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SCHNURE MC, KASAIE P, DOWDY DW, GENBERG BL, KENDALL EA, FOJO AT. Forecasting the effect of HIV-targeted interventions on the age distribution of people with HIV in Kenya. AIDS 2024; 38:1375-1385. [PMID: 38537051 PMCID: PMC11211060 DOI: 10.1097/qad.0000000000003895] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/10/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To provide accurate forecasts of the age distribution of people with HIV (PWH) in Kenya from 2025 to 2040. DESIGN Development of a compartmental model of HIV in Kenya, calibrated to historical estimates of HIV epidemiology. METHODS We forecasted changes in population size and age distribution of new HIV infections and PWH under the status quo and under scale-up of HIV services. RESULTS Without scale-up, new HIV infections were forecasted to fall from 34 000 (28 000-41 000) in 2,025 to 29 000 (15 000-57 000) in 2,040; the percentage of new infections occurring among persons over 30 increased from 33% (20-50%) to 40% (24-62%). The median age of PWH increased from 39 years (38-40) in 2025 to 43 years (39-46) in 2040, and the percentage of PWH over age 50 increased from 26% (23-29%) to 34% (26-43%). Under the full intervention scenario, new infections were forecasted to fall to 6,000 (3,000-12 000) in 2,040. The percentage of new infections occurring in people over age 30 increased to 52% (34-71%) in 2,040, and there was an additional shift in the age structure of PWH [forecasted median age of 46 (43-48) and 40% (33-47%) over age 50]. CONCLUSION PWH in Kenya are forecasted to age over the next 15 years; improvements to the HIV care continuum are expected to contribute to the growing proportion of older PWH.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Parastu KASAIE
- The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD USA
| | - David W. DOWDY
- The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD USA
| | - Becky L. GENBERG
- The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD USA
| | - Emily A. KENDALL
- The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Anthony T. FOJO
- The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
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Adedeji WA, Ma Q, Raji AM, Cha R, Rasaki OM, Hutson A, Taiwo BO, Charurat ME, Yusuf OB, Fehintola FA, Gureje O, Morse GD. Prevalence of depression among people living with HIV in rural hospitals in South-Western Nigeria-Association with clinico-demographic factors. AIDS Res Ther 2023; 20:89. [PMID: 38104102 PMCID: PMC10725593 DOI: 10.1186/s12981-023-00586-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2023] [Accepted: 12/07/2023] [Indexed: 12/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Major depression is the most common neuropsychiatric disorder among people living with HIV (PLWH) and is predictive of high morbidity and mortality among them. This study estimated the prevalence and explored factors associated with depression among PLWH in two rural secondary health facilities providing anti-retroviral therapy (ART) services in Southwestern Nigeria between September and December 2020. The Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) was used to screen and identify PLWH aged 18 years or older with depression. Descriptive statistics, bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed with SPSS version 23. A total of 172 respondents were screened. The prevalence of depression was 16.3% (95% CI 11.1%, 22.7%). Mild, moderate, and moderately severe depression was identified in 17 (9.9%), 8(4.7%) and 3(1.7%) of the participants, respectively. One (0.6%) respondent had suicidal ideation. Of PLWH with any depression, 20/28(71.4%) were within the 40-59 years of age range. None of the participants was on antidepressants. The factor most associated with depression was hypertension, with adjusted odd ratios of 9.8(95% CI 3.5-27.3, p < 0.0001). The study highlights the importance of screening for the severity of depression among PLWH in rural hospitals providing ART services in Africa. PLWH with comorbid hypertension were more likely to suffer from some form of depression.
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Affiliation(s)
- Waheed Adeola Adedeji
- Department of Pharmacology and Therapeutics, College of Medicine, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria.
- Department of Clinical Pharmacology, University College Hospital, Ibadan, Nigeria.
