Development and validation of a MRI-based radiomics signature for prediction of KRAS mutation in rectal cancer

OUP accepted manuscript

The recent, rapid advances in immuno-oncology have revolutionized cancer treatment and spurred further research into tumor biology. Yet, cancer patients respond variably to immunotherapy despite mounting evidence to support its efficacy. Current methods for predicting immunotherapy response are unreliable, as these tests cannot fully account for tumor heterogeneity and microenvironment. An improved method for predicting response to immunotherapy is needed. Recent studies have proposed radiomics—the process of converting medical images into quantitative data (features) that can be processed using machine learning algorithms to identify complex patterns and trends—for predicting response to immunotherapy. Because patients undergo numerous imaging procedures throughout the course of the disease, there exists a wealth of radiological imaging data available for training radiomics models. And because radiomic features reflect cancer biology, such as tumor heterogeneity and microenvironment, these models have enormous potential to predict immunotherapy response more accurately than current methods. Models trained on preexisting biomarkers and/or clinical outcomes have demonstrated potential to improve patient stratification and treatment outcomes. In this review, we discuss current applications of radiomics in oncology, followed by a discussion on recent studies that use radiomics to predict immunotherapy response and toxicity.

Delta radiomics: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Radiomics can provide quantitative features from medical imaging that can be correlated with various biological features and clinical endpoints. Delta radiomics, on the other hand, consists in the analysis of feature variation at different acquisition time points, usually before and after therapy. The aim of this study was to provide a systematic review of the different delta radiomics approaches.

METHODS

Eligible articles were searched in Embase, PubMed, and ScienceDirect using a search string that included free text and/or Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) with three key search terms: "radiomics", "texture", and "delta". Studies were analysed using QUADAS-2 and the RQS tool.

RESULTS

Forty-eight studies were finally included. The studies were divided into preclinical/methodological (five studies, 10.4%); rectal cancer (six studies, 12.5%); lung cancer (twelve studies, 25%); sarcoma (five studies, 10.4%); prostate cancer (three studies, 6.3%), head and neck cancer (six studies, 12.5%); gastrointestinal malignancies excluding rectum (seven studies, 14.6%), and other disease sites (four studies, 8.3%). The median RQS of all studies was 25% (mean 21% ± 12%), with 13 studies (30.2%) achieving a quality score < 10% and 22 studies (51.2%) < 25%.

CONCLUSIONS

Delta radiomics shows potential benefit for several clinical endpoints in oncology (differential diagnosis, prognosis and prediction of treatment response, and evaluation of side effects). Nevertheless, the studies included in this systematic review suffer from the bias of overall low quality, so that the conclusions are currently heterogeneous, not robust, and not replicable. Further research with prospective and multicentre studies is needed for the clinical validation of delta radiomics approaches.

A multitask dual-stream attention network for the identification of KRAS mutation in colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

It is of great significance to accurately identify the KRAS gene mutation status for patients in tumor prognosis and personalized treatment. Although the computer-aided diagnosis system based on deep learning has gotten all-round development, its performance still cannot meet the current clinical application requirements due to the inherent limitations of small-scale medical image data set and inaccurate lesion feature extraction. Therefore, our aim is to propose a deep learning model based on T2 MRI of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients to identify whether KRAS gene is mutated.

METHODS

In this research, a multitask attentive model is proposed to identify KRAS gene mutations in patients, which is mainly composed of a segmentation subnetwork and an identification subnetwork. Specifically, at first, the features extracted by the encoder of segmentation model are used as guidance information to guide the two attention modules in the identification network for precise activation of the lesion area. Then the original image of the lesion and the segmentation result are concatenated for feature extraction. Finally, features extracted from the second step are combined with features activated by the attention modules to identify the gene mutation status. In this process, we introduce the interlayer loss function to encourage the similarity of the two subnetwork parameters and ensure that the key features are fully extracted to alleviate the overfitting problem caused by small data set to some extent.

