Computational fluid dynamics based digital twins of fixed bed bioreactors validate scaling principles for recombinant adeno-associated virus gene therapy manufacturing

Gene therapy using recombinant adeno-associated virus (rAAV) as delivery vehicles has garnered much interest in recent years. There are still significant gaps in our fundamental understanding of the manufacturing processes to deliver sufficient products. Manufacturing efforts of rAAV using HEK293 cells have commonly relied on fixed bed falling film bioreactors like the iCELLis®. We used computational fluid dynamics (CFD) to validate the operating conditions required for a predictive iCELLis® 500 scale-down model. The small-scale and at-scale systems have different flow paths causing validation of the corresponding agitation rates required to achieve the same linear flow through the fixed bed across scales to be non-trivial. Therefore, we used CFD to predict the theoretical scaling relationship. In addition, CFD could predict kLa differences between the two systems and the operating conditions required to match kLa between scales. We also confirmed that the location of DO control must be the same in both systems to achieve proper scaling. Experimental runs confirming the validity of the novel scale-down model showed that based on the modifications to the iCELLis® Nano system, we achieved similar DO, key metabolite, pH, and GC titer trends in both systems.

Proteomic Analyses in Diverse Populations Improved Risk Prediction and Identified New Drug Targets for Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Integrated analyses of plasma proteomics and genetic data in prospective studies can help assess the causal relevance of proteins, improve risk prediction, and discover novel protein drug targets for type 2 diabetes (T2D).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We measured plasma levels of 2,923 proteins using Olink Explore among ∼2,000 randomly selected participants from China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) without prior diabetes at baseline. Cox regression assessed associations of individual protein with incident T2D (n = 92 cases). Proteomic-based risk models were developed with discrimination, calibration, reclassification assessed using area under the curve (AUC), calibration plots, and net reclassification index (NRI), respectively. Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses using cis-protein quantitative trait loci identified in a genome-wide association study of CKB and UK Biobank for specific proteins were conducted to assess their causal relevance for T2D, along with colocalization analyses to examine shared causal variants between proteins and T2D.

RESULTS

Overall, 33 proteins were significantly associated (false discovery rate < 0.05) with risk of incident T2D, including IGFBP1, GHR, and amylase. The addition of these 33 proteins to a conventional risk prediction model improved AUC from 0.77 (0.73-0.82) to 0.88 (0.85-0.91) and NRI by 38%, with predicted risks well calibrated with observed risks. MR analyses provided support for the causal relevance for T2D of ENTR1, LPL, and PON3, with replication of ENTR1 and LPL in Europeans using different genetic instruments. Moreover, colocalization analyses showed strong evidence (pH4 > 0.6) of shared genetic variants of LPL and PON3 with T2D.

CONCLUSIONS

Proteomic analyses in Chinese adults identified novel associations of multiple proteins with T2D with strong genetic evidence supporting their causal relevance and potential as novel drug targets for prevention and treatment of T2D.

Infectious pathogens and risk of esophageal, gastric and duodenal cancers and ulcers in China: A case-cohort study

Infection by certain pathogens is associated with cancer development. We conducted a case-cohort study of ~2500 incident cases of esophageal, gastric and duodenal cancer, and gastric and duodenal ulcer and a randomly selected subcohort of ~2000 individuals within the China Kadoorie Biobank study of >0.5 million adults. We used a bead-based multiplex serology assay to measure antibodies against 19 pathogens (total 43 antigens) in baseline plasma samples. Associations between pathogens and antigen-specific antibodies with risks of site-specific cancers and ulcers were assessed using Cox regression fitted using the Prentice pseudo-partial likelihood. Seroprevalence varied for different pathogens, from 0.7% for Hepatitis C virus (HCV) to 99.8% for Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) in the subcohort. Compared to participants seronegative for the corresponding pathogen, Helicobacter pylori seropositivity was associated with a higher risk of non-cardia (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 2.73 [95% CI: 2.09-3.58]) and cardia (1.67 [1.18-2.38]) gastric cancer and duodenal ulcer (2.71 [1.79-4.08]). HCV was associated with a higher risk of duodenal cancer (6.23 [1.52-25.62]) and Hepatitis B virus was associated with higher risk of duodenal ulcer (1.46 [1.04-2.05]). There were some associations of antibodies again some herpesviruses and human papillomaviruses with risks of gastrointestinal cancers and ulcers but these should be interpreted with caution. This first study of multiple pathogens with risk of gastrointestinal cancers and ulcers demonstrated that several pathogens are associated with risks of gastrointestinal cancers and ulcers. This will inform future investigations into the role of infection in the etiology of these diseases.

Modeling diffusion-weighted imaging lesion expansion between 2 and 24 h after endovascular thrombectomy in acute ischemic stroke

PURPOSE

Diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) lesion expansion after endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) is not well characterized. We used serial diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to measure lesion expansion between 2 and 24 h after EVT.

METHODS

In this single-center observational analysis of patients with acute ischemic stroke due to large vessel occlusion, DWI was performed post-EVT (< 2 h after closure) and 24-h later. DWI lesion expansion was evaluated using multivariate generalized linear mixed modeling with various clinical moderators.

RESULTS

We included 151 patients, of which 133 (88%) had DWI lesion expansion, defined as a positive change in lesion volume between 2 and 24 h. In an unadjusted analysis, median baseline DWI lesion volume immediately post-EVT was 15.0 mL (IQR: 6.6-36.8) and median DWI lesion volume 24 h post-EVT was 20.8 mL (IQR: 9.4-66.6), representing a median change of 6.1 mL (IQR: 1.5-17.7), or a 39% increase. There were no significant associations among univariable models of lesion expansion. Adjusted models of DWI lesion expansion demonstrated that relative lesion expansion (defined as final/initial DWI lesion volume) was consistent across eTICI scores (0-2a, 0.52%; 2b, 0.49%; 2c-3, 0.42%, p = 0.69). For every 1 mL increase in lesion volume, there was 2% odds of an increase in 90-day mRS (OR: 1.021, 95%CI [1.009, 1.034], p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

We observed substantial lesion expansion post-EVT whereby relative lesion expansion was consistent across eTICI categories, and greater absolute lesion expansion was associated with worse clinical outcome. Our findings suggest that alternate endpoints for cerebroprotectant trials may be feasible.

Author Correction: Aldo-keto reductase 1C2 (AKR1C2) as the second gene associated to non-syndromic primary lipedema: investigating activating mutation or overexpression as causative factors

Correction to: Eur Rev Med Pharmacol Sci 2023; 27 (6 Suppl): 127-136-DOI: 10.26355/eurrev_202312_34697 After publication and following some post-publication concerns, the authors have applied the following corrections to the galley proof. -       The conflict of interest section has been amended as follows: J. Kaftalli and G. Marceddu are employees at MAGI EUREGIO. K. Donato is employee at MAGI EUREGIO and MAGISNAT. M. Bertelli is president of MAGI EUREGIO, MAGISNAT, and MAGI's LAB. G. Bonetti, K. Dhuli, A. Macchia, and P.E. Maltese are employees at MAGI's LAB. M. Bertelli, P.E. Maltese, K. Louise Herbst, Sa. Michelini, Se. Michelini, and P. Chiurazzi are patent inventors (US20220362260A1). M. Bertelli, P.E. Maltese, G. Marceddu are patent inventors (US20230173003A1). M. Bertelli, K. Dhuli and P.E. Maltese are patent inventors (WO2022079498A1). M. Bertelli, P.E. Maltese, Sa. Michelini, Se. Michelini, P. Chiurazzi, K. Louise Herbst, J. Kaftalli, K. Donato, and A. Bernini are patent applicants (Application Number 18/516,241). M. Bertelli, K. Donato, P. Chiurazzi, G. Marceddu, K. Dhuli, G. Bonetti and J. Kaftalli are patent applicants (Application Number: 18/466.879). M. Bertelli, G. Bonetti, G. Marceddu, K. Donato, K. Dhuli, J. Kaftalli, Sa. Michelini, and K. Louise Herbst are patent applicants (Application Number 63/495,155). The remaining authors have no conflict of interest to disclose. -       Figure 5 has been modified as follows to better distinguish outliers: -       The legend of Figure 5 has to be modified as follows: Relative expression of AKR1C1 and AKR1C3 in different groups (CTR = non affected controls, L = lipedema patients without overexpression of AKR1C2, L-over = Lipedema patients with overexpression of AKR1C2), showing that lipedema patients expressed AKR1C1 and AKR1C3 levels similar to the control group. Outliers are reported as black triangles. There are amendments to this paper. The Publisher apologizes for any inconvenience this may cause. https://www.europeanreview.org/article/34697.

