Predictors of relapsing disease course following index event in myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD)

BACKGROUND

Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) is an autoimmune disease that can present as a monophasic or relapsing disease course. Here, we investigate the predictors of developing relapsing disease with a focus on the index event.

METHODS

MOGAD patients followed at Massachusetts General Hospital and Brigham and Women's Hospital were included. Data on demographic, clinical, and laboratory features were collected. Time-to-event survival analysis was performed using a Cox proportional hazards model. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

We included 124 patients with a diagnosis of MOGAD of which 62.1% (n = 77) were female. The median (IQR) onset age and follow-up time were 31 (16, 45), and 4.08 (2.2, 7.9) years respectively. In total, 40.3% (n = 50) of patients remained monophasic and, 59.7% (n = 74) developed a relapsing course. The median (IQR) time between the index event and the second attack was 3(2, 13.7) months. Starting maintenance therapy following the index event was associated with decreased risk of relapsing disease (HR:0.26; 95%CI: 0.12, 0.54; P < 0.001). Maintenance therapy with intravenous immunoglobulin (HR:0.1; 95% CI:0.01, 0.78, P = 0.02), rituximab (HR: 0.21; 95%CI: 0.08, 0.55; P = 0.001), and mycophenolate mofetil (HR: 0.27; 95%CI: 0.09, 0.77; P = 0.01) was associated with a decreased risk of relapsing disease course. A polyphasic first attack (HR:2.4; 95%CI:1.31, 4.4; P = 0.004) and high CSF protein (HR:2.06; 95%CI: 1.01, 4.16; P = 0.04) were associated with a relapsing course.

CONCLUSIONS

In MOGAD patients, starting maintenance therapy following the index event reduces the risk of relapsing disease regardless of age, sex, and onset phenotype, while polyphasic first attack, and elevated CSF protein predict relapsing disease course.

Predictors and moderators of outcome of ICBT for loneliness with guidance or automated messages - A secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial

Internet-based cognitive behavioral therapy (ICBT) is promising in alleviating loneliness in adults. Identifying individuals who benefit from ICBT for loneliness is pivotal to offering this intervention in a more targeted way and improving the intervention for those who do not benefit. This secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial (RCT) aimed to identify predictors and moderators of outcome of an ICBT with guidance or automated messages for loneliness. In the RCT, 243 participants suffering from loneliness were randomly assigned to an ICBT with guidance (n = 98), automated messages (n = 97), or a waitlist-control condition (n = 48). In total, 180 participants completed the post-assessment (i.e., 10 weeks post-randomization). Outcomes were treatment outcome assessed with the UCLA-9 Loneliness Scale at post-assessment and treatment response, i.e., reliable improvement on the UCLA-9 from pre- to post. The relationship between a wide range of patient characteristics (grouped into socio-demographic, clinical, loneliness-specific, and treatment-related variables) and outcome was analyzed using multiple linear and logistic regressions. Feeling less burdened by loneliness resulted in higher odds of reliable improvement in guided ICBT compared to the waitlist-control condition. No treatment outcome or response moderators were identified for ICBT with automated messages compared to the waitlist-control group. Across active intervention groups, loneliness at baseline, age and fit between the tasks and goals of the intervention and participants' need predicted treatment outcome. Predictors of treatment response for ICBT with guidance and automated messages were not identified, and no variables differentially predicted the effects of ICBT with guidance or automated messages on the outcomes. In conclusion, individuals less burdened by their feelings of loneliness benefited more from guided ICBT. Lower baseline loneliness scores, younger age, and a better match between tasks and goals of the intervention and participants' needs also predicted a more favorable treatment outcome for both ICBT with guidance and automated messages.

Early left ventricular systolic function is a more sensitive predictor of adverse events after heart transplant

BACKGROUND

First-phase ejection fraction (EF1) is a novel measure of early changes in left ventricular systolic function. This study was to investigate the prognostic value of EF1 in heart transplant recipients.

METHODS

Heart transplant recipients were prospectively recruited at the Union Hospital, Wuhan, China between January 2015 and December 2019. All patients underwent clinical examination, biochemistry measures [brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and creatinine] and transthoracic echocardiography. The primary endpoint was a combined event of all-cause mortality and graft rejection.

RESULTS

In 277 patients (aged 48.6 ± 12.5 years) followed for a median of 38.7 [26.8-45.0] months, there were 35 (12.6%) patients had adverse events including 20 deaths and 15 rejections. EF1 was negatively associated with BNP (β = -0.220, p < 0.001) and was significantly lower in patients with events compared to those without. EF1 had the largest area under the curve in ROC analysis compared to other measures. An optimal cut-off value of 25.8% for EF1 had a sensitivity of 96.3% and a specificity of 97.1% for prediction of events. EF1 was the most powerful predictor of events with hazard ratio per 1% change in EF1: 0.628 (95%CI: 0.555-0.710, p < 0.001) after adjustment for left ventricular ejection fraction and global longitudinal strain.