RESULTS

The proposed identification model is benchmarked primarily using 15-fold cross validation. Three hundred and eighty-two images from 36 clinical cases were used to test the model. For the identification of KRAS mutation status, the average accuracy is 89.95 ± 1.23%, the average sensitivity is 89.29 ± 1.79%, the average specificity is 90.53 ± 2.45%, and the average area under the curve (AUC) is 95.73 ± 0.52%. For segmentation of lesions, the average dice is 88.11 ± 0.86%.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a novel deep learning-based model to identify the KRAS status in CRC. We demonstrated the excellent properties of the proposed identification through comparison with ground truth gene mutation status of 36 clinical cases. And all these results show that the novel method has great potential for clinical application.

Spatial-Frequency dual-branch attention model for determining KRAS mutation status in colorectal cancer with T2-weighted MRI

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Identifying the KRAS mutation status accurately in medical images is very important for the diagnosis and treatment of colorectal cancer. Despite the substantial progress achieved by existing methods, it remains challenging due to limited annotated dataset, large intra-class variances, and a high degree of inter-class similarities.

METHODS

To tackle these challenges, we propose a spatial-frequency dual-branch attention model (SF-DBAM) to determine the KRAS mutation status of colorectal cancer patients using a limited T2-weighted MRI dataset. The dataset contains 169 wild-type patients (2151 images) and 137 mutation-type patients (1666 images). The first branch utilizes part of the pre-trained Xception model to capture spatial-domain information and alleviate the small-scale dataset problem. The second branch builds frequency-domain information into cube columns using block-based discrete cosine transform and channel rearrangement. Then the cube columns are fed into convolutional long short-term memory (convLSTM) to explore the effective information between the reconstructed frequency-domain channels. Also, we design a channel enhanced attention module (CEAM) at the end of each branch to make them focus on the lesion areas. Finally, we concatenate the two branches and output the classified results through fully connected layers.

RESULTS

The proposed method achieves 88.03% overall accuracy with AUC of 94.27% and specificity of 90.75% in 10-fold cross-validation, which is better than the current non-invasive methods for determining KRAS mutation status.

CONCLUSIONS

We believe that the proposed method can assist physicians to diagnose the KRAS mutation status in patients with colorectal cancer, and other medical problems can benefit from the spatial and frequency domains information.

Radiomics and machine learning applications in rectal cancer: Current update and future perspectives

The high incidence of rectal cancer in both sexes makes it one of the most common tumors, with significant morbidity and mortality rates. To define the best treatment option and optimize patient outcome, several rectal cancer biological variables must be evaluated. Currently, medical imaging plays a crucial role in the characterization of this disease, and it often requires a multimodal approach. Magnetic resonance imaging is the first-choice imaging modality for local staging and restaging and can be used to detect high-risk prognostic factors. Computed tomography is widely adopted for the detection of distant metastases. However, conventional imaging has recognized limitations, and many rectal cancer characteristics remain assessable only after surgery and histopathology evaluation. There is a growing interest in artificial intelligence applications in medicine, and imaging is by no means an exception. The introduction of radiomics, which allows the extraction of quantitative features that reflect tumor heterogeneity, allows the mining of data in medical images and paved the way for the identification of potential new imaging biomarkers. To manage such a huge amount of data, the use of machine learning algorithms has been proposed. Indeed, without prior explicit programming, they can be employed to build prediction models to support clinical decision making. In this review, current applications and future perspectives of artificial intelligence in medical imaging of rectal cancer are presented, with an imaging modality-based approach and a keen eye on unsolved issues. The results are promising, but the road ahead for translation in clinical practice is rather long.

Performances of Whole Tumor Texture Analysis Based on MRI: Predicting Preoperative T Stage of Rectal Carcinomas

Objective

To determine whether there is a correlation between texture features extracted from high-resolution T2-weighted imaging (HR-T2WI) or apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) maps and the preoperative T stage (stages T1–2 versus T3–4) in rectal carcinomas.

