Incidents and Sudden Patient Deteriorations Occurring During Their Rehabilitation Sessions in an Acute Care Hospital: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Objective

To investigate the occurrence of incidents and sudden deteriorations during rehabilitation in an acute care setting by disease category based on the International Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th Revision.

Design

Retrospective cohort study.

Setting

University hospital in Japan with 1376 beds.

Participants

A total of 49,927 patients who were admitted to the acute care wards and underwent rehabilitation over 8 years, from April 1, 2013, to March 31, 2021.

Interventions

Rehabilitation in an acute care setting.

Main Outcome Measures

Incidents and sudden deteriorations reported in medical charts.

Results

Among 49,927 admissions, 455 incidents and 683 sudden deteriorations occurred during rehabilitation. The incidents and sudden deteriorations occurred at rates of 0.009/person (0.50 case/1000 h) and 0.012/person (0.75 case/1000 h), respectively. The 3 most frequent incidents were "route-related incidents" (178 cases, 39.1%), followed by "bleeding/abrasions" (131 cases, 28.8%) and "falls" (125 cases, 27.5%). Among 12 disease categories with over 500 admissions and 10,000 rehabilitation hours, the highest incident rate occurred in "certain infectious and parasitic diseases" (0.81 case/1000 h), followed by "diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue" (0.67 case/1000 h) and "diseases of the genitourinary system" (0.66 case/1000 h). The commonest sudden deterioration was "vomiting" (460 cases, 67.3%), followed by "decreased level of consciousness (with reduced blood pressure)" (42 cases, 6.1%) and "seizure" (39 cases, 5.7%). Furthermore, the highest sudden deterioration rate was in the "endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases" (1.19 case/1000 h) category, followed by "neoplasms" (1.04 case/1000 h) and "certain infectious and parasitic diseases" (0.99 case/1000 h).

Conclusions

An incident and sudden deterioration occurred every 2000 and 1333 h, respectively, during rehabilitation. Therefore, understanding the actual occurrence of incidents and sudden deteriorations during rehabilitation may provide valuable insights into preventing incidents and emergencies.

Data on Swiss grapevine growers' production, pest management and risk management decisions

We present survey data from 436 grapevine growers across Switzerland and their production, pest, and risk management decisions. The online survey was conducted in spring 2022 in the three main official languages in Switzerland (German, French, Italian). The survey was used to obtain information on variety choice and farm management strategies, as well as farmer, farm, and spatial environmental characteristics. Moreover, we collected information around fungus-resistant grapevine varieties such as knowledge, attitudes, and perceptions of these varieties. We also elicited the current cultivation and growers' intentions on future acreage under these varieties. In addition, data were collected on growers' pest management strategies against weeds, insects, and fungi. Characteristics of the farm manager collected include education, farming goals, wine-related expertise, and information sources used. Information about the farm consist of marketing channels, labels, direct payment schemes, production systems and pesticide application machinery, among other details. Moreover, risk and time preferences, self-efficacy and locus of control were collected via self-assessed scales. The survey data were matched with spatial climatic data on municipality level (e.g. on temperature, precipitation, the number of yearly hail days, average sunshine duration and relative humidity) as well as pest pressure (e.g. infection risk by Oidium and Peronospora viticola) at weather station level.

Health services under pressure: a scoping review and development of a taxonomy of adaptive strategies

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this review was to develop a taxonomy of pressures experienced by health services and an accompanying taxonomy of strategies for adapting in response to these pressures. The taxonomies were developed from a review of observational studies directly assessing care delivered in a variety of clinical environments.

DESIGN

In the first phase, a scoping review of the relevant literature was conducted. In the second phase, pressures and strategies were systematically coded from the included papers, and categorised.

DATA SOURCES

Electronic databases (MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, PsycInfo and Scopus) and reference lists from recent reviews of the resilient healthcare literature.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Studies were included from the resilient healthcare literature, which used descriptive methodologies to directly assess a clinical environment. The studies were required to contain strategies for managing under pressure.

RESULTS

5402 potential articles were identified with 17 papers meeting the inclusion criteria. The principal source of pressure described in the studies was the demand for care exceeding capacity (ie, the resources available), which in turn led to difficult working conditions and problems with system functioning. Strategies for responding to pressures were categorised into anticipatory and on-the-day adaptations. Anticipatory strategies included strategies for increasing resources, controlling demand and plans for managing the workload (efficiency strategies, forward planning, monitoring and co-ordination strategies and staff support initiatives). On-the-day adaptations were categorised into: flexing the use of existing resources, prioritising demand and adapting ways of working (leadership, teamwork and communication strategies).

CONCLUSIONS

The review has culminated in an empirically based taxonomy of pressures and an accompanying taxonomy of strategies for adapting in response to these pressures. The taxonomies could help clinicians and managers to optimise how they respond to pressures and may be used as the basis for training programmes and future research evaluating the impact of different strategies.

