Development and validation of a clinical index for assessment of long-term damage in juvenile idiopathic arthritis

Intravenous Golimumab in Children With Polyarticular-Course Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis: Long-Term Extension of an Open-Label Phase III Study

OBJECTIVE

To report pharmacokinetics (PK), immunogenicity, clinical effect, and safety of intravenous (IV) golimumab in children with active polyarticular-course juvenile idiopathic arthritis (pcJIA) who participated in A Study to Evaluate the Pharmacokinetics, Efficacy and Safety of Intravenous Golimumab in Pediatric Participants With Active Polyarticular Course Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis Despite Methotrexate Therapy (GO-VIVA)'s open-label, long-term extension (LTE) through week 252.

METHODS

GO-VIVA participants who continued IV golimumab (80 mg/m2 every 8 weeks) after week 52 were included. PK and safety were assessed through week 244 (last dose) and week 252, respectively, and clinical response through week 116. Clinical outcomes included JIA-American College of Rheumatology (ACR) responses and clinical Juvenile Arthritis Disease Activity Score in 10 joints (cJADAS10). Binary outcomes used nonresponder imputation, and other descriptive analyses used observed data.

RESULTS

Of 112/127 (88.2%) participants entering the LTE, 69 completed the week 252 visit. Median steady-state trough golimumab concentrations were generally maintained from week 52 through week 244 (range 0.3-0.6 μg/mL). Antigolimumab antibody rates were consistent through week 52 (39.2% [49/125]) and week 244 (44.8% [56/125]). Week 52 JIA-ACR 30/50/70/90 response rates (75.6% [96/127], 74% [94/127], 65.4% [83/127], and 48.8% [62/127], respectively) were generally maintained through week 116 (72.4% [92/127], 71.7% [91/127], 63.8% [81/127], and 50.4% [64/127], respectively), when the median cJADAS10 was 1.6 and 56.7% (72/127) of participants achieved cJADAS10 ≤ 5 (minimal disease activity). Rates (per 100 patient-years) of serious adverse events and serious infections through week 252 were 7.7 and 3.9, respectively.

CONCLUSION

GO-VIVA LTE participants experienced adequate PK exposure and stable safety and immunogenicity. The majority of participants experienced no more than minimal residual disease activity. Data suggest IV golimumab treatment provided durable clinical response through week 116, with an acceptable risk-benefit profile.

A lifelong journey: Long-term perspectives on Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis

Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis (JIA) represents a diverse group of chronic inflammatory conditions that begin in childhood or adolescence and continue into adulthood, with varying severity and outcomes. This review discusses the complexities of transitioning JIA patients emphasizing that inadequate transition from pediatric to adult care leads to loss of follow-up, treatment discontinuation, and increased disease activity. Furthermore, challenges in disease classification hinder continuity of care across lifespan. It is also pointed out that predicting long-term outcomes in JIA remains complex due to heterogeneity and evolving phenotypes. Factors such as disease category, joint involvement, and treatment influence disease activity, functional disability, and quality of life. Despite advancements in treatment strategies, a substantial proportion of patients experience long-term disability and joint damage. Finally, it is underscored that optimising long-term outcomes in adults with JIA requires a multifaceted approach encompassing structured transition processes, personalised treatment strategies, and comprehensive management of comorbidities. Further research is needed to refine predictive models, enhance disease monitoring tools, and understand the complex interplay between disease activity, treatment response, and long-term outcomes.

Disease Damage in Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the prevalence and predictors of disease-related damage in children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) in a resource-limited setting.

METHODS

A single-centre study was conducted from January 2021 - December 2022. Children (≤ 18 y) diagnosed with JIA as per International League of Associations for Rheumatology (ILAR) criteria, with a disease duration of more than one year, were enrolled for this study. The articular and extra-articular damage was assessed using the juvenile arthritis damage index (JADI) and modified JADI scores. Disease activity and disabilities were evaluated using the clinical juvenile arthritis disease activity score (cJADAS) and Childhood Health Assessment Questionnaire (CHAQ).

RESULTS

One hundred and five children [44% (n = 42) boys] with JIA were enrolled in the study. The mean (SD) age of children at enrolment was 158 (46.2) mo. The median (IQR) disease duration was 48 (36-72) mo. Articular damage (JADI score ≥ 1) was present in 48.6%, and extra-articular damage (JADI-E ≥ 1) was observed in 21.9% of children. Half of the children (n = 22) with enthesitis-related arthritis (ERA) had joint damage (modified JADI score ≥ 1). Four children had ocular damage due to uveitis. Among the factors associated with articular damage, the odds of articular damage were high in those with positive rheumatoid factor (RF) and/ or anti-cyclic citrullinated peptides (CCPs) [OR: 4.4, 95% CI (1.00-19.60)].

CONCLUSIONS

48.6% of children with JIA had articular damage, while 21.9% of the children had extra-articular damage. Children with RF and/ or anti-CCP positivity are associated with higher odds of joint damage.

The epigenetic determinants for systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis phenotyping and treatment response

BACKGROUND

Determining the role of epigenetics in systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis (SJIA) provides an opportunity to explore previously unrecognized disease pathways and new therapeutic targets.

AIM

We aimed to identify the clinical significance of microRNAs (miRNA-26a, miRNA-223) in SJIA.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This cross-sectional study was conducted on a group of children with SJIA attending to pediatric rheumatology clinic, at Mansoura University Children's Hospital (MUCH) from December 2021 to November 2022. Patient demographics, and clinical, and laboratory data were collected with the measurement of microRNAs by quantitative real-time PCR. The Mann-Whitney, Kruskal-Wallis, and Spearman correlation tests were used for variable comparison and correlations, besides the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for microRNAs disease activity and treatment non-response discrimination.

RESULTS

Forty patients were included in the study. On comparison of miRNA-26a, and miRNA-223 levels to the clinical, assessment measures, and laboratory features, miRNA-26a was statistically higher in cases with systemic manifestations versus those without. Similarly, it was higher in children who did not fulfill the Wallace criteria for inactive disease and the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) 70 criteria for treatment response. Meanwhile, miRNA-223 was not statistically different between cases regarding the studied parameters. The best cut-off value for systemic juvenile arthritis disease activity score-10 (sJADAS-10) and the ability of miRNA-26a, and miRNA-223 to discriminate disease activity and treatment non-response were determined by the (ROC) curve.

CONCLUSION

The significant association of miRNA-26a with SJIA features points out that this molecule may be preferentially assessed in SJIA disease activity and treatment non-response discrimination.

Feasibility and Acceptability of Yoga for Adolescents with Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Yoga is effective for adults with arthritis but unstudied in adolescents with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA).

METHODS

A pilot study assessed the feasibility and acceptability of an 8-week group yoga intervention for adolescents ages 14-18 with JIA. Each 75-min session included breathing techniques, relaxation, mindfulness, and modified yoga postures, using yoga props and a rope wall. An online video was available for home practice. The outcome measures administered at the baseline and at 8 weeks were physician global assessment with joint count, visual assessment with a joint damage assessment index, the Pediatric Quality of Life Arthritis Module 3.0 (Peds QL), and the visual analog scale for pain.

RESULTS

Thirteen out of 25 participants attended ≥1 class with a mean of 5.7 ± 2.2 classes. Common reasons for non-enrollment included distance, schedule, and lack of interest. The average distance to classes was 29.0 ± 41.7 miles. There was a trend toward improvement for joint count (p = 0.07), global assessment (p = 0.10), and the Pain and Hurt domain of the Peds QL (p = 0.13), but no other outcomes approached significance. Satisfaction data from an anonymous survey (n = 8) were high in all areas.

CONCLUSIONS

Adolescents with JIA who attended yoga reported enjoyment, pain reduction, and interest in continued practice with no adverse events. Future studies should consider stakeholder engagement to reduce barriers and larger sample sizes to test the effectiveness.

Extraarticular manifestations of juvenile idiopathic arthritis and their impact on health-related quality of life

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study is to investigate extraarticular manifestations (EAMs) in patients with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) and assess their impact on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) among these patients.

METHODS

This cross-sectional analytic study was carried out on 117 patients with JIA. EAMs were identified clinically by history and examination. Sicca symptoms, peripheral neuropathy, enthesitis, and skin lesions were picked up during clinical examination. Pulmonary involvement was evaluated by high-resolution CT chest. Patients were assessed by abdominal ultrasonography to assess the size of liver and spleen. Atlantoaxial subluxation was evaluated by cervical spine x-rays. Patients were evaluated by Pediatric Quality of Life Inventory-4 (PedsQL-4) and PedsQL-3 arthritis module.

RESULTS

The median age of patients was 14 years with a median disease duration 4 years, 82.9% were females. Of the studied 117 JIA patients, 85 patients (72.6%) had at least one EAM. Persistent fatigue (51.3%) was the most prevalent EAM, followed by recurrent skin rash (16.2%), enthesitis (15.4%), recurrent fever (13.7%), and uveitis (12%). Patients with EAMs scored significantly lower in physical functioning (p = 0.001), emotional functioning (p < 0.001), social functioning (p = 0.005), and school functioning (p = 0.001). Regarding PedsQL arthritis module, patients with EAM had also significantly lower scores than did patients without EAM on the domains of pain and hurt (p < 0.001), daily activities (p = 0.008), and worry (p = 0.001).

