Assessment of Discordance Between Physicians and Family Members Regarding Prognosis in Patients With Severe Acute Brain Injury

Research Priorities in Neuropalliative Care: A Consensus Statement From the International Neuropalliative Care Society

Importance

The integration of palliative care in neurology, or neuropalliative care, is an emerging area of practice focused on holistically improving quality of life and reducing the burden of suffering for people living with serious neurologic disease and their care partners. Major neurology and palliative care societies have recognized the need to advance primary and specialty palliative care services for people with neurologic disease. However, research to support this work is in its early stages.

Observations

The International Neuropalliative Care Society Research Committee convened an interdisciplinary panel of experts, including clinicians, scientists, people with neurologic disease, and care partners, to identify priority research areas for the advancement of neuropalliative care as a field. Three priority areas highlighted in this review include (1) patient- and care partner-centered symptoms and outcomes specific to neurologic illness and tools for their assessment, (2) development of effective neuropalliative care interventions and delivery models, and (3) methods to support the ability to foster, deliver, and measure goal-concordant care over time.

Conclusions and Relevance

This Special Communication outlines some of the most pressing neuropalliative care research needs, the advancement of which will best serve patients of all ages living with serious neurologic diseases and their care partners. Research funding mechanisms are needed to support and sustain impactful work in this field.

Palliative and End-of-Life Care in Stroke: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

OBJECTIVE

To provide an update on palliative care needs specific to stroke and provide key points for clinicians and health care systems caring for patients with stroke and their families.

METHODS

Members of the writing group were chosen to represent the multidisciplinary team of professionals who care for people who have had a stroke. Each member was assigned a topic within their area of expertise, reviewed the literature, and drafted content with a focus on the past decade to complement the 2014 American Heart Association scientific statement on palliative and end-of-life care in stroke.

RESULTS

Stroke has multidimensional effects on patients and their families because of threats to personhood, prognostic uncertainty, and the need to adapt to functional changes after stroke. Palliative care has evolved as both a specialty and a skillset with a goal to improve communication about goals of care and quality of life for patients and their families that emphasizes a holistic, all-person approach. After stroke, palliative care needs (eg, to address pain and physical, emotional, psychosocial, and spiritual distress) are insufficiently addressed by current models of care. Integrating palliative care principles is fundamental in all stages of stroke and should include strategies to improve communication about prognosis and goals of care, address psychosocial needs such as coping with loss, navigating complex health care systems, and preparing for death when necessary. We also review strategies to address the substantial inequities that exist across sociodemographic and regional strata in the use of life-sustaining treatment and access to specialists in stroke or palliative care.

CONCLUSIONS

Palliative care needs are common after stroke and should be addressed throughout the illness continuum. Research is urgently needed.

Perspectives on Implementing a Communication Facilitator Intervention From a Critical Care Setting

CONTEXT

Critically-ill patients and their families often experience communication challenges during their ICU stay and across care transitions. An intervention using communication facilitators may help address these challenges.

OBJECTIVES

Using clinicians' perspectives, we identified facilitators and barriers to implementing a communication intervention.

METHODS

Using purposive sampling, we conducted semi-structured interviews with 17 clinicians from an intensive care unit at an academic health center that participated in a randomized trial of communication facilitators. We used the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR) to guide data collection and analysis.

RESULTS

CFIR constructs of relative advantage, communication, and critical incidents facilitated the intervention's implementation. CFIR constructs of access to knowledge and information, relational connections, and clinician knowledge and belief hindered its implementation. Clinicians reported that facilitators provided continuity to patients and families, support in a trusting and proactive manner over transitions of care, and bridged communication between families and clinicians particularly during the Covid-19 pandemic. Limited information about the intervention prevented clinicians from working with facilitators earlier in the course of the intervention. Differences in beliefs regarding facilitator involvement during family meetings also hampered the intervention's implementation.

CONCLUSIONS

Future studies should incorporate implementation strategies that help connect facilitators to clinicians early in the intervention period which may improve role clarity and enhance collaboration.

Development of web- and mobile-based shared decision-making tools in the neurological intensive care unit

In the neurological intensive care unit (neuroICU), patients with severe acute brain injury (SABI) are rendered unable to make their own healthcare decisions. The responsibility of making life-or-death decisions, such as goals of care, is carried by surrogate decision-makers, usually families. In addition to the burden of decision-making, the emotional burden on families is further compounded by prognostication uncertainty, time-pressure for decision-making, and difficulties in understanding and interpreting the patient's values and preferences, ultimately resulting in potential clinician-family communication breakdown. Despite these challenges, there is currently no guidance on how to best approach these difficult decisions. Shared decision-making (SDM) has emerged as the recommended approach to improve clinician-family communication, empowering surrogates to take an active role in decision-making by providing a structured framework for information exchange, deliberation, and treatment decisions. Decision aids (DAs) facilitate SDM by offering balanced, accessible, unbiased information and helping surrogates decide according to patients' values. This review highlights the potential advantage of digital over paper-based DAs, including improved accessibility, interactivity, and personalization, and the integration of emerging technologies to enhance DA effectiveness. Additionally, we review the current digital DAs developed for the neuroICU setting.

Surrogates may not accurately estimate resilience and spirituality in neurologically critically ill patients

BACKGROUND

Surrogates often provide substituted judgement for neurologically critically ill patients. Resilience and spirituality are understudied constructs in this patient population. In this study we examine how accurately surrogates estimate measures of resilience and spirituality for neurologically critically ill patients.