Targeting average length of hospital stay as a control measure to decrease COVID-19 hospital-acquired infection in surgical cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The global spread of coronaviruses had a great impact on the economic and social situation of most countries. As the backbone of any society, the health sector made a significant contribution through applying emergency risk management plans in order to control the pandemic. Monitoring the average length of hospital stay (ALOS) was an effective way to release the capacity of the health system during this time. The aim was to evaluate the effect of applying risk assessment/management strategies on ALOS and the impact of this ALOS on COVID-19 infection rates among cancer patients.

METHODS

This is a prospective cohort study. All admitted cancer patients in 6 surgical departments from January to June 2021 were included.

RESULTS

A total of 1287 patients were admitted to 6 surgical departments during the selected period. About 46% of them had surgery (n = 578), while 54% did not have surgery (n = 700). Among surgical patients, admission rates were highest in February and head and neck department (24% and 22.1%, respectively), and lowest in April and chest department (12.4% and 8%, respectively). ALOS was significantly different across the 6 months (p value < 0.001) with lower ALOS in (April, May, and June) than in (January-February, and March). No significant difference was found across the 6 surgical departments (p value = 0.423). Twenty-eight patients became COVID-19 positive after admission, 25 of them (89%) were infected from March to June-during the time of the third wave-and a significant decreasing linear trend (p value = 0.009) was found.

CONCLUSION

ALOS had significantly reduced with commitment to infection control (IC) interventions and recommendations. The significant decreasing trend of COVID-19 infection from March to June (unlike the rising curve of the 3rd COVID-19 wave by that time) could be explained by improvement in ALOS.

Assessment of suicidal ideation via telemedicine: a case report and management suggestions

BACKGROUND

Nowadays, we find ourselves in very unexpected and challenging circumstances facing the COVID-19 pandemic. The impact of the new coronavirus pandemic probably affected everyone's mental health, and people with pre-existing mental disorders may have an aggravated disease condition, leading to a suicide attempt. Pandemic also increased the use of direct-to-consumer telemedicine (TM) exponentially, and consequently, it was expected that cases of attempted suicide could be evaluated remotely. Some TM centers have adapted safety protocols from psychiatric guidelines for managing these patients. However, there is a lack of evidence of the effectiveness of follow-up by TM for patients at high risk for suicide, and there is no consensus on what action should be taken vis-à-vis the patient who requests immediate help remotely.

CASE PRESENTATION

Here, we reported a case of a TM evaluation of a patient's suicidal ideation in a direct-to-consumer telemedicine emergency center, describing the conduct taken in the face of this situation. We also discuss the importance of planning the emergency telemedicine center for situations of risk of suicide.

CONCLUSIONS

Telemedicine centers should be prepared for direct consumer assessment of suicidal ideation. Current management suggestions include recognizing the risk profile through institutional training and software skills and immediate referral for face-to-face assessment, encouraging continuous monitoring until the admission and active recruitment of family members or closest friends.

Bariatric Surgery and Malpractice: an Extensive Review of Demographics, Complications, Litigation, and Proactive Mitigation Strategies

The rising prevalence of severe obesity has led to a parallel increase in bariatric surgeries, raising a complex array of medicolegal issues. This review aims to analyze and synthesize literature on bariatric surgery malpractice, focusing on patient demographics, surgical complications, litigation costs, and the nature of malpractice cases. A systematic search was conducted across multiple databases for relevant studies published up to May 2023. Our review endeavors to provide insights into these medicolegal challenges and their implications and foster an informed dialogue on strategies for their effective management. By doing so, we hope to enhance ethical and legally sound bariatric practices, safeguarding both patient welfare and surgical practitioners from legal repercussions.

Ciguatera poisoning in French Polynesia: A review of the distribution and toxicity of Gambierdiscus spp., and related impacts on food web components and human health

Ciguatera Poisoning (CP) is a seafood poisoning highly prevalent in French Polynesia. This illness results from the consumption of seafood contaminated with ciguatoxins (CTXs) produced by Gambierdiscus, a benthic dinoflagellate. Ciguatera significantly degrades the health and economic well-being of local communities largely dependent on reef fisheries for their subsistence. French Polynesia has been the site of rich and active CP research since the 1960's. The environmental, toxicological, and epidemiological data obtained in the frame of large-scale field surveys and a country-wide CP case reporting program conducted over the past three decades in the five island groups of French Polynesia are reviewed. Results show toxin production in Gambierdiscus in the natural environment may vary considerably at a temporal and spatial scale, and that several locales clearly represent Gambierdiscus spp. "biodiversity hotspots". Current data also suggest the "hot" species G. polynesiensis could be the primary source of CTXs in local ciguateric biotopes, pending formal confirmation. The prevalence of ciguatoxic fish and the CTX levels observed in several locales were remarkably high, with herbivores and omnivores often as toxic as carnivores. Results also confirm the strong local influence of Gambierdiscus spp. on the CTX toxin profiles characterized across multiple food web components including in CP-prone marine invertebrates. The statistics, obtained in the frame of a long-term epidemiological surveillance program established in 2007, point towards an apparent decline in the number of CP cases in French Polynesia as a whole; however, incidence rates remain dangerously high in some islands. Several of the challenges and opportunities, most notably those linked to the strong cultural ramifications of CP among local communities, that need to be considered to define effective risk management strategies are addressed.

