Incidence, prevalence, and mortality of heart failure: a nationwide registry study from 2013 to 2016

Global epidemiology of heart failure

Heart failure (HF) is a heterogeneous clinical syndrome marked by substantial morbidity and mortality. The natural history of HF is well established; however, epidemiological data are continually evolving owing to demographic shifts, advances in treatment and variations in access to health care. Although the incidence of HF has stabilized or declined in high-income countries over the past decade, its prevalence continues to increase, driven by an ageing population, an increase in risk factors, the effectiveness of novel therapies and improved survival. This rise in prevalence is increasingly noted among younger adults and is accompanied by a shift towards HF with preserved ejection fraction. However, disparities exist in our epidemiological understanding of HF burden and progression in low-income and middle-income countries owing to the lack of comprehensive data in these regions. Therefore, the current epidemiological landscape of HF highlights the need for periodic surveillance and resource allocation tailored to geographically vulnerable areas. In this Review, we highlight global trends in the burden of HF, focusing on the variations across the spectrum of left ventricular ejection fraction. We also discuss evolving population-based estimates of HF incidence and prevalence, the risk factors for and aetiologies of this disease, and outcomes in different geographical regions and populations.

Characteristics and outcome of hospitalized patients with heart failure stratified for chronic kidney disease

AIMS

Heart failure (HF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) place significant challenges on the healthcare system, and their co-existence is associated with shared adverse outcomes. The multinational CaReMe project was initiated to provide contemporary, real-world epidemiological data on cardiovascular and reno-metabolic diseases. Utilizing data from the German CaReMe cohort, we characterize a multicentric HF population and describe in-hospital outcomes stratified for co-morbid CKD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This retrospective, observational study analysed administrative data from inpatient cases hospitalized in 87 German Helios hospitals between 1 January 2016 and 31 August 2022. The first hospitalization of patients aged ≥18 years with a primary discharge diagnosis of HF, based on ICD-10 codes, were considered the index cases, and subsequent hospitalizations were considered as readmissions. Baseline characteristics and outcomes were stratified for co-morbid CKD using ICD-10-encoding from the index cases. Cox regression was utilized for readmission endpoints and in-hospital mortality. In total, 174 829 index cases (mean age 79 ± 15 years, 49.9% female) were included; of these, 55.0% had coexisting CKD. Patients with CKD were older, suffered from worse HF-related symptoms, had a higher co-morbidity burden, and in-hospital mortality was increased at index and during follow-up. Prevalent CKD was associated with higher rehospitalization rates and was an independent predictor for in-hospital death.

CONCLUSIONS

Within this HF inpatient cohort from a multicentric German database, CKD was diagnosed in more than half of the patients and was associated with increased in-hospital mortality at baseline and during follow-up. Rehospitalizations were observed earlier and more frequently in patients with HF and co-morbid CKD.

Differences in presentation, diagnosis and management of heart failure in women. A scientific statement of the Heart Failure Association of the ESC

Despite the progress in the care of individuals with heart failure (HF), important sex disparities in knowledge and management remain, covering all the aspects of the syndrome, from aetiology and pathophysiology to treatment. Important distinctions in phenotypic presentation are widely known, but the mechanisms behind these differences are only partially defined. The impact of sex-specific conditions in the predisposition to HF has gained progressive interest in the HF community. Under-recruitment of women in large randomized clinical trials has continued in the more recent studies despite epidemiological data no longer reporting any substantial difference in the lifetime risk and prognosis between sexes. Target dose of medications and criteria for device eligibility are derived from studies with a large predominance of men, whereas specific information in women is lacking. The present scientific statement encompasses the whole scenario of available evidence on sex-disparities in HF and aims to define the most challenging and urgent residual gaps in the evidence for the scientific and clinical HF communities.

Characteristics of the phenotypes in prevalent and incident cases of heart failure in primary care: IBERICAN study

BACKGROUND

The management in primary care (PC) of the patients with Heart Failure (HF) is different from the management hospital, in a special way compared to cardiology departments.

OBJECTIVE

To define the characteristics in both phenotypes of HF in prevalent and incident cases of HF in patients recruited in a large PC sample.

METHODS

We proposed a and longitudinal analyses, in patients of the IBERICAN cohort, that recruited 8,066 patients in the Spanish primary care system, with 15,488 patients-years of follow-up. Of them, 252 patients (3.1%) had diagnoses of HF. HF was classified according to the 2014 guidelines in two groups: HF with a reduced eject fraction or HFrEF (LVEF < 50%) and HF with preserved eject fraction or HFpEF (LVEF ≥ 50%). Recommended treatment was defined as the patient receiving drug treatment with Renin-Angiotensin-System (RAS) blockers with beta-blockers and, optionally, spironolactone. The incidence of new cases of HF was calculated in the 7,814 patients without HF in the inclusion visit. Finally, we analysed which variables associated the onset new cases and get the hazard ratio (HR) with the confidence interval at 95% ([95%CI]). Clinical trials register: NCT02261441 (02/05/2017).

