Radiotherapy vs surgery for T1-2N0M0 laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma: A population-based and propensity score matching study

Clinical usefulness of psoas muscle thickness for the prognosis of acute type A aortic dissection patients undergoing total arch replacement

Background

Sarcopenia has emerged as a comprehensive predictor of mortality in diseased populations. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of psoas muscle thickness/height (PMTH) measurement in patients with acute type A aortic dissection (AAAD).

Methods

A retrospective analysis of patients (from January 2020 to December 2020) who underwent AAAD surgery at our institution was conducted. PMTH, as a measure of sarcopenia, was measured by preoperative computed tomography. Patients were classified into two groups according to the cut-off value of PMTH. To balance potential bias, a 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) with a caliper 0.05 was conducted.

Results

PSM analysis created 68 pairs of patients. In short-term outcomes, a lower PMTH value was strongly correlated with higher in-hospital mortality and renal failure. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis suggested that sarcopenia had good predictive capabilities in in-hospital mortality, with the area under curve (AUC) of 0.81 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.64-0.97]. During a median follow-up of 37 months, 24 (19.4%) patients died, including 16 in low PMTH group and 8 in high PMTH group. Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated the sarcopenia significantly affected long-term survival [log-rank P=0.02; hazard ratio (HR) 2.53 (95% CI: 1.13-5.66)]. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that sarcopenia was an independent predictor for decreased survival [HR 2.73 (95% CI: 1.15-8.78)].

Conclusions

Sarcopenia defined from the PMTH may be a useful tool for predicting short- and long-term mortality in patients after AAAD surgery.

Establishment of prognostic nomogram for T1N0M0 glottic squamous cell carcinoma: an SEER database analysis

OBJECTIVES

The study aimed to construct prognostic models for OS and CSS in patients with T1N0M0 glottic SCC. In addition, we used PSM to re-assess the effect of surgery alone and radiation alone.

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was searched for patients with confirmed T1N0M0 glottic SCC. Patients with complete data were randomly divided into the training and the validation cohort (7:3), Cox-regression analysis was performed to identified significant predictors of OS and CSS. PSM was used to mimic randomized controlled the trials. Kaplan-Meier survival method and log-rank tests were utilized for survival analysis.

RESULTS

A total 1827 patients met the inclusion criteria. Survival analysis indicated that the patients who underwent the primary site surgery had a better OS (P = 0.002) and CSS (P = 0.008), compared with non-surgery patients. Cox-regression analysis proved that age, marital status, T1 stages, surgery, radiation, sequential treatments, and chemotherapy had significant effects on OS. While age, marital status, histologic grade, surgery, radiation, sequential treatments, and chemotherapy were substantially associated with CSS. Patients who received primary site surgery had a better OS and CSS, compared with non-surgical patients. Patients receiving radiation had a better CSS than non-radiation patients. However, patients who received sequential treatments or chemotherapy had a worse OS and CSS, compared with controlled groups. Predictive nomogram models were established to predict patients' prognosis with good consistency between the actual observation and the nomogram prediction. Before PSM, patients who underwent surgery alone had a better OS and CSS than those who received radiation alone. After PSM, patients receiving surgery still had a better OS than those receiving radiation. However, there were no statistically significant differences in CSS.

CONCLUSIONS

Nomogram models were developed to predict OS and CSS in patients with T1N0M0 glottic SCC. Primary site surgery could definitely increase OS and CSS, while radiation could significantly increase CSS. Using PSM, surgery alone could significantly enhance OS, as compared to radiation alone. Chemotherapy should not be recommended for early glottic carcinoma.

Radiation vs surgery for early-stage laryngeal verrucous carcinoma: A population-based propensity score matched-study

BACKGROUND

Verrucous carcinoma (VC) is a rare variant of squamous cell carcinoma. Although VC is considered radioresistant, concrete evidence for this is absent.

METHODS

We obtained data on VC treated with surgery or radiation from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Treatment selection bias was reduced by propensity score matching. Overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Five-year OS rates in the radiation and surgery groups were 72.7% and 72.0%, respectively (P = 0.111); five-year DSS rates in the same were 86.7% and 88.4%, respectively (P = 0.234). HRs of radiation compared with surgery were 1.68 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.96-2.95) for OS and 1.95 (95% CI, 0.69-5.53) for DSS.

CONCLUSIONS

Similar prognoses were observed in patients with VC treated with radiation and surgery. VC can be treated using radiation.

