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Calabrese EJ, Selby PB. Cover up and cancer risk assessment: Prominent US scientists suppressed evidence to promote adoption of LNT. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2022; 210:112973. [PMID: 35182593 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.112973] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2022] [Revised: 02/15/2022] [Accepted: 02/15/2022] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
This paper reports that William Russell, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), conducted a large-scale lifetime study from 1956 to 1959 showing that exposure of young adult male mice to a large dose of acute X-rays had no treatment effects on male and female offspring concerning longevity or the frequency, severity, or age distribution of neoplasms and other diseases. Despite the scientific, societal and crucial timing significance of the study, Russell did not publish the findings for almost 35 years, nor did he inform governmental advisory committees, thereby significantly biasing decisions made during this period which supported the adoption of LNT for risk assessment. Of further significance, Arthur Upton, an ORNL colleague of Russell during this study and later Director of the US National Cancer Institute (NCI), was also fully knowledgeable of this study, its findings and its negative impact on the acceptance of LNT. Upton later worked along with Russell to publish these data (i.e., Cosgrove et al., 1993) to dispute the case-specific claim that children developed cancer because of the radiation exposure of their fathers as workers at the Sellafield nuclear plant. Thus, while Russell's data were available, but were not used to challenge the key radiation and leukemia paper of Edward B. Lewis, (1957) when LNT was being adopted by regulatory agencies, they were used in a major trial in the United Kingdom (UK) for the client (i.e., British Nuclear Fuels Plc) that hired Upton. While the duplicity of Russell's and Upton's actions is striking, the key finding of the present paper is that Russell and Upton intentionally orchestrated and sustained an LNT cover up during the key period of LNT adoption by regulatory agencies, thereby showing an overwhelming bias to enhance the adoption of LNT.
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Nursapina NA, Shynybek BA, Matveyeva IV, Nazarkulova SN, Štrok M, Benedik L, Ponomarenko OI. Effect of mineral fertilisers application on the transfer of natural radionuclides from soil to radish (Raphanus sativus L.). JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RADIOACTIVITY 2022; 247:106863. [PMID: 35325629 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2022.106863] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/08/2021] [Revised: 02/25/2022] [Accepted: 03/05/2022] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Non-controlled usage of mineral fertilisers in agriculture land of Kazakhstan is a concerning issue, due to possible contamination of the soil by radionuclides. Pot experiment of growing of R. sativus with application of mineral fertilisers was carried out under natural conditions. Two commonly used mineral fertilisers, mono-potassium phosphate and ammonium nitrate, were chosen in the frame of current research to determine the impact of mineral fertiliser on transfer of natural radionuclides from soil to R. sativus edible part. For this goal, the activity concentrations of natural radionuclides U-234, U-238, Th-230, Th-232 and Ra-226, were determined in both R. sativus edible part and the investigated soil by using alpha-particle spectrometry. The highest activity concentrations were found for R. sativus edible part growing on soil that was fertilised by mono-potassium phosphate and were equal to 174 ± 17, 134 ± 15, 62 ± 4, 15 ± 2 and 2.8 ± 0.6 Bq/kg for U-234, U-238, Th-230, Th-232 and Ra-226, respectively. The results of soil-to- R. sativus edible part transfer factor for different radionuclides varied depending on the mineral fertiliser used. For evaluation of impact during consumption of R. sativus edible part by a population of Kazakhstan, annual effective ingestion dose and excess lifetime cancer risk were determined. The highest annual effective ingestion dose was found for R. sativus edible part cultivated in mono-potassium phosphate-fertilised soil and was equal to 4.4 μSv year-1.
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Xu J, Liu Y, Zhang Q, Su Z, Yan T, Zhou S, Wang T, Wei X, Chen Z, Hu G, Chen T, Jia G. DNA damage, serum metabolomic alteration and carcinogenic risk associated with low-level air pollution. ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION (BARKING, ESSEX : 1987) 2022; 297:118763. [PMID: 34998894 DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2021.118763] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2021] [Revised: 12/23/2021] [Accepted: 12/26/2021] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Outdoor air pollution has been classified as carcinogenic to humans (Group 1) for lung cancer, but the underlying mechanism and key toxic components remain incompletely understood. Since DNA damage and metabolite alterations are associated with cancer progression, exploring potential mechanisms linking air pollution and cancer might be meaningful. In this study, a real-time ambient air exposure system was established to simulate the real-world environment of adult male SD rats in Beijing from June 13th, 2018, to October 8th, 2018. 8-OHdG in the urine, γ-H2AX in the lungs and mtDNA copy number in the peripheral blood were analyzed to explore DNA damage at different levels. Serum non-targeted metabolomics analysis was performed. Pair-wise spearman was used to explore the correlation between DNA damage biomarkers and serum differential metabolites. Carcinogenic risks of heavy metals and PAHs via inhalation were assessed according to US EPA guidelines. Results showed that PM2.5 and O3 were the major air pollutants in the exposure group and not detected in the control group. Compared with control group, higher levels of 8-OHdG, mtDNA copy number, γ-H2AX and PCNA-positive nuclei cells were observed in the exposure group. Histopathological evaluation suggested ambient air induced alveolar wall thickening and inflammatory cell infiltration in lungs. Perturbed metabolic pathways identified included glycolysis/gluconeogenesis metabolism, purine and pyrimidine metabolism, etc. γ-H2AX was positively correlated with serum ADP, 3-phospho-D-glyceroyl phosphate and N-acetyl-D-glucosamine. The BaPeq was 0.120 ng/m3. Risks of Cr(VI), As, V, BaP, BaA and BbF were above 1 × 10-6. We concluded that low-level air pollution was associated with DNA damage and serum metabolomic alterations in rats. Cr(VI) and BaP were identified as key carcinogenic components in PM2.5. Our results provided experimental evidence for hazard identification and risk assessment of low-level air pollution.
