Frailty index and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in Chinese adults: a prospective cohort study

Derivation and validation of an epigenetic frailty risk score in population-based cohorts of older adults

DNA methylation (DNAm) patterns in peripheral blood have been shown to be associated with aging related health outcomes. We perform an epigenome-wide screening to identify CpGs related to frailty, defined by a frailty index (FI), in a large population-based cohort of older adults from Germany, the ESTHER study. Sixty-five CpGs are identified as frailty related methylation loci. Using LASSO regression, 20 CpGs are selected to derive a DNAm based algorithm for predicting frailty, the epigenetic frailty risk score (eFRS). The eFRS exhibits strong associations with frailty at baseline and after up to five-years of follow-up independently of established frailty risk factors. These associations are confirmed in another independent population-based cohort study, the KORA-Age study, conducted in older adults. In conclusion, we identify 65 CpGs as frailty-related loci, of which 20 CpGs are used to calculate the eFRS with predictive performance for frailty over long-term follow-up.

Frailty and risks of all-cause and cause-specific death in community-dwelling adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The associations of frailty with all-cause and cause-specific mortality remain unclear. Therefore, we performed this meta-analysis to fill this gap.

Methods

We searched the PubMed and Embase databases through June 2022. Prospective cohort studies or clinical trials examining frailty were evaluated, and the multiple adjusted risk estimates of all-cause and cause-specific mortality, such as death from cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, respiratory illness, dementia, infection, and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), were included. A random effects model was used to calculate the summary hazard ratio (HR).

Results

Fifty-eight studies were included for the qualitative systematic review, of which fifty-six studies were eligible for the quantitative meta-analysis, and the studies included a total of 1,852,951 individuals and more than 145,276 deaths. Compared with healthy adults, frail adults had a significantly higher risk of mortality from all causes (HR 2.40; 95% CI 2.17–2.65), CVD (HR 2.64; 95% CI 2.20–3.17), respiratory illness (HR 4.91; 95% CI 2.97–8.12), and cancer (HR 1.97; 95% CI 1.50–2.57). Similar results were found for the association between prefrail adults and mortality risk. In addition, based on the studies that have reported the HRs of the mortality risk per 0.1 and per 0.01 increase in the frailty index, we obtained consistent results.

Conclusions

The present study demonstrated that frailty was not only significantly related to an increased risk of all-cause mortality but was also a strong predictor of cause-specific mortality from CVD, cancer, and respiratory illness in community-dwelling adults. More studies are warranted to clarify the relationship between frailty and cause-specific mortality from dementia, infection, and COVID-19.

Trial registration

PROSPERO (CRD42021276021).

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-022-03404-w.

Association of Cystatin C Kidney Function Measures With Long-term Deficit-Accumulation Frailty Trajectories and Physical Function Decline

IMPORTANCE

It remains unclear whether cystatin C and cystatin C-based kidney function measures are associated with frailty trajectories and physical function decline.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the associations of cystatin C level, cystatin C estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcys), and the difference between eGFRs (eGFRdiff) using cystatin C and creatinine levels with long-term deficit-accumulation frailty trajectories and physical function decline.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This prospective cohort study used data from 15 949 participants in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and the US Health and Retirement Study (HRS), 2 ongoing nationally representative cohort studies enrolling community-dwelling older people. Biennial surveys, known as waves, are conducted in both the CHARLS and the HRS. Seven-year data from wave 1 (May 2011 to March 2012) to wave 4 (July to September 2018) in the CHARLS and 12-year data from wave 8 (March 2006 to February 2007) to wave 14 (April 2018 to June 2019) in the HRS were assessed, with wave 1 in the CHARLS and wave 8 in the HRS serving as baseline waves. Data were analyzed from February 12 to May 20, 2022.

EXPOSURES

Baseline serum cystatin C and creatinine levels. Cystatin C eGFR and creatinine estimated GFR (eGFRcr) were calculated using the 2021 race-free equations developed by the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration. The difference between eGFRcys and eGFRcr was calculated by subtracting eGFRcr from eGFRcys.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Based on 12-year follow-up data from the HRS and 7-year follow-up data from the CHARLS, a 29-item deficit-accumulation frailty index (FI) was constructed to assess frailty trajectories at each visit. Physical function decline was evaluated using repeated objective physical function measurements (grip strength and gait speed). Linear mixed models were used to examine longitudinal associations.

RESULTS

Among 15 949 older adults included in the analysis, 9114 participants were from the HRS (mean [SD] age, 66.2 [10.1] years; 5244 women [57.5%]), and 6835 were from the CHARLS (mean [SD] age, 58.4 [9.8] years; 3477 women [50.9%]). With regard to race and ethnicity, the HRS cohort included 7755 White individuals (85.1%) and 1359 individuals (14.9%) of other races and/or ethnicities (including American Indian or Alaska Native, Asian, Black or African American, Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, and other); all participants in the CHARLS cohort were of Chinese ethnicity. Each SD increment in serum cystatin C was associated with a faster increase in FI in both the HRS cohort (β = 0.050 SD/y; 95% CI, 0.045-0.055 SD/y; P = .001) and the CHARLS cohort (β = 0.051 SD/y; 95% CI, 0.042-0.060 SD/y; P = .001). An inverse association was observed for eGFRCys (HRS cohort: β = -0.058 SD/y; 95% CI, -0.062 to -0.053 SD/y; P = .001; CHARLS cohort: β = -0.056 SD/y; 95% CI, -0.064 to -0.047 SD/y; P = .001). These associations remained after controlling for serum creatinine (β = 0.051 SD/y; 95% CI, 0.042-0.060 SD/y; P = .001) and eGFRcr (β = -0.056 SD/y; 95% CI, -0.064 to -0.047 SD/y; P = .001) in the CHARLS cohort. Similar to the results observed for eGFRcys, each SD increment in the eGFRdiff was associated with a slower increase in FI (β = -0.027 SD/y; 95% CI, -0.035 to -0.018 SD/y; P = .001) in the CHARLS cohort. Similar findings were observed for physical function decline. For example, each SD increment in serum cystatin C was associated with faster decreases in both grip strength (β = -0.006 SD/y; 95% CI, -0.008 to -0.003 SD/y; P = .001) and gait speed (β = -0.007 SD/y; 95% CI, -0.011 to -0.003 SD/y; P = .001) in the HRS cohort and faster decreases in gait speed (β = -0.017 SD/y; 95% CI, -0.027 to -0.006 SD/y; P = .002) in the CHARLS cohort.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study, cystatin C, eGFRcys, and eGFRdiff were associated with long-term frailty trajectories and physical function decline among community-dwelling older people without frailty. Monitoring kidney function using cystatin C could have clinical utility in identifying the risk of accelerated frailty progression.

