Using HPV prevalence to predict cervical cancer incidence

Prevalence of cervical human papillomavirus in Mexico, 2010-2017: analysis of 2.7 million women

PURPOSE

Prevalence of cervical high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) infection varies greatly. Data on distribution of hrHPV infection constitute important evidence for decision-making when implementing HPV testing into cervical cancer screening programs. We estimate the prevalence of cervical hrHPV infection in a large sample of women in a middle-income country and explore variation by age, community marginalization and region in women using public cervical cancer screening services.

METHODS

Records covering 2010-2017 from a registry of hrHPV test results (Hybrid Capture 2 and polymerase chain reaction) in 2,737,022 women 35-64 years were analyzed. In this observational study, 32 states were categorized into five geographical regions and classified by degree of marginalization. We stratified by test type and estimated crude and adjusted prevalence and rate ratios and used Poisson models and joinpoint regression analysis.

RESULTS

Prevalence was higher in women 35-39 years, at 10.4% (95% CI 10.3-10.5) and women 60-64 years, at 10.1% (95% CI 10.0-10.3). Prevalence was higher in the southeast, at 10.5% (95% CI 10.4-10.6). Women living in less marginalized areas had a significantly higher prevalence, at 10.3% (95% CI 10.2-10.4) compared to those in highly marginalized areas, at 8.7% (95% CI 8.5-8.7). HPV16 infection was detected in 0.92% (2,293/23,854) of women and HPV18 infection was detected in 0.39% (978/23,854) of women.

CONCLUSION

Understanding the distribution of HPV prevalence has value as evidence for developing policy in order to improve cervical cancer screening strategies. These results will constitute evidence to allow decision makers to better choose where to focus those resources that they do have.

Impact of human papillomavirus vaccine on cervical cancer epidemic: Evidence from the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results program

Introduction

Since 2006, the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine has been recommended for females aged 9-26 years in the United States. Aiming to evaluate the early effect of the HPV vaccine on cervical cancer, this study assessed the incidence of cervical cancer by age and histology before and after the introduction of HPV vaccination.

Methods

Data on cervical cancer incidence from 1975-2019 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program. Joinpoint regression was used to determine temporal trends over time. Future cervical cancer incidence (2015-2039) was projected using Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis. Age-period-cohort (APC) models were created to evaluate age, period, and cohort effects.

Results

For overall cervical cancer and cervical squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), incidence rate showed decreasing trends (-0.7%, and -1.0% annually, respectively), whereas cervical adenocarcinoma (AC) incidence continuously increased (2.6% annually). The incidence trends for AC were stable in the 20-24 and 25-29-year age groups, whereas there was an increasing trend in older age groups. Similarly, the projected trend for AC in females aged 20-30 years exhibited a decline, whereas an increase was predicted in the 31-40-year age group, especially in the 35-44 year age group. The birth cohort and period effects in SCC and AC were extracted from APC models.

Discussion

During the period of 1975-2019, the incidence of cervical AC remained almost unchanged in the age groups receiving HPV vaccines while increased in the age groups not receiving HPV vaccines. The birth cohort effects of SCC and AC of the cervix provided evidence supporting the effectiveness of the HPV vaccine in preventing cervical cancer.

Predicting Cohort-Specific Cervical Cancer Incidence From Population-Based Surveys of Human Papilloma Virus Prevalence: A Worldwide Study

Predictions of cervical cancer burden and the impact of measures taken to control this cancer are usually data-demanding and based on complex assumptions. We propose a predictive method (called PANDORA) based on human papillomavirus (HPV) prevalence, measured 1993-2008, and cervical cancer incidence (CCI), measured 1993-2012, in the same birth cohorts from different worldwide locations, informed by data on age at detection of high-risk HPV and sexual debut. The model can predict CCI among high-risk HPV-positive women and predict CCI up to 14 years following high-risk HPV detection. We found CCI to increase during the 14 years following high-risk HPV detection in unscreened women aged <35 years but to remain mainly constant among women ≥35 years. Age at sexual debut was a significant modifier of CCI. Using our model, we accurately reproduced CCI among high-risk HPV-positive women as observed in cohort studies and in the general population of multiple countries. We also predicted the annual number of cervical cancer cases and CCI in locations with HPV prevalence data but no cancer registry. These findings could inform cervical cancer control programs in settings without cancer registries, as they can be used to predict future cervical cancer burden from population-based surveys of HPV prevalence.