Materials and Methods

One hundred and fifty four patients with rectal carcinomas who underwent preoperative HR-T2WI and diffusion-weighted imaging were enrolled. Patients were divided into training (n = 89) and validation (n = 65) cohorts. 3D Slicer was used to segment the entire volume of interest for whole tumors based on HR-T2WI and ADC maps. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was performed to select feature. The significantly difference was tested by the independent sample t-test and Mann-Whitney U test. The support vector machine (SVM) model was used to develop classification models. The correlation between features and T stage was assessed by Spearman’s correlation analysis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors of tumor invasion. The performance of classifiers was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

Results

The wavelet HHH NGTDM strength (R_S = -0.364, P < 0.001) from HR-T2WI was an independent predictor of stage T3–4 tumors. The shape maximum 2D diameter column (R_S = 0.431, P < 0.001), log σ = 5.0 mm 3D first-order maximum (R_S = 0.276, P = 0.009), and log σ = 5.0 mm 3D first-order interquartile range (R_S = -0.229, P = 0.032) from ADC maps were independent predictors. In training cohorts, the classification models from HR-T2WI, ADC maps and the combination of two achieved the area under the ROC curves (AUCs) of 0.877, 0.902 and 0.941, with the accuracy of 79.78%, 89.86% and 89.89%, respectively. In validation cohorts, the three models achieved AUCs of 0.845, 0.881 and 0.910, with the accuracy of 78.46%, 83.08% and 87.69%, respectively.

Conclusions

Texture analysis based on ADC maps shows more potential than HR-T2WI in identifying preoperative T stage in rectal carcinomas. The combined application of HR-T2WI and ADC maps may help to improve the accuracy of preoperative diagnosis of rectal cancer invasion.

Comparable Performance of Deep Learning-Based to Manual-Based Tumor Segmentation in KRAS/NRAS/BRAF Mutation Prediction With MR-Based Radiomics in Rectal Cancer

Radiomic features extracted from segmented tumor regions have shown great power in gene mutation prediction, while deep learning–based (DL-based) segmentation helps to address the inherent limitations of manual segmentation. We therefore investigated whether deep learning–based segmentation is feasible in predicting KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutations of rectal cancer using MR-based radiomics. In this study, we proposed DL-based segmentation models with 3D V-net architecture. One hundred and eight patients’ images (T2WI and DWI) were collected for training, and another 94 patients’ images were collected for validation. We evaluated the DL-based segmentation manner and compared it with the manual-based segmentation manner through comparing the gene prediction performance of six radiomics-based models on the test set. The performance of the DL-based segmentation was evaluated by Dice coefficients, which are 0.878 ± 0.214 and 0.955 ± 0.055 for T2WI and DWI, respectively. The performance of the radiomics-based model in gene prediction based on DL-segmented VOI was evaluated by AUCs (0.714 for T2WI, 0.816 for DWI, and 0.887 for T2WI+DWI), which were comparable to that of corresponding manual-based VOI (0.637 for T2WI, P=0.188; 0.872 for DWI, P=0.181; and 0.906 for T2WI+DWI, P=0.676). The results showed that 3D V-Net architecture could conduct reliable rectal cancer segmentation on T2WI and DWI images. All-relevant radiomics-based models presented similar performances in KRAS/NRAS/BRAF prediction between the two segmentation manners.

Emerging applications of radiomics in rectal cancer: State of the art and future perspectives

Rectal cancer (RC) is the third most commonly diagnosed cancer and has a high risk of mortality, although overall survival rates have improved. Preoperative assessments and predictions, including risk stratification, responses to therapy, long-term clinical outcomes, and gene mutation status, are crucial to guide the optimization of personalized treatment strategies. Radiomics is a novel approach that enables the evaluation of the heterogeneity and biological behavior of tumors by quantitative extraction of features from medical imaging. As these extracted features cannot be captured by visual inspection, the field holds significant promise. Recent studies have proved the rapid development of radiomics and validated its diagnostic and predictive efficacy. Nonetheless, existing radiomics research on RC is highly heterogeneous due to challenges in workflow standardization and limitations of objective cohort conditions. Here, we present a summary of existing research based on computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging. We highlight the most salient issues in the field of radiomics and analyze the most urgent problems that require resolution. Our review provides a cutting-edge view of the use of radiomics to detect and evaluate RC, and will benefit researchers dedicated to using this state-of-the-art technology in the era of precision medicine.