Clustering sustainable suppliers in the plastics industry: A fuzzy equivalence relation approach

Nowadays, pure economic supply chain management is not commonly contemplated among companies (especially buyers), as recently novel dimensions of supply chains, e.g., environmental, sustainability, and risk, play significant roles. In addition, since companies prefer buying their needs from a group of suppliers, the problem of supplier selection is not solely choosing or qualifying a supplier from among others. Buyers, hence, commonly assemble a portfolio of suppliers by looking at the multi-dimensional pre-determined selection criteria. Since sustainable supplier selection criteria are often assessed by linguistic terms, an appropriate clustering approach is required. This paper presents an innovative way to implement fuzzy equivalence relation to clustering sustainable suppliers through developing a comprehensive taxonomy of sustainable supplier selection criteria, including supply chain risk. Fifteen experts participated in this study to evaluate 20 suppliers and cluster them in the plastics industry. Findings reveal that the best partitioning occurs when the suppliers are divided into two clusters, with 4 (20%) and 16 (80%) suppliers, respectively. The four suppliers in cluster one are performing better in terms of the capability of supplier/delivery, service, risk, and sustainability criteria such as environment protection/management, and green innovation. These factors are critical in clustering and selecting sustainable suppliers. The originality of this study lies in developing an all-inclusive set of criteria for clustering sustainable suppliers and adding risk factors to the conventional supplier selection criteria. In addition to partitioning the suppliers and determining the best-performing ones, this study also highlights the most influential factors by analysing the suppliers in the best cluster.

Understanding German farmers' intention to adopt drought insurance

Climate risks, particularly droughts and heat waves, negatively affect agricultural incomes worldwide. Drought insurance is promising to mitigate resulting income losses at the farm level. As the proportion of German farmers insured against drought is low, policymakers and insurers aim to increase the appeal of drought insurance to farmers. However, to accelerate their efforts in this regard, more information regarding farmers' intention to adopt drought insurance beyond current adoption is needed. To obtain initial insights, we surveyed 127 German farmers in a risk management context and applied a modified transtheoretical model of behavioral change. This revealed detailed information on the gradual adoption of drought insurance. Given a heterogenous distribution among the gradual stages of adoption, a binomial logit model was estimated instead of an ordered logit to investigate farmers' current intention to adopt drought insurance. Furthermore, the machine learning technique of least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was applied to select the most relevant features to be used as explanatory variables in the estimation. The results show that farmers' gender and risk attitude, land tenure, how severely they were affected previously by weather risks, and the level of trust in index insurance products have a statistically significant effect on farmers' intention to adopt drought insurance. Additionally, this study provides insights into farmers' reasons against drought insurance. As such, the results are important to policymakers considering policy intervention, insurers interested in farmers' intention to insure and to researchers focusing on farmers' adaptation to climate change.

Magnitude of occupational exposure to sharp injuries among nurses working in South Gondar zone public hospitals, Northcentral Ethiopia: institution-based cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to determine the magnitude of occupational exposure to sharp injuries and identify its associated factors among nurses.

DESIGN

Institution-based cross-sectional study design was conducted from 1 to 30 November 2022.

ANALYSIS

The collected data were entered into EpiData V.4.2; then, exported to Stata V.14 for analysis. Variables with a p value of <0.05 at 95% CI were considered significantly associated with occupational exposure to sharp injuries.

SETTING

The study was conducted in South Gondar zone public hospitals.

PARTICIPANTS

Nurses working in South Gondar zone public hospitals.

RESULTS

Of the total respondents, 213 (56.65%) were between the ages of 25 and 34 with the mean±SD of age 30.22±6.63 years. Similarly, 202 (53.72%) of the respondents were women. This study finding showed that the magnitude of occupational exposure to sharp injuries among nurses was 52.39% (95% CI: 47.92% to 56.37%). Moreover, this study finding showed that year of service >10 years (adjusted OR (AOR)=2.35, 95% CI: 1.21 to 4.57), lack of infection prevention training (AOR=1.85, 95% CI: 1.09 to 3.45), job-related stress (AOR=2.24, 95% CI: 1.27 to 3.89) and presence of contaminated sharps at the workplace (AOR=2.76, 95% CI: 1.67 to 4.72) were significantly associated with occupational exposure to sharp injuries among nurses.

