Characteristics and Prognosis of De Novo Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Sustained Virologic Response

Unmet needs in the post-direct-acting antivirals era: The risk and molecular mechanisms of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatitis C virus eradication

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is one of the major etiologies of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with approximately 30% of HCC being due to HCV infection worldwide. HCV eradication by antivirals greatly reduces the risk of HCC; nevertheless, HCC remains to occur in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients who have achieved a sustained virological response (SVR). The proportion of post-SVR HCC among newly diagnosed HCC patients is increasing in the direct-acting antiviral (DAA) era and might be due to preexisting inflammatory and fibrotic liver backgrounds, immune dysregulation between host and virus interactions, as well as host epigenetic scars, genetic predispositions and alternations. By means of applying surrogate markers and adopting risk stratification, HCC surveillance should be consistently performed in high-risk populations. In this review, we discuss the possible molecular mechanism, risk factors, and HCC surveillance strategy for HCC development after HCV eradication in CHC patients.

Changes in clinical outcomes in Japanese patients with hepatocellular carcinoma due to hepatitis C virus following the development of direct-acting antiviral agents

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) have been accessible in Japan since 2014. The aim of this study is to compare how the prognosis of patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCV-HCC) changed before and after DAA development.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 1949 Japanese HCV-HCC patients from January 2000 to January 2023 categorized them into pre-DAA (before 2013, n = 1169) and post-DAA (after 2014, n = 780) groups. Changes in clinical features and prognosis were assessed.

RESULTS

Despite no significant differences in BCLC stage between groups, the post-DAA group exhibited higher rates of sustained virological response (SVR) (45.6% vs. 9.8%), older age (73 vs 69 years), lower levels of AST (40 vs 56 IU/L), ALT (31 vs 46 IU/L), and AFP (11.7 vs 23.6 ng/mL), higher platelet count (13.5 vs 10.8 × 104/μL), better prothrombin time (88.0% vs 81.9%), and better ALBI score (-2.54 vs -2.36) (all P < 0.001). The post-DAA group also showed higher rates of curative treatments (74.1% vs 65.2%) and significantly improved recurrence-free survival (median 2.8 vs 2.1 years). Adjusted for inverse probability weighting, overall survival was superior in the post-DAA group (median 7.4 vs 5.6 years, P < 0.001). Subanalysis within the post-DAA group revealed significantly shorter overall survival for patients without SVR (median 4.8 years vs NA vs NA) compared to pre-SVR or post-SVR patients (both P < 0.001). No significant difference in OS was observed between the pre-SVR and post-SVR groups (P = 1.0).

CONCLUSION

The development of DAA therapy has dramatically improved the prognosis of HCV-HCC patients.

Comparison of six hepatocellular carcinoma prediction models in Japanese patients after sustained virologic response undergoing rigorous surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

While several predictive models for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have been proposed, including those for patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who have achieved sustained virologic response (SVR), the best model may differ between regions. We compared the ability of six reported models to stratify the risk of post-SVR HCC in Japan, where rigorous surveillance and early detection of HCC is common.

METHODS

A total of 6048 patients with no history of HCC who achieved SVR by oral direct-acting antiviral drugs were enrolled in this nationwide study. Patients continued HCC surveillance every 6 months after SVR. The incidence of post-SVR HCC was compared between risk groups using the aMAP score, FIB-4 index, Tahata model, GAF4 criteria, GES score, and ADRES score.

RESULTS

During the observation period with a median duration of 4.0 years after SVR, post-SVR HCC developed in 332 patients (5.5%). All six models performed significantly at stratifying the incidence of HCC. However, Harrell's C-index was below 0.8 for all models (range, 0.660-0.748), indicating insufficient stratification ability.

CONCLUSION

Although all six proposed models demonstrated a good ability to predict the development of post-SVR HCC, their ability to stratify the risk of post-SVRHCC was unsatisfactory. Further studies are necessary to identify the best model for assessing the risk of post-SVR HCC in regions where early detection of HCC is common.

Metabolic management after sustained virologic response in elderly patients with hepatitis C virus: A multicenter study

AIMS

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) develops even in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication by direct-acting antiviral agents. Fatty liver and metabolic dysfunction are becoming major etiologies of HCC. We aimed to evaluate the impact of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), a new definition of steatotic liver disease, on the development of HCC after HCV eradication.

METHODS

We enrolled 1280 elderly patients with HCV eradication and no history of HCC. We evaluated α-fetoprotein (AFP), Fibrosis-4 index and MASLD after 24 weeks of sustained virological response. Decision tree analysis was used to investigate factors associated with HCC development after HCV eradication.

