Observations on the blood pressure paradox in heart failure

Systolic blood pressure, a predictor of mortality and life expectancy following heart failure hospitalization, 2010-2023

BACKGROUND

Optimal systolic blood pressure (SBP) targets for the treatment of hospitalized acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) patients are not known.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association between SBP <130 mmHg at discharge or within 30 days and all-cause mortality or years of life lost (YLL) after ADHF hospitalization.

METHODS

We analyzed medical records of 14,611 adults who survived ADHF hospitalization at 17 hospitals (2010-2022) with follow-up until May 2023. Sensitivity analysis included 10,515 patients with post-discharge SBP measured within 30 days.

RESULTS

Mortality rates at 30 days, 180 days, 1 year, and 3 years were higher in patients with discharge SBP <130 mmHg (6.9 %, 21.1 %, 29.1 %, and 45.1 %) vs. SBP ≥130 mmHg (4.8 %, 16.0 %, 23.6 %, and 40.3 %). Hazard ratios (HR) for mortality were consistently higher in patients with discharge SBP <130 at 1.30 (95 % CI, 1.11-1.52), 1.45 (95 % CI, 1.33-1.58), 1.40 (95 % CI, 1.30-1.51), 1.31 (95 % CI, 1.23-1.38) at these intervals. The average YLL per deceased individual was 1-2 years greater in the discharge SBP <130 group (incidence rate ratios, 1.004 to 1.230). Restricted cubic spline analysis showed that HR for mortality shifted toward better outcomes at discharge SBP ≥130 Sensitivity analysis supported these findings.

CONCLUSION

In hospitalized ADHF patients, SBP <130 mmHg at discharge or within 30 days post-discharge was linked to higher mortality and YLL, while SBP ≥130 mmHg or improvement to ≥130 mmHg post-discharge led to better short and long-term outcomes. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms and benefits of SBP optimization.

Chapter 2: Clinical and Mechanistic Potential of Sodium-Glucose Co-Transporter 2 (SGLT2) Inhibitors in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction

Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) have emerged as an important approach for the treatment of heart failure in patients with or without diabetes. Although the precise mechanisms underpinning their clinical impact remain incompletely resolved, mechanistic studies and insights from major clinical trials have demonstrated the impact of SGLT2 inhibitors on numerous cardio-renal-metabolic pathways of relevance to heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), which, in the contemporary era, constitutes approximately half of all patients with heart failure. Despite rates of morbidity and mortality that are commensurate with those of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, disease-modifying therapies have comparatively been severely lacking. As such, HFpEF remains among the greatest unmet needs in cardiovascular medicine. Within the past decade, HFpEF has been established as a highly integrated disorder, involving not only the cardiovascular system, but also the lungs, kidneys, skeletal muscle, and adipose tissue. Given their multisystem impact, SGLT2i offer unique promise in addressing the complex pathophysiology of HFpEF, and in recent randomized controlled trials, were shown to significantly reduce heart failure events and cardiovascular death in patients with HFpEF. Herein, we discuss several proposed mechanisms of clinical benefit of SGLT2i in HFpEF.

Effect of blood pressure index on clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure and chronic kidney disease

AIMS

This study aimed to assess the effect of blood pressure (BP) index, in terms of level and variability, on the progression of cardiovascular and renal diseases in patients with both heart failure (HF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS AND RESULTS

