Dehydration is a strong predictor of long-term prognosis of thrombolysed patients with acute ischemic stroke

Beyond diagnosis: Leveraging routine blood and urine biomarkers to predict severity and functional outcome in acute ischemic stroke

Background

The initial severity of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is a crucial predictor of the disease outcome. In this study, blood and urine biomarkers from patients with AIS were measured to estimate stroke severity and predict long-term stroke outcomes.

Methods

The medical records of patients with AIS between October 2016 and May 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. The relationships of blood and urine biomarkers with stroke severity at admission were evaluated in patients with AIS. Predictive models for initial stroke severity and long-term prognosis were then developed using a panel of identified biomarkers.

Results

A total of 2229 patients were enrolled. Univariate analysis revealed 12 biomarkers associated with the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores at admission. The area under the curve values for predicting initial stroke severity and long-term prognosis on the basis of these biomarkers were 0.7465, 0.7470, and 0.8061, respectively. Among multiple tested machine-learning, eXtreme gradient boosting exhibited the highest effectiveness in predicting 90-day modified Rankin Scale scores. SHapley Additive exPlanations revealed fasting glucose, albumin, hemoglobin, prothrombin time, and urine-specific gravity to be the top five most crucial biomarkers.

Conclusion

These findings demonstrate that clinically available blood and urine biomarkers can effectively estimate initial stroke severity and predict long-term prognosis in patients with AIS. Our results provide a scientific basis for developing tailored clinical treatment and management strategies for AIS, through incorporating liquid biomarkers into stroke risk assessment and patient care protocols for patients with AIS.

Blood urea nitrogen has a nonlinear association with 3-month outcomes with acute ischemic stroke: A second analysis based on a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Evidence regarding the relationship between blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and 3-month outcomes in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients is still scarce. Therefore, the present study was preformed to explore the link between the BUN and 3-month poor outcomes in patients with AIS.

METHODS

A retrospective study of 1866 participants with AIS enrolled from January 2010 to December 2016 at a hospital in South Korea. Binary logistic regression, smooth curve fitting, and a set of sensitivity analyses were used to analyze the association between BUN and 3-month poor outcomes.

RESULTS

After adjusting covariates, the results of the binary logistic regression model suggested that the relationship between the BUN and the risk of 3-month poor outcomes for AIS patients was not statistically significant. However, there was a special nonlinear relationship between them, and the inflection point of the BUN was 13 mg/dl. On the left side of the inflection point, every unit increase in the BUN reduces the risk of 3-month poor outcomes by 14.1 % (OR = 0.859, 95%CI: 0.780-0.945, p = 0.0019). On the right side of the inflection point, the relationship is not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION

There is a nonlinear relationship with saturation effect between BUN level and 3-month poor outcomes in AIS patients. Maintaining the BUN at around 13 mg/dl can reduce the risk of 3-month poor outcome in AIS patients.

Impact of volemia at admission on the effect of collateral status on functional outcomes in patients undergoing endovascular thrombectomy

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Having good collaterals is associated with better clinical outcomes in patients undergoing endovascular thrombectomy. This study aims to evaluate whether the effect of collateral status on functional outcomes is modified by volemia at admission.

METHODS

This is a single-center, retrospective analysis of patients who had acute proximal anterior circulation occlusion and underwent endovascular thrombectomy between January 2019 and June 2022. Volemia at admission, evaluated by blood urea nitrogen-to-creatinine ratio, was used to dichotomize patients into dehydrated and hydrated groups. The primary outcome was functional independence (90-day modified Rankin Scale score = 0-2). Secondary outcomes were the rates of successful reperfusion, 24-h symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, and 90-day all-cause mortality. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to assess the interaction between collateral status and volemia at admission on outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 290 patients were enrolled, among whom having good collaterals was associated with functional independence (adjusted odds ratio [OR] = 2.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.41-5.22, p = 0.003). Having good collaterals benefited dehydrated patients (adjusted OR = 3.33, 95% CI = 1.45-7.63, p = 0.004) but not hydrated patients (adjusted OR = 2.21, 95% CI = 0.73-6.68, p = 0.161). However, an interaction between collaterals and volemia at admission on functional independence was not observed (p = 0.319). The rates of successful reperfusion, symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage, and all-cause mortality were similar between those with good and poor collaterals in both dehydrated and hydrated patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The effect of collateral status on the functional independence of patients undergoing thrombectomy is not modified by volemia at admission.

