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Edwards FH, Grover FL. Surgical risk assessment. ADVANCES IN CARDIAC SURGERY 2001; 12:77-96. [PMID: 10949645] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/17/2023]
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Bielefeld MR, Bishop DA, Campbell DN, Mitchell MB, Grover FL, Clarke DR. Reoperative homograft right ventricular outflow tract reconstruction. Ann Thorac Surg 2001; 71:482-7; discussion 487-8. [PMID: 11235694 DOI: 10.1016/s0003-4975(00)02521-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 58] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Homografts are implanted in the right ventricular outflow tract (RVOT) of children, with the knowledge that reoperation might be required. We reviewed 14 years of homograft RVOT reconstruction to assess the feasibility of homograft replacement and to determine risk factors for homograft survival. METHODS From February 1985 through March 1999, 223 children (age 5 days to 16.9 years) underwent primary RVOT reconstruction with an aortic or pulmonary homograft. Of these, 35 patients underwent homograft explant at the implanting hospital with insertion of a second homograft from 2 months to 13.3 years after the first implantation. The primary operation and reoperation patient groups were compared with regard to incidence of early death, late death, homograft-related intervention without explant, and homograft explant. RESULTS Actuarial survival and event-free curves for initial and replacement homografts were not significantly different. Univariable analysis was performed for the following risk factors: weight (p < 0.0001), age (p < 0.003), homograft diameter (p < 0.0001), homograft type (p < 0.01), surgery date (not significant [NS]), gender (NS), Blood Group match (NS), and type of distal anastomosis (NS). Multivariable analysis of significant univariable risks revealed small homograft diameter to be a significant risk factor (p < 0.001) for replacement. CONCLUSIONS The RVOT homografts eventually require replacement. Patient and homograft survival for replacement homografts is similar to primary homografts. Reoperative homograft RVOT reconstruction is possible, with reasonably low morbidity and mortality.
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Hartz RS, Rao AV, Plomondon ME, Grover FL, Shroyer AL. Effects of race, with or without gender, on operative mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting: a study using The Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Database. Ann Thorac Surg 2001; 71:512-20. [PMID: 11235699 DOI: 10.1016/s0003-4975(00)02030-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 51] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although gender is known to be an independent predictor of 30-day operative mortality (OM) after coronary artery bypass grafting, the purpose of this study was to determine whether race-alone or in combination with gender-affects OM. METHODS For 1994 to 1996, The Society of Thoracic Surgeons database records for 441,542 coronary artery bypass grafting-only procedures were analyzed. Baseline annual multivariate models were built. Gender and race were added to each model. Risk-adjusted OM rates were then calculated for race, gender, and their combination. Patients were also stratified into groups of comparable predicted OM to allow for a direct comparison of risk-matched Caucasians and non-Caucasians. RESULTS Of the procedures, 28.2% were on women and 8.5% on non-Caucasians. Overall, OM was 3.29%. Multivariate risk-adjusted OM varied by gender and race (p < 0.10). Risk-adjusted OM rates (with 95% confidence intervals) were 4.0% (3.9% to 4.1%) for females and 3.2% (3.2% to 3.3%) for males. Risk-adjusted OM rates were 3.9% (3.7% to 4.1%) for non-Caucasians and 3.3% (3.2% to 3.3%) for Caucasians. Among equally risk-matched Caucasians and non-Caucasians, non-Caucasians had significantly higher (p < 0.005) mortality among the lower risk subgroups (up to 10% predicted OM) but not among the higher risk subgroups. CONCLUSIONS Race and gender are independent predictors of adverse outcome following coronary artery bypass grafting, holding all other risk factors constant.