The study involved patients with HF and CKD from the database of the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study. The study endpoint includes the following: (i) primary endpoint, including cardiovascular disease (CVD) events, renal events, and all-cause death; (ii) CVD events; (iii) renal events; and (iv) all-cause death. Among 3939 participants in the CRIC study, a total of 382 patients were included. The duration of the follow-up was 6.3 ± 2.7 years, the age was 60.2 ± 8.9 years, and 57.6% were male. BP index included 20 indicators in relation to BP level and variability, 4 of which were analysed including baseline systolic BP (SBP), standard deviation of SBP, coefficient of variation of diastolic BP (DBP CV), and average real variability of pulse pressure. In the Cox regression analysis after adjustment, baseline SBP was significant for the risk of primary endpoint [hazard ratio (HR) 1.22, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.44, P = 0.02] and renal events (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.22-1.95, P < 0.001), and DBP CV was significant for the risk of primary endpoint (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.06, P = 0.02) and CVD events (HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.02-1.07, P < 0.01). The result of the forest plot depicted that baseline SBP had a linear association with the risk of CVD and renal events (P = 0.04 and 0.001, respectively) and DBP CV with CVD events (P = 0.02). As the restricted cubic spline models displayed, DBP CV featured a J- or L-curved association with the primary endpoint, renal events, and all-cause death (P for nonlinearity = 0.01, <0.001, and 0.01, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The baseline SBP and DBP CV may remain significant for clinical outcomes in patients with both HF and CKD. The increase in baseline SBP is associated with a higher risk of primary endpoint, CVD events, and renal events, and the increase in DBP CV with a higher risk of CVD events. Concerning nonlinear association, DBP CV features a J- or L-curved relationship with the primary endpoint, renal events, and all-cause death, with a higher risk at both low and high values.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov; unique identifier: NCT00304148.

Clinical Outcomes in Patients on Hemodialysis with Congestive Heart Failure

Introduction

Congestive heart failure (CHF) is one of the common complications in patients with end-stage kidney disease. In the general population, CHF increases the risk of the death. However, there is no well-designed relevant study in the Chinese hemodialysis (HD) population addressing the risks associated with CHF. The aim of this study was to explore the impact of CHF on clinical outcomes in HD patients.

Methods

Data from a prospective cohort study, the China Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS) 5 (2012-2015), were analyzed. Demographic data, comorbidities, lab data, and death records were extracted. CHF was defined by the diagnosis records upon study inclusion. Our primary outcome was all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality; secondary outcomes were all-cause and cause-specific hospitalization risk. Associations between CHF and outcomes were evaluated using Cox regression models. Stepwise multivariate logistic regression was used to identify the related risk factors, and subgroup analyses were carried out.

Results

Of 1,411 patients without missing CHF history information, 24.1% (340) had CHF diagnosis at enrollment. The overall mortality rates were 21.8% versus 12.0% (p < 0.001) in patients with and without CHF during follow-up, respectively. CHF was associated with higher all-cause mortality (adjusted HR: 1.72, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.17-2.53, p = 0.006), and the association with CV death was of similar magnitude (HR: 1.60, 95% CI: 0.91-2.81, p = 0.105). CHF patients had more episodes of hospitalization due to heart failure (HR: 2.93, 95% CI: 1.49-5.76, p < 0.01). However, compared with patients without CHF, the all-cause hospitalization risk was not much higher in CHF patients (HR: 1.09, 95% CI: 0.90-1.33, p = 0.39). Subgroup analysis found that the effect of CHF on all-cause mortality was stronger for male patients, patients with residual renal function, the elderly (≥60 years of age), patients with arteriovenous fistulae vascular accesses, nondiabetic patients, low-flux dialyzer users, and inadequately dialyzed patients (standardized Kt/V <2).

Conclusion

In HD patients, CHF was found to be associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality and cause-specific hospitalization risk. Further research is needed to identify opportunities to improve care for HD patients combined with CHF.

Low blood pressure and guideline-directed medical therapy in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

BACKGROUND

Patients with heart failure (HF) presenting with low blood pressure (BP) have been underrepresented in large-scale clinical trials. We investigated the characteristics and implementation of conventional guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT; renin-angiotensin system inhibitors and β-blockers) in patients with low BP hospitalized for HF with systolic dysfunction.

METHODS

Conventional GDMT was evaluated by discharge BP among 2043 consecutive patients with HF and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 50% in the WET-HF registry. Among the 708 (34.7%) patients with lower discharge BP (≤ 100 mmHg; the lower tertiles), exploratory subgroups included patients with previous HF hospitalization, inotrope use, New York Heart Association (NYHA) III-IV class, and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and LVEF (lower than median value). We evaluated the risk-adjusted association between GDMT implementation and 2-year adverse events (all-cause mortality or HF rehospitalization).

