Community clinical practice patterns and mortality in patients with intermediate oncotype DX recurrence scores: Who benefits from chemotherapy?

Selecting postoperative adjuvant systemic therapy for early-stage breast cancer: An updated assessment and systematic review of leading commercially available gene expression assays

Gene expression assays (GEAs) can guide treatment for early-stage breast cancer. Several large prospective randomized clinical trials, and numerous additional studies, now provide new information for selecting an appropriate GEA. This systematic review builds upon prior reviews, with a focus on five widely commercialized GEAs (Breast Cancer Index®, EndoPredict®, MammaPrint®, Oncotype DX®, and Prosigna®). The comprehensive dataset available provides a contemporary opportunity to assess each GEA's utility as a prognosticator and/or predictor of adjuvant therapy benefit.

Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Premenopausal Patients With Hormone-Positive Breast Cancer With a Recurrence Score of 16-25: A Retrospective Analysis Using the National Cancer Database

PURPOSE

Results from the TAILORx trial revealed that the use of adjuvant chemotherapy along with endocrine therapy had no survival advantage in patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-), node-negative (N0) breast cancer (BC) with an intermediate (11-25) 21-gene recurrence score (RS) in the overall population. However, in patients under age 50 years, adjuvant chemotherapy demonstrated a progression-free survival benefit when the RS ranged from 16-25. We studied this cohort with the population-based national database.

METHODS

The 2010-2018 National Cancer Database was used to include patients with BC age 18-50 years, N0, M0, RS 16-25, ER+/progesterone receptor±, and HER2-. Patients were divided into two groups on the basis of adjuvant chemotherapy use, and the survival between them was compared.

RESULTS

Adjuvant chemotherapy use was noted in 4,808/15,792 (30.45%) patients. Median RS was 18 and 21 in patients without and with adjuvant chemotherapy, respectively. Factors associated with adjuvant chemotherapy use were higher T stage, poor and moderately differentiated tumors, age <40 years, care at an academic center, Caucasian race, patients undergoing mastectomy, regional lymph node surgery, and radiation therapy. Kaplan-Meier survival at 10 years was better with adjuvant chemotherapy (96.2% v 91.6%). Patients without adjuvant chemotherapy had more adverse outcomes (hazard ratio [HR], 1.683 [95% CI, 1.392 to 2.036]; P < .0001). Subgroup analysis showed that the benefit was significant in patients with RS scores 21-25 (HR, 1.953 [95% CI, 1.295 to 2.945]), ductal histology (HR, 1.521 [95% CI, 1.092 to 2.118]), Caucasian race (HR, 1.655 [95% CI, 1.180 to 2.322]), and 41-50 years age group (HR, 1.732 [95% CI, 1.244 to 2.411]).

CONCLUSION

Our study showed an overall survival benefit for adjuvant chemotherapy use in patients with ER-positive, N0 premenopausal BC patients, age less than 50 years, with an intermediate RS score, particularly 21-25.

Survival results according to Oncotype Dx recurrence score in patients with hormone receptor positive HER-2 negative early-stage breast cancer: first multicenter Oncotype Dx recurrence score survival data of Turkey

Background

The Oncotype Dx recurrence score (ODx-RS) guides the adjuvant chemotherapy decision-making process for patients with early-stage hormone receptor-positive, HER-2 receptor-negative breast cancer. This study aimed to evaluate survival and its correlation with ODx-RS in pT1-2, N0-N1mic patients treated with adjuvant therapy based on tumor board decisions.

Patients and methods

Estrogen-positive HER-2 negative early-stage breast cancer patients (pT1-2 N0, N1mic) with known ODx-RS, operated on between 2010 and 2014, were included in this study. The primary aim was to evaluate 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) rates according to ODX-RS.

Results

A total of 203 eligible patients were included in the study, with a median age of 48 (range 26-75) and median follow-up of 84 (range 23-138) months. ROC curve analysis for all patients revealed a recurrence cut-off age of 45 years, prompting evaluation by grouping patients as ≤45 years vs. >45 years. No significant difference in five-year DFS rates was observed between the endocrine-only (ET) and chemo-endocrine (CE) groups. However, among the ET group, DFS was higher in patients over 45 years compared to those aged ≤45 years. When stratifying by ODx-RS as 0-17 and ≥18, DFS was significantly higher in the former group within the ET group. However, such differences were not seen in the CE group. In the ET group, an ODx-RS ≥18 and menopausal status were identified as independent factors affecting survival, with only an ODx-RS ≥18 impacting DFS in patients aged ≤45 years. The ROC curve analysis for this subgroup found the ODx-RS cut-off to be 18.

Conclusion

This first multicenter Oncotype Dx survival analysis in Turkey demonstrates the importance of Oncotype Dx recurrence score and age in determining treatment strategies for early-stage breast cancer patients. As a different aproach to the literature, our findings suggest that the addition of chemotherapy to endocrine therapy in young patients (≤45 years) with Oncotype Dx recurrence scores of ≥18 improves DFS.

Clinical outcomes in estrogen receptor-positive early-stage breast cancer patients with Recurrence Score 26-30: observational real-world cohort study

Data on adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) benefit in ER + HER2‒ early-stage breast cancer (EBC) patients with Recurrence Score (RS) 26-30 are limited. This real-world study evaluated the relationships between the RS, adjuvant treatments, and outcomes in 534 RS 26-30 patients tested through Clalit Health Services (N0: n = 394, 49% CT-treated; N1mi/N1: n = 140, 62% CT-treated). The CT-treated and untreated groups were imbalanced (more high-risk clinicopathologic characteristics in CT-treated patients). With median follow-up of 8 years, Kaplan-Meier estimates for overall survival (OS), distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS), and BC-specific mortality (BCSM) were not significantly different between CT-treated and untreated N0 patients. Seven-year rates (95% CI) in CT-treated vs untreated: OS, 97.9% (94.4-99.2%) vs 97.9% (94.6-99.2%); DRFS, 91.5% (86.6-94.7%) vs 91.2% (86.0-94.6%); BCSM, 0.5% (0.1-3.7%) vs 1.6% (0.5-4.7%). For N1mi/N1 patients, OS/DRFS did not differ significantly between treatment groups; whereas BCSM did (1.3% [0.2-8.6%] vs 6.2% [2.0-17.7%] for CT-treated and untreated patients, respectively, p = 0.024).