METHODS

A convenience sample of English/Spanish speaking neurologically critically ill patient-surrogate dyads was enrolled from March 2016 to 2018. Questionnaires related to resilience (CD-RISC-10), spiritual wellbeing (positive Brief R-COPE), and spiritual turmoil (negative Brief R-cope) were completed by patients for themselves and surrogates on behalf of patients while in the Neurosciences Intensive Care Unit. Responses were evaluated by Spearman's rank-order correlation, Bland-Altman analysis and Cohen's weighted kappa.

RESULTS

51 dyads were included. No correlation was found between patient and surrogate CD-RISC-10 (0.17, p = 0.238); moderate, positive correlations for positive (0.47, p < 0.001) and negative (0.33, p = 0.021) Brief R-COPE. Mean differences between patient and surrogate scores were low for CD-RISC-10 (-1.0 point), positive R-COPE (- 0.14 point), and negative R-COPE (0.02 point) suggesting lack of bias towards over/under-estimation. Kappa scores demonstrate fair inter-rater agreement for positive/negative R-COPE and no agreement for CD-RISC-10.

CONCLUSION

Surrogate evaluations lack systematic bias, but may not estimate resilience and spirituality reliably for neurologically critically ill patients.

Race and Socio-Economic Status Impact Withdrawal of Treatment in Young Traumatic Brain Injury

CONTEXT

Withdrawal of life-sustaining therapies (WDLST) in young individuals with traumatic brain injury (TBI) is an overwhelming situation often made more stressful by socioeconomic factors that shape health outcomes. Identifying these factors is crucial to developing equitable and goal-concordant care for patients and families.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to identify predictors of WDLST in young patients with 1-TBI. We hypothesized uninsured payment method, race, and co-morbid status are associated with WDLST.

METHODS

We queried the 2021 Trauma Quality Improvement Program database for patients <45 years with TBI. Patients with WDLST were compared to patients without WDLST. Multivariable logistic regression (MLR) was performed.

RESULTS

61,115 patients were included, of whom 2,487 (4.1%) underwent WDLST. Patients in the WDLST cohort were older (29 vs 27, P<0.001), more likely to suffer from a penetrating mechanism (29% vs 11%, P<.0001), and have uninsured (22% vs 18%) or other payment method (5% vs 3%) when compared to the non-WDLST cohort. MLR identified age (AOR:1.019, 95% CI 1.014-1.024, P<.0001), non-Hispanic ethnicity (AOR:1.590, 95% CI 1.373-1.841, P<.0001), penetrating mechanism (AOR:3.075, 95% CI 2.727-3.467, P<.0001), systolic blood pressure (AOR: 0.992, 95% CI 0.990-0.993, P<0.0001), advanced directive (AOR:4.987, 95% CI 2.823-8.812, P<.0001), cirrhosis (AOR:3.854, 95% CI 2.641-5.625, P<.0001), disseminated cancer (AOR:6.595, 95% CI 2.370-18.357, P=0.0003), and interfacility transfer (AOR:1.457, 95% CI 1.295-1.640, P<0.0001) as factors associated with WDLST. Black patients were less likely to undergo WDLST when compared to white patients (AOR:0.687, 95% CI 0.603-0.782, P<.0001).

CONCLUSION

The decision for WDLST in young patients with severe TBI may be influenced by cultural and socioeconomic factors in addition to clinical considerations.

Navigating Neurologic Illness: Skills in Neuropalliative Care for Persons Hospitalized with Neurologic Disease

Persons hospitalized for neurologic illness face multidimensional care needs. They can benefit from a palliative care approach that focuses on quality of life for persons with serious illness. We describe neurology provider "skills" to help meet these palliative needs: assessing the patient as a whole; facilitating conversations with patients to connect prognosis to care preferences; navigating neurologic illness to prepare patients and care partners for the future; providing high-quality end-of-life care to promote peace in death; and addressing disparities in care delivery.

Shared Decision-Making Communication and Prognostic Misunderstanding in the ICU

Importance

Surrogate misunderstanding of patient survival prognosis in the intensive care unit (ICU) is associated with poor patient and surrogate outcomes. Shared decision-making (SDM) may reduce misunderstanding.

Objective

To evaluate the association between SDM-aligned communication and prognostic misunderstanding.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective cohort study was conducted at 13 medical and surgical ICUs at 5 hospitals in North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Washington between December 2012 and January 2017. Participants were surrogates of adult patients receiving prolonged mechanical ventilation and ICU physicians. Analysis was performed May to November 2023.

Exposure

SDM-aligned communication during ICU family meetings, defined as the presence of high-quality serious illness communication behaviors aligned with SDM principles.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was postmeeting surrogate prognostic misunderstanding, defined as the absolute difference between the physician's estimate of survival prognosis and the surrogate's perception of that estimate (range, 0-100 percentage points). The secondary outcome was postmeeting physician misunderstanding, defined as the absolute difference between a surrogate's estimate of survival prognosis and the physician's perception of that estimate (range, 0-100 percentage points). Prognostic misunderstanding of 20 percentage points or greater was considered clinically significant as in prior work.

