MON-645 Association of Baseline Cardio-Metabolic Parameters on the Treatment Effects of Empagliflozin When Added to Metformin in Patients with T2D

Sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) are commonly used as 2^nd-line therapy after metformin (MET) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), and are now recommended in those with co-existing cardiovascular (CV) and/or chronic kidney disease (CKD). A better understanding of their clinical efficacy across the spectrum of cardio-metabolic characteristics may help to better individualize therapy. It was previously reported (Häring et al., Diabetes Care 2014) that empagliflozin (EMPA) 10 and 25 mg over 24 weeks vs placebo (PLB), when added to MET, led to clinically meaningful improvements in HbA1c, body weight (BW), and systolic blood pressure (SBP).

We explored the magnitude of these effects across categories of baseline (BL) HbA1c, BW, and SBP, comparing EMPA 10 mg (n=217) and 25 mg (n=213) vs PLB (n=207) in the following subgroups: HbA1c <8.5% and ≥8.5%; BW ≤70, 70-≤80, 80-≤90, and >90 kg; and SBP <120, 120-<140, and ≥140 mmHg. Analyses were performed for all randomized patients receiving ≥1 dose of study drug. Differences between treatment groups were assessed using ANCOVA and interaction tests (by respective BL factor and treatment-assignment). At week 24, EMPA 10 mg and 25 mg significantly (p<0.0001) reduced HbA1c vs PLB; the difference from PLB in adjusted mean [±SE] change was greater in the ≥8.5% vs <8.5% subgroup (EMPA 10 mg: -0.73 [±0.14]% vs -0.51 [±0.08]%, respectively; EMPA 25 mg: -0.97 [0.15]% vs -0.52 [0.08]%, respectively; interaction p: 0.029). EMPA also significantly (p<0.05) decreased BW vs PLB, with a trend for larger reductions in those with the highest BW at BL (EMPA 10/25 mg: -1.31 [±0.42]/-1.70 [±0.44], -1.23 [±0.53]/-0.74 [±0.54], -2.12 [±0.60]/-2.56 [±0.56] and -2.11 [±0.46]/-2.93 [±0.47] for ≤70, 70-≤80, 80-≤90, and >90 kg, respectively; interaction p: 0.075). Finally, EMPA significantly (p<0.05) lowered SBP vs PLB, but, in contrast, without significant differences across SBP categories (EMPA 10/25 mg: SBP <120 mg, -4.17 [±2.07]/-2.71 [±2.15]; SBP 120-<140, -4.35 [±1.48]/-4.98 [±1.49]; SBP ≥140, -4.28 [±2.38]/-6.29 [±2.33] mmHg; interaction p: 0.784). The number of patients reporting ≥1 adverse event (AE) was similar across treatment groups (PLB, 58.7%; EMPA 10 mg, 57.1%; EMPA 25 mg, 49.5%) and the AE profile was consistent with the drug’s established safety profile. Confirmed hypoglycemic AEs were reported in 0.5%, 1.8%, and 1.4% of patients, respectively.

These data suggest that EMPA, when used as 2^nd-line therapy after MET, is more effective in decreasing HbA1c and reducing BW in those with higher baseline values of these parameters but not for SBP. In addition to EMPA being a glucose-lowering agent recommended in patients with co-existing CVD and/or CKD, these data may help to tailor therapy as regards to important metabolic efficacy considerations.

Serum albumin, cardiometabolic and other adverse outcomes: systematic review and meta-analyses of 48 published observational cohort studies involving 1,492,237 participants

Objectives. A general body of evidence suggests that low serum albumin might be associated with increased risk of adverse cardiometabolic outcomes, but findings are divergent. We aimed to quantify associations of serum albumin with the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D), cardiovascular disease (CVD), all-cause mortality, and other adverse outcomes using a systematic review and meta-analyses of published observational cohort studies. Design. MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and manual search of relevant bibliographies were systematically searched to January 2020. Relative risks (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing top versus bottom thirds of serum albumin levels were pooled. Results. Fifty-four articles based on 48 unique observational cohort studies comprising of 1,492,237 participants were eligible. Multivariable adjusted RRs (95% CIs) comparing the top vs bottom third of serum albumin levels were: 1.03 (0.86-1.22) for T2D; 0.60 (0.53-0.67) for CVD; 0.74 (0.66-0.84) for coronary heart disease (CHD); 0.57 (0.36-0.91) for CHD death; 0.76 (0.65-0.87) for myocardial infarction; 0.66 (0.55-0.77) for all-cause mortality; 0.71 (0.61-0.83) for venous thromboembolism; 0.65 (0.48-0.88) for cancer mortality; and 0.62 (0.46-0.84) for fracture. Heterogeneity between contributing studies of T2D was partly explained by sample sizes of studies (p for meta-regression = .035). Conclusions. Elevated levels of serum albumin are associated with reduced risk of vascular outcomes, all-cause mortality, certain cancers, and fracture. Inconsistent findings for T2D may be attributed to selective reporting by studies. Further research is needed to assess any potential causal relevance to these findings and the role of serum albumin concentrations in disease prevention.Systematic review registration: PROSPERO 2019: CRD42019125869.