RESULTS

EAMs are prevalent among JIA patients and have a negative impact on their HRQoL. So, early identification and treatment are highly recommended. Key Points • A large percentage of JIA patients experienced at least one extraarticular manifestation (EAM). • Persistent fatigue and recurrent skin rash are the most prevalent EAMs in JIA patients. • JIA patients with EAMs have worse scores in almost all domains of HRQoL.

Caregiver burden in families of children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis in India

Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis (JIA) causes caregiver burden on families with children affected with it. Our study aimed to explore this multifaceted burden in the Indian context. In this cross-sectional study, we administered the Hindi translated CAREGIVER questionnaire to adult caregivers in the families of JIA patients ≤ 18 years. The responses to the 28 items were used to calculate the burden scores in various dimensions. The relationship of the global burden scores with demographic and socioeconomic factors were analysed. Non parametric tests were used. Two hundred twenty-one caregivers participated with a median age of 39 years (IQR 32-45). This included 116 fathers, 50 mothers, 32 brothers, 18 uncles, three grandfathers, one sister, and one grandmother. The JIA patients had a median age of 15 (12-17) years, and the male-to-female ratio was 3.2:1. Enthesitis-related arthritis was the predominant subtype (72.4%). Most caregivers (70.6%) expressed sadness at diagnosis, and 29.9% continued to express sadness. Nearly two-thirds (65.6%) had to borrow money from others. More than half (59.3%) of the caregivers neglected their health, and 9.0% became sick. Male gender of the child, systemic JIA subtype, low socioeconomic status, high disease activity, extra-articular damage, high parent-reported disease activity and poor quality of life were associated with higher global caregiver burden. JIA has a significant emotional, social, economic, and labour impact on caregivers. Economic and psychosocial support needs to be given to family caregivers caring for children with JIA.

Presentation of enthesitis-related arthritis and juvenile-onset spondyloarthritis: a cross-sectional study in a pediatric and adult clinic

BACKGROUND

Juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) comprises a whole spectrum of chronic arthritis starting before 16 years of age. The study aims to explore the clinical and demographic descriptors, treatment, and disease progression of enthesitis-related arthritis (ERA) in comparison with juvenile-onset spondyloarthritis (SpA).

METHODS

Cross-sectional analysis of consecutive patients in two dedicated clinics, with a single visit and retrospective case-notes review. Arthritis, enthesitis and sacroiliitis were evaluated by scoring disease activity and damage. Continuous variables were reported by median, interquartile range; categorical variables were reported by the frequency comparison of the two groups.

RESULTS

Thirty-three cases were included, being 23 (69.7%) with ERA. The median age at diagnosis was 12.5 y (SpA) vs. 9 y (ERA) (p < 0.01); the time from symptom onset to diagnosis was 5.5 y (SpA) vs. 1.5 y (ERA) (p < 0.03). In both groups, the predominant presentation was a single joint or < 5 lower limb joints and asymmetric involvement, with a high frequency of enthesitis. There was a higher frequency of mid-tarsal and ankle synovitis in the ERA group and hip involvement in those with SpA. The comparison of the frequency of spine symptoms at presentation, 30% SpA vs. 21.7% ERA (p = 0.7), was not significant, and radiographic progression to spinal involvement occurred in 43.5% of ERA patients. The median time for spinal progression and age at onset was 2.2 and 12 y for ERA, and 4 and 16.5 y for SpA, respectively. Activity and damage scores were not significantly different between the groups. Treatment comparison resulted in 91.3% of ERA and 100% SpA being treated, predominantly with NSAIDs in both groups, followed by DMARDs and biologics, with a higher frequency of biologics in SpA.

CONCLUSION

The main differences were the late diagnoses of SpA, and the hip and spine involvement, with higher frequency of biologic treatment in juvenile-onset SpA compared to ERA.

Disease activity trajectories from childhood to adulthood in the population-based Nordic juvenile idiopathic arthritis cohort

OBJECTIVES

To identify long-term disease activity trajectories from childhood to adulthood by using the clinical Juvenile Arthritis Disease Activity Score (cJADAS10) in juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA). Second, to evaluate the contribution of the cJADAS10 components and explore characteristics associated with active disease at the 18-year follow-up.

METHODS

Patients with onset of JIA in 1997-2000 were followed for 18 years in the population-based Nordic JIA cohort. We used a discrete mixture model for longitudinal clustering of the cJADAS10 and its components. We assessed factors potentially associated with higher scores on the patient's global assessment of well-being (PaGA) by hierarchical clustering and correlation analysis.

RESULTS

Four disease activity trajectories were identified based on the cJADAS10 components among 427 patients. In trajectory-group 2, the PaGA and the physician's global assessment of disease activity (PhGA) increased significantly during the course, but not the active joint count. The increase in the PaGA was significantly higher than the increases in the PhGA and the active joint count (p<0.0001). A similar pattern was found among all the patients with active disease in the total cohort. Patients with higher PaGA scores had unfavourable scores on several other patient-reported outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

We have identified groups of patients based on long-term disease activity trajectories. In our study the PaGA was the most important driver of disease activity into adulthood assessed by cJADAS10. We need to better understand how our patients interpret global well-being and implement strategies to achieve inactive disease perceived both by the patient and the physician.

Patterns and determinants of response to novel therapies in juvenile and adult-onset polyarthritis

Biologic and targeted synthetic DMARDs (b/tsDMARDs) have revolutionized the management of multiple rheumatic inflammatory conditions. Among these, polyarticular JIA (pJIA) and RA display similarities in terms of disease pathophysiology and response pattern to b/tsDMARDs. Indeed, the therapeutic efficacy of novel targeted drugs is variable among individual patients, in both RA and pJIA. The mechanisms and determinants of this heterogeneous response are diverse and complex, such that the development of true 'precision'-medicine strategies has proven highly challenging. In this review, we will discuss pathophysiological, patient-specific, drug-specific and environmental factors contributing to individual therapeutic response in pJIA in comparison with what is known in RA. Although some biomarkers have been identified that stratify with respect to the likelihood of either therapeutic response or non-response, few have proved useful in clinical practice so far, likely due to the complexity of treatment-response mechanisms. Consequently, we propose a pragmatic, patient-centred and clinically based approach, i.e. personalized instead of biomarker-based precision medicine in JIA.

Ovarian dysfunction in adolescent girls with autoimmune rheumatic diseases

OBJECTIVE

To explore the different menstrual and pubertal abnormalities in adolescent females with systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases (ARD).

METHODS

The study included adolescent girls aged 13-18 years with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA), juvenile systemic lupus erythematosus (JSLE), and juvenile dermatomyositis (JDM) classified according to their international classification criteria. Data were collected from our patients' files and interpreted with respect to the demographic, clinical, disease assessment parameters, medications used, and the hormonal profile. The aspects of puberty and menstruation were assessed by a gynaecologist with ultrasound evaluation as well. The girls were classified according to their menstrual pattern into those with regular cycles versus abnormal ones. The subgroups were compared and significant variables entered into a logistic regression model to detect the independent predictors.

RESULTS

Twenty-one girls with JSLE were included, besides 23 JIA and 8 JDM cases. Ten patients with JSLE (47.6%) had menstrual abnormalities, whereas only four JIA (17.4%) and 1 JDM girls had these alterations without significant difference between the three groups. The median of the SLICC/ACR damage index was statistically higher in JSLE with abnormal menstrual cycles, similarly were the cumulative steroid dose and puberty onset. No difference was observed between JIA or JDM subgroups concerning the disease parameters, hormonal profile, ultrasound assessment or the treatment lines. The most significant predictor for menstrual abnormalities in JSLE was the SLICC/ACR damage index.

CONCLUSION

Menstrual abnormalities is a common disturbance among adolescent girls with ARDs. The SLICC/ACR damage index is the main determinant for menstrual abnormalities rather than the cumulative steroid use or disease duration in JSLE.

Current Validated Clinical and Patient Reported Disease Outcome Measures in Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis

Juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) is a common chronic illness in childhood and comprises seven categories based on the International League of Associations for Rheumatology (ILAR) criteria. Accurate assessment and measurement of the clinical, functional, and quality of life outcomes of patients with JIA are paramount for understanding the disease course and formulating effective treatment strategies. Interest in the development and use of outcome measurements specifically focused on rheumatologic conditions has greatly expanded over the last two decades, adding to and improving upon the established disease measures. Furthermore, many of these measures have been validated using the widely accepted Outcome Measures in Rheumatology (OMERACT) core principles of instrument validation, allowing researchers and clinicians to gain confidence in these tools. This review summarizes the current validated disease outcome measures in JIA, including clinical, imaging, patient-reported, and functional outcome measurement tools, and highlights ongoing work that continues to refine and improve upon the available tools. The clinical disease outcome measures discussed in this review include physician global assessment (PhGA), American College of Rheumatology (ACR, Wallace) criteria for clinical inactive disease and clinical remission, juvenile arthritis disease activity scores (JADAS), juvenile spondyloarthritis disease activity index (JSPaDA), juvenile arthritis damage index (JADAI), and the ACR pediatric response scores. The imaging outcome measures discussed include the Dijkstra composite scores, childhood arthritis radiographic score of the hip (CARSH), and Poznanski Score. The patient-reported disease outcome measures discussed include patient global assessment (PtGA), patient-reported outcome measurement information system for JIA (PROMIS), juvenile arthritis parent/child centered disease assessment index (JAPAI, JACAI), juvenile arthritis multidimensional assessment report (JAMAR), and the Pediatric quality of life inventory rheumatology module (PedsQL). The functional outcome tools discussed include the Childhood Health Assessment Questionnaire (CHAQ), juvenile arthritis functionality scale and index (JAFS and JASI), and Juvenile Arthritis Functional Assessment Report and Scale (JAFAS and JAFAR).

