Epstein-Barr virus and human papillomavirus serum antibodies define the viral status of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in a low endemic country

Human papillomavirus-associated nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is known to affect head and neck sites beyond the oropharynx, including the nasopharynx. Unlike HPV-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPV+OPSCC), HPV-associated nasopharyngeal carcinoma (HPV+NPC) is not well characterized and the true prevalence in non-endemic regions is poorly described. Here, we sought to obtain a global point prevalence of HPV in NPC, stratified by geographic region.

DATA SOURCES

EMBASE, OVID Medline, and Web of Science were systematically searched for available evidence on September 21, 2022 for articles published between January 1, 1990 and September 21, 2022.

REVIEW METHODS

We reviewed the literature for all studies examining NPC and HPV status in adult patients that provided a quantitative HPV prevalence. The study followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Main outcome and measures included HPV+NPC prevalence estimates stratified by geographic region, along with other clinical and demographic features.

RESULTS

Of the 1567 citations retrieved, 46 studies encompassing 6314 NPC patients were eligible for statistical analysis. The global prevalence of HPV+NPC was 0.18 (95% CI 0.14-0.23). When stratified by geographic region, prevalence was highest in North America (0.25, 95% CI 0.17-0.36), which is a non-endemic region for NPC and also has highest prevalence for HPV+OPSCC. Asia, an endemic area, had the lowest HPV prevalence estimate (0.13, 95% CI 0.08-0.22). HPV 16 (44%) and 18 (33%) were the predominant genotypes in HPV+NPC, dissimilar to HPV+OPSCC.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review and meta-analysis provides a global point prevalence of HPV+NPC stratified by geographic region and suggests that HPV is a significant etiological factor of NPC in North America.

Human Papillomavirus-Associated Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Objective

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is known to affect head and neck sites beyond the oropharynx, including the nasopharynx. Unlike HPV-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPV+OPSCC), HPV-associated nasopharyngeal carcinoma (HPV+NPC) is not well characterized and the true prevalence in non-endemic regions is poorly described. Here, we sought to obtain a global point prevalence of HPV in NPC, stratified by geographic region.

Data Sources

EMBASE, OVID Medline, and Web of Science were systematically searched for available evidence on September 21, 2022 for articles published between January 1, 1990 and September 21, 2022.

Review Methods

We reviewed the literature for all studies examining NPC and HPV status in adult patients that provided a quantitative HPV prevalence. The study followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Main outcome and measures included HPV+NPC prevalence estimates stratified by geographic region, along with other clinical and demographic features.

Results

Of the 1567 citations retrieved, 46 studies encompassing 6314 NPC patients were eligible for statistical analysis. The global prevalence of HPV+NPC was 0.18 (95% CI 0.14-0.23). When stratified by geographic region, prevalence was highest in North America (0.25, 95% CI 0.17-0.36), which is a non-endemic region for NPC and also has highest prevalence for HPV+OPSCC. Asia, an endemic area, had the lowest HPV prevalence estimate (0.13, 95% CI 0.08-0.22). HPV 16 (44%) and 18 (33%) were the predominant genotypes in HPV+NPC, dissimilar to HPV+OPSCC.

Conclusion

This systematic review and meta-analysis provides a global point prevalence of HPV+NPC stratified by geographic region and suggests that HPV is a significant etiological factor of NPC in North America.

Multiplex assays reveal anti-EBV antibody profile and its implication in detection and diagnosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is detected in nearly 100% of nonkeratinizing nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and EBV-based biomarkers are used for NPC screening in endemic regions. Immunoglobulin A (IgA) against EBV nuclear antigen 1 (EBNA1) and viral capsid antigen (VCA), and recently identified anti-BNLF2b antibodies have been shown to be the most effective screening tool; however, the screening efficacy still needs to be improved. This study developed a multiplex serological assay by testing IgA and immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibodies against representative EBV antigens that are highly transcribed in NPC and/or function crucially in viral reactivation, including BALFs, BNLF2a/b, LF1, LF2, and Zta (BZLF1). Among them, BNLF2b-IgG had the best performance distinguishing NPC patients from controls (area under the curve: 0.951, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.913-0.990). Antibodies to lytic antigens BALF2 and VCA were significantly higher in advanced-stage than in early-stage tumors; in contrast, antibodies to latent protein EBNA1 and early lytic antigen BNLF2b were not correlated with tumor progression. Accordingly, a novel strategy combining EBNA1-IgA and BNLF2b-IgG was proposed and validated improving the integrated discrimination by 15.8% (95% CI: 9.8%-21.7%, p < .0001) compared with the two-antibody method. Furthermore, we found EBV antibody profile in patients was more complicated compared with that in healthy carriers, in which stronger correlations between antibodies against different phases of antigens were observed. Overall, our serological assay indicated that aberrant latent infection of EBV in nasopharyngeal epithelial cells was probably a key step in NPC initiation, while more lytic protein expression might be involved in NPC progression.

