnostic confidence in these cases. Using the standardized questionnaire, 96% of CHP participants reporting any exposure, compared with 75% of non-HP ILD participants. CHP participants were 3.5 times more likely (p = 0.004) to report their symptoms improved on avoidance, and 2.3 times more likely (p = 0.018) to report daily frequent exposure, compared with non-HP ILDs.

CONCLUSION

A standardized questionnaire which elicits exposure characteristics in addition to presence or absence of relevant exposures can increase the diagnostic confidence of CHP and reduce the proportion of antigen-indeterminate CHP.

Diagnosing interstitial lung disease by multidisciplinary discussion: A review

The multidisciplinary meeting (MDM) has been endorsed in current international consensus guidelines as the gold standard method for diagnosis of interstitial lung disease (ILD). In the absence of an accurate and reliable diagnostic test, the agreement between multidisciplinary meetings has been used as a surrogate marker for diagnostic accuracy. Although the ILD MDM has been shown to improve inter-clinician agreement on ILD diagnosis, result in a change in diagnosis in a significant proportion of patients and reduce unclassifiable diagnoses, the ideal form for an ILD MDM remains unclear, with constitution and processes of ILD MDMs varying greatly around the world. It is likely that this variation of practice contributes to the lack of agreement seen between MDMs, as well as suboptimal diagnostic accuracy. A recent Delphi study has confirmed the essential components required for the operation of an ILD MDM. The ILD MDM is a changing entity, as it incorporates new diagnostic tests and genetic markers, while also adapting in its form in response to the obstacles of the COVID-19 pandemic. The aim of this review was to evaluate the current evidence regarding ILD MDM and their role in the diagnosis of ILD, the practice of ILD MDM around the world, approaches to ILD MDM standardization and future directions to improve diagnostic accuracy in ILD.

Syndrome of Combined Pulmonary Fibrosis and Emphysema: An Official ATS/ERS/JRS/ALAT Research Statement

Background: The presence of emphysema is relatively common in patients with fibrotic interstitial lung disease. This has been designated combined pulmonary fibrosis and emphysema (CPFE). The lack of consensus over definitions and diagnostic criteria has limited CPFE research. Goals: The objectives of this task force were to review the terminology, definition, characteristics, pathophysiology, and research priorities of CPFE and to explore whether CPFE is a syndrome. Methods: This research statement was developed by a committee including 19 pulmonologists, 5 radiologists, 3 pathologists, 2 methodologists, and 2 patient representatives. The final document was supported by a focused systematic review that identified and summarized all recent publications related to CPFE. Results: This task force identified that patients with CPFE are predominantly male, with a history of smoking, severe dyspnea, relatively preserved airflow rates and lung volumes on spirometry, severely impaired DlCO, exertional hypoxemia, frequent pulmonary hypertension, and a dismal prognosis. The committee proposes to identify CPFE as a syndrome, given the clustering of pulmonary fibrosis and emphysema, shared pathogenetic pathways, unique considerations related to disease progression, increased risk of complications (pulmonary hypertension, lung cancer, and/or mortality), and implications for clinical trial design. There are varying features of interstitial lung disease and emphysema in CPFE. The committee offers a research definition and classification criteria and proposes that studies on CPFE include a comprehensive description of radiologic and, when available, pathological patterns, including some recently described patterns such as smoking-related interstitial fibrosis. Conclusions: This statement delineates the syndrome of CPFE and highlights research priorities.

Efficacy of Pirfenidone vs. Placebo in Unclassifiable Interstitial Lung Disease, by Surgical Lung Biopsy Status: Data From a post-hoc Analysis

