Association of lifestyles and multimorbidity with mortality among individuals aged 60 years or older: Two prospective cohort studies

Lifestyles are associated with all-cause mortality, yet limited research has explored the association in the elderly population with multimorbidity. We aim to investigate the impact of adopting a healthy lifestyle on reducing the risk of all-cause mortality in older individuals with or without multimorbidity in both China and UK. This prospective study included 29,451 and 173,503 older adults aged 60 and over from Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS) and UK Biobank. Lifestyles and multimorbidity were categorized into three groups, respectively. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the Hazard Ratios (HRs), 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), and dose-response for all-cause mortality in relation to lifestyles and multimorbidity, as well as the combination of both factors. During a mean follow-up period of 4.7 years in CLHLS and 12.14 years in UK Biobank, we observed 21,540 and 20,720 deaths, respectively. For participants with two or more conditions, compared to those with an unhealthy lifestyle, adopting a healthy lifestyle was associated with a 27%-41% and 22%-42% reduction in mortality risk in the CLHLS and UK Biobank, respectively; Similarly, for individuals without multimorbidity, this reduction ranged from 18% to 41%. Among participants with multimorbidity, individuals with an unhealthy lifestyle had a higher mortality risk compared to those maintaining a healthy lifestyle, with HRs of 1.15 (95% CI: 1.00, 1.32) and 1.27 (95% CI: 1.16, 1.39) for two conditions, and 1.24 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.45) and 1.73 (95% CI: 1.56, 1.91) for three or more conditions in CLHLS and UK Biobank, respectively. Adherence to a healthy lifestyle can yield comparable mortality benefits for older individuals, regardless of their multimorbidity status. Furthermore, maintaining a healthy lifestyle can alleviate the mortality risks linked to a higher number of diseases.

Equity in bariatric surgery use: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Metabolic and bariatric surgery (MBS) is the most effective and durable treatment for obesity; however, access to MBS is not equitable.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the rate of MBS among eligible adults with obesity by demographics, health characteristics, and geography to better define populations that would benefit from resources to reduce barriers to access for this treatment.

SETTING

Adults with obesity were identified in the US employer-based retrospective claims database (Merative™).

METHODS

Rates of MBS were examined across demographics (age, sex, region, year, health plan type) health characteristics (obesity-related comorbidities, healthcare costs, inpatient admissions), and by state. Given differences in coverage requirements, rates are examined for 2 populations: Class 2 (BMI 35-39.9 kg/m2) and Class 3 (BMI 40+ kg/m2) obesity.

RESULTS

Of the 777,565 eligible adults, 49,371 (6.4%) had MBS; 3.2% of those with Class 2 and 8.3% of those with Class 3 obesity had MBS. MBS rates varied substantially by demographic and health characteristics, ranging from 1% to 14%, and from 2% to 41% among those with Class 2 and Class 3 obesity, respectively. Geographically, rates ranged from 0% (Hawaii) to 7.4% (New Mexico) for those with Class 2 Obesity and from 4.2% (Hawaii) to 15.3% (Mississippi) among those with Class 3 Obesity.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of MBS among eligible adults with obesity varies substantially across characteristics, indicating inequity in access to this treatment. To ensure greater access to the most effective treatment for obesity, policies should be implemented to reduce or eliminate barriers to care.

Self-reported oral health status, edentulism and all-cause mortality risk in 12 809 Australian older adults: a prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between oral health status and all-cause mortality in older adults using prospective cohort study design.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

In total, 12 809 adults aged ≥70 years (54.3% females) were participants of the ASPREE Longitudinal Study of Older Persons (ALSOP).

METHODS

Participants self-reported the presence of natural teeth and oral health status. The association of self-reported oral health, edentulism and the integrative measure of the two with all-cause mortality were explored using the Cox-regression models adjusted for age, gender, socio-economic status, health-related behaviours, weight status, aspirin and polypharmacy. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were reported.

RESULTS

In total, 22.2% of participants reported edentulism and 13.8% had fair/poor oral health. After adjustment for confounders, risk of all-cause mortality was higher among those with edentulism (vs. no edentulism) HR (95% CI) 1.43 (1.18, 1.73); and those with edentulism and reporting poor/fair oral health HR (95% CI) 1.69 (1.02, 2.82), or with no edentulism but reporting poor/fair oral health HR (95% CI) 1.46 (1.19-1.80) vs. no edentulism and reporting good/very good/excellent oral health. No association was observed between self-reported oral health alone and all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of all-cause mortality was 69% higher among older adults reporting both edentulism and poor/fair oral health compared with those with teeth and more favourable self-reported oral health. © 2023 Australian Dental Association.