Prospective evaluation of the relevance of Epstein-Barr virus antibodies for early detection of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in Chinese adults

BACKGROUND

Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is a major cause of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and measurement of different EBV antibodies in blood may improve early detection of NPC. Prospective studies can help assess the roles of different EBV antibodies in predicting NPC risk over time.

METHODS

A case-cohort study within the prospective China Kadoorie Biobank of 512 715 adults from 10 (including two NPC endemic) areas included 295 incident NPC cases and 745 subcohort participants. A multiplex serology assay was used to quantify IgA and IgG antibodies against 16 EBV antigens in stored baseline plasma samples. Cox regression was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for NPC and C-statistics to assess the discriminatory ability of EBV-markers, including two previously identified EBV-marker combinations, for predicting NPC.

RESULTS

Sero-positivity for 15 out of 16 EBV-markers was significantly associated with higher NPC risk. Both IgA and IgG antibodies against the same three EBV-markers showed the most extreme HRs, i.e. BGLF2 (IgA: 124.2 (95% CI: 63.3-243.9); IgG: 8.6 (5.5-13.5); LF2: [67.8 (30.0-153.1), 10.9 (7.2-16.4)]); and BFRF1: 26.1 (10.1-67.5), 6.1 (2.7-13.6). Use of a two-marker (i.e. LF2/BGLF2 IgG) and a four-marker (i.e. LF2/BGLF2 IgG and LF2/EA-D IgA) combinations yielded C-statistics of 0.85 and 0.84, respectively, which persisted for at least 5 years after sample collection in both endemic and non-endemic areas.

CONCLUSIONS

In Chinese adults, plasma EBV markers strongly predict NPC occurrence many years before clinical diagnosis. LF2 and BGLF2 IgG could identify NPC high-risk individuals to improve NPC early detection in community and clinical settings.

International Consensus Statement on Allergy and Rhinology: Sinonasal Tumors

BACKGROUND

Sinonasal neoplasms, whether benign and malignant, pose a significant challenge to clinicians and represent a model area for multidisciplinary collaboration in order to optimize patient care. The International Consensus Statement on Allergy and Rhinology: Sinonasal Tumors (ICSNT) aims to summarize the best available evidence and presents 48 thematic and histopathology-based topics spanning the field.

METHODS

In accordance with prior International Consensus Statement on Allergy and Rhinology documents, ICSNT assigned each topic as an Evidence-Based Review with Recommendations, Evidence-Based Review, and Literature Review based on the level of evidence. An international group of multidisciplinary author teams were assembled for the topic reviews using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses format, and completed sections underwent a thorough and iterative consensus-building process. The final document underwent rigorous synthesis and review prior to publication.

RESULTS

The ICSNT document consists of four major sections: general principles, benign neoplasms and lesions, malignant neoplasms, and quality of life and surveillance. It covers 48 conceptual and/or histopathology-based topics relevant to sinonasal neoplasms and masses. Topics with a high level of evidence provided specific recommendations, while other areas summarized the current state of evidence. A final section highlights research opportunities and future directions, contributing to advancing knowledge and community intervention.

CONCLUSION

As an embodiment of the multidisciplinary and collaborative model of care in sinonasal neoplasms and masses, ICSNT was designed as a comprehensive, international, and multidisciplinary collaborative endeavor. Its primary objective is to summarize the existing evidence in the field of sinonasal neoplasms and masses.

