Utility of risk prediction models to detect atrial fibrillation in screened participants

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with higher risk of stroke. While the prevalence of AF is low in the general population, risk prediction models might identify individuals for selective screening of AF. We aimed to systematically identify and compare the utility of established models to predict prevalent AF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Systematic search of PubMed and EMBASE for risk prediction models for AF. We adapted established risk prediction models and assessed their predictive performance using data from 2.5M individuals who attended vascular screening clinics in the USA and the UK and in the subset of 1.2M individuals with CHA2DS2-VASc ≥2. We assessed discrimination using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves and agreement between observed and predicted cases using calibration plots. After screening 6959 studies, 14 risk prediction models were identified. In our cohort, 10 464 (0.41%) participants had AF. For discrimination, six prediction model had AUROC curves of 0.70 or above in all individuals and those with CHA2DS2-VASc ≥2. In these models, calibration plots showed very good concordance between predicted and observed risks of AF. The two models with the highest observed prevalence in the highest decile of predicted risk, CHARGE-AF and MHS, showed an observed prevalence of AF of 1.6% with a number needed to screen of 63. Selective screening of the 10% highest risk identified 39% of cases with AF.

CONCLUSION

Prediction models can reliably identify individuals at high risk of AF. The best performing models showed an almost fourfold higher prevalence of AF by selective screening of individuals in the highest decile of risk compared with systematic screening of all cases.

REGISTRATION

This systematic review was registered (PROSPERO CRD42019123847).

Apparent treatment resistant hypertension and the risk of recurrent cardiovascular events and mortality in patients with established vascular disease

AIM

To quantify the relation between apparent treatment resistant hypertension (aTRH) and the risk of recurrent major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE including stroke, myocardial infarction and vascular death) and mortality in patients with stable vascular disease.

METHODS

7455 hypertensive patients with symptomatic vascular disease were included from the ongoing UCC-SMART cohort between 1996 and 2019. aTRH was defined as an office blood pressure ≥140/90 mmHg despite treatment with ≥3 antihypertensive drugs including a diuretic. Cox proportional hazard models were used to quantify the relation between aTRH and the risk of recurrent MACE and all-cause mortality. In addition, survival for patients with aTRH was assessed, taking competing risk of non-vascular mortality into account.

RESULTS

A total of 1557 MACE and 1882 deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 9.0 years (interquartile range 4.8-13.1 years). Compared to patients with non-aTRH, the 614 patients (8%) with aTRH were at increased risk of cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.27; 95% CI 1.03-1.56) and death from any cause (HR 1.25; 95% CI 1.07-1.45) but not recurrent MACE (HR 1.13; 95% CI 0.95-1.34). At the age of 50 years, patients with aTRH after a first cardiovascular event on average had a 6.4 year shorter median life expectancy free of recurrent MACE than patients with non-aTRH.

CONCLUSION

In hypertensive patients with clinically manifest vascular disease, aTRH is related to a higher risk of vascular death and death from any cause. Moreover, patients with aTRH after a first cardiovascular event have a 6.4 year shorter median life expectancy free of recurrent cardiovascular disease.

Common Variants Associated With OSMR Expression Contribute to Carotid Plaque Vulnerability, but Not to Cardiovascular Disease in Humans

