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Rankin AJ, Allwood-Spiers S, Lee MMY, Zhu L, Woodward R, Kuehn B, Radjenovic A, Sattar N, Roditi G, Mark PB, Gillis KA. Comparing the interobserver reproducibility of different regions of interest on multi-parametric renal magnetic resonance imaging in healthy volunteers, patients with heart failure and renal transplant recipients. MAGNETIC RESONANCE MATERIALS IN PHYSICS BIOLOGY AND MEDICINE 2019; 33:103-112. [PMID: 31823275 PMCID: PMC7021749 DOI: 10.1007/s10334-019-00809-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2019] [Revised: 11/18/2019] [Accepted: 11/22/2019] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To assess interobserver reproducibility of different regions of interest (ROIs) on multi-parametric renal MRI using commercially available software. MATERIALS AND METHODS Healthy volunteers (HV), patients with heart failure (HF) and renal transplant recipients (Tx) were recruited. Localiser scans, T1 mapping and pseudo-continuous arterial spin labelling (pCASL) were performed. HV and Tx also underwent diffusion-weighted imaging to allow calculation of apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC). For T1, pCASL and ADC, ROIs were drawn for whole kidney (WK), cortex (Cx), user-defined representative cortex (rep-Cx) and medulla. Intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) and coefficient of variation (CoV) were assessed. RESULTS Forty participants were included (10 HV, 10 HF and 20 Tx). The ICC for renal volume was 0.97 and CoV 6.5%. For T1 and ADC, WK, Cx, and rep-Cx were highly reproducible with ICC ≥ 0.76 and CoV < 5%. However, cortical pCASL results were more variable (ICC > 0.86, but CoV up to 14.2%). While reproducible, WK values were derived from a wide spread of data (ROI standard deviation 17% to 55% of the mean value for ADC and pCASL, respectively). Renal volume differed between groups (p < 0.001), while mean cortical T1 values were greater in Tx compared to HV (p = 0.009) and HF (p = 0.02). Medullary T1 values were also higher in Tx than HV (p = 0.03), while medullary pCASL values were significantly lower in Tx compared to HV and HF (p = 0.03 for both). DISCUSSION Kidney volume calculated by manually contouring a localiser scan was highly reproducible between observers and detected significant differences across patient groups. For T1, pCASL and ADC, Cx and rep-Cx ROIs are generally reproducible with advantages over WK values.
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Mace-Brickman T, Eddeen AB, Carrero JJ, Mark PB, Molnar AO, Lam NN, Zimmerman D, Harel Z, Sood MM. The Risk of Stroke and Stroke Type in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Chronic Kidney Disease. Can J Kidney Health Dis 2019; 6:2054358119892372. [PMID: 31839975 PMCID: PMC6893926 DOI: 10.1177/2054358119892372] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/16/2019] [Accepted: 10/20/2019] [Indexed: 01/03/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are known to increase the risk of stroke. Objectives: We set out to examine the risk of stroke by kidney function and albuminuria in patients with and without AF. Design: Retrospective cohort study. Settings: Ontario, Canada. Participants: A total of 736 666 individuals (>40 years) from 2002 to 2015. Measurements: New-onset AF, albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR), and an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Methods: A total of 39 120 matched patients were examined for the risk of ischemic, hemorrhagic, or any stroke event, accounting for the competing risk of all-cause mortality. Interaction terms for combinations of ACR/eGFR and the outcome of stroke with and without AF were examined. Results: In a total of 4086 (5.2%) strokes (86% ischemic), the presence of AF was associated with a 2-fold higher risk for any stroke event and its subtypes of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. Across eGFR levels, the risk of stroke was 2-fold higher with the presence of AF except for low levels of eGFR (eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2, hazard ratio [HR]: 1.38, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.99-1.92). Similarly across ACR levels, the risk of stroke was 2-fold higher except for high levels of albuminuria (ACR > 30 mg/g, HR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.31-1.99). The adjusted risk of stroke with AF differed by combinations of ACR and eGFR categories (interaction P value = .04) compared with those without AF. Both stroke types were more common in patients with AF, and ischemic stroke rates differed significantly by eGFR and ACR categories. Limitations: Medication information was not included. Conclusions: Patients with CKD and AF are at a high risk of total, ischemic, and hemorrhagic strokes; the risk is highest with lower eGFR and higher ACR and differs based on eGFR and the degree of ACR.
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Williams EH, Connell CM, Weaver JMJ, Beh I, Potts H, Whitley CT, Bird N, Al-Sayed T, Monaghan PJ, Fehr M, Cathomas R, Bertelli G, Quinton A, Lewis P, Shamash J, Wilson P, Dooley M, Poole S, Mark PB, Bookman MA, Earl H, Jodrell D, Tavaré S, Lynch AG, Janowitz T. Multicenter Validation of the CamGFR Model for Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate. JNCI Cancer Spectr 2019; 3:pkz068. [PMID: 31750418 PMCID: PMC6846361 DOI: 10.1093/jncics/pkz068] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2019] [Revised: 07/13/2019] [Accepted: 08/23/2019] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Important oncological management decisions rely on kidney function assessed by serum creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). However, no large-scale multicenter comparisons of methods to determine eGFR in patients with cancer are available. To compare the performance of formulas for eGFR based on routine clinical parameters and serum creatinine not calibrated with isotope dilution mass spectrometry, we studied 3620 patients with cancer and 166 without cancer who had their glomerular filtration rate (GFR) measured with an exogenous nuclear tracer at one of seven clinical centers. The mean measured GFR was 86 mL/min. Accuracy of all models was center dependent, reflecting intercenter variability of isotope dilution mass spectrometry-creatinine measurements. CamGFR was the most accurate model for eGFR (root-mean-squared error 17.3 mL/min) followed by the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration model (root-mean-squared error 18.2 mL/min).