The onset of cerebral infarction may be affected by differences in atmospheric pressure distribution patterns

Background

Some papers have highlighted a possible causal relationship between the onset of ischemic stroke and weather conditions. This study aimed to elucidate the onset mechanism of cerebral infarction from a meteorological approach. We focused on the atmospheric pressure distribution patterns (APDPs).

Methods

The subjects are 221 cases diagnosed as cardiogenic cerebral embolism (Group A) and 612 cases diagnosed as atherosclerotic cerebral thrombosis (Group B). We investigated the APDP on the date closest to the date and time of onset of cerebral infarction in each patient on the website and chose the most similar one from the reported 11 APDPs. Groups A and B were compared for clinical characteristics and the appearance rate of each APDP in each group.

Results

The clinical characteristics of Groups A and B were consistent with some previously reported clinical characteristics of cerebral embolism and cerebral thrombosis except for smoking. The appearance rate of the other high-pressure type, which cannot be classified as either the anticyclone belt type or the migratory anticyclone type, in Group B was statistically significantly higher than that in Group A, and the appearance rate of the anticyclone belt type in Group A was statistically significantly higher than that in Group B (p < 0.05, Fisher's exact probability method, respectively).

Conclusions

Cerebral embolism and cerebral thrombosis exhibited significant differences in APDPs on the day of onset. Dehydration particularly in the other high-pressure type or in the anticyclone belt type should be prevented. Further investigation should focus on the other meteorological factors.

Association between BUN/creatinine ratio and the risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with trauma-related acute respiratory distress syndrome: a single-centre retrospective cohort from the MIMIC database

OBJECTIVE

Recent studies have shown that blood urea nitrogen to creatinine (BUN/Cr) ratio might be an effective marker for the prognosis of patients with respiratory diseases. Herein, we aimed to assess the association between BUN/Cr ratio and the risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with trauma-related acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS).

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

1034 patients were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) database.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome of the study was in-hospital mortality, defined by the vital status at the time of hospital discharge (ie, survivors and non-survivors).

RESULTS

Of the total patients, 191 (18.5%) died in hospital. The median follow-up duration was 16.0 (8.3-26.6) days. The results showed that high level of BUN/Cr ratio was significantly associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality (15.54-21.43: HR=2.00, 95% CI: (1.18 to 3.38); >21.43: HR=1.76, 95% CI: (1.04 to 2.99)) of patients with trauma-related ARDS. In patients with trauma-related ARDS that aged ≥65 years old, male and female, Onychomycosis Severity Index (OSI)>98, Revised Trauma Score (RTS)>11, Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS-II)>37 and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores≤7, BUN/Cr ratio was also related to the increased risk of in-hospital mortality (all p<0.05). The predictive performance of BUN/Cr ratio for in-hospital mortality was superior to BUN or Cr, respectively, with the area under the curve of receiver operator characteristic curve at 0.6, and that association was observed in age, gender, OSI, RTS, SAPS-II and SOFA score subgroups.

CONCLUSION

BUN/Cr ratio may be a potential biomarker for the risk of in-hospital mortality of trauma-related ARDS, which may help the clinicians to identify high-risk individuals and to implement clinical interventions.

The association of admission ionized calcium with outcomes of thrombolysed patients with anterior circulation ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The relationship between ionized calcium and prognosis of ischemic stroke is controversial. We aim to determine the relationship of admission ionized calcium levels with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) after intravenous thrombolysis (IVT).

METHODS

Consecutive anterior circulation AIS patients treated with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) were retrospectively enrolled. According to ionized calcium quartiles, the patients were divided into four groups and clinical data were analyzed between groups. Ionized calcium was entered into logistic regression analysis in two models, separately: model 1, calcium as a continuous variable (per 1-mmol/L increase), and model 2, calcium as the four-categorized variable (being collapsed into quartiles: Q1-Q4). Early neurologic improvement (ENI) was defined as improvement of four or more points at 24 h after intravenous rt-PA, while long-term good outcome as the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-1 at 90 days.