Background and Aims: Oncostatin M (OSM) signaling is implicated in atherosclerosis, however the mechanism remains unclear. We investigated the impact of common genetic variants in OSM and its receptors, OSMR and LIFR, on overall plaque vulnerability, plaque phenotype, intraplaque OSMR and LIFR expression, coronary artery calcification burden and cardiovascular disease susceptibility. Methods and Results: We queried Genotype-Tissue Expression data and found that rs13168867 (C allele) was associated with decreased OSMR expression and that rs10491509 (A allele) was associated with increased LIFR expression in arterial tissues. No variant was significantly associated with OSM expression. We associated these two variants with plaque characteristics from 1,443 genotyped carotid endarterectomy patients in the Athero-Express Biobank Study. After correction for multiple testing, rs13168867 was significantly associated with an increased overall plaque vulnerability (β = 0.118 ± s.e. = 0.040, p = 3.00 × 10-3, C allele). Looking at individual plaque characteristics, rs13168867 showed strongest associations with intraplaque fat (β = 0.248 ± s.e. = 0.088, p = 4.66 × 10-3, C allele) and collagen content (β = -0.259 ± s.e. = 0.095, p = 6.22 × 10-3, C allele), but these associations were not significant after correction for multiple testing. rs13168867 was not associated with intraplaque OSMR expression. Neither was intraplaque OSMR expression associated with plaque vulnerability and no known OSMR eQTLs were associated with coronary artery calcification burden, or cardiovascular disease susceptibility. No associations were found for rs10491509 in the LIFR locus. Conclusions: Our study suggests that rs1316887 in the OSMR locus is associated with increased plaque vulnerability, but not with coronary calcification or cardiovascular disease risk. It remains unclear through which precise biological mechanisms OSM signaling exerts its effects on plaque morphology. However, the OSM-OSMR/LIFR pathway is unlikely to be causally involved in lifetime cardiovascular disease susceptibility.

Joint Associations Between Body Mass Index and Waist Circumference With Atrial Fibrillation in Men and Women

Background Associations between adiposity and atrial fibrillation (AF) might differ between sexes. We aimed to determine precise estimates of the risk of AF by body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) in men and women. Methods and Results Between 2008 and 2013, over 3.2 million adults attended commercial screening clinics. Participants completed health questionnaires and underwent physical examination along with cardiovascular investigations, including an ECG. We excluded those with cardiovascular and cardiac disease. We used multivariable logistic regression and determined joint associations of BMI and WC and the risk of AF in men and women by comparing likelihood ratio χ2 statistics. Among 2.1 million included participants 12 067 (0.6%) had AF. A positive association between BMI per 5 kg/m2 increment and AF was observed, with an odds ratio of 1.65 (95% CI, 1.57-1.73) for men and 1.36 (95% CI, 1.30-1.42) for women among those with a BMI above 20 kg/m2. We found a positive association between AF and WC per 10 cm increment, with an odds ratio of 1.47 (95% CI, 1.36-1.60) for men and 1.37 (95% CI, 1.26-1.49) for women. Improvement of likelihood ratio χ2 was equal after adding BMI and WC to models with all participants. In men, WC showed stronger improvement of likelihood ratio χ2 than BMI (30% versus 23%). In women, BMI showed stronger improvement of likelihood ratio χ2 than WC (23% versus 12%). Conclusions We found a positive association between BMI (above 20 kg/m2) and AF and between WC and AF in both men and women. BMI seems a more informative measure about risk of AF in women and WC seems more informative in men.

Monocyte-Chemoattractant Protein-1 Levels in Human Atherosclerotic Lesions Associate With Plaque Vulnerability

[Figure: see text].

End-stage kidney disease in patients with clinically manifest vascular disease; incidence and risk factors: results from the UCC-SMART cohort study

BACKGROUND

Patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD) are at increased risk of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Insights into the incidence and role of modifiable risk factors for end-stage kidney disease may provide means for prevention in patients with cardiovascular disease.

METHODS

We included 8402 patients with stable cardiovascular disease. Incidence rates (IRs) for end-stage kidney disease were determined stratified according to vascular disease location. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the risk of end-stage kidney disease for the different determinants.