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Welsh CE, Welsh P, Jhund P, Delles C, Celis-Morales C, Lewsey JD, Gray S, Lyall D, Iliodromiti S, Gill JMR, Sattar N, Mark PB. Urinary Sodium Excretion, Blood Pressure, and Risk of Future Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality in Subjects Without Prior Cardiovascular Disease. Hypertension 2019; 73:1202-1209. [PMID: 31067194 DOI: 10.1161/hypertensionaha.119.12726] [Citation(s) in RCA: 49] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
Hypertension is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Increased urinary sodium excretion, representing dietary sodium intake, is associated with hypertension. Low sodium intake has been associated with increased mortality in observational studies. Further studies should assess whether confounding relationships explain associations between sodium intake and outcomes. We studied UK Biobank participants (n=457 484; mean age, 56.3 years; 44.7% men) with urinary electrolytes and blood pressure data. Estimated daily urinary sodium excretion was calculated using Kawasaki formulae. We analyzed associations between sodium excretion and blood pressure in subjects without cardiovascular disease, treated hypertension, or diabetes mellitus at baseline (n=322 624). We tested relationships between sodium excretion, incidence of fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular disease, heart failure, and mortality. Subjects in higher quintiles of sodium excretion were younger, with more men and higher body mass index. There was a linear relationship between increasing urinary sodium excretion and blood pressure. During median follow-up of 6.99 years, there were 11 932 deaths (1125 cardiovascular deaths) with 10 717 nonfatal cardiovascular events. There was no relationship between quintile of sodium excretion and outcomes. These relationships were unchanged after adjustment for comorbidity or excluding subjects with events during the first 2 years follow-up. No differing risk of incident heart failure (1174 events) existed across sodium excretion quintiles. Urinary sodium excretion correlates with elevated blood pressure in subjects at low cardiovascular risk. No pattern of increased cardiovascular disease, heart failure, or mortality risk was demonstrated with either high or low sodium intake.
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Rankin AJ, Cannon E, Gillis K, Crosby J, Mark PB, Geddes CC, Fox JG, Mackinnon B, McQuarrie EP, Kipgen D. Predicting outcome in acute interstitial nephritis: a case-series examining the importance of histological parameters. Histopathology 2019; 76:698-706. [PMID: 31691330 DOI: 10.1111/his.14031] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/12/2019] [Accepted: 12/05/2019] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
AIMS The clinical significance of common histological parameters in acute interstitial nephritis (AIN) is uncertain. We aimed to evaluate the utility of histology in predicting clinical outcomes in patients with AIN. METHODS AND RESULTS Adult renal biopsies yielding a diagnosis of AIN between 2000 and 2015 were re-examined. Patients were divided into groups based on: (i) the percentage of non-fibrotic cortex containing inflammation (NFI score) (NFI-1 = 0-24%; NFI-2 = 25-74%; NFI-3 = 75-100%) and (ii) the percentage of cortex containing tubular atrophy (TA score) (TA1 = 0-9%; TA2 = 10-24%; TA3 = 25-100%). The primary outcome was a composite of ≥50% reduction in serum creatinine (sCr) or an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) > 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 1 year post-biopsy. From a total of 2817 native renal biopsies, there were 120 patients with AIN and adequate data for analysis. Of these, 66 (56%) achieved the primary outcome. On univariable logistic regression, NFI-3 was associated with a 16 times increased likelihood of achieving the primary outcome compared to NFI-1 [odds ratio (OR) = 16, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 5.2-50)]. In contrast, TA3 was associated with a 90% reduced likelihood of achieving the primary outcome compared to TA1 (OR = 0.10, 95% CI = 0.0-0.3). Maximal clinical utility was achieved by combining TA and NFI into a single prognostic 'TANFI' score, which had an independent predictive effect on the primary outcome in a multivariable regression model consisting of age, sex, baseline sCr and identified drug cause. CONCLUSIONS In patients with biopsy-proven AIN, a lower percentage of cortical tubular atrophy and, paradoxically, a higher percentage of inflammation in non-fibrosed cortex were associated with an increased likelihood of a positive clinical outcome.