RESULTS

The HFpEF was the most frequent phenotype in prevalent cases (61.1%) and incident cases (73.9%). Patients with HFrEF had a higher prevalence of coronary heart disease (p = 0.008) and PAD (p = 0.028), and no statistically significant differences was observed in the therapeutic groups used between both groups. The incidence of HF was 12.8 cases/1000 inhabitants/year, 35.6% of them was diagnosed in PC. The renin-angiotensin system blockers were more used in PC (60%) and beta-blockers (100%) and spironolactone (60%) in hospital. The female sex showed a protective effect for incident cases (0.51 [0.28-0.92]); and AF (HR [95%CI]: 2.90 [1.51-5.54]), coronary heart disease (HR [95%CI]: 2.18 [1.19-4.00]) and hypertension (HR [95%CI]: 1.91 [1.00-3.64]) increased the risk of developing HF.

CONCLUSIONS

HF phenotype more frequent and incident in PC was the HFpEF, but only one third of them are diagnosed in PC level. The female sex showed a protective effect and atrial fibrillation, ischaemic heart disease and hypertension increased the risk of develop HF.

Upregulated dual oxidase 1-induced oxidative stress and caspase-1-dependent pyroptosis reflect the etiologies of heart failure

BACKGROUND

Oxidative stress is implicated in the pathogenesis of heart failure. Dual oxidase 1 (DUOX1) might be important in heart failure development through its mediating role in oxidative stress. This study was designed to evaluate the potential role of DUOX1 in heart failure.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

AC16 cells were treated with 2 µmol/L of doxorubicin (DOX) for 12, 24, and 48 h to construct a heart failure model. DUOX1 overexpression and silencing in AC16 cell were established. DUOX1 expression was detected by Quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) and western blot. Pyroptosis and reactive oxygen species (ROS) production were measured by flow cytometry.

RESULTS

Increased DUOX1 expression levels were observed after DOX treatment for 24 h in AC16 cells. DUOX1 silencing inhibited DOX-induced pyroptosis and ROS production. The release of IL-1β, IL-18, and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and expression levels of pyroptosis-related proteins were also decreased. DUOX1 overexpression increased pyroptosis, ROS production, IL-1β, IL-18, and LDH release, and pyroptosis-related protein expression. N-acetyl-cysteine (NAC) significantly reversed DUOX1-induced pyroptosis, ROS, and related factors.

CONCLUSION

These results suggest that DUOX1-derived genotoxicity could promote heart failure development. In the process, oxidative stress and pyroptosis may be involved in the regulation of DUOX1 in heart failure.

Factors affecting hospitalization and mortality in a retrospective study of elderly patients with heart failure

BACKGROUND

Heart failure (HF) has a high prevalence in an elderly population and leads to a substantial hospitalization and mortality. The objective of this study was to investigate factors that affect hospitalization and mortality in an elderly population.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study was conducted of HF patients aged 76-95 years residing in Region Halland, Sweden. Between 2013 and 2019, a total of 3134 patients received a novel diagnosis of HF and were subsequently monitored for one year using data from a healthcare database. The patients were categorized into HF-phenotypes according to ejection fraction (EF) and those with HF diagnose solely based on clinical criteria with no defined EF. Cox regression analysis for hospital admissions and mortality was evaluated adjusted for pharmacotherapies, healthcare utilization and clinical characteristics.

RESULTS

Echocardiogram was performed in 56% of the patients and 51% were treated with recommended HF pharmacotherapy with betablockers combined with renin-angiotensin-aldosterone-system inhibition. The average number of inpatient days was 10.7 while the average number of visits to primary care physician was 5.4 and 8.7 to primary care nurse respectively. A Cox regression analysis for hospital admissions and mortality revealed that an eGFR < 30 ml/min was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.88 (confidence interval [CI] 1.56-2.28), elevated NT-proBNP with an HR of 2.09 (CI 1.59-2.76), diabetes with an HR of 1.31 (CI 1.13-1.52), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease with an HR of 1.51 (CI 1.29-1.77). Having a primary care physician visit was associated to an HR of 0.16 (CI 0.14-0.19), and the use of recommended heart failure pharmacotherapy was associated with an HR of 0.52 (CI 0.44-0.61).

