Hepatocellular carcinoma in Italian patients with cirrhosis

Relationship of α-fetoprotein levels and development of hepatocellular carcinoma in hepatitis C patients with liver cirrhosis

α-fetoprotein (AFP) is a tumor marker of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and has also been reported to reflect the effectiveness of long-term low-dose interferon (IFN) therapy in hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients with chronic liver disease. The correlation between AFP levels and the incidence of HCC has been discussed over a long period. We investigated whether high levels of AFP at the time of diagnosis were associated with an increased incidence of HCC in patients with HCV. A total of 107 HCV patients with liver cirrhosis without other risks were evaluated for the predictive value of non-invasive risk factors for HCC, including age, gender, alcohol intake, aspartate and alanine aminotransferase levels, bilirubin, albumin, platelet count and AFP levels at study entry, as well as the IFN therapy received. During the follow-up period, HCC developed in 68 (63.6%) patients. Kaplan-Meier estimates were made to assess the cumulative risk of HCC. The 10-year cumulative incidence rate of HCC was 80%. Cox regression analysis was performed on several variables, including age, gender, alcohol consumption, experience of IFN therapy and biochemical parameters. The following factors were identified as exhibiting an increased risk of HCC by univariate analysis: aspartate transaminase (AST) ≥71 IU/l, alanine transaminase (ALT) ≥60 IU/l, AFP ≥6 ng/ml and IFN therapy. Multivariate analysis identified that the AFP level [6–19 ng/ml: hazard ratio (HR), 2.22; P=0.006 and ≥20 ng/ml: HR, 2.09; P=0.003] was an independent and significant risk factor for the development of HCC. A slightly elevated (6–19 ng/ml) AFP level may be a risk factor for HCC in certain cases. By contrast, AFP levels <6 ng/ml indicate a low risk of HCC development in HCV patients with liver cirrhosis.

Insulin-like growth factor-II is a useful marker to detect hepatocellular carcinoma?

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a typical hypervascular tumor. The utility of serum alpha-fetoprotein (α-FP) in its detection is questionable. Over-expression and high circulating levels of insulin-like growth factor-II (IGF-II) were reported in tissue and in serum of patients with HCC. We investigated the diagnostic application of IGF-II in the diagnosis of HCC.

METHODS

Serum IGF-II and α-FP levels were measured in 178 patients (82 with HCC and 96 with liver cirrhosis) and in 30 healthy controls. Spearman test, non parametric combination test and confidence interval analysis were used for statistical evaluation of data.

RESULTS

The best cut-off values selected by ROC curves were 796 ng/ml for IGF-II and 132 ng/ml for α-FP. IGF-II mean values were higher in patients with HCC than in those with liver cirrhosis (LC) (p=0.0001) but lower in LC than in controls (p=0.0001). Serum IGF-II levels above cut-off were found in 22% of patients with HCC, in 9.3% of those with cirrhosis and in 20% of controls. α-FP serum levels >132 ng/ml were observed in 48% of HCC, in 3.1% of LC and in none of control group. By correlation study, serum IGF-II levels were significantly correlated with serum α-FP levels (r=0.427, p=0.0001) and with nodules' diameter (r=0.252, p=0.0130) but not with nodules' number (p>0.050). Finally, IGF-II showed lower sensitivity, specificity and predictive values than α-FP.

CONCLUSION

Circulating IGF-II is not a useful marker for HCC. Further researches are however needed to evaluate its diagnostic accuracy before and after nutritional adjustment.

Prediction of liver-related events using fibroscan in chronic hepatitis B patients showing advanced liver fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) using transient elastography (FibroScan®) can assess liver fibrosis noninvasively. This study investigated whether LSM can predict the development of liver-related events (LREs) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients showing histologically advanced liver fibrosis.

METHODS

Between March 2006 and April 2010, 128 CHB patients with who underwent LSM and liver biopsy (LB) before starting nucleot(s)ide analogues and showed histologically advanced fibrosis (≥F3) with a high viral loads [HBV DNA ≥2,000 IU/mL] were enrolled. All patients were followed regularly to detect LRE development, including hepatic decompensation (variceal bleeding, ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, hepatorenal syndrome) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

RESULTS

The mean age of the patient (72 men, 56 women) was 52.2 years. During the median follow-up period [median 27.8 (12.6-61.6) months], LREs developed in 19 (14.8%) patients (five with hepatic decompensation, 13 with HCC, one with both). Together with age, multivariate analysis identified LSM as an independent predictor of LRE development [P<0.044; hazard ratio (HR), 1.038; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.002-1.081]. When the study population was stratified into two groups using the optimal cutoff value (19 kPa), which maximized the sum of sensitivity (61.1%) and specificity (86.2%) from a time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, patients with LSM>19 kPa were at significantly greater risk than those with LSM≤19 kPa for LRE development (HR, 7.176; 95% CI, 2.257-22.812; P = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

LSM can be a useful predictor of LRE development in CHB patients showing histologically advanced liver fibrosis.

HBV genotypes: relevance to natural history, pathogenesis and treatment of chronic hepatitis B

Although chronic HBV infection is the leading cause of chronic liver disease and death worldwide, there are substantial differences in its clinical courses regarding prevalence, mode of transmission, characteristics of each phase, responses to antiviral therapy, and development of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, according to geographical areas (Asia versus Western Europe and North America versus Africa). Furthermore, the clinical course in infected individuals depends on a complex interplay among various factors including viral, host, environmental and other factors. Recently, understanding of molecular characteristics of the prevailing HBV genotypes, frequently accompanied mutations and their clinical implications might explain these geographical differences more pertinently. Hence, in this article, we review the global epidemiology and the natural history of HBV infection, with emphasis on summarizing the different HBV genotypes according to regions.

Effect of previous interferon treatment on outcome after curative treatment for hepatitis C virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection with interferon (IFN) prevents the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The purpose of this study was to clarify the effect of previous IFN treatment before the development of HCC on recurrence and survival in HCV-related HCC patients.

METHODS

Three hundred ninety-five patients who underwent curative treatment for HCV-related HCC were enrolled. Of these, 124 had received IFN treatment before the development of HCC (17 achieved sustained virological response [SVR group] and 107 did not [non-SVR group]), whereas 271 patients had never received IFN treatment (IFN-untreated group). The first and second recurrence and survival rates in these patient groups were statistically analyzed.

RESULTS

The first HCC recurrence rate was similar among patient groups. In contrast, the second HCC recurrence rate was significantly lower in the SVR group than in the non-SVR group (p = 0.003) and the IFN-untreated group (p = 0.006). In multivariate analysis, platelet count (p = 0.033) and number of tumors (p = 0.001) were associated with the first HCC recurrence, while SVR (p = 0.002) was the only factor associated with the second HCC recurrence. The survival rate was higher in the SVR group than in non-SVR and IFN-untreated groups, and SVR to previous IFN treatment was an independent factor associated with better survival (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

SVR to previous IFN treatment before the development of HCV-related HCC was associated with lower risk of the second recurrence of HCC and better survival.

Hepatocellular carcinoma: diagnostics and screening

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the commonest primary hepatic malignancy and the third most common cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Incidence remains highest in the developing world and is steadily increasing across the developed world. The majority of HCC occurs on a background of cirrhosis, principally caused by two major risk factors, chronic hepatitis B and hepatitis C infection. Current diagnostic modalities, of ultrasound and α-fetoprotein, are expensive and lack sensitivity in tumour detection. Early diagnosis is integral to improved survival rates and there have been recent advances in technology that have enabled early identification of the process of hepatocarcinogenesis. This review outlines the epidemiological trends and risk factors for HCC; diagnostic techniques and current guidelines for screening and surveillance; and newer methods of screening.