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Xue S, Ding W, Li L, Ma J, Chai F, Liu J. Emission, dispersion, and potential risk of volatile organic and odorous compounds in the exhaust gas from two sludge thermal drying processes. WASTE MANAGEMENT (NEW YORK, N.Y.) 2022; 138:116-124. [PMID: 34875454 DOI: 10.1016/j.wasman.2021.11.040] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2021] [Revised: 11/22/2021] [Accepted: 11/25/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Emissions of odorous and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) were investigated between two sludge drying methods. A total of 37 chemical compounds were identified and quantified from the off-gases from sludge drying by indirect drying method. The total number of VOCs detected ranged from 3.45 × 10-3 to 4.53 mg/m3, which includes benzene series, volatile organic sulfur, and nitrogenous organic compounds. High emissions were found in the exhaust gas released from drying workshop that used direct drying method. Sulfur dioxide, aromatics, and chlorinated compounds were dominant. Based on the olfactory effect analysis and cancer risk assessment, the main odor-causing gaseous pollutants were methyl mercaptan and methyl sulfide (for indirect sludge drying process) and SO2 (for direct sludge drying process), while the dominant carcinogens were benzene, carbon tetrachloride, chloroform, and methylene. This study provides new insights into the emission characteristics, olfactory effects, and cancer risks of VOCs and odorous compounds in the exhaust gas from thermal sludge drying processes.
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Adjei JK, Ofori A, Megbenu HK, Ahenguah T, Boateng AK, Adjei GA, Bentum JK, Essumang DK. Health risk and source assessment of semi-volatile phenols, p-chloroaniline and plasticizers in plastic packaged (sachet) drinking water. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2021; 797:149008. [PMID: 34303974 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/11/2021] [Revised: 07/08/2021] [Accepted: 07/08/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
The presence of U.S. EPA priority organic contaminants in drinking water poses a dire health risk on consumers. Packaged drinking water such as plastic sachet drinking water has significantly gained market in both developed and developing countries, especially, its dominance in the Ghanaian market. The treatment process, packaging, and storage of the sachet drinking water contribute to the levels of genotoxic semi-volatile phenols, p-chloroaniline, and plasticizers contamination in the drinking water. The study thus sought to investigate the levels of semi-volatile phenols, p-chloroaniline, and plasticizer contaminants in sachet drinking water on the Ghanaian market and the associated health risk of exposure. The study also investigated the possible sources of the contaminants. A total of thirty (30) different brands of sachet water on the Ghanaian market were studied. The samples were extracted in replicates (n = 3) using Solid Phase Extraction (SPE) cartridges and further analysed with GC-MS (SIM mode). The source apportionment was conducted using absolute principal component analysis coupled with multiple, linear regression (APCA-MLR) and automatic linear regression (APCA-MALR) modelling. The mean total levels for the phenols, p-chloroaniline, and plasticizers were between 210.2 and 18,914.9, 11.2 and 18,871.0, and 21.2 and 69,834.1 ng/L respectively. The cumulative non-cancer risk (hazard quotient) and cancer risk upon exposure were computed to range between 2.1 × 10-3 and 1.2 and 1.5 × 10-7 and 1.3 × 10-4 respectively. About 37% of the samples had elevated cancer risk (>10-6) which may contribute to the existing incidence, cause for concern. The five sources found for the contaminants were apportioned as "environmental background (major)", "water treatment/disinfectant", "plastic/plasticizers", "storage and preservation", and "residual inter-conversion/degradation sources".
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Proctor DM, Bhat V, Suh M, Reichert H, Jiang X, Thompson CM. Inhalation cancer risk assessment for environmental exposure to hexavalent chromium: Comparison of margin-of-exposure and linear extrapolation approaches. Regul Toxicol Pharmacol 2021; 124:104969. [PMID: 34089813 DOI: 10.1016/j.yrtph.2021.104969] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2020] [Revised: 05/24/2021] [Accepted: 05/26/2021] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
Abstract
Hexavalent chromium [Cr(VI)] exists in the ambient air at low concentrations (average upperbound ~0.1 ng/m3) yet airborne concentrations typically exceed EPA's Regional Screening Level for residential exposure (0.012 ng/m3) and other similar benchmarks, which assume a mutagenic mode of action (MOA) and use low-dose linear risk assessment models. We reviewed Cr(VI) inhalation unit risk estimates developed by researchers and regulatory agencies for environmental and occupational exposures and the underlying epidemiologic data, updated a previously published MOA analysis, and conducted dose-response modeling of rodent carcinogenicity data to evaluate the need for alternative exposure-response data and risk assessment approaches. Current research supports the role of non-mutagenic key events in the MOA, with growing evidence for epigenetic modifiers. Animal data show a weak carcinogenic response, even at cytotoxic exposures, and highlight the uncertainties associated with the current epidemiological data used in risk assessment. Points of departure from occupational and animal studies were used to determine margins of exposure (MOEs). MOEs range from 1.5 E+3 to 3.3 E+6 with a median of 5 E+5, indicating that current environmental exposures to Cr(VI) in ambient air should be considered of low concern. In this comprehensive review, the divergent results from default linear and MOE assessments support the need for more relevant and robust epidemiologic data, additional mechanistic studies, and refined risk assessment strategies.