CONCLUSIONS

In a Swedish elderly population with HF, factors such as advancing age, kidney dysfunction, elevated NT-proBNP levels, diabetes, and COPD were associated with an increased risk of both mortality and hospitalization. Conversely, patients who received recommended heart failure treatment and made regular visits to their primary care physician were associated with a decreased risk. This indicates that elderly patients with HF benefit from recommended HF treatment and highlights that follow-ups in primary care could be advantageous.

Artificial intelligence-based identification of left ventricular systolic dysfunction from 12-lead electrocardiograms: external validation and advanced application of an existing model

Aims

The diagnostic application of artificial intelligence (AI)-based models to detect cardiovascular diseases from electrocardiograms (ECGs) evolves, and promising results were reported. However, external validation is not available for all published algorithms. The aim of this study was to validate an existing algorithm for the detection of left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) from 12-lead ECGs.

Methods and results

Patients with digitalized data pairs of 12-lead ECGs and echocardiography (at intervals of ≤7 days) were retrospectively selected from the Heart Center Leipzig ECG and electronic medical records databases. A previously developed AI-based model was applied to ECGs and calculated probabilities for LVSD. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was computed overall and in cohorts stratified for baseline and ECG characteristics. Repeated echocardiography studies recorded ≥3 months after index diagnostics were used for follow-up (FU) analysis. At baseline, 42 291 ECG-echocardiography pairs were analysed, and AUROC for LVSD detection was 0.88. Sensitivity and specificity were 82% and 77% for the optimal LVSD probability cut-off based on Youden's J. AUROCs were lower in ECG subgroups with tachycardia, atrial fibrillation, and wide QRS complexes. In patients without LVSD at baseline and available FU, model-generated high probability for LVSD was associated with a four-fold increased risk of developing LVSD during FU.

Conclusion

We provide the external validation of an existing AI-based ECG-analysing model for the detection of LVSD with robust performance metrics. The association of false positive LVSD screenings at baseline with a deterioration of ventricular function during FU deserves a further evaluation in prospective trials.

Effects of an explain-simulate-practice-communicate-support intervention on quality of life for patients with chronic heart failure: A randomized control trial

Background

Patients with New York Heart Association (NYHA) grade III chronic heart failure (CHF) present with low capacity for daily activities, severe self-perceived burden, and poor quality of life. Effective nursing interventions may reduce patients' self-perceived burden and improve their quality of life.

Objectives

To explore the effects of an explain-simulate-practice-communicate-support intervention on the self-perceived burden, cardiac function, and activities of daily living (ADL) ability in patients with New York Heart Association grade III chronic heart failure.

Methods

Of the 100 patients with New York Heart Association grade III chronic heart failure who were electronically randomized and equally divided into control and intervention groups, data from 88 patients who completed our study were analyzed. The primary outcome was quality of life; secondary outcomes were self-perceived burden, 6-min walking test distances, serum N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide levels, New York Heart Association cardiac function classification, and ability to perform activities of daily living.

Results

After 12 weeks' intervention, the intervention group had significantly lower self-perceived burden, Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Questionnaire scores, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide levels, and New York Heart Association grades compared with the control group, while 6-min walking test distances, left ventricular ejection fraction, and modified Barthel Index scale scores were significantly higher than those in the control group (P > 0.05).

Conclusions

The explain-simulate-practice-communicate-support intervention improved patients' quality of life through reducing the level of self-perceived burden, and improving cardiac function and activities of daily living ability. This intervention was found to be effective for patients with New York Heart Association grade III chronic heart failure.

The characteristic large-scale annual analysis by gender and age in heart failure patients: cohort for 10 years in Korea

AIMS

The prevalence and incidence rate of heart failure (HF) continues to increase along with the aging of the population and the increase of ischaemic heart disease. The morbidity and mortality of HF are also on the rise in the industrialized countries; it can be a great public health problem. A detailed and accurate analysis of the demographical incidence and prevalence of HF is an important first step in predicting the occurrence of the disease in the future and proper preparing for prevention. Here, we aimed to analyse the annual prevalence and incidence of HF by gender and age using long-term national health insurance service data in the Republic of Korea.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 47 243 patients newly diagnosed with HF between 2006 and 2015 among nationally representative random subjects of 1 000 000 were included. The data of age and gender were analysed by year, and the total population information of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport of Korea was referred to compare the data of HF patients with the total population (2008-15). Over the decade from 2006 to 2015, the prevalence of HF patients showed tendency of increase (P < 0.001). The overall incidence rate was also gradually increasing (P < 0.001), but in women, it tended to decrease gradually. Women significantly accounted higher than the male group in incidence of HF over the period (54.6% vs. 45.4%, P < 0.001). The mean age at the time of diagnosis gradually increased (P = 0.002 for total, P = 0.001 for each gender). Total incidence was highest in 70s (27.22%), but males were the most in their 60s and females were in their 70s. Analysis of annual trend by age and gender distribution of HF incidence in men presented highest in the 50s-70s with a similar pattern annually, and the incidence is increasing more recently. Different from that of men, in the case of women, the incidence gradually increased with age in a similar annual pattern, peaking in their 70s and gradually decreasing in recent years.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence and incidence of HF are gradually increasing. It increased rapidly in their 50s and older. It showed an increased incidence of HF especially in men between their 50s and 70s, and more observation and caution for the management of the risk factors may be needed to prevent HF in the male group.

