The likelihood of severe COVID-19 outcomes among PLHIV with various comorbidities: a comparative frequentist and Bayesian meta-analysis approach

Trends in COVID-19 admissions and deaths among people living with HIV in South Africa: analysis of national surveillance data

BACKGROUND

In 2021, the HIV prevalence among South African adults was 18% and more than 2 million people had uncontrolled HIV and, therefore, had increased risk of poor outcomes with SARS-CoV-2 infection. We investigated trends in COVID-19 admissions and factors associated with in-hospital COVID-19 mortality among people living with HIV and people without HIV.

METHODS

In this analysis of national surveillance data, we linked and analysed data collected between March 5, 2020, and May 28, 2022, from the DATCOV South African national COVID-19 hospital surveillance system, the SARS-CoV-2 case line list, and the Electronic Vaccination Data System. All analyses included patients hospitalised with SARS-CoV-2 with known in-hospital outcomes (ie, who were discharged alive or had died) at the time of data extraction. We used descriptive statistics for admissions and mortality trends. Using post-imputation random-effect multivariable logistic regression models, we compared characteristics and the case fatality ratio of people with HIV and people without HIV. Using modified Poisson regression models, we compared factors associated with mortality among all people with COVID-19 admitted to hospital and factors associated with mortality among people with HIV.

FINDINGS

Among 397 082 people with COVID-19 admitted to hospital, 301 407 (75·9%) were discharged alive, 89 565 (22·6%) died, and 6110 (1·5%) had no recorded outcome. 270 737 (68·2%) people with COVID-19 had documented HIV status (22 858 with HIV and 247 879 without). Comparing characteristics of people without HIV and people with HIV in each COVID-19 wave, people with HIV had increased odds of mortality in the D614G (adjusted odds ratio 1·19, 95% CI 1·09-1·29), beta (1·08, 1·01-1·16), delta (1·10, 1·03-1·18), omicron BA.1 and BA.2 (1·71, 1·54-1·90), and omicron BA.4 and BA.5 (1·81, 1·41-2·33) waves. Among all COVID-19 admissions, mortality was lower among people with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection (adjusted incident rate ratio 0·32, 95% CI 0·29-0·34) and with partial (0·93, 0·90-0·96), full (0·70, 0·67-0·73), or boosted (0·50, 0·41-0·62) COVID-19 vaccination. Compared with people without HIV who were unvaccinated, people without HIV who were vaccinated had lower risk of mortality (0·68, 0·65-0·71) but people with HIV who were vaccinated did not have any difference in mortality risk (1·08, 0·96-1·23). In-hospital mortality was higher for people with HIV with CD4 counts less than 200 cells per μL, irrespective of viral load and vaccination status.

INTERPRETATION

HIV and immunosuppression might be important risk factors for mortality as COVID-19 becomes endemic.

FUNDING

South African National Institute for Communicable Diseases, the South African National Government, and the United States Agency for International Development.

Humoral immune response in people living with HIV after administration of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine CoronaVac or BNT162b2 or CoronaVac/BNT162b2 booster sequence: A cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

The evidence of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine effectiveness in people living with HIV (PLWH) is limited. This study evaluated the humoral immune response to CoronaVac™ (virus inactivated) and BNT162b2 (mRNA- based) vaccines in PLWH and HIV-negative controls, with and without a booster sequence.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study on PLWH and HIV-negative controls who received CoronaVac or BNT162b2, with a subgroup receiving a CoronaVac/BNT162b2 booster. Blood samples were collected 4-6 months after primary vaccination and tested for anti-SARS-CoV-2 protein S (aSAb) and neutralizing antibodies (NtAb) using validated assays. Immune response was evaluated by age, sex, previous COVID-19 history, and CD4 + cell count.