Advances in radiological staging of colorectal cancer

The role of imaging in clinically staging colorectal cancer has grown substantially in the 21^st century with more widespread availability of multi-row detector computed tomography (CT), high-resolution magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with diffusion weighted imaging (DWI), and integrated positron-emission tomography (PET)/CT. In contrast to staging many other cancers, increasing colorectal cancer stage does not highly correlate with survival. As has been the case previously, clinical practice incorporates advances in staging and it is used to guide therapy before adoption into international staging guidelines. Emerging imaging techniques show promise to become part of future staging standards.

Systematic Review on the Association of Radiomics with Tumor Biological Endpoints

Radiomics supposes an alternative non-invasive tumor characterization tool, which has experienced increased interest with the advent of more powerful computers and more sophisticated machine learning algorithms. Nonetheless, the incorporation of radiomics in cancer clinical-decision support systems still necessitates a thorough analysis of its relationship with tumor biology. Herein, we present a systematic review focusing on the clinical evidence of radiomics as a surrogate method for tumor molecular profile characterization. An extensive literature review was conducted in PubMed, including papers on radiomics and a selected set of clinically relevant and commonly used tumor molecular markers. We summarized our findings based on different cancer entities, additionally evaluating the effect of different modalities for the prediction of biomarkers at each tumor site. Results suggest the existence of an association between the studied biomarkers and radiomics from different modalities and different tumor sites, even though a larger number of multi-center studies are required to further validate the reported outcomes.

Predicting Microsatellite Instability Status in Colorectal Cancer Based on Triphasic Enhanced Computed Tomography Radiomics Signatures: A Multicenter Study

Background

This study aimed to develop and validate a computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics model to predict microsatellite instability (MSI) status in colorectal cancer patients and to identify the radiomics signature with the most robust and high performance from one of the three phases of triphasic enhanced CT.

Methods

In total, 502 colorectal cancer patients with preoperative contrast-enhanced CT images and available MSI status (441 in the training cohort and 61 in the external validation cohort) were enrolled from two centers in our retrospective study. Radiomics features of the entire primary tumor were extracted from arterial-, delayed-, and venous-phase CT images. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method was used to retain the features closely associated with MSI status. Radiomics, clinical, and combined Clinical Radiomics models were built to predict MSI status. Model performance was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

Results

Thirty-two radiomics features showed significant correlation with MSI status. Delayed-phase models showed superior predictive performance compared to arterial- or venous-phase models. Additionally, age, location, and carcinoembryonic antigen were considered useful predictors of MSI status. The Clinical Radiomics nomogram that incorporated both clinical risk factors and radiomics parameters showed excellent performance, with an AUC, accuracy, and sensitivity of 0.898, 0.837, and 0.821 in the training cohort and 0.964, 0.918, and 1.000 in the validation cohort, respectively.

Conclusions

The proposed CT-based radiomics signature has excellent performance in predicting MSI status and could potentially guide individualized therapy.

Why did European Radiology reject my radiomic biomarker paper? How to correctly evaluate imaging biomarkers in a clinical setting

This review explains in simple terms, accessible to the non-statistician, general principles regarding the correct research methods to develop and then evaluate imaging biomarkers in a clinical setting, including radiomic biomarkers. The distinction between diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers is made and emphasis placed on the need to assess clinical utility within the context of a multivariable model. Such models should not be restricted to imaging biomarkers and must include relevant disease and patient characteristics likely to be clinically useful. Biomarker utility is based on whether its addition to the basic clinical model improves diagnosis or prediction. Approaches to both model development and evaluation are explained and the need for adequate amounts of representative data stressed so as to avoid underpowering and overfitting. Advice is provided regarding how to report the research correctly. KEY POINTS: • Imaging biomarker research is common but methodological errors are encountered frequently that may mean the research is not clinically useful. • The clinical utility of imaging biomarkers is best assessed by their additive effect on multivariable models based on clinical factors known to be important. • The data used to develop such models should be sufficient for the number of variables investigated and the model should be evaluated, preferably using data unrelated to development.