RESULTS

Sixty-five events were observed with a median follow-up of 8.6 years. The overall incidence rate of end-stage kidney disease was 0.9/1000 person-years. Patients with polyvascular disease had the highest incidence rate (1.8/1000 person-years). Smoking (Hazard ratio (HR) 1.87; 95% CI 1.10-3.19), type 2 diabetes (HR 1.81; 95% CI 1.05-3.14), higher systolic blood pressure (HR 1.37; 95% CI 1.24-1.52/10 mmHg), lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (HR 2.86; 95% CI 2.44-3.23/10 mL/min/1.73 m²) and higher urine albumin/creatinine ratio (uACR) (HR 1.19; 95% CI 1.15-1.23/10 mg/mmol) were independently associated with elevated risk of end-stage kidney disease. Body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, non-HDL-cholesterol and exercise were not independently associated with risk of end-stage kidney disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Incidence of end-stage kidney disease in patients with cardiovascular disease varies according to vascular disease location. Several modifiable risk factors for end-stage kidney disease were identified in patients with cardiovascular disease. These findings highlight the potential of risk factor management in patients with manifest cardiovascular disease.

Common Genetic Variation in MC4R Does Not Affect Atherosclerotic Plaque Phenotypes and Cardiovascular Disease Outcomes

We analyzed the effects of the common BMI-increasing melanocortin 4 receptor (MC4R) rs17782313-C allele with a minor allele frequency of 0.22–0.25 on (1) cardiovascular disease outcomes in two large population-based cohorts (Copenhagen City Heart Study and Copenhagen General Population Study, n = 106,018; and UK Biobank, n = 357,426) and additionally in an elderly population at risk for cardiovascular disease (n = 5241), and on (2) atherosclerotic plaque phenotypes in samples of patients who underwent endarterectomy (n = 1439). Using regression models, we additionally analyzed whether potential associations were modified by sex or explained by changes in body mass index. We confirmed the BMI-increasing effects of +0.22 kg/m² per additional copy of the C allele (p < 0.001). However, we found no evidence for an association of common MC4R genetic variation with coronary artery disease (HR 1.03; 95% CI 0.99, 1.07), ischemic vascular disease (HR 1.00; 95% CI 0.98, 1.03), myocardial infarction (HR 1.01; 95% CI 0.94, 1.08 and 1.02; 0.98, 1.07) or stroke (HR 0.93; 95% CI 0.85, 1.01), nor with any atherosclerotic plaque phenotype. Thus, common MC4R genetic variation, despite increasing BMI, does not affect cardiovascular disease risk in the general population or in populations at risk for cardiovascular disease.

Added value of cardiovascular calcifications for prediction of recurrent cardiovascular events and cardiovascular interventions in patients with established cardiovascular disease

The purpose is to investigate the added prognostic value of coronary artery calcium (CAC), thoracic aortic calcium (TAC), and heart valve calcium scores for prediction of a combined endpoint of recurrent major cardiovascular events and cardiovascular interventions (MACE +) in patients with established cardiovascular disease (CVD). In total, 567 patients with established CVD enrolled in a substudy of the UCC-SMART cohort, entailing cardiovascular CT imaging and calcium scoring, were studied. Five Cox proportional hazards models for prediction of 4-year risk of MACE + were developed; traditional CVD risk predictors only (model I), with addition of CAC (model II), TAC (model III), heart valve calcium (model IV), and all calcium scores (model V). Bootstrapping was performed to account for optimism. During a median follow-up of 3.43 years (IQR 2.28–4.74) 77 events occurred (MACE+). Calibration of predicted versus observed 4-year risk for model I without calcium scores was good, and the c-statistic was 0.65 (95%CI 0.59–0.72). Calibration for models II–V was similar to model I, and c-statistics were 0.67, 0.65, 0.65, and 0.68 for model II, III, IV, and V, respectively. NRIs showed improvement in risk classification by model II (NRI 15.24% (95%CI 0.59–29.39)) and model V (NRI 20.00% (95%CI 5.59–34.92)), but no improvement for models III and IV. In patients with established CVD, addition of the CAC score improved performance of a risk prediction model with classical risk factors for the prediction of the combined endpoint MACE+ . Addition of the TAC or heart valve score did not improve risk predictions.

