Association of Glasgow Prognostic Score with frailty, mortality and adverse health outcomes in older patients with cancer: A prospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

To balance benefits and risks of cancer treatment in older patients, prognostic information is needed. The Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), composed of albumin and C-reactive protein (CRP), might provide such information. This study first aims to investigate the association between GPS and frailty, functional decline, and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) decline as indicators of health problems in older patients with cancer. The second aim is to study the predictive value of GPS for mortality, in addition to clinical predictors.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This prospective cohort study included patients aged ≥70 years with a solid malignant tumor who underwent a geriatric assessment and blood sampling before treatment initiation. GPS was calculated using serum albumin and CRP measured in batch, categorized into normal (0) and abnormal GPS (1-2). Outcomes were all-cause mortality and a composite outcome of decline in daily functioning and/or HRQoL, or mortality at one year follow-up. Daily functioning was assessed by Activities of Daily Living and Instrumental Activities of Daily Living questionnaires and HRQoL by the EQ-5D-3L and EQ-VAS questionnaires.

RESULTS

In total, 192 patients with a median age of 77 years (interquartile range 72.3-81.0) were included. Patients with abnormal GPS were more often frail compared to those with normal GPS (79 % vs. 63 %, p = 0.03). Patients with abnormal GPS had higher mortality rates after one year compared to those with normal GPS (48 % vs. 23 %, p < 0.01) in unadjusted analysis. Abnormal GPS was associated with increased mortality risk (hazard ratio 2.8, 95 % CI 1.7-4.8). The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of age, distant metastasis, tumor site, comorbidity, and malnutrition combined was 0.73 (0.68-0.83) for mortality prediction, and changed to 0.78 (0.73-0.86) with GPS (p = 0.10). The composite outcome occurred in 88 % of patients with abnormal GPS versus 83 % with normal GPS (p = 0.44).

DISCUSSION

Abnormal GPS was associated with frailty and mortality. The addition of GPS to clinical predictors showed a numerically superior mortality prediction in this cohort of older patients with cancer, although not statistically significant. While GPS may improve the stratification of future older patients with cancer, larger studies including older patients with similar tumor types are necessary to evaluate its clinical usefulness.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The TENT study is retrospectively registered at the Netherlands Trial Register (NTR), trial number NL8107. Date of registration: 22-10-2019.

Preoperative C-reactive protein to albumin ratio may be a good prognostic marker in patients undergoing hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis

Background

Systemic inflammatory response represented by C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (CAR) was shown to be associated with long-term outcome in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We conducted a meta-analysis to investigate the prognostic value of preoperative CAR in patients undergoing hepatectomy for HCC.

Methods

We searched four databases (PubMed, Embase, Scopus and Cochrane Library) from inception to May 10th, 2024. Studies investigating the prognostic value of preoperative CAR in HCC patients after hepatectomy. The primary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Data from individual studies were aggregated to calculate the pooled hazard ratio (HR) using a random-effects model.

Results

A total of 11 studies included 4,066 patients were finally analyzed in the meta-analysis. Overall, the higher preoperative CAR was associated with poorer OS (HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.67 to 2.22, I 2 = 0%) and DFS (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.59 to 2.02, I 2 = 0%) rate. Furthermore, subgroup analyses indicated that CAR could be a prognostic biomarker for patients with HCC regardless of regions and cut-off value.

Conclusion

Our meta-analysis indicates that higher preoperative CAR level is associated with poorer OS and DFS, it may be a good prognostic marker of survival outcomes after hepatectomy in patients with HCC. However, future prospective trials are necessary to validate the conclusion.

Systematic review registration

The study protocol was registered in the Open Science Framework (https://osf.io/uavt8).

Skeletal Muscle Index-Based Cachexia Index as a Predictor of Prognosis in Patients With Cancer: A Meta-Analysis and Systematic Review

CONTEXT

Cachexia is associated with poor survival rates. In the clinical setting, the diagnosis of cancer cachexia is challenging. The cachexia index (CXI), a new index for predicting survival time, is a promising tool for diagnosing cancer cachexia; however, its efficacy in predicting patient survival has not been validated.