Magnetic resonance imaging-based artificial intelligence model in rectal cancer

Rectal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is the preferred method for the diagnosis of rectal cancer as recommended by the guidelines. Rectal MRI can accurately evaluate the tumor location, tumor stage, invasion depth, extramural vascular invasion, and circumferential resection margin. We summarize the progress of research on the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in rectal cancer in recent years. AI, represented by machine learning, is being increasingly used in the medical field. The application of AI models based on high-resolution MRI in rectal cancer has been increasingly reported. In addition to staging the diagnosis and localizing radiotherapy, an increasing number of studies have reported that AI models based on high-resolution MRI can be used to predict the response to chemotherapy and prognosis of patients.

MRI Radiomics Signature as a Potential Biomarker for Predicting KRAS Status in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Patients

Background and Purpose

Locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) is a heterogeneous disease with little information about KRAS status and image features. The purpose of this study was to analyze the association between T2 magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics features and KRAS status in LARC patients.

Material and Methods

Eighty-three patients with KRAS status information and T2 MRI images between 2012.05 and 2019.09 were included. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was performed to assess the associations between features and gene status. The patients were divided 7:3 into training and validation sets. The C-index and the average area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) were used for performance evaluation.

Results

The clinical characteristics of 83 patients in the KRAS mutant and wild-type cohorts were balanced. Forty-two (50.6%) patients had KRAS mutations, and 41 (49.4%) patients had wild-type KRAS. A total of 253 radiomics features were extracted from the T2-MRI images of LARC patients. One radiomic feature named X.LL_scaled_std, a standard deviation value of scaled wavelet-transformed low-pass channel filter, was selected from 253 features (P=0.019). The radiomics-based C-index values were 0.801 (95% CI: 0.772-0.830) and 0.703 (95% CI: 0.620-0.786) in the training and validation sets, respectively.

Conclusion

Radiomics features could differentiate KRAS status in LARC patients based on T2-MRI images. Further validation in a larger dataset is necessary in the future.

Artificial intelligence in rectal cancer

Accurate and rapid diagnosis is essential for correct treatment in rectal cancer. Determining the optimal treatment plan for a patient with rectal cancer is a complex process, and the oncological results and toxicity are not the same in every patient with the same treatment at the same stage. In recent years, the increasing interest in artificial intelligence in all fields of science has also led to the development of innovative tools in oncology. Artificial intelligence studies have increased in many steps from diagnosis to follow-up in rectal cancer. It is thought that artificial intelligence will provide convenience in many ways from personalized treatment to reducing the workload of the physician. Prediction algorithms can be standardized by sharing data between centers, diversifying data, and creating big data.

Radiomics and Magnetic Resonance Imaging of Rectal Cancer: From Engineering to Clinical Practice

While cross-sectional imaging has seen continuous progress and plays an undiscussed pivotal role in the diagnostic management and treatment planning of patients with rectal cancer, a largely unmet need remains for improved staging accuracy, assessment of treatment response and prediction of individual patient outcome. Moreover, the increasing availability of target therapies has called for developing reliable diagnostic tools for identifying potential responders and optimizing overall treatment strategy on a personalized basis. Radiomics has emerged as a promising, still fully evolving research topic, which could harness the power of modern computer technology to generate quantitative information from imaging datasets based on advanced data-driven biomathematical models, potentially providing an added value to conventional imaging for improved patient management. The present study aimed to illustrate the contribution that current radiomics methods applied to magnetic resonance imaging can offer to managing patients with rectal cancer.

MRI-based radiomics signature for pretreatment prediction of pathological response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in osteosarcoma: a multicenter study

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a radiomics signature based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) from multicenter datasets for preoperative prediction of pathologic response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in patients with osteosarcoma.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 102 patients with histologically confirmed osteosarcoma who received chemotherapy before treatment from 4 hospitals (68 in the primary cohort and 34 in the external validation cohort). Quantitative imaging features were extracted from contrast-enhanced fat-suppressed T1-weighted images (CE FS T1WI). Four classification methods, i.e., the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression (LASSO-LR), support vector machine (SVM), Gaussian process (GP), and Naive Bayes (NB) algorithm, were compared for feature selection and radiomics signature construction. The predictive performance of the radiomics signatures was assessed with the area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Thirteen radiomics features selected based on the LASSO-LR classifier were adopted to construct the radiomics signature, which was significantly associated with the pathologic response. The prediction model achieved the best performance between good and poor responders with an AUC of 0.882 (95% CI, 0.837-0.918) in the primary cohort. Calibration curves showed good agreement. Similarly, findings were validated in the external validation cohort with good performance (AUC, 0.842 [95% CI, 0.793-0.883]) and good calibration. DCA analysis confirmed the clinical utility of the selected radiomics signature.

