Atypical processing of amyloid precursor fusion protein by proteolytic activity in Pichia pastoris

Secretases catalyze the production of important proteolytic products of the amyloid precursor protein. We expressed a fusion protein that contained horseradish peroxidase, fragment 590-695 of amyloid precursor protein, and c-myc and polyhistidine tags in Pichia pastoris. It secreted a 50-kDa N-terminal fragment; a 15-kDa C-terminal fragment accumulated in cells. The N-terminal fragment exhibited peroxidase activity and reacted with antibodies specific for peptides within the sequences -2 to 15 and 21-37 of beta-amyloid peptide. The C-terminal fragment reacted with antibodies that recognize the sequences 649-664 and 676-695 of amyloid precursor protein and the C-terminal c-myc tag. To locate the cut site, the C-terminal fragment was metabolically labeled with either [(35)S]Met or [(3)H]Lys and radiosequenced. A major component, derived from a cleavage at Gly(25)-Ser(26) of beta-amyloid, was detected. Results suggest a predominant atypical cleavage, like that observed in Down Syndrome fibroblasts, occurs between the alpha- and gamma-sites.

Metastatic renal cell carcinoma with concurrent inferior vena caval invasion: long-term survival after combination therapy with radical nephrectomy, vena caval thrombectomy and postoperative immunotherapy

PURPOSE

We report our experience using aggressive multimodal therapy in a high risk group of patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma and concurrent inferior vena caval extension.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the records of all patients in our kidney cancer database who had metastatic renal cell carcinoma and tumor thrombus extension into the inferior vena cava at the initial diagnosis. Patients were included in the study if they underwent radical nephrectomy and inferior venal caval thombectomy, and immunotherapy was planned for the postoperative period. Tumor size and grade, metastatic sites, level of vena caval extension, surgical complications and overall survival were obtained from the medical records. The primary end point analyzed was overall survival.

RESULTS

We identified 31 cases of metastatic renal cell cancer with extensive disease and vena caval extension. Of the patients 23% had an isolated lung metastasis, and 53% had metastasis in the lung and at other sites. The remaining patients had involvement primarily at nonpulmonary metastatic sites, including lymph node in 38%, soft tissue in 13%, liver in 29% and bone in 10%. Average blood loss during nephrectomy was 3,200 cc (median 2,100) and the rate of major complications was 12%. Of the patients 80% underwent the full course of surgery and postoperative immunotherapy. At a mean followup of 18 months (34 for survivors) 26% of the patients are alive. Actuarial overall 5-year survival of the group was 17%. Tumor thrombus level did not correlate with overall survival, while immunotherapy, tumor grade and metastatic site provided significant prognostic information. In patients with an isolated pulmonary metastasis the 5-year survival rate was 43%, while in those with low grade tumors it was 52%.

CONCLUSIONS

In contrast to the poor results of surgery only in patients with renal cell carcinoma and concurrent inferior venal caval invasion, reasonable 5-year survival may be achieved after combined aggressive surgery and immunotherapy. Patients in whom metastasis was limited to the lungs and those with grade 1 to 2 tumors had a better prognosis. With careful planning and experienced immunotherapists therapy may be completed in the majority of this high risk group of patients.

Memory self-appraisal in middle-aged and older adults with the apolipoprotein E-4 allele

OBJECTIVE

Because subjective memory complaints may indicate subtle functional brain abnormalities, the authors studied the influence of the major genetic risk for Alzheimer's disease, the apolipoprotein E-4 (APOE-4) allele, on self-reports of memory performance in middle-aged and older adults.

METHOD

Subjective and objective assessments of memory performance were compared in relation to the presence or absence of the APOE-4 allele in 39 cognitively intact persons with mild memory complaints.

RESULTS

Subjects with the APOE-4 allele had lower scores on objective verbal memory and on the subjective memory measure for retrospective functioning. Among the subjects in the age range where APOE-4 has its greatest influence on the risk of Alzheimer's disease (55-74 years), the APOE-4 group had lower scores on the subjective memory measure for frequency of forgetting. Moreover, the standardized difference in retrospective functioning scores between the two genetic risk groups increased when the mid-age-range group was examined rather than the whole study group.