Risk factors of developmental dysplasia of the hip in infants: A meta-analysis based on cohort studies

INTRODUCTION

Developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) is a prevalent condition in children. Currently, the exact etiology of DDH remains uncertain. The objective of this study was to conduct a meta-analysis to investigate the risk factors associated with DDH in infants. The findings would provide a theoretical foundation for targeted early screening and diagnosis.

HYPOTHESIS

Several indicators, such as gender, intrauterine position, family history of DDH, gestational age, delivery mode, amniotic fluid levels, swaddling, parity, fetus number, combined musculoskeletal deformities, birth weight, and physical examination results, may serve as risk factors for DDH.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Cohort studies investigating the risk factors of DDH in infants through logistic regression analysis were searched in the Wanfang, VIP citation, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), China Biology Medicine disc, Excerpta Medica Database (Embase), PubMed, and Cochrane Library databases up to May 2023. After extracting the data from eligible literature and assessing them using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS), articles were selected based on pre-established inclusion and exclusion criteria.

RESULTS

A total of eleven literature reports covering 979,757 infants were included in this meta-analysis. The publication bias did not significantly influence the results. The incidence rate of DDH was 47.99‰ among infants with risk factors compared to 3.21‰ in the general population. Risk factors for DDH included being female (OR=6.97, 95% CI: 5.18-9.39, p<0.001), breech delivery (OR=4.14, 95% CI: 3.09-5.54, p<0.001), positive family history (OR=4.07, 95% CI: 2.20-7.52, p<0.001), cesarean section (OR=1.11, 95% CI: 1.01-1.21, p=0.032), oligohydramnios (OR=3.93, 95% CI: 1.29-12.01, p=0.016), swaddling (OR=6.74, 95% CI: 1.25-36.31, p=0.026), firstborn status (OR=1.84, 95% CI: 1.49-2.53, p<0.001), combined musculoskeletal malformations (OR=2.27, 95% CI: 1.58-3.27, p<0.001), and physical signs of DDH (OR=8.71, 95% CI: 2.44-31.07, p=0.001). Premature delivery (OR=0.91, 95% CI: 0.88-0.95, p<0.001) was a protective factor for DDH. The relationship between multiple pregnancies (OR=0.58, 95% CI: 0.33-1.02, p=0.060) and low birth weight (OR=0.62, 95% CI: 0.14-2.76, p=0.529) in relation to DDH remained uncertain.

DISCUSSION

This meta-analysis shows that female, breech delivery, positive family history, cesarean section, firstborn status, oligohydramnios, swaddling and combined musculoskeletal malformations are associated with DDH. Premature delivery appeared to be a protective factor against DDH. Nevertheless, the other factors need more research to reach more conclusive results.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III; meta-analysis.

Diet quality in relation to kidney function and its potential interaction with genetic risk of kidney disease among Dutch post-myocardial infarction patients

PURPOSE

We examined the relation between diet quality, its components and kidney function decline in post-myocardial infarction (MI) patients, and we explored differences by genetic risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

We analysed 2169 patients from the Alpha Omega Cohort (aged 60-80 years, 81% male). Dietary intake was assessed at baseline (2002-2006) using a validated food-frequency questionnaire and diet quality was defined using the Dutch Healthy Diet Cardiovascular Disease (DHD-CVD) index. We calculated 40-months change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, mL/min per 1.73m2). We constructed a weighted genetic risk score (GRS) for CKD using 88 single nucleotide polymorphisms previously linked to CKD. Betas with 95%-confidence intervals (CIs) were obtained using multivariable linear regression models for the association between DHD-CVD index and its components and eGFR change, by GRS.

RESULTS

The average DHD-CVD index was 79 (SD 15) points and annual eGFR decline was 1.71 (SD 3.86) mL/min per 1.73 m2. The DHD-CVD index was not associated with annual eGFR change (per 1-SD increment in adherence score: -0.09 [95% CI -0.26,0.08]). Results for adherence to guidelines for red meat showed less annual eGFR decline (per 1-SD: 0.21 [0.04,0.38]), whereas more annual eGFR decline was found for legumes and dairy (per 1-SD: -0.20legumes [-0.37,-0.04] and - 0.18dairy [-0.34,-0.01]). Generally similar results were obtained in strata of GRS.

CONCLUSION

The DHD-CVD index for overall adherence to Dutch dietary guidelines for CVD patients was not associated with kidney function decline after MI, irrespective of genetic CKD risk. The preferred dietary pattern for CKD prevention in CVD patients warrants further research.

Social isolation in the oldest-old: determinants and the differential role of family and friends

PURPOSE

To examine the association of sociodemographic and health-related determinants with social isolation in relation to family and friends in the oldest-old.

