The Addition of C-Reactive Protein and von Willebrand Factor to Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium Improves Prediction of Waitlist Mortality

Developing a nomogram for forecasting the 28-day mortality rate of individuals with bleeding esophageal varices using MELD scores

BACKGROUND

The goal is to create a nomogram using the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) that can better predict the risk of 28-day mortality in patients with bleeding esophageal varices.

METHODS

Data on patients with bleeding esophageal varices were gathered retrospectively from the marketplace for medical information in intensive care (MIMIC) database. Variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-Logistic regression, then used to construct a prognostic nomogram. The nomogram was evaluated against the MELD model through various methods including receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, calibration plotting, net reclassification improvement (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and decision-curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

A total of 280 patients were included in the study. Patient's use of vasopressin and norepinephrine, respiratory rate (RR), temperature, mean corpuscular volume (MCV), and MELD score were included in the nomogram. The area under the curve (AUC), NRI, IDI, and DCA of the nomogram showed that it performs better than the MELD alone.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram was created that outperformed the MELD score in forecasting the risk of 28-day mortality in individuals with bleeding esophageal varices.

Hematological ratios in patients with acute decompensation and acute-on-chronic liver failure: prognostic factors

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is the most severe form of acutely decompensated cirrhosis and is characterized by the presence of intense systemic inflammation. Leucocyte quantification can serve as an indirect indicator of systemic inflammation. In our study, we investigated the predictive value of hematological ratios (neutrophils to lymphocytes, monocyte to lymphocytes, platelets to lymphocytes, lymphocytes to C-reactive protein, and neutrophils to lymphocytes and platelets) in acute decompensation (AD) and ACLF patients and their relation to disease severity and early mortality.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We included 60 patients with ACLF and AD, and 30 cirrhotic controls. Clinical data were collected, and survival was followed for 1 and 6 months. Blood samples were analyzed at admission for differential leucocytes and assessed for liver and renal function tests. The leukocyte ratios were calculated and compared, and their correlation with liver function indicators and prognosis was assessed.

RESULTS

All ratios were significantly higher in AD and ACLF patients compared to control (except for lymphocyte to C-reactive protein ratio which was significantly lower), and were positively correlated with Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD)-Na, and ACLF severity scores. Multivariate regression revealed that neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, monocyte to lymphocyte ratio, and MELD-Na were independent prognostic factors of 1-month and 6-month mortality. A unique prognostic nomogram incorporating MELD-Na, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, and monocyte to lymphocyte ratio could be proposed for predicting prognosis in AD and ACLF patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Cheap, easy, and noninvasive hematological ratios are introduced as a tool for early identification and risk stratification of AD and ACLF patients.

Von Willebrand Factor Antigen Improves Risk Stratification for Patients with a Diagnosis of Resectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF), complications of portal hypertension, and disease recurrence determine the outcome for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing liver resection. This study aimed to evaluate the von Willebrand factor antigen (vWF-Ag) as a non-invasive test for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) and a predictive biomarker for time to recurrence (TTR) and overall survival (OS).

METHODS

The study recruited 72 HCC patients with detailed preoperative workup from a prospective trial (NCT02118545) and followed for complications, TTR, and OS. Additionally, 163 compensated patients with resectable HCC were recruited to evaluate vWF-Ag cutoffs for ruling out or ruling in CSPH. Finally, vWF-Ag cutoffs were prospectively evaluated in an external validation cohort of 34 HCC patients undergoing liver resection.

RESULTS

In receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses, vWF-Ag (area under the curve [AUC], 0.828) was similarly predictive of PHLF as indocyanine green clearance (disappearance rate: AUC, 0.880; retention rate: AUC, 0.894), whereas computation of future liver remnant was inferior (AUC, 0.756). Cox-regression showed an association of vWF-Ag with TTR (per 10%: hazard ratio [HR], 1.056; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.017-1.097) and OS (per 10%: HR, 1.067; 95% CI 1.022-1.113). In the analyses, VWF-Ag yielded an AUC of 0.824 for diagnosing CSPH, with a vWF-Ag of 182% or lower ruling out and higher than 291% ruling in CSPH. Therefore, a highest-risk group (> 291%, 9.7% of patients) with a 57.1% incidence of PHLF was identified, whereas no patient with a vWF-Ag of 182% or lower (52.7%) experienced PHLF. The predictive value of vWF-Ag for PHLF and OS was externally validated.

