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Harsono D, Atre S, Peterson H, Nyhan K, Garmroudi D, Davis JL, Ho W, Khoshnood K. A Scoping Review of Factors Associated with HIV Acquisition in the Context of Humanitarian Crises. AIDS Behav 2024; 28:4224-4273. [PMID: 39292318 DOI: 10.1007/s10461-024-04504-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/07/2024] [Indexed: 09/19/2024]
Abstract
Humanitarian crises-natural or human-made events that can threaten communities' health, safety, security, and well-being-may affect the HIV epidemic dynamics. Common aspects of humanitarian crises such as poverty, powerlessness, disruptions to the health systems, and social instability can contribute to a person's vulnerability to HIV infection through increased risk behaviors and limited access to health services. Guided by the Joanna Briggs Institute methodology for scoping reviews and the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) reporting guidelines, we conducted a scoping review of literature published in English between January 1990 and March 2022 to characterize the global evidence of modifiable and non-modifiable factors for HIV acquisition in the context of humanitarian crises. We systematically searched, screened, and synthesized literature from MEDLINE, Embase, Global Health (all accessed via Ovid), and Scopus, and also grey literature through websites of humanitarian agencies and relevant non-government organizations, the International AIDS Society's abstract databases, and Google Scholar. We considered studies presenting empirical data on HIV prevalence, incidence, or risk factors in humanitarian crises-affected populations, including refugees, asylum seekers, and internally displaced persons. Forty-nine studies met the inclusion criteria. The majority of studies were quantitative (n = 43, 87.8%) and cross-sectional (n = 37, 75.5%) in design. Most were single-country studies (n = 43, 87.8%) and conducted in Sub-Saharan Africa (n = 31, 63.3%). We identified 5 non-modifiable factors for HIV acquisition (i.e., age, gender, location, place of birth or origin, and ethnicity) and 60 modifiable factors that we further classified into five categories, namely 18 policy and structural, 9 sociocultural, 11 health and mental health, 16 sexual practice, and 6 humanitarian crisis-related traumatic event factors. Within the modifiable categories, factors that were most often investigated were education level, marital status, sexually transmitted infection diagnosis, condom use, and experience of rape or sexual trauma, respectively. Informed by the findings, we applied the social-ecological model to map the identified multidimensional factors associated with HIV acquisition at the levels of individual, social and sexual networks, community, public policy, and the context of humanitarian crises. The current review provides a comprehensive, global analysis of the available evidence on HIV prevalence, incidence, and risk factors in humanitarian crises and implications for potential programs and research. Future research is warranted to further understand the directionality of the non-modifiable and modifiable factors affecting HIV acquisition, and the multilevel barriers and facilitators to the uptake of HIV prevention strategies in the context of humanitarian crises. Such research can generate actionable evidence to inform the development of ethical, trauma-informed, and culturally appropriate HIV prevention interventions in humanitarian settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dini Harsono
- Center for Interdisciplinary Research on AIDS, Yale School of Public Health, 135 College St, Suite 200, New Haven, CT, 06510, USA.
| | - Swarali Atre
- Department of Chronic Disease Epidemiology, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Hanna Peterson
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
- Management Sciences for Health, Arlington, VA, USA
| | - Kate Nyhan
- Harvey Cushing/John Hay Whitney Medical Library, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Dina Garmroudi
- Department of Chronic Disease Epidemiology, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - J Lucian Davis
- Center for Interdisciplinary Research on AIDS, Yale School of Public Health, 135 College St, Suite 200, New Haven, CT, 06510, USA
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
- Department of Pulmonary, Critical Care and Sleep Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Winnie Ho
- Department of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Kaveh Khoshnood
- Center for Interdisciplinary Research on AIDS, Yale School of Public Health, 135 College St, Suite 200, New Haven, CT, 06510, USA
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA
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Ayieko J, Thorp M, Ghebremichael M. Renewing Our Focus on Vulnerable Populations Among People Living with HIV. Trop Med Infect Dis 2024; 9:278. [PMID: 39591284 PMCID: PMC11598306 DOI: 10.3390/tropicalmed9110278] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/07/2024] [Accepted: 11/13/2024] [Indexed: 11/28/2024] Open
Abstract
The global HIV landscape has changed over the past few decades, with great milestones achieved in both HIV treatment and prevention [...].