RESULTS

A total of 86 patients (6.7%) developed HCC during the follow-up period (35.8 ± 23.7 months). On multivariate analysis, serum AFP level (HR 1.08, CI 1.04-1.11, P = 0.0008), Fibrosis-4 index (HR 1.17, CI 1.08-1.26, P = 0.0007), and MASLD (HR 3.04, CI 1.40-6.58, P = 0.0125) at 24 weeks of sustained virological response were independent factors associated with HCC development. In decision tree analysis, the initial classifier for HCC development was AFP ≥7 ng/mL. However, in patients with AFP <7 ng/mL, MASLD, rather than Fibrosis-4 index, was the classifier for HCC development. No significant difference was observed in the cumulative incidence of HCC between patients with AFP ≥7 ng/mL and patients with AFP <7 ng/mL and MASLD.

CONCLUSION

MASLD at 24 weeks of sustained virological response is a risk factor for HCC development in elderly patients with HCV eradication. Additionally, decision tree analysis revealed that MASLD was associated with HCC development, even in patients with serum AFP levels <7 ng/mL.

Regional Differences in Clinical Presentation and Prognosis of Patients With Post-Sustained Virologic Response Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Widespread use of direct-acting antivirals for hepatitis C virus infection has been paralleled with increased numbers of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after achieving sustained virologic response (post-SVR HCC) worldwide. Few data compare regional differences in the presentation and prognosis of patients with post-SVR HCC.

METHODS

We identified patients with advanced fibrosis (F3/F4) who developed incident post-SVR HCC between March 2015 and October 2021 from 30 sites in Europe, North America, South America, the Middle East, South Asia, East Asia, and Southeast Asia. We compared patient demographics, liver dysfunction, and tumor burden by region. We compared overall survival by region using Kaplan-Meier analysis and identified factors associated with survival using multivariable Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Among 8796 patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis who achieved SVR, 583 (6.6%) developed incident HCC. There was marked regional variation in the proportion of patients detected by surveillance (range: 59.5%-100%), median maximum tumor diameter (range, 1.8-5.0 cm), and the proportion with multinodular HCC (range, 15.4%-60.8%). The prognosis of patients highly varied by region (hazard ratio range, 1.82-9.92), with the highest survival rates in East Asia, North America, and South America, and the lowest survival rates in the Middle East and South Asia. After adjusting for geographic region, HCC surveillance was associated with early stage detection (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0/A, 71.0% vs 21.3%; P < .0001) and lower mortality rates (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.18-0.46).

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical characteristics, including early stage detection, and prognosis of post-SVR HCC differed significantly across geographic regions. Surveillance utilization appears to be a high-yield intervention target to improve prognosis among patients with post-SVR HCC globally.

Management of dialysis patients with hepatitis C virus in the era of direct-acting antiviral therapy

The clinical use of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has dramatically changed management of patients with HCV liver disease since 2014; this is also true for patients undergoing dialysis. Due to the high tolerability and antiviral efficacy of anti-HCV therapy, most dialysis patients with HCV infection should currently be candidates for this treatment. Many patients with HCV antibodies no longer have HCV infection, and it is difficult to identify patients with actual HCV infection based only on HCV antibody assays. Despite the high rate of successful HCV eradication, the risk of liver-related events such as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the major complication of HCV infection, persists even after HCV cure, and patients at risk of HCC should undergo continuous HCC surveillance. Finally, the rarity of HCV reinfection and the survival benefit of HCV eradication in dialysis patients should be explored in further studies.

New Opportunities to Individualize Frontline Therapy in Advanced Stages of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer death globally and is rising in incidence. Until recently, treatment options for patients with advanced stages of HCC have been limited to antiangiogenic therapies with modest improvements in overall survival. The emerging role of immunotherapy with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) in oncology has led to a rapid expansion in treatment options and improvements in outcomes for patients with advanced stages of HCC. Recent clinical trials have shown meaningful survival improvement in patients treated with the combination of bevacizumab and atezolizumab, as well as with the combination of tremelimumab with durvalumab, resulting in regulatory approvals of these regimens as frontline therapy. Beyond improvements in overall survival, ICI-based combination regimens achieve higher rates of durable treatment response than multikinase inhibitors and have favorable side effect profiles. With the emergence of doublet anti-angiogenic and immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) and dual ICI combinations, individualized therapy is now possible for patients based on co-morbidity profiles and other factors. These more potent systemic therapies are also being tested in earlier stages of disease and in combination with loco-regional therapies such as trans-arterial chemoembolization and stereotactic body radiotherapy. We summarize these advances and emerging therapeutic combinations currently in clinical trials.