CONCLUSIONS

Generally, this study finding reported that the magnitude of occupational exposure to sharp injuries among nurses was high. This study finding also showed that years of service >10 years, lack of infection prevention training, job-related stress and the presence of contaminated sharps at the workplace were independent predictors of occupational exposure to sharp injuries among nurses. Hence, all the concerned bodies should strengthen regular provision of infection prevention training to nurses at all levels. Nurses should practice proper use of safety box more than ever in order to avoid the presence of contaminated needles and other sharp materials at the workplace.

Pharmacist tracking and correction of medication errors: An improvement project in the observation ward of the emergency department

OBJECTIVE

The risk of medication errors is high in emergency departments. Implementation of medication reconciliation activity complemented by pharmaceutical analysis of prescription is an effective way to reduce drug related problems. This study aimed to assess the potential clinical impact of these activities to prevent medication errors for the observation ward patients. The secondary objective was to assess these activities' cost-avoidance and benefit-to-cost ratio.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This study was conducted in a 16-bed unit, over a 5-month period. The patients' demographic and treatment details, and data from pharmaceutical activities were collected and analyzed by a pharmacist. Two pharmacists and an emergency physician assessed the potential clinical impact of medication errors.

RESULTS

Medication reconciliation for 250 patients (15.7% of 1589 admitted patients) and pharmaceutical analysis of prescription for 302 patients (19%) were performed by the pharmacist. Medication reconciliation detected 752 errors in 197 patients; 19% were related to high-risk medications and 14% had a potential clinical impact assessed as major, critical or fatal. Pharmaceutical analysis of prescription revealed 159 drug related problems in 118 patients; of which 26% involved high-risk medications and 24% had a potential clinical impact assessed "at least major". In total, 16% of pharmacist interventions had a potential clinical impact assessed "at least major" in 33% of patients: this represents 1.8 pharmacist interventions formulated per day.

CONCLUSION

The presence of a pharmacist in the observation ward of the emergency department is useful in detecting iatrogenic drug related problems and reducing their medical impact. The benefit-to-cost ratio is favorable for the hospital.

Assessing mercury pollution at a primary ore site with both ancient and industrial mining and smelting activities

The Minamata Convention on Mercury has mandated a renewed global effort to tackle Hg pollution. The present study evaluates Hg pollution at a primary Hg production site exploited since the Qin Dynasty (200s BC), with intensive industrial scale production over the past four decades. This single location accounts for over 95% total Hg production in China in recent years. To assess the environmental risk and effectiveness of recently implemented control measures, we collected 90 soil samples, 60 plant tissue samples, 47 sediment samples, and 47 river water samples from the site and its vicinity. A site-specific conceptual site model was established based on the sources, migration transformation pathways of Hg pollutant and its exposure scenarios. The maximum soil Hg concentration reached 10,451 mg kg-1, posing a high health and ecological risk. Vegetable and crop Hg concentrations outside the site reached 0.23 mg kg-1 in rice grains and 4.24 mg kg-1 in green onion. The highest health risk, with a hazard quotient of 130.66, was observed in the Ore Storage Site, which reduced to 17.14 when Hg bioavailability was considered. Risk control measures implemented in recent years included a stormwater collection system and capping of the tailing pond area with clean imported soil. These measures were generally successful; however, Hg in the tailings were found to be contaminating the imported surficial soil due to rainfall saturation and upward migration, suggesting a need for long-term post remedial site monitoring and maintenance. We also found that mining and smelting activities have contaminated a 6 km stretch of a nearby river, with sediment Hg concentrations reaching 2819 mg kg-1, and water column concentrations reaching 193.21 ng L-1. The sediment and water concentrations are highly correlated (R2 = 0.78), suggesting that, with risk control measures in place, a reservoir of Hg in polluted river sediment is now driving pollution in the water column. This work demonstrates that primary Hg mining has caused widespread and serious soil and water pollution. Risk control measures can reduce human health and ecological risks, but robust monitoring and maintenance are required for remediation to be effective in the long-term.

Domino index: A rapid quantification tool for the domino effect in chemical plants

The severity of industrial accidents involving domino effects is widely acknowledged in chemical and process industries. The interdependence of installations and complexity of layouts pose significant challenges for the rapid quantitative assessment of domino effects in large chemical plants. In this study, a set of domino indices was introduced to measure the extent to which a given installation triggered and propagated domino effects, as well as to assess the overall domino effect in a specified area. An accelerated algorithm for domino accident modelling was developed based on Monte Carlo simulations to calculate the domino index. This algorithm can simulate all potential domino accident propagation pathways and the failure frequencies of installations. Two case studies, derived for a hypothetical chemical plant and actual oil-storage facilities, were examined to evaluate the applicability of the method. Furthermore, the method was validated using conditional probability calculations and vertex metrics. The results demonstrated that the proposed domino index is a useful tool for rapidly quantifying domino effects and that it can assist in identifying critical installations, designing plant layouts, and screening hazardous areas. The method and indices can provide guidance for the prevention of severe domino accidents.