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Alshemmari H, Al-Shareedah AE, Rajagopalan S, Talebi LA, Hajeyah M. Pesticides driven pollution in Kuwait: The first evidence of environmental exposure to pesticides in soils and human health risk assessment. CHEMOSPHERE 2021; 273:129688. [PMID: 33524749 DOI: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2021.129688] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2020] [Revised: 01/11/2021] [Accepted: 01/15/2021] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Soil pollution from pesticide residues is a key concern due to the high soil accumulation of pesticides and their human toxicity. Pesticide concentration of surface soil samples from the Sulaibiya agricultural field located in Kuwait was assessed in the present study. The study also investigated health risk assessment for both children and adults based on the residual concentrations. The average concentration of ƩOCPs (sum of organochlorine pesticides) along the present study was 3062 pg/g. The residual concentration of ƩOCPs was comparatively lower as compared to other locations around the world. Out of the 11 observed locations, A, B, and D locations indicated higher concentrations of ƩOCPs. The results indicated that DDT showed higher concentrations 692.87 pg/g in soil samples as compared to the other pesticides. Cancer risks of OCP via ingestion, dermal contact and inhalation of soil particles suggested that all stations were in a safe zone. However, locations A, B and D were closer to the low-risk band. The distribution pattern for each form of organochlorine pesticides (OCP) was different in Sulaibiya, indicating the non-simultaneous use of different groups of OCPs in this region. Multivariate statistical analysis based on cluster analysis identified three classes, 1, 2 and 3 of pesticides, suggesting these are from the same sources. Principle component analysis (PCA) showed that soil physicochemical properties influence the pesticides in soil samples. The results provides the baseline data of pesticides in soils from Kuwait.
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Calabrese EJ. LNT and cancer risk assessment: Its flawed foundations part 2: How unsound LNT science became accepted. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2021; 197:111041. [PMID: 33794170 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2021.111041] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2021] [Revised: 03/12/2021] [Accepted: 03/13/2021] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
This paper argues that Edward B. Lewis served as a type of independent academic radiation LNT-cancer risk assessment-stalking horse for the BEAR Genetics Panel, a task for which he had no expertise or experience (e.g. radiation, leukemia, epidemiology and statistical modelling). His efforts produced an insufficiently documented, strongly biased, and high-profile paper in Science (May 17, 1957), whose principal conclusions had not been proven, he asserted privately, in writing. This inconclusive perspective was well camouflaged in the published paper by means of sophisticated wordsmithing. At the time his academic department head George Beadle came to chair the BEAR Genetics Panel in the summer of 1956, the Beadle-inspired-Lewis LNT activity acquired an urgency when a study of 70,000 offspring from survivors of the A-bombs failed to show genetic damage after a decade of careful study, undercutting Panel recommendations. With Beadle's guidance, the Lewis effort redirected the Panel's focus from the atomic bomb genetic damage study, which had acrimoniously disrupted Panel relationships and priorities, to more immediate disciplinary/professional opportunities with concerns about fallout, leukemia risks and a new cancer causation role for mutation. The serious limitations of the Lewis paper affected neither its publication in Science nor its receiving an editorial endorsement, possibly due to influence by powerful Panel members, such as Bentley Glass, one of only six senior editors for Science. The Science publication restored, even though improperly, the scientific and moral initiatives of the Panel and led directly to multiple high level LNT recommendations for cancer risk assessment based on the Precautionary Principle, which Lewis asserted, and which remains in place today in essentially all countries. The present paper explores how such a scientific long-shot and quasi-stalking horse, who was unsupported by BEAR Panel members during the withering criticism prompted by his Science article, nevertheless endured in the pursuit of his LNT goal, becoming strikingly successful in achieving a global cancer risk assessment revolution which remains in place.
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Calabrese EJ. LNT and cancer risk assessment: Its flawed foundations part 1: Radiation and leukemia: Where LNT began. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2021; 197:111025. [PMID: 33744270 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2021.111025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2021] [Revised: 03/12/2021] [Accepted: 03/13/2021] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
This paper evaluates the scientific basis for the adoption of the linear non-threshold (LNT) dose response model for radiation-induced leukemia. This LNT risk assessment application for leukemia is significant because it: (1) was generalized for all tumor types induced by ionizing radiation and chemical carcinogens at relatively high doses and; (2) it was based on the mechanistic assumption of low dose linearity for somatic cell mutations as determined from responses in mature spermatozoa of fruit flies. A serious problem with the latter assumption is that those spermatozoa lack DNA repair. The acceptance of the LNT dose response model for cancer risk assessment was based on the convergence of recommendations of the BEAR I Genetics Panel (1956a) for reproductive cell gene mutations and those of Lewis (1957a) for somatic cell mutation and its capacity to explain apparent and/or predicted linear dose responses of ionizing radiation-induced leukemia in multiple and diverse epidemiological investigations. Use of that model and related dose response beliefs achieved rapid, widespread and enduring acceptance in the scientific and regulatory communities. They provide the key historical foundation for the sustained LNT-based policy for cancer risk assessment to the present. While previous papers in this series have challenged key scientific assessments and ethical foundations of the BEAR I Genetics Panel, the present paper provides evidence that Lewis: 1) incorrectly interpreted the fundamental scientific studies used to support the LNT conclusion even though such studies show consistent hormetic-J-shaped dose response relationships for leukemia in Hiroshima and Nagasaki survivors; and, 2) demonstrated widespread bias in support of an LNT conclusion and related policies, which kept him from making an objective and fair assessment. The LNT recommendation appears to have been uncritically accepted and integrated into scientific and regulatory practice in large part because it inappropriately appealed to existing authority and it garnered the support of those who were willing to risk greatly exaggerating the public's fears of environmentally-induced disease, such as enhanced risk of leukemia, with the goal of stopping the atmospheric testing of atomic bombs. Adoption of the LNT recommendation demonstrated extensive penetration of ideological influence affecting governmental, scientific and regulatory evaluation at the highest levels in the United States. This paper demonstrates that the scientific foundations for cancer risk assessment were inappropriately and inaccurately assessed, unethically adopted and require significant historical, scientific and regulatory remediation.
