Competing risks analysis of microsatellite instability as a prognostic factor in colorectal cancer

Cumulative incidence of first recurrence after curative treatment of stage I-III colorectal cancer. Competing risk analyses of temporal and anatomic patterns

BACKGROUND

Updated knowledge about the rates of recurrence and time to recurrence following curative treatment of colorectal cancer is essential to secure better patient information on prognosis, to serve as a premise in the discussion on adjuvant chemotherapy, and help to properly scale the intensity and length of follow-up.

METHODS

This is a population-based study investigating aspects on first recurrence after radical treatment of clinical stages I-III of colorectal cancer in Central-Norway during 2001-2015. To reveal any time-trends, data were stratified by the time periods 2001-2005, 2006-2010 and 2011-2015. The cumulative incidence of first recurrence was calculated, treating death of unrelated causes as a competing event. Multivariable Cox analyses were done to calculate cause specific hazard ratios (HR) for risk of recurrence.

RESULTS

At a minimum follow-up of six years, a first recurrence was detected in 1,113/5,556 patients at risk (20.0%). The recurrence rate was reduced from 23.6% in the first time period, through 20.0% in the second, and to 17.2% in the last, p < 0.001. The reduction applied to all tumor locations, to pathological disease stages II and III, to both gender, across different tumor differentiations, and to both elective and emergency surgery. In multivariable analyses time period, gender, disease stage, and tumor differentiation were significant determinants for risk of recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of first recurrence after curative surgery for colorectal cancer was substantially reduced from 2001 to 2015. The reason for the reduction could not be attributed to a single factor only. A combined effect of several incremental improvements, such as an increased use of preoperative radiation for rectal cancers, improved adjuvant chemotherapy for colon cancer, and a reduced proportion of emergency surgery, is suggested.

Pre- and Postoperative Levels of Carcinoembryonic Antigen in Microsatellite Stable Versus Instable Colon Cancer: a Retrospective Analysis

PURPOSE

The prognosis of microsatellite stable (MSS) versus instable (MSI) tumors is an ongoing matter of debate, with differences in expression of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in these two tumor subsets being inconsistently reported to date. The aim of this study was to investigate CEA expression in the context of clinical parameters in MSS and MSI tumors.

METHODS

Clinical, pathological, and biochemical parameters of colon cancer patients who underwent curative surgery were documented in a database and compared between MSS and MSI cases. The pre- to postoperative trend of CEA was analyzed. Survival was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier (log rank) test.

RESULTS

One hundred sixty-nine patients were included in the study. Compared to those with MSS tumors, there was a higher proportion of preoperatively elevated CEA among those with MSI tumors (p = 0.067). Median CEA values decreased over the pre- to postoperative course with MSS (p = 0.01) but not MSI (p = 0.093) tumors. The distribution of N classification differed between MSS and MSI tumors (p = 0.014). Patients with MSI tumors had superior survival.

CONCLUSION

Despite the better prognosis, MSI tumors are associated with increases in CEA. Our findings shed light on discrepancies related to the prognostic evaluation of MSI tumors. Furthermore, in follow-up of colorectal cancers, CEA measurements should be interpreted differently for MSI and MSS tumors.

Promising Therapeutic Impact of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors in Type II Endometrial Cancer Patients with Deficient Mismatch Repair Status

Type II endometrial cancer (EC) is responsible for most endometrial cancer-related deaths due to its aggressive nature, late-stage detection, and high tolerance to standard therapies. Thus, novel treatment strategies for type II EC are imperative. For patients with mismatch repair-deficient (dMMR) tumors, immunotherapy with immune checkpoint inhibitors represents a promising therapeutic strategy. However, the prevalence of dMMR tumors in type II EC patients remains unclear. In this study, using immunohistochemistry, we evaluated the expression of mismatch repair (MMR) proteins, tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (CD8+), and immune checkpoint molecules (PD-L1) in 60 patients with type II EC (16, 5, 17, and 22 were endometrioid G3, serous, de-differentiated, and carcinosarcoma cases, respectively) to investigate the therapeutic effect of immune checkpoint inhibitors. Approximately 24 cases (40%) had a loss of MMR protein expression. The positivity rate of CD8+ (p = 0.0072) and PD-L1 (p = 0.0061) expression was significantly associated with the dMMR group. These results suggest immune checkpoint inhibitors (anti-PD-L1/PD-1 antibodies) could effectively treat type II EC with dMMR. The presence of dMMR might be a biomarker for a positive response to PD-1/PD-L1 immunotherapy in type II EC.

