The ALBI grade provides objective hepatic reserve estimation across each BCLC stage of hepatocellular carcinoma

The Combination of APRI and ALBI Facilitates Preoperative Risk Stratification for Patients Undergoing Liver Surgery After Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy

Background

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NeoCTx) is performed for most patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRCLM). However, chemotherapy-associated liver injury (CALI) has been associated with poor postoperative outcome. To date, however, no clinically applicable and noninvasive tool exists to assess CALI before liver resection.

Methods

Routine blood parameters were assessed in 339 patients before and after completion of NeoCTx and before surgery. The study assessed the prognostic potential of the aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), the albumin-bilirubin grade (ALBI), and their combinations. Furthermore, an independent multi-center validation cohort (n = 161) was included to confirm the findings concerning the prediction of postoperative outcome.

Results

Higher ALBI, APRI, and APRI + ALBI were found in patients with postoperative morbidity (P = 0.001, P = 0.064, P = 0.001, respectively), liver dysfunction (LD) (P = 0.009, P = 0.012, P < 0.001), or mortality (P = 0.037, P = 0.045, P = 0.016), and APRI + ALBI had the highest predictive potential for LD (area under the curve [AUC], 0.695). An increase in APRI + ALBI was observed during NeoCTx (P < 0.001). Patients with longer periods between NeoCTx and surgery showed a greater decrease in APRI + ALBI (P = 0.006) and a trend for decreased CALI at surgery. A cutoff for APRI + ALBI at − 2.46 before surgery was found to identify patients with CALI (P = 0.002) and patients at risk for a prolonged hospital stay (P = 0.001), intensive care (P < 0.001), morbidity (P < 0.001), LD (P < 0.001), and mortality (P = 0.021). Importantly, the study was able to confirm the predictive potential of APRI + ALBI for postoperative LD and mortality in a multicenter validation cohort.

Conclusion

Determination of APRI + ALBI before surgery enables identification of high-risk patients for liver resection. The combined score seems to dynamically reflect CALI. Thus, APRI + ALBI could be a clinically relevant tool for optimizing timing of surgery in CRCLM patients after NeoCTx.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1245/s10434-018-07125-6) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Albumin-bilirubin grade may determine the outcomes of patients with very early stage hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation therapy

BACKGROUND

To assess long-term prognoses of patients with solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) < 2 cm (the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, BCLC stage 0) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA).

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 271 patients with BCLC stage 0 HCC who had undergone RFA at Taipei Veterans General Hospital from 2002 to 2016. Factors determining poor overall survival (OS) and recurrence after RFA were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up duration of 43.4 months, 76 patients had died. The cumulative 5- and 10-year OS rates were 67.1% and 56.4%, respectively. Multivariate analysis disclosed age > 65 years (hazard ratio [HR] 1.608, 95% confidence interval, [CI] 1.015-2.545; p = 0.043), platelet count < 100,000/mm (HR 1.704, 95% CI 1.027-2.828; p = 0.039), and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 2 or 3 (HR 2.191, 95% CI 1.261-3.805; p = 0.005) were the independent risk factors predicting worse OS. One-hundred twelve patients had tumor recurrence after undergoing RFA. Multivariate analysis showed that ALBI grade 2 or 3 (HR 1.825, 95% CI 1.288-2.585; p = 0.001) was the only one independent risk factor associated with poor recurrence-free survival (RFS) after RFA. Most of the subgroup analyses also demonstrated that patients with ALBI grade 2 or 3 had poorer OS and RFS than those with ALBI grade 1.

CONCLUSION

For patients with BCLC stage 0 HCC, RFA could provide a long-term outcome with a 10-year overall survival rate of 56.4%. Moreover, the ALBI grade can discriminate prognosis in such patients.

Influence of HIV Infection on the Natural History of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Results From a Global Multicohort Study

PURPOSE

Conflicting evidence indicates that HIV seropositivity may influence the outcome of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a leading cause of mortality in people with HIV. We aimed to verify whether HIV affected the overall survival (OS) of patients with HCC, independent of treatment and geographic origin.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We designed an international multicohort study of patients with HCC accrued from four continents who did not receive any anticancer treatment. We estimated the effect of HIV seropositivity on patients' OS while accounting for common prognostic factors and demographic characteristics in uni- and multivariable models.

RESULTS

A total of 1,588 patients were recruited, 132 of whom were HIV positive. Most patients clustered within Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) C or D criteria (n = 1,168 [74%]) and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) class B (median score, 7; interquartile range [IQR], 3). At HCC diagnosis, the majority of patients who were HIV-positive (n = 65 [64%]) had been on antiretrovirals for a median duration of 8.3 years (IQR, 8.59 years) and had median CD4⁺ cell counts of 256 (IQR, 284) with undetectable HIV RNA (n = 68 [52%]). OS decreased significantly throughout BCLC stages 0 to D (16, 12, 7.5, 3.1, and 3 months, respectively; P < .001). Median OS of patients who were HIV-positive was one half that of their HIV-uninfected counterparts (2.2 months [bootstrap 95% CI, 1.2 to 3.1 months] v 4.1 months [95% CI, 3.6 to 4.4 months]). In adjusted analyses, HIV seropositivity increased the hazard of death by 24% ( P = .0333) independent of BCLC ( P < .0001), CTP ( P < .0001), α-fetoprotein ( P < .0001), geographical origin ( P < .0001), and male sex ( P = .0016). Predictors of worse OS in patients who were HIV-positive included CTP ( P = .0071) and α-fetoprotein ( P < .0001).