Effects of USP7 on radiation sensitivity through p53 pathway in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma

The relationship between ubiquitin specific protease 7 (USP7) and radio-sensitivity in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC) has not been reported yet. Using gene chip and Label-Free mass spectrometry, we found that USP7 was significantly increased both in radioresistant LSCC patients and LSCC cells receiving irradiation. Since p53 is the most important downstream gene of USP7 and is frequently mutated in LSCC, we investigated the effects of USP7 on radioresistance of LSCC cells with or without p53 mutation. We found that knockdown of USP7 increased the radio-sensitivity in p53-mutated LSCC cells, while inhibiting the radio-sensitivity in p53-wild type cells. Knockdown of USP7 significantly inhibited the expression of the p53 and p53 pathway. Overexpressing endogenous p53 by CRISPR/dCas9 could reverse the effects of USP7 on radiosensitivity both in vitro and in vivo. Our results demonstrated the irradiation-induced USP7 led to radioresistance in p53-mutated LSCC cells but radio-sensitivity in p53-wild type cells. Therefore, the clinical application of USP7 inhibitors may improve the effects of radiotherapy in LSCC with p53 mutations and reduce the side effects on surrounding normal tissues without p53 mutation.

Identification of Significant Secreted or Membrane-Located Proteins in Laryngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Background. This study is aimed at investigating the expressions and prognostic values of secreted or membrane-located proteins (SMPs) in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC). The correlations between the expressions of SMPs and immune cells’ infiltrations were also investigated. Methods. The expression data of normal laryngeal and LSCC samples were obtained from the TCGA and GEO datasets. The differentially expressed SMPs were identified, and their prognostic values were analyzed. The biological functions of differentially expressed and worse-survival-related SMPs were explored. LASSO regression, Cox multivariate analysis, and nomogram were used to construct a model to predict the survival. Then, the infiltrations of the 24 immune cell populations were calculated using the GSVA method, and the correlations between the expression of SMPs and the immune infiltration were investigated. Results. 122 samples (12 normal and 120 LSCC) of the TCGA database and 114 samples (57 normal and 57 LSCC) of GSE127165 were included. We identified that 138 SMPs were significantly upregulated in LSCC samples of both the TCGA and GEO datasets, among which 52 SMPs were significantly correlated with worse survival. GO and KEGG analyses revealed those 52 SMPs significantly participate in tumor microenvironment and immune cells’ communication. Nine of 52 SMPs (ABCC5, ATP1B3, CLEC11A, FLNA, FSTL3, MMP1, NME1, OAS3, and PHLDB2) were included in the nomogram to effectively and accurately predict the LSCC patients’ survival. The expressions of most SMPs, such as MMP1 and FSTL3, were significantly positively correlated with the immune infiltration of LSCC. Conclusions. In this study, the expression, prognostic values, and correlations with immune infiltration of SMPs were analyzed in LSCC samples. Our analyses identified several significant SMPs differentially expressed between normal laryngeal and LSCC samples, correlated with worse survival, and related to the immune infiltration.

Safety and Feasibility of Esophagectomy Following Combined Immunotherapy and Chemotherapy for Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

Objectives

The combination of neoadjuvant chemotherapy and immunotherapy (nICT) is a novel treatment for locally advanced esophageal cancer. There is concern that nICT may increase operation difficulty, postoperative morbidity, and mortality. This study aimed to compare short-term outcomes among esophagectomy after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and nICT and for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

Methods

A retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained database was performed to identify patients (from January 2017 through July 2021) who underwent surgery for ESCC following neoadjuvant therapy. A 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) with a caliper 0.05 was conducted to balance potential bias.

Results

A 1:1 PSM was conducted based on clinical stage, age, body mass index (BMI), and tumor location, and then 32 comparable pairs were matched. After PSM, age, gender, BMI, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) status, smoking history, clinical stage, tumor location, lymphadenectomy field, pathological stage, anastomotic position, route of gastric conduit, procedure type, and operative approach were comparable between groups. Compared with the nICT group (median, 300 min), the operation time was significantly longer in the nCRT group (median, 376 min). However, both groups were comparable in intraoperative blood loss, thoracic drainage volume, intensive care unit (ICU) stay, postoperative hospital stays, and hospital cost. Further, 30-day mortality, 30-day readmission, ICU readmission, and major complications were similar in both groups. The nCRT group had an advantage in pathological response. The pathological complete response (pCR) was 18.8% (6/32) in the nICT group and 43.8% (14/32) in the nCRT group (p = 0.03). The major pathological response (MPR) was 71.9% (23/32) in the nCRT group and 34.4% (11/32) in the nICT group (p = 0.03).