Survival Benefit of Chemotherapy According to 21-Gene Recurrence Score in Young Women with Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

Initial trials evaluating Oncotype DX, reported as a recurrence score (RS) from 0 to 100, were not powered to evaluate overall survival, and premenopausal women were underrepresented. The purpose of this study was to explore the benefit of chemotherapy according to RS among younger women eligible for oncotype testing.

METHODS

Women aged 40-50, diagnosed with HR-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer between 2010 and 2017 were selected from the National Cancer Database (NCBD). Patients were grouped by age, RS, nodal status, and chemotherapy receipt. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to compare unadjusted overall survival (OS) between the groups, and log-rank tests were used to test for a difference between groups. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between select factors and OS.

RESULTS

A total of 15,422 patients met inclusion criteria, 45.3% of whom received chemotherapy. Median follow-up time was 66.4 (50.6-86.6) months. Patients who received chemotherapy were more likely to have higher-stage and higher-grade tumors, tumors that were PR-negative, and have higher RS (p < 0.001 for all). RS was prognostic for OS regardless of nodal status. After adjustment, chemotherapy was associated with a significant improvement in OS only in the pN1 RS 31-50 subgroup (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

RS retains its prognostic value in younger patients with early stage HR-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer. Chemotherapy survival benefit was limited to patients aged 40-50 with pN1 disease and RS of 31-50. Therefore, chemotherapy decision-making should be especially preference-sensitive in women aged 40-50 with intermediate RS, where it may not provide a survival benefit for many women.

Evaluation oncotype DX® 21-gene recurrence score and clinicopathological parameters: a single institutional experience

AIMS

Oncotype DX recurrence score (RS) is a clinically validated assay, which predicts the likelihood of disease recurrence in oestrogen receptor-positive/HER2-negative (ER+/HER2-) breast cancer (BC). In this study we aimed to compare the performance of Oncotype DX against the conventional clinicopathological parameters using a large BC cohort diagnosed in a single institution.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A cohort (n = 430) of ER+/HER2- BC patients who were diagnosed at the Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust and had Oncotype DX testing was included. Correlation with the clinicopathological and other biomarkers, including the proliferation index, was analysed. The median Oncotype DX RS was 17.5 (range = 0-69). There was a significant association between high RS and grade 3 tumours. No grade 1 BC or grade 2 tumours with mitosis score 1 showed high RS. Low RS was significantly associated with special tumour types where none of the patients with classical lobular or tubular carcinomas had a high RS. There was an inverse association between RS and levels of ER and progesterone receptor (PR) expression and a positive linear correlation with Ki67 labelling index. Notably, six patients who developed recurrence had an intermediate RS; however, four of these six cases (67%) were identified as high-risk disease when the conventional clinical and molecular parameters were considered.

CONCLUSION

Oncotype DX RS is correlated strongly with the conventional clinicopathological parameters in BC. Some tumour features such as tumour grade, type, PR status and Ki67 index can be used as surrogate markers in certain scenarios.

A 10 year service evaluation of the survival of 439 patients with early oestrogen receptor positive breast cancer who underwent initial OncotypeDX ® testing to guide adjuvant chemotherapy decisions

OBJECTIVE

To explore the long-term outcome of patients who underwent Oncotype DX® testing. The relationship between the RS, adjuvant treatments received, and clinical outcomes across the entire range of RS results are reported.

METHODS

10-year Kaplan-Meier estimates for distant recurrence/BC-specific survival (BCSS) in this cohort. The analysis included 439 patients. The follow-up time ranged from 14 to 142 months. All analyses were performed using the SPSS v20.

RESULTS

More than half of patients had low RS (<18) (55.6%) and 15.3% had RS ≥ 31. Chemotherapy use was consistent with the RS with 4.4%, 7.1%, 28.0%, 71.4% and 91.0% receiving adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with RS < 11, 11-17, 18-25, 26-30, and ≥31, respectively. The overall chemotherapy rate was 27.6%. Distant metastasis free survival (DMFS) differed significantly (P < 0.001) between the RS groups with 10 year DMFS rates of 99% (SE +/- 0.01) in the RS<11, 97% (SE +/- 0.03) in the RS 11-17, 97% (SE +/- 0.02) in the RS 18-25, 85% (SE +/- 0.1) in the RS 26-30 and 74% (SE +/- 0.08) in the RS ≥ 31 group. Ten year breast cancer specific survival also differed significantly (P < 0.001) between the RS groups; this risk was 100% (no deaths from breast cancer reported in the first 10 years) in RS < 11, 95% (SE +/- 0.03) in RS 11-17, 94% (SE +/- 0.04) in RS 18-25, 93% (SE +/- 0.07) in RS 26-30, and 79% (SE +/- 0.07) in the RS ≥ 31 group.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of Oncotype DX RS does guide the treatment decisions and correlates with the BCSS and disease-free survival for ER positive, Her2 negative, early-stage, node negative breast cancer patients.