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Téllez Tovar SS, Rodríguez Susa M. Cancer risk assessment from exposure to trihalomethanes in showers by inhalation. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2021; 196:110401. [PMID: 33130164 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.110401] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2020] [Revised: 09/25/2020] [Accepted: 10/25/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
In many countries water disinfection for human consumption is still carried out via chlorination which generates by-products such as trihalomethanes (THM). Exposure to THM constitutes a public health risk as such substances are known to be carcinogenic. This study evaluated exposure to THMs by inhalation in showers and assessed the carcinogenic risk for lifetime exposure. The study population involved students at Universidad de los Andes residing in Bogotá, Colombia. The risk assessment was performed stochastically and the exposure parameters were taken as probability distributions. Most variables were measured in relation to the chosen population. The risk was calculated using two different methodologies but no significant variations were obtained. The average risk calculated for men and women was 56 cases in a million (5.6 × 10-5). A sensitivity analysis was carried out where it was found that the parameters that increase risk the most are the concentration of chloroform in the water, exposure time, and the volume of the shower cubicle.
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Cohen JM, Beck BD, Rhomberg LR. Historical perspective on the role of cell proliferation in carcinogenesis for DNA-reactive and non-DNA-reactive carcinogens: Arsenic as an example. Toxicology 2021; 456:152783. [PMID: 33872731 DOI: 10.1016/j.tox.2021.152783] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/29/2021] [Revised: 04/07/2021] [Accepted: 04/11/2021] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
Abstract
Our understanding of the etiology of cancer has developed significantly over the past fifty years, beginning with a single-hit linear no-threshold (LNT) conceptual model based on early studies conducted in Drosophila. Over the past several decades, multiple lines of evidence have accumulated to support a contemporary model of chemical carcinogenesis: a multi-hit model involving a prolonged stress environment that over time may drive the mutation of multiple cells into an injured state that ultimately could lead to uncontrolled proliferation via clonal expansion of mutation-carrying daughter cells. Arsenic carcinogenicity offers a useful case study for further exploration of advanced conceptual models for chemical carcinogenesis. A threshold for arsenic carcinogenicity is supported by its mode of action, characterized by repeating cycles of cytotoxicity and cellular regeneration. Furthermore, preliminary meta-analyses of epidemiology dose-response data for inorganic arsenic (iAs) and bladder cancer, correlated to dose-response data measured in vitro, support a threshold of effect in humans on the order of 50-100 μg/L in drinking water. In light of recent developments in our understanding of cancer etiology, we urge strong consideration of the existing mode-of-action evidence supporting a threshold of effect for arsenic carcinogenicity, as well as consideration of the potential methodological pitfalls in evaluating epidemiology dose-response data that could potentially bias in the direction of low-dose linearity.
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Thresholds for carcinogens. Chem Biol Interact 2021; 341:109464. [PMID: 33823170 DOI: 10.1016/j.cbi.2021.109464] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/08/2021] [Revised: 03/28/2021] [Accepted: 03/29/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
Current regulatory cancer risk assessment principles and practices assume a linear dose-response relationship-the linear no-threshold (LNT) model-that theoretically estimates cancer risks occurring following low doses of carcinogens by linearly extrapolating downward from experimentally determined risks at high doses. The two-year rodent bioassays serve as experimental vehicles to determine the high-dose cancer risks in animals and then to predict, by extrapolation, the number of carcinogen-induced tumors (tumor incidence) that will arise during the lifespans of humans who are exposed to environmental carcinogens at doses typically orders of magnitude below those applied in the rodent assays. An integrated toxicological analysis is conducted herein to reconsider an alternative and once-promising approach, tumor latency, for estimating carcinogen-induced cancer risks at low doses. Tumor latency measures time-to-tumor following exposure to a carcinogen, instead of tumor incidence. Evidence for and against the concept of carcinogen-induced tumor latency is presented, discussed, and then examined with respect to its relationship to dose, dose rates, and the dose-related concepts of initiation, tumor promotion, tumor regression, tumor incidence, and hormesis. Considerable experimental evidence indicates: (1) tumor latency (time-to-tumor) is inversely related to the dose of carcinogens and (2) lower doses of carcinogens display quantifiably discrete latency thresholds below which the promotion and, consequently, the progression and growth of tumors are delayed or prevented during a normal lifespan. Besides reconciling well with the concept of tumor promotion, such latency thresholds also reconcile favorably with the existence of thresholds for tumor incidence, the stochastic processes of tumor initiation, and the compensatory repair mechanisms of hormesis. Most importantly, this analysis and the arguments presented herein provide sound theoretical, experimental, and mechanistic rationales for rethinking the foundational premises of low-dose linearity and updating the current practices of cancer risk assessment to include the concept of carcinogen thresholds.