The importance of the initial period of basal insulin titration in people with diabetes

Achieving target glycaemic control is essential in people with diabetes to minimize the risk of long-term complications, and many people with type 2 diabetes will ultimately require basal insulin (BI) therapy to achieve their individualized glycaemic targets. Usually, the first 12 weeks following initiation of BI therapy represents the period when the greatest dose increases and glycaemic reductions occur. Effective glycaemic control combined with minimizing the risk of hypoglycaemia is important to enable the achievement of glycaemic control in the longer term. However, substantial therapeutic inertia exists in clinical practice, both in initiation and up-titration of BI, owing to patient-, physician- and healthcare system-related barriers, including fear of hypoglycaemia and the perception of a burdensome regimen. The more prolonged duration of action, reduced glycaemic variability and lower risk of hypoglycaemia seen with second-generation versus first-generation BI analogues may help alleviate patients' and physicians' concerns and facilitate titration. In turn, optimal BI titration and subsequent metabolic benefits may help improve therapy adherence and self-management. This review details the clinical implications of prompt titration of BI to achieve early glycaemic control, and the importance of minimizing hypoglycaemia risk within the initial titration period. Facilitation of patients' self-management of BI is also addressed.

Recommendations for management of diabetes during Ramadan: update 2020, applying the principles of the ADA/EASD consensus

Fasting the Holy month of Ramadan constitutes one of the five pillars of the Muslim faith. Although there is some evidence that intermittent fasting during Ramadan may be of benefit in losing weight and cardiometabolic risk factors, there is no strong evidence these benefits apply to people with diabetes. The American Diabetes Association/European Association for the Study of Diabetes consensus recommendations emphasize the importance of patient factors and comorbidities when choosing diabetes medications including the presence of comorbidities, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, heart failure, chronic kidney disease, hypoglycemia risk, weight issues and costs. Structured education and pre-Ramadan counseing are key components to successful management of patients with diabetes. These should cover important aspects like glycemic targets, self-monitoring of blood glucose, diet, physical activity including Taraweeh prayers, medication and dose adjustment, side effects and when to break the fast. The decision cycle adapted for the specific situation of Ramadan provides an aid for such an assessment. Children with type 1 diabetes should strongly be advised not to fast due to the high risk of acute complications such as hypoglycemia and probably diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA), although there is very little evidence that DKA is increased in Ramadan. Pregnant women with diabetes or gestational diabetes should be advised to avoid fasting because of possible negative maternal and fetal outcomes. Hypoglycemia is a common concern during Ramadan fasting. To prevent hypoglycemic and hyperglycemic events, we recommend the adoption of diabetes self-management education and support principles. The use of the emerging technology and continuous glucose monitoring during Ramadan could help to recognize hypoglycemic and hyperglycemic complications related to omission and/or medication adjustment during fasting; however, the cost represents a significant barrier.

Durability of glycaemic control in patients with type 2 diabetes after metformin failure: Prognostic model derivation and validation using the DISCOVER study

AIM

To develop and internally validate prognostic models on the long-term durability of glycaemic control in patients with type 2 diabetes after metformin failure.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

DISCOVER is a 3-year, prospective observational study across six continents investigating second-line glucose-lowering therapies. In this analysis from 35 countries, we included patients on metformin initiating second-line glucose-lowering medication(s) because of physician-defined lack of efficacy. The outcome was durability of glycaemic control, defined as three consecutive levels of HbA1c at 6-, 12- and 24-month follow-up at target (HbA1c equal to or lower than the level when the physician initiated the second-line therapy in patients with baseline HbA1c ≤7% [53 mmol/mol]; and equal to or lower than 7% in those with baseline HbA1c >7%). We developed and internally validated two prognostic models: a base model, which included age, sex, ethnicity, country income group, baseline HbA1c and second-line therapy, and an advanced model, established through statistical variable selections from a model including base variables and 13 additional predictors selected from a literature review. We used logistic regression to develop and 500 bootstrapping samples to internally validate the models; discrimination and calibration were used to assess model performance.