Correlation between Ferroptosis-Related Gene Signature and Immune Landscape: Prognosis in Breast Cancer

Breast cancer (BC) is the most commonly diagnosed cancer and second leading cause of cancer-related death in women worldwide. Ferroptosis, an iron-dependent newly discovered mode of cell death, can be induced by lenaltinib and plays an important role in the biological behaviors of BC. Therefore, the prognostic value of ferroptosis-related genes (FRGs) in BC warrants further investigation. FRG expression profiles and clinical data were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). Immune-related pathways were found in the functional analysis. Significant differences in enrichment scores for immune cells were observed. Some patients from TCGA-BRCA were included as the training cohort. A six-gene prediction signature was constructed with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression. This model was validated in the rest of the TCGA-BRCA and GEO cohort. The expressions of the six FRGs were verified with real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction and immunohistochemistry in the Human Protein Atlas. Relapse or metastasis was more likely in the high-risk group. Risk score was an independent predictor of disease-free survival. Collectively, the ferroptosis-related risk model established in this study may serve as an effective tool to predict the prognosis in BC.

Impact of genomic assays on treatment and outcomes in locally advanced breast cancer

PURPOSE

Genomic profiling in early-stage breast cancer provides prognostic and predictive information. Genomic profiling assays have not been validated in locally advanced breast cancer (LABC). We examined a large cancer registry to evaluate genomic profiling in LABC and its effect on treatment decisions and survival.

METHODS

Females with ER+/HER2- LABC who did not receive neoadjuvant therapy were selected from the National Cancer Database 2004-2017. We compared characteristics between patients with and without genomic profiling and with low genomic risk, 21-gene recurrence score ≤ 25 or low-risk 70-gene signature, treated with endocrine therapy ± chemotherapy. Propensity score methods were utilized to account for covariates that may have predicted treatment. Univariable and multivariable survival analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Of 18,437 patients with LABC, 1258 (7%) had genomic profiling and 1022 (81%) had low genomic risk results. 562 patients (55%) with low genomic risk received chemotherapy and endocrine therapy (chemoendocrine). Patients who received chemoendocrine therapy were younger, had fewer comorbidities, presented with higher stage disease, had higher grade tumors, more frequently had partial mastectomy, and more often received radiation than those who received endocrine therapy alone. On multivariable analysis, endocrine therapy alone was associated with worse OS compared to chemoendocrine therapy (HR 1.77, 95% CI 1.13-2.78, p = 0.013).

CONCLUSION

In women with LABC and low genomic risk, endocrine therapy alone was associated with worse OS compared to chemoendocrine therapy. This suggests that genomic profiling is not predictive in LABC. Accordingly, genomic profiling should not be routinely utilized to make adjuvant treatment decisions in LABC in the absence of further data which shows a benefit.

Impact of time to distant recurrence on breast cancer-specific mortality in hormone receptor-positive breast cancer

Women with hormone receptor (HR)-positive early-stage breast cancer (BC) have five-year survival rates of > 90% but remain at serious risk for developing distant metastases beyond five years from diagnosis. This retrospective cohort study used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registries to examine associations between distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI) and risk of BC-specific mortality following distant relapse. The analysis includes 1,057 women with second primary stage IV BC who were initially diagnosed with AJCC stages I-III HR-positive BC between1990 and 2016. Overall, 65% of women had a preceding DRFI of ≥ 5 years. Five-year BC-specific survival following development of distant recurrence was 52% for women with DRFI ≥ 5 years compared to 31% in women with DRFI of < 5 years. In multivariable analyses, risks of cancer-specific mortality following distant recurrence were lower in women with DRFI of 5 years or more (subdistribution hazard ratio = 0.72, 95% CI 0.58-0.89, p = 0.002). The results of this study may inform patient-clinician discussions surrounding prognosis and treatment selection among HR-positive patients who develop a distant recurrence of disease.

The impact of age and nodal status on variations in oncotype DX testing and adjuvant treatment

Oncotype DX (ODX) recurrence score (RS) is a validated tool to guide the use of adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) in hormone receptor+/HER2- breast cancer. In this analysis, we examine (1) characteristics associated with ODX testing and (2) the association between ODX RS and receipt of AC across age and nodal status. Women with HR+/HER2–, early-stage (T1-2, N0-1) breast cancers from 2010–2017 in the National Cancer Database were included. 530,125 met inclusion and 255,971 received ODX testing. Older women were less likely to receive testing; however, nodal positivity increased use of testing. High ODX RS was associated with increased mortality, though the association was not consistent across age and was most strongly associated with mortality among younger, node-negative women. Older women with high ODX RS, regardless of nodal status, were less likely to receive AC. Clinicians may be employing ODX RS to support treatment decisions against the receipt of AC.

Oncotype DX Risk Recurrence Score and Total Mortality for Early-Stage Breast Cancer by Race/Ethnicity

BACKGROUND

Oncotype DX recurrence score (ODX RS) is a prognostic biomarker for early-stage, node-negative, estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer. Whether test uptake, associated factors, and the test's prognostic values differ by race/ethnicity is unknown.

METHODS

From the National Cancer Database, 2010-2014, we identified 227,259 early-stage ER+, node-negative breast cancer cases. Logistic regression was used to examine ODX RS uptake and associated factors among non-Hispanic White (White), non-Hispanic Black (Black), Hispanic, and Asian American patients. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for overall mortality with ODX RS by race/ethnicity.

RESULTS

White patients were more likely to receive an ODX RS test compared with Black, Hispanic, and Asian American patients (36.7%, 32.8%, 31.6%, and 35.5%, respectively; P < 0.001). Disparities persisted after adjustments for demographics, clinical characteristics, and access-to-care, with rate ratios of 0.87 (95% CI, 0.85-0.88), 0.82 (95% CI, 0.80-0.85), and 0.89 (95% CI, 0.87-0.92), respectively, for Black, Hispanic, and Asian American compared with White patients. Black patients had higher proportions of high-risk scores (≥26) compared with White, Hispanic, and Asian American patients (19.1%, 14.0%, 14.2%, and 15.6%, respectively; P < 0.0001). ODX RS was predictive for total mortality across all races/ethnicities, particularly younger patients (<50). No significant race/ethnicity interactions were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Although ODX RS uptake and risk distribution varied by race/ethnicity, ODX RS was prognostic for mortality across groups.