OBJECTIVE

This meta-analysis and systematic review aimed to explore the CXI's prognostic value in patients with cancer.

DATA SOURCES

The PubMed, Embase, MEDLINE, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for relevant studies to determine the association between CXI findings and prognosis.

DATA EXTRACTION

The outcomes were overall survival (OS), progression-, disease-, and recurrence-free survival (PFS/DFS/RFS) rates, and the rate of complete response.

DATA ANALYSIS

The QUality In Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) tool was used to evaluate the quality of the included trials. This meta-analysis comprised 14 studies involving 2777 patients. A low CXI was associated with decreased OS (hazard ratio [HR] 2.34, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.01-2.72; P < .001), PFS/DFS/RFS (HR 1.93, 95% CI 1.68-2.22; P < .001), and complete response (odds ratio [OR] 0.49, 95% CI 0.36-0.66; P < .001). Patients with a low CXI had a lower body mass index (mean difference [MD] -0.75, 95% CI -1.00 to 0.50; P < .001), skeletal muscle index (standardized MD -0.80, 95% CI -0.98 to -0.61; P < .001), and serum albumin level (MD -0.23, 95% CI -0.26 to -0.20; P < .001); and a higher neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (MD 1.88, 95% CI 1.29-2.47; P < .001) and more advanced disease stages (OR 0.80, 95% CI 0.71-0.91; P = .001).

CONCLUSION

A low CXI was found to be associated with poor survival in patients with cancer. While the CXI is a promising marker for predicting cancer cachexia, further studies are required to verify its usefulness.

Comparison of the prognostic value of eight nutrition-related tools in older patients with cancer: A prospective study

OBJECTIVES

The primary objective of the present study was to evaluate and compare the ability of eight nutrition-related tools to predict 1-year mortality in older patients with cancer.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

We studied older patients with cancer from the ELCAPA cohort and who had been referred for a geriatric assessment at one of 14 participating geriatric oncology clinics in the greater Paris area of France between 2007 and 2018.

MEASUREMENTS

The studied nutrition-related tools/markers were the body mass index (BMI), weight loss (WL) in the previous 6 months, the Mini Nutritional Assessment, the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI), the Prognostic Nutritional Index, the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), the modified GPS, and the C-reactive protein/albumin ratio.

RESULTS

A total of 1361 patients (median age: 81; males: 51%; metastatic cancer: 49%) were included in the analysis. Most of the tools showed a progressively increase in the mortality risk as the nutrition-related risk category worsened (overall p-values <0.02 for all) after adjustment for age, outpatient status, functional status, severe comorbidities, cognition, mood, cancer treatment strategy, tumour site, and tumour metastasis. All the models were discriminant, with a C-index ranging from 0.748 (for the BMI) to 0.762 (for the GPS). The concordance probability estimate ranged from 0.764 (WL) to 0.773 (GNRI and GPS)).

CONCLUSION

After adjustment for relevant prognostic factors, all eight nutrition-related tools/markers were independently associated with 1-year mortality in older patients with cancer. Depending on the time or context of the GA, physicians do not always have the time or means to perform and assess all the tools/markers compared here. However, even when some information is missing, each nutritional tool/marker has prognostic value and can be used in the evaluation.

The relationship of prognostic nutritional index with prognosis and inflammation in patient with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction

Background: Malnutrition is closely associated with heart failure, and known to be closely associated with mortality and morbidity in these patients. Aims: We investigated the relationship of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), which is a criterion of nutritional status in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), with prognosis and parameters indicating inflammation. Methods: 139 patients admitted to the coronary intensive care unit with symptoms of decompensated congestive heart failure were included to the study. Patients were with heart failure with ejection fraction <%40 and decompensated for any reason. Patients who died within 1 year in hospital or follow-up were considered to have reached the endpoint. Groups were divided into 2 groups as Group 1, the exitus; (23 patients, 7 M, mean age; 69.2 ± 15.0 years) and group 2, the non-exitus; (116 patients, 57 M, mean age; 69.3 ± 11.5 years). PNI was calculated with the formula ALB(g/L) + 5 × Total lymphocyte count(109/L). Results: PNI was significantly lower in group 1. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio and systemic inflamatory index values were significantly higher in group 1. PNI was significantly associated with these parameters. Conclusion: Low PNI scores in HFrEF patients may be associated with a worse prognosis and hematological parameters indicating more negative inflammation. PNI was found to be an independent predictor of mortality.

Supportive Care in Older Lymphoma Patients to Reduce Toxicity and Preserve Quality of Life

The treatment paradigm in older patients with malignant hemopathies is the choice between an effective conservative treatment that preserves quality of life and an intensive, potentially curative treatment with more toxicities. For each patient, it is important to determine the risk/benefit ratio. The patient should be involved in the discussion, sufficiently informed and able to express himself and his expectations in terms of quality of life. However, this informed consent is conditioned by the ability of the patient to understand the risks and benefits of the treatment. Decline in quality of life is an important parameter for older patients with cancer and many prospective trials have now confirmed the impact of different side effects of treatment, such as recurrent hospitalization, loss of autonomy in daily activities, loss of contact with grandchildren and loss of cognitive functions. Interventions oriented to vulnerabilities detected in the older patients (by comprehensive geriatric assessment) and an optimal approach, including preventive measures to reduce treatment-related toxicity and mortality, are directly correlated to improvement in quality of life.

The association of blood biomarkers with treatment response and adverse health outcomes in older patients with solid tumors: A systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Blood biomarkers are potentially useful prognostic markers and may support treatment decisions, but it is unknown if and which biomarkers are most useful in older patients with solid tumors. The aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the evidence on the association of blood biomarkers with treatment response and adverse health outcomes in older patients with solid tumors.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A literature search was conducted in five databases in December 2022 to identify studies on blood biomarkers measured before treatment initiation, not tumor specific, and outcomes in patients with solid tumors aged ≥60 years. Studies on any type or line of oncologic treatment could be included. Titles and abstracts were screened by three authors. Data extraction and quality assessment, using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) checklist, were performed by two authors.

RESULTS

Sixty-three studies were included, with a median sample size of 138 patients (Interquartile range [IQR] 99-244) aged 76 years (IQR 72-78). Most studies were retrospective cohort studies (63%). The risk of bias was moderate in 52% and high in 43%. Less than one-third reported geriatric parameters. Eighty-six percent examined mortality outcomes, 37% therapeutic response, and 37% adverse events. In total, 77 unique markers were studied in patients with a large variety of tumor types and treatment modalities. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (20 studies), albumin (19), C-reactive protein (16), hemoglobin (14) and (modified) Glasgow Prognostic Score ((m)GPS) (12) were studied most often. The vast majority showed no significant association of these biomarkers with outcomes, except for associations between low albumin and adverse events and high (m)GPS with mortality.

DISCUSSION

Most studies did not find a significant association between blood biomarkers and clinical outcomes. The interpretation of current evidence on prognostic blood biomarkers is hampered by small sample sizes and inconsistent results across heterogeneous studies. The choice for blood biomarkers in the majority of included studies seemed driven by availability in clinical practice in retrospective cohort studies. Ageing biomarkers are rarely studied in older patients with solid tumors. Further research is needed in larger and more homogenous cohorts that combine clinical parameters and biomarkers before these can be used in clinical practice.

Prediction of Prognosis in Geriatric Palliative Care Patients with Diagnosed Malnutrition: A Comparison of Nutritional Assessment Parameters

Objective

Malnutrition is very commonly encountered in palliative care centers (PCC), especially in geriatric patients. It is known that development of malnutrition increases morbidity and mortality. In this study, we aimed to investigate the effectiveness of commonly used nutritional assessment parameters in predicting prognosis in geriatric patients diagnosed in PCC with malnutrition.

