The CLIF Consortium Acute Decompensation score (CLIF-C ADs) for prognosis of hospitalised cirrhotic patients without acute-on-chronic liver failure

Macrophage Activation Markers, CD163 and CD206, in Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Macrophages facilitate essential homeostatic functions e.g., endocytosis, phagocytosis, and signaling during inflammation, and express a variety of scavenger receptors including CD163 and CD206, which are upregulated in response to inflammation. In healthy individuals, soluble forms of CD163 and CD206 are constitutively shed from macrophages, however, during inflammation pathogen- and damage-associated stimuli induce this shedding. Activation of resident liver macrophages viz. Kupffer cells is part of the inflammatory cascade occurring in acute and chronic liver diseases. We here review the existing literature on sCD163 and sCD206 function and shedding, and potential as biomarkers in acute and chronic liver diseases with a particular focus on Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF). In multiple studies sCD163 and sCD206 are elevated in relation to liver disease severity and established as reliable predictors of morbidity and mortality. However, differences in expression- and shedding-stimuli for CD163 and CD206 may explain dissimilarities in prognostic utility in patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis and ACLF.

Whole blood thrombin generation profiles of patients with cirrhosis explored with a near patient assay

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients with cirrhosis have a rebalanced hemostasis, often with normal or elevated thrombin-generating (TG) capacity in plasma. Whole blood (WB) TG allows faster determination and, importantly, includes the influence of all circulating blood cells. We aimed to study the TG profile of patients with cirrhosis in WB and in platelet poor plasma.

METHODS

Thrombin-generating capacity in WB and plasma were assessed with a near-patient WB-TG assay and the calibrated automated thrombinography assay, respectively. TG assays were tested in presence and absence of thrombomodulin. Conventional coagulation tests were also performed.

RESULTS

Thirty-four patients with cirrhosis and twenty-two controls were analyzed. Compared with controls, patients had substantially deranged results in conventional coagulation tests. Comparable WB-TG capacity (endogenous thrombin potential until peak, ETPp) but significantly lower peak thrombin were found in patients, and these results persisted when thrombomodulin was present. TG of the patients was more resistant to thrombomodulin than controls in both WB and plasma, although the inhibitory effect of thrombomodulin was drastically weaker in WB than in plasma. The peak of WB-TG in patients correlated moderately with their hematocrit and platelet count. Significant correlations were found between TG results in WB and plasma.

CONCLUSIONS

The WB-TG assay shows a normal to hypocoagulable state in patients with cirrhosis with a decreased anticoagulant activity of TM compared to plasma-TG. The clinical value of this assay needs further validation.

Prophylactic Anti-Cytomegalovirus Hyperimmunoglobulin in Critically Ill Liver Transplant Patients: Impact on Early Immunology and Survival

Background: Anti-cytomegalovirus hyperimmunoglobulin (CMVIg) was shown to provide beneficial immunodulatory properties beyond antiviral efficacies. The aim of this retrospective study was to assess the impact of prophylactic CMVIg treatment on early outcome following liver transplantation (LT) in critically ill patients. Methods: Forty-three cirrhotic patients requiring pre-LT intensive care due to multiorgan failure were analyzed. Twenty-eight patients with enhanced CMV risk (D+/R+; D+/R−; D−/R+) received prophylactic CMVIg for a minimum of 7 days, while 15 patients (D−/R−) did not. Results: Post-transplantation rates of intra-abdominal infections (28% vs. 61.1%; p = 0.03), Epstein–Barr virus infections (0% vs. 33.3%; p = 0.034), allograft rejections (0% vs. 22.2%; p = 0.013) and sepsis-related mortality (4% vs. 27.8%; p = 0.026) were significantly lower, whereas incidence of CMV infections (4% vs. 22.2%; p = 0.066) tended to be lower in the CMVIg subset. In multivariate analysis, only pretransplant elevated serum lactate level (hazard ratio = 34.63; p = 0.009) and absence of CMVIg therapy (hazard ratio = 21.76; p = 0.023) were identified as independent promoters of 3-month mortality. Conclusion: Prophylactic treatment with CMVIg reduces predisposition for severe immunological and septic events and, thereby, early mortality in critically ill liver recipients.

TIPS Modification in the Management of Shunt-Induced Hepatic Encephalopathy: Analysis of Predictive Factors and Outcome with Shunt Modification

Purpose: To evaluate predictive parameters for the development of Hepatic Encephalopathy (HE) after Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt (TIPS) placement and for success of shunt modification in the management of shunt-induced HE. Methods: A retrospective analysis of all patients with TIPS (n = 344) has been performed since 2011 in our university liver center. n = 45 patients with HE after TIPS were compared to n = 48 patients without HE after TIPS (case-control-matching). Of n = 45 patients with TIPS-induced HE, n = 20 patients received a reduction stent (n = 18) or TIPS occlusion (n = 2) and were differentiated into responders (improvement by at least one HE grade according to the West Haven classification) and non-responders (no improvement). Results: Older patient age, increased serum creatinine and elevated International Normalized Ratio (INR) immediately after TIPS placement were independent predictors for the development of HE. In 11/20 patients (responders, 55%) undergoing shunt modification, the HE grade was improved compared with nine non-responders (45%), with no relevant recurrence of refractory ascites or variceal bleeding. A high HE grade after TIPS insertion was the only positive predictor of treatment response (p = 0.019). A total of 10/11 responders (91%) survived the 6 months follow-up after modification but only 6/9 non-responders (67%) survived. Discussion: Older patient age as well as an increased serum creatinine and INR after TIPS are potential predictors for the development of HE. TIPS reduction for the treatment of TIPS-induced HE is safe, with particular benefit for patients with pronounced HE.

Noninvasive models for predicting poor prognosis of chronic HBV infection patients precipitating acute HEV infection

Hepatitis E virus (HEV) infection contributes to a considerable proportion of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. This study aimed to predict the prognosis of chronic HBV infection patients precipitating acute HEV infection. A total of 193 patients were enrolled in this study. The performances of three chronic liver disease prognostic models (CTP score, MELD score, and CLIF-C ADs) were analyzed for predicting the development of ACLF following HEV superimposing chronic HBV infection. Subsequently, the performances of five ACLF prognostic assessment models (CTP score, MELD score, CLIF-C ACLFs, CLIF-C OFs, and COSSH-ACLFs) were analyzed for predicting the outcome of those ACLF patients. Of 193 chronic HBV infection patients precipitating acute HEV infection, 13 patients were diagnosed ACLF on admission, 54 patients developed to ACLF after admission, and 126 patients had non-ACLF during the stay in hospital. For predicting the development of ACLF, CTP score yielded a significantly higher AUROC compared with MELD score and CLIF-C ADs (0.92, 0.88, and 0.86, respectively; all p < 0.05). For predicting the poor prognosis of ACLF patients, the COSSH-ACLFs yielded a significantly higher AUROC compared with CLIF-C ACLFs, CLIF-C OFs, MELD score, and CTP score (0.89, 0.83, 0.81, 0.67, and 0.58, respectively; all p < 0.05). In conclusion, the stepwise application of CTP score and COSSH-ACLFs can predict the prognosis of chronic HBV infection patients precipitating acute HEV infection.

Lower Gastrointestinal Bleeding in Patients With Cirrhosis-Etiology and Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Lower gastrointestinal bleeding (LGIB) is a common clinical problem, and may be more prevalent among patients with cirrhosis, especially in the setting of portal hypertension and coagulopathy. However, there is extremely little data available on the subject of LGIB in patients with cirrhosis. Therefore, the primary objective of this study was to better understand the etiology and outcomes of cirrhotic patients hospitalized with LGIB.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We analyzed 3,735 cirrhotic patients admitted to the Medical University of South Carolina between January 2011 and September 2018, and identified patients admitted with a primary diagnosis of hematochezia or bright red blood per rectum.

RESULTS

Thirty patients with cirrhosis and LGIB were included in the cohort. The mean age was 56 ± 13 years, with 30% women. The mean model of end stage liver disease score was 22, and Child-Pugh (CP) scores were C: 41%, B: 33% and A: 26%. The mean Charlson Comorbidity Index was 5.6. Twenty-four (80%) patients had a clinical decompensating event (hepatic encephalopathy, ascites, esophageal varices); the mean hepatic venous pressure gradient was 14.1 mm Hg (n = 8). In 33% of patients, LGIB was considered significant bleeding that necessitated blood transfusion. The most common cause of LGIB was hemorrhoids (11 patients, 37%), followed by portal hypertensive enteropathy or colopathy (7 patients, 23%). Hemoglobin levels on admission were lower in patients with CP B/C cirrhosis than in those with CP A (P < 0.001). The length of stay was 9 ± 10 days, and 5 patients died (mortality, 17%).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite being uncommon, LGIB in cirrhotic patients is associated with a high mortality rate.