METHODS

Database was the multi-center prospective AgeCoDe/AgeQualiDe cohort study assessed at follow-up wave 5 (N = 1148; mean age 86.6 years (SD 3.0); 67% female). Social isolation was assessed using the short form of the Lubben Social Network Scale (LSNS-6). The LSNS-6 contains two sets of items establishing psychometrically separable subscales for isolation from family and friends (ranges 0-15 points), with lower scores indicating higher isolation. Cross-sectional linear (OLS) regression analyses were used to examine multivariate associations of sociodemographic and health-related determinants with social isolation from family and friends.

RESULTS

Overall, n = 395 participants (34.6%) were considered socially isolated. On average, isolation was higher from friends (mean 6.0, SD 3.8) than from family (mean 8.0, SD 3.5). Regression results revealed that in relation to family, males were more socially isolated than females (β = - 0.68, 95% CI - 1.08, - 0.28). Concerning friends, increased age led to more isolation (β = - 0.12, 95% CI - 0.19, - 0.05) and functional activities of daily living to less isolation (β = 0.36, 95% CI 0.09, 0.64). Independent of the social context, depression severity was associated with more social isolation, whereas cognitive functioning was associated with less social isolation.

CONCLUSIONS

Different determinants unequally affect social isolation in relation to family and friends. The context of the social network should be incorporated more strongly regarding the detection and prevention of social isolation to sustain mental and physical health.

Lifestyle and genetic predisposition are associated with incident irritable bowel syndrome: A population-based prospective cohort study

Few prospective studies have investigated the joint effect of lifestyle factors and genetic susceptibility on the risk of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS). This study aims to evaluate the associations of lifestyle and genetic factors with incident IBS in the UK Biobank. We analyzed data from 481,057 participants (54% female) without prevalent IBS at enrollment in the UK Biobank. An overall healthy lifestyle was defined using six modifiable lifestyle factors, including smoking, body mass index (BMI), sleep duration, diet, physical activity, and alcohol consumption, and hence categorized into 'favorable', 'intermediate', and 'unfavorable' lifestyles. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to investigate the association between a healthy lifestyle and incident IBS. Furthermore, we constructed a polygenic risk score (PRS) for IBS and assessed whether lifestyle modified the effect of genetics on the development of IBS. During a median follow-up of 12.1 years, 8645 incident IBS were ascertained. Specifically, among the six modifiable lifestyle factors, adequate sleep demonstrates the greatest protective effect (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.69,0.75) against IBS. Compared with a favorable lifestyle, an unfavorable lifestyle was associated with a 56% (95% CI: 46%-67%) increased risk of IBS (P = 8.99 × 10-40). The risk of incident IBS was 12% (95% CI: 4%-21%) higher among those at high genetic risk compared with those at low genetic risk (P = 0.005). When considering the joint effect of lifestyle and genetic susceptibility, the HR nearly doubled among individuals with high genetic risk and unfavorable lifestyle (HR: 1.80; 95% CI:1.51-2.15; P = 3.50 × 10-11) compared to those with low genetic risk and favorable lifestyle. No multiplicative or addictive interaction was observed between lifestyle and genetics. The findings from this study indicated that lifestyle and genetic factors were independently associated with the risk of incident IBS. All these results implicated a possible clinical strategy of lowering the incidence of IBS by advocating a healthy lifestyle.

Adding salt to foods and risk of psoriasis: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

High salt intake may play a critical role in the etiology of psoriasis. Yet, evidence on the association of high salt intake with risk of psoriasis is limited.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the association between frequency of adding salt to foods and risk of psoriasis.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study of 433,788 participants from the UK Biobank. Hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) for risk of psoriasis in relation to frequency of adding salt to foods were estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. We further evaluated the joint association of adding salt to foods and genetic susceptibility with risk of psoriasis. We conducted a mediation analysis to assess how much of the effect of adding salt to foods on risk of psoriasis was mediated through several selected mediators.

RESULTS

During a median of 14.0 years of follow-up, 4279 incident cases of psoriasis were identified. In the multivariable-adjusted model, a higher frequency of adding salt to foods was significantly associated with an increased risk of psoriasis ("always" versus "never/rarely" adding salt to foods, HR = 1.25, 95 % CI: 1.10, 1.41). The observed positive association was generally similar across subgroups. In the joint association analysis, we observed that participants with a high genetic risk (above the second tertile) and the highest frequency of adding salt to foods experienced 149 % higher risk of psoriasis, when compared with participants with a low genetic risk (below the first tertile) and the lowest frequency of adding salt to foods (HR = 2.49, 95 % CI: 2.05, 3.02). Mediation analysis revealed that 1.8 %-3.2 % of the positive association between frequency of adding salt and risk of psoriasis was statistically significantly mediated by obesity and inflammatory biomarkers such as C-reactive protein and systemic immune-inflammation index (all P values < 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated a positive association between frequency of adding salt to foods and risk of psoriasis. The positive association was independent of multiple other risk factors, and may be partially mediated through obesity and inflammation.