RESULTS

Overall, 896 out of 2995 participants (29.9%) had sustained glycaemic control. The base model performed well: Nagelkerke R² was 0.13, C-index 0.70 (95% CI: 0.68, 0.71) and bias-corrected C-index 0.69 after internal validation. Diabetes duration, insurance type, estimated glomerular filtration rate and glucose self-monitoring were additionally selected in the advanced model, which had only a slightly better performance compared with the base model: Nagelkerke R² 0.20, C-index 0.71 (95% CI: 0.69, 0.73) and bias-corrected C-index 0.70. Calibration plots showed good calibrations of both validated models.

CONCLUSION

These prognostic models, which include simple demographic and routinely collected clinical information, enabled the estimation of the probability of 2-year sustained glycaemic control in patients after metformin failure. The models have been implemented into a web-based tool to support healthcare professionals in their decisions.

Incidence of Depression and First-Line Antidepressant Therapy in People with Obesity and Depression in Primary Care

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to describe the age- and gender-specific incidence of depression, the dose-response relationship between BMI and risk of depression (Cox proportional hazards), and antidepressant drug prescribing in adults with overweight or obesity.

METHODS

A retrospective electronic health record study using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink was conducted to identify adults with overweight and obesity (≥ 18 years) with incident depression (no prior depression diagnosis in their records), followed up from 2000 to 2019.

RESULTS

Among 519,513 adults, incidence of depression was 9.2 per 1,000 person-years and was higher in women and in 40- to 59-year-old men who had severe obesity. Compared with having overweight, the hazard of depression increased with each BMI category as follows: 1.13 (30-34 kg/m² ; 95% CI: 1.10-1.16), 1.34 (35-39 kg/m² ; 1.29-1.40), 1.51 (40-44 kg/m² ; 1.41-1.61), and 1.67 (45-49 kg/m² ; 1.48-1.87), attenuating at BMI 50+ kg/m² (1.54; 2.91-1.84). Antidepressants were prescribed as first-line therapy in two-thirds (66.3%) of cases. Prescriptions for fluoxetine reduced over time (20.4% [2000]; 8.8% [2018]), and prescriptions for sertraline increased (4.3% [2000]; 38.9% [2018]).

CONCLUSIONS

We recommend guidance on antidepressant drug prescribing and specific services for people with obesity and depression that address both symptoms and behaviors.

Uses and Limitations of the Restricted Mean Survival Time: Illustrative Examples From Cardiovascular Outcomes and Mortality Trials in Type 2 Diabetes

The restricted mean survival time (RMST) has been advocated as an alternative or a supplement to the hazard ratio for reporting the effect of an intervention in a randomized clinical trial. The RMST difference allows quantification of the postponement of an outcome during a specified (restricted) interval and corresponds to the difference between the areas under the 2 survival curves for the intervention and control groups. This article presents examples of the use of the RMST in a research and a clinical context. First, the authors demonstrate how the RMST difference can answer research questions about the efficacy of different treatments. Estimates are presented for the effects of pharmacologic or strategy-driven glucose-lowering interventions for adults with type 2 diabetes from 36 trials and 9 follow-up studies reporting cardiovascular outcomes and mortality. The authors show how these measures may be used to mitigate uncertainty about the efficacy of intensive glucose control. Second, the authors demonstrate how the RMST difference may be used in the setting of a clinical consultation to guide the decision to start or discontinue a treatment. They then discuss the advantages of the RMST over the absolute risk difference, the number needed to treat, and the median survival time difference. They argue that the RMST difference is both easy to interpret and flexible in its application to different settings. Finally, they highlight the major limitations of the RMST, including difficulties in comparing studies of heterogeneous designs and in inferring the long-term effects of treatments using trials of short duration, and summarize the available statistical software for calculating the RMST.

Educational weight loss interventions in obese and overweight adults with type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

AIM

The worldwide prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus is increasing, with most individuals with the disease being overweight or obese. Weight loss can reduce disease-related morbidity and mortality and weight losses of 10-15 kg have been shown to reverse type 2 diabetes. This review aimed to determine the effectiveness of community-based educational interventions for weight loss in type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

This is a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCT) in obese or overweight adults, aged 18-75 years, with a diagnosis of type 2 diabetes. Primary outcomes were weight and/or BMI. CINAHL, MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) were searched from inception to June 2019. Trials were classified into specified a priori comparisons according to intervention type. A pooled standardized mean difference (SMD) (from baseline to follow-up) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) between trial groups (difference-in-difference) were estimated through random-effects meta-analyses using the inverse variance method. Heterogeneity was quantified using I² and publication bias was explored visually using funnel plots.