Management of end-stage alcohol-related liver disease and severe acute alcohol-related hepatitis: position paper of the Italian Society on Alcohol (SIA)

Worldwide, the prevalence of alcohol use disorder (AUD) is 20-30% in men and 10-15% in women, and cirrhosis due to alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) is responsible for 0.9% of global deaths and 47.9% of cirrhosis-related deaths. End-stage ALD (ESALD) is the final condition of alcohol-related cirrhosis, and severe acute alcohol-related hepatitis (SAAH) is a distinct clinical syndrome associated with the consumption of large amounts of alcohol. In some cases, ESALD, and SAAH may need liver transplantation (LT). Thus, the management of ESALD and SAAH in patients affected by AUD may be an essential part of the clinical skills for hepatologists. For these reasons, the national board of the Italian Society on Alcohol have reviewed the most recent data on the management of ESALD, SAAH and LT for ALD in patients with AUD, formulating a position paper with related recommendations regarding four issues of specific clinical interest in this field: (a) the management of hepatic encephalopathy in patients with AUD, and LT in patients with ESALD; (b) the management of SAAH; (c) the management of AUD in patients with ESALD and SAAH; (d) special populations: polydrug addicts.

Development of a national Department of Veterans Affairs mortality risk prediction model among patients with cirrhosis

Objective

Cirrhotic patients are at high hospitalisation risk with subsequent high mortality. Current risk prediction models have varied performances with methodological room for improvement. We used current analytical techniques using automatically extractable variables from the electronic health record (EHR) to develop and validate a posthospitalisation mortality risk score for cirrhotic patients and compared performance with the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), model for end-stage liver disease with sodium (MELD-Na), and the CLIF Consortium Acute Decompensation (CLIF-C AD) models.

Design

We analysed a retrospective cohort of 73 976 patients comprising 247 650 hospitalisations between 2006 and 2013 at any of 123 Department of Veterans Affairs hospitals. Using 45 predictor variables, we built a time-dependent Cox proportional hazards model with all-cause mortality as the outcome. We compared performance to the three extant models and reported discrimination and calibration using bootstrapping. Furthermore, we analysed differential utility using the net reclassification index (NRI).

Results

The C-statistic for the final model was 0.863, representing a significant improvement over the MELD, MELD-Na, and the CLIF-C AD, which had C-statistics of 0.655, 0.675, and 0.679, respectively. Multiple risk factors were significant in our model, including variables reflecting disease severity and haemodynamic compromise. The NRI showed a 24% improvement in predicting survival of low-risk patients and a 30% improvement in predicting death of high-risk patients.

Conclusion

We developed a more accurate mortality risk prediction score using variables automatically extractable from an EHR that may be used to risk stratify patients with cirrhosis for targeted postdischarge management.

Expression of AXL receptor tyrosine kinase relates to monocyte dysfunction and severity of cirrhosis

Infectious complications in patients with cirrhosis frequently initiate episodes of decompensation and substantially contribute to the high mortality. Mechanisms of the underlying immuneparesis remain underexplored. TAM receptors (TYRO3/AXL/MERTK) are important inhibitors of innate immune responses. To understand the pathophysiology of immuneparesis in cirrhosis, we detailed TAM receptor expression in relation to monocyte function and disease severity prior to the onset of acute decompensation. TNF-α/IL-6 responses to lipopolysaccharide were attenuated in monocytes from patients with cirrhosis (n = 96) compared with controls (n = 27) and decreased in parallel with disease severity. Concurrently, an AXL-expressing (AXL⁺) monocyte population expanded. AXL⁺ cells (CD14⁺CD16^highHLA-DR^high) were characterised by attenuated TNF-α/IL-6 responses and T cell activation but enhanced efferocytosis and preserved phagocytosis of Escherichia coli Their expansion correlated with disease severity, complications, infection, and 1-yr mortality. AXL⁺ monocytes were generated in response to microbial products and efferocytosis in vitro. AXL kinase inhibition and down-regulation reversed attenuated monocyte inflammatory responses in cirrhosis ex vivo. AXL may thus serve as prognostic marker and deserves evaluation as immunotherapeutic target in cirrhosis.

Serum levels of ferritin and transferrin serve as prognostic factors for mortality and survival in patients with end-stage liver disease: A propensity score-matched cohort study

BACKGROUND

Patients with end-stage liver disease are known to suffer from a significantly high risk of mortality, but accurate prediction of the course of disease is challenging.

OBJECTIVE

The study aim was to evaluate the independent prognostic and clinical importance of serum levels of ferritin and transferrin for 90-day survival of patients with liver disease.

METHODS

Patients with end-stage liver disease treated during a 2-year period were enrolled retrospectively in a single-centre study. Unmatched and propensity score matching (PSM) analyses were applied.

RESULTS

The study cohort comprised 286 patients with end-stage liver disease, of which 22.9% died during the observational period. High serum ferritin levels and low serum transferrin levels were associated significantly with increased 90-day mortality in the unmatched (p < 0.001) and PSM study population (p = 0.017). Serum levels of ferritin and transferrin had high prognostic capability to predict 90-day survival similar to the Model for End-stage Liver Disease. Patients with serum ferritin values >1030.5 µg/l had a 50% risk of dying within 11 days after measurement, which translated up to a 90-day mortality of 83%.

CONCLUSION

Serum levels of ferritin and transferrin have independent and excellent capabilities to determine prognosis in patients with end-stage liver disease. Ferritin measurements can reliably identify those with high mortality in daily practice.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: definition, prognosis and management

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a recently described entity in chronic liver disease defined by acute hepatic decompensation, organ failure and a high risk of short-term mortality (usually less than 4 weeks). This condition is distinct from acute liver failure and stable progression of cirrhosis in numerous ways, including triggering precipitant factors, systemic inflammation, rapid progression and a potential for recovery. While a clear definition of ACLF has been forwarded from a large European Consortium study, some heterogeneity remains in how patients present and the types of organ failure, depending on whether they are described in Asian or European studies. Active alcoholism, acute alcoholic hepatitis and infections are the most frequent precipitants for ACLF. Underpinning the pathophysiology of ACLF is a state of persistent inflammation and immune dysfunction, collectively driving a systematic inflammatory response syndrome and an increased propensity to sepsis. Prevention and early treatment of organ failure are key in influencing survival. Given increasing organ shortage and more marginal grafts, liver transplantation is a limited resource and emphasises the need for new therapies to improve ACLF outcomes. Recent data indicate that liver transplantation has encouraging outcomes even in patients with advanced ACLF if patients are carefully selected during the permissive window of clinical presentation. ACLF remains a significant challenge in the field of hepatology, with considerable research and resource being channelled to improve upon the definition, prognostication, treatment and unravelling of mechanistic drivers. This Review discusses updates in ACLF definition, prognosis and management.

Cirrhotic patients and older people

The global population is aging, and so the number of older cirrhotic patients is increasing. Older patients are characterised by a risk of frailty and comorbidities, and age is a risk factor for mortality in cirrhotic patients. The incidence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease as an aetiology of cirrhosis is increasing, while that of chronic viral hepatitis is decreasing. Also, cirrhosis is frequently idiopathic. The management of portal hypertension in older cirrhotic patients is similar to that in younger patients, despite the greater risk of treatment-related adverse events of the former. The prevalence of hepatocellular carcinoma increases with age, but its treatment is unaffected. Liver transplantation is generally recommended for patients < 70 years of age. Despite the increasing prevalence of cirrhosis in older people, little data are available and few recommendations have been proposed. This review suggests that comorbidities have a considerable impact on older cirrhotic patients.

Significant reduction in heart rate variability is a feature of acute decompensation of cirrhosis and predicts 90-day mortality

BACKGROUND

Heart rate variability (HRV) is reduced in cirrhosis and in conditions of systemic inflammation. Whether HRV is associated with cirrhosis decompensation and development of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is unknown.

AIMS

To (a) validate wireless remote HRV monitoring in cirrhosis decompensation; (b) determine if severely reduced HRV is a surrogate for inflammation and progression of cirrhosis decompensation; (c) assess if measuring HRV determines prognosis in cirrhosis decompensation.

METHODS

One hundred and eleven patients at risk of cirrhosis decompensation at two clinical sites were monitored for HRV. Standard deviation of all normal beat-beat intervals (SDNN) reflecting HRV was assessed using remote monitoring (Isansys Lifetouch) and/or Holter ECG recording. Clinical outcomes and major prognostic scores were recorded during 90-day follow-up.