Longitudinal Relationship Between Frailty and Cognitive Impairment in Chinese Older Adults: A Prospective Study

We aimed to examine the longitudinal association between frailty and cognitive impairment in the older Chinese population. This prospective cohort study used data from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Study 2011 wave. We calculated the follow-up duration as 3 years from the baseline year. Frailty was measured using the frailty index, and cognitive function was calculated by Mini-Mental State Examination Scale. Participants who were non-frailty and those with normal cognitive function were included in 2011 and followed up in 2014, respectively. Frailty was an independent risk factor for early-onset cognitive impairment. Age, hearing impairment, and a decreased ability to perform daily activities were the main risk factors for cognitive impairment, while affluent economic status was a protective factor. Cognitive impairment was not found to be an independent risk factor for frailty. We concluded that the frailty index is a significant predictor of cognitive impairment among community-dwelling older adults.

Effect of blood pressure on the mortality of the elderly population with (pre)frailty: Results from NHANES 1999–2004

Backgrounds

The optimal blood pressure of elderly people with frailty or prefrailty is still unclear. We aimed to explore the relationship between blood pressure and mortality in the elderly with (pre)frailty.

Methods

A total of 528 participants aged 60 years and older were exacted for analyses of the association between blood pressure and mortality from the database of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) (1999–2004). Kaplan–Meier curves and log-rank tests were used to investigate the differences in survival between groups. Multivariable Cox regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were applied to explore the relationship between blood pressure and mortality.

Results

During the median follow-up time of 116.5 [interquartile range (IQR) of 60–186] months, 363 all-cause deaths and 122 cardiac deaths were documented. For all-cause mortality, more participants died with systolic blood pressure (SBP) < 110 mmHg and SBP ≥ 170 mmHg (log-rank p = 0.004). After adjusting for confounders, SBP < 110 mmHg [hazard ratio (HR) 1.52, 95% CI: 0.96–2.41] and SBP ≥ 170 mmHg (HR 1.53, 95% CI: 1.09–2.15) had higher risks of all-cause mortality compared with SBP within 130–150 mmHg. There were no significant differences in all-cause mortality among DBP categories. A J-curve association was identified between the SBP and hazard ratio for all-cause mortality (p for non-linear = 0.028), with 138.6 mmHg as the lowest hazard ratio of all-cause mortality; each 10 mmHg of SBP rise was associated with a 9% increased risk in all-cause mortality (HR 1.09, 95% CI 1.00–1.18). Additionally, a non-linear relationship was determined between SBP and the hazard ratio for cardiac deaths (p for non-linear = 0.030), with 140.1 mmHg as the lowest hazard ratio of cardiac deaths. When SBP was higher than 140.1 mmHg, each 10 mmHg rise in SBP was associated with a 17% increased risk of cardiac deaths (HR 1.17, 95% CI: 1.02–1.34).

Conclusion

Both lower and higher SBP levels are associated with higher risks of all-cause mortality in older individuals with (pre)frailty. There are J-shaped associations between SBP and mortality, with the optimal SBP being approximately 140 mmHg for this population specifically.

Frailty Index and Cardiovascular Disease among Middle-Aged and Older Chinese Adults: A Nationally Representative Cross-Sectional and Follow-Up Study

Evidence for the association between the frailty index and cardiovascular disease (CVD) is inconclusive, and this association has not been evaluated in Chinese adults. We aim to examine the association between the frailty index and CVD among middle-aged and older Chinese adults. We conducted cross-sectional and cohort analyses using nationally representative data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). From 2011 to 2018, 17,708 participants aged 45 years and older were included in the CHARLS. The primary outcome was CVD events (composite of heart disease and stroke). Multivariable adjusted logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the association between the frailty index and CVD in cross-sectional and follow-up studies, respectively. A restricted cubic spline model was used to characterize dose−response relationships. A total of 16,293 and 13,580 participants aged 45 years and older were included in the cross-sectional and cohort analyses, respectively. In the cross-sectional study, the prevalence of CVD in robust, pre-frailty and frailty was 7.83%, 18.70% and 32.39%, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, pre-frailty and frailty were associated with CVD; ORs were 2.54 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.28−2.84) and 4.76 (95% CI, 4.10−5.52), respectively. During the 7 years of follow-up, 2122 participants without previous CVD developed incident CVD; pre-frailty and frailty were associated with increased risk of CVD events; HRs were 1.53 (95% CI, 1.39−1.68) and 2.17 (95% CI, 1.88−2.50), respectively. Furthermore, a stronger association of the frailty index with CVD was observed in participants aged <55, men, rural community-dwellers, BMI ≥ 25, without hypertension, diabetes or dyslipidemia. A clear nonlinear dose−response pattern between the frailty index and CVD was widely observed (p < 0.001 for nonlinearity), the frailty index was above 0.08, and the hazard ratio per standard deviation was 1.18 (95% CI 1.13−1.25). We observed the association between the frailty index and CVD among middle-aged and elderly adults in China, independent of chronological age and other CVD risk factors. Our findings are important for prevention strategies aimed at reducing the growing burden of CVD in older adults.

Does social participation decrease the risk of frailty? Impacts of diversity in frequency and types of social participation on frailty in middle-aged and older populations

BACKGROUND

Social participation (SP) may be an effective measure for decreasing frailty risks. This study investigated whether frequency and type of SP is associated with decreased frailty risk among Chinese middle-aged and older populations.

METHODS

Data were derived from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Frailty was assessed using the Rockwood's Cumulative Deficit Frailty Index. SP was measured according to frequency (none, occasional, weekly and daily) and type (interacting with friends [IWF]; playing mah-jong, chess, and cards or visiting community clubs [MCCC], going to community-organized dancing, fitness, qigong and so on [DFQ]; participating in community-related organizations [CRO]; voluntary or charitable work [VOC]; using the Internet [INT]). Smooth curves were used to describe the trend for frailty scores across survey waves. The fixed-effect model (N = 9,422) was applied to explore the association between the frequency/type of SP and frailty level. For baseline non-frail respondents (N = 6,073), the time-varying Cox regression model was used to calculate relative risk of frailty in different SP groups.

RESULTS

Weekly (β =  - 0.006; 95%CI: [- 0.009, - 0.003]) and daily (β =  - 0.009; 95% CI: [- 0.012, - 0.007]) SP is associated with lower frailty scores using the fixed-effect models. Time-varying Cox regressions present lower risks of frailty in daily SP group (HR = 0.76; 95% CI: [0.69, 0.84]). SP types that can significantly decrease frailty risk include IWF, MCCC and DFQ. Daily IWF and daily DFQ decreases frailty risk in those aged < 65 years, female and urban respondents, but not in those aged ≥ 65 years, male and rural respondents. The impact of daily MCCC is significant in all subgroups, whereas that of lower-frequent MCCC is not significant in those aged ≥ 65 years, male and rural respondents.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated that enhancing participation in social activities could decrease frailty risk among middle-aged and older populations, especially communicative activities, intellectually demanding/engaging activities and community-organized physical activities. The results suggested very accurate, operable, and valuable intervening measures for promoting healthy ageing.

Association between oral health and frailty: results from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey

Background

Previous research has suggested that poor oral health is positively associated with frailty. The objective of this study was to explore associations of key oral diseases (periodontal disease, tooth loss), and oral hygiene and management behaviors with the level of frailty in community-dwelling older Korean adults using national representative survey data.

