Increased model for end-stage liver disease score at the time of liver transplant results in prolonged hospitalization and overall intensive care unit costs

Transplant center variability in utilizing nonstandard donors and its impact on the transplantation of patients with lower MELD scores

There is a subset of patients with lower MELD scores who are at substantial risk of waitlist mortality. In order to transplant such patients, transplant centers must utilize "nonstandard" donors (eg, living donors, donation after circulatory death), which are traditionally offered to those patients who are not at the top of the waitlist. We used Organ Procurement and Transplantation data to evaluate center-level and region-level variability in the utilization of nonstandard donors and its impact on MELD at transplant among adult liver-alone non-status 1 patients transplanted from April 1, 2020, to September 30, 2022. The center-level variability in the utilization of nonstandard donors was 4-fold greater than the center-level variability in waitlisting practices (waitlistings with a MELD score of <20). While there was a moderate correlation between center-level waitlisting and transplantation of patients with a MELD score of <20 ( p = 0.58), there was a strong correlation between center-level utilization of nonstandard donors and center-level transplantation of patients with a MELD score of <20 ( p = 0.75). This strong correlation between center-level utilization of "nonstandard" donors and center-level transplantation of patients with a MELD score of <20 was limited to regions 2, 4, 5, 9, and 11. Transplant centers that utilize more nonstandard donors are more likely to successfully transplant patients at lower MELD scores. Public reporting of these data could benefit patients, caregivers, and referring providers, and be used to help maximize organ utilization.

Technical Variant Liver Transplant Utilization for Pediatric Recipients: Equal Graft Survival to Whole Liver Transplants and Promotion of Timely Transplantation Only When Performed at High-volume Centers

BACKGROUND

Technical variant liver transplantation (TVLT) is a strategy to mitigate persistent pediatric waitlist mortality in the United States, although its implementation remains stagnant. This study investigated the relationship between TVLT utilization, transplant center volume, and graft survival.

METHODS

Pediatric liver transplant recipients from 2010 to 2020 (n = 5208) were analyzed using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database. Transplant centers were categorized according to the average number of pediatric liver transplants performed per year (high-volume, ≥5; low-volume, <5). Graft survival rates were compared using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify predictors of graft failure.

RESULTS

High-volume centers demonstrated equivalent whole liver transplant and TVLT graft survival ( P = 0.057) and significantly improved TVLT graft survival compared with low-volume centers ( P < 0.001). Transplantation at a low-volume center was significantly associated with graft failure (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.6; 95% confidence interval, 1.14-2.24; P = 0.007 in patients <12 y old and 1.8; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-2.87; P = 0.013 in patients ≥12 y old). A subset of high-volume centers with a significantly higher rate of TVLT use demonstrated a 23% reduction in waitlist mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Prompt transplantation with increased TVLT utilization at high-volume centers may reduce pediatric waitlist mortality without compromising graft survival.

Living-Donor Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Impact of the MELD Score and Predictive Value of NLR on Survival

Background: Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) tend to be referred for liver transplantation (LT) at an early stage of cirrhosis, with lower pre-LT Model of End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores. We investigated the impact of high MELD scores on post-LT outcomes in patients with HCC and validated the prognostic significance of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR). Patients and Method: This retrospective single-center cohort study enrolled 230 patients with HCC who underwent LDLT from 2004−2019 in our institute. We defined a high MELD score as ≥20. Results: The MELD < 20 and MELD ≥ 20 groups comprised 205 and 25 cases, respectively. Although there was no significant difference in disease-free survival between the two groups (p = 0.629), the incidence of septic shock (p = 0.019) was significantly higher in the high MELD group. The one-, three-, and five-year overall survival rates were not significantly different between the two groups (p = 0.056). In univariate analysis, a high pre-LT NLR was associated with poorer survival in the high MELD group (p = 0.029, hazard ratio [HR]: 1.07, 90% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02−1.13). NLR cut-off values of ≥10.7 and <10.7 were predictive of mortality, with an AUC of 0.705 (90% CI: 0.532−0.879). The one-, three-, and five-year post-LT survival rates were significantly higher among the recipients with an NLR < 10.7 than those with an NLR ≥ 10.7 (p = 0.005). Conclusions: Pre-LT MELD score ≥ 20 was associated with a higher risk of developing post-LT septic shock and mortality. The pre-LT serum NLR is a useful predictive factor for clinical outcomes in patients with HCC with high MELD scores.

Development of a Novel Prognostic Nomogram for High Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score Recipients Following Deceased Donor Liver Transplantation

Background

A high model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) score (>30) adversely affects outcomes even if patients receive prompt liver transplantation (LT). Therefore, balanced allocation of donor grafts is indispensable to avoid random combinations of donor and recipient risk factors, which often lead to graft or recipient loss. Predictive models aimed at avoiding donor risk factors in high-MELD score recipients are urgently required to obtain satisfactory outcomes.

Method

Data of patients with MELD score >30 who underwent LT at three transplantation institutes between 2015 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Early allograft dysfunction (EAD), length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay, and graft loss were recorded. Corresponding independent risk factors were analyzed using stepwise multivariable regression analysis. A prediction model of graft loss was developed, and discrimination and calibration were measured.

Results

After applying the exclusion criteria, 778 patients were enrolled. The incidence of EAD was 34.8% (271/778). Donor graft macrovesicular steatosis, graft-to-recipient weight ratio (GRWR), warm ischemia time (WIT), cold ischemia time (CIT), and ABO blood incompatibility, together with donor serum albumins, were independent predictors of EAD. The incidence of ICU stay over 10 days was 64.7% (503/778). Donor age, recipient's MELD score, Child score, and CIT were independent predictors of ICU stay. The 3-year graft survival rates (GSRs) in the training and validation cohorts were 64.2 and 59.3%, respectively. The independent predictors of graft loss were recipient's Child score, ABO blood type incompatibility, donor serum total bilirubin over 17.1 μmol/L, and cold CIT. A nomogram based on these variables was internally and externally validated and showed good performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 70.8 and 66.0%, respectively). For a recipient with a high MELD score, the avoidance of ABO blood type incompatibility and CIT ≥6 h would achieve a 3-year GSR of up to 78.4%, whereas the presence of the aforementioned risk factors would decrease the GSR to 35.4%.

Conclusion

The long-term prognosis of recipients with MELD scores >30 could be greatly improved by avoiding ABO blood type incompatibility and CIT ≥6 h.

Patients Benefit from Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma beyond Milan Criteria without Harming the Health Care System

Liver transplantation (LT) is the only definitive treatment to cure hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in cirrhosis. Waiting-list candidates are selected by the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD). However, many indications are not sufficiently represented by labMELD. For HCC, patients are selected by Milan-criteria: Milan-in qualifies for standard exception (SE) and better organ access on the waiting list; while Milan-out patients are restricted to labMELD and might benefit from extended criteria donor (ECD)-grafts. We analyzed a cohort of 102 patients (2011−2020). Patients with labMELD (no SE, Milan-out, n = 56) and matchMELD (SE-HCC, Milan-in, n = 46) were compared. The median overall survival was not significantly different (p = 0.759). No difference was found in time on the waiting list (p = 0.881), donor risk index (p = 0.697) or median costs (p = 0.204, EUR 43,500 (EUR 17,800−185,000) for labMELD and EUR 30,300 (EUR 17,200−395,900) for matchMELD). Costs were triggered by a cut-off labMELD of 12 points. Overall, the deficit increased by EUR 580 per labMELD point. Cost drivers were re-operation (p < 0.001), infection with multiresistant germs (p = 0.020), dialysis (p = 0.017), operation time (p = 0.012) and transfusions (p < 0.001). In conclusion, this study demonstrates that LT for HCC is successful and cost-effective in low labMELD patients independent of Milan-criteria. Therefore, ECD-grafts are favorized in Milan-out HCC patients with low labMELD.

