Common DNA polymorphism within coding sequence of apolipoprotein B gene associated with altered lipid levels

60 of 83 middle-aged white men had an XbaI restriction site polymorphism within the coding sequence of the apolipoprotein B gene. Subjects homozygous and heterozygous for the presence of an XbaI restriction site had mean serum triglyceride levels 36% higher (p = 0.02) than those in homozygotes without the restriction site; there was a less substantial difference (p = 0.03) in serum cholesterol. The findings supported a dominant pattern of inheritance. The presence of this restriction site may increase the risk of atherosclerotic disease.

Use of a prognostic index in evaluation of liver transplantation for primary biliary cirrhosis

In the Cambridge/King's College Hospital program, one of the main criteria for recommendation of a liver transplant for a patient with primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC), as in other types of end-stage liver disease, has been the overall assessment that survival was likely to be less than one year. In the present study, a recently developed prognostic model, based on six variables, was used retrospectively to estimate the likely survival without transplantation of the first 29 patients receiving a transplant for PBC. Median estimated survival time for the complete group of patients was five months and in only four patients was survival in the absence of transplantation estimated to be more than one year. Comparison of actual survival curves after transplantation with the estimated survival in the absence of such a procedure shows that, despite an initial higher mortality related to surgery and the immediate postoperative period, grafting was associated with a statistically significant improvement in overall survival. No correlation between the outcome after transplantation and the severity of preexisting liver disease, (as assessed by the expected survival) could be determined, but further assessment of preoperative variables is warranted.

Confidence intervals rather than P values: estimation rather than hypothesis testing

Overemphasis on hypothesis testing--and the use of P values to dichotomise significant or non-significant results--has detracted from more useful approaches to interpreting study results, such as estimation and confidence intervals. In medical studies investigators are usually interested in determining the size of difference of a measured outcome between groups, rather than a simple indication of whether or not it is statistically significant. Confidence intervals present a range of values, on the basis of the sample data, in which the population value for such a difference may lie. Some methods of calculating confidence intervals for means and differences between means are given, with similar information for proportions. The paper also gives suggestions for graphical display. Confidence intervals, if appropriate to the type of study, should be used for major findings in both the main text of a paper and its abstract.

Statistical methods for assessing agreement between two methods of clinical measurement

In clinical measurement comparison of a new measurement technique with an established one is often needed to see whether they agree sufficiently for the new to replace the old. Such investigations are often analysed inappropriately, notably by using correlation coefficients. The use of correlation is misleading. An alternative approach, based on graphical techniques and simple calculations, is described, together with the relation between this analysis and the assessment of repeatability.

A framework for evaluating community-based heart disease prevention programs

This paper reviews issues that arise in the evaluation of community-based heart disease prevention programs and offers suggestions for improving future evaluations of these programs. A framework encompassing the evaluation of process, impact and social relevance guides this discussion. The goal of the framework is to divide the question, "do community-based health programs work?", into more easily answered evaluation questions. In doing so, interventions that promote the health of community residents are likely to be designed and implemented successfully.

Racial differences in red cell indices

A high prevalence of iron deficiency was found in apparently healthy Asian immigrant children in Harrow. After excluding children with overtly abnormal red cell indices, Asian and European children had identical haemoglobin values, but Asian children had much lower mean cell volume and mean corpuscular haemoglobin values and higher red blood cell values.

Beneficial effect of azathioprine and prediction of prognosis in primary biliary cirrhosis. Final results of an international trial

The effect of azathioprine on survival of patients with primary biliary cirrhosis was studied prospectively in a multinational, double-blind, randomized clinical trial including 248 patients of whom 127 received azathioprine and 121 placebo. There were 57 deaths in the azathioprine group and 62 in the placebo group. The actual survival was slightly longer during azathioprine than during placebo treatment. Using Cox multiple regression analysis and adjusting for slight imbalance between the two treatment groups, the therapeutic effect of azathioprine was statistically significant (p = 0.01), with azathioprine reducing the risk of dying to 59% of that observed during placebo treatment (95% confidence interval 40%-90%) or improving survival time by 20 mo in the average patient. Furthermore, azathioprine slowed down progressing incapacitation. Side effects of azathioprine were relatively few. The analysis revealed that the following five variables independently implied poor prognosis: high serum bilirubin, old age, cirrhosis, low serum albumin, and central cholestasis. These factors were combined to a "prognostic index" for prediction of outcome in new patients. The index was validated on independent patient data. On the basis of these results we recommend azathioprine as a routine treatment of primary biliary cirrhosis.