CONCLUSIONS

The APOE-4 allele is associated with increased subjective memory impairment in middle-aged and older adults. Longitudinal studies of age-related memory loss should include genetic risk and subjective memory measures as potential predictors of decline.

Patterns of late corneal scarring after photorefractive keratectomy in high and severe myopia

OBJECTIVE

To study the correlation between scarring 1 year after photorefractive keratectomy (PRK), final refraction, and degree of myopia.

DESIGN

A retrospective, noncomparative case series.

PARTICIPANTS

One hundred twenty eyes of 78 patients underwent PRK for high and severe myopia. Thirty-nine eyes had a pre-PRK spherical equivalent (SE) between -9.5 and -18.25 diopters (D) (severe myopia). Eighty-one eyes had a pre-PRK SE between -6.25 and -9.25 D (high myopia). Follow-up time ranged between 12 and 37 months with a mean of 18.2 months.

INTERVENTION

Multizone PRK with the VISX 20/20 excimer laser.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Corneal scarring, final best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA), and refraction.

RESULTS

There were 71.7% of eyes with severe myopia and 60.5% of eyes with high myopia found to have any pattern of stromal scarring, which was classified as focal, semiannular, annular, and discoid. Discoid scars were rare (6.6%) and found in 12.8% of severe myopic eyes compared to 3.7% of high myopic eyes. Only 50% of the eyes with a discoid scar achieved final BCVA between 6/6 and 6/9 compared to 81.6% of the eyes with a clear cornea. The severe myopic eyes with a discoid scar had the highest level of final undercorrection (-5.0 D) compared to a maximum of -1.5 D in the high myopia group. The severe myopic eyes with a discoid scar had a higher number of retreatments (4 of 5) compared to the high myopia group (1 of 3). Other types of scars were less clinically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Photorefractive keratectomy was efficient in the correction of high myopia but less so in severe myopia, in which discoid scarring was more frequent and more clinically significant, being associated with significant regression. Other types of scarring were less clinically significant.

Three year results of photoastigmatic refractive keratectomy for mild and atypical keratoconus

PURPOSE

To evaluate the long-term effect of photoastigmatic refractive keratectomy (PARK) on mild keratoconus.

SETTING

Laser Unit, Ein Tal Eye Center, Tel Aviv, Israel.

METHODS

Eight eyes of 6 patients with stable compound myopic astigmatism and topography features of keratoconus were treated with a VISX Twenty-Twenty excimer laser. The laser beam slit width ranged between 4.8 and 5.0 mm according to the degree of cylinder. Preoperative slitlamp examination did not reveal significant thinning, ectasia, or scarring. Astigmatism ranged between -2.00 and -7.50 diopters and follow-up, between 36 and 48 months.

RESULTS

In 7 of 8 eyes, uncorrected visual acuity (UCVA) before PARK ranged between 6/30 and finger counting. After PARK, it ranged between 6/9(-) and 6/15, and patients could manage in most of their daily activities without using spectacles. In 2 eyes, the final UCVA was 6/15(-) and 6/15. In 1 eye, treatment failed to improve UCVA and corneal topography revealed progression of the keratoconus.

CONCLUSIONS

Photoastigmatic keratectomy was partially effective in eyes with mild stable keratoconus. However, the long-term results may be altered by progression of corneal thinning and ecstatic disease. In addition to the mild nature of the keratoconus, this is a small series and further studies are needed to confirm these results.

Changes in cytokine production of breast cancer patients treated with interferons

A clinical randomized study was performed on advanced breast cancer patients who were treated by interferons (IFN) beta and gamma in combination with hormonotherapy (Megace or Tamoxifen). Cytokine levels (IL-1beta, IL-2, IL-6, TNF-alpha, IFN-gamma) and sIL-2R of individual patients before, during (3 months) and after (6 months) therapy were evaluated and correlated to clinical response according to UICC criteria (responder patients-partial or Complete Response versus non-responder patients-Stable/Progression). Decreases in IL-1beta, IL-6 and sIL-2R were associated with clinical response to therapy versus increases in their levels which corresponded to progression of disease. A significant and dramatic increase in IFN-gamma levels was associated with a favourable response to therapy in the IFNs-treated patients, mainly in the group of Tamoxifen. Baseline levels of sIL-2R and of IFN-gamma were prognostic of clinical response and were found to be the most sensitive cytokine parameters for defining the clinical utility of the combination of IFNs and hormonotherapy in breast cancer patients.