Conclusions

Based on our preliminary experience, esophagectomy appears to be safe and feasible following combined neoadjuvant immunotherapy with chemotherapy for locally advanced esophageal cancer.

Effect of treatment modality on the long-term survival of patients with early glottic squamous cancer: a retrospective cohort study based on the SEER database

Background

The optimal treatment strategy for patients with early glottic (T1-2N0M0) squamous cancer remains unclear.

Methods

A retrospective population-based analysis was performed using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance treatment arms, and Cox regression analysis was used to determine prognostic factors for survival. Kaplan-Meier analysis, log-rank tests, and competing risk analysis were used to compare survival outcomes between treatment modalities (surgery vs. radiotherapy).

Results

Among the 3,994 eligible patients in this study, surgery was associated with improved cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) compared with radiotherapy (log-rank test, P<0.05). This survival trend favoring surgery was consistent in the T1a, well/moderately differentiated grade, male, and all age subgroups. However, after the baseline characteristics were balanced with PSM, the survival outcomes (CSS and OS) did not differ significantly between the surgery and radiotherapy groups. Interestingly, surgery was associated with a 39% reduced risk of cancer-related death compared with radiotherapy in patients aged ≥70 years (hazard ratio 0.61; 95% CI: 0.43-0.87; P=0.006). However, this survival trend favoring surgery was not observed in younger patients (age <70 years), T stage subgroups, male or female subgroups, or in any of the pathological grade subgroups.

Conclusions

In patients with early glottic squamous cell carcinoma undergoing surgery or radiotherapy, there is no sufficient evidence favoring one method over another in terms of survival. However, surgery is recommended in patients aged ≥70 years because, in this group, it was associated with improved survival outcomes compared with radiotherapy.

Identification and Validation of Immune Infiltration Phenotypes in Laryngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma by Integrative Multi-Omics Analysis

Background

Laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC) is one of the world’s most common head and neck cancer. However, the immune infiltration phenotypes of LSCC have not been well investigated.

Methods

The multi-omics data of LSCC were obtained from the TCGA (n=111) and GEO (n=57) datasets. The infiltrations of the 24 immune cell populations were calculated using the GSVA method. Then LSCC samples with different immune cell infiltrating patterns were clustered, and the multi-omics differences were investigated.

Results

Patients were clustered into the high-infiltration and low-infiltration groups. The infiltration scores of most immune cells were higher in the high-infiltration group. Patients with high-infiltration phenotype have high N and TNM stages but better survival, as well as less mutated COL11A1 and MUC17. Common targets of immunotherapies such as PD1, PDL1, LAG3, and CTLA4 were significantly up-regulated in the high-infiltration group. The differentially expressed genes were mainly enriched in several immune-related GOs and KEGG pathways. Based on the genes, miRNAs, and lncRNAs differentially expressed in both the TCGA and GEO cohorts, we built a ceRNA network, in which BTN3A1, CCR1, miR-149-5p, and so on, located at the center. A predictive model was also constructed to calculate a patient’s immune infiltration phenotype using 16 genes’ expression values, showing excellent accuracy and specificity in the TCGA and GEO cohorts.

Conclusions

In this study, the immune infiltration phenotypes of LSCC and the corresponding multi-omics differences were explored. Our model might be valuable to predicting immunotherapy’s outcome.

Influence of Tumor Site on Survival in Young Patients with Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

The number of patients under the age of 45 diagnosed with head and neck squamous cell carcinomas (HNSCC) is increasing, probably due to the incidence of oropharyngeal cancers. Comparisons of HNSCC in young and old patients regarding tumor site and survival in sample sizes of relevance are rarely published. The aim of the study was to analyze the differences in survival between age groups dependent on tumor site and the influence of oropharyngeal cancers on the rising rates of HNSCC in the young. The records of 4466 patients diagnosed with HNSCC were reviewed retrospectively. Patients younger than 45 years were divided further into four subgroups for specific age differences in the young. The influences of patient and clinicopathological characteristics on survival were assessed using Kaplan–Meier analyses. Among the patient cohort, 4.8% were younger than 45 years. Overall survival (OS) in these patients was better, with a 5-year OS of 66.1% (vs. 46.4%), while relapse-free survival (RFS) was better in the older patient population, with a 5-year RFS of 74.9% (vs. 68.1%). Decreased RFS in the young was found for advanced tumor stages and tumor sited at the larynx. Hypopharynx and advanced stages were independent risk factors for OS under 45 years. Overall, 44.4% of all HNSCC in patients under 30 years were nasopharyngeal cancers, and incidence decreased with age. The incidence of oropharyngeal cancers increased significantly with age. Better OS in the young may be explained by lower tumor and disease stages, whereas oropharyngeal tumors and HPV were not found to cause rising rates of HNSCC. Laryngeal malignancies in young patients might be related to an increased malignant potential and should, consequently, be treated as such.

