Prognostic value of preoperatively obtained clinical and laboratory data in predicting survival following orthotopic liver transplantation

Systemic Immune-Inflammatory Marker of High Meld Patients Is Associated With Early Mortality After Liver Transplantation

The scarcity of deceased donor livers has led to allocation of grafts to only the most seriously ill patients with a high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, which has resulted in a high mortality rate after deceased donor liver transplantation (DDLT). The aim of this study is to identify risk factors for posttransplant mortality and thereby reduce futile outcomes in DDLT. Between 2013 and 2019, 57 recipients with MELD scores ≥30 underwent DDLT in our center. We retrieved data and identified the risk factors for 90-day posttransplant mortality. The perioperative clinical and laboratory parameters of patients who did or did not survive for 90 days were subjected to logistic regression analysis. Twelve patients died within 90 days. Results of univariate analysis indicated that the differences in patient survival were determined by the amount of intraoperative platelets transfused, the presence of posttransplant septicemia, and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) at the time of listing with MELD scores ≥30. Multivariate analysis revealed that an SII ≥870 (× 10⁹/L) and posttransplant septicemia were independent risk factors for 90-day mortality. Twenty-two patients had SIIs ≥870, and 13 of these patients had posttransplant septicemia. Of the 13 patients, 90-day mortality occurred in 10 cases. However, in 35 patients with SIIs <870, 90-day mortality due to posttransplant septicemia was recorded only in 1 patient. In conclusion, a preoperative SII ≥870 in a patient with a high MELD score may be a significant risk factor for early posttransplant mortality. Because posttransplant septicemia in patients with high SIIs can lead to fatality, a more intensive effort to prevent infection is needed for patients undergoing DDLT carrying such risk factors to avoid futile liver transplantation.

Position paper on liver and kidney diseases from the Italian Association for the Study of Liver (AISF), in collaboration with the Italian Society of Nephrology (SIN)

Liver and kidney are strictly connected in a reciprocal manner, in both the physiological and pathological condition. The Italian Association for the Study of Liver, in collaboration with the Italian Society of Nephrology, with this position paper aims to provide an up-to-date overview on the principal relationships between these two important organs. A panel of well-recognized international expert hepatologists and nephrologists identified five relevant topics: 1) The diagnosis of kidney damage in patients with chronic liver disease; 2) Acute kidney injury in liver cirrhosis; 3) Association between chronic liver disease and chronic kidney disease; 4) Kidney damage according to different etiology of liver disease; 5) Polycystic kidney and liver disease. The discussion process started with a review of the literature relating to each of the five major topics and clinical questions and related statements were subsequently formulated. The quality of evidence and strength of recommendations were graded according to the GRADE system. The statements presented here highlight the importance of strong collaboration between hepatologists and nephrologists for the management of critically ill patients, such as those with combined liver and kidney impairment.

Liver Transplantation for Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis: Pathophysiology of Recurrence and Clinical Challenges

Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis is the fastest-growing indication for the liver transplant and a leading cause of hepatocellular carcinoma among patients listed for liver transplantation in the USA. Post-transplant nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis and steatohepatitis are frequent complications of liver transplantation. Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis poses a significant challenge in both pre- and post-transplant period due to its association with metabolic syndrome, coronary artery disease, chronic kidney disease, and obstructive sleep apnea. While optimal therapy is not yet available in the post-liver transplant setting, lifestyle interventions continue to remain as the mainstay of therapy for post-transplant nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. Early recognition with protocol biopsies and noninvasive modalities, along with modification of known risk factors, are the most effective methods to curtail the progression of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis in the absence of FDA-approved pharmacologic therapy.

A new index predicts early allograft dysfunction following living donor liver transplantation: A propensity score analysis

OBJECTIVE/AIM

The aim of this study was to identify a new index to predict early allograft dysfunction following living donor liver transplantation.

METHODS

The study enrolled 260 adult living donor liver transplantation recipients. Postoperative laboratory variables were assessed for their association with the prevalence of early allograft dysfunction using the inverse probability of treatment weighting and propensity-score matching (n=93 pairs) analysis.

RESULTS

Forty-seven recipients (18.1%) developed early allograft dysfunction. In multivariable analysis, the alanine aminotransferase and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase levels on postoperative day 1 were independent predictors of early allograft dysfunction. The alanine aminotransferase to gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase ratio (AGR) was developed. All cases were divided into two groups (Group 1 [AGR≥8.47, n=103] and Group 2 [AGR<8.47, n=157]). AGR≥8.47 (OR 10.345, 95%CI 4.502-23.772, p<0.001), hepatorenal syndrome (OR 3.016, 95%CI 1.119-8.125, p=0.029), and graft to recipient weight ratio <0.8% (OR 2.155, 95%CI 1.004-4.624, p=0.049) were independent risk factors for early allograft dysfunction. The prevalence of early allograft dysfunction was higher in group 1 (after adjusting for inverse probability of treatment weighting [n=39; 37.9% vs n=8; 5.1%] and propensity-score matching [n=33; 35.5% vs n=2; 2.2%]) than that in group 2 (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The postoperative AGR is a practical index for predicting early allograft dysfunction after living donor liver transplantation.

Pretransplant renal function according to CKD-EPI cystatin C equation is a prognostic factor of death after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND & AIMS

In patients with cirrhosis, cystatin C (CystC) based equations may be more accurate indicators of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) than creatinine (Pcr) based equations. Renal function before liver transplantation (LT) is thought to impact survival after LT. We aimed at assessing pretransplant creatinine and CystC based equations with respect to their predictive value on long-term survival after LT.

METHODS

From 2001 to 2011, CystC was determined at pre-LT evaluation in 682 patients together with GFR assessed using MDRD-4, MDRD-6, CKD-EPI-cystatin C, CKD-EPI-creatinine and CKD-EPI-creatinine-cystatin C equations. Patients were classified according to the Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative classification (KDOQI).

RESULTS

Median age at LT was 55 [49-60] years with a median MELD score of 13.5 [8.3-19.2] and a median post-transplant follow-up of 60 [26-89] months. Using CKD-EPI Cystatin C and the KDOQI classification, 21.1% of patients were stage 1, 43.1% stage 2, 29.1% stage 3 and 6.5% stage 4. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates were significantly different between KDOQI stages when determined using the CKD-EPI-CystatinC equation. This was not the case when using the other equations. At multivariate analysis, GFR and KDOQI estimated using the CKD-EPI-CystatinC equation were significantly associated with death (HR: 0.992; CI95%: 0.986-0.999 and 1.24; CI95%: 1.02-1.50 respectively). When assessed using the MDRD-4, MDRD-6, CKD-EPI-Creatinine-CystatinC and CKD-EPI-Creatinine equations GFR was not significantly associated with death.

CONCLUSIONS

Estimated pre-LT renal function is predictive of post-LT survival only when assessed using the CKD-EPI cystatin C equation. This supports the use of Cystatine C and of its related equation for the assessment of renal function before liver transplantation.

Pre-existing diabetes and risks of morbidity and mortality after liver transplantation: A nationwide database study in an Asian population

BACKGROUND

Whether diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with a higher risk of perioperative mortality and mortality after liver transplantation (LTx) remains unclear.

METHODS

We compared the risk of postoperative mortality and morbidity in DM and non-DM patients undergoing LTx. We enrolled 558 DM patients who underwent LTx from 2000 to 2010.