Incidence of 12 common cardiovascular diseases and subsequent mortality risk in the general population

BACKGROUND

Incident events of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are heterogenous and may result in different mortality risks. Such evidence may help inform patient and physician decisions in CVD prevention and risk factor management.

AIMS

This study aimed to determine the extent to which incident events of common CVD show heterogeneous associations with subsequent mortality risk in the general population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Based on England-wide linked electronic health records, we established a cohort of 1 310 518 people ≥30 years of age initially free of CVD and followed up for non-fatal events of 12 common CVD and cause-specific mortality. The 12 CVDs were considered as time-varying exposures in Cox's proportional hazards models to estimate hazard rate ratios (HRRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Over the median follow-up of 4.2 years (2010-16), 81 516 non-fatal CVD, 10 906 cardiovascular deaths, and 40 843 non-cardiovascular deaths occurred. All 12 CVDs were associated with increased risk of cardiovascular mortality, with HRR (95% CI) ranging from 1.67 (1.47-1.89) for stable angina to 7.85 (6.62-9.31) for haemorrhagic stroke. All 12 CVDs were also associated with increased non-cardiovascular and all-cause mortality risk but to a lesser extent: HRR (95% CI) ranged from 1.10 (1.00-1.22) to 4.55 (4.03-5.13) and from 1.24 (1.13-1.35) to 4.92 (4.44-5.46) for transient ischaemic attack and sudden cardiac arrest, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Incident events of 12 common CVD show significant adverse and markedly differential associations with subsequent cardiovascular, non-cardiovascular, and all-cause mortality risk in the general population.

Predictors, Prevalence, and Clinical Outcomes of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrests in Croatia: A Nationwide Study

BACKGROUND

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) remains a pivotal health challenge globally. In Croatia, there has been a knowledge gap regarding the prevalence, predictors, and outcomes of OHCA patients. This study aims to determine the prevalence, prediction, and outcomes of OHCA patients in Croatia.

METHODS

An extensive one-year analysis was performed on all OHCA treated by the Emergency Medical Service in Croatia, based on the Utstein recommendations. Data were extracted from Croatian Institute of Emergency Medicine databases, focusing on adult individuals who experienced sudden cardiac arrest in out-of-hospital settings in Croatia.

RESULTS

From 7773 OHCA cases, 9.5% achieved spontaneous circulation pre-hospital. Optimal outcomes corresponded to EMS intervention within ≤13 min post-arrest onset AUC = 0.577 (95% CI: 0.56-0.59; p < 0.001) and female gender OR = 1.81 (95% CI: 1.49-2.19; p < 0.001). Northern Croatia witnessed lower success rates relative to the capital city Zagreb OR = 0.68 (95% CI: 0.50-0.93; p = 0.015).

CONCLUSIONS

Early intervention by EMS, specifically within a 13-min period following the onset of a cardiac arrest, significantly enhances the probability of achieving successful OHCA outcomes. Gender differences and specific initial heart rhythms further influenced the likelihood of successful outcomes. Regional disparities, with reduced success rates in northern Croatia compared to the City of Zagreb, were evident.

A biphasic effect of age on CPAP adherence: a cross-sectional study of 26,343 patients

BACKGROUND

As the prevalence of OSA increases in older patients, the proportion of elderly patients treated with CPAP is expected to become even higher. We studied CPAP-adherence in a real-life cohort involving a large population of elderly patients with OSA.

METHODS

eQUALISAS is a cross-sectional study of CPAP treated OSA patients for at least 4 months who received remote monitoring during 2021. CPAP adherence, device-reported residual AHI (AHICPAP) and 95th percentile non-intentional leaks were software collected during January 2021. Age and sex were also collected.