CONCLUSION

For patients with resectable HCC, VWF-Ag allows for simplified preoperative risk stratification. Patients with vWF-Ag levels higher than 291% might be considered for alternative treatments, whereas vWF-Ag levels of 182% or lower identify patients best suited for surgery.

Von Willebrand factor for outcome prediction within different clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The prognostic performance of von Willebrand factor (VWF) may vary across clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Therefore, we investigated the evolution of VWF and other biomarkers throughout the full ACLD spectrum and evaluated their stage-specific prognostic utility.

METHODS

We retrospectively included Viennese ACLD patients with available information on hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), C-reactive protein (CRP)/VWF levels and outcomes. ACLD stages were defined according to D'Amico et al. We included an external validation cohort from Padua.

RESULTS

We observed gradual increases in VWF throughout ACLD stages. In contrast, HVPG levelled off in decompensated ACLD (dACLD), whereas MELD showed only minor changes in the early stages and CRP did not increase until stage 3. VWF was associated with hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in compensated ACLD (cACLD) in a fully adjusted model, while it was not independently predictive of ACLF/liver-related death in dACLD. After backward selection, HVPG/CRP/VWF remained the main predictors of hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in cACLD. Notably, the performance of the non-invasive CRP/VWF-based model was comparable to invasive HVPG-based models (C-index:0.765 ± 0.034 vs. 0.756 ± 0.040). The discriminative ability of the CRP/VWF-based model was confirmed in an external validation cohort using another VWF assay which yielded systematically lower values.

CONCLUSION

VWF is the only biomarker that gradually increases across all ACLD stages. It is of particular prognostic value in cACLD, where a CRP/VWF-based model is equivalent to an invasive HVPG-based model. Systematic differences in VWF underline the importance of interlaboratory surveys. Moreover, our findings reinforce the notion that, already in cACLD, inflammation is a key disease-driving mechanism.

Serum/Plasma Proteome in Non-Malignant Liver Disease

The liver is the central metabolic organ and produces 85-90% of the proteins found in plasma. Accordingly, the plasma proteome is an attractive source of liver disease biomarkers that reflects the different cell types present in this organ, as well as the processes such as responses to acute and chronic injury or the formation of an extracellular matrix. In the first part, we summarize the biomarkers routinely used in clinical evaluations and their biological relevance in the different stages of non-malignant liver disease. Later, we describe the current proteomic approaches, including mass spectrometry and affinity-based techniques, that allow a more comprehensive assessment of the liver function but also require complex data processing. The many approaches of analysis and interpretation and their potential caveats are delineated. While these advances hold the promise to transform our understanding of liver diseases and support the development and validation of new liver-related drugs, an interdisciplinary collaboration is needed.

Integration of deep learning-based histopathology and transcriptomics reveals key genes associated with fibrogenesis in patients with advanced NASH

Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is the most common chronic liver disease globally and a leading cause for liver transplantation in the US. Its pathogenesis remains imprecisely defined. We combined two high-resolution modalities to tissue samples from NASH clinical trials, machine learning (ML)-based quantification of histological features and transcriptomics, to identify genes that are associated with disease progression and clinical events. A histopathology-driven 5-gene expression signature predicted disease progression and clinical events in patients with NASH with F3 (pre-cirrhotic) and F4 (cirrhotic) fibrosis. Notably, the Notch signaling pathway and genes implicated in liver-related diseases were enriched in this expression signature. In a validation cohort where pharmacologic intervention improved disease histology, multiple Notch signaling components were suppressed.

Portal vein thrombosis compromises the performance of MELD and MELD-Na scores in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The accuracy of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and MELD with sodium (MELD-Na) scores in reflecting the clinical outcomes of patients with cirrhosis and portal vein thrombosis (PVT) remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of scores in predicting 90-day mortality in patients with cirrhosis and PVT.

METHODS

Post hoc analysis was performed in two prospective cohorts (NCT02457637 and NCT03641872). The correlation between the MELD/MELD-Na score and 90-day liver transplantation (LT)-free mortality was investigated in patients with cirrhosis with and without PVT.