Value of post-vascular phase (Kupffer imaging) by contrast-enhanced ultrasonography using Sonazoid in the detection of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the sensitivity and specificity of post-vascular phase (Kupffer imaging) by contrast-enhanced ultrasonography (CEUS) using perflubutane microbubbles (Sonazoid) in comparison with conventional B-mode ultrasonography (US) for the detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) nodules.

METHODS

A total of 100 treatment-naïve HCC patients admitted at our hospital between December 2007 and June 2009 were consecutively enrolled. The sensitivity and specificity of conventional and contrast-enhanced US were evaluated on a liver segment basis using dynamic CT as a reference standard. Movie files of conventional and enhanced US were stored separately for each segment (e.g., lateral, medial, anterior, and posterior) and reviewed randomly by two blinded readers.

RESULTS

A total of 138 HCC nodules (mean diameter 20.3 mm) were detected in 123 of 400 segments. Detection sensitivity of B-mode US was 0.837 for reader A and 0.846 for reader B, and that of CEUS was 0.732 for reader A and 0.831 for reader B. Specificity of B-mode US was 0.902 for reader A and 0.949 for reader B, and that of CEUS was 0.986 for reader A and 0.978 for reader B. CEUS false positives were mainly due to misidentification of hepatic cysts. A significant proportion of false-negative nodules are hyperechoic in B-mode US, likely because echogenicity hampers visualization of the defect in Kupffer imaging.

CONCLUSIONS

Kupffer imaging by CEUS with Sonazoid showed very high specificity but rather mediocre sensitivity for HCC detection. CEUS is highly suitable for confirmatory diagnosis of HCC; however, caution should be exercised in reaching a diagnosis based only on CEUS.

Saudi guidelines for the diagnosis and management of hepatocellular carcinoma: technical review and practice guidelines

Recognizing the significant prevalence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Saudi Arabia, and the difficulties often faced in early and accurate diagnoses, evidence-based management, and the need for appropriate referral of HCC patients, the Saudi Association for the Study of Liver diseases and Transplantation (SASLT) formed a multi-disciplinary task force to evaluate and update the previously published guidelines by the Saudi Gastroenterology Association. These guidelines were later reviewed, adopted and endorsed by the Saudi Oncology Society (SOS) as its official HCC guidelines as well. The committee assigned to revise the Saudi HCC guidelines was composed of hepatologists, oncologists, liver surgeons, transplant surgeons, and interventional radiologists. Two members of the task force served as guidelines editors. A wide based search on all published reports on all aspects of the epidemiology, natural history, risk factors, diagnosis, and management of HCC was performed. All available literature was critically examined and available evidence was then classified according to its strength. The whole document and the recommendations were then discussed in detail by members and consensus was obtained. All recommendations in these guidelines were based on the best available evidence, but were tailored to the patients treated in Saudi Arabia. We hope that these guidelines will improve HCC patient care and enhance the multidisciplinary care needed for these patients.

Patterns of presentation, referral, and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma in a pre-sorafenib era: experience of a Canadian provincial cancer agency

BACKGROUND

Systemic treatment options in hepatocellular carcinoma (hcc) are limited. Sorafenib, a multikinase inhibitor, has been shown to improve survival in patients with advanced hcc and adequate hepatic reserve. Currently, the proportion of referred patients with hcc that would be eligible for sorafenib therapy is unclear. We reviewed patterns in the presentation and management of referred patients with hcc at the BC Cancer Agency (bcca) before the availability of sorafenib.

METHODS

Records of patients with hcc referred to the bcca from January 1, 2003, to December 31, 2007, were reviewed. Distributions were analyzed using frequency statistics.

RESULTS

Of 518 patients reviewed, 77% were men and 45% were of Asian ethnicity; median age was 64 years. Histology confirmation was available in only 34% of the patients; 64% had an elevated level of alpha-fetoprotein at diagnosis. The Child-Pugh score at presentation could not be determined in 56%; the most common missing variable was albumin (44%). Among the 226 evaluable patients, the Child-Pugh classification was A in 140 (62%), B in 64 (28%), and C in 22 (10%). Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status was not documented in 40% of patients. The TNM staging was recorded per agency protocol; however, it was incompletely documented in most patients. Distant metastases were recorded in 12% of patients, and 75 patients (15%) underwent hepatic resection before referral. After bcca referral, no further therapy was offered to 287 patients (54%), regional therapy was offered to 170 (33%), and chemotherapy was offered to 67 (13%).

CONCLUSIONS

In this era of targeted therapies, characterizing the proportion of patients with hcc that would be eligible for such therapies is important. In our experience, referred patients are commonly Asian men with an acceptable hepatic reserve by Child-Pugh score, who have been diagnosed by clinical criteria alone. Most patients were offered no further therapy. Moving forward, accurate and systematic documentation of staging, performance status, and Child-Pugh score per the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging protocol will be imperative to best identify patients who may benefit most from sorafenib or available clinical trials, and to subsequently evaluate the population-based impact of the introduction of such therapies in patients with advanced hcc.

Ultrasonographic surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhosis: a randomized trial comparing 3- and 6-month periodicities

Detection of small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) eligible for curative treatment is increased by surveillance, but its optimal periodicity is still debated. Thus, this randomized trial compared two ultrasonographic (US) periodicities: 3 months versus 6 months. A multicenter randomized trial was conducted in France and Belgium (43 sites). Patients with histologically proven compensated cirrhosis were randomized into two groups: US every 6 months (Gr6M) or 3 months (Gr3M). For each focal lesion detected, diagnostic procedures were performed according to European Association for the Study of the Liver guidelines. Cumulative incidence of events was estimated, then compared using Gray's test. The prevalence of HCC ≤30 mm in diameter was the main endpoint. A sample size of 1,200 patients was required. A total of 1,278 patients were randomized (Gr3M, n = 640; Gr6M, n = 638; alcohol 39.2%, hepatitis C virus 44.1%, hepatitis B virus 12.5%). At least one focal lesion was detected in 358 patients (28%) but HCC was confirmed in only 123 (9.6%) (uninodular 58.5%, ≤30 mm in diameter 74%). Focal-lesion incidence was not different between Gr3M and Gr6M groups (2-year estimates, 20.4% versus 13.2%, P = 0.067) but incidence of lesions ≤10 mm was increased (41% in Gr3M versus 28% in Gr6M, P = 0.002). No difference in either HCC incidence (P = 0.13) or in prevalence of tumors ≤30 mm in diameter (79% versus 70%, P = 0.30) was observed between the randomized groups.

CONCLUSION

US surveillance, performed every 3 months, detects more small focal lesions than US every 6 months, but does not improve detection of small HCC, probably because of limitations in recall procedures.

Preoperative portal venous and hepatic arterial embolization of tumor

Although the goal of embolization is usually to create therapeutic ischemia or hemostasis without surgery, the rationale for preoperative embolotherapy is different in several respects. First, the aim is to prepare patients for definitive surgical resection rather than cure or palliation, and, thus, the goals and expectations are limited and defined by close communication between the interventionalist and the surgeon. Second, when considering segmental resection, the normal liver should be protected from procedural damage. Third, the search for extrahepatic disease is crucial for these patients because resection is typically abandoned in favor of alternative therapies for patients with systemic disease. Finally, intraoperative ultrasound should always be considered to survey the future liver remnant for unsuspected small tumors and allow ablation of these lesions to maximize the success of partial hepatectomy. This article describes preoperative hepatic arterial and portal venous embolization in patients with or without cirrhosis complicated by tumors judged eligible for surgical resection or orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). Each type of embolization will be reviewed in terms of indications and contraindications, technique, and complications. Finally, the outcomes will be evaluated in terms of morbidity, mortality, and tumor recurrence rates.

