Describing the learning curve of novices for the diagnosis of paediatric distal forearm fractures using point-of-care ultrasound

Purpose

The learning curve of nurse practitioners (NPs) to accurately diagnose paediatric distal forearm fractures using point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) was investigated.

Methods

Each NP's learning curve was calculated as cumulative diagnostic accuracy against a number of scans performed. The curve's plateau represented the attainment of competency. Secondary outcomes were the comparisons before and after this cut-off of diagnostic accuracy, classification of diagnostic errors, pain scores, duration and preference.

Results

Five NPs performed 201 POCUS studies with diagnostic accuracy plateauing at 90%, providing a 'cut-off' point at scan 15. Accuracy of POCUS scanning before and after the fifteenth scan was 81% (95% CI 70%-89%) and 90% (95% CI 84%-94%), respectively, demonstrating 9% improvement (P = 0.07). There was a 10% reduction in image interpretation errors. After fifteen scans, POCUS became faster (mean difference (MD) 2.6 min [95% CI 2.0-3.3], P < 0.001), less painful (MD 0.61 points FPSR scale [95% CI 0.04-1.18], P = 0.04) and more preferred by NPs (63% vs 77%, P = 0.03).

Discussion

The learning curve of POCUS-novice NPs independently scanning paediatric distal forearm injuries plateaued with mean diagnostic accuracy of 90% after 15 scans, suggesting competency was attained at this cut-off, supported by higher accuracy, being faster, less painful and more preferred by NPs. Future training packages in forearm POCUS should further address image interpretation and provide ongoing expert feedback.

Conclusions

The findings from this study suggest that competency in paediatric distal forearm POCUS can be attained by novices after a short training course and approximately 15 scans.

Cognitive, academic, executive and psychological functioning in children with spastic motor type cerebral palsy: Influence of extent, location, and laterality of brain lesions

PURPOSE

To investigate, in spastic motor-type cerebral palsy, the association between 1) the location and extent of brain lesions and numerous psychological outcomes; 2) the laterality of brain lesions and performance of verbal-related cognitive functions.

METHODS

The semi-quantitative scale for MRI (sqMRI) was scored for 101 children with cerebral palsy. Non-verbal and verbal proxy intelligence quotients (IQ), word reading, spelling, numerical operations skills, executive functioning, and psychological adjustment were assessed. Relationships between global and regional sqMRI scores and clinical scores were examined. The best multivariable linear regression model for each outcome was identified using the Bayesian Information Criteria. Regional sqMRI scores, gross motor functioning, manual ability, and epilepsy status were considered for inclusion as covariables. Where sqMRI scores made statistically significant contributions to models of verbal-related functioning, data were reanalysed including these sqMRI scores' laterality index. Verbal-related outcomes were compared between participants with left-sided versus bilateral brain lesions.

RESULTS

Medial dorsal thalamus and parietal lobe lesions significantly accounted for poorer verbal proxy-IQ. Left-hemisphere lateralization of temporal lobe lesions was associated with poorer verbal proxy-IQ. Participants with bilateral lesions performed significantly better than those with unilateral left-sided lesions in verbal cognitive functions. Controlling for epilepsy diagnosis, participants with ventral posterior lateral thalamus lesions presented with better Behaviour Rating Inventory of Executive Function scores, although within the normal range. sqMRI scores were not significantly associated with some psychological outcomes or these only bordered on significance after accounting for relevant control variables.

CONCLUSION

The laterality of early-life lesions influences the development of verbal-related cognitive functions.

Strategies to improve vaccination rates in people who are homeless: A systematic review

People who are homeless experience higher rates of vaccine-preventable disease, including COVID-19, than the general population, and poorer associated health outcomes. However, delivering vaccinations to people who are homeless is complex, and there is a lack of evidence to inform practice in this area. The aim of this systematic review is to: (a) identify, (b) analyse the characteristics of, and (c) evaluate the outcomes of, strategies to improve vaccination rates in people who are homeless. Literature was retrieved from eight electronic databases. Studies undertaken in high-income countries, published in English, in a peer-reviewed journal, and in full-text were considered. No limits were placed on study design or date. A total of 1,508 articles were retrieved and, after the removal of duplicates, 637 were screened. Twenty-three articles, reporting on nineteen separate vaccination strategies for hepatitis A/B, influenza, herpes zoster, invasive pneumococcal disease, and diphtheria in people who are homeless, were selected for inclusion. All the strategies were effective at improving vaccination rates in, people who are homeless. Most strategies involved vaccination clinics and most were delivered, at least in part, by nurses. Other characteristics of successful strategies included: delivering vaccinations at convenient locations; using accelerated vaccination schedules (if available); vaccinating at the first appointment, regardless of whether a person's vaccination history or serological status were known (if clinically safe); operating for a longer duration; offering training to staff about working with people who are homeless; widely promoting clinics; considering education, reminders, incentives, and co-interventions; ensuring no out-of-pocket costs; and working collaboratively with stakeholders, including people who are homeless themselves. These findings will inform evidence-based vaccination strategies, including for COVID-19, in people who are homeless, and improve associated health outcomes in this at-risk, hard-to-reach group.