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Calabrese EJ. Ethical failings: The problematic history of cancer risk assessment. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2021; 193:110582. [PMID: 33290793 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.110582] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2020] [Revised: 12/01/2020] [Accepted: 12/01/2020] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
This paper demonstrates that unethical conduct by the US National Academy of Sciences (NAS) Biological Effects of Atomic Radiation (BEAR) I Genetics Panel led to their recommendation of the Linear Non-Threshold (LNT) Model for radiation risk assessment and its subsequent adoption by the US and the world community. The analysis, which is based largely on preserved communications of the US NAS Genetics Panel members, reveals that Panel members and their administrative leadership at the NAS displayed an integrated series of unethical actions designed to ensure, (1) the acceptance of the LNT and (2) funding to radiation geneticist panel members and professional colleagues. These findings are significant because major public policies in open democracies, such as cancer risk assessment and other issues impacted by public fears of radiation or chemical exposures, require ethical foundations. Recognition of these ethical failures of the BEAR I Genetics Panel should require a high level administrative, legislative and scientific reassessment of the scientific foundations of cancer risk assessment, with the likely result necessitating revision of current policies and practices. The BEAR I Genetics Panel, 1956 Science journal publication should immediately be retracted because it contains deliberate misrepresentations of the scientific record that were designed to manipulate scientific and public opinion on radiation risk assessment in a dishonest manner.
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Calabrese EJ. The Muller-Neel dispute and the fate of cancer risk assessment. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2020; 190:109961. [PMID: 32810676 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.109961] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2020] [Revised: 07/14/2020] [Accepted: 07/15/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
The National Academy of Sciences (NAS) Atomic Bomb Casualty Commission (ABCC) human genetic study (i.e., The Neel and Schull, 1956a report) showed an absence of genetic damage in offspring of atomic bomb survivors in support of a threshold model, but was not considered for evaluation by the NAS Biological Effects of Atomic Radiation (BEAR) I Genetics Panel. The study therefore could not impact the Panel's decision to recommend the linear non-threshold (LNT) dose-response model for risk assessment. Summaries and transcripts of the Panel meetings failed to reveal an evaluation of this study, despite its human relevance and ready availability, relying instead on data from Drosophila and mice. This paper explores correspondence among and between BEAR Genetics Panel members, including James Néel, the study director, and other contemporaries to assess why the Panel failed to use these data and how the decision to recommend the LNT model affected future cancer risk assessment policies and practices. This failure of the Genetics Panel was due to: (1) a strongly unified belief in the LNT model among panel members and their refusal to acknowledge that a low dose of radiation could exhibit a threshold, a conclusion that the Néel/Schull atomicbomb study could support, and (2) an excessive degree of self-interest among panel members who experimented with animal models, such as Hermann J. Muller, and feared that human genetic studies would expose the limitations of extrapolating from animal (especially Drosophila) to human responses and would strongly shift research investments/academic grants from animal to human studies. Thus, the failure to consider the Néel/Schull atomic bomb study served both the purposes of preserving the LNT policy goal and ensuring the continued dominance of Muller and his similarly research-oriented colleagues.
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Feng Y, Xiao A, Jia R, Zhu S, Gao S, Li B, Shi N, Zou B. Emission characteristics and associated assessment of volatile organic compounds from process units in a refinery. ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION (BARKING, ESSEX : 1987) 2020; 265:115026. [PMID: 32593904 DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2020.115026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/10/2020] [Revised: 06/11/2020] [Accepted: 06/11/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
The accuracy and reliability of volatile organic compound (VOC) emission data are essential for assessing emission characteristics and their potential impact on air quality and human health. This paper describes a new method for determining VOC emission data by multipoint sampling from various process units inside a large-scale refinery. We found that the emission characteristics of various production units were related to the raw materials, products, and production processes. Saturated alkanes accounted for the largest fraction in the continuous catalytic reforming and wastewater treatment units (48.0% and 59.2%, respectively). In the propene recovery unit and catalytic cracking unit, alkenes were the most dominant compounds, and propene provided the largest contributions (57.8% and 23.0%, respectively). In addition, n-decane (12.6%), m,p-xylene (12.4%), and n-nonane (8.9%) were the main species in the normal production process of the delayed coking unit. Assessments of photochemical reactivity and carcinogenic risk were carried out, and the results indicate that VOC emissions from the propene recovery unit and catalytic cracking unit should be controlled to reduce the ozone formation potential; in addition, alkenes are precedent-controlled pollutants. The cancer risk assessments reveal that 1,2-dibromoethane, benzene, 1,2-dichloroethane, and chloroform were the dominant risk contributors, and their values were much higher than the standard threshold value of 1.0 × 10-6 but lower than the significant risk value defined by the US Supreme Court. Based on the VOC composition and a classification algorithm, the samples were classified into eight main groups that corresponded to different process units in the petroleum refinery. In conclusion, this work provides valuable data for investigating process-specific emission characteristics of VOCs and performing associated assessments of photochemical reactivity and carcinogenic risk in petrochemical refineries.