Inhibition of hypoxia-inducible carbonic anhydrase-IX enhances hexokinase II inhibitor-induced hepatocellular carcinoma cell apoptosis

AIM

The hypoxic condition within large or infiltrative hypovascular tumors produces intracellular acidification, which could activate many signaling pathways and augment cancer cell growth and invasion. Carbonic anhydrase-IX (CA-IX) is an enzyme lowering pH. This study is to examine whether hypoxia induces CA-IX in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cells, and to evaluate its clinical implication in HCC patients.

METHODS

Human HCC cell lines (Huh-7 and HepG2 cells) were used, and cell growth was assessed using MTS assay. CA-IX expression and apoptotic/kinase signaling were evaluated using immunoblotting. The cells were transfected with CA-IX-specific siRNA, or treated with its inhibitor 4-(2-aminoethyl) benzenesulfonamide (CAI#1), and/or the hexokinase II inhibitor, 3-bromopyruvate (3-BP). A clinic pathological analysis of 69 patients who underwent an HCC resection was performed using a tissue array.

RESULTS

Incubation of HCC cells under hypoxia (1% O₂, 5% CO₂, 94% N₂) for 36 h significantly increased CA-IX expression level. CAI#1 (400 μmol/L) or CA-IX siRNA (100 μmol/L) did not influence HCC cell growth and induce apoptosis. However, CAI#1 or CA-IX siRNA at these concentrations enhanced the apoptosis induced by 3-BP (100 μmol/L). This enhancement was attributed to increased ER stress and JNK activation, as compared with 3-BP alone. Furthermore, a clinic pathological analysis of 69 HCC patients revealed that tumor CA-IX intensity was inversely related to E-cadherin intensity.

CONCLUSION

Inhibition of hypoxia-induced CA-IX enhances hexokinase II inhibitor-induced HCC apoptosis. Furthermore, CA-IX expression profiles may have prognostic implications in HCC patients. Thus, the inhibition of CA-IX, in combination with a hexokinase II inhibitor, may be therapeutically useful in patients with HCCs that are aggressively growing in a hypoxic environment.

Validity of diagnostic codes and liver-related laboratory abnormalities to identify hepatic decompensation events in the Veterans Aging Cohort Study

PURPOSE

The absence of validated methods to identify hepatic decompensation in cohort studies has prevented a full understanding of the natural history of chronic liver diseases and impact of medications on this outcome. We determined the ability of diagnostic codes and liver-related laboratory abnormalities to identify hepatic decompensation events within the Veterans Aging Cohort Study (VACS).

METHODS

Medical records of patients with hepatic decompensation codes and/or laboratory abnormalities of liver dysfunction (total bilirubin ≥ 5.0 g/dL, albumin ≤ 2.0 g/dL, INR ≥ 1.7) recorded 1 year before through 6 months after VACS entry were reviewed to identify decompensation events (i.e., ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, variceal hemorrhage, hepatic encephalopathy, hepatocellular carcinoma) at VACS enrollment. Positive predictive values (PPVs) of diagnostic codes, laboratory abnormalities, and their combinations for confirmed outcomes were determined.

RESULTS

Among 137 patients with a hepatic decompensation code and 197 with a laboratory abnormality, the diagnosis was confirmed in 57 (PPV, 42%; 95%CI, 33%-50%) and 56 (PPV, 28%; 95%CI, 22%-35%) patients, respectively. The combination of any code plus laboratory abnormality increased PPV (64%; 95%CI, 47%-79%). One inpatient or ≥2 outpatient diagnostic codes for ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, or variceal hemorrhage had high PPV (91%; 95%CI, 77%-98%) for confirmed hepatic decompensation events.

CONCLUSION

An algorithm of 1 inpatient or ≥ 2 outpatient codes for ascites, peritonitis, or variceal hemorrhage has sufficiently high PPV for hepatic decompensation to enable its use for epidemiologic research in VACS. This algorithm may be applicable to other cohorts.

Eradication of hepatitis C virus reduces the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

The effect of a sustained virological response (SVR) to interferon (IFN) on clinical outcomes of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis is controversial.

AIMS

Evaluate the effect of SVR to IFN on the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality in patients with compensated HCV-induced cirrhosis.

METHODS

A cohort of 130 consecutive patients (92 men, mean age 51.7 years) with histologically proven cirrhosis who received one or more courses of IFN monotherapy or combination therapy with ribavirin were analyzed. SVR was defined as undetectable serum HCV RNA by real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) 24 weeks after IFN discontinuation. HCC was assessed by alfa-fetoprotein and ultrasound every 6 months. Predictors of clinical outcomes, defined as HCC, orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) and mortality, were assessed by Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

The mean follow-up was 6.4 ± 4.0 years (range 1-18). HCC developed in 21 patients: one with SVR versus 20 with non-SVR (P = 0.017). Logistic regression analysis showed that non-SVR (odds ratio [OR] = 27.0; confidence interval [CI], 1.6-452.1), male (OR = 11.6; CI, 1.8-75.4), and greater number of treatments (OR = 4.7; CI, 1.4-16.0) increased the probability of HCC development. Multivariate analysis found that SVR was associated with lower risk of HCC (HR 0.09; CI, 0.01-0.77), OLT (HR 0.04; CI, 0.003-0.63) and any event (HR 0.11; CI, 0.02-0.46) as compared to non-SVR.

CONCLUSIONS

In compensated HCV-related cirrhosis, SVR markedly reduces the risk of HCC and improves survival. Clearance of the virus should be intensively attempted in these patients.

Hepatic and extrahepatic cancer in cirrhosis: a longitudinal cohort study

OBJECTIVES

We conducted a retrospective cohort study in cirrhotic patients to understand (i) the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after an initial negative screening computed tomography (CT) scan and its relationship with underlying etiology and (ii) the risk of extrahepatic cancers (EHCs).

METHODS

Our cohort consisted of 952 cirrhotics who had at least one contrast-enhanced CT scan over a 5-year period from 1997 to 2002. We assessed their risk of HCC and EHC until the study closure (31 December 2007). Using data from the Indiana State Cancer Registry (ISCR), standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated for HCC and EHC.

RESULTS

The cohort's follow-up was 4.7±3.0 years. The frequency of HCC at baseline and during follow-up was 6.9 and 7.2%, respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year HCC incidence after an initial negative CT scan was 1.2, 4.4, and 7.8%, respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year EHC incidence was 2.2, 4.5, and 6.8%, respectively. The most common EHCs were breast, lung, and lymphoma. Incidence of both HCC (P=0.016) and EHC (P=0.004) varied significantly by the etiology of underlying cirrhosis. The SIRs for HCC and EHC were 186 (95% confidence interval (CI) 140-238) and 1.83 (95% CI 1.36-2.36), respectively. Compared with adjusted ISCR data, cirrhosis due to alcohol (SIR 2.73, 95% CI 1.14-4.33) but not other etiologies had significantly higher incidence of EHC.

CONCLUSIONS

This study furthers our understanding of HCC and EHC risk in cirrhosis. If confirmed by other studies, these data will assist in developing optimal strategies for monitoring of cancer in individuals with cirrhosis.

Development of hepatocellular carcinomas in patients with absence of tumors on a prior ultrasound examination

BACKGROUND

To evaluate hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that developed in patients with no evidence of a tumor during a prior ultrasound (US) performed within 1 year of the diagnosis.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data for 100 consecutive patients with liver cirrhosis who had undergone US within 1 year prior to HCC diagnosis and who showed no liver lesions on the previous US. Size and T stage of HCC were assessed as well as whether patients met surgical criteria for liver transplantation as HCC treatment [Milan or University of California at San Francisco (UCSF) criteria].