CONCLUSION

Despite adequate antiretroviral treatment, HIV seropositivity is associated with decreased survival in HCC, independent of stage, anticancer treatment, and geographical origin. Mechanistic studies investigating the immunobiology of HIV-associated HCC are urgently required.

Post-operative albumin-bilirubin grade predicts long-term outcomes among Child-Pugh grade A patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection

BACKGROUND

Although Child-Pugh grade A patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are candidates for curative resection, some may have a poor prognosis. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, a measure of liver function based on albumin and bilirubin, has the potential to detect Child-Pugh grade A HCC patients with poor prognosis. Because components of the ALBI grade can be measured easily even after surgery, we explored the predictive values of ALBI in patient prognosis after HCC resection.

METHODS

In this retrospective case-control study, we included 136 HCC patients who underwent curative resection between January 2004 and December 2013 at our hospital. ALBI grade was calculated from laboratory data recorded the day before surgery and at post-operative day 5.

RESULTS

Pre- and post-operative ALBI grade predicted patients' long-term outcomes (P = 0.020 and P < 0.001, respectively, for overall survival, and P = 0.012 and P = 0.015, respectively, for recurrence-free survival). Post-operative ALBI grade was associated with patients' surgical factors of repeated hepatic resection (P = 0.012), intra-operative bleeding (P = 0.006), and surgery duration (P = 0.033). Furthermore, post-operative ALBI grade, rather than pre-operative ALBI grade, was an independent predictive factor of long-term outcome of Child-Pugh grade A patients with HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Post-operative ALBI grade is useful to predict the prognosis in patients after HCC resection.

Prognostic impact of lactic dehydrogenase to albumin ratio in hepatocellular carcinoma patients with Child-Pugh I who underwent curative resection: a prognostic nomogram study

Background

Radical resection is the treatment of choice for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, even with this treatment, HCC prognosis and the efficacy of current predictive models for such patients remain unsatisfactory. Here, we describe an accurate and easy-to-use prognostic index for patients with HCC who have undergone curative resection.

Methods

The study population comprised of 1,041 patients with HCC who underwent curative resection at Zhongshan Hospital. This population was reduced to 768 patients who were treated in 2012 analyzed as the training cohort and 273 patients treated in 2007 who were used as a validation cohort.

Results

The lactic dehydrogenase to albumin ratio (LAR) was identified as a significant prognostic index for both overall survival and recurrence-free survival in two independent cohorts. The optimal cutoff value for LAR was determined to be 5.5. The C-index of LAR was superior to other inflammatory scores and serum parameters. This biomarker was also shown to be a stable predictive index in the validation cohort. The new nomogram combining LAR with the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging system had an improved ability to discriminate overall survival and recurrence-free survival. Nomogram predictions were consistent with observations based on calibration and decisive curve analysis in both independent cohorts.

Conclusion

LAR is a novel, convenient, reliable, and accurate prognostic predictor in patients with HCC undergoing curative resection. Our results suggest the recommendation of LAR to be used in routine clinical practice.

Ability of the ALBI grade to predict posthepatectomy liver failure and long-term survival after liver resection for different BCLC stages of HCC

BACKGROUND

Underlying liver function is a major concern when applying surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to explore the capability of the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade to predict post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) and long-term survival after hepatectomy for HCC patients with different Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages.

METHODS

Between January 2010 and December 2014, 338 HCC patients who were treated with liver resection were enrolled. The predictive accuracy of ALBI grade system for PHLF and long-term survival across different BCLC stages was examined.

RESULTS

A total of 26 (7.7%) patients developed PHLF. Patients were divided into BCLC 0/A and BCLC B/C categories. ALBI score was found to be a strong independent predictor of PHLF across different BCLC stages by multivariate analysis. In terms of overall survival (OS), it exhibited high discriminative power in the total cohort and in BCLC 0/A subgroup. However, differences in OS between ALBI grade 1 and 2 patients in BCLC B/C subgroup were not significant (P = 0.222).

CONCLUSION

The ALBI grade showed good predictive ability for PHLF in HCC patients across different BCLC stages. However, the ALBI grade was only a significant predictor of OS in BCLC stage 0/A patients and failed to predict OS in BCLC stage B/C patients.

ALBI and PALBI: Novel Scores for Outcome Prediction of Cirrhotic Outpatients Awaiting Liver Transplantation

Cirrhosis has four different stages that encompass mild stable compensated cirrhosis, stable cirrhosis with prior decompensation, acutely decompensated cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure. A worse ALBI score has been associated to an increased mortality in a recent study involving patients with stable cirrhosis and prior decompensation.