RESULTS

Some 7383 records were screened; 228 full-text articles were assessed and 49 RCTs (n = 12 461 participants) were included in this review, with 44 being suitable for inclusion into the meta-analysis. Pooled estimates of education combined with low-calorie, low-carbohydrate meal replacements (SMD = -2.48, 95% CI -3.59, -1.49, I²  = 98%) or diets (SMD = -1.25, 95% CI -2.11, -0.39, I²  = 95%) or low-fat meal replacements (SMD = -1.15, 95%CI -2.05, -1.09, I²  = 85%) appeared most effective.

CONCLUSION

Low-calorie, low-carbohydrate meal replacements or diets combined with education appear the most promising interventions to achieve the largest weight and BMI reductions in people with type 2 diabetes.

Risk of hypoglycaemia with insulin degludec versus insulin glargine U300 in insulin-treated patients with type 2 diabetes: the randomised, head-to-head CONCLUDE trial

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

A head-to-head randomised trial was conducted to evaluate hypoglycaemia safety with insulin degludec 200 U/ml (degludec U200) and insulin glargine 300 U/ml (glargine U300) in individuals with type 2 diabetes treated with basal insulin.

METHODS

This randomised (1:1), open-label, treat-to-target, multinational trial included individuals with type 2 diabetes, aged ≥18 years with HbA_1c ≤80 mmol/mol (9.5%) and BMI ≤45 kg/m². Participants were previously treated with basal insulin with or without oral glucose-lowering drugs (excluding insulin secretagogues) and had to fulfil at least one predefined criterion for hypoglycaemia risk. Both degludec U200 and glargine U300 were similarly titrated to a fasting blood glucose target of 4.0-5.0 mmol/l. Endpoints were assessed during a 36 week maintenance period and a total treatment period up to 88 weeks. There were three hypoglycaemia endpoints: (1) overall symptomatic hypoglycaemia (either severe, an event requiring third-party assistance, or confirmed by blood glucose [<3.1 mmol/l] with symptoms); (2) nocturnal symptomatic hypoglycaemia (severe or confirmed by blood glucose with symptoms, between 00:01 and 05:59 h); and (3) severe hypoglycaemia. The primary endpoint was the number of overall symptomatic hypoglycaemic events in the maintenance period. Secondary hypoglycaemia endpoints included the number of nocturnal symptomatic events and number of severe hypoglycaemic events during the maintenance period.

RESULTS

Of the 1609 randomised participants, 733 of 805 (91.1%) in the degludec U200 arm and 734 of 804 (91.3%) in the glargine U300 arm completed the trial (87.3% and 87.8% completed on treatment, respectively). Baseline characteristics were comparable between the two treatment arms. For the primary endpoint, the rate of overall symptomatic hypoglycaemia was not significantly lower with degludec U200 vs glargine U300 (rate ratio [RR] 0.88 [95% CI 0.73, 1.06]). As there was no significant difference between treatments for the primary endpoint, the confirmatory testing procedure for superiority was stopped. The pre-specified confirmatory secondary hypoglycaemia endpoints were analysed using pre-specified statistical models but were now considered exploratory. These endpoints showed a lower rate of nocturnal symptomatic hypoglycaemia (RR 0.63 [95% CI 0.48, 0.84]) and severe hypoglycaemia (RR 0.20 [95% CI 0.07, 0.57]) with degludec U200 vs glargine U300.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

There was no significant difference in the rate of overall symptomatic hypoglycaemia with degludec U200 vs glargine U300 in the maintenance period. The rates of nocturnal symptomatic and severe hypoglycaemia were nominally significantly lower with degludec U200 during the maintenance period compared with glargine U300.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03078478 FUNDING: This trial was funded by Novo Nordisk (Bagsvaerd, Denmark).

Diabetes in adults with intellectual disability: prevalence and associated demographic, lifestyle, independence and health factors

BACKGROUND

As people with intellectual disabilities (ID) are now living longer, they are more at risk of developing non-communicable diseases, including type 2 diabetes mellitus. However, understanding of factors associated with diabetes for targeted management and prevention strategies is limited. This study aimed to investigate prevalence of diabetes in adults (aged ≥18 years) with ID and its relationship with demographic, lifestyle, independence and health factors.

METHOD

This was a cross-sectional analysis of interview data from 1091 adults with ID from the Leicestershire Learning Disability Register from 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2016. Logistic regression models were used to identify factors associated with diabetes in the study population.