RESULTS

Among the 2043 patients (age 74 [63-82] years), the median systolic BP was 108 (98-120) mmHg. Among patients with lower BP, GDMT prescription rate was 62.7%, and GDMT use was associated with decreased adverse events (HR:0.74, 95%CI:0.58-0.94). GDMT prescription rates were lower among higher-NYHA class and lower-eGFR subgroups compared with their reference subgroups, and directionally similar outcomes were noted in all subgroups (favoring GDMT use); however, this association was somewhat attenuated in the lower-eGFR group (HR:0.87, 95%CI:0.64-1.17).

CONCLUSIONS

Conventional GDMT use was associated with decreased adverse outcomes in most patients with HF compounded by systolic dysfunction and low BP, albeit caution is warranted in patients with renal dysfunction.

Effect of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors on blood pressure in patients with heart failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Recent studies have shown that sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) can achieve significant improvement in blood pressure in people with diabetes. Furthermore, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have established that SGLT2i have a cardioprotective effect in adults with heart failure (HF). Therefore, we performed this systematic review an meta-analysis to determine the effect of SGLT2i on blood pressure in patients with HF.

Methods

We used the Medline, Cochrane Library, Embase, and PubMed databases to identify RCTs (published through to April 29, 2022) that evaluated the effect of SGLT2i on HF. The primary endpoint was defined as change in blood pressure. Secondary composite outcomes were heart rate, hematocrit, body weight, and glycated hemoglobin. The N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide level, Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire scores, and estimated glomerular filtration rate were also evaluated.

Results

After a literature search and detailed evaluation, 16 RCTs were included in the quantitative analysis. Pooled analyses showed that SGLT2i were associated with a statistically significant reduction in systolic blood pressure of 1.68 mmHg (95% confidence interval [CI] − 2.7, − 0.66; P = 0.001; I² = 45%) but not diastolic blood pressure (mean difference [MD] −1.06 mmHg; 95% CI −3.20, 1.08; P = 0.33; I² = 43%) in comparison with controls. Furthermore, SGLT2i decreased body weight (MD − 1.36 kg, 95% CI − 1.68, − 1.03; P < 0.001; I² = 61%) and the glycated hemoglobin level (MD − 0.16%, 95% CI − 0.28, −0.04, P = 0.007; I² = 91%) but increased hematocrit (MD 1.63%, 95% CI 0.63, 2.62, P = 0.001; I² = 100%). There was no significant between-group difference in heart rate (MD − 0.35; 95% CI − 2.05, 1.35, P = 0.69; I² = 0).

Conclusions

SGLT2i decreased systolic blood pressure in patients with HF but had no effect on diastolic blood pressure. These inhibitors may have numerous potentially beneficial clinical effects in patients with HF.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12933-022-01574-w.

Initiation of anti-hypertensive drugs and outcomes in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and persistent hypertension

BACKGROUND

National heart failure (HF) guidelines recommend that in patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (EF;HFpEF) and hypertension, systolic blood pressure (SBP) should be maintained below 130 mmHg. The objective of the study is to examine the association between initiation of anti-hypertensive drugs and outcomes in patients with HFpEF with persistent hypertension.

METHODS

Of the 8873 hospitalized patients with HFpEF (EF ≥50%) with a history of hypertension without renal failure in Medicare-linked OPTIMIZE-HF, 3315 had a discharge SBP ≥130 mmHg, of whom 1971 were not receiving anti-hypertensive drugs, thiazides and calcium channel blockers, before hospitalization. Of these, 366 received discharge prescriptions for those drugs. We assembled a propensity score-matched cohort of 365 pairs of patients initiated and not initiated on anti-hypertensive drugs, balanced on 37 baseline characteristics. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for outcomes associated with anti-hypertensive drug initiation were estimated in the matched cohort.