Influence of the timing of biological treatment initiation on Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis long-term outcomes

BACKGROUND

Juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) treatment is aimed at inducing remission to prevent joint destruction and disability. However, it is unclear what is the long-term impact on health-related outcomes of the timing of biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (bDMARD) initiation in JIA. Our aim was to evaluate the long-term impact of the time between JIA onset and the initiation of a bDMARD in achieving clinical remission, on physical disability and health-related quality of life (HRQoL).

METHODS

Adult JIA patients registered in the Rheumatic Diseases Portuguese Register (Reuma.pt) and ever treated with bDMARD were included. Data regarding socio-demographic, JIA-related characteristics, disease activity, physical disability (HAQ-DI), HRQoL (SF-36), and treatments were collected at the last visit. Patients were divided into 3 groups (≤ 2 years, 2-5 years, or > 5 years), according to the time from disease onset to bDMARD initiation. Regression models were obtained considering remission on/off medication, HAQ-DI, SF-36, and joint surgeries as outcomes and time from disease onset to bDMARD start as an independent variable.

RESULTS

Three hundred sixty-one adult JIA patients were evaluated, with a median disease duration of 20.3 years (IQR 12.1; 30.2). 40.4% had active disease, 35.1% were in remission on medication, and 24.4% were in drug-free remission; 71% reported some degree of physical disability. Starting a bDMARD > 5 years after disease onset decreased the chance of achieving remission off medication (OR 0.24; 95% CI 0.06, 0.92; p = 0.038). Patients who started a bDMARD after 5 years of disease onset had a higher HAQ and worse scores in the physical component, vitality, and social function domains of SF-36, and more joint surgeries when compared to an earlier start.

CONCLUSION

Later initiation of bDMARDs in JIA is associated with a greater physical disability, worse HRQoL, and lower chance of drug-free remission in adulthood.

Predictors of long-term functional outcomes of juvenile idiopathic arthritis-enthesitis-related arthritis: a single centre experience

OBJECTIVES

Long-term functional outcomes in enthesitis-related arthritis (ERA) is limited from developing countries. We assessed the clinical and genetic factors that predicted the long-term functional outcome in ERA.

METHODS

Patients with ERA having ≥5 years of disease and >16 years of age were included in this cross-sectional study. Data on clinical features within 6 months of disease onset was collected from hospital records. Bath indices, HAQ Disability Index (HAQ-DI) and World Health Organization's Quality of Life (WHO-QOL) were assessed at last visit. Poor functional outcome (PFO) was defined as BASFI > 1.5 or HAQ-DI > 1. Persistent disease activity (PDA) was defined as BASDAI ≥ 4. Endoplasmic reticulum aminopeptidase 1 (ERAP1) and IL-23 receptor single nucleotide polymorphism genotyping was performed with the TaqMan method and HLA-B27 by PCR.

RESULTS

One hundred and eighty-one patients [170 male, median (interquartile range) age of disease onset 12.5 (10-15) years, disease duration 7 (5-11) years] were recruited. There was a delay in diagnosis of 3 (1-5) years. The median Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS)-ESR, BASDAI, HAQ-DI and BASFI at inclusion were 2.6 (1.8-3.6), 2.6 (1-5.2), 0.5 (0-0.5) and 1.6 (0.3-3.2), respectively. BASFI and HAQ-DI correlated with ASDAS-ESR, ASDAS-CRP and WHO-QOL-BREF. Those with PFO (n = 98) had a longer delay in diagnosis (4 vs 2 years, P < 0.001), lower prevalence of arthritis at onset [odds ratio (OR) = 0.3; 95% CI: 0.1, 0.8], higher prevalence of ERAP1 (rs27044) allele C (OR = 7.2; 95% CI: 1.5, 33.7) and higher disease activity currently. Delay in diagnosis (OR = 1.2; 95% CI: 1.08, 1.4) was the sole predictor of PFO in multivariate analysis. One-third of patients had PDA. Tarsitis at disease onset was the sole predictor of PDA (OR = 2.3; 95% CI: 1.009, 5.4).

CONCLUSIONS

PFO was seen in one-half of JIA-ERA in the long-term and was associated with active disease with delay in diagnosis as its sole predictor.

How common is remission in rheumatoid factor-positive juvenile idiopathic arthritis patients? The multicenter Pediatric Rheumatology Academy (PeRA) research group experience

OBJECTIVE

Rheumatoid factor (RF)-positive polyarthritis is the least common type of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA). Functional disability in RF-positive polyarthritis patients is much more severe than in patients with other subtypes; but data on this subtype alone is limited. This study aimed to analyze clinical features, long-term follow-up, treatment response, and remission status in a large multicenter cohort of RF-positive polyarthritis patients.

METHODS

This retrospective study included RF-positive polyarthritis patients that were followed up for ≥ 6 months between 2017 and 2022 by the Pediatric Rheumatology Academy (PeRA)-Research Group (RG). Data on patient demographics, clinical and laboratory characteristics were obtained from medical charts. JIA treatments and duration of treatment were also recorded. The patients were divided into 2 groups based on methotrexate (MTX) response, as follows: group 1: MTX responsive, group 2: MTX unresponsive. Clinical and laboratory findings were compared between the 2 groups.

RESULTS

The study included 56 (45 female and 11 male) patients. The median age at onset of RF-positive polyarthritis was 13.2 years [(interquartile range) (IQR): 9.0-15.0 years] and the median duration of follow-up was 41.5 months (IQR: 19.5-75.7 months). Symmetrical arthritis affecting the metacarpophalangeal and proximal interphalangeal joints of the hands was commonly observed. Subcutaneous MTX was the preferred initial treatment; however, it was ineffective in 39 (69.6%) of the patients. Of 25 patients followed for 24 months, 56% still had active disease at 24 months.

CONCLUSION

During 2 years of treatment, 44% of RF-positive polyarthritis patients have inactive disease, and they should be considered as a distinct and important clinical entity requiring aggressive and early treatment.

MicroRNAs in Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis: State of the Art and Future Perspectives

Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis (JIA) represents the most common chronic pediatric arthritis in Western countries and a leading cause of disability in children. Despite recent clinical achievements, patient management is still hindered by a lack of diagnostic/prognostic biomarkers and targeted treatment protocols. MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are short non-coding RNAs playing a key role in gene regulation, and their involvement in many pathologies has been widely reported in the literature. In recent decades, miRNA's contribution to the regulation of the immune system and the pathogenesis of autoimmune diseases has been demonstrated. Furthermore, miRNAs isolated from patients' biological samples are currently under investigation for their potential as novel biomarkers. This review aims to provide an overview of the state of the art on miRNA investigation in JIA. The literature addressing the expression of miRNAs in different types of biological samples isolated from JIA patients was reviewed, focusing in particular on their potential application as diagnostic/prognostic biomarkers. The role of miRNAs in the regulation of immune responses in affected joints will also be discussed along with their potential utility as markers of patients' responses to therapeutic approaches. This information will be of value to investigators in the field of pediatric rheumatology, encouraging further research to increase our knowledge of miRNAs' potential for future clinical applications in JIA.

Disability and disease-related damage in Thai children and adolescents with juvenile idiopathic arthritis

BACKGROUND

Children and adolescents with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) may suffer from disability and disease-related damage. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of disability and damage, and identify the factors associated with articular and extra-articular damage in children and adolescents with JIA in a resource-restricted setting in Thailand.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study enrolled JIA patients during June 2019-June 2021. Disability was assessed using the Child Health Assessment Questionnaire (CHAQ) and Steinbrocker classification criteria. Damage was evaluated using the Juvenile Arthritis Damage Index (JADI) and the modified-JADI (mJADI) tools.