RESULTS

The study population did not have healthy lifestyles: just under half reported having lower physical activity levels than people without ID of a similar age; one-quarter consumed fizzy drinks daily; and 20% consumed five or more fruit and/or vegetables per day. Prevalence of carer/self-reported diabetes was 7.3% (95% confidence interval 5.9-9.0). After adjustment, diabetes was positively associated with South Asian ethnicity (P = 0.03) and older age groups (P < 0.001). Diabetes was less common in people living with family members (P = 0.02). We did not find a relationship between any of the lifestyle, independence and health factors investigated.

CONCLUSIONS

A significant proportion of people with ID are living with diabetes. Diabetes management and prevention strategies should be tailored to individuals' complex needs and include consideration of lifestyle choices. Such strategies may want to focus on adults of South Asian ethnicity and people living in residential homes where prevalence appears to be higher.

The present and future scope of real-world evidence research in diabetes: What questions can and cannot be answered and what might be possible in the future?

The last decade has witnessed an exponential growth in the opportunities to collect and link health-related data from multiple resources, including primary care, administrative, and device data. The availability of these "real-world," "big data" has fuelled also an intense methodological research into methods to handle them and extract actionable information. In medicine, the evidence generated from "real-world data" (RWD), which are not purposely collected to answer biomedical questions, is commonly termed "real-world evidence" (RWE). In this review, we focus on RWD and RWE in the area of diabetes research, highlighting their contributions in the last decade; and give some suggestions for future RWE diabetes research, by applying well-established and less-known tools to direct RWE diabetes research towards better personalized approaches to diabetes care. We underline the essential aspects to consider when using RWD and the key features limiting the translational potential of RWD in generating high-quality and applicable RWE. Only if viewed in the context of other study designs and statistical methods, with its pros and cons carefully considered, RWE will exploit its full potential as a complementary or even, in some cases, substitutive source of evidence compared to the expensive evidence obtained from randomized controlled trials.

Association between pre-diabetes and microvascular and macrovascular disease in newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes

OBJECTIVE

The associated risk of vascular disease following diagnosis of type 2 diabetes in people previously identified as having pre-diabetes in real-world settings is unknown. We examined the presence of microvascular and macrovascular disease in individuals with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes by glycemic status within 3 years before diagnosis.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We identified 159 736 individuals with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink database in England between 2004 and 2017. We used logistic regression models to compare presence of microvascular (retinopathy and nephropathy) and macrovascular (acute coronary syndrome, cerebrovascular and peripheral arterial disease) disease at the time of type 2 diabetes diagnosis by prior glycemic status.

RESULTS

Half of the study population (49.9%) had at least one vascular disease, over one-third (37.4%) had microvascular disease, and almost a quarter (23.5%) had a diagnosed macrovascular disease at the time of type 2 diabetes diagnosis.Compared with individuals with glycemic values within the normal range, those detected with pre-diabetes before the diagnosis had 76% and 14% increased odds of retinopathy and nephropathy (retinopathy: adjusted OR (AOR) 1.76, 95% CI 1.69 to 1.85; nephropathy: AOR 1.14, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.19), and 7% higher odds of the diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.12) in fully adjusted models at time of diabetes diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Microvascular and macrovascular diseases are detected in 37%-24% of people with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes. Pre-diabetes before diagnosis of type 2 diabetes is associated with increased odds of microvascular disease and acute coronary syndrome. Detection of pre-diabetes might represent an opportunity for reducing the burden of microvascular and macrovascular disease through heightened attention to screening for vascular complications.

Physical activity and lipidomics in a population at high risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus

The aim was to investigate how measurements of the lipidome differ according to the level and intensity of physical activity in a population at high risk of type 2 diabetes (T2DM). A targeted metabolomics platform provided quantitative molecular data on lipid species. Linear regression examined the associations between plasma lipid concentrations, particle size and time spent in objectively measured physical activity intensity domains, in increments of 500 counts per minute (cpm) (up to >4500 cpm (~>5.6METs)). Results are presented as % difference in the concentration (lower/higher) or particle size (smaller/larger) per 10 min of activity within each intensity. Five hundred and nine participants were included. Time spent in the lowest physical activity intensity domain (<500 cpm) was unfavourably associated with VLDL (2%), HDL (-2%) and Apolipoprotein A-1 particle concentrations (-2%) and HDL diameter (-2%). Conversely, time spent in intensities ≥1000 cpm were favourably associated with HDL subclass concentrations; with stronger associations seen at moderate intensities (2000-3999 cpm (~4.5METs)). For Apolipoprotein-B concentration and VLDL particle concentration and size, a negative association was consistently observed at the highest physical activity intensity only. If these associations are causal, HDL subclasses appear sensitive to light-intensities whereas only the high category of physical activity intensity was consistently associated with VLDL subclasses.