Voriconazole metabolism is associated with the number of skin cancers per patient

Voriconazole exposure is associated with skin cancer, but it is unknown how the full spectrum of its metabolizer phenotypes impacts this association. We conducted a retrospective cohort study to determine how variation in metabolism of voriconazole as measured by metabolizer status of CYP2C19 is associated with the total number of skin cancers a patient develops and the rate of development of the first skin cancer after treatment. There were 1,739 organ transplant recipients with data on CYP2C19 phenotype. Of these, 134 were exposed to voriconazole. There was a significant difference in the number of skin cancers after transplant based on exposure to voriconazole, metabolizer phenotype, and the interaction of these two (p < 0.01 for all three). This increase was driven primarily by number of squamous cell carcinomas among rapid metabolizes with voriconazole exposure (p < 0.01 for both). Patients exposed to voriconazole developed skin cancers more rapidly than those without exposure (Fine-Grey hazard ratio 1.78, 95% confidence interval 1.19-2.66). This association was similarly driven by development of SCC (Fine-Grey hazard ratio 1.83, 95% confidence interval 1.14-2.94). Differences in voriconazoles metabolism are associated with an increase in the number of skin cancers developed after transplant, particularly SCC.

Air pollution, genetic factors, and chronic rhinosinusitis: A prospective study in the UK Biobank

BACKGROUND

Chronic rhinosinusitis (CRS) is a prevalent upper respiratory condition that manifests in two primary subtypes: CRS with nasal polyps (CRSwNP) and CRS without nasal polyps (CRSsNP). While previous studies indicate a correlation between air pollution and CRS, the role of genetic predisposition in this relationship remains largely unexplored. We hypothesized that higher air pollution exposure would lead to the development of CRS, and that genetic susceptibility might modify this association.

METHODS

This cohort study involving 367,298 adult participants from the UK Biobank, followed from March 2006 to October 2021. Air pollution metrics were estimated at residential locations using land-use regression models. Cox proportional hazard models were employed to explore the associations between air pollution exposure and CRS, CRSwNP, and CRSsNP. A polygenic risk score (PRS) was constructed to evaluate the joint effect of air pollution and genetic predisposition on the development of CRS.

RESULTS

We found that the risk of CRS increased under long-term exposure to PM2.5 [the hazard ratios (HRs) with 95 % CIs: 1.59 (1.26-2.01)], PM10 [1.64 (1.26-2.12)], NO2 [1.11 (1.04-1.17)], and NOx [1.18 (1.12-1.25)], respectively. These effects were more pronounced among participants with CRSwNP, although the differences were not statistically significant. Additionally, we found that the risks for CRS and CRSwNP increased in a graded manner among participants with higher PRS or higher exposure to PM2.5, PM10, or NOx concentrations. However, no multiplicative or additive interactions were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term exposure to air pollution increases the risk of CRS, particularly CRSwNP underscoring the need to prioritize clean air initiatives and environmental regulations.

Serum SOD1 level predicts the severity and prognosis of community-acquired pneumonia patients

BACKGROUND

Superoxide dismutase 1 (SOD1) is one of the most important participants of antioxidant enzyme system in biological system. Previous studies have found that SOD1 is associated with many inflammatory diseases. The goal of this study was to assess the associations of serum SOD1 with the severity and prognosis in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) patients by a prospective cohort study.

METHODS

CAP patients were enrolled from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University. Peripheral blood samples were gathered. The level of serum SOD1 was detected through enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Clinical characteristics and demographic information were analyzed.

RESULTS

The level of serum SOD1 was gradually upregulated with elevated CAP severity scores. Spearman correlation coefficient or Pearson rank correlation analyses indicated that serum SOD1 was strongly connected with many clinical parameters among CAP patients. Further linear and logistic regression analyses found that the level of serum SOD1 was positively associated with CRB-65, CURB-65, SMART-COP, and CURXO scores among CAP patients. Moreover, serum higher SOD1 at admission substantially increased the risks of ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, vasoactive agent usage, death, and longer hospital stays during hospitalization. Serum SOD1 level combination with CAP severity scores elevated the predictive abilities for severity and death compared with alone serum SOD1 and CAP severity scores in CAP patients during hospitalization.

CONCLUSION

The level of serum SOD1 is positively associated with the severity and poor prognosis in CAP patients, suggesting that SOD1 is implicated in the initiation and progression of CAP. Serum SOD1 may be regarded as a biomarker to appraise the severity and prognosis for CAP patients.