Methods

This study used cross-sectional, 6th and 7th Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES VI, VII) data. Adults aged 50+ years were included. Frailty was measured using frailty phenotype (FP) and frailty index (FI). FP was determined using five frailty criteria, i.e., weight loss, weakness, exhaustion, slowness, or low physical activity, and the level of frailty was classified with the number of criteria present (robust, none; pre-frail, 1–2; frail, 3+). FI was determined using a 44-item FI constructed according to a standard protocol, and the level of frailty was classified as robust (FI: ≤ 0.08), pre-frail (FI: 0.08–0.25), and frail (FI: ≥ 0.25). Multiple ordinal regression analyses were conducted with each type of frailty as the outcome variable. Independent variables of interest were the periodontal status, number of teeth, and practices on oral hygiene and management. Analyses were additionally adjusted for participants’ socioeconomic, diet, and behavioral characteristics.

Results

The prevalence of frailty was 4.38% according to the FP classification (n = 4156), 10.74% according to the FI classification (n = 15,073). In the final adjusted model, having more teeth and brushing after all three meals were significantly associated with lower odds of being more frail (in both frailty models); no significant association was observed between periodontal disease and frailty.

Conclusions

Findings from this study show having more teeth and practicing adequate brushing are significantly associated with frailty. Due to limitations of the study design, well-designed longitudinal studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-022-02968-x.

Predictive Utility of Mortality by Aging Measures at Different Hierarchical Levels and the Response to Modifiable Life Style Factors: Implications for Geroprotective Programs

Background

Aging, as a multi-dimensional process, can be measured at different hierarchical levels including biological, phenotypic, and functional levels. The aims of this study were to: (1) compare the predictive utility of mortality by three aging measures at three hierarchical levels; (2) develop a composite aging measure that integrated aging measures at different hierarchical levels; and (3) evaluate the response of these aging measures to modifiable life style factors.

Methods

Data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999–2002 were used. Three aging measures included telomere length (TL, biological level), Phenotypic Age (PA, phenotypic level), and frailty index (FI, functional level). Mortality information was collected until December 2015. Cox proportional hazards regression and multiple linear regression models were performed.

Results

A total of 3,249 participants (20–84 years) were included. Both accelerations (accounting for chronological age) of PA and FI were significantly associated with mortality, with HRs of 1.67 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.41–1.98] and 1.59 (95% CI = 1.35–1.87), respectively, while that of TL showed non-significant associations. We thus developed a new composite aging measure (named PC1) integrating the accelerations of PA and FI, and demonstrated its better predictive utility relative to each single aging measure. PC1, as well as the accelerations of PA and FI, were responsive to several life style factors including smoking status, body mass index, alcohol consumption, and leisure-time physical activity.

Conclusion

This study demonstrates that both phenotypic (i.e., PA) and functional (i.e., FI) aging measures can capture mortality risk and respond to modifiable life style factors, despite their inherent differences. Furthermore, the PC1 that integrated phenotypic and functional aging measures outperforms in predicting mortality risk in comparison with each single aging measure, and strongly responds to modifiable life style factors. The findings suggest the complementary of aging measures at different hierarchical levels and highlight the potential of life style-targeted interventions as geroprotective programs.

Association Between Changes in Frailty Index and Clinical Outcomes: An Observational Cohort Study

Purpose

Although the association between a single assessment of frailty index (FI) and clinical outcomes has been revealed in prior studies, there is a lack of knowledge about the prognostic value of FI at different time points and the changes in repeated measurements of FI. Hence, we sought to determine the clinically meaningful changes in FI and reveal the association with the changes and a composite outcome of mortality and institutionalization.

Participants and Methods

This study was based on a longitudinal study of the Pyeongchang Rural Area cohort that included people aged 65 years or older, ambulatory and living at home. Individuals were divided into the worsened group (changes in FI ≥ 0.03 during 2 years) and the stable group (changes in FI < 0.03 during 2 years). The incidence of a composite outcome was compared between the two groups and the relationship was adjusted for age, sex, baseline FI, and follow-up FI.

Results

Of the 953 participants, 403 (42.3%) and 550 (57.7%) were included in the worsened group and the stable group, respectively. The worsened group had a significantly higher risk of the composite outcome than the stable group (HR, 2.37 [95% CI, 1.54–3.67]; p < 0.001). Although the higher risk remained significant after adjusting for age, sex, and baseline FI, the statistical significance disappeared after adjusting for follow-up FI (p = 0.614). The aggravation of FI in the worsened group was predominantly due to aggravation of FI domains, such as activities in daily living, cognitive function and mood, and mobility rather than comorbidity burden.

Conclusion

Aggravation of FI was associated with a composite outcome regardless of baseline FI, and the association was significantly reflected in the follow-up measurement of FI. The worsening FI was mainly attributable to functional geriatric domains.

Ambient gaseous pollutants and emergency ambulance calls for all-cause and cause-specific diseases in China: a multicity time-series study

Much attention has been paid to the health effects of ambient particulate matter pollution; the effects of gaseous air pollutants have not been well studied. Emergency ambulance calls (EACs) may provide a better indicator of the acute health effects than the widely used health indicators, such as mortality and hospital admission. We estimated the short-term associations between gaseous air pollutants [nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), sulfur dioxide (SO₂), and ozone (O₃)] and EACs for all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory diseases in seven Chinese cities from 2014 to 2019. We used generalized additive models and random-effects meta-analysis to examine the city-specific and pooled associations. Stratified analyses were conducted by age, sex, and season. A total of 1,626,017 EACs were observed for all-cause EACs, including 230,537 from cardiovascular diseases, and 96,483 from respiratory diseases. Statistically significant associations were observed between NO₂ and EACs for all-cause diseases, while the effects of SO₂ were positive, but not statistically significant in most models. No significant relationship was found between O₃ and EACs. Specifically, each 10 μg/m³ increase in the 2-day moving average concentration of NO₂ was associated with a 1.07% [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.40%, 1.76%], 0.76% (95% CI: 0.19%, 1.34%) and 0.06% (95% CI: -1.57%, 1.73%) increase in EACs due to all-cause, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, respectively. Stratified analysis showed a larger effect of NO₂ on all-cause EACs in the cold season [excess relative risk (ERR): 0.33% (95% CI: 0.05%, 0.60%) for warm season, ERR: 0.77% (95% CI: 0.31%, 1.23%) for cold season]. Our study indicates that acute exposures to NO₂ might be an important trigger of the emergent occurrence of all-cause, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, and this effect should be of particular concern in the cold season. Further policy development for controlling gaseous air pollution is warranted to reduce the emergent occurrence of cardiopulmonary diseases.

Indoor air pollution and frailty: A cross-sectional and follow-up study among older Chinese adults

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have suggested that ambient air pollution negatively affects frailty, but whether indoor air pollution exposure affects frailty is unknown.