No Muscle Depletion with High Visceral Fat as a Novel Beneficial Biomarker of Sorafenib for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Sorafenib is a standard therapy for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, no predictive biomarkers of sorafenib efficacy have been discovered. Herein, we investigated the impact of body composition, such as skeletal muscle and visceral fat, on the prognosis of advanced HCC patients treated with sorafenib.

METHODS

We enrolled 100 patients with advanced HCC treated with sorafenib. Prior to receiving sorafenib therapy, skeletal muscle index (SMI) and visceral fat area (VFA) were measured using computed tomography at the third lumbar vertebra and umbilical level, respectively. Muscle depletion was defined as an SMI value < 42 cm²/m² in men and < 38 cm²/m² in women. High VFA (H-VFA) was defined as a value ≥100 cm². In addition to SMI and VFA, we also analyzed various clinical parameters as potential prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis showed that having a tumor number < 7 (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.409, p < 0.001), absence of extrahepatic spread (EHS) (HR = 0.562, p < 0.001), absence of muscle depletion (HR = 0.498, p = 0.006), and H-VFA (HR = 0.556, p = 0.031) were significant factors for long-term survival. Therefore, we evaluated the prognosis of those with no muscle depletion with H-VFA. The no muscle depletion with H-VFA group showed significantly longer survival than the other group (median survival time 15.6 vs. 11.0 months, p = 0.003). Multivariate analysis showed that having a tumor number < 7 (HR = 0.454, p = 0.001), absence of EHS (HR = 0.511, p = 0.008), and no muscle depletion with H-VFA (HR = 0.454, p = 0.002) were significant predictors of survival.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified no muscle depletion with H-VFA as a novel biomarker for advanced HCC patients treated with sorafenib.

The Prognosis of Single Large Hepatocellular Carcinoma Was Distinct from Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage A or B: The Role of Albumin-Bilirubin Grade

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Whether single large hepatocellular carcinoma (SLHCC) is classified as Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A or B is still controversial. We aimed to compare the clinical manifestations, treatment modalities, and prognoses among patients with SLHCC and those in BCLC stage A and B.

METHODS

We enrolled 2,285 treatment-naive hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with BCLC stage A or B from October 2007 to December 2015. Factors in terms of prognoses were analyzed by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

We enrolled 1,210, 466, and 609 patients in a BCLC-A, SLHCC, and BCLC-B group, respectively. After a median follow-up duration of 21.2 months, 898 patients had died. The cumulative 5-year survival rates were 57.0, 42.6, and 27.3% for patients in the BCLC-A, SLHCC, and BCLC-B groups, respectively, which were significantly different (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis indicated that the following independent risk factors were associated with poor prognosis: age > 65 years, alkaline phosphatase > 100 U/L, creatinine > 1.0 mg/dL, alpha-fetoprotein > 20 mg/mL, noncurative treatment, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, and HCC staging. Subgroup analysis also confirmed that patients in the SLHCC group had a survival rate intermediate to those in the BCLC-A and BCLC-B groups. However, for patients in the SLHCC group and with ALBI grade 1, outcomes were close to those in the BCLC-A group, especially in the setting of curative treatment. For those with ALBI grades 2 or 3, the prognoses were similar to those of the SLHCC and BCLC-B groups.

CONCLUSION

Patients in the SLHCC group had an overall survival rate intermediate to those of the BCLC-A and BCLC-B groups. It is suggested that the SLHCC group could be classified as occupying a different stage from the BCLC stages A and B. The ALBI grade could help to stratify SLHCC into a different prognostic group. However, the results need to be validated externally in other regions of the world.

Combination of albumin-bilirubin grade and platelets to predict a compensated patient with hepatocellular carcinoma who does not require endoscopic screening for esophageal varices

BACKGROUNDS AND AIMS

There is no consensus on screening for high-risk esophageal varices (HRV) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Here, we aimed to investigate the prevalence and risk factors of HRV in patients with HCC and to assess the combination of albumin-bilirubin grade and platelet count (ALBI-PLT score) for predicting compensated patients who do not need unnecessary endoscopic screening for HRV.

METHODS

The ALBI-PLT score was calculated by adding the ALBI grade and points for platelet count (1 point if platelet count >150,000/mm³ and 2 points if ≤150,000/mm³). The predictive value of the ALBI-PLT score for HRV was analyzed in 887 compensated patients enrolled from October 2007 to April 2014 (study cohort). This was validated in 215 compensated patients from May 2014 to December 2015 (validation cohort).

RESULTS

In the study cohort, the rates of HRV were 2.9% and 21.1% in compensated HCC patients with an ALBI-PLT score of 2 and >2, respectively. The negative predictive values of the ALBI-PLT score for predicting HRV were 97.1% and 98.1% in the study and validation cohorts, respectively. For compensated patients who did not receive endoscopic screening at the time of HCC diagnosis, the 5-year cumulative variceal hemorrhage rate was lower in patients with an ALBI-PLT score of 2 than in those with an ALBI-PLT score >2 (1.7% vs 9.1%, P = .007).

CONCLUSION

In patients with HCC with compensated liver function, an ALBI-PLT score of 2 predicted a very low risk of HRV and variceal hemorrhage; therefore, endoscopic screening for esophageal varices is not recommended for these patients.