RESULTS

DM was associated with elevated 90-day risk of post-LTx stroke. Otherwise, the DM cohort did not exhibit significantly higher risks of postoperative morbidities, such as septicemia, pneumonia, and wound infection, than the non-DM cohort. Cox proportional hazards regression model showed that patients with DM with coexisting renal manifestations were at a significantly high risk of 30-day and 90-day postoperative mortality. Further comorbidity stratification analysis showed that DM cohort exhibited higher risk of mortality than the non-DM cohort if the patients had liver cancer, or did not have hypertension, ischemic heart disease, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

CONCLUSION

DM is associated with elevated risk of 90-day post-LTx. Moreover, DM patients with coexisting renal manifestations exhibited an increased postoperative risk of mortality after LTx.

Hepatorenal syndrome: aetiology, diagnosis, and treatment

Acute renal impairment is common in patients with chronic liver disease, occurring in approximately 19% of hospitalised patients with cirrhosis. A variety of types of renal impairment are recognised. The most important of these is the hepatorenal syndrome, a functional renal impairment due to circulatory and neurohormonal abnormalities that underpin cirrhosis. It is one of the most severe complications of cirrhosis with survival often measured in weeks to months. A variety of treatment options exist with early diagnosis and appropriate treatment providing the best hope for cure. This paper provides a comprehensive and up-to-date review of hepatorenal syndrome and lays out the topic according to the following sections: pathophysiology, historical developments, diagnostic criteria and limitations, epidemiology, precipitating factors, predictors, clinical and laboratory findings, prognosis, treatment options, prophylaxis, and conclusion.

Renal dysfunction in liver transplant recipients: evaluation of the critical issues

Major progress has been made in the field of liver transplantation since the first procedure was performed nearly 50 years ago. Despite these improvements, renal dysfunction before and after liver transplantation remains a major complicating factor associated with increased health care costs, morbidity, and mortality. Creatinine-based estimates of renal function are inaccurate in the setting of end-stage liver disease and often lead to underdiagnosis and late intervention. This issue is critical in that it is important to understand both the etiology and chronicity of renal dysfunction before liver transplantation because the treatment clearly varies, especially with respect to simultaneous liver-kidney (SLK) transplantation. Because of the scarcity of available grafts, identifying appropriate candidates for SLK transplantation is crucial. Hepatorenal syndrome is common in liver transplant candidates; however, other etiologies of renal dysfunction need to be considered. Renal dysfunction after liver transplantation is common and may have an acute or chronic presentation. Although calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs) have been associated with post-liver transplant nephrotoxicity, their role may be overestimated, and other contributing etiologies should remain in a clinician's differential diagnosis. Alternatives to CNIs have been evaluated; however, a safe immunosuppressive regimen that achieves the preservation of renal function in liver transplant recipients remains to be established. In this review of the literature, renal dysfunction in the setting of liver transplantation is evaluated, and the critical issues that are barriers to improved outcomes are highlighted.

Immunological risk factors for infection after immunosuppressive and biologic therapies

Immunosuppressive and biologic therapies are costly and can involve a considerable risk of infection. Noninvasive diagnostic tools for early prediction of infection before and after administration of these therapies are of major interest. Serial longitudinal immune monitoring would provide data on immunocompetence and complement clinical follow-up protocols. Biomarkers of immune response may be useful to identify patients at risk of developing infection and who could be candidates for immunosuppressant dose reduction. This article focuses on the potential use of biomarkers of immune response to predict development of infection after immunosuppressive and biologic therapies in selected settings of autoimmune disease (rituximab for treatment of rheumatoid arthritis) and solid organ transplantation.

Basiliximab induction and delayed calcineurin inhibitor initiation in liver transplant recipients with renal insufficiency

BACKGROUND

Renal insufficiency (RI) is common after liver transplantation (LT) and may worsen due to calcineurin inhibitor (CNI) use. We compared LT outcomes using basiliximab induction and delayed CNI initiation to controls with a standard CNI regimen in patients with peri-LT RI.

METHODS

All adults transplanted January 2004 to December 2007 with peri-LT RI (hemodialysis or creatinine ≥1.5 within 1 week of LT) were included in a retrospective nonrandomized cohort. Outcomes including 30-day and 1-year patient and graft survival and renal function were compared between basiliximab and control groups.

RESULTS

Two hundred twenty-nine patients (102 basiliximab, 127 controls) were analyzed, mean age 54 years, 72% men, 54% with hepatitis C virus. Mean model for end-stage liver disease (28.2 vs. 20.0; P<0.001) and creatinine (1.9 vs. 1.6; P=0.001) were higher and more patients were on hemodialysis at LT (29% vs. 6%; P<0.001) in the basiliximab group. 30-day patient (99% vs. 97%; P=0.26) and graft survival (98% vs. 95%; P=0.17), 1-year patient (87% vs. 87%; P=0.89) and graft survival (86% vs. 82%; P=0.37), mean creatinine at 1-year (1.5 vs. 1.5 mg/dL; P=0.82), and treated acute rejection (6% vs. 6%; P=0.90) were similar between basiliximab and control groups, respectively. In multivariable logistic regression, basiliximab was not significantly associated with 30-day (odds ratio, 0.10; P=0.11) or 1-year (odds ratio, 0.97; P=0.94) survival, controlling for age, previous LT, model for end-stage liver disease, and hepatitis C virus.

CONCLUSIONS

Basiliximab induction resulted in 30-day and 1-year patient, graft and renal outcomes comparable with a control group receiving standard CNI-based immunosuppression. Antibody induction with delayed CNI should be further studied prospectively.

Posttransplant bacteremia in adult living donor liver transplant recipients

Infectious complications such as bacteremia after living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. We retrospectively analyzed the frequency and characteristics of posttransplant bacteremia in 181 adult LDLT recipients between April 2006 and November 2009, and we evaluated the risk factors for posttransplant bacteremia. One hundred seventeen episodes of bacteremia occurred in 62 of 181 recipients (34.3%) within 12 days (median) after transplantation (range = 1-71 days). The most frequently isolated pathogens were Pseudomonasaeruginosa (26 episodes), methicillin-resistant coagulase-negative staphylococci (22 episodes), and Enterococcus sp. (11 episodes). The overall survival rate at 1 year for patients with bacteremia (n = 62) was significantly lower than the rate for patients without bacteremia (n = 119; 69.6% versus 92.3%, respectively, P < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis showed that Child-Pugh class C (P = 0.0002), preoperative massive pleural effusion or ascites requiring drainage (P = 0.0384), postoperative cytomegalovirus infection (P = 0.0014), ABO incompatibility (P = 0.0188), and older donor age (P = 0.015) were independent risk factors for postoperative bacteremia. In conclusion, bacteremia occurred at a high rate after adult LDLT and induced a higher mortality rate in those who developed it. Infection control may play a pivotal role in improving early outcomes after LDLT.