RESULTS

The mean interval between the negative and diagnostic scans was 5 months, 13 days. HCC presented as a single nodule in 69 patients (size, 0.8-8.0 cm), as two or more nodules in 18 patients, and as the diffuse form of HCC in 13 patients. HCC presented as a small tumor (<3 cm) in 48 patients. T stages were: T1 in 26 patients, T2 in 45, T3 in 18, and T4 in 11. The Milan criteria were met in 79 patients. Eighty-five patients fulfilled the UCSF.

CONCLUSION

Patients may present with advanced HCC, even if sonographic findings were negative within 1 year prior to diagnosis.

Progression of liver cirrhosis to HCC: an application of hidden Markov model

Background

Health service databases of administrative type can be a useful tool for the study of progression of a disease, but the data reported in such sources could be affected by misclassifications of some patients' real disease states at the time. Aim of this work was to estimate the transition probabilities through the different degenerative phases of liver cirrhosis using health service databases.

Methods

We employed a hidden Markov model to determine the transition probabilities between two states, and of misclassification. The covariates inserted in the model were sex, age, the presence of comorbidities correlated with alcohol abuse, the presence of diagnosis codes indicating hepatitis C virus infection, and the Charlson Index. The analysis was conducted in patients presumed to have suffered the onset of cirrhosis in 2000, observing the disease evolution and, if applicable, death up to the end of the year 2006.

Results

The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in cirrhotic patients was 1.5% per year. The probability of developing HCC is higher in males (OR = 2.217) and patients over 65 (OR = 1.547); over 65-year-olds have a greater probability of death both while still suffering from cirrhosis (OR = 2.379) and if they have developed HCC (OR = 1.410). A more severe casemix affects the transition from HCC to death (OR = 1.714). The probability of misclassifying subjects with HCC as exclusively affected by liver cirrhosis is 14.08%.

Conclusions

The hidden Markov model allowing for misclassification is well suited to analyses of health service databases, since it is able to capture bias due to the fact that the quality and accuracy of the available information are not always optimal. The probability of evolution of a cirrhotic subject to HCC depends on sex and age class, while hepatitis C virus infection and comorbidities correlated with alcohol abuse do not seem to have an influence.

Predictive value of tumor markers for hepatocarcinogenesis in patients with hepatitis C virus

BACKGROUND

Increases in tumor markers are sometimes seen in patients with chronic liver disease without hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to determine the relationship between the levels of three tumor markers [alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3%), and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP)] and hepatic carcinogenesis to identify hepatitis C virus (HCV) carriers at high risk for cancer development.

METHODS

A total of 623 consecutive HCV carriers with follow-up periods of >3 years were included. The average integration values were calculated from biochemical tests, and tumor markers, including AFP, AFP-L3%, and DCP, and factors associated with the cumulative incidence of HCC were analyzed.

RESULTS

HCC developed in 120 (19.3%) of the 623 patients. Age >65 years [adjusted relative risk, 2.303 (95% confidence interval, 1.551-3.418), P < 0.001], low platelet count [3.086 (1.997-4.768), P < 0.001], high aspartate aminotransferase value [3.001 (1.373-6.562), P < 0.001], high AFP level [≥10, <20 ng/mL: 2.814 (1.686-4.697), P < 0.001; ≥20 ng/mL: 3.405 (2.087-5.557), P < 0.001] compared to <10 ng/mL, and high AFP-L3% level [≥5, <10%: 2.494 (1.291-4.816), P = 0.007; ≥10%: 3.555 (1.609-7.858), P < 0.001] compared to <5% were significantly associated with an increased incidence of HCC on multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased AFP or AFP-L3% levels were significantly associated with an increased incidence of HCC. Among HCV carriers, patients with ≥10 ng/mL AFP or patients with ≥5% AFP-L3% are at very high risk for the development of HCC even if AFP is less than 20 ng/mL or AFP-L3% is less than 10%, which are the most commonly reported cutoff values.

Critical reappraisal of risk factors for occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C virus

More than one and half of current cases of hepatocellular carcinoma in the US, Europe, and Japan are attributable to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. HCV is also the primary cause of death in patients with HCV-related cirrhosis, with annual incidences of 0.5%-5% in Europe and 4%-10% in Asia. Screening is based on serum alpha-fetoprotein determination and liver ultrasound scan, but the sensitivity of the former is far less than optimal, and screening intervals are still poorly defined for the latter. Risk factors related to the host or environment, or both, appear to be more relevant than viral factors, such as HCV genotype, in determining disease progression to cirrhosis and cancer, and include age, male gender, severity of liver disease at presentation, coinfection with hepatitis B virus or human immunodeficiency virus, and alcohol abuse. Early liver transplantation in selected cases can be curative, but most patients are not eligible for liver grafting and are treated with locoregional ablative therapies, after which recurrence is common. Recently, orally available inhibitors of the vascular endothelial growth factor receptor have shown a significant, albeit modest, increment of survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma, thus paving the way for modern molecular approaches to treatment of this highly malignant tumor.

Epidemiology and management of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major world health problem because of the high incidence and case fatality rate. In most patients, the diagnosis of HCC is made at an advanced stage, which limits the application of curative treatments. Most HCCs develop in patients with underlying chronic liver disease. Chronic viral hepatitis B and C are the major causes of liver cirrhosis and HCC. Recent improvements in treatment of viral hepatitis and in methods for surveillance and therapy for HCC have contributed to better survival of patients with HCC. This article reviews the epidemiology, cause, prevention, clinical manifestations, surveillance, diagnosis, and treatment approach for HCC.

Incidence and associated risk factors of hepatocellular carcinoma in a dural hepatitis B and C virus endemic area: a surveillance study

The purposes of this study were to determine the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in dual hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) endemic areas and to assess the associated risk factors of HCC development in the community. During April 2004 to November 2005, 4,127 residents of Tainan County, aged 40 years or older, had participated in a comprehensive health examination. Among them, residents with HBV or HCV infection; platelet count less than or equal to 150×10(9)/L; and no hepatic tumor, by liver ultrasonography, were invited to this study. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) screening and ultrasonography for HCC surveillance were performed. Once hepatic tumor was detected, the subjects were referred to medical centers for further confirmation and treatment. A total of 1,133 residents were eligible for this study, and 413 (36.5%), including 197 men and 216 women, with a mean age of 64.5 years, were enrolled. There were 21 cases with suspected HCC. Of the 21 cases, 18 (85.7%) accepted further studies and 11 (52.4%) were confirmed to be affected with HCC. All HCCs were unifocal with a diameter less than or equal to 4 cm. In the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, the 2-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 4.7%. Based on the same analysis with log rank test, AFP greater than or equal to 20 ng/mL (p=0.007), platelet count less than or equal to 100×10(9)/L (p<0.001), and liver cirrhosis (p<0.001) were found to be the associated risk factors of HCC development. In summary, the 2-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 4.7% among adult residents with chronic HBV or HCV infection in this dual HBV and HCV endemic area. Platelet count less than 100×10(9)/L, AFP level greater than 20 ng/mL, and liver cirrhosis were the associated risk factors for HCC development.

Phase i study evaluating the treatment of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with carbon ion radiotherapy: the PROMETHEUS-01 trial

Background

Treatment options for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are often limited. In most cases, they are not amenable to local therapies including surgery or radiofrequency ablation. The multi-kinase inhibitor sorafenib has shown to increase overall survival in this patient group for about 3 months.

Radiation therapy is a treatment alternative, however, high local doses are required for long-term local control. However, due to the relatively low radiation tolerance of liver normal tissue, even using stereotactic techniques, delivery of sufficient doses for successful local tumor control has not be achieved to date.

Carbon ions offer physical and biological characteristics. Due to their inverted dose profile and the high local dose deposition within the Bragg peak precise dose application and sparing of normal tissue is possible. Moreover, in comparison to photons, carbon ions offer an increased relative biological effectiveness (RBE), which can be calculated between 2 and 3 depending on the HCC cell line as well as the endpoint analyzed.

