Risk Stratification in Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: From Detection to Final Follow-Up

Performance of ACR-TIRADS in assessing thyroid nodules does not vary according to patient age

AIMS

A few studies have evaluated the performance of the American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging Reporting And Data System (ACR-TIRADS) in pediatric and elderly patients and found differences between the latter two age groups and middle adulthood. Thus, the present study was undertaken to explore the possible variation of ACR-TIRADS performance across different ages of patients.

METHODS

A retrospective population undergoing thyroidectomy was selected to use histology as the reference standard. Ultrasound images were reviewed, and alignment of ACR-TIRADS with the corresponding histological diagnosis was made afterwards. Results of the age groups were compared. The ACR-TIRADS diagnostic performance was calculated considering the assessment of nodules across risk categories (i.e., from TR1 to TR5), rate of unnecessary FNAC (UN-FNAC), and rate of necessary but non-performed FNAC (NNP-FNAC).

RESULTS

Overall, 114 patients with a total of 220 nodules (46 carcinomas) were included. The rate of UN-FNAC was 66.3%, being 93.1% in TR3, 82.1% in TR4, and 31.4% in TR5. There were 15 NNP-FNACs. No significant difference was observed between age groups in terms of sample size, nodule, cancer, and FNAC. The nodule assessment according to ACR-TIRADS categories did not vary across ages. Sensitivity and specificity recorded in three age tertiles were not significantly different.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study shows that the performance of ACR-TIRADS is not significantly influenced by patient age.

Use of Natural Language Processing to Extract and Classify Papillary Thyroid Cancer Features From Surgical Pathology Reports

BACKGROUND

We aim to use Natural Language Processing to automate the extraction and classification of thyroid cancer risk factors from pathology reports.

METHODS

We analyzed 1410 surgical pathology reports from adult papillary thyroid cancer patients from 2010 to 2019. Structured and nonstructured reports were used to create a consensus-based ground truth dictionary and categorized them into modified recurrence risk levels. Nonstructured reports were narrative, while structured reports followed standardized formats. We developed ThyroPath, a rule-based Natural Language Processing pipeline, to extract and classify thyroid cancer features into risk categories. Training involved 225 reports (150 structured, 75 unstructured), with testing on 170 reports (120 structured, 50 unstructured) for evaluation. The pipeline's performance was assessed using both strict and lenient criteria for accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score; a metric that combines precision and recall evaluation.

RESULTS

In extraction tasks, ThyroPath achieved overall strict F-1 scores of 93% for structured reports and 90% for unstructured reports, covering 18 thyroid cancer pathology features. In classification tasks, ThyroPath-extracted information demonstrated an overall accuracy of 93% in categorizing reports based on their corresponding guideline-based risk of recurrence: 76.9% for high-risk, 86.8% for intermediate risk, and 100% for both low and very low-risk cases. However, ThyroPath achieved 100% accuracy across all risk categories with human extracted pathology information.

CONCLUSIONS

ThyroPath shows promise in automating the extraction and risk recurrence classification of thyroid pathology reports at large scale. It offers a solution to laborious manual reviews and advancing virtual registries. However, it requires further validation before implementation.

Lobectomy in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer: experience of a Chilean tertiary center

PURPOSE

Thyroid lobectomy (TL) is an appropriate treatment for up to 4 cm intrathyroidal differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). There is scarce data regarding TL outside first-world centers. Our aim is to report a cohort of patients with DTC treated with TL in Chile.

METHODS

We included DTC patients treated with TL, followed for at least 6 months, characterized their clinicopathological features and classified their risk of recurrence and response to treatment.

RESULTS

Eighty-two patients followed for a median of 2.3 years (0.5-7.0). Seventy-three (89%) patients had papillary, 8 (9.8%) follicular and 1 (1.2%) high-grade DTC. The risk of recurrence was low in 56 (68.3%) and intermediate in 26 (31.7%). Eight (9.8%) patients required early completion thyroidectomy and radioiodine. At last follow-up, 52 (70.3%) had excellent, 19 (25.7%) had indeterminate, and 1 (1.4%) had structural incomplete response.

CONCLUSION

In a developing country, TL is an adequate option for appropriately selected DTC patients.

Hsa_circ_0010023 promotes the development of papillary thyroid carcinoma by sponging miR-1250-5p

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is the most common thyroid tumor (TC). However, there is still a lack of effective indicators for PTC detection and prognosis. We intended to find a novel tumor marker for the progression of PTC.

METHODS

The expression of circRNAs was measured by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR). SiRNA transfection was used to knockdown the expression of hsa_circ_0010023 in K1 cells. Cell proliferation was evaluated using cell counting and CCK8. Cell apoptosis was analyzed using flow cytometry. Hsa_circ_0010023 downstream pathways were predicted with bio-informatics analysis. The miR-1250-5p and MAPK1 were measured by qRT-PCR. The interaction between miR-1250-5p and hsa_circ_0010023 was vertified by dual-luciferase reporter assay.

RESULTS

Among the four circRNAs screened, only hsa_circ_0010023 and hsa_circ_0128482 were highly expressed in PTC (P < 0.05). The expression of hsa_circ_0010023 was significantly correlated with lymph node metastasis and extrathyroid infiltration (P < 0.05). Compared with the control group, the cell proliferation of the si-circ-0010023 group was significantly inhibited (P < 0.05). Knockdown of hsa_circ_0010023 promotes apoptosis of K1 cells (P < 0.001). The expression of hsa_circ_0010023 was negatively correlated with miR-1250-5p and positively correlated with MAPK1. MiR-1250-5p overexpression significantly reduced the luciferase activity of wild type plasmid (hsa_circ_0010023 WT), but not that of mutant type plasmid (hsa_circ_0010023 MUT).

CONCLUSION

The expression level of hsa_circ_0010023 was positive related to the progression of PTC, and hsa_circ_0010023 may promote PTC through sponging miR-1250-5p. Hsa_circ_0010023 may be a potential bio-marker for the diagnosis of PTC.

Differentiated Thyroid Cancer after Thyroidectomy

The widespread use of neck US and other imaging modalities has contributed to a phenomenon of increased detection of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). Most of these cancers remain indolent, without requiring surgical intervention. Nonetheless, a subset of patients who require surgical treatment experience subsequent disease recurrence. This most commonly occurs in the cervical lymph nodes and thyroid bed, followed by distant metastasis to the lungs and bones. Because imaging is an integral part of postoperative surveillance, radiologists play a central role in the detection of recurrent tumors and in guiding treatment in these patients. US is the primary imaging modality used for postoperative evaluation. Other modalities such as CT, MRI, radioactive iodine imaging, and PET/CT aid in the accurate diagnosis and characterization of recurrent disease. Therefore, radiologists must have a thorough understanding of the utility of these imaging techniques and the imaging characteristics of recurrent DTC when interpreting these multimodality studies. The interpretation of imaging findings should also be correlated with the clinical status of patients and their biochemical markers to minimize interpretative errors. The authors present a broad overview of the postoperative evaluation of DTC, including its initial primary management, staging, and prognostication; clinical risk stratification for recurrent disease; postoperative surveillance with imaging and evaluation of biochemical markers; and management of recurrent DTC. Published under a CC BY 4.0 license. Supplemental material is available for this article.

Controversies in the Management of Intermediate-Risk Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

BACKGROUND

Intermediate-risk thyroid cancer accounts for up to two-thirds of all cases of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), yet it is subject to substantial variations in risk stratification and management strategies.

METHODS

This comprehensive review examines the current controversies regarding diagnosis and management of intermediate risk DTC.

RESULTS

The evolution of risk stratification systems is discussed, highlighting limitations such as heterogeneity in patient cohorts, variability in outcome definitions, and the need for more precise risk estimation tools incorporating genetic profiles and individual risk modifiers. The role of radioactive iodine therapy in intermediate-risk DTC is examined, considering evolving evidence, conflicting study results, and the necessity for personalized treatment decisions based on risk modifiers, potential morbidity, and patient preferences. Furthermore, the shift from total thyroidectomy to lobectomy in certain intermediate-risk cases is explored, emphasizing the need for tailored surgical approaches and the impact on long-term outcomes, recurrence rates, and quality of life.

CONCLUSION

Management of intermediate-risk DTC remains controversial. This review summarizes current evidence to aid decision-making. Further research, prospective trials, and collaboration are crucial to address these complexities and personalize care for patients.

The association between thyroid differentiation score and survival outcomes in papillary thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Thyroid differentiation score (TDS), calculated based on mRNA expression levels of 16 genes controlling thyroid metabolism and function, has been proposed as a measure to quantify differentiation in PTC. The objective of this study is to determine whether TDS is associated with survival outcomes across patient cohorts.