RESULTS

In this study, 2826 patients with cirrhosis were included, and 255 (9.02%) had PVT. The cumulative incidence of 90-day LT-free mortality did not significantly differ between patients with and without PVT (log-rank P = 0.0854). MELD [area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC), 0.649 vs. 0.842; P = 0.0036] and MELD-Na scores (AUROC, 0.691 vs. 0.851; P = 0.0108) were compared in patients with and without PVT, regarding the prediction of 90-day LT-free mortality. In MELD < 15 and MELD-Na < 20 subgroups, patients with PVT had a higher 90-day LT-free mortality than those without PVT (7.91% vs. 2.64%, log-rank P = 0.0011; 7.14% vs. 3.43%, log-rank P = 0.0223), whereas in MELD ≥ 15 and MELD-Na ≥ 20 subgroups, no significant difference was observed between patients with and without PVT.

CONCLUSIONS

The performance of MELD and MELD-Na scores in predicting 90-day LT-free mortality of patients with cirrhosis was compromised by PVT. MELD < 15 or MELD-Na < 20 may underestimate the 90-day LT-free mortality in patients with PVT.

Clinical significance of substantially elevated von Willebrand factor antigen levels in patients with advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Von Willebrand factor antigen (VWF) is a non-invasive marker for clinically significant portal hypertension (HVPG≥10 mmHg) and confers HVPG-independent prognostic information. While quantification of increased VWF-levels is not relevant in the context of von Willebrand disease, highly elevated VWF may be of clinical significance in ACLD. Thus, we have modified our analytical approach to quantify very high VWF-levels (i.e.,>420%) and investigated their prognostic value.

METHODS

Patients undergoing HVPG-measurement at the Vienna Hepatic Hemodynamic Lab with evidence of ACLD and information on VWF were considered. Clinical stages (CS) were defined as follows: Probable compensated ACLD (cACLD): LSM≥10kPa&HVPG<6 mmHg; 0: cACLD&6-9 mmHg; 1: cACLD&HVPG≥10 mmHg; 2: bleeding; 3: non-bleeding decompensation; 4: ≥2 decompensations.

RESULTS

124 (16%) of 793 patients had VWF>420%. The proportion of VWF>420% increased with disease severity (probable cACLD-0: 5(4%) vs. 1: 22(10%) vs. 2-4: 97(23%),p ≤ 0.001) as well as across HVPG (<6mmHg: 1(2%) vs. 6-9: 6(6%) vs. 10-15: 17(9%) vs. ≥16: 100(22%),p ≤ 0.001) and MELD (<10: 17(6%) vs. 10-14: 27(10%) vs. ≥15: 79(32%),p ≤ 0.001) strata. In patients with VWF>420%, median VWF was 533 (IQR:466-611)% and VWF was unrelated to HVPG (Spearman's ρ=0.139,p = 0.123), but showed direct correlations of weak/moderate strength with MELD (ρ=0.336,p < 0.001) and CRP (ρ=0.286,p = 0.001). In the subgroup with VWF>420%, VWF was predictive of decompensation/liver-related mortality (VWF per 10%; hazard ratio (HR): 1.02(95% confidence interval (95%CI): 1.01-1.04),p = 0.008, even after adjusting for other factors (VWF per 10%; adjusted HR: 1.02(95%CI: 1.00-1.05),p = 0.031).

CONCLUSION

The proportion of patients with substantially elevated VWF values steadily increases with disease progression. While VWF is not reflective of HVPG in these patients, it is correlated with hepatic dysfunction and systemic inflammation. Importantly, quantification of high values provides prognostic information.

Long-term albumin treatment in patients with cirrhosis and ascites

Although proposed for the first time several decades ago, the possibility that long-term human albumin could be effective for the treatment of patients with cirrhosis and ascites has become a topic of scientific and clinical discussion in the last decade. Long-term albumin administration represents a completely different treatment perspective compared to acute or short-term uses of albumin. Results from the ANSWER and the MACHT studies indicate that long-term albumin treatment can be effective, safe and able to modify the course of the disease provided that albumin is given at a sufficient dose and for a sufficient time to restore physiological levels and functions of the circulating molecule, which are compromised, at least partially, in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Further clinical studies and randomised trials are warranted to confirm the clinical benefits of long-term albumin therapy. Important areas for further research include determining the precise target population, the biomarkers of response, the optimal dose and frequency of albumin infusions, the stopping rules, and the cost-effectiveness of treatment in different healthcare systems across the world, particularly in those where the logistical issues and costs related to the periodic intravenous infusions may represent an important limitation to the implementation of this innovative approach in clinical practice. In this review, we will critically analyse the available data on long-term albumin treatment, focusing on the differences that exist between studies, the controversial issues and the future perspectives.