Insurance Status Effect on Laryngeal Cancer Survival: A Population Based Study

OBJECTIVE

To analyze insurance status effect on overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) in laryngeal cancer.

STUDY DESIGN

Cross-sectional population analysis.

SETTING

Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.

PARTICIPANTS

Laryngeal cancer patients from 2007 to 2016.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank statistic analyzed OS and DSS by insurance status. Multivariable cox proportional hazard modeling generated survival prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Of 19 667 laryngeal cancer cases, initial disease presentation was stage I: 7770 patients (39.5%), stage II: 3337 patients (17.0%), stage III: 3289 patients (16.7%), and stage IV: 5226 patients (26.6%). Patients had non-Medicaid insurance (15 523, 78.9%), had Medicaid (3306, 16.8%), or were uninsured (891, 4.5%). Mean and median OS for insured, Medicaid, and uninsured patients were 60.5, 49.6, and 56.6 and 74.0, 40.0, and 65.0 months, respectively. Following multivariable analysis, OS for insured, Medicaid, and uninsured patients was stage I: 87.9, 82.8, and 88.4 (P < .001), stage II: 79.1, 75.1, and 78.3 (P = .12), stage III: 68.7, 66.1, and 72.1 (P = .11), and stage IV: 57.1, 51.7, and 50.3 (P < .001) months. DSS mean survival times were 77.0, 65.8, and 67.7 months (P < .001) for insured, Medicaid, and uninsured patients. Age (HR: 1.02/year, P < .001) and black (HR: 1.15, P = .001) compared to white race predicted worse survival. Compared to insured status, Medicaid insurance carried a death hazard ratio of 1.40 (P < .001) and uninsured status had a death hazard ratio of 1.40 (P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Insured laryngeal cancer patients had prolonged OS and DSS compared to Medicaid and uninsured patients. Medicaid patients had equivalent survival outcomes to uninsured patients.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

2c.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram for Hypopharyngeal Carcinoma

Hypopharyngeal squamous-cell carcinoma (HSCC) is a relatively rare head and neck cancer, with great variation in patient outcomes. This study aimed to develop a prognostic nomogram for patients with HSCC. From the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we retrieved the clinical data of 2198 patients diagnosed with HSCC between 2010 and 2016. The patients were randomly assigned at a 4:1 ratio to the training set or the validation set. An external validation was performed by a set of 233 patients with locally advanced HSCC treated at our center. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to assess the relationship between each variable and overall survival (OS). Cox multivariate regression analysis was performed, and the results were used to develop a prognostic nomogram. The calibration curve and concordance index (C-index) were used to evaluate the accuracy of the prognostic nomogram. With a median overall follow-up time of 41 months (interquartile range: 20 to 61), the median OS for the entire cohort of SEER database was 24 months. The 3-year and 5-year OS rates were 41.3% and 32.5%, respectively. The Cox multivariate regression analysis of the training set showed that age, marital status, race, T stage, N stage, M stage, TNM stage, local treatment, and chemotherapy were correlated with OS. The nomogram showed a superior C-index over TNM stage (training set: 0.718 vs 0.627; validation set: 0.708 vs 0.598; external validation set: 0.709 vs 0.597), and the calibration curve showed a high level of concordance between the predicted OS and the actual OS. The nomogram provides a relatively accurate and applicable prediction of the survival outcome of patients with HSCC.

A dynamic prognostic nomogram to predict the benefit from surgical treatment modality for patients with laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Although nonsurgical treatment strategy is increasingly adopted in patients with locoregionally advanced laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC), survival disparities were reported between surgical treatment modality and organ preservation protocols, highlighting the great importance for accurate patients' selection.

METHOD

This secondary analysis used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2010 and 2015 with follow-up data up to 2018. We developed and validated a dynamic prognostic nomogram for overall survival (OS) in 4237 patients with LSCC and subgroup of 2087 patients with locoregionally advanced laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LALSCC). Based on the total risk score derived from the dynamic nomogram, two well-matched risk groups (i.e., low- and high-risk) were created via X-tile software and 1-to-1 propensity score matching (PSM); surgical treatment modality was compared with nonsurgical one in each risk group.