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma: nationwide trends in subtype-specific incidence and survival over 3 decades in a non-endemic area

PURPOSE

To identify trends in incidence and survival of NPC, subdivided by EBV status and histopathological subtype, over a 30-year period in the Netherlands.

METHODS

Anonymized data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry and the Dutch Nationwide Pathology Databank (PALGA) for the period 1989-2018 were linked to identify and classify NPC cases.

RESULTS

Incidence of NPC remained stable, with an annual percentage change (APC) of - 0.2. (95% CI - 0.9; 0.5). EBV testing became routine only in the last decade, the incidence of EBV-positive tumors remained stable over this period (APC 1.2, 95% CI - 1.3; 3.8). An increase in EBV-negative tumors (APC: 7.1, 95% CI 2.5; 11.9) and a decrease in untested tumors were found (APC: - 10.7, 95% CI - 15.7; - 5.7). The incidence of non-keratinizing, differentiated tumors increased (APC: 3.8, (95% CI 2.2; 5.5) while the incidence of other histological subtypes remained stable. Overall survival was better in patients diagnosed after 1998 (hazard ratio 0.8, 95% CI 0.6; 0.9). EBV status, histology, stage, and age were independently associated with relative excess risk of dying, but period of diagnosis was not.

CONCLUSION

Testing for EBV increased over time, and a stable incidence of EBV-positive NPC over the last 10 years. The rising incidence of non-keratinizing, differentiated NPC mirrors data from the US and suggests a shift in non-endemic regions.

Development of a Duplex Serological Multiplex Assay for the Simultaneous Detection of Epstein-Barr Virus IgA and IgG Antibodies in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients

Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) IgA and IgG antibodies in serum from nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients are well-established markers for EBV-positive NPC. Luminex-based multiplex serology can analyze antibodies to multiple antigens simultaneously; however, the detection of both IgA and IgG antibodies requires separate measurements. Here we describe the development and validation of a novel duplex multiplex serology assay, which can analyze IgA and IgG antibodies against several antigens simultaneously. Secondary antibody/dye combinations, as well as serum dilution factors, were optimized, and 98 NPC cases matched to 142 controls from the Head and Neck 5000 study (HN5000) were assessed and compared to data previously generated in separate IgA and IgG multiplex assays. EBER in situ hybridization (EBER-ISH) data available for 41 tumors was used to calibrate antigen-specific cut-offs using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis with a prespecified specificity of ≥90%. A directly R-Phycoerythrin-labeled IgG antibody in combination with a biotinylated IgA antibody and streptavidin-BV421 reporter conjugate was able to quantify both IgA and IgG antibodies in a duplex reaction in a 1:1000 serum dilution. The combined assessment of IgA and IgG antibodies in NPC cases and controls from the HN5000 study yielded similar sensitivities as the separate IgA and IgG multiplex assays (all > 90%), and the duplex serological multiplex assay was able to unequivocally define the EBV-positive NPC cases (AUC = 1). In conclusion, the simultaneous detection of IgA and IgG antibodies provides an alternative for the separate IgA/IgG antibody quantification and may present a promising approach for larger NPC screening studies in NPC endemic areas.

Long-Term Outcomes of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma by Epstein-Barr Virus Status in the Chinese Population: A Multicenter Investigation