A national survey integrating clinical, laboratory, and WASH data to determine the typology of trachoma in Nauru

Background

The epidemiology of trachoma in several Pacific Islands differs from other endemic settings, in that there is a high prevalence of clinical signs of trachoma, particularly trachomatous inflammation—follicular (TF), but few cases of trichiasis and limited evidence of ocular chlamydial infection. This so-called “Pacific enigma” has led to uncertainty regarding the appropriate public health response. In 2019 alongside Nauru’s national trachoma population survey, we performed bacteriological and serological assessments of children to better understand the typology of trachoma and to determine whether there is a need for trachoma interventions.

Methods

We used two-stage cluster sampling, examining residents aged ≥1 year and collecting household-level water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) variables. Children aged 1–9 years provided conjunctival swabs and finger-prick dried blood spots to investigate the presence of Chlamydia trachomatis nucleic acid and anti-Pgp3 antibodies, respectively.

Principal Findings

In 818 participants aged 1–9 years, the age-adjusted TF prevalence was 21.8% (95% CI 15.2–26.2%); ocular C. trachomatis prevalence was 34.5% (95% CI 30.6–38.9), and anti-Pgp3 antibody prevalence was 32.1% (95% CI 28.4%–36.3%). The age- and gender-adjusted prevalence of trichiasis in ≥15-year-olds was 0.3% (95% CI 0.00–0.85), but no individual with trichiasis had trachomatous scarring (TS). Multivariable analysis showed an association between age and both TF (OR per year of age 1.3 [95% CI 1.2–1.4]) and anti-Pgp3 positivity (OR 1.2 [95% CI 1.2–1.3]). There were high rates of access to water and sanitation and no WASH variable was associated with the presence of TF.

Conclusions

TF, nucleic acid, and age-specific antibody prevalence collectively indicate that high levels of C. trachomatis transmission among children present a high risk of ocular damage due to trachoma. The absence of trichiasis with trachomatous scarring suggest a relatively recent increase in transmission intensity.

In contrast to several neighbouring Pacific Island nations, Nauruan children are heavily affected by active trachoma and the cause is ocular infection with C. trachomatis. Comprehensive public health intervention to control trachoma in Nauru is required. The use of laboratory markers for current and previous C. trachomatis infection should be considered in baseline trachoma prevalence surveys as we approach global elimination of trachoma, and in settings with inconsistent findings during previous screening exercises.

Early Motor Repertoire of Very Preterm Infants and Relationships with 2-Year Neurodevelopment

The Motor Optimality Score, revised (MOS-R) is an extension of the Prechtl General Movements Assessment. This study aims to determine the relationship between MOS-R and 2-year neurodevelopmental outcomes in a cohort of 169 infants born very preterm (<31 weeks’ gestational age), and to examine the predictive validity of the MOS-R at 3−4 months’ corrected age (CA) above perinatal variables associated with poor outcomes, including Prechtl fidgety movements. Development at 2 years’ CA was assessed using Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, Third edition (Bayley-III) (motor/cognitive impairment: Bayley-III ≤ 85) and Neurological, Sensory, Motor, Developmental Assessment (NSMDA) (neurosensory motor impairment: NSMDA ≥ 12). Cerebral palsy (CP) was classified at 2 years as definite or clinical. The MOS-R was related to 2-year outcomes: Bayley-III motor (BMOS-R = 1.24 95% confidence interval (0.78, 1.70)), cognitive (BMOS-R = 0.91 (0.48, 1.35)), NSMDA scores (BMOS-R = −0.34 (−0.42, −0.25)), definite CP (odds ratio [OR] 0.67 (0.53, 0.86)), clinical CP (OR 0.74 (0.66, 0.83)) for each 1-point increase in MOS-R. MOS-R ≤ 23 predicted motor (sensitivity 78% (60−91%); specificity 63% (54−72%)) and neurosensory motor impairment (sensitivity 86% (64−97%); specificity 59% (51−68%)). The MOS-R is strongly related to CP and motor and cognitive delay at 2 years and is a good predictor of motor and neurosensory motor impairment.

Factors in childhood associated with lung function decline to adolescence in cystic fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Despite improvements in general health and life expectancy in people with cystic fibrosis (CF), lung function decline continues unabated during adolescence and early adult life.