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Affiliation(s)
- James Ayieko
- Centre for Microbiology Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute, Nairobi 54840-00200, Kenya
| | - Marguerite Thorp
- Division of Infectious Diseases, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
| | - Musie Ghebremichael
- Harvard Medical School and Ragon Institute of Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA;
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Humphrey J, Kipchumba B, Alera M, Sang E, Musick B, Muli L, Kipsang J, Songok J, Yiannoutsos C, Wools-Kaloustian K. Outcomes After Loss to Follow-Up for Pregnant and Postpartum Women Living With HIV and Their Children in Kenya: A Prospective Cohort Study. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2024; 97:242-252. [PMID: 39436797 PMCID: PMC11458099 DOI: 10.1097/qai.0000000000003487] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/20/2024] [Accepted: 06/24/2024] [Indexed: 10/25/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Many prevention of vertical transmission (PVT) studies assess outcomes within 12 months postpartum and exclude those lost to follow-up (LTFU), potentially biasing outcomes toward those retained in care. SETTING Five public facilities in western Kenya. METHODS We recruited women living with HIV (WLH) ≥18 years enrolled in antenatal clinic (ANC). WLH retained in care (RW) were recruited during pregnancy and followed with their children through 6 months postpartum; WLH LTFU (LW, last visit >90 days) after ANC enrollment and ≤6 months postpartum were recruited through community tracing. Recontact at 3 years was attempted for all participants. Primary outcomes were retention and child HIV-free survival. Generalized linear regression was used to estimated risk ratios (RRs) for associations with becoming LTFU by 6 months postpartum, adjusting for age, education, facility, travel time to facility, gravidity, income, and new vs. known HIV positive at ANC enrollment. RESULTS Three hundred thirty-three WLH (222 RW, 111 LW) were recruited from 2018 to 2019. More LW versus RW were newly diagnosed with HIV at ANC enrollment (49.6% vs. 23.9%) and not virally suppressed at study enrollment (40.9% vs. 7.7%). 6-month HIV-free survival was lower for children of LW (87.9%) versus RW (98.7%). At 3 years, 230 WLH were retained in care (including 51 previously LTFU before 6 months), 30 transferred, 70 LTFU, and 3 deceased. 3-year child HIV-free survival was 81.9% (92.0% for children of RW, 58.6% for LW), 3.7% were living with HIV, 3.7% deceased, and 10.8% had unknown HIV/vital status. Being newly diagnosed with HIV at ANC enrollment was the only factor associated with becoming LTFU (aRR 1.21, 95% CI: 1.11 to 1.31). CONCLUSIONS Outcomes among those LTFU were worse than those retained in care, underscoring the importance of retention in PVT services. Some, but not all, LW re-engaged in care by 3 years, suggesting the need for PVT services must better address the barriers and transitions women experience during pregnancy and postpartum.
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Affiliation(s)
- John Humphrey
- Department of Medicine, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN
| | - Bett Kipchumba
- Department of Reproductive Health, Moi Teaching and Referral Hospital, Eldoret, Kenya
| | - Marsha Alera
- Academic Model Providing Access to Healthcare (AMPATH), Eldoret, Kenya
| | - Edwin Sang
- Academic Model Providing Access to Healthcare (AMPATH), Eldoret, Kenya
| | - Beverly Musick
- Department of Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN; and
| | - Lindah Muli
- Academic Model Providing Access to Healthcare (AMPATH), Eldoret, Kenya
| | - Justin Kipsang
- Academic Model Providing Access to Healthcare (AMPATH), Eldoret, Kenya
| | - Julia Songok
- Department of Child Health and Pediatrics, Moi University College of Health Sciences, Eldoret, Kenya
| | - Constantin Yiannoutsos
- Department of Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN; and
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Bogart LM, Musoke W, Mukama CS, Allupo S, Klein DJ, Sejjemba A, Mwima S, Kadama H, Mulebeke R, Pandey R, Wagner Z, Mukasa B, Wanyenze RK. Enhanced Oral Pre-exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) Implementation for Ugandan Fisherfolk: Pilot Intervention Outcomes. AIDS Behav 2024; 28:3512-3524. [PMID: 39028385 PMCID: PMC11427177 DOI: 10.1007/s10461-024-04432-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/26/2024] [Indexed: 07/20/2024]
Abstract
Mobile populations such as fisherfolk show high HIV incidence and prevalence. We pilot-tested implementation strategies to enhance pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) uptake and adherence in the context of healthcare outreach events in two mainland fisherfolk communities on Lake Victoria, Uganda from September 2021 to February 2022. The implementation strategies included PrEP adherence supporters (selected from PrEP users' social networks), community workshops (to address misconceptions and stigma, and empower PrEP advocacy), and check-in calls (including refill reminders). PrEP medical records data were collected from 6-months pre-intervention to 6-months post-intervention. Qualitative interviews with 20 PrEP users (10 who continued, 10 who discontinued), 9 adherence supporters, and 7 key partners (providers, community leaders) explored acceptability. Percentages of PrEP initiators (of those eligible) were significantly higher during the intervention (96.5%) than 6-months before the intervention (84.5%), p < 0.0001; percentages of PrEP users who persisted (i.e., possessed a refill) 6-months post-initiation (47.9% vs. 6.7%) and had at least 80% PrEP coverage (based on their medication possession ratio) from the initiation date to 6-months later (35.9% vs. 0%) were higher during versus pre-intervention, p < 0.0001. A comparison fisherfolk community with better healthcare access had lower uptake (78.3%; p < 0.0001) and persistence at 6-months (34.0%; p < 0.001), but higher coverage during the intervention period (70.4%; p < 0.0001). Qualitative data suggested the strategies promoted PrEP use through reduced stigma and misconceptions. The intervention bundle cost was $223.95, $172.98, and $94.66 for each additional person for PrEP initiation, persistence, and coverage, respectively. Enhanced community-based PrEP implementation that fosters a supportive community environment can improve PrEP use in mobile populations without easy access to healthcare. (NCT05084716).