METHODS

Two independent cohorts of PTC patients were used: 1) the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) thyroid cancer study (N=372), 2) MD Anderson Cancer Center (MDACC) cohort (N=111). The primary survival outcome of interest was progression-free interval (PFI). Association with overall survival (OS) was also explored. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards models were used for survival analyses.

RESULTS

In both cohorts, TDS was associated with tumor and nodal stage at diagnosis as well as tumor driver mutation status. High TDS was associated with longer PFI on univariable analyses across cohorts. After adjusting for overall stage, TDS remained significantly associated with PFI in the MDACC cohort only (aHR 0.67, 95%CI 0.52-0.85). In subgroup analyses stratified by tumor driver mutation status, higher TDS was most consistently associated with longer PFI in BRAFV600E-mutated tumors across cohorts after adjusting for overall stage (TCGA: aHR 0.60, 95% CI: 0.33-1.07; MDACC: aHR 0.59, 95% CI: 0.42-0.82). For OS, increasing TDS was associated with longer OS in the overall MDACC cohort (aHR=0.78, 95% CI:0.63-0.96), where the median duration of follow-up was 12.9 years.

CONCLUSION

TDS quantifies the spectrum of differentiation status in PTC and may serve as a potential prognostic biomarker in PTC, mostly promisingly in BRAFV600E-mutated tumors.

Clinicopathological features affecting the efficacy in 131I ablation therapy of papillary thyroid carcinoma with lymph node metastasis

Background

Lymph node metastasis is the major cause of increased recurrence and death in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). We evaluate the clinicopathologic factors affecting excellent response (ER) in patients with PTC with lymph node metastasis following operation and 131I ablation therapy.

Methods

A total of 423 patients with PTC with lymph node metastasis who underwent thyroidectomy and postoperative 131I ablation therapy were enrolled. The relationship between clinicopathological factors affecting ER achievement was analyzed.

Results

Multivariate analysis showed that the foci diameter (≤1 cm), unifocal, combination with Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT), lymph node metastases rate (LR) (≤40%), no postoperative lymph node metastasis, low preablative stimulated thyroglobulin (ps-Tg) level (≤3.87 ng/mL), and the time of 131I ablation therapy (one time) were positively correlated with the ER achievement [odds ratio (OR): 1.744, 3.114, 3.920, 4.018, 2.074, 9.767, and 49.491, respectively; all p < 0.05]. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves showed that the cutoff values of ps-Tg and LR were 4.625 ng/mL and 50.50%, respectively. The AUC of ROC of ps-Tg and LR for predicting ER achievement was 0.821 and 0.746, respectively. The Tg and the cumulative risk of non-ER elevated with the increase of LR, especially for the high-level ps-Tg (>4.625 ng/mL) group.

Conclusion

The foci diameter and number, combination with HT, LR, and ps-Tg level are independent factors for ER. Ps-Tg level and LR are valid predictive factors for the efficacy of 131I therapy in patients with PTC. The predictive value of the cumulative risk of non-ER can be improved by the combination of ps-Tg and LR.

Stimulating thyroglobulin to TSH ratio predict long-term efficacy of 131I therapy in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer after total thyroidectomy: a retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

This study utilized the stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) to thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) ratio to predict the long-term efficacy of 131I therapy in patients with moderate-to-high-risk differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC).

METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed 960 DTC patients with a median follow-up time of 30 months (6-92 months). The median age was 44 years. All patients underwent total thyroidectomy, lymph node dissection, and at least one 131I therapy. Patients were subjected to a final efficacy evaluation according to American Thyroid Association's 2015 guidelines. Patients were grouped according to their TSH levels before the initial 131I therapy and the final efficacy evaluation, and factors influencing TSH levels and final efficacy were analyzed. Construction of nomograms using independent risk factors affecting long-term outcomes. The cut-offs of sTg and sTg/TSH ratios were calculated for different long-term outcomes. Progression-free survival (PFS) of patients was analyzed by making Kaplan-Meier survival according to the cut-offs of sTg and sTg/TSH ratio.

RESULTS

TSH (mU/L) levels were more concentrated at 60-90 in females (71.5%) and 30-60 in males (39.0%), while patients with younger age, more lymph node metastases, shorter time interval between surgery and the first 131I therapy, and lower dose of levothyroxine sodium taken prior to the first 131I therapy would have higher TSH levels (All P < 0.05).Patients who are male, have primary tumor involvement of the strap muscles, lymph node metastasis, distant metastasis, and higher sTg and sTg/TSH are more likely to have poor long-term outcomes (All P < 0.05).The cut-offs of sTg and sTg/TSH for long-term efficacy were 7.515 and 0.095. STg, sTg/TSH, tumor size, lymph node metastasis, and distant metastasis were shown to be independent risk factors for long-term efficacy. The mean PFSs were longer for patients who had sTg/TSH ≤ 0.095 and/or sTg≤7.515 ug/L.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with moderate-to-high-risk DTC, when sTg>7.515 ug/L and/or sTg/TSH > 0.095 before the first 131I therapy, patients are more likely to have a poor long-term efficacy after full 131I therapy. This means that this group of patients may require further surgical treatment or targeted drug therapy after 131I therapy.

Prognostic role and characteristics of the indeterminate response in differentiated thyroid cancer: a systematic review

PURPOSE

The management of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is actually based on a dynamic risk stratification based on classes of response to the therapy. Indeterminate response (IR) includes a heterogeneous group of patients with different characteristics, particularly different Tg and AbTg levels and/or imaging findings. The aim of systematic review (SR) is to evaluate the prognosis, diagnostic findings and other characteristics of patients in the IR class.

METHODS

A wide literature search in the Scopus, PubMed/MEDLINE and Web of Science databases was performed to find published articles on patients with DTC and IR after treatment. The quality assessment of studies was carried out using QUADAS-2 evaluation.

RESULTS

Eight articles were included in the systematic review. Six studies evaluated the prognosis and the prognostic factor in patients with IR, one study evaluated the role of 2-[18F]FDG PET-CT in the management of patients with IR and biochemical incomplete response and one study the risk factors for IR.

CONCLUSION

Patients with DTC and IR to therapy have a probability of disease relapse < 15%. Tg value could be a predictor of disease progression. The role of 2-[18F]FDG PET-CT needs to be further investigated.

An Executive Summary of The Philippine Interim Clinical Practice Guidelines for the Diagnosis and Management of Well Differentiated Thyroid Cancer 2021

Objectives

Thyroid cancer is the most common endocrine cancer in the Philippines affecting primarily women in the reproductive age group. Considering the burden of thyroid cancer in the country, the Department of Health (DOH) called for the development of a national clinical practice guideline that would address patient needs, and aid physicians in clinical decision-making while considering therapeutic cost and availability in the local setting. The 2021 guidelines are aimed at providing optimal care to Filipino patients by assisting clinicians in the evaluation of thyroid nodules and management of well differentiated thyroid cancer.

Methods

A steering committee convened to formulate clinical questions pertaining to the screening and evaluation of thyroid nodules, surgical and post operative management of thyroid cancer, and palliative care for unresectable disease. A technical working group reviewed existing clinical guidelines, retrieved through a systematic literature search, synthesized clinical evidence, and drafted recommendations based on the ADAPTE process of clinical practice guideline development. The consensus panel reviewed evidence summaries and voted on recommendations for the final statements of the clinical practice guidelines.

Results

The guidelines consist of clinical questions and recommendations grouped into six key areas of management of well differentiated thyroid cancer: screening, diagnosis, surgical treatment, post operative management, surveillance, and palliative care.

Conclusion

The 2021 guidelines for well differentiated cancer could direct physicians in clinical decision making, and create better outcomes for Filipino patients afflicted with the disease. However, patient management should still be governed by sound clinical judgement and open physician-patient communication.

Theranostic Risk Stratification for Thyroid Cancer in the Genomic Paradigm

Theranostics define diagnostic evaluations directing patient-specific therapeutic decisions. Molecular theranostics involves genomic, transcriptomic, proteomic, metabolomic and finally phenonic definitions thyroid cancer differentiation. It is the functional differentiation that determines the sensitivity and accuracy of RAI imaging as well as the effectiveness of RAI treatment. Total thyroidectomy is performed to empower an anticipated RAI treatment. A preoperative determination of the genomic and transcriptomic profile of the tumor is a strong predictor of response to therapeutic interventions. This article discusses the oncopathophysiologic basis of the theranostic risk stratification approach.

Machine learning for risk stratification of thyroid cancer patients: a 15-year cohort study

PURPOSE

The objective of this study was to train machine learning models for predicting the likelihood of recurrence in patients diagnosed with well-differentiated thyroid cancer. While thyroid cancer mortality remains low, the risk of recurrence is a significant concern. Identifying individual patient recurrence risk is crucial for guiding subsequent management and follow-ups.