METHODS

We examined factors present at age 5-years that predicted lung function decline from childhood to adolescence in a longitudinal study of Australasian children with CF followed from 1999 to 2017.

RESULTS

Lung function trajectories were calculated for 119 children with CF from childhood (median 5.0 [25%-75%=5.0-5.1]) years) to early adolescence (median 12.5 [25%-75%=11.4-13.8] years). Lung function fell progressively, with mean (standard deviation) annual change -0.105 (0.049) for forced vital capacity (FVC) Z-score (p<0.001), -0.135 (0.048) for forced expiratory volume in 1-second (FEV₁) Z-score (p<0.001), -1.277 (0.221) for FEV₁/FVC% (p<0.001), and -0.136 (0.052) for forced expiratory flow between 25% and 75% of FVC Z-score (p<0.001). Factors present in childhood predicting lung function decline to adolescence, in multivariable analyses, were hospitalisation for respiratory exacerbations in the first 5-years of life (FEV₁/FVC p = 0.001, FEF_25-75p = 0.01) and bronchoalveolar lavage neutrophil elastase activity (FEV₁/FVC% p = 0.001, FEV₁p = 0.05, FEF_25-75p = 0.02). No examined factor predicted a decline in the FVC Z-score.

CONCLUSIONS

Action in the first 5-years of life to prevent and/or treat respiratory exacerbations and counteract neutrophilic inflammation in the lower airways may reduce lung function decline in children with CF, and these should be targets of future research.

Activity and Outcomes of Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation in the Private Sector in Australia

BACKGROUND

Few Australasian Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation (ASCT) programs perform ASCTs in the private sector. Relatively little is known about ASCT outcomes in the private sector, which varies in care delivery models to the public system.

AIMS

We investigated transplantation activity and survival outcomes at Icon Cancer Centre's Brisbane-based private clinical and laboratory ASCT program, over a 23-year period.

METHODS

Retrospective, observational study of all adults who underwent ASCT at Icon between 1996-2018. Main outcome measures were transplant activity, overall survival (OS) and day-100 and 1-year transplant-related mortality (TRM). Outcomes were benchmarked against the Australasian Bone Marrow Transplant Recipient Registry (ABMTRR).

RESULTS

Between 1996-2018, 1676 ASCTs were performed in 1454 patients. From 2010-2018, ASCTs performed at Icon contributed 40% of all South East Queensland ASCTs. In the last 5-years, 21% of Icon's patients were ≥70-years, compared to 5% across Australasia. For the entire cohort, 100-day, and 1-year TRM was 1.1% and 1.7% respectively, whilst for those aged ≥70-years, it was 2.0% and 3.1%. For ASCTs performed between 2014-2018, 100-day and 1-year TRM was 0.8% and 1.4%, which was half the TRM rates reported by the ABMTRR. The 10-year post-transplant OS at Icon was higher than the ABMTRR data, across all disease subtypes.

CONCLUSION

Icon is the largest ASCT contributor in Queensland, with excellent OS and low TRM, demonstrating the critical role of the private sector in the administration of this highly complex therapy. The Icon ASCT program is inclusive of patients aged ≥70-years, demonstrating low and acceptable TRM. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Association between vaccination status, symptom identification and healthcare use: Implications for test negative design observational studies

AIM

To test the internal validity of the test-negative design (TND) by investigating associations between maternal influenza vaccination, and new virus detection episodes (VDEs), acute respiratory illness, and healthcare visits in their children.

METHODS

Eighty-five children from a birth cohort provided daily symptoms, weekly nasal swabs, and healthcare use data until age 2-years. Effect estimates are summarised as incidence rate ratios (IRR).

RESULTS

There was no association between maternal vaccination and VDEs in children (IRR = 1.1; 95 %CI = 0.9-1.2). Influenza-vaccinated mothers were more likely than unvaccinated mothers to both report, and seek healthcare for, acute lower respiratory illness in their children, IRR = 2.4; 95 %CI = 1.2-4.8 and IRR = 2.2; 95 %CI = 1.1-4.3, respectively.

CONCLUSION

A key assumption of the TND, that healthcare seeking behaviour for conditions of the same severity is not associated with vaccine receipt, did not hold. Further studies of the performance of the TND in different populations are required to confirm its validity.