Methods

Our study included 1451 patients aged ≥65 years, who were diagnosed with malnutrition in PCC between 2016-2020 and did not yet start receiving nutritional support. Demographic data, comorbidities, The Nutritional Risk Screening 2002 (NRS-2002), body mass index (BMI), albumin, prealbumin and C-reactive protein (CRP) values of the patients were recorded. Prognostic course was evaluated by dividing the patients into 3 groups, namely mortal patients during PCC follow-up, patients transferred from PCC to Intensive Care (ICU) and patients discharged to home from PCC.

Results

Logistic Regression analysis showed that low albumin levels affected transfer to ICU (P<0.05). Elevated NRS-2002 and low albumin and prealbumin levels were found to be factors affecting mortality (P<0.05). Areas under the ROC Curve were calculated to attain patients' differential diagnosis. The area under the ROC Curve of low albumin in patients transferred to ICU was found to be significant (P<0.05). In the differential diagnosis of patients with mortal course, the area under the ROC Curve of low albumin and prealbumin and high CRP was found to be significant (P<0.05).

Conclusion

We found that BMI had no prognostic predictive effects in geriatric PCC patients with malnutrition. We concluded that NRS-2002 and high CRP and low albumin and prealbumin can be used to predict mortality. In addition, we found that low albumin indicates a poor prognosis and predicts patients to be transferred to ICU.

Identifying new predictive factors for survival after surgery for spinal metastases: an exploratory in-depth retrospective analysis

OBJECTIVES

In selected patients with symptomatic spinal metastasis from solid tumors, surgery improves quality of life. Since selection is key, inaccurate survival prognostication may result in poor decisions and outcomes. However, most prognostic scores suffer from suboptimal external validation and subsequent mediocre performance. This warrants the ongoing search for factors that better capture the oncological status. This exploratory study aims to identify new preoperative variables that predict survival.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 62 patients from a tertiary care referral center who underwent debulking and/or reconstruction surgery for spinal metastases between 2006 and 2018, and in whom detailed clinical, oncological, surgical and biochemical variables were collected. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed for overall survival.

RESULTS

Median survival was 13.2 months. Multivariate analysis for overall survival identified that a higher number of organs with metastases, a shorter time to progression on the last line of systemic therapy before surgery (TTPbs), low serum albumin, high alkaline phosphatase, high C-reactive peptide (CRP), presence of brain metastasis and the index spinal level located in the cervical region were independently associated with shorter survival.

CONCLUSION

We confirmed previously known predictors and identified CRP and TTPbs as new variables that were strongly associated with survival. The latter variable may replace primary tumor type, as improved cancer treatments make the primary tumor type less relevant as a predictor. This study is exploratory and its findings need to be validated, preferably in large prospective multicenter studies that are aiming at improving existing models.

Prognostic Value of Routinely Measured Inflammatory Biomarkers in Older Cancer Patients: Pooled Analysis of Three Cohorts

Simple Summary

The prognostic assessment of older cancer patients is complicated by their heterogeneity. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of routinely measured inflammatory biomarkers. We performed a pooled analysis of prospective multicenter cohorts of cancer patients aged ≥70. We measured CRP and albumin, and calculated Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) and CRP/albumin ratio. The GPS has three levels (0 = CRP ≤ 10 mg/L, albumin ≥ 35 g/L, i.e., normal values; 1 = one abnormal value; 2 = two abnormal values). Overall, 1800 patients were analyzed (mean age: 79 ± 6; males: 62%; metastases: 38%). The GPS and CRP/albumin ratio were independently associated with mortality. The discriminative power of the baseline clinical model was increased by adding GPS and CRP/albumin ratio. Routine inflammatory biomarkers add prognostic value to clinical factors in older cancer patients.