RESULTS

A more accurate and convenient dynamic prognostic nomogram based on age, marital status, T category, N category, M category, tumor size, and tumor differentiation was developed and validated, of which the predictive performance was superior to that of TNM staging system. For high-risk LALSCC selected by the dynamic nomogram, after 1-to-1 PSM, significantly improved OS was observed in patients with receiving surgical treatment compared to those receipt of nonsurgical management (restricted mean survival time at 36-month: 26.6 vs 22.7, p < 0.001; restricted mean survival time at 60-month: 36.7 vs 31.0, p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

We establish and validate a more accurate and convenient dynamic prognostic nomogram for patients with LSCC, which may predict the benefit from surgical treatment modality for patients with high-risk LALSCC.

Prognostic Nomograms to Predict Overall Survival and Cancer-Specific Survival of Patients With Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors: A Population-Based Study

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this research was to construct and validate prognostic nomograms predicting overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (pNETs).

METHODS

We extracted 3787 patients with pNETs from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. Nomograms for estimating 3- and 5-year OS and CSS were first established. Then, we used Harrell's Concordance Index, calibration plots, and the area under receiver operating characteristic curve to evaluate the nomograms. The Kaplan-Meier curve was plotted to evaluate the different survival outcomes.

RESULTS

In the multivariate analysis, age, grade, functional status, American Joint Committee on Cancer stage, and surgery were associated with OS and CSS. The established nomograms had good discriminative ability, with a Harrell's Concordance Index of 0.830 for OS and 0.855 for CSS. The calibration plots also revealed good agreement. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve values of the nomograms predicting 3- and 5-year OS and CSS rates were 0.836, 0.816 and 0.859, 0.841, respectively. In addition, Kaplan-Meier curve indicated that patients with higher risk had worse survival outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

We have proposed and validated the nomograms predicting OS and CSS of pNETs. They can be convenient individualized tools to facilitate clinical decision making.

Analysis of clinical characteristics and prognosis with cervical adenosquamous carcinoma: a large population-based study

Objective: The target of this work was to analyze the clinical characteristics and construct nomograms to predict prognosis in patients with cervical adenosquamous carcinoma (ASC). Methods: A total of 788 ASC patients were tracked in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. We compared the clinical characteristics and prognostic factors of ASC. Cox regression models were established, and nomograms were constructed and verified. Results: ASC patients have lower age levels and higher histological grades than patients with squamous cell carcinoma. Nomograms were constructed with good consistency and feasibility in clinical practice. The C-indices for overall survival and cancer-specific survival were 0.783 and 0.787, respectively. Conclusion: ASC patients have unique clinicopathological and prognostic characteristics. Nomograms were successfully constructed and verified.

Long-term Oncologic Outcomes of 1188 Tis-T2 Glottic Cancers Treated by Transoral Laser Microsurgery

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate long-term disease-specific survival (DSS) and organ preservation (OP) rates in patients affected by Tis-T2 glottic squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) treated by carbon dioxide transoral laser microsurgery (CO₂ TOLMS).

STUDY DESIGN

Single-center retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Tertiary academic hospital.

METHODS

The study included patients treated by CO₂ TOLMS for Tis-T2 glottic SCC at the Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery of the University of Brescia, Italy, from 1988 to 2018. The male:female ratio was 11.2:1, and the mean age was 64 years (range, 31-95). T categories were distributed as follows: 124 (10%) Tis, 646 (54%) T1a, 172 (15%) T1b, and 246 (21%) T2.

RESULTS

Ten- and 20-year DSS rates were 97.6% and 96.3%, respectively, and 10- and 20-year OP rates were 94.7% and 93%. During the follow-up, 91% of patients were treated by CO₂ TOLMS alone, while the remaining needed adjunctive treatments. Assessing the impact of multiple sessions of CO₂ TOLMS, DSS showed no significant difference in terms of patients treated by 1, 2, or >2 procedures. Conversely, patients treated by >2 sessions of CO₂ TOLMS showed a significantly worse OP rate.

CONCLUSIONS

Our series validates CO₂ TOLMS as a long-term treatment strategy for early glottic SCC. Salvage CO₂ TOLMS provided optimal results in terms of DSS and OP in patients with recurrence after previous transoral surgery.