RESULTS

There were 101 patients (50.5% female) with median age of 11.8 years. Median disease duration was 32.7 months. Enthesitis-related arthritis (ERA) was the most common subtype (33.7%), followed by systemic JIA (25.7%). Thirty-three (32.7%) patients had delayed diagnosis ≥ 6 months. Moderate to severe disability was found in 20 (19.8%) patients. Patients with Steinbrocker functional classification > class I were seen in 17.9%. Thirty-seven (36.6%) patients had articular damage. Extra-articular complications were observed in 24.8%. Growth failure and striae were the most common complications in 7.8%. Leg-length discrepancy was documented in 5.0%. Ocular damage was found in 1 patient with ERA. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed Steinbrocker functional classification > class I (aOR: 18.1, 95% CI: 3.9-84.6; p < 0.001), delayed diagnosis ≥ 6 months (aOR: 8.5, 95%CI: 2.7-27.0; p < 0.001), and ERA (aOR: 5.7, 95%CI: 1.8-18.3; p = 0.004) as independent predictors of articular damage. Systemic corticosteroids use was the independent predictor of extra-articular damage (aOR: 3.8, 95%CI: 1.3-11.1; p = 0.013).

CONCLUSIONS

Disability and disease-related damage was identified in one-fifth and one-third of JIA patients. Early detection and treatment are essential for preventing permanent damage.

Bone mineral density in egyptian children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis: possible correlation to serum RANKL / osteoprotegerin (OPG) ratio and OPG gene polymorphisms

BACKGROUND

Children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) are at higher risk of decreased bone mineral density (BMD) compared with healthy children due to genetic, disease and medication-related causes. This study aims to investigate the possible effects of osteoprotegerin (OPG) gene polymorphisms and serum levels of osteoprotegerin (OPG) and receptor activator of nuclear factor κB-ligand (RANKL) and RANKL/OPG ratio on BMD in children with JIA.

METHODS

OPG gene rs2073617, rs3134069, serum RANKL, OPG and RANKL/OPG ratio were evaluated in 60 JIA children and 100 matched healthy controls. BMD was evaluated by lumbar dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DEXA) according to which patients were classified in 2 groups (DEXA z-score above and below - 2). Composite disease activity was measured using the Juvenile Arthritis Disease Activity Score (JADAS) 27-joints. Articular damage was scored using the juvenile arthritis damage index (JADI).

RESULTS

Patients aged 12.05 ± 3.2 years, included 38 females and 31% had BMD z-score below-2. Systemic-onset JIA was the most frequent phenotype (38%). Genotypes and alleles frequencies of the 2 studied polymorphisms did not differ between patients and controls (p > 0.05 for all) while serum RANKL and RANKL/OPG ratio were significantly higher in patients compared to controls (p = < 0.001 and 0.03 respectively). Patients with BMD < -2 had significantly greater frequencies of rs2073617 TT genotype and T allele (p < 0.001), higher serum RANKL, RANKL/OPG ratio (p = 0.01, 0.002), female predominance (p = 0.02), higher articular and extra-articular damage index (p = 0.008,0.009) and more frequent steroid usage (p = 0.02) compared to patients with BMD z-score >-2. Multivariate analysis showed rs2073617 TT genotype, RANKL/OPG ratio, long disease duration (above 36 months) and use of steroid to be associated with decreased BMD (p = 0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01 respectively) in JIA children.

CONCLUSIONS

Egyptian children with JIA have decreased BMD. rs2073617 TT genotype and T allele, RANKL/OPG ratio are possible determinants of reduced BMD in JIA. Our results underline the importance of frequent monitoring of BMD in JIA children and trying to control disease activity to preserve long term bone health.

Bone Mineral Density and Serum 25OHD in Children and Adolescents With Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis

Low bone mass is one of the complications of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA). However, a study focusing on the low bone mass in children and adolescents with JIA in Southeast Asian countries is limited. This study aimed to evaluate the bone mineral density (BMD) of Thai patients with JIA and identify factors correlated with BMD. A cross-sectional study was conducted at a tertiary-care center. The BMD of the lumbar spines (BMDLS) and the total body (BMDTB) were measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Thirty-eight patients were enrolled between July 2015 and January 2016. No patient had low BMDLS, and only 2 (5.3%) had low BMDTB. Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) levels were significantly positively correlated with the BMDTB Z-score (coefficient: 0.047; 95% confidence interval = 0.011-0.082; P = .012). Our study demonstrated a very low prevalence of low bone mass. Optimization of the serum 25OHD level should be encouraged.

Transitioning patients with juvenile idiopathic arthritis to adult care: the Nordic experience

BACKGROUND

With juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA), there are several protocols and practices used worldwide for the transition from paediatric to adult care. In this study, we examined the transferral rates and disease activity after transition, as well as the disease- and health-related outcomes. We also introduce the transition practices employed in the Nordic countries.

METHODS

The study population comprised 408 participants with a disease onset from 1997 to 2000 who attended an 18-year follow-up visit in this population-based Nordic JIA cohort study. The patients were retrospectively divided into three subgroups: Patients transferred directly from paediatric care to adult rheumatology care, patients referred there later, and patients never transferred during the 18-year follow-up period.

RESULTS

One hundred and sixty-three (40%) JIA patients had been directly transferred to an adult clinic. The cumulative transition rate was 52%, but there were significant differences between the participating centres. Fifty patients had later been referred to an adult clinic. Among the 195 patients who had never been transferred, 39% were found to have disease activity at the study visit.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights the need to reconsider transition practices to avoid our undesirable finding of patients with disease activity in JIA, but no appropriate health care follow-up.

Emerging therapies for juvenile arthritis: agents in early clinical trials

INTRODUCTION

Juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) is the most common chronic inflammatory rheumatic condition in childhood. The management of JIA has been revolutionized thanks to the development of new powerful drugs and the possibility to conduct controlled clinical trials with support from legislative initiatives and availability of international collaborative networks. Trials are still needed in children because we now have new drugs related to specific JIA category.

AREAS COVERED

The review is centered on the latest achievements in the field, focusing on new investigational drugs which are currently or have been recently tested for JIA treatment, encompassing agents in early phase of clinical development.

EXPERT OPINION

Despite the tremendous improvement witnessed in the field of JIA treatment in the past 20 years, there are still many unmet needs to be prioritized. Studies on disease pathogenesis will hopefully help in the identification of new treatment targets for individual JIA categories, that could possibly favor a stricter disease control and contribute to solve the issue of refractory JIA. Novel strategies aimed at the prevention of the risk of long-term joint damage are also desirable, as well as the discovery of predictive biomarkers for treatment efficacy and safety in the individual patient.

An overview of the relationship between juvenile idiopathic arthritis and potential environmental risk factors: Do early childhood habits or habitat play a role in the affair?

AIM

The current study was undertaken to evaluate the influence of breastfeeding on the development and outcome measures of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA). The second aim was to determine the consequences of particular sociodemographic and sociocultural characteristics and nutritional behavior of early childhood on JIA.

METHODS

The study includes the patients diagnosed with JIA and regularly followed up at the Department of Pediatric Rheumatology in Istanbul University-Cerrahpasa. The comparison group consisted of healthy subjects and patients with juvenile systemic lupus erythematosus (jSLE). A face-to-face survey method was conducted with the parents of the participants between February 1, 2021, and September 1, 2021.

RESULTS

The mean age of the JIA cohort (n = 324) was 12.2 ± 4.7 years, with a female ratio of 64.8%. The breastfeeding rate differed from the control groups (253 healthy subjects and 88 patients with jSLE) but was higher with a value of 94.8%. There was no difference between the groups (P = .097, P = .064) or within the subgroups of JIA (P = .12) regarding breastfeeding duration. Cow's milk introduction time (P = .02, P = .0001), household pet-keeping (P = .001), income level (P = .0001), maternal literacy (P = 0.013) made a statistical difference vs the control groups.

CONCLUSION

No relationship was established between the rate or duration of breastfeeding and the development or severity of JIA. The early introduction of cow's milk was found to be higher in the patient cohorts. The income level and maternal literacy appeared to be relevant with the high disability and damage scores, and frequent relapse rates. Secondhand smoking, higher in JIA, may prompt the basis of primary preventable strategies in JIA.

Transition to adult care in Finnish adolescents with juvenile idiopathic arthritis

OBJECTIVE

The symptoms of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) and the necessity for continuous treatment may persist in adulthood. Therefore, patients with JIA need to be appropriately transferred to adult care. We aimed to analyse the timing of the patients' transition to adult care, and patients' self-management skills with the process and the quality of the transition.

METHOD

This study included 161 Finnish participants of the population-based Nordic JIA cohort who attended a 17 year follow-up appointment. Special attention was paid to the three groups: those referred by the paediatric rheumatology outpatient clinic to primary healthcare (PHC), those who were directly transferred to adult rheumatology care, and those who were later referred.

RESULTS

A total of 136 patients (84%) were eligible to participate in the study, and 40% of them were directly transferred to an adult rheumatology clinic. Of the patients, 72% eventually ended up being referred to an adult rheumatology outpatient clinic. However, 16% of the patients in the PHC group had active disease during the study appointment and were referred to adult services after the study visit.

CONCLUSION

This study reveals the need to improve the transition process from paediatric care to adult care and to find the variables that can indicate the need for immediate transition. Although challenging, it is important to avoid treatment delay in adult patients with JIA who may have active disease but who do not have appropriate access to an adult rheumatological outpatient clinic.