Comparing ivWatch biosensor to standard care to identify extravasation injuries in the paediatric intensive care: a protocol for a randomised controlled trial

INTRODUCTION

Peripheral intravenous catheters (PIVCs) frequently fail during therapy administration, resulting in infusates pooling in the surrounding tissue. These extravasation injuries can cause significant pain, tissue destruction and scarring. ivWatch is a biosensor that uses visible and near-infrared light to measure tissue changes surrounding the PIVC and alert clinicians when extravasation may occur. The effectiveness of ivWatch, in comparison to clinical observation, in decreasing injury severity is unknown. The present study aims to investigate whether using ivWatch may potentially detect injury earlier and decrease the severity of PIVC extravasation injuries.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

A single centre, parallel group, open-label superiority randomised controlled trial comparing (a) standard care (clinical observation) to (b) ivWatch monitoring in addition to standard care, to decrease the severity of extravasation injuries. 200 children with PIVCs inserted in the distal half of the limb, receiving intermediate-risk to high-risk infusates for ≥24 hours, will be consecutively recruited at a paediatric intensive care unit in Queensland, Australia. The primary outcome is extravasation severity, measured by the Cincinnati Children's Extravasation Harm Scale. Secondary outcomes include severity assessed with three-dimensional camera imaging, extravasation volume, treatment sequelae, the number of PIVCs used and dwell time, quality of life and healthcare costs. The between treatment difference in extravasation severity will be compared using ordinal logistic regression, with the treatment group included as the main effect, and reported with corresponding 95% CIs. Estimates of value will be presented as net monetary benefits and cost per reduction in extravasation injury severity, both presented with corresponding 95% credible intervals.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study received approval from the Children's Health Queensland Hospital and Health Service Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC) (reference number: HREC/20/QCHQ/60867) and the Griffith University HREC (reference number: 2020/310) and will be disseminated via peer-reviewed publications and conference presentations.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ACTRN12620000317998.

Improving peripheral venous cannula insertion in children: a mixed methods study to develop the DIVA key

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a difficult intravenous access risk assessment and escalation pathway, to increase first time intravenous insertion success in paediatrics.

METHODS

Mixed methods underpinned by literature and co-production principles. Iterative development of the instrument was informed through semi-structured interviews and stakeholder workshops. The instrument includes a risk assessment, inserter skill self-assessment, and escalation pathways. Reproducibility, reliability, and acceptability were evaluated in a prospective cohort study at a quaternary paediatric hospital in Australia.

RESULTS

Interview data (three parents, nine clinicians) uncovered two themes: i) Recognition of children with DIVA and subsequent escalation is ad hoc and problematic; and ii) Resources and training impact inserter confidence and ability. Three workshops were delivered at monthly intervals (February-April 2020) involving 21 stakeholders culminating in the co-production of the "DIVA Key". The DIVA Key was evaluated between May-December 2020 in 78 children; 156 clinicians. Seventy-eight paired assessments were undertaken with substantial agreement (concordance range = 81.5 to 83.0%) between the assessors. Interrater reliability of the DIVA risk assessment was moderate (kappa = 0.71, 95% CI 0.63-0.80). The DIVA Key predicted multiple insertion attempts for red (high risk) DIVA classification (relative risk ratio 5.7, 95% CI 1.2-27.1; reference low risk). Consumer and clinician satisfaction with DIVA Key was high (median (IQR) = 10 [8-10]; 8 [8-10 respectively).

CONCLUSION

The DIVA Key is a straightforward, reliable instrument with inbuilt escalation pathway to support the identification of children with difficult intravenous access.

Pregabalin vs placebo to prevent chronic pain after whiplash injury in at-risk individuals: results of a feasibility study for a large randomised controlled trial

ABSTRACT

There are few effective treatments for acute whiplash-associated disorders (WADs). Early features of central sensitisation predict poor recovery. The effect of pregabalin on central sensitisation might prevent chronic pain after acute whiplash injury. This double blind, placebo-controlled randomised controlled trial examined feasibility and potential effectiveness of pregabalin compared with placebo for people with acute WAD. Twenty-four participants with acute WAD (<48 hours) and at risk of poor recovery (pain ≥5/10) were recruited from hospital emergency departments in Queensland, Australia, and randomly assigned by concealed allocation to either pregabalin (n = 10) or placebo (n = 14). Pregabalin was commenced at 75 mg bd, titrated to 300 mg bd for 4 weeks, and then weaned over 1 week. Participants were assessed at 5 weeks and 3, 6, and 12 months. Feasibility issues included recruitment difficulties and greater attrition in the placebo group. For the primary clinical outcome of neck pain intensity, attrition at 5 weeks was pregabalin: 10% and placebo: 36% and at 12 months was pregabalin: 10% and placebo: 43%. Pregabalin may be more effective than placebo for the primary clinical outcome of neck pain intensity at 3 months (mean difference: -4.0 [95% confidence interval -6.2 to -1.7]) on an 11-point Numerical Rating Scale. Effects were maintained at 6 months but not 12 months. There were no serious adverse events. Minor adverse events were more common in the pregabalin group. A definitive large randomised controlled trial of pregabalin for acute whiplash injury is warranted. Feasibility issues would need to be addressed with modifications to the protocol.