RESULTS

Data from 26,343 patients including 1656 patients aged [80-85] years and 639 patients aged ≥ 85 years were analysed. Median CPAP adherence increases from 6.3 h (< 50 years) to 7 h (75-80 years) and decreases after this age (p < 0.001). The decrease in CPAP adherence observed after the age of 80 was associated with an increase in the proportion of patients with a CPAP-adherence < 4 h/day (p < 0.001). Proportion of CPAP treated female, patients having AHICPAP mean ≥ 10 events per hour or 95th percentile non-intentional leaks mean over 24 l/min increase with aging of the population. However, for patients over 80 years old, Chi square test showed no association of adherence with gender, AHICPAP and leaks (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates that adherence gradually increases with age until 80 years. The proportion of non-adherent patients grows with age after 80 years old. No significative relationship was found between adherence after 80 years old and gender, leaks and AHICPAP.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The study is registered on Health Data Hub platform (No. F20220715144543).

Guideline-based audit of the hospital management of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

BACKGROUND

Heart failure is a major burden in Australia in terms of morbidity, mortality and healthcare expenditure. Multiple evidence-based therapies are recommended for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), but data on physician adherence to therapy guidelines are limited.

AIM

To compare use of HFrEF therapies against current evidence-based guidelines in an Australian hospital inpatient population.

METHODS

A retrospective review of patients admitted with a principal diagnosis of HFrEF across six metropolitan hospitals in Sydney, Australia, between January 2015 and June 2016. Use of medical and device therapies was compared with guideline recommendations using individual patient indications/contraindications. Readmission and mortality data were collected for a 1-year period following the admission.

RESULTS

Of the 1028 HFrEF patients identified, 39 were being managed with palliative intent, leaving 989 patients for the primary analysis. Use of beta-blockers (87.7% actual use/93.6% recommended use) and diuretics (88.4%/99.3%) was high among eligible patients. There were large evidence-practice gaps for angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin II receptor blockers (ACEI/ARB; 66.4%/89.0%) and aldosterone antagonists (41.0%/77.1%). In absolute terms, use of these therapies each increased by over 11% from admission. Ivabradine (11.5%/21.2%), automated internal cardiac defibrillators (29.5%/66.1%) and cardiac resynchronisation therapy (13.1%/28.7%) were used in a minority of eligible patients. Over the 1-year follow-up period, the mortality rate was 14.8%, and 44.2% of patients were readmitted to hospital at least once.

CONCLUSION

Hospitalisation is a key mechanism for initiation of HFrEF therapies. The large evidence-practice gaps for ACEI/ARB and aldosterone antagonists represent potential avenues for improved HFrEF management.

Experiences of Heart Failure and the Treatment Journey: A Mixed-Methods Study Among Patients with Heart Failure in Sweden

Purpose

Qualitative studies that highlight the patient perspective of heart failure (HF) and its impact on the lives of patients are limited. Our study objective was to describe the patient's perspective on HF, including the diagnosis, treatment journey and healthcare interactions, and how HF impacts patients' lives and specifically their health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and work capacity.

Patients and Methods

This cross-sectional, non-interventional, mixed-methods patient experience study comprised: (i) a quantitative online survey with study-specific questions and assessments of HRQoL and work impairment among 101 patients with HF in Sweden and (ii) 35 qualitative interviews to gain in-depth understanding of the patients' experiences.

Results

Patients were found to experience a highly symptomatic and detrimental impact of HF on their HRQoL and work capacity. Fatigue was the most frequently reported symptom, and it was detrimental to all areas of patients' lives limiting them mentally, socially, and physically. Two-thirds of patients were not aware of the type of HF they had, one-third did not check their body weight regularly, and around half did not increase their physical exercise as recommended by both guidelines and healthcare practitioners. Patients preferred specialist to primary care, desired greater access to healthcare, and continuity in whom they interact with in primary care.

Conclusion

Patients with HF experience a highly symptomatic burden that affects them physically, mentally, and socially. Our study highlights a major gap in patients' knowledge about HF and HF-related healthcare. These results demonstrate a challenge for the Swedish healthcare system particularly as regards providing patients with continuity, accessibility, and proximity to primary care.

Clinical characteristics at hospital discharge that predict cardiovascular readmission within 100 days in heart failure patients - An observational study

Background

After a heart failure (HF) hospital discharge, the risk of a cardiovascular (CV) related event is highest in the following 100 days. It is important to identify factors associated with increased risk of readmission.

Method

This retrospective, population-based study examined HF patients in Region Halland (RH), Sweden, hospitalized with a HF diagnosis between 2017 and 2019. Data regarding patient clinical characteristics were retrieved from the Regional healthcare Information Platform from admission until 100 days post-discharge. Primary outcome was readmission due to a CV related event within 100 days.