Extensive Health Care Utilization and Costs of an Early Liver Transplantation Program for Alcoholic Hepatitis

Early liver transplantation (LT) for severe alcoholic hepatitis (AH) is a rescue therapy for highly selected patients with favorable psychosocial profiles not responding to medical therapy. Given the expected increase of AH candidate referrals requiring complex care and comprehensive evaluations, increased workload and cost might be expected from implementing an early LT program for AH but have not been determined. Some centers may also view AH as a strategy to expeditiously increase LT volume and economic viability. The aim of this study was to determine the health care use and costs of an early LT program for AH. Analyses of prospective databases of AH, interhospital transfers, and the hospital accounting system at a single center were performed from July 2011 to July 2016. For 5 years, 193 patients with severe AH were evaluated at our center: 143 newly referred transfers and 50 direct admissions. Annual increases of 13% led to 2 to 3 AH transfers/month and AH becoming the top reason for transfer. There were 169 (88%) nonresponders who underwent psychosocial evaluations; 15 (9%) underwent early LT. The median cost of early LT was $297,422, which was highly correlated with length of stay (r = 0.83; P < 0.001). Total net revenue of the program from LT admission to 90 days after LT was -$630,305 (-5.0% revenue), which was inversely correlated with MELD score (r = -0.70; P = 0.004) and yielded lower revenue than a contemporaneous LT program for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF; $118,168; 1.4% revenue; P = 0.001). The health care use and costs of an early LT program for AH are extensive and lifesaving with marginally negative net revenue. Significantly increasing care of severe AH patients over 5 years resulted in increased LT volume, but at a lower rate than ACLF, and without improving economic outcomes due to high MELD and prolonged length of stay.

Systemic Immune-Inflammatory Marker of High Meld Patients Is Associated With Early Mortality After Liver Transplantation

The scarcity of deceased donor livers has led to allocation of grafts to only the most seriously ill patients with a high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, which has resulted in a high mortality rate after deceased donor liver transplantation (DDLT). The aim of this study is to identify risk factors for posttransplant mortality and thereby reduce futile outcomes in DDLT. Between 2013 and 2019, 57 recipients with MELD scores ≥30 underwent DDLT in our center. We retrieved data and identified the risk factors for 90-day posttransplant mortality. The perioperative clinical and laboratory parameters of patients who did or did not survive for 90 days were subjected to logistic regression analysis. Twelve patients died within 90 days. Results of univariate analysis indicated that the differences in patient survival were determined by the amount of intraoperative platelets transfused, the presence of posttransplant septicemia, and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) at the time of listing with MELD scores ≥30. Multivariate analysis revealed that an SII ≥870 (× 10⁹/L) and posttransplant septicemia were independent risk factors for 90-day mortality. Twenty-two patients had SIIs ≥870, and 13 of these patients had posttransplant septicemia. Of the 13 patients, 90-day mortality occurred in 10 cases. However, in 35 patients with SIIs <870, 90-day mortality due to posttransplant septicemia was recorded only in 1 patient. In conclusion, a preoperative SII ≥870 in a patient with a high MELD score may be a significant risk factor for early posttransplant mortality. Because posttransplant septicemia in patients with high SIIs can lead to fatality, a more intensive effort to prevent infection is needed for patients undergoing DDLT carrying such risk factors to avoid futile liver transplantation.

Acute kidney injury after liver transplantation, perioperative risk factors, and outcome: prospective observational study of 1681 patients (OLTx Study)

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury (AKI) represents a frequent complication after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). This study aimed to evaluate early postoperative AKI incidence during the first 72 h after OLT, perioperative risk factors, and AKI impact on survival.

METHODS

From January 2011 to December 2013) 1681 patients underwent OLT in 19 centers and were enrolled in this prospective cohort study.

RESULTS

According to RIFLE criteria, AKI occurred in 367 patients, 21.8% (R: 5.8%, I: 6.4%, F: 4.8%, L: 4.8%). Based on multivariate analysis, intraoperative risk factors for AKI were: administration of 5-10 RBCs (OR 1.8, 95%CI 1.3-2.7), dopamine use (OR 1.6, 95%CI 1.2-2.3), post-reperfusion syndrome (OR 1.5, 95%CI 1.0-2.3), surgical complications (OR 2.0, 95% CI 1.3-3.0), and cardiological complications (OR 2.2, 95%CI 1.2-4.0). Postoperative risk factors were: norepinephrine (OR 1.4, 95%CI 1.0-2.0), furosemide (OR 4.2, 95% CI 3.0-5.9), more than 10 RBCs transfusion, (OR 3.7, 95%CI 1.4-10.5), platelets administration (OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1-2.4), fibrinogen administration (OR 3.0, 95%CI, 1.5-6.2), hepatic complications (OR 4.6, 95%CI 2.9-7.5), neurological complications (OR 2.4, 95%CI 1.5-3.7), and infectious complications (OR 2.7, 95%CI 1.8-4.3). NO-AKI patients' 5 years survival rate was higher than AKI patients (68.06, 95% CI 62.7-72.7 and 81.2, 95% CI 78.9-83.3, p< 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

AKI still remains an important risk factor for morbidity and mortality after OLT. Further researches to develop new strategies aimed at preventing or minimizing post-OLT AKI are needed.

Socioeconomic Deprivation Does Not Impact Liver Transplantation Outcome for HCC: A Survival Analysis From a National Database

BACKGROUND

To investigate the value of European deprivation index (EDI) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) characteristics and their relationships with outcome after liver transplantation (LT).

METHODS

Patients undergoing LT for HCC were included from a national database (from "Agence de la Biomédecine" between 2006 and 2016. Characteristics of the patients were blindly extracted from the database. Thus, EDI was calculated in 5 quintiles and prognosis factors of survival were determined according to a Cox model.

RESULTS

Among the 3865 included patients, 33.9% were in the fifth quintile (quintile 1, N = 562 [14.5%]; quintile 2, N = 647 [16.7%]; quintile 3, N = 654 [16.9%]; quintile 4, N = 688 [17.8%]). Patients in each quintile were comparable regarding HCC history, especially median size of HCC, number of nodules of HCC and alpha-fetoprotein score. In the univariate analysis of the crude survival, having >2 nodules of HCC before LT and time on waiting list were associated with a higher risk of death (P < 0.0001 and P = 0.03, respectively). EDI, size of HCC, model for end-stage liver disease score, Child-Pugh score were not statistically significant in the crude and net survival. In both survival, time on waiting list and number of HCC ≥2 were independent factor of mortality after LT for HCC (P = 0.009 and 0.001, respectively, and P = 0.03 and 0.02, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

EDI does not impact overall survival after LT for HCC. Number of HCC and time on waiting list are independent prognostic factors of survival after LT for HCC.

Outcomes and resource use for liver transplantation in the United States: Insights from the 2009-2017 National Inpatient Sample

INTRODUCTION

Liver transplantation (LT) is a life-saving treatment for end-stage liver disease patients that requires significant resources. We used national data to evaluate LT outcomes and factors associated with hospital resource use.

METHODS

Using the National Inpatient Sample, we identified all patients undergoing LT from 2009 to 2017 and defined high-resource use (HRU) as having costs ≥ 90th percentile. Hierarchical regression models were used to assess factors associated with length of stay (LOS) and HRU.