Japanese Data on the evaluation of carbon ion radiation therapy showed promising results for patients with HCC.

Methods/Design

In the current Phase I-PROMETHEUS-01-Study, carbon ion radiotherapy will be evaluated for patients with advanced HCC. The study will be performed as a dose-escalation study evaluating the optimal carbon ion dose with respect to toxicity and tumor control.

Primary endpoint is toxicity, secondary endpoint is progression-free survival and response.

Discussion

The Prometheus-01 trial ist the first trial evaluating carbon ion radiotherapy delivered by intensity-modulated rasterscanning for the treatment of HCC. Within this Phase I dose escalation study, the optimal dose of carbon ion radiotherapy will be determined.

Trial registration

NCT 01167374

HBV-related HCC, clinical issues and therapy

Every year, more than 600 thousand persons will develop hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide. Sixty percent of all HCCs in Asia and Africa are related to chronic infection with the hepatitis B virus (HBV) compared to only 20% of HCC cases in Europe, Japan and USA. Surveillance of chronically infected patients improves treatment of HCC, since it helps detecting tumors amenable to radical therapies. In cirrhotic patients, HCC can be confidently diagnosed by contrast imaging techniques, albeit the accuracy of radiological diagnosis is largely influenced by tumor size. Hepatic resection and liver transplantation are the first therapeutic options for patients within Milan criteria. The long-term outcome of resection, however, is affected by high risk of tumor recurrence, whereas liver transplantation has a negligible risk of both HBV and HCC recurrence-related anticipated mortality. The clinical benefits of loco-regional ablative techniques are evidence based for patients with less than 3 cm tumors only, whereas the standard of care for intermediate tumors, chemoembolization, needs to be validated in view of new technical improvements. Tertiary prevention of HCC in patients with established HBV infection is doubtful, mainly due to methodological weaknesses of studies based on interferon and nucleos(t)ide analogues therapy.

Efficacy and cost-effectiveness of consensus interferon monotherapy with high-dose induction for hepatitis C patients with genotype 2

OBJECTIVE

Several treatment strategies for patients with chronic hepatitis C have been compared mainly in terms of their efficacy, and it has been found that pegylated interferon (IFN) plus ribavirin has become the standard therapy, but aged patients may not tolerate ribavirin and the cost-effectiveness of treatment should also be further considered. We conducted a study to evaluate the efficacy, safety, and cost-effectiveness of consensus IFN monotherapy with high-dose induction for patients with chronic hepatitis C in clinical practice.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We consecutively enrolled 104 patients with chronic hepatitis C. Patients were scheduled to receive 12 or 18 μg of consensus IFN daily for 2 weeks, then three times a week for 22 weeks. Efficacy, safety, and cost-effectiveness were assessed. A Markov model was developed to investigate cost-effectiveness in patients with chronic hepatitis C treated by different IFN-based treatment strategies.

RESULTS

Of the 104 study patients, a sustained virological response (SVR) was achieved in 66 (63%). Logistic regression analysis revealed that genotype 2, lower hepatitis C virus RNA levels, and patient age were independently associated with SVR. The response rate was significantly higher in patients with genotype 2 (51/66, 77%) versus genotype 1 (15/38, 40%). Cost-effectiveness analysis in patients with genotype 2 revealed that high-dose induction with consensus IFN monotherapy was as highly cost-effective as pegylated IFN plus ribavirin.

CONCLUSION

Consensus IFN monotherapy with high-dose induction shows high efficacy and cost-effectiveness in chronic hepatitis C patients with genotype 2 infection. Thus, it may be a reliable alternative in aged patients and for those excluded from standard combination therapy.

Cirrhosis is present in most patients with hepatitis B and hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There are few data available about the prevalence or effects of cirrhosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) from viral hepatitis. We compared patients with HCC and hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections to determine the proportions of cirrhosis in each group, virologic and tumor characteristics, and overall survival.

METHODS

This analysis included patients with HBV (n = 64) or HCV (n = 118) infection who were diagnosed with HCC at the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minnesota from 1994-2008; groups were matched for age and sex. The diagnosis of cirrhosis was based on histology and, if histologic information was insufficient or unavailable, clinical indicators that included ascites or varices, thrombocytopenia or splenomegaly, and radiographic configuration of cirrhosis. Virologic characteristics, tumor stage, and patient survival were also assessed.

RESULTS

The prevalence of histologic cirrhosis was 88% among patients with HBV infection and 93% among those with HCV infection (P = .46). When the most inclusive criteria for cirrhosis were applied, cirrhosis was present in 94% of patients with HBV and 97% with HCV (P = .24). Among HCV patients, 5.2% were negative for HCV RNA after antiviral treatment; 63.4% of HBV patients had HBV DNA <2000 IU/mL with or without treatment. Patients with HBV tended to have less surveillance and more advanced stages of HCC, without differences in survival from those with HCV infection (P = .75).

CONCLUSIONS

Most patients with HCC and chronic viral hepatitis had evidence of cirrhosis, including those with HBV infection and those without active viral replication.

Alpha-fetoprotein above normal levels as a risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients infected with hepatitis C virus

BACKGROUND

Noninvasive risk factors are required for predicting the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) not only in patients with cirrhosis but also in those with chronic hepatitis who are infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV).

METHODS

A total of 707 patients with chronic HCV infection without other risks were evaluated for the predictive value of noninvasive risk factors for HCC, including age, sex, viral load, genotype, fibrosis stage, aspartate and alanine aminotransferase levels, bilirubin, albumin, platelet count, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) at entry to the study, as well as interferon (IFN) therapy they received.

RESULTS

The ten-year cumulative incidence rates of HCC for patients with fibrosis stages F0/F1, F2, F3, and F4 were 2.5, 12.8, 19.3, and 55.9%, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified age ≥57 years [hazard ratio (HR) 2.026, P = 0.004], fibrosis stage F4 (HR 3.957, P < 0.001), and AFP 6-20 ng/mL (HR 1.942, P = 0.030) and ≥20 ng/mL (HR 3.884, P < 0.001), as well as the response to IFN [relative risk (RR) 0.099, P < 0.001], as independent risk factors for the development of HCC. The ten-year cumulative incidence rates of HCC in the patients with AFP levels of <6, 6-20, and ≥20 ng/mL at entry were 6.0, 24.6, and 47.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Not only high (>20 ng/mL), but also even slightly elevated (6-20 ng/mL) AFP levels, could serve as a risk factor for HCC to complement the fibrosis stage. In contrast, AFP levels <6 ng/mL indicate a low risk of HCC development in patients infected with HCV, irrespective of the fibrosis stage.

Superior long-term outcomes after surgery in child-pugh class a patients with single small hepatocellular carcinoma compared to radiofrequency ablation

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

There are insufficient data comparing long-term prognoses after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and surgery.

METHODS

We compared the baseline characteristics and survival rates of patients (single, ≤3 cm, and Child-Pugh class A) treated surgically (n = 215) and with RFA (n = 255) from January 2000 to December 2007 at our institution.