A systematic review and meta-analysis for the management of Paget-Schroetter syndrome

OBJECTIVE

There is currently no general agreement on the optimal treatment of Paget-Schroetter syndrome. Most centers have advocated an interventional approach that is based on the results of small institutional series. The purpose of our meta-analysis was to focus on the safety and efficacy of thrombolysis or anticoagulation with decompression therapy. A detailed description of the epidemiologic, etiologic, and clinical characteristics, along with radiologic findings and treatment option details, was also performed.

METHODS

The current meta-analysis was conducted using the PRISMA guidelines. Studies reporting on spontaneous thrombosis or thrombosis after strenuous activities of axillary-subclavian vein were considered eligible. Analyses of all retrospective studies were conducted, and pooled proportions with 95% confidence intervals of outcome rates were calculated.

RESULTS

Twenty-five studies with 1511 patients were identified. Among these patients, 1177 (77.9%) had thrombolysis, 658 (43.5%) had anticoagulation, and 1293 (85.6%) patients had decompression therapy of the thoracic outlet. Complete thrombus resolution was estimated at 78.11% of the patients after thrombolysis, and the respective pooled proportion for partial resolution of thrombus was 23.72%. Despite thrombolytic therapy, 212 patients underwent additional balloon angioplasty for residual stenosis, although only 36 stents were implanted. After anticoagulation, a total of 40.70% of the patients had complete thrombus resolution, whereas partial resolution was occurred in 29.13% of the patients. During follow-up, a total of 51.75% of the patients with any initial treatment modality had no remaining thrombus, and 84.87% of these patients were free of symptoms. We also estimated that 76.88% of the patients had a Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand score of <20, indicating no or mild symptoms after treatment. A subgroup meta-analysis with 20 studies and 1309 patients, showed significantly improved vein patency and symptom resolution in patients who had first rib resection with or without venoplasty, compared with those who had only thrombolysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Although no randomized controlled data are available, our analysis strongly suggested higher rates of thrombus and symptoms resolution with thrombolysis, followed by first rib resection. A prospective randomized trial comparing anticoagulants with thrombolysis and decompression of thoracic outlet is required.

Absence of Consistent Sex Differences in Outcomes From Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy and Stenting Randomized Trials

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

CREST (Carotid Revascularization Endarterectomy Versus Stenting Trial) reported a higher periprocedural risk for any stroke, death, or myocardial infarction for women randomized to carotid artery stenting (CAS) compared with women randomized to carotid endarterectomy (CEA). No difference in risk by treatment was detected for women relative to men in the 4-year primary outcome. We aimed to conduct a pooled analysis among symptomatic patients in large randomized trials to provide more precise estimates of sex differences in the CAS-to-CEA risk for any stroke or death during the 120-day periprocedural period and ipsilateral stroke thereafter.

METHODS

Data from the Carotid Stenosis Trialists' Collaboration included outcomes from symptomatic patients in EVA-3S (Endarterectomy Versus Angioplasty in Patients With Symptomatic Severe Carotid Stenosis), SPACE (Stent-Protected Angioplasty Versus Carotid Endarterectomy in Symptomatic Patients), ICSS (International Carotid Stenting Study), and CREST. The primary outcome was any stroke or death within 120 days after randomization and ipsilateral stroke thereafter. Event rates and relative risks were estimated using Poisson regression; effect modification by sex was assessed with a sex-by-treatment-by-trial interaction term, with significant interaction defined a priori as P≤0.10.

RESULTS

Over a median 2.7 years of follow-up, 433 outcomes occurred in 3317 men and 1437 women. The CAS-to-CEA relative risk of the primary outcome was significantly lower for women compared with men in 1 trial, nominally lower in another, and nominally higher in the other two. The sex-by-treatment-by-trial interaction term was significant (P=0.065), indicating heterogeneity among trials. Contributors to this heterogeneity are primarily differences in periprocedural period. When the trials are nevertheless pooled, there were no significant sex differences in risk in any follow-up period.