A Data Mining-based Prognostic Algorithm for NAFLD-related Hepatoma Patients: A Nationwide Study by the Japan Study Group of NAFLD

The prognosis of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease-related hepatocellular carcinoma (NAFLD-HCC) is intricately associated with various factors. We aimed to investigate the prognostic algorithm of NAFLD-HCC patients using a data-mining analysis. A total of 247 NAFLD-HCC patients diagnosed from 2000 to 2014 were registered from 17 medical institutions in Japan. Of these, 136 patients remained alive (Alive group) and 111 patients had died at the censor time point (Deceased group). The random forest analysis demonstrated that treatment for HCC and the serum albumin level were the first and second distinguishing factors between the Alive and Deceased groups. A decision-tree algorithm revealed that the best profile comprised treatment with hepatectomy or radiofrequency ablation and a serum albumin level ≥3.7 g/dL (Group 1). The second-best profile comprised treatment with hepatectomy or radiofrequency ablation and serum albumin levels <3.7 g/dL (Group 2). The 5-year overall survival rate was significantly higher in the Group 1 than in the Group 2. Thus, we demonstrated that curative treatment for HCC and serum albumin level >3.7 g/dL was the best prognostic profile for NAFLD-HCC patients. This novel prognostic algorithm for patients with NAFLD-HCC could be used for clinical management.

Preoperative albumin-bilirubin grade plus platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio predict the outcomes of patients with BCLC stage A hepatocellular carcinoma after liver resection

There is little information regarding the predictive ability of albumin-bilirubin grades (ALBI) plus platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following liver resection. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the prognostic power of the ALBI-PLR score in patients with hepatitis B virus-related (HBV-related) HCC within Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A after liver resection.Around 475 patients were included in this study. Patients with preoperative ALBI grades 1, 2, or 3 were allocated a score of 0, 1, or 2, respectively. Patients with preoperative PLR >150 or ≤150 were allocated a score of 0 or 1, respectively. The ALBI-PLR score was the summary of the ALBI and PLR scores.During the follow-up period, 256 patients experienced recurrence, and 150 patients died. Multivariate analysis revealed tumor size, multiple tumors, positive HBV-DNA load, cirrhosis, and ALBI-PLR score as being independently associated with postoperative recurrence, whereas tumor size, high preoperative α-fetoprotein level, and ALBI-PLR score were independent risk factors for postoperative mortality. HCC patients with high ALBI-PLR score had poor recurrence-free and overall survival.The preoperative ALBI-PLR score is a surrogate marker for predicting HBV-related HCC patient's prognosis after liver resection. A high ALBI-PLR score is associated with a high incidence of postoperative recurrence and mortality.

Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Who Achieved Long-Term Recurrence-Free Survival After Curative Therapy: Impact of the ALBI Grade

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Some patients experience very late recurrence of HCC more than 5 years after initial therapy. We aimed to clarify the predictive factors for very late recurrence of HCC in such cases.

METHODS

Among 807 HCC patients undergoing surgical resection or ablative therapy with curative intent, the patients who survived for 5 years without any recurrence were reviewed. The prognosis and possible predictive factors for late recurrence were analyzed retrospectively.

RESULTS

A total of 184 patients survived for more than 5 years without recurrence. Among them, 61 patients experienced recurrence, at a median of 6 years after initial therapy. In univariate analysis, the pre-treatment aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, Child-Pugh class, and ALBI grade were not related to recurrence, but those at 5 years after treatment were significantly related to recurrence. By multivariate analysis, an ALBI grade of 2-3 at 5 years was an independent risk factor for recurrence (P < 0.0001). Moreover, variation of the ALBI grade over the 5 years after the initial treatment was significantly related to recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

The ALBI grade is an effective index of the variation in liver function after curative therapy and may be a useful prognostic factor for the long-term recurrence-free survival of HCC patients.

A nomogram integrating hepatic reserve and tumor characteristics for hepatocellular carcinoma following curative liver resection

BACKGROUND

Because of the mutual influence of liver dysfunction and malignancy, overall survival (OS) is a composite clinical endpoint in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We developed a nomogram integrating albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, a new index of hepatic reserve, and tumor characteristics of HCC for predicting OS following curative liver resection.

METHODS

The nomogram was built to estimate the probabilities of 1, 3, and 5-y OS based on training cohort of 709 HCC, which was validated in an international independent dataset. The prognostic value of the nomogram was determined by concordance index (C-index), time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (tdROC), and decision curves, comparing with ALBI grade alone, the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP), the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC), and Okuda staging systems.

RESULTS

Independent factors derived from multivariable Cox analysis of the training cohort to predict OS were tumor grade, microvascular invasion, tumor size and ALBI grade which were assembled into nomogram. The calibration curves for probability of OS showed optimal agreement between nomogram-prediction and actual observation, which was tested in validation cohort. The C-index, tdROC and decision curves showed the nomogram was superior to CLIP, ALBI grade, BCLC and Okuda. The patients could also be stratified into low, intermediate risk, and high risk of the mortality by the normogram in both development and validation cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram integrating hepatic reserve and tumor characteristics provided a highly accurate estimation of OS in patients with HCC after curative liver resection, contributing to assess patient prognosis.

