Investigations of the prognostic value of RUNX1 mutation in acute myeloid leukemia patients: Data from a real-world study

RUNX1 is one of the recurrent mutated genes in newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Although historically recognized as a provisional distinct entity, the AML subtype with RUNX1 mutations (AML-RUNX1mut) was eliminated from the 2022 WHO classification system. To gain more insight into the characteristics of AML-RUNX1mut, we retrospectively analyzed 1065 newly diagnosed adult AML patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University between January 2017 and December 2021. RUNX1 mutations were identified in 112 patients (10.5%). The presence of RUNX1 mutation (RUNX1mut) conferred a lower composite complete remission (CRc) rate (40.2% vs. 58.4%, P＜0.001), but no significant difference was observed in the 5-year overall survival (OS) rate (50.2% vs. 53.9%; HR=1.293; P=0.115) and event-free survival (EFS) rate (51.5% vs. 49.4%; HR=1.487, P=0.089), even within the same risk stratification. Multivariate analysis showed that RUNX1mut was not an independent prognostic factor for OS (HR=1.352, P=0.068) or EFS (HR=1.129, P=0.513). When patients were stratified according to induction regimen, RUNX1mut was an unfavorable factor for CRc both on univariate and multivariate analysis in patients receiving conventional chemotherapy, and higher risk stratification predicted worse OS. In those who received venetoclax plus hypomethylating agents, RUNX1mut was not predictive of CRc and comparable OS and EFS were seen between intermediate-risk and adverse-risk groups. The results of this study revealed that the impact of RUNX1mut is limited. Its prognostic value depended more on treatment and co-occurrent abnormalities. VEN-HMA may abrogate the prognostic impact of RUNX1, which merits a larger prospective cohort to illustrate.

The Ability of the STAR-CAP Staging System to Prognosticate the Risk of Subsequent Therapies and Metastases After Initial Treatment of M0 Prostate Cancer

INTRODUCTION

The International Staging Collaboration for Prostate Cancer (STAR-CAP) has been proposed as a risk model for prostate cancer with superior prognostic power compared to the current staging system. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of STAR-CAP in predicting the risk of subsequent therapy after initial treatment and the risk of developing metastases.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The study included 3425 men from an institutional observational registry with a median age of 64.9 years and a median follow-up time of 5.4 years. The primary endpoints were metastases and progression to additional therapy after initial therapy (radiation ± surgery). The risk of progression in the STAR-CAP group was estimated using a competing risk model (death).

RESULTS

The results showed that patients with STAR-CAP stages 1A-1C had a similar risk of requiring additional therapies and developing metastasis. Compared to stage IC, each stage from 2A to 3B incrementally increased the risk of subsequent therapy (hazard ratio (HR) 1.4-5.8, respectively) and metastases (HR 1.5-10.8, respectively). The 5-year probability of receiving subsequent therapy for a patient with stage IC was 8.6%, which increased from 11.4% to 37.4% for those with stages 2A to 3B. The 5-year probability of developing metastases for patients with stage IC was 1.5%, which increased from 2.2% to 8.2% for patients with stages 2A to 3B.

CONCLUSIONS

The probability of receiving subsequent therapy was higher for patients undergoing surgery, while radiation therapy patients were more likely to receive treatment with intensified multimodality therapies upfront.

Mitral Regurgitation Complicated by Cardiogenic Shock: Reassessing Risk Stratification and Therapeutic Strategies

Mitral regurgitation complicated by cardiogenic shock creates a unique and devastating risk profile for patients and poses significant difficulties for physicians who lack a comprehensive range of effective management strategies. Supportive measures such as intravenous vasodilators, intra-aortic balloon pumps, and percutaneous ventricular assist devices are often necessary to stabilize patients prior to definitive treatment with surgical mitral valve replacement or trans-catheter edge-to-edge repair. This review evaluates the evidence for the available supportive and definitive management strategies in patients with mitral regurgitation complicated by cardiogenic shock and presents a framework to aid clinicians in navigating the complex clinical decision-making process. Additionally, the authors review emerging transcatheter mitral valve replacement technologies that hold promise for expanding the therapeutic armamentarium and improving patient outcomes.

GRACE scores or high-sensitivity troponin for timing of coronary angiography in non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes

BACKGROUND

The GRACE risk score is generically recommended by guidelines for timing of invasive coronary angiography without stating which score should be used. The aim was to determine the diagnostic performance of different GRACE risk scores in comparison to the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn).

METHODS

Prospectively enrolled patients presenting with symptoms suggestive of myocardial infarction (MI) in two large studies testing biomarker diagnostic strategies were included. Five GRACE risk scores were calculated. The amount of risk reclassification and the theoretical impact on guideline-recommended timing of invasive coronary angiography was studied.

RESULTS

Overall, 8,618 patients were eligible for analyses. Comparing different GRACE risk scores, up to 63.8% of participants were reclassified into a different risk category. The proportion of MIs identified (i.e., sensitivity) dramatically differed between GRACE risk scores (range 23.8-66.5%) and was lower for any score than for the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm (78.1%). Supplementing the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm with a GRACE risk score slightly increased sensitivity (P < 0.001 for all scores). However, this increased the number of false positive results.

CONCLUSION

The substantial amount of risk reclassification causes clinically meaningful differences in the proportion of patients meeting the recommended threshold for pursuing early invasive strategy according to the different GRACE scores. The single best test to detect MIs is the ESC 0/1 h-algorithm. Combining GRACE risk scoring with hs-cTn testing slightly increases the detection of MIs but also increases the number of patients with false positive results who would undergo potential unnecessarily early invasive coronary angiography.

Cardiovascular Disease in Total Knee Arthroplasty: An Analysis of Hospital Outcomes, Complications, and Mortality

Background

Cardiovascular comorbidities have been identified as a significant risk factor for adverse outcomes following surgery. The purpose of this study was to investigate its prevalence and impact on postoperative outcomes, hospital metrics, and mortality in patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Our hypothesis was that patients with cardiovascular comorbidities would have worse outcomes, greater postoperative complication rates, and increased mortality compared to patients without cardiovascular disease.

Methods

In this retrospective study, data from the National Inpatient Sample database from 2011 to 2020 were queried for patients who underwent TKA with preexisting cardiac comorbidities, including congestive heart failure (CHF), coronary artery disease (CAD), valvular dysfunction, and arrhythmia. Multivariate logistic regression analyses compared hospital metrics (length of stay, costs, and adverse discharge disposition), postoperative complications, and mortality rates while adjusting for demographic and clinical variables. All statistical analyses were performed using R studio 4.2.2 and Stata MP 17 and 18 with Python package.

Results

A total of 385,585 patients were identified. Those with preexisting CHF, CAD, valvular dysfunction, or arrhythmias were found to be older and at higher risk of adverse outcomes, including prolonged length of stay, increased hospital charges, and increased mortality (p < 0.001). Additionally, all preexisting cardiac diagnoses led to an increased risk of postoperative myocardial infarction, acute kidney injury (AKI), and need for transfusion (p < 0.001). The presence of valvular dysfunction, arrhythmia, or CHF was associated with an increased risk of thromboembolic events (p < 0.001). The presence of CAD and valvular dysfunction was associated with an increased risk of urologic infection (p < 0.001).

Conclusions

This study demonstrated that CHF, CAD, valvular dysfunction, and arrhythmia are prevalent among TKA patients and associated with worse hospital metrics, higher risk of perioperative complications, and increased mortality. As our use of TKA rises, a lower threshold for preoperative cardiology referral in older individuals and early preoperative counseling/intervention in those with known cardiac disease may be necessary to reduce adverse outcomes.

Optimizing Patient Selection for Physiological Pacing in Bradyarrhythmia: Factors Associated With High Ventricular Pacing Burden

Background

Right ventricular (RV) pacing is established as the most common ventricular pacing (VP) strategy for patients with symptomatic bradyarrhythmia. Some patients with high VP burden suffer deterioration of left ventricular (LV) function, termed pacing-induced cardiomyopathy (PICM). Patients who pace > 20% of the time from the RV apex are at increased risk of PICM, but independent predictors of increased RV pacing burden have not been elucidated in those who have a permanent pacemaker (PPM) inserted for bradyarrhythmia.

Methods

We aimed to identify factors that are associated with increased VP burden > 20%, hence determining those at risk for resultant PICM. In this retrospective cohort study, we identified the most recent 300 consecutive cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) implants in our center and collected past medical history, electrocardiogram (ECG), echo, medication and pacemaker check data.

Results

A total of 236 individuals met inclusion criteria. Of the patients, 35% had RV pacing burden < 20%, while 65% had VP burden ≥ 20%; 96.2% of patients with complete heart block (CHB) paced > 20% (P = 0.002). Utilization of DDD or VVI (75.2% and 89.2% of patients, respectively) without mode switch algorithms was associated with VP > 20% (P < 0.001). Male or previous coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) patients also statistically paced > 20%. Other factors trending towards significance included prolonged PR interval, atrial fibrillation or more advanced age.

Conclusion

High-grade atrioventricular (AV) block was associated with an RV pacing burden > 20% over 3 years but this was not consistent in patients with only transient episodes of high-grade AV block. We found a significant association between high VP% and male sex, previous CABG and the absence of mode switching algorithms.

Development and validation of a preoperative risk nomogram prediction model for gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumors

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS

Gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST) carry a potential risk of malignancy, and the treatment of GIST varies for different risk levels. However, there is no systematic preoperative assessment protocol to predict the malignant potential of GIST. The aim of this study was to develop a reliable and clinically applicable preoperative nomogram prediction model to predict the malignant potential of gastric GIST.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with a pathological diagnosis of gastric GIST from January 2015 to December 2021 were screened retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses were used to identify independent risk factors for gastric GIST with high malignancy potential. Based on these independent risk factors, a nomogram model predicting the malignant potential of gastric GIST was developed and the model was validated in the validation group.