VEGF administration in chronic myocardial ischemia in pigs

OBJECTIVE

Previous investigations have shown the effectiveness of sustained intra- or extravascular administration of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) in chronic myocardial ischemia in improvement of left ventricular function. The present investigations were undertaken in order to evaluate efficacy of a single bolus or local intracoronary delivery.

METHODS

Yorkshire pigs underwent placement of a left circumflex artery ameroid occluder. Three weeks later the animals were randomized to treatment with VEGF (20 micrograms) accomplished by local intracoronary delivery system (InfusaSleeve, n = 10), intracoronary bolus infusion (n = 7) or by epicardial implantation of an osmotic delivery system (n = 7). An additional group of animals received intracoronary administration of saline and served as a control (n = 9). Three weeks after initiation of therapy, the animals were evaluated with regard to myocardial perfusion and global as well as regional ventricular function.

RESULTS

All three VEGF treatment groups but not the control animals demonstrated a significant increase in the left-to-left (but not right-to-left) collateral index, myocardial blood flow (pre-therapy LCX vs. LAD (average of all groups): 0.76 +/- 0.35 vs. 0.96 +/- 0.38 ml*min-1*g-1, p = 0.03; post-therapy: LCX vs. LAD: 1.16 +/- 0.39 vs. 1.15 +/- 0.28 ml*min-1*g-1, p = NS) and coronary vasodilatory reserve 3 weeks after growth factor administration. The observed increase in VEGF-induced perfusion correlated with improvement in regional ventricular function in all VEGF-treated groups (pre-therapy vs. post-therapy: i.c. VEGF 20 +/- 5.1 vs. 33 +/- 4.8; local VEGF 16 +/- 2.8 vs. 33.6; pump VEGF 17 +/- 3.8 vs. 34 +/- 4.9 p < 0.05 for all) but not control animals (21 +/- 3.3 vs. 27 +/- 5.8, p = NS).

CONCLUSION

Single intracoronary delivery (intravascular bolus or local delivery) of VEGF is effective in stimulating physiologically significant angiogenesis in porcine model of chronic myocardial ischemia.

A putative HCO3- transporter in the cyanobacterium Synechococcus sp. strain PCC 7942

Cyanobacteria possess an inducible mechanism which enables them to concentrate inorganic carbon (Ci) within the cells. An inactivation library was used to raise the high-CO2-requiring mutant of Synechococcus PCC 7942, IL-2, impaired in HCO3- transport. Analysis of the relevant genomic DNA detected several modifications, probably due to the single crossover recombination, leading to inactivation of ORF467 (designated ictB) in IL-2. IctB contains 10 trans-membrane regions and is homologous to several transport-related proteins from various organisms. Kinetic analyses of HCO3- uptake in the wild type and IL-2 suggested the presence of two or three HCO3- carriers exhibiting different affinities to HCO3-.

The Development and Validation of Scales Assessing Students' Achievement Goal Orientations

Achievement goal theory has emerged as a major new direction in motivational research. A distinction is made among conceptually different achievement goal orientations including the goal to develop ability (task goal orientation), the goal to demonstrate ability (ability-approach goal orientation), and the goal to avoid the demonstration of lack of ability (ability-avoid goal orientation). Scales assessing each of these goal orientations were developed over an eight year period by a group of researchers at the University of Michigan. The results of studies conducted with seven different samples of elementary and middle school students are used to describe the internal consistency, stability, and construct validity of the scales. Comparisons of these scales with those developed by Nicholls and his colleagues provide evidence of convergent validity. Confirmatory factor analysis attests to the discriminant validity of the scales. Copyright 1998 Academic Press.

Modification of topA in Synechococcus sp. PCC 7942 resulted in mutants capable of growing under low but not high concentration of CO2

Insertion of a cartridge encoding kanamycin resistance within an open reading frame, ORF839, in the cyanobacterium Synechococcus sp. PCC 7942 resulted in merodiploids bearing both the normal and the modified ORF839, suggesting that its gene product is essential for growth. In the absence of kanamycin the mutants were able to grow like the wild type, but in its presence the mutants grew under 0.015% CO2 in air but not under 5% CO2 in air. ORF839, identified in this study, is highly homologous to topA encoding topoisomerase I in several organisms, but it does not contain the zinc-binding motif identified in the C-terminal region of the enzyme from Escherichia coli.