Results

There were 5029 included patients being admitted for HF and discharged and 1966 (39%) were newly diagnosed. Echocardiography was available for 3034 (60%) patients and 1644 (33%) had their first echocardiography while admitted. The distribution of HF-phenotypes was 33% HF with reduced ejection fraction (EF), 29% HF with mildly reduced EF and 38% HF with preserved EF. Within 100 days, 1586 (33%) patients were readmitted, and 614 (12%) died. A Cox regression model showed that advanced age, longer hospital length of stay, renal impairment, high heart rate and elevated NT-proBNP were associated with an increased risk of readmission regardless of HF-phenotype. Women and increased blood pressure are associated with a reduced risk of readmission.

Conclusions

One third had a CV-readmission within 100 days. This study found clinical factors already present at discharge that are associated with increased risk of readmission which should be considered at discharge.

Global burden of heart failure: a comprehensive and updated review of epidemiology

Heart Failure (HF) is a multi-faceted and life-threatening syndrome characterized by significant morbidity and mortality, poor functional capacity and quality of life, and high costs. HF affects more than 64 million people worldwide. Therefore, attempts to decrease its social and economic burden have become a major global public health priority. While the incidence of HF has stabilized and seems to be declining in industrialized countries, the prevalence is increasing due to the ageing of the population, improved treatment of and survival with ischaemic heart disease, and the availability of effective evidence-based therapies prolonging life in patients with HF. There are geographical variations in HF epidemiology. There is substantial lack of data from developing countries, where HF exhibits different features compared with that observed in the Western world. In this review, we provide a contemporary overview on the global burden of HF, providing updated estimates on prevalence, incidence, outcomes, and costs worldwide.

Clinical characteristics and mortality of patients with heart failure in Southern Sweden from 2013 to 2019: a population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To describe clinical characteristics and prognosis related to heart failure (HF) phenotypes in a community-based population by applying a novel algorithm to obtain ejection fractions (EF) from electronic medical records.

DESIGN

Retrospective population-based cohort study.

SETTING

Data were collected for all patients with HF in Southwest Sweden. The region consists of three acute care hospitals, 40 inpatient wards, 2 emergency departments, 30 outpatient specialty clinics and 48 primary healthcare.

PARTICIPANTS

8902 patients had an HF diagnosis based on the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision during the study period. Patients <18 years as well as patients declining to participate were excluded resulting in a study population of 8775 patients.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome measure was distribution of HF phenotypes by echocardiography. The secondary outcome measures were 1 year all-cause mortality and HR for all-cause mortality using Cox regression models.

RESULTS

Out of 8775 patients with HF, 5023 (57%) had a conclusive echocardiography distributed into HF with reduced EF (35%), HF with mildly reduced EF (27%) and HF with preserved EF (38%). A total of 43% of the cohort did not have a conclusive echocardiography, and therefore no defined phenotype (HF-NDP). One-year all-cause mortality was 42% within the HF-NDP group and 30% among those with a conclusive EF. The HR of all-cause mortality in the HF-NDP group was 1.27 (95% CI 1.17 to 1.37) when compared with the confirmed EF group. There was no significant difference in survival within the HF phenotypes.

CONCLUSIONS

This population-based study showed a distribution of HF phenotypes that varies from those in selected HF registries, with fewer patients with HF with reduced EF and more patients with HF with preserved EF. Furthermore, 1-year all-cause mortality was significantly higher among patients with HF who had not undergone a conclusive echocardiography at diagnosis, highlighting the importance of correct diagnostic procedure to improve treatment strategies and outcomes.

A survey-based triage tool to identify patients potentially eligible for referral to an advanced heart failure centre