RESULTS

A total of 546 patients met the study criteria (mean age was 63.51 ± 11.26 years and 365 [66.8%] were men). The median admission National Institute of Health Stroke Scale was 9 (range 4 to 15). When not adjusted, in model 1: ionized calcium was related to good outcome (odds ratio [OR] 69.061, 95%CI: 1.638-2911.111, p=0.027), but not ENI (OR 14.097, 95%CI: 0.133-1492.596, p=0.266); in model 2: compared with Q4, while good outcome was less common in Q1 (OR 0.623, 95%CI: 0.388-0.999, p=0.049). After adjusting for confounding factors, calcium in Q2 (OR 0.502, 95%CI: 0.253-0.997, p=0.049) was independently associated with ENI, but no matter as a continuous variable or categorized variable, ionized calcium displayed no association with a good outcome.

CONCLUSION

The current results found that ionized calcium might be associated with early neurological improvement, but had no association with 3 months' outcome in anterior circulation AIS patients after IVT.

The Association of Blood Urea Nitrogen to Creatinine Ratio and the Prognosis of Critically Ill Patients with Cerebral Infarction: A Cohort Study

Background

To evaluate the association between blood urea nitrogen (BUN) to creatinine (Cr) (BUN/Cr) ratio and the in-hospital mortality of critically ill patients with cerebral infarction in intensive care unit (ICU).

Methods

In this cohort study, the data of 3059 participants with cerebral infarction were collected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-III and the MIMIC-IV database. After propensity score matching (PSM) on age and gender, 2085 people were involved in and divided into the alive group (n = 1390) and the dead group (n = 695) based on the results of follow-up. Multivariate logistic analyses were applied to identify the confounders and the association between BUN/Cr and mortality of cerebral infarction.

Results

The median follow-up time was 10.5 days. Among 2778 participants, 695 were dead at the end of follow-up. Univariate analysis revealed that BUN/Cr [risk ratio (RR) = 1.01, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.02] might be associated with the in-hospital mortality of cerebral infarction patients. After adjusting for respiratory failure, malignant cancer, anticoagulation, liver disease, white blood cell (WBC), red cell distribution width (RDW), glucose, bicarbonate, and temperature, BUN/Cr had week correlation with the increased risk of in-hospital mortality of cerebral infarction patients (RR = 1.01, 95% CI: 1.01-1.02).

Conclusion

This study evaluated the association between BUN/Cr and the in-hospital mortality of cerebral infarction patients in ICU and found that BUN/Cr had weak correlation with the increased risk of in-hospital mortality of patients with cerebral infarction in ICU especially in males and those with respiratory failure, malignant cancer, and without liver disease, as well as those receiving anticoagulation.

A New Nomogram for Predicting the Risk of Intracranial Hemorrhage in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients After Intravenous Thrombolysis

Background

We aimed to develop and validate a new nomogram for predicting the risk of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) after intravenous thrombolysis (IVT).

Methods

A retrospective study enrolled 553 patients with AIS treated with IVT. The patients were randomly divided into two cohorts: the training set (70%, n = 387) and the testing set (30%, n = 166). The factors in the predictive nomogram were filtered using multivariable logistic regression analysis. The performance of the nomogram was assessed based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

After multivariable logistic regression analysis, certain factors, such as smoking, National Institutes of Health of Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, blood urea nitrogen-to-creatinine ratio (BUN/Cr), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), were found to be independent predictors of ICH and were used to construct a nomogram. The AUC-ROC values of the nomogram were 0.887 (95% CI: 0.842–0.933) and 0.776 (95% CI: 0.681–0.872) in the training and testing sets, respectively. The AUC-ROC of the nomogram was higher than that of the Multicenter Stroke Survey (MSS), Glucose, Race, Age, Sex, Systolic blood Pressure, and Severity of stroke (GRASPS), and stroke prognostication using age and NIH Stroke Scale-100 positive index (SPAN-100) scores for predicting ICH in both the training and testing sets (p < 0.05). The calibration plot demonstrated good agreement in both the training and testing sets. DCA indicated that the nomogram was clinically useful.

Conclusions

The new nomogram, which included smoking, NIHSS, BUN/Cr, and NLR as variables, had the potential for predicting the risk of ICH in patients with AIS after IVT.

FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH ORAL INTAKE ABILITY IN PATIENTS WITH ACUTE-STAGE STROKE

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the factors predicting oral feeding ability following acute stroke.

METHODS

This retrospective study compared patients admitted to a stroke care unit in 2 groups: an oral intake group and a tube feeding group. The groups were evaluated for 28 items and initial blood investigation tests, and the results compared. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the clinical variables significantly associated with oral feeding ability.