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London MJ, Grunwald GK, Shroyer AL, Grover FL. Association of fast-track cardiac management and low-dose to moderate-dose glucocorticoid administration with perioperative hyperglycemia. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2000; 14:631-8. [PMID: 11139100 DOI: 10.1053/jcan.2000.18298] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To delineate associations between preoperative risk factors and clinical processes of care and perioperative glucose tolerance in patients managed on a fast-track cardiac surgery clinical pathway with prebypass methylprednisolone administration. DESIGN Retrospective sequential cohort study. SETTING University-affiliated Department of Veterans Affairs medical center. PARTICIPANTS Fast-track patients (n = 293; n = 72 low-dose methylprednisolone [100-125 mg]; n = 221 moderate-dose methylprednisolone [500 mg]) plus pre-fast-track patients (n = 258; no methylprednisolone) undergoing cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. INTERVENTIONS None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS Multivariate linear regression was used to model the association of 17 preoperative risk and intraoperative process-of-care variables with serum glucose concentration on arrival in the intensive care unit. Preoperative serum glucose concentrations were not significantly different among the pre-fast-track, fast-track with low-dose methylprednisolone, and fast-track with moderate-dose methylprednisolone cohorts (129 +/- 54, 137 +/- 55, 127 +/- 46 mg/dL [mean +/- SD]). Postoperative serum glucose concentrations were significantly different (171 +/- 58, 223 +/- 56, 250 +/- 75 mg/dL; p < 0.03, for all pairwise comparisons). Using backward elimination from the full 17-variable multivariate model (R-square = 0.63), 4 variables remained significant (all p < 0.0001; R-square = 0.60): (1) Preoperative diabetes status (adjusted mean post-operative glucose level, mg/dL; [95% confidence interval (CI)]): no treatment, 193 (188-199); oral agent, 276 (262-291); insulin requiring, 301 (283-320); (2) steroid group: pre-fast-track, 201 (195-209), fast-track with low-dose methylprednisolone, 271 (256-287); fast-track with moderate-dose methylprednisolone, 295 (284-306); (3) volume of glucose-containing cardioplegia (beta coefficient, 95% CI): 2.22% (1.37-3.10) increase per 100 mL; and (4) intraoperative epinephrine infusion: none, 231 (224-239); yes, 276 (264-288). No significant interactions were identified. No significant effect of opioid dose was observed. CONCLUSION At this institution, implementation of the fast-track pathway was associated with a deterioration of glucose tolerance. Preoperative diabetes, pre-cardiopulmonary bypass administration of steroids, volume of glucose-containing cardioplegia solution administered, and use of epinephrine infusions were significantly associated multivariate factors.
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Hammermeister K, Sethi GK, Henderson WG, Grover FL, Oprian C, Rahimtoola SH. Outcomes 15 years after valve replacement with a mechanical versus a bioprosthetic valve: final report of the Veterans Affairs randomized trial. J Am Coll Cardiol 2000; 36:1152-8. [PMID: 11028464 DOI: 10.1016/s0735-1097(00)00834-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 709] [Impact Index Per Article: 29.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The goal of this study was to compare long-term survival and valve-related complications between bioprosthetic and mechanical heart valves. BACKGROUND Different heart valves may have different patient outcomes. METHODS Five hundred seventy-five patients undergoing single aortic valve replacement (AVR) or mitral valve replacement (MVR) at 13 VA medical centers were randomized to receive a bioprosthetic or mechanical valve. RESULTS By survival analysis at 15 years, all-cause mortality after AVR was lower with the mechanical valve versus bioprosthesis (66% vs. 79%, p = 0.02) but not after MVR. Primary valve failure occurred mainly in patients <65 years of age (bioprosthesis vs. mechanical, 26% vs. 0%, p < 0.001 for AVR and 44% vs. 4%, p = 0.0001 for MVR), and in patients > or =65 years after AVR, primary valve failure in bioprosthesis versus mechanical valve was 9 +/- 6% versus 0%, p = 0.16. Reoperation was significantly higher for bioprosthetic AVR (p = 0.004). Bleeding occurred more frequently in patients with mechanical valve. There were no statistically significant differences for other complications, including thromboembolism and all valve-related complications between the two randomized groups. CONCLUSIONS At 15 years, patients undergoing AVR had a better survival with a mechanical valve than with a bioprosthetic valve, largely because primary valve failure was virtually absent with mechanical valve. Primary valve failure was greater with bioprosthesis, both for AVR and MVR, and occurred at a much higher rate in those aged <65 years; in those aged > or =65 years, primary valve failure after AVR was not significantly different between bioprosthesis and mechanical valve. Reoperation was more common for AVR with bioprosthesis. Thromboembolism rates were similar in the two valve prostheses, but bleeding was more common with a mechanical valve.
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MaWhinney S, Brown ER, Malcolm J, VillaNueva C, Groves BM, Quaife RA, Lindenfeld J, Warner BA, Hammermeister KE, Grover FL, Shroyer AL. Identification of risk factors for increased cost, charges, and length of stay for cardiac patients. Ann Thorac Surg 2000; 70:702-10. [PMID: 11016297 DOI: 10.1016/s0003-4975(00)01510-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/17/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In this study we explored different risk model options to provide clinicians with predictions for resource utilization. The hypotheses were that predictors of mortality are not predictive of resource consumption, and that there is a correlation between cost estimates derived using a cost-to-charge ratio or a product-line costing approach. METHODS From March 1992 to June 1995, 2,481 University of Colorado Hospital patients admitted for ischemic heart disease were classified by diagnosis-related group code as having undergone or experienced coronary bypass procedures (CBP), percutaneous cardiovascular procedures (PCVP), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and other cardiac-related discharges (Other). For each diagnosis-related group, Cox proportional hazards models were developed to determine predictors of cost, charges, and length of stay. RESULTS The diagnosis groups differed in the clinical factors that predicted resource use. As the two costing methods were highly correlated, either approach may be used to assess relative resource consumption provided costs are reconciled to audited financial statements. CONCLUSIONS To develop valid prediction models for costs of care, the clinical risk factors that are traditionally used to predict risk-adjusted mortality may need to be expanded.