FINDINGS

One hundred and eighty nine participants were enrolled with 161 (85%) being PLWH. Among participants without previous known COVID-19, median aSAb levels were significantly lower in PLWH who received CoronaVac compared to BNT162b2 (32 U/mL vs. 587 U/mL, p < 0.001), with similar results in HIV-negative controls. NtAb presence was also significantly lower after CoronaVac compared to BNT162b2 (30% vs. 93%, p < 0.001). The booster sequence group showed a significant increase in aSAb titers in both PLWH and HIV-negative controls (from 33 U/ml to 2500 U/ml, p < 0.001), and NtAb positivity increased from 20% to 95 % in PLWH, and 27% to 100% in HIV-negative controls. Prior COVID-19 led to significantly higher post-vaccine antibody titers particularly in the BNT162b2 group. PLWH with CD4 + count < 200 cells/mL showed a weaker immune response to both vaccines.

INTERPRETATION

CoronaVac resulted in a weaker immune response in both PLWH and HIV-negative controls compared to BNT162b2, particularly in immunosuppressed PLWH without prior COVID-19. Hybrid immunity and heterologous booster vaccination increased antibody levels.

FUNDING

Local funding.

Risk factors for progressing to severe COVID-19 among people living with HIV in Japan: A hospital claims database study

INTRODUCTION

Risk factors for severe COVID-19 associated with people living with HIV (PLWH) have not been well studied in Japan. In this study, we aim to reveal how having AIDS and comorbidities affect adverse COVID-19 outcomes.

METHODS

This observational, retrospective study examined the clinical outcomes for PLWH hospitalized as COVID-19 inpatients in Japan, using data extracted from hospitals with the Diagnosis Procedure Combination (DPC) system between January 2020 and December 2021. From 4672 records of HIV patients receiving antiretroviral therapy, 85 adult PLWH became hospitalized with COVID-19. The associations between patients' AIDS diagnosis, comorbidities, and their adverse COVID-19 outcomes (mild/moderate and severe/death) were analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 85 studied patients, 78 were male (91.8%) with mean (SD) age of 48 (14.4) years. 75 (88.2%) were found to be COVID-19 mild/moderate; 9 (10.6%) were severe; 1 (1.2%) died. Older age (p = 0.002) and hypertension (p = 0.032) were significantly associated with progressing to severe COVID-19 or death. AIDS and other AIDS-defining illnesses were not found to be significant risk factors in this study.

CONCLUSIONS

While interpretation of the results from this hospital claim database study warrants caution, we found that among PLWH hospitalized as COVID-19 inpatients in Japan, those who are older or with hypertension have a higher risk for progression to severe COVID-19 outcomes, suggesting a careful monitoring of clinical course for these patients.

Impact of Lung Disease on COVID-19 Health Outcomes in People Living With HIV

Introduction COVID-19 most commonly causes pulmonary/lung infection, and these pulmonary diseases can complicate HIV infection. Underlying pulmonary diseases in people living with HIV (PLWH) could affect health outcomes if infected with COVID-19. Therefore, this study was designed to determine the impact of pulmonary diseases on the health outcomes of PLWH that were infected with COVID-19. Materials and methods We conducted a retrospective study to assess the impact of superimposed COVID-19 infection on pre-existing lung pathologies in patients living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection using data from the Minnesota Fairview network from January 1, 2020 to December 31, 2022. Ordinal logistic regressions were used to determine the effect of lung comorbidities on COVID-19 severity, COVID-19-specific mortality, and all-cause mortality, adjusting for patient age and gender.  Results Two hundred sixteen PLWH tested positive for COVID-19. 24.54% of these patients had one or more pulmonary diseases, including asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and other lung diseases (interstitial lung diseases and pulmonary hypertension). The severity of COVID-19 outcomes was evaluated by the ranking of patients' medical records of testing positive, admitted to the hospital, being admitted to the ICU, and death. COVID-19-specific and all-cause mortality were evaluated separately. PLWH with underlying asthma or COPD was not associated with increased all-cause or COVID-19-specific mortality. Interstitial lung disease or pulmonary hypertension was significantly associated with poor health outcomes for COVID-19-specific mortality and all-cause mortality (Fisher's Exact p-value <0.001), with ICU admissions accounting for the most impact. Using the multivariate models, interstitial lung disease and pulmonary hypertension was significantly associated with an increased risk of more severe COVID-19 outcomes and COVID-19-specific mortality (OR=6.6153, CI=2.5944, 17.0795, p-value < 0.001). Interstitial lung disease and pulmonary hypertension were also significantly associated with an increased risk of more severe COVID-19 outcomes and all-cause mortality (OR=​​5.0885, CI=2.0590, 12.5542, p-value < 0.001). Conclusions To mitigate the poor outcomes associated with interstitial lung diseases and pulmonary hypertension in PLWH due to COVID-19, healthcare providers must educate their patients about safety measures against the COVID-19 vaccine. They can also encourage the COVID-19 vaccine uptake among their eligible patients.