RESULTS

Over the study period, approximately 53,000 patients underwent LT, increasing from 5,582 in 2009 to 7,095 in 2017 (nptrend < 0.001). Morbidity and mortality were 42.2% and 3.9%, respectively, with a median post-LT LOS of 10 days. Hospitalization costs increased from $106,866 to $145,868 (nptrend < 0.001). Acute kidney injury (β:4.7 days, P < .001) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) with dialysis (β:4.3 days, P < .001) were associated with greater LOS while the Northeast region (AOR:5.2, P < .001), ESRD with dialysis (AOR:3.4, P < .001), heart failure (AOR:2.5, P < .001), and fulminant liver disease (AOR:1.8, P = .01) were associated with HRU.

CONCLUSION

The cost of LT has increased over time. Renal dysfunction, regional practice patterns, and patient acuity were associated with greater resource use. Transplanting patients before health deterioration may help contain costs, mitigate resource use, and improve LT outcomes.

Fast-Track Liver Transplantation: Six-year Prospective Cohort Study with an Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) Protocol

Introduction

Enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) has been shown to facilitate discharge, decrease length of stay, improve outcomes and reduce costs. We used this concept to design a comprehensive fast-track pathway (OR-to-discharge) before starting our liver transplant activity and then applied this protocol prospectively to every patient undergoing liver transplantation at our institution, monitoring the results periodically. We now report our first six years results.

Patients and methods

Prospective cohort study of all the liver transplants performed at our institution for the first six years. Balanced general anesthesia, fluid restriction, thromboelastometry, inferior vena cava preservation and temporary portocaval shunt were strategies common to all cases. Standard immunosuppression administered included steroids, tacrolimus (delayed in the setting of renal impairment, with basiliximab induction added) and mycophenolate mofetil. Tacrolimus dosing was adjusted using a Bayesian estimation methodology. Oral intake and ambulation were started early.

Results

A total of 240 transplants were performed in 236 patients (191♂/45♀) over 74 months, mean age 56.3±9.6 years, raw MELD score 15.5±7.7. Predominant etiologies were alcohol (n = 136) and HCV (n = 82), with hepatocellular carcinoma present in 129 (54.7%). Nine patients received combined liver and kidney transplants. The mean operating time was 315±64 min with cold ischemia times of 279±88 min. Thirty-one patients (13.1%) were transfused in the OR (2.4±1.2 units of PRBC). Extubation was immediate (< 30 min) in all but four patients. Median ICU length of stay was 12.7 hours, and median post-transplant hospital stay was 4 days (2-76) with 30 patients (13.8%) going home by day 2, 87 (39.9%) by day 3, and 133 (61%) by day 4, defining our fast-track group. Thirty-day-readmission rate (34.9%) was significantly lower (28.6% vs. 44.7% p=0.015) in the fast-track group. Patient survival was 86.8% at 1 year and 78.6% at five years.

Conclusion

Fast-Tracking of Liver Transplant patients is feasible and can be applied as the standard of care

Outcomes of hemi- versus whole liver transplantation in patients from mainland china with high model for end-stage liver disease scores: a matched analysis

Background

Adult hemiliver transplantation (AHLT) is an important approach given the current shortage of donor livers. However, the suitability of AHLT versus adult whole liver transplantation (AWLT) for recipients with high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores remains controversial.

Methods

We divided patients undergoing AHLT and AWLT into subgroups according to their MELD scores (≥ 30: AHLT, n = 35; AWLT, n = 88; and < 30: AHLT, n = 323; AWLT, n = 323). Patients were matched by demographic data and perioperative conditions according to propensity scores. A cut-off value of 30 for MELD scores was determined by comparing the overall survival data of 735 cases of nontumor liver transplantation.

Results

Among patients with an MELD score ≥ 30 and < 30, AHLT was found to be associated with increased warm ischemia time, operative time, hospitalization time, and intraoperative blood loss compared with AWLT (P < 0.05). In the MELD ≥ 30 group, although the 5-year survival rate was significantly higher for AWLT than for AHLT (P = 0.037), there was no significant difference between AWLT and AHLT in the MELD < 30 group (P = 0.832); however, we did not observe a significant increase in specific complications following AHLT among patients with a high MELD score (≥ 30). Among these patients, the incidence of complications classified as Clavien-Dindo grade III or above was significantly higher in patients undergoing AHLT than in those undergoing AWLT (25.7% vs. 11.4%, P = 0.047). For the MELD < 30 group, there was no significant difference in the incidence of complications classified as Clavien-Dindo grade III or above for patients undergoing AHLT or AWLT.

Conclusion

In patients with an MELD score < 30, AHLT can achieve rates of mortality and overall survival comparable to AWLT. In those with an MELD score ≥ 30, the prognosis and incidence of complications classified as Clavien-Dindo III or above are significantly worse for AHLT than for AWLT; therefore, we may need to be more cautious regarding the conclusion that patients with a high MELD score can safely undergo AHLT.

Increased Surgical Complications but Improved Overall Survival with Adult Living Donor Compared to Deceased Donor Liver Transplantation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background

Living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) provides an alternative to deceased donor liver transplantation (DDLT) for patients with end-stage liver disease in the circumstance of scarcity of deceased grafts. However, the outcomes of LDLT remain controversial.

Method

A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed to compare the outcomes of LDLT with DDLT. Twelve outcomes were assessed.

Results

Thirty-nine studies involving 38563 patients were included. LDLT was comparable in red blood cell transfusion, perioperative mortality, length of hospital stay, retransplantation rate, hepatitis C virus recurrence rate, and hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence rate with DDLT. Cold ischemia time was shorter and duration of recipient operation was longer in LDLT. Postoperative intra-abdominal bleeding rate occurred less frequently in LDLT recipients (odds ratio (OR) = 0.64, 95%confidence interval (CI) = 0.46 − 0.88, P = 0.006), but this did not decrease the perioperative mortality. LDLT was associated with significantly higher biliary (OR = 2.23, 95%CI = 1.59 − 3.13, P < 0.00001) and vascular (OR = 2.00, 95%CI = 1.31 − 3.07, P = 0.001) complication rates and better overall survival (OS) (1 year: OR = 1.32, 95%CI = 1.01 − 1.72, P = 0.04; 3 years: OR = 1.39, 95%CI = 1.14 − 1.69, P = 0.0010; and 5 years: OR = 1.33, 95%CI = 1.04 − 1.70, P = 0.02). According to subgroup analysis, biliary complication rate and OS improved dramatically as experience increased, while vascular complication rate could not be improved because it was mainly caused by the difference of the donor type itself.

Conclusions

LDLT remains a valuable option for patients in need of liver transplantation for it provides an excellent alternative to DDLT without compromising recipient outcomes. Further refinement in biliary and vascular reconstruction techniques and the accumulation of liver transplantation centers' experience are the key factors in expanding the application of LDLT.

Mapping nursing interventions using the Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System in bloodless liver transplantations

BACKGROUND

The Simplified Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System adapted to liver transplantation by King's College Hospital rank 138 activities to determine the nursing workload, diagnostic, monitoring and therapeutic needs.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate nursing activities of "King's-TISS" score grouped in organ systems and nurse patient ratio in the perioperative 48 hours of blood product free liver transplantations (LT).

METHODS

The "King's-TISS" score's were analysed by nursing procedures and grouped, scored according to organ systems. The nursing workloads were studied during LT (T1), on arrival on the ICU (T2) and 12-24-48 hours after LT (T3-T4-T5).