Drivers of non-zero physician global scores during periods of inactive disease in juvenile idiopathic arthritis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the frequency in which the physician provides a global assessment of disease activity (PhGA) >0 and an active joint count (AJC)=0 in children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) and search for determinants of divergence between the two measures.

METHODS

Data were extracted from a multinational cross-sectional dataset of 9966 patients who had JIA by International League of Associations for Rheumatology criteria, were recruited between 2011 and 2016, and had both PhGA and AJC recorded by the caring paediatric rheumatologist at the study visit. Determinants of discordance between PhGA>0 and AJC=0 were searched for by multivariable logistic regression and dominance analyses.

RESULTS

The PhGA was scored >0 in 1647 (32.3%) of 5103 patients who had an AJC of 0. Independent associations with discordant assessment were identified for tender or restricted joint count >0, history of enthesitis, presence of active uveitis or systemic features, enthesitis-related or systemic arthritis, increased acute phase reactants, pain visual analogue scale (VAS)>0, and impaired physical or psychosocial well-being. In dominance analysis, tender joint count accounted for 35.43% of PhGA variance, followed by pain VAS>0 (17.72%), restricted joint count >0 (16.14%) and physical health score >0 (11.42%).

CONCLUSION

We found that many paediatric rheumatologists did not mark a score of 0 for patients who they found not to have active joints. The presence of pain in joints not meeting the definition of active joint used in JIA was the main determinant of this phenomenon.

Juvenile idiopathic arthritis

Juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) is an umbrella term for arthritis of unknown origin, lasting for >6 weeks with onset before 16 years of age. JIA is the most common chronic inflammatory rheumatic condition of childhood. According to the International League Against Rheumatism (ILAR) classification, seven mutually exclusive categories of JIA exist based on disease manifestations during the first 6 months of disease. Although the ILAR classification has been useful to foster research, it has been criticized mainly as it does not distinguish those forms of chronic arthritis observed in adults and in children from those that may be unique to childhood. Hence, efforts to provide a new evidence-based classification are ongoing. Similar to arthritis observed in adults, pathogenesis involves autoimmune and autoinflammatory mechanisms. The field has witnessed a remarkable improvement in therapeutic possibilities of JIA owing to the availability of new potent drugs and the possibility to perform controlled trials with support from legislative interventions and large networks availability. The goal of drug therapy in JIA is to rapidly reduce disease activity to inactive disease or clinical remission, minimize drug side effects and achieve a quality of life comparable to that of healthy peers. As JIA can influence all aspects of a child's and their family's life, researchers increasingly recognize improvement of health-related quality of life as a key treatment goal.

Factors and glucocorticoid usage affecting the prognosis of systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis

BACKGROUND

The rate of glucocorticoid (GC) use is significantly higher in systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis (SJIA) than other juvenile idiopathic arthritis subtypes. There is no consensus on the duration and dosage of GC treatment. We aimed to investigate the risk factors for a polyphasic / persistent disease course and the effect of dose and duration of GC treatment on SJIA prognosis.

METHODS

Forty-two patients who were diagnosed with SJIA, and for whom the duration of disease was longer than 2 years, were included. Patients were divided into monophasic and others (polyphasic / persistent disease course). Risk factors for polyphasic / persistent disease course, which were clinical and laboratory findings regarding the patients, treatment options, dose, and duration of GCs, were evaluated for the first active disease periods and for all flares in the entire disease course.

RESULTS

Of the 42 SJIA patients, 21 had monophasic, and 21 had polyphasic / persistent disease. Cumulative dosages and durations of glucocorticoid treatment were similar in the two groups at the first flare (odds ratio (OR): 1.032 P: 0.671; OR:1,113 P: 0.115). Durations of the first active disease period were longer in the polyphasic / persistent group (OR:1.275, P: 0.01). Active disease duration cut-off values of 1.5 months with sensitivity 85.7%, specificity 52.4% were observed on receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The presence of hepatosplenomegaly at first flare was detected as an independent risk factor of polyphasic/persistent disease by multivariate analysis included both dosage and duration of a steroid (hazard ratio (HR): 4.129, P: 0.034), (HR: 3.992, P: 0.038). Multivariate recurrent events survival analysis determined ALT levels as a risk factor affecting polyphasic / persistent disease (HR: 0.986, P: 0.037).

CONCLUSIONS

Glucocorticoid dose and duration did not affect the active disease periods and disease course in SJIA. An active disease period longer than 1.5 months, presentation of hepatosplenomegaly at the initial disease course, and high ALT levels at the recurrences should warn physicians of polyphasic / persistent disease.

Health-related quality of life and disability in adults with juvenile idiopathic arthritis: comparison with adult-onset rheumatic diseases

Objective

To compare physical disability, mental health, fatigue and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) across juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) categories in adulthood and between JIA and adult-onset rheumatic diseases.

Methods

Cross-sectional analysis nested in a cohort of adult patients with JIA registered in the Rheumatic Diseases Portuguese Register (Reuma.pt). Physical disability (Health Assessment Questionnaire—Disability Index), mental health symptoms (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale), fatigue (Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy—Fatigue Scale (FACIT-F)) and HRQoL (EuroQol-5D (EQ5D) and Short Form (SF-36)) were compared across JIA categories. Patients with polyarticular JIA and enthesis-related arthritis (ERA) JIA were compared respectively to patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and spondyloarthritis (SpA), matched for gender and age, adjusted for disease duration and activity.

Results

585 adult patients with JIA were included. Comparison across JIA categories showed that persistent oligoarthritis and patients with ERA reported a higher score in EQ5D and SF-36 physical component when compared with other JIA categories.

Polyarticular JIA reported less disability and fatigue than patients with RA (median Health Assessment Questionnaire of 0.25 vs 0.63; p<0.001 and median FACIT-F score 42 vs 40; p=0.041). Polyarticular JIA had also better scores on EQ5D and all domains of SF-36, than patients with RA. Patients with ERA reported less depression and anxiety symptoms (0% vs 14.8%; p=0.003% and 9% vs 21.3%; p=0.002) and less fatigue symptoms (45 vs 41; p=0.01) than patients with SpA.

Conclusion

Persistent oligoarticular JIA and ERA are the JIA categories in adulthood with better HRQoL. Overall, adult polyarticular and patients with ERA JIA have lower functional impairment and better quality-of-life than patients with RA and SpA.

Definition and Validation of the American College of Rheumatology 2021 Juvenile Arthritis Disease Activity Score Cutoffs for Disease Activity States in Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis

Objective

To develop and validate new Juvenile Arthritis Disease Activity Score 10 (JADAS10) and clinical JADAS10 (cJADAS10) cutoffs to separate the states of inactive disease (ID), minimal disease activity (MiDA), moderate disease activity (MoDA), and high disease activity (HDA) in children with oligoarthritis and with rheumatoid factor–negative polyarthritis, based on subjective disease assessment by the treating pediatric rheumatologist.

Methods

The cutoffs definition cohort was composed of 1,936 patients included in the multinational Epidemiology, Treatment and Outcome of Childhood Arthritis (EPOCA) study. Using the subjective physician rating as an external criterion, 4 methods were applied to identify the cutoffs: mapping, Youden index, 90% specificity, and maximum agreement. The validation cohort included 4,014 EPOCA patients, patients from 2 randomized trials, and 88 patients from the PharmaChild registry. Cutoff validation was conducted by assessing discriminative and predictive ability.

Results

The JADAS10 cutoffs were 1.4, 4, and 13, respectively, for oligoarthritis and 2.7, 6, and 17, respectively, for polyarthritis. The cJADAS10 cutoffs were 1.1, 4, and 12, respectively, for oligoarthritis and 2.5, 5, and 16, respectively, for polyarthritis. The cutoffs discriminated strongly among different levels of pain and morning stiffness, between patients who were and those who were not prescribed a new medication, and between different levels of improvement in clinical trials. Achievement of ID and MiDA according to the new JADAS cutoffs at least twice in the first year of disease predicted better outcome at 2 years.

Conclusion

The 2021 JADAS and cJADAS cutoffs revealed good metrologic properties in both definition and validation samples, and are therefore suitable for use in clinical trials and routine practice.

Familial aggregation of juvenile idiopathic arthritis with other autoimmune diseases: Impact on clinical characteristics, disease activity status and disease damage

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the impact of family history of autoimmune diseases (FHADs) on the clinical characteristics and outcome of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA).

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed children with JIA seen in 7 pediatric rheumatology clinics from 6 Arab countries. All included patients met the International League of Associations for Rheumatology classification criteria for JIA and had a disease duration greater than 1 year. Data were collected at the last follow-up visit and comprised clinical findings, including FHADs. Disease activity and disease damage were assessed by Juvenile Arthritis Multidimensional Assessment Report, and juvenile arthritis damage index (JADI) respectively. Disease activity was categorized as remission off treatment, remission on treatment, or active disease.