[Evaluation of practices through simulation: Implementation of Horror Week in a cytotoxic preparation unit]

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this work is to describe the interest of developing a simulation for the evaluation and improvement of practices through the realization of a horror week in a cytotoxic preparation unit.

METHODS

The simulation was divided into five days, each corresponding to a step in the cytotoxic circuit. Five errors per day were produced and presented to the team in a dedicated room. An observation form was used to collect the errors identified by each person. A satisfaction questionnaire was distributed and a collective debriefing took place remotely.

RESULTS

The average number of errors identified per day was 3.8. The least common errors were reversal of patient height and weight, overloading of the sterilization basket, failure to follow dressing rules in the controlled area, absence of the temperature-monitoring disk, and absence of an opaque bag for photosensitive chemotherapy. The perceived level of difficulty was 3.33/5 and the organization was satisfactory to all participants.

CONCLUSIONS

Horror Week achieved its objectives by raising awareness among professionals of the risks of the chemotherapy circuit. The errors that were found to be the least significant allowed us to develop priority areas for ongoing training for our unit.

What happens when pharmacist independent prescribers lead on medicine management in older people's care homes: a qualitative study

OBJECTIVE

Older people in care homes frequently experience polypharmacy, increasing the likelihood of medicine-related burden. Pharmacists working within multidisciplinary primary care teams are ideally placed to lead on medication reviews. A randomised controlled trial placed pharmacists, with independent prescribing rights (PIPs), into older people care homes. In the intervention service, PIPs worked with general practitioners (GPs) and care home staff for 6 months, to optimise medicine management at individual resident and care home level. PIP activity included stopping medicines that were no longer needed or where potential harms outweighed benefits. This analysis of qualitative data examines health and social care stakeholders' perceptions of how the service impacted on care home medicine procedures and resident well-being.

DESIGN

Pragmatic research design with secondary analysis of interviews.

SETTING

Primary care pharmacist intervention in older people care homes in England, Scotland and Northern Ireland.

PARTICIPANTS

Recruited from intervention arm of the trial: PIPs (n=14), GPs (n=8), care home managers (n=9) and care home staff (n=6).

RESULTS

There were resonances between different participant groups about potential benefits to care home residents of a medicine service provided by PIPs. There were small differences in perceptions about changes related to communication between professionals. Results are reported through three themes (1) 'It's a natural fit'-pharmacists undertaking medication review in care homes fitted within multidisciplinary care; (2) 'The resident is cared for'-there were subjective improvements in residents' well-being; (3) 'Moving from "firefighting" to effective systems'-there was evidence of changes to care home medicine procedures.

CONCLUSION

This study suggests that pharmacist independent prescribers in primary care working within the multidisciplinary team can manage care home residents' medicines leading to subjective improvements in residents' well-being and medicine management procedures. Care home staff appreciated contact with a dedicated person in the GP practice.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ISRCTN 17847169.

Medication errors related to high-alert medications in a paediatric university hospital - a cross-sectional study analysing error reporting system data

BACKGROUND

Paediatric patients are prone to medication errors, and only a few studies have explored errors in high-alert medications in children. The present study aimed to investigate the prevalence and nature of medication errors involving high-alert medications and whether high-alert medications are more likely associated with severe patient harm and higher error risk classification compared to other drugs.

METHODS

This study was a cross-sectional report of self-reported medication errors in a paediatric university hospital in 2018-2020. Medication error reports involving high-alert medications were investigated by descriptive quantitative analysis to identify the prevalence of different drugs, Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical groups, administration routes, and the most severe medication errors. Crosstabulation and Pearson Chi-Square (χ2) tests were used to compare the likelihood of more severe consequences to the patient and higher error risk classification between medication errors involving high-alert medications and other drugs.

RESULTS

Among the reported errors (n = 2,132), approximately one-third (34.8%, n = 743) involved high-alert medications (n = 872). The most common Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical subgroups were blood substitutes and perfusion solutions (B05; n = 345/872, 40%), antineoplastic agents (L01; n = 139/872, 16%), and analgesics (N02; n = 98/872, 11%). The majority of high-alert medications were administered intravenously (n = 636/872, 73%). Moreover, IV preparations were administered via off-label routes (n = 52/872, 6%), such as oral, inhalation and intranasal routes. Any degree of harm (minor, moderate or severe) to the patient and the highest risk classifications (IV-V) were more likely to be associated with medication errors involving high-alert medications (n = 743) when compared to reports involving other drugs (n = 1,389).