Modified CLIP score with the albumin-bilirubin grade retains prognostic value in HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with trans-catheter arterial chemoembolization therapy

Background: The Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score is commonly used for prognosis prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The CLIP includes the Child-Pugh grade, which is relatively subjective, for hepatic encephalopathy assessment. A newly developed scoring system called albumin-bilirubin grade (ALBI grade), consists of albumin and bilirubin to assess liver function reserve objectively. Here, we substituted the ALBI grade for the Child-Pugh grade to establish the ALBI-CLIP scoring system and validated its prognostic value in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC patients treated with trans-catheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) therapy.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed HBV-related HCC patients who received TACE therapy. Baseline characteristics were collected and evaluated to classify patients according to ALBI-CLIP, CLIP and TNM systems. Univariate analyses using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test, as well as multivariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazards regression model, were conducted to detect independent prognostic factors for overall survival. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and a likelihood ratio test (LRT) were both utilized to compare the values of ALBI-CLIP, CLIP and TNM staging systems in predicting survival.

Results: With a total of 389 patients included in the current study, 301 (77.4%) and 88 (22.6%) were classified as Child-Pugh grade A and B, respectively. However, 152 (39.1%), 227 (58.4%) and 10 (2.5%) patients were correspondingly classified into ALBI grade 1, 2 and 3. The areas under the curves of ALBI-CLIP, CLIP and TNM systems were 0.804, 0.778 and 0.734, respectively, for predicting 3-month survival; 0.796, 0.778 and 0.733, respectively, for 6-month survival; 0.697, 0.687 and 0.644, respectively, for 1-year survival; and 0.618, 0.612 and 0.569, respectively, for 2-year survival. The LRT indicated that the ALBI-CLIP and the CLIP had similar values of χ² and Akaike information criterion (AIC) while the TNM system had the smallest χ² value (χ² = 12.1, 11.9, 10.5; AIC = 2620.2, 2620.5, 2621.1 for ALBI-CLIP, CLIP and TNM, respectively).

Conclusions: In conclusion, our present study suggested that the ALBI-CLIP scoring system retained the prognostic value of the CLIP in HBV-related HCC treated with TACE therapy.

Hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma appears frequently in patients with cirrhosis. Surveillance by biannual ultrasound is recommended for such patients because it allows diagnosis at an early stage, when effective therapies are feasible. The best candidates for resection are patients with a solitary tumour and preserved liver function. Liver transplantation benefits patients who are not good candidates for surgical resection, and the best candidates are those within Milan criteria (solitary tumour ≤5 cm or up to three nodules ≤3 cm). Image-guided ablation is the most frequently used therapeutic strategy, but its efficacy is limited by the size of the tumour and its localisation. Chemoembolisation has survival benefit in asymptomatic patients with multifocal disease without vascular invasion or extrahepatic spread. Finally, sorafenib, lenvatinib, which is non-inferior to sorafenib, and regorafenib increase survival and are the standard treatments in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. This Seminar summarises the scientific evidence that supports the current recommendations for clinical practice, and discusses the areas in which more research is needed.

New nomogram predicts the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with negative preoperative serum AFP subjected to curative resection

BACKGROUND

There is currently no established model for predicting the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with negative alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) after curative resection. Therefore, the objective of this study was to establish a nomogram to identify the risk of recurrence in AFP-negative (<or = 20 ng/mL) patients with HCC.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted to establish the recurrence-free survival (RFS) nomogram in a training cohort of 326 AFP-negative HCC patients. The results were validated on a well-matched validation cohort in the literature.

RESULTS

Macrovascular tumour invasion (P = 0.018, HR = 1.642), macronodular cirrhosis (P < 0.001, HR = 2.128), tumor size (P = 0.004, HR = 1.691), and γ-glutamyl transferase (P = 0.039, HR = 1.496) were found to be independent risk factors for RFS in the training cohort, and all these factors were included in the nomogram. The C-index for RFS in the nomogram was 0.661, which was higher than that of the BCLC system (0.551), the CLIP score (0.537), and the prediction model of Ju (0.618). The high consistency between the nomogram prediction and actual observation was further demonstrated by the calibration curve. In the subsequent study, the better net benefit and higher threshold probability of the nomogram were determined by decision curve analysis, and these advantages were confirmed in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The present RFS nomogram for AFP-negative HCC patients after curative resection provides an accurate and reliable prognostic model to facilitate recurrence surveillance. Once AFP-negative patients are predicted to have a high recurrence score, additional high-end imaging examinations, such as MRI or CT exams, should be considered, and the interval time of regular folow-up should be reduced.

Combining albumin-bilirubin score with future liver remnant predicts post-hepatectomy liver failure in HBV-associated HCC patients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Accurate assessment of liver functional reserve pre-operatively is vital for safe hepatic resection. The ALBI score is a new model for assessing liver function. This study aimed to evaluate the value of combining ALBI score with sFLR in predicting post-operative morbidity and PHLF in HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy.