The influence of fear of falling on the control of upright stance across the lifespan

BACKGROUND

Standing at height, and subsequent changes in emotional state (e.g., fear of falling), lead to robust alterations in balance in adults. However, little is known about how height-induced postural threat affects balance performance in children. Children may lack the cognitive capability necessary to inhibit the processing of threat and fear-related stimuli, and as a result, may show more marked (and perhaps detrimental) changes in postural control compared to adults. This work explored the emotional and balance responses to standing at height in children, and compared responses to young and older adults.

METHODS

Children (age: 9.7 ± 0.8 years, n = 38), young adults (age: 21.8 ± 4.0 years, n = 45) and older adults (age: 73.3 ± 5.0 years, n = 15) stood in bipedal stance in two conditions: at ground level and 80 cm above ground. Centre of pressure (COP) amplitude (RMS), frequency (MPF) and complexity (sample entropy) were calculated to infer postural performance and strategy. Emotional responses were quantified by assessing balance confidence, fear of falling and perceived instability.

RESULTS

Young and older adults demonstrated a postural adaptation characterised by increased frequency and decreased amplitude of the COP, in conjunction with increased COP complexity (sample entropy). In contrast, children demonstrated opposite patterns of changes: they exhibited an increase in COP amplitude and decrease in both frequency and complexity when standing at height.

SIGNIFICANCE

Children and adults adopted different postural control strategies when standing at height. Whilst young and older adults exhibited a potentially protective "stiffening" response to a height-induced threat, children demonstrated a potentially maladaptive and ineffective postural adaptation strategy. These observations expand upon existing postural threat related research in adults, providing important new insight into understanding how children respond to standing in a hazardous situation.

A common NFKB1 variant detected through antibody analysis in UK Biobank predicts risk of infection and allergy

Infectious agents contribute significantly to the global burden of diseases through both acute infection and their chronic sequelae. We leveraged the UK Biobank to identify genetic loci that influence humoral immune response to multiple infections. From 45 genome-wide association studies in 9,611 participants from UK Biobank, we identified NFKB1 as a locus associated with quantitative antibody responses to multiple pathogens, including those from the herpes, retro-, and polyoma-virus families. An insertion-deletion variant thought to affect NFKB1 expression (rs28362491), was mapped as the likely causal variant and could play a key role in regulation of the immune response. Using 121 infection- and inflammation-related traits in 487,297 UK Biobank participants, we show that the deletion allele was associated with an increased risk of infection from diverse pathogens but had a protective effect against allergic disease. We propose that altered expression of NFKB1, as a result of the deletion, modulates hematopoietic pathways and likely impacts cell survival, antibody production, and inflammation. Taken together, we show that disruptions to the tightly regulated immune processes may tip the balance between exacerbated immune responses and allergy, or increased risk of infection and impaired resolution of inflammation.

Effects of empagliflozin on progression of chronic kidney disease: a prespecified secondary analysis from the empa-kidney trial

BACKGROUND

Sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors reduce progression of chronic kidney disease and the risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in a wide range of patients. However, their effects on kidney disease progression in some patients with chronic kidney disease are unclear because few clinical kidney outcomes occurred among such patients in the completed trials. In particular, some guidelines stratify their level of recommendation about who should be treated with SGLT2 inhibitors based on diabetes status and albuminuria. We aimed to assess the effects of empagliflozin on progression of chronic kidney disease both overall and among specific types of participants in the EMPA-KIDNEY trial.

METHODS

EMPA-KIDNEY, a randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial, was conducted at 241 centres in eight countries (Canada, China, Germany, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, the UK, and the USA), and included individuals aged 18 years or older with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 20 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or with an eGFR of 45 to less than 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) of 200 mg/g or higher. We explored the effects of 10 mg oral empagliflozin once daily versus placebo on the annualised rate of change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR slope), a tertiary outcome. We studied the acute slope (from randomisation to 2 months) and chronic slope (from 2 months onwards) separately, using shared parameter models to estimate the latter. Analyses were done in all randomly assigned participants by intention to treat. EMPA-KIDNEY is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03594110.

FINDINGS

Between May 15, 2019, and April 16, 2021, 6609 participants were randomly assigned and then followed up for a median of 2·0 years (IQR 1·5-2·4). Prespecified subgroups of eGFR included 2282 (34·5%) participants with an eGFR of less than 30 mL/min per 1·73 m2, 2928 (44·3%) with an eGFR of 30 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, and 1399 (21·2%) with an eGFR 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2 or higher. Prespecified subgroups of uACR included 1328 (20·1%) with a uACR of less than 30 mg/g, 1864 (28·2%) with a uACR of 30 to 300 mg/g, and 3417 (51·7%) with a uACR of more than 300 mg/g. Overall, allocation to empagliflozin caused an acute 2·12 mL/min per 1·73 m2 (95% CI 1·83-2·41) reduction in eGFR, equivalent to a 6% (5-6) dip in the first 2 months. After this, it halved the chronic slope from -2·75 to -1·37 mL/min per 1·73 m2 per year (relative difference 50%, 95% CI 42-58). The absolute and relative benefits of empagliflozin on the magnitude of the chronic slope varied significantly depending on diabetes status and baseline levels of eGFR and uACR. In particular, the absolute difference in chronic slopes was lower in patients with lower baseline uACR, but because this group progressed more slowly than those with higher uACR, this translated to a larger relative difference in chronic slopes in this group (86% [36-136] reduction in the chronic slope among those with baseline uACR <30 mg/g compared with a 29% [19-38] reduction for those with baseline uACR ≥2000 mg/g; ptrend<0·0001).

INTERPRETATION

Empagliflozin slowed the rate of progression of chronic kidney disease among all types of participant in the EMPA-KIDNEY trial, including those with little albuminuria. Albuminuria alone should not be used to determine whether to treat with an SGLT2 inhibitor.

FUNDING

Boehringer Ingelheim and Eli Lilly.

Developing a Natural History Model for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to pool multiple data sets to build a patient-centric, data-informed, natural history model (NHM) for Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) to estimate disease trajectory across patient lifetime under current standard of care in future economic evaluations. The study was conducted as part of Project HERCULES, a multi-stakeholder collaboration to develop tools to support health technology assessments of new treatments for DMD.

METHODS

Health states were informed by a review of NHMs for DMD and input from clinicians, patients and caregivers, and defined using common outcomes in clinical trials and real-world practice. The primary source informing the NHM was the Critical Path Institute Duchenne Regulatory Science Consortium (D-RSC) database. This was supplemented with expert input obtained via an elicitation exercise, and a systematic literature review and meta-analysis of mortality data.

RESULTS

The NHM includes ambulatory, transfer and non-ambulatory phases, which capture loss of ambulation, ability to weight bear and upper body and respiratory function, respectively. The NHM estimates patients spend approximately 9.5 years in ambulatory states, 1.5 years in the transfer state and the remainder of their lives in non-ambulatory states. Median predicted survival is 34.8 years (95% CI 34.1-35.8).

CONCLUSION

The model includes a detailed disease pathway for DMD, including the clinically and economically important transfer state. The NHM may be used to estimate the current trajectory of DMD in economic evaluations of new treatments, facilitating inclusion of a lifetime time horizon, and will help identify areas for further research.

Impact of primary kidney disease on the effects of empagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease: secondary analyses of the EMPA-KIDNEY trial

BACKGROUND

The EMPA-KIDNEY trial showed that empagliflozin reduced the risk of the primary composite outcome of kidney disease progression or cardiovascular death in patients with chronic kidney disease mainly through slowing progression. We aimed to assess how effects of empagliflozin might differ by primary kidney disease across its broad population.