METHODS

In this prospective study, a cohort of 383 patients was observed for a minimum duration of 10 years within a 15-year timeframe. Thirteen clinicopathologic features were assessed to predict recurrence potential. Classic (K-nearest neighbors, support vector machines (SVM), tree-based models) and artificial neural networks (ANN) were trained on three distinct combinations of features: a data set with all features excluding American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk score (12 features), another with ATA risk alone, and a third with all features combined (13 features). 283 patients were allocated for the training process, and 100 patients were reserved for the validation of stage.

RESULTS

The patients' mean age was 40.87 ± 15.13 years, with a majority being female (81%). When using the full data set for training, the models showed the following sensitivity, specificity and AUC, respectively: SVM (99.33%, 97.14%, 99.71), K-nearest neighbors (83%, 97.14%, 98.44), Decision Tree (87%, 100%, 99.35), Random Forest (99.66%, 94.28%, 99.38), ANN (96.6%, 95.71%, 99.64). Eliminating ATA risk data increased models specificity but decreased sensitivity. Conversely, training exclusively on ATA risk data had the opposite effect.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning models, including classical and neural networks, efficiently stratify the risk of recurrence in patients with well-differentiated thyroid cancer. This can aid in tailoring treatment intensity and determining appropriate follow-up intervals.

Survival Outcomes of Medullary Thyroid Cancer With and Without Amyloid Deposition

OBJECTIVE

Amyloid deposition within tumor stroma is a distinctive histologic feature of medullary thyroid cancer (MTC). However, its prognostic significance remains uncertain. We aimed to elucidate the impact of amyloid status on survival outcomes in a large cohort.

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry was queried to identify patients diagnosed with MTC from 2000 to 2019. Patients with amyloid-positive (International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, third edition code 8345/3) and amyloid negative (International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, third edition code 8510/3) tumors were analyzed. Overall and disease-specific survival were compared between matched cohorts using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses.

RESULTS

Of the 2526 MTC patients, 511 of which were amyloid-positive and 2015 that were amyloid negative. Amyloid-positive patients displayed lower T stage (T3/4: 28% vs 85%, P < .001) and less extrathyroidal extension (11.3% vs 81.6%, P < .001). No difference in distant metastasis rate was observed between groups (14.5% vs 14.4%, P = .98). However, amyloid-positive patients showed a tendency for distal lymph node metastasis (1.2% vs 0.3%, P = .020). On univariate analysis, amyloid-positive status showed comparable overall survival times (mean 172.2 vs 177.8 months, P = .17), but a trend toward worse cancer-specific survival (hazard ratios [HR] = 1.31, 95% CI = 0.99-1.71, P = .051). After adjusting for covariates, amyloid deposition did not independently predict overall (HR = 1.15, 95% CI = 0.91-1.47, P = .25) or cancer-specific survival (HR = 1.30, 95% CI = 0.96-1.77, P = .09). Initiating therapy later than 1 month following diagnosis was associated with worse overall survival (HR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.02-1.54, P = .029).

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of amyloid in MTC paradoxically associates with lower T stage yet exhibits a trend toward worse cancer-specific mortality. Amyloid deposition alone does not independently influence prognosis. Delayed treatment adversely impacted overall survival.

Dynamic risk assessment in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer

The current approach for patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma should be individualized according to the risk of recurrence, and this stratification could be used to identify the risk of persistent/recurrent disease in three scenarios: preoperatively, immediately postoperatively, and during long-term follow-up. The initial risk of recurrence will tailor the management of the patient in the preoperative and immediate postoperative settings, while the dynamic risk, which considers the responses to treatment, could guide the decision-making process for remnant ablation and long-term management.This review provides a summary of the existing information regarding the dynamic risk of recurrence and recommended management for patients with differentiated thyroid cancer. The application of this approach is essential to avoid unnecessary treatments for most patients who will have a favorable prognosis. On the other hand, it allows specific therapeutic interventions for those patients at high risk of recurrence. In the future, analysis of tumor biology and prospective studies will surely improve the accuracy of recurrence risk prediction.

Follow-up strategy of radiofrequency ablation for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: defining a response-to-ablation system

OBJECTIVE

To define a response-to-ablation system based on dynamic risk stratification proposed by the 2015 American Thyroid Association guidelines for predicting clinical outcomes and guiding follow-up strategies for patients with low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) who underwent radiofrequency ablation (RFA).

METHODS

This retrospective study reviewed patients with low-risk PTMC who underwent RFA between 2014 and 2018. We classified patients into three groups based on their response to therapy at the 1-year follow-up: complete, indeterminate, and incomplete. The primary endpoints were local tumor progression (LTP) and disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

Among the 748 patients (mean age, 43.7 years ± 9.8; 586 women), 4.0% (30/748) had LTP during a median follow-up of 5 years. The response was complete in 80.2% (600/748) of the patients, indeterminate in 18.1% (135/748), and incomplete in 1.7% (13/748). The LTP rate in the final follow-up was 1% (6/600), 8.1% (11/135), and 100% (13/13), respectively. The risk of LTP was significantly different in the incomplete response group (HR, 1825.82; 95% CI: 458.27, 7274.36; p < 0.001) and indeterminate response group (HR, 8.12; 95% CI: 2.99, 22.09; p < 0.001) than in the complete response group. There were significant differences in DFS among groups (p < 0.001). The proportion of variation explained and C-index of the system was high (27.66% and 0.79, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

We defined a response-to-ablation system that provides a new paradigm for the management of patients with PTMC who underwent RFA. Our data confirm that the system can effectively predict the risk of LTP and guide ongoing follow-up recommendations.

KEY POINTS

• The response-to-ablation system can classify patients with low-risk PTMC who underwent RFA into complete, indeterminate, or incomplete response categories. • Results suggest that, in this population, this system can identify three separate cohorts of patients who have significantly different clinical outcomes. • The response-to-ablation system will help better tailor the ongoing follow-up recommendations.

Risk stratification of papillary thyroid cancers using multidimensional machine learning

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is one of the most common endocrine malignancies with different risk levels. However, preoperative risk assessment of PTC is still a challenge in the worldwide. Here, the authors first report a Preoperative Risk Assessment Classifier for PTC (PRAC-PTC) by multidimensional features including clinical indicators, immune indices, genetic feature, and proteomics.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The 558 patients collected from June 2013 to November 2020 were allocated to three groups: the discovery set [274 patients, 274 formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE)], the retrospective test set (166 patients, 166 FFPE), and the prospective test set (118 patients, 118 fine-needle aspiration). Proteomic profiling was conducted by FFPE and fine-needle aspiration tissues from the patients. Preoperative clinical information and blood immunological indices were collected. The BRAFV600E mutation were detected by the amplification refractory mutation system.

RESULTS

The authors developed a machine learning model of 17 variables based on the multidimensional features of 274 PTC patients from a retrospective cohort. The PRAC-PTC achieved areas under the curve (AUC) of 0.925 in the discovery set and was validated externally by blinded analyses in a retrospective cohort of 166 PTC patients (0.787 AUC) and a prospective cohort of 118 PTC patients (0.799 AUC) from two independent clinical centres. Meanwhile, the preoperative predictive risk effectiveness of clinicians was improved with the assistance of PRAC-PTC, and the accuracies reached at 84.4% (95% CI: 82.9-84.4) and 83.5% (95% CI: 82.2-84.2) in the retrospective and prospective test sets, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated that the PRAC-PTC that integrating clinical data, gene mutation information, immune indices, high-throughput proteomics and machine learning technology in multicentre retrospective and prospective clinical cohorts can effectively stratify the preoperative risk of PTC and may decrease unnecessary surgery or overtreatment.

Risk Stratification of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer at King Abdullah Specialized Children's Hospital Endocrinology Clinic in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Background Papillary thyroid cancer (PTC), a well-differentiated form of cancer, accounts for the majority of thyroid malignancies, and the incidence of PTC is on the rise. While the rate of PTC recurrence is considered to be low, there are broad spectrums of clinical and biological behavior that can lead to disease recurrence. The American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification system for differentiated thyroid cancer is used as a prognostic tool to guide decision-making and management strategies most likely to achieve a favorable outcome. Aim This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of PTC recurrence in each category of the ATA risk stratification system and determine the appropriate iodine dose to be administered at the King Abdulaziz Medical City Endocrinology Clinic in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Methods A cross-sectional retrospective chart review was conducted on adult patients with PTC who underwent thyroidectomy procedures at the King Abdullah Specialized Children's Hospital (KASCH) Endocrinology Clinic in Riyadh between 2015 and 2023. IBM SPSS (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences) version 25 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY) was used for data analysis. Results Of the 697 patients included in the study, 82.4% were females. About 5% had suffered from PTC recurrence, and 54.4% had low-risk stratification. In addition, more than half (52.1%) had received radioactive iodine (RAI). The recurrence of PTC was significantly associated with age (P = 0.019), ATA risk stratification (P = 0.0001), RAI therapy (P = 0.001), and iodine dosage (P = 0.013). Conclusion Both low PTC recurrence rates and low-risk stratification were observed among the PTC patients. The risk factors relating to PTC recurrence included high-risk stratification, advanced age, RAI therapy, and the dosage of RAI administered.