Outcome of liver transplantation for drug-induced acute liver failure in the United States: analysis of the United Network for Organ Sharing database

Acute liver failure (ALF) is an uncommon but potentially lethal drug-related adverse effect that often leads to liver transplantation (LT) or death. A retrospective cohort study was performed with the United Network for Organ Sharing Standard Transplant Analysis and Research files. Recipients who underwent LT for drug-induced acute liver failure (DIALF) from 1987 through 2006 were analyzed. A total of 661 patients transplanted for DIALF were included in the analysis. The 4 leading implicated drug groups were acetaminophen (n = 265; 40%), antituberculosis drugs (n = 50; 8%), antiepileptics (n = 46; 7%), and antibiotics (n = 39; 6%). One-year estimated survival probabilities were 76%, 82%, 52%, 82%, and 79% for acetaminophen, antituberculosis drugs, antiepileptics, antibiotics, and others, respectively. The lower rate of survival among those exposed to antiepileptics was observed mainly in children. Of the 22 patients less than 18 years old who had ALF due to antiepileptics, 73% died within the first year. The difference in overall survival between acetaminophen-related and non-acetaminophen-related ALF was not statistically significant. Patients with acetaminophen-related ALF required dialysis prior to LT at a significantly higher rate than all other drug groups (27% versus 3%-10%, P < 0.0001). According to Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, the independent pretransplant predictors of death after LT were being on life support, DIALF due to antiepileptic drugs at age less than 18, and elevated serum creatinine. In conclusion, the leading drug groups causing LT due to DIALF in the United States were acetaminophen, antituberculosis drugs, antiepileptics, and antibiotics. Children who had ALF due to antiepileptics had a substantially higher risk of death after LT in comparison with other drugs. Patients transplanted for acetaminophen-related ALF required dialysis at a significantly higher rate. Being on life support, DIALF due to antiepileptics (at age less than 18), and elevated serum creatinine were independent pretransplant predictors of poor survival after LT for DIALF.

Natural history of hepatitis B virus-related cirrhotic patients hospitalized to control ascites

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Few studies have assessed the natural history of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhotic ascites. We investigated the natural history of patients with HBV-related cirrhotic ascites hospitalized to control ascites and determined their prognosis, including survival rates and prognostic factors affecting survival.

METHODS

Between January 1996 and December 2005, 203 consecutive patients with HBV-related cirrhotic ascites were followed for a median of 80.7 months (range, 15-149) after their first significant ascitic decompensation that required hospitalization.

RESULTS

The mean age of all patients was 52.6 years. Male gender predominated (male/female, 138/65). A subgroup analysis of 165 patients who had ascitic decompensation as their first episode of hepatic decompensation revealed that gastrointestinal variceal bleeding developed after a median interval of 8 months following ascitic decompensation in 31 (18.8%) patients, hepatic encephalopathy occurred at 9 months in 53 (32.1%), spontaneous bacterial peritonitis appeared at 12.7 months in 24 (14.5%), hepatorenal syndrome occurred at 8.1 months in five (3%), and hepatocellular carcinoma was observed at 21.2 months in 10 (6.1%). The overall median survival was 12.4 months. The 1- and 3-year survival rates were 50.7 and 18.7%. The prognostic factors that independently correlated with survival at the time of ascitic decompensation were Child-Pugh classification B/C (P = 0.030), serum white blood cell (WBC; P = 0.035), serum creatinine (Cr; P = 0.039), serum sodium (Na; P = 0.010), and antiviral therapy (P = 0.040).

CONCLUSIONS

The prognosis of HBV-related cirrhotic patients with ascitic decompensation is poor. Child-Pugh class, serum WBC/Cr/Na, and antiviral therapy primarily influenced survival.

Impact of renal failure on liver transplantation survival

Renal failure after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) is a common complication (ranging from 12% to 70%) associated with worse outcomes, particularly when it requires renal replacement therapy (RRT). Renal dysfunction is a common scenario among waiting list patients. It can lead to a worse prognosis after OLT, due to an increased incidence of postoperative renal failure. The aim of this study was to analyze the incidence of renal failure after OLT, its relationship to pretransplant renal dysfunction, and its impact on outcomes. We analyzed data collected prospectively from 152 consecutive OLTs in 139 patients performed by the same team from March 2003 to November 2007. Exclusion criteria for 34 cases included transplantation due to acute liver failure, combined liver-kidney transplantation, retransplantation, and patients who died up to 2 days posttransplantation. Based on creatinine clearance (CCr) calculated at the time of OLT, the 118 patients were classified in two groups: group I, normal pre-OLT renal function (CCr > or = 70 mL/min) versus group II, pre-OLT renal failure (CCr < 70 mL/min). Each group was analyzed according to the development of post-OLT renal failure, being classified as subgroup A (normal renal function post-OLT), subgroup B (mild renal impairment post-OLT-serum creatinine level between 2.0 and 3.0 mg/dL or doubled basal value up to 3.0 mg/dL) versus subgroup C (severe renal impairment post-OLT-serum creatinine level > or = 3.0 mg/dL or utilization of RRT). The overall incidence of post-OLT renal impairment was 41.52% with RRT in 22 patients (18.64%). Group II patients showed a greater incidence of post-OLT renal failure when compared with other patients (P < .05), but without a statistical difference when compared according to RRT requirement. Comparison of average hospital stay was similar between groups I and II, and also among its subgroups (A, B, and C, respectively). There was no statistical difference in early (30-day) and 1-year survival rates between groups I and II. Comparing all subgroups for early and 1-year survival, we observed that patients who developed severe renal failure post-OLT (subgroups I-C and II-C) showed worse outcomes compared with other patients (subgroups I-A, I-B, II-A, and II-B), respectively 95.29% versus 69.69% and 86.95% versus 41.66% for early and 1-year survivals (P < .001). In conclusion, our findings suggested that patients who developed severe renal failure post-OLT, independent of pretransplant renal function, showed worse outcomes.

[Dilutional hyponatremia, hepatorenal syndrome and liver transplantation]

Cirrhosis is a chronic, progressive disease characterized by complications associated with portal hypertension and liver failure. Renal function disorders are a common complication in patients with cirrhosis and are associated with high morbidity and mortality and poor prognosis. Renal function alterations in these patients include sodium and water retention and renal vasoconstriction. Sodium retention causes the formation of ascites and edema, solute-free water leads to dilutional hyponatremia, and renal vasoconstriction gives rise to the development of hepatorenal syndrome (HRS). Due to their poor prognosis, the presence of ascites, dilutional hyponatremia and HRS are indications for liver transplantation (LT). Recent studies have allowed new prognostic factors in these patients to be identified, novel treatments for dilutional hyponatremia and HRS to be applied, and the association of these complications with disease course and outcome before and after LT to be described. The present review discusses new concepts of the physiopathology, evaluation and treatment of cirrhotic patients with dilutional hyponatremia and HRS and the relationship of these entities with LT.

Impact of MELD on short-term and long-term outcome following liver transplantation: a European perspective

INTRODUCTION

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) has been found to accurately predict pre-transplant mortality and is a valuable system for ranking patients in need of liver transplantation. Its association with post-transplant outcome, however, remains unclear.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively studied 121 adult patients who were transplanted for non-fulminant liver failure between January 1991 and December 2001. MELD scores were calculated taking variables as close as possible prior to liver transplantation. Patients were stratified into two or three groups using different cut-off values of the MELD score.

RESULTS

Indications for liver transplantation were mainly alcoholic liver disease (47.1%) or hepatitis C virus (19.0%). Gender distribution was male 62% vs female 38%. Mean age was 54 years+/-10 years. Mean MELD score was 16+/-6. Follow-up time was 5.4 years (range, 1.6-12.3 years). The use of different MELD cut-off levels yielded no difference in survival at different time points.