RESULTS

A total of 349 (224 females) JIA patients with a disease duration of 5 (interquartile range 2.9-7.5) years were included. The most frequent JIA categories were polyarticular JIA and oligoarticular JIA, followed by systemic JIA. There were 189 patients with FHADs and 160 patients without FHADs. The most frequent FHADs were diabetes mellitus (21.2%), JIA (18.5%), rheumatoid arthritis (12.7%). Among patients with FHADs, 140/189 (74.1%) achieved clinical remission, while 131/160 (81.9%) patients without FHDs had clinical remission (odds ratio [OR] = 1.2, 95% CI 0.97-1.5). Rate of consanguinity, enthesitis-related arthritis (ERA) and psoriatic arthritis were higher in patients with FHADs (OR = 0.6, 95% CI 0.4-0.9 and OR = 1.2, 95% CI 1.1-1.4). Also, articular JADI correlated significantly with presence of FHADs (OR = 1.1, 95% CI 1.0-1.1).

CONCLUSION

This study shows that autoimmune diseases cluster within families of patients with JIA with a high proportion of ERA and psoriatic arthritis. JIA patients with FHADs are likely to have more disease damage.

The importance of lower extremity involvement type on exercise performances, function, and quality of life in peripheral predominant forms of juvenile idiopathic arthritis

BACKGROUND

Juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) can cause reduced exercise capacity, deterioration in functional activities, and poor health-related quality of life. This study aims to objectively reveal lower extremity involvement in the peripheral predominant forms of juvenile idiopathic arthritis through qualitative evaluations and to determine the effects of these involvements on exercise, function, and quality of life.

METHODS

Thirty-two patients with a history of peripheral arthritis and aged between 7 and 16 years participated in the study. Demographics, JIA subtype, disease duration, arthritis and deformities of the lower extremity, disease activity score, 6-min walk test (6MWT), cycling exercise test (CYC-E), childhood health assessment questionnaire (CHAQ), and pediatric quality of life inventory (PedsQoL) scores were recorded. In case of clinical suspicion of arthritis, an ultrasonographic examination was performed for a definitive diagnosis. Regression analyses were performed to explore the most associated lower extremity involvement and patient characteristics for each of the dependent variables including 6MWT, CYC-E, CHAQ, and PedsQoL.

RESULTS

Of the total number of patients, with a mean age of 12.91 (SD 2.37) years, 28.1% had knee arthritis, 15.6% foot arthritis, 12.5% hip arthritis, and 37.5% lower extremity deformity. The parameters that were most associated with CHAQ and PedsQoL were hip and knee arthritis, whereas CYC-E was found to be most associated with knee arthritis and height, and 6MWT was found to be most associated with hip arthritis, knee arthritis, and demographic characteristics.

CONCLUSION

This study emphasizes the importance of hip and knee arthritis, which are among the determinants of walking endurance, function, and quality of life; and knee arthritis, which is among the determinants of cycling performance in JIA with lower extremity involvement.

Cumulative Damage in Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis: A Multicenter Study From the Pediatric Rheumatology Arab Group

OBJECTIVE

To report the cumulative articular and extraarticular damage in Arab children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) and to identify variables that correlate with disease damage.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter, cross-sectional study among 14 pediatric rheumatology centers from 7 Arab countries. JIA patients who met the International League of Associations for Rheumatology classification criteria and had a disease duration of >1 year were enrolled. Disease activity status was assessed using the Juvenile Arthritis Multidimensional Assessment Report. Disease damage was assessed by the Juvenile Arthritis Damage Index, articular (JADI-A) and extraarticular (JADI-E).

RESULTS

A total of 702 (471 female) JIA patients with a median age of 11.3 years (interquartile range [IQR] 8.0-14.0 years) were studied. Median age at disease onset was 5 years (IQR 2.0-9.0 years) and the median disease duration was 4 years (IQR 2.0-7.0 years). The most frequent JIA categories were oligoarticular JIA (34.9%), polyarticular JIA (29.5%), and systemic JIA (24.5%). Clinical remission was achieved in 73.9% of patients. At the last clinic visit, 193 patients experienced joint damage, with a mean ± SD JADI-A score of 1.7 ± 4.5, while 156 patients had extraarticular damage, with a mean ± SD JADI-E score of 0.5 ± 1.1. Patients with enthesitis-related arthritis had the highest JADI-A score. JADI-A correlated significantly with the presence of a family history of JIA. JADI-A and JADI-E had a significant correlation with long disease duration.

CONCLUSION

Cumulative damage was common in this Arab JIA cohort, and consanguinity and JIA in a sibling were frequent findings and were associated with a greater cumulative damage.

Outcome Scores in Pediatric Rheumatology

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Providing a summary of the latest research on outcome measures in juvenile idiopathic arthritis, childhood -onset systemic lupus erythematosus, and juvenile dermatomyositis.

RECENT FINDINGS

A rational management of patients with pediatric rheumatic diseases requires the regular assessment of the level of disease activity and damage, as well as the evaluation of therapeutic response through validated and standardized outcome measures. Ideally, such tools should be simple, feasible, and easily applicable in routine care. Recently, there has been a great deal of effort to refine existing tools and devise novel outcome measures, aiming to address the various aspects of disease impact and to improve the reliability of research studies and clinical trials. The newest outcome tools in pediatric rheumatology have markedly enlarged the spectrum of health domains assessable in a standardized way, thus increasing the reliability of evaluation of clinical response and fostering future clinical trials.

Toward Developing a Semiquantitative Whole Body-MRI Scoring for Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis: Critical Appraisal of the State of the Art, Challenges, and Opportunities

With powerful new therapies available for management of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA), early diagnosis leading to appropriate treatment may prevent long-term structural joint damage. Although magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is typically used to assess individual body parts, indications for whole body (WB) MRI are increasing. Its utility as a diagnostic and monitoring tool has already been widely investigated in adult rheumatology patients, but less so in pediatric rheumatologic patients. This paper is a comprehensive review of scoring systems and a proposal for the conceptual development of a WB-MRI scoring system for the evaluation of JIA. In this review we identify, summarize, and critically appraise the available literature on the use of WB-MRI in inflammatory arthritis, addressing relevant considerations on components of a classification system that can lead to the development of a future pediatric WB-MRI scoring system for use in children with JIA. We also discuss advantages and challenges of developing such a WB-MRI scoring system for assessment of JIA and outline next steps toward the conceptual development of this scoring system.

Evaluation of familial Mediterranean fever patients concomitant with juvenile spondyloarthropathy

OBJECTIVES

Familial Mediterranean fever (FMF) may present with various concomitant diseases. This study aims to evaluate the clinical characteristics of patients with FMF with Juvenile Spondyloarthropathy (jSpA).

METHOD

Thirty-two patients diagnosed with FMF/jSpA, sixty-four with FMF, and fifty-four with jSpA were included in this retrospective study. Three patient groups were compared in terms of clinical and laboratory features.

RESULTS

The mean ages of patients in the FMF/jSpA, FMF and jSpA groups were 15.75(11.50-19.83), 15,41(6.83-21.50), and 16(9-22) years, respectively. Chronic arthritis (OR: 0.11, p = .049), erythrocyte sedimentation rate values (OR:1.07, p = .011), and C-reactive protein values (OR:1,08, p: .039) of the patients in remission period were found higher, the international severity scores for FMF (ISSF) before and after colchicine treatment (OR: 1.16, p: .021, OR: 2,21, p: .012) were higher in the FMF/jSpA group compared to FMF. Plantar fasciitis was more common and HLA-B27 positivity rate was lower in the FMF/jSpA group (OR:0.08, p = .024), (OR:4.71, p = .002) compared to jSpA. FMF/jSpA patients were divided as previous diagnosed FMF and jSpA.The diagnosis of jSpA was at a younger age(p = .002), Juvenile arthritis damage index-articular(p = 0.022) and extraarticular(p = .026), and the rate of biologic drug usage(p = .015) were higher in the previous jSpA group. The number of FMF attacks before colchicine was lower in the previous jSpA group(p = .02).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that both classical FMF and jSpA findings were lower in patients with FMF/jSpA. Patients who were diagnosed with jSpA at an early age and who had enthesitis and plantar fasciitis should also be evaluated in terms of FMF.

Capturing the enthesitis related arthritis contemporary profile of Caucasian patients in the era of biologics

To describe the profile of Enthesitis Related Arthritis' (ERA) patients, in the era of biologic DMARDs (bDMARDs). This retrospective cohort study included patients with ERA monitored on a 3-month schedule for at least 1 year. Their metric assessment included the disease status and damage by applying the contemporary tools clinical-Juvenile Arthritis Disease Activity Score (c-JADAS), Juvenile Spondyloarthritis Disease Activity Index (JSpADA), clinical remission (CR) on/off medication and Juvenile Arthritis Damage Index (JADI). 43 patients (males 26) were enrolled, with a mean disease onset of 10.75 years. Median lag time from diagnosis to bDMARDs was 8.5 months. Patients with sacroiliitis received earlier bDMARDs (hazard ratio, HR 3.26). 36/43 patients achieved CR on medication (median time 11 months), which was correlated with compliance (HR: 3.62). The percentage of CR in patients with or without sacroiliitis was 35% and 63% respectively (p = 0.02). Twenty patients (47%) experienced a flare following CR (75%). The median flare-free survival following CR on/off medication was 42 and 34 months, respectively. At the last evaluation, both median baseline cJADAS and JSpADA dropped to 0, 13/43 patients had a persistent disease activity, while 17/43 and 13/43 patients were in CR on/off medication, respectively. The median patient percentage of CR was 54% and no patient had a JADI > 0. Increased lag time to bDMARDs was associated with increased CR (Odds ratio: 1.48). Early administration of bDMARDs and compliance improved long-term outcome of ERA. Sacroiliitis was a negative prognostic factor with an increased need for bDMARDs and diminished rates of CR.