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Ma WL, Zhu FJ, Liu LY, Jia HL, Yang M, Li YF. PAHs in Chinese atmosphere Part II: Health risk assessment. ECOTOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY 2020; 200:110774. [PMID: 32460055 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2020.110774] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/18/2020] [Revised: 04/23/2020] [Accepted: 05/15/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are ubiquitous pollutants in atmosphere, which attracted more attentions due to their influence on human health. In this study, a national scale cancer risk (CR) assessment with atmospheric PAHs were conducted based on one year monitoring program at 11 cities across China. The annual mean concentrations of benzo[a]pyrene (BaP) and BaP equivalency (BaPeq) were 4.56 ± 7.78 ng/m3 and 8.45 ± 14.1 ng/m3, respectively, which were both higher than the new ambient air quality standards of China (GB 3095-2012, 1 ng/m3). Concentrations of BaP and BaPeq in northern Chinese cities were almost 2 times higher than those in southern Chinese cities. The CR values induced by the dermal contact exposure were two orders of magnitude higher than that by the inhalation exposure. Children and adults were the most sensitive age groups with the dermal contact exposure and the inhalation exposure to atmospheric PAHs, respectively. For the total CR values, 99.7% of its values were higher than the reference level of 10-6. No significant difference of the total CR values was observed between northern Chinese and southern Chinese cities for children and adults. In order to quantify the uncertainties of CR assessment, Monte Carlo Simulation was applied based on the specific distributions of the exposure factors cited from the Exposure Factors Handbook of Chinese Population. The results indicated that almost 90% probability of the total CR values were higher than 10-6, indicating potential cancer risk. Sensitive analysis indicated that atmospheric concentration, outdoor exposure fraction, particle amount adhered to skin, and cancer slope factor should be carefully considered in order to increase the accuracy of CR assessment with PAHs in atmosphere.
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Tarafdar A, Oh MJ, Nguyen-Phuong Q, Kwon JH. Profiling and potential cancer risk assessment on children exposed to PAHs in playground dust/soil: a comparative study on poured rubber surfaced and classical soil playgrounds in Seoul. ENVIRONMENTAL GEOCHEMISTRY AND HEALTH 2020; 42:1691-1704. [PMID: 31134396 DOI: 10.1007/s10653-019-00334-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2018] [Accepted: 05/21/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
Children can get affected by polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) while they interact with play area soil/rubber surfacing and exposed to PAHs by dermal contact, inhalation and hand-to-mouth activity. A comparative study has been conducted on PAHs profiling and probable cancer risk of children from PAHs present in uncovered playground surface soil and poured rubber surfaced playground dust. Surface soil and dust samples have been collected from 14 different children parks around the Korea University campus, Seoul, Republic of Korea. Concentrations of 16 PAHs in the soils/dust were found to be in a range of 2.82-57.93 μg g-1. Profiling of the PAHs from the playground soils/dust reveals 3-ring PAHs are dominating with 79.9% of total PAHs content, on an average. The diagnostic ratio analysis confirms that vehicular exhaust and fossil fuel burning are likely the main sources of high molecular weight carcinogenic PAHs, whereas low molecular weight PAHs have pyrogenic origin. The probabilistic health risk assessment using Monte Carlo simulations for the estimation of the 95% cancer risk exposed to the PAHs from the surfaced playgrounds shows a little higher value than the USEPA safety standard (1.3 × 10-5). Sensitivity analysis revealed exposure duration and relative skin adherence factor for soil as the most influential parameters of the assessment. Noticeably, cancer risk is approximately 10 times higher in poured rubber surfaced playgrounds than in uncovered soil playgrounds.
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Li Z. Risk-based principles and incompleteness theorems for linear dose-response extrapolation for carcinogenic chemicals. CHEMOSPHERE 2020; 247:125934. [PMID: 32079056 DOI: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2020.125934] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/18/2019] [Revised: 01/09/2020] [Accepted: 01/15/2020] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
To conduct better health risk assessments, this study introduced two risk-based principles and a series of line-lognormal-intersection theorems that helped derive the safe ranges of the cancer slope factors (CSFs) for 708 carcinogenic chemicals. The extrapolated linear dose-response relationships presented in this study can ensure safety with respect to both static and dose-based instantaneous risks compared to the lognormal dose-response model. The theorems proved that the maximum static and dose-based hazard risk ratios of a lognormal curve and a linear model are independent of a chemical's toxicity (the effect dose that corresponds to a 50% response, or ED50), where the selected linear extrapolation (m value) and the individual variability (σ) of the responses to carcinogenic chemicals are two determining factors. The theorems also indicated that individual variability determines the range of m if the acceptable risk ratios were regulated. When σ was 1.36 (i.e., the 50th percentile of the individual variability's lognormal distribution), the safe range of m was derived as [11.22, 21.46] (i.e., from ED11.22 to ED21.46); if the 95th percentile of the σ lognormal distribution was used, the safe range of m was [1.13, 4.57] (i.e., from ED1.13 to ED4.57). This study also showed that for a relatively homogenous population (i.e., σ is relatively small) that has similar characteristics, the linear dose-response extrapolation method might not be completely effective due to the shape shift of the lognormal curve that draws the static risk of the extrapolated linear model away from the lognormal model.