AIMS

Accurate prevalence data for ambulatory advanced heart failure (HF) in European countries remains limited. This study was designed to identify the population of patients potentially eligible for referral for assessment for advanced surgical HF therapies to a National advanced HF and cardiac transplant centre.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A survey comprising 13 potential clinical markers of advanced HF was developed, modified from the 'I NEED HELP' tool from the 2018 position statement of the Heart Failure Association of the European Society of Cardiology, and distributed to all HF clinic services (secondary and tertiary units) nationwide. Each HF clinic unit was asked to complete the survey on consecutive patients over a 3 month period fulfilling the following three criteria: (i) age <65 years; (ii) ejection fraction <40% and (iii) HF of >3 months duration. As a comparison, the number of actual referrals to the advanced HF clinic were also audited over a 9 month period. In all, 21 of 26 HF clinic units participated in the survey. Across the period of inclusion, 4950 all-comer HF patients were seen across all sites. Of these, 375 (7.5%) fulfilled the inclusion criteria and were surveyed (74.4% male, median age 57 years [IQR: 11 years]). In total, 246 (66%) of the surveyed patients had ≥1 potential markers for advanced HF, representing just under 5% of the total all-comer HF population seen across the same time period. Of these, 67 patients (27%) had ≥2, 48 (20%) had 3 and 40 (16%) had ≥4 potential markers. The most frequently noted markers were ≥1 HF hospitalization or unscheduled clinic review (56%), intolerance to renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors due to hypotension or renal dysfunction (29%) and intolerance to beta-blockers due to hypotension (27%). Almost one-quarter of patients reported NYHA Class III or IV symptoms. During the advanced HF clinic audit, the number of patients actually referred to the advanced HF clinic during the same time period was <5% of this potentially eligible cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

In this index prospective National survey, approximately 5% of an all-comer routine HF clinic population and two-thirds of a pre-selected HF with reduced EF under 65 years cohort were found to have at least one clinical or biochemical marker suggesting advanced or impending advanced HF. Almost one-quarter of patients in this chronic outpatient 'snapshot' population have NYHA III-IV symptoms. This simple one-page triage survey-modified from the 'I NEED HELP' tool-is useful to identify a population potentially eligible for referral to an advanced HF centre for assessment for advanced surgical therapies, thereby aiding resource and service planning.

Development of Core Educational Content for Heart Failure Patients in Transition from Hospital to Home Care: A Delphi Study

Heart failure (HF) patients should be systematically educated before discharge on how to manage with standard written materials for patient self-management. However, because of the absence of readily available written materials to reinforce their learned knowledge, patients with HF feel inadequately informed in terms of the discharge information provided to them. This study aimed to develop core content to prepare patients with HF for transition from hospital to home care. The content was validated by expert panelists using Delphi methods. Nineteen draft items based on literature review were developed. We established a consensus on four core sections, including 47 categories and 128 subcategories through the Delphi survey: (1) understanding HF (five categories and 23 subcategories), (2) HF medication (19 categories and 45 subcategories), (3) HF management (20 categories and 47 subcategories), and (4) HF diary (three categories and 13 subcategories). Each section provided easy-to-understand educational contents using cartoon images and large or bold letters for older patients with HF. The developed core HF educational contents showed high consensus between the experts, along with clinical validity. The contents can be used as an educational booklet for both planning discharge education of patients with HF and for post-discharge management when transitioning from hospital to home. Based on this study, a booklet series for HF patients was first registered at the National Library of Korea. Future research should focus on delivering the core content to patients with HF in convenient and accessible format through various media.

A nationwide registry study on heart failure in Norway from 2008 to 2018: variations in lookback period affect incidence estimates

Background

The incidence of heart failure (HF) has declined in Europe during the past two decades. However, incidence estimates from registry-based studies may vary, partly because they depend on retrospective searches to exclude previous events. The aim of this study was to assess to what extent different lookback periods (LPs) affect temporal trends in incidence, and to identify the minimal acceptable LP. Further, we wanted to estimate temporal trends in incidence and prevalence of HF in a nationwide population, using the minimal acceptable LP.

Methods

We identified all in- and out-patient contacts for HF in Norway during 2008 to 2018 from the Norwegian Patient Registry. To calculate the influence of varying LP on incident cases, we defined 2018 with 10 years of LP as a reference and calculated the relative difference by using one through 9 years of lookback. Temporal trends in incidence rates were estimated with sensitivity analyses applying varying LPs and different case definitions. Standardised incidence rates and prevalence were calculated by applying direct age- and sex-standardization to the 2013 European Standard Population.

Results

The overestimation of incident cases declined with increasing number of years included in the LP. Compared to a 10-year LP, application of 4, 6, and 8 years resulted in an overestimation of incident cases by 13.5%, 6.2% and 2.3%, respectively. Temporal trends in incidence were affected by the number of years in the LP and whether the LP was fixed or varied. Including all available data mislead to conclusions of declining incidence rates over time due to increasing LPs.

Conclusions

When taking the number of years with available data and HF mortality and morbidity into consideration, we propose that 6 years of fixed lookback is sufficient for identification of incident HF cases. HF incidence rates and prevalence increased from 2014 to 2018.

Trial registration

Retrospectively registered.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12872-022-02522-y.