CONCLUSIONS

Preventive risk management should be targeted on high-alert medications in paediatric hospital settings. In these actions, the use of intravenous drugs, such as parenteral nutrition, concentrated electrolytes, analgesics and antineoplastic agents, and off-label use of medications should be prioritised. Further research on the root causes of medication errors involving high-alert medications and the effectiveness of safeguards is warranted.

Association of fat-to-muscle ratio with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: a single-centre retrospective study

OBJECTIVES

Sarcopenia is a known risk factor for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Studies evaluating the association between the fat-to-muscle ratio (FMR) and NAFLD are limited. Therefore, the aim of our study was to investigate the association between FMR and NAFLD.

DESIGN

A retrospective study was conducted on individuals who underwent health examination at Wuhan Union Hospital between January 2020 and November 2021. Clinical data were collected from electronic medical records.

SETTING

Wuhan Union Hospital, Wuhan, China.

PARTICIPANTS

1592 participants aged ≥40 years who underwent body composition analysis and liver ultrasonography were retrospectively reviewed.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Liver ultrasonography was used to assess liver steatosis, and the fibrosis-4 index was used to calculate the risk scores for liver fibrosis. The 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk prediction model was used to calculate ASCVD risk scores.

RESULTS

The FMR was significantly higher in individuals with NAFLD than in those without NAFLD (p<0.001). The prevalence of NAFLD gradually increased from FMR tertile 1 (reference) to tertile 2 (OR=1.49, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.97) and tertile 3 (OR=2.85, 95% CI 2.08 to 3.90). In addition, patients with NAFLD in FMR tertile 3 had a significantly higher risk of liver fibrosis (OR=4.48, 95% CI 2.12 to 9.50) and ASCVD (OR=4.63, 95% CI 2.62 to 8.19) than those in FMR tertile 1 after adjustment for multiple confounders.

CONCLUSION

In this study, we found a significant association between FMR and NAFLD. A higher FMR indicates a higher risk of NAFLD in the study population and a higher risk of liver fibrosis and ASCVD in NAFLD patients.

Effect of high-risk versus low-risk pregnancy at the first antenatal care visit on the occurrence of complication during pregnancy and labour or delivery in Kenya: a double-robust estimation

OBJECTIVES

We evaluated the causal effects of high-risk versus low-risk pregnancy at the first antenatal care (ANC) visit on the occurrence of complications during pregnancy and labour or delivery among women in Kenya.

METHODS

We designed a quasi-experimental study using observational data from a large mobile health wallet programme, with the exposure as pregnancy risk at the first ANC visit, measured on a binary scale (low vs high). Complications during pregnancy and at labour or delivery were the study outcomes on a binary scale (yes vs no). Causal effects of the exposure were examined using a double-robust estimation, reported as an OR with a 95% CI.

RESULTS

We studied 4419 women aged 10-49 years (mean, 25.6±6.27 years), with the majority aged 20-29 years (53.4%) and rural residents (87.4%). Of 3271 women with low-risk pregnancy at the first ANC visit, 833 (25.5%) had complications during pregnancy while 1074 (32.8%) had complications at labour/delivery. Conversely, of 1148 women with high-risk pregnancy at the first ANC visit, 343 (29.9%) had complication during pregnancy while 488 (42.5%) had complications at labour delivery. Multivariable adjusted analysis showed that women with high-risk pregnancy at the time of first ANC attendance had a higher occurrence of pregnancy during pregnancy (adjusted OR (aOR) 1.22, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.46) and labour or delivery (aOR 1.20, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.41). In the double-robust estimation, a high-risk pregnancy at first ANC visit increased the occurrence of complications during pregnancy (OR 1.23, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.46) and labour or delivery (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.45).

CONCLUSION

Women with a high-risk pregnancy at the first ANC visit have an increased occurrence of complications during pregnancy and labour or delivery. These women should be identified early for close and appropriate obstetric and intrapartum monitoring and care to ensure maternal and neonatal survival.

Differences in lipid and blood pressure measurements between individuals with type 1 diabetes and the general population: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVES

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a precarious complication of type 1 diabetes (T1D). Alongside glycaemic control, lipid and blood pressure (BP) management are essential for the prevention of CVD. However, age-specific differences in lipid and BP between individuals with T1D and the general population are relatively unknown.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Six diabetes outpatient clinics and individuals from the Lifelines cohort, a multigenerational cohort from the Northern Netherlands.

PARTICIPANTS

2178 adults with T1D and 146 22 individuals without diabetes from the general population.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-cholesterol), systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP), stratified by age group, glycated haemoglobin category, medication use and sex.