RESULTS

A total of 494 gastric GIST patients were included in this study and allocated to a development group (n = 345) and a validation group (n = 149). In the development group, multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that tumor size, tumor ulceration, CT growth pattern and monocyte-to- lymphocyte ratio (MLR) were independent risk factors for gastric GIST with high malignancy potential. The AUC of the model were 0.932 (95% CI 0.890-0.974) and 0.922 (95% CI 0.868-0.977) in the development and validation groups, respectively. The best cutoff value for the development group was 0.184, and the sensitivity and specificity at this value were 0.895 and 0.875, respectively. The calibration curves indicated good agreement between predicted and actual observed outcomes, while the DCA indicated that the nomogram model had clinical application.

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor size, tumor ulceration, CT growth pattern and MLR are independent risk factors for high malignancy potential gastric GIST, and a nomogram model developed based on these factors has a high ability to predict the malignant potential of gastric GIST.

Comparison between the European Randomized Study for Screening of Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) and Prostate Biopsy Collaborative Group (PBCG) risk calculators: Prediction of clinically significant Prostate Cancer risk in a cohort of patients from Argentina

OBJECTIVE

To compare the performance of the risk calculators of the European Randomized Study for Screening of Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) and the Prostate Biopsy Collaborative Group (PBCG) in predicting the risk of presenting clinically significant prostate cancer.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Retrospectively, patients who underwent prostate biopsy at Sanatorio Allende Cerro, Ciudad de Córdoba, Argentina, were identified from January 2018 to December 2021. The probability of having prostate cancer was calculated with the two calculators separately and then the results were compared to establish which of the two performed better. For this, areas under the curve (AUC) were analyzed.

RESULTS

250 patients were included, 140 (56%) presented prostate cancer, of which 92 (65.71%) had clinically significant prostate cancer (Gleason score ≥7). The patients who presented cancer were older, had a higher prostate-specific antigen (PSA) value, and had a smaller prostate size. The AUC to predict the probability of having clinically significant prostate cancer was 0.79 and 0.73 for PBCG-RC and ERSPC-RC respectively (P=0.0084).

CONCLUSION

In this cohort of patients, both prostate cancer risk calculators performed well in predicting clinically significant prostate cancer risk, although the PBCG-RC showed better accuracy.

Relation of plasma neuropeptide-Y with myocardial function and infarct severity in acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Acute myocardial infarction is associated with the release of the co-transmitter neuropeptide-Y (NPY). NPY acts as a potent vasoconstrictor and is associated with microvascular dysfunction after ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). This study comprehensively evaluated the association of plasma NPY with myocardial function and infarct severity, visualized by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging, in STEMI patients revascularized by primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

METHODS

In this observational study, we included 260 STEMI patients enrolled in the prospective MARINA-STEMI (NCT04113356) study. Plasma NPY concentrations were measured by an immunoassay 24h after PCI from peripheral venous blood samples. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), global longitudinal strain (GLS), infarct size (IS) and microvascular obstruction (MVO) were determined using CMR imaging.

RESULTS

Median plasma concentrations of NPY were 70 [interquartile range (IQR):35-115] pg/ml. NPY levels above median were significantly associated with lower LVEF (48%vs.52%, p=0.004), decreased GLS (-8.8%vs.-12.6%, p<0.001) and larger IS (17%vs.13%, p=0.041) in the acute phase after infarction as well as after 4 months (LVEF:50%vs.52%, p=0.030, GLS:-10.5vs.-12.9,p<0.001,IS:13%vs.10%,p=0.011). In addition, NPY levels were significantly related to presence of MVO (58%vs.52%, p=0.041). Moreover, in multivariable linear regression analysis, NPY remained significantly associated with all investigated CMR parameters (LVEF:p<0.001,GLS:p<0.001,IS:p=0.003,MVO:p=0.042) independent of other established clinical variables including high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, pre-interventional TIMI flow 0 and left anterior descending artery as culprit lesion location.

CONCLUSION

High plasma levels of NPY, measured 24h after STEMI, were independently associated with lower LVEF, decreased GLS, larger IS as well as presence of MVO, indicating plasma NPY as a novel clinical risk marker post STEMI.

Predicting Peri-Operative Cardiorespiratory Adverse Events in Children with Idiopathic Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension Undergoing Cardiac Catheterization Using Echocardiography: A Cohort Study

General anesthesia in children with idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) carries an increased risk of peri-operative cardiorespiratory complications though risk stratifying individual children pre-operatively remains difficult. We report the incidence and echocardiographic risk factors for adverse events in children with PAH undergoing general anesthesia for cardiac catheterization. Echocardiographic, hemodynamic, and adverse event data from consecutive PAH patients are reported. A multivariable predictive model was developed from echocardiographic variables identified by Bayesian univariable logistic regression. Model performance was reported by area under the curve for receiver operating characteristics (AUCroc) and precision/recall (AUCpr) and a pre-operative scoring system derived (0-100). Ninety-three children underwent 158 cardiac catheterizations with mean age 8.8 ± 4.6 years. Adverse events (n = 42) occurred in 15 patients (16%) during 16 catheterizations (10%) including cardiopulmonary resuscitation (n = 5, 3%), electrocardiographic changes (n = 3, 2%), significant hypotension (n = 2, 1%), stridor (n = 1, 1%), and death (n = 2, 1%). A multivariable model (age, right ventricular dysfunction, and dilatation, pulmonary and tricuspid regurgitation severity, and maximal velocity) was highly predictive of adverse events (AUCroc 0.86, 95% CI 0.75 to 1.00; AUCpr 0.68, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.91; baseline AUCpr 0.10). Pre-operative risk scores were higher in those who had a subsequent adverse event (median 47, IQR 43 to 53) than in those who did not (median 23, IQR 15 to 33). Pre-operative echocardiography informs the risk of peri-operative adverse events and may therefore be useful both for consent and multi-disciplinary care planning.

Relationship between subtype-specific minimal residual disease level and long-term prognosis in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia

Minimal residual disease (MRD) based risk stratification criteria for specific genetic subtypes remained unclear in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). Among 723 children with newly diagnosed ALL treated with the Chinese Children Leukemia Group CCLG-2008 protocol, MRD was assessed at time point 1 (TP1, at the end of induction) and TP2 (before consolidation treatment) and the MRD levels significantly differed in patients with different fusion genes or immunophenotypes (P all < 0.001). Moreover, the prognostic impact of MRD varied by distinct molecular subtypes. We stratified patients in each molecular subtype into two MRD groups based on the results. For patients carrying BCR::ABL1 or KMT2A rearrangements, we classified patients with MRD < 10-2 at both TP1 and TP2 as the low MRD group and the others as the high MRD group. ETV6::RUNX1+ patients with TP1 MRD < 10-3 and TP2 MRD-negative were classified as the low MRD group and the others as the high MRD group. For T-ALL, We defined children with TP1 MRD ≥ 10-3 as the high MRD group and the others as the low MRD group. The 10-year relapse-free survival of low MRD group was significantly better than that of high MRD group. We verified the prognostic impact of the subtype-specific MRD-based stratification in patients treated with the BCH-ALL2003 protocol. In conclusion, the subtype-specific MRD risk stratification may contribute to the precise treatment of childhood ALL.

The Shared Ovary: A Multidisciplinary Discussion With Pediatric and Adolescent Gynecology

Pediatric and adolescent ovarian lesions are common and are frequently managed by both pediatric surgeons and pediatric and adolescent gynecologists. During the 2023 American Academy of Pediatric Section on Surgery meeting, an educational symposium was delivered focusing on various aspects of management of pediatric and adolescent benign and malignant masses, borderline lesions, and fertility options for children and adolescents undergoing cancer therapies. This article highlights the discussion during this symposium.

SOHO State of the Art Updates and Next Questions: Diagnosis and Management of Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance and Smoldering Multiple Myeloma

Monoclonal proteins are common, with a prevalence in the United States around 5% and the incidence increases with age. Although most patients are asymptomatic, the vast majority of cases are caused by a clonal plasma cell disorder. Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) and smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM) are asymptomatic precursor conditions with variable risk of progression to multiple myeloma (MM). In recent years, significant progress has been made to better understand the factors that lead to the development of symptoms and progression to myeloma. In this review, we summarize the current diagnosis treatment guidelines for MGUS and SMM and highlight recent advances that underscore a shifting paradigm in the evaluation and management of plasma cell precursor conditions.

Globotriaosylsphingosine improves risk stratification of kidney progression in Fabry disease patients

BACKGROUND

Kidney damage is common in patients with Fabry disease (FD), but more accurate information about the risk of progression to kidney failure is needed for clinical decision-making. In particular, FD patients with mild renal involvement often lack timely intervention and treatment. We aimed to utilize a model to predict the risk of renal progression in FD patients.

METHODS

Between November 2011 and November 2019, ERT-naive patients with FD were recruited from three medical centers in China. To assess the risk of a 50% decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), Cox proportional hazards models were utilized. The performance of these models was assessed using discrimination, calibration, and reclassification.

RESULTS

A total of 117 individuals were enrolled. The mean follow-up time was 4.8 years, during which 35 patients (29.9 %) progressed to the composite renal outcomes. Male sex, baseline proteinuria, eGFR and globotriaosylsphingosine (Lyso-Gb3) were found to be independent risk factors for kidney progression by the Cox model, based on which a combined model containing those clinical variables and Lyso-Gb3 and clinical models including only clinical indicators were constructed. The two prediction models had relatively good performance, with similar model fit measured by R2 (59.8 % vs. 61.1 %) and AIC (51.54 vs. 50.08) and a slight increase in the C statistic (0.949 vs. 0.951). Calibration curves indicated closer alignment between predicted and actual renal outcomes in the combined model. Furthermore, subgroup analysis revealed that Lyso-Gb3 significantly improved the predictive performance of the combined model for kidney prognosis in low-risk patients with a baseline eGFR over 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 or proteinuria levels less than 1 g/d when compared to the clinical model.

CONCLUSIONS

Lyso-Gb3 improves the prediction of kidney outcomes in FD patients with a low risk of progression, suggesting that these patients may benefit from early intervention to assist in clinical management. These findings need to be externally validated.

Extending the diabetic retinopathy screening intervals in Singapore: methodology and preliminary findings of a cohort study

BACKGROUND

The Diabetic Retinopathy Extended Screening Study (DRESS) aims to develop and validate a new DR/diabetic macular edema (DME) risk stratification model in patients with Type 2 diabetes (DM) to identify low-risk groups who can be safely assigned to biennial or triennial screening intervals. We describe the study methodology, participants' baseline characteristics, and preliminary DR progression rates at the first annual follow-up.