Improved survival of viral hepatocellular carcinoma but not non-viral hepatocellular carcinoma from 2000 to 2020: A multi-centre cohort study of 6007 patients from high-volume academic centres in Japan

BACKGROUND

While surveillance improves the early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), it is unclear whether this has improved prognosis in clinical practice.

AIMS

To investigate the characteristics and prognoses of patients with viral versus non-viral HCC over the previous two decades in Japan, while HCC surveillance has been active.

METHODS

This multi-centre study enrolled 6007 patients initially diagnosed with HCC between 2000 and 2020 at seven high-volume academic centres. Patients were categorised based on dates of diagnosis: 2000-2006, 2007-2013 and 2014-2020. HCC characteristics and post-diagnosis survival rates were compared between periods in patients with viral and non-viral HCC.

RESULTS

The percentage of patients with non-viral HCC increased during the study period. The maximal tumour size and percentage of patients with multinodular HCC decreased significantly over time in the viral HCC group but remained unchanged in the non-viral HCC group. Liver function at diagnosis improved over time in both groups, but to a greater extent in the viral HCC group. Survival rates increased significantly with time in the viral HCC group, but not in the non-viral HCC group.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of non-viral HCC is increasing. Although the survival of patients with viral HCC improved significantly over the past two decades, there was no improvement in patients with non-viral HCC. This was presumably due mainly to lower surveillance among patients with non-viral HCC and failure to diagnose early-stage HCC.

The Impact of Cirrhosis and History of Hepatocellular Carcinoma on All-Cause Mortality After Eradication of Hepatitis C Virus in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis C

Backgrounds and Aims

Cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are potentially fatal complications of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We investigated how compensated cirrhosis and a history of curatively treated HCC influenced patient mortality after HCV eradication, that is, sustained virologic response (SVR).

Methods

We studied 5458 patients with confirmed SVR who were prospectively followed up for more than 1 year after SVR achieved with direct-acting antivirals. Mortality and the incidence of HCC development after SVR were analyzed based on the presence or absence of compensated cirrhosis or a history of curatively treated HCC before the start of therapy.

Results

Mortality and the incidence of post-SVR HCC were significantly higher in patients with compensated cirrhosis and those with a history of curatively treated HCC than in those without these complications. Multivariate analysis showed that a history of HCC was associated with high mortality after SVR. In patients with no history of HCC, cirrhosis was associated with high mortality. Although both liver-related and nonliver-related mortality rates were significantly higher in patients with a history of HCC or cirrhosis, nonliver-related mortality did not differ based on HCC history, and liver-related and nonliver-related mortality were comparable regardless of cirrhosis after propensity score matching with age, gender, alcohol intake, and comorbidities.

Conclusion

Mortality after SVR was significantly higher in patients with compensated cirrhosis or a history of HCC. While a history of HCC significantly increased mortality after SVR, even following curative treatment, the impact of pre-SVR compensated cirrhosis on post-SVR mortality was modest.

Time-course changes in liver functional reserve after successful sofosbuvir/velpatasvir treatment in patients with decompensated cirrhosis

AIM

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are currently available even for patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Reportedly, hepatic functional reserve improved in the short term after achievement of sustained virologic response (SVR). We aimed to clarify the outcomes after achievement of SVR in patients with decompensated cirrhosis who were treated by DAAs in real-world clinical practice.

METHODS

A prospective, multicenter study of 12-week sofosbuvir/velpatasvir was conducted in 86 patients with decompensated cirrhosis, who were evaluated for 48 weeks post-treatment.

RESULTS

The cohort included 8 patients with Child-Pugh class A, 56 with B, and 22 with C. The proportion of Child-Pugh class A patients increased from 9.1% at baseline to 44.1% at 48 weeks post-treatment, while that of class B and C patients decreased from 66.2% to 35.1% and from 24.7% to 14.3%, respectively. Among the patients with Child-Pugh class B and C, univariate analysis identified low total bilirubin, Child-Pugh score, Child-Pugh class B, ALBI score, and high serum albumin as factors associated with improvement to Child-Pugh class A. The optimal cut-off value of the factors for predicting improvement to Child-Pugh class A were 1.4 mg/dl for total bilirubin, 2.9 g/dl for serum albumin, 8 points for Child-Pugh score, and -1.88 for ALBI score.

CONCLUSION

Achievement of SVR with sofosbuvir/velpatasvir improved the liver functional reserve at 12 weeks post-treatment and maintained the stable effects until 48 weeks post-treatment in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Specifically, the patients with less advanced conditions had the likelihood of improving to Child-Pugh class A at 48 weeks post-treatment.