Approximately 12–13% of patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) are diagnosed with unclassifiable ILD (uILD), often despite thorough evaluation. A recent Phase 2 study (NCT03099187) described a significant effect of pirfenidone vs. placebo on forced vital capacity (FVC) measured by site spirometry in patients with progressive fibrosing uILD (hereafter referred to as the pirfenidone in uILD study). Here, we present the results from a post-hoc analysis of this study to assess patient baseline characteristics and the efficacy of pirfenidone vs. placebo analyzed by surgical lung biopsy (SLB) status. Mean FVC (mL) change over 24 weeks was included as a post-hoc efficacy outcome. Of 253 randomized patients, 88 (34.8%) had a SLB and 165 (65.2%) did not. Baseline characteristics were generally similar between SLB subgroups; however, patients who had a SLB were slightly younger and had a higher 6-min walk distance than those without a SLB. Mean FVC change over 24 weeks for pirfenidone vs. placebo was −90.9 vs. −146.3 mL, respectively, in patients who had a SLB, and 8.2 vs. −85.3 mL, respectively, in patients without a SLB. Overall, the results from the post-hoc analysis identified that pirfenidone may be an effective treatment in progressive fibrosing uILD over 24 weeks, irrespective of SLB status; however, caution should be taken when interpreting these data due to several limitations. There are differences in the treatment effect of pirfenidone between the subgroups that require further pathological and radiological investigation. In this manuscript, we also descriptively compared baseline characteristics from the overall pirfenidone in uILD study population with other uILD populations reported in the literature, with the aim of understanding if there are any similarities or differences within these cohorts. Most baseline characteristics for patients in the pirfenidone in uILD study were within the ranges reported in the literature; however, ranges were wide, highlighting the heterogeneity of uILD populations.

Deep Learning-based Outcome Prediction in Progressive Fibrotic Lung Disease Using High-resolution Computed Tomography

RATIONALE Reliable outcome prediction in patients with fibrotic lung disease using baseline high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) data remains challenging. OBJECTIVES To evaluate the prognostic accuracy of a deep learning algorithm (SOFIA), trained and validated in the identification of UIP-like features on HRCT (UIP probability), in a large cohort of well characterised patients with progressive fibrotic lung disease, drawn from a national registry. METHODS SOFIA and radiologist-UIP probabilities were converted to PIOPED-based UIP probability categories (UIP not included in the differential: 0-4%, low probability of UIP: 5-29%, intermediate probability of UIP: 30-69%, high probability of UIP: 70-94%, and pathognomonic for UIP:95-100%) and their prognostic utility assessed using Cox proportional hazards modelling. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS On multivariable analysis adjusting for age, gender, guideline based radiologic diagnosis and disease severity (using total ILD extent on HRCT, %predicted FVC, DLco or the CPI), only SOFIA-UIP probability PIOPED categories predicted survival. SOFIA-PIOPED UIP probability categories remained prognostically significant in patients considered indeterminate (n=83) by expert radiologist consensus (HR1.73, p<0.0001, 95%CI 1.40-2.14). In patients undergoing surgical lung biopsy (SLB) (n=86), after adjusting for guideline-based histologic pattern and total ILD extent on HRCT, only SOFIA-PIOPED probabilities were predictive of mortality (HR1.75, p<0.0001, 95%CI 1.37-2.25). CONCLUSIONS Deep learning-based UIP probability on HRCT provides enhanced outcome prediction in patients with progressive fibrotic lung disease when compared to expert radiologist evaluation or guideline-based histologic pattern. In principle this tool may be useful in multidisciplinary characterisation of fibrotic lung disease. The utility of this technology as a decision support system when ILD expertise is unavailable requires further investigation.

Diffuse alveolar haemorrhage as a rare complication of antiphospholipid syndrome

Diffuse alveolar haemorrhage (DAH) is a rare complication of antiphospholipid syndrome. With a mortality rate of 46%, early diagnosis and management remain an ongoing challenge. Case reports are limited, and management guidelines are not yet definitive. In this case report, we present a 43-year-old male with DAH who required high-dose oral steroids, intravenous methylprednisolone cyclophosphamide and rituximab over 18 months to control life-threatening episodes of pulmonary bleeding.

Integrating Clinical Probability into the Diagnostic Approach to Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis: An International Working Group Perspective

BACKGROUND

When considering the diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), experienced clinicians integrate clinical features that help to differentiate IPF from other fibrosing interstitial lung diseases, thus generating a "pre-test" probability of IPF. The aim of this international working group perspective was to summarize these features using a tabulated approach similar to chest HRCT and histopathologic patterns reported in the international guidelines for the diagnosis of IPF, and to help formally incorporate these clinical likelihoods into diagnostic reasoning to facilitate the diagnosis of IPF.

METHODS

The committee group identified factors that influence the clinical likelihood of a diagnosis of IPF, which was categorized as a pre-test clinical probability of IPF into "high" (70-100%), "intermediate" (30-70%), or "low" (0-30%). After integration of radiological and histopathological features, the post-test probability of diagnosis was categorized into "definite" (90-100%), "high confidence" (70-89%), "low confidence" (51-69%), or "low" (0-50%) probability of IPF.