CONCLUSION

Higher MELD scores did not have a negative impact on patient and graft survival following OLT. Since MELD is good at identifying those urgently in need of liver transplantation and high MELD scores do not appear to have an influence on long-term outcome, use of MELD in liver allocation seems warranted.

Posttransplant survival in pediatric fulminant hepatic failure: the SPLIT experience

Pediatric patients with fulminant hepatic failure (FHF) tend to be the sickest and have the most urgent need for a liver transplant. The purpose of this analysis was to identify factors associated with posttransplant survival in this subset of patients. Data on all FHF patients registered in the Studies of Pediatric Liver Transplantation (SPLIT) registry from 1995 to 2002 were analyzed. Demographics such as age, gender, race, weight, and etiology of liver disease were recorded. Pretransplant degree of encephalopathy; intubation; dialysis; laboratory parameters such as serum bilirubin and international normalized ratio of coagulopathy (INR); and type of graft: cadaveric whole, cadaveric technical variant, or living donor were analyzed to determine effects on patient survival. Overall, FHF accounted for 12.9% (141 / 1,092) of primary transplants performed between 1995 and 2002. The etiology of liver disease was unknown in the vast majority of children (126 / 141; 89.4%). Mortality while on the waiting list for FHF children is significantly higher than for children with other liver disease (P < .0001). Six-month survival posttransplant for patients with FHF (74.5%) is significantly lower (P < .0001) than those with chronic liver disease (88.9%). A multivariate model demonstrates that the highest risk group includes those children with grade 4 encephalopathy (P < .0001), infants less than 1 year of age (P = .018), and children requiring dialysis prior to transplantation (P = .002). Pretransplant bilirubin and INR were not significant predictors of posttransplant survival after controlling for the other significant factors. Living donor and split / reduced grafts did not have a significantly increased risk of posttransplant death compared to whole grafts. In conclusion, despite advances in the surgical techniques and changes in organ allocation, pediatric patients with FHF continue to have a high pretransplant mortality and less successful posttransplant survival compared to children with chronic liver disease.

Serum cholestasis markers as predictors of early outcome after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

Early cholestasis is not uncommon after liver transplantation and usually signifies graft dysfunction. The aim of this study was to determine if serum synthetic and cholestatic parameters measured at various time points after transplantation can predict early patient outcome, and graft function.

METHODS

The charts of 92 patients who underwent 95 liver transplantations at Rabin Medical Center between 1991 and 2000 were reviewed. Findings on liver function tests and levels of serum bilirubin, alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and gamma glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) on days 2, 10, 30, and 90 after transplantation were measured in order to predict early (6 months) patient outcome (mortality and sepsis) and initial poor functioning graft. Pearson correlation, chi(2) test, and Student's t-test were performed for univariate analysis, and logistic regression for multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Univariate analysis. Serum bilirubin >/=10 mg/dL and international normalized ratio (INR) >1.6 on days 10, 30, and 90, and high serum ALP and low albumin levels on days 30 and 90 were risk factors for 6-month mortality; serum bilirubin >/=10 mg/dL on days 10, 30, and 90, high serum ALP, high GGT, and low serum albumin, on days 30 and 90, and INR >/=1.6 on day 10 were risk factors for sepsis; high serum alanine aminotransferase, INR >1.6, and bilirubin >/=10 mg/dL on days 2 and 10 were risk factors for poor graft function. The 6-month mortality rate was significantly higher in patients with serum bilirubin >/=10 mg/dL on day 10 than in patients with values of <10 mg/dL (29.4% vs. 4.0%, p = 0.004). Patients who had sepsis had high mean serum ALP levels on day 30 than patients who did not (364.5 +/- 229.9 U/L vs. 70.8 +/- 125.6 U/L, p = 0.005). Multivariate analysis. Significant predictors of 6-month mortality were serum bilirubin >/=10 mg/dL [odds ratio (OR) 9.05, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.6-49.6] and INR >1.6 (OR 9.11, CI 1.5-54.8) on day 10; significant predictors were high serum ALP level on day 30 (OR 1.005, 1.001-1.01) and high GGT level on day 90 (OR 1.005, CI 1.001-1.01). None of the variables were able to predict initial poor graft functioning.

CONCLUSIONS

Several serum cholestasis markers may serve as predictors of early outcome of liver transplantation. The strongest correlation was found between serum bilirubin >/=10 mg/dL on day 10 and early death, sepsis, and poor graft function. Early intervention in patients found to be at high risk may ameliorate the high morbidity and mortality associated with early cholestasis.

Comparative analysis of outcome following liver transplantation in US veterans

The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether there was a difference in mortality following orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) in a US veteran (VA) population (n = 149) compared to a non-VA (university) population (n = 285) and what factors could explain this difference. Survival following OLT for 149 VA patients was compared with that of 285 university patients. By Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, VA patients had higher mortality than university patients with respective 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival of 82%, 75%, and 68% vs. 87%, 82%, and 78% (p = 0.006). Gender, etiology of end-stage liver disease (ESLD) and donor age (i.e. older than 34 years) also significantly influenced survival. However, when donor and recipient age, gender, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and etiology of liver disease were included with hospital status in a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, the VA population did not have higher mortality. A final model to predict mortality following transplantation was derived for all 434 patients where individuals were assigned risk scores based on the equation R = 0.219 (gender) + 0.018 (donor age) + 0.032 (recipient age) + 0.021 (MELD), where recipient age, donor age, and MELD score are the respective continuous variables and gender = 1 (men) and 0 for women (c-statistic = 0.71).

MELD and other factors associated with survival after liver transplantation

Allocation of cadaveric livers for transplantation in the United States is now based on the severity of illness as determined by the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, a function of bilirubin, creatinine and international normalized ratio (INR). The aim of our study was to determine the association of various pre-transplant risk factors, including the MELD score, on patient survival after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). The medical records of 499 consecutive patients (233 female, 266 males, mean age 50.9 +/- 10.6 years) undergoing cadaveric OLT at our institution between June 1990 and February 1998 were reviewed. In the 407 patients alive at the latest contact, follow-up was 4.7 years, with a minimum of 20 months (maximum of 9.4 years). Variables considered for analysis included MELD score, age, pre-transplant renal dysfunction requiring dialysis, Child-Pugh classification, underlying liver disease, diabetes mellitus, and heart disease (ischemic/valvular/other). There were 92 deaths during follow-up. In univariate analysis, the MELD score, renal failure requiring hemodialysis pre-OLT, age > 42 years, and underlying etiology of liver disease were significantly associated with death during long-term follow-up. In multivariate models, age, underlying etiology of liver disease and renal failure requiring hemodialysis were independent predictors of death after OLT.