METHODS

EMPA-KIDNEY, a randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial, was conducted at 241 centres in eight countries (Canada, China, Germany, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, the UK, and the USA). Patients were eligible if their estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 20 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or 45 to less than 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) of 200 mg/g or higher at screening. They were randomly assigned (1:1) to 10 mg oral empagliflozin once daily or matching placebo. Effects on kidney disease progression (defined as a sustained ≥40% eGFR decline from randomisation, end-stage kidney disease, a sustained eGFR below 10 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or death from kidney failure) were assessed using prespecified Cox models, and eGFR slope analyses used shared parameter models. Subgroup comparisons were performed by including relevant interaction terms in models. EMPA-KIDNEY is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03594110.

FINDINGS

Between May 15, 2019, and April 16, 2021, 6609 participants were randomly assigned and followed up for a median of 2·0 years (IQR 1·5-2·4). Prespecified subgroupings by primary kidney disease included 2057 (31·1%) participants with diabetic kidney disease, 1669 (25·3%) with glomerular disease, 1445 (21·9%) with hypertensive or renovascular disease, and 1438 (21·8%) with other or unknown causes. Kidney disease progression occurred in 384 (11·6%) of 3304 patients in the empagliflozin group and 504 (15·2%) of 3305 patients in the placebo group (hazard ratio 0·71 [95% CI 0·62-0·81]), with no evidence that the relative effect size varied significantly by primary kidney disease (pheterogeneity=0·62). The between-group difference in chronic eGFR slopes (ie, from 2 months to final follow-up) was 1·37 mL/min per 1·73 m2 per year (95% CI 1·16-1·59), representing a 50% (42-58) reduction in the rate of chronic eGFR decline. This relative effect of empagliflozin on chronic eGFR slope was similar in analyses by different primary kidney diseases, including in explorations by type of glomerular disease and diabetes (p values for heterogeneity all >0·1).

INTERPRETATION

In a broad range of patients with chronic kidney disease at risk of progression, including a wide range of non-diabetic causes of chronic kidney disease, empagliflozin reduced risk of kidney disease progression. Relative effect sizes were broadly similar irrespective of the cause of primary kidney disease, suggesting that SGLT2 inhibitors should be part of a standard of care to minimise risk of kidney failure in chronic kidney disease.

FUNDING

Boehringer Ingelheim, Eli Lilly, and UK Medical Research Council.

Postprandial Triglyceride, Glucose and Insulin Levels 10 Years After Bariatric Surgery in Women With Severe Obesity - A Pilot Study: Part 1 - Laparoscopic Greater Curvature Plication

The long-term effects of bariatric surgery on postprandial profiles in patients with obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D) have not yet been investigated. Therefore, this study examined postprandial profiles before laparoscopic greater curvature plication (LGCP), and then at 2 and 10 years after surgery.The studied cohort included 10 women (mean age= 54.4±5 years) with obesity (mean BMI= 42.5±7.8 kg/m?) and T2D who underwent LGCP. All subjects underwent a standardized liquid mixed-meal test. For statistical evaluation, ANOVA with Bonferroni multiple comparison was used. Mean postprandial levels were significantly decreased 2 years after surgery. Responses 10 years after the surgery also remained significantly lower than before surgery. Changes observed during the follow-up were significant: glucose: F=34.5, p<0.001; insulin: F=49.3, p<0.001; triglycerides F=9.2, p<0.001. The long-term favorable effects of bariatric surgery on cardiometabolic health may be partly mediated by reductions in postprandial glucose, insulin, and triglyceride levels.

The Endocannabinoid System - The Prediction of Spontaneous Preterm Birth in High-Risk Women: Protocol of a Study

Spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) is a major cause of perinatal morbidity and mortality, even in developed countries. Prediction of sPTB is therefore a valuable tool to reduce the associated risks. The current standard for the prediction of sPTB consists, in addition to anamnestic data, of previous sPTB and previous second trimester miscarriage, measurement of cervical length by transvaginal ultrasound (TVU CL) together with assessment of fetal fibronectin levels in cervicovaginal fluid. Other evaluation parameters, such as the level of endocannabinoids in the pregnant woman's blood, could increase the sensitivity of this management. Endocannabinoids (eCBs) are a part of the endocannabinoid system (ECS); out of them anandamide (arachidonoyl-ethanolamide, AEA), in particular, plays an important role in the regulation of pregnancy and childbirth. We present the protocol for an open, non-randomized study to evaluate concentrations of AEA and other endocannabinoids: 2 linoleoylglycerol (2-AG), 2 linoleoylglycerol (2-LG), 2 oleoylglycerol (2-OG), and 2 arachidonoyldopamine (2-ADOPA or also NADA) in the blood of pregnant women as potential predictors of sPTB. In a total of 230 women with a history of sPTB or miscarriage, eCBs levels between 22 and 28 weeks of gestation will be assessed from maternal blood, in addition to the standard procedure. The aim of the study is to determine the relationship between blood concentrations of the endocannabinoids tested and the risk of sPTB. The results of this study will describe the prognostic significance of maternal blood eCBs levels for sPTB, and could subsequently enable improved screening programs for early identification of sPTB.

Postprandial Triglyceride, Glucose and Insulin Levels 10 Years After Bariatric Surgery in Women With Severe Obesity - A Pilot Study: Part 2 - Biliopancreatic Diversion

Obesity significantly increases the risk of developing metabolic and cardiovascular diseases. The most effective management tool for both obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D) is bariatric/metabolic surgery. Delayed postprandial plasma triglyceride clearance contributes to the development of atherosclerosis in patients with T2D. Biliopancreatic diversion (BPD) was shown to be the most effective procedure in long-term T2D remission. However, the effect of BPD on postprandial metabolic profile has not been studied so far. In this pilot study, we therefore examined the changes in postprandial glucose, insulin, and triglyceride in women with severe obesity and T2D before surgery and then two and ten years after BPD. The studied cohort included 7 women (mean age at baseline=49.3±8.2 years) with severe obesity (mean BMI= 45.7±2.9 kg/m?) and T2D. A standardized liquid mixed-meal test was carried out in all subjects and the mean postprandial levels of plasma glucose, insulin, and triglyceride were analyzed by standard laboratory procedures. For statistical evaluation, ANOVA with Bonferroni multiple comparisons was used. Ten years after BPD not only a significant reduction of an average BMI (F=32.9, p<0.001) but also significant declines in mean postprandial plasma levels of glucose (F=155.3, p<0.001), insulin (F=69.8, p<0.001), and triglyceride (F=139.9, p<0.001) were demonstrated. The observed changes in postprandial metabolic profile may contribute to improved cardiometabolic health after bariatric surgery.

The Endocannabinoid System and Its Relationship to Human Reproduction

The endocannabinoid system is among the most important regulators of human reproduction. It already applies at the level of the sperm and the egg, plays an important role in the fertilization of the egg, its implantation, regulates the function of the placenta and participates in childbirth. The aim of this work is to summarize the knowledge accumulated so far and to show that the endocannabinoid system must be perfectly regulated in order to maintain a physiological pregnancy from implantation to delivery. Only an exceptional interplay of enzymes such as NAPE-PDL or FAAH, endogenous cannabinoids and cannabinoid receptors CB1 and CB2 can ensure the proper functioning of the reproductive organs and thus lead to delivery on time. Changes in the endocannabinoid system can lead to a number of pathological conditions, e.g., during blastocyst implantation, retardation of embryo development, impaired placental function or miscarriage. Soon, we can expect not only an understanding of all the regulatory events associated with the endocannabinoid system and other regulatory systems that participate in reproduction, but also several possibilities for pharmacotherapeutic interventions that can modify the formation, degradation and effect of endocannabinoids. It cannot be ruled out that some components of the endocannabinoid system could become a marker for monitoring pregnancy and childbirth.

Aldo-keto reductase 1C2 (AKR1C2) as the second gene associated to non-syndromic primary lipedema: investigating activating mutation or overexpression as causative factors

OBJECTIVE

Lipedema is a debilitating chronic condition predominantly affecting women, characterized by the abnormal accumulation of fat in a symmetrical, bilateral pattern in the extremities, often coinciding with hormonal imbalances.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Despite the conjectured role of sex hormones in its etiology, a definitive link has remained elusive. This study explores the case of a patient possessing a mutation deletion within the C-terminal region of Aldo-keto reductases Member C2 (AKR1C2), Ser320PheTer2, that could lead to heightened enzyme activity. A cohort of 19 additional lipedema patients and 2 additional affected family members14 were enrolled in this study. The two additional affected family members are relatives of the patient with the AKR1C1 L213Q variant, which is included in the 19 cohorts and described in literature.