RESULTS

Reduced HRV denoted by lower baseline SDNN, correlated with severity of decompensation (median 14 (IQR 11-23) vs 33 (25-42); P < 0.001, decompensated patients vs stable outpatient cirrhosis). Furthermore, SDNN was significantly lower in patients developing ACLF compared to those with only decompensation (median 10 (IQR9-12) vs 16 (11-24); P = 0.02), and correlated inversely with MELD and Child-Pugh scores, and C-reactive protein (all P < 0.0001) and white cell count (P < 0.001). SDNN predicted disease progression on repeat measures and appeared an independent predictor of 90-day mortality (12 patients). An SDNN cut-off of 13.25 ms had a 98% negative predictive value.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates that remote wireless HRV monitoring identifies cirrhosis patients at high risk of developing ACLF and death, and suggests such monitoring might guide the need for early intervention in such patients. Clinical Trial number: NIHR clinical research network CPMS ID 4949.

Prediction of nosocomial acute-on-chronic liver failure in patients with cirrhosis admitted to hospital with acute decompensation

Nosocomial acute-on-chronic liver failure (nACLF) develops in at least 10% of patients with cirrhosis hospitalized for acute decompensation (AD), greatly worsening their prognosis. In this prospective observational study, we aimed to identify rapidly obtainable predictors at admission, which allow for the early recognition and stratification of patients at risk of nACLF.

Methods

A total of 516 consecutive patients hospitalized for AD of cirrhosis were screened: those who did not present ACLF at admission (410) were enrolled and surveilled for the development of nACLF.

Results

Fifty-nine (14%) patients developed nALCF after a median of 7 (IQR 4-18) days. At admission, they presented a more severe disease and higher degrees of systemic inflammation and anemia than those (351; 86%) who remained free from nACLF. Competing risk multivariable regression analysis showed that baseline MELD score (sub-distribution hazard ratio [sHR] 1.15; 95% CI 1.10-1.21; p ≪0.001), hemoglobin level (sHR 0.81; 95% CI 0.68-0.96; p = 0.018), and leukocyte count (sHR 1.11; 95% CI 1.06-1.16; p ≪0.001) independently predicted nACLF. Their optimal cut-off points, determined by receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis, were: 13 points for MELD score, 9.8 g/dl for hemoglobin, and 5.6x10⁹/L for leukocyte count. These thresholds were used to stratify patients according to the cumulative incidence of nACLF, being 0, 6, 21 and 59% in the presence of 0, 1, 2 or 3 risk factors (p ≪0.001). Nosocomial bacterial infections only increased the probability of developing nACLF in patients with at least 1 risk factor, rising from 3% to 29%, 16% to 50% and 52% to 83% in patients with 1, 2 or 3 risk factors, respectively.

Conclusions

Easily available laboratory parameters, related to disease severity, systemic inflammation, and anemia, can be used to identify, at admission, hospitalized patients with AD at increased risk of developing nACLF.

Lay summary

More than 10% of patients with cirrhosis hospitalized because of an acute decompensation develop acute-on-chronic liver failure, which is associated with high short-term mortality, during their hospital stay. We found that the combination of 3 easily obtainable variables (model for end-stage liver disease score, leukocyte count and hemoglobin level) help to identify and stratify patients according to their risk of developing nosocomial acute-on-chronic liver failure, from nil to 59%. Moreover, if a nosocomial bacterial infection occurs, such an incidence proportionally increases from nil to 83%. This simple approach helps to identify patients at risk of developing nosocomial acute-on-chronic liver failure at admission to hospital, enabling clinicians to put in place preventive measures.

Outcome of a First Episode of Bacterial Infection in Candidates for Liver Transplantation

Bacterial infection (BI) is a major cause of worsening of liver function and death in patients with cirrhosis who are awaiting liver transplantation (LT). This study aimed to evaluate the outcome of LT candidates after a first episode of BI between January 2006 and December 2014 at Padua University Hospital. Among 876 LT candidates with cirrhosis, 114 (13%) experienced an episode of BI. Of the 114 patients, 79 were male and 35 were female, and the median (interquartile range) age and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores were 58 (12) years and 19 (8), respectively. When compared with matched LT candidates who experienced no BI, they had a higher probability of death (P = 0.004) and a lower probability of undergoing LT (P = 0.01). Considering only patients who recovered from BI within 30 days, their probabilities of death and of undergoing LT were similar to those of matched controls (P = 0.34 and P = 0.43, respectively). The 90-day post-LT mortality was equal between groups (P = 0.90). BI was a strong predictor of early death on the waiting list for LT. Conversely, patients who fully recovered from a BI episode within 30 days did not have a higher mortality risk than matched controls without infection.

Establishment of prognostic scoring models for different etiologies of acute decompensation in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis

Objective

Acute decompensation (AD) in liver cirrhosis has high mortality. We assessed prognostic scoring models and established prediction models for different etiologies of AD.

Methods

This retrospective analysis included 732 patients hospitalized with acute decompensated cirrhosis without acute-on-chronic liver failure. We performed logistic regression analysis of risk factors for mortality associated with different etiologies, to establish predictive models.

Results

Patients with different etiologies, scored using different scoring systems and various impact factors, exhibited differences with respect to mortality. MELD, CLIF-C-AD, MELD-Na, and AARC-ACLF scores exhibited adequate predictive ability for mortality. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for 28-day mortality for MELD, CLIF-C-AD, MELD-Na, AARC-ACLF, and the newly developed AD scores was 0.663, 0.673, 0.657, 0.662, and 0.773, respectively, in the hepatitis B virus group (HBV-AD score =−5.51 + 0.07*WBC count (109/L) +0.7*AD sum+0.4*AARC-ACLF score); 0.731, 0.737, 0.735, 0.689, and 0.778, respectively, in the alcoholic liver disease group (ALD-AD score =−4.55 +0.08* WBC count (109/L) +1.34* AD sum); and 0.765, 0.767, 0.814, 0.720, and 0.814, respectively, in the Others group (OTHERS-AD score =−2.14 + 1.24*MELD-Na score +4.49*AD sum).

Conclusions

The newly developed scoring models for short-term mortality were superior to the other scoring systems in predicting prognosis of acute decompensated cirrhosis in hospitalized patients.

Intermittent high-flux albumin dialysis with continuous venovenous hemodialysis for acute-on-chronic liver failure and acute kidney injury

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) requiring intensive medical care and associated with acute kidney injury (AKI) has a mortality rate as high as 90% due to the lack of effective therapies. In this study, we assessed the effects of intermittent high-flux single-pass albumin dialysis (SPAD) coupled with continuous venovenous hemodialysis (CVVHD) on 28-day and 90-day survival and an array of clinical and laboratory parameters in patients with severe ACLF and renal insufficiency. Sixteen patients were studied. The diagnosis of ACLF and AKI was made in accordance with current EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines, including the recommendations of the International Club of Ascites. All patients received SPAD/CVVHD treatments as the blood purification therapy to support liver, kidneys, and other organs. Five patients were transplanted and 11 were not listed for transplantation because of active alcoholism. Data at the initiation of SPAD/CVVHD were compared with early morning data after the termination of the extracorporeal treatment phase. All patients had ACLF and renal insufficiency with 13/16 additionally fulfilling the AKI criteria. A total of 37 SPAD/CVVHD treatments were performed [2.3 ± 1.4]. The baseline MELD-Na score was 37.6 ± 6.6 and decreased to 33.4 ± 8.7 after SPAD/CVVHD (P < 0.001). In parallel, the CLIF-C ACLF grade and OF score, estimated at 28- and 90-day mortality, AKI stage, hepatic encephalopathy grade, and liver function tests were lowered (P = 0.001-0.032). The 28- and 90-day survivals were 56.2% overall and 53.8% in AKI. Survival in patients not transplanted (n = 11) was 45.4%. In patients with severe ACLF and AKI, the renal replacement therapy coupled with high-performance albumin dialysis improved estimated 28- and 90-day survival and several key clinical and laboratory parameters. It is postulated that these results may be further improved with earlier intervention and more SPAD treatments per patient. High-performance albumin dialysis improves survival and key clinical and laboratory parameters in severe ACLF and AKI.