Abstract

Background: The prognostic assessment of older cancer patients is complicated by their heterogeneity. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of routine inflammatory biomarkers. Methods: A pooled analysis of prospective multicenter cohorts of cancer patients aged ≥70 was performed. We measured CRP and albumin, and calculated Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) and CRP/albumin ratio. The GPS has three levels (0 = CRP ≤ 10 mg/L, albumin ≥ 35 g/L, i.e., normal values; 1 = one abnormal value; 2 = two abnormal values). One-year mortality was assessed using Cox models. Discriminative power was assessed using Harrell’s C index (C) and net reclassification improvement (NRI). Results: Overall, 1800 patients were analyzed (mean age: 79 ± 6; males: 62%; metastases: 38%). The GPS and CRP/albumin ratio were independently associated with mortality in patients not at risk of frailty (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] = 4.48 [2.03–9.89] for GPS1, 11.64 [4.54–29.81] for GPS2, and 7.15 [3.22–15.90] for CRP/albumin ratio > 0.215) and in patients at risk of frailty (2.45 [1.79–3.34] for GPS1, 3.97 [2.93–5.37] for GPS2, and 2.81 [2.17–3.65] for CRP/albumin ratio > 0.215). The discriminative power of the baseline clinical model (C = 0.82 [0.80–0.83]) was increased by adding GPS (C = 0.84 [0.82–0.85]; NRI events (NRI+) = 10% [2–16]) and CRP/albumin ratio (C = 0.83 [0.82–0.85]; NRI+ = 14% [2–17]). Conclusions: Routine inflammatory biomarkers add prognostic value to clinical factors in older cancer patients.

Association between preoperative serum albumin and prognosis in patients with adrenocortical carcinoma after primary resection: a retrospective study

Background

Adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) is a rare and aggressive malignancy with a poor prognosis. Given the limited treatment options, prognostic assessment of ACC is increasingly crucial. In this study, we aim to assess the correlation between preoperative serum albumin and prognosis in patients with ACC after primary resection.

Methods

We retrospectively collected and reviewed medical information about 71 ACC patients who underwent primary resection. Survival analysis was performed by Kaplan–Meier analysis with log-rank test or Breslow test. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Jordan index was generated to explore optimal cut-off value of albumin. Univariate and multivariate analysis was conducted using Cox’s hazards model. Statistical significance was defined as P < 0.05.

Results

Among included patients, 33 patients (46.5%) relapsed at the end of follow-up, while 39 patients (54.9%) died. The median overall survival (OS) of included patients was 17 (range 1–104) months, and median recurrence-free survival (RFS) was 10 (range 0–104) months. In univariate analysis, the albumin was significantly associated with OS (HR:0.491, 95% CI: 0.260–0.930, P = 0.029) and RFS (HR: 0.383, 95% CI: 0.192–0.766, P = 0.007). In multivariate analysis, serum albumin as an independent prognostic factor of OS was confirmed (HR: 0.351, 95% CI: 0.126–0.982, P = 0.046).

Conclusions

Preoperative albumin might be a significant prognostic factor for ACC patients after primary resection. This result may be useful for risk stratification and management of this rare malignancy.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-08689-5.

Preoperative C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio is a Prognostic Indicator for Survival in Surgically Treated Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

Systemic inflammation and malnutrition may promote tumor progression. C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) is linked to the poor long-term survival of several malignant tumors.

Purpose

To explore the predictive value of CAR in gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs).

Methods

A retrospective study was conducted on 325 patients with primary GIST surgically treated with curative intent from 2009 to 2018. The cut-off point of CAR was set using X-tile software. Kaplan–Meier method and multivariate Cox regression model were used to study the prognostic value of CAR. The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (tROC) was drawn, and the prognostic accuracy of CAR, Glasgow prognostic score (GPS), and National Institute of Health (NIH) risk classification was compared by the area under the curve (AUC).