RESULTS

The surgery group was characterized by younger age, higher prevalence of HBsAg, less cirrhosis, and an increased chance of Child-Pugh score of 5 and CLIP score of 1, compared to the RFA group. During the median follow-up period of 42 months (range 1-109), the 3-, 5- and 7-year overall survival rates in the surgery group were 98, 94, and 94%, respectively, which were significantly higher than those in the RFA group (92, 87, and 76%, respectively, P = 0.002). The 3- and 5-year recurrence-free survival rates were 72 and 66%, respectively, in the surgery group, which were significantly higher than those in the RFA group (34 and 24%, respectively, P < 0.001). The superiority of the survival rates in the surgery group persisted in most patients throughout the subgroup analysis, based on the Child-Pugh score and CLIP score. Multivariate analysis showed that age and surgery as a procedure type were the significant predictive factors for both overall survival [HR = 1.04 (CI 1.001-1.08), P = 0.047 for age; HR = 2.97 (CI 1.19-7.45), P = 0.02 for surgery] and recurrence-free survival [HR = 1.02 (CI 1.01-1.04), P = 0.01 for age; HR = 2.44 (CI 1.76-3.37), P < 0.001 for surgery].

CONCLUSIONS

The long-term outcome after surgery for Child-Pugh class A and single small HCC is superior to that after RFA.

Assessment of alpha-fetoprotein in the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma in Middle Eastern patients

BACKGROUND

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels for the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may vary by geographical region and racial background. No data exists for this test in the Middle Eastern population. In addition, there is limited data on the impact of virological status on AFP levels.

METHODS

In a multicenter, case-control study involving 206 cases, 199 cirrhotic and 197 chronic hepatitis controls, we assessed the utility of AFP in the diagnosis of HCC (sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values, and positive likelihood ratios (LR). PPV and NPV were evaluated for three additional HCC prevalence rates (5, 10, and 20%).

RESULTS

The best discriminating AFP value was 11.7 ng/ml. The sensitivity ranged from 32 to 79.5% at different AFP levels with the specificity increasing sequentially from 47.7 to 98.5%. Sensitivity of AFP at the best cut-off level for hepatitis C virus (HCV), hepatitis B virus (HBV) and non-viral etiology for HCC was 73.7, 65.6, and 59.5%, respectively. Specificity at this level for HCV, HBV, and non-viral etiology was 36.6, 30.1, and 29.4%, respectively. AFP cut-off levels of 102, 200, and 400 ng/ml showed similar sensitivity (39.8, 35.9, and 32%, respectively) and specificity (96, 98.5, and 98.5% respectively). Positive LR for AFP at >11.7, >20, >102, >200, >400 ng/ml were 2.8, 3.3, 9.9, 23.8, and 21.2, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In cirrhotic patients, AFP has a poor screening and diagnostic value for HCC. Underlying viral etiology fails to influence the diagnostic accuracy of this test. An AFP level greater than 100 ng/ml has a high degree of specificity and may be used as a confirmatory test.

Economic evaluation of infant and adolescent hepatitis B vaccination in the UK

A Markov model of hepatitis B virus (HBV) disease progression in the UK estimated that 81% of predicted HBV-associated morbidity and mortality could be prevented by universal infant vaccination at a cost of approximately £ 260,000 per QALY gained. Universal adolescent vaccination would be less effective (45% prevented) and less cost-effective (£ 493,000 per QALY gained). Higher HBV incidence rates in males and intermediate/high risk ethnic populations meant it was approximately 3 times more cost-effective to vaccinate these groups. At current vaccine costs a selective infant vaccination programme, based on vaccinating intermediate/high risk ethnic populations would not be considered cost effective. The threshold cost per vaccinated child at which the programme would be considered cost-effective was investigated. Universal infant vaccination would be cost-effective if the average cost of vaccinating each child against HBV, including vaccine and administration costs of all doses, was less than £ 4.09. Given the low cost of vaccination required to make a universal programme cost-effective the most feasible policy in the UK would be to use a suitably priced combined vaccine that included the other antigens in the current infant vaccination schedule.

Recent progress in the management of hepatocellular carcinoma detected during a surveillance program in Japan

AIM

  This study explored recent improvements in the management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosed during surveillance.

METHODS

  The subjects were 1074 patients with HCC, subdivided into three groups. Group A comprised 211 patients for whom HCC was detected during periodic follow-up examinations at Kurume University School of Medicine, Group B comprised 544 patients diagnosed with HCC during periodic follow-up examinations at other institutions, and, Group C comprised 319 patients with HCC detected incidentally or because of symptoms.

RESULTS

  In 1995-2000 and 2001-2006, 91% and 91% of group A, 68% and 70% of group B, and 27% and 26% of group C patients with HCC, respectively, met the Milan criteria. For groups A and B, the proportions of patients with Child-Pugh class A and use of promising treatment increased in the later periods compared to those diagnosed during the earlier periods (group A, Child-Pugh class A, 72% vs 58% [P = 0.040], receiving treatment, 90% vs 70% [P < 0.0001]; group B, Child-Pugh class A, 71% vs 62% [P = 0.031]; receiving treatment, 72% vs 52% [P < 0.0001], respectively). The cumulative survival rates of the 405 patients with HCC detected in the latter 6 years tended to be better than those for patients diagnosed in the former 6 years (350 patients) (4 years, 58% vs 50% [P = 0.0349]).

CONCLUSION

  The use of promising treatment and prognosis have improved in the last 6 years for patients with HCC diagnosed through surveillance relative to those identified in 1995-2000.

Survival and cost-effectiveness analysis of competing strategies in the management of small hepatocellular carcinoma

The aim of the present study is to compare the survival rates and cost-effectiveness of different treatment strategies for small (<2 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Markov chains are developed to model different management strategies for patients with compensated cirrhosis and small HCC. Probabilities of progression and survival and the likelihood of orthotopic liver transplantation are taken from the literature and incorporated into the models. As a starting population, 1000 patients are followed over a period of 10 years. Patients treated immediately with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) or radiofrequency ablation (RFA) live as long as or longer than patients who are monitored expectantly with the intention of liver transplantation once the HCC has grown larger than 2 cm and a higher transplant priority score becomes available. With TACE, immediate treatment results in an average survival time of 4.269 years versus 4.324 years with the monitoring strategy. With RFA, immediate treatment results in an average survival time of 5.273 years versus 5.236 years with the monitoring strategy. In addition, the cost analysis shows that immediate treatment with either TACE or RFA is less expensive than monitoring. The better cost-effectiveness of immediate therapy versus the monitoring strategy remains robust and unaffected by variations of the assumptions built into the model. In conclusion, in patients with compensated cirrhosis and small HCC, a strategy of immediate treatment with either TACE or RFA prevails over a strategy of expectant monitoring with the intention of transplantation.

Contrast-enhanced sonography-guided radiofrequency ablation for the local recurrence of previously treated hepatocellular carcinoma undetected by B-mode sonography

BACKGROUND.: The purpose of this study was to assess the usefulness of contrast-enhanced sonography (CEUS) with Sonazoid to demonstrate local recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma previously treated with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and not seen on conventional sonography, prior to repeat RFA. METHODS.: This study included 16 cirrhotic patients with 17 cases of hypervascular locally recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma found by contrast-enhanced multidetector row CT (MDCT) but not seen on noncontrast sonography. We used Kupffer-phase imaging and vascular-phase imaging after re-injection. The morphologic patterns of local recurrence detected on CEUS were compared with those on MDCT. We performed repeat RFA guided by CEUS using Kupffer-phase imaging after re-injection. RESULTS.: We were able to detect on CEUS the location of all local recurrences with positive enhancement after re-injection. The morphologic patterns of local recurrence on CEUS were in concordance with those found on MDCT in all lesions. Repeat percutaneous RFA was successfully performed in all lesions. CONCLUSIONS.: The CEUS appearance of local recurrences correlated well with those on MDCT. A wider use of CEUS to guide repeat of percutaneous RFA may be possible with Sonazoid.

Time-dependent analysis of predisposing factors for the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND/AIM

There are many reports dealing with the risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence. However, in most of these reported studies, factors were analysed only at the initial treatment stage, and the predisposing factors for the recurrence during follow-up have not been well studied. The aim of this study is to evaluate the predisposing factors after treatments.