CONCLUSIONS

Early left ventricular systolic function as measured by EF1 is a powerful predictor of adverse outcomes after heart transplant. EF1 may be useful in risk stratification and management of heart transplant recipients.

Diagnostic significance of peripheral blood indices for eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis in Chinese adults

OBJECTIVE

Eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis (eCRS) is a refractory subtype of CRS. This study aimed to compare the differences in clinical features and peripheral blood indices between eCRS and non-eCRS Chinese patients and identify the predictive factors for eCRS.

METHODS

In this study, a total of 1352 patients with CRS were enrolled and divided into eCRS and non-eCRS groups based on the degree of eosinophilic infiltration in histopathology, and their demographic and clinical characteristics, as well as peripheral blood indices, were compared. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the factors associated with eCRS, and the optimal cut-off values of predictors were determined using subject working curves.

RESULTS

As compared to those in the non-eCRS group patients, the proportion of males, age, proportion of smokers, peripheral blood eosinophil count, and erythrocyte count were significantly higher, while the peripheral blood neutrophil count, platelet count, neutrophil/lymphocyte count ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte count ratio (PLR), and neutrophil × platelet/lymphocyte count ratio (SII index) were significantly lower in the eCRS group patients. Logistic regression analysis showed that age, peripheral blood neutrophil count, eosinophil count, and platelet count were independent predictors of eCRS, and eosinophil count > 2.05 × 108/L could be used as a diagnostic marker for eCRS with a sensitivity and specificity of 87.1% and 78.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

There were significant differences in the clinical features of eCRS and non-eCRS patients. Peripheral blood eosinophil count could early and more accurately predict eCRS.

Factors affecting stress shielding and osteolysis after reverse shoulder arthroplasty: A multicenter study in a Japanese population

BACKGROUND

Stress shielding and osteolysis around the humeral stem after reverse shoulder arthroplasty causes loosening and periprosthetic fractures and reduces bone stock during revision surgery. In Japanese patients, who have relatively small bodies, different characteristics may exist regarding the occurrence of these changes compared with the characteristics of Westerners, who have relatively larger frames. The purpose of this multicenter study was to investigate the incidence and clarify the predictors of stress shielding and osteolysis in Japanese individuals who underwent reverse shoulder arthroplasty.

METHODS

The occurrence of stress shielding and osteolysis was investigated in 135 shoulders that had undergone reverse shoulder arthroplasty at least 2 years prior in five Japanese hospitals. During post-surgical follow-up, which was conducted every 3 months, the locations of the stress shielding occurrences, such as cortical thinning and osteopenia (which primarily occurred in zones 1, 2, and 7, where 1 is the greater tuberosity and 7 is the calcar part), spot weld, and condensation lines, were recorded. Cases without any abnormal findings on radiographs obtained up to ≥2 years after surgery were regarded as having no abnormalities. Finally, the predictors of cortical thinning and proximal humeral osteolysis were assessed using univariate and multivariate regression analyses.

RESULTS

Cortical thinning and osteopenia occurred in 68 shoulders, a condensation line occurred in 37 shoulders, and spot weld occurred in 23 shoulders. In particular, greater tuberosity and calcar osteolysis occurred in 40 and 47 shoulders, respectively. Long stem, cementless stem, and a larger proximal filling ratio were independent predictors of cortical thinning and osteopenia, whereas a cementless stem, larger metaphysis diameter, and a larger proximal filling ratio were associated with proximal humeral osteolysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The predictors of stress shielding and osteolysis included the use of long stems, cementless stems, larger proximal filling ratios, and larger metaphysis diameters.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

retrospective comparative study (Level III).

Predictors of azathioprine and mycophenolate mofetil response in patients with neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder: A cohort study

BACKGROUND

Relapse rates of 47 % have been reported in patients with neuromyelitis optica (NMOSD) using Azathioprine (AZA) and mycophenolate mofetil (MMF). Prediction of non-responders could help determine which patients are most likely to benefit from newer monoclonal antibody treatments from the outset.

OBJECTIVES

To identify predictors of AZA and MMF treatment response in NMOSD.

METHODS

Multicenter cohort study of NMOSD patients from Brazil and the United Kingdom, treated with AZA and MMF. An unsatisfactory response was defined as one severe or two non-severe attacks in a year. Cox regression was used to identify predictive factors of unsatisfactory response to AZA and MMF.