Early detection of Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander infants at high risk of adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes at 12 months corrected age: LEAP-CP prospective cohort study protocol

INTRODUCTION

Neurodevelopmental disorders (NDD), including cerebral palsy (CP), autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and foetal alcohol spectrum disorder (FASD), are characterised by impaired development of the early central nervous system, impacting cognitive and/or physical function. Early detection of NDD enables infants to be fast-tracked to early intervention services, optimising outcomes. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander infants may experience early life factors increasing their risk of neurodevelopmental vulnerability, which persist into later childhood, further compounding the health inequities experienced by First Nations peoples in Australia. The LEAP-CP prospective cohort study will investigate the efficacy of early screening programmes, implemented in Queensland, Australia to earlier identify Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander infants who are 'at risk' of adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes (NDO) or NDD. Diagnostic accuracy and feasibility of early detection tools for identifying infants 'at risk' of a later diagnosis of adverse NDO or NDD will be determined.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander infants born in Queensland, Australia (birth years 2020-2022) will be invited to participate. Infants aged <9 months corrected age (CA) will undergo screening using the (1) General Movements Assessment (GMA); (2) Hammersmith Infant Neurological Examination (HINE); (3) Rapid Neurodevelopmental Assessment (RNDA) and (4) Ages and Stages Questionnaire-Aboriginal adaptation (ASQ-TRAK). Developmental outcomes at 12 months CA will be determined for: (1) neurological (HINE); (2) motor (Peabody Developmental Motor Scales 2); (3) cognitive and communication (Bayley Scales of Infant Development III); (4) functional capabilities (Paediatric Evaluation of Disability Inventory-Computer Adaptive Test) and (5) behaviour (Infant Toddler Social and Emotional Assessment). Infants will be classified as typically developing or 'at risk' of an adverse NDO and/or specific NDD based on symptomology using developmental and diagnostic outcomes for (1) CP (2) ASD and (3) FASD. The effects of perinatal, social and environmental factors, caregiver mental health and clinical neuroimaging on NDOs will be investigated.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethics approval has been granted by appropriate Queensland ethics committees; Far North Queensland Health Research Ethics Committee (HREC/2019/QCH/50533 (Sep ver 2)-1370), the Townsville HHS Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC/QTHS/56008), the University of Queensland Medical Research Ethics Committee (2020000185/HREC/2019/QCH/50533) and the Children's Health Queensland HHS Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC/20/QCHQ/63906) with governance and support from local First Nations communities. Findings from this study will be disseminated via peer-reviewed publications and conference presentations.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ACTRN12619000969167.

Point-of-Care Ultrasound Pronator Quadratus Hematoma Sign for Detection of Clinically Non-Angulated Pediatric Distal Forearm Fractures: A Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) diagnosis of distal forearm fractures relies on the identification of buckling or breach of hyperechoic bone cortex. We describe the pronator quadratus hematoma (PQH) formation visualized on POCUS, the PQH sign, as it may aid diagnosis of pediatric distal forearm cortical breach fractures.

METHODS

A prospective cohort of children presenting to an emergency department with isolated, clinically non-angulated distal forearm injuries received POCUS by an expert emergency physician sonologist who identified the presence or absence of the PQH sign. They secondarily recorded the difference between the size of the pronator quadratus (PQ) muscle on both the affected and non-affected forearms (PQ delta thickness). Children received an x-ray subsequent to POCUS and were diagnosed based on an x-ray reported by a radiologist masked to POCUS findings.

RESULTS

Thirty-eight children were recruited. All 22 patients with cortical breach fracture had PQH sign present (100%; 95%CI: 85-100%), while all 16 patients without cortical breach fracture had PQH sign absent (100%; 95%CI: 79-100%). PQ delta thickness ranged from 2.1 to 10.2 mm in cortical breach fractures, 0.0 to 1.1 mm in buckle fractures, and 0.2 to 0.8 mm in patients without fracture.

CONCLUSIONS

The PQH sign correctly distinguished all children with, and without, cortical breach fractures. All PQ delta thicknesses were ≧2.1 mm when cortical breach fracture was present and ≦1.1 mm when cortical breach fracture was absent. The PQH sign and PQ delta thickness are promising measurements to identify pediatric distal forearm cortical breach fractures, and their utility should be confirmed in larger studies with sonologists of different abilities.