Associations between ankle-brachial index, diabetes, and sleep apnea in the Hispanic community health study/study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL) database

BACKGROUND

Sleep apnea and diabetes mellitus (DM) negatively impact cardiovascular health. One important indicator of cardiovascular health is the Ankle-Brachial Index (ABI). Either low ABI or high ABI are signs of peripheral vascular impairment. Impaired vascular health and DM, together, might provoke sleep apnea; however, information regarding these relationships is limited. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the association between ABI, DM status, and severity of obstructive sleep apnea in people of Hispanic/Latino descent who are diverse in culture, environmental exposures, nativity, socioeconomic status, and disease burden.

METHODS

A cross sectional analysis from a multi-center epidemiologic study, Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos, was utilized and included 3779 participants (mean age 55.32 ± 7.67, females 57.9%). The sample was divided into 4 groups based on the American Diabetes Association diagnostic guidelines (no DM or DM), and the ABI status (normal and abnormal). Multiple linear regression analysis was used to determine the association of the four groups and other independent variables with severity of sleep apnea measured by apnea-hypopnea index. Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparisons between groups for the apnea-hypopnea index. The significant level was set at 0.01.

RESULTS

There were significant differences between groups in the mean of apnea-hypopnea index (P < 0.001; no DM + normal ABI = 5.42 ± 9.66, no DM + abnormal ABI = 7.11 ± 11.63, DM + normal ABI = 10.99 ± 15.16, DM + abnormal ABI = 12.81 ± 17.80). Linear regression showed that DM and abnormal ABI were significantly associated with severe sleep apnea (β = 3.25, P = 0.001) after controlling for age, sex, BMI, income, education, alcohol use, cigarette use, hypertension or related medication, stroke and statin use.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that people with DM and abnormal ABI were more likely to have high apnea-hypopnea index compared to the other groups. We observed gradual increasing in the severity of sleep apnea from low abnormality groups to high abnormality groups for Hispanic/Latino. Further work should elucidate the association of DM, abnormal ABI and sleep apnea with longer term outcomes, and replicate this work in different populations.

Cost-effectiveness of intensive interventions compared to standard care in individuals with type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and critical appraisal of decision-analytic models

AIMS

The objective of this systematic review is to identify and assess the quality of published decision-analytic models evaluating the long-term cost-effectiveness of target-driven intensive interventions for single and multifactorial risk factor control compared to standard care in people with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

We searched the electronic databases MEDLINE, the National Health Service Economic Evaluation Database, Web of Science and the Cochrane Library from inception to October 31, 2019. Articles were eligible for inclusion if the studies had used a decision-analytic model evaluating both the long-term costs and benefits associated with intensive interventions for risk factor control compared to standard care in people with type 2 diabetes. Data were extracted using a standardised form, while quality was assessed using the decision-analytic model-specific Philips-criteria.

RESULTS

Overall, nine articles (11 models) were identified, four models evaluated intensive glycaemic control, three evaluated intensive blood pressure control, two evaluated intensive lipid control, and two evaluated intensive multifactorial interventions. Six reported using discrete-time simulations modelling approach, whereas five reported using a Markov modelling framework. The majority, seven studies, reported that the intensive interventions were dominant or cost-effective, given the assumptions and analytical perspective taken. The methodological and reporting quality of the studies was generally weak, with only four studies fulfilling more than 50% of their applicable Philips-criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first systematic review of decision-analytic models of target-driven intensive interventions for single and multifactorial risk factor control in individuals with type 2 diabetes. Identified shortcomings are lack of transparency in data identification and evidence synthesis as well as for the selection of the modelling approaches. Future models should aim to include greater evaluation of the quality of the data sources used and the assessment of uncertainty in the model.

Similar glycaemic control and less hypoglycaemia during active titration after insulin initiation with glargine 300 units/mL and degludec 100 units/mL: A subanalysis of the BRIGHT study

AIM

To further investigate glycaemic control and hypoglycaemia in BRIGHT, focusing on the titration period.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

BRIGHT was a multicentre, open-label, randomized, active-controlled, two-arm, parallel-group, 24-week study in insulin-naïve patients with uncontrolled type 2 diabetes initiated on glargine 300 U/mL (Gla-300) (N = 466) or degludec (IDeg-100) (N = 463). Predefined efficacy and safety outcomes were investigated during the initial 12-week titration period. In addition, patients' characteristics and clinical outcomes were assessed descriptively, stratified by confirmed (≤3.9 mmol/L) hypoglycaemia incidence during the initial titration period.