METHODS

DRESS is a 3-year ongoing longitudinal study of patients with T2DM and no or mild non-proliferative DR (NPDR, non-referable) who underwent teleophthalmic screening under the Singapore integrated Diabetic Retinopathy Programme (SiDRP) at four SingHealth Polyclinics. Patients with referable DR/DME (> mild NPDR) or ungradable fundus images were excluded. Sociodemographic, lifestyle, medical and clinical information was obtained from medical records and interviewer-administered questionnaires at baseline. These data are extracted from medical records at 12, 24 and 36 months post-enrollment. Baseline descriptive characteristics stratified by DR severity at baseline and rates of progression to referable DR at 12-month follow-up were calculated.

RESULTS

Of 5,840 eligible patients, 78.3% (n = 4,570, median [interquartile range [IQR] age 61.0 [55-67] years; 54.7% male; 68.0% Chinese) completed the baseline assessment. At baseline, 97.4% and 2.6% had none and mild NPDR (worse eye), respectively. Most participants had hypertension (79.2%) and dyslipidemia (92.8%); and almost half were obese (43.4%, BMI ≥ 27.5 kg/m2). Participants without DR (vs mild DR) reported shorter DM duration, and had lower haemoglobin A1c, triglycerides and urine albumin/creatinine ratio (all p < 0.05). To date, we have extracted 41.8% (n = 1909) of the 12-month follow-up data. Of these, 99.7% (n = 1,904) did not progress to referable DR. Those who progressed to referable DR status (0.3%) had no DR at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

In our prospective study of patients with T2DM and non-referable DR attending polyclinics, we found extremely low annual DR progression rates. These preliminary results suggest that extending screening intervals beyond 12 months may be viable and safe for most participants, although our 3-year follow up data are needed to substantiate this claim and develop the risk stratification model to identify low-risk patients with T2DM who can be assigned biennial or triennial screening intervals.

Early predictors of clinical deterioration in intermediate-high risk pulmonary embolism: clinical needs, research imperatives, and pathways forward

A subset of intermediate-high risk pulmonary embolism (PE) patients will suffer clinical deterioration in the early hours following the acute event. Current evidence-based guidelines for the management of acute PE have provided limited direction for identification of which intermediate-high risk PE patients will go on to develop haemodynamic decompensation. Furthermore, a paucity of data further hampers guideline recommendations regarding the optimal approach and duration of intensive monitoring, best methods to assess the early response to anticoagulation, and the ideal window for reperfusion therapy, if decompensation threatens. The aim of the present article is to identify the current unmet needs related to the early identification of intermediate-high risk PE patients at higher risk of clinical deterioration and mortality during the early hours after the acute cardiovascular event and suggest some potential strategies to further explore gaps in the literature.

Dynamic assessment of CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores for predicting ischemic stroke and major bleeding in atrial fibrillation patients

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Stroke and bleeding risks in atrial fibrillation (AF) are often assessed at baseline to predict outcomes years later. We investigated whether dynamic changes in CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores over time modify risk prediction.

METHODS

We included patients with AF who were stable while taking vitamin K antagonists. During a 6-year follow-up, all ischemic strokes/transient ischemic attacks (TIAs) and major bleeding events were recorded. CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED were recalculated every 2-years and tested for clinical outcomes at 2-year periods.

RESULTS

We included 1361 patients (mean CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED 4.0±1.7 and 2.9±1.2). During the follow-up, 156 (11.5%) patients had an ischemic stroke/TIA and 269 (19.8%) had a major bleeding event. Compared with the baseline CHA2DS2-VASc, the CHA2DS2-VASc recalculated at 2 years had higher predictive ability for ischemic stroke/TIA during the period from 2 to 4 years. Integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) showed improvements in sensitivity and better reclassification. The CHA2DS2-VASc recalculated at 4 years had better predictive performance than the baseline CHA2DS2-VASc during the period from 4 to 6 years, with an improvement in IDI and an enhancement of the reclassification. The recalculated HAS-BLED at 2-years had higher predictive ability than the baseline score for major bleeding during the period from 2 to 4 years, with significant improvements in sensitivity and reclassification. A slight enhancement in sensitivity was observed with the HAS-BLED score recalculated at 4 years compared with the baseline score.

CONCLUSIONS

In AF patients, stroke and bleeding risks are dynamic and change over time. The CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores should be regularly reassessed, particularly for accurate stroke risk prediction.

Clinical value of a comprehensive clinical- and echocardiography-based risk score on predicting cardiovascular outcomes in ischemic heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction

AIMS

The present study aimed to develop a comprehensive clinical- and echocardiography-based risk score for predicting cardiovascular (CV) adverse outcomes in patients with ischemic heart failure (IHF) and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 1341 hospitalized patients with IHF and LVEF < 50% at our hospital from 2009 to 2017. Cox regression models and nomogram were utilized to develop a comprehensive prediction model (C&E risk score) for CV mortality and CV-related events (hospitalization or death).

RESULTS

Over a median 26-month follow-up, CV mortality and CV events rates were 17.4% and 40.9%, respectively. The C&E risk score, incorporating both clinical and echocardiographic factors, demonstrated superior predictive performance for CV outcomes compared to models using only clinical or echocardiographic factors. Internal validation confirmed the stable predictive ability of the C&E risk score, with an AUC of 0.740 (95% CI 0.709-0.775, P < 0.001) for CV mortality and an AUC of 0.678 (95% CI 0.642-0.696, P < 0.001) for CV events. Patients were categorized into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk based on the C&E risk score, with progressively increasing CV mortality (5.3% vs. 14.6% vs. 31.9%, P < 0.001) and CV events (28.8% vs. 38.2% vs. 55.0%, P < 0.001). External validation also confirmed the risk score's prognostic efficacy within additional IHF patient datasets.

CONCLUSION

This study establishes and validates the novel C&E risk score as a reliable tool for predicting CV outcomes in IHF patients with reduced LVEF. The risk score holds potential for enhancing risk stratification and guiding clinical decision-making for high-risk patients.

Solitary fibrous tumor occurring at unusual sites: A clinico-pathological series of 31 cases with emphasis on its wide morphological spectrum

Solitary fibrous tumor (SFT) is a relatively rare mesenchymal fibroblastic tumor occurring most commonly in adults with no gender predilection. Although the pathological diagnosis of SFT is usually straightforward, some difficulties may occasionally arise mainly due to the wide morphological spectrum exhibited by this tumor. In the present paper we aimed to evaluate the unusual clinicopathological features in a series of 31 SFTs arising from parenchymal organs, superficial soft tissues and deep soft tissues. Our results emphasize that SFTs may occur anywhere, including unusual sites such as periosteum of the thoracic spine, mesorectal tissue, hepatic hilum, paravescial space, kidney and breast. Moreover, a wide morphological spectrum was observed in tumors included in our series. The most striking morphological features observed included: extensive lipomatous component, myxoid stromal changes, epithelioid cell component, metaplastic mature bone, neurofibroma-like, myxofibrosarcoma-like and pseudoalveolar-like areas. Additionally, multinucleated giant cells and sarcomatous dedifferentiation were also identified. Our paper emphasizes that SFT may occur in unusual anatomical locations and exhibits a wide morphological spectrum. Pathologists must be aware of these features to avoid confusion with other benign and malignant neoplasms that may show overlapping morphological features.

Prediction of Prostate Cancer Risk Stratification Based on A Nonlinear Transformation Stacking Learning Strategy

PURPOSE

Prostate cancer (PCa) is an epithelial malignancy that originates in the prostate gland and is generally categorized into low, intermediate, and high-risk groups. The primary diagnostic indicator for PCa is the measurement of serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) values. However, reliance on PSA levels can result in false positives, leading to unnecessary biopsies and an increased risk of invasive injuries. Therefore, it is imperative to develop an efficient and accurate method for PCa risk stratification. Many recent studies on PCa risk stratification based on clinical data have employed a binary classification, distinguishing between low to intermediate and high risk. In this paper, we propose a novel machine learning (ML) approach utilizing a stacking learning strategy for predicting the tripartite risk stratification of PCa.

METHODS

Clinical records, featuring attributes selected using the lasso method, were utilized with 5 ML classifiers. The outputs of these classifiers underwent transformation by various nonlinear transformers and were then concatenated with the lasso-selected features, resulting in a set of new features. A stacking learning strategy, integrating different ML classifiers, was developed based on these new features.

RESULTS

Our proposed approach demonstrated superior performance, achieving an accuracy of 0.83 and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve value of 0.88 in a dataset comprising 197 PCa patients with 42 clinical characteristics.

CONCLUSION

This study aimed to improve clinicians' ability to rapidly assess PCa risk stratification while reducing the burden on patients. This was achieved by using artificial intelligence-related technologies as an auxiliary method for diagnosing PCa.

Monitoring of Sarcoidosis

This article focuses on the monitoring of pulmonary sarcoidosis. The monitoring of sarcoidosis is, in part, focused on serial change in major organ involvement but also includes diagnostic re-evaluation and review of change in quality of life. Recent criteria for progression of fibrotic interstitial lung disease are adapted to pulmonary sarcoidosis. The frequency and nature of monitoring are discussed, integrating baseline risk stratification and strategic treatment goals. Individual variables used to identify changes in pulmonary disease severity are discussed with a focus on their flaws and the need for a multidimensional approach. Other key monitoring issues are covered briefly.