Utilization of a telephone cancer information program by symptomatic people

People with undiagnosed symptoms of cancer who called the Cancer Information Service (CIS), a toll-free telephone information program, were surveyed about their experiences with the program and the effects it had on their post-call behavior. The findings indicate that 75 percent of respondents who had not contacted a health professional before their call to the CIS did so after their call and 40 percent shared the information they obtained with other people. People who contacted a health professional after their call, compared to those who did not, were more likely to have called the CIS specifically for a physician referral or because they did not know whom else to contact, to have friends with cancer, to have had their most important question answered by the CIS, to have health insurance, and to report the influence of other people on their health actions. Interestingly, only half the respondents reported that they definitely would have contacted a health professional had the CIS not been available. The CIS, therefore, might be a link between symptomatic people and appropriate health services. Even so, about one-third of the sample did not know what illness they had or were still awaiting the outcome of medical tests up to several months after their call. Although the CIS was not the only source of health information utilized by respondents, the data demonstrate the important role that telephone information serves in the secondary prevention of cancer and in the delivery of effective health programs.

Is the blood pressure the same in both arms?

It is generally believed that there are blood pressure differences between the right and left arms, but most of the validation studies have used nonsimultaneous measurements. It is important to know whether there is a difference, as methodological comparisons are often made using a different technique on each arm. We have measured the blood pressure simultaneously in both arms in 91 patients, using two observers and two cuffs to provide eight measurements in a fully balanced design. The mean difference in blood pressure between the arms (left/right) was -1.3 (SE 0.4)/1.1 (SE 0.3) mmHg. Mean differences of the same magnitude were found between the two observers, and between the cuffs. Thus, no systematic difference of any consequence was found, although individual patients had mean between-arm differences in blood pressure of up to 10 mmHg. These results suggest that no significant bias is introduced in methodological comparisons that use both arms.

Quantitation in inflammatory bowel disease using computerised interactive image analysis

Objective measurements of various histological features in rectal biopsy material were made using computerised interactive image analysis. Analysis of the resulting data by forward stepwise discriminant analysis showed that biopsies from patients with ulcerative colitis and infective diarrhoea could be distinguished from each other and from normal biopsies; they could not, however, be distinguished from biopsies of patients with Crohn's disease, which behaves as a heterogeneous entity rather than a single disease. The measurements showed that the crypt atrophy described in active ulcerative colitis may be a misnomer, the appearances being due to an increase in mucosal depth and alteration in crypt configuration rather than a true atrophy. Unexpectedly, the ratio of crypt cell height to surface cell height gave the best separation of Crohn's disease from ulcerative colitis.

Indirect measurement of blood pressure during exercise testing can be misleading

Indirect blood pressures recorded with a random zero sphygmomanometer were compared with simultaneous intra-arterial blood pressures recorded with the Oxford system. Twenty five patients undertook a graded bicycle exercise test, cycling at workloads increasing from 41, 65, 114, and 163 W (250 to 400, 700, and 1000 kpm per min) with each grade being maintained for three minutes unless the exercise test was terminated earlier at the point of fatigue. Intra-arterial pressures were recorded continuously and indirect measurements made at steady state levels in the 30 seconds before each change in grade and immediately after the termination of the exercise protocol. The mean difference in systolic blood pressure at 5.5 minutes of exercise showed that the indirect measurement underestimated the direct measurement. Immediately after the termination of exercise the blood pressure fell precipitiously to a highly significant degree. For both systolic and diastolic pressures there was considerably individual variability. These data confirm that indirect methods of blood pressure measurement during dynamic exercise testing are inaccurate and may provide misleading information.