Person-centred care and the work-related health and job satisfaction of health and social care professionals: protocol for a prospective longitudinal cohort study combined with qualitative studies (the PCC@Work project)

BACKGROUND

The interplay of ethical stress, heavy workloads, and job dissatisfaction poses challenges to both the recruitment and retention of health and social care professionals. Person-centred care, rooted in ethical principles, involves collaborative care, and is expected to improve care and job satisfaction. However, prior research on the impact of person-centred care practices on professionals' work-related health and job satisfaction has yielded mixed results, and most studies emanate from residential care. Understanding how person-centred care practices influence health and social care professionals across different care settings thus requires further exploration through rigorous methodology. The overall aim of PCC@Work is to follow, describe, assess, and explore the impact of person-centred care practices in hospital wards, primary care centres and municipal care on health and social care professionals' work-related health and job satisfaction.

METHODS

PCC@Work is designed as a prospective, longitudinal cohort study combined with qualitative studies. A web-based questionnaire will be distributed on five occasions within two years to health and social care professionals in the three care settings. In addition, focus groups and interviews will be conducted with a selection of health and social care professionals to explore their experiences of work-related health and job satisfaction in relation to person-centred practices.

DISCUSSION

PCC@Work will highlight some of the knowledge gaps on the impact of person-centred care practices regarding work-related health and job satisfaction of health and social care professionals. The uniqueness of the project lies in the multi-method design, combining a prospective longitudinal cohort study with qualitative studies, and the involvement of various professions and settings. This means we will be able to provide a comprehensive and representative understanding of person-centred care practices as a critical component for effective change in the working conditions of health and social care.

Criminal outcomes among infants placed in out-of-home care: A longitudinal nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

Infant placements into out-of-home care have garnered increased research and societal attention, yet the long-term outcomes of this vulnerable group are virtually unknown.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to examine the association between infant placement and criminal offences across the life course, contrasting with general population peers and children placed at later developmental periods.

PARTICIPANTS AND SETTING

The study includes 622,940 individuals born in Sweden between 1975 and 1981, among whom around 0.2 % (n = 1524) were taken into care during infancy (<12 months).

METHODS

Utilizing Swedish longitudinal population-based register data, sex-stratified hurdle regression analyses, adjusted for individual and family background characteristics, were conducted to investigate the risk and rates of criminal offences ages 15-38.

RESULTS

Infants placed in care exhibited higher risks of any criminal offence compared to the general population (men: RR = 1.32, p < 0.001, women RR = 1.47, p < 0.001), but lower risks compared to children placed at later ages. Incidence-adjusted rates of offences were also higher among infants compared to their general population peers (men: IRR = 2.54, p < 0.001, women: IRR = 2.77, p < 0.001), with differences to other care groups being less pronounced.

CONCLUSIONS

Infant placement in care is associated with an increased risk of criminal activity over the life course.

The association between bone mineral density and risk of mortality: A prospective cohort study of 233,397 Taiwanese

PURPOSE

Osteoporosis is an important public health challenge given its high prevalence in western populations and the prevalence has shown an upward trend in recent decades in Asia. However, epidemiological evidence on the association between bone mineral density (BMD) and mortality risk in the Asian population is sparse.

METHODS

The Cox proportional hazards model and cause-specific hazard models were used to investigate the association of BMD with the risk of all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality.

RESULTS

The present study comprised of 3,332,207 person-years with a median follow-up of 14.6 years. 27,508 participants (15,967 men and 11,541 women) died among 233,397 participants (112,348 men and 121,049 women) during the follow-up period. Compared to those with normal BMD level, both men and women with low BMD had a significantly higher risk of all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer mortality after adjusting for the covariates. [For men with osteoporosis: all-cause: 1.37 (1.27-1.49); CVD: 1.28 (1.08-1.52); cancer: 1.29 (1.12-1.49); For women with osteoporosis: all-cause: 1.72 (1.63-1.82); CVD: 1.85 (1.64-2.08); cancer: 1.47 (1.35-1.61)]. The P for interactions for BMD with sex were significant for all-cause and CVD mortality. The adverse effects of BMD on the risk of all-cause and CVD were higher in women than in men [men vs. women: all-cause: 1.37 (1.27-1.49) vs. 1.72 (1.63-1.82); CVD: 1.28 (1.08-1.52) vs. 1.85 (1.64-2.08)]. In the nonlinear dose-response analyses, the association between BMD increments and all-cause mortality risk shows an L-shaped pattern in men and a similar U-shaped trend in women (P for non-linear association: <0.001). Likewise, a similar L-shaped association was observed between BMD levels and cancer mortality risk in men.

CONCLUSIONS

Low BMD had an increased risk of all-cause, CVD, and cancer mortality in both men and women. Women had a stronger positive association between low BMD and an increased risk of all-cause and CVD mortality compared to men.