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Cleveland JC, O'Brien MM, Shroyer AL, Grover FL. Impact of graft ischemic time on outcomes after lung transplantation. Ann Thorac Surg 2000; 69:1986. [PMID: 10892975 DOI: 10.1016/s0003-4975(00)01477-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
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Anderson RJ, O'Brien M, MaWhinney S, VillaNueva CB, Moritz TE, Sethi GK, Henderson WG, Hammermeister KE, Grover FL, Shroyer AL. Mild renal failure is associated with adverse outcome after cardiac valve surgery. Am J Kidney Dis 2000; 35:1127-34. [PMID: 10845827 DOI: 10.1016/s0272-6386(00)70050-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 64] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
The present study was performed to ascertain whether the presence of mild renal failure (defined as a serum creatinine concentration of 1. 5 to 3.0 mg/dL) is an independent risk factor for adverse outcome after cardiac valve surgery. An extensive set of preoperative and postoperative data was collected in 834 prospectively evaluated patients undergoing cardiac valve surgery at 14 Veterans Affairs Medical Centers. Univariate and multivariable analyses were performed to determine whether an independent association of mild renal dysfunction with adverse outcomes was present. Patients with mild renal failure had significantly greater 30-day mortality rates (P = 0.001; 16% versus 6%) and frequency of postoperative bleeding (P = 0.023; 16% versus 8%), respiratory complications (P = 0.02, 29% versus 16%), and cardiac complications (P = 0.002; 18% versus 7%) than patients with normal renal function (serum creatinine <1.5 mg/dL) when controlling for multiple other variables. The presence of a serum creatinine concentration of 1.5 to 3.0 mg/dL is significantly and independently associated with adverse outcomes after cardiac valve surgery.
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Abstract
Clinical science research incorporates the fields of clinical investigation and health services research. With a focus on the use of either human specimens or subjects, clinical investigation research projects translate knowledge gained from basic science research based on animal models for disease. The goal of clinical investigation is to develop new prevention, intervention, and therapeutic approaches to improve patient clinical outcomes. In contrast, health services research focuses on the improvement of the efficacy, cost-effectiveness, and outcomes of care. Health services research projects examine options to improve the health care delivery system, organization, financing, and reimbursement mechanisms in place today. The purpose of this article is to review common terminology and methodologic approaches that are used in clinical science research. The process of designing a research project is reviewed. Beginning with the development of a research question and hypothesis, the steps for successful completion of the project are discussed. Different study design approaches are presented with their respective strengths and weaknesses. The challenges associated with conducting a clinical research study are discussed, including the development of an appropriate sampling strategy, the designing of data collection, instruments, and the assurance of study data integrity. Possible threats to study validity and generalizability are assessed.One the major advantages of clinical research is that it offers an opportunity to study clinical questions in the clinical setting without the expenses of a basic research laboratory and basic science technology. Thus important clinical questions related to patient care, new technology assessment, clinical practice management, health care administration, or health policy may be addressed.