FINDINGS

A conceptual Bayesian framework was created, integrating the clinical likelihood of IPF ("pre-test probability of IPF") with the HRCT pattern, the histopathology pattern when available, and/or the pattern of observed disease behavior into a "post-test probability of IPF". The diagnostic probability of IPF was expressed using an adapted diagnostic ontology for fibrotic interstitial lung diseases.

INTERPRETATION

The present approach will help incorporate the clinical judgement into the diagnosis of IPF, thus facilitating the application of IPF diagnostic guidelines and, ultimately improving diagnostic confidence and reducing the need for invasive diagnostic techniques.

Pirfenidone in Unclassifiable Interstitial Lung Disease: A Subgroup Analysis by Concomitant Mycophenolate Mofetil and/or Previous Corticosteroid Use

Introduction

There are currently no approved treatments solely for unclassifiable interstitial lung disease (uILD); however, a recent trial showed this population can benefit from pirfenidone. We report a subgroup analysis of this trial to assess the effects of immunomodulators (concomitant mycophenolate mofetil [MMF] and/or previous corticosteroids) with pirfenidone in patients with uILD.

Methods

This was a multicenter, international, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled phase II trial of patients with progressive fibrosing uILD (NCT03099187). Patients were randomized (1:1) to receive pirfenidone 2403 mg/day or placebo. This analysis assessed forced vital capacity (FVC) change from baseline measured using site spirometry (key secondary endpoint) and safety over 24 weeks by concomitant MMF use at randomization (pre-specified analysis) and/or previous corticosteroid use (post hoc analysis).

Results

Overall, 253 patients were randomized, including 45 (17.8%) patients (pirfenidone, n = 23; placebo, n = 22) receiving concomitant MMF with/without previous corticosteroids (MMF subgroup); 79 (31.2%) patients (pirfenidone, n = 44; placebo, n = 35) receiving previous corticosteroids without MMF (corticosteroids/no-MMF subgroup); and 129 (51.0%) patients (pirfenidone, n = 60; placebo, n = 69) not receiving concomitant MMF or previous corticosteroids (no-corticosteroids/no-MMF subgroup). At 24 weeks, difference in mean (95% confidence interval) FVC change from baseline between pirfenidone and placebo was − 55.4 mL (− 206.7, 96.0; P = 0.4645) in the MMF subgroup; 128.4 mL (− 6.4, 263.3; P = 0.0617) in the corticosteroids/no-MMF subgroup; and 115.5 mL (35.1, 195.9; P = 0.0052) in the no-corticosteroids/no-MMF subgroup. All subgroups generally exhibited a similar pattern of treatment-emergent adverse events.

Conclusion

Although limited by design and small sample sizes, this analysis suggests pirfenidone may be less effective in patients with uILD receiving concomitant MMF, whereas a beneficial treatment effect was observed in patients not receiving concomitant MMF regardless of previous corticosteroid use. Pirfenidone was well tolerated regardless of MMF and/or corticosteroid use.

Trial Registration Number

ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03099187.

Detection and Early Referral of Patients With Interstitial Lung Abnormalities: An Expert Survey Initiative

BACKGROUND

Interstitial lung abnormalities (ILA) may represent undiagnosed early-stage or subclinical interstitial lung disease (ILD). ILA are often observed incidentally in patients who subsequently develop clinically overt ILD. There is limited information on consensus definitions for, and the appropriate evaluation of, ILA. Early recognition of patients with ILD remains challenging, yet critically important. Expert consensus could inform early recognition and referral.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Can consensus-based expert recommendations be identified to guide clinicians in the recognition, referral, and follow-up of patients with or at risk of developing early ILDs?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Pulmonologists and radiologists with expertise in ILD participated in two iterative rounds of surveys. The surveys aimed to establish consensus regarding ILA reporting, identification of patients with ILA, and identification of populations that might benefit from screening for ILD. Recommended referral criteria and follow-up processes were also addressed. Threshold for consensus was defined a priori as ≥ 75% agreement or disagreement.