Results

Of 137 surrogates, most were female (102 [74.5%]), and there were 22 (16.1%) Black surrogates, 107 (78.1%) White surrogates, and 8 surrogates (5.8%) with other race and ethnicity. Of 100 physicians, most were male (64 [64.0%]), with 11 (11.0%) Asian physicians, 4 (4.0%) Black physicians, and 75 (75.0%) White physicians. Median (IQR) surrogate prognostic misunderstanding declined significantly after family meetings (before: 22.0 [10.0 to 40.0] percentage points; after: 15.0 [5.0 to 34.0] percentage points; P = .002), but there was no significant change in median (IQR) physician prognostic misunderstanding (before: 12.0 [5.0 to 30.0] percentage points; after: 15.0 [5.0 to 29.0] percentage points; P = .99). In adjusted analyses, SDM-aligned communication was not associated with prognostic misunderstanding among surrogates or physicians (surrogates: β = -0.74; 95% CI, -1.81 to 0.32; P = .17; physicians: β = -0.51; 95% CI, -1.63 to 0.62; P = .38). In a prespecified subgroup analysis of 78 surrogates (56.9%) with clinically significant premeeting prognostic misunderstanding, SDM-aligned communication was associated with reduced surrogate postmeeting prognostic misunderstanding (β = -1.71; 95% CI, -3.09 to -0.34; P = .01).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this retrospective cohort study, SDM-aligned communication was not associated with changes in prognostic misunderstanding for all surrogates or physicians, but it was associated with reduced prognostic misunderstanding among surrogates with clinically significant misunderstanding at baseline.

Bioethics and Neurosurgery: An Overview of Existing and Emerging Topics for the Practicing Neurosurgeon

Neurosurgery is a field with complex ethical issues. In this article, we aim to provide an overview of key and emerging ethical issues in neurosurgery with a focus on issues relevant to practicing neurosurgeons. These issues include those of informed consent, capacity, clinical trials, emerging neurotechnology, innovation, equity and justice, and emerging bioethics areas including community engagement and organizational ethics. We argue that bioethics can help neurosurgeons think about and address these issues, and, in turn, the field of bioethics can benefit from engagement by neurosurgeons. Several ideas for increasing engagement in bioethics are proposed.

Shared Decision-Making for Patients with Stroke in Neurocritical Care: A Qualitative Meta-Synthesis

Decision-making for patients with stroke in neurocritical care is uniquely challenging because of the gravity and high preference sensitivity of these decisions. Shared decision-making (SDM) is recommended to align decisions with patient values. However, limited evidence exists on the experiences and perceptions of key stakeholders involved in SDM for neurocritical patients with stroke. This review aims to address this gap by providing a comprehensive analysis of the experiences and perspectives of those involved in SDM for neurocritical stroke care to inform best practices in this context. A qualitative meta-synthesis was conducted following the methodological guidelines of the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI), using the thematic synthesis approach outlined by Thomas and Harden. Database searches covered PubMed, CIHAHL, EMBASE, PsycINFO, and Web of Science from inception to July 2023, supplemented by manual searches. After screening, quality appraisal was performed using the JBI Appraisal Checklist. Data analysis comprised line-by-line coding, development of descriptive themes, and creation of analytical themes using NVivo 12 software. The initial search yielded 7,492 articles, with 94 undergoing full-text screening. Eighteen articles from five countries, published between 2010 and 2023, were included in the meta-synthesis. These studies focused on the SDM process, covering life-sustaining treatments (LSTs), palliative care, and end-of-life care, with LST decisions being most common. Four analytical themes, encompassing ten descriptive themes, emerged: prognostic uncertainty, multifaceted balancing act, tripartite role dynamics and information exchange, and influences of sociocultural context. These themes form the basis for a conceptual model offering deeper insights into the essential elements, relationships, and behaviors that characterize SDM in neurocritical care. This meta-synthesis of 18 primary studies offers a higher-order interpretation and an emerging conceptual understanding of SDM in neurocritical care, with implications for practice and further research. The complex role dynamics among SDM stakeholders require careful consideration, highlighting the need for stroke-specific communication strategies. Expanding the evidence base across diverse sociocultural settings is critical to enhance the understanding of SDM in neurocritical patients with stroke.Trial registration This study is registered with PROSPERO under the registration number CRD42023461608.

Medical Forecasting-A Skill Set Worthy of Attention

This Viewpoint discusses the importance of developing medical forecasting skills to improve clinician/patient/family communications regarding prognosis.

Can acutely ill patients predict their outcomes? A scoping review

INTRODUCTION

The full impact of an acute illness on subsequent health is seldom explicitly discussed with patients. Patients' estimates of their likely prognosis have been explored in chronic care settings and can contribute to the improvement of clinical outcomes and patient satisfaction. This scoping review aimed to identify studies of acutely ill patients' estimates of their outcomes and potential benefits for their care.

METHODS

A search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Google Scholar, using terms related to prognostication and acute care. After removal of duplicates, all articles were assessed for relevance by six investigator pairs; disagreements were resolved by a third investigator. Risk of bias was assessed according to the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions.

RESULTS

Our search identified 3265 articles, of which 10 were included. The methods of assessing self-prognostication were very heterogeneous. Patients seem to be able to predict their need for hospital admission in certain settings, but not their length of stay. The severity of their symptoms and the burden of their disease are often overestimated or underestimated by patients. Patients with severe health conditions and their relatives tend to be overoptimistic about the likely outcome.