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Huerd SS, Hodges TN, Grover FL, Mault JR, Mitchell MB, Campbell DN, Aziz S, Chetham P, Torres F, Zamora MR. Secondary pulmonary hypertension does not adversely affect outcome after single lung transplantation. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 2000; 119:458-65. [PMID: 10694604 DOI: 10.1016/s0022-5223(00)70124-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Primary and secondary pulmonary hypertension have been associated with poor outcomes after single lung transplantation. Some groups advocate double lung transplantation and the routine use of cardiopulmonary bypass during transplantation in this population. However, the optimal procedure for these patients remains controversial. The goal of our study was to determine the safety of single lung transplantation without cardiopulmonary bypass in patients with secondary pulmonary hypertension. METHODS We retrospectively reviewed 76 consecutive patients with pulmonary parenchymal disease who underwent single lung transplantation from 1992 to 1998. Recipients were stratified according to preoperative mean pulmonary artery pressure. Secondary pulmonary hypertension was defined as parenchymal lung disease with a preoperative mean pulmonary artery pressure of 30 mm Hg or more. Patients with primary pulmonary hypertension or Eisenmenger's syndrome were excluded from analysis. RESULTS Eighteen of 76 patients had secondary pulmonary hypertension. No patient with secondary pulmonary hypertension required cardiopulmonary bypass, whereas 1 patient without pulmonary hypertension required bypass. After the operation, no significant differences were seen in lung injury as measured by chest radiograph score and PaO(2)/FIO(2) ratio, the requirement for inhaled nitric oxide, the length of mechanical ventilation, the intensive care unit or hospital length of stay, and 30-day survival. There were no differences in the forced expiratory volume in 1 second or 6-minute walk at 1 year, or the incidence of rejection, infection, or bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome greater than grade 2. Survival at 1, 2, and 4 years after transplantation was 86%, 79%, and 65%, respectively, in the low pulmonary artery pressure group and 81%, 81%, and 61%, respectively, in the group with secondary pulmonary hypertension (P >.2). CONCLUSION We found that patients with pulmonary parenchymal disease and concomitant secondary pulmonary hypertension had successful outcomes as measured by early and late allograft function and appear to have acceptable long-term survival after single lung transplantation. Our results do not support the routine use of cardiopulmonary bypass or double lung transplantation for patients with this disorder.
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Ferguson TB, Dziuban SW, Edwards FH, Eiken MC, Shroyer AL, Pairolero PC, Anderson RP, Grover FL. The STS National Database: current changes and challenges for the new millennium. Committee to Establish a National Database in Cardiothoracic Surgery, The Society of Thoracic Surgeons. Ann Thorac Surg 2000; 69:680-91. [PMID: 10750744 DOI: 10.1016/s0003-4975(99)01538-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 188] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) established the National Database (NDB) for Cardiac Surgery in 1989. Since then it has grown to be the largest database of its kind in medicine. The NDB has been one of the pioneers in the analysis and reporting of risk-adjusted outcomes in cardiothoracic surgery. METHODS AND RESULTS This report explains the numerous changes in the NDB and its structure that have occurred over the past 2 years. It highlights the benefits of these changes, both to the individual member participants and to the STS overall. Additionally, the vision changes to the NDB and reporting structure are identified. The individuals who have participated in this effort since 1989 are acknowledged, and the STS owes an enormous debt of gratitude to each of them. CONCLUSIONS Because of their collective efforts, the goal to establish the STS NDB as a "gold standard" worldwide for process and outcomes analysis related to cardiothoracic surgery is becoming a reality.
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Almassi GH, Sommers T, Moritz TE, Shroyer AL, London MJ, Henderson WG, Sethi GK, Grover FL, Hammermeister KE. Stroke in cardiac surgical patients: determinants and outcome. Ann Thorac Surg 1999; 68:391-7; discussion 397-8. [PMID: 10475402 DOI: 10.1016/s0003-4975(99)00537-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 97] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite improving outcomes in cardiac surgical patients, stroke continues to remain a major complication. Few prospective studies are available on postoperative stroke. The present study was conducted to elucidate the incidence and predictors of stroke in a large group of cardiac surgical patients. METHODS AND RESULTS Prospective data collected on 4,941 patients undergoing cardiac surgery were subjected to univariate and logistic regression analyses (98.4% men; 72% older than 60 years; 9.1% with history of prior stroke; 80.4% underwent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting). Stroke predictors include history of stroke and hypertension, older age, systolic hypertension, bronchodilator and diuretic use, high serum creatinine, surgical priority, great vessel repair, use of inotropic agents after cardiopulmonary bypass, and total cardiopulmonary bypass time (p < 0.05 for all comparisons). Median intensive care unit and hospital stays were longer, and hospital mortality and 6-month mortality were higher for patients with stroke (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Stroke after cardiac surgical procedures is a morbid event. Identification of predictors and development of strategies to modify these factors should lead to a lower incidence of stroke.