| | - Qing Ma
- Center for Integrated Global Biomedical Sciences, School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA
| | - Abiodun Muhammed Raji
- Department of Medical Microbiology and Parasitology, University College Hospital, Ibadan, Nigeria
| | - Raymond Cha
- Center for Integrated Global Biomedical Sciences, School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA
| | | | - Alan Hutson
- Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Buffalo, NY, USA
| | - Babafemi O Taiwo
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Man E Charurat
- Center for International Health, Education, and Biosecurity, Institute of Human Virology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Oyindamola B Yusuf
- Department of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria
| | - Fatai Adewale Fehintola
- Department of Pharmacology and Therapeutics, College of Medicine, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria
- Department of Clinical Pharmacology, University College Hospital, Ibadan, Nigeria
| | - Oye Gureje
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria
| | - Gene D Morse
- Center for Integrated Global Biomedical Sciences, School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA
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Moyo-Chilufya M, Maluleke K, Kgarosi K, Muyoyeta M, Hongoro C, Musekiwa A. The burden of non-communicable diseases among people living with HIV in Sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis. EClinicalMedicine 2023; 65:102255. [PMID: 37842552 PMCID: PMC10570719 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.102255] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/13/2023] [Revised: 09/18/2023] [Accepted: 09/18/2023] [Indexed: 10/17/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are increasing among people living with HIV (PLHIV), especially in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). We determined the prevalence of NCDs and NCD risk factors among PLHIV in SSA to inform health policy makers. Methods We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis on the prevalence of NCDs and risk factors among PLHIV in SSA. We comprehensively searched PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, and EBSCOhost (CINAHL) electronic databases for sources published from 2010 to July 2023. We applied the random effects meta-analysis model to pool the results using STATA. The systematic review protocol was registered on PROSPERO (registration number: CRD42021258769). Findings We included 188 studies from 21 countries in this meta-analysis. Our findings indicate pooled prevalence estimates for hypertension (20.1% [95% CI:17.5-22.7]), depression (30.4% [25.3-35.4]), diabetes (5.4% [4.4-6.4]), cervical cancer (1.5% [0.1-2.9]), chronic respiratory diseases (7.1% [4.0-10.3]), overweight/obesity (32.2% [29.7-34.7]), hypercholesterolemia (21.3% [16.6-26.0]), metabolic syndrome (23.9% [19.5-28.7]), alcohol consumption (21.3% [17.9-24.6]), and smoking (6.4% [5.2-7.7]). Interpretation People living with HIV have a high prevalence of NCDs and their risk factors including hypertension, depression, overweight/obesity, hypercholesterolemia, metabolic syndrome and alcohol consumption. We recommend strengthening of health systems to allow for improved integration of NCDs and HIV services in public health facilities in SSA. NCD risk factors such as obesity, hypercholesterolemia, and alcohol consumption can be addressed through health promotion campaigns. There is a need for further research on the burden of NCDs among PLHIV in most of SSA. Funding This study did not receive any funding.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maureen Moyo-Chilufya
- Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Health Systems and Public Health, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Kuhlula Maluleke
- Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Health Systems and Public Health, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Kabelo Kgarosi
- Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Health Systems and Public Health, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Monde Muyoyeta
- Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Charles Hongoro
- Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Health Systems and Public Health, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa
- Human Sciences Research Council, Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Alfred Musekiwa
- Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Health Systems and Public Health, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa
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Hadavandsiri F, Shafaati M, Mohammad Nejad S, Ebrahimzadeh Mousavi M, Najafi A, Mirzaei M, Narouee S, Akbarpour S. Non-communicable disease comorbidities in HIV patients: diabetes, hypertension, heart disease, and obstructive sleep apnea as a neglected issue. Sci Rep 2023; 13:12730. [PMID: 37543699 PMCID: PMC10404291 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-39828-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/18/2023] [Accepted: 07/31/2023] [Indexed: 08/07/2023] Open
Abstract
The present study evaluates the non-communicable disease (NCD) patterns and related risk factors among people living with HIV (PLWH) in Iran. This national cross-sectional survey study was conducted on 1173 confirmed PLWHs with a mean age of 35.35 (56.82 Over 50 years old, 33.90 Under 50 years old) admitted from 15 different provinces in the country. Logistic regression was used to analyze the association of factors with having at least one NCD comorbidity. From 1173 PLWH, 225(19.18%) participants experienced at least one NCD (15.20% and 38.69% among under- and over-50-year-old patients, respectively). The prevalence of heart disease, hypertension, diabetes, and sleep apnea among all patients was 1.59%, 2.05%, 1.55%, and 10.26%, respectively. The similar prevalence for each NCD among those over 50 years was 10.11%, 15.71%, 9.01%, 25.44%, and 1.01%, 1.12%, 1.04%, and 9.23% among those under 50 years, respectively. The odds of being at risk of at least one NCD stood higher in patients over 50 years (ORadj = 2.93, 95% CI 1.96-4.37), married (ORadj = 2.48, 95% CI 1.41-4.35), divorced or widowed (ORadj = 2.78, 95% CI 1.48-5.20), and obese (ORadj = 3.82, 95% CI 2.46-5.91). According to our findings regarding the prevalence of NCDs among patients under 50 years of age, we recommend that policymakers give greater consideration to this group in the screening and care programs for NCDs since adults and the elderly are both vulnerable to the risk factors for developing NCDs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fatemeh Hadavandsiri
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
- Occupational Sleep Research Center, Baharloo Hospital, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Maryam Shafaati
- Research Center for Antibiotic Stewardship and Antimicrobial Resistance, Tehran University of Medical Science, Tehran, Iran.
- Department of Microbiology, Faculty Science, Jahrom Branch, Islamic Azad University, Jahrom, Iran.
| | - Safieh Mohammad Nejad
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Arezu Najafi
- Occupational Sleep Research Center, Baharloo Hospital, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mohammad Mirzaei
- Hamadan Health Center, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran
| | - Sakineh Narouee
- Department of Epidemiology, Kerman University Medical of Sciences, Kerman, Iran
| | - Samaneh Akbarpour
- Occupational Sleep Research Center, Baharloo Hospital, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
- Sleep Breathing Disorders Research Center (SBDRC), Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
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Rajasuriar R, Crane HM, Semeere AS. Growing older with HIV in the Treat-All Era. J Int AIDS Soc 2022; 25 Suppl 4:e25997. [PMID: 36176021 PMCID: PMC9522984 DOI: 10.1002/jia2.25997] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2022] [Accepted: 08/04/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Reena Rajasuriar
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Malaya, Kuala Lampur, Malaysia
| | | | - Aggrey S Semeere
- Research Department, Infectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
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