RESULTS

Our investigation revealed that AKR1C2 was overexpressed, as quantified by qPCR, in 5 out of 21 (24%) lipedema patients who did not possess mutations in the AKR1C2 gene. Collectively, these findings implicate AKR1C2 in the pathogenesis of lipedema, substantiating its causative role.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates that the activating mutation in the enzyme or its overexpression is a causative factor in the development of lipedema. Further exploration and replication in diverse populations will bolster our understanding of this significant connection.

Emergency department patient and physician survey accuracy compared to chart abstraction in patients with acute respiratory illness

BACKGROUND

High-quality research studies in older adults are needed. Unfortunately, the accuracy of chart review data in older adult patients has been called into question by previous studies. Little is known on this topic in patients with suspected pneumonia, a disease with 500,000 annual older adult U.S. emergency department (ED) visits that presents a diagnostic challenge to ED physicians. The study objective was to compare direct interview and chart abstraction as data sources.

METHODS

We present a preplanned secondary analysis of a prospective, observational cohort of ED patients ≥65 years of age with suspected pneumonia in two Midwest EDs. We describe the agreement between chart review and a criterion standard of prospective direct patient survey (symptoms) or direct physician survey (examination findings). Data were collected by chart review and from the patient and treating physician by survey.

RESULTS

The larger study enrolled 135 older adults; 134 with complete symptom data and 129 with complete examination data were included in this analysis. Pneumonia symptoms (confusion, malaise, rapid breathing, any cough, new/worse cough, any sputum production, change to sputum) had agreement between patient/legally authorized representative survey and chart review ranging from 47.8% (malaise) to 80.6% (confusion). All examination findings (rales, rhonchi, wheeze) had percent agreement between physician survey and chart review of ≥80%. However, all kappas except wheezing were less than 0.60, indicating weak agreement.

CONCLUSIONS

Both patient symptoms and examination findings demonstrated discrepancies between chart review and direct survey with larger discrepancies in symptoms reported. Researchers should consider these potential discrepancies during study design and data interpretation.

AKR1C1 and hormone metabolism in lipedema pathogenesis: a computational biology approach

OBJECTIVE

Lipedema is an autosomal dominant genetic disease that mainly affects women. It is characterized by excess deposition of subcutaneous adipose tissue, pain, and anxiety. The genetic and environmental etiology of lipedema is still largely unknown. Although considered a rare disease, this pathology has been suggested to be underdiagnosed or misdiagnosed as obesity or lymphedema. Steroid hormones seem to be involved in the pathogenesis of lipedema. Indeed, aldo-keto reductase family 1 member C1 (AKR1C1), a gene coding for a protein involved in steroid hormones metabolism, was the first proposed to be correlated with lipedema.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this study, we employed a molecular dynamics approach to assess the pathogenicity of AKR1C1 genetic variants found in patients with lipedema. Moreover, we combined information theory and structural bioinformatics to identify AKR1C1 polymorphisms from the gnomAD database that could predispose to the development of lipedema.

RESULTS

Three genetic variants in AKR1C1 found in patients with lipedema were disruptive to the protein's function. Furthermore, eight AKR1C1  variants found in the general population could predispose to the development of lipedema.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study provide evidence that AKR1C1 may be a key gene in lipedema pathogenesis, and that common polymorphisms could predispose to lipedema development.

Plasma Proteomics to Identify Drug Targets for Ischemic Heart Disease

BACKGROUND

Integrated analyses of plasma proteomic and genetic markers in prospective studies can clarify the causal relevance of proteins and discover novel targets for ischemic heart disease (IHD) and other diseases.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to examine associations of proteomics and genetics data with IHD in population studies to discover novel preventive treatments.

METHODS

We conducted a nested case-cohort study in the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) involving 1,971 incident IHD cases and 2,001 subcohort participants who were genotyped and free of prior cardiovascular disease. We measured 1,463 proteins in the stored baseline samples using the OLINK EXPLORE panel. Cox regression yielded adjusted HRs for IHD associated with individual proteins after accounting for multiple testing. Moreover, cis-protein quantitative loci (pQTLs) identified for proteins in genome-wide association studies of CKB and of UK Biobank were used as instrumental variables in separate 2-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) studies involving global CARDIOGRAM+C4D consortium (210,842 IHD cases and 1,378,170 controls).

RESULTS

Overall 361 proteins were significantly associated at false discovery rate <0.05 with risk of IHD (349 positively, 12 inversely) in CKB, including N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide and proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9. Of these 361 proteins, 212 had cis-pQTLs in CKB, and MR analyses of 198 variants in CARDIOGRAM+C4D identified 13 proteins that showed potentially causal associations with IHD. Independent MR analyses of 307 cis-pQTLs identified in Europeans replicated associations for 4 proteins (FURIN, proteinase-activated receptor-1, Asialoglycoprotein receptor-1, and matrix metalloproteinase-3). Further downstream analyses showed that FURIN, which is highly expressed in endothelial cells, is a potential novel target and matrix metalloproteinase-3 a potential repurposing target for IHD.

CONCLUSIONS

Integrated analyses of proteomic and genetic data in Chinese and European adults provided causal support for FURIN and multiple other proteins as potential novel drug targets for treatment of IHD.

Implementation of geriatric screening in the emergency department using the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research

OBJECTIVE

Implementation of evidence-based care processes (EBP) into the emergency department (ED) is challenging and there are only a few studies of real-world use of theory-based implementation frameworks. We report final implementation results and sustainability of an EBP geriatric screening program in the ED using the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR).

METHODS

The EBP involved nurses screening older patients for delirium (Delirium Triage Screen), fall risk (4-Stage Balance Test), and vulnerability (Identification of Seniors at Risk score) with subsequent appropriate referrals to physicians, therapy specialists, or social workers. The proportions of screened adults ≥65 years old were tracked monthly. Outcomes are reported January 2021-December 2022. Barriers encountered were classified according to CFIR. Implementation strategies were classified according to the CFIR-Expert Recommendations for Implementing Change (ERIC).

RESULTS

Implementation strategies increased geriatric screening from 5% to 68%. This did not meet our prespecified goal of 80%. Change was sustained through several COVID-19 waves. Inner setting barriers included culture and implementation climate. Initially, the ED was treated as a single inner setting, but we found different cultures and uptake between ED units, including night versus day shifts. Characteristics of individuals barriers included high levels of staff turnover in both clinical and administrative roles and very low self-efficacy from stress and staff turnover. Initial attempts with individualized audit and feedback were not successful in improving self-efficacy and may have caused moral injury. Adjusting feedback to a team/unit level approach with unitwide stretch goals worked better. Identifying early adopters and conducting on-shift education increased uptake. Lessons learned regarding ED culture, implementation in interconnected health systems, and rapid cycle process improvement are reported.

CONCLUSIONS

The pandemic exacerbated barriers to implementation in the ED. Cognizance of a large ED as a sum of smaller units and using the CFIR model resulted in improvements.

Pediatric head and neck manifestations associated with multiple endocrine neoplasia syndromes

INTRODUCTION

Multiple endocrine neoplasia (MEN) syndromes are a group of hereditary cancer syndromes that can predispose children to endocrine neoplasms developing within the head and neck.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the neoplastic manifestations of MEN type 1 (MEN1) and MEN type 2 (MEN2) in the pediatric head and neck.

METHODS

Single-institution, retrospective review of pediatric MEN between 2005 and 2022.

RESULTS

Fifty-three children were genetically confirmed with MEN (15 MEN1, 34 MEN2A, and 4 MEN2B), while three patients received clinical diagnoses of MEN1. The male to female ratio was essentially equal (1.15:1), and a documented family history of cancer was present in 89% (50/56). After multidisciplinary evaluation, a familial MEN diagnosis was confirmed in 91% (51/56). The mean ages of initial presentation and surgical intervention were 8.9 years (SD 5) and 9.8 years (SD 4.8), respectively. Although patients with MEN2 received surgery earlier than patients with MEN1 (8.7 vs 12.7 years), surgical patients with MEN2 in this cohort were older relative to current American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines primarily due to late presentation. Thyroid malignancies were identified in 36% (9/25) of thyroidectomy specimens (21 MEN2A, 4 MEN2B), with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) present in five MEN2A patients and three MEN2B patients (89%), and papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) present in one MEN2A patient (11%). Nearly 90% (8/9) of thyroid malignancies were occult, with some occurring earlier than predicted by current guidelines (ATA-MOD and ATA-H). Central neck dissections were performed in 24% (2 MEN1, 2 MEN2A, and 4 MEN2B), with two MEN2B (50%) demonstrating cervical lymph node (LN) metastases. Additional histopathologic findings included C-cell hyperplasia in 57% (12/21) of MEN2A thyroidectomy patients. Of the eight MEN1 parathyroidectomy patients, four demonstrated parathyroid hyperplasia and four presented with parathyroid adenoma.