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Affiliation(s)
- Laura M Bogart
- RAND Corporation, 1776 Main Street, P.O. Box 2138, Santa Monica, CA, 90407-2138, USA.
- Department of Psychiatry, Charles R. Drew University of Medicine and Science, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
| | | | | | | | - David J Klein
- RAND Corporation, 1776 Main Street, P.O. Box 2138, Santa Monica, CA, 90407-2138, USA
| | | | - Simon Mwima
- School of Social Work, University of Illinois at Urbana Champagne, Urbana, IL, USA
| | | | | | - Rakesh Pandey
- RAND Corporation, 1776 Main Street, P.O. Box 2138, Santa Monica, CA, 90407-2138, USA
| | - Zachary Wagner
- RAND Corporation, 1776 Main Street, P.O. Box 2138, Santa Monica, CA, 90407-2138, USA
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Hendrickson ZM, De Jesus M, Barrington C, Cole SW, Kennedy CE, Sisson LN, Uzzi M, Donastorg Y, Perez M, Gomez H, Mbwambo J, Likindikoki S, Kerrigan DL. "You know that we travel a lot": Mobility narratives among female sex workers living with HIV in Tanzania and the Dominican Republic. PLOS GLOBAL PUBLIC HEALTH 2024; 4:e0003355. [PMID: 38968203 PMCID: PMC11226099 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0003355] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/09/2023] [Accepted: 05/22/2024] [Indexed: 07/07/2024]
Abstract
Female sex workers (FSW) are highly mobile, which may result in reduced access to and use of health services and increased risk for poor health outcomes, particularly for those living with HIV. Mobility includes spatial, temporal, and social elements that are not fully captured by quantitative measures. We conducted two rounds of in-depth interviews with FSW living with HIV in Iringa, Tanzania (n = 20), and Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic (n = 20), to describe mobility experiences and compare mobility narratives across settings. We integrated a thematic analysis of all interviews with a narrative analysis of a subset of 10 information-rich interviews (five in each country) with women who had recently traveled, for sex work or another reason, outside of their hometown. Across narratives, FSW living with HIV traveled locally or to seasonal destinations, for short and long periods. Social factors influencing mobility included economic drivers; risk of arrest, harassment, or violence; anonymity and/or familiarity; social relationships; and clients' mobility. Spatial, temporal, and social factors intersected in unique ways in FSW's mobility experiences, yet distinct mobility typologies were evident across settings and destinations. Together, mobility narratives of FSW living with HIV can inform quantitative research on mobility typologies in Tanzania, the Dominican Republic, and elsewhere. With the potential for economic circumstances, climate change, and other emergencies to increase people's mobility around the world, researchers and practitioners can learn from the lived experiences of FSW to inform whether and how to tailor and improve the accessibility of HIV care and treatment interventions based on spatial, temporal, and social characteristics of mobility.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zoé M. Hendrickson
- Department of Health, Behavior and Society, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
- Department of Behavioral and Community Health Sciences, University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America
| | - Maria De Jesus
- School of International Service, American University, Washington, DC, United States of America
| | - Clare Barrington
- Department of Health Behavior, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Gillings School of Global Public Health, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America
| | - S. Wilson Cole
- Department of Health, Behavior and Society, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | - Caitlin E. Kennedy
- Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | - Laura Nicole Sisson
- Department of Health, Behavior and Society, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | - Mudia Uzzi
- Department of Health, Behavior and Society, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
- Department of Mental Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
| | - Yeycy Donastorg
- Instituto Dermatologico y Cirugia de la Piel, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
| | - Martha Perez
- Instituto Dermatologico y Cirugia de la Piel, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
| | - Hoisex Gomez
- Instituto Dermatologico y Cirugia de la Piel, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
| | - Jessie Mbwambo
- Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
| | - Samuel Likindikoki
- Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
| | - Deanna L. Kerrigan
- Prevention and Community Health Department, Milken Institute School of Public Health, the George Washington University, Washington, DC, United States of America
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Klabbers RE, Parrish C, Iraguha P, Ntuyenabo MK, Ajidiru S, Nshimiyimana V, Caroline K, Faustin Z, Sveum EM, Muwonge TR, O’Laughlin KN. Characterizing Mobility and its Association with HIV Outcomes in Refugee Settlements in Uganda. Ann Glob Health 2024; 90:23. [PMID: 38550610 PMCID: PMC10976981 DOI: 10.5334/aogh.4367] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2023] [Accepted: 02/10/2024] [Indexed: 04/02/2024] Open