CONCLUSION

The understanding of acutely ill patients of their likely outcomes and benefits of treatment has not been adequately studied and is a major knowledge gap. Limited published literature suggests patients may be able to predict their need for hospital admission. Illness perception may influence help-seeking behaviour, speed of recovery and subsequent quality of life. Knowledge of patients' self-prognosis may enhance communication between patients and their physicians, which improves patient-centred care.

Patients' perceptions on outcomes after mechanical thrombectomy in acute ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

The modified Rankin Scale (mRS) is a clinician-reported scale that measures the degree of disability in patients who suffered a stroke. Patients' perception of a meaningful recovery from severe stroke, expected value of a stroke intervention, and the effect of disparities are largely unknown.

METHODS

We conducted a survey of patients, their family members, and accompanying visitors to understand their personal preferences and expectations for acute strokes potentially eligible for acute endovascular intervention using a hypothetical scenario of a severe stroke in a standardized questionnaire.

RESULTS

Of 164 survey respondents, 65 (39.6%) were the patient involved, 93 (56.7%) were a family member, and six (3.7%) were accompanied visitors (friends, other). Minimally acceptable disability after a stroke intervention was considered as mRS 2 by 42 respondents (25.6%), as mRS 3 by 79 (48.2%), and as mRS 4 by 43 (26.2%) respondents. Race was associated with different views on this question (p < 0.001; Hispanic and Black patients being more likely to accept disability than Caucasian and Asian patients), while sex (p = 0.333) and age (p = 0.560) were not. Sixty-three respondents (38.4%) viewed minimally acceptable probability of improvement with an intervention as over 50%, 57 (34.8%) as 10-50%, and 44 (26.8%) as less than 10%.

CONCLUSIONS

A wide range of acceptable outcomes were reported regardless of gender or age. However, race was associated with different acceptable outcome. This is an important finding to demonstrate because of the persistent racial and ethnic disparities in the utilization of endovascular therapy for acute stroke in the United States.

Limitation of life sustaining measures in neurocritical care: sex, timing, and advance directive

BACKGROUND

The limitation of life sustaining treatments (LLST) causes ethical dilemmas even in patients faced with poor prognosis, which applies to many patients admitted to a Neurocritical Care Unit (NCCU). The effects of social and cultural aspects on LLST in an NCCU population remain poorly studied.

METHODS

All NCCU patients between 01.2018 and 08.2021 were included. Medical records were reviewed for: demographics, diagnosis, severity of disease, and outcome. Advance directives (AD) and LLST discussions were reviewed evaluating timing, degree, and reason for LLST. Social/cultural factors (nationality, language spoken, religion, marital status, relationship to/sex of legal representative) were noted. Associations between these factors and the patients' sex, LLST timing, and presence of AD were evaluated.

RESULTS

Out of 2975 patients, 12% of men and 10.5% of women underwent LLST (p = 0.30). Women, compared to men, more commonly received withdrawal instead of withholding of life sustaining treatments (57.5 vs. 45.1%, p = 0.028) despite comparable disease severity. Women receiving LLST were older (73 ± 11.7 vs. 69 ± 14.9 years, p = 0.005) and often without a partner (43.8 vs. 25.8%, p = 0.001) compared to men. AD were associated with female sex and early LLST, but not with an increased in-hospital mortality (57.1 vs. 75.2% of patients with and without AD respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients receiving LLST, the presence of an AD was associated with an increase of early LLST, but not with an increased in-hospital mortality. This supports the notion that the presence of an AD is primarily an expression of the patients' will but does not per se predestine the patient for an unfavorable outcome.

An Update on Palliative Care in Neurocritical Care: Providing Goal‑Concordant Care in the Face of Prognostic Uncertainty

Purpose of review

We investigate the complexities and interplay between the concepts of prognostic uncertainty and patient preferences as they relate to the delivery of goal-concordant care to patients with severe acute brain injuries (SABI) in the Neurological Intensive Care Unit (Neuro-ICU).

Recent findings

Patients with SABI in the Neuro-ICU have unique palliative care needs due to sudden, often unexpected changes in personhood and quality of life. A substantial amount of uncertainty is inherent and poses a challenge to both the patient's prognosis and treatment preferences. The delivery of goal-concordant care can be difficult to achieve.

Prognostic Discordance Among Parents and Physicians Caring for Infants with Neurologic Conditions

OBJECTIVE

To determine the frequency, degree, and nature of prognostic discordance between parents and physicians caring for infants with neurologic conditions.

STUDY DESIGN

In this observational cohort study, we enrolled parents and physicians caring for infants with neurologic conditions in advance of a family conference. Parent-physician dyads completed a postconference survey targeting expected neurologic outcomes across 3 domains (motor, speech, and cognition) using a 6-point scale. Prognostic discordance was defined as a difference of ≥2 response options and was considered moderate (difference of 2-3 response options) or high (difference of 4-5 response options). Responses were categorized as differences in belief and/or differences in understanding using an existing paradigm.

RESULTS

Forty parent-physician dyads of 28 infants completed surveys. Parent-physician discordance about prognosis occurred in ≥1 domain in the majority of dyads (n = 28/40, 70%). Discordance was generally moderate in degree (n = 23/28, 82%) and occurred with similar frequency across all domains. Of parent-physician dyads with discordance, the majority contained a difference in understanding in at least 1 domain (n = 25/28, 89%), while a minority contained a difference of belief (n = 6/28, 21%). When discordance was present, parents were typically more optimistic in their predictions compared with physicians (n = 25/28, 89%).