RESULTS

Fifty-five experts were invited and 44 participated; consensus was reached on 39 of 85 questions. The following clinically important statements achieved consensus: honeycombing and traction bronchiectasis or bronchiolectasis indicate potentially progressive ILD; honeycombing detected during lung cancer screening should be reported as potentially significant (eg, with the Lung CT Screening Reporting and Data System "S-modifier" [Lung-RADS; which indicates clinically significant or potentially significant noncancer findings]), recommending referral to a pulmonologist in the radiology report; high-resolution CT imaging and full pulmonary function tests should be ordered if nondependent subpleural reticulation, traction bronchiectasis, honeycombing, centrilobular ground-glass nodules, or patchy ground-glass opacity are observed on CT imaging; patients with honeycombing or traction bronchiectasis should be referred to a pulmonologist irrespective of diffusion capacity values; and patients with systemic sclerosis should be screened with pulmonary function tests for early-stage ILD.

INTERPRETATION

Guidance was established for identifying clinically relevant ILA, subsequent referral, and follow-up. These results lay the foundation for developing practical guidance on managing patients with ILA.

Defining anti-synthetase syndrome: a systematic literature review

OBJECTIVES

Anti-synthetase syndrome (ASSD) is a heterogeneous autoimmune disease characterised by multi-system involvement with a wide variety of manifestations. Validated classification criteria are necessary to improve recognition and prevent misclassification, especially given the lack of reliable and standardised autoantibody testing. We systematically reviewed the literature to analyse proposed ASSD criteria, characteristics, and diagnostic performance.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and Embase databases (01/01/1984 to 06/11/2018) and the ACR and EULAR meeting abstracts (2017-2018). Sensitivities, specificities, positive, negative likelihood ratios and risk of bias were calculated for ASSD criteria and key variables reported in the literature. We performed meta-analysis when appropriate.

RESULTS

We retrieved 4,358 studies. We found 85 proposed ASSD criteria from a total of 82 studies. All but one study included anti-synthetase autoantibody (ARS) positivity in the ASSD criteria. Most studies required only one ASSD feature plus anti-ARS to define ASSD (n=64, 78%), whereas 16 studies required more than one ASSD variable plus anti-ARS. The only criteria not including anti-ARS positivity required 5 ASSD clinical features. We found limited data and wide variability in the diagnostic performance of each variable and definition proposed in the literature. Given these limitations we only meta-analysed the performance of individual muscle biopsy and clinical variables in diagnosing ASSD, which performed poorly.

CONCLUSIONS

The current ASSD criteria include a variety of serological, clinical, and histological features with wide variability amongst proposed definitions and the performance of these definitions has not been tested. This systematic literature review suggests the need for additional data and consensus-driven classification criteria for ASSD.

Phase 2 trial design of BMS-986278, a lysophosphatidic acid receptor 1 (LPA1) antagonist, in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) or progressive fibrotic interstitial lung disease (PF-ILD)

Introduction

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and non-IPF, progressive fibrotic interstitial lung diseases (PF-ILD), are associated with a progressive loss of lung function and a poor prognosis. Treatment with antifibrotic agents can slow, but not halt, disease progression, and treatment discontinuation because of adverse events is common. Fibrotic diseases such as these can be mediated by lysophosphatidic acid (LPA), which signals via six LPA receptors (LPA_1–6). Signalling via LPA₁ appears to be fundamental in the pathogenesis of fibrotic diseases. BMS-986278, a second-generation LPA₁ antagonist, is currently in phase 2 development as a therapy for IPF and PF-ILD.

Methods and analysis

This phase 2, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, international trial will include adults with IPF or PF-ILD. The trial will consist of a 42-day screening period, a 26-week placebo-controlled treatment period, an optional 26-week active-treatment extension period, and a 28-day post-treatment follow-up. Patients in both the IPF (n=240) and PF-ILD (n=120) cohorts will be randomised 1:1:1 to receive 30 mg or 60 mg BMS-986278, or placebo, administered orally two times per day for 26 weeks in the placebo-controlled treatment period. The primary endpoint is rate of change in per cent predicted forced vital capacity from baseline to week 26 in the IPF cohort.

Ethics and dissemination

This study will be conducted in accordance with Good Clinical Practice guidelines, Declaration of Helsinki principles, and local ethical and legal requirements. Results will be reported in a peer-reviewed publication.

Trial registration number

NCT04308681.