RESULTS

A total of 255 stroke patients (162 in the oral intake group and 93 in the tube feeding group) were admitted to the stroke care unit. Significant differences were observed between the 2 groups for 20 items. Logistic analysis found that the following variables were significant in the prediction model: age, date of initiation of oral feeding, stroke recurrence/patient deterioration during hospitalization, and date of initiation of occupational therapy.

CONCLUSION

Factors associated with achieving oral intake among stroke care unit patients were: young age at time of admission; starting oral intake early; no stroke recurrence/patient deterioration during hospitalization; and achieving rehabilitation of daily activities early during the physical function recovery stage.

Factors influencing the outcome of cardiogenic cerebral embolism: a literature review

OBJECTIVE

The onset of cardiogenic cerebral embolism is sudden, dangerous, and often has high morbidity and mortality. Improving understanding of factors contributing to outcomes of cardiogenic cerebral embolism will improve prognostic and therapeutic capabilities.

METHODS

Through PubMed and Google Scholar, this paper examined and analyzed the factors implicated in the outcome of patients with cardiogenic cerebral embolism using the key terms 'cardiogenic cerebral embolism', 'atrial fibrillation', 'stroke related diseases', 'collateral circulation', 'emboli profile', 'epigenetic' up to 28 February 2021. Full texts of the retrieved articles were accessed. In general, in these literatures, National Institute Health of Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score ≥ 17, modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score ≥ 2, stroke recurrence, death caused by stroke are regarded as the criteria of poor prognosis. As long as one of these conditions occurs, it is judged as poor prognosis.

RESULTS

Factors influencing patient outcomes including patient outcome include severity of neurological impairment, types and severity of combined heart diseases, establishment of cerebral collateral circulation, treatments, components of emboli causing cardiogenic cerebral embolism, existence and control of other system complications, distribution and expression of inflammatory immune cells and molecules in the course of cardiogenic cerebral embolism, and epigenetic changes related to disease prognosis.

CONCLUSION

Regarding to prevention and treatment of cardiogenic cerebral embolism, the related factors, such as clinical setting, emboli pathological profile, and epigenetic changes should be emphasized so that outcomes and recurrence of cardiogenic cerebral embolism can be improvised.

Admission Hydration Status and Ischemic Stroke Outcome-Experience from a National Registry of Hospitalized Stroke Patients

Reduced intravascular volume upon ischemic stroke (IS) admission has been associated with in-hospital complications, disability, and reduced survival. We aimed to evaluate the association of the urea-to-creatinine ratio (UCR) with disability or death at discharge, length of stay, in-hospital complications, and mortality during the first year. Using a national registry, we identified hospitalized IS patients without renal failure. Disability or death at discharge, length of stay, in-hospital complications, and mortality during the first year were studied by UCR, and associations between UCR levels and each outcome were assessed adjusting for age, sex, stroke severity, comorbidities, use of statins, and use of diuretics. In total, 2212 patients were included. Levels (median (25–75%)) for the main study variables were: urea 5.16 (3.66–6.83) mmol/L; creatinine 80 (64–92) µmol/L; and UCR 65 (58–74). Levels of UCR were significantly higher in patients with disability or death at discharge (p < 0.0001), those with complications during hospitalization (p = 0.03), those with infection during hospitalization (p = 0.0003), and those dead at 1 year (p < 0.0001). Analysis by UCR quartile showed that rates of disability or death at discharge, infections, complications overall, and death at 1 year in patients with UCR in the 4th quartile were significantly higher than in others. Risk-factor-adjusted analysis by UCR quartiles demonstrated an inconsistent independent association between UCR and disability or death after ischemic stroke. A high 1-year mortality rate was observed in IS patients with elevated UCR, yet this finding was not statistically significant after controlling for risk factors. Our study shows inconsistent associations between hydration status and poor functional status at discharge, and no association with length of stay, in-hospital complications (infectious and overall), and 1-year mortality.