More than 30 years of Brugada syndrome: a critical appraisal of achievements and open issues

Over the last three decades, what is referred to as Brugada syndrome (BrS) has developed from a clinical observation of initially a few cases of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in the absence of structural heart disease with ECG signs of "atypical right bundle brunch block" to a predominantly electrocardiographic, and to a lesser extent genetic, diagnosis. Today, BrS is diagnosed in patients without overt structural heart disease and a spontaneous Brugada type 1 ECG pattern regardless of symptoms. The diagnosis of BrS is less clear in those with an only transient or drug-induced type 1 Brugada pattern, but should be considered in the presence of an arrhythmic syncope, family history of BrS, or family history of sudden death. In addition to survived cardiac arrest, syncope is probably the single most decisive risk marker for future arrhythmias. For asymptomatic BrS, risk stratification remains challenging. General recommendations to lower the risk in BrS include avoidance of drugs/agents known to induce and/or increase right precordial ST-segment elevation, including treatment of fever with antipyretic drugs. Several ECG markers that have been associated with an increased risk of SCD have been incorporated into a recently published risk score for BrS. The aim of this article is to provide an overview of the status of risk stratification and to illustrate open issues und gaps in evidence in BrS.

Prognostic implications of premature ventricular contractions and non-sustained ventricular tachycardia in light-chain cardiac amyloidosis

AIMS

Premature ventricular contractions (PVC) and non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (NSVT) are commonly observed in light chain cardiac amyloidosis (AL-CA), but their association with prognosis is still unclear. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of PVCs and NSVT in patients with moderate-to-advanced AL-CA.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We retrospectively included patients with AL-CA at modified 2004 Mayo stages II-IIIb between February 2014 and December 2020. Twenty-four-hour Holter recordings were assessed on admission. The outcomes included (i) new onset of adverse ventricular arrhythmia (VA) or sudden cardiac death (SCD) and (ii) cardiac death during follow-up. Of the 143 patients studied (60.41 ± 11.06 years, male 64.34%), 132 (92.31%) had presence of PVC, and 50 (34.97%) had NSVT on Holter. Twelve (8.4%) patients died in hospital and 131 patients were followed up (median 24.4 months), among whom 71 patients had cardiac death, and 15 underwent adverse VA/SCD. NSVT [hazard ratio (HR): 13.57, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.06-60.18, P < 0.001], log-transformed PVC counts (HR: 1.46, 95%CI: 1.15-1.86, P = 0.002) and PVC burden (HR: 1.43 95%CI:1.14-1.80, P = 0.002) were predictive of new onset of adverse VA/SCD. The highest tertile of PVC counts (HR: 2.33, 95%CI: 1.27-4.28, P = 0.006) and PVC burden (HR: 2.58, 95%CI: 1.42-4.69, P = 0.002), rather than NSVT (HR: 1.16, 95%CI: 0.67-1.98, P = 0.603), was associated with cardiac death. Higher PVC counts/burden provided incremental value on modified 2004 Mayo stage in predicting cardiac death, with C index increasing from 0.681 to 0.712 and 0.717, respectively (P values <0.05).

CONCLUSION

PVC count, burden, and NSVT significantly correlated with adverse VA/SCD during follow-up in patients with AL-CA. Higher PVC counts/burdens added incremental value for predicting cardiac death.

Comprehensive biomechanical and anatomical atherosclerotic plaque metrics predict major adverse cardiovascular events: A new tool for clinical decision making

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Anatomical imaging alone of coronary atherosclerotic plaques is insufficient to identify risk of future adverse events and guide management of non-culprit lesions. Low endothelial shear stress (ESS) and high plaque structural stress (PSS) are associated with events, but individually their predictive value is insufficient for risk prediction. We determined whether combining multiple complementary, biomechanical and anatomical plaque characteristics improves outcome prediction sufficiently to inform clinical decision-making.

METHODS

We examined baseline ESS, ESS gradient (ESSG), PSS, and PSS heterogeneity index (HI), and plaque burden in 22 lesions that developed subsequent events and 64 control lesions that remained quiescent from the PROSPECT study.

RESULTS

86 fibroatheromas were analysed from 67 patients. Lesions with events showed higher PSS HI (0.32 vs. 0.24, p<0.001), lower local ESS (0.56Pa vs. 0.91Pa, p = 0.007), and higher ESSG (3.82 Pa/mm vs. 1.96 Pa/mm, p = 0.007), while high PSS HI (hazard ratio [HR] 3.9, p = 0.006), high ESSG (HR 3.4, p = 0.007) and plaque burden>70 % (HR 2.6, p = 0.02) were independent outcome predictors in multivariate analysis. Combining low ESS, high ESSG, and high PSS HI gave both high positive predictive value (80 %), which increased further combined with plaque burden>70 %, and negative predictive value (81.6 %). Low ESS, high ESSG, and high PSS HI co-localised spatially within 1 mm in lesions with events, and importantly, this cluster was distant from the minimum lumen area site.

CONCLUSIONS

Combining complementary biomechanical and anatomical metrics significantly improves risk-stratification of individual coronary lesions. If confirmed from larger prospective studies, our results may inform targeted revascularisation vs. conservative management strategies.

Clinical use of the manchester triage system in patients with dizziness - An observational study in the emergency department

INTRODUCTION

Dizziness is a common symptom with diverse causes, including ear-nose-throat, internal, neurological, or psychiatric origins. While for most parts treatable in nonemergency settings, it can also signal time-critical conditions, like an unnoticed stroke, requiring prompt diagnosis and treatment to prevent lasting harm or death. The aim of this study was to evaluate the validity of the Manchester Triage System in classifying patients presenting with dizziness based on final diagnoses and patient outcomes, as no specific flow chart exists for this symptom in the MTS.

METHODS

Monocentric, retrospective observational study. To test the validity of the MTS in the triage of dizziness patients, the treatment level was used as a surrogate parameter. We grouped the patients into outpatient, normal ward and intermediate care/intensive care unit (IMC/ICU) patients. Furthermore, we analyzed the dizziness patients in subgroups based on the origin of their dizziness to identify potential improvements for the MTS. Patients with dizziness and stroke, who represent the most vulnerable group of dizziness patients, were also evaluated separately.

RESULTS

During the observation period, 2958 patients presented at the ED with the symptom dizziness and 52 017 without, who formed the reference group. When examining the relationship between triage level and subsequent treatment level, a larger deviation is observed compared to the reference group. The receiver operating characteristics (ROC) regarding hospital admission in general showed an area under the curve (AUC) in the subgroup with dizziness due to a central nervous system causes (n=838) of 0.69 (95% CI 0.65 - 0.72) and in the subgroup of dizziness by other organic cause (n=901), an AUC of 0.64 (95% CI 0.60 - 0.68). The reference group had an AUC 0.75 (95% CI 0.75 - 0.76) here. In relation to admission to IMC/ICU, the results were similar. The sensitivity of the MTS in terms of an adequate initial assessment of dizziness patients with stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) was 0.39, the specificity was 0.91 (reference group sensitivity 0.72, specificity 0.82).

CONCLUSION

In terms of construct validity, the present study revealed that the use of MTS as a priority triage assessment tool was found to be less accurate in emergency patients with dizziness, particularly those diagnosed with stroke/TIA, when compared to other emergency patients.

Optimal PHASES Scoring for Risk Stratification of Surgically Treated Unruptured Aneurysms

OBJECTIVE

The PHASES (Population, Hypertension, Age, Size, Earlier subarachnoid hemorrhage, Site) score was developed to facilitate risk stratification for management of unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs). This study aimed to identify the optimal PHASES score cutoff for predicting neurologic outcomes in patients with surgically treated aneurysms.

METHODS

All patients who underwent microneurosurgical treatment for UIA at a large quaternary center from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2020, were retrospectively reviewed. Inclusion criteria included a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of ≤2 at admission. The primary outcome was 1-year mRS score, with a "poor" neurologic outcome defined as an mRS score >2.

RESULTS

In total, 375 patients were included in the analysis. The mean (SD) PHASES score for the entire study population was 4.47 (2.67). Of 375 patients, 116 (31%) had a PHASES score ≥6, which was found to maximize prediction of poor neurologic outcome. Patients with PHASES scores ≥6 had significantly higher rates of poor neurologic outcome than patients with PHASES scores <6 at discharge (58 [50%] vs. 90 [35%], P = 0.005) and follow-up (20 [17%] vs. 18 [6.9%], P = 0.002). After adjusting for age, Charlson Comorbidity Index score, nonsaccular aneurysm, and aneurysm size, PHASES score ≥6 remained a significant predictor of poor neurologic outcome at follow-up (odds ratio, 2.75; 95% confidence interval, 1.42-5.36, P = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

In this retrospective analysis, a PHASES score ≥6 was associated with significantly greater proportions of poor outcome, suggesting that awareness of this threshold in PHASES scoring could be useful in risk stratification and UIA management.

Risk stratification of thyroid nodules: Assessing the suitability of ChatGPT for text-based analysis

PURPOSE

Accurate risk stratification of thyroid nodules is essential for optimal patient management. This study aimed to assess the suitability of ChatGPT for risk stratification of thyroid nodules using a text-based evaluation.

METHODS

A dataset was compiled comprising 50 anonymized clinical reports and associated risk assessments for thyroid nodules. The Chat Generative Pre-trained Transformer (ChatGPT) was used to classify sonographic patterns in accordance with the Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (TI-RADS). The model's performance was assessed using various criteria, including sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy. A comparative analysis was conducted, evaluating the model against investigator-based risk stratification as well as histology.

RESULTS

With an overall agreement rate of 42 % in comparison with examiner-based evaluation (TI-RADS 1-5), the results show that ChatGPT has moderate potential for predicting the risk of malignancy in thyroid nodules using text-based reports. The chatbot model achieved a sensitivity of 86.7 %, a specificity of 10.7 %, and an overall accuracy of 68 % when distinguishing between low-risk (TI-RADS 2 and 3) and high-risk (TI-RADS 4 and 5) categories. Interrater reliability was calculated with a Cohen's kappa of 0.686.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights the potential of ChatGPT in assisting clinicians with risk stratification of thyroid nodules. The results suggest that ChatGPT can facilitate personalized treatment decisions, although the agreement rate is still low. Further research and validation studies are necessary to establish the clinical applicability and generalizability of ChatGPT in routine practice. The integration of ChatGPT into clinical workflows has the potential to enhance thyroid nodule risk assessment and improve patient care.