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Grant CH, Gillis KA, Lees JS, Traynor JP, Mark PB, Stevens KI. Proton pump inhibitor use and progression to major adverse renal events: a competing risk analysis. QJM 2019; 112:835-840. [PMID: 31251364 DOI: 10.1093/qjmed/hcz166] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/04/2019] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) are associated with acute tubulointerstitial nephritis and there are reports associating their use with the development of chronic kidney disease (CKD). AIM To determine if PPI use is associated with major adverse renal events (MARE) in patients with CKD. DESIGN Observational cohort study comprising patients with CKD attending secondary care renal clinics from 1 January 2006 until 31 December 2016. METHODS We collated baseline clinical, socio-demographic and biochemical data at start of PPI (PPI group) or study inception (control group). MARE was considered a composite of doubling of creatinine or end-stage renal disease. Association between PPI exposure and progression to MARE was assessed by cause-specific hazards competing risk survival analysis. RESULTS There were 3824 patients with CKD included in the analyses of whom 1195 were prescribed a PPI. The PPI group was younger (64.8 vs. 67.0 years, P < 0.001), with lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (30 vs. 35 ml/min, P < 0.001) and more proteinuria (64 vs. 48 mg/mmol, P < 0.001). PPI use was associated with progression to MARE on multivariable adjustment (hazard ratio 1.13 [95% confidence interval 1.02-1.25], P = 0.021). Other factors significantly associated with progression to MARE were higher systolic blood pressure, lower eGFR, greater proteinuria, congestive cardiac failure and diabetes. Hypomagnesaemia was more common in the PPI group (39.5 vs. 18.9%, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION PPI use was associated with progression to MARE, but not death in patients with CKD after adjusting for factors known to predict declining renal function, including lower eGFR, proteinuria and comorbidities. A prospective cohort study is required to validate these findings.
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Lees JS, Welsh CE, Celis-Morales CA, Mackay D, Lewsey J, Gray SR, Lyall DM, Cleland JG, Gill JMR, Jhund PS, Pell J, Sattar N, Welsh P, Mark PB. Glomerular filtration rate by differing measures, albuminuria and prediction of cardiovascular disease, mortality and end-stage kidney disease. Nat Med 2019; 25:1753-1760. [PMID: 31700174 PMCID: PMC6858876 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-019-0627-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 158] [Impact Index Per Article: 31.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/24/2019] [Accepted: 09/26/2019] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
Chronic kidney disease is common in the general population and associated with excess cardiovascular disease (CVD), but kidney function does not feature in current CVD risk-prediction models. We tested three formulae for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) to determine which was the most clinically informative for predicting CVD and mortality. Using data from 440,526 participants from UK Biobank, eGFR was calculated using serum creatinine, cystatin C (eGFRcys) and creatinine-cystatin C. Associations of each eGFR with CVD outcome and mortality were compared using Cox models and adjusting for atherosclerotic risk factors (per relevant risk scores), and the predictive utility was determined by the C-statistic and categorical net reclassification index. We show that eGFRcys is most strongly associated with CVD and mortality, and, along with albuminuria, adds predictive discrimination to current CVD risk scores, whilst traditional creatinine-based measures are weakly associated with risk. Clinicians should consider measuring eGFRcys as part of cardiovascular risk assessment.
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Findlay M, MacIsaac R, MacLeod MJ, Metcalfe W, Sood MM, Traynor JP, Dawson J, Mark PB. The Association of Atrial Fibrillation and Ischemic Stroke in Patients on Hemodialysis: A Competing Risk Analysis. Can J Kidney Health Dis 2019; 6:2054358119878719. [PMID: 31632680 PMCID: PMC6767723 DOI: 10.1177/2054358119878719] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/14/2019] [Accepted: 08/02/2019] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Stroke is common in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) treated with hemodialysis (HD) and associated with high mortality rate. In the general population, atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for stroke and therapeutic anticoagulation is associated with risk reduction, whereas in ESRD the relationship is less clear. Objective The purpose of this study is to demonstrate the influence of AF on stroke rates and probability in those on HD following competing risk analyses. Design A national record linkage cohort study. Setting All renal and stroke units in Scotland, UK. Patients All patients with ESRD receiving HD within Scotland from 2005 to 2013 (follow-up to 2015). Measurements Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were linked between the Scottish Renal Registry, Scottish Stroke Care Audit, and hospital discharge data. Stroke was defined as a fatal or nonfatal event and mortality derived from national records. Methods Associations for stroke were determined using competing risk models: the cause-specific hazards model and the Fine and Gray subdistribution hazards model accounting for the competing risk of death in models of all stroke, ischemic stroke, and first-ever stroke. Results Of 5502 patients treated with HD with 12 348.6-year follow-up, 363 (6.6%) experienced stroke. The stroke incidence rate was 26.7 per 1000 patient-years. Multivariable regression on the cause-specific hazard for stroke demonstrated age, hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval [CI]) = 1.04 (1.03-1.05); AF, HR (95% CI) = 1.88 (1.25-2.83); prior stroke, HR (95% CI) = 2.29 (1.48-3.54), and diabetes, HR (95% CI) = 1.92 (1.45-2.53); serum phosphate, HR (95% CI) = 2.15 (1.56-2.99); lower body weight, HR (95% CI) = 0.99 (0.98-1.00); lower hemoglobin, HR (95% CI) = 0.88 (0.77-0.99); and systolic blood pressure (BP), HR (95% CI) = 1.01 (1.00-1.02), to be associated with an increased stroke rate. In contrast, the subdistribution HRs obtained following Fine and Gray regression demonstrated that AF, weight, and hemoglobin were not associated with stroke risk. In both models, AF was significantly associated with nonstroke death. Limitations Our analyses derive from retrospective data sets and thus can only describe association not causation. Data on anticoagulant use are not available. Conclusions The incidence of stroke in HD patients is high. The competing risk of "prestroke" mortality affects the relationship between AF and risk of future stroke. Trial designs for interventions to reduce stroke risk in HD patients, such as anticoagulation for AF, should take account of competing risks affecting associations between risk factors and outcomes.