RESULTS

103 NMOSD patients, mean age 38 years, 83% female, and 65% of Black ethnic group were included. An unsatisfactory IS response was observed in 42% of patients over 2.5 years (IQR 1.0-8.8) years. A severe preceding attack was more common in non-responders (31.1% x 76.7%, p = <0.001). In multivariable analysis, severe attack (RR 3.13; 95 % CI 1.37-7.18, p = 0.007) or higher annualized relapse rate (RR 4.84; 95 % CI 2.01-11.65, p = < 0.001) predicted an unsatisfactory response. Interestingly, Black NMOSD patients had a lower risk of poor response (RR 0.39, 95 % CI 0.17-0.85, p = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

Severe attack and a higher annualized relapse rate before AZA or MMF initiation were associated with an unsatisfactory IS response. In patients with these characteristics, treatment with higher-efficacy drugs should be considered from the outset.

Ferritin as an Effective Predictor of Neurological Outcomes in Children With Acute Necrotizing Encephalopathy

BACKGROUND

Acute necrotizing encephalopathy (ANE) is a fulminant disease with poor prognosis. Cytokine storm is the important phenomenon of ANE that affects the brain and multiple organs. The study aimed to identify whether hyperferritinemia was associated with poor prognosis in patients with ANE.

METHODS

All patients with ANE had multiple symmetric lesions located in the bilateral thalami and other regions such as brainstem tegmentum, cerebral white matter, and cerebellum. Neurological outcome at discharge was evaluated by pediatric neurologists using the Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category Scale. All risk factors associated with poor prognosis were further analyzed using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine patients with ANE were enrolled in the current study. Nine (31%) patients achieved a favorable neurological outcome, and 20 (69%) patients had poor neurological outcomes. results The group of poor neurological outcome had significantly higher proportion of shock on admission and brainstem involvement. Based on multivariate logistic regression analysis, ferritin, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and ANE severity score (ANE-SS) were the predictors associated with outcomes. The appropriate cutoff value for predicting neurological outcomes in patients with ANE was 1823 ng/mL for ferritin, 78 U/L for AST, and 4.5 for ANE-SS. Besides, comparison analyses showed that higher level of ferritin and ANE-SS were significantly correlated with brainstem involvement (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Ferritin may potentially be a prognostic factor in patients with ANE. Hyperferritinemia is associated with poor neurological outcomes in patients with ANE and ferritin levels more than 1823 ng/mL have about eightfold increased risk of poor neurological outcome.

Electrocardiographic predictors of atrial mechanical sensing in leadless pacemakers

BACKGROUND

Leadless pacemakers (LPs) capable of VDD pacing allow for atrioventricular synchrony through mechanical sensing of atrial contraction. However, mechanical sensing is less reliable and less predictable than electrical sensing.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate P-wave amplitude during sinus rhythm from preoperative 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECGs) as a predictor for atrial mechanical sensing in patients undergoing VDD LP implantation.

METHODS

Consecutive patients undergoing VDD LP implantation were included in this 2-center prospective cohort study. ECG parameters were evaluated separately and in combination for association with the signal amplitude of atrial mechanical contraction (A4).

RESULTS

Eighty patients (median age 82 years; female 55%; mean body mass index [BMI] 25.8 kg/m2) were included in the study and 61 patients in the A4 signal analysis (19 patients in VVI mode during follow-up). Absolute (aVL, aVF, V1, V2) and BMI-adjusted (I, II, aVL, aVF, aVR, V1, V2) P-wave amplitudes from baseline ECGs demonstrated a statistically significant positive correlation with A4 signal amplitude (all P <.05). A combined P-wave signal amplitude of at least 0.2 mV in V1 and aVL was predictive, with specificity of 83% (95% confidence interval 67%-100%) for A4 signal ≥1 m/s2. We found a significant correlation of A4 signal amplitude and overall atrioventricular synchrony (P = .013).

CONCLUSION

P-wave amplitudes in ECG leads aVL and V1 can predict A4 signal amplitude in patients with VDD LP and therefore the probability of successful AV synchronous pacing.

Prognostic value of high-sensitive troponin T in patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing valve replacement surgery

Background

Aortic stenosis (AS) is a well-known cause of mortality. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of high-sensitive troponin T (hs-TnT) in symptomatic patients with severe AS and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) after surgical aortic valve replacement (AVR).

Patients and methods

The study recruited patients with severe symptomatic AS fulfilling the inclusion criteria in the period between April 2020 and February 2022. Comprehensive echocardiography was done. The following parameters were assessed: AS severity, LV mass index (LVMI), left atrium volume index (LAVI), and LVEF. E/e' and LVEF were calculated using the biplane method of Simpsons. Global longitudinal strain (GLS) was assessed by speckle tracking echocardiography. Peripheral blood samples were collected for hs-TnT measurement. All patients underwent surgical AVR. The patients were followed for the following 6 months for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). MACE was defined as cardiac death, re-admission for congestive heart failure (CHF) and fatal arrhythmia.