Abstract
Background A better understanding of refugee mobility is needed to optimize HIV care in refugee settlements. Objectives We aimed to characterize mobility patterns among people living with HIV in refugee settlements in Uganda and evaluate the association between mobility and retention in HIV care. Methods Refugees and Ugandan nationals accessing HIV services at seven health centers in refugee settlements across Uganda, with access to a phone, were recruited and followed for six months. Participants received an intake survey and monthly phone surveys on mobility and HIV. Clinic visit and viral suppression data were extracted from clinic registers. Mobility and HIV data were presented descriptively, and an alluvial plot was generated characterizing mobility for participants' most recent trip. Bivariate Poisson regression models were used to describe the associations between long-term mobility (≥1 continuous month away in the past year) and demographic characteristics, retention (≥1 clinic visit/6 months) and long-term mobility, and retention and general mobility (during any follow-up month: ≥2 trips, travel outside the district or further, or spending >1-2 weeks (8-14 nights) away). Findings Mobility data were provided by 479 participants. At baseline, 67 participants (14%) were considered long-term mobile. Male sex was associated with an increased probability of long-term mobility (RR 2.02; 95%CI: 1.30-3.14, p < 0.01). In follow-up, 185 participants (60% of respondents) were considered generally mobile. Reasons for travel included obtaining food or supporting farming activities (45% of trips) and work or trade (33% of trips). Retention in HIV care was found for 417 (87%) participants. Long-term mobility was associated with a 14% (RR 0.86; 95%CI: 0.75-0.98) lower likelihood of retention (p = 0.03). Conclusions Refugees and Ugandan nationals accessing HIV care in refugee settlements frequently travel to support their survival needs. Mobility is associated with inferior retention and should be considered in interventions to optimize HIV care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Robin E. Klabbers
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
- Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Canada Parrish
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Patient Iraguha
- Infectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
| | | | - Scovia Ajidiru
- Infectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
| | | | - Kampire Caroline
- Infectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Zikama Faustin
- Infectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Elinor M. Sveum
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | | | - Kelli N. O’Laughlin
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
- Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
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Nardell MF, Govathson C, Mngadi-Ncube S, Ngcobo N, Letswalo D, Lurie M, Miot J, Long L, Katz IT, Pascoe S. Migrant men and HIV care engagement in Johannesburg, South Africa. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:435. [PMID: 38347453 PMCID: PMC10860300 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-17833-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2023] [Accepted: 01/20/2024] [Indexed: 02/15/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND South Africa (SA) has one of the highest rates of migration on the continent, largely comprised of men seeking labor opportunities in urban centers. Migrant men are at risk for challenges engaging in HIV care. However, rates of HIV and patterns of healthcare engagement among migrant men in urban Johannesburg are poorly understood. METHODS We analyzed data from 150 adult men (≥ 18 years) recruited in 10/2020-11/2020 at one of five sites in Johannesburg, Gauteng Province, SA where migrants typically gather for work, shelter, transit, or leisure: a factory, building materials store, homeless shelter, taxi rank, and public park. Participants were surveyed to assess migration factors (e.g., birth location, residency status), self-reported HIV status, and use and knowledge of HIV and general health services. Proportions were calculated with descriptive statistics. Associations between migration factors and health outcomes were examined with Fisher exact tests and logistic regression models. Internal migrants, who travel within the country, were defined as South African men born outside Gauteng Province. International migrants were defined as men born outside SA. RESULTS Two fifths (60/150, 40%) of participants were internal migrants and one fifth (33/150, 22%) were international migrants. More internal migrants reported living with HIV than non-migrants (20% vs 6%, p = 0.042), though in a multi-variate analysis controlling for age, being an internal migrant was not a significant predictor of self-reported HIV positive status. Over 90% all participants had undergone an HIV test in their lifetime. Less than 20% of all participants had heard of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP), with only 12% international migrants having familiarity with PrEP. Over twice as many individuals without permanent residency or citizenship reported "never visiting a health facility," as compared to citizens/permanent residents (28.6% vs. 10.6%, p = 0.073). CONCLUSIONS Our study revealed a high proportion of migrants within our community-based sample of men and demonstrated a need for HIV and other healthcare services that effectively reach migrants in Johannesburg. Future research is warranted to further disaggregate this heterogenous population by different dimensions of mobility and to understand how to design HIV programs in ways that will address migrants' challenges.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maria Francesca Nardell