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Findlay M, MacIsaac R, MacLeod MJ, Metcalfe W, Traynor JP, Dawson J, Mark PB. Renal replacement modality and stroke risk in end-stage renal disease-a national registry study. Nephrol Dial Transplant 2019; 33:1564-1571. [PMID: 29069522 DOI: 10.1093/ndt/gfx291] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2017] [Accepted: 09/06/2017] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The risk of stroke in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) on renal replacement therapy (RRT) is up to 10-fold greater than the general population. However, whether this increased risk differs by RRT modality is unclear. Methods We used data contained in the Scottish Renal Registry and the Scottish Stroke Care Audit to identify stroke in all adult patients who commenced RRT for ESRD from 2005 to 2013. Incidence rate was calculated and regression analyses were performed to identify variables associated with stroke. We explored the effect of RRT modality at initiation and cumulative dialysis exposure by time-dependent regression analysis, using transplant recipients as the reference group. Results A total of 4957 patients commenced RRT for ESRD. Median age was 64.5 years, 41.5% were female and 277 patients suffered a stroke (incidence rate was 18.6/1000 patient-years). Patients who had stroke were older, had higher blood pressure and were more likely to be female and have diabetes. On multivariable regression older age, female sex, diabetes and higher serum phosphate were associated with risk of stroke. RRT modality at initiation was not. On time-dependent analysis, haemodialysis (HD) exposure was independently associated with increased risk of stroke. Conclusions In patients with ESRD who initiate RRT, HD use independently increases risk of stroke compared with transplantation. Use of peritoneal dialysis did not increase risk on adjusted analysis.
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Ha JT, Neuen BL, Cheng LP, Jun M, Toyama T, Gallagher MP, Jardine MJ, Sood MM, Garg AX, Palmer SC, Mark PB, Wheeler DC, Jha V, Freedman B, Johnson DW, Perkovic V, Badve SV. Benefits and Harms of Oral Anticoagulant Therapy in Chronic Kidney Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Ann Intern Med 2019; 171:181-189. [PMID: 31307056 DOI: 10.7326/m19-0087] [Citation(s) in RCA: 85] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Effects of oral anticoagulation in chronic kidney disease (CKD) are uncertain. PURPOSE To evaluate the benefits and harms of vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) and non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in adults with CKD stages 3 to 5, including those with dialysis-dependent end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). DATA SOURCES English-language searches of MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases (inception to February 2019); review bibliographies; and ClinicalTrials.gov (25 February 2019). STUDY SELECTION Randomized controlled trials evaluating VKAs or NOACs for any indication in patients with CKD that reported efficacy or bleeding outcomes. DATA EXTRACTION Two authors independently extracted data, assessed risk of bias, and rated certainty of evidence. DATA SYNTHESIS Forty-five trials involving 34 082 participants who received anticoagulation for atrial fibrillation (AF) (11 trials), venous thromboembolism (VTE) (11 trials), thromboprophylaxis (6 trials), prevention of dialysis access thrombosis (8 trials), and cardiovascular disease other than AF (9 trials) were included. All but the 8 trials involving patients with ESKD excluded participants with creatinine clearance less than 20 mL/min or estimated glomerular filtration rate less than 15 mL/min/1.73 m2. In AF, compared with VKAs, NOACs reduced risks for stroke or systemic embolism (risk ratio [RR], 0.79 [95% CI, 0.66 to 0.93]; high-certainty evidence) and hemorrhagic stroke (RR, 0.48 [CI, 0.30 to 0.76]; moderate-certainty evidence). Compared with VKAs, the effects of NOACs on recurrent VTE or VTE-related death were uncertain (RR, 0.72 [CI, 0.44 to 1.17]; low-certainty evidence). In all trials combined, NOACs seemingly reduced major bleeding risk compared with VKAs (RR, 0.75 [CI, 0.56 to 1.01]; low-certainty evidence). LIMITATION Scant evidence for advanced CKD or ESKD; data mostly from subgroups of large trials. CONCLUSION In early-stage CKD, NOACs had a benefit-risk profile superior to that of VKAs. For advanced CKD or ESKD, there was insufficient evidence to establish benefits or harms of VKAs or NOACs. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE None. (PROSPERO: CRD42017079709).