Results

One hundred and eight patients (mean age = 58.7 ± 7.68 years) with severe AS were recruited. Seventeen patients presented with MACE including 8 cardiac deaths. We divided the patients into two groups based on the normal hs-TnT values. The Kaplan-Meier curve revealed a statistically significant difference in MACE rate among troponin groups (log-rank test = 5.06, p = 0.025). There was significant difference between both groups regarding GLS with smaller GLS in negative hs-TnT group. In multivariate analysis, GLS and hs-TnT were significantly associated with MACE (p = 0.022 and < 0.01 respectively). The cutoff value of hs-TnT of 238.25 had a sensitivity of 70% and a specificity of 81% for predicting future MACE. There was a significant correlation between GLS and troponin (p < 0.001).

Conclusions

hs-TnT is associated with bad short-term prognosis after AVR. hs-TnT and GLS could be significant predictors for future MACE in patients with severe symptomatic AS and preserved LVEF who underwent AVR. Elevated hs-TnT and impaired GLS could set an indication of early intervention in asymptomatic severe AS.

Survival benefits after radical nephrectomy and IVC thrombectomy of renal cell carcinoma patients with inferior vena cava thrombus

Objective

The role of tumor thrombus as a predictor of survival in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is controversial. This study aims to evaluate surgical and oncological outcomes after surgery in RCC with inferior vena cava (IVC) tumor thrombus patients.

Materials and methods

A total of 58 patients (2002-2019) underwent radical nephrectomy and IVC thrombectomy at our institute, were retrospectively reviewed. Kaplan-Meier analysis was utilized to compare survival benefits between cohorts and Cox-regression to evaluate potential predictors of patient survival.

Results

There were 5(8.6%), 21(36.2%), 23(39.7%) and 9 (15.5%) patients with tumor thrombus level I, II, III and IV respectively. The major complications (Clavien 3-5) were observed in 15 patients (25.8%) and 12 patients (80%) were patients with high thrombus level (III-IV). There was 9%mortality (5patients): 2 intraoperatively and 3 postoperatively. Median follow-up was 15 months (IQR:5-41). Two-year overall survival (OS) was 80% and 75% in all patients and pN0M0 cohort, respectively. There was significant difference in OS among each IVC thrombus level cohort (p < 0.02). Two-year OS of metastatic RCC patients was 67% and not significantly different when compared to non-metastatic cohort (p = 0.12). On multivariate analysis, only sarcomatoid dedifferentiation was associated with OS(p = 0.04). Disease-free survival was not significantly different among thrombus-level cohorts (p = 0.65).

Conclusions

Our study suggested that surgical treatment for RCC with IVC thrombus provided substantial OS outcomes. Although survival was significantly reduced with higher IVC thrombus level cohort, the level of thrombus itself was not an independent factor. Only sarcomatoid dedifferentiation was a predictor for reduced OS after radical nephrectomy and tumor thrombectomy. Meticulous patient selection and prompt counselling are substantial step for the operation.

Development of a clinical nomogram for prediction of response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with advanced gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

The efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in advanced gastric cancer (GC) is still a controversial issue.

AIM

To find factors associated with chemosensitivity to NAC treatment and to provide the optimal therapeutic strategies for GC patients receiving NAC.

METHODS

The clinical information was collected from 230 GC patients who received NAC treatment at the Central South University Xiangya School of Medicine Affiliated Haikou Hospital from January 2016 to December 2020. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression analysis was used to find the possible predictors. A nomogram model was employed to predict the response to NAC.

RESULTS

In total 230 patients were finally included in this study, including 154 males (67.0%) and 76 females (33.0%). The mean age was (59.37 ± 10.60) years, ranging from 24 years to 80 years. According to the tumor regression grade standard, there were 95 cases in the obvious response group (grade 0 or grade 1) and 135 cases in the poor response group (grade 2 or grade 3). The obvious response rate was 41.3%. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis showed that four risk factors significantly related to the efficacy of NAC were tumor location (P < 0.001), histological differentiation (P = 0.001), clinical T stage (P = 0.008), and carbohydrate antigen 724 (P = 0.008). The C-index for the prediction nomogram was 0.806. The calibration curve revealed that the predicted value exhibited good agreement with the actual value. Decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram had a good value in clinical application.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram combining tumor location, histological differentiation, clinical T stage, and carbohydrate antigen 724 showed satisfactory predictive power to the response of NAC and can be used by gastrointestinal surgeons to determine the optimal treatment strategies for advanced GC patients.