CONCLUSION

Nearly 60% required head and neck procedures. While MEN1 guidelines were appropriate for our cohort, we identified patients with MEN2 that developed MTC earlier than expected based on current ATA guidelines, including children in categories considered lower risk. In conjunction with a multidisciplinary approach, pediatric head and neck surgeons should be aware of the potential need for earlier surgical intervention in the pediatric MEN2 population.

Conventional and genetic associations of adiposity with 1463 proteins in relatively lean Chinese adults

Adiposity is associated with multiple diseases and traits, but little is known about the causal relevance and mechanisms underlying these associations. Large-scale proteomic profiling, especially when integrated with genetic data, can clarify mechanisms linking adiposity with disease outcomes. We examined the associations of adiposity with plasma levels of 1463 proteins in 3977 Chinese adults, using measured and genetically-instrumented BMI. We further used two-sample bi-directional MR analyses to assess if certain proteins influenced adiposity, along with other (e.g. enrichment) analyses to clarify possible mechanisms underlying the observed associations. Overall, the mean (SD) baseline BMI was 23.9 (3.3) kg/m2, with only 6% being obese (i.e. BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2). Measured and genetically-instrumented BMI was significantly associated at FDR < 0.05 with levels of 1096 (positive/inverse: 826/270) and 307 (positive/inverse: 270/37) proteins, respectively, with FABP4, LEP, IL1RN, LSP1, GOLM2, TNFRSF6B, and ADAMTS15 showing the strongest positive and PON3, NCAN, LEPR, IGFBP2 and MOG showing the strongest inverse genetic associations. These associations were largely linear, in adiposity-to-protein direction, and replicated (> 90%) in Europeans of UKB (mean BMI 27.4 kg/m2). Enrichment analyses of the top > 50 BMI-associated proteins demonstrated their involvement in atherosclerosis, lipid metabolism, tumour progression and inflammation. Two-sample bi-directional MR analyses using cis-pQTLs identified in CKB GWAS found eight proteins (ITIH3, LRP11, SCAMP3, NUDT5, OGN, EFEMP1, TXNDC15, PRDX6) significantly affect levels of BMI, with NUDT5 also showing bi-directional association. The findings among relatively lean Chinese adults identified novel pathways by which adiposity may increase disease risks and novel potential targets for treatment of obesity and obesity-related diseases.

Multiple staging investigations may not change management in patients with high-grade dysplasia or early esophageal adenocarcinoma

The clinical value of multiple staging investigations for high-grade dysplasia or early adenocarcinoma of the esophagus is unclear. A single-center prospective cohort of patients treated for early esophageal cancer between 2000 and 2019 was analyzed. This coincided with a transition period from esophagectomy to endoscopic mucosal resection (EMR) as the treatment of choice. Patients were staged with computed tomography (CT), endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and 2-deoxy-2-[18F]fluoro-d-glucose (FDG) positron emission tomography(PET)/CT. The aim of this study was to assess their accuracy and impact on clinical management. 297 patients with high-grade dysplasia or early adenocarcinoma were included (endoscopic therapy/EMR n = 184; esophagectomy n = 113 [of which a 'combined' group had surgery preceded by endoscopic therapy n = 23]). Staging accuracy was low (accurate staging EMR: CT 40.1%, EUS 29.6%, FDG-PET/CT 11.0%; Esophagectomy: CT 43.3%, EUS 59.7%, FDG-PET/CT 29.6%; Combined: CT 28.6%, EUS46.2%, FDG-PET/CT 30.0%). Staging inaccuracies across all groups that could have changed management by missing T2 disease were CT 12%, EUS 12% and FDG-PET/CT 1.6%. The sensitivity of all techniques for detecting nodal disease was low (CT 12.5%, EUS 12.5%, FDG-PET/CT0.0%). Overall, FDG-PET/CT and EUS changed decision-making in only 3.2% of patients with an early cancer on CT and low-risk histology. The accuracy of staging with EUS, CT and FDG-PET/CT in patients with high-grade dysplasia or early adenocarcinoma of the esophagus is low. EUS and FDG-PET/CT added relevant staging information over standard CT in very few cases, and therefore, these investigations should be used selectively. Factors predicting the need for esophagectomy are predominantly obtained from EMR histology rather than staging investigations.

Health economic impact of Nerinetide in addition to mechanical thrombectomy without concurrent alteplase

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The ESCAPE-NA1 trial has shown that intravenous Nerinetide improves clinical outcomes in acute ischemic stroke patients with large vessel occlusion undergoing endovascular treatment without concurrent intravenous alteplase. We assessed the health economic impact of intravenous Nerinetide as an adjunctive treatment in endovascular treatment patients who do not receive concurrent intravenous alteplase.

METHODS

Data are from the ESCAPE-NA1 trial, in which acute ischemic stroke with large vessel occlusion endovascular treatment patients were randomized to receive intravenous Nerinetide or placebo. Only those patients not treated with concurrent intravenous alteplase were included in this analysis. We used a Markov state transition model (12 months cycle length) to estimate expected lifetime costs and outcomes, assuming Nerinetide cost being zero for the purpose of this analysis. We calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios and derived mean net monetary benefits with 95% prediction intervals from a probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Upper, middle, and lower willingness-to-pay thresholds were set at $50,000,$100,000, and $150,000.

RESULTS

The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for Nerinetide in addition to endovascular treatment was $13,721/quality-adjusted life year (healthcare perspective) and $14,453/quality-adjusted life year (societal perspective). At the upper willingness-to-pay threshold, Nerinetide in addition to endovascular treatment resulted in a higher mean net monetary benefit compared to endovascular treatment alone, both from a healthcare perspective (449,526 [95% prediction interval: 448,627-450,425] vs. 382,584 [381,781-383,386]) and a societal perspective (350,750 [349,842-351,658] vs. 282,896 [282,068-283,725]). Mean net monetary benefits were also higher for Nerinetide in addition to endovascular treatment at the middle and lower willingness-to-pay thresholds.

CONCLUSION

Treating patients with a cerebroprotectant, such as Nerinetide, in addition to endovascular treatmentl in patients who cannot receive intravenous alteplase may be beneficial from a health-economic standpoint.

Genotyping and population characteristics of the China Kadoorie Biobank

The China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) is a population-based prospective cohort of >512,000 adults recruited from 2004 to 2008 from 10 geographically diverse regions across China. Detailed data from questionnaires and physical measurements were collected at baseline, with additional measurements at three resurveys involving ∼5% of surviving participants. Analyses of genome-wide genotyping, for >100,000 participants using custom-designed Axiom arrays, reveal extensive relatedness, recent consanguinity, and signatures reflecting large-scale population movements from recent Chinese history. Systematic genome-wide association studies of incident disease, captured through electronic linkage to death and disease registries and to the national health insurance system, replicate established disease loci and identify 14 novel disease associations. Together with studies of candidate drug targets and disease risk factors and contributions to international genetics consortia, these demonstrate the breadth, depth, and quality of the CKB data. Ongoing high-throughput omics assays of collected biosamples and planned whole-genome sequencing will further enhance the scientific value of this biobank.

Helicobacter pylori multiplex serology and risk of non-cardia and cardia gastric cancer: a case-cohort study and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Helicobacter pylori infection is a major cause of non-cardia gastric cancer (NCGC), but uncertainty remains about the associations between sero-positivity to different H. pylori antigens and risk of NCGC and cardia gastric cancer (CGC) in different populations.

METHODS

A case-cohort study in China included ∼500 each of incident NCGC and CGC cases and ∼2000 subcohort participants. Sero-positivity to 12 H. pylori antigens was measured in baseline plasma samples using a multiplex assay. Hazard ratios (HRs) of NCGC and CGC for each marker were estimated using Cox regression. These were further meta-analysed with studies using same assay.