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Welsh CE, Welsh P, Jhund P, Sattar N, Mark PB. Response by Welsh et al to Letter Regarding Article “Urinary Sodium Excretion, Blood Pressure, and Risk of Future Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality in Subjects Without Prior Cardiovascular Disease”. Hypertension 2019; 74:e27-e28. [DOI: 10.1161/hypertensionaha.119.13349] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
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Stapleton CP, Heinzel A, Guan W, van der Most PJ, van Setten J, Lord GM, Keating BJ, Israni AK, de Borst MH, Bakker SJ, Snieder H, Weale ME, Delaney F, Hernandez‐Fuentes MP, Reindl-Schwaighofer R, Oberbauer R, Jacobson PA, Mark PB, Chapman FA, Phelan PJ, Kennedy C, Sexton D, Murray S, Jardine A, Traynor JP, McKnight AJ, Maxwell AP, Smyth LJ, Oetting WS, Matas AJ, Mannon RB, Schladt DP, Iklé DN, Cavalleri GL, Conlon PJ. The impact of donor and recipient common clinical and genetic variation on estimated glomerular filtration rate in a European renal transplant population. Am J Transplant 2019; 19:2262-2273. [PMID: 30920136 PMCID: PMC6989089 DOI: 10.1111/ajt.15326] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2018] [Revised: 01/22/2019] [Accepted: 02/11/2019] [Indexed: 01/25/2023]
Abstract
Genetic variation across the human leukocyte antigen loci is known to influence renal-transplant outcome. However, the impact of genetic variation beyond the human leukocyte antigen loci is less clear. We tested the association of common genetic variation and clinical characteristics, from both the donor and recipient, with posttransplant eGFR at different time-points, out to 5 years posttransplantation. We conducted GWAS meta-analyses across 10 844 donors and recipients from five European ancestry cohorts. We also analyzed the impact of polygenic risk scores (PRS), calculated using genetic variants associated with nontransplant eGFR, on posttransplant eGFR. PRS calculated using the recipient genotype alone, as well as combined donor and recipient genotypes were significantly associated with eGFR at 1-year posttransplant. Thirty-two percent of the variability in eGFR at 1-year posttransplant was explained by our model containing clinical covariates (including weights for death/graft-failure), principal components and combined donor-recipient PRS, with 0.3% contributed by the PRS. No individual genetic variant was significantly associated with eGFR posttransplant in the GWAS. This is the first study to examine PRS, composed of variants that impact kidney function in the general population, in a posttransplant context. Despite PRS being a significant predictor of eGFR posttransplant, the effect size of common genetic factors is limited compared to clinical variables.
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Welsh C, Celis-Morales CA, Brown R, Mackay DF, Lewsey J, Mark PB, Gray SR, Ferguson LD, Anderson JJ, Lyall DM, Cleland JG, Jhund PS, Gill JMR, Pell JP, Sattar N, Welsh P. Comparison of Conventional Lipoprotein Tests and Apolipoproteins in the Prediction of Cardiovascular Disease. Circulation 2019; 140:542-552. [PMID: 31216866 PMCID: PMC6693929 DOI: 10.1161/circulationaha.119.041149] [Citation(s) in RCA: 99] [Impact Index Per Article: 19.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Total cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) measurements are central to cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk assessment, but there is continuing debate around the utility of other lipids for risk prediction. METHODS Participants from UK Biobank without baseline CVD and not taking statins, with relevant lipid measurements (n=346 686), were included in the primary analysis. An incident fatal or nonfatal CVD event occurred in 6216 participants (1656 fatal) over a median of 8.9 years. Associations of nonfasting lipid measurements (total cholesterol, HDL-C, non-HDL-C, direct and calculated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol [LDL-C], and apolipoproteins [Apo] A1 and B) with CVD were compared using Cox models adjusting for classical risk factors, and predictive utility was determined by the C-index and net reclassification index. Prediction was also tested in 68 649 participants taking a statin with or without baseline CVD (3515 CVD events). RESULTS ApoB, LDL-C, and non-HDL-C were highly correlated (r>0.90), while HDL-C was strongly correlated with ApoA1 (r=0.92). After adjustment for classical risk factors, 1 SD increase in ApoB, direct LDL-C, and non-HDL-C had similar associations with composite fatal/nonfatal CVD events (hazard ratio, 1.23, 1.20, 1.21, respectively). Associations for 1 SD increase in HDL-C and ApoA1 were also similar (hazard ratios, 0.81 [both]). Adding either total cholesterol and HDL-C, or ApoB and ApoA, to a CVD risk prediction model (C-index, 0.7378) yielded similar improvement in discrimination (C-index change, 0.0084; 95% CI, 0.0065, 0.0104, and 0.0089; 95% CI, 0.0069, 0.0109, respectively). Once total and HDL-C were in the model, no further substantive improvement was achieved with the addition of ApoB (C-index change, 0.0004; 95% CI, 0.0000, 0.0008) or any measure of LDL-C. Results for predictive utility were similar for a fatal CVD outcome, and in a discordance analysis. In participants taking a statin, classical risk factors (C-index, 0.7118) were improved by non-HDL-C (C-index change, 0.0030; 95% CI, 0.0012, 0.0048) or ApoB (C-index change, 0.0030; 95% CI, 0.0011, 0.0048). However, adding ApoB or LDL-C to a model already containing non-HDL-C did not further improve discrimination. CONCLUSIONS Measurement of total cholesterol and HDL-C in the nonfasted state is sufficient to capture the lipid-associated risk in CVD prediction, with no meaningful improvement from addition of apolipoproteins, direct or calculated LDL-C.