Background: Because the vast majority of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in Chinese patients is a direct result of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection, there is a dearth of data for EBV-negative patients in this population. This multicenter study sought to examine the clinical characteristics of EBV-negative patients and compare long-term outcomes with a propensity-matched (1:1.5) EBV-positive cohort. Methods: NPC patients with known EBV status from four hospitals were collated (2013-2021). A logistic regression model was conducted to evaluate the relationship between patient characteristics and EBV status. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis were used to analyze survival data. Results: This study analyzed 48 (40%) EBV-negative and 72 (60%) EBV-positive patients. The median follow-up time was 63.5 months. Most EBV-negative NPC patients (77.1%) were diagnosed in advanced stages with a higher rate (87.5%) of positive lymph node disease, and no significant prognostic factors were discerned in this subpopulation. The EBV-negative disease was more associated with the keratinizing subtype (18.8% vs. 1.4%, p < 0.05). Compared to EBV-negative NPC patients, EBV-positive NPC patients were more likely to develop a local recurrence (9.7% vs. 0%, p = 0.026). There was no statistical difference in mortality (EBV-negative vs. EBV- positive, 8.3% vs. 4.2%, p = 0.34) during the follow-up period. Although the median PFS and median OS were not reached, the 3-year PFS rate was 68.8% vs. 70.8% (EBV-negative vs. EBV-positive, p = 0.06), the 3-year OS rate was 70.8% vs. 76.4% (EBV-negative vs. EBV-positive, p = 0.464), the 5-year PFS rate was 56.3% vs. 50% (EBV-negative vs. EBV-positive, p = 0.451), and the 5-year OS rate was 56.3% vs. 58.3% (EBV-negative vs. EBV-positive, p = 0.051), respectively. These data show that EBV-positive NPC patients seem to have a tendency to gain better survival compared with EBV-negative NPC patients. Conclusions: Most of the EBV-negative patients were in the middle and late stages at the time of diagnosis and were more associated with the keratinizing subtype. EBV status may be associated with prognosis in NPC. EBV positivity seems to be associated with better survival in NPC patients. Still, due to the small cohort of patients and the short observation period for a number of patients, further work is required to corroborate these conclusions.

Impact of P16 Positivity on Clinical Outcomes in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Single Institution Study

Introduction Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a rare malignancy with unique geographical distribution. It is prevalent in East and Southeast Asia and rare in non-endemic countries like the USA. P16 is a tumor suppressor gene and there are limited studies with inconsistent results describing the association of its positivity in immunohistochemistry and clinical outcomes. In this retrospective study, we compared progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) based on p16 positivity in 60 patients with NPC. Materials and methods Patients aged above 18 years and followed between July 2015 and December 2020 were included in the study. P16 positivity was based on the immunohistochemistry of the biopsy sample. We compared PFS and OS among all p16-positive and negative patients, and then among patients with advanced disease (stage III or IV), and between p16-positive, negative, and unknown status patients. Results There were 15 p16-positive, and 28 p16-negative, with a median age of 54.3 years and 55.7 years respectively. Most patients in both groups were male, Caucasian, and had advanced disease (stage III or stage IV). Both median PFS (p=0.838) and OS (p=0.776) were 84 months in the p16-negative group but were not reached during the study period in the p16-positive group. Among advanced-stage patients, the PFS (p=0.873), and OS (p=0.773) of both groups were not statistically significant. P16 status was unknown for 17 patients, and PFS (p=0.785) and OS (p=0.901), when compared among patients with p16-positive, negative, and unknown status, were also statistically non-significant. Discussion and conclusion Our analysis suggests that p16 status does not predict clinical outcomes in NPC patients. Our sample size was limited but is larger than most studies describing this association. With different studies in the literature reporting disparate findings, we recommend larger prospective studies to better illustrate the impact of p16 positivity on clinical outcomes in NPC.

Human Papillomavirus-Related Carcinomas of the Sinonasal Tract

Purpose of review

The sinonasal tract is home to a uniquely heterogenous collection of malignant tumors. Human papillomavirus (HPV) has been detected in a number of these, but the virus' role as an oncogenic driver or coincidental finding remains unclear. We aim to highlight five sinonasal tumor types and synthesize the prevalence, etiologic role, and known clinicopathologic relevance of HPV in each.

Recent findings

The last decade has seen an expansion of investigation into HPV's oncogenic and prognostic significance within sinonasal malignancies. The sinonasal tract poses challenges to HPV detection where p16 lacks value as an accurate surrogate. A growing body of data supports a potentially favorable clinical profile for certain sinonasal HPV-positive lesions.

Summary

HPV represents a potential biologically and clinically relevant factor for some sinonasal malignancies. Definitive conclusions regarding HPV's role as a potential oncogenic agent require routine testing using validated methodologies, genomic interrogation, and large-scale prospective studies.

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients from Norway show elevated Epstein-Barr virus IgA and IgG antibodies prior to diagnosis

BACKGROUND

IgA antibodies against few Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) proteins are established serological markers for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). We recently validated a novel, comprehensive EBV marker panel and showed that IgA, but also IgG antibodies against multiple EBV proteins are highly sensitive and specific for EBV-positive NPC at diagnosis. However, data about these novel biomarkers as prospective markers for NPC are sparse.