RESULTS

The total of "King's-TISS" score points were decreased by ≥20% daily (p = 0.001). The mean score of 104 ± 3.5 points (CI:104-105) during LT decreased to 84.7 ± 12 points (CI:83-86) in 48 hours (T5). The "metabolic" and "haemostasis" points increased (p = ).01), the "immunology" points unchanged (T2-T5) postoperatively. A slight decrease was observed in case of "basic nursing care", "monitoring", "neurologic support", "renal support" and "cardiovascular support" points (T2-T5, p < .01). The "invasive intervention" and "ventilatory support" points strongly decreased (T2-T5, p < .001). One "King's-TISS" point was found to equal 7.4 minutes with a nurse patient ratio of 2:1 intraoperatively and 1:1 postoperatively.

CONCLUSION

Absence of blood product administration in LT decreases the total and organ specific workload, except the metabolic, haemostasis, immunology and basic support requirement. It was not within the scope of the King's-TISS score to analyse the application of viscoelastic haemostasis test and coagulation factor concentrate administration.

Women who undergo liver transplant have longer length of stay post-transplant compared with men

BACKGROUND

Women on the liver transplant waitlist are at greater risk of hospitalization compared with men, but whether this impacts length of stay (LOS) post-transplant is unknown. We aimed to evaluate gender disparities in post-transplant LOS, an important surrogate of health resource utilization post-transplant.

METHODS

Using the UNOS/OPTN registry, we analysed all non-Status 1 adult deceased donor liver transplant recipients without exception points from 2008 to 2017. Poisson regression associated female gender with post-transplant LOS.

RESULTS

Of 27 294 transplant recipients, 36% were women. Women were more likely to be hospitalized pretransplant than men (44% vs 39%, P < .01). Post-transplant, women were more likely to have prolonged (≥20d) LOS (25% vs 22%, P < .01). In univariable analysis, female gender was associated with longer post-transplant LOS (IRR 1.09, 95%CI 1.06-1.12, P < .01). Prolonged pretransplant admission was also associated with post-transplant LOS (IRR 1.83, 95%CI 1.77-1.89, P < .01). In multivariable analysis, female gender remained independently associated with post-transplant LOS (aIRR 1.05, 95%CI 1.02-1.08, P < .01), after adjustment for age, UNOS region, insurance type, MELDNa, cirrhosis complications, and donor risk index. Pretransplant hospitalization mediated this relationship, explaining 14.1% (95%CI 9.7%-25.4%) of the total effect.

CONCLUSIONS

Women who undergo deceased donor liver transplant have increased healthcare utilization in the peritransplant period compared with men. Reducing gender disparities in liver transplantation, including the disproportionate burden of healthcare utilization by women pre- and post-transplant, will require interventions targeted at preventing hospitalization among women on the transplant waitlist and developing tools aimed at better characterizing the severity of end-stage liver disease in women.

Perioperative Pleural Drainage in Liver Transplantation: A Retrospective Analysis from a High-Volume Liver Transplant Center

BACKGROUND Pleural effusions represent a common complication after liver transplantation (LT) and chest drain (CD) placement is frequently necessary. MATERIAL AND METHODS In this retrospective cohort study, adult LT recipients between 2009 and 2016 were analyzed for pleural effusion formation and its treatment within the first 10 postoperative days. The aim of the study was to compare different settings of CD placement with regard to intervention-related complications. RESULTS Overall, 597 patients met the inclusion criteria, of which 361 patients (60.5%) received at least 1 CD within the study period. Patients with a MELD >25 were more frequently affected (75.7% versus 56.0%, P<0.001). Typically, CDs were placed in the intensive care unit (ICU) (66.8%) or in the operating room (14.1% during LT, 11.5% in the context of reoperations). In total, 97.0% of the patients received a right-sided CD, presumably caused by local irritations. Approximately one-third (35.4%) of ICU-patients required pre-interventional optimization of coagulation. Of the 361 patients receiving a CD, 15 patients (4.2%) suffered a post-interventional hemorrhage and 6 patients (1.4%) had a pneumothorax requiring further treatment. Less complications were observed when the CD was performed in the operating room compared to the ICU: 1 out 127 patients (0.8%) versus 20 out of 332 patients (6.0%); P=0.016. CONCLUSIONS CD placement occurring in the operating room was associated with fewer complications in contrast to placement occurring in the ICU. Planned CD placement in the course of surgery might be favorable in high-risk patients.

Effect of Duration of Intensive Care Unit Stay on Outcomes of Adult Living Donor Liver Transplant Recipients

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common in patients undergoing liver transplantation and is associated with reduced patient and graft survival. The aim is to assess the occurrence of AKI following living donor liver transplantation and to evaluate the associated risk factors and outcomes.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Forty-nine Egyptian patients with hepatitis C virus who underwent living donor liver transplantation were divided into Group A (17 patients with AKI defined as increased creatinine > 50% of the initial pretransplant level) and Group B (non-AKI patients). Fluid balance, kidney function, preoperative and intraoperative risk factors, outcomes, and 1-year mortality were assessed.

RESULTS

The mean age was 48 ± 7.51 and the majority of patients assessed were men (89.8%). The 17 patients with AKI had higher preoperative creatinine and higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores (1.3 ± 0.16, 15.7 ± 5.07, respectively) than the non-AKI patients (1.1 ± .15, 13.7 ± 4.61, respectively), with P values of .04 and < .01, respectively. They also had significantly lower levels of albumin (2.98 ± .50). AKI patients had longer intensive care unit (ICU) stays (10 ± 3 d) compared to non-AKI patients (5 ± 2), with a P value of .03. A logistic multivariable regression test revealed that only a long ICU stay is a predictor of developing acute kidney injury among patients who have undergone living donor liver transplantation (odds ratio 1.23, 95% confidence interval 1.1-2.1, with a P value of .012).

CONCLUSION

Many pre- and intra-operative factors are associated with AKI development; however, a long ICU stay is an independent potential factor for kidney infection.

Prognosis of patients with acute respiratory failure and prolonged intensive care unit stay

Background

Reasons for the prolonged critical care support include uncertainty of outcome, the complex dynamic created between physicians with care team members and the patient's family over a general unwillingness to surrender to unfavorable outcomes. The purpose of this study was to investigate outcomes and identify risk factors of patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF) who required a prolonged intensive care unit (ICU) stay (≥21 days). It may provide reference to screen patients who are suitable for hospice care.

Methods

The medical records of all ARF patients with a prolonged ICU stay were retrospectively reviewed. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.

Results

We identified 1,189 patients. Sepsis (n=896, 75.4%) was the most common cause of prolonged ICU stays, following by renal failure (n=232, 19.5%), and unstable hemodynamic status vasopressors or arrhythmia (n=208, 17.5%). Using multivariable logistic regression, we identified eight risk factors of death: age >75 years, ICU stay for more than 28 days, APACHE II score ≥25, unstable hemodynamic status, renal failure, hepatic failure, massive gastrointestinal tract bleeding, and using a fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO₂) ≥40%. The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 53.6% (n=637), and it up to 75.3% (216/287) for patients with at least three risk factors.

Conclusions

The outcome of patients with ARF who required prolonged ICU stay was poor. They had a high risk of in-hospital mortality. Palliative care should be considered as a reasonable option for the patients at high risk of death.

Variability in intensive care unit length of stay after liver transplant: Determinants and potential opportunities for improvement

PURPOSE

Recovery after liver transplant (LT) requires extensive resources, including prolonged intensive care unit stays. The objective of this study was to use an assessment tool to determine if LT recipients remain in ICU beyond designated indications.