Blood pressure variability in health, hypertension and autonomic failure

24h intra-arterial pressure monitoring was used to examine blood pressure variability in 5 normal volunteers, 137 subjects with suspected or established essential hypertension and 9 subjects with autonomic failure. Subjects with autonomic failure showed increased short-term blood pressure variability while active but reduced values at rest. Heart rate variability was low at all times. 24h recordings were reduced to hourly mean values and two indices of variability derived - day-night difference and average hourly change. For blood pressure, subjects with autonomic failure showed negative values of the former but high values of the latter; both indices of heart rate variability were low. In the remaining group, the relationship of these indices to constitutional factors, mean blood pressure and indices of physical activity during the study was explored. Day-night difference in systolic pressure was negatively correlated with mean pressure and average hourly change positively related to age. No other relationship was significant.

Evaluation of the Remler M2000 blood pressure recorder. Comparison with intraarterial blood pressure recordings both at hospital and at home

The Remler M2000 is a semiautomated device that has been used to collect epidemiological data and assess blood pressure variability. It has been subjected to limited evaluation in operation, however, and no studies of its accuracy away from the hospital or office environment have been undertaken. We recruited a group of 28 patients with essential hypertension who were undergoing intraarterial ambulatory blood pressure monitoring and compared the intraarterial recordings with those made with the Remler instrument both at home and in the hospital. The Remler recordings were also compared with simultaneous indirect blood pressure measurements made with the random zero sphygmomanometer. The mean difference between the Remler and intraarterial blood pressure recordings was -3/7 in the hospital and 7/0 at home. All standard deviations were greater than 10 mm Hg, indicating large between-subject variability. Overall, the relationship of the Remler M2000 readings to intraarterial pressures was as close if not closer than standard indirect sphygmomanometry and thus might provide useful data for epidemiological surveys or drug trials. It would appear that for accurate measurement of short-term blood pressure variation and 24-hour recording, intraarterial recording is the method of choice.

Evaluation of the Remler M2000 blood pressure recorder. Comparison with intraarterial blood pressure recordings both at hospital and at home

The Remler M2000 is a semiautomated device that has been used to collect epidemiological data and assess blood pressure variability. It has been subjected to limited evaluation in operation, however, and no studies of its accuracy away from the hospital or office environment have been undertaken. We recruited a group of 28 patients with essential hypertension who were undergoing intraarterial ambulatory blood pressure monitoring and compared the intraarterial recordings with those made with the Remler instrument both at home and in the hospital. The Remler recordings were also compared with simultaneous indirect blood pressure measurements made with the random zero sphygmomanometer. The mean difference between the Remler and intraarterial blood pressure recordings was -3/7 in the hospital and 7/0 at home. All standard deviations were greater than 10 mm Hg, indicating large between-subject variability. Overall, the relationship of the Remler M2000 readings to intraarterial pressures was as close if not closer than standard indirect sphygmomanometry and thus might provide useful data for epidemiological surveys or drug trials. It would appear that for accurate measurement of short-term blood pressure variation and 24-hour recording, intraarterial recording is the method of choice.

Serum immunoglobulin concentrations in preschool children measured by laser nephelometry: reference ranges for IgG, IgA, IgM

Serum immunoglobulin concentrations were determined on sera from 298 healthy children aged six months to six years using the Hyland laser nephelometer PDQ system. Age-specific 95% reference ranges for serum IgG, IgA and IgM are presented; considerable care has been taken to ensure statistical validity of the reference ranges. The wide range of values in children under two years suggest that measuring immunoglobulin concentrations in this age group is of little value in diagnosing immunodeficiency.

Effect on intra-arterial blood pressure of slow release metoprolol combined with placebo or chlorthalidone