METHODS

Patients undergoing three-dimensional CT reconstruction prior to hepatectomy for HCC between January 2015 and January 2017 were enrolled. The values of the CP score, ALBI score and sFLR in predicting post-operative outcomes were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 229 HCC patients were enrolled; 24 (10.5%) experienced major complications and 21 (9.2%) developed PHLF. The incidence of major complications and PHLF increased with increasing ALBI grade. The ALBI grade classified patients with CP grade A into two subgroups with different incidences of PHLF (P=.029). sFLR and ALBI scores were identified as independent predictors of PHLF. The AUC values for the CP score, ALBI score, sFLR and sFLR×ALBI for predicting major complications were 0.600, 0.756, 0.660 and 0.790 respectively. The AUC values of the CP score, ALBI score, sFLR and sFLR×ALBI for predicting PHLF were 0.646, 0.738, 0.758 and 0.884 respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The ALBI score showed superior predictive value of post-operative outcomes over CP score, and the combination of sFLR and ALBI score was identified as a stronger predictor of post-operative outcomes than the sFLR or ALBI score alone.

A Comparative Study of Albumin-Bilirubin Score with Child-Pugh Score, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score and Indocyanine Green R15 in Predicting Posthepatectomy Liver Failure for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

BACKGROUND

The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade is a newly proposed model for assessing the hepatic function. This study aimed to compare the value of the ALBI score with Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and indocyanine green (ICG) R15 in predicting posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF).

METHODS

Patients undergoing curative resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) between January 2014 and June 2017 were enrolled. The values of the Child-Pugh score, MELD score, ICG R15 and ALBI score in predicting PHLF were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 473 HCC patients were enrolled. The ALBI score was identified as an independent predictor of PHLF. The AUCs for the Child-Pugh score, MELD score, ICG R15 and ALBI score in predicting PHLF were 0.665, 0.649, 0.668, and 0.745 respectively. Multivariable analyses revealed that the ALBI score was an independent predictor of PHLF regardless of the hepatectomy subgroups, but the Child-Pugh score and MELD score were not significant predictors of PHLF both in major and minor hepatectomy subgroups, and ICG R15 was only a significant predictor of PHLF in minor hepatectomy subgroup.

CONCLUSION

The ALBI score showed superior predictive value of PHLF over Child-Pugh score, MELD score and ICG R15. We propose to use the ALBI score to evaluate surgical risk for HCC patients undergoing hepatic resection.

The albumin-bilirubin grade uncovers the prognostic relationship between hepatic reserve and immune dysfunction in HIV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of liver-related mortality in people living with HIV, where co-infection with hepatotropic viruses accelerates the course of chronic liver disease.

AIM

To evaluate whether the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, a more accurate marker of liver dysfunction in HCC, might identify patients with progressive liver dysfunction in the context of HIV/hepatitis co-infection.

METHODS

Using uni- and multi-variable analyses, we studied the albumin-bilirubin grade as a predictor of overall survival (OS) in a large, multi-center cohort of patients with HIV-associated HCC recruited from 44 centres in 9 countries within the Liver Cancer in HIV study group. Patients who underwent liver transplantation were excluded.

RESULTS

A total of 387 patients, predominantly HCV co-infected (78%) with balanced representation of all Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages (A = 33%, B = 18%, C = 37%, D = 12%) were recruited. At HCC diagnosis, 84% had been on anti-retrovirals for a median duration of 8.8 years. The albumin-bilirubin grade identified significant differences in median survival of 97 months for grade 1 (95% CI 13-180 months), 17 months for grade 2 (95% CI 11-22 months) and 6 months for grade 3 (95% CI 4-9 months, P < .001). A more advanced albumin-bilirubin grade correlated with lower CD4 counts (464/373/288 cells/mm³ for grades 1/2/3) and higher HIV viraemia (3.337/8.701/61.845 copies/mL for grades 1/2/3, P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large, multi-center retrospective study, the albumin-bilirubin grade highlights the interplay between liver reserve and immune dysfunction as prognostic determinants in HIV-associated HCC.

Liver Function Assessment Using Albumin-Bilirubin Grade for Patients with Very Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Radiofrequency Ablation

BACKGROUND/AIM

Assessment of liver function is essential for management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Recently, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade has been reported as a useful tool for assessing hepatic reserve in patients with HCC. The objective of this study was to determine whether ALBI grade could be used to predict the overall survival of very early-stage HCC patients treated with radiofrequency ablation (RF ablation).

METHODS

A cohort of 368 patients with very early-stage HCC treated with RF ablation was retrospectively analyzed. The overall survival and recurrence-free survival were calculated in groups classified by ALBI grade and Child-Pugh score.

RESULTS

Overall survival of patients with ALBI grade 1 was better than that of patients with ALBI grade 2 (5-year survival rate 88.5 vs. 73.8%, P < 0.001). In multivariable-adjusted model, ALBI grade was found to be an independent factor associated with overall survival (hazard ratio 2.44; 95% confidence interval 1.43-4.15). ALBI grade was able to stratify patients with distinct overall survival among patients within the same Child-Pugh score (5-year survival rate for Child-Pugh score 5: 88.5 vs. 76.6%, P = 0.002; for Child-Pugh score 6: 88.9 vs. 70.1%, P = 0.064). In contrast, Child-Pugh score was unable to stratify patients with distinct overall survival within the same ALBI grade.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with very early-stage HCC treated with RF ablation, ALBI grade was a good stratifying biomarker. ALBI grade was better tool for assessing liver function than Child-Pugh score for very early-stage HCC treated with RF ablation.