METHODS

This study included 30 incident NPC cases and 60 matched controls from the Norwegian Janus Serum Bank. For 21 NPCs, molecular EBV and human papillomavirus (HPV) status were assessed by EBER-ISH and HPV DNA/RNA testing by PCR, respectively. IgA and IgG serum antibodies against 17 EBV antigens were analyzed in prediagnostic sera of cases (median lead time 14 years) and controls using multiplex serology. Sensitivities were calculated using receiver operating characteristic analysis pre-specified to yield 90% specificity in the control group. From 10 cases, serial samples were available.

RESULTS

Quantitative EBV antibody levels were significantly elevated among all cases (p < 0.05) for three IgA and six IgG antibodies. The highest sensitivities for defining 12 EBER-ISH-positive NPCs were observed for BGLF2 IgA (67%) and BGLF2 IgG (83%). Increased IgA and IgG antibody levels between the first and last draw before diagnosis were observed for EBER-ISH positive, but not for EBER-ISH negative NPCs. Among 21 molecularly analyzed NPCs, 4 EBER-ISH negative NPCs showed concomitant positivity to HPV type-specific DNA and RNA; 3 NPCs were HPV16 and 1 NPC was HPV18 positive.

CONCLUSION

Both, EBV IgA and IgG antibody levels are significantly elevated many years before diagnosis of EBV-positive NPCs in Norway, an NPC low-incidence region. This study provides insights into one of the largest available prospective sample collections of NPCs in a non-endemic country.

Nasopharyngeal cancer: Incidence and prognosis of human papillomavirus and Epstein-Barr virus association at a single North American institution

BACKGROUND

The prognostication of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) and human papillomavirus (HPV) status in nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) is unclear.

METHODS

This retrospective study analyzed NPC from 2000 to 2019.

RESULTS

Seventy-eight patients were included: 43 EBV⁺ , 12 HPV⁺ , 23 EBV^- /HPV^- , and 0 EBV⁺ /HPV⁺ . All p16⁺ tumors were also positive for HPV-CISH. Baseline characteristics were not different between groups except age, N-classification, and Karnofsky Performance Scale (KPS) (p < 0.05). For EBV⁺ , HPV⁺ , and EBV^- /HPV^- respectively, 3-year overall survival (OS) was 89.9%, 69.8%, and 52.5% (p = 0.006). EBV^- /HPV^- status was significantly associated with worse OS but not freedom from progression (FFP) on univariate analysis, and did not remain a significant predictor of OS after adjusting for KPS, age, and group stage.

CONCLUSIONS

EBV⁺ NPC tumors were seen in younger, healthier patients than HPV⁺ and EBV^- tumors, and there were no cases of coinfection. The association of viral status with OS was insignificant after adjusting for KPS and age.

High-Risk Human Papillomavirus and Epstein-Barr Virus Coinfection: A Potential Role in Head and Neck Carcinogenesis

Simple Summary

A subset of carcinomas that arise in the head and neck region show a viral etiology. In fact, a subgroup of oropharyngeal cancers are caused by some types of human papillomavirus (HPV), so-called high-risk (HR)-HPVs, whereas undifferentiated nasopharyngeal carcinomas are etiologically related to Epstein–Barr virus (EBV). However, studies have reported the presence of both HR-HPV and EBV in some types of head and neck cancers. In this review, we discuss the potential contribution and role of HR-HPV/EBV coinfection in head and neck carcinogenesis, as well as the mechanisms that are potentially involved. In addition, HR-HPV/EBV interaction models are proposed.