Developing Preschool Language Surveillance Models - Cumulative and Clustering Patterns of Early Life Factors in the Early Language in Victoria Study Cohort

BACKGROUND

Screening and surveillance of development are integral to ensuring effective early identification and intervention strategies for children with vulnerabilities. However, not all developmental skills have reliable screening processes, such as early language ability.

METHOD

We describe how a set of early life factors used in a large, prospective community cohort from Australia are associated with language abilities across the preschool years, and determine if either an accumulation of risk factors or a clustering of risk factors provide a feasible approach to surveillance of language development in preschool children.

RESULTS

There were 1,208 children with a 7-year language outcome. The accumulation of early life factors increased the likelihood of children having low language skills at 7-years. Over a third of children with typical language skills (36.6%) had ≤ two risks and half of the children with low language (50%) had six or more risks. As the number of factors increases the risk of having low language at 7-years increases, for example, children with six or more risks had 17 times greater risk, compared to those with ≤ two risks. Data collected from 1,910 children at 8- to 12-months were used in the latent class modeling. Four profile classes (or groups) were identified. The largest group was developmentally enabled with a supportive home learning environment (56.2%, n = 1,073). The second group was vulnerable, both developmentally and in their home learning environment (31.2%, n = 596); the third group was socially disadvantaged with a vulnerable home learning environment (7.4%, n = 142); the final group featured maternal mental health problems and vulnerable child socio-emotional adjustment (5.2%, n = 99). Compared to developmentally enabled children, the risk of low language at 7-years was greater for children in the three other groups.

CONCLUSION

The cumulative and cluster risk analyses demonstrate the potential to use developmental surveillance to identify children within the first years of life who are at risk of language difficulties. Importantly, parent-child interaction and the home learning environment emerged as a consistent cluster. We recommend they be adopted as the common focus for early intervention and universal language promotion programs.

Cord-blood respiratory syncytial virus antibodies and respiratory health in first 5 years of life

OBJECTIVE

To determine the potential longer-term effects of maternal antenatal respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccination, we examined the association between cord-blood RSV-neutralizing antibodies (RSV-NA) and RSV infections in the first 2 years of life, RSV-NA at 3 years, and respiratory health to age 5 years.

METHODS

Two community-based Australian birth cohorts were combined. For children with at least one atopic parent, paired serum RSV-NA levels were compared in cord blood and at age 3 years. Weekly nasal swabs were collected in one cohort and during acute respiratory infections (ARI) in the other. Wheeze history up to age 5 years and physician-diagnosed asthma at 5 years was collected by parent report.

RESULTS

In 264 children, each log₁₀ increase of cord-blood RSV-NA level was associated with 37% decreased risk (adjusted incidence-rate-ratio [aIRR] 0.63; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.40-1.01) of RSV-ARI and 49% decreased risk (aIRR 0.51; 95% CI: 0.25-1.02) of RSV acute lower respiratory infections (ALRI) at 12-24 months of age. However, higher cord-blood RSV-NA was associated with increased risk of all-cause ALRI (aIRR 1.29; 95% CI: 0.99-1.69), wheeze-associated ALRI (aIRR 1.75; 95% CI: 1.08-2.82), and severe ALRI (aIRR 2.76; 95% CI: 1.63-4.70) at age 6-<12 months. Cord-blood RSV-NA was not associated with RSV-ARI in the first 6-months, RSV-NA levels at 3 years, or wheeze or asthma at 5 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher levels of cord-blood RSV-NA did not protect against RSV infections during the first 6-months-of-life, time-to-first RSV-ARI, or wheeze or asthma in the first 5 years of life. Additional strategies to control RSV-related illness in childhood are needed.

Effect of a Remotely Delivered Weight Loss Intervention in Early-Stage Breast Cancer: Randomized Controlled Trial

Limited evidence exists on the effects of weight loss on chronic disease risk and patient-reported outcomes in breast cancer survivors. Breast cancer survivors (stage I-III; body mass index 25-45 kg/m²) were randomized to a 12-month, remotely delivered (22 telephone calls, mailed material, optional text messages) weight loss (diet and physical activity) intervention (n = 79) or usual care (n = 80). Weight loss (primary outcome), body composition, metabolic syndrome risk score and components, quality of life, fatigue, musculoskeletal pain, menopausal symptoms, fear of recurrence, and body image were assessed at baseline, 6 months, 12 months (primary endpoint), and 18 months. Participants were 55 ± 9 years and 10.7 ± 5.0 months post-diagnosis; retention was 81.8% (12 months) and 80.5% (18 months). At 12-months, intervention participants had significantly greater improvements in weight (-4.5% [95%CI: -6.5, -2.5]; p < 0.001), fat mass (-3.3 kg [-4.8, -1.9]; p < 0.001), metabolic syndrome risk score (-0.19 [-0.32, -0.05]; p = 0.006), waist circumference (-3.2 cm [-5.5, -0.9]; p = 0.007), fasting plasma glucose (-0.23 mmol/L [-0.44, -0.02]; p = 0.032), physical quality of life (2.7 [0.7, 4.6]; p = 0.007; Cohen's effect size (d) = 0.40), musculoskeletal pain (-0.5 [-0.8, -0.2]; p = 0.003; d = 0.49), and body image (-0.2 [-0.4, -0.0]; p = 0.030; d = 0.31) than usual care. At 18 months, effects on weight, adiposity, and metabolic syndrome risk scores were sustained; however, significant reductions in lean mass were observed (-1.1 kg [-1.7, -0.4]; p < 0.001). This intervention led to sustained improvements in adiposity and metabolic syndrome risk.