METHOD

This study was conducted on 4946 older adults (≥60 years) followed from baseline to 4 years in the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey. Household fuel types and frailty were assessed with self-rated questionnaires and physical examination. The relationships between indoor air pollution and frailty via phenotypic frailty and a frailty index were explored with logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazard regression models in both a cross-sectional and follow-up design. Additionally, the effects of indoor air pollution on phenotypic frailty together with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) were further investigated.

RESULTS

In the cross-sectional study, the adjusted ORs (95% CIs) for frailty assessment with the frailty index and phenotypic frailty were 1.28 (1.12, 1.46) and 1.36 (1.18, 1.57), respectively. Solid fuel use was a risk factor in prefrail/frail patients with [OR and 95% CI, 1.88 (1.41, 2.50)], or without MCI [OR and 95% CI, 1.37 (1.17, 1.61)], as compared with the groups with no phenotypic prefrailty/frailty and no MCI. Moreover, solid cooking fuel use was positively associated with the incidence of phenotypic prefrailty and frailty. The adjusted HRs (95% CIs) for phenotypic prefrailty and frailty were 1.26 (1.03, 1.55).

CONCLUSIONS

Solid cooking fuels can be regarded as a risk factor for frailty. Moreover, our findings suggest that more attention should be paid to solid cooking fuel using as it relates to phenotypic frailty together with MCI.

Validity and reliability of the Thai version of the simple frailty questionnaire (T-FRAIL) with modifications to improve its diagnostic properties in the preoperative setting

Background

Several methods are available for identifying frailty, but limited tools have been validated in Thai context. Our objective was to evaluate the validity and reliability of the Thai version of the Simple Frailty Questionnaire (T- FRAIL) compared to the Thai Frailty Index (TFI) and to explore modifications to improve its diagnostic properties.

Methods

The T-FRAIL was translated with permission using a standardized protocol, that included forward and back-translation. Content validity analysis was performed using input from 5 geriatricians. Test-retest reliability, concurrent validity, diagnostic properties, and options to increase the sensitivity of the questionnaire were explored. A cross-sectional study for evaluation validity and reliability was carried out among 3 hundred patients aged 60 or more undergoing elective surgery at a university hospital.

Results

The item content validity index (I-CVI) showed 1.0 for each questionnaire item. Test-retest reliability within a 7-day interval was done in 30 patients with a good intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.880. Compared with the TFI, the T-FRAIL yielded an excellent accuracy (area under the curve = 0.882). The identification of frailty using a score of 2 points or more provided the best Youden’s index at 63.1 with a sensitivity of 77.5% (95% CI 69.0–84.6) and a specificity of 85.6% (95% CI 79.6–90.3). A cutoff point of 1 out of 5 items for original T-FRAIL provided a sensitivity of 93.3% and a specificity of 61.1%. The modified T-FRAIL (T-FRAIL_M1), by reducing the “illnesses” criterion to 4 or more diseases, at a cutoff point at 1 had a sensitivity of 94.2% and a specificity of 57.8%. Another modified T-FRAIL (T-FRAIL_M2), by combining three components, at a cutoff point at 1 yielded a sensitivity of 85.8% and a specificity of 80.6%.

Conclusion

The T-FRAIL and its modification demonstrated satisfactory validity and reliability to identify frailty in elderly patients. The cutoff score of 1 point from 5 items from the original version of T-FRAIL and T-FRAIL_M1 provides a highly sensitive screening tool. T-FRAIL_M1 with a cutoff point of 2 and T-FRAIL_M2 yields reasonable sensitivity and specificity for practical use.

Bidirectional Longitudinal Study of Frailty and Depressive Symptoms Among Older Chinese Adults

Objective

Frailty and depression, as two common conditions among older adults in China, have been shown to be closely related to each other. The aim of this study was to investigate the bidirectional effects between frailty and depressive symptoms in Chinese population.

Methods

The bidirectional effect of frailty with depressive symptoms was analyzed among 5,303 adults ≥ 60 years of age from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Phenotype and a frailty index were used to measure frailty. Depressive symptoms were evaluated using the Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (CES-D). Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to determine the bidirectional effects of frailty and depressive symptoms in cross-sectional and cohort studies, respectively. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were further used to further verify the associations.

Results

In the cross-sectional study, the multivariate-adjusted ORs (95% CIs) for depressive symptoms among pre-frail and frail adults, as defined by the frailty index and phenotype, were 3.05 (2.68–3.49), and 9.78 (8.02–12.03), respectively. Depressed participants showed higher risks of pre-frailty and frailty [frailty index, 3.07 (2.69–3.50); and phenotypic frailty, 9.95 (8.15–12.24)]. During follow-up, the multivariate-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) for depressive symptoms among pre-frail and frail participants, as defined by the frailty index and phenotype, were 1.38 (1.22–1.57), and 1.30 (1.14–1.48), respectively. No significant relationship existed between baseline depressive symptoms and the incidence of frailty. Moreover, the results from subgroup and sensitivity analyses were consistent with the main results.

Conclusion

Although a cross-sectional bidirectional association between depressive symptom and frailty has been observed in older (≥60 years old) Chinese adults, frailty may be an independent predictor for subsequent depression. Moreover, no effect of depressive symptoms on subsequent frailty was detected. Additional bidirectional studies are warranted in China.

Frailty index and gender-specific mortality in Korean adults: Findings from the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging (2006-2018)

AIMS

To examine the predictive ability of the frailty index in estimating gender-specific mortality in a population of Korean adults.

DESIGN

A descriptive and prospective longitudinal design.

METHODS

Data were used from the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging conducted from 2006 through 2018. A total of 10,254 adults aged 45-98 years at baseline were included. A 41-item deficit accumulation frailty index was measured, based on multi-domain assessment such as self-rating of health, physical condition, mental status, cognitive function, activities of daily living, instrumental activities of daily living and chronic conditions. We categorized the frailty index into robust (≤0.10), prefrail (0.10-0.25) and frail (≥0.25). Cox's proportional hazards regression analysis was employed to determine the association between the frailty index and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 4705 individuals (45.9%) were categorized as robust, 4178 (40.7%) as prefrail and 1371 (13.4%) as frail. The frailty index increased with age, and females were found to have a higher frailty index than males. The survival probabilities were significantly lower in older adults (aged ≥65) compared with adults and significantly lower in males compared with females. Compared with the robust group, the risk of mortality in the prefrail and frail groups was 1.37 and 2.57 times higher, respectively. The association between frailty status and all-cause mortality was similar in adults and older adults, while the hazard ratios were higher in frail group of males than that of females.

CONCLUSION

The frailty index had a predictive ability for all-cause mortality with respect to age and sex.

IMPACT

Using a frailty index among community-dwelling adults could be beneficial to support healthcare providers in early detection of individuals with frailty and facilitate the development of more effective interventions for reducing mortality.