The Association of Pregnancy with Disease Progression in Patients Previously Treated for Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Propensity Score-Matched Retrospective Cohort Study

Background: Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is increasingly common in women of reproductive age. However, whether pregnancy increases the risk of DTC progression/recurrence after treatment remains controversial. The study aimed to assess the association of pregnancy with risk of progression in patients previously treated for DTC. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study following 123 pregnant women and 1376 nonpregnant women at Peking University Third Hospital after initial treatment for DTC between January 2012 and December 2022. To control the effect of confounding, we carefully matched pregnancy (n = 107) and nonpregnancy groups (n = 298) in terms of baseline characteristics by using propensity score matching (PSM). Results: At baseline, the pregnancy and nonpregnancy groups were balanced in all matched variables. At follow-up, the percentage of DTC progression in the two groups was 12 (11.8%) and 47 (15.8%), respectively. Regression models showed no evidence of association of pregnancy with the risk of progression (odds ratio: 0.74 and 95% confidence interval: 0.37-1.50; p = 0.404), and remained consistent across long/short follow-up and other subgroup variables. We found that the shorter the time interval between treatment and pregnancy, the higher the risk of DTC progression (ptrend = 0.019). Conclusions: The risk of DTC progression in pregnant women was not higher than that in the well-matched, nonpregnant women. For young women previously treated for DTC, disease progression might not be a concern for their future pregnancy plan, but it seems safer to wait at least 1 year before pregnancy compared with immediate pregnancy.

How do BRAFV600E and TERT promoter mutations interact with the ATA and TNM staging systems in thyroid cancer?

Context

The American Thyroid Association risk stratification (ATA) and the American Joint Committee on Cancer Tumor Node Metastases (TNM) predict recurrence and mortality of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). BRAFV600E and TERT promoter mutations have been shown to correlate with the histopathological features and outcome of DTC. Our objectives were to study the correlation of these molecular markers with these clinicopathological-staging systems.

Patients and methods

We studied 296 unselected patients, 214 females and 82 males with a median age of 36 years (IQR 23.3-49.0). BRAFV600E and TERT promoter mutations were tested by PCR-based Sanger sequencing. Data were extracted from medical records and analysed using Chi-Square and Fisher Exact tests and Kaplan Meier analysis.

Results

Of 296 patients tested, 137 (46.3%) had BRAFV600E-positive tumors and 72 (24.3%) were positive for TERT promoter mutations. The BRAFV600E mutation did not correlate with the ATA and TNM staging, being non-significantly different in various stages of these systems and did not predict the development of persistent disease (PD) (P 0.12). Unlike BRAFV600E, TERT promoter mutations were more frequent in the ATA high-risk than in intermediate- or low-risk tumors (P 0.006) and in TNM stages III and IV than lower stages (P <0.0001). TERT promoter mutations also predicted the outcome, being present in 37.2% of patients with PD compared to only 15.4% in those without evidence of disease (P <0.0001). The same pattern was also seen when BRAFV600E and TERT promoter mutations were combined.

Conclusion

TERT promoter mutations alone or in combination with BRAFV600E mutation, but not BRAFV600E mutation alone, correlated well with the ATA and TNM staging and predicted development of PD, especially in higher stages of these systems.

Risk Stratification of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Single-Center Study in Basrah

Background Differentiated thyroid cancer is a common endocrine cancer; most of it has an indolent course and favorable outcomes, with a subset of patients having the risk of disease recurrence, which can be assessed using the fixed American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification system or the dynamic response to therapy risk stratification that can be modified during patients follow-up. Aim The aim of this article is to assess the risk stratification of patients having differentiated thyroid cancer. Methods This is a retrospective cross-sectional study in which we evaluated medical records of 75 patients having differentiated thyroid cancer to assess the baseline ATA risk of recurrence and compared it to the results of dynamic risk stratification in response to therapy at 6-12 months post-surgery and at the last visit. Thyroglobulin level, anti-thyroglobulin antibody, thyroid ultrasound, and cytopathological examination were used to determine dynamic response to therapy and divided subjects into four groups: excellent response (ER), biochemical incomplete response (BIR), structural incomplete response (SIR), and indeterminate response (IR). Results At baseline, 55 patients had low risk, 14 patients had intermediate risk, and six patients had high risk. At 6-12 months post-surgery, in the low-risk group, ER, BIR, and IR responses were observed in 56.4%, 5.5%, and 38.2% of patients, respectively, and none of them exhibited SIR. In the intermediate-risk group, ER, BIR, and IR responses were observed in 57.1%, 21.4%, and 21.4% of patients, respectively, and none exhibited SIR. Among the high-risk group, two patients had ER, two patients had BIR, one patient had IR, and one patient had SIR. At the last visit, ER, BIR, and IR were observed in 65.5%, 9.1%, and 25.5% of low-risk patients, respectively, and no patient developed SIR. In the intermediate-risk group, ER, BIR, and IR were observed in 50%, 21.4%, and 28.6% of patients, respectively, and no patients developed SIR. Among the high-risk group, three patients achieved ER, one had BIR, one had IR, and one had SIR. Conclusion Most of the differentiated thyroid cancers in this study are low-risk. Dynamic risk stratification appears to be an effective tool in the follow-up of this population of patients having differentiated thyroid cancer.

Impact of microscopic extrathyroidal extension on differentiated thyroid cancer post-surgical risk of recurrence: a retrospective analysis

PURPOSE

In the last edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system, differentiated thyroid cancers (DTC) showing microscopic extrathyroidal extension (mETE) are considered comparable to intrathyroidal cancers for their clinical behavior and prognosis. The aim of the study is to evaluate the impact of this updated assessment of T, when applied to the postoperative recurrence risk stratification, according to the American Thyroid Association Guidelines (ATA-RR).

METHODS

One-hundred DTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy were retrospectively evaluated. The downstaging of mETE was introduced in the definition of T, and the updated classification defined as modified ATA-RR (ATAm-RR). For each patient, post-surgical basal and stimulated thyroglobulin (Tg) levels, neck ultrasound (US) and post-ablative 131-I whole body scan (WBS) reports were considered. The predictive performance (PP) of disease recurrence was calculated both for each single parameter, as well as for all of them.

RESULTS

According to ATAm-RR classification, 19/100 patients (19%) were downstaged. ATA-RR proved a significant PP for disease recurrence (DR) (sensitivity 75.0%, specificity 63.0%, p = 0.023). However, ATAm-RR performed slightly better due to an increased specificity (sensitivity 75.0%, specificity 83.7%, p < 0.001). For both classifications, the PP was optimal when all the above-mentioned predictive parameters were considered.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that the new assessment of T considering mETE resulted in a downgrading of ATA-RR class in a significant number of patients. This provides a better PP for disease recurrence, and the best PP was obtained when considering the whole predictive variables together.

Management of surgical diseases of thyroid gland indications of the United Italian Society of Endocrine Surgery (SIUEC)

A task force of the United Italian society of Endocrine Surgery (SIUEC) was commissioned to review the position statement on diagnostic, therapeutic and health‑care management protocol in thyroid surgery published in 2016, at the light of new technologies, recent oncological concepts, and tailored approaches. The objective of this publication was to support surgeons with modern rational protocols of treatment that can be shared by health-care professionals, taking into account important clinical, healthcare and therapeutic aspects, as well as potential sequelae and complications. The task force consists of 13 members of the SIUEC highly trained and experienced in thyroid surgery. The main topics concern clinical evaluation and preoperative workup, patient preparation for surgery, surgical treatment, non-surgical options, postoperative management, prevention and management of major complications, outpatient care and follow-up.

Comparison of staging and recurrence predictors in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer between the 7th and 8th editions of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging systems

BACKGROUND

The predictive value of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8 for recurrence in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is not known. We aimed to compare AJCC 7 and 8 regarding the differences in staging and recurrence predictors in DTC.