Patient Satisfaction With Human Papillomavirus Self-Sampling in a Cohort of Ethnically Diverse and Rural Women in Yunnan Province, China

Rural Yunnan Province is one of the most ethnically, culturally, and religiously diverse regions in China. The majority of its women have never been screened for cervical cancer. It is not known whether women would feel comfortable and ultimately even prefer using a human papillomavirus (HPV) self-swabbing method.

Acquisition, prevalence and clearance of type-specific human papillomavirus infections in young sexually active Indian women: A community-based multicentric cohort study

In context of the ongoing multi-centric HPV vaccine study in India, unvaccinated married women (N = 1484) aged 18-23 years were recruited in 2012-2015 as age-matched controls to the vaccinated women and followed up yearly. We assess type-specific prevalence, natural history and potential determinants of human papillomavirus (HPV) infection in these unvaccinated women. Cervical samples were collected yearly for at least four consecutive years. A Multiplex Type-Specific E7-Based polymerase chain reaction assay was used to detect 21 HPV types. HPV prevalence was 36.4% during 6 years. Most common HPV types were 16 (6.5%) and 31 (6.1%). Highest persistence were observed for HPV 35 (62.5%) and 52 (25%). New HPV acquisition rate was 5.6/1000 person-months of observation (PMO), highest for HPV 16 (1.1/1000 PMO). Type-specific clearance rates ranged between 2.9-5.5/100 PMO. HPV 16 and/or 18 infections were 41% (95% CI 4-63%) lower among women with 2-<3 years between marriage and first cervical sample collection compared to those with <2 years. HPV prevalence and acquisition rates in young Indian women were lower than their Western counterparts. HPV 16 infections being most common shows the importance and potential impact of HPV vaccination in India. Women with 2-3 years exposure had reduced risk possibly due to higher infections clearance.

Immigration, screening, and cervical cancer incidence: an application of Age-Period-Cohort analysis

Cervical cancer (CC) control is based on the implementation of effective screening programs. In the coming years, human papilloma virus vaccination coverage will contribute considerably toward cancer prevention. In Italy, where an organized screening program has been implemented, immigration from low/middle-income countries with a high prevalence of human papilloma virus infections has increased steadily over the last decades. To assess the impact of screening efforts in counteracting background changes, we analyzed the incidence trends of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 carcinomas in situ (CIS) and invasive CC from 1994 to 2013 through an Age–Period–Cohort model using data of a regional population-based registry. Moreover, using Joinpoint regression, we compared the incidence of cervical lesions in native women with that observed in foreign-born women, highlighting the differences in age and screening status. The results indicate that the CC incidence trend decreased in Italian women (annual percent change = −2.7*%, 95% confidence interval = −4.3; −1.1), but increased (APC = 12.2*%, 95% confidence interval = 7.6; 17.0) in immigrants. For CIS, incidence rates show a growing trend in both groups, especially in women born abroad. For cancer, no marked changes in period-specific incidence rate ratios were detected until around 2000, when we found a slight decrease, followed by an increase. For CIS, we estimate an important upward trend in cohort-specific risks. The favorable effect of screening in preventing an increase in CC incidence has been counteracted by the progressive increase in immigrants from high-risk countries, where it is of increasing relevance to extend the use of vaccination.

Systematic screening for cervical cancer in Dakar region: prevalence and correlation with biological and socio-demographic parameters

Background

Cervical cancer is a major public health problem. In 2018, globally 569,847 cervical cancer were diagnosed and 311,000 deaths were projected due to this preventable disease. Worldwide, therefore, the cervical cancer disease ranks as the fourth most frequently diagnosed cancer and the fourth leading cause of cancer death in women in 2018.

The high rate of dysplasia in Senegal and the absence of well-organized screening programs informed this study, which aims to determine the prevalence of cervical dysplasia and its relationship to biological and socio-demographic characteristics.