Chronic kidney disease in the pathogenesis of acute ischemic stroke

Chronic kidney disease has a graded and independent inverse impact on cerebrovascular health. Both thrombotic and hemorrhagic complications are highly prevalent in chronic kidney disease patients. Growing evidence suggests that in chronic kidney disease patients, ischemic strokes are more common than hemorrhagic strokes. Chronic kidney disease is asymptomatic until an advanced stage, but mild to moderate chronic kidney disease incites various pathogenic mechanisms such as inflammation, oxidative stress, neurohormonal imbalance, formation of uremic toxins and vascular calcification which damage the endothelium and blood vessels. Cognitive dysfunction, dementia, transient infarcts, and white matter lesions are widespread in mild to moderate chronic kidney disease patients. Uremic toxins produced after chronic kidney disease can pass through the blood-brain barrier and mediate cognitive dysfunction and neurodegeneration. Furthermore, chronic kidney disease precipitates vascular risk factors that can lead to atherosclerosis, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, and diabetes. Chronic kidney disease also exacerbates stroke pathogenesis, worsens recovery outcomes, and limits the eligibility of stroke patients to receive available stroke therapeutics. This review highlights the mechanisms involved in the advancement of chronic kidney disease and its possible association with stroke.

Contribution of dehydration to END in acute ischemic stroke not mediated via coagulation activation

OBJECTIVE

Dehydration is a risk factor for early neurological deterioration (END) after ischemic stroke, yet the underlying mechanism is unclear. Outbalanced coagulation activation may contribute to ischemia progression, concurrently with dehydration-induced blood viscosity change. We aimed to investigate whether the contribution of dehydration to END was mediated by blood coagulation activation.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated consecutive patients presenting with mild or moderate stroke (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score ≤14) within 24 hr of onset between Jan 2016 and Dec 2017. Dehydration was defined by a serum nitrogen to creatinine ratio (BUN/Cr) of ≥15 and blood coagulation activity was assessed with thromboelastography (TEG). The correlations between BUN/Cr and TEG parameters were assessed and their relationship in the development of END was analyzed.

RESULTS

Of 244 patients, 64 (26.2%) developed END within 3 days after admission. Patients with END had significantly higher BUN/Cr (19.2 ± 5.7 vs. 15.3 ± 2.9, p = 0.008), shorter R and K on TEG test (R: 3.9 ± 1.0 vs. 4.6 ± 1.1, p = 0.001; K: 1.3 ± 0.5 vs. 1.5 ± 0.4, p = 0.005). Comparison between patients with and without dehydration revealed no significant differences in TEG parameters. Multivariate regression suggested that dehydration status (OR 3.91, 95%CI 2.17-8.67, p = 0.008) and shorter R tercile on TEG (OR 3.18, 95% CI 1.23-7.90, p = 0.016) were independently associated with END; however, the odds ratio of R for END remained unchanged after adjustment for dehydration status.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggested that the contribution of dehydration to END after ischemic stroke was mediated by blood coagulation activation.

Dehydration is a strong predictor of long-term prognosis of thrombolysed patients with acute ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Dehydration was found to be involved in the poor prognosis of patients with acute ischemic stroke. It is unclear whether dehydration status before onset is related with prognosis of thrombolysed patients with acute ischemic stroke. If it is the case, quickly hydrating may improve the prognosis. The present study was designed to explore the issue.

METHODS

Eligible 294 patients with acute ischemic stroke after thrombolysis were enrolled in the present study according to inclusion/exclusion criteria. According to the modified Rankin scale (mRS) 90 days post stroke, the patients were divided into two groups: mRS 0-2 (n = 191) and mRS 3-6 (n = 103). In the present study, BUN/Cr ≥ 15 combined with USG > 1.010 or either of them were chosen as dehydration marker. Clinical data were analyzed between two groups. Univariate and multivariate statistical analyses were carried out.

RESULTS

Age, fibrinogen, blood glucose, BUN/Cr, NIHSS score at admission, the systolic blood pressure (SBP) before thrombolysis, dehydration status (BUN/Cr ≥ 15 plus USG > 1.010), hyperlipidemia, USG and D-dimer on admission day, and TOAST classification showed significant difference between two groups (p < .05). Further stratification analysis showed that BUN/Cr ≥ 15, NIHSS ≥ 6, blood glucose ≥8, and SBP > 150 were markedly associated with poor outcome (mRS 3-6, p < .05). After adjusting for age, fibrinogen, USG, D-dimer, dehydration status, NIHSS, blood glucose, SBP, hyperlipidemia, and BUN/Cr at admission, multivariate logistic regression showed that dehydration status, higher NIHSS, higher blood glucose, and higher SBP at admission were independent risk factors for predicting the long-term poor prognosis of thrombolysed patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The present findings suggest that BUN/Cr ≥ 15 combined with USG > 1.010 as a marker of dehydration status was an independent risk factor for long-term poor prognosis of thrombolysed patients with acute ischemic stroke.