CONCLUSIONS

Differing perceptions about the prognosis of critically ill infants are common and due to differences in both understanding and belief. These findings can be used to develop targeted interventions to improve prognostic communication.

Prevalence and predictors of shared decision-making in goals-of-care clinician-family meetings for critically ill neurologic patients: a multi-center mixed-methods study

BACKGROUND

Shared decision-making is a joint process where patients, or their surrogates, and clinicians make health choices based on evidence and preferences. We aimed to determine the extent and predictors of shared decision-making for goals-of-care discussions for critically ill neurological patients, which is crucial for patient-goal-concordant care but currently unknown.

METHODS

We analyzed 72 audio-recorded routine clinician-family meetings during which goals-of-care were discussed from seven US hospitals. These occurred for 67 patients with 72 surrogates and 29 clinicians; one hospital provided 49/72 (68%) of the recordings. Using a previously validated 10-element shared decision-making instrument, we quantified the extent of shared decision-making in each meeting. We measured clinicians' and surrogates' characteristics and prognostic estimates for the patient's hospital survival and 6-month independent function using post-meeting questionnaires. We calculated clinician-family prognostic discordance, defined as ≥ 20% absolute difference between the clinician's and surrogate's estimates. We applied mixed-effects regression to identify independent associations with greater shared decision-making.

RESULTS

The median shared decision-making score was 7 (IQR 5-8). Only 6% of meetings contained all 10 shared decision-making elements. The most common elements were "discussing uncertainty"(89%) and "assessing family understanding"(86%); least frequent elements were "assessing the need for input from others"(36%) and "eliciting the context of the decision"(33%). Clinician-family prognostic discordance was present in 60% for hospital survival and 45% for 6-month independent function. Univariate analyses indicated associations between greater shared decision-making and younger clinician age, fewer years in practice, specialty (medical-surgical critical care > internal medicine > neurocritical care > other > trauma surgery), and higher clinician-family prognostic discordance for hospital survival. After adjustment, only higher clinician-family prognostic discordance for hospital survival remained independently associated with greater shared decision-making (p = 0.029).

CONCLUSION

Fewer than 1 in 10 goals-of-care clinician-family meetings for critically ill neurological patients contained all shared decision-making elements. Our findings highlight gaps in shared decision-making. Interventions promoting shared decision-making for high-stakes decisions in these patients may increase patient-value congruent care; future studies should also examine whether they will affect decision quality and surrogates' health outcomes.

Cognitive Biases and Shared Decision Making in Acute Brain Injury

Many patients hospitalized after severe acute brain injury are comatose and require life-sustaining therapies. Some of these patients make favorable recoveries with continued intensive care, while others do not. In addition to providing medical care, clinicians must guide surrogate decision makers through high-stakes, emotionally charged decisions about whether to continue life-sustaining therapies. These consultations require clinicians first to assess a patient's likelihood of recovery given continued life-sustaining therapies (i.e., prognosticate), then to communicate that prediction to surrogates, and, finally, to elicit and interpret the patient's preferences. At each step, both clinicians and surrogates are vulnerable to flawed decision making. Clinicians can be imprecise, biased, and overconfident when prognosticating after brain injury. Surrogates can misperceive the choice and misunderstand or misrepresent a patient's wishes, which may never have been communicated clearly. These biases can undermine the ability to reach choices congruent with patients' preferences through shared decision making (SDM). Decision science has extensively studied these biases. In this article, we apply that research to improving SDM for patients who are comatose after acute brain injury. After introducing SDM and the medical context, we describe principal decision science results as they relate to neurologic prognostication and end-of-life decisions, by both clinicians and surrogates. Based on research regarding general processes that can produce imprecise, biased, and overconfident prognoses, we propose interventions that could improve SDM, supporting clinicians and surrogates in making these challenging decisions.

Early Shared Decision-Making for Older Adults with Traumatic Brain Injury: Using Time-Limited Trials and Understanding Their Limitations

Older adults account for a disproportionate share of the morbidity and mortality after traumatic brain injury (TBI). Predicting functional and cognitive outcomes for individual older adults after TBI is challenging in the acute phase of injury. Given that neurologic recovery is possible and uncertain, life-sustaining therapy may be pursued initially, even if for some, there is a risk of survival to an undesired level of disability or dependence. Experts recommend early conversations about goals of care after TBI, but evidence-based guidelines for these discussions or for the optimal method for communicating prognosis are limited. The time-limited trial (TLT) model may be an effective strategy for managing prognostic uncertainty after TBI. TLTs can provide a framework for early management: specific treatments or procedures are used for a defined period of time while monitoring for an agreed-upon outcome. Outcome measures, including signs of worsening and improvement, are defined at the outset of the trial. In this Viewpoint article, we discuss the use of TLTs for older adults with TBI, their potential benefits, and current challenges to their application. Three main barriers limit the implementation of TLTs in these scenarios: inadequate models for prognostication; cognitive biases faced by clinicians and surrogate decision-makers, which may contribute to prognostic discordance; and ambiguity regarding appropriate endpoints for the TLT. Further study is needed to understand clinician behaviors and surrogate preferences for prognostic communication and how to optimally integrate TLTs into the care of older adults with TBI.