Characteristics of acute kidney injury and its impact on outcome in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

OBJECTIVE

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and life-threatening complication of liver failure. The purpose of this study is to construct a nomogram and online calculator to predict the development of hospital-acquired acute kidney injury (HA-AKI) in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), which may contribute to the prognosis of ACLF.

METHODS

574 ACLF patients were evaluated retrospectively. AKI was defined by criteria proposed by International Club of Ascites (ICA) and divided into community-acquired and hospital-acquired AKI (CA-AKI and HA-AKI). The difference between CA-AKI and HA-AKI, factors associated with development into and recovered from AKI periods. The risk factors were identified and nomograms were developed to predict the morbidity of HA-AKI in patients with ACLF.

RESULTS

Among 574 patients, 217(37.8%) patients had AKI, CA-AKI and HA-AKI were 56 (25.8%) and 161 (74.2%) respectively. The multivariate logistic regression model (KP-AKI) for predicting the occurrence of HA-AKI were age, gastrointestinal bleeding, bacterial infections, albumin, total bilirubin, blood urea nitrogen and prothrombin time. The AUROC of the KP-AKI in internal and external validations were 0.747 and 0.759, respectively. Among 217 AKI patients, 81(37.3%), 96(44.2%) and 40(18.4%) patients were with ICA-AKI stage progression, regression and fluctuated in-situ, respectively. The 90-day mortality of patients with AKI was 55.3% higher than non-AKI patients 21.6%. The 90-day mortality of patients with progression of AKI was 88.9%, followed by patients with fluctuated in-situ 40% and regression of AKI 33.3%.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram constructed by KP-AKI can be conveniently and accurately in predicting the development of HA-AKI, and AKI can increase the 90-day mortality significantly in ACLF patients. Trial registration Chinese clinical trials registry: ChiCTR1900021539.

Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D and C-reactive protein and plasma von Willebrand concentrations in 23 dogs with chronic hepatopathies

BACKGROUND

Serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)VD) and C-reactive protein (CRP) and von Willebrand's factor (vWF) concentration correlate with histopathologic disease grade and stage in chronic inflammatory and fibrotic hepatopathies (CH) in humans.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate serum 25(OH)VD and serum CRP concentrations and plasma vWF concentration and determine if they correlate with histopathologic and biochemical variables in dog with CH.

ANIMALS

Twenty-three client-owned dogs with a histopathologic diagnosis of CH were prospectively enrolled.

METHODS

Blood samples were collected before liver biopsy. Correlations between biomarkers and clinical pathological and histopathologic variables were evaluated using Pearson's or Spearman's test.

RESULTS

Serum 25(OH)VD concentration (median, 213 nmol/L; range, 42-527 nmol/L) was negatively correlated with serum aspartate aminotransferase activity (AST; rho = -0.59, P < .01), polymorphonuclear neutrophil count (PMN; r = -0.46, P < .05), and positively correlated with serum albumin concentration (r = 0.69, P < .001). Serum CRP concentration (median, 7.4 μg/L; range, 1-44.9 μg/L) was positively correlated with overall histopathologic necroinflammatory activity (r = 0.78, P < .001) and fibrosis score (rho = 0.49, P < .05). Plasma vWF concentration (median, 73.3%; range, 15-141%) was positively correlated with fibrosis score (r = 0.53, P < .05) and prothrombin time (rho = 0.67, P < .01), and negatively correlated with serum albumin concentration (r = -0.73, P < .001).

CONCLUSION AND CLINICAL IMPORTANCE

In dogs with CH, serum 25(OH)VD concentration was negatively correlated with disease activity, whereas serum CRP concentration and plasma vWF concentration were positively correlated with histopathologic grade and stage. Our results provide preliminary evidence that these biomarkers may be useful to assess grade and stage of CH in dogs in the absence of liver biopsy.