An Accurate Data Preparation Approach for the Prediction of Mortality in ACLF Patients using the CANONIC Dataset

The incidence of chronic liver disease has increased in Europe and can lead to Acute on Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) which is associated with high levels of mortality due to multisystem organ failure. The characteristics of the ACLF patients can change very rapidly within a short period of time. Continuous assessment of their recovery status is critical for clinicians to adjust and deliver effective treatment. The aim of this paper is to validate the usefulness of a data preparation approach by combining different criteria to replace missing values, balance target-class variables, select useful patient characteristics and optimise hyperparameters of machine learning models for the prediction of ACLF associated mortality rates. A key step in the data preparation is a feature selection Mutual Information (MI) based multivariate approach to build smaller, and yet equally and in some cases more informative, subsets of patient characteristics than those frequently proposed for the prediction of mortality, from patients with ACLF in the CANONIC dataset. The usefulness of the data preparation approach proposed to predict mortality was evaluated by training the XGBoost and Logistic Regression models with the prepared data. Evaluations of the models trained using a test set provided evidence of an overall high accuracy in the prediction of the mortality rates of patients for days after their diagnosis, and in some cases even higher when reduced and more informative subsets of patient characteristics were found.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: consensus recommendations of the Asian Pacific association for the study of the liver (APASL): an update

The first consensus report of the working party of the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) set up in 2004 on acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) was published in 2009. With international groups volunteering to join, the "APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC)" was formed in 2012, which continued to collect prospective ACLF patient data. Based on the prospective data analysis of nearly 1400 patients, the AARC consensus was published in 2014. In the past nearly four-and-a-half years, the AARC database has been enriched to about 5200 cases by major hepatology centers across Asia. The data published during the interim period were carefully analyzed and areas of contention and new developments in the field of ACLF were prioritized in a systematic manner. The AARC database was also approached for answering some of the issues where published data were limited, such as liver failure grading, its impact on the 'Golden Therapeutic Window', extrahepatic organ dysfunction and failure, development of sepsis, distinctive features of acute decompensation from ACLF and pediatric ACLF and the issues were analyzed. These initiatives concluded in a two-day meeting in October 2018 at New Delhi with finalization of the new AARC consensus. Only those statements, which were based on evidence using the Grade System and were unanimously recommended, were accepted. Finalized statements were again circulated to all the experts and subsequently presented at the AARC investigators meeting at the AASLD in November 2018. The suggestions from the experts were used to revise and finalize the consensus. After detailed deliberations and data analysis, the original definition of ACLF was found to withstand the test of time and be able to identify a homogenous group of patients presenting with liver failure. New management options including the algorithms for the management of coagulation disorders, renal replacement therapy, sepsis, variceal bleed, antivirals and criteria for liver transplantation for ACLF patients were proposed. The final consensus statements along with the relevant background information and areas requiring future studies are presented here.

Serum keratin-18 fragments as cell death biomarker in association with disease progression and prognosis in hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis

Extensive hepatocyte death leads to hepatic inflammation and contributes to systemic inflammation in decompensated cirrhosis. We aimed to investigate the prognostic value of serum cell death markers in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis with and without acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). We studied two cohorts-cohort 1: 201 outpatients with stable chronic hepatitis B (49 cirrhosis); cohort 2: 232 inpatients with HBV-related cirrhosis admitted for AD. Cell death was determined with serum keratin-18 (K18) for total death and serum caspase-cleaved-K18 (cK18) for apoptosis. Survival analyses were performed using competing risk method. We found that serum K18 and cK18 were significantly (P < 0.001) higher in patients from cohort 2 than those from cohort 1. Among cohort 2, ACLF patients had significantly (P < 0.001) increased K18 and cK18 comparing to those without ACLF. Increased K18 and cK18 were mainly attributed to HBV flare and were associated with liver and coagulation failure. HBV-AD patients without ACLF who admitted with upper tertile of K18 or cK18 were at higher risk of developing ACLF during follow-up. Baseline serum K18 or cK18 was significantly associated with transplant-free 90-day survival independent of leucocytes, HBV DNA, bacterial infection, encephalopathy and severity scores. The combination of cell death biomarkers significantly improved the prognostic value of the currently established prognostic scores. The reduction of cell death level after standard treatment was associated with increased short-term survival. In conclusion, measurements of serum K18 or cK18 in HBV decompensated cirrhosis are a promising tool for predicting ACLF and risk stratification of short-term outcome.

Ascites control by TIPS is more successful in patients with a lower paracentesis frequency and is associated with improved survival

Background & Aims

Refractory ascites is the main reason for the implantation of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) in liver cirrhosis, but ascites control by TIPS fails in a relevant proportion of cases. Here, we investigated whether routine parameters pre-TIPS can predict persistent ascites after TIPS implantation and whether persistent ascites predicts long-term clinical outcome.

Methods

A detailed retrospective analysis of 128 patients receiving expanded polytetrafluoroethylene-covered stents for the treatment of refractory ascites was performed. Persistent ascites post-TIPS was defined as the prolonged need for paracentesis >3 months after TIPS. The influence of demographics, laboratory results, pre-TIPS heart and liver ultrasound results, and invasive hemodynamic parameters on persistent ascites was evaluated by univariable and multivariable logistic regression. Predictors of the composite endpoint liver transplantation/death were analyzed using a multivariable Cox regression.

Results

Ascites control post-TIPS was achieved in 95/128 patients (74%), whereas ascites remained persistent in 33/128 cases (26%). On multivariable analysis, a lower paracentesis frequency pre-TIPS (odds ratio 1.672; 95% CI 1.253–2.355) and lower baseline creatinine levels (odds ratio 2.640; CI 1.201–6.607) were associated with ascites control. Patients with persistent ascites post-TIPS had and impaired transplant-free survival (median 10.0 vs. 25.8 months), for which persistent ascites was the only independent predictor (hazard ratio 5.654; CI 3.019–10.59).

Conclusion

TIPS-placement in patients with lower paracentesis frequency and creatinine levels is associated with superior ascites control. Thus, TIPS implantation should be considered in moderate decompensation and not as a last resort. Persistent ascites post-TIPS seems to be the only predictor of liver transplantation and death.

Lay summary

The insertion of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) in patients with refractory ascites should be considered in patients with moderate decompensation and not as a last resort, as lower paracentesis frequency and creatinine levels pre-TIPS are associated with superior ascites control. In turn, failure to control ascites seems to be the only predictor of liver transplantation and death.

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Ascites control post-TIPS is superior if the TIPS is placed at lower paracentesis frequency and creatinine levels.

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Transplant-free survival is decreased in patients with a failed ascites control post-TIPS.

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TIPS-placement should be considered “early” in ascitic decompensation.

•

Close monitoring and prioritized organ allocation should be considered in patients with failed ascites control post-TIPS.

Approaches for patients with very high MELD scores

In the era of the "sickest first" policy, patients with very high model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores have been increasingly admitted to the intensive care unit with the expectation that they will receive a liver transplant (LT) in the absence of improvement on supportive therapies. Such patients are often admitted in a context of acute-on-chronic liver failure with extrahepatic failures. Sequential assessment of scores or classification based on organ failures within the first days after admission help to stratify the risk of mortality in this population. Although the prognosis of severely ill cirrhotic patients has recently improved, transplant-free mortality remains high. LT is still the only curative treatment in this population. Yet, the increased relative scarcity of graft resource must be considered alongside the increased risk of losing a graft in the initial postoperative period when performing LT in "too sick to transplant" patients. Variables associated with poor immediate post-LT outcomes have been identified in large studies. Despite this, the performance of scores based on these variables is still insufficient. Consideration of a patient's comorbidities and frailty is an appealing predictive approach in this population that has proven of great value in many other diseases. So far, local expertise remains the last safeguard to LT. Using this expertise, data are accumulating on favourable post-LT outcomes in very high MELD populations, particularly when LT is performed in a situation of stabilization/improvement of organ failures in selected candidates. The absence of "definitive" contraindications and the control of "dynamic" contraindications allow a "transplantation window" to be defined. This window must be identified swiftly after admission given the poor short-term survival of patients with very high MELD scores. In the absence of any prospect of LT, withdrawal of care could be discussed to ensure respect of patient life, dignity and wishes.

Nomogram prediction of individual prognosis of patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure

BACKGROUND

The current definitions and etiologies of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) are clearly very different between East and West.

AIMS

This study aimed to develop an effective prognostic nomogram for acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACHBLF) as defined by the Asia Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL).

METHODS

The nomogram was based on a retrospective study of 573 patients with ACHBLF, defined according to the APASL, at the Beijing Ditan Hospital. The results were validated using a bootstrapped approach to correct for bias in two external cohorts, including an APASL ACHBLF cohort (10 hospitals, N = 329) and an EASL-CLIF ACHBLF cohort (Renji Hospital, N = 300).

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis of the derivation cohort for survival analysis helped identify the independent factors as age, total bilirubin, albumin, international normalized ratio, and hepatic encephalopathy, which were included in the nomogram. The predictive value of nomogram was the strongest compared with CLIF-C ACLF, MELD and MELD-Na and similar to COSSH-ACLF in both the derivation and prospective validation cohorts with APASL ACHBLF, but the CLIF-C ACLF was better in the EASL-CLIF ACHBLF cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed nomogram could accurately estimate individualized risk for the short-term mortality of patients with ACHBLF as defined by APASL.