Thirty patients with essential hypertension participated in a double blind crossover trial in which they were randomly allocated to treatment with either once daily slow release metoprolol (200 mg) with placebo or once daily slow release metoprolol (200 mg) with chlorthalidone (25 mg). Ambulatory intra-arterial blood pressure was recorded continuously for 24-48 hours before treatment and two months after each change in regimen. The response of blood pressure and pulse rate to a standard exercise protocol that included supine rest and tilt, isometric, and dynamic bicycle exercise was measured during the same recording periods. Both treatments appreciably reduced blood pressure and pulse rate; mean daytime intra-arterial blood pressure was reduced from 174/95 mm Hg to 158/85 mm Hg by metoprolol plus placebo and to 143/78 mm Hg by metoprolol plus chlorthalidone. This reduction with the combined treatment was significantly greater than with metoprolol and placebo (p systolic = 0.001, p diastolic = 0.004). Mean night time pressures were reduced from 148/78 mm Hg to 139/75 mm Hg by metoprolol plus placebo and to 116/61 mm Hg by metoprolol plus chlorthalidone. Again the reduction in blood pressure was significantly greater with combined treatment (p less than 0.001) than with metoprolol plus placebo. Once daily slow release metoprolol is effective in controlling blood pressure, but this effect is greatly enhanced by the addition of a diuretic.

Circadian variation of blood pressure in autonomic failure

We have monitored ambulant intra-arterial blood pressure with the Oxford system in six subjects with autonomic failure who exhibited postural hypotension. Plotting pooled hourly mean values we have demonstrated a consistent circadian trend in blood pressure that was the inverse of the normal pattern, with the highest pressures at night and the lowest in the morning. In four subjects, confinement to bed did not substantially alter this pattern. Heart rate variability was much reduced in four of the subjects, but relatively normal in two in whom blood pressure variation was also less abnormal. There was a correlation of the nadir of the blood pressure measurements with the reported time of peak incidence of orthostatic symptoms. These findings are of importance in both the management and physiologic testing of patients with this condition.

Is the statistical assessment of papers submitted to the "British Medical Journal" effective?

A study was performed to judge the effectiveness of the statistical assessment scheme for papers submitted to the "British Medical Journal." Statistical criticism of the content of 200 submitted papers which had already been seen by a subject referee led directly or indirectly to 73 (37%) being rejected for publication. In most cases (53 out of 73) serious problems requiring more than minor revision were identified. A comparison of reports on subsequently unpublished and published papers showed that adverse statistical assessments--suggesting major problems--were more common in the papers that were not accepted for publication. Moderate, or less, revision was recommended for 63% of published papers but 39% of the remainder. A checklist of relevant questions was used in making a detailed comparison of 12 published papers, six of which had been statistically assessed and six of which had not. This comparison yielded little evidence that the papers that had been assessed were statistically more acceptable than those that had not been assessed but re-emphasised the subjectivity of refereeing and assessment.

Alpha-adrenoreceptor blockade with indoramin in hypertension

We have evaluated the effects of indoramin, an alpha-adrenoreceptor blocking drug, used as sole therapy in a group of 27 patients with essential hypertension. Blood pressure and heart rate were measured continuously over prolonged ambulatory periods using an established invasive technique before and after six weeks of therapy. The protocol was randomised, double-blind, and with double-dummy placebo control. A standardised programme of physiological stress testing was also performed during each study. Placebo produced no appreciable change in the levels or patterns of blood pressure over 24-h periods, but indoramin produced a significant reduction, which was particularly marked during the night. Physiological testing did not reveal any postural hypotension, and the response to dynamic and isometric exercise was modified in level but not in degree of change. There were many unwanted effects, which may limit the clinical value of this drug.

The effects of oxprenolol on ambulatory intra-arterial blood pressure in essential hypertension

Continuous intra-arterial blood pressure recording using the "Oxford" technique has been used to study the antihypertensive effects of oxprenolol taken three times daily in fully ambulatory patients with essential hypertension, outside hospital. During the first 24 h of treatment there was a reduction in daytime heart rate and a small reduction in daytime blood pressure. After 10 weeks treatment there was a more substantial fall in daytime blood pressure from the hour of waking, but no effect on sleeping nighttime blood pressure or heart rate. Twenty-four hour variation, as assessed by the amplitude of a fitted regression curve, showed a reduction in heart rate but not blood pressure variation. In 4 patients restudied after 11 weeks treatment with oxprenolol (tid) and cyclopenthiazide at 9 a.m. there was some evidence of an antihypertensive effect occurring during both the daytime and nighttime.