CONCLUSIONS

There were significant differences between trials in the magnitude of sex differences in treatment effect (CAS-to-CEA relative risk), indicating pooling data from these trials to estimate sex differences might not be valid. Whether sex is acting as an effect modifier of the CAS-to-CEA treatment effect in symptomatic patients remains uncertain. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT00190398 (EVA-3S) and NCT00004732 (CREST). URL: https://www.isrctn.com; Unique identifier: ISRCTN57874028 (SPACE) and ISRCTN25337470 (ICSS).

Applicability of Blood Pressure-Lowering Drug Trials to Real-World Patients With Cardiovascular Disease

This study aimed to assess applicability of blood pressure-lowering drug trials to real-world secondary preventive care. We applied the eligibility criteria of the landmark blood pressure-lowering drug trials (EUROPA, PEACE, HOPE-peripheral arterial disease [PAD], PRoFESS, and PROGRESS) to patients with coronary artery disease (CAD; n=5155), peripheral arterial disease (PAD; n=1487), and cerebrovascular disease (n=2515) participating in the UCC-SMART cohort. Baseline differences according to trial eligibility were assessed. Differences in risk of all-cause mortality and a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, and stroke (major adverse cardiovascular event) were calculated using Cox proportional hazard models, adjusted for age, sex, and cardiovascular risk factors. Seventy-five percent of UCC-SMART patients with CAD would have been eligible for EUROPA, 84% for PEACE, 59% of patients with PAD for HOPE-PAD, 17% of patients with cerebrovascular disease for PRoFESS, and 100% for PROGRESS. Eligible patients were older (average difference ranging 1.4-14.6 years across trials). Eligible patients with CAD were at lower risk of major adverse cardiovascular event after adjustment for age, sex, and cardiovascular risk factors in PEACE (hazard ratio, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.53-0.79]) and of mortality in both EUROPA (hazard ratio, 0.72 [95% CI, 0.62-0.82]) and PEACE (0.63 [95% CI, 0.51-0.78]). Adjusted mortality and major adverse cardiovascular event risks were not different between eligible and ineligible patients with PAD and cerebrovascular disease in HOPE-PAD, PRoFESS, and PROGRESS. The majority of real-world patients with CAD, PAD, or cerebrovascular disease would be eligible for landmark trials on blood pressure-lowering drugs. Patients with CAD ineligible for the EUROPA and PEACE trials are at higher adjusted mortality and major adverse cardiovascular event risks, which may limit applicability of their results to ineligible patients.

Systematic Review of the Co-Prevalence of Arterial Aneurysms Within the Vasculature

OBJECTIVE

Aneurysms are considered focal manifestations of a systemic vascular condition, and various studies report co-prevalence of aneurysms in different vascular beds. Insight into profiles of patients at risk of multiple aneurysms is lacking, and few clinical algorithms exist if additional screening is indicated. This systematic review assessed the co-prevalence of aneurysms in different vascular beds and analysed putative risk factors for multiple aneurysms.

METHODS

Medline, Embase, and Cochrane libraries were searched up to February 2020 for studies reporting co-prevalence of aneurysms in different vascular beds using the keywords: "aneurysm", "co-prevalence", or synonyms. All studies were reviewed by two authors independently. Studies were excluded if they described concomitant treatment of multi-aneurysms, or if the aneurysm was reported solely bilateral, post-dissection, mycotic, traumatic, iatrogenic, or caused by a connective tissue disease. Radar plots were used to indicate studies that found an association between the investigated features and aneurysm co-prevalence against those that did not.

RESULTS

Thirty-two studies met the inclusion criteria, describing in total 16 353 patients of whom 2 015 had at least one additional aneurysm. The weighted co-prevalence was 16.9% (95% confidence interval [CI] 11.8-22.6), I² > 90%. At least 19 combinations of aneurysms were described, mostly derived from retrospective studies. Seventeen of 32 (53%) studies described concurrent aneurysms in patients with an abdominal aortic aneurysm. Predominantly positive associations were found for higher age, hypertension, stenotic disease, presence of multiple (at least three) aneurysms, and primary aneurysm size.