Survival outcomes associated with Lynch syndrome colorectal cancer and metachronous rate after subtotal/total versus segmental colectomy: Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Lynch syndrome is associated with the most common form of heritable bowel cancer. There remains limited level 1 evidence on survival outcomes and rate of metachronous tumor associated with Lynch syndrome colorectal cancer.

METHODS

A systematic literature search of original studies was performed on Ovid searching MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, American College of Physicians ACP Journal Club, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects DARE, and Clinical Trials databases from inception of database to February 2021. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses reporting guideline was followed. The data were pooled using a random-effects model. All of the P values were 2-tailed, and statistical analysis was performed using RevMan v. 5.3 Cochrane Collaboration.

RESULTS

From 1,942 studies, 15 studies met the inclusion criteria and were included for qualitative and quantitative synthesis. The five-year overall survival was 89.5% (82.0-94.1%), P < .01; I² = 89%. The ten-year overall survival was 80.5% (68.7-88.6%), P < .01; I² = 81%. The fifteen-year overall survival was 70% (33.7%-91.5%), P < .01; I² = 93%. Univariate meta-regression analysis showed no statistically significant difference in 5-year overall survival by sex, age, MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, nor tumor location (right versus left colon). The metachronous tumor rate was 12% to 33% with a follow-up period of up to 15 years, significantly lower in patients who underwent subtotal/total colectomy (0-6%).

CONCLUSION

The overall survival of patients with colorectal cancer with Lynch syndrome was approximately 90% at 5 years, 80% at 10 years, and 70% at 15 years. The metachronous tumor rate was approximately 10% to 30% at up to 15 years, significantly improved by subtotal/total colectomy.

Pathological Features and Prognostication in Colorectal Cancer

The prognostication of colorectal cancer (CRC) has traditionally relied on staging as defined by the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging classifications. However, clinically, there appears to be differences in survival patterns independent of stage, suggesting a complex interaction of stage, pathological features, and biomarkers playing a role in guiding prognosis, risk stratification, and guiding neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapies. Histological features such as tumour budding, perineural invasion, apical lymph node involvement, lymph node yield, lymph node ratio, and molecular features such as MSI, KRAS, BRAF, and CDX2 may assist in prognostication and optimising adjuvant treatment. This study provides a comprehensive review of the pathological features and biomarkers that are important in the prognostication and treatment of CRC. We review the importance of pathological features and biomarkers that may be important in colorectal cancer based on the current evidence in the literature.

Recurrence and colon cancer-specific death in patients with large bowel obstruction requiring urgent operation: a competing risks analysis

AIM

Clinical presentation with large bowel obstruction has been proposed as a predictor of poor long-term oncological outcomes after resection for colorectal cancer. This study examines the association between obstruction and recurrence and cancer-specific death after resection for colon cancer.

METHOD

Consecutive patients who underwent resection for colon cancer between 1995 and 2014 were drawn from a prospectively recorded hospital database with all surviving patients followed for at least 5 years. The outcomes of tumour recurrence and colon cancer-specific death were assessed by competing risks multivariable techniques with adjustment for potential clinical and pathological confounding variables.

RESULTS

Recurrence occurred in 271 of 1485 patients who had a potentially curative resection. In bivariate analysis, obstruction was significantly associated with recurrence [hazard ratio (HR) 2.23, CI 1.52-3.26, p < 0.001] but this association became nonsignificant after adjustment for confounders (HR 1.53, CI 0.95-2.46, p = 0.080). Colon cancer-specific death occurred in 238 of 295 patients who had a noncurative resection. Obstruction was not significantly associated with cancer-specific death (HR 1.02, CI 0.72-1.45, p = 0.903). In patients who had a noncurative resection, the competing risks incidence of colon cancer-specific death was not significantly greater in obstructed than in unobstructed patients (HR 1.02, CI 0.72-1.45, p = 0.903).

CONCLUSION

Whilst the immediate clinical challenge of an individual patient presenting with large bowel obstruction must be addressed by the surgeon, the patient's long-term oncological outcomes are unrelated to obstruction per se.