METHODS

Demographic, clinical (duration of disease and follow-up, the extent of surgery), laboratory (TSH, fT4, thyroglobulin, and antithyroglobulin), pathological (type of thyroid cancer, localization, multifocality, diameter, extrathyroidal extension [ETE], and lymph node [LN] metastasis), and imaging findings (sonography, and whole-body scan), and follow-up features (metastases, recurrence and/or persistence, and RAI need) were retrospectively analyzed in adult patients with DTC followed-up for at least six months. Staging was determined in accordance with AJCC 7 and AJCC 8, prediction of recurrence and persistence by ATA risk stratification, and death risk by AMES systems. The alterations in staging and recurrence predictors were analyzed.

RESULTS

A majority of study patients (N.=524) were female (N.=424) and diagnosed with papillary cancer (N.=511), the median age at diagnosis was 44. 97.89% (N.=93) of stage 2-4 patients (N.=95) in AJCC 7 were down-staged in AJCC 8. We down-staged 41 patients of 45-55 years of age into stage 1 in AJCC 8 independent of LN status. A percentage of 26.71% of patients (N.=140) did have persistence, 9.54% (N.=50) persistence at the last follow-up, and 9.54% (N.=50) had recurrence. According to AJCC 8, T4 and AMES high risk were predictors for recurrence (hazard ratio: 3.053, P=0.023; hazard ratio:2.465, and P=0.005; respectively). Both AJCC 7 and 8 were associated with recurrence (P=0.008 and P<0.001, respectively). Stage 4 in AJCC 7, and stages 3 and 4 in AJCC 8 better predicted the probability of recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that AJCC 8 better predicted the recurrence in DTC than AJCC 7. In AJCC 8, T4 tumor, AMES high risk, stages 3 and 4 predicted recurrence. The vast majority of patients with stages 2-4 in AJCC 7 were down-staged in AJCC 8.

Revisiting the Predictive Factors for Nodal Metastasis in Oral Cancers-a Leap Towards Personalized Patient Treatment Approach

The incidence of oral squamous cell carcinoma is steadily increasing globally, and even with a better understanding of tumor biology and advanced treatment modalities, the survival of OSCC patients is still not improved. A single metastatic cervical node can decrease survival by 50%. Our study intends to identify the clinical, radiological, and histological factors, significant for nodal metastasis in the pretreatment setting. Ninety-three patients' data is prospectively collected and analyzed to identify the significance of various factors in predicting nodal metastasis. Clinical factors like smokeless tobacco and nodal characteristics and T category and radiological factors like the number of specific nodes were significant for pathological nodes on univariate analysis. Ankyloglossia, radiological ENE, and radiological nodal size were significant on multivariate analysis also. In the pretreatment setting, clinicopathological and radiological factors can be used to predict nodal metastasis in generating predictive nomograms and for better planning of treatment.

Extent of thyroidectomy: When should hemithyroidectomy be performed? Recommendations from the Francophone Association for Endocrine Surgery, the French Society of Endocrinology and the French Society of Nuclear Medicine

These recommendations, drawn from current data in the medical literature, incorporate the risks of hemithyroidectomy (HT) and total thyroidectomy (TT) and clarify the place of these two procedures in clinical settings. Discussions leading to a consensus were then assessed by the Francophone Association for Endocrine Surgery (Association francophone de chirurgie endocrinienne [AFCE]), along with the French Society of Endocrinology (Société française d'endocrinologie [SFE]), and the French Society of Nuclear Medicine (Société française de médecine nucléaire [SFMN]). The complication rate was twice as high after TT compared to HT. Total thyroidectomy requires life-long thyroid hormone supplementation, whereas such supplementation is required in only 30% of patients after HT. When surgery is indicated for Bethesda category II nodules, and in the absence of any indication for surgery on the contralateral lobe, HT is recommended. In patients with thyroid cancer (TC)≤1cm requiring surgical management or TC≤2cm, in the absence of risk factors for TC and in the absence of pre- or intraoperative detection of extrathyroidal extension, lymph node metastases (cN0) and/or suspected contra-lateral disease, HT is the preferred technique as long as the patient accepts the possibility of TT which might be required when aggressive forms of cancer are detected on definitive cytohistology (extrathyroidal extension, lymphovascular invasion, high-grade histology). For TC measuring between 2 and 4cm, the debate between HT and TT remains open today, although some surgeons tend to prefer TT. In patients with TC>4cm, macroscopic lymph node involvement (cN1), signs of extrathyroidal extension or predisposing factors for TC, TT is the treatment of choice.

I-PET score: Combining whole body iodine and 18 F-FDG PET/CT imaging to predict progression in structurally or biochemically incomplete thyroid cancer

OBJECTIVE

We propose a new scoring system (I-PET) combining whole body scan (WBS) and FDG findings to identify patients who have or are likely to become refractory to radioactive iodine.

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of 142 patients age >18 with differentiated thyroid cancer who had a F-18 labelled fluoro-2-deoxyglucose (¹⁸ F-FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) and WBS within a 6-month period between 2010 and 2020. Pairs of ¹⁸ F-FDG PET and WBS were reviewed by three independent nuclear medicine physicians and an I-PET score was assigned: I-PET [0]: Iodine -ve/FDG -ve, I-PET [1]: Iodine +ve/FDG -ve, I-PET [2]: Iodine +ve/FDG +ve and I-PET [3]: Iodine -ve/FDG +ve. Patients with FDG +ve lesions (I-PET [2] and I-PET [3]) were further classified into groups A and B if SUVmax was ≤5 or >5, respectively. Follow-up data were obtained by chart review. Progression was defined as structural progression as per RECIST 1.1 or further surgical intervention; or biochemical progression as unstimulated thyroglobulin increasing >20% from baseline.

RESULTS

Of 142 patients included in the study 121 patients had follow-up data available for review. At baseline, 49 patients were classified as I-PET [0], 10 as I-PET [1], 16 as I-PET [2] and 46 as I-PET [3]. Progression was seen in 11/49 (22%) of I-PET [0], 4/10 (40%) of I-PET [1], 10/16 (63%) of I-PET [2] and 34/46 (74%) of I-PET [3] (p < 0.001). I-PET [2B] and I-PET [3B] had a progression rate of 88% (7/8) and 78% (25/32), respectively. I-PET [3B] were 9.6 times more likely to commence multikinase inhibitor therapy (p = 0.001) and had 8 times greater mortality (p = 0.003) than patients in other I-PET groups combined.

CONCLUSION

I-PET is a simple readily acquired imaging biomarker that potentially enhances the dynamic risk stratification and guide treatment in thyroid cancer.

Predictive value and dynamic risk stratification of high sensitive basal or stimulated thyroglobulin assay in a long-term thyroid carcinoma cohort

PURPOSE

To evaluate the predictive value of the rhTSH thyroglobulin stimulation test (rhTSH-Tg) compared to basal high-sensitive thyroglobulin (hs-Tg) under TSH suppressive therapy at 12 months after the completion of initial treatment to predict the long-term response and Dynamic Risk Stratification (DRS) at the last follow-up visit in a long-term DTC cohort.

METHODS

Prospective study in 114 DTC patients (77.2% women, mean age 46.4 ± 14.1 years old, median/IQR evolution 6.7[3.1-8.0] years) from 2013 to 2020 undergoing total thyroidectomy and radioiodine ablation in whom hs-Tg and rhTSH-Tg was performed 12 months after completing initial treatment. Pearson correlation, receiving operating characteristics (ROC) and DRS at initial and last follow-up visit were analyzed.

RESULTS

hs-Tg and rhTSH-Tg show a strong positive linear correlation (r = 0.864, p < 0.001). The diagnostic performance of initial hs-Tg and rhTSH-Tg levels were evaluated via ROC-AUC as a predictor of excellent response (ER) in the last follow-up visit. Hs-Tg showed a better AUC (0.969, 95%CI = 0.941-0.997) than rhTSH-Tg (0.944, 95%IC = 0.905-0.984; p < 0.001). The hs-Tg and rhTSH-Tg cutoff point of highest sensitivity (S) and specificity (E) was 0.110 and 0.815 ng/dl, respectively. Hs-Tg showed a higher diagnostic accuracy than rhTSH-Tg (S = 100% vs 96.8%, E = 84.3% vs 84.3%, NPV = 100% vs 98.6%, PPV = 70.5% vs 69.7%; p < 0.05). The DRS based on initial hs-Tg showed better ability to predict ER (93.3% vs 86.7%) and biochemical incomplete response (53.3%vs13.3%) in the last follow-up visit compared to rhTSH-Tg.

CONCLUSIONS

Both initial hs-Th and rhTSH-Tg were good predictors of long-term ER. In patients with hs-Tg, the rhTSH-test did not provide relevant prognosis information. An ER after initial treatment was associated with a very high NPV at subsequent follow-up.