Rates of Cardiovascular Disease and CKD Progression in Young Adults with CKD across Racial and Ethnic Groups

Background

Significant racial and ethnic disparities in cardiovascular (CV) and kidney function outcomes in older adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have been reported. However, little is known about the extent to which these disparities exist in patients with CKD during the foundational period of young adulthood. The objective of this study was to determine risk factors and rates of CV disease and CKD progression in young adults with CKD across racial and ethnic groups.

Methods

We studied all participants aged 21-40 years of age enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study (n=317). Baseline CV risk factors were described across racial and ethnic groups.

Results

Outcomes included CV events or death (first incidence of heart failure, myocardial infarction, and stroke or death) and CKD progression (>50% decline in eGFR from baseline or end stage kidney disease [ESKD]). Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were compared as a secondary analysis for participants identifying as Black or Hispanic with those identifying as White or another race and ethnicity. Adjusted models included age, sex, and per APOL1 high-risk allele. CV risk factors were higher in Black and Hispanic participants, including mean SBP, BMI, median UACr, and LDL. Black and Hispanic participants had higher incidence rates of HF (17.5 versus 5.1/1000 person-years), all-cause mortality (15.2 versus 7.1/1000 person-years), and CKD progression (125 versus 59/1000 person-years).

Conclusions

In conclusion, we found a higher prevalence of CV risk factors, some modifiable, in young adults with CKD who identify as Black or Hispanic. Future strategies to ameliorate the racial and ethnic inequality in health outcomes earlier in life for patients with CKD should be prioritized.

Efficacy and safety of SGLT2 inhibitors in patients with heart failure: A protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Heart failure (HF) prognosis without therapy is poor, however introduction of a range of drugs has improved it. We aimed to perform a protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis on the effects and safety of Sodium-Glucose Transporter 2 inhibitors in HF patients.

METHODS

This protocol of systematic review and meta-analysis has been drafted under the guidance of the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses protocols. This study will use the PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase, Web of Science, and Medline databases. In addition, we will also collect 4 databases of China: China National Knowledge Infrastructure, China Biomedical Literature Database, China Science Journal Database, and Wan-fang Database. The risk of bias of included studies is estimated by taking into consideration the characteristics including random sequence generation, allocation concealment, blinding of patients, blinding of outcome assessment, completeness of outcome data, selective reporting and other bias by Cochrane Collaboration's tool. All analyses were performed with Review Manager (RevMan) software, version 5.3 (Update Software Ltd, Oxford, Oxon, UK).

RESULTS

The results of this systematic review and meta-analysis will be published in a peer-reviewed journal.

CONCLUSION

Sodium-glucose transporter 2 inhibitors may improve critical outcomes in HF patients, and it is apparently safe.

OPEN SCIENCE FRAMEWORK REGISTRATION NUMBER

https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/ZKE3Y 10.17605/OSF.IO/MP5SD.

Incidence, prevalence, and mortality of heart failure: a nationwide registry study from 2013 to 2016

Aims

Large‐scaled population studies of incidence and prevalence of heart failure (HF) are needed for the development of healthcare policies and priorities. The aim of this study was to estimate the incidence, prevalence, and all‐cause mortality of HF in Norway from 2013 to 2016 on the basis of a national registry.

Methods and results

Using data from the nationwide Norwegian Prescription Database, we identified all patients ≥18 years of age in Norway with at least one drug prescription with HF during 2013–2016, defined by 10th revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD‐10) codes I50, I11, I13, or I42. The individual index date was the date of the first prescription. Patients were followed up until death or end of follow‐up (31 October 2017). Annual incidence and prevalence were estimated from 2013 to 2016, using a look‐back period starting from 1 March 2008. We calculated standardized estimates by applying direct age and sex standardization to the 2013 European standard population. All‐cause mortality from 2013 to 2016 was calculated among the prevalent HF patients. Standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was calculated by indirect standardization using general mortality in the Norwegian population as reference. We identified 54 542 unique patients (58% men) with a first‐time diagnosis of HF. The median age was 72 ±14 years, and women were older than men (median age 76 vs. 70 years, respectively). The crude (standardized) incidence of HF was 3.44/1000 (4.23/1000) person‐years in 2016 and did not increase over the 4 year period, while the prevalence increased from 2.0% (2.3%) to 2.4% (2.8%). Both incidence and prevalence were higher in men than in women and strongly associated with age. Crude mortality rates in the HF population declined from 94 to 82/1000 person‐years from 2013 to 2016, and SMR declined from 2.01 to 1.84. Age‐adjusted mortality rates were higher in men than in women.

Conclusions

This nationwide registry study in Norway showed an increase in the prevalence of HF from 2013 to 2016, with stable incidence rates and improved survival.