RESULTS

In total, 2178 individuals with T1D and 146 822 without diabetes were included in this study. Total cholesterol and LDL-cholesterol were lower and SBP and DBP were higher in individuals with T1D in comparison to the background population. When stratified by age and medication use, total cholesterol and LDL-cholesterol were lower and SBP and DBP were higher in the T1D population. Men with T1D achieved lower LDL-cholesterol levels both with and without medication in older age groups in comparison to women. Women with T1D had up to 8 mm Hg higher SBP compared with the background population, this difference was not present in men.

CONCLUSIONS

Lipid and BP measurements are not comparable between individuals with T1D and the general population and are particularly unfavourable for BP in the T1D group. There are potential sex differences in the management of LDL-cholesterol and BP.

Patients' and clinicians' views on the appropriate use of safety-netting advice in consultations-an interview study from Sweden

BACKGROUND

A promising approach to manage clinical uncertainty and thereby reduce the risk of preventable diagnostic harm is to use safety-netting advice (ie, communicating structured information to patients about when and where to reconsult healthcare).

AIM

To explore clinicians' and patients' views on when and how safety-netting can be successfully applied in primary-care and emergency-care settings.

DESIGN AND SETTING

An exploratory qualitative research design; we performed focus groups and interviews in a Swedish setting.

PARTICIPANTS

Nine physicians working in primary or emergency care and eight patients or caregivers participated. The participants were an ethnically homogeneous group, originating from Western European or Australian backgrounds.

METHOD

Data were analysed inductively, using the framework method. The results are reported according to the Standards for Reporting Qualitative Research guidelines for reporting qualitative research.

RESULTS

In order to manage diagnostic uncertainty using safety-netting, clinicians and patients emphasised the need to understand the preconditions for the consultation (ie, the healthcare setting, the patient's capacity and existing power imbalance). Furthermore, participants raised the importance of establishing a mutual understanding regarding the patient's perspective and the severity of the situation before engaging in safety-netting advice.

CONCLUSION

The establishment of a shared mental model between clinician and patient of the preconditions for the clinical encounter is a vital factor affecting how safety-netting advice is communicated and received and its ability to support patients in problem detection and planning after the visit. We suggest that successful safety-netting can be viewed as a team activity, where the clinician and patient collaborate in monitoring how the patient's condition progresses after the care visit. Furthermore, our findings suggest that to be successfully implemented, safety-netting advice needs to be tailored to the clinical context in general and to the patient-clinician encounter in particular.

A novel climate and health decision support platform: Approach, outputs, and policy considerations

BACKGROUND

The adverse health impacts of climate change are increasingly apparent and the need for adaptation activities is pressing. Risks, drivers, and decision contexts vary significantly by location, and high-resolution, place-based information is needed to support decision analysis and risk reduction efforts at scale.

METHODS

Using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) risk framework, we developed a causal pathway linking heat with a composite outcome of heat-related morbidity and mortality. We used an existing systematic literature review to identify variables for inclusion and the authors' expert judgment to determine variable combinations in a hierarchical model. We parameterized the model for Washington state using observational (1991-2020 and June 2021 extreme heat event) and scenario-driven temperature projections (2036-2065), compared outputs against relevant existing indices, and analyzed sensitivity to model structure and variable parameterization. We used descriptive statistics, maps, visualizations and correlation analyses to present results.

RESULTS

The Climate and Health Risk Tool (CHaRT) heat risk model contains 25 primary hazard, exposure, and vulnerability variables and multiple levels of variable combinations. The model estimates population-weighted and unweighted heat health risk for selected periods and displays estimates on an online visualization platform. Population-weighted risk is historically moderate and primarily limited by hazard, increasing significantly during extreme heat events. Unweighted risk is helpful in identifying lower population areas that have high vulnerability and hazard. Model vulnerability correlate well with existing vulnerability and environmental justice indices.

DISCUSSION

The tool provides location-specific insights into risk drivers and prioritization of risk reduction interventions including population-specific behavioral interventions and built environment modifications. Insights from causal pathways linking climate-sensitive hazards and adverse health impacts can be used to generate hazard-specific models to support adaptation planning.

Longitudinal adherence to breast cancer surveillance following cancer genetic testing in an integrated health care system

PURPOSE

Screening with mammography and breast magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is an important risk management strategy for individuals with inherited pathogenic variants (PVs) in genes associated with increased breast cancer risk. We describe longitudinal screening adherence in individuals who underwent cancer genetic testing as part of usual care in a vertically integrated health system.

METHODS

We determined the proportion time covered (PTC) by annual mammography and breast MRI for individuals with PVs in TP53, BRCA1, BRCA2, PALB2, NF1, CHEK2, and ATM. We determined time covered by biennial mammography beginning at age 50 years for individuals who received negative results, uncertain results, or with PVs in genes without specific breast cancer screening recommendations.