Epidemiological and Clinical Characteristics Associated with COVID-19 Severity Among Hospitalized Patients in the United Arab Emirates: A Retrospective Multicentre Study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the clinical and epidemiological factors associated with severe COVID-19 cases in hospitalized patients across two emirates within the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

METHODS

A retrospective observational analytical study analysed data from 738 medical records and conducted 573 in-depth interviews with patients hospitalized across multiple healthcare centers in the UAE, between 29 January 2020 and 14 October 2021. Regression analysis predicted risk factors for COVID-19 severity.

RESULTS

Main risk factors identified were crowding (aOR 1.919; 95%CI 1.144, 3.221), obesity (aOR 2.383; 95%CI 1.332, 4.263), diabetes (aOR 11.14; 95%CI 2.653-46.797), severe dehydration (aOR 3.219; 95%CI 2.161, 4.795), cough or sore throat (aOR 1.607; 95%CI 1.032, 2.502), shortness of breath (aOR 1.921; 95%CI 1.294, 2.853), increased days from symptom onset to admission (aOR 1.055; 95%CI 1.006, 1.105), elevated ANC (aOR 1.263, 95%CI 1.121, 1.424), and AST/SGOT (aOR 1.055, 95% CI 1.016, 1.095). Protective factors included smoking (aOR 0.367; 95%CI 0.182, 0.740), first dose of COVID-19 vaccination (aOR 0.595; 95%CI 0.377, 0.93), higher oxygen saturation (aOR 0.853; 95%CI: 0.801, 0.907) and elevated ALC (aOR 0.540; 95%CI 0.323, 0.905).

CONCLUSION

Identifying risk factors is crucial for high-risk individuals who may require closer monitoring to improve their outcomes. This can provide guidance for surveillance systems and early detection strategies to mitigate the impact of future outbreaks.

[Predictive factors for HBsAg-negative seroconversion in chronic hepatitis B after antiviral therapy]

Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) negative seroconversion (HBsAg < 0.05 IU/ml) is research hotspot in the field of hepatitis at this stage, and patients who achieve HBsAg negative seroconversion have significantly fewer liver-related complications. Presently, there are many studies with regard to HBsAg-negative seroconversion, but there are still relatively few indicators used in clinical practice to predict HBsAg-negative seroconversion. Low baseline HBsAg quantification and dynamic decline during treatment are currently recognized as the best indicators for predicting HBsAg-negative seroconversion. However, other factors such as viral genotype, elevated transaminases during treatment course, immune cell function and cytokine levels, and host factors can all influence HBsAg-negative seroconversion. This article reviews the relevant indicators and potential predictive factors for HBsAg-negative seroconversion.

Dysmenorrhea pattern in adolescences informing adult endometriosis

BACKGROUND

Endometriosis (EMs) is a chronic and progressive disease that, if diagnosed late, can lead to infertility and deep infiltrating endometriosis (DIE). Dysmenorrhea is the most prominent symptom of EMs. However, limited research exists on the specific correlation between dysmenorrhea patterns and EMs. Early prevention of EMs is essential to effectively manage the progression of the disease, and is best detected during adolescence. Our objective was to associate the development of EMs with dysmenorrhea patterns during adolescence and quantify the risk of adult EMs for adolescent girls, with the aim of supporting primary intervention strategy planning.

METHODS

This case-control study examined predictors for adult EMs based on dysmenorrhea patterns in adolescents. We collected 1,287 cases of 641 EMs and 646 healthy females regarding their basic demographic information, adolescent menstrual characteristics, adolescent dysmenorrheal patterns, and adolescent lifestyles. Age-matching (1-to-1) was employed to control for the confounding effect of age between the groups. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) and logistic regression models were utilized to identify predictors for adult EMs. The predictive value of the model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the C-index, while Hosmer-Lemeshow Test assessed the goodness of fit of the model. Data from one additional cohort in Shenzhen hospitalized with EMs were used to external validation were analyzed.

RESULTS

Individuals who always experienced dysmenorrhea had a risk of adult endometriosis 18.874 (OR = 18.874; 95%CI = 10.309-34.555) times higher than those occasional dysmenorrhea, The risk of developing EMs was 5.257 times higher in those who experienced dysmenorrhea more than 12 months after menarche than in those who experienced dysmenorrhea less than 6 months after menarche (OR = 5.257, 95% CI = 3.343-8.266), AUC in the external validation cohort was 0.794(95%CI: 0.741-0.847). We further found that high-intensity physical activity and sun-sensitive skin of burning were influential factors in high-frequency dysmenorrhea. The AUC value for the internal evaluation of the model was 0.812 and the AUC value for the external validation was 0.794.

CONCLUSION

Our findings revealed that the frequency of dysmenorrhea during adolescence contributed to the development of adult endometriosis. The frequency and onset of dysmenorrhea in adolescence were promising predictors for adult EMs. Both internal and external validation proved the model's good predictive ability.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

http://www.chictr.org.cn/ , TRN: ChicTR2200060429, date of registration: 2022/06/01, retrospectively registered.