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Stoumpos S, Traynor JP, Metcalfe W, Kasthuri R, Stevenson K, Mark PB, Kingsmore DB, Thomson PC. A national study of autogenous arteriovenous access use and patency in a contemporary hemodialysis population. J Vasc Surg 2019; 69:1889-1898. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jvs.2018.10.063] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2018] [Accepted: 10/03/2018] [Indexed: 10/27/2022]
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Stapleton CP, Birdwell KA, McKnight AJ, Maxwell AP, Mark PB, Sanders ML, Chapman FA, van Setten J, Phelan PJ, Kennedy C, Jardine A, Traynor JP, Keating B, Conlon PJ, Cavalleri GL. Polygenic risk score as a determinant of risk of non-melanoma skin cancer in a European-descent renal transplant cohort. Am J Transplant 2019; 19:801-810. [PMID: 30085400 PMCID: PMC6367067 DOI: 10.1111/ajt.15057] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2018] [Revised: 07/26/2018] [Accepted: 07/26/2018] [Indexed: 01/25/2023]
Abstract
Renal transplant recipients have an increased risk of non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) compared to in the general population. Here, we show polygenic risk scores (PRS) calculated from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of NMSC in a general, nontransplant setting, can predict risk of, and time to posttransplant skin cancer. Genetic variants, reaching predefined P-value thresholds were chosen from published squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and basal cell carcinoma (BCC) nontransplant GWAS. Using these GWAS, BCC and SCC PRS were calculated for each sample across three European ancestry renal transplant cohorts (n = 889) and tested as predictors of case:control status and time to NMSC posttransplant. BCC PRS calculated at P-value threshold 1 × 10-5 was the most significant predictor of case:control status of NMSC posttransplant (OR = 1.61; adjusted P = .0022; AUC [full model adjusted for clinical predictors and PRS] = 0.81). SCC PRS at P-value threshold 1 × 10-5 was the most significant predictor of time to posttransplant NMSC (adjusted P = 9.39 × 10-7 ; HR = 1.41, concordance [full model] = 0.74). PRS of nontransplant NMSC is predictive of case:control status and time to NMSC posttransplant. These results are relevant to how genomics can risk stratify patients to help develop personalized treatment regimens.
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Lees JS, Findlay MD, Mark PB, Geddes CC. The impact of coronary angiography on renal transplant function. QJM 2019; 112:23-27. [PMID: 30295913 DOI: 10.1093/qjmed/hcy216] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/27/2018] [Indexed: 01/12/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION There may be reluctance to perform coronary angiography in kidney transplant patients due to perceived risk of iodinated contrast, despite an increased risk of cardiovascular disease compared with the general population. AIM We sought to determine if renal transplant function was adversely affected within 7, 30 and 180 days of coronary angiography. DESIGN AND METHODS Renal transplant recipients undergoing coronary angiography in a single centre (01/2006-02/2018) were identified retrospectively. Baseline and highest SCr within 7, 30 and 180 days of coronary angiography were extracted from the electronic patient record. Rise in creatinine >26 micromol/l was considered significant [equivalent to Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) Network criteria stage 1 AKI] and case note review performed to determine circumstance of renal decline. RESULTS There were 127 coronary angiographies conducted in 90 patients: 67.7% were male and mean age was 58.0 (±10.1) years. There was AKI within 7 days in 18.9% cases, but SCr returned to baseline within 7 days or there was an alternative explanation for AKI in 83.3% of these. In the remaining four cases, there was progressive decline in renal transplant function. In the absence of critical illness, no patient required dialysis or extended hospital stay for contrast-associated AKI. CONCLUSIONS In this cohort of renal transplant recipients undergoing coronary angiography, AKI occurred in a minority of cases, and in more than 95% of such cases this effect was transient, with progressive renal decline a rare and predictable event. Renal transplant should not be regarded as a contraindication to coronary angiography.
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Eder S, Leierer J, Kerschbaum J, Rosivall L, Wiecek A, de Zeeuw D, Mark PB, Heinze G, Rossing P, Heerspink HL, Mayer G. Guidelines and clinical practice at the primary level of healthcare in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus with and without kidney disease in five European countries. Diab Vasc Dis Res 2019; 16:47-56. [PMID: 30238781 DOI: 10.1177/1479164118795559] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/29/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The number of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and diabetes mellitus-associated chronic kidney disease varies considerably between countries. Next to differences in genetic as well as life style risk factors, varying practices in medical care delivery might cause this diversity. METHOD The PROVALID study recruited 4000 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus at the primary level of healthcare in five European countries (Austria, Hungary, The Netherlands, Poland and Scotland). Baseline data were used to describe patient characteristics and compare the adherence to ADA (American Diabetes Association) and KDIGO (Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes) guidelines with respect to metabolic and blood pressure control, use of renin-angiotensin system-blocking agents, statins and acetylsalicylic acid between the countries. RESULTS About 34.8% of the population had evidence of diabetes mellitus-associated chronic kidney disease. The median HbA1c level of the cohort was 6.8% (ranging from 6.5 in Poland to 7.0% in Scotland). Mean blood pressure was 136/79 (±17/10) and significantly higher in subjects with elevated albuminuria. These individuals also were more often treated with renin-angiotensin system-blocking agents (74.1% vs 84.6%), whereas the use of statins was driven by cardiovascular comorbidity. Acetylsalicylic acid was used in only 28.9% subjects. Despite similar cardiovascular comorbidities and renal function, the use of renin-angiotensin system-blocking agents varied significantly between the countries from 66.7% to 87.4%. An even higher variability was observed for patients >40 years of age using statins (39.8%-82.7%) and administration of acetylsalicylic acid in patients older than 50 years (5.2%-43.8%). CONCLUSION Our study shows that medical practice in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients with and without renal disease is different in European countries. Longitudinal follow-up will reveal if this diversity affects clinical endpoints.