Development of a nomogram to predict prognosis in ovarian cancer: a SEER-based study

Background

Ovarian cancer remains the most lethal gynecologic malignancy. In this study, we aimed to identify the specific risk factors affecting overall survival (OS) and develop a nomogram for prognostic prediction of ovarian cancer patients based on data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.

Methods

Information from the SEER database on ovarian cancer between 2004 and 2016 was screened and retrieved. Cases were randomly divided into the training cohort hand the validation cohort at a 7:3 ratio. The prognostic effects of individual variables on survival were evaluated via Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards regression model using data from the training cohort. A nomogram was formulated to predict the 3- and 5-year OS rates of patients with ovarian cancer, and then validated both in the training cohort and the validation cohort.

Results

A total of 28,375 patients were selected from 75,921 samples (19,862 in training cohort and 8,513 in validation cohort). Cox regression analysis identified race, age laterality, histology, stage, grade, surgery, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, and marital status as independent risk factors for ovarian cancer prognosis. A nomogram was developed based on the results of multivariate analysis and validated using an internal bootstrap resampling approach, which demonstrated a sufficient level of discrimination according to the C-index (0.752, 95% CI: 0.746–0.758 in the training cohort, 0.755, 95% CI: 0.746–0.764).

Conclusions

We developed a nomogram valuable for accurate prediction of 3- and 5-year OS rates of ovarian cancer patients based on individual characteristics.

Changes in treatment trends in the early glottic cancer population after the Affordable Care Act

BACKGROUND

The clinical impact of Medicaid expansion in otolaryngology is uncertain. Herein, we evaluate the impact of Medicaid expansion on treatment patterns (primary radiotherapy vs surgery) in the early glottic cancer population.

METHODS

Data regarding adults with Tis-T2N0M0 glottic cancer that were treated with either surgery or radiotherapy between January 2010 and December 2016 were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) cancer database. Changes in treatment trends and survival in the Medicaid expansion setting were discerned.

RESULTS

The proportion of patients undergoing radiotherapy decreased from 64.8% to 59% after the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) was implemented. State Medicaid expansion status was associated with reduced odds of radiation therapy (odds ratio [OR] = 0.66). Patients were diagnosed more often with earlier stage disease (20.6% vs 17.0% T2 diagnoses) in the Medicaid expansion cohort.

CONCLUSION

The implementation of the PPACA was associated with a significant increase in surgical therapy for and earlier diagnosis of glottic cancer.

Radiotherapy Versus Surgery-Which Is Better for Patients With T1-2N0M0 Glottic Laryngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma? Individualized Survival Prediction Based on Web-Based Nomograms

Background

Both radiotherapy and surgery are now recommended for early stage glottic laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC), and both have their own advantages in patients with different characteristics. For each patient, it is hard to determine whether radiotherapy or surgery is more appropriate.

Methods

Patients with T1-2N0M0 glottic LSCC who received radiotherapy or surgery in the 2004–2016 SEER database were reviewed, then randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. Propensity score matching was used to eliminate the baseline variations, and competing risk analyses helped to exclude the effects of other causes of death. Based on univariate and multivariate analyses, we built two nomograms to visually predict the survival of each patient with different characteristics who received radiotherapy or surgery, then validated the accuracy in both training and validation cohorts. Using nomogramEx, we quantified the algorithms of the nomograms and put the nomograms on the websites.

Results

A total of 6538 patients in the SEER database were included. We found that therapy (p = 0.004), T stage (p < 0.001), age (p < 0.001), race (p < 0.044), grade (p = 0.001), and marital status (p < 0.001) were independent prognostic factors. Two nomograms were built to calculate the survival for each patient who received radiotherapy (C-index = 0.668 ± 0.050 in the training cohort and 0.578 ± 0.028 in the validation cohort) or underwent surgery (C-index = 0.772 ± 0.045 in the training cohort and 0.658 ± 0.090 in the validation cohort). Calibration plots showed the accuracy of the nomograms. Using the nomograms, we found that 3872 patients (59.22%) had no difference between the two therapies, 706 patients (10.80%) who received radiotherapy had better survival outcomes, and 1960 patients (29.98%) who underwent surgery had better survival outcome.

Conclusion

Nomograms were used to comprehensively calculate independent factors to determine which treatment (radiotherapy or surgery) is better for each patient. A website was used to offer guidance regarding surgery or radiation for patients and physicians.

Surgery versus radiotherapy: Long term outcomes of T1 glottic cancer

Aim

The aim of this study was to compare the outcomes, patterns of failure and laryngeal preservation rates in patients with T1N0 glottic cancer treated with surgery or radiotherapy.