- Division of Global Health Equity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, 75 Francis Street, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
| | - Caroline Govathson
- Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office (HE2RO), Johannesburg, South Africa
- Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Sithabile Mngadi-Ncube
- Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office (HE2RO), Johannesburg, South Africa
- Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Nkosinathi Ngcobo
- Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office (HE2RO), Johannesburg, South Africa
- Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Daniel Letswalo
- Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office (HE2RO), Johannesburg, South Africa
- Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Mark Lurie
- Brown University School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
| | - Jacqui Miot
- Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office (HE2RO), Johannesburg, South Africa
- Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Lawrence Long
- Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office (HE2RO), Johannesburg, South Africa
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Ingrid Theresa Katz
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
- Division of Women's Health, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Sophie Pascoe
- Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office (HE2RO), Johannesburg, South Africa
- Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
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Song J, Okano JT, Ponce J, Busang L, Seipone K, Valdano E, Blower S. The role of migration networks in the development of Botswana's generalized HIV epidemic. eLife 2023; 12:e85435. [PMID: 37665629 PMCID: PMC10476964 DOI: 10.7554/elife.85435] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/08/2022] [Accepted: 08/02/2023] [Indexed: 09/05/2023] Open
Abstract
The majority of people with HIV live in sub-Saharan Africa, where epidemics are generalized. For these epidemics to develop, populations need to be mobile. However, the role of population-level mobility in the development of generalized HIV epidemics has not been studied. Here we do so by studying historical migration data from Botswana, which has one of the most severe generalized HIV epidemics worldwide; HIV prevalence was 21% in 2021. The country reported its first AIDS case in 1985 when it began to rapidly urbanize. We hypothesize that, during the development of Botswana's epidemic, the population was extremely mobile and the country was highly connected by substantial migratory flows. We test this mobility hypothesis by conducting a network analysis using a historical time series (1981-2011) of micro-census data from Botswana. Our results support our hypothesis. We found complex migration networks with very high rates of rural-to-urban, and urban-to-rural, migration: 10% of the population moved annually. Mining towns (where AIDS cases were first reported, and risk behavior was high) were important in-flow and out-flow migration hubs, suggesting that they functioned as 'core groups' for HIV transmission and dissemination. Migration networks could have dispersed HIV throughout Botswana and generated the current hyperendemic epidemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Janet Song
- Center for Biomedical Modeling, Department of Psychiatry and Biobehavioral Sciences, Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los AngelesLos AngelesUnited States
| | - Justin T Okano
- Center for Biomedical Modeling, Department of Psychiatry and Biobehavioral Sciences, Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los AngelesLos AngelesUnited States
| | - Joan Ponce
- Center for Biomedical Modeling, Department of Psychiatry and Biobehavioral Sciences, Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los AngelesLos AngelesUnited States
| | - Lesego Busang
- The African Comprehensive HIV/AIDS Partnerships (ACHAP)GaboroneBotswana
| | - Khumo Seipone
- The African Comprehensive HIV/AIDS Partnerships (ACHAP)GaboroneBotswana
| | - Eugenio Valdano
- Sorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d’Epidémiologie et de Santé PubliqueParisFrance
| | - Sally Blower
- Center for Biomedical Modeling, Department of Psychiatry and Biobehavioral Sciences, Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los AngelesLos AngelesUnited States
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