A multicentre observational study to investigate feasibility of a direct oral penicillin challenge in de-labelling 'low risk' patients with penicillin allergy by non-allergy healthcare professionals (SPACE study): Implications for healthcare systems

OBJECTIVE

The huge burden of inaccurate penicillin allergy labels (PALs) is an important driver of antimicrobial resistance. This is magnified by insufficient allergy specialists and lack of 'point-of-care' tests. We investigated the feasibility of non-allergy healthcare professionals (HCPs) delivering direct oral penicillin challenges (DPCs) for penicillin allergy de-labelling.

METHODS

This prospective observational study was conducted in three hospitals in England across three settings (acute medical, pre-surgical and haematology-oncology). Patients with a PAL were screened and stratified as low risk/high risk. Low risk patients (non-immune mediated symptoms, benign rash, tolerated amoxicillin since and family history) underwent a DPC.

RESULTS

N = 2257 PALs were screened, 1054 were eligible; 643 were approached, 373 declined, 270 consented and 259 risk stratified (low risk = 155; high risk = 104). One hundred and twenty-six low risk patients underwent DPC, 122 (96.8%) were de-labelled with no serious allergic reactions. Conversion rate from screening-to-consent was 12% [3.3% and 17.9% in acute and elective settings respectively; odds ratios for consent were 3.42 (p < 0.001) and 5.53 (p < 0.001) in haematology-oncology and pre-surgical setting respectively. Common reasons for failure to progress in the study included difficulty in reaching patients, clinical instability/medical reasons, lacking capacity to consent and psychological factors.

INTERPRETATION

DPCs can be delivered by non-allergy HCPs. A high proportion of patients with PALs did not progress in the study pathway. Strategies to deliver DPC at optimal points of the care pathway are needed to enhance uptake. Elective settings offer greater opportunities than acute settings for DPC. The safety and simplicity of DPCs lends itself to adoption by healthcare systems beyond the UK, including in resource-limited settings.

Development and evaluation of nomograms and risk stratification systems to predict the overall survival and cancer-specific survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of primary liver cancer, and patients with HCC have a poor prognosis and low survival rates. Establishing a prognostic nomogram is important for predicting the survival of patients with HCC, as it helps to improve the patient's prognosis. This study aimed to develop and evaluate nomograms and risk stratification to predict overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in HCC patients. Data from 10,302 patients with initially diagnosed HCC were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2017. Patients were randomly divided into the training and validation set. Kaplan-Meier survival, LASSO regression, and Cox regression analysis were conducted to select the predictors of OS. Competing risk analysis, LASSO regression, and Cox regression analysis were conducted to select the predictors of CSS. The validation of the nomograms was performed using the concordance index (C-index), the Akaike information criterion (AIC), the Bayesian information criterion (BIC), Net Reclassification Index (NRI), Discrimination Improvement (IDI), the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curves, and decision curve analyses (DCAs). The results indicated that factors including age, grade, T stage, N stage, M stage, surgery, surgery to lymph node (LN), Alpha-Fetal Protein (AFP), and tumor size were independent predictors of OS, whereas grade, T stage, surgery, AFP, tumor size, and distant lymph node metastasis were independent predictors of CSS. Based on these factors, predictive models were built and virtualized by nomograms. The C-index for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS were 0.788, 0.792, and 0.790. The C-index for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS were 0.803, 0.808, and 0.806. AIC, BIC, NRI, and IDI suggested that nomograms had an excellent predictive performance with no significant overfitting. The calibration curves showed good consistency of OS and CSS between the actual observation and nomograms prediction, and the DCA showed great clinical usefulness of the nomograms. The risk stratification of OS and CSS was built that could perfectly classify HCC patients into three risk groups. Our study developed nomograms and a corresponding risk stratification system predicting the OS and CSS of HCC patients. These tools can assist in patient counseling and guiding treatment decision making.

Introduction to the novel model of preoperative Multi - Domain Risk Stratification (pMDRS)

Preoperative risk stratification is an important step in surgical procedures. The current scoring systems do not predict accurate overall surgical outcomes in complex comorbid patients. The novel model of preoperative multi-domain risk stratification is described in this article, which categorises patients in to three risk groups, aiming to modify the risk for optimal surgical outcomes.

Distribution and prognostic value of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T and I across glycemic status: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Whether distributions and prognostic values of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) T and I are different across normoglycemic, prediabetic, and diabetic populations is unknown.

METHODS

10127 adult participants from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999-2004 with determined glycemic status and measurement of at least one of hs-cTn assays were included, from whom healthy participants and presumably healthy diabetic and prediabetic participants were selected to investigate pure impacts of glycemic status on distributions of hs-cTn. The nonparametric method and bootstrapping were used to derive the 99th upper reference limits of hs-cTn and 95% CI. Participants with available follow-up and hs-cTn concentrations of all 4 assays were included in prognostic analyses. Associations of hs-cTn with all-cause and cardiac-specific mortality were modeled by Cox proportional hazard regression under the complex survey design. The incremental value of hs-cTn to an established risk score in predicting cardiac-specific mortality was assessed by the 10-year area under time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) using the Fine-Grey competing risk model.

RESULTS

Among 9714 participants included in prognostic analyses, 5946 (61.2%) were normoglycemic, 2172 (22.4%) prediabetic, and 1596 (16.4%) diabetic. Hyperglycemic populations were older than the normoglycemic population but sex and race/ethnicity were similar. During the median follow-up of 16.8 years, hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI were independently associated with all-cause and cardiac-specific mortality across glycemic status. In the diabetic population, adjusted hazard ratios per 1-standard deviation increase of log-transformed hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI (Abbott) concentrations were 1.77 (95% CI 1.48-2.12; P < .001) and 1.83 (95% CI 1.33-2.53; P < .001), respectively, regarding cardiac-specific mortality. In the diabetic but not the normoglycemic population, adding either hs-cTnT (difference in AUC: 0.062; 95% CI 0.038-0.086; P < 0.001) or hs-cTnI (Abbott) (difference in AUC: 0.071; 95% CI 0.046-0.097; P < 0.001) would significantly increase the discriminative ability of the risk score; AUC of the score combined with hs-cTnT would be further improved by incorporating hs-cTnI (0.018; 95%CI 0.006-0.029; P = 0.002). The 99th percentile of hs-cTnT of the presumably healthy diabetic population was higher than the healthy population and had no overlap in 95% CIs, however, for hs-cTnI 99th percentiles of the two populations were very close and 95% CIs extensively overlapped.

CONCLUSIONS

Hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI demonstrated consistent prognostic associations across glycemic status but incremental predictive values in hyperglycemic populations only. The susceptibility of hs-cTnT 99th percentiles to diabetes plus the additive value of hs-cTnI to hs-cTnT in diabetic cardiovascular risk stratification suggested hs-cTnI and hs-cTnT may be differentially associated with glycemic status, but further research is needed to illustrate the interaction between hyperglycemia and hs-cTn.

Using serological diagnostics to characterize remaining high-incidence pockets of malaria in forest-fringe Cambodia

BACKGROUND

Over the last decades, the number of malaria cases has drastically reduced in Cambodia. As the overall prevalence of malaria in Cambodia declines, residual malaria transmission becomes increasingly fragmented over smaller remote regions. The aim of this study was to get an insight into the burden and epidemiological parameters of Plasmodium infections on the forest-fringe of Cambodia.

METHODS

950 participants were recruited in the province of Mondulkiri in Cambodia and followed up from 2018 to 2020. Whole-blood samples were processed for Plasmodium spp. identification by PCR as well as for a serological immunoassay. A risk factor analysis was conducted for Plasmodium vivax PCR-detected infections throughout the study, and for P. vivax seropositivity at baseline. To evaluate the predictive effect of seropositivity at baseline on subsequent PCR-positivity, an analysis of P. vivax infection-free survival time stratified by serological status at baseline was performed.

RESULTS

Living inside the forest significantly increased the odds of P. vivax PCR-positivity by a factor of 18.3 (95% C.I. 7.7-43.5). Being a male adult was also a significant predictor of PCR-positivity. Similar risk profiles were identified for P. vivax seropositivity. The survival analysis showed that serological status at baseline significantly correlated with subsequent infection. Serology is most informative outside of the forest, where 94.0% (95% C.I. 90.7-97.4%) of seronegative individuals survived infection-free, compared to 32.4% (95% C.I.: 22.6-46.6%) of seropositive individuals.

CONCLUSION

This study justifies the need for serological diagnostic assays to target interventions in this region, particularly in demographic groups where a lot of risk heterogeneity persists, such as outside of the forest.

Retrospective study about clinical severity and epidemiological analysis of the COVID-19 Omicron subvariant lineage-infected patients in Hohhot, China

BACKGROUND

Fear of a global public health issue and fresh infection wave in the persistent COVID-19 pandemic has been enflamed by the appearance of the novel variant Omicron BF.7 lineage. Recently, it has been seeing the novel Omicron subtype BF.7 lineage has sprawled exponentially in Hohhot. More than anything, risk stratification is significant to ascertain patients infected with COVID-19 who the most need in-hospital or in-home management. The study intends to understand the clinical severity and epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 Omicron subvariant BF.7. lineage via gathering and analyzing the cases with Omicron subvariant in Hohhot, Inner Mongolia.

METHODS

Based upon this, we linked variant Omicron BF.7 individual-level information including sex, age, symptom, underlying conditions and vaccination record. Further, we divided the cases into various groups and assessed the severity of patients according to the symptoms of patients with COVID-19. Clinical indicators and data might help to predict disadvantage outcomes and progression among Omicron BF.7 patients.

RESULTS

In this study, in patients with severe symptoms, some indicators from real world data such as white blood cells, AST, ALT and CRE in patients with Omicron BF.7 in severe symptoms were significantly higher than mild and asymptomatic patients, while some indicators were significantly lower.

CONCLUSIONS

Above results suggested that the indicators were associated with ponderance of clinical symptoms. Our survey emphasized the value of timely investigations of clinical data obtained by systemic study to acquire detailed information.