METHODS

Records from 100 consecutive LTs performed in a single institution were retrospectively reviewed. An admission, discharge, and triage screening (ADT) tool was utilized to assess the indications for each ICU day. Data collected included demographics; pre-, intra-, and post-operative course; and complications. Days not meeting ADT criteria were considered additional ICU days.

RESULTS

100 patients: mean age 55 years (range 24-78 years) and mean MELD score 30 (range 6-47). Three recipients who died within one week were excluded. Forty-eight (49.5%) patients had a total of 75 additional days on initial ICU stay. Univariate analysis revealed no significant differences between patients with and without additional days. 12/97 (12.4%) patients returned to ICU including 5/48 and 7/49 with and without additional days.

CONCLUSION

Nearly half of the LT recipients remained in ICU an average of 1.6 additional days. Monitoring of organ function appeared to be the most common reason. Opportunities to improve resource utilization could include transfer to an intermediate/progressive care ("step-down") unit.

Functional status, healthcare utilization, and the costs of liver transplantation

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score predicts higher transplant healthcare utilization and costs; however, the independent contribution of functional status towards costs is understudied. The study objective was to evaluate the association between functional status, as measured by Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS), and liver transplant (LT) costs in the first posttransplant year. In a cohort of 598 LT recipients from July 1, 2009 to November 30, 2014, multivariable models assessed associations between KPS and outcomes. LT recipients needing full assistance (KPS 10%-40%) vs being independent (KPS 80%-100%) were more likely to be discharged to a rehabilitation facility after LT (22% vs 3%) and be rehospitalized within the first posttransplant year (78% vs 57%), all P < .001. In adjusted generalized linear models, in addition to MELD (P < .001), factors independently associated with higher 1-year post-LT transplant costs were older age, poor functional status (KPS 10%-40%), living donor LT, pre-LT hemodialysis, and the donor risk index (all P < .001). One-year survival for patients in the top cost decile was 83% vs 93% for the rest of the cohort (log rank P < .001). Functional status is an important determinant of posttransplant resource utilization; therefore, standardized measurements of functional status should be considered to optimize candidate selection and outcomes.

Risk Factors of Prolonged ICU Stay in Liver Transplant Recipients in a Single-Center Experience

BACKGROUND

Prolonged initial intensive care unit (ICU) stay after liver transplantation (LT) is associated with prolonged total hospitalization, increased hospital mortality, and impaired patient and graft survival. Recent data suggested that model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score at the time of LT and the length of surgery were the two independent risk factors for an ICU stay longer than 3 days after LT. We further identified factors influencing prolonged ICU stay in single-center liver graft recipients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

One hundred fifty consecutive LT recipients (M/F 94/56, median age 55 (range, 39-60), 36% with viral hepatitis, were prospectively enrolled into the study. Associations between clinical factors and prolonged ICU stay were evaluated using logistic regression models. Receiver operating characteristic curves were analyzed to determine the appropriate cutoffs for continuous variables. Threshold for significance was P ≤ .05.

RESULTS

Highly prolonged (≥8 days) and moderately prolonged (≥6 days) postoperative ICU stay was noted in 19 (12.7%) and 59 (39.3%) patients, respectively. Serum bilirubin (P = .001) and creatinine concentrations (P = .011), international normalized ratio (P = .004), and sodium-MELD (P < .001) were all significantly associated with postoperative intensive care unit stay over or equal to 75th percentile (6 days). Sodium-MELD was significantly associated with postoperative care unit stay greater or equal to the 90th percentile (8 days; P = .018).

CONCLUSIONS

Sodium-MELD might be a novel risk factor of prolonged ICU stay in this single-center experience.

Optimizing the Management of Abnormal Liver Function Tests after Orthotopic Liver Transplant: A Systems-Based Analysis of Health Care Utilization

Elevated liver function tests (eLFTs) are a major cause of unplanned readmissions (UR) after orthotopic liver transplantation. Diagnostic workup for eLFTs requires multiple invasive and noninvasive procedures, often done in the inpatient setting to expedite diagnosis, yet consequently resulting in increased costs. In this study, we evaluated eLFT readmissions at a single institution with respect to resource utilization. From 3/2013 to 12/2015, 388 patients underwent orthotopic liver transplantation, resulting in 463 UR totaling 5833 bed days; 87 (18.8%) UR and 929 (15.9%) bed days were for eLFTs. During eLFT-UR all patients underwent repeat laboratory testing, 75 (86.2%) liver ultrasound, 66 (75.8%) liver biopsy, and 17 (19.5%) endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography. Discharge diagnoses were acute cellular rejection (40.2%), transaminitis not otherwise specified (17.2%), biliary complications (16.1%), recurrent hepatitis (11.5%), vascular complications (5.8%), viral hepatitis (5.8%), and steatohepatitis (3.5%). The greatest bed-day utilization was secondary to acute cellular rejection (60.8%) and biliary complications (13.7%). More than 35 per cent of eLFT-UR were due to transaminitis not otherwise specified, steatohepatitis, recurrent or viral hepatitis, none of which necessitate inpatient treatment. In addition, >25 per cent of eLFT-UR bed days were attributed to diagnostic workup. Identifying patients who can undergo expedited outpatient workup and require only outpatient management will result in significantly decreased readmissions, bed days, and hospital costs.

Blood transfusion is a critical determinant of resource utilization and total hospital cost in liver transplantation

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study is to identify factors associated with increased resource use and total hospital cost (THC) after liver transplantation (LT).

METHODS

A study of LT patients undergoing surgery between January 2008 and December 2013 was performed. Main end points were LOS, intensive care unit length of stay (ICU LOS), days on the ventilator, THCs, service area costs.

RESULTS

A total of 191 patients undergoing LT were included in the analysis. Creatinine and blood transfusion were significantly associated with prolonged LOS, ICU LOS, and days on the ventilator. Multivariable analysis of predictors of THC demonstrated creatinine as a strong pre-operative factor. Creatinine was also a significant predictor of OR, ICU, pharmacy, in-patient (floor), diagnostics, and ancillary services cost. After controlling for intra-operative factors such as operative time and blood transfusions, we found that transfusions were the strongest independent predictors of total cost. Patients receiving <5 units of PRBCs had a median LOS of 7 days. ICU LOS doubled and ICU total cost increased by 50% if patients required more than five transfusions of PRBCs.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated serum creatinine and blood transfusions are the most critical determinants of increased resource utilization and hospital expenditure in LT.

Higher MELD score increases the overall cost on the waiting list for liver transplantation: a micro-costing analysis based study

ABSTRACT BACKGROUND: The pre-transplant period is complex and includes lots of procedures. The severity of liver disease predisposes to a high number of hospitalizations and high costs procedures. Economic evaluation studies are important tools to handle costs on the waiting list for liver transplantation. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the present study was to evaluate the total cost of the patient on the waiting list for liver transplantation and the main resources related to higher costs. METHODS: A cost study in a cohort of 482 patients registered on waiting list for liver transplantation was carried out. In 24 months follow-up, we evaluated all costs of materials, medicines, consultations, procedures, hospital admissions, laboratorial tests and image exams, hemocomponents replacements, and nutrition. The total amount of each resource or component used was aggregated and multiplied by the unitary cost, and thus individual cost for each patient was obtained. RESULTS: The total expenditure of the 482 patients was US$ 6,064,986.51. Outpatient and impatient costs correspond to 32.4% of total cost (US$ 1,965,045.52) and 67.6% (US$ 4,099,940.99) respectively. Main cost drivers in outpatient were: medicines (44.31%), laboratorial tests and image exams (31.68%). Main cost drivers regarding hospitalizations were: medicines (35.20%), bed use in ward and ICU (26.38%) and laboratorial tests (13.72%). Patients with MELD score between 25-30 were the most expensive on the waiting list (US$ 16,686.74 ± 16,105.02) and the less expensive were those with MELD below 17 (US$ 5,703.22 ± 9,318.68). CONCLUSION: Total costs on the waiting list for liver transplantation increased according to the patient’s severity. Individually, hospitalizations, hemocomponents reposition and hepatocellular carcinoma treatment were the main cost drivers to the patient on the waiting list. The longer the waiting time, the higher the total cost on list, causing greater impact on health systems.