IMPACT

These findings emphasize the importance of developing strategies to increase ODX RS uptake among racial/ethnic minorities and call for more investigations on potential racial/ethnic differences in breast cancer biology. See related commentary by Wang et al., p. 704.

21-Gene Assay to Inform Chemotherapy Benefit in Node-Positive Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

The recurrence score based on the 21-gene breast-cancer assay has been clinically useful in predicting a chemotherapy benefit in hormone-receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative, axillary lymph-node-negative breast cancer. In women with positive lymph-node disease, the role of the recurrence score with respect to predicting a benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy is unclear.

METHODS

In a prospective trial, we randomly assigned women with hormone-receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer, one to three positive axillary lymph nodes, and a recurrence score of 25 or lower (scores range from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating a worse prognosis) to endocrine therapy only or to chemotherapy plus endocrine (chemoendocrine) therapy. The primary objective was to determine the effect of chemotherapy on invasive disease-free survival and whether the effect was influenced by the recurrence score. Secondary end points included distant relapse-free survival.

RESULTS

A total of 5083 women (33.2% premenopausal and 66.8% postmenopausal) underwent randomization, and 5018 participated in the trial. At the prespecified third interim analysis, the chemotherapy benefit with respect to increasing invasive disease-free survival differed according to menopausal status (P = 0.008 for the comparison of chemotherapy benefit in premenopausal and postmenopausal participants), and separate prespecified analyses were conducted. Among postmenopausal women, invasive disease-free survival at 5 years was 91.9% in the endocrine-only group and 91.3% in the chemoendocrine group, with no chemotherapy benefit (hazard ratio for invasive disease recurrence, new primary cancer [breast cancer or another type], or death, 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.82 to 1.26; P = 0.89). Among premenopausal women, invasive disease-free survival at 5 years was 89.0% with endocrine-only therapy and 93.9% with chemoendocrine therapy (hazard ratio, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.83; P = 0.002), with a similar increase in distant relapse-free survival (hazard ratio, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.39 to 0.87; P = 0.009). The relative chemotherapy benefit did not increase as the recurrence score increased.

CONCLUSIONS

Among premenopausal women with one to three positive lymph nodes and a recurrence score of 25 or lower, those who received chemoendocrine therapy had longer invasive disease-free survival and distant relapse-free survival than those who received endocrine-only therapy, whereas postmenopausal women with similar characteristics did not benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. (Funded by the National Cancer Institute and others; RxPONDER ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01272037.).

Impact of the 21-Gene Recurrence Score Assay on the Treatment of Estrogen Receptor-Positive, HER2-Negative, Breast Cancer Patients With 1-3 Positive Nodes: A Prospective Clinical Utility Study

PURPOSE

The use of the 21-gene Recurrence Score (RS) assay is emerging in node-positive estrogen receptor (ER)+ HER2-negative breast cancer (BC), particularly as initial data from the RxPONDER trial are now available. We investigated the impact of the RS result on adjuvant treatment decisions in such patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This prospective, multi-center study enrolled patients with ER+, HER2-negative BC and 1 to 3 positive nodes (microscopic [N1mi] or macroscopic [N1]). Treating oncologists documented treatment recommendations/plan before and after knowing the RS result. Sample size was determined assuming an overall treatment change rate (from chemohormonal therapy [CHT] to hormone therapy [HT] and vice-versa) of ≥30%.

RESULTS

The study included 84 patients across 5 regional cancer centers, of whom 82 underwent 21-gene testing (77%, N1 disease; 63% grade 2 tumors). Of the RS-tested patients, 60%, 33%, and 7% had RS 0 to 17, 18 to 30, and 31 to 100, respectively. In 43 patients (52%), treatment changed post-RS: 40 patients (49%) from CHT to HT and 3 patients (4%) from HT to CHT. The net change was a 45% reduction in chemotherapy use. Treatment recommendation changes were consistent with the RS result. In RS 0 to 17 patients, the only documented change was from CHT to HT (27 patients). In RS 18-30 patients, change was noted in both directions (CHT-to-HT, 13 patients; HT-to-CHT, 3 patients). No treatment change was reported for the RS 31 to 100 patients, all of whom were recommended CHT pre-testing.

CONCLUSION

Our results support the clinical utility of the RS assay in ER+ HER2-negative BC with 1 to 3 positive nodes.

Is radiomic MRI a feasible alternative to OncotypeDX® recurrence score testing? A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

OncotypeDX® recurrence score (RS) aids therapeutic decision-making in oestrogen-receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer. Radiomics is an evolving field that aims to examine the relationship between radiological features and the underlying genomic landscape of disease processes. The aim of this study was to perform a systematic review of current evidence evaluating the comparability of radiomics and RS.

METHODS

A systematic review was performed as per PRISMA guidelines. Studies comparing radiomic MRI tumour analyses and RS were identified. Sensitivity, specificity and area under curve (AUC) delineating low risk (RS less than 18) versus intermediate-high risk (equal to or greater than 18) and low-intermediate risk (RS less than 30) and high risk (RS greater than 30) were recorded. Log rate ratios (lnRR) and standard error were determined from AUC and 95 per cent confidence intervals.

RESULTS

Nine studies including 1216 patients met inclusion criteria; the mean age at diagnosis was 52.9 years. Mean RS was 16 (range 0-75); 401 patients with RS less than 18, 287 patients with RS 18-30 and 100 patients with RS greater than 30. Radiomic analysis and RS were comparable for differentiating RS less than 18 versus RS 18 or greater (RR 0.93 (95 per cent c.i. 0.85 to 1.01); P = 0.010, heterogeneity (I2)=0%) as well as RS less than 30 versus RS 30 or greater (RR 0.76 (95 per cent c.i. 0.70 to 0.83); P < 0.001, I2=0%). MRI sensitivity and specificity for RS less than 18 versus 18 or greater was 0.89 (95 per cent c.i. 0.85 to 0.93) and 0.72 (95 per cent c.i. 0.66 to 0.78) respectively, and 0.79 (95 per cent c.i. 0.72 to 0.86) and 0.74 (95 per cent c.i. 0.68 to 0.80) for RS less than 30 versus 30 or greater.