Immune Dysfunction and Albumin-Related Immunity in Liver Cirrhosis

Liver cirrhosis yearly causes 1.2 million deaths worldwide, ranking as the 10th leading cause of death in the most developed countries. High susceptibility to infections along with a significant risk for infection-related mortality justifies the description of liver cirrhosis as the world's most common immunodeficiency syndrome. Liver cirrhosis is an end-stage organic disease hallmarked by a multifaceted immune dysfunction due to deterioration of antimicrobial recognition and elimination mechanisms in macrophages along with an impaired antigen presentation ability in circulating monocytes. Bacterial translocation supports—and is supported by—uncontrolled activation of immune cell responses and/or loss of toll-like receptor (TLR) tolerance, which can turn exaggerated inflammatory responses to systemic inflammation. Lipopolysaccharide (LPS) or endotoxin boosts systemic inflammatory activity through activation of TLR-2- and TLR-4-dependent pathways and facilitate a massive production of cytokines. This, in turn, results into elevated secretion of reactive oxygen species (ROS), which further enhances intestinal hyperpermeability and thus sustains a vicious circle of events widely known as “leaky gut.” Albumin can be of particular benefit in cirrhotic patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and/or hepatorenal syndrome type of acute kidney injury (HRS-AKI) due to anti-inflammatory and antioxidative stress as well as volume-expanding properties and endothelial-stabilizing attributes. However, presence of autoantibodies against albumin in patients with liver cirrhosis has been described. Although previous research suggested that these antibodies should be regarded as naturally occurring antibodies (NOA), the origin of the antialbumin immune response is obscure. High occurrence of NAO/albumin complexes in patients with liver disease might reflect a limited clearance capacity due to bypassing portal circulation. Moreover, high burden of oxidized albumin is associated with less favorable outcome in patients with liver cirrhosis. To date, there is no data available as to whether oxidized forms of albumin result in neoepitopes recognized by the immune system. Nevertheless, it is reasonable to hypothesize that these alterations may have the potential to induce antialbumin immune responses and thus favor systemic inflammation.

Epidemiology and risk factors for multi-drug resistant hospital-acquired urinary tract infection in patients with liver cirrhosis: single center experience in Serbia

Background

Cirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction syndrome (CAIDS) has been identified in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC), predisposing them to a wide variety of infections. In patients with LC, healthcare-associated infections involving multi-drug resistant (MDR) bacteria have increased significantly over the last decades. Among them, hospital-acquired urinary tract infections (HA-UTI) are the most common. This study aimed to investigate the rates of antimicrobial resistance among patients with LC and HA-UTI and to determine risk factors associated with their development among patients hospitalized in tertiary care facility in Serbia.

Methods

This retrospective study included 65 hospitalized patients with LC who had developed HA-UTI. We examined the epidemiology of these infections concerning resistance to the most commonly used antimicrobials and patient-specific risk factors associated with HA-UTI development by MDR pathogens.

Results

The most frequently isolated organisms were Enterococcus spp. (n = 34, 52.3%), Klebsiella spp. (n = 10, 15.4%), and E.coli (n = 6, 9.2%). Thirty-five isolates (53.8%) were identified as MDR, and 30 (46.2%) were non-MDR.We found a statistically significant difference in the distribution of MDR and non-MDR strains, based on Gram staining, with the majority of Gram-negative pathogens being MDR (p = 0.005). We identified age ≥ 65 years (p = 0.007), previous use of cephalosporins as empiric therapy (p = 0.042), and the presence of hepatic encephalopathy (p = 0.011) as independent risk factors for the development of MDR UTIs.

Conclusion

This is the first study from Serbia and the Balkans concerning the changing epidemiology of MDR UTI in patients with LC. Our study showed that more than half of HA-UTI was caused by MDR and the most common pathogen was Enterococcus spp. The overall resistance to ceftriaxone was 92%. Our findings underscore the need for institutions to individualize protocols for treatment of hospital-acquired infections, particularly in immunocompromised populations.

Human beta-defensin-1 is a highly predictive marker of mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND & AIM

Human beta-defensin-1 (hBD-1) is a natural antimicrobial peptide expressed in the epithelia of multiple tissues including the digestive tract. In the current study, hBD-1 levels were determined in different subsets of patients with decompensated cirrhosis including acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). In addition, the association with mortality of hBD-1, C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) was assessed.

METHODS

A total of 125 patients were divided into three groups: 39 with ACLF (derivation cohort), 46 with acute decompensation without ACLF (AD) and 40 with decompensated cirrhosis without an acute event (DC). The data from 24 different ACLF patients were used for validation and 15 healthy individuals as control group.

RESULTS

Serum hBD-1, CRP and PCT levels were higher in ACLF compared to both AD and DC groups (P < 0.001). Healthy controls demonstrated similar hBD-1 and PCT values compared to DC group. In ROC curve, the performance of hBD-1 to predict 60-day mortality in ACLF group was similar in derivation and validation cohorts (c-statistic 0.834 and 0.879, respectively). CRP was a poor predictor of mortality. In ACLF group, patients with high hBD-1 (>36.625 ng/mL) had a poor prognosis at 60 days compared to those with lower values (log-rank P = 0.001). In Cox multivariate regression analysis, only hBD-1 (HR 1.020, 95%CI 1.006-1.035, P = 0.006) emerged as an independent predictor of death in ACLF group. In AD group, neither hBD-1 nor PCT or CRP variables were associated with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

High hBD-1 was detected at presentation in patients with ACLF who died during follow-up period. hBD-1 is an accurate predictor of short-term mortality in patients with ACLF.

Elevated D-dimer is associated with increased 28-day mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure in China: a retrospective study

Background

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome characterized by profound disrupted coagulation and fibrinolysis. Fibrinolytic marker D-dimer is increased in critically ill patients with cirrhosis which is associated with poorer prognosis. We aim to determine the potential association of D-dimer with the 28-day mortality in ACLF patients.

Methods

In a single center retrospective study performed in China, we collected data of 115 patients with ACLF from October 1, 2012 to December 31, 2016. We investigated correlations between D-dimer and other laboratory tests and prognostic scores. The relationship between D-dimer and 28-day mortality was explored by smoothing plot with an adjustment for potential confounders. Logistic regression analyses with crude and adjusted models were performed to explore the association of D-dimer with 28-day mortality in ACLF patients.

Results

In ACLF patients, D-dimer at admission was correlated with all prognostic scores (MELD-Na: r = 0.385, P < 0.001; CLIF-C ADs: r = 0.443, P < 0.001; CLIF-C ACLFs: r = 0.375, P < 0.001). A nonlinear relation between D-dimer and 28-day mortality was found with a turning point at 6.5 mg/L FEU. D-dimer level was independently associated with 28-day mortality with an adjusted odds ratio of [1.4 (1.0–1.9), P = 0.030] as continuous variable and [10.3 (1.3, 81.5), P = 0.028] as a classified variable with the cut-off of 6.5 mg/L FEU. An elevated D-dimer within the following 10 days also tended to be associated with higher risk of 28-day mortality [OR: 27.5 (0.9, 814.9), P = 0.055].

Conclusions

Elevated D-dimer levels was associated with increased risk of 28-day mortality in patients with ACLF in China.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12876-019-0941-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Circulating levels of 3-hydroxymyristate, a direct quantification of endotoxaemia in noninfected cirrhotic patients

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The quantification of lipopolysaccharide (LPS) in biological fluids is challenging. We aimed to measure plasma LPS concentration using a new method of direct quantification of 3-hydroxymyristate (3-HM), a lipid component of LPS, and to evaluate correlations between 3-HM and markers of liver function, endothelial activation, portal hypertension and enterocyte damage.

METHODS

Plasma from 90 noninfected cirrhotic patients (30 Child-Pugh [CP]-A, 30 CP-B, 30 CP-C) was prospectively collected. The concentration of 3-HM was determined by high-performance liquid chromatography coupled with mass spectrometry.

RESULTS

3-HM levels were higher in CP-C patients (CP-A/CP-B/CP-C: 68/70/103 ng/mL, P = 0.005). Patients with severe acute alcoholic hepatitis (n = 16; 113 vs 74 ng/mL, P = 0.012), diabetic patients (n = 22; 99 vs 70 ng/mL, P = 0.028) and those not receiving beta blockers (n = 44; 98 vs 72 ng/mL, P = 0.034) had higher levels of 3-HM. We observed a trend towards higher baseline levels of 3-HM in patients with hepatic encephalopathy (n = 7; 144 vs 76 ng/mL, P = 0.45) or SIRS (n = 10; 106 vs 75 ng/mL, P = 0.114). In multivariate analysis, high levels of 3-HM were associated with CP (OR = 4.39; 95%CI = 1.79-10.76) or MELD (OR = 8.24; 95%CI = 3.19-21.32) scores. Patients dying from liver insufficiency (n = 6) during a 12-month follow-up had higher baseline levels of 3-HM (106 vs 75 ng/mL, P = 0.089).