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Shi Y, Ma W, Han F, Geng Y, Yu X, Wang H, Kimura SY, Wei X, Kauffman A, Xiao S, Zheng W, Jia X. Precise exposure assessment revealed the cancer risk and disease burden caused by trihalomethanes and haloacetic acids in Shanghai indoor swimming pool water. JOURNAL OF HAZARDOUS MATERIALS 2020; 388:121810. [PMID: 31831286 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2019.121810] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2019] [Revised: 11/26/2019] [Accepted: 12/01/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
Swimming pool disinfection byproducts (DBPs) are becoming increasingly common worldwide. Precise exposure and health risk assessment for DBPs in swimming pool water with optimized parameters for local and specific population is more urgently needed. This study aimed to determine the levels of trihalomethanes (THMs) and haloacetic acids (HAAs) in 16 public indoor swimming pools in Shanghai, China. Swimming habits were also investigated to obtain more accurate exposure assessment parameters. Precise exposure assessment through multiple pathways, resulting cancer risk, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were assessed. Results indicated that the highest total level of THMs and HAAs occurred in autumn. The surveyed swimmers 9-17 years of age had higher average daily dose (ADD) of DBPs than swimmers ≥18 years of age. The total lifetime cancer risk (LCR) attributable to THMs and HAAs exceeded 10-6, which represents a negligible risk level (NRL). The cancer risk from inhalation exposure predominantly by THMs contributed more than 99% of the total risk. Annual disease burden was 19.0 person-years attributed to exposure of DBPs in swimming pool water in Shanghai. This study provides a paradigm and strategic reference of precise exposure assessments, risk assessments, and disease burden estimation of hazards in swimming pool water for other regions.
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Cox LA. Nonlinear dose-time-response functions and health-protective exposure limits for inflammation-mediated diseases. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2020; 182:109026. [PMID: 31927297 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2019.109026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/04/2019] [Revised: 12/09/2019] [Accepted: 12/09/2019] [Indexed: 05/21/2023]
Abstract
Why have occupational safety regulations in the United States not been more successful in protecting worker health from mesothelioma risks, while apparently succeeding relatively well in reducing silicosis risks? This paper briefly discusses biological bases for thresholds and nonlinearities in exposure-response functions for respirable crystalline silica (RCS) and asbestos, based on modeling a chronic inflammation mode of action (mediated by activation of the NLRP3 inflammasome, for both RCS and asbestos). It applies previously published physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models to perform computational experiments illuminating how different time courses of exposure with the same time-weighted average (TWA) concentration affect internal doses in target tissues (lung for RCS and mesothelium for asbestos). Key conclusions are that (i) For RCS, but not asbestos, limiting average (TWA) exposure concentrations also tightly constrains internal doses and ability to trigger chronic inflammation and resulting increases in disease risks (ii) For asbestos, excursions (i.e., spikes in concentrations); and especially the times between them are crucial drivers of internal doses and time until chronic inflammation; and hence (iii) These dynamic aspects of exposure, which are not addressed by current occupational safety regulations, should be constrained to better protect worker health. Adjusting permissible average exposure concentration limits (PELs) and daily excursion limits (ELs) is predicted to have little impact on reducing mesothelioma risks, but increasing the number of days between successive excursions is predicted to be relatively effective in reducing worker risks, even if it has little or no impact on TWA average concentrations.
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Yauk CL, Harrill AH, Ellinger-Ziegelbauer H, van der Laan JW, Moggs J, Froetschl R, Sistare F, Pettit S. A cross-sector call to improve carcinogenicity risk assessment through use of genomic methodologies. Regul Toxicol Pharmacol 2020; 110:104526. [PMID: 31726190 PMCID: PMC7891877 DOI: 10.1016/j.yrtph.2019.104526] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/17/2019] [Revised: 09/25/2019] [Accepted: 11/08/2019] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
Abstract
Robust genomic approaches are now available to realize improvements in efficiencies and translational relevance of cancer risk assessments for drugs and chemicals. Mechanistic and pathway data generated via genomics provide opportunities to advance beyond historical reliance on apical endpoints of uncertain human relevance. Published research and regulatory evaluations include many examples for which genomic data have been applied to address cancer risk assessment as a health protection endpoint. The alignment of mature, robust, reproducible, and affordable technologies with increasing demands for reduced animal testing sets the stage for this important transition. We present our shared vision for change from leading scientists from academic, government, nonprofit, and industrial sectors and chemical and pharmaceutical safety applications. This call to action builds upon a 2017 workshop on "Advances and Roadblocks for Use of Genomics in Cancer Risk Assessment." The authors propose a path for implementation of innovative cancer risk assessment including incorporating genomic signatures to assess mechanistic relevance of carcinogenicity and enhanced use of genomics in benchmark dose and point of departure evaluations. Novel opportunities for the chemical and pharmaceutical sectors to combine expertise, resources, and objectives to achieve a common goal of improved human health protection are identified.
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Umeh AC, Duan L, Naidu R, Esposito M, Semple KT. In vitro gastrointestinal mobilization and oral bioaccessibility of PAHs in contrasting soils and associated cancer risks: Focus on PAH nonextractable residues. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2019; 133:105186. [PMID: 31639608 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2019.105186] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2019] [Revised: 09/11/2019] [Accepted: 09/12/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
The gastrointestinal mobilization and oral bioaccessibility of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon (PAH) nonextractable residues (NERs) from soils remain unexplored, including associated incremental lifetime cancer risks. This study investigated the gastrointestinal mobilization of PAHs and their NERs from contrasting soils, using a physiologically based extraction test that incorporates a silicone-rod (Si-Org-PBET) as PAH sink. Associated cancer risks following soil ingestion were also evaluated. Four solvent-spiked and aged soils, and four long-term contaminated manufactured gas plant (MGP) soils, were utilized. Total-extractable PAH concentrations were measured after exhaustive solvent extractions of soils. We evaluated the PAH sorption efficiency of the silicone rods and associated sorption kinetics, using PAH-spiked silica sand as the contaminated matrix. We then assessed gastrointestinal mobilization of benzo[a]pyrene and benzo[a]pyrene NERs from the solvent-spiked soils, and mobilization of six PAHs and their NERs from the MGP soils. PAH oral bioaccessibility was determined. The incremental lifetime cancer risks (ILCRs), using Si-Org-PBET- and total-extractable PAH concentrations from the MGP soils, were calculated. Sorption kinetics modelling showed that 95% of mobilized PAHs sorbed to the silicone rods within 2-19 h, depending on PAH physico-chemical properties. Total-extractable and Si-Org-PBET extractable PAH concentrations exceeded health investigation levels (3 mg/kg based on benzo[a]pyrene toxic equivalent quotients) in soils. PAH oral bioaccessibility approached 100% for solvent-spiked soils, but only 24-36% for the MGP soils. Associated ILCRs exceeded target levels (10-5) for one MGP soil, particularly for 2-3 year olds, despite oral bioaccessibility considerations. In contrast, mobilized PAH NERs did not exceed health investigation and ILCR levels, as the NERs were highly sequestered, especially in the MGP soils. PAH nonextractable residues in long-term contaminated soils are unlikely to be mobilized in concentrations that pose cancer risks to humans following soil ingestion, and do not need to be considered in risk assessments.