Participation in school and physical education in juvenile idiopathic arthritis in a Nordic long-term cohort study

BACKGROUND

The aim of the study was to describe school attendance and participation in physical education in school among children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA).

METHODS

Consecutive cases of JIA from defined geographical areas of Finland, Sweden and Norway with disease onset in 1997 to 2000 were followed for 8 years in a multi-center cohort study, aimed to be as close to population-based as possible. Clinical characteristics and information on school attendance and participation in physical education (PE) were registered.

RESULTS

Participation in school and in PE was lowest initially and increased during the disease course. Eight years after disease onset 228/274 (83.2%) of the children reported no school absence due to JIA, while 16.8% reported absence during the last 2 months due to JIA. Full participation in PE was reported by 194/242 (80.2%), partly by 16.9%, and none by 2.9%. Lowest participation in PE was found among children with ERA and the undifferentiated categories. Absence in school and PE was associated with higher disease activity measures at the 8-year visit. School absence > 1 day at baseline predicted use of disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs, including biologics (DMARDs) (OR 1.2 (1.1-1.5)), and non-remission off medication (OR 1.4 (1.1-1.7) 8 years after disease onset.

CONCLUSION

School absence at baseline predicted adverse long-term outcome. In children and adolescents with JIA participation in school activities is mostly high after 8 years of disease. For the minority with low participation, special attention is warranted to promote their full potential of social interaction and improve long-term outcome.

Disease activity and damage in juvenile idiopathic arthritis: methotrexate era versus biologic era

Objective

To compare the long-term disease state, in terms of activity and damage, of children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) who had their disease onset in methotrexate (MTX) or biologic eras.

Methods

Patients were included in MTX or biologic era cohort depending on whether their disease presentation occurred before or after January 2000. All patients had disease duration ≥ 5 years and underwent a prospective cross-sectional assessment, which included measurement of disease activity and damage. Inactive disease (ID) and low disease activity (LDA) states were defined according to Wallace, JADAS10, and cJADAS10 criteria. Articular and extraarticular damage was assessed with the Juvenile Arthritis Damage Index (JADI).

Results

MTX and biologic era cohorts included 239 and 269 patients, respectively. Patients were divided in the “functional phenotypes” of oligoarthritis and polyarthritis. At cross-sectional visit, patients in the biologic era cohort with either oligoarthritis or polyarthritis had consistently higher frequencies of ID and LDA by all criteria. The measurement of disease damage at cross-sectional visit revealed that the frequency of impairment of > 1 JADI-Articular items was higher in MTX than in biologic era cohort (17.6% versus 11% in oligoarthritis and 52.6% versus 21.8% in polyarthritis). Likewise, frequency of involvement of > 1 JADI-Extraarticular items was higher in the MTX than in the biologic era cohort (26.5% versus 16.2% in oligoarthritis and 31.4% versus 13.5% in polyarthritis).

Conclusion

Our study provides evidence of the remarkable outcome improvement obtained with the recent therapeutic advance in JIA.

Paediatric and adolescent rheumatic diseases: measures of disease activity

Juvenile idiopathic arthritis, juvenile systemic lupus erythematosus and juvenile dermatomyositis are rare, chronic, multi-systemic rheumatic disorders that can be associated with significant morbidity, not only during childhood, but lifelong. Dedicated disease activity and damage assessment tools are essential to guide clinical management and perform multicentre clinical trials to ensure the best possible care and outcome for children with rheumatic diseases using an evidence-based, treat-to-target approach. This article summarizes the outcome measures most commonly used in paediatric rheumatology.

Treatment to Target Using Recombinant Interleukin-1 Receptor Antagonist as First-Line Monotherapy in New-Onset Systemic Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis: Results From a Five-Year Follow-Up Study

Objective

Systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) is a multifactorial autoinflammatory disease with a historically poor prognosis. With current treatment regimens, approximately half of patients still experience active disease after 1 year of therapy. This study was undertaken to evaluate a treat‐to‐target approach using recombinant interleukin‐1 receptor antagonist (rIL‐1Ra; anakinra) as first‐line monotherapy to achieve early inactive disease and prevent damage.

Methods

In this single‐center, prospective study, patients with new‐onset systemic JIA with an unsatisfactory response to nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs received rIL‐1Ra monotherapy according to a treat‐to‐target strategy. Patients with an incomplete response to 2 mg/kg rIL‐1Ra subsequently received 4 mg/kg rIL‐1Ra or additional prednisolone, or switched to alternative therapy. For patients in whom inactive disease was achieved, rIL‐1Ra was tapered after 3 months and subsequently stopped.

Results

Forty‐two patients, including 12 who had no arthritis at disease onset, were followed up for a median of 5.8 years. The median time to achieve inactive disease was 33 days. At 1 year, 76% had inactive disease, and 52% had inactive disease while not receiving medication. High neutrophil counts at baseline and a complete response after 1 month of rIL‐1Ra were highly associated with inactive disease at 1 year. After 5 years of follow‐up, 96% of the patients included had inactive disease, and 75% had inactive disease while not receiving medication. Articular or extraarticular damage was reported in <5%, and only 33% of the patients received glucocorticoids. Treatment with rIL‐1Ra was equally effective in systemic JIA patients without arthritis at disease onset.

Conclusion

Treatment to target, starting with first‐line, short‐course monotherapy with rIL‐1Ra, is a highly efficacious strategy to induce and sustain inactive disease and to prevent disease‐ and glucocorticoid‐related damage in systemic JIA.

Evaluation of factors affecting the duration of disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs application in patients with enthesitis-related arthritis

OBJECTIVE

Treatments for enthesitis-related arthritis (ERA) consist of a mono- or combination therapy with non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs), and biological agents, and they are primarily based on adult studies and studies on other forms of juvenile idiopathic arthritis, depending on whether there is axial or peripheral involvement. We use DMARDs frequently in our daily practice, even in patients with axial involvement. The main reason for this is that the health insurance system in Turkey does not allow the use of Tumor Negrosis Factor (TNF) blockers as the first line of treatment. The aim of this study is to evaluate the factors affecting the duration of DMARDs application in patients with ERA.

METHODS

Fifty-two patients with ERA were accepted in this retrospective cohort study. These patients did not have an inflammatory bowel disease, reactive arthritis or undifferentiated arthritis, psoriasis, and familial Mediterranean fever. Demographic characteristics, medical history, the initial and follow-up physical examination, initial Juvenile Spondyloarthritis Disease Activity Index (JSpADA), initial laboratory tests, radiographic tests, Juvenile Arthritis Damage Index-articulary (JADI-A) and extra-articulary (JADI-E) on the last admission, and data on medical treatments were recorded from the registered data. The univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses was used to determine factors affecting the non-response time of ERA patients to DMARDs before the biological treatment was started.

RESULTS

Twenty-seven patients (52%) achieved remission with DMARDs, while 25 (48%) patients did not. The age at diagnosis (HR=1.12; p=0.247); gender (HR=2.53; p=0.210); family history of ankylosing spondylitis (HR=1.17; p=0.730); inflammatory back pain (HR=0.57; p=0.175); the shoulder (HR=0.75 p=0.706), hip (HR=0.45; p=0.129), and small-joint involvement (HR=1.53; p=0.439); sacroiliitis with physical examination (HR=0.90; p=0.814) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) (HR=2.84; p=0.110); enthesitis (HR=0.83; p=0.670); presence of uveitis (HR=2.04; p=0.342); presence of HLA-B27 (HR=1.39; p=0.524); initial high acute phase reactants levels(HR=1.89; p=0.183); initial JSpADA score (HR=0.98; p=0.944); and last JADI-A (HR=1.41; p=0.060) score did not affect the duration of DMARDs treatment before switching to biological treatments.

CONCLUSION

In our study, the absence of factors affecting the duration of DMARDs application in patients with ERA showed that DMARDs may still be applied as the first line of treatment.

Effect on Cardiac Function of Longstanding Juvenile-onset Mixed Connective Tissue Disease: A Controlled Study

OBJECTIVE

To assess cardiac function in patients with juvenile mixed connective tissue disease (JMCTD) compared to matched controls, and to investigate possible associations between cardiac impairment and disease variables and cardiovascular risk factors.

METHODS

Fifty JMCTD patients (86% female) examined median 14.9 (6.6-23.0) years after disease onset were compared with 50 age- and sex-matched controls. Electrocardiogram and echocardiography [including e' as a marker for diastolic dysfunction and long-axis strain (LAS) and left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (EF) as markers of systolic function] were performed. LV dysfunction (LVD) was defined as low EF, low LAS, or low e'. Right ventricular function was assessed with tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE). Cardiovascular risk factors and disease variables were assessed.