The relationship between urinary albumin to creatinine ratio and all-cause mortality in the elderly population in the Chinese community: a 10-year follow-up study

BACKGROUND

In patients with diabetes and hypertension, proteinuria is independently associated with all-cause death. However, in the general population, urinary albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR) is less used to predict all-cause mortality. When the urinary albumin to creatinine ratio is within the normal range (UACR< 30 mg/g), the clinical relevance of an increased urinary albumin excretion rate is still debated. We studied the relationship between UACR and all-cause mortality in community populations, and compared UACR groups within the normal range.

METHODS

The participants were the inhabitants from the Wanshoulu community in Beijing, China. The average age is 71.48 years, and the proportion of women is 60.1%. A total of 2148 people completed random urine samples to determine the urinary albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR). The subjects were divided into three groups according to UACR: Group 1 (UACR< 10 mg/g), Group 2 (10 mg/g < UACR< 30 mg/g), Group 3 (UACR> 30 mg/g). We used Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression model to verify the relationship between UACR and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

At an average follow-up of 9.87 years (718,407.3 years), the total mortality rate were 183.4/1000. In the Cox proportional hazards model, after adjusting for possible confounders, those with normal high-value UACR (group 2) showed a higher all-cause mortality than those with normal low-value UACR (group 1) [hazard ratio (HR) 1.289, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.002 ~ 1.659 for all-cause mortality]. Those with proteinuria (group 3) showed a higher all-cause mortality than those with normal low-value UACR (group 1) [hazard ratio (HR) 1.394, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.020 ~ 1.905 for all-cause mortality].

CONCLUSION

Urinary albumin to creatinine ratio is an important risk factor for all-cause death in community population. Even if it is within the normal range (UACR< 30 mg/g), it occurs in people with high normal value (10 mg/g < UACR< 30 mg/g), the risk of all-cause death will also increase.

Systolic Blood Pressure and Mortality in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: The Role of Frailty

OBJECTIVES

To investigate whether frailty modifies the association of systolic blood pressure (SBP) with cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality in community-dwelling older adults.

DESIGN

A prospective cohort study.

SETTING

A population-based study of nationally representative older Chinese adults in a community setting.

PARTICIPANTS

This study included participants aged 65 years or older from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey 2002-2014 and followed up to 2018.

MEASUREMENTS

Participants were divided into two groups according to a frailty index based on the accumulation of a 44-items deficits model. The association between SBP and mortality was analyzed using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Among 18,503 participants included, the mean age was 87.2 years and the overall median follow-up time was 42.7 months. We identified 7808 (42.2%) frail participants (mean frailty index=0.33), in which 7533 (96.5%) died during the follow-up. Effect modification by frailty was detected (P for interaction=0.032). Among frail participants, a U-shaped association was found with hazard ratios of 1.16 (95% CI, 1.02-1.32) for SBP < 100 mmHg, and 1.11 (95% CI, 1.00-1.24) for SBP ≥ 150 mmHg compared with SBP 120-130 mmHg. For non-frail older adults, a tendency toward higher risk among those with SBP ≥ 130 mmHg was observed. The analyses towards cardiovascular mortality showed similar results.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest the presence of effect modification by frailty indicating a possible negative effect for elevated SBP in non-frail older adults and a U-shaped relationship of SBP in frail older adults with respect to mortality even after adjusting for diastolic blood pressure.

Sleep Duration and Frailty Risk among Older Adults: Evidence from a Retrospective, Population-Based Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

Frailty and sleep duration complaints are both prevalent and often coexist among older adults. The purpose of this study was to examine the prospective association between sleep duration and frailty risk in a nationally representative cohort study.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study, ten-year follow-up.

SETTING

Community-based setting in 23 provinces of China.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 7623 older adults age 65 and over without frailty at baseline were included in the analysis.

MEASUREMENTS

The participants were divided into three groups according to self-reported sleep duration: short (≤6 hours per day), middle (>6 but <10 hours per day) and long (≥10 hours per day). Frailty was measured according to the accumulation of health deficits by the construction of a frailty index of 38 items with 0.25 as the cutoff. A Cox proportional hazard model, a competing risk model and a generalized estimating equation (GEE) model with multiple adjustments were performed to evaluate the association between sleep duration and frailty risk.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 4.4 years (IQR 2.9-9.0), 2531 (33.2%) individuals developed frailty. Compared with participants with middle sleep duration, the risk of frailty was increased among participants with long sleep duration (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.14-1.38) in the fully adjusted Cox proportional hazard model. However, short sleep duration was insignificantly associated with frailty risk. The competing risk model and the GEE model yielded similar results.

CONCLUSION

Long sleep duration is significantly associated with frailty incidence among older adults even after adjustment for confounding factors. This study provides reinforcing longitudinal evidence for the need to design sleep quality improvement interventions in health care programs to prevent frailty among older adults.

Burden of falls among people aged 60 years and older in mainland China, 1990-2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BACKGROUND

Falls in older people have become a major public health concern worldwide, but a comprehensive assessment of the burden of falls for older people in mainland China has not been done. We aimed to investigate the burden of falls among older people at the national and subnational level in mainland China, and explore the trends from 1990 to 2019, using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019.

METHOD

Using data from GBD 2019, we estimated the burden of falls among people aged 60 years and older by sex and age group in terms of incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates and assessed these indicators at the subnational level in 31 geographical units (hereafter called provinces). We investigated the overall trend in the burden of falls across these 31 provinces from 1990 to 2019, and assessed the change in the burden of falls by sex, age group (60-64, 65-69, 70-74, 75-79, and ≥80 years), and province between 1990 and 2019.

FINDINGS

In 2019, in mainland China, the incidence rate of falls among people aged 60 years and older was 3799·4 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3062·4-4645·0) new falls per 100 000 population, and 39·2 deaths (21·8-48·8) per 100 000 population and 1238·9 DALYs (920·5-1553·2) per 100 000 population were due to falls. We found no significant difference in the burden of falls between males and females. The incidence, mortality, and DALY rates of falls for people aged 80 years and older were significantly higher than those in the other age groups, except for incidence rate, which was non-significantly different between the age 75-79 years group and the oldest age group. Large variations in the incidence and DALY rates of falls were observed across 31 provinces. Although between 1990 and 2019 we found no significant changes in overall mortality due to falls in all provinces and in DALY rates for 23 provinces (DALY rates significantly decreased in two provinces and increased in six provinces), we found large increases in the incidence rate of falls in both males (percentage change between 1990 and 2019: 82·9% [67·4-100]) and females (77·0% [63·3-91·8]). The percentage change in incidence rate of falls between 1990 and 2019 varied from 50·0% (42·2-59·5) for people aged 60-64 years to 123·8% (105·4-141·9) for people aged 80 years and older. All provinces had significant increases in the incidence rate of falls between 1990 and 2019, with Sichuan having the greatest increase (148·5% [125·5-171·4]) and Jilin the smallest increase (14·7% [3·6-26·1]).