CONCLUSION

Approximately one in six patients with a primary aneurysm harbours an additional aneurysm, increasing to one in four if the patient has a popliteal artery aneurysm. Higher age, hypertension, stenotic disease, presence of multiple (at least three) aneurysms, and primary aneurysm size were predictive of aneurysm co-prevalence. These clinical predictors may assist when deciding whether a patient with a primary aneurysm needs to be screened for additional aneurysms.

Outcomes after transfemoral carotid artery stenting stratified by preprocedural symptom status

OBJECTIVE

The available data on outcomes after transfemoral carotid artery stenting (TFCAS) originate from the early experience with TFCAS. Although most previous studies stratified outcomes according to a symptomatic or asymptomatic presentation, they often did not specify the degree of presenting neurologic injury. We previously reported that the outcomes after carotid endarterectomy differed according to neurologic injury severity, the contemporary perioperative outcomes of TFCAS stratified by the specific presenting symptom status are unknown.

METHODS

Patients with data in the Vascular Quality Initiative database who had undergone TFCAS from 2016 to 2020 were included. We stratified patients according to their preprocedural symptom status as asymptomatic, formerly symptomatic (last symptoms >180 days before the procedure), or recently symptomatic (symptoms <180 days before the procedure). The symptoms included stroke, hemispheric transient ischemic attack (TIA), and ocular TIA. We compared the occurrence of in-hospital stroke or death (stroke/death) among the asymptomatic, formerly symptomatic, and specific subtypes of recently symptomatic patients. Multivariable logistic regression models were constructed to adjust for the baseline differences among the groups.

RESULTS

Of the 9807 included patients, 2650 (27%) had had recent stroke, 842 (9%), recent hemispheric TIA, and 360 (4%), recent ocular TIA. In addition, 795 patients (8%) were formerly symptomatic and 5160 (53%) were asymptomatic. The patients with recent stroke had a perioperative stroke/death rate of 5.5%, higher than that of patients with recent hemispheric TIA (2.4%; P < .001) or recent ocular TIA (2.8%; P = .03) and asymptomatic patients (1.4%; P < .001). The stroke/death rate was greater for patients with recent ocular TIA than for asymptomatic patients (2.8% vs 1.4%; P = .04). Formerly symptomatic patients had higher stroke/death rates compared with asymptomatic patients (3.5% vs 1.4%; P < .001). On multivariable-adjusted analysis, recent stroke was associated with higher stroke/death compared with recent hemispheric TIA (odds ratio [OR], 2.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.6-4.3; P < .001) and asymptomatic status (OR, 4.1; 95% CI, 3.0-5.6; P < .001) and demonstrated a trend toward higher stroke/death compared with recent ocular TIA (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.0-3.9; P = .06). Furthermore, asymptomatic status was associated with lower stroke/death compared with formerly symptomatic status (OR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.6; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

For patients undergoing TFCAS, recent stroke was associated with greater odds of in-hospital stroke/death after TFCAS compared with recent hemispheric TIA. Also, formerly symptomatic status was associated with greater odds of stroke/death compared with asymptomatic status. These findings support further symptom stratification by the degree of the presenting neurologic injury in the preoperative risk assessment.

The TAXINOMISIS Project: A multidisciplinary approach for the development of a new risk stratification model for patients with asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis

INTRODUCTION

Asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis (ACAS) may cause future stroke and therefore patients with ACAS require best medical treatment. Patients at high risk for stroke may opt for additional revascularization (either surgery or stenting) but the future stroke risk should outweigh the risk for peri/post-operative stroke/death. Current risk stratification for patients with ACAS is largely based on outdated randomized-controlled trials that lack the integration of improved medical therapies and risk factor control. Furthermore, recent circulating and imaging biomarkers for stroke have never been included in a risk stratification model. The TAXINOMISIS Project aims to develop a new risk stratification model for cerebrovascular complications in patients with ACAS and this will be tested through a prospective observational multicentre clinical trial performed in six major European vascular surgery centres.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The risk stratification model will compromise clinical, circulating, plaque and imaging biomarkers. The prospective multicentre observational study will include 300 patients with 50%-99% ACAS. The primary endpoint is the three-year incidence of cerebrovascular complications. Biomarkers will be retrieved from plasma samples, brain MRI, carotid MRA and duplex ultrasound. The TAXINOMISIS Project will serve as a platform for the development of new computer tools that assess plaque progression based on radiology images and a lab-on-chip with genetic variants that could predict medication response in individual patients.