RESULTS

Matched patients (n = 730) had a mean age of 78 years; 67% were women and 17% African Americans. During 6 (median 2.5) years of follow-up, 66% of the patients died and 45% had HF readmission. HRs (95% CIs) for all-cause mortality at 30 days, 12 months and 6 years associated with anti-hypertensive drug initiation were 0.64 (0.30-1.36), 0.70 (0.51-0.97), and 0.95 (0.79-1.13), respectively. Respective HRs (95% CIs) for HF readmission were 1.65 (0.97-2.80), 1.18 (0.90-1.56) and 1.09 (0.88-1.35).

CONCLUSIONS

Among hospitalized older patients with HFpEF with uncontrolled hypertension, the initiation of therapy with anti-hypertensive drugs was not associated with all-cause mortality or hospital readmission.

Systolic blood pressure at admission and long-term clinical outcomes in patients hospitalized for heart failure

Aims

The study sought to investigate the association between admission systolic blood pressure (SBP) and 1‐year clinical outcomes in patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF) and in subgroups.

Methods

This study was based on the China Patient‐centred Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Prospective Heart Failure Study, which prospectively enrolled patients hospitalized for HF in 52 hospitals from 20 provinces in China between August 2016 and May 2018. Patients were divided into four groups according to the quartiles of SBP at admission. The multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were fitted to examine the association between admission SBP and all‐cause death and HF readmission within 1 year after the index hospitalization. Restricted cubic splines were used to explore the non‐linear association between SBP and the clinical outcomes.

Results

Among 4896 patients, those with lower admission SBP were younger, more likely to be male, have left ventricular ejection fraction <40%, and receive β‐blockers, aldosterone antagonists, and diuretics. After adjustment for potential confounders, lower admission SBP was significantly associated with higher all‐cause death and there is no threshold, while we only observed such an association with HF readmission when admission SBP was lower than 120 mmHg. Compared with the 4th SBP quartile, patients in the 1st SBP quartile had higher risk of all‐cause death (hazard ratio, 1.85; 95% confidence interval 1.48–2.33; P < 0.001) and HF readmission (hazard ratio, 1.40; 95% confidence interval 1.19–1.65, P < 0.001). These associations were consistent in most subgroups, such as age, sex, and left ventricular ejection fraction.

Conclusions

In patients hospitalized for HF, lower admission SBP portends an increased risk of 1 year all‐cause death and HF readmission, and these associations were consistent among subgroups.

Effect of dapagliflozin according to baseline systolic blood pressure in the Dapagliflozin and Prevention of Adverse Outcomes in Heart Failure trial (DAPA-HF)

AIMS

Concern about hypotension often leads to withholding of beneficial therapy in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). We evaluated the efficacy and safety of dapagliflozin, which lowers systolic blood pressure (SBP),according to baseline SBP in Dapagliflozin and Prevention of Adverse Outcomes in Heart Failure trial (DAPA-HF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Key inclusion criteria were: New York Heart Association Class II-IV, left ventricular ejection fraction ≤ 40%, elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide level, and SBP ≥95 mmHg. The primary outcome was a composite of worsening heart failure or cardiovascular death. The efficacy and safety of dapagliflozin were examined using SBP as both a categorical and continuous variable. A total of 1205 patients had a baseline SBP <110 mmHg; 981 ≥ 110 < 120; 1149 ≥ 120 < 130; and 1409 ≥ 130 mmHg. The placebo-corrected reduction in SBP from baseline to 2 weeks with dapagliflozin was -2.54 (-3.33 to -1.76) mmHg (P < 0.001), with a smaller between-treatment difference in patients in the lowest compared to highest SBP category. Patients in the lowest SBP category had a much higher rate (per 100 person-years) of the primary outcome [20.6, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 17.6-24.2] than those in the highest SBP category (13.8, 11.7-16.4). The benefit and safety of dapagliflozin was consistent across the range of SBP; hazard ratio (95% CI) in each SBP group, lowest to highest: 0.76 (0.60-0.97), 0.76 (0.57-1.02), 0.81 (0.61-1.08), and 0.67 (0.51-0.87), P interaction = 0.78. Study drug discontinuation did not differ between dapagliflozin and placebo across the SBP categories examined.

CONCLUSION

Dapagliflozin had a small effect on SBP in patients with HFrEF and was superior to placebo in improving outcomes, and well tolerated, across the range of SBP included in DAPA-HF.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03036124.