A mutant of Synechococcus PCC 7942 impaired in HCO3- uptake

An inactivation library was used to isolate high-CO2-requiring mutants of Synechococcus PCC 7942. One of them, mutant IL-7, is composed of elongated cells, some 5-15 times longer than the wild-type. IL-7 is impaired in the ability to accumulate inorganic carbon within the cells due to a lesion in HCO3- transport. Consequently, the apparent photosynthetic affinity for external inorganic carbon was about 50-100-fold lower than in the wild-type. Analysis of the genomic region modified in IL-7 demonstrated that the inactivating fragment was composed of two genomically unrelated fragments which were ligated together during the formation of the inactivation library. One of the fragments originated from a known genomic region, rbcLS, encoding ribulose 1,5-bisphosphate carboxylase/oxygenase and the other showed high homology to mutS encoding a DNA mismatch repair protein. We suggest that the primary lesion in IL-7 was in mutS and not in rbcLS, and that the phenotype of IL-7 resulted from secondary random mutations. We were unable to identify the spontaneous mutation(s) due to low transformability of IL-7. Our finding that two unrelated fragments ligated together points to possible mistakes in the identification of the function of putative genes with the aid of an inactivation library.

Sialic acid in childhood renal diseases: correlation with clinical and laboratory indices

There are many kinds of glycoproteins that have sialic acid residues and it has been reported that these are elevated in some renal diseases and their significance in the pathogenesis of several renal diseases has been investigated. In the present study the serum and urine levels of sialic acid were measured in healthy controls and in children with either poststreptococcal acute glomerulonephritis (PSAGN) or minimal change nephrotic syndrome (MCNS) to test if there is any correlation with clinical and laboratory indices. In PSAGN and MCNS patients the serum and urine sialic acid concentrations at onset and relapse were significantly different from healthy controls (Mann-Whitney U-test P < 0.005). There was not a significant correlation between the clinical severity, serum creatinine and complement C3 levels and serum sialic acid concentrations in PSAGN patients. Also there was not a significant correlation between edema, serum albumin, IgG, transferrin, alpha-1-antitrypsin and serum sialic acid concentrations in MCNS patients. Although high serum and urine sialic acid levels were found in both PSAGN and MCNS patients, it does not have any clinical significance nor is it important as a diagnostic or prognostic marker.

Nurse-managed primary care in a rural community. Outcomes of five years of practice

Nursing centers offer underserved populations affordable access to primary health care. But to build their case for inclusion in managed care plans and the health care delivery systems of the future, they must document their successes.

The effect of metabolic acidosis on serum apolipoprotein A I and apolipoprotein B levels in children with chronic renal failure

In this report serum apolipoprotein A I (Apo A I) and apolipoprotein B (Apo B) levels were determined in children with chronic renal disease (CRD) during metabolic acidosis, after the correction of metabolic acidosis and in healthy children to look for the effect of metabolic acidosis on Apo A I and B levels. It was found that Apo A I levels were significantly decreased during metabolic acidosis (p < 0.05) but Apo A I/Apo B ratios were not affected before and after the correction of acidosis in the CRD group (p > 0.05) although it was significantly different from those in the controls (p < 0.01).

Sustained net CO2 evolution during photosynthesis by marine microorganisms

BACKGROUND

Many aquatic photosynthetic microorganisms possess an inorganic-carbon-concentrating mechanism that raises the CO2 concentration at the intracellular carboxylation sites, thus compensating for the relatively low affinity of the carboxylating enzyme for its substrate. In cyanobacteria, the concentrating mechanism involves the energy-dependent influx of inorganic carbon, the accumulation of this carbon--largely in the form of HCO3(-)-in the cytoplasm, and the generation of CO2 at carbonic anhydrase sites in close proximity to the carboxylation sites.