High Incidence of Thyroid Cancer in Southern Tuscany (Grosseto Province, Italy): Potential Role of Environmental Heavy Metal Pollution

The incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) in Italy is one of the highest in Europe, and the reason for this is unclear. The intra-country heterogeneity of TC incidence suggests the possibility of an overdiagnosis phenomenon, although environmental factors cannot be excluded. The aim of our study is to evaluate the TC incidence trend in southern Tuscany, Italy, an area with particular geological characteristics, where the pollution and subsequent deterioration of various environmental matrices with potentially toxic elements (heavy metals) introduced from either geological or anthropogenic (human activities) sources are documented. The Tuscany cancer registry (ISPRO) provided us with the number of cases and EU standardized incidence rates (IR) of TC patients for all three provinces of southeast Tuscany (Siena, Grosseto, Arezzo) during the period of 2013-2016. In addition, we examined the histological records of 226 TC patients. We observed that the TC incidence rates for both sexes observed in Grosseto Province were significantly higher than those observed in the other two provinces. The increase was mostly due to the papillary (PTC) histotype (92% of cases), which presented aggressive variants in 37% of PTCs and tumor diameters more than 1 cm in 71.3% of cases. We demonstrated a high incidence of TC in Grosseto province, especially among male patients, that could be influenced by the presence of environmental heavy metal pollution.

Thyroid Collision Tumors: The Presence of the Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma Component Negatively Influences the Prognosis

Thyroid collision tumors (TCTs) are rare pathological findings, representing <1% of thyroid cancers. This study aimed to compare the main pathological features of TCTs containing medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) and papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) components with MTC-only tumors and PTC-only tumors. Methods: The retrospective study included 69 cases diagnosed with TCTs (with simultaneous MTC and PTC components), MTC and PTC. All tumors were comparatively assessed for the classical histopathological prognostic features, including a new grading system for MTC. Results: The main component of TCTs had more frequent microscopic extrathyroidal extension (mETE) (p = 0.000), lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (p = 0.000), perineural invasion (PNI) (p = 0.044), and lymph node metastasis (p = 0.042). Additionally, the TCTs’ MTC component presented with more frequent LVI (p = 0.010). Comparing TCTs’ MTC and PTC components with MTC-only tumors and PTC-only tumors revealed that only the TCTs’ MTC components had statistically significant more frequent mETE (p = 0.010) than MTC-only tumors. When applied to the MTC component of TCTs, the pathological parameters of the new grading system of MTC showed no correlations with other microscopic or clinical aspects. Conclusion: Using classical pathological prognostic features, the comparative analysis revealed that the main TCTs’ component was more aggressive than the minor one. Contrary to PTCs, in TCTs, the medullary component was more aggressive than the papillary one, but also more aggressive than MTC-only tumors.

Prognostic Utility of Tumor Stage versus American Thyroid Association Risk Class in Thyroid Cancer

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prognostic strengths of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging and American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk classification in well-differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), and their implications in guiding medical decision-making and epidemiological study designs.

METHODS

The 2004-2017 National Cancer Database was queried for DTC patients. Cox proportional hazards (CPH) and Kaplan-Meier analyses modeled patient mortality and overall survival, respectively. Each CPH model was evaluated by its concordance index, measure of explained randomness (MER), Akaike information criterion (AIC), and area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Overall, 134,226 patients were analyzed, with an average age of 48.1 ± 15.1 years (76.9% female). Univariate CPH models using AJCC staging demonstrated higher concordance indices, MERs, and AUCs than those using ATA risk classification (all p < 0.001). Multivariable CPH models using AJCC staging demonstrated higher concordance indices (p = 0.049), MERs (p = 0.046), and AUCs (p = 0.002) than those using ATA risk classification. The AICs of multivariable AJCC staging and ATA risk models were 7.564 × 104 and 7.603 × 104 , respectively. AJCC stage I tumors were associated with greater overall survival than those classified as ATA low risk, whereas AJCC stages II-III and stage IV tumors demonstrated worse survival than ATA intermediate- and high-risk tumors, respectively (all p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

AJCC staging may be a more predictive system for patient survival than ATA risk. The prognostic utility of these two systems converges when additional demographic and clinical factors are considered. AJCC staging was found to classify patients across a wider range of survival patterns than the ATA risk stratification system.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

4 Laryngoscope, 133:205-211, 2023.

Risk Reassessment of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer in Ahvaz, Iran: A Cross-sectional Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Accurate evaluation of response to treatment in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is the sine qua non of preventing over-treatment in low-risk patients and implementing appropriate interventions in high-risk individuals.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess the response to therapy in DTC patients based on dynamic stratification method.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, 154 medical records of subjects with DTC (with at least 6 months after total thyroidectomy) and referred to endocrinology clinics in Ahvaz, Iran, from April 2020 to May 2021 were examined. Patients were stratified according to a dynamic risk stratification system (informed by their specific clinical, histopathological, and ultrasonography findings, and other diagnostic imagines) into four groups: Excellent response (ER), indeterminate response (IR), biochemical incomplete response (BIR), and structural incomplete response (SIR).

RESULTS

For a mean follow-up period of 28.59 months, excellent response to treatment was observed in 92 patients (59.7%), indeterminate response to treatment was found in 32 patients (20.8%), biochemical incomplete response was detected in 2 patients (1.3%), and structural incomplete response was seen in 28 patients (18.2%). In the group with low risk of recurrence, ER and IR were observed in 79.2% and 15.6% of the patients, respectively (P < 0.0001). In the group with an intermediate risk of recurrence, ER was found in 32% of the patients, while IR and SIR + BIR were seen in 34% and 34% of the patients, respectively (P < 0.0001). No cases of ER or IR were observed in the group with high risk (P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In sum, response to treatment significantly varied based on dynamic risk stratification, with ER being highest in the low-risk group, less likely in moderate risk group, and undetected in the high-risk group.

Incomplete response to therapy in intermediate- and high-risk thyroid cancer

CONTEXT

The American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification system predicts risk of recurrence of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). Although the majority of patients achieve an excellent response, patients with intermediate- or high-risk DTC are at a significant risk of developing incomplete responses. We undertook this work to understand the factors associated with development of biochemically or structurally incomplete response in these two risk subgroups of DTC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 287 consecutive patients with intermediate- (213 patients) or high-risk (74 patients) DTC. All patients underwent total thyroidectomy with (223 patients) or without (64 patients) lymph node dissection and 94% of them received at least one dose of I-131ablation/therapy. Univariate and multivariate analysis and Kaplan Meier analysis were used to compare patients who achieved an excellent response with those who continued to have biochemically or structurally incomplete responses.

RESULTS

In univariate and multivariate analyses, age (P 0.002, Odds ratio 4.8, 95% CI: 1.8-12.9), tumor size (P 0.027, Odds ratio 1.30, 95% CI: 1.03-1.64) and distant metastases (P &lt; 0.0001, Odds ratio 44.6, 95% CI: 10.7-184.5) were significantly associated with the risk of developing biochemically or structurally incomplete statuses. Patients ≥ 55 years, tumors &gt; 2.5 cm and presence of distant metastasis were associated with higher risk of incomplete response and death from DTC. However, when this analysis was performed on intermediate and high-risk groups separately, only age was consistently associated with risk of biochemically or structurally incomplete response in either and both groups.

CONCLUSION

Age is a strong predictor of biochemically and structurally incomplete responses in patients with intermediate and high-risk DTC.

An Indeterminate for Malignancy FNA Report Does Not Increase the Surgical Risk of Incidental Thyroid Carcinoma

Incidental thyroid carcinomas (ITCs) are a fairly frequent finding in daily routine practice, with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma being the most frequent entity. In our work, we isolated incidental cases arising in thyroids removed for other cytologically indeterminate and histologically benign nodules. We retrospectively retrieved cases with available thyroid Fine Needle Aspiration (FNA, 3270 cases), selecting those with an indeterminate cytological diagnosis (Bethesda classes III−IV, 652 cases). Subsequently, we restricted the analysis to surgically treated patients (163 cases) finding an incidental thyroid carcinoma in 22 of them. We found a 13.5% ITC rate, with ITCs representing 46.8% of all cancer histologically diagnosed in this indeterminate setting. Patients received a cytological diagnosis of Bethesda class III and IV in 41% and 59% of cases, respectively. All ITC cases turned out to be papillary thyroid microcarcinomas; 36% of cases were multifocal, with foci bilaterally detected in 50% of cases. We found an overall ITC rate concordant with the literature and with our previous findings. The assignment of an indeterminate category to FNA did not increase the risk of ITCs in our cohort. Rather, a strong statistical significance (p < 0.01) was found comparing the larger size of nodules that underwent FNA and the smaller size of their corresponding ITC nodule.