A Machine Learning Approach to Management of Heart Failure Populations

BACKGROUND

Heart failure is a prevalent, costly disease for which new value-based payment models demand optimized population management strategies.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to generate a strategy for managing populations of patients with heart failure by leveraging large clinical datasets and machine learning.

METHODS

Geisinger electronic health record data were used to train machine learning models to predict 1-year all-cause mortality in 26,971 patients with heart failure who underwent 276,819 clinical episodes. There were 26 clinical variables (demographics, laboratory test results, medications), 90 diagnostic codes, 41 electrocardiogram measurements and patterns, 44 echocardiographic measurements, and 8 evidence-based "care gaps": flu vaccine, blood pressure of <130/80 mm Hg, A_1c of <8%, cardiac resynchronization therapy, and active medications (active angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin II receptor blocker/angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor, aldosterone receptor antagonist, hydralazine, and evidence-based beta-blocker) were collected. Care gaps represented actionable variables for which associations with all-cause mortality were modeled from retrospective data and then used to predict the benefit of prospective interventions in 13,238 currently living patients.

RESULTS

Machine learning models achieved areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUCs) of 0.74 to 0.77 in a split-by-year training/test scheme, with the nonlinear XGBoost model (AUC: 0.77) outperforming linear logistic regression (AUC: 0.74). Out of 13,238 currently living patients, 2,844 were predicted to die within a year, and closing all care gaps was predicted to save 231 of these lives. Prioritizing patients for intervention by using the predicted reduction in 1-year mortality risk outperformed all other priority rankings (e.g., random selection or Seattle Heart Failure risk score).

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning can be used to priority-rank patients most likely to benefit from interventions to optimize evidence-based therapies. This approach may prove useful for optimizing heart failure population health management teams within value-based payment models.

Systolic Blood Pressure and Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction

BACKGROUND

National guidelines recommend that systolic blood pressure (SBP) in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and hypertension be maintained below 130 mm Hg.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to determine associations of SBP <130 mm Hg with outcomes in patients with HFrEF.

METHODS

Of the 25,345 patients in the Medicare-linked OPTIMIZE-HF registry, 10,535 had an ejection fraction (EF) ≤40%. Of these, 5,615 had stable SBP (≤20 mm Hg admission to discharge variation), and 3,805 (68%) had a discharge SBP <130 mm Hg. Propensity scores for SBP <130 mm Hg, estimated for each of the 5,615 patients, were used to assemble a matched cohort of 1,189 pairs of patients with SBP <130 versus ≥130 mm Hg, balanced on 58 baseline characteristics (mean age 76 years; mean EF 28%, 45% women, 13% African American). This process was repeated in 3,946 patients, after excluding 1,669 patients (30% of 5,615) with a discharge SBP <110 mm Hg and assembled a second matched balanced cohort of 1,099 pairs of patients with SBP 110 to 129 mm Hg versus ≥130 mm Hg.

RESULTS

Thirty-day all-cause mortality occurred in 7% and 4% of matched patients with SBP <130 mm Hg versus ≥130 mm Hg, respectively (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.76; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24 to 2.48; p = 0.001). HRs (95% CIs) for all-cause mortality, all-cause readmission, and HF readmission at 1 year, associated with SBP <130 mm Hg, were 1.32 (1.15 to 1.53; p < 0.001), 1.11 (1.01 to 1.23; p = 0.030), and 1.24 (1.09 to 1.42; p = 0.001), respectively. HRs (95% CIs) for 30-day and 1-year all-cause mortality associated with SBP 110 to 129 mm Hg (vs. ≥130 mm Hg) were 1.50 (1.03 to 2.19; p = 0.035), and 1.19 (1.02 to 1.39; p = 0.029), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Among hospitalized older patients with HFrEF, SBP <130 mm Hg is associated with poor outcomes. This association persisted when the analyses were repeated after excluding patients with SBP <110 mm Hg. There is an urgent need for randomized controlled trials to evaluate optimal SBP reduction goals in patients with HFrEF.