The severity of COVID-19 across the spectrum of HIV

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

We review the intersection between the HIV and COVID-19 pandemics, particularly the impact of HIV infection on the development of severe COVID-19.

RECENT FINDINGS

Studies early in the COVID-19 pandemic did not find a clear link between HIV infection and increased COVID-19 severity or mortality. People with HIV (PWH) were more likely to have severe COVID-19, but much of the risk for worse outcomes was related to high rates of comorbidities and social determinants of health. Although comorbidities and social determinants of health are certainly critically important reasons for severe COVID-19 among PWH, recent large studies have found HIV infection - particularly when the CD4 cell count is low or HIV RNA is not suppressed - is an independent risk factor for COVID-19 severity. The link between HIV and severe COVID-19 highlights the need to diagnose and treat HIV as well as the importance of COVID-19 vaccination and treatment among PWH.

SUMMARY

People with HIV have faced increased challenges during the COVID-19 pandemic because of high rates of comorbidities and social determinants of health as well as the impact of HIV on COVID-19 severity. Information on the intersection of the two pandemics has been crucial to improving care for people with HIV.

Long COVID in people living with HIV

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

It is now recognized that SARS-CoV-2 infection can have a long-term impact on health. This review summarizes the current state of knowledge regarding Long COVID in people living with HIV (PLWH).

RECENT FINDINGS

PLWH may be at elevated risk of experiencing Long COVID. Although the mechanisms contributing to Long COVID are incompletely understood, there are several demographic and clinical factors that might make PLWH vulnerable to developing Long COVID.

SUMMARY

PLWH should be aware that new or worsening symptoms following SARS-CoV-2 infection might represent Long COVID. HIV providers should be aware of this clinical entity and be mindful that their patients recovering from SARS-CoV-2 infection may be at higher risk.

Chemsex and chemsex associated substance use among men who have sex with men in Asia: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of chemsex has been reported by multiple systematic reviews among men who have sex with men (MSM) focussing predominantly on the Global North. An Asian perspective with meta-analytical evidence is missing. This meta-analysis summarised the prevalence of substance use associated with chemsex, and chemsex activity among MSM and MSM sub-populations in Asia, as well as the likelihood for chemsex among MSM living with or without HIV.

METHODS

We utilized PubMed, Web of Science and medRxiv to search for literature describing chemsex and its associated substance use among MSM and MSM sub-populations in Asia from January 1, 2010 to November 1, 2021 to conduct three meta-analyses with both frequentist and Bayesian approaches.

RESULTS

We identified 219 studies and included 23 in the meta-analysis. Based on the frequentist models, methamphetamine was the default substance associated with chemsex among MSM in Asia (prevalence = 0.16, 95 %CI:0.09-0.22), followed by GHB/GBL (prevalence = 0.15, 95 %CI:0.03-0.27) and ketamine (prevalence = 0.08, 95 %CI:0.04-0.12), but hardly any cocaine (prevalence = 0.01, 95 %CI:0.00-0.03). Compared to a general MSM population (prevalence = 0.19, 95 %CI:0.15-0.23), MSM engaging in transactional sex showed a higher prevalence of chemsex (MSM sex work clients [prevalence = 0.28, 95 %CI:0.11-0.45]; MSM sex worker [prevalence = 0.28, 95 %CI:0.17-0.26]). MSM living with HIV also showed higher odds of chemsex activity (OR = 3.35, 95 %CI:1.57-7.10), compared to MSM living without HIV. Both meta-analytic models converged, indicating robust evidence.

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analyses showed that chemsex is not uncommon among MSM, and MSM engaging in transactional sex in Asia. We confirmed that MSM living with HIV have a higher likelihood of engaging in chemsex, too. Chemsex prevention and management strategies in Asia should be adjusted accordingly.