CONCLUSIONS

In noninfected cirrhotic patients, 3-HM arises more frequently with impairment of liver function, heavy alcohol consumption, diabetic status, nonuse of beta blockers and a trend towards poorer outcome is also observed. The direct mass measurement of LPS using 3-HM appears reliable to detect transient endotoxaemia and promising to manage the follow-up of cirrhotic patients.

Prognosis, Prevention and Research Prospects of Progression to Severe Hepatitis B (Liver Failure)

This chapter describes the factors involved in the disease prognosis, parameters of outcome evaluations, principles and techniques for progression prevention. In last section, the future perspectives in both basic and clinical investigations towards unmet medical needs in AECHB and HBV ACLF are discussed.

Factors affecting the prognosis of patients with severe hepatitis B include those related to the virus (including viral load, HBeAg expression, and gene mutation), patient age, co-morbidity, TBil, INR, serum Cr, and the host genetic background. Indicators associated with patient prognosis include TBil, total cholesterol, albumin and prealbumin, hepatic encephalopathy, kidney damage, alpha-fetoprotein and vitamin D binding protein, blood sodium level, virus HBeAg expression and genotype, and blood glucose.

In addition to TBil, INR, hepatic encephalopathy, Cr level and AFP as indicators for prognosis of severe hepatitis, some other parameters such as clinical signs, symptoms, serum levels of total cholesterol and albumin and natrium, and coagulation factors are all valuable in assessment. The roles of cell apoptosis, liver regeneration and immunological parameters in assessing patient prognosis are under study. Prognostic evaluating systems include MELD score, MELD-Na score, iMELD score, KCI and CTP score.

Prevention of severe hepatitis B should be started in asymptomatic patients. Close observation, sufficient rest, adequate nutrition, meticulous nursing and psychological care, preventing and removing exacerbating factors, treating concomitant diseases, reasonable antiviral and comprehensive therapies are helpful to prevent CHB patients from developing to severe hepatitis. For patients who already have severe hepatitis B, the prevention and management of complications is important for lowering mortality rate.

New research directions in acute-on-chronic liver failure include: (1) Additional well controlled studies using present or new liver systems are warranted. Other approaches include the use of granulocyte colony stimulating factor to treat infections as well as the potential of use of stem cells to restore immune integrity and enhance liver regeneration. (2) Using new cell lines and animal models to understand the molecular biology of HBV, the immune response and to develop novel therapies. (3) Development of new anti-HBV strategies, e.g. silencing or remove cccDNA, enhancing immunologic clearance of HBV infection, inhibiting virus entry or HBc expression and using CRISP to disrupt cccDNA.

The Role of the CLIF-C OF and the 2016 MELD in Prognosis of Cirrhosis with and without Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

INTRODUCTION AND AIM

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is defined by the development of acute deterioration of liver function associated with failure of other organs and high short-term mortality in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). There is no consensus on the diagnostic criteria, and its independence from ordinary decompensation of CLD has frequently been questioned. This study aimed to identify and characterize this condition and to test the CLIF-C OF score comparing it to the 2016-MELD (with sodium) and the Child-Pugh.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

18-month prospective observational study with systematic inclusion of admitted patients with CLD decompensation.

RESULTS

39 patients had ACLF (33.1%). These patients experienced higher 28-day and 90-day mortality, when compared to patients without ACLF (43.6% and 64.1% vs. 2.5% and 7.6% respectively, p < 0.0001). ACLF was linked with a higher acute infection rate (74.4%). For all patients (N = 118), the scores 2016-MELD, CLIF-C OF and Child-Pugh showed an area under the curve (AUC) for 28-day mortality of 0.908, 0.844, 0.753 and for 90-day of 0.902, 0.814, 0.724 respectively, p < 0.0001 for all scores. The 90-day mortality 2016-MELD AUC was greater than the CLIF-C OF AUC, p = 0.021. Within ACLF patients, the 2016-MELD, CLIF-C ACLF and Child-Pugh scores showed an AUC of 0.774, 0.734, 0.584 (28-day) and 0.880, 0.771, 0.603 (90-day); for 2016-MELD p = 0.004 (28-day) and p < 0.0001 (90-day).

CONCLUSION

ACLF is a frequent and relevant condition, associated with high mortality. The CLIF-C OF score revealed good accuracy and diagnoses ACLF when it is present. However, the 2016-MELD performed better for 90-day mortality prediction.

Development and external validation of a prognostic nomogram for acute decompensation of chronic hepatitis B cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Acute decompensation (AD) has been shown to be associated with a high mortality rate for cirrhosis patients. This study aimed to develop a prognostic nomogram to evaluating the individual prognosis for AD of cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B (CHB).

METHODS

The nomogram was developed using data from a retrospective study on 509 patients hospitalized for AD of CHB cirrhosis from October 2008 to February 2014 at the Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University. The predictive accuracy, discriminative ability, and clinical net benefit were evaluated by concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The results were validated on 620 patients consecutively enrolled from January 2005 to December 2010 at the Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University,.

RESULTS

On multivariate analysis of the derivation cohort, independent factors included in the nomogram were age, previous decompensation, bacterial infection, hepatic encephalopathy, and total bilirubin. The calibration curve for the probability of survival showed good agreement between the nomogram and actual observation. The nomogram had a C-index of 0.897, which was statistically higher than the C-index values of CTP (0.793), MELD (0.821), SOFA (0.868), or the Chronic Liver Failure Consortium AD (CLIF-C AD) (0.716) scores (p <  0.001 for all). Using DCA, the nomogram also demonstrated superior net benefits over other score models. The results were confirmed in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed nomogram enables more-accurate individualized prediction of survival than MELD, CTP, SOFA, or CLIF-C AD scores for AD of CHB cirrhosis patients.

ALBI and PALBI: Novel Scores for Outcome Prediction of Cirrhotic Outpatients Awaiting Liver Transplantation

Cirrhosis has four different stages that encompass mild stable compensated cirrhosis, stable cirrhosis with prior decompensation, acutely decompensated cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure. A worse ALBI score has been associated to an increased mortality in a recent study involving patients with stable cirrhosis and prior decompensation.

Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure: Getting Ready for Prime Time?

Acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) is the culmination of chronic liver disease and extrahepatic organ failures, which is associated with a high short-term mortality and immense health care expenditure. There are varying definitions for organ failures and ACLF in Europe, North America, and Asia. These differing definitions need to be reconciled to enhance progress in the field. The pathogenesis of ACLF is multifactorial and related to interactions between the immunoinflammatory system, microbiota, and the various precipitating factors. Individual organ failures related to the kidney, brain, lungs, and circulation have cumulative adverse effects on mortality and are often complicated or precipitated by infections. Strategies to prevent and rapidly treat these organ failures are paramount in improving survival. With the aging population and paucity of organs for liver transplant, the prognosis of ACLF patients is poor, highlighting the need for novel therapeutic strategies. The role of liver transplant in ACLF is evolving and needs further investigation across large consortia. A role for early palliative care and management of frailty as approaches to alleviate disease burden and improve patient-reported outcomes is being increasingly recognized.

CONCLUSION

ACLF is a clinically relevant syndrome that is epidemic worldwide and requires a dedicated multinational approach focused on prognostication and management; investigations are underway worldwide to prepare ACLF for prime time. (Hepatology 2018; 00:000-000).

Acute-on-chronic liver failure exists in patients with hepatitis B virus-related decompensated cirrhosis

OBJECTIVE

This research sought to verify whether acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) develops in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhotic patients with previous decompensation and to identify the similarity between assumed ACLF patients and those with ACLF that developed from compensated cirrhosis.

METHODS

Patients with HBV-related cirrhosis were retrospectively screened and divided into the cirrhotic patients with first acute decompensation (AD) group and those with previous decompensation. Patients' characteristics, changes in laboratory results during hospitalization such as serum levels of total bilirubin (TB), creatinine (Cr) and white blood cell (WBC) counts, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and the 28-day and 1-year mortality rates were compared.

RESULTS

Altogether 890 patients were enrolled and divided into the compensated cirrhotic group with first AD (n = 400; 157 of whom diagnosed as ACLF within 28 days after admission according to the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure [EASL-CLIF] criteria) and those with previous decompensation (n = 490; of whom 143 met the ACLF criteria [assumed ACLF]). There was no significant difference in 28-day mortality between the assumed ACLF group with previous decompensation and ACLF group with first AD. The WBC count, TB and Cr levels, international normalized ratio and MELD score exhibited similar variations in both groups at days 1, 7 and 28; however, these values in both ACLF groups significantly differed from the non-ACLF group.