Aerobic capacity is associated with 100-day outcome after hepatic transplantation

The shortage of donor organs highlights the need to better identify patients most likely to benefit from hepatic transplantation. Reduced aerobic capacity (decreased peak oxygen consumption [VO(2)] during symptom-limited cardiopulmonary exercise testing) is frequently present in cirrhosis. Peak VO(2) during cardiopulmonary exercise testing may predict short-term outcome after hepatic transplantation. Symptom-limited testing was performed on a cycle ergometer (continuous ramp protocol) and VO(2) determined using a metabolic cart. One hundred fifty-six patients were tested; 59 subsequently underwent hepatic transplantation. Results showed that survivors and nonsurvivors were similar in age, duration of liver disease, Child-Pugh score, MELD score, resting cardiovascular function, pulmonary function, and gas exchange. The 6 (10.2%) patients dying within 100 days of transplantation were more likely to have reduced aerobic capacity (peak VO(2) <60% predicted and VO(2) at anaerobic threshold [VO(2)-AT] <50% predicted peak VO(2)) compared to survivors (4/6 vs. 7/53, P <.01). Using a multiple logistic regression model controlling for duration and severity of liver disease and time to transplantation, reduced aerobic capacity was independently associated with 100-day mortality. In conclusion, reduced aerobic capacity during cardiopulmonary exercise testing is associated with decreased short-term survival after hepatic transplantation. Further study is needed to determine if cardiopulmonary exercise testing can be used to improve allocation of donor organs. To ensure optimum allocation of donor organs, it is important to identify patients most likely to benefit from transplantation. Investigators have identified a number of preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative factors that predict increased risk for postoperative mortality. Unfortunately, predictive accuracy has not been high, and the timing of factor identification does not optimize organ utilization. Identification of predictors of survival at the time of listing for transplantation might lead to better resource allocation.

Predicting outcome after liver transplantation: utility of the model for end-stage liver disease and a newly derived discrimination function

BACKGROUND

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) has been found to accurately predict pretransplant mortality and is a valuable system for ranking patients in greatest need of liver transplantation. It is unknown whether a higher MELD score also predicts decreased posttransplant survival.

METHODS

We examined a cohort of patients from the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database for whom the critical pretransplant recipient values needed to calculate the MELD score were available (international normalized ratio of prothrombin time, total bilirubin, and creatinine). In these 2,565 patients, we analyzed whether the MELD score predicted graft and patient survival and length of posttransplant hospitalization.

RESULTS

In contrast with its ability to predict survival in patients with chronic liver disease awaiting liver transplant, the MELD score was found to be poor at predicting posttransplant outcome except for patients with the highest 20% of MELD scores. We developed a model with four variables not included in MELD that had greater ability to predict 3-month posttransplant patient survival, with a c-statistic of 0.65, compared with 0.54 for the pretransplant MELD score. These pretransplant variables were recipient age, mechanical ventilation, dialysis, and retransplantation. Recipients with any two of the three latter variables showed a markedly diminished posttransplant survival rate.

CONCLUSIONS

The MELD score is a relatively poor predictor of posttransplant outcome. In contrast, a model based on four pretransplant variables (recipient age, mechanical ventilation, dialysis, and retransplantation) had a better ability to predict outcome. Our results support the use of MELD for liver allocation and indicate that statistical modeling, such as reported in this article, can be used to identify futile cases in which expected outcome is too poor to justify transplantation.

Effects of treatment of hepatorenal syndrome before transplantation on posttransplantation outcome. A case-control study

BACKGROUND

Pretransplant renal function is the major determinant of survival after liver transplantation (LTx). Patients with hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) have a poor outcome after LTx compared with patients transplanted without HRS.

AIM

To analyze the impact of treatment of HRS before LTx on outcome after transplantation.

METHODS

The outcome of patients with HRS (n=9) treated with vasopressin analogues before LTx was compared with that of a contemporary control group of patients without HRS (n=27) matched by age, severity of liver failure, and type of immunosuppression.

RESULTS

Cases and controls were similar with respect to pretransplantation characteristics. Three-year survival probability was similar between the two groups (HRS-treated: 100% vs control: 83%, P=0.15). No significant differences were found between the two groups with respect to the incidence of impairment of renal function after LTx (HRS-treated: 22% vs control: 30%), severe infections (22 vs 33%), acute rejection (33 vs 41%), days in Intensive Care Unit (6+/-1 vs 8+/-1), days in hospital (27+/-4 vs 31+/-4), and transfusion requirements (11+/-3 vs 10+/-2 units).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with HRS treated with vasopressin analogues before LTx have a posttransplantation outcome similar to that of patients transplanted with normal renal function. These results suggest that HRS should be treated before LTx.

Simultaneous liver-kidney transplant for combined renal and hepatic end-stage disease

INTRODUCTION

After the first combined liver-kidney transplantation (CLKT) reported by Margreiter in 1984, it became clear that renal failure was no longer an absolute contraindication.

OBJECTIVE

Our goal was to assess our results with combined liver-kidney transplant. Among 875 liver transplants performed between May 1986 and October 2002, there were 17 cases (1.96%) of combined liver-kidney transplant.

RESULTS

With a mean follow-up of 42.2+/-29 months (range, 1-90), six patients had died (mortality: 37.5%). There were four (25%) operative in-hospital deaths, and two late mortality cases (beyond the month 6 after hospital discharge). The causes were sepsis (four cases, three postoperative and one in later follow-up), refractory heart failure (one postoperative), and recurrent liver disease (HCV-induced severe recurrence) during follow-up one). Actuarial survival (calculated for those who survived the postoperative period) was 80%, 71%, and 60% at 12, 36, and 60 months. Actuarial mean survival time was 60 months (95%IC:47-78). Neither the sex, the UNOS status, the etiology of liver disease, the etiology of renal failure, the type of hepatectomy (piggy back vs others) or the type of immunosuppression (P=.83) were related to long-term survival according to the log-rank test. A control group of 48 patients was constructed with subjects who underwent liver transplantation immediately before or after the combined transplant. A total (two cases after the CLKT and one case prior to). There were no differences in survival.

CONCLUSION

Combined liver-kidney transplant represents a proper therapeutic option for patients with simultaneously failing organs based on long- and short-term outcomes.

Analysis of the United Network for Organ Sharing database comparing renal allografts and patient survival in combined liver-kidney transplantation with the contralateral allografts in kidney alone or kidney-pancreas transplantation

BACKGROUND

Combined liver-kidney transplantation (LKT) is the accepted treatment for patients with liver failure and irreversible renal insufficiency. Controversy exists as to whether simultaneous LKT with organs from the same donor confers immunologic and graft survival benefit to the kidney allograft. This study compares the outcomes of simultaneous LKT with the contralateral kidneys used for kidney alone transplantation (KAT) or combined pancreas-kidney transplantation (PKT) to understand the factors that account for the differences in survival.

METHODS

From October 1987 to October 2001, LKTs with organs from 899 cadaver donors were reported to the United Network for Organ Sharing; 800 contralateral kidneys from these donors were used in 628 KAT and 172 PKT recipients. These 800 paired control patients were the basis of this analysis.

RESULTS

Graft and patient survival rates were lower among LKT recipients compared with KAT (P<0.001) and PKT recipients (P<0.001), because of a higher patient mortality rate during the first 3 months posttransplant. Among human leukocyte antigen-mismatched transplants, LKT recipients demonstrated the highest 1-year rejection-free survival rate (LKT 70%, KAT 61%, and PKT 57% ) (P=0.005 vs. KAT, P=0.005 vs. PKT). There was a lower incidence of renal graft loss resulting from chronic rejection among LKT recipients (LKT 2% vs. KAT 8% vs. PKT 6%, P<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients undergoing LKT exhibit a higher rate of mortality during the first year posttransplant compared with patients undergoing KAT and KPT. Analysis of the data indicates an allograft-enhancing effect of liver transplantation on the renal allograft.