CONCLUSION

Results from the TAXINOMISIS study could potentially improve future risk stratification in patients with ACAS to assist personalized evidence-based treatment decision-making.

First in Human Clinical Feasibility Study of Endovascular Navigation with Fiber Optic RealShape (FORS) Technology

OBJECTIVE

Endovascular procedures are conventionally conducted using two dimensional fluoroscopy. A new technology platform, Fiber Optic RealShape (FORS), has recently been introduced allowing real time, three dimensional visualisation of endovascular devices using fiberoptic technology. It functions as an add on to conventional fluoroscopy and may facilitate endovascular procedures. This first in human study assessed the feasibility of FORS in clinical practice.

METHODS

A prospective cohort feasibility study was performed between July and December 2018. Patients undergoing (regular or complex) endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) or endovascular peripheral lesion repair (EVPLR) were recruited. FORS guidance was used exclusively during navigational tasks such as target vessel catheterisation or crossing of stenotic lesions. Three types of FORS enabled devices were available: a flexible guidewire, a Cobra-2 catheter, and a Berenstein catheter. Devices were chosen at the physician's discretion and could comprise any combination of FORS and non-FORS devices. The primary study endpoint was technical success of the navigational tasks using FORS enabled devices. Secondary study endpoints were user experience and fluoroscopy time.

RESULTS

The study enrolled 22 patients: 14 EVAR and eight EVPLR patients. Owing to a technical issue during start up, the FORS system could not be used in one EVAR. The remaining 21 procedures proceeded without device or technology related complications and involved 66 navigational tasks. In 60 tasks (90.9%), technical success was achieved using at least one FORS enabled device. Users rated FORS based image guidance "better than standard guidance" in 16 of 21 and "equal to standard guidance" in five of 21 procedures. Fluoroscopy time ranged from 0.0 to 52.2 min. Several tasks were completed without or with only minimal X-ray use.

CONCLUSION

Real time navigation using FORS technology is safe and feasible in abdominal and peripheral endovascular procedures. FORS has the potential to improve intra-operative image guidance. Comparative studies are needed to assess these benefits and potential radiation reduction.

Microanatomy of the Human Atherosclerotic Plaque by Single-Cell Transcriptomics

RATIONALE

Atherosclerotic lesions are known for their cellular heterogeneity, yet the molecular complexity within the cells of human plaques has not been fully assessed.

OBJECTIVE

Using single-cell transcriptomics and chromatin accessibility, we gained a better understanding of the pathophysiology underlying human atherosclerosis.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed single-cell RNA and single-cell ATAC sequencing on human carotid atherosclerotic plaques to define the cells at play and determine their transcriptomic and epigenomic characteristics. We identified 14 distinct cell populations including endothelial cells, smooth muscle cells, mast cells, B cells, myeloid cells, and T cells and identified multiple cellular activation states and suggested cellular interconversions. Within the endothelial cell population, we defined subsets with angiogenic capacity plus clear signs of endothelial to mesenchymal transition. CD4+ and CD8+ T cells showed activation-based subclasses, each with a gradual decline from a cytotoxic to a more quiescent phenotype. Myeloid cells included 2 populations of proinflammatory macrophages showing IL (interleukin) 1B or TNF (tumor necrosis factor) expression as well as a foam cell-like population expressing TREM2 (triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2) and displaying a fibrosis-promoting phenotype. ATACseq data identified specific transcription factors associated with the myeloid subpopulation and T cell cytokine profiles underlying mutual activation between both cell types. Finally, cardiovascular disease susceptibility genes identified using public genome-wide association studies data were particularly enriched in lesional macrophages, endothelial, and smooth muscle cells.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides a transcriptome-based cellular landscape of human atherosclerotic plaques and highlights cellular plasticity and intercellular communication at the site of disease. This detailed definition of cell communities at play in atherosclerosis will facilitate cell-based mapping of novel interventional targets with direct functional relevance for the treatment of human disease.