Focused UTUC pathways with a risk-stratified approach to diagnostic ureteroscopy: is it the need of the hour? A retrospective cohort analysis

INTRODUCTION

Upper urinary tract urothelial cancer is a rare, aggressive variant of urinary tract cancer. There is often delay to diagnosis and management for this entity in view of diagnostic and staging challenges needing additional investigations and risk stratifications for improved outcomes. In this article, we share our experience in developing a dedicated diagnostic and treatment pathway for UTUC and assess its impact on time lines to radical nephroureterectomy (RNU). We also evaluate the impact of diagnostic ureteroscopy (DUR) on UTUC care pathways timelines.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A prospective database was maintained for all patients who underwent a RNU from January 2015 to August 2022 in a high-volume single tertiary care centre in the UK. In 2019, a Focused UTUC pathway (FUP) was implemented at the centre to streamline diagnostic and RNU pathways. A retrospective analysis of the database was conducted to compare time lines and diagnostic trends between the pre-FUP and FUP cohorts. Primary outcome measures were time to RNU from MDT. Secondary outcome measures were: impact of DUR on time to RNU from MDT and negative UTUC rates between DUR and non-DUR cohorts. Differences in continuous variables across categories were assessed using the independent sample t test. Categorical variables between cohorts were analysed using the chi-square (χ2). Statistical significance in this study was set as p < 0.05.

RESULTS

A total of 500 patients with complete data were included in the analysis. The pre-FUP and FUP cohorts consisted of 313 patients and 187 patients, respectively. The overall cohort had a mean age (SD) of 70 years (9.3). 66% of the overall cohort were males. The median time to RNU from MDT in the FUP was significantly lower compared to the pre-FUP cohort; 62 days (IQR 59) vs. 48 days (IQR 41.5), p < 0.0001. The median time to RNU from MDT in patients who underwent a diagnostic URS in the FUP cohort was significantly lower compared to the pre-FUP cohort; 78.5 days (IQR 54.8) vs. 68 days (IQR 48), p-NS. The non-UTUC rates in the DUR and non-DUR cohorts were 6/248 (2.4%) and 14/251 (5.6%), respectively (NS).

CONCLUSION

In this series, we illustrate the effectiveness of integrating a multidisciplinary approach with specialised personnel, ring-fenced clinics, efficient diagnostic assessment and optimised theatre capacity. By adopting a risk-stratified approach to diagnostic ureteroscopy, we have achieved a significant reduction in time to RNU.

Assessing risk of major adverse cardiac events among patients with chest pain and cocaine use using the HEART score

INTRODUCTION

Chest pain (CP), a common presentation in the emergency department (ED) setting, is associated with significant morbidity and mortality if emergency clinicians miss the diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). The HEART (History, Electrocardiogram, Age, Risk Factors, Troponin) score had been validated for risk-stratification patients who are at high risk for ACS and major adverse cardiac events (MACE). However, the use of cocaine as a risk factor of the HEART score was controversial. We hypothesized that patients with cocaine-positive (COP) would not be associated with higher risk of 30-day MACE than cocaine-negative (CON) patients.

METHODS

This retrospective study included adult patients who presented to 13 EDs of a University's Medical System between August 7, 2017 to August 19, 2021. Patients who had CP and prospectively calculated HEART scores and urine toxicology tests as part of their clinical evaluation were eligible. Areas Under The Receiver Operating Curve (AUROC) were calculated for the performance of HEART score and 30-day MACE for each group.

RESULTS

This study analyzed 46,210 patients' charts, 663 (1.4%) were COP patients. Mean age was statistically similar between groups but there were fewer females in the COP group (26.2% vs 53.2%, p < 0.001). Mean (+/- SD) HEART score was 3.7 (1.4) comparing to 3.1 (1.8, p < 0.001) between COP vs CON groups, respectively. Although more COP patients (54%) had moderate HEART scores (4-6) vs. CON group (35.2%, p < 0.001), rates of 30-day MACE were 1.1% for both groups. HEART score's AUROC was 0.72 for COP and 0.78 for CON groups. AUROC for the Risk Factor among COP patients, which includes cocaine, was poor (0.54).

CONCLUSION

This study, which utilized prospective calculated HEART scores, demonstrated that overall performance of the HEART score was reasonable. Specifically, our analysis showed that the rate of 30-day MACE was not affected by cocaine use as a risk factor. We would recommend clinicians to consider the HEART score for this patient group.

Predicting major complications and discharge disposition after adult spinal deformity surgery

BACKGROUND CONTEXT

Several spine-specific comorbidity indices are available to help risk-stratify patients before they undergo invasive spine procedures. Studies of patients with adult spinal deformity (ASD) typically use the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), which is not specific to spine patients.

PURPOSE

To compare the CCI with the Seattle Spine Score (SSS), the Adult Spinal Deformity-Comorbidity Score (ASD-CS), and the Modified 5-Item Frailty Index (mFI-5) and identify which tool more accurately predicted major perioperative complications and discharge disposition after ASD surgery.

STUDY DESIGN/SETTING

Retrospective review.

PATIENT SAMPLE

Patients with ASD who underwent spinal arthrodesis of at least four levels at a single institution.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Self-reported measures include SSS, ASD-CS, and mFI-5. Functional measures include the CCI.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed records of 164 patients with ASD who underwent spinal arthrodesis of ≥ four levels from January 2008 to February 2018 at our U.S. academic tertiary care center and who had available Oswestry Disability Index values. To assess the predictive ability of the comorbidity indices, we created five multivariable logistic regression models, with the presence of major complications and discharge disposition (home or inpatient rehabilitation) as the primary outcome variables. The base model used validated demographic and surgical factors that were predictors of complications and outcomes in those with ASD and within the broader spinal literature. The other four models used the base model along with one of the four indices. The predictive ability of each model was compared using goodness-of-fit testing, with higher pseudo-R2 values and lower Akaike information criteria (AIC) values indicating better model fit.

RESULTS

Thirty-one patients (19%) experienced major perioperative complications, and 68 (42%) were discharged to inpatient rehabilitation facilities (vs home). The model using the SSS had the highest pseudo-R2 value and lowest AIC value for both major complications and discharge disposition. The mFI-5 had a similar predictive ability. The models using the CCI and ASD-CS were weaker predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with the CCI and the ASD-CS, the SSS and the mFI-5 were strong predictors of major complications and discharge disposition after ASD surgery. These results suggest that the SSS and the mFI-5 are preferable to the CCI for clinical risk stratification and outcomes research in patients undergoing ASD surgery.

Utilization of the corticomedullary difference in magnetic resonance imaging-derived apparent diffusion coefficient for noninvasive assessment of chronic kidney disease in type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUNDS

Accumulating data demonstrated that the cortico-medullary difference in apparent diffusion coefficient (ΔADC) of diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DWI) was a better correlation with kidney fibrosis, tubular atrophy progression, and a predictor of kidney function evolution in chronic kidney disease (CKD).

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to assess the value of ΔADC in evaluating disease severity, differential diagnosis, and the prognostic risk stratification for patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and CKD.

METHODS

Total 119 patients with T2D and CKD who underwent renal MRI were prospectively enrolled. Of them, 89 patients had performed kidney biopsy for pathological examination, including 38 patients with biopsy-proven diabetic kidney disease (DKD) and 51 patients with biopsy-proven non-diabetic kidney disease (NDKD) and Mix (DKD + NDKD). Clinicopathological characteristics were compared according to different ΔADC levels. Moreover, univariate and multivariate-linear regression analyses were performed to explore whether ΔADC was independently associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urinary albumin creatinine ratio (UACR). The diagnostic performance of ΔADC for discriminating DKD from NDKD + Mix was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. In addition, an individual's 2- or 5-year risk probability of progressing to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) was calculated by the kidney failure risk equation (KFRE). The effect of ΔADC on prognostic risk stratification was assessed. Additionally, net reclassification improvement (NRI) was used to evaluate the model performance.

RESULTS

All enrolled patients had a median ΔADC level of 86 (IQR 28, 155) × 10-6 mm2/s. ΔADC significantly decreased across the increasing staging of CKD (P < 0.001). Moreover, those with pathological-confirmed DKD has a significantly lower level of ΔADC than those with NDKD and Mix (P < 0.001). It showed that ΔADC was independently associated with eGFR (β = 1.058, 95% CI = [1.002,1.118], P = 0.042) and UACR (β = -3.862, 95% CI = [-7.360, -0.365], P = 0.031) at multivariate linear regression analyses. Besides, ΔADC achieved an AUC of 0.707 (71% sensitivity and 75% specificity) and AUC of 0.823 (94% sensitivity and 67% specificity) for discriminating DKD from NDKD + Mix and higher ESKD risk categories (≥50% at 5 years; ≥10% at 2 years) from lower risk categories (<50% at 5 years; <10% at 2 years). Accordingly, the optimal cutoff value of ΔADC for higher ESKD risk categories was 66 × 10-6 mm2/s, and the group with the low-cutoff level of ΔADC group was associated with 1.232 -fold (95% CI 1.086, 1.398) likelihood of higher ESKD risk categories as compared to the high-cutoff level of ΔADC group in the fully-adjusted model. Reclassification analyses confirmed that the final adjusted model improved NRI.

CONCLUSIONS

ΔADC was strongly associated with eGFR and UACR in patients with T2D and CKD. More importantly, baseline ΔADC was predictive of higher ESKD risk, independently of significant clinical confounding. Specifically, ΔADC <78 × 10-6 mm2/s and <66 × 10-6 mm2/s would help to identify T2D patients with the diagnosis of DKD and higher ESKD risk categories, respectively.