RESULTS

LVD was found in 16% of patients and 4% of controls (p = 0.035). EF and LAS were lower in patients compared to controls (6% lower, p < 0.001, and 4% lower, p = 0.044, respectively). TAPSE was 8% lower in patients versus controls (p = 0.008). No patients had signs of pulmonary hypertension. Patients had longer corrected QT time than controls (p = 0.012). LVD was associated with higher levels of apolipoprotein B, higher disease activity measured by physician's global assessment, longer prednisolone treatment, and more organ damage assessed with the Myositis Damage Index.

CONCLUSION

Patients with JMCTD had impaired left and right ventricular function compared to matched controls after median 15 years disease duration. High disease activity and longer treatment with prednisolone were factors associated with LVD.

Facilitating patient-centered care: the development of illustrated multidimensional patient-reported outcome measures for children/adolescents with juvenile idiopathic arthritis

OBJECTIVES

To assess the validity, reliability, comprehensibility, and responsiveness to change of an illustrated child/parent multidimensional patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) questionnaire which can assess construct outcome measures of children with juvenile inflammatory arthritis.

METHODS

A total of 122 children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis were included in this work in a multicenter study. The questionnaire included seven categories: (1) functional ability; (2) health-related quality of life; (3) disease activity measures: pain, global assessment, fatigue, and morning stiffness; (4) self-reported joint tenderness; (5) current medication, side effects, and adherence to therapy; (6) comorbidities; and (7) patient motivation. All the items were supported by illustrations to provide children with a visual impression of what was meant by the questions. The questionnaire has parent and patient versions. The disease activity status was assessed using JADAS-27.

RESULTS

The questionnaire was reliable as demonstrated by a high-standardized alpha (0.890-0.978). The questionnaire items correlated significantly (p < 0.01) with clinical parameters of disease activity. The patient-reported tender joints correlated significantly with the physician's scores (0.842). Changes in functional disability, quality of life, and the motivation score showed significant variation (p < 0.01) with disease activity status in response to therapy. The illustrated PROMs questionnaire showed also a high degree of comprehensibility (9.6).

CONCLUSIONS

Integrating PROMs into standard clinical practice is feasible and applicable. The illustrated questionnaire was valid and reliable. It provides an informative, quantitative measure for the disease activity score set data, and in the meantime, facilitates the assessment of the children's adherence to therapy, comorbidities, and motivation on an individual basis.

Pharmacovigilance in juvenile idiopathic arthritis patients treated with biologic or synthetic drugs: combined data of more than 15,000 patients from Pharmachild and national registries

BACKGROUND

The availability of methotrexate and the introduction of multiple biological agents have revolutionized the treatment of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA). Several international and national drug registries have been implemented to accurately monitor the long-term safety/efficacy of these agents. This report aims to present the combined data coming from Pharmachild/PRINTO registry and the national registries from Germany (BiKeR) and Sweden.

METHODS

Descriptive statistics was used for demographic, clinical data, drug exposure, adverse events (AEs) and events of special interest (ESIs). For the Swedish register, AE data were not available.

RESULTS

Data from a total of 15,284 patients were reported: 8274 (54%) from the Pharmachild registry and 3990 (26%) and 3020 (20%) from the German and the Swedish registries, respectively. Pharmachild children showed a younger age (median of 5.4 versus 7.6 years) at JIA onset and shorter disease duration at last available visit (5.3 versus 6.1-6.8) when compared with the other registries. The most frequent JIA category was the rheumatoid factor-negative polyarthritis (range of 24.6-29.9%). Methotrexate (61-84%) and etanercept (24%-61.8%) were the most frequently used synthetic and biologic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs), respectively. There was a wide variability in glucocorticoid use (16.7-42.1%). Serious AEs were present in 572 (6.9%) patients in Pharmachild versus 297 (7.4%) in BiKeR. Infection and infestations were the most frequent AEs (29.4-30.1%) followed by gastrointestinal disorders (11.5-19.6%). The most frequent ESIs were infections (75.3-89%).

CONCLUSIONS

This article is the first attempt to present a very large sample of data on JIA patients from different national and international registries and represents the first proposal for data merging as the most powerful tool for future analysis of safety and effectiveness of immunosuppressive therapies in JIA.

REGISTRY REGISTRATION

The Pharmachild registry is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov ( NCT01399281 ) and at the European Network of Centres for Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacovigilance (ENCePP) ( http://www.encepp.eu/encepp/viewResource.htm?id=19362 ). The BiKeR registry is registered at ENCePP ( http://www.encepp.eu/encepp/viewResource.htm?id=20591 ).

In silico validation of the Autoinflammatory Disease Damage Index

Introduction

Autoinflammatory diseases can cause irreversible tissue damage due to systemic inflammation. Recently, the Autoinflammatory Disease Damage Index (ADDI) was developed. The ADDI is the first instrument to quantify damage in familial Mediterranean fever, cryopyrin-associated periodic syndromes, mevalonate kinase deficiency and tumour necrosis factor receptor-associated periodic syndrome. The aim of this study was to validate this tool for its intended use in a clinical/research setting.

Methods

The ADDI was scored on paper clinical cases by at least three physicians per case, independently of each other. Face and content validity were assessed by requesting comments on the ADDI. Reliability was tested by calculating the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) using an ‘observer-nested-within-subject’ design. Construct validity was determined by correlating the ADDI score to the Physician Global Assessment (PGA) of damage and disease activity. Redundancy of individual items was determined with Cronbach’s alpha.

Results

The ADDI was validated on a total of 110 paper clinical cases by 37 experts in autoinflammatory diseases. This yielded an ICC of 0.84 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.89). The ADDI score correlated strongly with PGA-damage (r=0.92, 95% CI 0.88 to 0.95) and was not strongly influenced by disease activity (r=0.395, 95% CI 0.21 to 0.55). After comments from disease experts, some item definitions were refined. The interitem correlation in all different categories was lower than 0.7, indicating that there was no redundancy between individual damage items.

Conclusion

The ADDI is a reliable and valid instrument to quantify damage in individual patients and can be used to compare disease outcomes in clinical studies.

Physical Examination Tools Used to Identify Swollen and Tender Lower Limb Joints in Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis: A Scoping Review

Background

Juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) is the most common form of rheumatic disease in childhood and adolescents, affecting between 16 and 150 per 100,000 young persons below the age of 16. The lower limb is commonly affected in JIA, with joint swelling and tenderness often observed as a result of active synovitis.

Objective

The objective of this scoping review is to identify the existence of physical examination (PE) tools to identify and record swollen and tender lower limb joints in children with JIA.

Methods

Two reviewers individually screened the eligibility of titles and abstracts retrieved from the following online databases: MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and CINAHL. Studies that proposed and validated a comprehensive lower limb PE tool were included in this scoping review.

Results

After removal of duplicates, 1232 citations were retrieved, in which twelve were identified as potentially eligible. No studies met the set criteria for inclusion.

Conclusion

Further research is needed in developing and validating specific PE tools for clinicians such as podiatrists and other allied health professionals involved in the management of pathological lower limb joints in children diagnosed with JIA. These lower limb PE tools may be useful in conjunction with existing disease activity scores to optimise screening of the lower extremity and monitoring the efficacy of targeted interventions.

Predicting unfavorable long-term outcome in juvenile idiopathic arthritis: results from the Nordic cohort study

Background

The aim was to develop prediction rules that may guide early treatment decisions based on baseline clinical predictors of long-term unfavorable outcome in juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA).

Methods

In the Nordic JIA cohort, we assessed baseline disease characteristics as predictors of the following outcomes 8 years after disease onset. Non-achievement of remission off medication according to the preliminary Wallace criteria, functional disability assessed by Childhood Health Assessment Questionnaire (CHAQ) and Physical Summary Score (PhS) of the Child Health Questionnaire, and articular damage assessed by the Juvenile Arthritis Damage Index-Articular (JADI-A). Multivariable models were constructed, and cross-validations were performed by repeated partitioning of the cohort into training sets for developing prediction models and validation sets to test predictive ability.

Results

The total cohort constituted 423 children. Remission status was available in 410 children: 244 (59.5%) of these did not achieve remission off medication at the final study visit. Functional disability was present in 111/340 (32.7%) children assessed by CHAQ and 40/199 (20.1%) by PhS, and joint damage was found in 29/216 (13.4%). Model performance was acceptable for making predictions of long-term outcome. In validation sets, the area under the curves (AUCs) in the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were 0.78 (IQR 0.72–0.82) for non-achievement of remission off medication, 0.73 (IQR 0.67–0.76) for functional disability assessed by CHAQ, 0.74 (IQR 0.65–0.80) for functional disability assessed by PhS, and 0.73 (IQR 0.63–0.76) for joint damage using JADI-A.

Conclusion

The feasibility of making long-term predictions of JIA outcome based on early clinical assessment is demonstrated. The prediction models have acceptable precision and require only readily available baseline variables. Further testing in other cohorts is warranted.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13075-018-1571-6) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.