Post-diagnostic lifestyle and mortality of cancer survivors: Results from a prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Lifestyle factors after cancer diagnosis could influence cancer survival. This study aimed to investigate the joint effects of smoking, physical activity, alcohol consumption, diet and sleep duration on all-cause, cancer and non-cancer mortality of cancer survivors in UK biobank.

METHODS

The follow-up period concluded in December 2021, with post-diagnostic lifestyle factors assessed at baseline. A lifestyle score ranging from 0 to 5 was assigned based on adherence to the selected lifestyle factors. The study employed Cox regression models for hazard ratios (HRs) and Kaplan-Meier for survival rates, with stratified and sensitivity analyses to assess the robustness of our findings under various assumptions.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.7 years, 5652 deaths were documented from 34,184 cancer survivors. Compared to scoring 0-1, the HRs (95% CIs) for all-cause mortality with lifestyle scores of 2, 3, 4, and 5 were 0.70 (95% CI: 0.64, 0.76), 0.57 (0.52, 0.62), 0.50 (0.45, 0.54) and 0.43 (0.38, 0.48), respectively. Specific cancer types, particularly digestive, breast, female reproductive, non-solid, and skin cancers, showed notable benefits from adherence to healthy lifestyle, with the HRs of 0.55 (0.39, 0.79), 0.54 (0.42, 0.70), 0.32 (0.19, 0.53), 0.58 (0.39, 0.86), and 0.36 (0.28, 0.46) for lifestyle score of 5, respectively. Stratified analyses indicated the association was particularly significant among those with normal/lower BMI and higher Townsend Deprivation Index (Pinteraction = 0.001 and < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Healthier lifestyles were significantly linked with reduced mortality among cancer survivors. These findings highlight the need for adherence to healthy lifestyle habits to improve survival.

Arterial stiffness and incident chronic kidney disease: a large population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Evidence from large population-based cohorts as to the association of arterial stiffness and incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) is mixed. This large population-based study aimed to investigate whether arterial stiffness, assessed oscillometrically, was associated with incident CKD.

METHODS

The study population comprised 4838 participants from the Vitamin D Assessment (ViDA) Study without known CKD (mean ± SD age = 66 ± 8). Arterial stiffness was assessed from 5 April, 2011 to 6 November, 2012 by way of aortic pulse wave velocity, estimated carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity, and aortic pulse pressure. Incident CKD was determined by linkage to national hospital discharge registers. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess the risk of CKD in relation to chosen arterial stiffness measures over the continuum and quartiles of values.

RESULTS

During a mean ± SD follow-up of 10.5 ± 0.4 years, 376 participants developed incident CKD. Following adjustment for potential confounders, aortic pulse wave velocity (hazard ratio (HR) per SD increase 1.69, 95% CI 1.45-1.97), estimated carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (HR per SD increase 1.84, 95% CI 1.54-2.19), and aortic pulse pressure (HR per SD increase 1.37, 95% CI 1.22-1.53) were associated with the incidence of CKD. The risk of incident CKD was, compared to the first quartile, higher in the fourth quartile of aortic pulse wave velocity (HR 4.72, 95% CI 2.69-8.27; Ptrend < 0.001), estimated carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (HR 4.28, 95% CI 2.45-7.50; Ptrend  < 0.001) and aortic pulse pressure (HR 2.71, 95% CI 1.88-3.91; Ptrend  < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Arterial stiffness, as measured by aortic pulse wave velocity, estimated carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity, and aortic pulse pressure may be utilised in clinical practice to help identify people at risk of future CKD.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

www.anzctr.org.au identifier:ACTRN12611000402943.

Association between consumption of fruits and vegetables in midlife and depressive symptoms in late life: the Singapore Chinese Health Study

OBJECTIVES

Epidemiological evidence of how midlife intake of fruits and vegetables affects the likelihood of depressive symptoms in late life remains limited and controversial. We examined this association in an Asian cohort.

DESIGN

Prospective population-based cohort study.

SETTING

Chinese living in Singapore.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 13,738 adults from the Singapore Chinese Health Study.

MEASUREMENTS

The consumption of 14 fruits and 25 vegetables were assessed using a validated 165-item food-frequency questionnaire at baseline (1993-1998), when participants were aged 45-74 years (mean age 52.4 years). Depressive symptoms were evaluated using the Geriatric Depression Scale during the third follow-up interviews (2014-2016), when participants were aged 61-96 years (mean age 72.5 years), and depression was defined by ≥5 out of 15 scores. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

After a mean follow-up of 19.6 years, depressive symptoms were identified among 3,180 participants. Consumption of fruits was inversely associated with the odds of depressive symptoms in a dose-response manner: comparing extreme quartiles, the OR (95% CI) of depressive symptoms was 0.71 (0.63-0.81; P-trend <0.01). Intake of several types of fruits, especially orange, tangerine, banana, papaya and watermelon, was associated with reduced odds, and this inverse association was similar across subgroups of fruits categorized by glycemic index. Conversely, intake of vegetables was not associated with the odds of depressive symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support population-based recommendation of having sufficient fruit intake early in life to reduce the likelihood of depressive symptoms in late life.

