Gastric cancer incidence trends in China and Japan from 1990 to 2019: Disentangling age-period-cohort patterns

Clinicopathologic factors correlated with lymph node metastasis in gastric cancer: a retrospective cohort study involving 5606 patients

BACKGROUND

The identification of risk factors associated with lymph node metastasis (LNM) in gastric cancer will establish a crucial foundation for the implementation of endoscopic operation and multidisciplinary treatment programs.

METHODS

A total of 5606 patients with gastric cancer with comprehensive clinicopathologic data were enrolled through systematic searching and rigorous screening. Of the 5606 patients, 1438 were diagnosed with early gastric cancer (EGC), which would be used for further analysis. Subsequently, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the risk factors.

RESULTS

The rates of LNM in T1a, T1b, T2, T3, T4a, and T4b stage gastric cancer were 7.0%, 19.4%, 48.4%, 77.1%, 83.8%, and 89.6%, respectively. Female (odds ratio [OR], 1.559; P = .032), lower tumor location (OR, 1.773; P = .023), tumor size of >2 cm (OR, 2.007; P < .001), mixed (OR, 2.371; P = .001) and undifferentiated histologic types (OR, 2.952; P < .001), T1b stage (OR, 2.041; P < .001), presence of ulceration (OR, 1.758; P = .027), and lymphovascular invasion (OR, 5.722; P < .001) were identified as independent risk factors for LNM in EGC. A nomogram was constructed using appropriate predictors to preoperatively predict the risk of LNM in patients with EGC.

CONCLUSION

This study identified the clinicopathologic factors associated with LNM in patients with EGC and developed a prediction model, thereby facilitating the integration of diverse treatment modalities in managing patients with EGC.

Different trends of gastric cancer in China, Japan, Republic of Korea and United States of America

Gastric cancer exerts a significant healthcare burden worldwide and is highly geographically heterogeneous. This study investigates the burden of gastric cancer in China from 1990 to 2019 and compares it with Japan, South Korea, and the United States. The results indicated a declining trend in ASIR and ASDR in four countries. However, the incidence and death rates in China remain disproportionately high. Significant gender disparities exist in the incidence and death rates, with males experiencing significantly higher rates than females. Incidence and death rates were found to increase with age in all studied countries. In China, a transient upward trend was observed in the period effect, whereas the cohort effect has been declining. In contrast, the remaining countries showed decreasing patterns in both period and cohort effects. The burden of disease remains high in China, therefore, broaden the scope of gastroscopy screening and concentrate on high-risk groups is vital.

Trends of gastric cancer burdens attributable to risk factors in China from 2000 to 2050

Background

The incidence of gastric cancer (GC) decreased in past decades, which was thought largely attributable to risk factors control, yet China still accounts for 44% of global GC burdens. We aimed to estimate changing trajectories of proportions of GC burdens attributable to modifiable risk factors from 2000 to 2050 in China, to inform future targeted preventive strategies.

Methods

The incidence and new cases of GC were predicted to 2050 using Bayesian age-period-cohort model based on incidence data by anatomical subsites drawn from 682 cancer registries from National Central Cancer Registry. Population attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated based on prevalence of risk factors and relative risks with GC. Temporal trends of PAFs were described by sex and categories of risk factors using joinpoint analysis.

Findings

We observed declining trends of PAFs of Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection, smoking, pickled vegetable and alcohol consumption, but increasing trends of PAFs of unhealthy body mass index and diabetes for GC in China. The combined PAFs of these risk factors were estimated to decrease by 10.57% from 2000 to 2050 for GC. We estimated there will be 279,707 GC (122,796 cardia gastric cancer [CGC] and 156,911 non-cardia gastric cancer [NCGC]) cases in 2050. Out of these cases, 70.18% of GC cases could be attributable to modifiable risk factors, while H. pylori infection was predicted to be responsible for 40.7% of CGC and 62.1% of NCGC cases in 2050.

Interpretation

More than half of GC remained attributable to modifiable risk factors in China. Continued effective strategies on risk factors control are needed to reduce the burden of this highly life-threatening cancer in future.

Funding

Beijing Nova Program (No. Z201100006820069), CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS, grant No. 2021-I2M-1-023), CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS, grant No. 2021-I2M-1-010), Talent Incentive Program of Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (Hope Star).