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Gao P, Hu J, Song J, Chen X, Ou C, Wang H, Sha C, Hang J, Xing B. Inhalation bioaccessibility of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in heavy PM 2.5 pollution days: Implications for public health risk assessment in northern China. ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION (BARKING, ESSEX : 1987) 2019; 255:113296. [PMID: 31600706 DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2019.113296] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2019] [Revised: 09/19/2019] [Accepted: 09/20/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
Airborne (PM2.5) with aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5 μm was collected from 4 types of cities in northeast China during the heating period. The objectives of this study were to assess the concentrations variation of PM2.5-bound 12 carcinogenic polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH12), to study the influence of simulated lung fluids on bioaccessibility of PAH12 and to estimate the variation of lifetime excess cancer risk to the residents, artificial lysosomal fluid (ALF) and Gamble's solution were used. The number of lifetime excess cancer cases (determined by California Environmental Protection Agency method) as a result of PAH12 exposure (total concentration) was 4.00-430 (provincial central cities), 24.0-261 (energy-mining cities), 17.0-109 (forested city), and 20.0-69.0 (agricultural city) per million people, which relatively corresponded to a 92.2% and 96.2%, 92.6% and 97.3%, 92.2% and 94.2%, and 86.5% and 92.6% decrease after considering bioaccessibility following 24-h of Gamble's solution and ALF extraction, respectively. Phenanthrene (Phe), dibenz[a,h]anthracene (DahA) and benzo[a]pyrene (BaP) were found to be the most bioaccessible types of PAH12 after the Gamble's solution and ALF extraction in the PM2.5 samples from all the studied cities. Based on the point-estimate approach, short-term predictions of pulmonary toxicity caused by potential inhalation of airborne PM into the pulmonary system might be overestimated if bioaccessibility of PM2.5-bound PAH12 is not fully evaluated.
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Giri VN, Selvan P, Mohanty S, Lum R, Serrao S, Leader AE. Exploring Asian Indian views about cancer and participation in cancer research: an evaluation of a culturally tailored educational intervention. J Community Genet 2019; 11:193-203. [PMID: 31522341 DOI: 10.1007/s12687-019-00436-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2018] [Accepted: 08/29/2019] [Indexed: 01/22/2023] Open
Abstract
Asian Indians (AIs) are a growing population in the United States (US) with increased cancer incidence and mortality. However, screening rates among this population are low, and the population has been underrepresented in clinical research. This pilot study aims to address gaps in the literature in order to understand if a culturally tailored educational intervention will improve knowledge, risk perceptions, and awareness of cancer risk assessments among AIs. We delivered an educational intervention comprised of culturally tailored case studies describing risk factors for developing cancer in both males and females. We assessed knowledge gaps about cancer risk and genetic testing, cancer risk perceptions, and willingness to participate in medical research studies, pre- and post-intervention. Among 23 participants, knowledge of genetic testing use and screening recommendations significantly improved post-intervention, with increased willingness to discuss cancer with family members, participate in medical research, and undergo genetic testing for cancer risk assessment. However, findings at the 1-month follow-up time did not show significant changes, except for one knowledge item. Culturally tailored educational interventions, delivered in a community setting, can influence knowledge and risk perceptions about cancer risk and genetics among AIs. Our findings lay the groundwork to continue educational efforts in the area of cancer risk and genetic testing in the AI population, a growing population that has been understudied in the US.
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Calabrese EJ. Muller's Nobel Prize data: Getting the dose wrong and its significance. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2019; 176:108528. [PMID: 31228809 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2019.108528] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2019] [Revised: 06/06/2019] [Accepted: 06/07/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
This paper evaluates the significant historical paper of Muller and Mott-Smith (1930), which successfully disputed the proposal of Olson and Lewis (1928) that background ionizing radiation is the driving mechanism of evolution. While the present analysis supports the general conclusion that background radiation is not a quantifiable factor affecting evolution, the paper reveals methodological errors and questionable conclusions in the Muller and Mott-Smith (1930) paper, which may have impacted the acceptance of the linear non-threshold (LNT) model. Most importantly, this paper reveals that in Muller's (1927) Nobel Prize research he used a treatment exposure (total dose) that was 95 million-fold greater than the average background exposure, a value far greater than the 200,000 fold reported by Muller and Mott-Smith (1930). Such a large exposure rate discrepancy may be historically important as it may have led to the over-reliance on Muller's research in support of the derivation and use of the LNT single-hit model.
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