Rate of dissemination and prognosis in early and advanced stage colorectal cancer based on microsatellite instability status: systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

For the past two decades, microsatellite instability (MSI) has been reported as a robust clinical biomarker associated with survival advantage attributed to its immunogenicity. However, MSI is also associated with high-risk adverse pathological features (poorly differentiated, mucinous, signet cell, higher grade) and exhibits a double-edged sword phenomenon. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the rate of dissemination and the prognosis of early and advanced stage colorectal cancer based on MSI status.

METHODS

A systematic literature search of original studies was performed on Ovid searching MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, American College of Physicians ACP Journal Club, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects DARE, Clinical Trials databases from inception of database to June 2019. Colorectal cancer, microsatellite instability, genomic instability and DNA mismatch repair were used as key words or MeSH terms. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guideline was followed. Data were pooled using a random-effects model with odds ratio (OR) as the effect size. Statistical analysis was performed using RevMan ver 5.3 Cochrane Collaboration.

RESULTS

From 5288 studies, 136 met the inclusion criteria (n = 92,035; MSI-H 11,746 (13%)). Overall, MSI-H was associated with improved OS (OR, 0.81; 95% CI 0.73-0.90), DFS (OR, 0.73; 95% CI 0.66-0.81) and DSS (OR, 0.69; 95% CI 0.52-0.90). Importantly, MSI-H had a protective effect against dissemination with a significantly lower rate of lymph node and distant metastases. By stage, the protective effect of MSI-H in terms of OS and DFS was observed clearly in stage II and stage III. Survival in stage I CRC was excellent irrespective of MSI status. In stage IV CRC, without immunotherapy, MSI-H was not associated with any survival benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

MSI-H CRC was associated with an overall survival benefit with a lower rate of dissemination. Survival benefit was clearly evident in both stage II and III CRC, but MSI-H was neither a robust prognostic marker in stage I nor stage IV CRC without immunotherapy.

A Simple, Accurate and Cost-Effective Capillary Electrophoresis Test with Computational Methods to Aid in Universal Microsatellite Instability Testing

Background: Microsatellite instability (MSI) testing is important for the classification of Lynch syndrome, as a prognostic marker and as a guide for adjuvant chemotherapy in colorectal cancer (CRC). The gold standard for determining MSI status has traditionally been fluorescent multiplex polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and capillary gel electrophoresis (CGE). However, its use in the clinical setting has diminished and has been replaced by immunohistochemical (IHC) detection of loss of mismatch repair protein expression due to practicability and cost. The aim of this study was to develop a simple, cost-effective and accurate MSI assay based on CGE. Method: After amplification of microsatellites by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) using the National Cancer Institute (NCI) panel (BAT 25, BAT26, D5S346, D2S123, D17S250) of MSI markers, parallel CGE was utilized to classify colorectal cancers as MSI-H, MSI-L and MSS using the 5200 Fragment Analyzer System. Cell lines and patient cancer specimens were tested. DNA from 56 formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded cancer specimens and matched normal tissue were extracted and CGE was performed. An automated computational algorithm for MSI status determination was also developed. Results: Using the fragment analyser, MSI status was found to be 100% concordant with the known MSI status of cell lines and was 86% and 87% concordant with immunohistochemistry (IHC) from patient cancer specimens using traditional assessment and our MSI scoring system, respectively, for MSI determination. The misclassification rate was mainly attributed to IHC, with only one (1.8%) sampling error attributed to CGE testing. CGE was also able to distinguish MSI-L from MSI-H and MSS, which is not possible with IHC. An MSI score based on total allelic variability that can accurately determine MSI status was also successfully developed. A significant reduction in cost compared with traditional fluorescent multiplex PCR and CGE was achieved with this technique. Conclusions: A simple, cost-effective and reliable method of determining MSI status and an MSI scoring system based on an automatic computational algorithm to determine MSI status, as well as degree of allelic instability in colorectal cancer, has been developed using the 5200 Fragment Analyzer System.

Current status on microsatellite instability, prognosis and adjuvant therapy in colon cancer: A nationwide survey of medical oncologists, colorectal surgeons and gastrointestinal pathologists

BACKGROUND

There is significant variation in attitude both towards the role of microsatellite instability (MSI) in predicting prognosis, and towards its role in guiding which Stage II colon cancer patients may benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

AIM

To examine the current status of specialist attitudes towards MSI in guiding prognosis and adjuvant therapy in stage II colon cancer.