Immunotherapy of gastric cancer: Present status and future perspectives

In this editorial, we comment on the article entitled "Advances and key focus areas in gastric cancer immunotherapy: A comprehensive scientometric and clinical trial review (1999-2023)," which was published in the recent issue of the World Journal of Gastroenterology. We focused on the results of the authors' bibliometric analysis concerning gastric cancer immunotherapy, which they analyzed in depth by compiling the relevant publications of the last 20 years. Before that, we briefly describe the most recent data concerning the epidemiological parameters of gastric cancer (GC) in different countries, attempting to give an interpretation based on the etiological factors involved in the etiopathogenesis of the neoplasm. We then briefly discuss the conservative treatment (chemotherapy) of the various forms of this malignant neoplasm. We describe the treatment of resectable tumors, locally advanced neoplasms, and unresectable (advanced) cases. Special attention is given to modern therapeutic approaches with emphasis on immunotherapy, which seems to be the future of GC treatment, especially in combination with chemotherapy. There is also a thorough analysis of the results of the study under review in terms of the number of scientific publications, the countries in which the studies were conducted, the authors, and the scientific centers of origin, as well as the clinical studies in progress. Finally, an attempt is made to draw some con-clusions and to point out possible future directions.

Disease burden of COPD attributable to PM2.5 in China, Japan and South Korea from 1990 to 2019: a comparative study based on Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

OBJECTIVE

We hope to reveal the changing trends of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) burden attributable to particulate matter pollution (PM2.5) and its age, period and cohort effects in China, Japan and Korea.

DESIGN

We analysed the trend of COPD disease burden attributable to PM2.5 from 1990 to 2019 based on the latest Global Burden of Disease Database (GBD 2019) using JoinPoint model and analysed the effect of age, period and cohort on COPD burden attributable to PM2.5 in China, Japan and Korea from 1990 to 2019 using age-period-cohort model (model).

SETTING

GBD data from 1990 to 2019.

PARTICIPANTS

Data were publicly available and individuals were not involved.

MAIN OUTCOMES

Outcomes included the age standardised mortality rate (ASMR), the age-standardised disability-adjusted life year (DALY), average annual per cent change (AAPC), net drift, local drift, longitudinal age curves, period (cohort) rate ratios, age (period, cohort) bias coefficient.

RESULTS

From 1990 to 2019, the ASMR of COPD attributable to PM2.5 in China (AAPC=-5.862), Japan (AAPC=-1.715) and Korea (AAPC=-1.831) showed a downward trend. The age-standardised DALY of COPD attributable to PM2.5 in China (AAPC=-5.821), Japan (AAPC=-1.39) and Korea (AAPC=-1.239) showed a downward trend. Mortality of COPD attributable to PM2.5 increased slowly with age in Korea and Japan. Mortality of COPD attributable to PM2.5 in China decreased after rising (95% CI: 404.66 to 466.01). Mortality of COPD attributable to PM2.5 decreased over time in China and Korea, while it increased in Japan from 2015 to 2019. In China and Japan, mortality of COPD attributable to PM2.5 was approximately lower the later the birth, while in Korea it decreased after an increase (95% CI: 2.13 to 2.40) in the 1900-1910.

CONCLUSIONS

Most COPD burden attributable to PM2.5 is on the decline; COPD mortality attributable to PM2.5 both increased with age and decreased with time and cohort. Countries with high burden should develop targeted measures to control PM2.5.

Correlation of mir-221-3p differential expression with clinical characteristics of gastric cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer (GC) is one of the most common digestive malignancies. Although miR-221-3p was defined as a novel biomarker in many types of cancer, the relationship between its expression differences and the clinicopathological characteristics and prognosis of GC patients was yet to be fully understood.

METHODS AND RESULTS

TCGA database was utilized to predict the potential biological function of miR-221-3p in GC. QRT-PCR and RNA FISH were performed to detect the expression levels of miR-221-3p in GC. The miR-221-3p expression levels in GC tissues and cells were significantly higher than those in paracancerous tissues (p < 0.001) and normal gastric mucosal cells (p < 0.05). Higher expression levels of miR-221-3p were associated with tumor diameter ≥ 4 cm (χ2 = 5.519, p = 0.019), cTNM stage (III + IV) (χ2 = 28.013, p = 0.000), lymph node metastasis (χ2 = 23.272, p = 0.000) and distant metastasis (χ2 = 7.930, p = 0.005). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed a better prognosis for GC patients with miR-221-3p low expression(HR = 4.520, 95% CI: 1.844-11.075).

CONCLUSIONS

miR-221-3p is highly expressed in GC tissues, which plays an important role in tumorigenesis, invasion and metastasis. miR-221-3p may become an important biomarker and potential molecular therapeutic target for patients with GC.

The Burden of Gastric Cancer Attributable to High Sodium Intake: A Longitudinal Study from 1990 to 2019 in China

BACKGROUNDS

Excessive intake of sodium is a crucial risk factor of gastric cancer. However, it is still unclear whether the profile of gastric cancer burden is attributable to high sodium intake in China. This study aims to evaluate the levels and trends of gastric cancer burden attributable to high sodium intake across China from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS

We acquired data from the GBD (Global Burden of Disease Study) 2019 via the Global Health Data Exchange query tool. The details of regions from 1 January 1990 to 31 December 2019 from the China National Center for Food Safety Risk Assessment were also used. We conducted an integrated analysis on the gastric cancer burden attributable to high sodium intake among Chinese residents. The gastric cancer-related deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR), all being calculated to be attributable to sodium intake, were reckoned as separated by age, sex, SDI, and regions. Then, the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was regarded as the secular trends of gastric cancer's ASMR and ASDR due to high sodium intake from 1990 to 2019. We further explored the associations between SDI (Socio-demographic index) and the ASMR and ASDR. The rates were calculated per 100,000 population as age-standardized rates.