CONCLUSION

HBV-related cirrhotic patients with previous decompensation who met the ACLF criteria had similar characteristic to ACLF patients with first AD.

Assessment of Sepsis-3 criteria and quick SOFA in patients with cirrhosis and bacterial infections

INTRODUCTION

Patients with cirrhosis have a high risk of sepsis, which confers a poor prognosis. The systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria have several limitations in cirrhosis. Recently, new criteria for sepsis (Sepsis-3) have been suggested in the general population (increase of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) ≥2 points from baseline). Outside the intensive care unit (ICU), the quick SOFA (qSOFA (at least two among alteration in mental status, systolic blood pressure ≤100 mm Hg or respiratory rate ≥22/min)) was suggested to screen for sepsis. These criteria have never been evaluated in patients with cirrhosis. The aim of the study was to assess the ability of Sepsis-3 criteria in predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with cirrhosis and bacterial/fungal infections.

METHODS

259 consecutive patients with cirrhosis and bacterial/fungal infections were prospectively included. Demographic, laboratory and microbiological data were collected at diagnosis of infection. Baseline SOFA was assessed using preadmission data. Patients were followed up until death, liver transplantation or discharge. Findings were externally validated (197 patients).

RESULTS

Sepsis-3 and qSOFA had significantly greater discrimination for in-hospital mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC)=0.784 and 0.732, respectively) than SIRS (AUROC=0.606) (p<0.01 for both). Similar results were observed in the validation cohort. Sepsis-3 (subdistribution HR (sHR)=5.47; p=0.006), qSOFA (sHR=1.99; p=0.020), Chronic Liver Failure Consortium Acute Decompensation score (sHR=1.05; p=0.001) and C reactive protein (sHR=1.01;p=0.034) were found to be independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. Patients with Sepsis-3 had higher incidence of acute-on-chronic liver failure, septic shock and transfer to ICU than those without Sepsis-3.

CONCLUSIONS

Sepsis-3 criteria are more accurate than SIRS criteria in predicting the severity of infections in patients with cirrhosis. qSOFA is a useful bedside tool to assess risk for worse outcomes in these patients. Patients with Sepsis-3 and positive qSOFA deserve more intensive management and strict surveillance.

qSOFA score not predictive of in-hospital mortality in emergency patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Quick sequential organ failure assessement (qSOFA) has been validated for patients with presumed sepsis and the general emergency department (ED) population. However, it has not been validated in specific subgroups of ED patients with a high mortality. We aimed to investigate the prognostic performance of qSOFA with respect to in-hospital mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and length of hospitalisation in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis. Furthermore, we compared qSOFA to systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), model of end stage liver disease score (MELD), and Child-Pugh criteria and evaluated whether addition of sodium (Na⁺) levels to qSOFA increases its prognostic performance.

METHODS

This observational study included patients admitted with the diagnosis of decompensated liver cirrhosis. All patients with a complete set of vital parameters were included in this study.

RESULTS

A total of 186 patients were included. A positive qSOFA score was not associated with in-hospital mortality, ICU admission, or length of hospitalisation (all p > 0.15). MELD scores reliably predicted need for ICU admission and in-hospital mortality (both p < 0.01), but not the length of hospitalisation. qSOFA-Na+ only moderately increased the diagnostic performance of qSOFA with regard to need for ICU admission (AUC_ICU[qSOFA] = 0.504 vs. AUC_ICU[qSOFA-Na+] = 0.609, p = 0.03), but not for in-hospital mortality (AUC_death[qSOFA] = 0.513 vs. AUC_death[qSOFA-Na+] = 0.592, p = 0.054).

CONCLUSION

qSOFA does not predict in-hospital mortality, ICU admission or length of hospitalisation in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis. Extension of qSOFA with a disease-specific component, the qSOFA-Na+, moderately increased the diagnostic ability of qSOFA.

Intensive Care Therapy for Patients with Advanced Liver Diseases

Decompensated cirrhosis is characterized by high hospitalization rates and costs, frequent readmissions, and poor short-term survival. Patients admitted to the hospital with acute variceal bleeding and/or hepatic encephalopathy and/or renal dysfunction are at serious risk for developing infection and/or sepsis; in turn, this renders them highly susceptible to the development of multi-system organ failure. The lack of standardized intensive care unit management protocols in patients with cirrhosis along with only few data reports from longitudinal clinical trials makes it difficult for hepatologists and critical care specialists to provide uniform evidence for clinical practice that could safely consolidate favorable outcomes such as lower hospitalization rates and/or mortality. Based on a rigorous online search of the scientific literature as well as a longtime clinical experience of the authors in the field of hepatology and critical care medicine, this work represents a focused effort to elucidate the specific bio-morbidity of advanced liver diseases in relation to the aforementioned challenges in clinical management. Further meta-analyses and/or systematic reviews are needed to enable clinicians to develop more effective strategies to bridge patients with decompensated liver disease to recompensation or liver transplantation.

Image-guided treatment of Budd-Chiari syndrome: a giant leap from the past, a small step towards the future

Budd-Chiari syndrome (BCS) is a relatively rare vascular disease characterized by hepatic outflow tract obstruction, and image-guided endovascular treatment, namely percutaneous angioplasty, stenting, and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS), has proven to be effective treatment modalities to alleviate symptoms and markedly improve the prognosis of the disease. Specifically, a step-wise approach is recommended, i.e., angioplasty and stenting are the prioritized choice for patients with membranous obstruction and short-length stenosis, whereas TIPS is the option for patients who fail this treatment. Currently, 5-year survival with the step-wise approach is about 75%, and the most promising way to further improve this value is to identify candidates who are at high risk of failing angioplasty, and perform pre-emptive TIPS in these patients.

Systemic Inflammation and Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure: Too Much, Not Enough

ACLF is a specific, but complex and multifactorial form of acute decompensation of cirrhosis and is characterized by an extraordinary dynamic natural course, rapidly evolving organ failure, and high short-term mortality. Dysbalanced immune function is central to its pathogenesis and outcome with an initial excessive systemic inflammatory response that drives organ failure and mortality. Later in its course, immuno-exhaustion/immunoparalysis prevails predisposing the patient to secondary infectious events and reescalation in end-organ dysfunction and mortality. The management of patients with ACLF is still poorly defined. However, as its pathophysiology is gradually being unravelled, potential therapeutic targets emerge that warrant further study such as restoring or substituting albumin via plasma exchange or via albumin dialysis and evaluating usefulness of TLR4 antagonists, modulators of gut dysbiosis (pre- or probiotics), and FXR-agonists.

Monocyte human leukocyte antigen - Antigen D related, neutrophil oxidative burst and cytokine analysis in patients of decompensated cirrhosis with and without acute-on chronic liver failure

Background and aim

Due to a dysregulated immune response, patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) have increased risk of infection and multi organ failure in comparison to compensated cirrhosis. The comparative data on the presence of ‘immune paresis’ in patients with ACLF and decompensated cirrhosis without ACLF is not available. Aim of the present study was to compare the immunological parameters in patients with decompensated cirrhosis with and without ACLF.

Methodology

In a prospective study, 76 patients with decompensated cirrhosis with (n = 38) and without (n = 38) ACLF and 10 healthy controls (HC) were evaluated for monocytic human leukocyte antigen–antigen D Related (HLA-DR) expression, mean density of HLA-DR expressed on the surface of these cells, neutrophil oxidative burst (NOB) capacity and serum levels of cytokines (IL-1, IL-6, IL-8, IL10, IL-12, and TNF-α).

Results

Patients of decompensated cirrhosis with and without ACLF demonstrated significantly lower mean percentage of monocytes expressing HLA-DR and quantitative increase in the NOB after stimulation with PMA when compared to HC. However there was no difference in mean percentage of monocytes with HLA-DR expression (43.61±26.56% vs. 43.10±20.98%) (p = 0.91), mean density of HLA-DR expression on the surface (30.34±29.32 vs. 41.71±52.13) (p = 0.42) and quantitative increase in NOB after stimulation with PMA (16.55±11.91 vs. 17.24±16.18) (p = 0.47) amongst patients with decompensated cirrhosis with and without ACLF. Patients with ACLF had significantly higher pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines in comparison to patients with decompensated cirrhosis without ACLF.