Results

The best cut-off point of CAR was 0.55. Increased CAR was associated with the location of the lower digestive tract, larger tumor size, higher mitotic index, higher NIH risk classification, lower ALB, higher CRP, and higher GPS (all p<0.05). Multivariable analysis revealed that CAR (hazard ratio [HR] 2.598, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.385–4.874; p=0.003) was an independent predictor of overall survival. Additionally, the AUC of CAR was lower than that of NIH risk classification at 2 years (0.601 vs. 0.775, p=0.002) and 5 years (0.629 vs 0.735, p=0.069). However, the AUC of NIH risk classification significantly increased (2-year OS 0.801, p=0.251; 5-year OS 0.777, p=0.011) when combined with CAR.

Conclusion

CAR is a new independent predictor of poor survival in patients with GIST. CAR combined with NIH risk classification can effectively improve the performance of prognosis prediction.

Relationship between markers of malnutrition and clinical outcomes in older adults with cancer: systematic review, narrative synthesis and meta-analysis

Malnutrition predicts poorer clinical outcomes for people with cancer. Older adults with cancer are a complex, growing population at high risk of weight-losing conditions. A number of malnutrition screening tools exist, however the best screening tool for this group is unknown. The aim was to systematically review the published evidence regarding markers and measures of nutritional status in older adults with cancer (age ≥ 70). A systematic search was performed in Ovid Medline, EMBASE, Web of Science, CINAHL, British Nursing Database and Cochrane CENTRAL; search terms related to malnutrition, cancer, older adults. Titles, abstracts and papers were screened and quality-appraised. Data evaluating ability of markers of nutritional status to predict patient outcomes were subjected to meta-analysis or narrative synthesis. Forty-two studies, describing 15 markers were included. Meta-analysis found decreased food intake was associated with mortality (OR 2.15 [2.03-4.20] p = < 0.00001) in univariate analysis. Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) was associated with overall survival (HR 1.89 [1.03-3.48] p = 0.04). PNI markers (albumin, total lymphocyte count) could be seen as markers of inflammation rather than nutrition. There a suggested relationship between very low body mass index (BMI) (<18 kg/m2) and clinical outcomes. No tool was identified as appropriate to screen for malnutrition, as distinct from inflammatory causes of weight-loss. Risk of cancer-cachexia and sarcopenia in older adults with cancer limits the tools analysed. Measures of food intake predicted mortality and should be included in clinical enquiry. A screening tool that distinguishes between malnutrition, cachexia and sarcopenia in older adults with cancer is needed.

Prediction Efficacy for Clinical Outcome of Prognostic Nutritional Index in Patients with Resectable Biliary Tract Cancer Depends on Sex and Obstructive Jaundice Status

BACKGROUND

The Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), a marker of nutritional status and systemic inflammation, is a proven prognostic biomarker in some cancers. The predictive value of PNI in biliary tract cancer (BTC) has not been established.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine the relationship between the PNI and outcomes of resectable BTC.

METHODS

In total, 430 patients with stage I-III resectable BTC [gallbladder cancer (GBC), n = 212; cholangiocarcinoma (CHO), n = 218] who had attended Fudan University Zhongshan Hospital were enrolled. The relationship between the PNI and clinical outcomes was evaluated both in the whole cohort and in selected subgroups.

RESULTS

Eligible patients were classified into PNI-low (PNI < 45) and PNI-high (PNI ≥ 45) groups. The PNI-low group had significantly worse overall survival (OS) in both the whole cohort (p = 0.002) and in the GBC subgroup (p = 0.001), but had similar OS as the PNI-high group in the CHO subgroup (p = 0.328). Multivariate analysis revealed that low PNI is an independent risk factor for worse survival in GBC (hazard ratio 1.623, 95% confidence interval 1.063-2.480, p = 0.026). PNI was found to predict clinical outcome in women (p < 0.001) and patients without obstructive jaundice (p = 0.017) with GBC, but was not a prognostic factor in any subgroup with CHO. The estimated area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve was significantly greater when TNM stage was combined with PNI in women with GBC.

CONCLUSIONS

PNI is an independent predictor of OS in GBC, but not in CHO. It has no prognostic value in men with GBC or patients with obstructive jaundice.