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Ferro CJ, Mark PB, Kanbay M, Sarafidis P, Heine GH, Rossignol P, Massy ZA, Mallamaci F, Valdivielso JM, Malyszko J, Verhaar MC, Ekart R, Vanholder R, London G, Ortiz A, Zoccali C. Author Correction: Lipid management in patients with chronic kidney disease. Nat Rev Nephrol 2018; 15:121. [PMID: 30538326 DOI: 10.1038/s41581-018-0099-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
In the acknowledgements section of this article as originally published, information on the authors' roles as EURECAm members is missing. The correct acknowledgement is as follows: "This Review was planned as part of the activity of the European Renal and Cardiovascular Medicine working (EURECAm) group and all authors are EURECAm members. A.O.'s work was supported by Spanish Government ISCIII FEDER funds (PI16/02057, ISCIII-RETIC REDinREN RD16/0009) and Community of Madrid (B2017/BMD-3686 CIFRA2-CM). P.R.'s work is supported by a public grant overseen by the French National Research Agency (ANR) as part of the second "Investissements d'Avenir" program FIGHT-HF (reference: ANR-15-RHU-0004) and by the French PIA project "Lorraine Université d'Excellence", reference ANR-15-IDEX-04-LUE." The omission has been corrected in the PDF and HTML versions of the article.
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Findlay MD, Dawson J, Dickie DA, Forbes KP, McGlynn D, Quinn T, Mark PB. Investigating the Relationship between Cerebral Blood Flow and Cognitive Function in Hemodialysis Patients. J Am Soc Nephrol 2018; 30:147-158. [PMID: 30530658 DOI: 10.1681/asn.2018050462] [Citation(s) in RCA: 107] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2018] [Accepted: 10/08/2018] [Indexed: 01/18/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The immediate and longer-term effects of hemodialysis on cerebral circulation, cerebral structure, and cognitive function are poorly understood. METHODS In a prospective observational cohort study of 97 adults (median age 59 years) receiving chronic hemodialysis, we used transcranial Doppler ultrasound to measure cerebral arterial mean flow velocity (MFV) throughout dialysis. Using a well validated neuropsychological protocol, we assessed cognitive function during and off dialysis and after 12 months of treatment. We also used brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to assess atrophy, white matter hyperintensities (WMHs), and diffusion parameters, and tested correlations between MFV, cognitive scores, and changes on MRI. RESULTS MFV declined significantly during dialysis, correlating with ultrafiltrate volumes. Percentage of decline in MFV correlated with intradialytic decline in cognitive function, including global function, executive function, and verbal fluency. At follow-up, 73 patients were available for repeat testing, 34 of whom underwent repeat MRI. In a subgroup of patients followed for 12 months of continued dialysis, percentage of decline in MFV correlated significantly with lower global and executive function and with progression of WMH burden (a marker of small vessel disease). Twelve of 15 patients who received renal transplants during follow-up had both early and follow-up off-dialysis assessments. After transplant, patients' memory (on a delayed recall test) improved significantly; increased fractional anisotropy of white matter (a measure of cerebral diffusion) in these patients correlated with improving executive function. CONCLUSIONS Patients undergoing hemodialysis experience transient decline in cerebral blood flow, correlating with intradialytic cognitive dysfunction. Progressive cerebrovascular disease occurred in those continuing dialysis, but not in transplanted patients. Cognitive function and cerebral diffusion improved after transplant.
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Lees JS, Chapman FA, Witham MD, Jardine AG, Mark PB. Vitamin K status, supplementation and vascular disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Heart 2018; 105:938-945. [PMID: 30514729 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2018-313955] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/31/2018] [Revised: 10/30/2018] [Accepted: 11/05/2018] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Vascular stiffness (VS) and vascular calcification (VC) are surrogate markers of vascular health associated with cardiovascular events. Vitamin K-dependent proteins (VKDP) are associated with VS and VC and require vitamin K for activity. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of: (1) the effect of vitamin K supplementation on VS and VC and (2) association of inactive VKDP levels with incident cardiovascular disease and mortality. METHODS Two authors searched MEDLINE and Embase databases and Cochrane and ISRCTN registries for studies of vitamin K clinical trials that measured effects on VC, VS or VKDP and longitudinal studies assessing effect of VKDP on incident CVD or mortality. Random effects meta-analyses were performed. RESULTS Thirteen controlled clinical trials (n=2162) and 14 longitudinal studies (n=10 726) met prespecified inclusion criteria. Vitamin K supplementation was associated with significant reduction in VC (-9.1% (95% CI -17.7 to -0.5); p=0.04) and VKDP (desphospho-uncarboxylated matrix Gla protein; -44.7% (95% CI -65.1 to -24.3), p<0.0001) and uncarboxylated osteocalcin; -12.0% (95% CI -16.7 to -7.2), p<0.0001) compared with control, with a non-significant improvement in VS. In longitudinal studies with median follow-up of 7.8 (IQR 4.9-11.3) years, VKDP levels were associated with a combined endpoint of CVD or mortality (HR 0.45 (95% CI 0.07 to 0.83), p=0.02). CONCLUSIONS Supplementation with vitamin K significantly reduced VC, but not VS, compared with control. The conclusions drawn are limited by small numbers of studies with substantial heterogeneity. VKDP was associated with combined endpoint of CVD or mortality. Larger clinical trials of effect of vitamin K supplementation to improve VC, VS and long-term cardiovascular health are warranted. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER CRD42017060344.