Abstract

High-risk human papillomaviruses (HR-HPVs) and Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) are recognized oncogenic viruses involved in the development of a subset of head and neck cancers (HNCs). HR-HPVs are etiologically associated with a subset of oropharyngeal carcinomas (OPCs), whereas EBV is a recognized etiological agent of undifferentiated nasopharyngeal carcinomas (NPCs). In this review, we address epidemiological and mechanistic evidence regarding a potential cooperation between HR-HPV and EBV for HNC development. Considering that: (1) both HR-HPV and EBV infections require cofactors for carcinogenesis; and (2) both oropharyngeal and oral epithelium can be directly exposed to carcinogens, such as alcohol or tobacco smoke, we hypothesize possible interaction mechanisms. The epidemiological and experimental evidence suggests that HR-HPV/EBV cooperation for developing a subset of HNCs is plausible and warrants further investigation.

Development of High-Throughput Multiplex Serology to Detect Serum Antibodies against Coxiella burnetii

The causative agent of Q fever, the bacterium Coxiella burnetii (C. burnetii), has gained increasing interest due to outbreak events and reports about it being a potential risk factor for the development of lymphomas. In order to conduct large-scale studies for population monitoring and to investigate possible associations more closely, accurate and cost-effective high-throughput assays are highly desired. To address this need, nine C. burnetii proteins were expressed as recombinant antigens for multiplex serology. This technique enables the quantitative high-throughput detection of antibodies to multiple antigens simultaneously in a single reaction. Based on a reference group of 76 seropositive and 91 seronegative sera, three antigens were able to detect C. burnetii infections. Com1, GroEL, and DnaK achieved specificities of 93%, 69%, and 77% and sensitivities of 64%, 72%, and 47%, respectively. Double positivity to Com1 and GroEL led to a combined specificity of 90% and a sensitivity of 71%. In a subgroup of seropositives with an increased risk for chronic Q fever, the double positivity to these markers reached a specificity of 90% and a sensitivity of 86%. Multiplex serology enables the detection of antibodies against C. burnetii and appears well-suited to investigate associations between C. burnetii infections and the clinical manifestations in large-scale studies.

HPV Positive Status Is a Favorable Prognostic Factor in Non-Nasopharyngeal Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients: A Retrospective Study From the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database

Objective

To investigate the impact of the human papillomavirus (HPV) status on head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) arising from different anatomic subsites.

Methods

HNSCC patients with known HPV status from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010–2015 were included in our analysis. Patients were classified into three categories of HNSCC according to Site recode ICD-O-3/WHO 2008 and Primary Site-labeled, namely, oropharynx, hypopharynx, and nasopharynx. Logistic regression model was conducted to evaluate the relationship between patient characteristics and HPV status. Kaplan-Meier methods and COX regression analysis were used to analyze survival data.

Results

A total of 9,943 HNSCC patients with known HPV status from the SEER database were enrolled, with 6,829 (68.7%) HPV-positive patients. HPV-positive and HPV-negative HNSCC were distinct and had different clinical and socioeconomic features (all P < 0.001). Primary sites, socioeconomical factors (age, sex, marital status, and race), and pathological features (TNM stage and grade) were closely related with HPV status (all P < 0.001). HPV-positive status was a favorable prognostic marker in HNSCC patients with cancers of the oropharynx and hypopharynx (all P < 0.001), but was not in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients (P = 0.843). A total of 8,933 oropharyngeal carcinoma (OPC) and 558 hypopharyngeal carcinoma (HPC) patients were divided into the training and validation cohorts with a ratio of 1:1. Significant prognostic factors of the OS yielded by multivariate COX analysis in the training cohort were integrated to construct nomograms for OPC and HPC patients. The prognostic models showed a good discrimination with a C-index of 0.79 ± 0.007 and 0.73 ± 0.023 in OPC and HPC, respectively. Favorable calibration was reflected by the calibration curves. Additionally, corresponding risk classification systems for OPC and HPC patients based on the nomograms were built and could perfectly classify patients into low-risk, intermediated-risk, high-risk groups. OS in the three risk groups was accurately differentiated and showed a good discrimination.

Conclusion

HPV positivity was associated with an improved survival in HNSCC patients with cancers of the oropharynx and hypopharynx. Nomograms and corresponding risk classification systems were constructed to assist clinicians in evaluating the survival of OPC and HPC patients.

Age-dependent changes of gender disparities in nasopharyngeal carcinoma survival

Background

The mortality of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is usually lower in females than in males, but the underlying mechanism remains largely unknown. We sought to describe the age-dependent patterns of gender disparities in NPC survival and explore the extent to which the confounder or mediation effects could explain these differences.