Prognostic Language in Critical Neurologic Illness: A Multicenter Mixed-Methods Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

There are no evidence-based guidelines for discussing prognosis in critical neurologic illness, but in general, experts recommend that clinicians communicate prognosis using estimates, such as numerical or qualitative expressions of risk. Little is known about how real-world clinicians communicate prognosis in critical neurologic illness. Our primary objective was to characterize prognostic language clinicians used in critical neurologic illness. We additionally explored whether prognostic language differed between prognostic domains (e.g., survival, cognition).

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter cross-sectional mixed-methods study analyzing deidentified transcripts of audio-recorded clinician-family meetings for patients with neurologic illness requiring intensive care (e.g., intracerebral hemorrhage, traumatic brain injury, severe stroke) from 7 US centers. Two coders assigned codes for prognostic language type and domain of prognosis to each clinician prognostic statement. Prognostic language was coded as probabilistic (estimating the likelihood of an outcome occurring, e.g., "80% survival"; "She'll probably survive") or nonprobabilistic (characterizing outcomes without offering likelihood; e.g., "She may not survive"). We applied univariate and multivariate binomial logistic regression to examine independent associations between prognostic language and domain of prognosis.

RESULTS

We analyzed 43 clinician-family meetings for 39 patients with 78 surrogates and 27 clinicians. Clinicians made 512 statements about survival (median 0/meeting [interquartile range (IQR) 0-2]), physical function (median 2 [IQR 0-7]), cognition (median 2 [IQR 0-6]), and overall recovery (median 2 [IQR 1-4]). Most statements were nonprobabilistic (316/512 [62%]); 10 of 512 prognostic statements (2%) offered numeric estimates; and 21% (9/43) of family meetings only contained nonprobabilistic language. Compared with statements about cognition, statements about survival (odds ratio [OR] 2.50, 95% CI 1.01-6.18, p = 0.048) and physical function (OR 3.22, 95% 1.77-5.86, p < 0.001) were more frequently probabilistic. Statements about physical function were less likely to be uncertainty-based than statements about cognition (OR 0.34, 95% CI 0.17-0.66, p = 0.002).

DISCUSSION

Clinicians preferred not to use estimates (either numeric or qualitative) when discussing critical neurologic illness prognosis, especially when they discussed cognitive outcomes. These findings may inform interventions to improve prognostic communication in critical neurologic illness.

Do They Have a Choice? Surrogate Decision-Making After Severe Acute Brain Injury

OBJECTIVES

In the early phase of severe acute brain injury (SABI), surrogate decision-makers must make treatment decisions in the face of prognostic uncertainty. Evidence-based strategies to communicate uncertainty and support decision-making are lacking. Our objective was to better understand surrogate experiences and needs during the period of active decision-making in SABI, to inform interventions to support SABI patients and families and improve clinician-surrogate communication.

DESIGN

We interviewed surrogate decision-makers during patients' acute hospitalization for SABI, as part of a larger ( n = 222) prospective longitudinal cohort study of patients with SABI and their family members. Constructivist grounded theory informed data collection and analysis.

SETTING

One U.S. academic medical center.

PATIENTS

We iteratively collected and analyzed semistructured interviews with 22 surrogates for 19 patients.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Through several rounds of coding, interview notes, reflexive memos, and group discussion, we developed a thematic model describing the relationship between surrogate perspectives on decision-making and surrogate experiences of prognostic uncertainty. Patients ranged from 20 to 79 years of age (mean = 55 years) and had primary diagnoses of stroke ( n = 13; 68%), traumatic brain injury ( n = 5; 26%), and anoxic brain injury after cardiac arrest ( n = 1; 5%). Patients were predominantly male ( n = 12; 63%), whereas surrogates were predominantly female ( n = 13; 68%). Two distinct perspectives on decision-making emerged: one group of surrogates felt a clear sense of agency around decision-making, whereas the other group reported a more passive role in decision-making, such that they did not even perceive there being a decision to make. Surrogates in both groups identified prognostic uncertainty as the central challenge in SABI, but they managed it differently. Only surrogates who felt they were actively deciding described time-limited trials as helpful.

CONCLUSIONS

In this qualitative study, not all surrogate "decision-makers" viewed themselves as making decisions. Nearly all struggled with prognostic uncertainty. Our findings underline the need for longitudinal prognostic communication strategies in SABI targeted at surrogates' current perspectives on decision-making.

Common Data Elements for Disorders of Consciousness: Recommendations from the Working Group on Goals-of-care and Family/Surrogate Decision-Maker Data

INTRODUCTION

In order to facilitate comparative research, it is essential for the fields of neurocritical care and rehabilitation to establish common data elements (CDE) for disorders of consciousness (DoC). Our objective was to identify CDEs related to goals-of-care decisions and family/surrogate decision-making for patients with DoC.

METHODS

To achieve this, we formed nine CDE working groups as part of the Neurocritical Care Society's Curing Coma Campaign. Our working group focused on goals-of-care decisions and family/surrogate decision-makers created five subgroups: (1) clinical variables of surrogates, (2) psychological distress of surrogates, (3) decision-making quality, (4) quality of communication, and (5) quality of end-of-life care. Each subgroup searched for existing relevant CDEs in the NIH/CDE catalog and conducted an extensive literature search for additional relevant study instruments to be recommended. We classified each CDE according to the standard definitions of "core," "basic," "exploratory," or "supplemental," as well as their utility for studying the acute or chronic phase of DoC, or both.