Serum albumin levels in relation to tumor parameters in hepatocellular carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

Serum albumin levels have been shown to have prognostic significance in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), as part of an inflammatory index. The aim of this study was to examine the possible relationship of serum albumin levels to parameters of HCC aggressiveness.

METHODS

A large HCC patient cohort was retrospectively examined, and the possible relationships of albumin levels to tumor diameter, multifocality, portal vein thrombosis (PVT) and α-fetoprotein levels were examined.

RESULTS

HCC patients with lower serum albumin levels had significantly larger maximum tumor diameters, greater prevalence of PVT, increased tumor multifocality and higher α-fetoprotein levels, than HCC patients with higher albumin levels. A correlation was found between levels of these tumor parameters and serum albumin levels.

CONCLUSIONS

These results indicate that low serum albumin levels correlate with increased parameter measures of HCC aggressiveness, in addition to their role as a monitor of systemic inflammation. Decreased serum albumin might have a role in HCC aggressiveness.

Differences in the impact of prognostic factors for hepatocellular carcinoma over time

The aim of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic significance of serum markers that reflect tumor progression, liver function, or liver fibrosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), focusing on how their impact changes over time after diagnosis. Alpha‐fetoprotein (AFP), des‐gamma‐carboxy prothrombin (DCP), albumin‐bilirubin (ALBI) score, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), and FIB‐4 index were measured at the time of initial non‐recurrent HCC diagnosis in 1669 patients between 1997 and 2016. Survival rates after diagnosis were compared after stratifying patients by these markers. Time‐dependent receiver‐operating characteristics (ROC) analysis was carried out to assess how these markers predict patient survival or death. Serum AFP and DCP levels, ALBI score, and APRI and FIB‐4 index were strongly correlated with HCC progression, liver function, and degree of liver fibrosis, respectively. Survival rates after diagnosis were significantly different when patients were stratified by these markers. In the time‐dependent ROC analysis, AFP and DCP had a high prognostic impact within 3 years of diagnosis but the impact decreased thereafter. In contrast, APRI and FIB‐4 index had higher prognostic impact 10 years after diagnosis. ALBI score had a high prognostic impact throughout the study period. Time‐dependent ROC analysis clearly showed changes in the prognostic importance of serum markers based on the duration after diagnosis. Whereas the prognostic impact of tumor progression markers was strong in the short term, liver fibrosis markers had higher prognostic impact long after diagnosis. Liver function had constant prognostic impact on patient survival after diagnosis.

Preoperative Albumin-Bilirubin Score for Postoperative Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma within the Milan Criteria and Child-Pugh A Cirrhosis

Surgical resection remains the initial treatment of choice for the majority of early stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. Although the factors that influence the prognosis of postoperative HCC patients have been well elucidated, there are a limited number of simple, objective, and distinct methods for estimating survival for postoperative patients with solitary HCC within the Milan criteria and Child-Pugh (C-P) A cirrhosis. The Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) score is a new evidence-based approach to assess liver function. The ALBI score eliminates subjective variables, such as ascites and encephalopathy which are the requirements for the conventional C-P grading system. This study enrolled 654 patients to determine whether the ALBI score can predict the outcomes of postoperative solitary HCC patients within the Milan criteria and C-P A cirrhosis. Our results showed the ALBI score significantly influenced the overall survival and cumulative recurrence rates. Furthermore, the ALBI score was significantly related to the degree of liver cirrhosis and serum γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) concentration in solitary HCC cases within the Milan criteria and C-P A cirrhosis. Additionally, the combination of the ALBI score and serum GGT concentration contributed to the prognosis prediction in this cohort. In conclusion, we externally validated the ALBI grade as a novel biomarker to predict prognosis for solitary HCC within the Milan Criteria and C-P A cirrhosis.

Survival benefit of transarterial chemoembolization in patients with metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma: a single center experience

Background

As prognosis of patients with metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is mainly determined by intrahepatic HCC progression, local treatment with TACE may result in improved OS, although it is not recommended. The purpose of this study was to analyze retrospectively the efficacy of TACE and its impact on OS in patients with metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

Two hundred and fifteen patients with metastatic HCC who were treated at our Liver Center between 2003 and 2014 were included in this retrospective analysis. Medical records, laboratory parameters and imaging studies were analyzed. Treatment of metastatic HCC and OS were assessed

Results

One hundred and two patients (47.4%) did not receive any HCC specific treatment while 48 patients (22.3%) were treated with sorafenib, 42 patients (19.5%) with TACE and 23 patients (10.7%) received treatment with TACE and sorafenib in combination. Survival analyses and Cox regression models revealed that TACE and a combination therapy of TACE and sorafenib were significant prognostic factors in metastatic HCC. However, further analyses revealed that there was no additional prognostic effect of adding sorafenib to TACE treatment in this patient cohort.