Risk factors for development of acute renal failure after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

Acute renal failure (ARF) is a common complication after liver transplantation (LTx). Identification of risk factors may prevent the development and attenuate the impact of ARF on patients outcome after LTX.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of variables in the pre, intra, and postoperative periods of 92 patients submitted to LTx was performed in order to identify risk factors for development of ARF after LTx. ARF was defined as serum creatinine > or = 2.0 mg/dL in the first 30 days after LTx. Univariate and multivariate analysis by logistic regression were performed.

RESULTS

ARF group comprised 56 patients (61%). Preoperative serum creatinine was higher in ARF group. During the intraoperative period, ARF group required more blood transfusions, developed more episodes of hypotension and presented longer anesthesia time. In the postoperative period, ARF group presented higher serum bilirubin and more episodes of hypotension. Dialysis was required in 10 patients (11%). The identifled risk factors for development of ARF were: preoperative serum creatinine > 1.0 mg/dL. more than five blood transfusions in the intraoperative period, hypotension during intra and postoperative periods. The identified mortality risk factors were hypotension in the postoperative period and no recovery of renal function after 30 days.

CONCLUSIONS

Several factors are involved in the pathogenesis of ARF after LTx and may influence patients outcome and mortality. Pretransplant renal function and hemodynamic conditions in the operative and postoperative periods were identified as risk factors for development of ARF after LTx. Nonrenal function recovery and postoperative hypotension were identified as mortality risk factors after LTx.

Operative parameters that predict the outcomes of hepatic transplantation

BACKGROUND

A growing discrepancy between the number of patients awaiting liver transplantation and the number of organs available mandates the use of even marginal organ donors in whom there is major risk of suboptimal graft function. A comprehensive analysis of operative parameters on the outcomes of liver transplantation has not been reported.

STUDY DESIGN

We analyzed the impact of 24 operative variables on the survival of 942 consecutive primary liver allografts performed at a single center from June 1992 through December 1997. Univariate and Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to identify those variables with independent prognostic significance in graft survival. Resource utilization for variables with multivariate significance was also analyzed.

RESULTS

Of 12 intraoperative variables found to have significance in univariate analysis, three were significant by Cox multivariate analysis: 1) lack of immediate bile production by the graft intraoperatively, 2) platelet transfusion > or = 20 U, and 3) recipient urine output < or =2.0 mL/kg/h intraoperatively. Each of the three variables was associated with marked increases in hospital and Intensive Care Unit length of stay and hospital charges accrued during the admission for transplantation.

CONCLUSION

We identified three operative parameters that predict a poor outcome after liver transplantation. The presence of these indicators suggests that early retransplantation should be considered. Early identification of grafts likely to have poor function might also provide an opportunity for therapeutic intervention to salvage graft function.

Efficacy of lamivudine therapy for advanced liver disease in patients with precore mutant hepatitis B virus infection awaiting liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

Orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) for end-stage liver disease resulting from hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is associated with a high rate of recurrence and reduced survival. Lamivudine is effective in inhibiting HBV replication in patients with chronic hepatitis. This study evaluated the impact of lamivudine on viral suppression, liver function, and disease severity in patients awaiting OLT with HBV e-minus strain infection.

METHODS

Twenty-five patients received lamivudine (100 mg per day) from the day of listing for OLT. All patients were positive for serum HBV-DNA by polymerase chain reaction and all had a Child-Pugh score of 7 or higher.

RESULTS

Patients were followed for 12+/-9 months (mean +/- SD). Eleven underwent OLT within 13 months of treatment initiation, one died after 10 months, and one dropped out after 3 months. After 3, 6, and 9 months, HBV-DNA by polymerase chain reaction was undetectable in 14 of 25, 14 of 20, and 13 of 15 patients, respectively. Two patients developed lamivudine resistance after 9 and 18 months of treatment, respectively, without liver decompensation. Comparing baseline to last visit data, a significant improvement in prothrombin activity (43+/-15% vs. 52+/-19%; P=0.0014), serum bilirubin (3.4+/-1.9 vs. 2.5+/-2.2 mg/dL; P=0.0007), serum albumin (3.3+/-0.3 vs. 3.6+/-0.5 g/dL; P=0.0278), presence of ascites (15/25 vs. 7/25; P=0.0047), and Child-Pugh score (9 vs. 8; P=0.0003) was observed. Because of liver function improvement, four patients were placed on low priority status for OLT (United Network of Organ Sharing 3) and 9 on inactive status (United Network of Organ Sharing 7). The overall probability of survival at 6 and 12 months was 100% and 90.9%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Lamivudine has an important role in patients with end-stage liver disease caused by HBV precore mutant strain. Not only does HBV-DNA suppression allow patients to be eligible for OLT, but the improvement of the patients' clinical status may delay the need for OLT in an era of organ shortage.

Pretransplant model to predict posttransplant survival in liver transplant patients

OBJECTIVE

To develop a prognostic model that determines patient survival outcomes after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) using readily available pretransplant variables.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

The current liver organ allocation system strongly favors organ distribution to critically ill recipients who exhibit poor survival outcomes following OLT. A severely limited organ resource, increasing waiting list deaths, and rising numbers of critically ill recipients mandate an organ allocation system that balances disease severity with survival outcomes. Such goals can be realized only through the development of prognostic models that predict survival following OLT.

METHODS

Variables that may affect patient survival following OLT were analyzed in hepatitis C (HCV) recipients at the authors' center, since HCV is the most common indication for OLT. The resulting patient survival model was examined and refined in HCV and non-HCV patients in the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database. Kaplan-Meier methods, univariate comparisons, and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression were employed for analyses.

RESULTS

Variables identified by multivariate analysis as independent predictors for patient survival following primary transplantation of adult HCV recipients in the last 10 years at the authors' center were entered into a prognostic survival model to predict patient survival. Accordingly, mortality was predicted by 0.0293 (recipient age) + 1.085 (log10 recipient creatinine) + 0.289 (donor female gender) + 0.675 urgent UNOS - 1.612 (log10 recipient creatinine times urgent UNOS). The above variables, in addition to donor age, total bilirubin, prothrombin time (PT), retransplantation, and warm and cold ischemia times, were applied to the UNOS database. Of the 46,942 patients transplanted over the last 10 years, 25,772 patients had complete data sets. An eight-factor model that accurately predicted survival was derived. Accordingly, the mortality index posttransplantation = 0.0084 donor age + 0.019 recipient age + 0.816 log creatinine + 0.0044 warm ischemia (in minutes) + 0.659 (if second transplant) + 0.10 log bilirubin + 0.0087 PT + 0.01 cold ischemia (in hours). Thus, this model is applicable to first or second liver transplants. Patient survival rates based on model-predicted risk scores for death and observed posttransplant survival rates were similar. Additionally, the model accurately predicted survival outcomes for HCV and non-HCV patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Posttransplant patient survival can be accurately predicted based on eight straightforward factors. The balanced application of a model for liver transplant survival estimate, in addition to disease severity, as estimated by the model for end-stage liver disease, would markedly improve survival outcomes and maximize patients' benefits following OLT.

Pretransplant model to predict posttransplant survival in liver transplant patients

OBJECTIVE

To develop a prognostic model that determines patient survival outcomes after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) using readily available pretransplant variables.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

The current liver organ allocation system strongly favors organ distribution to critically ill recipients who exhibit poor survival outcomes following OLT. A severely limited organ resource, increasing waiting list deaths, and rising numbers of critically ill recipients mandate an organ allocation system that balances disease severity with survival outcomes. Such goals can be realized only through the development of prognostic models that predict survival following OLT.