METHODS

The Pathology in Colon Cancer, Prognosis and Uptake of Adjuvant Therapy (PiCC UP) Australia and New Zealand questionnaire was distributed to colorectal surgeons, medical oncologists and pathologists after institutional board approval. A 5-scale Likert score was used to assess attitudes towards 23 pathological features for prognosis and 18 features for adjuvant therapy. Data were analysed using a rating scale and graded response model in item response theory (IRT) on STATA (Stata MP, version 15; StataCorp LP).

RESULTS

164 specialists (45 oncologists, 86 surgeons and 33 pathologists) participated. 80.5% regularly attended colorectal multidisciplinary team (MDT) meetings. 89.63% and 59.26% of specialists reported that MSI status was likely or definitely to influence prognosis in colon cancer and recommendations for adjuvant therapy in Stage II colon cancer respectively. IRT modelling was achieved in 17 pathological features for prognosis. MSI IRT score was 4.47 (95% CI: 4.05-4.68). IRT modelling was achieved in 10 pathological features for adjuvant therapy. MSI IRT score was 3.62 (2.89-4.15). MSI ranked 10 (of 17) in order of importance in determining prognosis and ranked three (of 10) in guiding adjuvant therapy.

CONCLUSION

MSI status is considered an important biomarker when selecting patients for adjuvant therapy in Stage II colon cancer. MSI is also considered useful in prognostication of colon cancer. MSI status was ranked similar to the tumour grade of differentiation and the presence of perineural invasion.

Association Between Microsatellite Instability Status and Peri-Operative Release of Circulating Tumour Cells in Colorectal Cancer

Microsatellite instability (MSI) in colorectal cancer (CRC) is a marker of immunogenicity and is associated with an increased abundance of tumour infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs). In this subgroup of colorectal cancer, it is unknown if these characteristics translate into a measurable difference in circulating tumour cell (CTC) release into peripheral circulation. This is the first study to compare MSI status with the prevalence of circulating CTCs in the peri-operative colorectal surgery setting. For this purpose, 20 patients who underwent CRC surgery with curative intent were enrolled in the study, and peripheral venous blood was collected at pre- (t1), intra- (t2), immediately post-operative (t3), and 14–16 h post-operative (t4) time points. Of these, one patient was excluded due to insufficient blood sample. CTCs were isolated from 19 patients using the Isoflux^TM system, and the data were analysed using the STATA statistical package. CTC number was presented as the mean values, and comparisons were made using the Student t-test. There was a trend toward increased CTC presence in the MSI-high (H) CRC group, but this was not statistically significant. In addition, a Poisson regression was performed adjusting for stage (I-IV). This demonstrated no significant difference between the two MSI groups for pre-operative time point t1. However, time points t2, t3, and t4 were associated with increased CTC presence for MSI-H CRCs. In conclusion, there was a trend toward increased CTC release pre-, intra-, and post-operatively in MSI-H CRCs, but this was only statistically significant intra-operatively. When adjusting for stage, MSI-H was associated with an increase in CTC numbers intra-operatively and post-operatively, but not pre-operatively.

Elevated Microsatellite Alterations at Selected Tetranucleotides (EMAST) in Colorectal Cancer is Associated with an Elderly, Frail Phenotype and Improved Recurrence-Free Survival

BACKGROUND

Elevated microsatellite alterations at selected tetranucleotides (EMAST) is a poorly investigated form of microsatellite instability (MSI) in colorectal cancer (CRC).

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the clinicopathological features of EMAST in CRC and its relation to outcome.

METHODS

A population-based, consecutive cohort of surgically treated stage I-III CRC patients investigated for high-frequency MSI (MSI-H) and EMAST. Clinicopathological differences were reported as odds ratios (OR) and survival was presented as hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Of 161 patients included, 25% were aged > 79 years. There was a large overlap in the prevalence of EMAST (31.7%) and MSI-H (27.3%) [82.4% of EMAST were also MSI-H]. EMAST had the highest prevalence in the proximal colon (OR 15.9, 95% CI 5.6-45.1; p < 0.001) and in women (OR 4.1, 95% CI 1.9-8.6; p < 0.001), and were poorly differentiated (OR 5.0, 95% CI 2.3-10.7; p < 0.001). Compared with EMAST-negative patients, EMAST-positive patients were older (median age 77 vs. 69 years; p < 0.001), leaner (median weight 67.5 vs. 77 kg; p = 0.001), had significantly higher rates of hypoalbuminemia (24% vs. 6%; OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.5-3.6; p = 0.002) and anemia (45% vs. 20%; OR 3.3, 95% CI 1.6-6.8; p = 0.001), and had elevated preoperative C-reactive protein (CRP) levels (51% vs. 34%; OR 1.9, 95% CI 1.0-3.9; p = 0.046). Improved recurrence-free survival was found in both MSI-H and EMAST subtypes. In multivariable analysis, node status (pN +), together with elevated CRP and MSI-positive, were the strongest prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

EMAST in CRC is associated with an older, leaner, and frailer phenotype with a lower risk of recurrence. The relevance of, and putative mechanisms to, EMAST warrants further investigation.