Materials/methods

Retrospective study of T1N0 glottic cancer patients treated in our institution between January 2007 and December 2017. Histologically proven squamous cell carcinoma patients, treated with upfront cordectomy/partial laryngectomy (S group) or radiotherapy (RT group) were included. Elective treatment of the neck was not permitted. Local failure (LF), disease-free survival (DFS), ultimate disease-free survival (UDFS), laryngectomy-free survival (LFS), disease-specific mortality (DSM) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated.

Results

Two hundred and one patients were eligible (172 S group, 29 RT group), with a median follow-up of 38.8 months. Overall, 33 (16%) patients had a recurrence, 30 (17%) in the S group and 3 (10%) in the RT group. Local failure was the predominant site of failure (28 S, 2 RT). Overall, of all those that were salvaged, 17 (8%) underwent total laryngectomy (15 S, 2 RT). There was no significant difference in the 5-year cumulative incidence of LF (20.8% S, 8.1% RT, p = 0.138), 5-y LFS (85.0% vs. 91.7%, p = 0.809), 5-y DFS (67.5% vs. 82.1%, p = 0.343), 5-y UDFS (82.5% vs. 90.3%, p = 0.647) and 5-y OS (84.5% vs. 90.3%, p = 0.892). Multivariate analysis showed no correlation between initial treatment and the analyzed outcomes.

Conclusion

Primary surgery or radiotherapy were similar first line options, since they do not differ in all outcomes. Patients' and physician's preferences must be considered when choosing first treatment.

Assessment of Nasopharyngeal Cancer in Young Patients Aged ≤ 30 Years

Purpose: This study assessed the prognosis of young patients with nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC), both domestic and foreign, using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database, a population-based database, and departmental records.

Methods: Patients diagnosed with NPC from 2004 to 2016 in the SEER database were reviewed. Young patients aged ≤30 years when diagnosed, were compared with older patients. The medical records of patients with NPC aged ≤30 years in our own department were also reviewed. The prognostic effects of different variables, including age, sex, race, tumor stage, pathology, radiation, and chemotherapy were assessed by Kaplan–Meier and Cox analyses.

Results: A total of 212 foreign and 257 domestic patients, with mean ages of 21.5 and 22.9 years and median ages of 22 and 24 years, respectively, were included. In SEER database, younger NPC patients had a more advanced tumor stage (74.5% stage III/IV vs. 63.1% in older patients) and a worse pathological differentiation, but a better prognosis (P < 0.0001). Interestingly, the younger the patient, the better the prognosis. Younger patients received a higher proportion of chemotherapy. M stage, overall stage and radiation were the primary prognostic factors. Similar and more comprehensive results were found in our center. Patients with distant metastases, at a primary visit, had worse diagnoses. Intensity-modulated radiotherapy and three-dimensional conventional radiotherapy had minimal effects on survival in young patients in our center. Most patients from our department received chemotherapy, and different induction chemotherapy regimens resulted in similar survival prognoses.

Conclusions: Young patients with NPC usually present at an advanced stage, but have a better overall prognosis. How to treat patients with metastasis is critical for improving prognoses in young NPC patients.

A nomogram to predict prognosis of patients with unresected hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing radiotherapy: a population-based study

Background: Radiotherapy is a primary treatment strategy for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, the prognostic factors among HCC patients who have received radiotherapy but not undergone surgery have not been systematically studied. Thus, the prognostic factors were investigated in this study based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Medicare database.

Methods: A screening process was used for select cases from the SEER database. Survival was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test, the Cox proportional hazards regression model, and a competing risk model. A nomogram was established for predicting 1- and 3-year overall survival (OS) of patients.

Results: A total of 1305 HCC patients who received radiotherapy but had not undergone surgery were included in this study and divided into training (n = 1175) and validation cohorts (n = 130). Patients in the training cohort had a 1-year OS rate of 30.9±1.3%, a 3-year OS rate of 10.0±1.0%, and a median survival rate of 6.0 months (range, 5.4-6.6 months). Race (p = 0.025), T stage (p < 0.001), N stage (p < 0.001), M stage (p < 0.001), and chemotherapy (p < 0.001) were identified as independent risk factors by multivariate analyses in the training cohort, while sex, age, grade, marital status, and insurance status were not independent factors. Survival in patients who received radiotherapy was worse with respect to the following characteristics: black race; higher T, N, or M stage; and no chemotherapy. A nomogram was established based on the results of the multivariate analysis, which was internally validated by a concordance index (C-index) of 0.731±0.016 and a group of calibration plots. External validation was carried out and the C-index was 0.738±0.049, which demonstrated the effectiveness of the nomogram we constructed.