METHODS

Variables that may affect patient survival following OLT were analyzed in hepatitis C (HCV) recipients at the authors' center, since HCV is the most common indication for OLT. The resulting patient survival model was examined and refined in HCV and non-HCV patients in the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database. Kaplan-Meier methods, univariate comparisons, and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression were employed for analyses.

RESULTS

Variables identified by multivariate analysis as independent predictors for patient survival following primary transplantation of adult HCV recipients in the last 10 years at the authors' center were entered into a prognostic survival model to predict patient survival. Accordingly, mortality was predicted by 0.0293 (recipient age) + 1.085 (log10 recipient creatinine) + 0.289 (donor female gender) + 0.675 urgent UNOS - 1.612 (log10 recipient creatinine times urgent UNOS). The above variables, in addition to donor age, total bilirubin, prothrombin time (PT), retransplantation, and warm and cold ischemia times, were applied to the UNOS database. Of the 46,942 patients transplanted over the last 10 years, 25,772 patients had complete data sets. An eight-factor model that accurately predicted survival was derived. Accordingly, the mortality index posttransplantation = 0.0084 donor age + 0.019 recipient age + 0.816 log creatinine + 0.0044 warm ischemia (in minutes) + 0.659 (if second transplant) + 0.10 log bilirubin + 0.0087 PT + 0.01 cold ischemia (in hours). Thus, this model is applicable to first or second liver transplants. Patient survival rates based on model-predicted risk scores for death and observed posttransplant survival rates were similar. Additionally, the model accurately predicted survival outcomes for HCV and non-HCV patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Posttransplant patient survival can be accurately predicted based on eight straightforward factors. The balanced application of a model for liver transplant survival estimate, in addition to disease severity, as estimated by the model for end-stage liver disease, would markedly improve survival outcomes and maximize patients' benefits following OLT.

Pretransplant renal function predicts survival in patients undergoing orthotopic liver transplantation

The objective of this study was to determine the impact of pretransplant renal function on graft and patient survival rates after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) using the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database for adults who underwent OLT between 1988 and 1996. Based on calculated creatinine clearance (CCr) at the time of OLT, patients were classified arbitrarily into those with normal renal function (>70 mL/min) and mild (40-69.9 mL/min), moderate (20-39.9 mL/min), and severe (<20 mL/min) renal insufficiency. Of the 20,281 patients who underwent transplantation, complete data were available for 19,261 patients. Of these, 12,778 (67%) had normal CCr (mean, 118 +/- 50 mL/min) and 4,419 (22%) had mild (56 +/- 8.5 mL/min), 1,560 (8%) had moderate (30 +/- 5.7 mL/min), and 504 (3%) had severe (14 +/- 3.6 mL/min) renal failure. UNOS status 1 was more common in patients with moderate and severe renal failure. Primary graft nonfunction and 30-day mortality rates were higher and 1-, 2-, and 5-year graft and patient survival rates were lower in patients with moderate or severe renal failure. Multiple regression analysis showed that renal failure was an independent predictor of 30-day and 2-year mortality after adjusting for the recipient's age, sex, etiology of liver disease, diabetes status, body mass index, cold ischemic time, and UNOS status. CCr less than 40 mL/min was associated with significantly lower short-term and long-term graft and patient survival rates. In conclusion, our findings suggest that when Mayo End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score is used to prioritize organ allocation, lower-than-expected graft and patient survival rates may be seen.

Identification of patients best suited for combined liver-kidney transplantation: part II

Liver-kidney transplantation (LKT) should be reserved for those recipients with primary disease affecting both organs. However, increasing transplant list waiting times have increased the development and duration of acute renal failure before liver transplantation. Furthermore, the need for posttransplant calcineurin inhibitors can render healing from acute renal failure difficult. Because of the increasing requests for and controversy over the topic of a kidney with a liver transplant (OLT) when complete failure of the kidney is not known, the following article will review the impact of renal failure on liver transplant outcome, treatment of peri-OLT renal failure, rejection rates after LKT, survival after LKT, and information on renal histology and progression of disease into the beginnings of an algorithm for making a decision about combined LKT.

Preoperative factors associated with outcome and their impact on resource use in 1148 consecutive primary liver transplants

BACKGROUND

Hepatic transplantation is a highly effective but costly treatment for end-stage hepatic dysfunction. One approach to improve efficiency in the use of scarce organs for transplantation is to identify preoperative factors that are associated with poor outcome posttransplantation. This may assist both in selecting patients optimal for transplantation and in identifying strategies to improve survival.

METHODS

In the present work, we retrospectively reviewed consecutive liver transplants performed at the University of California at Los Angeles during a 6-year period and determined preoperative variables that were associated with outcome in primary grafts. In addition, we used the hospital's cost accounting database to determine the impact of these variables on the degree of resource use by high-risk patients.

RESULTS

We found five variables to have independent prognostic value in predicting graft survival after primary liver transplantation: (1) donor age, (2) recipient age, (3) donor sodium, (4) recipient creatinine, and (5) recipient ventilator requirement pretransplant. Recipient ventilator requirement and elevated creatinine were associated with significant increases in resource use during the transplant admission.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients at high risk for graft failure and costly transplants can be identified preoperatively by a set of parameters that are readily available, noninvasive, and inexpensive. Selection of recipients on the basis of these data would improve the efficiency of liver transplantation and reduce its cost.

A 10-year experience of liver transplantation for hepatitis C: analysis of factors determining outcome in over 500 patients

OBJECTIVE

To determine the factors affecting the outcome of orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) for end-stage liver disease caused by hepatitis C virus (HCV) and to identify models that predict patient and graft survival.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

The national epidemic of HCV infection has become the leading cause of hepatic failure that requires OLT. Rapidly increasing demands for OLT and depleted donor organ pools mandate appropriate selection of patients and donors. Such selection should be guided by a better understanding of the factors that influence the outcome of OLT.

METHODS

The authors conducted a retrospective review of 510 patients who underwent OLT for HCV during the past decade. Seven donor, 10 recipient, and 2 operative variables that may affect outcome were dichotomized at the median for univariate screening. Factors that achieved a probability value less than 0.2 or that were thought to be relevant were entered into a stepdown Cox proportional hazard regression model.

RESULTS

Overall patient and graft survival rates at 1, 5, and 10 years were 84%, 68%, and 60% and 73%, 56%, and 49%, respectively. Overall median time to HCV recurrence was 34 months after transplantation. Neither HCV recurrence nor HCV-positive donor status significantly decreased patient and graft survival rates by Kaplan-Meier analysis. However, use of HCV-positive donors reduced the median time of recurrence to 22.9 months compared with 35.7 months after transplantation of HCV-negative livers. Stratification of patients into five subgroups, based on time of recurrence, revealed that early HCV recurrence was associated with significantly increased rates of patient death and graft loss. Donor, recipient, and operative variables that may affect OLT outcome were analyzed. On univariate analysis, recipient age, serum creatinine, donor length of hospital stay, donor female gender, United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) status of recipient, and presence of hepatocellular cancer affected the outcome of OLT. Elevation of pretransplant HCV RNA was associated with an increased risk of graft loss. Of 15 variables considered by multivariate Cox regression analysis, recipient age, UNOS status, donor gender, and log creatinine were simultaneous significant predictors for patient survival. Simultaneously significant factors for graft failure included log creatinine, log alanine transaminase, log aspartate transaminase, UNOS status, donor gender, and warm ischemia time. These variables were therefore entered into prognostic models for patient and graft survival.