The value of single-source dual-energy CT imaging for discriminating microsatellite instability from microsatellite stability human colorectal cancer

OBJECTIVES

To demonstrate the value of single-source dual-energy computed tomography (ssDECT) imaging for discriminating microsatellite instability (MSI) from microsatellite stability (MSS) colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

Thirty-eight and seventy-six patients with pathologically proven MSI and MSS CRC, respectively, were retrospectively selected and compared. These patients underwent contrast-enhanced abdominal ssDECT scans before any anti-cancer treatment. Effective atomic number (Eff-Z) in precontrast phase, slope k of spectral HU curve in precontrast (k-P), arterial (k-A), venous (k-V), and delayed phase (k-D), normalized iodine concentration in arterial (NIC-A), venous (NIC-V), and delayed phase (NIC-D), of tumors in two groups were measured by two reviewers. Consistency of measurements was tested by intra-class correlation coefficients (ICC). Mann-Whitney U test or Student's t test was used to compare above values between MSI and MSS. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze multiple parameters. Receiver operating characteristic curves were calculated to assess diagnostic efficacies.

RESULTS

Interobserver agreement was excellent (ICC > 0.80). MSI CRC had significantly lower values in all measurements (NIC-A, V, D; k-P, A, V, D; Eff-Z) than MSS CRC. For discriminating MSI from MSS CRC, the area under curve (AUC) using k-A was the highest (AUC, 0.803; sensitivity, 72.4%; specificity, 76.3%). The multivariate logistic regression (selection method, Enter) with combined ssDECT parameters (NIC-A, NIC-V, NIC-D, Eff-Z, k-P, k-A, k-V, k-D) significantly improved diagnostic capability with AUC of 0.886 (sensitivity, 81.6%; specificity, 81.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of multiple parameters in ssDECT imaging by multivariate logistic regression provides relatively high diagnostic accuracy for discriminating MSI from MSS CRC.

KEY POINTS

• ssDECT generates multiple parameters for discriminating CRC with MSI from MSS. • ssDECT measurements for MSI CRC were significantly lower than MSS CRC. • Combination of ssDECT parameters further improves diagnostic capability for differentiation.

Microsatellite instability is a biomarker for immune checkpoint inhibitors in endometrial cancer

In recent years, it has become evident that tumor cells have immune escape mechanisms, and immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy (anti-PD-1/PD-L1 antibody) has shown benefit in various cancers. In endometrial tumors with microsatellite-instability (MSI), somatic mutations have the potential to encode ''non-self'' immunogenic antigens, and lymphocytes have been shown to infiltrate the tumor. Therefore, immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy might be effective in endometrial cancers with MSI. Expression of mismatch repair (MMR) proteins (MLH1, PMS2, MSH2, and MSH6), the presence of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (CD8+), and PD-1/PD-L1 expression were assessed by immunohistochemistry in 149 patients with endometrial cancer. We examined whether tumors with MSI had an enhanced immune microenvironment and whether MSI could be a predictor of the therapeutic effect of PD-1/PD-L1 immunotherapy in endometrial cancer. Loss of MMR protein expression was identified in 42 (28.2%) of 149 patients (MSI group) with endometrial cancer. There was no significant relationship between MSI status and age (p = 0.193), histological grade (p = 0.097), FIGO stage (p = 0.508), pelvic lymph node metastasis (p = 0.139), or depth of myometrial invasion (p = 0.494). However, the presence of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (CD8+) and PD-L1/PD-1 expression were significantly higher in the MSI group compared to the microsatellite-stable group (p = 0.002, p = 0.001, and p = 0.008, respectively). These results suggest that immune checkpoint inhibitors (anti-PD-1/PD-L1 antibody) could be effective in endometrial cancers with MSI. The presence of MSI may be a biomarker for good response to PD-1/PD-L1 immunotherapy in endometrial cancer.