RESULTS

During measurements of inorganic carbon fluxes associated with the inorganic-carbon-concentrating mechanism, we observed the surprising fact that several marine photosynthetic microorganisms, including significant contributors to oceanic primary productivity, can serve as a source of CO2 rather than a sink during CO2 fixation. The phycoerythrin-possessing cyanobacterium Synechococcus sp. WH7803 evolved CO2 at a rate that increased with light intensity and attained a value approximately five-fold that for photosynthesis. The external CO2 concentration reached was significantly higher than that predicted for chemical equilibrium between HCO3- and CO2, as confirmed by the rapid decline in the CO2 concentration upon the addition of carbonic anhydrase. Measurements of oxygen exchange between water and CO2, by means of stable isotopes, demonstrated that the evolved CO2 originated from HCO3- taken up and converted intracellularly to CO2 in a light-dependent process.

CONCLUSIONS

We report net, sustained CO2 evolution during photosynthesis. The results have implications for energy balance and pH regulation of the cells, for carbon cycling between the cells and the marine environment, and for the observed fractionation of stable carbon isotopes.

The Effect of Achievement Goals: Does Level of Perceived Academic Competence Make a Difference?

Researchers using a goal orientation framework have hypothesized that learning goals are associated with adaptive patterns of behavior, regardless of the level of perceived ability. In contrast, perceived ability is hypothesized to moderate the relation between performance goals and patterns of adaptive or maladaptive behavior. We examined this hypothesis in two samples of seventh grade middle school students, focusing on the math domain in one sample and on the English domain in the other. Using two different statistical methods, median split and multiple regression, we found only little support for the role of perceived competence as a moderator between performance goals and patterns of behavior. Contrary to what has been suggested, we found some evidence that perceived competence moderated the relation between learning goals and behavior. Implications of these findings for recent efforts to use goal theory to reform classrooms and schools are discussed. Copyright 1997Academic Press

Quantitative evaluation of local drug delivery using the InfusaSleeve catheter

BACKGROUND

Restenosis is the most common long-term complication after angioplasty. Local delivery of pharmacologic agents at the site of angioplasty holds promise as a means of achieving higher concentrations of drug in the arterial wall than can be obtained by systemic infusion. In this study, a novel local drug delivery catheter system, the InfusaSleeve catheter, was evaluated in a porcine coronary balloon injury model. The purpose of the study was to evaluate the efficacy of solute transfer to the arterial wall and the influence of varying supporting angioplasty balloon pressure.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Ten pigs (total of 22 arterial segments) underwent overstretch balloon injury (artery/balloon ratio 1:1.29) with a standard angioplasty balloon. In 7 animals (16 arterial segments) horseradish peroxidase (HRP; 10 mg/ml) was administered locally after injury, by tracking the local infusion catheter as a sheath over the angioplasty balloon to the intended site of arterial drug delivery. Supporting angioplasty balloons were inflated to one of the three different pressures. In 3 pigs HRP (10 mg/ml) was administered intravenously. No significant arterial injury caused by the local delivery device was evident on histological examination (disruption of the internal lamina elastica, arterial media, or thrombosis). Radial concentrations of the HRP reaction product in the first 150 microns of the arterial wall were quantified against known standards by measurement of light transmission through tissue sections. Mean HRP concentrations were not significantly different from those obtained by intravenous infusion using a supporting pressure of 1 atm or a supporting pressure of 3 atm of the underlying angioplasty balloon. However, a supporting pressure of 6 atm resulted in a 6-fold greater mean HRP concentration in the arterial wall than that which could be achieved by systemic administration of an equal volume of tracer (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Thus solute can be delivered throughout the coronary media by the InfusaSleeve, with the magnitude of wall uptake related to support pressure. Local delivery at 6 atm support pressure produced substantially greater uptake than did systemic delivery.

1,25-Dihydroxyvitamin D3 and a new analogue, 22-oxacalcitriol, modulate proliferation and interleukin-8 secretion of normal human keratinocytes