RESULTS

One hundred and forty individuals had PVs in TP53, BRCA1, BRCA2, PALB2, NF1, CHEK2, or ATM. Among these individuals, average PTC was 48% (range 0-99%) for annual screening mammography and 34% (range 0-100%) for annual breast MRI. Average PTC was highest for individuals with PVs in CHEK2 (N = 14) and lowest for individuals with PVs in TP53 (N = 3). Average PTC for biennial mammography (N = 1,027) was 49% (0-100%).

CONCLUSION

Longitudinal screening adherence in individuals with PVs in breast cancer associated genes, as measured by the proportion of time covered, is low; adherence to annual breast MRI falls below that of annual mammography. Additional research should examine screening behavior in individuals with PVs in breast cancer associated genes with a goal of developing interventions to improve adherence to recommended risk management.

Risk-adjusted management in catheterization procedures for non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: A standard operating procedure pilot study

BACKGROUND

The effects of standardized risk-adjusted periprocedural management of cardiac catheterization procedures in Non-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) remain unknown. We implemented a standard operating procedure (SOP) specifying risk assessment (RA, using National Cardiovascular Data Registry (NCDR) risk models) and risk-adjusted management (RM, e.g. intensified monitoring) in 2018 and aimed to investigate staff SOP adherence and associations with patient outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

All 430 invasively managed NSTEMI patients (mean age 72y; 70.9% male) in 2018 were analyzed for staff SOP adherence and in-hospital clinical outcomes. 207 patients (48.1%; RM+) received both RA and RM; 92 patients (21.4%; RM-) received RA but no RM; 131 patients (30.5%; RA-) received neither RA nor RM. Lower staff adherence to RA was associated with emergency settings (51.9% (RA-) vs. 22.1% (RA+); p<0.01), presentation in cardiogenic shock (17.6% (RA-) vs. 6.4% (RA+); p<0.01) and invasive mechanical ventilation (12.2% (RA-) vs. 3.3% (RA+); p<0.01). Early sheath removal (87.9% (RM+) vs. 56.5% (RM-); p<0.01) and intensified monitoring (p<0.01) were more frequent in the RM+ group. All-cause mortality was not different (1.4% (RM+) vs. 4.3% (RM-); p=0.13), but there were fewer major bleeding events with associated with RM (2.4% (RM+) vs. 12% (RM-); p<0.01), which remained independently associated with RM in a multivariate logistic regression model correcting for confounders (p<0.01).

CONCLUSION

In an all-comer patient cohort with NSTEMI, staff adherence to risk-adjusted periprocedural management was independently associated with fewer major bleeding events. Staff adherence to SOP-specified risk assessment was frequently neglected in more critical clinical situations.

Farm-level data on production systems, farmer- and farm characteristics of apple growers in Switzerland

We here present survey data from apple growers across Switzerland. Data from 245 apple growers was collected, using an online survey in French and German in 2022. The sampled growers represent 24.4% from total land under apples. Apple production is one of the most economically relevant and pesticide intensive crops. Hence, the focus of the survey is on growers' pest management decisions and marketing strategies. Survey data contains details on growers' agronomic practices such as grown cultivars, pest management against fungi, insects, and weeds, as well as pesticide use for cosmetic purposes. Moreover, we collected information on pest management after harvest, i.e. storage loss strategies. Marketing characteristics include the sales channel chosen as well as labels used and contract arrangements with buyers. Moreover, detailed data about farm management strategies, behavioral factors, as well as other farm- and farmer characteristics was collected. Survey data is matched with a rich set of environmental data, i.e. precipitation, temperature, and apple scab infection risk.

Dynamic exposure and body burden models for per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) enable management of food safety risks in cattle

With increasing global focus on planetary boundaries, food safety and quality, the presence of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) in the food chain presents a challenge for the sustainable production and supply of quality assured food. Consumption of food is the primary PFAS exposure route for the general population. At contaminated sites, PFAS have been reported in a range of agricultural commodities including cattle. Consumer exposure assessments are complicated by the lack of validated modelling approaches to estimate PFAS bioaccumulation in cattle. Previous studies have shown that PFAS bioaccumulation in livestock is influenced by environmental, spatial and temporal factors that necessitate a dynamic modelling approach. This work presents an integrated exposure and population toxicokinetic (PopTK) model for cattle that estimates serum and tissue concentrations of PFAS over time. Daily exposures were estimated from intakes of water, pasture, and soil, and considered animal growth, seasonal variability (pasture moisture content and temperature) and variable PFAS concentrations across paddocks. Modelled serum and tissue estimates were validated against monitoring data from Australian and Swedish cattle farms. The models were also used to develop and test practical management options for reducing PFAS exposure and to prioritise remediation for farms. Model outputs for exposure management scenarios (testing cattle rotation and targeted supplementation of feed and water) showed potential for marked reductions in consumer exposures from cattle produce.