INTERPRETATION

Between 1990 and 2019, the incidence rate of falls increased substantially in older adults across mainland China, whereas the rates of mortality and DALY of falls among older people remained relatively stable, suggesting improvements in outcomes of falls. Nevertheless, falls remain an ongoing health burden for older people in mainland China, and there is an urgent need to introduce system-wide, integrated, and cost-effective measures to protect and support older people to minimise their risks and combat an increasing absolute burden as the population continues ageing.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Protein Nutritional Status and Frailty: A Mendelian Randomization Study

BACKGROUND

Observational studies have suggested that better protein nutritional status may contribute to prevention of frailty.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to examine this hypothesis using a Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.

METHODS

We conducted a two-sample MR study using GWAS summary statistics data of the UK Biobank. We applied genetically predicted serum albumin as a primary exposure measure and serum total protein as a secondary exposure measure. The outcome measure was the Rockwood frailty index (FI) based on 49 deficits from 356,432 individuals (53.3% of them were women, with a mean ± SD age of 56.7 ± 8.0 y. The association between serum protein measures and FI was mainly analyzed by use of the inverse variance weighted method.

RESULTS

A genetically predicted serum albumin concentration was not statistically significantly associated with FI in the full sample. However, in women, we observed a preventive association between genetically predicted serum albumin and FI (β = -0.172 per g/L; 95% CI: -0.336, -0.007; P = 0.041). In the full sample, genetically predicted serum total protein was inversely associated with FI (β: -0.153 per g/L; 95% CI: -0.251, -0.056; P = 0.002). In both women and men, higher serum total protein was significantly inversely associated with FI; regression coefficients were -0.148 per g/L (95% CI: -0.287, -0.009; P = 0.037) for women, -0.154 per g/L (95% CI: -0.290, -0.018; P = 0.027) for men.

CONCLUSIONS

The present MR study implies that better protein nutritional status modestly contributes to reducing the risk of frailty.

Adherence to Healthy Lifestyle and Attenuation of Biological Aging in Middle-Aged and Older Chinese Adults

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the effects of lifestyle modification on biological aging in population-based studies of middle-aged and older adults.

METHOD

We examined the individual and joint associations of multiple lifestyle factors with accelerated biological aging measured by change in frailty index (FI) over 8 years in a prospective study of Chinese adults. Data were obtained on 24 813 participants in the China Kadoorie Biobank on lifestyle factors and frailty status at baseline and at 8 years after baseline. Adherence to healthy lifestyle factors included nonsmoking or quitting smoking for reasons other than illness, avoidance of heavy alcohol consumption, daily intake of fruit and vegetables, being physically active, body mass index of 18.5-23.9 kg/m2, and waist-to-hip ratio of <0.90 (men)/0.85 (women). FI was constructed separately at baseline and resurvey using 25 age- and health-related items.

RESULTS

Overall, 8 760 (35.3%) individuals had a worsening frailty status. In multivariable-adjusted logistic regression analyses, adherence to healthy lifestyle was associated with a lower risk of worsening frailty status. Compared with robust participants maintaining 0-1 healthy lifestyle factors, the corresponding odds ratios (95% CIs) were 0.93 (0.83-1.03), 0.75 (0.67-0.84), 0.68 (0.60-0.77), and 0.55 (0.46-0.65) for robust participants with 2, 3, 4, and 5-6 healthy lifestyle factors. The decreased risk of frailty status worsening by adherence to healthy lifestyle factors was similar in both middle-aged and older adults, and in both robust and prefrail participants at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

Adherence to a healthy lifestyle may attenuate the rate of change in biological aging in middle-aged and older Chinese adults.

The prevalence of frailty among breast cancer patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Coexistence of frailty and breast cancer (BC) is related to a higher risk of hospitalization, mortality, and falls. Given the potential reversibility of frailty, investigating its epidemiology in BC is of great importance. However, estimates of the prevalence of frailty in BC patients vary considerably. We synthesized the existing body of literature on the prevalence of frailty among BC patients.

METHODS

We searched English databases (Cochrane Library, PubMed, Medline, CINAHL, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science) and Chinese databases (CNKI, WanFang, CBM, and VIP database) from the inception to April 15, 2021, and collected observational studies about the prevalence of frailty among BC patients. The robustness of the pooled estimates was validated by analysis of different subgroups, meta-regression, and sensitivity. All data were analyzed using Stata 15.1.

RESULTS

In total, 4645 articles were screened and data from 24 studies involving 13,510 subjects were used in the meta-analysis. The prevalence of frailty among BC patients in individual studies varied from 5 to 71%. The pooled prevalence of frailty was 43% (95% confidence intervals (CI): 36% to 50%, I² = 98.4%, P < 0.05). Subgroup analyses revealed that the therapeutic method, frailty scales, age, frailty stage, regions, publication years, and study quality were associated with the prevalence of frailty among BC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of frailty among BC patients was relatively high, and the conditions of BC treatment can increase the risk of frailty. Understanding the effects of frailty on BC, especially in elderly patients, can provide the healthcare personnel with the theoretical basis for patients' management and treatment.

Associations between Early-Life Food Deprivation and Risk of Frailty of Middle-Age and Elderly People: Evidence from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

BACKGROUND

The association between childhood food deprivation (FD) and health in later life has been extensively studied; however, studies on the association between childhood food deprivation and frailty are scarce. This study assessed the associations between childhood FD and the risk of frailty at middle-age and old age.

METHODS

Three waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), including 11,615 individuals aged over 45 years, were used for this research. Frailty was operationalized according to the FRAIL scale as a sum of fatigue, resistance, ambulation, illness, and the loss of weight. Childhood FD experiences and levels were measured by self-reported FD and historical content. Logistic mixed-effects models and proportional odds ordered logistic regression models were used to analyse the association between childhood FD and frailty.

FINDINGS

Childhood FD increased the odds of frailty at old age (1.30, 95% CI: 1.26-1.36). Compared with subjects with mild FD, those with extreme FD experiences had increased risks of frailty (1.34, 95% CI: 1.26-1.43). Subjects exposed to hunger at different ages all had an increased risk of frailty, and subjects who had FD during ages 6-12 (1.15, 95% CI: 1.09-1.22) were more likely to have an increased risk of frailty than those who had experienced FD in younger ages. The interaction of experience of FD at ages 0-6 and the experience of FD at ages 6-12 is not statistically significant after adjusting all covariates.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that childhood FD exerts long-lasting effects on frailty among older adults in China. The prevention of childhood FD may delay or even avert the emergence of frailty in people of middle-age and old age.

Symptoms Based on Deficiency Syndrome in Traditional Chinese Medicine Might Be Predictor of Frailty in Elderly Community Dwellers

BACKGROUND

The most widely used frailty phenotype and frailty indexes are either time-consuming or complicated, thus restricting their generalization in clinical practice; and therefore, an easier and faster screening tool is needed to be developed.

OBJECTIVE

To select sensitive symptoms in traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) and study whether they can improve the risk prediction of frailty.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional study enrolling 2249 Chinese elderly community dwellers. Data were collected via face-to-face inquiries, anthropometric measurements, laboratory tests, and community health files. Frailty was the main outcome measure, and it was evaluated by Fried's frailty phenotype (FP). The ordinal logistic regression model was used to identify the factors associated with frailty. The risk assessment plot was used to compare the discriminative ability for frailty among models with and without TCM symptoms.