Methods

This study is based on 1000 conventional smears collected during routine cervical cancer screening at the Gaspard Camara Health Center and the Histology - Embryology and Cytogenetics Laboratory of the Cheikh Anta DIOP University in Dakar. The smears were read according to the Bethesda and Richart systems. However, all data were returned to the Bethesda system using the correspondence table between the different classifications of squamous cell lesions of the cervix. Some of the patients with abnormal smears had colposcopy and if necessary a biopsy. Other patients with low-grade lesions were recommended to have their smears resumed in 6 months or 1 year later.

Results

Cytological analysis was performed for 1000 patients aged 16 to 82 years (mean age = 41 ± 11.16). Among these, 176 patients had abnormal smears, 23 had Atypical Squamous Cells of Undetermined Significance (ASCUS), 143 had a low-grade lesion, 9 had a high-grade lesion and 1 had carcinoma. Among the remaining 822 patients, cytological analysis revealed no suspected malignant lesions, but 623 among them had dystrophy and 2 were unsatisfactory. Among patients with abnormal smears, 104 patients (23 ASCUS + 71 low grade + 9 high grade + 1 carcinoma) had performed colposcopy, 40 of whom had normal colposcopy and 64 had abnormalities. Sixty-four (64) biopsies were performed. Four (4) were not satisfactory. However, for 26/60 biopsies, the histology was normal, 21/60 had a low grade, 11 displayed a high grade and only 2 had carcinoma. Among the 176 patients with abnormal smears, 72 low-grade patients had undergone cytological examination 6 months to 1 year later to determine the persistence, regression or progression of low-grade dysplasia. During follow-up, persistence was observed in 25% (n = 18) of cases, progression to High-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) was detected in 2.78% (n = 2), while 72.22% (n = 52) of the patients experienced regression.

Conclusion

In this study, the prevalence of abnormal smear was 17.60% for cytology. Meanwhile, the Colposcopy and histology confirmed just 3.40%. These results underline the interest and need for a review of the discrepancies observed between pathologists.

A new marker based on risk stratification of human papillomavirus DNA and tumor size to predict survival of locally advanced cervical cancer

OBJECTIVE

To assess the prognostic value of human papillomavirus (HPV) viral load in locally advanced cervical carcinoma treated with radical concurrent chemoradiotherapy.

METHODS

From January 2012 to October 2013, a total of 246 locally advanced cervical carcinoma patients were included in this retrospective study. HPV DNA status was tested by Hybrid Capture 2 assay. Tumor size was measured on T2WI. All the patients in the study received concurrent cisplatin-based chemoradiotherapy with intensity-modulated radiotherapy and three-dimensional brachytherapy. Survival rate was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and a log-rank test was used to compare the survival. Multivariate analysis employed the Cox regression model.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 52 months. The median value of HPV DNA was 163.13 relative light unit/cut-off (RLU/CO) (range 1.65-2162.62 RLU/CO). The 5-year overall survival, distant metastasis-free survival of patients in the low HPV DNA group (HPV DNA ≤ 163.13 RLU/CO) and the high HPV DNA group (HPV DNA > 163.13 RLU/CO) were 46.3 % vs 58.5 % (p = 0.009) and 65.9 % vs 75.6% (p = 0.003), respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that the HPV DNA, tumor size, and International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage were independent prognostic factors for overall survival and distant metastasis-free survival. We choose the tumor size and HPV DNA as the risk stratification factors to build a new prediction marker which can better predict overall survival for locally advanced cervical cancer than can the FIGO stage.

CONCLUSIONS

HPV DNA may be a useful biomarker for locally advanced cervical cancer. Low HPV load predicts a worse survival. The new marker based on risk stratification by combining HPV DNA and tumor size is better associated with overall survival of locally advanced cervical cancer treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy.