CONCLUSION

The constructed CE FS T1WI-radiomics signature with excellent performance could provide a potential tool to predict pathologic response to NAC in patients with osteosarcoma.

KEY POINTS

• The radiomics signature based on multicenter contrast-enhanced MRI was useful to predict response to NAC. • The prediction model obtained with the LASSO-LR classifier achieved the best performance. • The baseline clinical characteristics were not associated with response to NAC.

Radiogenomics in Colorectal Cancer

Simple Summary

Colorectal carcinoma is characterized by intratumoral heterogeneity that can be assessed by radiogenomics. Radiomics, high-throughput quantitative data extracted from medical imaging, combined with molecular analysis, through genomic and transcriptomic data, is expected to lead to significant advances in personalized medicine. However, a radiogenomics approach in colorectal cancer is still in its early stages and many problems remain to be solved. Here we review the progress and challenges in this field at its current stage, as well as future developments.

Abstract

The steady improvement of high-throughput technologies greatly facilitates the implementation of personalized precision medicine. Characterization of tumor heterogeneity through image-derived features—radiomics and genetic profile modifications—genomics, is a rapidly evolving field known as radiogenomics. Various radiogenomics studies have been dedicated to colorectal cancer so far, highlighting the potential of these approaches to enhance clinical decision-making. In this review, a general outline of colorectal radiogenomics literature is provided, discussing the current limitations and suggested further developments.

CT radiomics facilitates more accurate diagnosis of COVID-19 pneumonia: compared with CO-RADS

BACKGROUND

Limited data was available for rapid and accurate detection of COVID-19 using CT-based machine learning model. This study aimed to investigate the value of chest CT radiomics for diagnosing COVID-19 pneumonia compared with clinical model and COVID-19 reporting and data system (CO-RADS), and develop an open-source diagnostic tool with the constructed radiomics model.

METHODS

This study enrolled 115 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 and 435 non-COVID-19 pneumonia patients (training dataset, n = 379; validation dataset, n = 131; testing dataset, n = 40). Key radiomics features extracted from chest CT images were selected to build a radiomics signature using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. Clinical and clinico-radiomics combined models were constructed. The combined model was further validated in the viral pneumonia cohort, and compared with performance of two radiologists using CO-RADS. The diagnostic performance was assessed by receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) analysis, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Eight radiomics features and 5 clinical variables were selected to construct the combined radiomics model, which outperformed the clinical model in diagnosing COVID-19 pneumonia with an area under the ROC (AUC) of 0.98 and good calibration in the validation cohort. The combined model also performed better in distinguishing COVID-19 from other viral pneumonia with an AUC of 0.93 compared with 0.75 (P = 0.03) for clinical model, and 0.69 (P = 0.008) or 0.82 (P = 0.15) for two trained radiologists using CO-RADS. The sensitivity and specificity of the combined model can be achieved to 0.85 and 0.90. The DCA confirmed the clinical utility of the combined model. An easy-to-use open-source diagnostic tool was developed using the combined model.

CONCLUSIONS

The combined radiomics model outperformed clinical model and CO-RADS for diagnosing COVID-19 pneumonia, which can facilitate more rapid and accurate detection.

Clinical Utility of a Nomogram for Predicting 30-Days Poor Outcome in Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19: Multicenter External Validation and Decision Curve Analysis

Aim: Early detection of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients who are likely to develop worse outcomes is of great importance, which may help select patients at risk of rapid deterioration who should require high-level monitoring and more aggressive treatment. We aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting 30-days poor outcome of patients with COVID-19.