RESULTS

Briefly, the number of gastric cancer-related deaths and DALYs being attributed to high sodium intake were 37,131.48 (95% UI: 833.14 to 138,478.72) and 873,813.19 (95% UI: 19,283.13 to 3,220,231.82) in 2019; both have increased by a third since 1990. However, the ASMR decreased with an EAPC of -1.72% (95% CI: -2.11% to -1.33%), while ASDR increased with an EAPC of 0.36% (95% CI: 0.08% to 0.68%), respectively. The age-specific numbers and rates of deaths, as well as DALYs of gastric cancer being attributed to high sodium intake, elevated gradually with age. And, they were higher in males than in females. The gastric cancer burden being attributed to high sodium intake in 2019 and its temporal trends from 1990 to 2019 varied greatly by SDI quintile and geographic locations. There was a strong negative association between the EAPC in ASMR and SDI in 2019 (ρ = -0.642, p < 0.001). The EAPC in ASDR and SDI also exhibited a negative connection in 2019 (ρ = -0.538, p = 0.0012).

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, using a longitudinal sample from different regions, the study presented that gastric cancer burden attributed to high sodium intake still exists seriously and varies remarkably by regions, sex, and age across China. The disparity of socioeconomic status on disease burden also exists. Integrated and precise approaches for gastric cancer prevention are anticipated in the future.

Long-term trends in the burden of colorectal cancer in Europe over three decades: a joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort analysis

Background

The burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) in Europe is at a high level, but the epidemiological features have not yet been systematically studied. This study aimed to provide a timely and reliable assessment of the burden and trends of CRC in Europe to provide a scientific basis for its prevention and treatment.

Methods

We analyzed data on CRC in 44 European countries between 1990 and 2019 from the Global Burden of Disease study (GBD) 2019. In addition, the joinpoint regression model was applied to reflect temporal trends. The age-period-cohort model was constructed to explore age, period, and birth cohort effects that influence the risk of morbidity and mortality.

Results

In Europe, new cases, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and deaths of CRC rose by 70.01%, 22.88% and 38.04% from 1990 to 2019, respectively. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) has increased, while age-standardized DALY rate and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) have declined. We found that men experienced a significantly higher CRC burden than women. Age-period-cohort analysis showed that the risk of incidence and mortality increased with age and time; and it was lower in the later-born cohort than the earlier-born cohort.

Conclusion

ASIR for CRC in Europe generally trended upwards from 1990 to 2019, stabilizing in recent years but still at a high level. CRC burden varied considerably in different countries. There was a pronounced gender difference in CRC burden, and middle-aged and older men should be a priority population for CRC prevention and treatment.

Global, regional, and national burden of intestinal obstruction from 1990 to 2019: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BACKGROUND

Intestinal obstruction (IO) is a common surgical acute abdominal condition that places a significant burden on modern health systems. Unfortunately, the global burden and trends of IO remain unknown. Therefore, this study aimed to comprehensively assess its long-term trends and epidemiological features, which will help policymakers to formulate appropriate health policies.

METHODS

We conducted an ecological study using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. Data on IO were analyzed by sex, age, year, sociodemographic index (SDI), and location according to GBD 2019. In addition, joinpoint regression analysis was used to assess temporal trends. Age-period-cohort analysis (APC Analysis) was conducted to evaluate age, period, and birth cohort effects on IO incidence and mortality risk.

RESULTS

Globally, the prevalent and incident cases increased by 56.91% and 86.67% from 1990 to 2019, respectively. Joinpoint regression analysis showed that age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) increased, but age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rate decreased over the past three decades. The age effect demonstrated that older people have a higher risk of morbidity and mortality. The period effect of incidence and mortality showed an upward trend from 1990 to 2019. Cohort effect revealed that the incidence and death risk peaked in the earlier-born cohort and was lower in the more recent-born cohort. Notably, we found that the burden of IO was higher in males than in females throughout the study period. There are huge disparities in IO burden among countries.

CONCLUSION

Globally, the reported incidence and prevalence of IO increased from 1990 to 2019. The burden of IO differed markedly by age, sex, country, and region. Middle-aged and elderly people over 50 years old were at high risk. Given the ageing population, the burden of IO will be a major public health challenge. Thus, there is a strong necessity to strengthen prevention and early intervention in the at-risk population.