Age-specific HPV prevalence among 116,052 women in Australia's renewed cervical screening program: A new tool for monitoring vaccine impact

Australia's transition to primary human papillomavirus (HPV) based cervical screening, has for the first time, provided a passive mechanism for monitoring the impact of vaccination on infection prevalence among women attending screening. We assessed oncogenic HPV prevalence by single year of age in the first 7  months of the program, using data collected from a large screening laboratory in Victoria, Australia, which is routinely screening using cobas 4800, cobas 6800 and Seegene assays. Among 116,052 primary screening samples from women aged 25-74, 9.25% (95%CI: 9.09-9.42%) had oncogenic HPV detected: 2.14% (95%CI: 2.05-2.22%) were 16/18 positive and 7.12% (95%CI: 6.97-7.27%) were positive for only non-16/18 HPV. Prevalence peaked at age 25-29 then decreased with age, but this was driven by non-16/18 types. HPV16/18 prevalence remained low and flat across ages, contrasting with pre-vaccination epidemiology when HPV16/18 peaked in young women. HPV-based screening can precisely monitor HPV prevalence.

A pilot study of acupuncture at pain acupoints for cervical cancer pain

This retrospective study aimed to investigate the feasible effectiveness of acupuncture at pain acupoints for the treatment of patients with cervical cancer pain (CCP). A total of 64 cases were analyzed. All these cases were assigned to an acupuncture group or a control group according to the different therapies they received. The cases in the acupuncture group received acupuncture treatment at pain acupoints, while the subjects in the control group underwent acupuncture at regular acupoints. The primary endpoint was CCP, assessed by numeric rating scale (NRS). The secondary endpoints were evaluated by the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire-Core 30 (EORTC QLQ-C30), and Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS). In addition, adverse events were also recorded during the treatment period. After treatment, patients in the acupuncture group exerted greater outcomes in CCP reduction when compared with patients in the control group (P < .01). In addition, no adverse events were recorded in either group. The results of this study showed that acupuncture at pain acupoints might be efficacious in patients with CCP after 14-day treatment.

A retrospective pilot study of high-quality nursing care for cervical cancer

This retrospective pilot study investigated the feasible effect of high-quality nursing care (HQNC) for patients with cervical cancer (CC). A total of 58 patients with CC were included in this study. All patients were treated with routine care, and were divided into a treatment group and a control group, according to the different interventions they received. In addition, patients in the treatment group also received HQNC. The primary outcome of anxiety was measured by Beck Anxiety Inventory (BAI). The secondary outcomes were rumination, as measured by ruminative responses scale (RRS); and emotion, as measured by the Emotion Regulation Questionnaire (ERQ). All outcomes were measured before and after 4-week treatment. After treatment, patients in the treatment group showed better outcomes in anxiety, as evaluated by BAI scale (minimal, P = .04), rumination, as measured by RRS (P < .01), and emotion, as assessed by ERQ (P < .01), compared with patients in the control group. The results of this study demonstrated that HQNC might have positive effect in patients with CC after 4-week treatment.

Projected cervical Cancer incidence in Swaziland using three methods and local survey estimates

BACKGROUND

The scarcity of country data (e.g. a cancer registry) for the burden of cervical cancer (CC) in low-income countries (LCIs) such as Swaziland remains a huge challenge. Such data are critical to inform local decision-making regarding resource allocation [1]. We aimed to estimate likely cervical cancer incidence in Swaziland using three different methodologies (triangulation), to help better inform local policy guidance regarding likely higher "true" burden and increased resource allocation required for treatment, cervical cancer screening and HPV vaccine implementation.

METHODS

Three methods were applied to estimate CC incidence, namely: 1) application of age-specific CC incidence rates for Southern African region from GLOBOCAN 2012 extrapolated to the 2014 Swaziland female population; 2) a linear regression based model with transformed age-standardised CC incidence against hr-HPV (with and without HIV as a covariate) prevalence among women with normal cervical cytology; and 3) a mathematical model, using a natural history approach based on parameter estimates from various available literature and local survey estimates. We then triangulated estimates and uncertainty from the three models to estimate the most likely CC incidence rate for Swaziland in 2015.