METHODS

Two hundred and seventy-one consecutive HCC patients curatively treated between January 1994 and March 2004 were followed up and analysed. The recurrence rate was estimated by the Kaplan- Meier method and the predisposing factors were evaluated by time-fixed Cox regression analysis and by time-dependent covariate analysis using multiple parameters.

RESULTS

The mean follow-up period was 4.86 years and recurrence was observed in 169 patients (62.4%). The recurrence rates were 27.9, 65.1 and 84.3% at 1, 3 and 5 years respectively. Among the variables determined before treatment, predisposing factors for recurrence were low serum albumin [< or =3.5 g/dl, hazard ratio (HR)=1.47, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.07-2.01] and multiple tumour number (HR=2.04, 95% CI=1.46-2.84) by time-fixed multivariate analysis. In the time-dependent analysis, six variables with 12 013 plots were examined. The multivariate analysis revealed that high des- gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP > or =40 mAU/ml, HR=2.33, 95% CI=1.61-3.39), high alpha-fetoprotein (AFP > or =100 ng/ml, HR=2.01, 95% CI=1.3-3.35) and high alanine aminotransferase (ALT > or = 40 IU/L, HR= 1.52, 95% CI=1.1-2.1) were significant predisposing factors for recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Predisposing factors for the recurrence of HCC after treatment are different from those before treatments and special cautions are required when AFP, DCP or ALT is high during follow-up.

Outcome of small liver nodules detected by computed tomographic angiography in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

Hepatic lesions identified by computed tomography (CT) during arterial portography (CTAP) or CT hepatic arteriography (CTHA) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients are sometimes too small to be diagnosed as HCC. We undertook this cohort study to assess whether these small lesions are actually HCC, and to clarify the effectiveness of these imaging examinations in a clinical setting.

METHODS

We assessed the characteristics of 74 tiny lesions detected by CTAP and/or CTHA, but not by CT in 67 patients.

RESULTS

Seven out of 10 nodules were histologically confirmed as HCC and 18 out of 64 lesions increased in size and showed typical findings of HCC during the follow-up period. Multivariate analysis revealed that the size of the main tumor (>30 mm in diameter) was associated with the presence of tiny additional HCC lesions (P = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings indicate that CTAP and CTHA are recommended for determining the stage of HCC, especially when the HCC nodule is larger than 30 mm in diameter.

The changing pattern of epidemiology in hepatocellular carcinoma

Primary liver cancer (PLC) represents approximately 4% of all new cancer cases diagnosed worldwide. The purpose of this review is to describe some of the latest international patterns in PLC incidence and mortality, as well as to give an overview of the main etiological factors. We used two databases, GLOBOCAN 2002 and the World Health Organization (WHO) mortality database to analyze the incidence and mortality rates for PLC in several regions around the world. The highest age adjusted incidence rates (>20 per 100,000) were reported from countries in Southeast Asia and sub-Saharan Africa that are endemic for HBV infection. Countries in Southern Europe have medium-high incidence rates, while low-incidence areas (<5 per 100,000) include South and Central America, and the rest of Europe. Cirrhosis is present in about 80-90% of HCC patients and is thereby the largest single risk factor. Main risk factors include HBV, HCV, aflatoxin and possibly obesity and diabetes. Together HBV and HCV account for 80-90% of all HCC worldwide. HBV continues to be the major HCC risk factor worldwide, although its importance will most likely decrease during the coming decades due to the widespread use of the HBV vaccine in the newborns. HCV has been the dominant viral cause in HCC in North America, some Western countries and Japan. Obesity and diabetes are increasing at a fast pace throughout the world, and if they are proven to be HCC risk factors, they would account for more HCC cases in the future.

Management of hepatocellular carcinoma: Report of Consensus Meeting in the 45th Annual Meeting of the Japan Society of Hepatology (2009)

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is responsible for approximately 600 000-700 000 deaths worldwide. It is highly prevalent in the Asia-Pacific region and Africa, and is increasing in Western countries. The evidence-based guideline for HCC in Japan was published in 2005 and revised in 2009. Apart from this guideline, a consensus-based practice manual proposed by the HCC expert panel of the Japan Society of Hepatology (JSH), which reflects widely accepted daily practice in Japan, was published in 2007. At the occasion of the 45th Annual meeting of the JSH in Kobe 4-5 June 2009, a consensus meeting of HCC was held. Consensus statements were createdbased on 67% agreement of 200 expert members.This article describes the up-to-date consensus statements which largely reflect the real world HCC practice in Japan. We believe readers of this article will gain the newest knowledge and deep insight on the management of HCC proposed by consensus of the HCC expert members of JSH.

Evaluation for clinical utility of GPC3, measured by a commercially available ELISA kit with Glypican-3 (GPC3) antibody, as a serological and histological marker for hepatocellular carcinoma

AIMS

We evaluated the clinical utility of glypican-3 (GPC3), which has been proposed as a potential novel tumor marker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), as a serological and histological marker for HCC.

METHODS

The serum GPC3 level was compared between 200 patients with HCC and 200 patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). In addition, the expression of GPC3 was examined with immunohistochemistry on 38 resected specimens from patients with HCC. A commercially available GPC3 antibody was used for these analyses.

RESULTS

The median values of serum GPC3 in patients with HCC and with CLD were 924.8 pg/mL and 1161.6 pg/mL, respectively. We found no elevation of serum GPC3 level in patients with HCC in comparison with those with CLD; rather the level was higher in patients with CLD (P < 0.0001). In immunohistochemical analysis, 14 of 38 (36.9%) HCC tissues were positive for GPC3, whereas no corresponding non-cancerous tissue was positive. The positivity for GPC3 tended to increase with pathologic decreased differentiation of HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

We did not find serum GPC3 level, measured by a commercially available ELISA kit with GPC3 antibody, to be useful in the diagnosis of HCC. However, we did observe increased GPC3 staining in HCC tissue with moderate or poor differentiation, suggesting that GPC3 is produced by HCC tumors. This lack of utility could have been due to the measuring procedure used in the present study. Further evaluation of GPC3 in HCC with other measuring procedures is needed.

Regular surveillance by imaging for early detection and better prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients infected with hepatitis C virus

PURPOSE

This study evaluated the usefulness of regular check-ups by ultrasonography and contrast-enhanced imaging for early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in a retrospective analysis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

From April 2001 to March 2007, 240 consecutive patients with HCC who were infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) were divided into three groups. Patients diagnosed with HCC by repeated imaging constituted Group A (surveillance group). Group B comprised patients in whom HCC was detected during scheduled doctor visits for liver disease or other diseases such as diabetes. Group C comprised non-screened patients.

RESULTS

The prevalence of solitary tumors decreased from Group A through Group B to Group C (66, 48 and 24%, respectively, P < 0.001). The proportion of patients in stages I and II decreased from 83% (103/124) in Group A to 53% (42/79) in Group B and 24% (9/37) in Group C (P < 0.001). The proportion of patients who were treated with curative procedures, such as resection or ablation, was highest at 80% (99/124) in Group A, and lower at 53% (42/79) in Group B and 27% (10/37) in Group C (P < 0.001). The cumulative survival rate was better in Group A than B (P < 0.05), and in Group B than C (P < 0.001). Periodical medical check-ups without imaging did not necessarily detect early-stage disease, even when HCC-related markers including des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin were tested.

CONCLUSIONS

Regular surveillance with ultrasonography and contrast-enhanced imaging is useful for detecting early-stage HCC and increase chances for curative treatments in patients with HCV-related chronic liver disease.