Methods: The prediction model was developed in a primary cohort consisting of 233 patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19, and data were collected from January 3 to March 20, 2020. We identified and integrated significant prognostic factors for 30-days poor outcome to construct a nomogram. The model was subjected to internal validation and to external validation with two separate cohorts of 110 and 118 cases, respectively. The performance of the nomogram was assessed with respect to its predictive accuracy, discriminative ability, and clinical usefulness.

Results: In the primary cohort, the mean age of patients was 55.4 years and 129 (55.4%) were male. Prognostic factors contained in the clinical nomogram were age, lactic dehydrogenase, aspartate aminotransferase, prothrombin time, serum creatinine, serum sodium, fasting blood glucose, and D-dimer. The model was externally validated in two cohorts achieving an AUC of 0.946 and 0.878, sensitivity of 100 and 79%, and specificity of 76.5 and 83.8%, respectively. Although adding CT score to the clinical nomogram (clinical-CT nomogram) did not yield better predictive performance, decision curve analysis showed that the clinical-CT nomogram provided better clinical utility than the clinical nomogram.

Conclusions: We established and validated a nomogram that can provide an individual prediction of 30-days poor outcome for COVID-19 patients. This practical prognostic model may help clinicians in decision making and reduce mortality.

Multiparametric MRI-based radiomics signature for preoperative estimation of tumor-stroma ratio in rectal cancer

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether a radiomics signature (rad-score) outperforms ADC in TSR estimation by developing a radiomics biomarker for preoperative TSR diagnosis in rectal cancer.

METHODS

This study included 149 patients (119 and 30 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively). All patients underwent T2-weighted, diffusion-weighted, and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging. A rad-score was generated using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm and stepwise multivariate logistic regression. Meanwhile, the mean ADCs were calculated from ADC maps. For both the mean ADC and rad-score, binary logistic regression and Spearman correlation coefficients were used to determine associations with the TSR, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the diagnostic performance. The reliability of the rad-score was quantified by comparing the imaging-estimated TSR with the actual TSR of each patient.

RESULTS

Both the mean ADC and rad-score were positively correlated with the TSR in the training cohort (mean ADC: p < 0.001, r = 0.566; rad-score: p < 0.001, r = 0.559) and validation cohort (mean ADC: p < 0.001, r = 0.671; rad-score: p = 0.002, r = 0.536). The rad-score, with AUCs of 0.917 (95% CI 0.869-0.965) and 0.787 (95% CI 0.602-0.972) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, outperformed the mean ADC (training cohort: AUC = 0.776, 95% CI 0.693-0.859; validation cohort: AUC = 0.764, 95% CI 0.592-0.936) in TSR estimation.

CONCLUSION

The ADC possesses potential diagnostic value for TSR estimation in rectal cancer, and the rad-score shows increased diagnostic value over the ADC and may be a promising supplemental tool for patient stratification and informing decision-making.

KEY POINTS

• Tumor-stroma ratio has been verified as an independent prognostic factor for various solid tumors including rectal cancer. • The ADC and multiparametric MRI-based radiomics features were significantly and positively correlated with the tumor-stroma ratio in rectal cancer. • The radiomics signature outperformed the ADC in discriminating TSR in rectal cancer.

Prognostic value of multiparametric MRI-based radiomics model: Potential role for chemotherapeutic benefits in locally advanced rectal cancer

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

We aimed to develop a radiomics model for the prediction of survival and chemotherapeutic benefits using pretreatment multiparameter MR images and clinicopathological features in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

186 consecutive patients with LARC underwent feature extraction from the whole tumor on T2-weighted, contrast enhanced T1-weighted, and ADC images. Feature selection was based on feature stability and the Boruta algorithm. Radiomics signatures for predicting DFS (disease-free survival) were then generated using the selected features. Combining clinical risk factors, a radiomics nomogram was constructed using Cox proportional hazards regression model. The predictive performance was evaluated by Harrell's concordance indices (C-index) and time-independent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