RESULTS

At week 12, HbA1c was comparable between Gla-300 (7.32%) and IDeg-100 (7.23%), with similar least squares (LS) mean reductions from baseline (-1.37% and - 1.39%, respectively; LS mean difference of 0.02; 95% confidence interval: -0.08 to 0.12). Patients who experienced hypoglycaemia during the initial titration period had numerically greater HbA1c reductions by week 12 than patients who did not (-1.46% vs. -1.28%), and higher incidence of anytime (24 hours; 73.3% vs. 35.7%) and nocturnal (00:00-06:00 hours; 30.0% vs. 11.9%) hypoglycaemia between weeks 13-24.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of Gla-300 resulted in similar glycaemic control as IDeg-100 during the initial 12-week titration period of the BRIGHT study, when less anytime (24 hours) hypoglycaemia with Gla-300 versus IDeg-100 has been reported. Experiencing hypoglycaemia shortly after initiating Gla-300 or IDeg-100 may be associated with hypoglycaemia incidence in the longer term, potentially impacting glycaemic management.

FilterK: A new outlier detection method for k-means clustering of physical activity

In this paper, a new algorithm denoted as FilterK is proposed for improving the purity of k-means derived physical activity clusters by reducing outlier influence. We applied it to physical activity data obtained with body-worn accelerometers and clustered using k-means. We compared its performance with three existing outlier detection methods: Local Outlier Factor, Isolation Forests and KNN using the ground truth (class labels), average cluster and event purity (ACEP). FilterK provided comparable gains in ACEP (0.581 → 0.596 compared to 0.580-0.617) whilst removing a lower number of outliers than the other methods (4% total dataset size vs 10% to achieve this ACEP). The main focus of our new outlier detection method is to improve the cluster purities of physical activity accelerometer data, but we also suggest it may be potentially applied to other types of dataset captured by k-means clustering. We demonstrate our method using a k-means model trained on two independent accelerometer datasets (training n = 90) and re-applied to an independent dataset (test n = 41). Labelled physical activities include lying down, sitting, standing, household chores, walking (laboratory and non-laboratory based), stairs and running. This type of clustering algorithm could be used to assist with identifying optimal physical activity patterns for health.

Biological variation of cardiac troponins in chronic kidney disease

Background

Patients with chronic kidney disease often have increased plasma cardiac troponin concentration in the absence of myocardial infarction. Incidence of myocardial infarction is high in this population, and diagnosis, particularly of non ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI), is challenging. Knowledge of biological variation aids understanding of serial cardiac troponin measurements and could improve interpretation in clinical practice. The National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry (NACB) recommended the use of a 20% reference change value in patients with kidney failure. The aim of this study was to calculate the biological variation of cardiac troponin I and cardiac troponin T in patients with moderate chronic kidney disease (glomerular filtration rate [GFR] 30–59 mL/min/1.73 m2).

Methods and results

Plasma samples were obtained from 20 patients (median GFR 43.0 mL/min/1.73 m2) once a week for four consecutive weeks. Cardiac troponin I (Abbott ARCHITECT® i2000SR, median 4.3 ng/L, upper 99th percentile of reference population 26.2 ng/L) and cardiac troponin T (Roche Cobas® e601, median 11.8 ng/L, upper 99th percentile of reference population 14 ng/L) were measured in duplicate using high-sensitivity assays. After outlier removal and log transformation, 18 patients’ data were subject to ANOVA, and within-subject (CVI), between-subject (CVG) and analytical (CVA) variation calculated. Variation for cardiac troponin I was 15.0%, 105.6%, 8.3%, respectively, and for cardiac troponin T 7.4%, 78.4%, 3.1%, respectively. Reference change values for increasing and decreasing troponin concentrations were +60%/–38% for cardiac troponin I and +25%/–20% for cardiac troponin T.

Conclusions

The observed reference change value for cardiac troponin T is broadly compatible with the NACB recommendation, but for cardiac troponin I, larger changes are required to define significant change. The incorporation of separate RCVs for cardiac troponin I and cardiac troponin T, and separate RCVs for rising and falling concentrations of cardiac troponin, should be considered when developing guidance for interpretation of sequential cardiac troponin measurements.

Clinical Relevance of Orthostatic Hypotension in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and Suspected Transient Ischemic Attack

INTRODUCTION

Orthostatic hypotension (OH) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are both regarded as independent risk factors for transient ischemic attack (TIA). However, the clinical implication of OH in the presence of AF is unclear. This study investigates, for the first time, the association between blood pressure (BP), OH and mortality in a cohort of patients with AF and TIA symptoms.