Factor VIII/protein C ratio independently predicts liver-related events but does not indicate a hypercoagulable state in ACLD

BACKGROUND & AIMS

It has been suggested that the ratio of procoagulant factor VIII to anticoagulant protein C (FVIII/PC) reflects the hemostatic equilibrium. Moreover, FVIII/PC predicted decompensation/death in a small study not accounting for portal hypertension severity. We investigated (i) the prognostic value of FVIII/PC (outcome-cohort) and (ii) whether FVIII/PC reflects the hypercoagulable state (assessed by thrombomodulin-modified thrombin generation assay [TM-TGA]) or the risk of bleeding/thrombotic events in patients undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement during follow-up.

METHODS

(i) The outcome-cohort comprised 576 patients with evidence of advanced chronic liver disease (liver stiffness measurement ≥10 kPa and/or HVPG ≥6 mmHg). (ii) TM-TGA-cohort patients (n = 142) were recruited from the prospective VIenna CIrrhosis Study (VICIS: NCT03267615).

RESULTS

(i) FVIII/PC significantly increased across clinical stages (p <0.001) as well as HVPG (p <0.001) and MELD score (p <0.001) strata and remained independently associated with decompensation/liver-related death (adjusted hazard ratio 1.06; 95% CI 1.01-1.11; p = 0.013), even after multivariable adjustment. It was also associated with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) development (adjusted hazard ratio 1.10; 95% CI 1.02-1.19; p = 0.015) in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. (ii) FVIII/PC showed a weak positive correlation with endogenous thrombin potential (Spearman's ρ = 0.255; p = 0.002), but this association disappeared after adjusting for the severity of liver disease. FVIII/PC was not associated with the development of bleeding (p = 0.272) or thrombotic events (p = 0.269). However, FVIII/PC correlated with biomarkers of different pathophysiological mechanisms that promote liver disease progression.

CONCLUSION

FVIII/PC provides prognostic information regarding hepatic decompensation/death and ACLF, independently of established prognostic indicators. However, this is not evidence that hypercoagulability drives disease progression, as the correlation between FVIII/PC and thrombin generation is confounded by liver disease severity and FVIII/PC was not associated with thrombosis. Therefore, FVIII/PC does not reflect coagulation and results from previous studies on FVIII/PC require re-interpretation.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

NCT03267615 (in part).

LAY SUMMARY

A balanced coagulation system is essential for preventing bleeding episodes and blood clot formation (thrombosis). Blood of patients with advanced liver disease may have increased coagulation potential, possibly promoting the worsening of liver disease via thrombosis in the blood vessels of the liver. The ratio between the results of 2 blood tests (procoagulant factor VIII to anticoagulant protein C) has been suggested to reflect these increases in coagulation potential. Our study demonstrates, on the one hand, that this ratio is a versatile predictor of the development of complications of cirrhosis, yet on the other hand, that it is unrelated to coagulation.

Recognizing Dysfunctional Innate and Adaptive Immune Responses Contributing to Liver Damage in Patients With Cirrhosis

The human host immune system wards off attacks by enemies such as viruses by mounting an inflammatory response which may sometimes injure self-tissues. Dysfunctional immune/inflammatory response by the host may affect the functioning of vital organs. The largest number of innate immune cells in the body resides in the liver. On encountering a new insult or injury to the liver, the innate immune system responds quickly to counter it. Acute liver insults may trigger acute liver failure or acute on chronic liver failure; these disorders are associated with a predominant innate immune response. Activation of the reticuloendothelial system (part of the innate immune response) predicts short-term and medium-term survival in patients with acute on chronic liver failure. Liver diseases associated with an aberrant adaptive immune response like autoimmune hepatitis respond well to treatment with steroids and other immunosuppressants, while those associated with innate immune dysfunction like acute on chronic liver failure do not respond well to steroids; recent reports suggest that the latter disorders may respond to therapeutic plasma exchange. How does the immune system in a patient with liver disease respond to SARS CoV2 infection? While commonly used tests in routine clinical practice provide clues to activation of different arms of immune response in patients with cirrhosis, specialized tests may help characterize this further. This review discusses the tests which reflect aberrant immune responses and treatment of patients with cirrhosis.