Active Surveillance of Papillary Thyroid Cancer: Frequency and Time Course of the Six Most Common Tumor Volume Kinetic Patterns

Background: The change in size of the papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) nodule during active surveillance has traditionally been characterized as either stable, increasing, or decreasing based on changes in maximal tumor diameter or tumor volume. More recently, it has been observed that the changes in tumor size observed during observation are more complex with tumor volume kinetic patterns that can be characterized either as stable (Pattern I), early increase in volume (Pattern II), later increase in volume (Pattern III), early increase in volume followed by stability (Pattern IV), stability followed by an increase in volume (Pattern V), or a decrease in tumor volume (Pattern VI). Methods: The frequency, time course, and clinical correlates of these six tumor volume kinetic patterns were analyzed in a cohort of 483 patients with low-risk PTC up to 1.5 cm in maximal diameter followed with active surveillance at our center for a median of 3.7 years. Results: The cumulative incidence of an increase in tumor volume for the entire cohort was 15.9% [confidence interval (CI) 11.8-20.0] at 5 years. At 5 years, most tumors demonstrated stability (78.8%, Pattern I) with 10.0% showing early growth (Pattern II), 4.1% late growth (Pattern III), 1.9% growth then stability (Pattern IV), 0.6% stability then growth (Pattern V), and 5.6% with a decrease in tumor volume (Pattern VI). Tumor volume doubling time during exponential growth significantly differed across the kinetic patterns, with median values of 2.4, 7.1, and 3.3 years for Patterns II, III, and IV, respectively (p < 0.01). Similarly, the time to a change in tumor volume was significantly different across the kinetic patterns, with median values of 1.5, 3, 1.6, 4.7, and 4.1 years for Patterns II, III, IV, V, and VI, respectively (analysis of variance, p < 0.01). Clinical correlates at baseline were not associated with tumor volume kinetic pattern. Conclusions: These six kinetic tumor volume patterns provide a comprehensive description of the changes in PTC tumor volume observed during the first 5 years of active surveillance.

TERT Promoter and BRAF V600E Mutations in Papillary Thyroid Cancer: A Single-Institution Experience in Korea

Simple Summary

TERT promoter mutation has recently emerged as a promising prognostic biomarker for aggressive papillary thyroid cancer (PTC), along with BRAF B600E mutation. The prevalence of the TERT promoter mutations has been reported as relatively uncommon in Asian countries. We report on a prospective study of the TERT promoter and BRAF V600E mutation in the largest number of subjects with PTC in Korea. We assume that our specific clinical settings and the favorable healthcare environment in Korea led to several distinct findings: the lowest prevalence of TERT promoter mutation ever reported, multifocal gene mutations in bilateral PTCs, and more early-stage papillary microcarcinomas included in this study. This study indicates that relevant evaluation and treatment strategies should be investigated continuously based on different circumstances.

Abstract

Telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) promoter mutation has been investigated for its clinical and prognostic significance in aggressive papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). In this study, we aimed to assess the prevalence, clinicopathologic features, and treatment outcomes of TERT mutation-positive PTCs along with the common BRAF V600E mutation. We performed mutational analyses for BRAF and the TERT promoter in thyroid cancer patients who had undergone surgery at our institution since 2019. We reviewed and analyzed 7797 patients with PTC in this study. The prevalence of BRAF V600E and TERT promoter mutations was 84.0% and 1.1%, respectively. Multifocal gene mutations in bilateral PTCs were identified. TERT promoter mutations were associated with older age, larger tumor size, tumor multifocality, tumor variants, advanced stages, more adjuvant radioactive iodine treatment (RAI), higher stimulated serum thyroglobulin level before RAI, and more uptakes in the regions outside the surgical field on a post-RAI whole-body scan. The coexistence of BRAF V600E and TERT promoter mutations exacerbated all clinicopathologic characteristics. The frequency of TERT promoter mutations was the lowest in this study, compared to previous studies. TERT promoter mutations consistently correlated with aggressive PTCs, and the synergistic effect of both mutations was evident. Specific clinical settings in our institution and in Korea may have led to these distinctive results. Prospective multicenter studies with longer follow-up periods are required to establish valuable oncologic outcomes.

Tumor Grade Predicts for Calcitonin Doubling Times and Disease-Specific Outcomes After Resection of Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma

Background: Tumor grade is a new validated prognostic factor for medullary thyroid cancer (MTC). Calcitonin doubling time can predict MTC recurrence. We aimed to describe the association of tumor grade with calcitonin doubling and its effect on disease-specific outcomes times after resection. Methods: A retrospective analysis of MTC patients who underwent resection at a single tertiary-care cancer center between 1986 and 2017 were evaluated. Tumors were designated as high-grade MTC if two head and neck pathologists identified mitotic index ≥5 per 2 mm2, tumor necrosis, or a Ki67 proliferative index ≥5% within the tumor. Calcitonin doubling time was calculated using a validated calculator with at least three consecutive levels. Using Cox proportional hazards models, outcomes evaluated included locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and overall survival (OS). Results: Among 117 patients, 95 were low grade and 22 high grade. Median follow-up was 70.2 months. High-grade patients demonstrated significantly faster calcitonin doubling times when compared with low-grade patients (8.51 ± 3.22 months vs. 38.42 ± 11.19 months; p < 0.001). In addition, most high-grade patients (66.7%) had calcitonin doubling times less than 1 year compared with fewer low-grade patients (1.0%; p < 0.001). High- and low-grade patients were further stratified by those who had calcitonin doubling times less than or greater than 2 years-a previously validated prognostic cutoff point. For patients with calcitonin doubling times less than 2 years, 70% were high grade, while 30% were low grade (p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis comparing grade and calcitonin doubling times, high-grade patients had significantly worse LRFS (hazards ratio [HR] 4.77 [confidence interval; CI 1.19-8.81]), DMFS (HR 7.25 [CI 2.36-22.28]), and OS (HR 6.04 [CI 1.85-19.72]; p < 0.05 for all), while calcitonin doubling times less than 2 years had worse DMFS (HR 7.22 [CI 1.05-49.75]). High-grade patients with calcitonin doubling times less than 2 years had associated worse LRFS and OS (both p < 0.05) compared with low-grade patients. Conclusions: The majority of high-grade MTC patients have calcitonin doubling times less than 2years. Close monitoring should be advocated for patients assessed to have high-grade tumors as they are at risk for poor disease-specific outcomes and structural recurrence.

Diagnostic and prognostic value of Stanniocalcin 1 expression in papillary thyroid cancer

PURPOSE

To evaluate the potential role of immunohistochemical changes in stanniocalcin 1 (STC1) and stanniocalcin 2 (STC2) expressions in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) tissues in the disease's diagnosis and to investigate their relationship with classical clinicopathological prognostic factors.

METHODS

The study included 100 patients with PTC. Normal thyroid tissue adjacent to the tumor was taken as the control group. Clinicopathological prognostic features at the time of diagnosis of patients were recorded. STC1 and STC2 expressions of tumor tissue and adjacent normal tissue were determined immunohistochemically.

RESULTS

The sensitivity of STC1 in the diagnosis of PTC was 93%, the specificity was 94%, positive predictive value (PPV) 93.9%, and negative predictive value (NPV) 93.1%. It was determined that the STC1 staining score in tumor tissue was positively correlated with the disease TNM stage score (r = 0.259, p = 0.009) and the increase in STC1 staining score were independent risk factors that increased the risk of lymph node metastasis (R² = 0.398, p < 0.001). While 21% of the tumor tissues were stained with STC2, none of the normal thyroid tissues adjacent to the tumor tissue showed any staining with STC2. No correlation was found between STC2 immunohistochemical staining of tumor tissue and clinicopathological risk factors for the disease.

CONCLUSION

Increased STC1 expression in thyroid lesions may be helpful in diagnosing PTC. In addition, since increased STC1 expression in PTC tissues is associated with the risk of lymph node metastasis, it may be an efficient marker for predicting the prognosis of the disease.