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Grover FL. The Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Database: current status and future directions. Ann Thorac Surg 1999; 68:367-73; discussion 374-6. [PMID: 10475399 DOI: 10.1016/s0003-4975(99)00599-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 44] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/17/2022]
Abstract
The Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Database, established seven years ago by thoracic surgeons for self improvement and quality assurance, now has 1,181,464 patients registered, including 897,914 coronary artery bypass operations. Risk-adjusted 30 day mortality for coronary bypass procedures, unadjusted mortality for other cardiothoracic procedures, unadjusted morbidity and length of stay as well as several processes of care are measured. There has been a progressive decrease in operative mortality and length of stay over the past seven years. Deaths, complications, and lengths of stay are stratified according to estimated risk of death. Definitions have been refined in conjunction with the American College of Cardiology. The database is being increasingly utilized for state analyses and is in demand by other organizations and third party carriers. Logistic regression analysis is now utilized for development of the risk models. The database has been useful for health care policy decisions and can be useful for our Professional Affairs Committee in their dealings with government. Other uses include measuring access to care and cost. Data quality improvement measures have been put in place, as well as data manager education. The General Thoracic and Congenital data acquisition packages are being modified and improved, and a goal is to begin collecting longitudinal data to demonstrate the long term efficacy of thoracic procedures. The data elements have been decreased from 500 to 200+ core variables for simplification. With the changing healthcare environment and emphasis on cost cutting, collecting valid data by a national specialty group enhances the monitoring of quality of care, thus protecting our patients from overzealous cutbacks. Data is essential to document the efficacy, quality and cost-effectiveness of the procedures we perform and is a necessary tool for each of us to have to assure the quality and continued success of our practices.
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Rumsfeld JS, MaWhinney S, McCarthy M, Shroyer AL, VillaNueva CB, O'Brien M, Moritz TE, Henderson WG, Grover FL, Sethi GK, Hammermeister KE. Health-related quality of life as a predictor of mortality following coronary artery bypass graft surgery. Participants of the Department of Veterans Affairs Cooperative Study Group on Processes, Structures, and Outcomes of Care in Cardiac Surgery. JAMA 1999; 281:1298-303. [PMID: 10208145 DOI: 10.1001/jama.281.14.1298] [Citation(s) in RCA: 362] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022]
Abstract
CONTEXT Health-related quality of life has not been evaluated as a predictor of mortality following coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. Evaluation of health status as a mortality predictor may be useful for preoperative risk stratification. OBJECTIVE To determine whether the Physical and Mental Component Summary scores from the preoperative Short-Form 36 (SF-36) health status survey predict mortality following CABG surgery after adjustment for known clinical risk variables. DESIGN Prospective cohort study conducted between September 1992 and December 1996. SETTING Fourteen Veterans Affairs hospitals. PATIENTS Of the 3956 patients undergoing CABG surgery only and who were enrolled in the Processes, Structures, and Outcomes of Care in Cardiac Surgery study, the 2480 who completed a preoperative SF-36. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE All-cause mortality within 180 days after surgery. RESULTS A total of 117 deaths (4.7%) occurred within 180 days of CABG surgery. The Physical Component Summary of the preoperative SF-36 was a statistically significant risk factor for 6-month mortality after adjustment for known clinical risk factors for mortality following CABG surgery. In multivariate analysis, a 10-point lower SF-36 Physical Component Summary score had an odds ratio (OR) of 1.39 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11-1.77; P=.006) for predicting mortality. The SF-36 Mental Component Summary score was not associated with 6-month mortality in multivariate analyses (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.92-1.29; P=.31). CONCLUSIONS The Physical Component Summary score from the preoperative SF-36 is an independent risk factor for mortality following CABG surgery. The baseline Mental Component Summary score does not appear to be predictive of mortality. Preoperative patient self-report of the physical component of health status may be helpful for risk stratification and clinical decision making for patients undergoing CABG surgery.
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Jamieson WR, Edwards FH, Schwartz M, Bero JW, Clark RE, Grover FL. Risk stratification for cardiac valve replacement. National Cardiac Surgery Database. Database Committee of The Society of Thoracic Surgeons. Ann Thorac Surg 1999; 67:943-51. [PMID: 10320233 DOI: 10.1016/s0003-4975(99)00175-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 175] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Database Committee is committed to risk stratification and assessment as integral elements in the practice of cardiac operations. The National Cardiac Surgery Database was created to analyze data from subscribing institutions across the country. We analyzed the database for valve replacement procedures with and without coronary artery bypass grafting to determine trends in risk stratification. METHODS The database contains complete records of 86,580 patients who had valve replacement procedures at the participating institutions between 1986 and 1995, inclusive. The 1995 harvest of data was conducted in late 1996 and available for evaluation in 1997. These records were used to conduct an in-depth analysis of risk factors associated with valve replacement and to provide prediction of operative death by using regression analysis. Regression models were made for six subgroups. RESULTS Adverse patient risk factors, including diabetes, hypertension and reoperation, but not ventricular function, increased over time. There were trends with regard to increasing age of the various population subsets. The types of prostheses used remained similar over time, with more mechanical prostheses than bioprostheses used for both aortic and mitral valve replacement. There was a trend toward increased use of bioprostheses in aortic replacements and decreased use in mitral replacements between 1991 and 1995 than between 1986 and 1990. The mortality rate was determined by patient subset for primary operation and reoperation and by urgency status. The modeling showed that the predicted and observed mortality correlated for all age groups and within patient subsets. CONCLUSIONS Risk modeling is a valuable tool for predicting the probability of operative death in any individual patient. This large, multiinstitutional database is capable of determining modern operative risk and should provide standards for acceptable care. The study illustrates the importance of risk stratification for early death both for the patient and the surgeon.