CONCLUSION

Radiomic tumour analysis is comparable to RS in differentiating patients into clinically relevant subgroups. For patients requiring MRI, radiomics may complement and enhance RS for prognostication and therapeutic decision making in ER+ breast cancer.

Secondary Invasive Breast Events among Patients with Hormone-Positive Breast Cancer and High-Risk Oncotype DX Recurrence Scores 26-30 and ≥31

BACKGROUND

The Oncotype DX Recurrence Score (ODx RS) is the most widely adopted genomic assay used to guide treatment for patients with early-stage, hormone-positive (HR+) breast cancer (BC), with higher scores predicting greater risk of recurrence and benefit from chemotherapy. Patients with ODx RS >25 typically recieve adjuvant chemotherapy; however, data regarding efficacy of chemotherapy for reducing recurrence in this population have been mixed.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate outcomes of patients with early-stage HR+ BC with high-risk ODx RS (26-30 and ≥31) in order to assess treatment patterns and outcomes. We hypothesized that the benefit of chemotherapy in these groups may be minimal and that select patients may forgo chemotherapy in favor of more aggressive endocrine therapy and ovarian suppression.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of 515 patients with early-stage, HR+ BC with high-risk ODx RS 26-30 and ≥31 treated between 2006 and 2018. Patients were stratified by RS: low-risk (≤10), intermediate-risk (11-25), and high-risk (≥26). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the time to secondary invasive breast events (SIBE) or distributions overall and among different RS groups with the log rank test used to compare distributions between groups.

RESULTS

Rates of chemotherapy administration were 7% among the low-risk group, 18% among the intermediate-risk group, and 83% among high-risk patients with 41 SIBE (8%) reported. When stratified by ODx RS, 5-year rates of SIBE were 4%, 6%, and 16% for low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk RS, respectively. Among the 27 lymph node (LN)-negative patients with ODx RS 26-30, 74% received chemotherapy. The 5-year rate of SIBE was 25% among patients who received chemotherapy and 33% among those who did not (p = 0.5489). Among the 23 LN-negative patients with ODx RS ≥31, 91% of patients received chemotherapy. The 5-year rate of SIBE was 0% both with and without chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

There was no statistically significant difference in SIBE for patients with high-risk ODx RS based on chemotherapy treatment. More aggressive endocrine therapy with ovarian suppression has become an alternative to chemotherapy among patients with intermediate-risk ODx RS (16-25). This approach may be useful among patients with high-risk ODx RS, with additional studies needed in this patient population.

Adjuvant chemotherapy and survival outcome in node-negative breast cancer with a 21-gene recurrence score of 26-30

Aim: To investigate the benefit of chemotherapy among early-stage breast cancer patients with 21-gene recurrence scores of 26-30. Methods: We identified 3754 patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Results: 57.6% of the patients received adjuvant chemotherapy. Patients with higher tumor grade, larger tumors and younger age were more likely to receive chemotherapy. The receipt of chemotherapy was independently associated with better breast cancer-specific survival than in patients without chemotherapy before (p = 0.016) and after (p = 0.043) propensity score matching. The sensitivity analyses showed that survival gain was pronounced in patients with poorly differentiated or undifferentiated disease. Conclusions: Adjuvant chemotherapy improves the outcome for early-stage breast cancer with 21-gene recurrence score of 26-30, especially for patients with high-grade tumors.

The 21-gene recurrence score in node-positive, hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer: a cautionary tale from an NCDB analysis

PURPOSE

The 21-gene recurrence score assay (RS) has not been prospectively validated to predict adjuvant chemotherapy benefit in hormone receptor-positive (HR+), HER2-negative (HER2-), node-positive breast cancer patients. Nevertheless, de-escalation based on RS has been demonstrated and partially advocated by retrospective data. The purpose of this study was to identify subgroups of node-positive patients with low to intermediate RS who still benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

METHODS

The National Cancer Database was used to identify 28,591 women with stage I-III, T1-T3, N1, HR+, HER2- breast cancer and a RS ≤ 25 between 2010 and 2016. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify variables correlating with chemotherapy use and 5-year survival. Subgroup analysis was performed to discern patients in whom the use of adjuvant chemotherapy correlated with better survival.

RESULTS

A 35% decline in chemotherapy use was observed from 2010 to 2016. Patients with younger age, higher RS, larger tumors and more positive lymph nodes, and those treated by mastectomy, axillary lymph node dissection and radiation, were more likely to receive chemotherapy. Chemotherapy use was associated with an improved 5-year survival (HR = 1.63, 95% CI 1.28-2.07). Upon subgroup analysis, this association was lost in patients > 70 years and those with a RS ≤ 11, while patients ≤ 70 with a RS of 12-25 treated with chemotherapy had an absolute 5-year survival advantage of 3.0% (HR = 1.91, 95% CI 1.42-2.57).

CONCLUSION

Clinicians should be cautious when considering omission of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients ≤ 70 years, with HR+, HER2-, N1 tumors and a RS 12-25, at least until the results of the anticipated RxPONDER trial become available.

Propensity score analysis of the prognostic value of genomic assays for breast cancer in diverse populations using the National Cancer Data Base

BACKGROUND

Genomic assays such as Oncotype Dx (ODX) and MammaPrint are used for risk-adapted treatment decisions among patients with early breast cancer. However, to the authors' knowledge, concordance between genomic assays is modest. Using real-world data, the authors performed a comparative analysis of ODX and MammaPrint.