Natriuretic peptides, body mass index and heart failure risk: Pooled analyses of SAVOR-TIMI 53, DECLARE-TIMI 58 and CAMELLIA-TIMI 61

AIM

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) concentrations are lower in patients with obesity. The interaction between body mass index (BMI) and NT-proBNP with respect to heart failure risk remains incompletely defined.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data were pooled across three randomized clinical trials enrolling predominantly patients who were overweight or obese with established cardiometabolic disease: SAVOR-TIMI 53, DECLARE-TIMI 58 and CAMELLIA-TIMI 61. Hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) was examined across strata of baseline BMI and NT-proBNP. The effect of dapagliflozin versus placebo was assessed for a treatment interaction across BMI categories in patients with or without an elevated baseline NT-proBNP (≥125 pg/ml). Among 24 455 patients, the median NT-proBNP was 96 (interquartile range [IQR]: 43-225) pg/ml and the median BMI was 33 (IQR 29-37) kg/m2, with 68% of patients having a BMI ≥30 kg/m2. There was a significant inverse association between NT-proBNP and BMI which persisted after adjustment for all clinical variables (p < 0.001). Within any range of NT-proBNP, those at higher BMI had higher risk of HHF at 2 years (comparing BMI <30 vs. ≥40 kg/m2 for NT-proBNP ranges of <125, 125-<450 and ≥450 pg/ml: 0.0% vs. 0.6%, 1.3% vs. 4.0%, and 8.1% vs. 13.8%, respectively), which persisted after multivariable adjustment (adjusted hazard ratio [HRadj] 7.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.16-17.66, HRadj 3.22 [95% CI 2.13-4.86], and HRadj 1.87 [95% CI 1.35-2.60], respectively). In DECLARE-TIMI 58, dapagliflozin versus placebo consistently reduced HHF across BMI categories in those with an elevated NT-proBNP (p-trend for HR across BMI = 0.60), with a pattern of greater absolute risk reduction (ARR) at higher BMI (ARR for BMI <30 to ≥40 kg/m2: 2.2% to 4.7%; p-trend = 0.059).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of HHF varies across BMI categories for any given range of circulating NT-proBNP. These findings showcase the importance of considering BMI when applying NT-proBNP for heart failure risk stratification, particularly for patients with low-level elevations in NT-proBNP (125-<450 pg/ml) where there appears to be a clinically meaningful absolute and relative risk gradient.

Construction and validation of a risk-scoring model to predict lymph node metastasis in T1b-T2 esophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

Lymph node status is an important factor in determining preoperative treatment strategies for stage T1b-T2 esophageal cancer (EC). Thus, the aim of this study was to investigate the risk factors for lymph node metastasis (LNM) in T1b-T2 EC and to establish and validate a risk-scoring model to guide the selection of optimal treatment options.

METHODS

Patients who underwent upfront surgery for pT1b-T2 EC between January 2016 and December 2022 were analyzed. On the basis of the independent risk factors determined by multivariate logistic regression analysis, a risk-scoring model for the prediction of LNM was constructed and then validated. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to assess the discriminant ability of the model.

RESULTS

The incidence of LNM was 33.5% (214/638) in our cohort, 33.4% (169/506) in the primary cohort and 34.1% (45/132) in the validation cohort. Multivariate analysis confirmed that primary site, tumor grade, tumor size, depth, and lymphovascular invasion were independent risk factors for LNM (all P < 0.05), and patients were grouped based on these factors. A 7-point risk-scoring model based on these variables had good predictive accuracy in both the primary cohort (AUC, 0.749; 95% confidence interval 0.709-0.786) and the validation cohort (AUC, 0.738; 95% confidence interval 0.655-0.811).

CONCLUSION

A novel risk-scoring model for lymph node metastasis was established to guide the optimal treatment of patients with T1b-T2 EC.

Cardiological parameters predict mortality and cardiotoxicity in oncological patients

AIMS

Oncological patients suspected at risk for cardiotoxicity are recommended to undergo intensified cardiological surveillance. We investigated the value of cardiac biomarkers and patient-related risk factors [age, cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs), and cardiac function] for the prediction of all-cause mortality (ACM) and the development of cardiotoxicity.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Between January 2016 and December 2020, patients with oncological diseases admitted to the Cardio-Oncology Unit at the Heidelberg University Hospital were included. They were evaluated by medical history, physical examination, 12-lead electrocardiogram, 2D echocardiography, and cardiac biomarkers [high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)]. The primary endpoint was defined as ACM and the secondary endpoint was defined as cardiotoxicity, as defined by the European Society of Cardiology. Of the 1971 patients enrolled, the primary endpoint was reached by 490 patients (25.7%) with a median of 363.5 [interquartile range (IQR) 121.8, 522.5] days after presentation. Hs-cTnT of ≥ 7 ng/L [odds ratio (OR) 1.82, P < 0.001] and NT-proBNP (OR 1.98, P < 0.001) were independent predictors of ACM, while reduced left ventricular ejection fraction was not associated with increased ACM (P = 0.85). The secondary endpoint was reached by 182 patients (9.2%) with a median of 793.5 [IQR 411.2, 1165.0] days. Patients with multiple CVRFs (defined as high risk, n = 886) had an increased risk of cardiotoxicity (n = 100/886, 11.3%; hazard ratio 1.57, P = 0.004). They showed elevated baseline values of hs-cTnT (OR 1.60, P = 0.006) and NT-proBNP (OR 4.00, P < 0.001) and had an increased risk of ACM (OR 1.43, P = 0.031).

CONCLUSIONS

In cancer patients, CVRF accumulation predicts cardiotoxicity whereas elevated hs-cTnT or NT-proBNP levels are associated with ACM. Accordingly, less intensive surveillance protocols may be warranted in patients with low cardiac biomarker levels and absence of CVRFs.

The pivotal role of compelling high-risk electrocardiographic markers in prediction of ventricular arrhythmic risk in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy: A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Several investigations have shown that existing risk stratification processes remain insufficient for stratifying sudden cardiac death risk in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC). Multiple auxiliary parameters are investigated to offer a more precise prognostic model. Our aim was to assess the association between several ECG markers (epsilon waves, prolonged terminal activation duration (TAD) of QRS, fragmented QRS (fQRS), late potentials on signal-averaged electrocardiogram (SA-ECG), T-wave inversion (TWI) in right precordial leads, and extension of TWI in inferior leads) with the risk of developing poor outcomes in ARVC.

METHODS

A systematic literature search from several databases was conducted until September 9th, 2023. Studies were eligible if it investigated the relationship between the ECG markers with the risk of developing ventricular arrhythmic events.

RESULTS

This meta-analysis encompassed 25 studies with a total of 3767 participants. Our study disclosed that epsilon waves, prolonged TAD of QRS, fQRS, late potentials on SA-ECG, TWI in right precordial leads, and extension of TWI in inferior leads were associated with the incremental risk of ventricular arrhythmias, implantable cardioverter-defibrillator shock, and sudden cardiac death, with the risk ratios ranging from 1.46 to 2.11. In addition, diagnostic test accuracy meta-analysis stipulated that the extension of TWI in inferior leads had the uppermost overall area under curve (AUC) value amidst other ECG markers apropos of our outcomes of interest.

CONCLUSION

A multivariable risk assessment strategy based on the previously stated ECG markers potentially enhances the current risk stratification models in ARVC patients, especially extension of TWI in inferior leads.

Predicting Risk Stratification in Early-Stage Endometrial Carcinoma: Significance of Multiparametric MRI Radiomics Model

Endometrial carcinoma (EC) risk stratification prior to surgery is crucial for clinical treatment. In this study, we intend to evaluate the predictive value of radiomics models based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for risk stratification and staging of early-stage EC. The study included 155 patients who underwent MRI examinations prior to surgery and were pathologically diagnosed with early-stage EC between January, 2020, and September, 2022. Three-dimensional radiomics features were extracted from segmented tumor images captured by MRI scans (including T2WI, CE-T1WI delayed phase, and ADC), with 1521 features extracted from each of the three modalities. Then, using five-fold cross-validation and a multilayer perceptron algorithm, these features were filtered using Pearson's correlation coefficient to develop a prediction model for risk stratification and staging of EC. The performance of each model was assessed by analyzing ROC curves and calculating the AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. In terms of risk stratification, the CE-T1 sequence demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy of 0.858 ± 0.025 and an AUC of 0.878 ± 0.042 among the three sequences. However, combining all three sequences resulted in enhanced predictive accuracy, reaching 0.881 ± 0.040, with a corresponding increase in the AUC to 0.862 ± 0.069. In the context of staging, the utilization of a combination involving T2WI with CE-T1WI led to a notably elevated predictive accuracy of 0.956 ± 0.020, surpassing the accuracy achieved when employing any singular feature. Correspondingly, the AUC was 0.979 ± 0.022. When incorporating all three sequences concurrently, the predictive accuracy reached 0.956 ± 0.000, accompanied by an AUC of 0.986 ± 0.007. It is noteworthy that this level of accuracy surpassed that of the radiologist, which stood at 0.832. The MRI radiomics model has the potential to accurately predict the risk stratification and early staging of EC.

Risk-stratified screening for the early detection of kidney cancer

Earlier detection and screening for kidney cancer has been identified as a key research priority, however the low prevalence of the disease in unselected populations limits the cost-effectiveness of screening. Risk-stratified screening for kidney cancer may improve early detection by targeting high-risk individuals whilst limiting harms in low-risk individuals, potentially increasing the cost-effectiveness of screening. A number of models have been identified which estimate kidney cancer risk based on both phenotypic and genetic data, and while several of the former have been shown to identify individuals at high-risk of developing kidney cancer with reasonable accuracy, current evidence does not support including a genetic component. Combined screening for lung cancer and kidney cancer has been proposed, as the two malignancies share some common risk factors. A modelling study estimated that using lung cancer risk models (currently used for risk-stratified lung cancer screening) could capture 25% of patients with kidney cancer, which is only slightly lower than using the best performing kidney cancer-specific risk models based on phenotypic data (27%-33%). Additionally, risk-stratified screening for kidney cancer has been shown to be acceptable to the public. The following review summarises existing evidence regarding risk-stratified screening for kidney cancer, highlighting the risks and benefits, as well as exploring the management of potential harms and further research needs.

The Impact of Positron Emission Tomography Imaging and Tumor Molecular Profiling on Risk Stratification, Treatment Choice, and Oncological Outcomes of Patients with Primary or Relapsed Prostate Cancer: An International Collaborative Review of the Existing Literature

CONTEXT

The clinical introduction of next-generation imaging methods and molecular biomarkers ("radiogenomics") has revolutionized the field of prostate cancer (PCa). While the clinical validity of these tests has thoroughly been vetted, their clinical utility remains a matter of investigation.

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review the evidence to date on the impact of positron emission tomography (PET) imaging and tissue-based prognostic biomarkers, including Decipher, Prolaris, and Oncotype Dx, on the risk stratification, treatment choice, and oncological outcomes of men with newly diagnosed PCa or those with biochemical failure (BCF).