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Shroyer AL, Plomondon ME, Grover FL, Edwards FH. The 1996 coronary artery bypass risk model: the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac National Database. Ann Thorac Surg 1999; 67:1205-8. [PMID: 10320291 DOI: 10.1016/s0003-4975(99)00206-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 106] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac National Database has recently completed the update for the 1996 risk model to be used to estimate the risk of operative death for isolated coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) procedures. METHODS We placed emphasis on clinical relevance, data quality, data completeness, and univariate analyses. A logistic regression approach was used to develop the 1996 CABG-only risk model. RESULTS Odds ratios for the factors with highest risk are multiple reoperations (OR = 4.3), emergent salvage status (OR = 3.7), and first reoperation (OR = 2.7). Standard performance measures indicated the model had high predictive power and an acceptable level of calibration after adjustment for a large sample size effect. CONCLUSION The most current STS risk model of CABG operative mortality is a reliable and statistically valid tool. The 1996 CABG-only model has been approved for use by The Society of Thoracic Surgeons.
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Anderson RJ, O'brien M, MaWhinney S, VillaNueva CB, Moritz TE, Sethi GK, Henderson WG, Hammermeister KE, Grover FL, Shroyer AL. Renal failure predisposes patients to adverse outcome after coronary artery bypass surgery. VA Cooperative Study #5. Kidney Int 1999; 55:1057-62. [PMID: 10027944 DOI: 10.1046/j.1523-1755.1999.0550031057.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 150] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND More than 600,000 coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) procedures are done annually in the United States. Some data indicate that 10 to 20% of patients who are undergoing a CABG procedure have a serum creatinine of more than 1.5 mg/dl. There are few data on the impact of a mild increase in serum creatinine concentration on CABG outcome. METHODS We analyzed a Veterans Affairs database obtained prospectively from 1992 through 1996 at 14 of 43 centers performing heart surgery. We compared the outcome after CABG in patients with a baseline serum creatinine of less than 1.5 mg/dl (median 1.1 mg/dl, N = 3271) to patients with a baseline serum creatinine of 1.5 to 3.0 mg/dl (median 1.7, N = 631). RESULTS Univariate analysis revealed that patients with a serum creatinine of 1.5 to 3.0 mg/dl had a higher 30-day mortality (7% vs. 3%, P < 0.001) requirement for prolonged mechanical ventilation (15% vs. 8%, P = 0.001), stroke (7% vs. 2%, P < 0.001), renal failure requiring dialysis at discharge (3% vs. 1%, P < 0.001), and bleeding complications (8% vs. 3%, P < 0.001) than patients with a baseline serum creatinine of less than 1.5 mg/dl. Multiple logistic regression analyses found that patients with a baseline serum creatinine of less than 1.5 mg/dl had significantly lower (P < 0.02) 30-day mortality and postoperative bleeding and ventilatory complications than patients with a serum creatinine of 1.5 to 3.0 mg/dl when controlling for all other variables. CONCLUSION These results demonstrate that mild renal failure is an independent risk factor for adverse outcome after CABG.
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Abstract
The elderly segment of the population is increasing rapidly, and surgeons are more frequently being requested to operate on this group of patients. A number of reports suggest that elderly patients have a significantly higher incidence of operative mortality and 30-day hospital mortality as compared with younger patients. Elderly patients also had a significantly higher increased incidence of complications, such as renal failure, prolonged ventilation, and incidence of strokes and postoperative cardiac arrest. Regarding coronary artery disease, elderly patients are more acutely sick on admission, are more likely to have triple-vessel disease, more likely have comorbid disease, and are usually less likely to receive an internal mammary artery graft. The presence of valvular disorders with concomitant coronary disease (especially mitral ischemic related valve disease) increases operative time, morbidity, and mortality. Efforts must continue to be made to gather data on outcomes of cardiac surgery in the elderly. Consideration must be given to modify the operative approach that minimizes cardiopulmonary bypass time, mitigates the multisystem organ injury associated with cardiopulmonary bypass, and decreases the likelihood of embolization from the ascending aorta. Future efforts must be made to develop measures to decrease the complications rate identified in elderly patients.