Mortality and survival in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

There are substantial advances in diagnosis and treatment for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), but without much evidence available on recent mortality and survival trends.

Methods

A narrative synthesis approach was used to investigate the mortality trends, then meta-analyses for survival trends were carried out based on various time periods.

Results

Six studies reported the mortality data for IPF in 22 countries, and 62 studies (covering 63 307 patients from 20 countries) reported survival data for IPF. Age-standardised mortality for IPF varied from ∼0.5 to ∼12 per 100 000 population per year after year 2000. There were increased mortality trends for IPF in Australia, Brazil, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and UK, while Austria, Croatia, Denmark, Romania and the USA showed decreased mortality trends. The overall 3-year and 5-year cumulative survival rates (CSRs) were 61.8% (95% CI 58.7-64.9; I2=97.1%) and 45.6% (95% CI 41.5-49.7; I2=97.7%), respectively. Prior to 2010, the pooled 3-year CSR was 59.9% (95% CI 55.8-64.1; I2=95.8%), then not significantly (p=0.067) increased to 66.2% (95% CI 62.9-69.5; I2=92.6%) in the 2010s decade. After excluding three studies in which no patients received antifibrotics after year 2010, the pooled 3-year CSRs significantly (p=0.039) increased to 67.4% (95% CI 63.9-70.9; I2=93.1%) in the 2010s decade.

Discussion

IPF is a diagnosis associated with high mortality. There was no observed increasing survival trend for patients with IPF before year 2010, with then a switch to an improvement, which is probably multifactorial.

Incidence, prevalence and mortality of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in Australia

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is one of the most common forms of interstitial lung diseases. While studies have been conducted in other countries to determine the epidemiological burden of IPF, there is limited information in Australia. Our study aimed to address this gap and generate the first estimates for the mortality, incidence and prevalence of IPF in Australia.

METHODS

Estimates were generated by utilizing the novel Mortality Incidence Analysis Model (MIAMOD) method and software based on the illness-death model. Data inputs included population estimates and mortality data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) for the period 1997-2015 and participant data from the Australian IPF Registry (AIPFR). Projections were estimated for a 10-year period up to 2025.

RESULTS

Overall crude and age-standardized estimates for mortality were 5.9 and 6.3 per 100,000 population; incidence, 10.4 and 11.2 per 100,000 population; and prevalence, 32.6 and 35.1 per 100,000 population. Crude and age-standardized mortality, incidence and prevalence increased over the study period; however, they demonstrated a decreasing trend over the projected period. Persons older than 70 years constituted 9% of the population; however, they accounted for approximately 82%-83% of all deaths, incident and prevalent cases. All estimates were higher in males than in females.

CONCLUSION

Our study provides the first estimates for incidence, prevalence and mortality of IPF in Australia. By reporting national estimates for IPF, our study addresses an information gap important for policy, planning and to help optimize the allocation of resources for the management of patients with IPF.

TELO-SCOPE study: a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 2 trial of danazol for short telomere related pulmonary fibrosis

Introduction

Recent discoveries have identified shortened telomeres and related mutations in people with pulmonary fibrosis (PF). There is evidence to suggest that androgens, including danazol, may be effective in lengthening telomeres in peripheral blood cells. This study aims to assess the safety and efficacy of danazol in adults and children with PF associated with telomere shortening.

Methods and analysis

A multi-centre, double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomised trial of danazol will be conducted in subjects aged >5 years with PF associated with age-adjusted telomere length ≤10th centile measured by flow fluorescence in situ hybridisation; or in children, a diagnosis of dyskeratosis congenita. Adult participants will receive danazol 800 mg daily in two divided doses or identical placebo capsules orally for 12 months, in addition to standard of care (including pirfenidone or nintedanib). Paediatric participants will receive danazol 2 mg/kg/day orally in two divided doses or identical placebo for 6 months. If no side effects are encountered, the dose will be escalated to 4 mg/kg/day (maximum 800 mg daily) orally in two divided doses for a further 6 months. The primary outcome is change in absolute telomere length in base pairs, measured using the telomere shortest length assay (TeSLA), at 12 months in the intention to treat population.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethics approval has been granted in Australia by the Metro South Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC/2020/QMS/66385). The study will be conducted and reported according to Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials guidelines. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals and presented at international and national conferences.

Trial registration numbers

NCT04638517; Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12620001363976p).

