COVID-19 outbreak in Lombardy: Impact on reducing solid cancer diagnoses in 2020

COVID-19 impact on incidence and stage at diagnosis of five prominent cancers: A French cancer registry-based study

BACKGROUND

The French healthcare system has been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, including cancer care.

METHODS

In order to evaluate the impact of this pandemic on cancer incidence, the Isere Departmental Cancer Registry compared the actual 2020 incidence of melanoma, breast, colorectal, prostate and lung cancers with the expected 2020 incidence based on data collected by the Registry between 2015 and 2019, taking into account periods of lockdown and reopening. When available, cancer stages and/or prognostic scores were recorded.

RESULTS

During the period of initial confinement, a 54%, 50% and 36,8% drop in incidence was observed for breast, prostate and colorectal cancer respectively. Although their annual incidence remained stable, a worsening trend emerged as a decline in the number of low stages/scores at diagnosis in favour of higher stages/scores towards the end of 2020. In contrast, a significant 17,8% drop was observed in annual incidence of melanoma, particularly for Breslow scores < 1 (-27,4%). However, this trend was noticeable before the lockdown, as well as the 14% reduction in the incidence of lung cancer in women, but not in men.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of certain cancers was caught up over the year but the COVID-19 pandemic seems to be associated with a change in their severity at diagnosis throughout 2020. The downward trends in female lung cancer and melanoma incidence point to complex underlying phenomena. Further analysis is still needed to assess the global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer incidence.

The multicenter experience in the multidisciplinary Italian breast units: a review and update

A breast unit is a multidisciplinary center specialized in the management of women with breast diseases, including breast cancer (BC). It represents a care path, passing from screening activities to diagnostic investigations, from surgery to the definition of the therapeutic strategy, from psychophysical rehabilitation to long-term checks (follow-up), and up to genetic counseling. Since 2006, following a resolution issued by the European Parliament to urge member states to activate multidisciplinary breast centers by 2016, work has been underway throughout Italy to improve the management of women with BC. In Italy, the State-Regions agreement was signed on 18 December 2014, sanctioning the establishment of breast units. These centers must adhere to specific quality criteria and requirements. In 2020, the experts of the EUSOMA group (European Society of Breast Cancer Specialists), in their latest document published, expanded the requirements of the breast units. Furthermore, Senonetwork was founded in 2012 with the aim of allowing BC to be treated in breast units that comply with European requirements to ensure equal treatment opportunities for all Italian women. Indeed, the available data indicate that the BC patient has a greater chance of better treatment in the breast units with a multidisciplinary team, thus increasing the survival rate with a better quality of life, compared to those managed in nonspecialized structures. The present review is a perspective on the current Italian reality of breast units, updated with the available literature and the most recent epidemiological data from Senonetwork and AgeNaS.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on paediatric renal tumour presentation and management, a SIOP renal tumour study group study

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic had global catastrophic effects on the management of non-communicable diseases including paediatric cancers. Restrictions during the start of 2020 complicated timely referrals of patients to specialized centres. We aimed to evaluate the pandemic's impact on the number of new diagnoses, disease characteristics and management delay for paediatric renal tumour patients included in the SIOP-RTSG-UMBRELLA study, as compared with data from a historical SIOP-RTSG trial (2005-2009).

METHODS

The number of intensive care admissions, population mobility rates and national lockdown periods/restrictions were used as proxies of the pandemic's severity and impact on societies. Clinical and tumour data were extracted from the SIOP-RTSG-UMBRELLA study and from historical SIOP-RTSG trials.

RESULTS

During the first lockdown in Europe, the number of newly diagnosed patients decreased following restrictions and population immobilisation. Additionally, there was a higher proportion of advanced disease (37% vs. 17% before and after COVID-9, p < 0.001) and larger median tumour volume (559 cm3 vs. 328 and 434 cm3 before and after, p < 0.0001). Also in Brazil, the proportion of advanced disease was higher during the national decrease in mobilisation and start of restrictions (50% and 24% vs. 11% and 18% before and after, p < 0.01). Tumour volume in Brazil was also higher during the first months of COVID-19 (599 cm3 vs. 459 and 514 cm3 ), although not significant (p = 0.17). We did not observe any delays in referral time nor in time to start treatment, even though COVID-19 restrictions may have caused children to reach care later.

CONCLUSION

The COVID-19 pandemic briefly changed the tumour characteristics of children presenting with renal tumours. The longer-term impact on clinical outcomes will be kept under review.

Developing a comorbidity score in cancer patients using healthcare utilization databases during the COVID-19 pandemic: An experience from Italy

BACKGROUND

A strong relationship has been observed between comorbidities and the risk of severe/fatal COVID-19 manifestations, but no score is available to evaluate their association in cancer patients. To make up for this lacuna, we aimed to develop a comorbidity score for cancer patients, based on the Lombardy Region healthcare databases.

METHODS

We used hospital discharge records to identify patients with a new diagnosis of solid cancer between February and December 2019; 61 comorbidities were retrieved within 2 years before cancer diagnosis. This cohort was split into training and validation sets. In the training set, we used a LASSO-logistic model to identify comorbidities associated with the risk of developing a severe/fatal form of COVID-19 during the first pandemic wave (March-May 2020). We used a logistic model to estimate comorbidity score weights and then we divided the score into five classes (<=-1, 0, 1, 2-4, >=5). In the validation set, we assessed score performance by areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration plots. We repeated the process on second pandemic wave (October-December 2020) data.

RESULTS

We identified 55,425 patients with an incident solid cancer. We selected 21 comorbidities as independent predictors. The first four score classes showed similar probability of experiencing the outcome (0.2% to 0.5%), while the last showed a probability equal to 5.8%. The score performed well in both the first and second pandemic waves: AUC 0.85 and 0.82, respectively. Our results were robust for major cancer sites too (i.e., colorectal, lung, female breast, and prostate).

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a high performance comorbidity score for cancer patients and COVID-19. Being based on administrative databases, this score will be useful for adjusting for comorbidity confounding in epidemiological studies on COVID-19 and cancer impact.

COVID-19 outbreak in Lombardy: Impact on reducing solid cancer diagnoses in 2020

Our aim was to analyse, on a population level, the year-long decline in cancer diagnoses in the region of Lombardy (Italy), and to characterise the tumours with the greatest reduction in diagnosis by patient age, sex and tumour stage at diagnosis. We used the health care utilisation databases of the Lombardy region to identify cancer patients' characteristics (eg, sex, age) and cancer-related information (eg, cancer site, stage at diagnosis). The frequency of new cancer diagnoses in 2019 and 2020 were compared in terms of percentage differences in undiagnosed cases. We observed two peaks in the decline in cancer diagnoses: March to May 2020 (-37%) and October to December 2020 (-19%). The decline persisted over the course of 2020 and was higher in males and patients aged 74+. Diagnoses of all four common cancers analysed (female breast, lung, colorectal and prostate) remained below pre-pandemic levels. For breast and colorectal cancers, the decline in diagnoses was high in the age groups targeted by population-based screening programmes. We observed a reduction in localised stage cancer diagnoses for all four cancers. Our data confirm that timely monitoring of cancer diagnoses and interventions to prevent disruption of routine diagnostic services are needed to mitigate the impact of emergencies on cancer patients.