Respiratory virus detection during the COVID-19 pandemic in Queensland, Australia

Objective: To determine if non‐pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) impacted on respiratory virus detections in Queensland, Australia, during the COVID‐19 pandemic year of 2020.

Methods: We analysed weekly counts of influenza, human metapneumovirus, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, and adenovirus available from a Queensland laboratory network for the year 2020. These were compared with averaged counts from 2015 to 2019.

Results: Overall, 686,199 tests were performed. The timing of NPI implementation was associated with a sharp and sustained decline in influenza, where during the typical annual influenza season (weeks 23–40) no cases were detected from 163,296 tests compared with an average of 26.1% (11,844/45,396) of tests positive in 2015–2019. Similar results were observed for human metapneumovirus and parainfluenza. Respiratory syncytial virus detections also declined but increased in weeks 48–52 (5.6%; 562/10,078) to exceed the 2015–2019 average (2.9%; 150/5,018). Rhinovirus detections increased after schools reopened, peaking in weeks 23–27 (57.4%; 36,228/63,115), exceeding the 2017–2019 detections during that period (21.9%; 8,365/38,072).

Conclusions: NPIs implemented to control COVID‐19 were associated with altered frequency and proportions of respiratory virus detections.

Implications for public health: NPIs derived from influenza pandemic plans were associated with profound decreases in influenza detections during 2020.

Estimating the risk of recurrent invasive pneumococcal disease in Australia, 1991-2016

BACKGROUND

Individuals who experience an initial episode of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) are at increased risk of recurrent episodes. However, the magnitude of risk has not been well-quantified in the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine era. Individuals with a previous episode of IPD are not commonly identified as a high-risk group in vaccination guidelines.

METHODS

Australian residents with at least one case of IPD between 1991 and 2016 were identified using routine public health surveillance data which included identified IPD risk factors. Incidence of recurrent IPD was calculated from 2001 onwards (after IPD became nationally notifiable) using time-to-event analyses with individuals contributing person-time at risk of recurrence if they survived greater than 14 days after initial episode onset.

RESULTS

From 1991 to 2016 there were 28,809 IPD episodes in 28,218 individuals. A total of 512 (1.8%) persons experienced 591 recurrent episodes. From 2001 to 2016 the incidence of recurrent IPD was 216.2 per 100,000 person-years, 27 times greater than the population rate of primary IPD during this period (8.0 per 100,000 population per year). Between 2011 and 2016, more than one-quarter of individuals experiencing recurrence had no IPD risk factors identified at first episode.

CONCLUSIONS

There is substantially increased risk of recurrent IPD after an initial episode. At least one-quarter of those with recurrent episodes have no identified risk factors at the initial episode. Given the potential preventability of future episodes, those with a previous IPD episode should be identified as a high-risk group and receive pneumococcal vaccination.

Automating Quantitative Measures of an Established Conventional MRI Scoring System for Preterm-Born Infants Scanned between 29 and 47 Weeks' Postmenstrual Age

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Conventional MR imaging scoring is a valuable tool for risk stratification and prognostication of outcomes, but manual scoring is time-consuming, operator-dependent, and requires high-level expertise. This study aimed to automate the regional measurements of an established brain MR imaging scoring system for preterm neonates scanned between 29 and 47 weeks' postmenstrual age.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study used T2WI from the longitudinal Prediction of PREterm Motor Outcomes cohort study and the developing Human Connectome Project. Measures of biparietal width, interhemispheric distance, callosal thickness, transcerebellar diameter, lateral ventricular diameter, and deep gray matter area were extracted manually (Prediction of PREterm Motor Outcomes study only) and automatically. Scans with poor quality, failure of automated analysis, or severe pathology were excluded. Agreement, reliability, and associations between manual and automated measures were assessed and compared against statistics for manual measures. Associations between measures with postmenstrual age, gestational age at birth, and birth weight were examined (Pearson correlation) in both cohorts.