Characterization of focal liver lesions with contrast-enhanced ultrasound

The introduction of second generation microbubble ultrasound (US) contrast agents, such as SonoVue (Bracco, Milan, Italy), has considerably improved the diagnostic yield of US imaging for the evaluation of focal hepatic lesions in recent years because of its ability to very sensitively depict tumoral vascularity. In addition, contrast-enhanced US (CEUS) has the advantage of the absence of ionizing radiation, the widespread availability, even at the bedside, and the possibility to characterize a lesion as soon as detected on conventional B-mode US, commonly used as the first technique for exploration of the liver. The present review focuses on the basic principles of the technique and the various patterns of benign and malignant hepatic lesions at CEUS, contributing to their characterization. Understanding of these enhancement features at CEUS according to the type of tumors enables to make more accurate characterization of focal liver lesions as well as give better advice to oncologists, hepatologists or other clinicians in case of suspected liver tumors.

National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry Laboratory Medicine Practice Guidelines for use of tumor markers in liver, bladder, cervical, and gastric cancers

BACKGROUND

Updated National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry Laboratory Medicine Practice Guidelines for the use of tumor markers in the clinic have been developed.

METHODS

Published reports relevant to use of tumor markers for 4 cancer sites--liver, bladder, cervical, and gastric--were critically reviewed.

RESULTS

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) may be used in conjunction with abdominal ultrasound for early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis or cirrhosis associated with hepatitis B or C virus infection. AFP concentrations >200 microg/L in cirrhotic patients with typical hypervascular lesions >2 cm in size are consistent with HCC. After a diagnosis of HCC, posttreatment monitoring with AFP is recommended as an adjunct to imaging, especially in the absence of measurable disease. Although several urine markers have been proposed for bladder cancer, none at present can replace routine cystoscopy and cytology in the management of patients with this malignancy. Some may, however, be used as complementary adjuncts to direct more effective use of clinical procedures. Although carcinoembryonic antigen and CA 19-9 have been proposed for use gastric cancer and squamous cell carcinoma antigen for use in cervical cancer, none of these markers can currently be recommended for routine clinical use.

CONCLUSIONS

Implementation of these recommendations should encourage optimal use of tumor markers for patients with liver, bladder, cervical, or gastric cancers.

Pathology analysis reveals that dysplastic pancreatic ductal lesions are frequent in patients with hereditary pancreatitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hereditary pancreatitis (HP) is a risk factor for pancreatic adenocarcinoma. We performed a retrospective, multicenter study to characterize and evaluate the frequency of pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PanIN) and to describe the characteristics of fibrosis in pancreatic surgical specimens from patients with HP.

METHODS

Samples from partial pancreatectomies (n = 13) of patients with HP complications (n = 12; 7 males; mean age, 24 y; 1 patient underwent 2 surgeries over 16 years) were analyzed by histologic and immunohistologic analyses; patients with suspected or proven pancreatic adenocarcinoma were excluded. HP diagnosis was confirmed by analysis of PRSS1 mutations. Dysplastic lesions were described according to the PanIN classification.

RESULTS

Eleven patients were found to have the R122H mutation in PRSS1 and 1 patient was found to have the N29I mutation in PRSS1. Fifty-one PanIN lesions were observed in 10 specimens (77%): PanIN lesions 1a, 1b, 2, and 3 were observed in 8, 5, 8, and 5 specimens, respectively. The median number of PanIN lesions was 3.5 for each specimen. The density of the lesions was 2.6 per 10 cm(2). The size of lesions was greater than 0.5 mm in 55% of the samples. Two patients with PanIN-3 developed pancreatic cancer, 18 months and 44 years after surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

PanIN lesions are frequent, severe, and occur early in the course of HP. Among patients with PanINs, 50% had PanIN-3 lesions. Pancreatectomy could be considered as a prophylactic against pancreatic cancer in patients with high-grade dysplasia.

Preoperative radiologic and postoperative pathologic risk factors for early intra-hepatic recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma patients who underwent curative resection

PURPOSE

The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence must be considered ahead of surgery. This study was undertaken to identify pre-operative risk factors for early intrahepatic recurrence of HCC after curative resection in a large-scale.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the preoperative three-phase multi-detector CT (MDCT) and laboratory data for 240 HCC patients who underwent curative resection; tumor size, number, gross shape, capsule integrity, distinctiveness of tumor margin, portal vein thrombosis (PVT), alpha-fetoprotein level (AFP), and protein induced by vitamin K absence-II (PIVKA-II) levels were assessed. Surgical pathology was reviewed; tumor differentiation, capsule, necrosis, and micro-vessel invasion were recorded.

RESULTS

HCC recurred in 61 patients within six months (early recurrence group), but not in 179 patients (control group). In univariate analysis, large tumor size (p = 0.018), shape (p = 0.028), poor capsule integrity (p = 0.046), elevated AFP (p = 0.015), and PIVKA-II (p = 0.008) were significant preoperative risk factors. Among the pathologic features, PVT (p = 0.023), Glisson's capsule penetration (p = 0.033), microvascular invasion (p < 0.001), and poor differentiation (p = 0.001) showed statistical significance. In multivariate analysis, only the histopathologic parameters of microvascular invasion and poor differentiation achieved statistical significance.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative CT and laboratory parameters showed limited value, while the presence of microscopic vascular tumor invasion and poorly differentiated HCC correlated with higher risk of early recurrence after curative resection.

A proposal for a new clinical classification of chronic pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

The clinical course of chronic pancreatitis is still unpredictable, which relates to the lack of the availability of a clinical classification. Therefore, patient populations cannot be compared, the course and the outcome of the disease remain undetermined in the individual patient, and treatment is not standardized.

AIM

To establish a clinical classification for chronic pancreatitis which is user friendly, transparent, relevant, prognosis- as well as treatment-related and offers a frame for future disease evaluation.

METHODS

Diagnostic requirements will include one clinical criterion, in combination with well defined imaging or functional abnormalities.

RESULTS

A classification system consisting of three stages (A, B and C) is presented, which fulfils the above-mentioned criteria. Clinical criteria are: pain, recurrent attacks of pancreatitis, complications of chronic pancreatitis (e.g. bile duct stenosis), steatorrhea, and diabetes mellitus. Imaging criteria consist of ductal or parenchymal changes observed by ultrasonography, ERCP, CT, MRI, and/or endosonography.

CONCLUSION

A new classification of chronic pancreatitis, based on combination of clinical signs, morphology and function, is presented. It is easy to handle and an instrument to study and to compare the natural course, the prognosis and treatment of patients with chronic pancreatitis.

Ultrasound-guided percutaneous ethanol injection: first choice for treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma in the elderly

Percutaneous ethanol injection (PEI) under ultrasound guidance has recently been proposed as a new therapeutic approach for patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). HCC is more frequently observed in elderly subjects. We treated 59 patients (44 males and 15 females, mean age 66 years, age-range 54-77 years). Forty-six patients were in Child A, 12 in Child B and 1 in Child C class. Thirty-nine patients had a single lesion up to 5 cm size; 2 had a single lesion larger than 5 cm, and 18 had 2 or 3 lesions, each smaller than 4 cm. The survival rates after 1, 2, 3 and 4 years for all patients were 92, 73, 54 and 54%, respectively; while for those with only a single lesion amounted to 94, 85, 63, and 63%, for the same years. In this latter group, the survival rates at 1 and 2 years were significantly higher in subjects in the Child A class, than in those who were in Child B and C classes (100 and 95%, against 79 and 63%, respectively, p < 0.05). In the group of patients with multiple lesions the survival rates were 89, 57 and 42% at 1, 2 and 3 years, respectively. We did not have any lethal complications during the procedure of PEI, and only minor complications occurred in 6 patients. During the follow-up, 21 patients developed new lesions, and 6 patients had small local recurrences which were possibly retreated. In conclusion, PEI is a safe and efficient alternative therapy for the management of HCC in LC in elderly subjects.