Conclusions

In metastatic HCC, treatment of intrahepatic tumor by TACE may be associated with improved survival. These results support the prognostic importance of treating intrahepatic HCC even in patients with metastatic disease. Therefore, we suggest evaluating the technical feasibility of TACE in all metastatic patients.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12876-017-0656-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Albumin-Bilirubin and Platelet-Albumin-Bilirubin Grades Accurately Predict Overall Survival in High-Risk Patients Undergoing Conventional Transarterial Chemoembolization for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

PURPOSE

To evaluate albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) and platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grades in predicting overall survival in high-risk patients undergoing conventional transarterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This single-center retrospective study included 180 high-risk patients (142 men, 59 y ± 9) between April 2007 and January 2015. Patients were considered high-risk based on laboratory abnormalities before the procedure (bilirubin > 2.0 mg/dL, albumin < 3.5 mg/dL, platelet count < 60,000/mL, creatinine > 1.2 mg/dL); presence of ascites, encephalopathy, portal vein thrombus, or transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt; or Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score > 15. Serum albumin, bilirubin, and platelet values were used to determine ALBI and PALBI grades. Overall survival was stratified by ALBI and PALBI grades with substratification by Child-Pugh class (CPC) and Barcelona Liver Clinic Cancer (BCLC) stage using Kaplan-Meier analysis. C-index was used to determine discriminatory ability and survival prediction accuracy.

RESULTS

Median survival for 79 ALBI grade 2 patients and 101 ALBI grade 3 patients was 20.3 and 10.7 months, respectively (P < .0001). Median survival for 30 PALBI grade 2 and 144 PALBI grade 3 patients was 20.3 and 12.9 months, respectively (P = .0667). Substratification yielded distinct ALBI grade survival curves for CPC B (P = .0022, C-index 0.892), BCLC A (P = .0308, C-index 0.887), and BCLC C (P = .0287, C-index 0.839). PALBI grade demonstrated distinct survival curves for BCLC A (P = 0.0229, C-index 0.869). CPC yielded distinct survival curves for the entire cohort (P = .0019) but not when substratified by BCLC stage (all P > .05).

CONCLUSIONS

ALBI and PALBI grades are accurate survival metrics in high-risk patients undergoing conventional transarterial chemoembolization for HCC. Use of these scores allows for more refined survival stratification within CPC and BCLC stage.

Comparison Between Child-Turcotte-Pugh and Albumin-Bilirubin Scores in Assessing the Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Stereotactic Ablative Radiation Therapy

PURPOSE

To evaluate the prognostic performance of the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score and the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated using stereotactic ablative radiation therapy (SABR).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

This retrospective study evaluated the data of patients with HCC who underwent SABR between December 2007 and June 2015. We collected pretreatment CTP and ALBI scores and analyzed their correlation with survival and liver toxicity.

RESULTS

This study included 152 HCC patients: 78.3% of CTP class A and 21.7% of CTP class B. The median ALBI score was -2.49 (range, -3.67 to -0.84) with 39.5% of grade 1, 56.6% of grade 2, and 3.9% of grade 3. The CTP classification and ALBI grade were significantly associated with overall survival (P<.001). Albumin-bilirubin grade (1 vs 2) had a trend to stratify CTP class A patients into 2 risk groups of mortality (P=.061). Combined CTP class and ALBI score could predict development of radiation-induced liver disease (2.4% in CTP A-ALBI < -2.76, 15.1% in CTP A-ALBI ≥ -2.76, and 25.8% in CTP B).

CONCLUSION

Albumin-bilirubin score is a potential predictor for both survival and liver toxicity. Complementary use of CTP and ALBI score could predict the risk of post-SABR liver toxicity. Further prospective studies are necessary before use of the ALBI score can become part of daily practice.

Hepatitis B virus X protein promotes the stem-like properties of OV6+ cancer cells in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatitis B virus X protein (HBx) and cancer stem-like cells (CSCs) have both been implicated in the occurrence and development of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, whether HBx contributes to the stem-like properties of OV6⁺ CSCs in HCC remains elusive. In this study, we showed that the concomitant expression of HBx and OV6 was closely associated with the clinical outcomes and prognosis of patients with HBV-related HCC. HBx was required for the stem-like properties of OV6⁺ liver CSCs, including self-renewal, stem cell-associated gene expression, tumorigenicity and chemoresistance. Mechanistically, HBx enhanced expression of MDM2 by directly binding with MDM2 and inhibiting its ubiquitin-directed self-degradation. MDM2 translocation into the nucleus was also upregulated by HBx and resulted in enhanced transcriptional activity and expression of CXCL12 and CXCR4 independent of p53. This change in expression activated the Wnt/β-catenin pathway and promoted the stem-like properties of OV6⁺ liver CSCs. Furthermore, we observed that the expression of any two indicators from the HBx/MDM2/CXCR4/OV6 axis in HCC biopsies could predict the prognosis of patients with HBV-related HCC. Taken together, our findings indicate the functional role of HBx in regulating the stem-like properties of OV6⁺ CSCs in HCC through the MDM2/CXCL12/CXCR4/β-catenin signaling axis, and identify HBx, MDM2, CXCR4 and OV6 as a novel prognostic pathway and potential therapeutic targets for patients with HBV-related HCC patients.