Conclusions: Race, T stage, N stage, M stage, and chemotherapy were independent risk factors for survival of HCC patients who received radiotherapy but had not undergone surgery. A validated nomogram was formulated to predict 1- and 3-year OS in these patients based on individual clinical characteristics.

Development and validation of a nomogram for prognosis of sinonasal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Sinonasal squamous cell carcinoma (SNSCC) is a rare malignancy with varied outcomes. The aim of this study was to develop a nomogram for predicting survival of patients with SNSCC.

METHODS

From the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, we identified 1766 patients diagnosed with SNSCC between 2004 and 2015. Patients were randomly separated into a training set and a validation set in 4:1 ratio. An external validation was also performed by a set of 74 SNSCC patients who had been treated in our department. We used the training set to build a nomogram based on stratified multivariable Cox proportional hazard models for predicting overall survival. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were determined by concordance index and calibration curve.

RESULTS

Based on 1412 cases of the training cohort, our Cox regression analysis revealed that age, marital status, primary site, differentiation, T stage, N classification, M stage, and treatment modalities were associated with overall survival. A nomogram was established based on the results of multivariate analysis. The C-index values of the nomogram for predicting survival were superior to those of the tumor-node-metastasis staging system (0.745 vs 0.679 in the training cohort, 0.752 vs 0.656 in the validation set, and 0.678 vs 0.596 in the external validation set). The calibration plots demonstrated good consistency between the predicted and observed results.

CONCLUSION

We have developed a nomogram to accurately predict the clinical outcomes of SNSCC patients. This model was effective and can help clinicians to improve patient counseling.

Survival and Long-Term Cause-Specific Mortality Associated With Stage IA Lung Adenocarcinoma After Wedge Resection vs. Segmentectomy: A Population-Based Propensity Score Matching and Competing Risk Analysis

Background: Limited resection has been carried out increasingly in early stage NSCLC as an alternative to standard lobectomy. This study aimed to investigate the differences in survival and long-term cause-specific mortality between wedge resection and segmentectomy for treatment of stage IA lung adenocarcinoma.

Method: Cases with primary lung adenocarcinoma that received wedge resection and segmentectomy between 2004 and 2015 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Propensity score matching was performed to balance the baseline covariates. Long-term cause-specific mortality was investigated through competing risk analysis. The overall survival (OS) was estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to identify the independent prognostic factors.

Results: Of the 3,046 cases included, 2,360 and 686 cases underwent wedge resection and segmentectomy, respectively. After propensity score matching, 686 pairs were selected. Segmentectomy was associated with a significantly better OS in stage IA2, grade I/II, female, and married patients. The segmentectomy group had a higher lung-cancer specific mortality in 65–74 years of age, stage IA1 and IA3, male, and married patients, and a lower chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) specific mortality in ≤64 and 65–74 years of age, stage IA1, IA2, and IA3, all grade, male, and married patients. The cardiovascular disease (CVD) specific mortality was also lower in the segmentectomy group in ≥75 years of age, stage IA1 and IA3, and grade I/II patients.

Conclusion: Wedge resection was inferior to segmentectomy in terms of OS regarding all included parameters. In most cases, the segmentectomy group had higher lung-cancer specific mortality and lower COPD and CVD specific mortality.

Radiotherapy vs surgery for T1-2N0M0 laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma: A population-based and propensity score matching study

There are conflicting reports about whether radiotherapy or surgery is optimal for early‐stage laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC), although both have recently been recommended. Patients with T1‐2N0M0 LSCC in the population‐based SEER database who underwent radiotherapy or surgery were reviewed. Propensity score matching was used to eliminate the baseline variations. After matching, 1913 pairs of patients were included. Overall, patients who received radiotherapy had worse cancer‐specific survival than patients with surgery. After stratification, the survival in patients who received radiotherapy was worse with respect to the following characteristics: ≤60 years of age; T1a glottis cancer; well‐differentiated tumors; and with married status. In other patients, survival outcomes were similar in patients who received radiotherapy and underwent surgery. Our results indicate that radiotherapy is not preferable in early‐stage LSCC patients who are ≤60 years of age, have T1a glottis cancer or well‐differentiated tumors, or are married. In other patients, both radiotherapy and surgery are comparable. However, our results cannot be a reference before controlled, prospective trials are performed.