METHODS

A cohort of women diagnosed with early-stage, hormone receptor-positive breast cancer who received ODX or MammaPrint was established using the National Cancer Data Base (NCDB) for 2010 through 2016. Using the propensity score matching method, 2 groups of patients with similar clinical and demographic characteristics were defined: one group received ODX and the other received MammaPrint. The authors examined the association between use of the ODX or MammaPrint assays and overall survival using Cox models.

RESULTS

Of the 451,693 eligible patients, approximately 45.3% received ODX and 1.8% received MammaPrint testing. The use of ODX increased from 36.1% in 2010 to 49.9% in 2016, whereas use of MammaPrint increased from 0.5% in 2010 to 3.3% in 2016. The authors matched 5042 patients who received ODX with 5042 patients who received MammaPrint. The 5-year risks of death for the MammaPrint low-risk group and the ODX low-risk group were 3.4% and 4.7%, respectively. The prognostic value of MammaPrint was similar to that of ODX; the C-index was 0.614 (95% confidence interval, 0.572-0.657) for MammaPrint and 0.581 (95% confidence interval, 0.530-0.631) for ODX. There was a difference in the performance of the ODX assay observed across racial and/or ethnic groups (P < .001), with a slightly better performance noted among white compared with African American and Hispanic individuals.

CONCLUSIONS

Both the ODX and MammaPrint tests are good at identifying low-risk individuals who could be spared chemotherapy. The suboptimal performance of ODX in ethnic minority individuals deserves further investigation.

Personalised medicine and the decision to withhold chemotherapy in early breast cancer with intermediate risk of recurrence - a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To assess the evidence for decision making, at the health care and the patient levels, regarding the use of gene expression assays to inform chemotherapy decisions in breast cancer patients with intermediate clinical risk of recurrence.

METHODS

Systematic literature searches were performed (January 2002-April 2020) in Medline, Embase, PubMed, Cochrane Library, PsycINFO and HTA databases.

INCLUSION CRITERIA

patients (P) were individuals with post-surgical breast cancer at intermediate clinical risk of recurrence; intervention (I)/comparison (C) was (i) use of, versus no use of, a gene expression assay and (ii) withholding versus providing chemotherapy; outcomes (O) were overall survival (OS), health-related quality of life (HRQL), and recurrence. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and non-RCTs were included. Random-effects meta-analyses were performed where possible.

RESULTS

Three inconclusive non-RCTs, respectively, compared OS and recurrence with and without a gene expression assay. No studies investigated HRQL. Regarding the comparison withholding versus providing chemotherapy based on a gene expression assay, one RCT and four non-RCTs evaluated OS. In the RCT, 93.9% (I) versus 93.8% (C) were alive at 9 years. Three RCTs and seven non-RCTs evaluated recurrence. Three RCTs could be pooled regarding distant recurrence; 4.29% versus 3.88% had such an event (risk ratio: 1.12 (95% confidence interval: 0.90 to 1.39).

CONCLUSION

Regarding the use of gene expression assays in breast cancer, evidence on patient effects, informing patient-level chemotherapy decision making, is available. However, evidence for prioritisation at the overall health care level, i.e. use of, versus no use of, such assays, is largely lacking.

Clinicopathological characteristics, adjuvant chemotherapy decision and disease outcome in patients with breast cancer with a 21-gene recurrence score of 26-30

Recurrence score (RS) could be used to predict clinical outcomes and chemotherapy efficacy in patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative and lymph node-negative breast cancer. However, the clinical features and management of patients with an RS of 26–30 are not completely understood. In the present study, 783 patients with HR⁺/HER2⁻, lymph node-negative early breast cancer and RS ≥18 were included and categorized into RS=18−25 (47.8%), 26–30 (25.5%) or ≥31 (26.7%) groups. Clinicopathological characteristics, adjuvant chemotherapy usage and disease outcomes were compared. Alterations in the adjuvant chemotherapy recommendation after 21-gene RS testing were also analyzed. The results indicated that patients with RS=26−30 had higher progesterone receptor (PR) expression [odds ratio (OR)=2.84; P<0.001] and lower Ki-67 index (OR, 1.88; P=0.032) compared with patients with RS ≥31. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that age ≤50 years (OR, 5.75; P=0.001) and luminal-B subtype (OR, 7.75; P<0.001) were factors that were independently associated with chemotherapy usage in the RS=26−30 group. Among 104 patients who were not recommended chemotherapy before 21-gene RS testing, the treatment decision for 52 patients was changed to recommend chemotherapy once an RS of 26–30 was identified. The patient adherence rate to the treatment recommendation was 95.0% (190/200). After a median follow-up of 21.5 months, 6 patients displayed disease recurrence in the RS=26−30 group, and there was no significant difference between patients receiving chemotherapy and patients not receiving chemotherapy. In conclusion, patients with RS=26−30 had tumors with higher PR expression and lower Ki-67 index compared with those of patients with RS ≥31. Age, luminal subtype and RS testing influenced chemotherapy usage in patients with RS=26−30; however, no significant benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy was observed in a short term of 2 years.

Gene Expression Profiling Tests for Early-Stage Invasive Breast Cancer: A Health Technology Assessment

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer is a disease in which cells in the breast grow out of control. They often form a tumour that may be seen on an x-ray or felt as a lump.Gene expression profiling (GEP) tests are intended to help predict the risk of metastasis (spread of the cancer to other parts of the body) and to identify people who will most likely benefit from chemotherapy. We conducted a health technology assessment of four GEP tests (EndoPredict, MammaPrint, Oncotype DX, and Prosigna) for people with early-stage invasive breast cancer, which included an evaluation of effectiveness, safety, cost effectiveness, the budget impact of publicly funding GEP tests, and patient preferences and values.