RESULTS

The projected incidence estimates for models 1-3 were 69.4 (95% CI: 66.7-72.1), 62.6 per 100,000 (95%CI: 53.7-71.8) and 44.6 per 100,000 (41.5 to 52.1) respectively. Model 2 with HIV prevalence as covariate estimated a higher CC incidence rate estimate of 101.1 per 100,000 (95%CI: 90.3-112.2). The triangulated ('averaged') age-standardized CC incidence based across the 3 models for 2015 was estimated at 69.4 per 100,000 (95% CI: 63.0-77.1) in Swaziland.

CONCLUSION

It is widely accepted that cancer incidence (and in this case CC) is underestimated in settings with poor and lacking registry data. Our findings suggest that the projected burden of CC is higher than that suggested from other sources. Local health policy decisions and decision-makers need to re-assess resource allocation to prevent and treat CC effectively, which is likely to persist given the very high burden of hr-HPV within the country.

Effects of Intrinsic and Extrinsic Factors on the Level of Hope and Psychological Health Status of Patients with Cervical Cancer During Radiotherapy

Background

This study aimed to explore the factors affecting the level of hope and psychological health status of patients with cervical cancer (CC) during radiotherapy.

Material/Methods

A total of 480 CC patients were recruited. Psychological distress scale, Herth hope index, functional assessment cancer therapy-cervix, and Jolowiec coping scale were used to conduct surveys on psychological distress, level of hope, quality of life (QOL), and coping style to analyze the factors affecting the level of hope and psychological health status of CC patients.

Results

The morbidity of significant psychological distress in 480 CC patients during radiotherapy was 68%, and the main factors causing psychological distress were emotional problems and physical problems. During radiotherapy, most patients had middle and high levels of hope, and the psychological distress index of patients was negatively correlated with the level of hope. The QOL of CC patients during radiotherapy were at middle and high levels, and the QOL was positively correlated with confrontment, optimism, appeasement, and self-reliance, but it was negatively correlated with predestination and emotional expression.

Conclusions

For CC patients during radiotherapy, the morbidity of psychological distress was high, but they were at middle and high levels of hope.

Community-Based Prevalence of Genital Human Papilloma Virus (HPV) Infection: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Introduction:

Cervical cancer probably represents the best-studied human cancer caused by a viral infection and the causal association of this preventable cancer with human papilloma virus (HPV) is well established. Worldwide there is a scarcity of data regarding HPV prevalence with vast differences existing among populations.

Objective:

The aim of this meta-analysis was to determine the community-based HPV prevalence estimates among asymptomatic women from urban and rural set ups and in participants of cancer screening clinics.

Study design:

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

Methods:

PubMed-Medline, CINAHL, Scopus, and Google scholar were systematically searched for studies providing prevalence data for HPV infection among asymptomatic women between 1986 and 2016.

Results:

The final analysis included 32 studies comprising a population of 224,320 asymptomatic women. The overall pooled HPV prevalence was 11% (95% confidence interval (CI), 9%-12%). The pooled HPV prevalence of 11% (95% CI, 9%-11%) was observed among women attending cervical cancer screening clinics. The pooled HPV prevalences were 10% (95% CI 8%-12%) and 11% (95% CI 4%-18%) from urban and rural areas respectively, indicating higher infection rates among the rural women with the least access to cancer screening and cancer care.

Conclusion:

The prevalence rates in this systematic quantitative review provide a reliable estimate of the burden of HPV infection among asymptomatic women from developed as well as developing nations. Rural women and women attending cervical cancer screening programmes feature higher genital HPV prevalences compared to their urban counterparts.

Resources Required for Cervical Cancer Prevention in Low- and Middle-Income Countries