Telemedicine in Arthroplasty Patients: Which Factors Are Associated With High Satisfaction?

Background

During the initial coronavirus pandemic lockdown period, remote hip and knee arthroplasty care was heavily employed out of necessity. However, data on patient satisfaction with telemedicine specific to hip and knee arthroplasty patients remains unknown.

Methods

All patients who had a telemedicine visit in the hip and knee arthroplasty department and completed a telemedicine satisfaction survey at a specialty hospital from April 1, 2020, to December 31, 2020, were identified. Patient satisfaction with telemedicine, gauged through a series of questions, were analyzed and evaluated over time. Independent factors associated with high satisfaction, defined as the "Top Box" response to the survey question "Likelihood of your recommending our video visit service to others," were identified.

Results

Overall, 29,003 patients who had an in-person or telemedicine visit in the hip and knee arthroplasty department during the study period were identified. During the initial coronavirus pandemic lockdown period, defined as April 1, 2020-May 31, 2020, rate of overall telemedicine utilization was approximately 84%. After the initial lockdown period, the rate of overall telemedicine utilization was approximately 8% of all visits per month. Average satisfaction scores for a series of 14 questions were consistently above 4.5 out of 5. Multivariable regression revealed younger age, particularly 18-64 years old, to be the only independent factor associated with high satisfaction with telemedicine. The rate of high satisfaction remained statistically similar throughout the study period (P > .05).

Conclusions

Patient satisfaction with telemedicine was consistently high in various domains and remained high throughout the study period, regardless of loosened pandemic restrictions. This technology will most likely continue to be utilized, but perhaps it should be targeted at patients younger than 65 years of age.

Impact of medical checkup parameters on major adverse cardiovascular events in the general Japanese population

Medical checkups play a role in the identification of individuals at increased cardiovascular risk. However, the impact of each medical examination parameter on the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) has not been intensively studied. Here we assessed the predictors of MACE among parameters examined during medical checkups in the general Japanese population. A total of 13,522 individuals (mean age, 52.8 ± 12.3 years) who participated in our medical checkup program from 2008 to 2015 were followed up for a median of 1,827 days with the endpoint of MACE. MACE included cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, angina, decompensated heart failure, stroke, and other cardiovascular events requiring hospitalization. Possible associations between MACE and baseline clinical test parameters were investigated. During follow-up, MACE occurred in 196 participants. Participants with hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, or metabolic syndrome were at increased risk of MACE on the univariate analysis. Multivariate Cox hazard analysis demonstrated that male sex, age, systolic blood pressure, and baseline B-type natriuretic peptide level were independently correlated with future MACE after the adjustment for confounders; the impact of B-type natriuretic peptide was most prominent among the investigated variables. These results suggest that B-type natriuretic peptide level obtained during a medical checkup examination is an independent and strong predictor of MACE. The inclusion of BNP as part of medical checkup parameters may improve the ability to identify individuals at increased cardiovascular risk and prevent cardiovascular disease among them.

The effect of high-power short-duration pulmonary vein isolation on PWPT-a predictor of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The P wave peak time (PWPT) is a predictor of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF). High-power short-duration ablation has been associated with improved durability of circumferential pulmonary vein electrical isolation (PVI). We investigated the effect of high-power short-duration PVI on PWPT in patients with PAF.

METHODS

Out of 111 patients with PAF, 91 received radiofrequency ablation (ablation group) and 20 received medication treatment (control group). A VIZIGO sheath and an STSF catheter (Biosense Webster, CA, USA) were used together for high-power short-duration circumferential PVI at ablation index values of 500 and 400 for the anterior and posterior walls, respectively. The patients were followed up for 12 months.

RESULTS

The preoperative PWPT in the ablation group was similar to that in the control group: PWPT II = 54.38 ± 6.18 ms vs. 54.35 ± 6.12 ms (p > 0.05), PWPT V1 = 54.19 ± 6.21 ms vs. 54.31 ± 6.08 ms (p > 0.05), respectively. Circumferential PVI was achieved for all patients in the ablation group during the operation. At the 12-month follow-up, there were seven cases of AF recurrence. The PWPT in the ablation group 12 months postoperatively was shorter than the preoperative value: PWPT II = 49.39 ± 7.11 ms vs. 54.38 ± 6.18 ms (p < 0.001), PWPT V1 = 47.69 ± 7.01 ms vs. 54.19 ± 6.21 ms (p < 0.001). The PWPT in the patients with AF recurrence was significantly longer than that in the non-recurrence patients: PWPT II = 50.48 ± 7.12 ms vs. 47.33 ± 6.21 ms (p < 0.001), PWPT V1 = 50.84 ± 7.05 ms vs. 47.19 ± 6.27 ms, (p < 0.001). The PWPT of the control group at the 12-month follow-up was similar to the baseline level: PWPT II = 54.32 ± 6.20 ms vs. 54.35 ± 6.12 ms (p > 0.05), PWPT V1 = 53.89 ± 6.01 ms vs. 54.31 ± 6.08 ms (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The results showed that high-power short-duration PVI had a positive effect on PWPT, which is a predictor of PAF.