Cirrhosis-Associated RAS-Inflammation-Coagulation Axis Anomalies: Parallels to Severe COVID-19

(1) Background: Cirrhotic patients have an increased risk for severe COVID-19. We investigated the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAS), parameters of endothelial dysfunction, inflammation, and coagulation/fibrinolysis in cirrhotic patients and in COVID-19 patients. (2) Methods: 127 prospectively characterized cirrhotic patients (CIRR), along with nine patients with mild COVID-19 (mild-COVID), 11 patients with COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS; ARDS-COVID), and 10 healthy subjects (HS) were included in the study. Portal hypertension (PH) in cirrhotic patients was characterized by hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). (3) Results: With increased liver disease severity (Child−Pugh stage A vs. B vs. C) and compared to HS, CIRR patients exhibited higher RAS activity (angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE), renin, aldosterone), endothelial dysfunction (von Willebrand-factor (VWF) antigen), inflammation (C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6)), and a disturbed coagulation/fibrinolysis profile (prothrombin fragment F1,2, D-dimer, plasminogen activity, antiplasmin activity). Increased RAS activity (renin), endothelial dysfunction (vWF), coagulation parameters (D-dimer, prothrombin fragment F1,2) and inflammation (CRP, IL-6) were significantly altered in COVID patients and followed similar trends from mild-COVID to ARDS-COVID. In CIRR patients, ACE activity was linked to IL-6 (ρ = 0.26; p = 0.003), independently correlated with VWF antigen (aB: 0.10; p = 0.001), and was inversely associated with prothrombin fragment F1,2 (aB: −0.03; p = 0.023) and antiplasmin activity (aB: −0.58; p = 0.006), after adjusting for liver disease severity. (4) Conclusions: The considerable upregulation of the RAS in Child−Pugh B/C cirrhosis is linked to systemic inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, and abnormal coagulation profile. The cirrhosis-associated abnormalities of ACE, IL-6, VWF antigen, and antiplasmin parallel those observed in severe COVID-19.

The Need to Update Endpoints and Outcome Analysis in the Rapidly Changing Field of Liver Transplantation

Liver transplantation (LT) survival rates have continued to improve over the last decades, mostly due to the reduction of mortality early after transplantation. The advancement is facilitating a liberalization of access to LT, with more patients with higher risk profiles being added to the waiting list. At the same time, the persisting organ shortage fosters strategies to rescue organs of high-risk donors. This is facilitated by novel technologies such as machine perfusion. Owing to these developments, reconsideration of the current and emerging endpoints for the assessment of the efficacy of existing and new therapies is warranted. While conventional early endpoints in LT have focused on the damage induced to the parenchyma, the fate of the bile duct and the recurrence of the underlying disease have a stronger impact on the long-term outcome. In light of this evolving landscape, we here attempt to reflect on the appropriateness of the currently used endpoints in the field of LT trials.

C-Reactive Protein Is an Independent Predictor of 30-Day Bacterial Infection Post-Liver Transplantation

The relationship between aseptic systemic inflammation and postoperative bacterial infection is unclear. We investigated the correlation of systemic inflammation biomarkers with 30-day clinically significant bacterial infections (CSI) after liver transplantation (LT). This retrospective study enrolled 940 patients who received LT and were followed for 30 days. The primary end point was 30-day CSI events. The cohort was divided into exploratory (n = 508) and validation (n = 432) sets according to different centers. Area under the receiver operated characteristic (AUROC) and Cox regression models were fitted to study the association between baseline systemic inflammation levels and CSI after LT. A total of 255 bacterial infectious events in 209 recipients occurred. Among systemic inflammation parameters, baseline C-reactive protein (CRP) was independently associated with 30-day CSI in the exploratory group. The combination of CRP and organ failure number showed a good discrimination for 30-day CSI (AUROC = 0.80, 95% CI, 0.76–0.84) and the results were confirmed in an external verification group. Additionally, CRP levels were correlated with bacterial product lipopolysaccharide. In conclusion, our study suggests that pre-transplantation CRP is independent of other prognostic factors for 30-day CSI post-LT, and can be integrated into tools for assessing the risk of bacterial infection post-LT or as a component of prognostic models.