A Retrospective Cohort Study with Validation of Predictors of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Outcomes

Background: The goal of radioactive iodine (RAI) in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is to treat metastasis and reduce recurrence risk. International guidelines provide broad risk stratification to aid treatment decisions, but a more nuanced approach to individualize care is warranted. We developed a predictive risk model for DTC. Methods: We performed a retrospective multivariable analysis of 899 patients who received RAI after thyroidectomy at a quaternary center in Australia between 2008 and 2016. Collected data included age, gender, histology, stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg), and 8th American Joint Committee Cancer (AJCC) staging. The ATA Modified Initial Risk (ATA) was calculated retrospectively. Recurrence was defined as clinically significant progression requiring either surgical intervention or administration of a second activity of RAI. Synchronous metastasis was defined as distant metastasis (i.e., outside of the neck) that was present at the time of diagnosis on structural imaging or initial post-iodine treatment scan. The features significantly associated with synchronous metastasis or recurrence were employed in the generation of a predictive risk model. A separate cohort of 393 patients who received RAI in 2017-2021 was used for validation. Results: On multivariate analysis, sTg ≥10 μg/L, extrathyroidal extension (ETE) and lymph node involvement predicted recurrence. Independent of ATA, patients with sTg ≥10 μg/L had a shorter disease-free survival (DFS) than those with sTg <10 μg/L (p < 0.001). The ETE stratified by four histological categories was significantly associated with worse DFS (p < 0.001). In a subset of patients, the presence of thyroglobulin antibody (TgAb) did not influence recurrence in patients with sTg <10 μg/L. On multivariate analysis, widespread ETE, sTg ≥10 μg/L, multifocal papillary thyroid cancer and follicular thyroid cancer were positively associated with synchronous metastasis. A predictive risk model was developed to estimate synchronous metastasis/recurrence risk and validated successfully in the second cohort. Conclusions: Our novel predictive risk model modifies and extends ATA stratification by including sTg and ETE, which we found to be independent predictors of both recurrence and synchronous metastasis in DTC.

Multi-center evaluation of the highly sensitive Abbott ARCHITECT and Alinity thyroglobulin chemiluminescent microparticle immunoassay

Background

Thyroglobulin (Tg) is an essential part for the management of patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) after thyroidectomy. Highly sensitive Tg assays are now established in clinical practice as they facilitate follow‐up of DTC patients. In this study, we evaluated the recently launched highly sensitive Abbott Tg assay for Alinity and ARCHITECT.

Methods

In this three‐center study, Tg values of 447 routine patient samples, characterized for the presence of anti‐Tg, were measured with the ARCHITECT Tg assay and compared with the Roche Elecsys TgII assay. In addition, a subset of 154 samples was compared also with the Beckman Tg Access assay and another subset (n = 122) with Abbott Tg on the Alinity i analyzer.

Results

LoQ was verified to be less than or equal to 0.1 ng/ml confirming that the Tg assay on ARCHITECT and Alinity is highly sensitive. Correlation of ARCHITECT, Alinity, and Roche was excellent with a slope between 0.9 and 1.1 and a correlation coefficient >0.98. Correlation to Beckmann Tg was also very good, but the differences in absolute values were significant (slope: 1.477).

Conclusions

The Abbott Thyroglobulin assay, which is standardized to CRM‐457, demonstrated a high correlation to the Roche and Beckman Tg assays, though good agreement of absolute values was only observed between Abbott and Roche. Strength of correlation and slope were not affected by the presence of anti‐Tg indicating that all assays included in the study have a similar susceptibility to anti‐Tg.

Selumetinib Plus Adjuvant Radioactive Iodine in Patients With High-Risk Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Phase III, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial (ASTRA)

PURPOSE

Selumetinib can increase radioactive iodine (RAI) avidity in RAI-refractory tumors. We investigated whether selumetinib plus adjuvant RAI improves complete remission (CR) rates in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) at high risk of primary treatment failure versus RAI alone.

METHODS

ASTRA (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01843062) is an international, phase III, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind trial. Patients with DTC at high risk of primary treatment failure (primary tumor > 4 cm; gross extrathyroidal extension outside the thyroid gland [T4 disease]; or N1a/N1b disease with ≥ 1 metastatic lymph node(s) ≥ 1 cm or ≥ 5 lymph nodes [any size]) were randomly assigned 2:1 to selumetinib 75 mg orally twice daily or placebo for approximately 5 weeks (no stratification). On treatment days 29-31, recombinant human thyroid-stimulating hormone (0.9 mg)-stimulated RAI (131I; 100 mCi/3.7 GBq) was administered, followed by 5 days of selumetinib/placebo. The primary end point (CR rate 18 months after RAI) was assessed in the intention-to-treat population.

RESULTS

Four hundred patients were enrolled (August 27, 2013-March 23, 2016) and 233 randomly assigned (selumetinib, n = 155 [67%]; placebo, n = 78 [33%]). No statistically significant difference in CR rate 18 months after RAI was observed (selumetinib n = 62 [40%]; placebo n = 30 [38%]; odds ratio 1.07 [95% CI, 0.61 to 1.87]; P = .8205). Treatment-related grade ≥ 3 adverse events were reported in 25/154 patients (16%) with selumetinib and none with placebo. The most common adverse event with selumetinib was dermatitis acneiform (n = 11 [7%]). No treatment-related deaths were reported.

CONCLUSION

Postoperative pathologic risk stratification identified patients with DTC at high risk of primary treatment failure, although the addition of selumetinib to adjuvant RAI failed to improve the CR rate for these patients. Future strategies should focus on tumor genotype-tailored drug selection and maintaining drug dosing to optimize RAI efficacy.

Radioactive iodine therapy: multiple faces of the same polyhedron

The incidence of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) has increased in recent decades with early stage, low risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) being detected and diagnosed. As a result, the psychological, financial, and clinical ramifications of overdiagnosis and excessively aggressive therapy are being increasingly recognized with many authorities calling for a re-evaluation of the traditional "one size fits all" management approaches. To address these critical issues, most thyroid cancer guidelines endorse a more risk adapted management strategy where the intensity of therapy and follow up is matched to the anticipated risk of recurrence and death from DTC for each patient. This "less is more" strategy provides for a minimalistic management approach for properly selected patients with low-risk DTC. This has re-kindled the long-standing debate regarding the routine use of radioactive iodine therapy (RIT) in DTC. Although recent guidelines have moved toward a more selective use of RIT, particular in patients with low-intermediate risk DTC, the proper selection of patients, the expected benefit, and the potential risks continue to be a source of ongoing controversy and debate. In this manuscript, we will review the wide range of clinical, imaging, medical team, and patient factors that must be considered when evaluating individual patients for RIT. Through a review of the current literature evaluating the potential benefits and risks of RIT, we will present a risk adapted approach to proper patient selection for RIT which emphasizes peri-operative risk stratification as the primary tool that clinicians should use to guide initial RIT management recommendations.

Papillary thyroid cancer and a TERT promotor mutation-positive paraganglioma in a patient with a germline SDHB mutation

Purpose

About 40% of paragangliomas (PGL) are due to germline mutations in one of several susceptibility genes. These genes rarely predispose to other non-PGL tumors. Here, we describe and functionally characterize a germline SDHB mutation in a patient who developed a BRAFV600E mutation-positive papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) and a TERT promotor mutation-positive PGL.

Experimental design

A 28-year-old asymptomatic man was discovered incidentally to have a large left-sided mid abdominal PGL and PTC. He underwent resection of the PGL and total thyroidectomy and neck dissection followed by I-131 adjuvant therapy for PTC. The histopathology revealed a high-grade PGL and a tall cell variant PTC with lymph node metastases (T1b N1b M0). He soon developed PGL spinal metastases that have been rapidly progressing and is currently being treated with Lu 177-dotatate therapy. Family screening revealed a positive SDHB mutation in the mother, a son and a brother.

Results

In addition to the heterozygous SDHB germline mutation (c.688C&gt;T, p.Arg230Cys), molecular analysis revealed a somatic TERT promotor mutation (C228T) in PGL (negative in PTC), and a somatic BRAFV600E mutation in PTC (negative in PGL). Functional studies showed a higher proliferation rate in the mutant compared to the wild type SDHB.

Conclusion

Germline SDHB mutations rarely occur in patients with PTC and may contribute to the its aggressiveness. Somatic TERT promotor mutations rarely occur in PGL and contribute to its aggressiveness and metastatic potential.

Is thyroglobulin a reliable biomarker of differentiated thyroid cancer in patients treated by lobectomy? A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

The prognostic role of thyroglobulin in predicting recurrence in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients treated by lobectomy is controversial. This systematic review with meta-analysis aimed to update the current evidence deepening the reliability of circulating thyroglobulin in assessing the early response and in predictive recurrence.

METHODS

The methodology was registered in the PROSPERO database under the protocol number CRD42021288189. A systematic search was carried out on PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus from September to November 2021 without time and language restrictions. The literature search strategy was based on the following keywords: Thyroglobulin AND (Lobectomy OR Hemithyroidectomy).

RESULTS

After screening 273 articles, seven studies were included in the systematic review, and only six of them were included in the meta-analysis for a total of 2,455 patients. Circulating thyroglobulin was found non-reliable in assessing early response and predicting recurrence in patients with hemithyroidectomy, especially those with a low initial ATA classification.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study does not support serum thyroglobulin levels for monitoring patients with low-risk DTC treated with lobectomy, and weak evidence supports its role for intermediate- or high-risk patients. Studies with longer follow-up, different study designs, and stringent inclusion/exclusion criteria are needed to evaluate the role of thyroglobulin in recurrence prediction.