Assessment of the accuracy and role of self-recorded blood pressures in the management of hypertension

Self-recording of the blood pressure by patients away from hospital or office ("home blood pressure") has been advocated as providing a better estimate of "true" blood pressure. The reliability of home blood-pressure recording has been assessed only by standard indirect methods which themselves are subject to considerable error and variability. The accuracy of self-recorded blood pressures was therefore assessed in 57 patients with essential hypertension by comparison with simultaneous measurements of clinic blood pressures and with intra-arterial blood pressures recorded at home and at hospital. Home systolic blood pressures showed good agreement with clinic and intra-arterial pressures, but home diastolic blood pressures overestimated intra-arterial pressures, as did clinic diastolic pressures. The clinic and home diastolic pressures showed good agreement. There was considerable variability in individual differences comparing the indirect and intra-arterial methods, though the two indirect methods showed much closer agreement. This study suggests that home blood pressures are as accurate as clinic readings but may be recorded more frequently and thus provide more useful information. Neither is likely to approximate the intra-arterial blood pressure.

Statistics in medical journals

The general standard of statistics in medical journals is poor. This paper considers the reasons for this with illustrations of the types of error that are common. The consequences of incorrect statistics in published papers are discussed; these involve scientific and ethical issues. Suggestions are made about ways in which the standard of statistics may be improved. Particular emphasis is given to the necessity for medical journals to have proper statistical refereeing of submitted papers.

Does placebo lower blood-pressure?

The effect of placebo on blood-pressure levels in 20 hypertensive patients was examined as part of a double-blind randomised controlled trial with indoramin. Blood-pressure was measured by both standard sphygmomanometry and ambulant intra-arterial monitoring. Blood-pressure reduction during the placebo phase, as measured by sphygmomanometry in the outpatient clinic, was highly significant for both systolic and diastolic pressures. In the same subjects, concomitant assessment by ambulatory monitoring showed no significant effect of placebo on intra-arterial pressure. After indoramin treatment blood-pressures measured in the clinic showed a mean reduction of 6/8 mm Hg whereas intra-arterial monitoring showed mean reductions of 18/13 mm Hg. The placebo response, therefore, appears to be an artifact of clinic blood-pressure measurement and its use as a control value in pharmacological trials may lead to serious underestimation of the efficacy of the active drug.

Can placebo therapy influence arterial blood pressure?

1. With standard sphygmomanometric techniques used in conjunction with continuous intra-arterial monitoring the antihypertensive effect of placebo was examined in a group of patients participating in a controlled clinical trial. 2. Twelve of the 20 patients entered completed all stages of a randomized double-blind controlled trial of placebo and indoramin. Clinic blood pressure in patients receiving placebo showed reductions which were highly significant (P less than 0.001). Simultaneous intra-arterial monitoring showed no reduction of the blood pressure over the 24 h studied. 3. The clinic pressures showed minimal reduction of blood pressure in response to indoramin therapy whereas intra-arterial pressures showed a significant fall (P less than 0.01). 4. The response of the blood pressure to placebo appears to be an artifact of the indirect sphygmomanometric method and its use as a control in this study led to under-estimation of the efficacy of indoramin.

Urinary abnormalities in non gonococcal urethritis

The association between urinary abnormalities detected by the two-glass urine test and objective urethritis was investigated in a study of 221 male patients with non-gonococcal urethritis. A strong correlation existed between urinary threads and urethritis, but use of the test for diagnosis and in the assessment of cure is limited by its poor predictive value in both treated and untreated patients.

Dosimetry of renal radiopharmaceuticals: the importance of bladder radioactivity and a simple aid for its estimation

The contribution from radioactivity in bladder contents to dose commitments to the embryo, ovaries, red marrow, kidney, bladder wall and total body has been estimated for various renal radiopharmaceuticals, assuming a bladdervoiding period of 3.5 h. For hippuran and GFR agents this contribution is 70-97% of the embryo dose and 50-93% of the ovary dose. The embryo dose exceeds the ovary dose by a factor of two or more. For the radiopharmaceuticals with no significant kidney retention, the surface dose to the bladder wall is higher, by more than an order of magnitude, than doses to other organs and is largely responsible for the effective dose equivalent exceeding the estimated whole-body dose by factors of up to 25. Since the estimation of cumulated activity in bladder contents is necessary for bladder dosimetry, a nomogram based on a 3.5 h voiding period is presented as a convenient aid for this purpose.