Predictors of micro-costing components in liver transplantation

OBJECTIVES:

Although liver transplantation procedures are common and highly expensive, their cost structure is still poorly understood. This study aimed to develop models of micro-costs among patients undergoing liver transplantation procedures while comparing the role of individual clinical predictors using tree regression models.

METHODS:

We prospectively collected micro-cost data from patients undergoing liver transplantation in a tertiary academic center. Data collection was conducted using an Intranet registry integrated into the institution's database for the storing of financial and clinical data for transplantation cases.

RESULTS:

A total of 278 patients were included and accounted for 300 procedures. When evaluating specific costs for the operating room, intensive care unit and ward, we found that in all of the sectors but the ward, human resources were responsible for the highest costs. High cost supplies were important drivers for the operating room, whereas drugs were among the top four drivers for all sectors. When evaluating the predictors of total cost, a MELD score greater than 30 was the most important predictor of high cost, followed by a Donor Risk Index greater than 1.8.

CONCLUSION:

By focusing on the highest cost drivers and predictors, hospitals can initiate programs to reduce cost while maintaining high quality care standards.

High MELD score and extended operating time predict prolonged initial ICU stay after liver transplantation and influence the outcome

BACKGROUND

The aim of the present study is to determine the incidence of a prolonged (>3 days) initial ICU-stay after liver transplantation (LT) and to identify risk factors for it.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data of adult recipients who underwent deceased donor first-LT at the University Hospital Essen between 11/2003 and 07/2012 and showed a primary graft function.

RESULTS

Of the 374 recipients, 225 (60.16%) had prolonged ICU-stay. On univariate analysis, donor INR, high doses of vasopressors, "rescue-offer" grafts, being hospitalized at transplant, high urgency cases, labMELD, alcoholic cirrhosis, being on renal dialysis and length of surgery were associated with prolonged ICU-stay. After multivariate analysis, only the labMELD and the operation's length were independently correlated with prolonged ICU-stay. Cut-off values for these variables were 19 and 293.5 min, respectively. Hospital stay was longer for patients with a prolonged initial ICU-stay (p<0.001). Survival rates differed significantly between the two groups at 3 months, 1-year and 5-years after LT (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

LabMELD and duration of LT were identified as independent predictors for prolonged ICU-stay after LT. Identification of recipients in need of longer ICU-stay could contribute to a more evidenced-based and cost-effective use of ICU facilities in transplant centers.

Impact of transjugular intrahepatic porto-systemic shunt on post liver transplantation outcomes: Study based on the United Network for Organ Sharing database

AIM

To determine the impact of transjugular intrahepatic porto-systemic shunt (TIPS) on post liver transplantation (LT) outcomes.

METHODS

Utilizing the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database, we compared patients who underwent LT from 2002 to 2013 who had underwent TIPS to those without TIPS for the management of ascites while on the LT waitlist. The impact of TIPS on 30-d mortality, length of stay (LOS), and need for re-LT were studied. For evaluation of mean differences between baseline characteristics for patients with and without TIPS, we used unpaired t-tests for continuous measures and χ² tests for categorical measures. We estimated the impact of TIPS on each of the outcome measures. Multivariate analyses were conducted on the study population to explore the effect of TIPS on 30-d mortality post-LT, need for re-LT and LOS. All covariates were included in logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

We included adult patients (age ≥ 18 years) who underwent LT from May 2002 to September 2013. Only those undergoing TIPS after listing and before liver transplant were included in the TIPS group. We excluded patients with variceal bleeding within two weeks of listing for LT and those listed for acute liver failure or hepatocellular carcinoma. Of 114770 LT in the UNOS database, 32783 (28.5%) met inclusion criteria. Of these 1366 (4.2%) had TIPS between the time of listing and LT. We found that TIPS increased the days on waitlist (408 ± 553 d) as compared to those without TIPS (183 ± 330 d), P < 0.001. Multivariate analysis showed that TIPS had no effect on 30-d post LT mortality (OR = 1.26; 95%CI: 0.91-1.76) and re-LT (OR = 0.61; 95%CI: 0.36-1.05). Pre-transplant hepatic encephalopathy added 3.46 d (95%CI: 2.37-4.55, P < 0.001), followed by 2.16 d (95%CI: 0.92-3.38, P = 0.001) by TIPS to LOS.

CONCLUSION

TIPS did increase time on waitlist for LT. More importantly, TIPS was not associated with 30-d mortality and re-LT, but it did lengthen hospital LOS after transplantation.

Single-Center Experience on Liver Transplantation for Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score 40 Patients

BACKGROUND

Organ shortage and waiting list mortality have led to changes in the allocation policy in Eurotransplant.

AIM

To identify factors influencing the survival of liver transplanted patients with model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score of 40.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data of listed adult patients who reached a MELD score 40 in the period 12/2006-06/2010 were reviewed. Donor/graft and recipient characteristics, and operative details were analyzed. Statistical analysis encompassed Kaplan-Meier analysis/log-rank test as well as univariate and multivariable regression analyses.

RESULTS

Forty-eight patients achieved a MELD score 40. Thirty patients were transplanted, whereas 18 patients were not. Three-month, 1-year, and 5-year patient and graft survival for transplanted patients was 53, 50, and 47 %, respectively. Three-month and 1-year survival after listing was 11 and 6 % for not transplanted patients, respectively (p < 0.0001). Multivariable analysis revealed pre-operative dialysis (p = 0.0246) and portal vein thrombosis (PVT) (p = 0.0231) to be independent prognostic factors for post-transplant patient survival. A point scoring system was created, which reached statistical significance (p = 0.0007). One-year and 5-year survival for scores 0, 1, and 2 were 72 and 64, 42 and 42 and 0 %, respectively. There was no statistical difference in transplantation costs between patients who survived or died (p = 0.1578).

CONCLUSIONS

At our center, coexistence of pre-operative dialysis and PVT represents a clear contraindication for LT regarding MELD score 40 patients.

Use of a severity indicator as a predictor of the use of hepatic transplantation resources

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the use of a severity indicator for end-stage liver disease as a predictor of resource use in a teaching hospital in São Paulo.

METHOD

Descriptive, retrospective study, classifying independent variables in seven key dimensions: identification/risk rating; length of stay/use of advanced life support; imaging; clinical analysis; special procedures; blood products in the intensive care unit; and in the operating room. The frequencies were analyzed by linear regression analysis of variance to detect relevance due to the dependent variable (severity indicator) in 76 cases seen in 2013.

RESULTS

Among the variables studied, those that presented relevance due to the functional risk score were laboratory measurements of bilirubin, amylase, transaminase, blood count, creatine phosphokinase (p<0.05), hemotherapy procedures fresh frozen plasma (FFP) and platelet concentrate (p<0.05), and Doppler echocardiography image (p<0.07).

CONCLUSION

Given the results/objective of this study, it is concluded that the indicator presents a potential predictive capability in the use of postoperative resources of liver receptors in the size, clinical analysis, images and hemotherapy dimensions.