Conclusion

Patients with decompensated cirrhosis demonstrate a component of immune-paresis, however there is similar impairment in HLA–DR expression and NOB capacity in patients with and without ACLF. Both inflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines are increased in patients with ACLF in comparison to patients with decompensated cirrhosis without ACLF.

Platelet Distribution Width at First Day of Hospital Admission in Patients with Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome Caused by Hantaan Virus May Predict Disease Severity and Critical Patients' Survival

Thrombocytopenia is one of the main characteristics of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS). This study aimed to evaluate the associations of platelet distribution width (PDW) with the disease severity and critical patients' survival of HFRS. The demographics, clinical data, and white blood cell and platelet parameters including PDW in 260 patients hospitalized for HFRS were analyzed. The results showed that PDW on the first day (PDW1) was positively associated with the disease severity (p = 0.005). Multiple regression analysis showed that in addition to age (odds ratio [OR], 1.091; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.015-1.172) and occurrence of sepsis (OR, 22.283; 95% CI, 2.985-166.325), PDW1 (OR, 0.782; 95% CI, 0.617-0.992) was a risk factor of the mortality, having an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.709 (95% CI, 0.572-0.846, p = 0.013) for predicting mortality, with a sensitivity of 70% and a specificity of 67% at a cutoff of 16.5 fL, in patients with critical HFRS. These results suggest the potential of PDW at the first day of hospitalization as a valuable parameter for evaluating the severity of HFRS and a moderate parameter for predicting the prognosis of critical HFRS patients. A prospective study in large patient population is needed to validate these findings.

Fibroblast growth factor 21 is an early predictor of acute-on-chronic liver failure in critically ill patients with cirrhosis

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) develops in acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis and shows high mortality. In critically ill patients, early diagnosis of ACLF could be important for therapeutic decisions (eg, renal replacement, artificial liver support, liver transplantation). This study evaluated fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) as a marker of mitochondrial dysfunction in the context of ACLF. The study included 154 individuals (112 critically patients and 42 healthy controls) divided into a training and a validation cohort. In the training cohort of 42 healthy controls and 34 critically ill patients (of whom 24 were patients with cirrhosis), levels of FGF21, interleukin (IL) 6, and IL8 were measured. In the validation cohort of 78 patients with cirrhosis, 17 patients were admitted with or developed ACLF during follow-up and underwent daily clinical and nutritional assessment. Levels of FGF21 were higher in critically ill patients, especially in patients with cirrhosis admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Moreover, FGF21 as well as IL6 and IL8 levels were higher in patients with ACLF, but they did not increase with the severity of ACLF. Interestingly, in the validation cohort, FGF21 was also elevated in the patients who developed ACLF in the next 7 days. In these patients, FGF21 levels were an independent predictor of ACLF presence and development in multivariate analysis together with Child-Pugh score. FGF21 levels had no impact on the survival of critically ill patients with cirrhosis. In conclusion, this study demonstrates that FGF21 levels are of specific diagnostic value regarding the presence and development of ACLF in patients admitted to ICU for AD of liver cirrhosis. Further studies are warranted to address pathophysiological and possible therapeutic implications. Liver Transplantation 24 595-605 2018 AASLD.

Circulating CXCL10 in cirrhotic portal hypertension might reflect systemic inflammation and predict ACLF and mortality

BACKGROUND & AIMS

CXCR% ligands play an important role in hepatic injury, inflammation and fibrosis. While CXCL9 and CXCL11 are associated with survival in patients receiving transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS), the role of CXCL10 in severe portal hypertension remains unknown.

METHODS

A total of 89 cirrhotic patients were analysed. CXCL10 protein levels were measured in portal and hepatic blood at TIPS insertion and 2 weeks later in 24 patients. CXCL10 and IL8 levels were assessed in portal, hepatic, cubital vein and right atrium blood in a further 25 patients at TIPS insertion. Furthermore, real-time PCR determined hepatic CXCL10-mRNA in 40 cirrhotic patients.

RESULTS

Hepatic CXCL10 showed no association with decompensation. By contrast, circulating CXCL10-levels were higher in portal than in hepatic vein blood, suggesting an extrahepatic source of CXCL10 in cirrhosis. However, CXCL10 protein in blood samples from portal, hepatic, cubital veins and right atrium correlated excellently with each other and with IL-8 levels. Higher CXCL10 circulating levels were associated with presence of ascites and higher Child scores. Higher CXCL10 circulating protein levels were associated with acute decompensation, acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and independently with mortality. Moreover, a decrease in CXCL10 protein levels after TIPS insertion was associated with better survival in each cohort and analysed together.

DISCUSSION

Circulating CXCL10 possibly reflects systemic inflammation and it is correlated with acute decompensation, ACLF and complications in patients with severe portal hypertension receiving TIPS. CXCL10 predicts survival in these patients and a decrease in CXCL10 after TIPS may be considered a good prognostic factor.

Administration of Albumin Solution Increases Serum Levels of Albumin in Patients With Chronic Liver Failure in a Single-Arm Feasibility Trial

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Infections are life-threatening to patients with acute decompensation and acute-on-chronic liver failure (AD/ACLF). Patients with AD/ACLF have prostaglandin E2-mediated immune suppression, which can be reversed by administration of albumin; infusion of 20% human albumin solution (HAS) might improve outcomes of infections. We performed a feasibility study to determine optimal trial design, assess safety, and validate laboratory assessments of immune function to inform design of a phase 3 trial.

METHODS

We performed a prospective multicenter, single-arm, open-label trial of 79 patients with AD/ACLF and levels of albumin lower than 30 g/L, seen at 10 hospitals in the United Kingdom from May through December 2015. Patients were given daily infusions of 20% HAS, based on serum levels, for 14 days or until discharge from the hospital. Rates of infection, organ dysfunction, and in-hospital mortality were recorded. The primary end point was daily serum albumin level during the treatment period. Success would be demonstrated if 60% achieved and maintained serum albumin levels at or above 30 g/L on at least one third of days with recorded levels.

RESULTS

The patients' mean model for end-stage disease score was 20.9 ± 6.6. The primary end point (albumin ≥30 g/L on at least one third of days recorded) was achieved by 68 of the 79 patients; 75% of administrations were in accordance with suggested dosing regimen. Mean treatment duration was 10.3 days (104 ± 678 mL administered). There were 8 deaths and 13 serious adverse events, considered by the independent data-monitoring committee to be consistent with those expected. Twelve of 13 patients that developed either respiratory or cardiovascular dysfunction (based on ward-based clinical definitions) as their only organ dysfunction were alive at 30 days compared with 1 of 3 that developed renal dysfunction. Only 1 case of brain dysfunction was recorded.

CONCLUSIONS

In a feasibility trial, we found that administration of HAS increased serum levels of albumin in patients with AD/ACLF. The dosing regimen was acceptable at multiple sites and deemed safe by an independent data-monitoring committee. We also developed a robust system to record infections. The poor prognosis for patients with renal dysfunction was confirmed. However, patients with cardiovascular or respiratory dysfunction had good outcomes, which is counterintuitive. Severe encephalopathy appeared substantially under-reported, indicating that ward-based assessment of these parameters cannot be recorded with sufficient accuracy for use as a primary outcome in phase 3 trials. Trial registration no: EudraCT 2014-002300-24 and ISRCTN14174793.

Validation of prognostic scores to predict short-term mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The aim of this study was to validate the chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment score (CLIF-SOFAs), CLIF consortium organ failure score (CLIF-C OFs), CLIF-C acute-on-chronic liver failure score (CLIF-C ACLFs), and CLIF-C acute decompensation score in Korean chronic liver disease patients with acute deterioration.

METHODS

Acute-on-chronic liver failure was defined by either the Asian Pacific Association for the study of the Liver ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) or CLIF-C criteria. The diagnostic performances for short-term mortality were compared by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULTS

Among a total of 1470 patients, 252 patients were diagnosed with ACLF according to the CLIF-C (197 patients) or AARC definition (95 patients). As the ACLF grades increased, the survival rates became significantly lower. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic of the CLIF-SOFAs, CLIF-C OFs, and CLIF-C ACLFs were significantly higher than those of the Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease, and model for end-stage liver disease-Na scores in ACLF patients according to the CLIF-C definition (all P < 0.05), but there were no significant differences in patients without ACLF or in patients with ACLF according to the AARC definition. The CLIF-SOFAs, CLIF-C OFs, and CLIF-C ACLFs had higher specificities with a fixed sensitivity than liver specific scores in ACLF patients according to the CLIF-C definition, but not in ACLF patients according to the AARC definition.

CONCLUSIONS

The CLIF-SOFAs, CLIF-C OFs, and CLIF-C ACLFs are useful scoring systems that provide accurate information on prognosis in patients with ACLF according to the CLIF-C definition, but not the AARC definition.