Women with Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes Have Higher Odds of Midlife Stroke: The Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health Study

Background: A history of adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) is associated with increased risk of future cardiovascular disease, including stroke. Few large U.S. population-based surveys included data on APOs. Methods: The Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health study is a nationally representative survey of 45,971 U.S. respondents. Female respondents ≥50 years old who reported pregnancy history at the 2013-2014 baseline interview were included in this cross-sectional analysis (n = 3,175; weighted n = 35,783,619). The primary exposure was a history of ≥1 APO, including preterm delivery, low birth weight, preeclampsia, placental abruption, and stillbirth. The primary outcomes were (1) stroke before age 60 and (2) any stroke. We used weighted logistic regression models to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for the association between APO and stroke, adjusting for age, race/ethnicity, socioeconomic status, parity, and vascular risk factors. Results: Among stroke-free respondents, 15% reported ≥1 APO. Among women who reported a stroke before age 60, 39% reported ≥1 APO (p < 0.001); among women reporting stroke at any age, 25% reported ≥1 APO (p = 0.01). Controlling for covariates, women with APOs had increased odds of stroke before age 60 (adjusted OR 2.66, 95% CI 1.49, 4.75). The association of APOs with stroke at any age was not significant after controlling for covariates (adjusted OR 1.57, 95% CI 0.93, 2.64). Conclusion: In this analysis of U.S. nationally representative survey data, APOs were independently associated with midlife stroke. Women with APOs have higher odds of midlife stroke and warrant targeted prevention strategies.

One-year all-cause mortality after stroke: a prediction model

OBJECTIVE

By using data from Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) national databases, this article presents and internally validates a 1-year all-cause mortality prediction index after hospitalization for acute stroke.

DESIGN

An observational cohort.

SETTING

VA medical centers.

PARTICIPANTS

Veterans with a diagnosis of a new stroke who were discharged between October 1, 2006, and September 30, 2008.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Death due to any cause that occurred between the index hospital discharge date and the 1-year anniversary of that date.

RESULTS

Within 1-year after discharge, 1542 (12.3%) of the total 12,565 patients had died. Seventeen risk factors known at the point of hospital discharge remained in the predictive model of 1-year postdischarge mortality after backward selection, including advanced age, admission from extended care, type of stroke, 8 comorbid conditions, 4 types of procedures that occurred during the index hospitalization, hospital length of stay (longer than 3 weeks), and discharge location. We assigned a score to each variable in the final model and a risk score was determined for each patient by adding up the points for all risk factors present. According to these risk scores, the patients were divided into approximate quartiles that yielded low, moderate, high, and highest mortality likelihood strata. The risk of 1-year mortality ranged from 2.24% in the lowest quartile to 29.50% in the highest quartile in the derivation cohort and from 2.11%-30.77% in the validation cohort. Model discrimination demonstrated an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.785 in the derivation cohort and 0.787 in the validation cohort. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit indicated that the model fit was adequate (P = .69).

CONCLUSION

When using readily available data, a simple index that stratifies stroke patients at hospital discharge according to low, moderate, high, and highest likelihood of all-cause 1-year mortality is feasible and can inform the postdischarge planning process, depending on level of risk.

Comparison of ischemic stroke outcomes and patient and hospital characteristics by race/ethnicity and socioeconomic status

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Current literature provides mixed evidence on disparities by race/ethnicity and socioeconomic status in discharge outcomes after hospitalization for acute ischemic stroke. Using comprehensive data from 8 states, we sought to compare inpatient mortality and length of stay by race/ethnicity and socioeconomic status.

METHODS

We examined all 2007 hospitalizations for acute ischemic stroke in all nonfederal acute care hospitals in Arizona, California, Florida, Maine, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, and Texas. Population was stratified by race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic whites, non-Hispanic blacks, and Hispanics) and socioeconomic status, measured by median income of patient zip code. For each stratum, we estimated risk-adjusted rates of inpatient mortality and longer length of stay (greater than median length of stay). We also compared the hospitals where these subpopulations received care.

RESULTS

Hispanic and black patients accounted for 14% and 12% of all ischemic stroke admissions (N=147 780), respectively, and had lower crude inpatient mortality rates (Hispanic=4.5%, blacks=4.4%; all P<0.001) compared with white patients (5.8%). Hispanic and black patients were younger and fewer had any form of atrial fibrillation. Adjusted for patient risk, inpatient mortality was similar by race/ethnicity, but was significantly higher for low-income area patients than that for high-income area patients (odds ratio, 1.08; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.15). Risk-adjusted rates of longer length of stay were higher among minority and low-income area populations.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk-adjusted inpatient mortality was similar among patients by race/ethnicity but higher among patients from lower income areas. However, this pattern was not evident in sensitivity analyses, including the use of mechanical ventilation as a partial surrogate for stroke severity.