Ultrasound-guided hydrodilatation for adhesive capsulitis: capsule-preserving versus capsule-rupturing technique

OBJECTIVE

To compare the clinical efficacy of capsule-rupturing versus capsule-preserving ultrasound-guided hydrodilatation in patients with shoulder adhesive capsulitis (AC). To determine potential factors affecting the outcome over a 6-month follow-up.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Within a 2-year period, 149 consecutive patients with AC were prospectively enrolled and allocated into (i) group-CR, including 39 patients receiving hydrodilatation of the glenohumeral joint (GHJ) with capsular rupture and (ii) group-CP, including 110 patients treated with GHJ hydrodilatation with capsular preservation. Demographics, affected shoulder, and AC grade were recorded. Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand (DASH) questionnaire and visual analog scale (VAS) were used for clinical assessment at baseline/1/3/6 months. Comparisons were performed with Mann-Whitney U test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Linear regression was used to identify predictors of outcome. P value < 0.05 defined significance.

RESULTS

DASH and VAS scores in both groups improved significantly compared to baseline (P < 0.001) and were significantly lower in the CP compared to CR group at all time-points following intervention (P < 0.001). Capsule rupture was a significant predictor of DASH score at all time-points (P < 0.001). DASH scores correlated to initial DASH score at all time-points (P < 0.001). DASH/VAS scores at 1 month were correlated to the AC grade (P = 0.025/0.02).

CONCLUSION

GHJ hydrodilatation results in pain elimination and functional improvement till the mid-term in patients with AC, with improved outcome when adopting the capsule-preserving compared to the capsule-rupturing technique. Higher initial DASH score is predictive of impaired functionality in the mid-term.

Microbiological persistence in patients with Mycobacterium abscessus complex lung disease: The prevalence, predictors, and the impact on progression

OBJECTIVES

Persistent growth of Mycobacterium abscessus complex (MABC) in the respiratory system is not uncommon and may indicate continuous infection of MABC lung disease (MABC-LD), but its prevalence, risk factors, and clinical impact have not been investigated.

METHODS

The present study was conducted in two medical centers in northern Taiwan. We enrolled patients with MABC-LD and investigated the prevalence and predictors of persistent culture positivity (MABC-PP). Furthermore, we analyzed the association between MABC-PP and radiographic or clinical progression.

RESULTS

Among 189 patients with MABC-LD, 58 were in the MABC-PP group. Independent predictors for MABC-PP included an increasing radiographic score and highest acid-fast stain (AFS) of strong positivity (3-4+) at initial diagnosis (compared with negative AFS). MABC-PP and highest AFS were independently associated with MABC-LD progression by the multivariable analysis model. The adjusted hazard ratio increased to 3.56 when the two independent factors existed.

CONCLUSIONS

MABC-PP accounted for 30.7% and was predicted by initial AFS grade and radiographic score. Patients with MABC-PP, and highest AFS grade might have disease progression.

Predictor role of heart rate variability in subarachnoid hemorrhage: A systematic review

Background- Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is one of the most devastating diseases with a high rate of morbidity and mortality. The heart rate variability (HRV) is a non-invasive method of monitoring various components of the autonomic nervous system activity that can be utilized to delineate autonomic dysfunctions associated with various physiological and pathological conditions. The reliability of HRV as a predictor of clinical outcome in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is not yet well investigated in literature. Methods- A systematic review and in depth analysis of 10 articles on early HRV changes in SAH patients was performed. Results- This systematic review demonstrates a correlation between early changes in HRV indices (time and frequency domain) and the development of neuro-cardiogenic complications and poor neurologic outcome in patients with SAH. Conclusions- A correlation between absolute values or changes of the LF/HF ratio and neurologic and cardiovascular complications was found in multiple studies. Because of significant limitations of included studies, a large prospective study with proper handling of confounders is needed to generate high-quality recommendations regarding HRV as a predictor of post SAH complications and poor neurologic outcome.