RESULTS

We identified 32 relevant pre-existing NIH CDEs across all subgroups. A total of 34 new instruments were added across all subgroups. Only one CDE was recommended as disease core, the "mode of death" of the patient from the clinical variables subgroup.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings provide valuable CDEs specific to goals-of-care decisions and family/surrogate decision-making for patients with DoC that can be used to standardize studies to generate high-quality and reproducible research in this area.

International variability in the diagnosis and management of disorders of consciousness

This manuscript explores the international variability in the diagnosis and management of disorders of consciousness (DoC). The identification, evaluation, intervention, exploration, prognostication and limitation of therapy for patients with DoC is reviewed through an international lens. The myriad factors that impact the diagnosis and management of DoC including 1) financial, 2) legal and regulatory, 3) cultural, 4) religious and 5) psychosocial considerations are discussed. As data comparing patients with DoC internationally are limited, findings from the general critical care or neurocritical care literature are described when information specific to patients with DoC is unavailable. There is a need for improvements in clinical care, education, advocacy and research related to patients with DoC worldwide. It is imperative to standardize methodology to evaluate consciousness and prognosticate outcome. Further, education is needed to 1) generate awareness of the impact of the aforementioned considerations on patients with DoC and 2) develop techniques to optimize communication about DoC with families. It is necessary to promote equity in access to expertise and resources for patients with DoC to enhance the care of patients with DoC worldwide. Improving understanding and management of patients with DoC requires harmonization of existing datasets, development of registries where none exist and establishment of international clinical trial networks that include patients in all phases along the spectrum of care. The work of international organizations like the Curing Coma Campaign can hopefully minimize international variability in the diagnosis and management of DoC and optimize care.

Ethics of the algorithmic prediction of goal of care preferences: from theory to practice

Artificial intelligence (AI) systems are quickly gaining ground in healthcare and clinical decision-making. However, it is still unclear in what way AI can or should support decision-making that is based on incapacitated patients' values and goals of care, which often requires input from clinicians and loved ones. Although the use of algorithms to predict patients' most likely preferred treatment has been discussed in the medical ethics literature, no example has been realised in clinical practice. This is due, arguably, to the lack of a structured approach to the epistemological, ethical and pragmatic challenges arising from the design and use of such algorithms. The present paper offers a new perspective on the problem by suggesting that preference predicting AIs be viewed as sociotechnical systems with distinctive life-cycles. We explore how both known and novel challenges map onto the different stages of development, highlighting interdisciplinary strategies for their resolution.

‘We Have Guidelines, but We Can Also Be Artists’: Neurologists Discuss Prognostic Uncertainty, Cognitive Biases, and Scoring Tools

Introduction: Ischemic stroke is a leading cause of disability and mortality worldwide. As acute stroke patients often lose decision-making capacity, acute management is fraught with complicated decisions regarding life-sustaining treatment (LST). We aimed to explore (1) the perspectives and experiences of clinicians regarding the use of predictive scores for LST decision making in severe acute stroke, and (2) clinicians’ awareness of their own cognitive biases in this context. Methods: Four focus groups (FGs) were conducted with 21 physicians (13 residents and 8 attending physicians); two FGs in a university hospital and two in a regional hospital in French-speaking Switzerland. Discussions were audio-recorded and transcribed verbatim. Transcripts were analyzed thematically. Two of the four transcripts were double coded to establish coding framework consistency. Results: Participants reported that predictive tools were not routinely used after severe stroke, although most knew about such scores. Scores were reported as being useful in quantifying prognosis, advancing scientific evidence, and minimizing potential biases in decisions. Their use is, however, limited by the following barriers: perception of inaccuracy, general disbelief in scoring, fear of self-fulfilling prophecy, and preference for clinical judgement. Emotional and cognitive biases were common. Emotional biases distort clinicians’ knowledge and are notably: bias of personal values, negative experience, and cultural bias. Cognitive biases, such as availability, confirmation, and anchoring biases, that produce systematic deviations from rational thinking, were also identified. Conclusions: The results highlight opportunities to improve decision making in severe stroke through the promotion of predictive tools, strategies for communicating prognostic uncertainty, and minimizing cognitive biases among clinicians, in order to promote goal-concordant care.

Prognostic Discussion for Infants with Neurologic Conditions: Qualitative Analysis of Family Conferences

OBJECTIVE

We characterize the content and role of prognostic discussion for infants with neurologic conditions.

METHODS

In this descriptive qualitative study, we prospectively enrolled infants (age < 1 year) in the intensive care unit with a neurologic condition anticipated to have ≥1 family conference about prognosis or goals of care. We audiorecorded family conferences as they occurred. We used a rapid-cycle qualitative approach to identify and refine themes.

RESULTS

Forty infants and 61 parents were enrolled; 68 family conferences occurred for 24 infants. The majority of infant cases (n = 23/24, 96%) and conferences (n = 64/68, 94%) included discussion of neurologic prognosis. Common infant diagnoses included prematurity (n = 12, 52%), genetic conditions (n = 9, 35%), and brain malformations (n = 7, 30%). We identified 2 themes relating to the characterization of the infant's prognosis: (1) predictions of impairment and (2) rationale for prognostic predictions. We identified 3 themes characterizing the role of prognostic discussion: (1) aligning parent and clinician understanding of infant outcome, (2) influencing decision-making, and (3) preparing for life at home. We identified 2 themes characterizing discussion of prognostic uncertainty: (1) multilayered types of uncertainty and (2) holding space for hope alongside uncertainty.