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

We performed a quantitative systematic review of the literature using the MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases (2010-2022) following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses statement guidelines. The validated Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 scoring system was used to assess the risk of bias.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

A total of 148 studies (130 on PET and 18 on biomarkers) were included. In the primary PCa setting, prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) PET imaging was not useful in improving T staging, moderately useful in improving N staging, but consistently useful in improving M staging in patients with National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) unfavorable intermediate- to very-high-risk PCa. Its use led to a management change in 20-30% of patients. However, the effect of these treatment changes on survival outcomes was not clear. Similarly, biomarkers in the pretherapy primary PCa setting increased and decreased the risk, respectively, in 7-30% and 32-36% of NCCN low-risk and 31-65% and 4-15% of NCCN favorable intermediate-risk patients being considered for active surveillance. A change in management was noted in up to 65% of patients, with the change being in line with the molecular risk-based reclassification, but again, the impact of these changes on survival outcomes remained unclear. Notably, in the postsurgical primary PCa setting, biomarker-guided adjuvant radiation therapy (RT) was associated with improved oncological control: Δ↓ 2-yr BCF by 22% (level 2b). In the BCF setting, the data were more mature. PSMA PET was consistently useful in improving disease localization-Δ↑ detection for T, N, and M staging was 13-32%, 19-58%, and 9-29%, respectively. Between 29% and 73% of patients had a change in management. Most importantly, these management changes were associated with improved survival outcomes in three trials: Δ↑ 4-yr disease-free survival by 24.3%, Δ↑ 6-mo metastasis-free survival (MFS) by 46.7%, and Δ↑ androgen deprivation therapy-free survival by 8 mo in patients who received PET-concordant RT (level 1b-2b). Biomarker testing in these patients also appeared to be helpful in risk stratifying and guiding the use of early salvage RT (sRT) and concomitant hormonal therapy. Patients with high-genomic-risk scores benefitted from treatment intensification: Δ↑ 8-yr MFS by 20% with the use of early sRT and Δ↑ 12-yr MFS by 11.2% with the use of hormonal therapy alongside early sRT, while low-genomic-risk score patients did equally well with initial conservative management (level 3).

CONCLUSIONS

Both PSMA PET imaging and tumor molecular profiling provide actionable information in the management of men with primary PCa and those with BCF. Emerging data suggest that radiogenomics-guided treatments translate into direct survival benefits for patients, however, additional prospective data are awaited.

PATIENT SUMMARY

In this review, we evaluated the utility of prostate-specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography and tumor molecular profiling in guiding the care of men with prostate cancer (PCa). We found that these tests augmented risk stratification, altered management, and improved cancer control in men with a new diagnosis of PCa or for those experiencing a relapse.

The correlation between the CT angiographic pulmonary artery obstructive index and clinical data in patients with acute pulmonary thromboembolism

PURPOSE

The potentially fatal consequences of pulmonary embolism emphasize the need for more effective diagnostic methods. The Qanadli obstruction index has been described as a convenient tool for risk stratification to determine and quantify the degree of obstruction. This study aimed to assess the correlations between the Qanadli index with clinical and paraclinical findings (D-dimer, troponin, and echocardiographic findings) in patients with pulmonary embolism.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 102 patients with pulmonary embolism underwent echocardiography and CT pulmonary angiography at a single tertiary referral center between 2019 and 2020. The clinical and paraclinical findings, pulmonary arterial obstruction index, atrial measurements, right and left ventricle size and function, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion, pulmonary artery pressure, and pulmonary hypertension (PH) were analyzed. Vital signs were recorded and assessed. The Qanadli index score was measured, and graded risk stratification was measured based on the quantified index score.

RESULTS

The total mean Qanadli index was 28.75 ± 23.75, and there was no significant relationship between the Qanadli index and gender. Patients' most common clinical findings were exertional dyspnea (84.3%; n = 86) and chest pain (71.7%; n = 73). There were significant correlations between the Qanadli index and pulse rate (PR), troponin, D-dimer levels, and PH. Four patients died during the study, including one from a cardiac condition and three with non-cardiac conditions.

CONCLUSIONS

It is possible to determine the severity, prognosis, and appropriate treatment by the Qanadli index based on strong correlations with PR, troponin, D-dimer levels, and PH.

A Heterozygous Phospholamban Variant (p.R14del) Leads to Left Ventricular Involvement and Heart Failure Phenotypes in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy

This study aimed to determine the prevalence and clinical features of Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy (ARVC) caused by pathogenic mutations in the Phospholamban (PLN) gene. The study included 170 patients who had a confirmed diagnosis of ARVC and underwent PLN genetic screening using next-generation sequencing. The findings of this study provide valuable insights into the association between PLN mutations and ARVC, which can aid in the development of more effective diagnostic and treatment strategies for ARVC patients. Out of the patients evaluated, six had a rare pathogenic mutation in PLN with the same p.R14del variant. Family screening revealed that heterozygous carriers of p.R14del exhibited a definite ARVC phenotype. In clinical studies, individuals with the p.R14del mutation experienced a similar rate of malignant arrhythmia events as those with classic desmosome mutations. After adjusting for covariates, individuals with PLN mutations had a two point one seven times greater likelihood of experiencing transplant-related risks compared to those who did not possess PLN mutations (95% CI 1.08-6.82, p = 0.035). The accumulation of left ventricular fat and fibers is a pathological marker for ARVC patients with p.R14del mutations. In a cohort of 170 Chinese ARVC patients, three point five percent of probands had the PLN pathogenic variant (p.R14del) and all were female. Our data shows that PLN-related ARVC patients are at high risk for ventricular arrhythmias and heart failure, which requires clinical differentiation from classic ARVC. Furthermore, carrying the p.R14del mutation can be an independent prognostic risk factor in ARVC patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s43657-023-00126-w.

Prognosis prediction and risk stratification of transarterial chemoembolization or intraarterial chemotherapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma based on machine learning

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a risk scoring scale model (RSSM) for stratifying prognostic risk after intra-arterial therapies (IATs) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Between February 2014 and October 2022, 2338 patients with HCC who underwent initial IATs were consecutively enrolled. These patients were divided into training datasets (TD, n = 1700), internal validation datasets (ITD, n = 428), and external validation datasets (ETD, n = 200). Five-years death was used to predict outcome. Thirty-four clinical information were input and five supervised machine learning (ML) algorithms, including eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Categorical Gradient Boosting (CatBoost), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBT), and Random Forest (RF), were compared using the areas under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) with DeLong test. The variables with top important ML scores were used to build the RSSM by stepwise Cox regression.

RESULTS

The CatBoost model achieved the best discrimination when 12 top variables were input, with the AUC of 0.851 (95% confidence intervals (CI), 0.833-0.868) for TD, 0.817 (95%CI, 0.759-0.857) for ITD, and 0.791 (95%CI, 0.748-0.834) for ETD. The RSSM was developed based on the immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) (hazard ratios (HR), 0.678; 95%CI 0.549, 0.837), tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) (HR, 0.702; 95%CI 0.605, 0.814), local therapy (HR, 0.104; 95%CI 0.014, 0.747), response to the first IAT (HR, 4.221; 95%CI 2.229, 7.994), tumor size (HR, 1.054; 95%CI 1.038, 1.070), and BCLC grade (HR, 2.375; 95%CI 1.950, 2.894). Kaplan-Meier analysis confirmed the role of RSSM in risk stratification (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The RSSM can stratify accurately prognostic risk for HCC patients received IAT. On the basis, an online calculator permits easy implementation of this model.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The risk scoring scale model could be easily implemented for physicians to stratify risk and predict prognosis quickly and accurately, thereby serving as a more favorable tool to strengthen individualized intra-arterial therapies and management in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

KEY POINTS

• The Categorical Gradient Boosting (CatBoost) algorithm achieved the optimal and robust predictive ability (AUC, 0.851 (95%CI, 0.833-0.868) in training datasets, 0.817 (95%CI, 0.759-0.857) in internal validation datasets, and 0.791 (95%CI, 0.748-0.834) in external validation datasets) for prediction of 5-years death of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after intra-arterial therapies (IATs) among five machine learning models. • We used the SHapley Additive exPlanations algorithms to explain the CatBoost model so as to resolve the black boxes of machine learning principles. • A simpler restricted variable, risk scoring scale model (RSSM), derived by stepwise Cox regression for risk stratification after intra-arterial therapies for hepatocellular carcinoma, provides the potential forewarning to adopt combination strategies for high-risk patients.

Optimizing the frequency of physician encounters in follow - up care for patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Decisions on the frequency of physician encounters for patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) have significant impacts on both patients' health outcomes and burden on health systems, whereas definitive intervals for physician encounters are still lacking in most clinical guidelines. This study systematically reviewed the existing evidence evaluating different frequencies of physician encounters among T2DM patients.

METHODS

Systematic search of studies evaluating different visit frequencies for follow - up care in T2DM patients was performed in MEDLINE Ovid, Embase Ovid, and Cochrane library from database inception to 25 March 2022. Studies on the follow - up encounters driven by non - physicians and those on the episodic visits in the acute care settings were excluded in the screening. Citation searching was conducted via Google Scholar on the identified papers after screening. The risk of bias was assessed using Cochrane RoB2 tool for randomized controlled trials and Newcastle - Ottawa Scale for cohort studies. Findings were summarized narratively.

RESULTS

Among 6363 records from the database search and 231 references from the citation search, 12 articles were eligible for in - depth review. The results showed that for patients who had not achieved cardiometabolic control, intensifying encounter frequency could enhance medication adherence, shorten the time to achieve the treatment target, and improve the patients' quality of life. However, for the patients who had already achieved the treatment targets, less frequent encounters were equivalent to intensive encounters in maintaining their cardiometabolic control, and could save considerable healthcare costs without substantially lowering the quality of care and patients' satisfaction.

CONCLUSION

Existing evidence suggested that the optimal frequency of physician encounters for patients with T2DM should be individualized, which can be stratified by patients' risk levels based on the cardiometabolic control to guide the differential scheduling of physician encounters in the follow - up. More research is needed to determine how to optimize the frequency of physician encounters for this large and heterogeneous population.