Association of triglyceride glucose index with the risk of acute kidney injury in patients with coronary revascularization: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

The triglyceride glucose (TyG) index is a novel and reliable alternative marker for insulin resistance. Previous studies have shown that TyG index is closely associated with cardiovascular outcomes in cardiovascular diseases and coronary revascularization. However, the relationship between TyG index and renal outcomes of coronary revascularization is unclear. The purpose of this study was to investigate the correlation between TyG index and the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with coronary revascularization.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted to select eligible patients with coronary revascularization admitted to ICU in the medical information mart for intensive care IV (MIMIC-IV). According to the TyG index quartile, these patients were divided into four groups (Q1-Q4). The primary endpoint was the incidence of AKI, and secondary endpoints included 28-day mortality and the rate of renal replacement therapy (RRT) use in the AKI population. Multivariate Cox regression analysis and restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to analyze TyG index association with AKI risk. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to assess the incidence of endpoints in the four groups.

RESULTS

In this study, 790 patients who underwent coronary revascularization surgery were included, and the incidence of AKI was 30.13%. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with a high TyG index had a significantly increased incidence of AKI (Log-rank P = 0.0045). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that whether TyG index was a continuous variable (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.06-1.92, P = 0.018) or a categorical variable (Q4: HR 1.89, 95% CI 1.12-3.17, P = 0.017), and there was an independent association between TyG index and AKI in patients with coronary revascularization. The RCS curve showed a linear relationship between higher TyG index and AKI in this particular population (P = 0.078). In addition, Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a significantly increased risk of RRT application in a subset of AKI patients based on quartiles of TyG index (P = 0.029).

CONCLUSION

TyG index was significantly associated with increased risk of AKI and adverse renal outcomes in patients with coronary revascularization. This finding suggests that the TyG index may be useful in identifying people at high risk for AKI and poor renal outcomes in patients with coronary revascularization.

A nationwide study on new onset atrial fibrillation risk factors and its association with hospital mortality in sepsis patients

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia and its incidence increases with sepsis. However, data on new-onset AF during sepsis hospitalization remain limited in China. We aimed to evaluate the incidence, risk factors, and associated mortality of new-onset AF in sepsis patients in China. We conducted a retrospective study using the National Data Center for Medical Service system, from 1923 tertiary and 2363 secondary hospitals from 31 provinces in China from 2017 to 2019.In total we included 1,425,055 sepsis patients ≥ 18 years without prior AF. The incidence of new-onset AF was 1.49%. Older age, male sex, hypertension, heart failure, coronary disease, valvular disease, and mechanical ventilation were independent risk factor. New-onset AF was associated with a slight increased risk of mortality (adjusted RR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.06). Population attributable fraction suggested AF accounted for 0.2% of sepsis deaths. In this large nationwide cohort, new-onset AF occurred in 1.49% of sepsis admissions and was associated with a small mortality increase. Further research should examine whether optimized AF management can improve sepsis outcomes in China.

Associations between factors in childhood and young adulthood and childlessness among women in their 40s: A national prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

While the risk factors for infertility are well-established, research on factors associated with voluntary childlessness is limited and mainly focused on adulthood factors. Thus, we examined the associations between factors in childhood and young adulthood and different types of childlessness.

METHODS

The analysis included 4653 women from the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health from 1996 to 2021. Childlessness was categorised as: voluntary, due to infertility issues, or due to other reasons. The associations between factors in childhood and young adulthood and childlessness were assessed using multinomial logistic regression models.

RESULTS

In their 40s, 4.8 % of women were voluntarily childless, 6.7 % were childless due to infertility issues, and 7.8 % were childless due to other reasons. Regardless of types of childlessness, being childless was associated with poorer self-rated health during childhood and having been unpartnered and obese in young adulthood. Ex-smokers in young adulthood had lower odds of childlessness. Childhood physical abuse was associated with childlessness due to infertility issues and other reasons. Voluntary childlessness and childlessness due to infertility issues were associated with having identified as non-exclusively heterosexual in early adulthood. Lower social support in early adulthood was associated with voluntary childlessness and childlessness due to other reasons.

LIMITATIONS

The direction of the associations could not be determined and using self-reported data may introduce recall bias.

CONCLUSIONS

Factors in childhood and young adulthood were associated with different types of childlessness, highlighting the importance of adopting a life course perspective when studying childlessness.