OBJETIVO

Avaliar o uso do indicador de gravidade para doenças hepáticas terminais como fator preditivo do uso de recursos em um hospital-escola de São Paulo.

MÉTODO

Estudo descritivo, retrospectivo, classificando variáveis independentes em sete dimensões principais: identificação/classificação de risco; tempo de permanência/uso de suporte avançado à vida; exames de imagem; análises clínicas; procedimentos especiais; hemoderivados em unidade de terapia intensiva; e em centro cirúrgico. As frequências foram analisadas por regressão linear com análise de variância para detecção de relevâncias face à variável dependente (indicador de gravidade) em 76 casos atendidos em 2013.

RESULTADOS

Dentre as variáveis estudadas, apresentaram relevância em função do escore de risco funcional as dosagens laboratoriais de bilirrubina, amilase, transaminase, hemograma, creatinofosfoquinase (p<0,05), procedimentos hemoterápicos plasma fresco congelado (PFC) e concentrado de plaquetas (p<0,05), e imagem Ecodoppler (p<0,07).

CONCLUSÃO

Face aos resultados/propósito do estudo conclui-se que o indicador apresenta potencial capacidade preditiva no uso de recursos pós-operatórios de receptores de fígado nas dimensões, análises clínicas, imagens e hemoterapia.

Living donor liver transplantation for high model for end-stage liver disease score: What have we learned?

AIM: To assess the impact of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score on patient survival and morbidity post living donor liver transplantation (LDLT).

METHODS: A retrospective study was performed on 80 adult patients who had LDLT from 2011-2013. Nine patients were excluded and 71 patients were divided into two groups; Group 1 included 38 patients with a MELD score < 20, and Group 2 included 33 patients with a MELD score > 20. Comparison between both groups was done regarding operative time, intra-operative blood requirement, intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital stay, infection, and patient survival.

RESULTS: Eleven patients died (15.5%); 3/38 (7.9%) patients in Group 1 and 8/33 (24.2%) in Group 2 with significant difference (P = 0.02). Mean operative time, duration of hospital stay, and ICU stay were similar in both groups. Mean volume of blood transfusion and cell saver re-transfusion were 8 ± 4 units and 1668 ± 202 mL, respectively, in Group 1 in comparison to 10 ± 6 units and 1910 ± 679 mL, respectively, in Group 2 with no significant difference (P = 0.09 and 0.167, respectively). The rates of infection and systemic complications (renal, respiratory, cardiovascular and neurological complications) were similar in both groups.

CONCLUSION: A MELD score > 20 may predict mortality after LDLT.

Predicting early discharge from hospital after liver transplantation (ERDALT) at a single center: a new model

BACKGROUND & RATIONALE

Limited information related to Liver Transplantation (LT) costs in South America exists. Additionally, costs analysis from developed countries may not provide comparable models for those in emerging economies. We sought to evaluate a predictive model of Early Discharge from Hospital after LT (ERDALT = length of hospital stay ≤ 8 days). A predictive model was assessed based on the odds ratios (OR) from a multivariate regression analysis in a cohort of consecutively transplanted adult patients in a single center from Argentina and internally validated with bootstrapping technique.

RESULTS

ERDALT was applicable in 34 of 289 patients (11.8%). Variables independently associated with ERDALT were MELD exception points OR 1.9 (P = 0.04), surgery time < 4 h OR 3.8 (P = 0.013), < 5 units of blood products consumption (BPC) OR 3.5 (P = 0.001) and early weaning from mechanical intubation OR 6.3 (P = 0.006). Points in the predictive scoring model were allocated as follows: MELD exception points (absence = 0 points, presence = 1 point), surgery time < 4 h (0-2 points), < 5 units of BPC (0-2 points), and early weaning (0-3 points). Final scores ranged from 0 to 8 points with a c-statistic of 0.83 (95% CI 0.77-0.90; P < 0.0001). Transplant costs were significantly lower in patients with ERDALT (median $23,078 vs. $28,986; P < 0.0001). Neither lower patient and graft survival, nor higher rates of short-term re-hospitalization and acute rejection events after discharge were observed in patients with ERDALT. In conclusion, the ERDALT score identifies patients suitable for early discharge with excellent outcomes after transplantation. This score may provide applicable models particularly for emerging economies.

Predictive factors of short term outcome after liver transplantation: A review

Liver transplantation represents a fundamental therapeutic solution to end-stage liver disease. The need for liver allografts has extended the set of criteria for organ acceptability, increasing the risk of adverse outcomes. Little is known about the early postoperative parameters that can be used as valid predictive indices for early graft function, retransplantation or surgical reintervention, secondary complications, long intensive care unit stay or death. In this review, we present state-of-the-art knowledge regarding the early post-transplantation tests and scores that can be applied during the first postoperative week to predict liver allograft function and patient outcome, thereby guiding the therapeutic and surgical decisions of the medical staff. Post-transplant clinical and biochemical assessment of patients through laboratory tests (platelet count, transaminase and bilirubin levels, INR, factor V, lactates, and Insulin Growth Factor 1) and scores (model for end-stage liver disease, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation, sequential organ failure assessment and model of early allograft function) have been reported to have good performance, but they only allow late evaluation of patient status and graft function, requiring days to be quantified. The indocyanine green plasma disappearance rate has long been used as a liver function assessment technique and has produced interesting, although not univocal, results when performed between the 1^th and the 5^th day after transplantation. The liver maximal function capacity test is a promising method of metabolic liver activity assessment, but its use is limited by economic cost and extrahepatic factors. To date, a consensual definition of early allograft dysfunction and the integration and validation of the above-mentioned techniques, through the development of numerically consistent multicentric prospective randomised trials, are necessary. The medical and surgical management of transplanted patients could be greatly improved by using clinically reliable tools to predict early graft function.

Early Measurement of Indocyanine Green Clearance Accurately Predicts Short-Term Outcomes After Liver Transplantation

BACKGROUND

There are no accurate tools to predict short-term mortality or the need for early retransplantation after liver transplantation (LT). A noninvasive measurement of indocyanine green clearance, the plasma disappearance rate (PDR), has been associated with initial graft function.

METHODS

We evaluated the ability of PDR to predict early mortality or retransplantation after LT. In this observational prospective study, 332 LT were analyzed. Donor, recipient, and intraoperative data were investigated. The ensuing score was prospectively evaluated in a validation cohort of 77 patients.

RESULTS

Thirty-three patients reached the main endpoint. By multivariate analysis, the only independent predictors of the endpoint were PDR (odds ratio [OR], 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.79-0.92) and international normalized ratio (OR, 1.45; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-1.82). A risk score weighted by the OR was built using cutoff values of 2.2 or greater for international normalized ratio (1 point) and less than 10%/min for PDR (2 points). Four categories (0 to 3) were possible. The risk of early death or retransplantation was associated with the score (0, 4.4%; 1, 6.5%; 2, 12%; and 3, 50%; χ for trend, P < 0.001). The score was also associated with duration of mechanical ventilation and intensive care unit stay. The score had a good diagnostic performance in the validation cohort (sensitivity, 60%; specificity, 95.5%; positive predictive value, 66.7%; negative predictive value, 94.1%).

CONCLUSIONS

A simple score obtained within the first day after LT predicts short-term survival and need for retransplantation and may prove useful when selecting diagnostic and therapeutic strategies.

Patterns of Kidney Function Before and After Orthotopic Liver Transplant: Associations With Length of Hospital Stay, Progression to End-Stage Renal Disease, and Mortality

BACKGROUND

In the context of orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT), renal dysfunction is used as a criterion for simultaneous liver-kidney transplantation. Changes in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) the year before and after OLT have not been well defined.