Vitamin D3 is a new therapeutic agent for psoriasis. Hyperproliferation of epidermis and over-secretion of IL-8 by keratinocytes are the characteristic features of psoriasis. The present study was conducted to determine whether a new vitamin D3 analogue, 22-oxacalcitriol, could be effective in inhibiting the proliferation and IL-8 secretion of normal human epidermal keratinocytes. Cell proliferation was measured colorimetrically by the MTS assay. IL-8 secretion was measured with ELISA. Proliferation of cultured normal human epidermal keratinocytes was inhibited in the presence of 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D3 at the concentrations of 1 x 10(-8) to 1 x 10(-6) M and 22-oxacalcitriol at concentrations of more than 1 x 10(-9) M at 48 h. IL-8 secretion from normal human epidermal keratinocytes was augmented by TNF-alpha, or synergistically by TNF-alpha and IFN-gamma. 1,25-Dihydroxyvitamin D3 and 22-oxacalcitriol inhibited cytokine-stimulated IL-8 production dose dependently after 24 h incubation without inhibition of cell proliferation. 1,25-Dihydroxyvitamin D3 and 22-oxacalcitriol are considered to inhibit the proliferation of keratinocytes directly and indirectly with inhibition of the secretion of IL-8 from keratinocytes. The inhibition of IL-8 secretion from keratinocytes by vitamin D3 could modulate the behaviour of immunocompetent cells infiltrating in the skin.

Mnemonics usage and cognitive decline in age-associated memory impairment

To determine predictors of cognitive deterioration, the authors performed baseline and 1- to 5-year follow-up (mean +/- SD = 2.5 +/- 1.2 years) neuropsychological assessments on 36 persons (mean age +/- SD = 62.1 +/- 8.0; range = 50 to 81 years) with age-associated memory impairment. Subjects were recruited from a larger group of volunteers, had minimal medical comorbidity, and 25 of them had a family history of Alzheimer's disease. Baseline age and a subjective memory measure indicating reported frequency of mnemonics usage were significant decline predictors. Subjects reporting more frequent mnemonics use at baseline were more likely to show objective cognitive decline at follow-up. Baseline full-scale IQ, educational level, and family history of Alzheimer's disease failed to predict decline. These findings suggest that although age is the strongest decline predictor in some people with age-associated memory impairment, self-perception of memory function may also predict subsequent cognitive loss.

D2 dopamine receptor A1 allele in Alzheimer disease and aging

BACKGROUND

The apolipoprotein E4 (APOE*4) allele is a major risk factor for the common forms of late-onset Alzheimer disease (AD), but does not account for all the genetic variation in late-onset AD; hence, other genetic markers must be examined. The D2 dopamine receptor (DRD2) A1 allele is associated with abnormal brain function and decreased DRD2s. These receptors are decreased in hippocampus and amygdala in AD, and allele frequencies may vary with age.

OBJECTIVE

To study APOE and DRD2 genotypes in patients with AD and cognitively intact controls of varying ages.

DESIGN

The DRD2 and APOE genotypes were examined in 832 unrelated white subjects, including 554 patients with AD (486 sporadic; 68 familial) and 278 controls. Logistic regressions tested A1 allele effects on disease status and age, and DRD2 linkage with AD was investigated in 60 families with late-onset AD.

SETTING

University medical centers.

SUBJECTS

Patients (mean +/- SD age, 74.6 +/- 8.1 years; range, 52-98 years) had probable AD, according to standard consensus diagnostic criteria; controls (mean +/- SD age, 69.2 +/- 8.6 years; range, 50-93 years) were cognitively intact.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Disease status, age, and DRD2 linkage with AD.

RESULTS

No association between the DRD2 and APOE alleles was found, and the presence of the A1 allele did not increase the risk for AD. There was also no evidence of linkage between DRD2 and AD. Age analyses, including both patients and controls, indicated a decrease in A1 allele frequency with age.

CONCLUSIONS

The A1 allele does not contribute to AD risk, alone or in combination with the APOE*4 allele. The DRD2 A1 allele frequencies decrease with age in both patients and controls. Thus, studies of DRD2 disease association need to control for age.

Twentieth-Century Sea Surface Temperature Trends

An analysis of historical sea surface temperatures provides evidence for global warming since 1900, in line with land-based analyses of global temperature trends, and also shows that over the same period, the eastern equatorial Pacific cooled and the zonal sea surface temperature gradient strengthened. Recent theoretical studies have predicted such a pattern as a response of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system to an exogenous heating of the tropical atmosphere. This pattern, however, is not reproduced by the complex ocean-atmosphere circulation models currently used to simulate the climatic response to increased greenhouse gases. Its presence is likely to lessen the mean 20th-century global temperature change in model simulations.