Four features were selected to construct the radiomics signature, significantly associated with DFS (P < 0.001). The radiomics nomogram, incorporating radiomics signature and two clinicopathological variables (pN and tumor differentiation), exhibited better prediction performance for DFS than the clinicopathological model, with C-index of 0.780 (95%CI, 0.718-0.843) and 0.803 (95%CI, 0.717-0.889) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The radiomics nomogram-defined high-risk group had a shorter DFS, DMFS, and OS than those in the low-risk group (all P < 0.05). Further analysis showed that patients with higher nomogram-defined score exhibited a favorable response to adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) while the low-risk could not.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated that the newly developed pretreatment multiparameter MRI-based radiomics model could serve as a powerful predictor of prognosis, and may act as a potential indicator for guiding AC in patients with LARC.

Cancer genotypes prediction and associations analysis from imaging phenotypes: a survey on radiogenomics

In this paper, we present a survey on the progress of radiogenomics research, which predicts cancer genotypes from imaging phenotypes and investigates the associations between them. First, we present an overview of the popular technology modalities for obtaining diagnostic medical images. Second, we summarize recently used methodologies for radiogenomics analysis, including statistical analysis, radiomics and deep learning. And then, we give a survey on the recent research based on several types of cancers. Finally, we discuss these studies and propose possible future research directions. In conclusion, we have identified strong correlations between cancer genotypes and imaging phenotypes. In addition, with the rapid growth of medical data, deep learning models show great application potential for radiogenomics.

CT Radiomics in Colorectal Cancer: Detection of KRAS Mutation Using Texture Analysis and Machine Learning

In this work, by using descriptive techniques, the characteristics of the texture of the CT (computed tomography) image of patients with colorectal cancer were extracted and, subsequently, classified in KRAS+ or KRAS-. This was accomplished by using different classifiers, such as Support Vector Machine (SVM), Grading Boosting Machine (GBM), Neural Networks (NNET), and Random Forest (RF). Texture analysis can provide a quantitative assessment of tumour heterogeneity by analysing both the distribution and relationship between the pixels in the image. The objective of this research is to demonstrate that CT-based Radiomics can predict the presence of mutation in the KRAS gene in colorectal cancer. This is a retrospective study, with 47 patients from the University Hospital, with a confirmatory pathological analysis of KRAS mutation. The highest accuracy and kappa achieved were 83% and 64.7%, respectively, with a sensitivity of 88.9% and a specificity of 75.0%, achieved by the NNET classifier using the texture feature vectors combining wavelet transform and Haralick coefficients. The fact of being able to identify the genetic expression of a tumour without having to perform either a biopsy or a genetic test is a great advantage, because it prevents invasive procedures that involve complications and may present biases in the sample. As well, it leads towards a more personalized and effective treatment.

Radiomics-Based Preoperative Prediction of Lymph Node Status Following Neoadjuvant Therapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Background and Purpose: Lymph node status is a key factor for the recommendation of organ preservation for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) following neoadjuvant therapy but generally confirmed post-operation. This study aimed to preoperatively predict the lymph node status following neoadjuvant therapy using multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomic signature.

Materials and Methods: A total of 391 patients with LARC who underwent neoadjuvant therapy and TME were included, of which 261 and 130 patients were allocated to the primary cohort and the validation cohort, respectively. The tumor area, as determined by preoperative MRI, underwent radiomics analysis to build a radiomic signature related to lymph node status. Two radiologists reassessed the lymph node status on MRI. The radiomic signature and restaging results were included in a multivariate analysis to build a combined model for predicting the lymph node status. Stratified analyses were performed to test the predictive ability of the combined model in patients with post-therapeutic MRI T1-2 or T3-4 tumors, respectively.

Results: The combined model was built in the primary cohort, and predicted lymph node metastasis (LNM+) with an area under the curve of 0.818 and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 93.7% were considered in the validation cohort. Stratified analyses indicated that the combined model could predict LNM+ with a NPV of 100 and 87.8% in the post-therapeutic MRI T1-2 and T3-4 subgroups, respectively.

Conclusion: This study reveals the potential of radiomics as a predictor of lymph node status for patients with LARC following neoadjuvant therapy, especially for those with post-therapeutic MRI T1-2 tumors.