METHODS

We performed a systematic literature search of the clinical evidence. We assessed the risk of bias of each included study using either the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool, Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST), or Risk of Bias Assessment tool for Non-randomized Studies (RoBANS), depending on the type of study and outcome of interest, and the quality of the body of evidence according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) Working Group criteria. We also performed a literature survey of the quantitative evidence of preferences and values of patients and providers for GEP tests.We performed an economic evidence review to identify published studies assessing the cost-effectiveness of each of the four GEP tests compared with usual care or with one another for people with early-stage invasive breast cancer. We adapted a decision-analytic model to compare the costs and outcomes of care that includes a GEP test with usual care without a GEP test over a lifetime horizon. We also estimated the budget impact of publicly funding GEP tests to be conducted in Ontario, compared with funding tests conducted through the out-of-country program and compared with no funding of tests in any location.To contextualize the potential value of GEP tests, we spoke with people who have been diagnosed with early-stage invasive breast cancer.

RESULTS

We included 68 studies in the clinical evidence review. Within the lymph-node-negative (LN-) population, GEP tests can prognosticate the risk of distant recurrence (GRADE: Moderate) and may predict chemotherapy benefit (GRADE: Low). The evidence for prognostic and predictive ability (ability to indicate the risk of an outcome and ability to predict who will benefit from chemotherapy, respectively) was lower for the lymph-node-positive (LN+) population (GRADE: Very Low to Low). GEP tests may also lead to changes in treatment (GRADE: Low) and generally may increase physician confidence in treatment recommendations (GRADE: Low).Our economic evidence review showed that GEP tests are generally cost-effective compared with usual care.Our primary economic evaluation showed that all GEP test strategies were more effective (led to more quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs]) than usual care and can be considered cost-effective below a willingness-to-pay of $20,000 per QALY gained. There was some uncertainty in our results. At a willingness-to-pay of $50,000 per QALY gained, the probability of each test being cost-effective compared to usual care was 63.0%, 89.2%, 89.2%, and 100% for EndoPredict, MammaPrint, Oncotype DX, and Prosigna, respectively.Sensitivity analyses showed our results were robust to variation in subgroups considered (i.e., LN+ and premenopausal), discount rates, age, and utilities. However, cost parameter assumptions did influence our results. Our scenario analysis comparing tests showed Oncotype DX was likely cost-effective compared with MammaPrint, and Prosigna was likely cost-effective compared with EndoPredict. When the GEP tests were compared with a clinical tool, the cost-effectiveness of the tests varied. Assuming a higher uptake of GEP tests, we estimated the budget impact to publicly fund GEP tests in Ontario would be between $1.29 million (Year 1) and $2.22 million (Year 5) compared to the current scenario of publicly funded GEP tests through the out-of-country program.Gene expression profiling tests are valued by patients and physicians for the additional information they provide for treatment decision-making. Patients are satisfied with what they learn from GEP tests and feel GEP tests can help reduce decisional uncertainty and anxiety.

CONCLUSIONS

Gene expression profiling tests can likely prognosticate the risk of distant recurrence and some tests may also predict chemotherapy benefit. In people with breast cancer that is ER+, LN-, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative, GEP tests are likely cost-effective compared with no testing. The GEP tests are also likely cost-effective in LN+ and premenopausal people. Compared with funding GEP tests through the out-of-country program, publicly funding GEP tests in Ontario would cost an additional $1 million to $2 million annually, assuming a higher uptake of tests. GEP tests are valued by both patients and physicians for chemotherapy treatment decision-making.

Sex Disparity Observed for Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score in Predicting Mortality Among Patients with Early Stage ER-Positive Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

Prognostic value of Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score (RS) in male patients with breast cancer is understudied. We evaluated associations of RS with overall mortality in male patients with breast cancer and compared it with female counterparts.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

With a cohort of 848 male and 110,898 female patients with breast cancer identified from the National Cancer Database (2010-2014), we estimated HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for overall mortality associated with RS using Cox regression models. RS was evaluated continuously, as well as by categorization following respective traditional (≤17, 18-30, and ≥31) and TAILORx (≤10, 11-25, and ≥26) cutoffs.

RESULTS

RS was positively associated with mortality in male patients (HR = 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02-1.26 per unit RS increment) up to RS > 21, after which the risk plateaued. Among female patients, mortality began to increase with RS only when RS > 23 (HR = 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.02 per unit of RS increment). The intermediate- (HR = 5.37; 95% CI, 1.79-16.11) and high-risk diseases (HR = 4.28; 95% CI, 1.22-14.97) defined by TAILORx, but not traditional cutoffs established for female patients, were associated with elevated mortality risk in men even after adjustment for demographic, clinical characteristics, and treatments, except chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

RS is associated with mortality in male patients with breast cancer at a much lower threshold than that for female patients. Studies are needed to establish specific guidelines for RS thresholds for male patients with breast cancer.

Nodal positivity decreases with age in women with early-stage, hormone receptor-positive breast cancer

BACKGROUND

Despite data demonstrating the safety of omitting axillary surgery in older women with early-stage breast cancer, the incidence of axillary surgery remains high. It was hypothesized that the prevalence of nodal positivity would decrease with advancing age.

METHODS

The National Cancer Data Base was used to construct a cohort of adult women with early-stage, clinically node-negative, estrogen receptor-positive (ER+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast cancer treated between 2013 and 2015. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between age and nodal positivity, and this was stratified by the axillary surgery category. Modified Poisson regression was used to estimate the proportion of women receiving adjuvant therapy according to age and nodal status.

RESULTS

The incidence of axillary surgery among women aged 70 and older (n = 51,917) remained high nationwide (86%). There was a significant decrease in nodal positivity with advancing age in women with early-stage, ER+, clinically node-negative breast cancer from the youngest cohort up to patients aged 70 to 89 years, and this was independent of histologic subtype (ductal vs lobular), race, comorbidities, and socioeconomic factors. Overall, less than 10% of women aged 70 or older who underwent surgery had node-positive disease, regardless of axillary surgery type, and almost 95% of node-positive patients aged 70 or older were at pathological stage N1mi or N1.