RESULTS

In the subcohort, sero-positivity for 12 H. pylori antigens varied from 11.4% (HpaA) to 70.8% (CagA). Overall, 10 antigens showed significant associations with risk of NCGC (adjusted HRs: 1.33 to 4.15), and four antigens with CGC (HRs: 1.50 to 2.34). After simultaneous adjustment for other antigens, positive associations remained significant for NCGC (CagA, HP1564, HP0305) and CGC (CagA, HP1564, HyuA). Compared with CagA sero-positive only individuals, those who were positive for all three antigens had an adjusted HR of 5.59 (95% CI 4.68-6.66) for NCGC and 2.17 (95% CI 1.54-3.05) for CGC. In the meta-analysis of NCGC, the pooled relative risk for CagA was 2.96 (95% CI 2.58-3.41) [Europeans: 5.32 (95% CI 4.05-6.99); Asians: 2.41 (95% CI 2.05-2.83); Pheterogeneity<0.0001]. Similar pronounced population differences were also evident for GroEL, HP1564, HcpC and HP0305. In meta-analyses of CGC, two antigens (CagA, HP1564) were significantly associated with a higher risk in Asians but not Europeans.

CONCLUSIONS

Sero-positivity to several H. pylori antigens was significantly associated with an increased risk of NCGC and CGC, with varying effects between Asian and European populations.

Improving paramedic responses for patients dying at home: a theory of change-based approach

BACKGROUND

Paramedics are increasingly being called to attend patients dying from advanced incurable conditions. However, confidence to deal with such calls varies, with many feeling relatively unskilled in this aspect of their role. A number of interventions have been piloted to improve their skills in end-of-life care (EoLC) but without a fully specified theoretical model. Theory of Change models can provide theoretical and testable links from intervention activities to proposed long-term outcomes and indicate the areas for assessment of effectiveness. This study aimed to develop an intervention for improving paramedic EoLC for patients in the community.

METHODS

A Theory of Change approach was used as the overarching theoretical framework for developing an intervention to improve paramedic end-of-life skills. Nine stakeholders - including specialist community paramedics, ambulance call handlers and palliative care specialists - were recruited to five consecutive online workshops, ranging between 60 and 90 min. Each workshop had 2-3 facilitators. Over multiple workshops, stakeholders decided on the desired impact, short- and long-term outcomes, and possible interventions. During and between these workshops a Theory of Change model was created, with the components shared with stakeholders.

RESULTS

The stakeholders agreed the desired impact was to provide consistent, holistic, patient-centred, and effective EoLC. Four potential long-term outcomes were suggested: (1) increased use of anticipatory and regular end-of-life medications; (2) reduced end-of-life clinical and medication errors; (3) reduced unnecessary hospitalisations; (4) increased concordance between patient preferred and actual place of death. Key interventions focused on providing immediate information on what to do in such situations including: appraising the situation, developing an algorithm for a treatment plan (including whether or not to convey to hospital) and how to identify ongoing support in the community.

CONCLUSIONS

A Theory of Change approach was effective at identifying impact, outcomes, and the important features of an end-of-life intervention for paramedics. This study identified the need for paramedics to have immediate access to information and resources to support EoLC, which the workshop stakeholders are now seeking to develop as an intervention.

Testing image-velocimetry methods for turbulence diagnostics

Two image-based velocity-inference techniques, cross-correlation time-delay estimation (CCTDE) and dynamic time warping (DTW), were tested. These techniques are conventionally used in the study of plasma dynamics, but they can be applied to any data where features propagate across the image field-of-view. Differences between the techniques were investigated, which showed that the shortcomings of each technique are complemented well by the strengths of the other. Thus, the techniques should be used in conjunction with each other for optimal velocimetry. For ease of use, an example workflow that applies the results in this paper to experimental measurements is provided for both techniques. The findings were based on a thorough analysis of the uncertainties for both techniques. Specifically, the accuracy and precision associated with inferred velocity fields were systematically tested using synthetic data. Novel findings are presented that strongly improve the performance of both techniques, some of which are as follows: CCTDE was able to operate accurately under most conditions with an inference frequency as short as 1 per 32 frames, as opposed to the typical 1 per ≥256 frames used in the literature; an underlying pattern in CCTDE accuracy depending on the magnitude of the underlying velocity was found; spurious velocities due to the barber pole illusion can now be predicted prior to CCTDE velocimetry through a simple analysis; DTW was more robust against the barber pole illusion than CCTDE; DTW performance with sheared flows was tested; DTW was able to reliably infer accurate flow fields from data with as low as 8 × 8 spatial channels; and however, if the flow direction was unknown prior to DTW analysis, DTW could not reliably infer any velocities.

Proteomic profiling identifies novel independent relationships between inflammatory proteins and myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Inflammation has been implicated in the pathogenesis of coronary heart disease, but the relevance and independence of individual inflammatory proteins is uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the relationships between a spectrum of inflammatory proteins and myocardial infarction (MI).

METHODS AND RESULTS

A panel of 92 inflammatory proteins was assessed using an OLINK multiplex immunoassay among 432 MI cases (diagnosed < 66 years) and 323 controls. Logistic regression was used to estimate associations between individual proteins and MI, after adjustment for established cardiovascular risk factors and medication use, and stepwise regression to identify proteins with independent effects. Machine learning techniques (Boruta analysis and LASSO regression) and bioinformatic resources were used to examine the concordance of results with those obtained by conventional methods and explore the underlying biological processes to inform the validity of the associations. Among the 92 proteins studied, 62 (67%) had plasma concentrations above the lower limit of detection in at least 50% of samples. Of these, 15 individual proteins were significantly associated with MI after covariate adjustment and correction for multiple testing. Five of these 15 proteins (CDCP1, CD6, IL1-8R1, IL-6, and CXCL1) were independently associated with MI, with up to three-fold higher risks of MI per doubling in plasma concentrations. Findings were further validated using machine learning techniques and biologically focused analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

This study, demonstrating independent relationships between five inflammatory proteins and MI, provides important novel insights into the inflammatory hypothesis of MI and the potential utility of proteomic analyses in precision medicine.

Diabetes and infectious disease mortality in Mexico City

INTRODUCTION

Although higher risks of infectious diseases among individuals with diabetes have long been recognized, the magnitude of these risks is poorly described, particularly in lower income settings. This study sought to assess the risk of death from infection associated with diabetes in Mexico.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Between 1998 and 2004, a total of 159 755 adults ≥35 years were recruited from Mexico City and followed up until January 2021 for cause-specific mortality. Cox regression yielded adjusted rate ratios (RR) for death due to infection associated with previously diagnosed and undiagnosed (HbA1c ≥6.5%) diabetes and, among participants with previously diagnosed diabetes, with duration of diabetes and with HbA1c.

RESULTS

Among 130 997 participants aged 35-74 and without other prior chronic diseases at recruitment, 12.3% had previously diagnosed diabetes, with a mean (SD) HbA1c of 9.1% (2.5%), and 4.9% had undiagnosed diabetes. During 2.1 million person-years of follow-up, 2030 deaths due to infectious causes were recorded at ages 35-74. Previously diagnosed diabetes was associated with an RR for death from infection of 4.48 (95% CI 4.05-4.95), compared with participants without diabetes, with notably strong associations with death from urinary tract (9.68 (7.07-13.3)) and skin, bone and connective tissue (9.19 (5.92-14.3)) infections and septicemia (8.37 (5.97-11.7)). In those with previously diagnosed diabetes, longer diabetes duration (1.03 (1.02-1.05) per 1 year) and higher HbA1c (1.12 (1.08-1.15) per 1.0%) were independently associated with higher risk of death due to infection. Even among participants with undiagnosed diabetes, the risk of death due to infection was nearly treble the risk of those without diabetes (2.69 (2.31-3.13)).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study of Mexican adults, diabetes was common, frequently poorly controlled, and associated with much higher risks of death due to infection than observed previously, accounting for approximately one-third of all premature mortality due to infection.