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Sheridan BC, Hodges TN, Zamora MR, Lynch DL, Brown JM, Campbell DN, Grover FL. Acute and chronic effects of bilateral lung transplantation without cardiopulmonary bypass on the first transplanted lung. Ann Thorac Surg 1998; 66:1755-8. [PMID: 9875784 DOI: 10.1016/s0003-4975(98)00936-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Bilateral lung transplantation (BLT) without cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) may exacerbate reperfusion injury to the initially engrafted lung because of increases in pulmonary flow during implantation of the second graft. METHODS In a retrospective review of 23 BLT patients, we hypothesized that BLT without CPB injures the first transplanted lung measured by acute and late graft dysfunction compared to the second transplanted lung. Of the 23 BLT, 19 underwent transplantation without CPB while 4 patients were placed on CPB secondary to hemodynamic instability. RESULTS Acute graft function was assessed by radiographic scoring of lung quadrants (blinded radiologist; 0 = no infiltrate; 1 = infiltrate; maximum = 2 per lung) and by arterial/alveolar oxygen tension ratios (PaO2/ FiO2) ratios. Late graft function was evaluated by quantitative perfusion scan. Lung perfusion was graded as abnormal if less than 50% on the right or less than 45% on the left (Fisher's exact). Radiographic scores were not different between first and second implanted lungs at 1 and 24 hours, PaO2/FiO2 ratios at 1 and 24 hours were 273+/-26 and 312+/-23, respectively, and perfusion scans at 3 and 12 months revealed normal differential blood flow. CONCLUSIONS These findings suggest no acute or chronic differences occur between the first or second transplanted lung completed without CPB.
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Mitchell MB, Campbell DN, Clarke DR, Fullerton DA, Grover FL, Boucek MM, Pietra B, Luna M, Shroyer AL, Coll JR, Rosky JW. Infant heart transplantation: improved intermediate results. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 1998; 116:242-52. [PMID: 9699576 DOI: 10.1016/s0022-5223(98)70123-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Our objectives were to (1) review our experience with heart transplants in infants (age < 6 months), (2) delineate risk factors for 30-day mortality, and (3) compare outcomes between our early and recent experience. METHODS Records of all infants listed for transplantation in our center before September 1996 were analyzed. Early and recent comparisons were made between chronologic halves of the accrual period. Univariate analysis was used to analyze potential risk factors for 30-day mortality (categorical variables, Fisher's exact test; continuous variables, nonparametric Wilcoxon rank-sum test). Multivariable analysis included univariate variables with p values < or = 0.10. Actuarial survivals were estimated (Kaplan-Meier) and compared by the log-rank test. RESULTS Fifty-one of the 60 infants listed for transplantation were operated on (waiting list mortality 15%). Thirty-day mortality was 18% overall, 30% in the first 3 years and 10% in the last 3 years (p = 0.07). Sepsis was the commonest cause of early death (4/9). Univariate analysis suggested four potential risk factors for early death: preoperative mechanical ventilation (p = 0.01), prior sternotomy (p = 0.002), preoperative inotropic drugs (p = 0.08), and warm ischemia time (p = 0.08). Multivariable analysis indicated that prior sternotomy (p = 0.01) was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality. Actuarial survivals were 80%, 78%, and 70% at 1, 2, and 3 years, and these figures improved between early and recent groups (p = 0.05). Late deaths were most commonly due to acute rejection (3/5). CONCLUSIONS Results of heart transplantation in infancy improve with experience. Prior sternotomy increases initial risk. Intermediate-term survival for infants with end-stage heart disease is excellent.