Barriers and facilitators to best care for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in Australia

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

In Australia, little is known about delivery of care for people with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). This study examined the organization of IPF care across Australia, how it aligns with guidance for best practice, and identified barriers and facilitators to best care.

METHODS

Data on the organization of IPF care in Australia were collected from public hospitals using a study-specific questionnaire between February and July 2020. Semi-structured telephone interviews were conducted with respiratory physicians from around Australia between April and December 2020. Interviews were transcribed verbatim and thematic analysis was undertaken.

RESULTS

Almost all hospitals (n = 38, 97%) held multidisciplinary meetings (MDMs) for diagnosing IPF, with 90% of multidisciplinary teams including expert respiratory physicians and radiologists; however, rheumatologists, interstitial lung disease nurses and a histopathologist were often not available. More than 90% of institutions had access to oxygen therapy, pulmonary rehabilitation and advanced care planning, but access to psychological support and clinical trials was limited (53% and 58%, respectively). Fifteen respiratory physicians (27% regional) were interviewed. Approaches to diagnosis, treatment and access to referral services were generally consistent with best practice guidance; however, regional respondents reported barriers related to inadequate staffing, lack of a nurse coordinator, inadequate access to clinical trials and funding models. Telehealth technologies were perceived as facilitators to best care.

CONCLUSION

Clinical management of IPF in Australia generally aligns with best practice guidance, but there may be some inequity of access to specialist services, particularly in regional areas, that should be addressed to ensure optimal care for all.

Nailfold capillaroscopy by smartphone-dermatoscope for connective tissue disease diagnosis in interstitial lung disease: a prospective observational study

Nailfold capillaroscopy (NFC) is a non-invasive tool validated for systemic sclerosis diagnosis. The role and interpretation of NFC in interstitial lung disease (ILD) patients for the diagnosis of connective tissue disease associated ILD (CTD-ILD) remains undefined.

In a prospective study, quantitative and qualitative NFC by smartphone-dermatoscope (3M Dermlite-DL4ΤΜ attached to iPhone-6plusΤΜ) was performed in 96 patients with well-defined CTD-ILD (n=27) and non-CTD ILD (n=69; idiopathic interstitial pneumonia n=42, interstitial pneumonia with autoimmune features n=27) by ILD-multidisciplinary meeting. NFC scoring was performed by two independent, blinded specialist rheumatologists. Comprehensive baseline clinical, serological, physiological and radiological data were included. Multivariable models for CTD diagnosis in ILD, comprising nailfold characteristics at empirical thresholds determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and clinical variables, were explored.

In 94 patients with complete NFC data (total 687 images, median eight images per patient from eight digits), low capillary density (<6 capillaries/millimetre), increased giant capillaries (≥3), avascular areas (≥2) and microhaemorrhages all strongly enhanced the discrimination of CTD-ILD from non-CTD ILD (OR 5.00–7.47) independent of clinical covariates. In multivariable analysis, low capillary density and microhaemorrhages were independent predictors of CTD in ILD additional to the risk conferred by serology and radiology. Microhaemorrhages were also a strong predictor of CTD (adjusted OR 13.45, p=0.006) independent of clinical manifestations. All pre-specified qualitative NFC classification schemes identified CTD-ILD (OR range 3.27–8.47).

NFC performed by smartphone-dermatoscope is an accessible, clinically feasible tool that may improve the identification of CTD further to routine clinical assessment of the ILD patient.

Nailfold capillaroscopy by smartphone-dermatoscope is a safe, feasible tool that may improve the identification of connective tissue disease associated with interstitial lung disease beyond routine clinical assessmenthttps://bit.ly/3iLjxUy

Recent trends in pirfenidone and nintedanib use for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in Australia

ObjectivesIdiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is one of the most common forms of interstitial lung disease presenting in people aged ≥50 years. There is currently no cure for IPF, but two medications (pirfenidone and nintedanib) have been shown to slow the functional decline of the lungs. In 2017, these two medications were listed on the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) for subsidisation in Australia. This study evaluated local trends in the use of these two medications.MethodsPrescription data for this analysis were obtained from the PBS Item Reports for the period May 2017-May 2020. Population data were extracted from the Australian Bureau of Statistics data cubes. A descriptive approach was used to conduct and report the analysis to illustrate trends in the use of these two medications and associated costs.ResultsThere were 44 010 prescriptions processed for the treatment for IPF in the 3-year period. Nintedanib use was higher than pirfenidone use, accounting for 54% of prescriptions. New South Wales accounted for 35% of the total prescriptions but, when standardised against population size, the Australian Capital Territory accounted for the highest proportion of prescriptions (24%). Prescriptions for nintedanib and pirfenidone were associated with a total cost of A$131 377 951 over the period 2017-20.ConclusionThis study provides initial information on prescription rates, practices and expenditure for pirfenidone and nintedanib. In addition, we provide some insight into possible pharmacological and epidemiological trends based on jurisdictional differences. Together, the results from this study provide a platform for future research given the dearth of information on IPF in Australia.What is known about the topic?Data regarding trends in the utilisation of antifibrotics for the treatment of IPF in Australia are currently limited.What does this paper add?This study demonstrated that nintedanib use was slightly higher than pirfenidone use, and that there were variations in jurisdictional prescribing practices. The highest number of prescriptions and costs were attributable to New South Wales but, when standardised against population size, the Australian Capital Territory had the highest number of prescriptions and costs.What are the implications for practitioners?This study provides some insights into the use of pirfenidone and nintedanib, as well as pharmacoepidemiological trends, in Australia, which is useful for economic evaluation and modelling future health expenditure.

Biomarker signatures for progressive idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

RATIONALE

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive lung disease in which circulatory biomarkers has the potential for guiding management in clinical practice.

OBJECTIVES

We assessed the prognostic role of serum biomarkers in three independent IPF cohorts, the Australian IPF Registry (AIPFR), Trent Lung Fibrosis (TLF) and Prospective Observation of Fibrosis in the Lung Clinical Endpoints (PROFILE).

METHODS

In the AIPFR, candidate proteins were assessed by ELISA as well as in an unbiased proteomic approach. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was used to restrict the selection of markers that best accounted for the progressor phenotype at one-year in AIPFR, and subsequently prospectively selected for replication in the validation TLF cohort and assessed retrospectively in PROFILE. Four significantly replicating biomarkers were aggregated into a progression index (PI) model based on tertiles of circulating concentrations.

MAIN RESULTS

One-hundred and eighty-nine participants were included in the AIPFR cohort, 205 participants from the TLF, and 122 participants from the PROFILE cohorts. Differential biomarker expression was observed by ELISA and replicated for osteopontin, matrix metallopeptidase-7, intercellular adhesion molecule-1 and periostin for those with a progressor phenotype at one-year. Proteomic data did not replicate. The PI in the AIPFR, TLF and PROFILE predicted risk of progression, mortality and progression-free survival. A statistical model incorporating PI demonstrated the capacity to distinguish disease progression at 12 months, which was increased beyond the clinical GAP model alone in all cohorts, and significantly so within incidence based TLF and PROFILE cohorts.

CONCLUSION

A panel of circulatory biomarkers can provide potentially valuable clinical assistance in the prognosis of IPF patients.

Management of Acute Exacerbation of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis in Specialised and Non-specialised ILD Centres Around the World

Background: Acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (AE-IPF) is a severe complication associated with a high mortality. However, evidence and guidance on management is sparse. The aim of this international survey was to assess differences in prevention, diagnostic and treatment strategies for AE-IPF in specialised and non-specialised ILD centres worldwide.

Material and Methods: Pulmonologists working in specialised and non-specialised ILD centres were invited to participate in a survey designed by an international expert panel. Responses were evaluated in respect to the physicians' institutions.

Results: Three hundred and two (65%) of the respondents worked in a specialised ILD centre, 134 (29%) in a non-specialised pulmonology centre. Similarities were frequent with regards to diagnostic methods including radiology and screening for infection, treatment with corticosteroids, use of high-flow oxygen and non-invasive ventilation in critical ill patients and palliative strategies. However, differences were significant in terms of the use of KL-6 and pathogen testing in urine, treatments with cyclosporine and recombinant thrombomodulin, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in critical ill patients as well as antacid medication and anaesthesia measures as preventive methods.

Conclusion: Despite the absence of recommendations, approaches to the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of AE-IPF are comparable in specialised and non-specialised ILD centres, yet certain differences in the managements of AE-IPF exist. Clinical trials and guidelines are needed to improve patient care and prognosis in AE-IPF.