Apolipoprotein Proteomics for Residual Lipid-Related Risk in Coronary Heart Disease

BACKGROUND

Recognition of the importance of conventional lipid measures and the advent of novel lipid-lowering medications have prompted the need for more comprehensive lipid panels to guide use of emerging treatments for the prevention of coronary heart disease (CHD). This report assessed the relevance of 13 apolipoproteins measured using a single mass-spectrometry assay for risk of CHD in the PROCARDIS case-control study of CHD (941 cases/975 controls).

METHODS

The associations of apolipoproteins with CHD were assessed after adjustment for established risk factors and correction for statin use. Apolipoproteins were grouped into 4 lipid-related classes [lipoprotein(a), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides] and their associations with CHD were adjusted for established CHD risk factors and conventional lipids. Analyses of these apolipoproteins in a subset of the ASCOT trial (Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial) were used to assess their within-person variability and to estimate a correction for statin use. The findings in the PROCARDIS study were compared with those for incident cardiovascular disease in the Bruneck prospective study (n=688), including new measurements of Apo(a).

RESULTS

Triglyceride-carrying apolipoproteins (ApoC1, ApoC3, and ApoE) were most strongly associated with the risk of CHD (2- to 3-fold higher odds ratios for top versus bottom quintile) independent of conventional lipid measures. Likewise, ApoB was independently associated with a 2-fold higher odds ratios of CHD. Lipoprotein(a) was measured using peptides from the Apo(a)-kringle repeat and Apo(a)-constant regions, but neither of these associations differed from the association with conventionally measured lipoprotein(a). Among HDL-related apolipoproteins, ApoA4 and ApoM were inversely related to CHD, independent of conventional lipid measures. The disease associations with all apolipoproteins were directionally consistent in the PROCARDIS and Bruneck studies, with the exception of ApoM.

CONCLUSIONS

Apolipoproteins were associated with CHD independent of conventional risk factors and lipids, suggesting apolipoproteins could help to identify patients with residual lipid-related risk and guide personalized approaches to CHD risk reduction.

Empagliflozin in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

The effects of empagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease who are at risk for disease progression are not well understood. The EMPA-KIDNEY trial was designed to assess the effects of treatment with empagliflozin in a broad range of such patients.

METHODS

We enrolled patients with chronic kidney disease who had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of at least 20 but less than 45 ml per minute per 1.73 m² of body-surface area, or who had an eGFR of at least 45 but less than 90 ml per minute per 1.73 m² with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (with albumin measured in milligrams and creatinine measured in grams) of at least 200. Patients were randomly assigned to receive empagliflozin (10 mg once daily) or matching placebo. The primary outcome was a composite of progression of kidney disease (defined as end-stage kidney disease, a sustained decrease in eGFR to <10 ml per minute per 1.73 m², a sustained decrease in eGFR of ≥40% from baseline, or death from renal causes) or death from cardiovascular causes.

RESULTS

A total of 6609 patients underwent randomization. During a median of 2.0 years of follow-up, progression of kidney disease or death from cardiovascular causes occurred in 432 of 3304 patients (13.1%) in the empagliflozin group and in 558 of 3305 patients (16.9%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64 to 0.82; P<0.001). Results were consistent among patients with or without diabetes and across subgroups defined according to eGFR ranges. The rate of hospitalization from any cause was lower in the empagliflozin group than in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.78 to 0.95; P = 0.003), but there were no significant between-group differences with respect to the composite outcome of hospitalization for heart failure or death from cardiovascular causes (which occurred in 4.0% in the empagliflozin group and 4.6% in the placebo group) or death from any cause (in 4.5% and 5.1%, respectively). The rates of serious adverse events were similar in the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Among a wide range of patients with chronic kidney disease who were at risk for disease progression, empagliflozin therapy led to a lower risk of progression of kidney disease or death from cardiovascular causes than placebo. (Funded by Boehringer Ingelheim and others; EMPA-KIDNEY ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03594110; EudraCT number, 2017-002971-24.).

NS-HGlio: A generalizable and repeatable HGG segmentation and volumetric measurement AI algorithm for the longitudinal MRI assessment to inform RANO in trials and clinics

Background

Accurate and repeatable measurement of high-grade glioma (HGG) enhancing (Enh.) and T2/FLAIR hyperintensity/edema (Ed.) is required for monitoring treatment response. 3D measurements can be used to inform the modified Response Assessment in Neuro-oncology criteria. We aim to develop an HGG volumetric measurement and visualization AI algorithm that is generalizable and repeatable.

Methods

A single 3D-Convoluted Neural Network, NS-HGlio, to analyze HGG on MRIs using 5-fold cross validation was developed using retrospective (557 MRIs), multicentre (38 sites) and multivendor (32 scanners) dataset divided into training (70%), validation (20%), and testing (10%). Six neuroradiologists created the ground truth (GT). Additional Internal validation (IV, three institutions) using 70 MRIs, and External validation (EV, single institution) using 40 MRIs through measuring the Dice Similarity Coefficient (DSC) of Enh., Ed. ,and Enh. + Ed. (WholeLesion/WL) tumor tissue and repeatability testing on 14 subjects from the TCIA MGH-QIN-GBM dataset using volume correlations between timepoints were performed.

Results

IV Preoperative median DSC Enh. 0.89 (SD 0.11), Ed. 0.88 (0.28), WL 0.88 (0.11). EV Preoperative median DSC Enh. 0.82 (0.09), Ed. 0.83 (0.11), WL 0.86 (0.06). IV Postoperative median DSC Enh. 0.77 (SD 0.20), Ed 0.78. (SD 0.09), WL 0.78 (SD 0.11). EV Postoperative median DSC Enh. 0.75 (0.21), Ed 0.74 (0.12), WL 0.79 (0.07). Repeatability testing; Intraclass Correlation Coefficient of 0.95 Enh. and 0.92 Ed.

Conclusion

NS-HGlio is accurate, repeatable, and generalizable. The output can be used for visualization, documentation, treatment response monitoring, radiation planning, intra-operative targeting, and estimation of Residual Tumor Volume among others.

Federated learning enables big data for rare cancer boundary detection

Although machine learning (ML) has shown promise across disciplines, out-of-sample generalizability is concerning. This is currently addressed by sharing multi-site data, but such centralization is challenging/infeasible to scale due to various limitations. Federated ML (FL) provides an alternative paradigm for accurate and generalizable ML, by only sharing numerical model updates. Here we present the largest FL study to-date, involving data from 71 sites across 6 continents, to generate an automatic tumor boundary detector for the rare disease of glioblastoma, reporting the largest such dataset in the literature (n = 6, 314). We demonstrate a 33% delineation improvement for the surgically targetable tumor, and 23% for the complete tumor extent, over a publicly trained model. We anticipate our study to: 1) enable more healthcare studies informed by large diverse data, ensuring meaningful results for rare diseases and underrepresented populations, 2) facilitate further analyses for glioblastoma by releasing our consensus model, and 3) demonstrate the FL effectiveness at such scale and task-complexity as a paradigm shift for multi-site collaborations, alleviating the need for data-sharing.

The use of video job-aids to improve the quality of seasonal malaria chemoprevention delivery

Mobile phones are increasingly used in community health programmes, but the use of video job-aids that can be displayed on smart phones has not been widely exploited. We investigated the use of video job-aids to support the delivery of seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) in countries in West and Central Africa. The study was prompted by the need for training tools that could be used in a socially distanced manner during the COVID-19 pandemic. Animated videos were developed in English, French, Portuguese, Fula and Hausa, illustrating key steps for administering SMC safely, including wearing masks, washing hands, and social distancing. Through a consultative process with the national malaria programmes of countries using SMC, successive versions of the script and videos were reviewed to ensure accurate and relevant content. Online workshops were held with programme managers to plan how to use the videos in SMC staff training and supervision, and the use of the videos was evaluated in Guinea through focus groups and in-depth interviews with drug distributors and other staff involved in SMC delivery and through direct observations of SMC administration. Programme managers found the videos useful as they reinforce messages, can be viewed at any time and repeatedly, and when used during training sessions, provide a focus of discussion and support for trainers and help retain messages. Managers requested that local specificities of SMC delivery in their setting be included in tailored versions of the video for their country, and videos were required to be narrated in a variety of local languages. In Guinea, SMC drug distributors found the video covered the all the essential steps and found the video easy to understand. However, not all key messages were followed as some of the safety measures, social distancing and wearing masks, were perceived by some as creating mistrust amongst communities. Video job-aids can potentially provide an efficient means of reaching large numbers of drug distributors with guidance for safe and effective distribution of SMC. Not all distributors use android phones, but SMC programmes are increasingly providing drug distributors with android devices to track delivery, and personal ownership of smartphones in sub-Saharan Africa is growing. The use of video job-aids for community health workers to improve the quality delivery of SMC, or of other primary health care interventions, should be more widely evaluated.

Perioperative rosuvastatin therapy increases creatine kinase and the risk of acute kidney injury in patients undergoing cardiac surgery

Introduction

In patients undergoing cardiac surgery, perioperative statin therapy does not prevent atrial fibrillation or myocardial injury, but results in increased creatinine levels after surgery. Here we investigated the incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) in 1922 patients scheduled for elective cardiac surgery who were randomized to perioperative rosuvastatin (20 mg once daily) or placebo in the Statin Therapy In Cardiac Surgery (STICS) trial.

Methods

AKI post-surgery was defined according to international guidelines using plasma creatinine. Biomarkers related to kidney function, muscle injury and inflammation were investigated, including cystatin C, total creatine kinase (CK), troponin I, growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), interleukin-6 (IL-6), procalcitonin, and placental growth factor (PGF).

Results

At 48 hours post-surgery, AKI was significantly more common in patients allocated to rosuvastatin compared to placebo when defined by creatinine (24.7% vs 19.3%; OR 1.37 [95% CI 1.10–1.70]; p=0.005; Figure 1A) or by cystatin C (9.2% vs 5.1%; OR 1.86 [95% CI 1.29–2.67]; p&lt;0.001; Figure 1B). Elevations in CK to &gt;10x and &gt;40x baseline level were also more frequent in rosuvastatin-allocated patients compared to placebo (30.9% vs 26.5%, p=0.02, and 2.1% vs 0.7%, p=0.02, respectively; Figure 1C). Post-operative concentrations of troponin I, GDF-15, IL-6, procalcitonin, and PGF were similar between the groups (Table 1).

Conclusions

Perioperative rosuvastatin initiation increased the absolute risk of AKI after cardiac surgery by 4–5%. Rosuvastatin also led to greater elevations in post-operative creatine kinase, but did not affect other biomarkers of tissue injury, inflammation, and myocardial injury. Further research is needed to delineate the underlying mechanism of AKI with perioperative rosuvastatin.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): British Heart Foundation

Determinants of post-operative atrial fibrillation in 1613 patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting in the Statin Therapy In Cardiac Surgery (STICS) trial

Introduction

Post-operative atrial fibrillation (POAF) occurs in 20–40% of patients in the first week after cardiac surgery, and is associated with longer hospital stay, higher stroke risk, and worse overall prognosis. The surgery-related inflammatory response has been strongly implicated in POAF pathogenesis; however, lower CRP levels resulting from perioperative rosuvastatin therapy in the Statin Therapy In Cardiac Surgery (STICS) randomized trial were not associated with a reduced incidence of POAF. Furthermore, POAF independently predicts subsequent clinical AF and as such may reflect the presence of a subclinical cardiomyopathic substrate. We tested this hypothesis by investigating determinants of POAF in 1613 patients who underwent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting in China in the STICS trial.

Methods

Clinical data included age, sex, body mass index, medical history, medications, and type of surgery (on-pump vs off-pump). Blood taken prior to surgery was assayed for troponin I, N-terminal pro–brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), creatinine, low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, and serum CD40 ligand. The biomarkers growth differentiation factor 15, interleukin-6, procalcitonin, and placental growth factor were measured at baseline and at 6 hours after surgery. Echocardiography evaluated left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and left atrial (LA) size. POAF was detected by continuous Holter electrocardiographic monitoring for 5 days after surgery.

Results

POAF occurred in 314 of 1613 patients (19%). As expected, age was the single strongest predictor of POAF (C-statistic 0.66 [95% CI 0.62–0.70]). After adjustment for age, NT-proBNP, LA size, Troponin, LVEF, sex, calcium-channel blocker use, and prior myocardial infarction were all significantly associated with POAF when assessed individually (all P&lt;0.05). In multivariate analysis, a basic model incorporating only age, NT-proBNP, and LA size had a C-statistic of 0.69 (95% CI 0.66–0.73). This performance was not significantly different to that of models including all available variables, irrespective of whether baseline or post-surgery biomarker results were used (all C-statistics 0.71 [95% CI 0.68–0.75]; Table 1). The basic model numerically outperformed more complex risk prediction scores including CHARGE-AF (0.66, 95% CI 0.63–0.70; Figure 1), POAF score (0.64, 95% CI 0.61–0.68), CHA2DS2-VASc (0.60, 95% CI 0.57–0.63), and AF risk index (0.57, 95% CI 0.54–0.60).

Conclusions

A basic model requiring only age, NT-proBNP, and LA size has good predictive value for POAF in this population, comparing well to more complex risk prediction scores. More broadly, these results suggest that systemic inflammation and perioperative myocardial injury may be less relevant to the pathogenesis of POAF than the effects of aging and cardiac structural and functional changes.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): British Heart Foundation

Exploratory Study of the Brain Response in Facial Synkinesis after Bell Palsy with Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of the Literature

BACKGROUND

Facial synkinesis, characterized by unintentional facial movements paired with intentional movements, is a debilitating sequela of Bell palsy.

PURPOSE

Our aim was to determine whether persistent peripheral nerve changes arising from Bell palsy result in persistent altered brain function in motor pathways in synkinesis.

DATA SOURCES

A literature search using terms related to facial paralysis, Bell palsy, synkinesis, and fMRI through May 2021 was conducted in MEDLINE and EMBASE. Additionally, an fMRI study examined lip and eyeblink movements in 2 groups: individuals who fully recovered following Bell palsy and individuals who developed synkinesis.

STUDY SELECTION

Task-based data of the whole brain that required lip movements in healthy controls were extracted from 7 publications. Three studies contributed similar whole-brain analyses in acute Bell palsy.

DATA ANALYSIS

The meta-analysis of fMRI in healthy control and Bell palsy groups determined common clusters of activation within each group using activation likelihood estimates. A separate fMRI study used multivariate general linear modeling to identify changes associated with synkinesis in smiling and blinking tasks.

DATA SYNTHESIS

A region of the precentral gyrus contralateral to the paretic side of the face was hypoactive in synkinesis during lip movements compared with controls. This region was centered in a cluster of activation identified in the meta-analysis of the healthy controls but absent from individuals with Bell palsy.

LIMITATIONS

The meta-analysis relied on a small set of studies. The small sample of subjects with synkinesis limited the power of the fMRI analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Premotor pathways show persistent functional changes in synkinesis first identifiable in acute Bell palsy.

Is Irradiated Homologous Costal Cartilage Reliable? A Meta-Analysis of Complication Rates in Rhinoplasty

Background: Irradiated homologous costal cartilage (IHCC) may be a convenient, cost-effective and efficient alternative source of graft material in rhinoplasty; however, a systematic review and meta-analysis on this topic have not been previously performed. Objectives: We sought to summarize and pool data on complications associated with the use of IHCC grafting in rhinoplasty. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses criteria. We conducted PubMed, Cochrane, Embase, Web of Science database searches, and screened articles using specific inclusion and exclusion criteria. Pooled complication rates were analyzed using a random-effects model. Results: Of the 13 studies that met criteria for systematic review, 11 studies involving 1017 patients, with 1956 IHCC grafts used, were included in the meta-analysis. Mean follow-up across all studies was 47 months. Overall, the pooled complication rates were 1.14% (95% CI: 0.3%-2.0%) for resorption, 0.5% (95% CI: 0.1%-0.9%) for warping, 1.2% (95% CI: 0.3%-2.1%) for infection, 1.0% (95% CI: 0.1%-2.0%) for mobility, and 0.8% (95% CI: 0.1%-1.6%) for graft removal or replacement. No allergic reactions or systemic disease associated with IHCC use were reported in any of the studies. Conclusions: The overall complications associated with IHCC use in rhinoplasty were very low. Costal cartilage allografts are an area of renewed interest that may represent an alternative to autologous costal cartilage grafting in rhinoplasty due to their low complication rates, convenience, cost-effectiveness, and elimination of donor-site complications.