AIM

To investigate the incidence of the association between OH, AF and TIA.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study utilised the Leicester one-stop transient TIA clinic patient database to consider the initial systolic and diastolic BP of 688 patients with a diagnosis of AF. The primary outcome was time until death. Covariant measures included status of AF diagnosis (known or new AF), cardiovascular risk factors, and primary clinic diagnosis [cerebrovascular (CV) versus non-cerebrovascular (non-CV)]. Statistical models adjusted for sex, age, previous AF diagnosis.

RESULTS

Mortality rate was higher in the over 85 age group [191.5 deaths per 1000 person years (py) (95% CI 154.0-238.1)] and lower in the aged 75 and younger age group [40.0 deaths per 1000 py (95% CI 27.0-59.2)] compared to intermediate groups. A 10 mmHg increase in supine diastolic BP was associated with a significant reduction in the hazard of mortality for patients suspected of TIA with AF [adjusted HR 0.79 (95% CI 0.68-0.92), p < 0.001]. The mortality rate for patients with OH was 119.0 deaths per 1000 py compared with a rate of 98.0 for patients without OH (rate ratio 1.2, p = 0.275).

CONCLUSION

Higher diastolic BP may be a marker for reduced mortality risk in patients with a previous AF diagnosis and non-CV diagnosis. Lower diastolic BP and the presence of AF pertain to a higher mortality risk. This study raises the importance of opportunistic screening for both OH and AF in patients presenting to TIA clinic.

Priorities of patients with multimorbidity and of clinicians regarding treatment and health outcomes: a systematic mixed studies review

OBJECTIVES

To identify studies that have investigated the health outcome and treatment priorities of patients with multimorbidity, clinicians or both, in order to assess whether the priorities of the two groups are in alignment, or whether a disparity exists between the priorities of patients with multimorbidity and clinicians.

DESIGN

Systematic review.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINHAL and Cochrane databases from inception to May 2019 using a predefined search strategy, as well as reference lists containing any relevant articles, as per Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses and Cochrane guidelines.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

We included studies reporting health outcome and treatment priorities of adult patients with multimorbidity, defined as suffering from two or more chronic conditions, or of clinicians in the context of multimorbidity or both. There was no restriction by study design, and studies using quantitative and/or qualitative methodologies were included.

DATA SYNTHESIS

We used a narrative synthesis approach to synthesise the quantitative findings, and a meta-ethnography approach to synthesise the qualitative findings.

RESULTS

Our search identified 24 studies for inclusion, which comprised 12 quantitative studies, 10 qualitative studies and 2 mixed-methods studies. Twelve studies reported the priorities of both patients and clinicians, 10 studies reported the priorities of patients and 2 studies reported the priorities of clinicians alone. Our findings have shown a mostly low level of agreement between the priorities of patients with multimorbidity and clinicians. We found that prioritisation by patients was mainly driven by their illness experiences, while clinicians focused on longer-term risks. Preserving functional ability emerged as a key priority for patients from across our quantitative and qualitative analyses.

CONCLUSION

Recognising that there may be a disparity in prioritisation and understanding the reasons for why this might occur, can facilitate clinicians in accurately eliciting the priorities that are most important to their patients and delivering patient-centred care.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42018076076.

Qualitative evaluation of A Safer Ramadan, a structured education programme that addresses the safer observance of Ramadan for Muslims with Type 2 diabetes

AIMS

Muslims can choose to fast during Ramadan. Guidelines exist for providing clinical support for this group, but there is a lack of culturally tailored diabetes management interventions to provide guidance. The study evaluates the implementation of a programme developed to meet this need.

METHODS

A Safer Ramadan is a multi-faceted package comprising a self-management and community awareness programme, and healthcare professional training. Implementation of the programme took place in two cities in the UK, prior to Ramadan 2017. Uptake and attendance were determined, and qualitative interviews and focus groups were completed with people attending the programme, and with various stakeholders involved in implementation and delivery.

RESULTS

Success of the implementation varied and engagement by primary care was limited. Three central themes emerged from the interviews highlighting barriers and facilitators of the programme implementation. These were the referral pathway, programme content and feedback on the delivery of the programme.

CONCLUSIONS

Provision of interventions that provide support and education for Muslims during Ramadan was implemented in communities and valued by GPs and practice nurses. However, heavy workloads to support delivery made it difficult for practices to engage. Recommendations for future delivery of the programme indicate that greater attention should be given to marketing and its supporting practices. Furthermore, training for practice nurses to support patients prior to Ramadan and provision of funding is required.