RESULTS

The identified sensitive influential factors for frailty included age, education level, dietary habits, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, cerebral infarction, osteoporosis, cold limbs, lethargy and laziness in speaking and moving, weakness of lower limbs, slow movement, dry mouth and throat, and glazed expression. The risk prediction for "frailty cumulative components ≥1" was not significantly increased, while for "frailty cumulative components ≥2", a new model developed with the above selected TCM symptoms had a higher AUC than the baseline model without it (0.79 VS 0.81, P=0.002). And the NRI and IDI for the new model were 41.4% (P=0.016) and 0.024% (P=0.041), respectively.

CONCLUSION

This research might provide an easier and faster way for early identification and risk prediction of frailty in elderly community dwellers.

Age- and Gender-Specific Prevalence of Frailty and Its Outcomes in the Longevous Population: The Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Study

Background: Frailty is an epidemic age-related syndrome addressing heavy burden to the healthcare system. Subject to the rarity, age-, and gender-specific prevalence of frailty and its prognosis among the longevous population remains under-investigated.

Methods: Based on the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Study (CLHLS, 2008–2018), individuals aged ≥ 65 years having complete data of frailty were recruited. Modified Fried criteria (exhaustion, shrink, weakness, low mobility, and inactivity) were adopted to define pre-frailty (1–2 domains) and frailty (≥3 domains), respectively. The association between pre-frailty/frailty and adverse outcomes (frequent hospitalization, limited physical performance, cognitive decline, multimorbidity, and dependence) was analyzed using logistic regression models. The association between pre-frailty/frailty and mortality was analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models. Age- and gender-stratified analyses were performed.

Results: Totally, 13,859 participants aged 85.8 ± 11.1 years, including 2,056 centenarians, were recruited. The overall prevalence of pre-frailty and frailty were 54.1 and 26.3%, respectively. Only 5.0% of centenarians were non-frailty whereas 59.9% of the young-old (65–79 years) showed pre-frailty. Both pre-frailty and frailty were associated with the increased risk of multiple adverse outcomes, such as incident limited physical performance, cognitive decline and dependence, respectively (P < 0.05). Frail males were more vulnerable to the risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.3, 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.1–2.6) compared with frail females (HR = 1.9, 95%CI, 1.7–2.1). The strongest association between frailty and mortality was observed among the young-old (HR = 3.6, 95%CI, 2.8–4.5). Exhaustion was the most common domain among patients with pre-frailty (74.8%) or frailty (83.2%), followed by shrink (32.3%) in pre-frailty and low mobility (83.0%) in frailty. Inactivity among females aged 65–79 years showed the strongest association with the risk of mortality (HR = 3.50, 95%CI, 2.52–4.87).

Conclusion: A huge gap exists between longer life and healthy aging in China. According to the age- and gender-specific prevalence and prognosis of frailty, the strategy of frailty prevention and intervention should be further individualized.

An early predictive model of frailty for older inpatients according to nutritional risk: protocol for a cohort study in China

BACKGROUND

Previous reports suggest that the attributes of frailty are multidimensional and include nutrition, cognition, mentality, and other aspects. We aim to develop an early warning model of frailty based on nutritional risk screening and apply the frailty early warning model in the clinic to screen high-risk patients and provide corresponding intervention target information.

METHODS

The proposed study includes two stages. In the first stage, we aim to develop a prediction model of frailty among older inpatients with nutritional risk. Study data were collected from a population-based aging cohort study in China. A prospective cohort study design will be used in the second stage of the study. We will recruit 266 older inpatients (age 65 years or older) with nutritional risk, and we will apply the frailty model in the clinic to explore the predictive ability of the model in participants, assess patients' health outcomes with implementation of the frailty model, and compare the model with existing frailty assessment tools. Patients' health outcomes will be measured at admission and at 30-day follow-up.

DISCUSSION

This project is the first to develop an early prediction model of frailty for older inpatients according to nutritional risk in a nationally representative sample of Chinese older inpatients of tertiary hospitals. The results will hopefully help to promote the development of more detailed frailty assessment tools according to nutritional risk, which may ultimately lead to reduced health care costs and improvement in independence and quality of life among geriatric patients.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, ChiCTR1800017682 , registered August 9, 2018; and ChiCTR2100044148 , registered March 11, 2021.

Validation of a Deficit-Accumulation Frailty Index in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly Study and Its Predictive Capacity for Disability-Free Survival

Frailty is a state of heightened vulnerability and susceptibility to physiologic stressors that increases with age. It has shown increasing utility in predicting a range of adverse health outcomes. Here, we characterize a 67-item deficit-accumulation frailty index (FI) in 19 110 community-dwelling individuals in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly clinical trial. Participants aged 65-98 years were recruited from the United States and Australia and were without diagnosed dementia and cardiovascular disease, and major physical disability. The median FI score was .10 (interquartile range: .07-.14) at baseline, and the prevalence of frailty (FI > .21) increased from 8.1% to 17.4% after 6 years. FI was positively associated with age, and women had significantly higher scores than men at all ages. The FI was negatively correlated with gait speed (r = -.31) and grip strength (r = -.46), and strongly associated with a modified Fried's frailty phenotype (p < .0001, for all comparisons). Frailty was associated with the primary composite outcome capturing independent life lived free of major disability and dementia, and increased the rate of persistent physical disability (hazard ratio: 21.3, 95% confidence interval: 15.6-28.9). It added significantly to the predictive capacity of these outcomes above age, sex, and ethnicity alone. The FI is thus a useful biomarker of aging even among relatively healthy older individuals and provides important information about an individual's vulnerability to and risk of disease.

The degree of frailty as a translational measure of health in aging

Frailty is a multiply determined, age-related state of increased risk for adverse health outcomes. We review how the degree of frailty conditions the development of late-life diseases and modifies their expression. The risks for frailty range from subcellular damage to social determinants. These risks are often synergistic-circumstances that favor damage also make repair less likely. We explore how age-related damage and decline in repair result in cellular and molecular deficits that scale up to tissue, organ and system levels, where they are jointly expressed as frailty. The degree of frailty can help to explain the distinction between carrying damage and expressing its usual clinical manifestations. Studying people-and animals-who live with frailty, including them in clinical trials and measuring the impact of the degree of frailty are ways to better understand the diseases of old age and to establish best practices for the care of older adults.

The association between cardiovascular risk factors and major cardiovascular diseases decreases with increasing frailty levels in geriatric outpatients

BACKGROUND

Frailty marks a process of increasing dysregulation of physiological systems which increases the risk of adverse health outcomes. This study examines the hypothesis that the association between multiple cardiovascular risk factors (CVRF) and cardiovascular diseases (CVD) becomes stronger with increasing frailty severity.

METHODS

Cross-sectional analysis of 339 older adults (55.2% women; aged 75.2 ± 9.1 years) from an outpatient geriatric clinic from a middle-income country. The frailty index (FI) was calculated as the proportion of 30 possible health deficits. We assessed hypertension, diabetes, obesity, dyslipidemia, sedentarism and smoking as CVRF (determinants) and myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure as CVD. Poisson regression models adjusted for age, sex, and education was applied to estimate the association between frailty as well as CVRF (independent variables) with CVD (dependent variable).