INTERPRETATION

In this cohort of infants with neurologic conditions and their parents, we identified salient themes characterizing the content and role of discussion about neurologic outcome. Our findings highlight that prognostic discussion focuses on anticipated impairments, informs decision-making, and helps families prepare for home life. Future work should characterize whether these findings align with parent preferences for prognostic disclosure. ANN NEUROL 2022;92:699-709.

Prognosis Predictions by Families, Physicians, and Nurses of Patients with Severe Acute Brain Injury: Agreement and Accuracy

BACKGROUND

Effective shared decision-making relies on some degree of alignment between families and the medical team regarding a patient's likelihood of recovery. Patients with severe acute brain injury (SABI) are often unable to participate in decisions, and therefore family members make decisions on their behalf. The goal of this study was to evaluate agreement between prognostic predictions by families, physicians, and nurses of patients with SABI regarding their likelihood of regaining independence and to measure each group's prediction accuracy.

METHODS

This observational cohort study, conducted from 01/2018 to 07/2020, was based in the neuroscience and medical/cardiac intensive care units of a single center. Patient eligibility included a diagnosis of SABI-specifically stroke, traumatic brain injury, or hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy-and a Glasgow Coma Scale ≤ 12 after hospital day 2. At enrollment, families, physicians, and nurses were asked separately to predict a patient's likelihood of recovering to independence within 6 months on a 0-100 scale, regardless of whether a formal family meeting had occurred. True outcome was based on modified Rankin Scale assessment through a family report or medical chart review. Prognostic agreement was measured by (1) intraclass correlation coefficient; (2) mean group prediction comparisons using paired Student's t-tests; and (3) prevalence of concordance, defined as an absolute difference of less than 20 percentage points between predictions. Accuracy for each group was measured by calculating the area under a receiver operating characteristic curve (C statistic) and compared by using DeLong's test.

RESULTS

Data were collected from 222 patients and families, 45 physicians, and 103 nurses. Complete data on agreement and accuracy were available for 187 and 177 patients, respectively. The intraclass correlation coefficient, in which 1 indicates perfect correlation and 0 indicates no correlation, was 0.49 for physician-family pairs, 0.40 for family-nurse pairs, and 0.66 for physician-nurse pairs. The difference in mean predictions between families and physicians was 23.5 percentage points (p < 0.001), 25.4 between families and nurses (p < 0.001), and 1.9 between physicians and nurses (p = 0.38). Prevalence of concordance was 39.6% for family-physician pairs, 30.0% for family-nurse pairs, and 56.2% for physician-nurse pairs. The C statistic for prediction accuracy was 0.65 for families, 0.82 for physicians, and 0.76 for nurses. The p values for differences in C statistics were < 0.05 for family-physician and family-nurse groups and 0.18 for physician-nurse groups.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with SABI, agreement in predictions between families, physicians, and nurses regarding likelihood of recovery is poor. Accuracy appears higher for physicians and nurses compared with families, with no significant difference between physicians and nurses.

Surrogates of Patients With Severe Acute Brain Injury Experience Persistent Anxiety and Depression Over the 6 Months After ICU Admission

CONTEXT

Severe Acute Brain Injury (SABI) is neurologically devastating, and surrogates for these patients may struggle with particularly complex decisions due to substantial prognostic uncertainty.

OBJECTIVES

To compare anxiety and depression symptoms over time between SABI surrogates and non-SABI surrogates for patients requiring prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV).

METHODS

We conducted a secondary analysis of the data from a multicenter randomized trial of a decision aid intervention for surrogates of adults experiencing PMV. Eligible patients were enrolled from medical, surgical, trauma, cardiac, and neurologic intensive care units (ICUs). ICU admitting diagnoses were used to identify patients experiencing SABI. We compared anxiety and depression symptoms as measured by the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale score 6 months after trial enrollment between surrogates of patients with SABI and surrogates of patients experiencing PMV for other reasons.

RESULTS

Our analysis included 206 patients, 60 (29%) with SABI and 146 (71%) without SABI, and their primary surrogate decision makers. After adjusting for potential confounders including surrogate demographics, surrogate financial distress, patient severity of illness baseline GCS, and patient health status at 6 months, we found that surrogates of patients experiencing SABI had higher symptoms of anxiety and depression than surrogates of non-SABI patients (adjusted mean difference 3.6, 95% CI 1.2-6.0).

CONCLUSION

Surrogates of PMV patients with SABI experience persistently elevated anxiety and depression symptoms over 6 months compared to surrogates of PMV patients without SABI. Further work is needed to understand contributors to prolonged distress in this higher risk population.

Prognostication in neurology

Prognosticating is central to primary palliative care in neurology. Many neurologic diseases carry a high burden of troubling symptoms, and many individuals consider health states due to neurologic disease worse than death. Many patients and families report high levels of need for information at all disease stages, including information about prognosis. There are many barriers to communicating prognosis including prognostic uncertainty, lack of training and experience, fear of destroying hope, and not enough time. Developing the right mindset, tools, and skills can improve one's ability to formulate and communicate prognosis. Prognosticating is subject to many biases which can dramatically affect the quality of patient care; it is important for providers to recognize and reduce them. Patients and surrogates often do not hear what they are told, and even when they hear correctly, they form their own opinions. With practice and self-reflection, one can improve their prognostic skills, help patients and families create honest roadmaps of the future, and deliver high-quality person-centered care.