CONCLUSIONS

Axillary surgery may be safely omitted for many older women with ER+, clinically node-negative, early-stage breast cancer. Nodal positivity declines with advancing age, and this suggests varied biology in older patients versus younger patients.

Ten-year clinical outcomes in N0 ER+ breast cancer patients with Recurrence Score-guided therapy

The 21-gene Recurrence Score (RS) assay is a validated prognosticator/predictor of chemotherapy (CT) benefit in early-stage estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer (BC). Long-term data from real-life clinical practice where treatment was guided by the RS result are lacking. We performed exploratory analysis of the Clalit Health Services (CHS) registry, which included all CHS patients with node-negative ER+ HER2-negative BC who underwent RS testing between 1/2006 and 12/2009 to determine 10-year Kaplan-Meier estimates for distant recurrence/BC-specific mortality (BCSM) in this cohort. The analysis included 1365 patients. Distribution of RS results: RS 0-10, 17.8%; RS 11-25, 62.5%; RS 26-100, 19.7%. Corresponding CT use: 0, 9.4, and 69.9%. Ten-year distant recurrence rates in patients with RS 0-10, 11-25, and 26-100: 2.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-6.2%), 6.1% (95% CI, 4.4-8.6%), and 13.1% (95% CI, 9.4-18.3%), respectively (P < 0.001); corresponding BCSM rates: 0.7% (95% CI 0.1-5.1%), 2.2% (95% CI, 1.3-3.7%), and 9.5% (95% CI, 6.0-14.9%) (P < 0.001). When the analysis included patients treated with endocrine therapy alone (95.5/87.5% of patients with RS 0-10/11-25), 10-year distant recurrence and BCSM rates for RS 0-10 patients were 2.7% (95% CI, 1.1-6.5%) and 0.8% (95% CI, 0.1-5.3%), respectively, and for RS 11-25 patients, 5.7% (95% CI, 3.9-8.3%) and 2.0% (95% CI, 1.1-3.7%), respectively. For RS 11-25 patients, no statistically significant differences were observed in 10-year distant recurrence/BCSM rates between CT-treated and untreated patients; however, this should be interpreted cautiously since the number of events was low and patients were not randomized. In conclusion, in node-negative ER+ HER2-negative BC patients, where treatment decisions in real-life clinical practice incorporated the RS, patients with RS 0-25 (~80% of patients, <10% CT use) had excellent outcomes at 10 years. Patients with RS 26-100 had high distant recurrence risk despite CT use and are candidates for new treatment approaches.

Adjuvant chemotherapy and survival among patients 70 years of age and younger with node-negative breast cancer and the 21-gene recurrence score of 26-30

Background

The benefits of chemotherapy in node-negative, hormone receptor-positive, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative breast cancer patients with the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) of 18–30, particularly those with RS 26–30, are not known.

Methods

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data, we retrospectively identified 29,137 breast cancer patients with the 21-gene RS of 18–30 diagnosed between 2004 and 2015. Mortality risks according to the RS and chemotherapy use were compared by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox’s proportional hazards model.

Results

Among the breast cancer patients with the RS 18–30, 21% of them had RS 26–30. Compared to breast cancer patients with RS 18–25, patients with RS 26–30 had more aggressive tumor characteristics and chemotherapy use and increased risk of breast cancer-specific mortality and overall mortality. In breast cancer patients who were aged ≤ 70 years and had RS of 26–30, chemotherapy administration was associated with a 32% lower risk of breast cancer-specific mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.47–0.99) and a 42% lower risk of overall mortality (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.44–0.76). Survival benefits were most pronounced in breast cancer patients who were younger or had grade III tumor.

Conclusions

The 21-gene RS of 18–30 showed heterogeneous outcomes, and the RS 26–30 was a significant prognostic factor for an increased risk of mortality. Adjuvant chemotherapy could improve the survival of node-negative, hormone receptor-positive, and HER2-negative breast cancer patients with the 21-gene RS 26–30 and should be considered for patients, especially younger patients or patients with high-grade tumors.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13058-019-1190-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Practice Changing Potential of TAILORx: A Retrospective Review of the National Cancer Data Base from 2010 to 2015

BACKGROUND

Uncertainty regarding chemotherapy benefit among breast cancer patients with intermediate Oncotype Dx^® recurrence scores (RS; 11-25) led to the TAILORx study. We evaluated chemotherapy use in patients with intermediate RS to determine practice change potential based on the TAILORx results.

METHODS

National Cancer Data Base patients with hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative, N0 breast cancer were identified and were divided into three groups: Group A, ≤ 50 years of age (RS 11-15); Group B, ≤ 50 years of age (RS 16-25); and Group C, > 50 years of age (RS 11-25). Demographic and clinical factors were compared using Chi square tests and Poisson regression models to determine predictors of chemotherapy receipt.

RESULTS

Overall, 37,087 patients met the inclusion criteria, with 6.3% in Group A and 11.7% in Group C having received chemotherapy that may have been avoided based on TAILORx. The majority of Group B (64.7%) did not receive chemotherapy, whereas TAILORx showed potential benefit from treatment. Chemotherapy use decreased over time for all intermediate RS patients. T2 tumors, high grade, and treatment before 2012 increased the likelihood of chemotherapy receipt among both groups. Younger patients with the lower intermediate RS (Group A) were more likely to receive chemotherapy if they had treatment at community or comprehensive centers, whereas moderate grade was also a significant factor to receive chemotherapy in Group B. Significant factors in older patients (Group C) were Black race, estrogen receptor-positive/progesterone receptor-negative, and moderate/high grade.

CONCLUSIONS

The most potential impact of TAILORx findings on practice change is for patients ≤ 50 years of age with RS of 16-25 who did not receive chemotherapy but may benefit. These findings may serve as a baseline for future analysis of practice patterns related to TAILORx.