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Meldrum DR, Shames BD, Meng X, Fullerton DA, McIntyre RC, Grover FL, Harken AH. Nitric oxide downregulates lung macrophage inflammatory cytokine production. Ann Thorac Surg 1998; 66:313-7. [PMID: 9725362 DOI: 10.1016/s0003-4975(98)00525-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 52] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Inflammatory cytokine production contributes to lung injury after lung ischemia reperfusion and during lung transplant rejection. Although nitric oxide has been demonstrated to reduce lung injury associated with the adult respiratory distress syndrome, it remains unknown whether the mechanism of nitric oxide's beneficial effects involves reducing lung macrophage inflammatory cytokine production. The purpose of this study was to determine whether nitric oxide downregulates lung macrophage inflammatory cytokine production. METHODS Lung macrophages were harvested by bronchoalveolar lavage (10(6) macrophage per milliliter from normal Sprague-Dawley rats, 6 animals per group) and treated under ex vivo tissue culture conditions with the nitric oxide releasing compound S-nitoso-N-acetyl-D, L-penicillamine (0, 10(-5) 10(-4), 10(-3), 10(-2) mol/L) before induction of inflammatory cytokines with endotoxin, (50 ng/mL for 24 hours). Supernatants were assayed for inflammatory cytokine production (tumor necrosis factor alpha, interleukin-1beta) by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. RESULTS Continuous nitric oxide release by S-nitoso-N-acetyl-D, L-penicillamine decreased lung macrophage tumor necrosis factor-alpha and interleukin-1beta production in a dose-dependent fashion (6 rats per group; data were analyzed for significance [p < 0.05] using two-way analysis of variance with Tukey's post-hoc correction). CONCLUSIONS Nitric oxide decreases inflammatory cytokine production by lung macrophage. The mechanism of nitric oxide's beneficial effects may be partially attributable to decreased production of inflammatory cytokines. Nitric oxide may serve an expanded role for reducing inflammatory cytokine production during acute lung injury, ischemia-reperfusion-induced inflammation, or lung transplant rejection.
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Abstract
BACKGROUND In spite of many reports investigating the influence of gender on coronary artery operations, it is still uncertain whether gender is an independent risk factor for operative mortality. A major problem of previous reports has centered around the fact that men and women constitute quite different populations, thereby making direct comparisons difficult. METHODS The Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Cardiac Surgery Database was used to retrospectively examine 344,913 patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft operations from 1994 through the most recent data harvest. The operative mortality of male and female patients was compared for a variety of single risk factors and combinations of risk factors. A logistic risk model was used to account for all important patient parameters so that individuals could be stratified into comparable categories allowing for direct comparisons of risk-matched male and female patients. RESULTS The univariate analysis showed that the 97,153 women carried a significantly higher mortality for each of the risk factors examined. The multivariate analysis and the risk model stratification showed that women had significantly higher mortality as compared to equally matched men in the low- and medium-risk part of the spectrum, but in high-risk patients, there was no difference between male and female mortality. CONCLUSIONS Gender is an independent predictor of operative mortality except for patients in very high-risk categories.
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London MJ, Shroyer AL, Coll JR, MaWhinney S, Fullerton DA, Hammermeister KE, Grover FL. Early extubation following cardiac surgery in a veterans population. Anesthesiology 1998; 88:1447-58. [PMID: 9637636 DOI: 10.1097/00000542-199806000-00006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 74] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Early tracheal extubation is an important component of the "fast track" cardiac surgery pathway. Factors associated with time to extubation in the Department of Veterans Affairs (DVA) population are unknown. The authors determined associations of preoperative risk and intraoperative clinical process variables with time to extubation in this population. METHODS Three hundred four consecutive patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft, valve surgery, or both on a fast track clinical pathway between October 1, 1993 and September 30, 1995 at a university-affiliated DVA medical center were studied retrospectively. After univariate screening of a battery of preoperative risk and intraoperative clinical process variables, stepwise logistic regression was used to determine associations with tracheal extubation < or = 10 h (early) or > 10 h (late) after surgery. Postoperative lengths of stay, complications, and 30-day and 6-month mortality rates were compared between the two groups. RESULTS One hundred forty-six patients (48.3%) were extubated early; one patient required emergent reintubation (0.7%). Of the preoperative risk variables considered, only age (odds ratio, 1.80 per 10-yr increment) and preoperative intraaortic balloon pump (odds ratio, 7.88) were multivariately associated with time to extubation (model R) ("late" association is indicated by an odds ratio >1.00; "early" association is indicated by an odds ratio <1.00). Entry of these risk variables into a second regression model, followed by univariately significant intraoperative clinical process variables, yielded the following associations (model R-P): age (odds ratio, 1.86 per 10-yr increment), sufentanil dose (odds ratio, 1.54 per 1-microg/kg increment), major inotrope use (odds ratio, 5.73), platelet transfusion (odds ratio, 10.03), use of an arterial graft (odds ratio, 0.32), and fentanyl dose (odds ratio, 1.45 per 10-microg/kg increment). Time of arrival in the intensive care unit after surgery was also significant (odds ratio, 1.42 per 1-h increment). Intraoperative clinical process variables added significantly to model performance (P < 0.001 by the likelihood ratio test). CONCLUSIONS In this population, early tracheal extubation was accomplished in 48% of patients. Intraoperative clinical process variables are important factors to be considered in the timing of postoperative extubation after fast track cardiac surgery.
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