RESULTS

Of the 339 patients, 18,3% were frail (FI ≥ 0.25) and 32.7% had at least one CVD. Both frailty and CVRF were significantly associated with CVD (PR = 1.03, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.05; p = 0.001, and PR = 1.46, 95% 1.24 to 1.71; p < 0.001, respectively) adjusted for covariates. The strength of the association between CVRF and CVD decreased with increasing frailty levels, as indicated by a significant interaction term of frailty and CVRF (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Frailty and CVRF are both associated with CVD, but the impact of CVRF decreases in the presence of frailty. When confirmed in longitudinal studies, randomized controlled trials or causal inference methods like Mendelian randomization should be applied to assess whether a shift from traditional CVRF to frailty would improve cardiovascular outcome in the oldest old.

The Role of Frailty in Predicting 3 and 6 Months Functional Decline in Hospitalized Older Adults: Findings from a Secondary Analysis

Frailty represents one of the most relevant geriatric syndromes in the 21st century and is a predictor of adverse outcomes in hospitalized older adult, such as, functional decline (FD). This study aimed to examine if frailty, evaluated with the Frailty Index (FI), can predict FD during and after hospitalization (3 and 6 months). Secondary data analysis of a prospective cohort study of 101 hospitalized older adults was performed. The primary outcome was FD at discharge, 3 and 6 months. The FI was created from an original database using 40 health deficits. Functional decline models for each time-point were examined using a binary logistic regression. The prevalence of frailty was 57.4% with an average score of 0.25 (±0.11). Frail patients had significant and higher values for functional decline and social support for all time periods and more hospital readmission in the 3 month period. Multivariable regression analysis showed that FI was a predictor of functional decline at discharge (OR = 1.07, 95% CI = 1.02–1.14) and 3-month (OR = 1.05, 95% CI = 1.01–1.09) but not 6-month (OR = 1.03, 95% CI = 0.99–1.09) follow-up. Findings suggest that frailty at admission of hospitalized older adults can predict functional decline at discharge and 3 months post-discharge.

Derivation of an electronic frailty index for predicting short-term mortality in heart failure: a machine learning approach

Aims

Frailty may be found in heart failure patients especially in the elderly and is associated with a poor prognosis. However, assessment of frailty status is time‐consuming, and the electronic frailty indices developed using health records have served as useful surrogates. We hypothesized that an electronic frailty index developed using machine learning can improve short‐term mortality prediction in patients with heart failure.

Methods and results

This was a retrospective observational study that included patients admitted to nine public hospitals for heart failure from Hong Kong between 2013 and 2017. Age, sex, variables in the modified frailty index, Deyo's Charlson co‐morbidity index (≥2), neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and prognostic nutritional index at baseline were analysed. Gradient boosting, which is a supervised sequential ensemble learning algorithm with weak prediction submodels (typically decision trees), was applied to predict mortality. Variables were ranked in the order of importance with a total score of 100 and used to build the frailty models. Comparisons were made with decision tree and multivariable logistic regression. A total of 8893 patients (median: age 81, Q1–Q3: 71–87 years old) were included, in whom 9% had 30 day mortality and 17% had 90 day mortality. Prognostic nutritional index, age, and NLR were the most important variables predicting 30 day mortality (importance score: 37.4, 32.1, and 20.5, respectively) and 90 day mortality (importance score: 35.3, 36.3, and 14.6, respectively). Gradient boosting significantly outperformed decision tree and multivariable logistic regression. The area under the curve from a five‐fold cross validation was 0.90 for gradient boosting and 0.87 and 0.86 for decision tree and logistic regression in predicting 30 day mortality. For the prediction of 90 day mortality, the area under the curve was 0.92, 0.89, and 0.86 for gradient boosting, decision tree, and logistic regression, respectively.

Conclusions

The electronic frailty index based on co‐morbidities, inflammation, and nutrition information can readily predict mortality outcomes. Their predictive performances were significantly improved by gradient boosting techniques.

Association of Adherence to the Mediterranean-Style Diet with Lower Frailty Index in Older Adults

Identifying modifying protective factors to promote healthy aging is of utmost public health importance. The frailty index (FI) reflects the accumulation of health deficits and is one widely used method to assess health trajectories in aging. Adherence to a Mediterranean-type diet (MTD) has been associated with favorable health trajectories. Therefore, this study explored whether adherence to a MTD is negatively associated with FI in the InCHIANTI study. Participants (n = 485) included individuals over 65 years of age at baseline with complete data over a follow-up period of 10 years. MTD was computed on a scale of 0–9 and categorized based on these scores into three groups of low (≤3), medium (4–5), and high (≥6) adherence. Being in a high or medium adherence group was associated with 0.03 and 0.013 unit lower FI scores over the follow-up period, compared to the low adherence group. In participants with a low FI at baseline, being in a high or medium MTD-adherence group had 0.004 and 0.005 unit/year slower progression of FI compared to the low adherence group. These study results support adherence to a MTD as a protective strategy to maintain a lower FI.

Association of Frailty Status with Risk of Fall among Middle-Aged and Older Adults in China: A Nationally Representative Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association between frailty status and risk of fall among middle-aged and older Chinese people.

DESIGN

A nationally representative prospective cohort study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

The study included 13,877 community-dwelling participants aged 45 years and above from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study.

METHODS

Frailty status was identified by the frailty index of health deficit accumulation. 34 variables at baseline were selected to calculate the frailty index. We excluded participants with incomplete information in construction of the frailty index at baseline. Falls were measured based on the respondents' self-report. We used a logistic regression model to estimate the associations between the frailty status and risk of fall, and subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses were further conducted.

RESULTS

Of 13,877 participants, 2310 (16.6%) had falls during the observation period. 9027 (65.0%) participants were classified as robust, 4019 (29.0%) participants were classified as pre-frail, and 831 (6.0%) participants were classified as frail. Our results indicated per 0.01 increment in the frailty index was significantly associated with an increased risk of fall among middle-aged and older participants (OR: 1.52, 95%CI: 1.45-1.60). Such association was stronger when frailty was presented as a categorical variable, with an OR of 1.75 (95%CI: 1.59-1.93) for pre-frail and 3.04 (95%CI: 2.60-3.56) for frail. The area under the curve of the logistic model was 0.612 (95%CI: 0.600-0.625). Each 0.01 increment of the frailty index was association with a higher risk of fall among middle-aged (45-59years) participants (OR: 1.44, 95%CI: 1.29-1.60) than among older (≥60 years) participants (OR: 1.28, 95%CI: 1.16-1.41) at baseline (p=0.015 for interaction).

CONCLUSION

Frailty was significantly associated with an increased risk of fall among community-dwelling middle-aged and older people in China. It is necessary to screen and recognize frailty status to prevent falls among middle-aged and older adults.