Photo-Optical Transcutaneous Oxygen Tension Measurement Is of Added Value to Predict Diabetic Foot Ulcer Healing: An Observational Study

Currently, transcutaneous oxygen tension measurement (TCpO2) is the most favorable non-invasive test for diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) healing prognosis. Photo-optical TCpO2 is novel, less time-consuming and more practical in use compared to regular electro-chemical TCpO2. We prospectively investigated the clinical value of photo-optical TCpO2 to predict DFU healing. Patients with suspected DFU undergoing conservative treatment underwent an ankle pressure, toe-pressure and photo-optical TCpO2 test. The primary endpoint was DFU wound healing at 12 months. Based on their clinical outcome, patients were divided into a DFU healing and DFU non-healing group. Healing was defined as fully healed ulcers and non-healing as ulcers that deteriorated under conservative treatment or that required surgical amputation. Differences between groups were analyzed and an optimal TCpO2 cut-off value was determined. In total, 103 patients were included, of which 68 patients (66%) were classified as DFU healing. The remaining 35 patients (34%) had deteriorated ulcers, of which 29 (83%) eventually required surgical amputation. An optimal TCpO2 cut-off value of 43 mmHg provided a sensitivity, specificity and odds ratio of 0.78, 0.56 and 4.4, respectively. Photo-optical TCpO2 is an adequate alternative tool to validate the vascular status of the lower extremity indicating healing prognosis in patients with DFU. Therefore, we recommend that photo-optical TCpO2 can be safely coapplied in clinical practice to assist in DFU treatment strategy.

Elevated Lp(a) (Lipoprotein[a]) Levels Increase Risk of 30-Day Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Patients Following Carotid Endarterectomy

Background and Purpose:

General population studies have shown that elevated Lp(a) (lipoprotein[a]) levels are an emerging risk factor for cardiovascular disease and subsequent cardiovascular events. The role of Lp(a) for the risk of secondary MACE in patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy (CEA) is unknown. Our objective is to assess the association of elevated Lp(a) levels with the risk of secondary MACE in patients undergoing CEA.

Methods:

Lp(a) concentrations were determined in preoperative blood samples of 944 consecutive patients with CEA included in the Athero-Express Biobank Study. During 3-year follow-up, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), consisting of myocardial infarction, stroke, and cardiovascular death, were documented.

Results:

After 3 years follow-up, Kaplan-Meier cumulative event rates for MACE were 15.4% in patients with high Lp(a) levels (>137 nmol/L; >80th cohort percentile) and 10.2% in patients with low Lp(a) levels (≤137 nmol/L; ≤80th cohort percentile; log-rank test: P =0.047). Cox regression analyses adjusted for conventional cardiovascular risk factors revealed a significant association between high Lp(a) levels and 3-year MACE with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.69 (95% CI, 1.07–2.66). One-third of MACE occurred within 30 days after CEA, with an adjusted hazard ratio for the 30-day risk of MACE of 2.05 (95% CI, 1.01–4.17). Kaplan-Meier curves from time point 30 days to 3 years onward revealed no significant association between high Lp(a) levels and MACE. Lp(a) levels were not associated with histological carotid plaque characteristics.

Conclusions:

High Lp(a) levels (>137 nmol/L; >80th cohort percentile) are associated with an increased risk of 30-day MACE after CEA. This identifies elevated Lp(a) levels as a new potential risk factor for secondary cardiovascular events in patients after carotid surgery. Future studies are required to investigate whether Lp(a) levels might be useful in guiding treatment algorithms for carotid intervention.