Early treatment response as predictor of long-term outcome in a clinical cohort of children with ADHD

This study investigates early onset of treatment response as predictor of symptomatic and functional outcome 3 years after initiation of methylphenidate (MPH) administration in a naturalistic, clinical cohort of children and adolescents with ADHD. Children were followed across an initial 12-week MPH treatment trial and after 3 years, with ratings of symptoms and impairment. Associations between a clinically significant MPH treatment response in week 3 (defined as ≥ 20% reduction in clinician-rated symptoms) and in week 12 (defined as ≥ 40% reduction), and 3-year outcome were tested in multivariate linear regression models, adjusting for sex, age, comorbidity, IQ, maternal education, parental psychiatric disorder, and baseline symptoms and function. We did not have information on treatment adherence or the nature of treatments beyond 12 weeks. 148 children, mean age 12.4 years (range 10-16 years), 77% males, participated in the follow-up. We found a significant decrease in symptom score from baseline [M = 41.9 (SD = 13.2)] to 3-year follow-up [M = 27.5 (SD = 12.7), p < 0.001, and in impairment score from baseline (M = 41.6 (SD = 19.4)] to 3-year follow-up [M = 35.6 (SD = 20.2), p = 0.005]. Treatment responses in week 3 and week 12 were significant predictors of the long-term outcome of symptoms, but not of impairment at 3-year follow-up, when adjusting for other well-known predictors. Early treatment response predicts long-term outcome over and above other well-known predictors. Clinicians should follow-up patients carefully, during the first months of treatment, and detect non-responders, since there might be a window of opportunity to alter the outcome, by changing the treatment strategy.Clinical trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, registration number NCT04366609, April 28, 2020 retrospectively registered.

Tumor margin irregularity degree is an important preoperative predictor of adverse pathology for clinical T1/2 renal cell carcinoma and the construction of predictive model

PURPOSE

To explore the critical role of the tumor margin irregularity degree (TMID) of renal tumors in predicting adverse pathology of patients with clinical T1/2 (cT1/2) renal cell carcinoma (RCC).

METHODS

A total of 821 patients with cT1/2 RCC undergoing nephrectomy in the Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University between January 2017 and December 2020 were reviewed. The tumor margin irregularity (TMI) was classified into renal mass with locally raised protrusion and smooth margin called 'lobular', sharply and unsmooth nodular margin called 'spiculation', blurred margins between tumor and renal parenchyma or a completely irregular and non-elliptical shape. The ratio between the number of irregular cross-sections (X) and the number of total cross-sections from top to bottom occupied (Y) was defined as TMID (X/Y). The logistic regression was performed to determine the independent predictors of adverse pathology, and the Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank test were used to analyze the survival outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 821 cT1/2 RCC patients, 245 (29.8%) had adverse pathology. The results of the univariate and multivariate logistic regressions showed that the age, tumor size, hemoglobin, and TMID were the independent predictors of adverse pathology. Incorporation of TMID could increase the discrimination of the predictive model with the area under curve (AUC) of ROC curves increasing from 0.725 to 0.808. Patients with adverse pathology or higher TMID both had significantly shorter recurrence-free survival (RFS).

CONCLUSION

The nomogram model incorporated with TMID for predicting adverse pathology could increase its discrimination, calibration, and clinical application values, compared with the models without TMID.

A retrospective study investigating the clinical significance of body mass index in acute pancreatitis

Background

Acute pancreatitis is an unpredictable and potentially fatal condition for which no definitive cure is currently available. Our research focused on exploring the connection between body mass index, a frequently overlooked risk factor, and both the onset and progression of acute pancreatitis.

Material/Methods

A total of 247 patients with acute pancreatitis admitted to Jiangsu Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine from January 2021 to February 2023 were retrospectively reviewed. After screening, 117 patients with complete height and body weight data were selected for detailed assessment. Additionally, 85 individuals who underwent physical examinations at our hospital during this period were compiled to create a control group. The study received ethical approval from the ethics committee of Jiangsu Province Hospital of Chinese Medicine (Ref: No.2022NL-114-02) and was conducted in accordance with the China Good Clinical Practice in Research guidelines.

Results

A significant difference in body mass index (BMI) was observed between the healthy group and acute pancreatitis (AP) patients (p < 0.05), with a more pronounced disparity noted in cases of hyperlipidemic acute pancreatitis (p < 0.01). A potential risk for AP was identified at a BMI greater than 23.56 kg/m2 (AUC = 0.6086, p < 0.05). Being in the obese stage I (95%CI, [1.11-1.84]) or having a BMI below 25.4 kg/m2 (95%CI, [1.82-6.48]) are identified as risk factors for adverse AP progression. Moreover, BMI effectively predicts the onset of acute edematous pancreatitis and acute necrotizing pancreatitis (AUC = 0.7893, p < 0.001, cut-off value = 25.88 kg/m2). A higher BMI correlates with increased recurrence rates within a short timeframe (r = 0.7532, p < 0.01).

Conclusions

Elevated BMI is a risk factor for both the occurrence and progression of AP, and underweight status may similarly contribute to poor disease outcomes. BMI is crucial for risk prediction and stratification in AP and warrants ongoing monitoring and consideration.