RESULTS

A total of 652 MRIs (86%) were suitable for analysis. Automated measures showed good-to-excellent agreement and good reliability with manual measures, except for interhemispheric distance at early MR imaging (scanned between 29 and 35 weeks, postmenstrual age; in line with poor manual reliability) and callosal thickness measures. All measures were positively associated with postmenstrual age (r = 0.11-0.94; R² = 0.01-0.89). Negative and positive associations were found with gestational age at birth (r = -0.26-0.71; R² = 0.05-0.52) and birth weight (r = -0.25-0.75; R² = 0.06-0.56). Automated measures were successfully extracted for 80%-99% of suitable scans.

CONCLUSIONS

Measures of brain injury and impaired brain growth can be automatically extracted from neonatal MR imaging, which could assist with clinical reporting.

Epidemiology of respiratory syncytial virus in a community birth cohort of infants in the first 2 years of life

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the most common virus identified in children hospitalised with acute respiratory infections. However, less is known about RSV in community settings. This report describes RSV epidemiology in the community, including acute illness episodes, healthcare burden, and risk factors in Australian children during the first 2-years of life. A community-based, birth cohort from Brisbane, Australia, followed children until their second birthday. Parents completed daily respiratory symptom and illness-burden diaries. Weekly parent-collected nasal swabs were analysed for RSV by real-time polymerase chain reaction assays. Serum RSV-neutralising antibodies were assayed at age 3 years. Overall, 158 children provided 11,216 swabs, of which 104 were RSV-positive (85 incident episodes). RSV incidence in the first 2 years of life was 0.46 (95% CI = 0.37-0.58) episodes per child-year. Incidence increased with age and formal childcare attendance and was highest in autumn. Of 82 episodes linked with symptom data, 60 (73.2%) were symptomatic, 28 (34.1%) received community-based medical care, and 2 (2.4%) led to hospitalisation. Viral load was higher in symptomatic than asymptomatic infections. In 72 children, RSV-specific antibody seroprevalence was 94.4% at age 3 years.Conclusion: RSV incidence increased after age 6-months with approximately three-quarters of infections symptomatic and most infections treated in the community. What is known •RSV is a major cause of hospitalisation for acute lower respiratory infections in infants and young children, especially in the first 6 months of life. •However, limited data exist on the overall burden in young children at the community level. What is new •RSV incidence in the community increases after age 6 months, and by 3 years, most children have been infected. •About one-quarter of RSV infections were asymptomatic in children aged < 2 years, and approximately 60% of children with RSV-related symptoms had a healthcare contact of any kind with most managed within the community.

Reproducibility and validity of the Functional Communication Classification System for young children with cerebral palsy

AIM

To examine interrater agreement and validity of the Functional Communication Classification System (FCCS) for young children with cerebral palsy (CP) aged 2 or 3 years.

METHOD

Speech-language pathologist (SLP) and parent FCCS ratings for 31 children with CP (aged 2y, n=16; aged 3y, n=15; 18 males, 13 females) were examined for interrater agreement using a weighted Cohen's kappa statistic. Relationships between FCCS (SLP) ratings and: (1) concurrent validity with the Language Use Inventory, a standardized pragmatic assessment for children aged 18 to 47 months, (2) gross motor and fine motor function, (3) associated impairments (visual and intellectual), and (4) primary expressive communication mode were examined using Spearman's correlation coefficients.

RESULTS

Almost perfect interrater agreement between SLP and parent FCCS ratings were found (k_w =0.94). Correlations with FCCS (SLP) were excellent for pragmatic function (r_s =-0.83, p<0.001), intellectual function (r_s =0.89, p<0.001), and primary expressive communication mode (r_s =0.92, p<0.001). Correlations were good for gross motor function (r_s =0.72, p<0.001) and visual impairment (r_s =0.70, p<0.001) and fair for fine motor function (r_s =0.53, p<0.002). Analysis was unwarranted for epilepsy (n=1 out of 31) and hearing-associated impairments (n=0 out of 31).

INTERPRETATION

The FCCS has excellent interrater agreement and validity for communication classification of children with CP aged 2 or 3 years and is highly suitable for surveillance and research purposes. What this paper adds The Functional Communication Classification System (FCCS) is a valid instrument for children with cerebral palsy (CP) aged 2 or 3 years. Excellent agreement exists between speech-language pathologist and parent FCCS ratings. The FCCS has excellent correlation with intelligence, pragmatic function, and primary expressive mode. Stronger correlations with the Gross Motor Function Classification System and vision exist for children aged 2 or 3 years. Weaker correlations with manual ability exist when compared to older children with CP.