BACKGROUND

Cervical cancer is the fourth leading cause of cancer death in women, with 85% of cases and deaths occurring in developing countries. While organized screening programs have reduced cervical cancer incidence in high-income countries through detection and treatment of precancerous lesions, the implementation of organized screening has not been effective in low-resource settings due to lack of infrastructure and limited budgets. Our objective was to estimate the cost of comprehensive primary and secondary cervical cancer prevention in low- and middle-income countries.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We performed a modeling analysis to estimate 1) for girls aged 10 years, the cost of 2-dose human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination; and 2) for women aged 30 to 49 years, the cost of cervical cancer screening (with visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA), HPV testing, or cytology) and preventive treatment in 102 low- and middle-income countries from 2015 to 2024. We used an Excel-based costing and service utilization model to estimate financial costs (2013 US$) based on prevalence of HPV, prevalence of precancerous lesions, and screening test performance. Where epidemiologic data were unavailable, we extrapolated from settings with data using an individual-based microsimulation model of cervical carcinogenesis (calibrated to 20 settings) and multivariate regression. Total HPV vaccination costs ranged from US$8.6 billion to US$24.2 billion for all scenarios considered (immediate, 5-year, or 10-year roll-out; price per dose US$4.55-US$70 by country income level). The total cost of screening and preventive treatment ranged from US$5.1 billion (10-year roll-out, screening once at age 35 years) to US$42.3 billion (immediate roll-out, high intensity screening). Limitations of this analysis include the assumption of standardized protocols by country income level that did not account for the potential presence of multiple screening modalities or management strategies within a country, and extrapolation of cost and epidemiologic data to settings where data were limited.

CONCLUSIONS

The estimated cost of comprehensive cervical cancer prevention with 2-dose HPV vaccination of 10-year-old girls and screening of women aged 30 to 49 years ranges from US$13.7 billion to US$66.5 billion, depending on speed of roll-out, vaccine price per dose, and screening test and frequency. Findings demonstrate the substantial impact of vaccine price in middle-income countries that are not eligible for assistance from Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance. Replacing routine cytology with HPV-based screening may reduce total costs. Data on the health impact and relative cost-effectiveness of strategies are needed to determine the best value for public health dollars.

Population-based prevalence of cervical infection with human papillomavirus genotypes 16 and 18 and other high risk types in Tlaxcala, Mexico

BACKGROUND

Cervical cancer remains an important cause of cancer mortality for Mexican women. HPV 16/18 typing may help to improve cervical cancer screening. Here we present the prevalence of high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) including HPV16 and HPV18 from the FRIDA (Forwarding Research for Improved Detection and Access) population.

METHODS

Beginning in 2013, we recruited 30,829 women aged 30-64 in Tlaxcala, Mexico. Cervical samples were collected and tested for 14 hrHPV genotypes (16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 39, 45, 51, 52, 56, 58, 59, 66, and 68). We used logistic regression to estimate odds ratios with 95 % confidence intervals for hrHPV infections according to putative risk factors.

RESULTS

Prevalence of infection with any of the 14 hrHPV types was 11.0 %. The age-specific prevalence of all hrHPV formed a U-shaped curve with a higher prevalence for women aged 30-39 and 50-64 than women aged 40-49. Across all age groups, 2.0 % of women were positive for HPV16 and/or HPV18 (HPV16/18), respectively. HPV16/18 prevalence also showed a U-shaped curve with increased prevalence estimates for women aged both 30-39 and 60-64. Both prevalence curves had a significant quadratic age coefficient. Infections with hrHPV were positively associated with an increased number of lifetime sexual partners, a history of sexually transmitted disease, being unmarried, use of hormonal contraception, having a history of smoking and reported condom use in the multivariate model.

CONCLUSIONS

The FRIDA population has a bimodal distribution of both hrHPV and HPV16/18 positivity with higher prevalences at ages 30-39 and 60-64. These findings will help to evaluate triage algorithms based on HPV genotyping.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02510027 .

Population-based cervical cancer screening using high-risk HPV DNA test and liquid-based cytology in northern Thailand

BACKGROUND

Northern Thailand is a region with a high cervical cancer incidence. Combined high-risk HPV (hrHPV) DNA testing and cytology (co-testing) has increasingly gained acceptance for cervical cancer screening. However, to our knowledge, data from a population-based screening using co-testing have not been available in this region. This study therefore aimed to evaluate the performance of cytology and hrHPV test in women in northern Thailand.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Cervical samples were collected for hybrid capture 2 (HC2) testing and liquid-based cytology from women aged 30 to 60 years who were residents in 3 prefectures of Chiang Mai in northern Thailand between May and September 2011. Women with positive cytology were referred to colposcopy, while women with positive for HC2 only were followed for 2 years.