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Solbu MD, Mjøen G, Mark PB, Holdaas H, Fellström B, Schmieder RE, Zannad F, Herrington WG, Jardine AG. Predictors of atherosclerotic events in patients on haemodialysis: post hoc analyses from the AURORA study. Nephrol Dial Transplant 2018; 33:102-112. [PMID: 27798199 DOI: 10.1093/ndt/gfw360] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2016] [Accepted: 09/06/2016] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Patients on haemodialysis (HD) are at high risk for cardiovascular events, but heart failure and sudden death are more common than atherosclerotic events. The A Study to Evaluate the Use of Rosuvastatinin in Subjects on Regular Hemodialysis: An Assessment of Survival and Cardiovascular Events (AURORA) trial was designed to assess the effect of rosuvastatin on myocardial infarction and death from any cardiac cause in 2773 HD patients. We studied predictors of the atherosclerotic cardiovascular events in AURORA. Methods We readjudicated all deaths and presumed myocardial infarctions according to the criteria used in the Study of Heart and Renal Protection (SHARP); these were specifically developed to separate atherosclerotic from non-atherosclerotic cardiovascular events. The readjudicated atherosclerotic end point included the first event of the following: non-fatal myocardial infarction, fatal coronary heart disease, non-fatal and fatal non-haemorrhagic stroke, coronary revascularization procedures and death from ischaemic limb disease. Stepwise Cox regression analysis was used to identify the predictors of such events. Results During a mean follow-up of 3.2 years, 506 patients experienced the new composite atherosclerotic outcome. Age, male sex, prevalent diabetes, prior cardiovascular disease, weekly dialysis duration, baseline albumin [hazard ratio (HR) 0.96; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.94-0.99 per g/L increase], high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (HR 1.13; 95% CI 1.04-1.22 per mg/L increase) and oxidized low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol (HR 1.09; 95% CI 1.03-1.17 per 10 U/L increase) were selected as significant predictors in the model. Neither LDL cholesterol nor allocation to placebo/rosuvastatin therapy predicted the outcome. Conclusions Even with the use of strict criteria for end point definition, non-traditional risk factors, but not lipid disturbances, predicted atherosclerotic events in HD patients.
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Mark PB. Strategies to manage cardiovascular risk in chronic kidney disease. Nephrol Dial Transplant 2018; 33:23-25. [PMID: 29237023 DOI: 10.1093/ndt/gfx329] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2017] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
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Gillis KA, Lees JS, Ralston MR, Glen JA, Stevenson KS, McManus SK, Geddes CC, Clancy M, Traynor JP, Mark PB. Interaction between socioeconomic deprivation and likelihood of pre-emptive transplantation: influence of competing risks and referral characteristics - a retrospective study. Transpl Int 2018; 32:153-162. [DOI: 10.1111/tri.13336] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/05/2018] [Revised: 07/09/2018] [Accepted: 08/23/2018] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
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Christakoudi S, Runglall M, Mobillo P, Rebollo-Mesa I, Tsui TL, Nova-Lamperti E, Norris S, Kamra Y, Hilton R, Bhandari S, Baker R, Berglund D, Carr S, Game D, Griffin S, Kalra PA, Lewis R, Mark PB, Marks SD, Macphee I, McKane W, Mohaupt MG, Pararajasingam R, Kon SP, Serón D, Sinha M, Tucker B, Viklický O, Lechler RI, Lord GM, Stahl D, Hernandez-Fuentes MP. Steroid regulation: An overlooked aspect of tolerance and chronic rejection in kidney transplantation. Mol Cell Endocrinol 2018; 473:205-216. [PMID: 29427591 DOI: 10.1016/j.mce.2018.01.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2017] [Revised: 01/21/2018] [Accepted: 01/29/2018] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
Steroid conversion (HSD11B1, HSD11B2, H6PD) and receptor genes (NR3C1, NR3C2) were examined in kidney-transplant recipients with "operational tolerance" and chronic rejection (CR), independently and within the context of 88 tolerance-associated genes. Associations with cellular types were explored. Peripheral whole-blood gene-expression levels (RT-qPCR-based) and cell counts were adjusted for immunosuppressant drug intake. Tolerant (n = 17), stable (n = 190) and CR patients (n = 37) were compared. Healthy controls (n = 14) were used as reference. The anti-inflammatory glucocorticoid receptor (NR3C1) and the cortisol-activating HSD11B1 and H6PD genes were up-regulated in CR and were lowest in tolerant patients. The pro-inflammatory mineralocorticoid gene (NR3C2) was downregulated in stable and CR patients. NR3C1 was associated with neutrophils and NR3C2 with T-cells. Steroid conversion and receptor genes, alone, enabled classification of tolerant patients and were major contributors to gene-expression signatures of both, tolerance and CR, alongside known tolerance-associated genes, revealing a key role of steroid regulation and response in kidney transplantation.
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