CONCLUSION

The earlier the recurrence of HCV, the greater the impact on patient and graft survival. The use of HCV-positive donors may accelerate HCV recurrence, and they should be used judiciously. Patient survival at the time of transplantation is predicted by donor gender, UNOS status, serum creatinine, and recipient age. Graft survival is affected by donor gender, warm ischemia time, and pretransplant patient condition. The authors' current survival prognostic models require further multicenter validation.

A prognostic model for predicting survival in cirrhosis with ascites

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Parameters evaluating renal function and systemic hemodynamics are of prognostic significance in cirrhosis with ascites but are rarely used in the evaluation of survival of these patients. The aim of the current study was to develop a prognostic model to estimate survival of patients with cirrhosis and ascites.

METHODS

216 Cirrhotic patients admitted to hospital for the treatment of ascites were evaluated. Thirty-two demographic, clinical and laboratory variables, including parameters assessing liver and renal function and systemic hemodynamics, were analyzed as predictive factors of survival by using a Cox regression model.

RESULTS

Four variables had independent prognostic value: renal water excretion, as assessed by measuring diuresis after water load, mean arterial pressure, Child-Pugh class, and serum creatinine. According to these features a prognostic index was calculated that allows to estimate survival in patients with cirrhosis and ascites. The model accurately predicted survival in an independent series of 84 patients with cirrhosis and ascites.

CONCLUSION

A prognostic model that uses four easily available variables and predicts prognosis in cirrhotic patients with ascites has been developed. This model may be useful in the evaluation of patients with ascites for liver transplantation.

Liver transplantation of patients in end-stage cirrhosis

The success of liver transplantation has resulted in its widespread use for end-stage liver disease; 1- and 5-year survival rates of 70-90% and 60-80% respectively have been reported. Indications for assessment for liver transplantation are now evidence-based and early referral is recommended, correlating with improved patient survival. The management of patients on the waiting list for liver transplantation is designed to prevent complications of liver disease and to avoid therapeutic misadventures. Following transplantation, rejection and infection dominate post-operative complications, and improvements in their prevention and treatment have also correlated with improved patient survival. The development and introduction into clinical practice of a variety of immunosuppressive agents has offered a bewildering array of therapeutic options but with a lack of evidence on which to select optimal immunosuppression. Similarly, difficulties remain in the treatment of some of the complications arising from liver transplantation such as recurrence of disease and complications of immunosuppression.

The patient at risk for acute renal failure. Recognition, prevention, and preoperative optimization

Despite major advances in critical care medicine and extracorporeal renal support, the treatment of established postoperative ARF remains unsatisfactory and costly. The essential elements of perioperative renal preservation are early recognition of high-risk patients, preoperative optimization of fluid status and cardiovascular performance, intraoperative maintenance of renal perfusion, and avoidance of nephrotoxins. Pharmacologic interventions directed at preventing postoperative ARF are under intense investigation but presently are limited to renal transplant surgery.

The kidney in liver transplantation

Early recognition and determination of the cause of renal failure in patients with ESLD can be difficult because of the potential interplay among various factors and the wide array of differential diagnoses. A systematic approach, however, assists clinicians to identify common and potentially reversible causes of ARF. It is crucial to distinguish patients with functional renal failure, such as HRS, from those with advanced irreversible renal disease. Isolated liver transplantation is the treatment of choice for the former, and CLKT may be a therapeutic option for the latter. Because of the ever-increasing shortage of donor organs, CLKT must be used judiciously. Kidney biopsy may resolve diagnostic dilemmas. Management of renal complications post-OLT remains a challenge for the physician caring for transplant patients. Modification of nephrotoxic immunosuppressive regimens to avoid postoperative ARF/CRI has met with variable results. Azathioprine has been used in place of cyclosporine. Therapy with polyclonal antilymphocyte preparations or anti-OKT3 monoclonal antibodies (Orthoclone) should be reserved for patients with delayed graft function and for the treatment of acute rejection. The routine use of these agents as prophylactic therapy is not recommended. Data on the impact of renal insufficiency on patient and allograft outcome are inconsistent. Nonetheless, the authors' literature review suggests that renal failure associated with sepsis and, except for patients with HRS, renal failure requiring dialysis are the most consistent features associated with a worse outcome. The need for preoperative or postoperative dialysis has no adverse effect on survival in patients with HRS. On long-term follow-up, despite a greater percentage of patients reaching ESRD in patients with HRS compared with their non-HRS counterparts, the overall outcome in patients with HRS following OLT is favorable. In patients with HRS requiring prolonged dialysis (i.e., greater than 4 weeks), however, irreversible renal failure may develop, necessitating CLKT. Ideally, timely referral of patients for OLT may avoid this complication and obviate the need for double organ transplantation.

Factors predicting perioperative cytokine response in patients undergoing liver transplantation

OBJECTIVES

An exaggerated production of proinflammatory cytokines during liver transplantation stimulates the inflammatory process within the graft, and eventually promotes liver failure. This study was conducted to evaluate factors predicting perioperative response of proinflammatory cytokines during liver transplantation.

DESIGN

Prospective, consecutive entry study of liver transplant candidates.

SETTING

University hospital.

PATIENTS

Thirty liver transplant recipients.

INTERVENTIONS

Arterial blood samples were obtained perioperatively.

MEASUREMENTS

Interleukin (IL)-1beta, IL-6, tumor necrosis factor-alpha were measured by ELISA. Endotoxin was determined by a chromogenic endotoxin-specific method.

MAIN RESULTS

The peak concentrations of IL-1beta and IL-6 in the patients with complications were significantly higher than those in the patients without complications. The peak concentration of IL-1beta was significantly correlated with the level of bilirubin at admission and the intraoperative blood product requirement. The peak concentration of IL-6 was significantly correlated with the admission bilirubin and the intraoperative blood product requirement. A multivariate regression model revealed that the serum bilirubin and the intraoperative blood product requirement were the independent factors that influenced the peak concentration of IL-1beta or IL-6. The severely jaundiced patients had a significantly higher plasma concentration of endotoxin at the end of the anhepatic phase. In addition, there was a tendency for these patients to have a higher postoperative peak concentration of endotoxin.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum level of bilirubin may be a potent preoperative factor influencing perioperative cytokine response in patients undergoing liver transplantation. An enhanced perioperative response of endotoxin seen in severely jaundiced patients suggests the clinical implication of endotoxin removal during the anhepatic phase in liver transplant surgery.

Hepatorenal failure

Since the description of HRS more than 100 years ago, significant advances have been made in understanding the pathophysiology of HRS and in the management of these patients. There is now a therapeutic armamentarium: medical (ornipressin plus plasma volume expansion), radiographic (TIPS shunt), and surgical (liver transplantation). The diagnosis of HRS is no longer synonymous with a death sentence; instead, it is a therapeutic challenge, and a coordinated approach by intensivists, hepatologists, nephrologists, interventional radiologists, and transplant surgeons is needed to continue to improve the prognosis of cirrhotic patients presenting with HRS. Increased understanding of HRS will allow preventative rather than therapeutic measures to be used. As in all fields of medicine, these advances will come only with innovative clinical investigation.