Identifying potentially depressed older Chinese adults in the community: Hong Kong's Elderly Health Service cohort

BACKGROUND

Depression is common at older ages, but is under-recognized due to stigma, misperception, and under-diagnosis; its manifestations may vary by setting. Identifying older adults at risk of depression in the community is urgently needed for timely support and early interventions. We assessed the performance of an existing risk prediction model developed in a European setting (i.e., Depression Risk Assessment Tool (DRAT-up)), and developed a new model (i.e., EHS-Depress model) to predict 2-year risk of the onset of later life depressive symptoms in older Chinese adults.

METHODS

Among 185,538 participants aged ≥65 years from Hong Kong's Elderly Health Service (EHS) cohort, 174,806 without depressive symptoms at baseline were included. Two-thirds were randomly sampled for recalibration and new model development using Cox proportional-hazards models with backward elimination. Overall predictive performance, discrimination, and calibration were assessed using the remaining.

RESULTS

The original DRAT-up model underestimated the risk of developing depressive symptoms in older Chinese adults; recalibrating it improved calibration. The new EHS-Depress model had better discrimination (Harrell's C statistic 0.68 and D statistic 2.74) and similarly good calibration (calibration slope 1.18 and intercept -0.002) probably due to the inclusion of more specific health measures, socio-demographics, lifestyle factors, and regular social contact as predictors.

LIMITATIONS

Predictors of depressive symptoms included in our models depend on the data availability.

CONCLUSIONS

The EHS-Depress model predicted 2-year risk of developing depressive symptoms better than the original and recalibrated DRAT-up models. The setting-specific risk prediction model is more applicable to older Chinese adults in primary care settings.

Association of cognitive reserve with transitions across cognitive states and death in older adults: A 15-year follow-up study

INTRODUCTION

We investigated the association of cognitive reserve (CR) with transitions across cognitive states and death.

METHODS

This population-based cohort study included 2631 participants (age ≥60 years) who were dementia-free at baseline and regularly examined up to 15 years. Data were analyzed using the Markov multistate models.

RESULTS

Each 1-point increase in the composite CR score (range: -4.25 to 3.46) was significantly associated with lower risks of transition from normal cognition to cognitive impairment, no dementia (CIND) (multivariable-adjusted hazards ratio = 0.78; 95% confidence interval = 0.72-0.85) and death (0.85; 0.79-0.93), and from CIND to death (0.82; 0.73-0.91), but not from CIND to normal cognition or dementia. A greater composite CR score was associated with a lower risk of transition from CIND to death in people aged 60-72 but not in those aged ≥ 78 years.

DISCUSSION

CR contributes to cognitive health by delaying cognitive deterioration in the prodromal phase of dementia.

HIGHLIGHTS

We use Markov multistate model to examine the association between cognitive reserve and transitions across cognitive states and death. A great cognitive reserve contributes to cognitive health by delaying cognitive deterioration in the prodromal phase of dementia. A great cognitive reserve is associated with a lower risk of transition from cognitive impairment, no dementia to death in people at the early stage of old age, but not in those at the late stage of old age.

Five-year follow-up of the iBerry Study: screening in early adolescence to identify those at risk of psychopathology in emerging adulthood

The iBerry Study, a Dutch population-based high-risk cohort (n = 1022) examines the transition from subclinical symptoms to psychiatric disorders in adolescents. Here, we present the first follow-up measurement, approximately 3 years after baseline assessment and 5 years after the screening based on self-reported emotional and behavioral problems (SDQ-Y). We give an update on the data collection, details on the (non)response, and the results on psychopathology outcomes. The first follow-up (2019-2022) had a response rate of 79% (n = 807). Our results at baseline (mean age 15.0 years) have shown the effectiveness of using the SDQ-Y to select a cohort oversampled for the risk of psychopathology. At first follow-up (mean age 18.1 years), the previously administered SDQ-Y remains predictive for selecting adolescents at risk. At follow-up, 47% of the high-risk adolescents showed significant mental health problems based on self- and parent reports and 46% of the high-risk adolescents met the criteria for multiple DSM-5 diagnoses. Compared to low-risk adolescents, high-risk adolescents had a sevenfold higher odds of significant emotional and behavioral problems at follow-up. Comprehensive assessment on psychopathology, substance abuse, psychotic symptoms, suicidality, nonsuicidal self-injury, addiction to social media and/or video gaming, and delinquency, as well as social development, and the utilization of healthcare and social services were conducted. This wave, as well as the ones to follow, track these adolescents into their young adulthood to identify risk factors, elucidate causal mechanisms, and discern pathways leading to both common and severe mental disorders. Results from the iBerry Study will provide leads for preventive interventions.