RESULTS

Of 2,752 women included in this study, 3.0% were positive in both tests, 4.1% for HC2 only, and 1.3% had positive cytology only. At baseline screening, positive HC2 was observed in 70.6% among cytology-positive women compared with 4.3% among cytology-negative women. The prevalence of positive HC2 or cytology peaked in the age group 35-39 years and was lowest in the age group 55-60 years. High-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion or worse lesions (HSIL+) were histologically detected in 23.5% of women with positive baseline cytology and in 9.8% of women with positive baseline HC2 only on follow-up. All women with histologic HSIL+ had positive baseline HC2.

CONCLUSIONS

The hrHPV test is superior to cytology in the early detection of high-grade cervical epithelial lesions. In this study, the prevalence of histologic HSIL+ on follow-up of women with positive hrHPV test was rather high, and these women should be kept under careful surveillance. In northern Thailand, hrHPV testing has a potential to be used as a primary screening test for cervical cancer with cytology applied as a triage test.

Evaluation of a novel real-time fluorescent polymerase chain reaction assay for high-risk human papilloma virus DNA genotypes in cytological cervical screening

It has been confirmed that detection of high-risk human papillomavirus (HR HPV) DNA is useful in cervical cancer (CC) screening. Recently, a new real-time fluorescent polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assay was developed to detect HR HPV. This assay can synchronize nucleic acid amplification and testing using specific primers for 13 types of HR HPV genomes, combined with specific TaqMan fluorescent marker probe techniques through the fluorescence automatic PCR instrument. Furthermore, it uses TaqGold™ DNA polymerase, which minimizes the amount of non-specific amplification and increases the sensitivity of the assay. The aim of this study was to evaluate the analytical and clinical performance of the real-time fluorescent PCR assay in CC screening, compared to the Qiagen Hybrid Capture^® II High-Risk HPV DNA test^® (HC II). In total, 1,252 cervical specimens were collected from women between 19 and 71 years of age. The specimens were examined with three different assays, real-time fluorescent PCR assay and HC II for HR HPV detection combined with liquid-based cytology. Women with cytological abnormalities or HR HPV-positive results underwent colposcopy and cervical biopsy. This study demonstrated good overall agreement between HC II and real-time fluorescent PCR assay (overall agreement, 92.25%; Cohen's κ=0.814). For the detection of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasias (CIN) and CC, the sensitivity of HC II and real-time fluorescent PCR was 94.48 and 92.82%, respectively, and the negative predictive value was 98.85 and 98.54%, respectively. High HR HPV infection rate of the high-grade CIN and CC group was detected (P<0.05). In conclusion, real-time fluorescent PCR assay provides similar results compared to the HC II test for HR HPV detection and could be used in CC screening in clinic.

A prospective study of age trends of high-risk human papillomavirus infection in rural China

BACKGROUND

In China, high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) prevalence is unexpectedly high in older women, but the possible reasons have not been well studied yet. This study investigated the age trends of HR-HPV infection in a prospective study.

METHODS

A total of 7397 women aged 25-65 years without cervical precancer or cancer were evaluated during 2010-2011 with a stratified sample of 2791 women re-evaluated after one year. Test results for careHPV and careHPV16/18/45 were used to describe the HR-HPV prevalence, incidence and clearance. Risk factors associated with HR-HPV infections were explored using a logistic regression model.

RESULTS

The overall HR-HPV prevalence was 13.1% at baseline, with a peak of 19.3% in women aged 55-59 years. The prevalence of HR-HPV (p for trends < 0.001), HPV16/18/45 (p for trends = 0.002), and HR-HPV other than HPV16/18/45 (p for trends = 0.002) generally increased with increasing age. Number of infections that cleared was generally greater than number of incident infections within age groups. One-year clearance rate decreased with increasing age (p for trends < 0.001), however, incidence rate was unrelated to age (p for trends = 0.159). Risk factors that associated with HR-HPV infection differed between younger and older women.

CONCLUSIONS

The greater HR-HPV prevalence in older versus younger women in rural China may be explained by a cohort effect, higher than expected incidence, and/or poorer clearance at older age.