Circadian rhythms in hypertension

Continuous intra-arterial blood pressure recordings have been performed in 37 untreated ambulatory hypertensive subjects, who were investigated on an outpatient basis. Hourly data analysis demonstrated a circadian variation of both blood pressure and heart rate which were highest during the morning and fell during the late afternoon to reach a nadir during sleep. Prior to waking there was an increase in blood pressure, but not heart rate; however both blood pressure and heart rate increased briskly shortly after waking. Chronic therapy with oxprenolol (in 10 patients) reduced daytime blood pressure, but had little effect during the night-time or early morning.

Clinical and microbiological study of non-gonococcal urethritis with particular reference to non-chlamydial disease

A double-blind placebo-controlled study of minocycline in 221 men with non-gonococcal urethritis (NGU) was undertaken. Techniques were used which enabled diagnoses of chlamydial and mycoplasmal infections to be made within 24 hours of a patient attending a clinic. All patients from whom Chlamydia trachomatis was isolated were treated with minocycline, while patients from whom Ureaplasma urealyticum or Mycoplasma hominis was isolated, or from whom no micro-organisms were isolated, were treated on a double-blind basis with either minocycline or placebo. Chlamydia were isolated from 77 (35%) patients and were eradicated by minocycline from 76 (99%). Ureaplasmas were isolated initially from 96 (43%) patients. Treatment with minocycline eradicated them from 43 of 52 (83%) patients, and they disappeared from six of 31 (19%) patients who were treated with placebo. After one week significantly more patients had responded clinically to minocycline than to placebo. The response to minocycline was not influenced by the microbiological status of the patients, which suggests that ureaplasmas are playing a similar role to chlamydia in the pathogenesis of the disease and that an antibiotic-sensitive micro-organism may be producing disease in the isolate-negative group. An immunological approach is required to resolve the problem of the persistent urethral inflammation which occurred despite eradication of the micro-organisms.

Specific conductance using forced airflow oscillation in mechanically ventilated human subjects

A method is described to measure specific airway conductance in mechanically ventilated patients. Airflow resistance (R) was measured continuously using the forced airflow oscillation method and plotted against volume during slow deflation of the lungs. The previously reported hyperbolic configuration of the resistance-volume curve was confirmed, but a nonlinear conductance-volume relationship was found that could be explained by a constant resistance (A) in series with the volume-dependent resistance of the lower airways. A computer-aided analysis of the resistance-volume curve determined the parameters of the hyperbola that best fitted the data and from this the volume-dependent conductance, Glaw = 1/(R - A), was calculated. This method consistently provided a very good fit to the data and resulted in a linear lower airway conductance-volume relationship in anesthetized and in awake subjects. The slope of this linear relationship (Glaw) was therefore independent of volume, and specific lower airway conductance was used as an index of bronchomotor tone. In awake subjects given bronchoconstrictor and bronchodilator aerosols, good correlation was shown between changes in specific conductance measured by this technique and by the standard plethysmographic method.

The effect of genital mycoplasmas on human fetal growth

The relation between maternal genital colonization by mycoplasmas and fetal growth was examined in a study of 195 women. Swabs were taken from the endocervix on three occasions during pregnancy and once post partum. Ureaplasma urealyticum organisms (ureaplasmas) were recovered from 42.7 per cent of Caucasian women and from 34.6 per cent of Asian women at their first antenatal visit. These isolation rates remained similar throughout pregnancy, although there was a decrease in isolation after delivery. Mycoplasma hominis was recovered from 6.5 per cent of Caucasians and from 11.5 per cent of Asians at their first antenatal visit and these rates remained fairly constant during pregnancy and after delivery. Caucasian women colonized by ureaplasmas had a longer mean length of gestation (p less than 0.025) than non-colonized women. Furthermore, the colonized women gave birth to infants who had a statistically significant greater mean birth weight and a greater mean birth weight-for-dates than those of the non-colonized Caucasians. There was no correlation between gestational length, birth weight, or birth weight-for-dates and genital colonization of Asian mothers by ureaplasmas or M. hominis. It is clear the ureaplasmas are not associated with low birth weight in our population.