Methods

A total of 11,980 patients with NPC were reviewed. The effect of gender on cancer-specific survival (CSS) was assessed using Cox regression analyses. Two propensity score methods were conducted to control the confounding bias between genders. Restricted cubic spline regression was used to model the association of gender and age with mortality flexibly. Multiple mediation analysis was applied to estimate the direct or indirect effect of gender on CSS.

Results

Overall, 7026 males and 2320 females were analyzed. The crude CSS was significantly higher for females than males (10-year CSS 78.4% vs 70.3%; P < 0.001). Similar results were observed after adjusting for confounding bias. Gender disparities in NPC-specific mortality were age-dependent, where they would increase with age until peaking at age 55–60 years and decline rapidly afterward. Subgroup analyses revealed that females’ survival advantage was observed in the 18–45 age group and was more prominent in the 46–55 age group, but vanished in the > 55 age group. Either confounder or mediation effects only accounted for approximately 20% of the gender differences.

Conclusions

Gender disparities in cancer-specific mortality for patients with NPC were age-dependent. The differences mostly cannot be explained by confounder or mediation effects.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13293-021-00361-8.

Viral markers in nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis on the detection of p16INK4a, human papillomavirus (HPV), and Ebstein-Barr virus (EBV)

PURPOSE

This study aimed to conduct a meta-analysis to investigate the distribution of EBV and HPV stratified according to histological NPC type.

MATERIALS & METHODS

We performed a meta-analysis to produce pooled prevalence estimates in a random-effects model. We also performed calculations for attributable fractions of viral combinations in NPC, stratified according to histological type.

RESULTS

There was a higher prevalence of HPV DNA in WHO Type I (34.4%) versus WHO Type II/III (18.4%). The attributable fractions of WHO Type I NPC was predominantly double negative EBV(-) HPV(-) NPC (56.4%), and EBV(-) HPV(+) NPC (21.5%), in contrast to the predominant infection in WHO Type II/III which was EBV(+) HPV(-) NPC (87.5%). Co-infection of both EBV and HPV was uncommon, and double-negative infection was more common in WHO Type I NPC.

CONCLUSION

A significant proportion of WHO Type I NPC was either double-negative EBV(-)HPV(-) or EBV(-)HPV(+).

Improving five-year survival prediction via multitask learning across HPV-related cancers

Oncology is a highly siloed field of research in which sub-disciplinary specialization has limited the amount of information shared between researchers of distinct cancer types. This can be attributed to legitimate differences in the physiology and carcinogenesis of cancers affecting distinct anatomical sites. However, underlying processes that are shared across seemingly disparate cancers probably affect prognosis. The objective of the current study is to investigate whether multitask learning improves 5-year survival cancer patient survival prediction by leveraging information across anatomically distinct HPV related cancers. Data were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program database. The study cohort consisted of 29,768 primary cancer cases diagnosed in the United States between 2004 and 2015. Ten different cancer diagnoses were selected, all with a known association with HPV risk. In the analysis, the cancer diagnoses were categorized into three distinct topography groups of varying specificity. The most specific topography grouping consisted of 10 original cancer diagnoses differentiated by the first two digits of the ICD-O-3 topography code. The second topography grouping consisted of cancer diagnoses categorized into six distinct organ groups. Finally, the third topography grouping consisted of just two groups, head-neck cancers and ano-genital cancers. The tasks were to predict 5-year survival for patients within the different topography groups using 14 predictive features which were selected among descriptive variables available in the SEER database. The information from the predictive features was shared between tasks in three different ways, resulting in three distinct predictive models: 1) Information was not shared between patients assigned to different tasks (single task learning); 2) Information was shared between all patients, regardless of task (pooled model); 3) Only relevant information was shared between patients grouped to different tasks (multitask learning). Prediction performance was evaluated with Brier scores. All three models were evaluated against one another on each of the three distinct topography-defined tasks. The results showed that multitask classifiers achieved relative improvement for the majority of the scenarios studied compared to single task learning and pooled baseline methods. In this study, we have demonstrated that sharing information among anatomically distinct cancer types can lead to improved predictive survival models.