METHODS

In a cohort of 416 OLT patients from 1996 to 2009, estimated GFR (eGFR) was assessed during the 12 months before OLT (period A), at time of OLT (period B), and the 12 months after OLT (period C). Outcomes included progression to end stage renal disease (ESRD), length of stay, and mortality.

RESULTS

The overall rate of progression to ESRD over 15 years of follow-up was 0.155/person-year and was strongly associated with eGFR <60 (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.7; P < 0.001), diabetes (HR = 2.6; P < 0.001), and with a combination of the 2 (HR = 5.5; P < 0.0001). Mean eGFR decreased from period A (86 mL/min per 1.73 m) to period B (77; P < 0.001) to period C (71; P < 0.001), with similar decreases in eGFR across subgroups of clinical variables. Patients with eGFR less than 60 mL/min per 1.73 m at OLT had acute and large decreases in eGFR from periods A to B, then increases to period C. Length of stay was associated with eGFR at OLT, hepatorenal syndrome, dialysis requirement, model for end-stage liver disease score, and alcoholic liver disease. Twelve-month mortality was strongly associated with time-dependent change in eGFR, hepatorenal syndrome, dialysis requirement, hepatitis C, and model for end-stage liver disease era transplantation but was not associated with eGFR at OLT.

CONCLUSIONS

Among OLT patients, renal function worsened in all subgroups from before to after OLT, but the association of progression to ESRD was particularly high among patients with both diabetes and eGFR less than 60 at the time of OLT. This suggests that diabetes could be considered as a criterion when making decisions regarding simultaneous liver-kidney transplantation.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure

Acute-on-chronic liver failure combines an acute deterioration in liver function in an individual with pre-existing chronic liver disease and hepatic and extrahepatic organ failures, and is associated with substantial short-term mortality. Common precipitants include bacterial and viral infections, alcoholic hepatitis, and surgery, but in more than 40% of patients, no precipitating event is identified. Systemic inflammation and susceptibility to infection are characteristic pathophysiological features. A new diagnostic score, the Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (CLIF-C) organ failure score, has been developed for classification and prognostic assessment of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure. Disease can be reversed in many patients, and thus clinical management focuses upon the identification and treatment of the precipitant while providing multiorgan-supportive care that addresses the complex pattern of physiological disturbance in critically ill patients with liver disease. Liver transplantation is a highly effective intervention in some specific cases, but recipient identification, organ availability, timing of transplantation, and high resource use are barriers to more widespread application. Recognition of acute-on-chronic liver failure as a clinically and pathophysiologically distinct syndrome with defined diagnostic and prognostic criteria will help to encourage the development of new management pathways and interventions to address the unacceptably high mortality.

Comparison of Different Scoring Systems Based on Both Donor and Recipient Characteristics for Predicting Outcome after Living Donor Liver Transplantation

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

In order to provide a good match between donor and recipient in liver transplantation, four scoring systems [the product of donor age and Model for End-stage Liver Disease score (D-MELD), the score to predict survival outcomes following liver transplantation (SOFT), the balance of risk score (BAR), and the transplant risk index (TRI)] based on both donor and recipient parameters were designed. This study was conducted to evaluate the performance of the four scores in living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) and compare them with the MELD score.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The clinical data of 249 adult patients undergoing LDLT in our center were retrospectively evaluated. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) of each score were calculated and compared at 1-, 3-, 6-month and 1-year after LDLT.

RESULTS

The BAR at 1-, 3-, 6-month and 1-year after LDLT and the D-MELD and TRI at 1-, 3- and 6-month after LDLT showed acceptable performances in the prediction of survival (AUC>0.6), while the SOFT showed poor discrimination at 6-month after LDLT (AUC = 0.569). In addition, the D-MELD and BAR displayed positive correlations with the length of ICU stay (D-MELD, p = 0.025; BAR, p = 0.022). The SOFT was correlated with the time of mechanical ventilation (p = 0.022).

CONCLUSION

The D-MELD, BAR and TRI provided acceptable performance in predicting survival after LDLT. However, even though these scoring systems were based on both donor and recipient parameters, only the BAR provided better performance than the MELD in predicting 1-year survival after LDLT.

Analysis of the survival of cirrhotic patients enlisted for liver transplantation in the pre- and post-MELD era in southern Brazil

CONTEXT

Transplantation is the only cure for decompensated cirrhosis. Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) is used in liver allocation.

OBJECTIVES

Comparing survival of enlisted populations in pre- and post-MELD eras and estimating their long-term survival.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study of cirrhotics enlisted for transplantation during pre- and post-MELD eras. Survival curves were generated using Kaplan-Meier's model. Cox's model was used to determine risk factors for mortality. Exponential, Weibull's, normal-log and Gompertz's models were used to estimate long-term survival.

RESULTS

The study included 162 patients enlisted in pre-MELD era and 184 in post-MELD period. Kaplan-Meier's survival curve of patients enlisted in post-MELD era was better than that of pre-MELD period (P = 0.009). This difference remained for long-term estimates, with a survival of 53.54% in 5 years and 44.64% in 10 years for patients enlisted in post-MELD era and of 43.17% and 41.75% for pre-MELD period. Era in which patients had been enlisted (P = 0.010) and MELD score at enlistment (P<0.001) were independently associated to survival with hazard ratios of 0.664 (95% CI-confidence interval = 0.487-0.906) and 1.069 (95% CI = 1.043-1.095).

CONCLUSIONS

MELD-based transplantation policy is superior to chronology-based one, promoting better survival for enlisted patients, even in long-term.

Liver transplantation in highest acuity recipients: identifying factors to avoid futility

OBJECTIVE

To identify medical predictors of futility in recipients with laboratory Model of End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores of 40 or more at the time of orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT).

BACKGROUND

Although the survival benefit for transplant patients with the highest MELD scores is indisputable, the medical and economic effort to bring these highest acuity recipients through OLT presents a major challenge for every transplant center.

METHODS

This study was undertaken to analyze outcomes in patients with MELD scores of 40 or more undergoing OLT during the period February 2002 to December 2010. The analysis was focused on futile outcome (3-month or in-hospital mortality) and long-term posttransplant outcome. Independent predictors of futility and failure-free survival were identified and a futility risk model was created.

RESULTS

During the study period, 1522 adult cadaveric OLTs were performed, and 169 patients (13%) had a MELD score of 40 or more. The overall 1, 3, 5, and 8-year patient survivals were 72%, 64%, 60%, and 56%. Futile outcome occurred in 37 patients (22%). MELD score, pretransplant septic shock, cardiac risk, and comorbidities were independent predictors of futile outcome. Using all 4 factors, the futility risk model had a good discriminatory ability (c-statistic 0.75). Recipient age per year, life-threatening postoperative complications, hepatitis C, and metabolic syndrome were independent predictors for long-term survival in nonfutile patients (Harrels c-statistic 0.72).

CONCLUSIONS

Short- and long-term outcomes of recipients with MELD scores of 40 or more are primarily determined by disease-specific factors. Cardiac risk, pretransplant septic shock, and comorbidities are the most important predictors and can be used for risk stratification in these highest acuity recipients.

Liver resection and transplantation in hepatocellular carcinoma

Liver resection is the most available, efficient treatment for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Better liver function assessment, increased understanding of segmental liver anatomy using more accurate imaging studies, and surgical technical progress are the most important factors that have led to reduced mortality, with an expected 5 year survival of 70%. Impairment of liver function and the risk of tumor recurrence lead to consideration of liver transplantation (LT) as the ideal treatment for removal of the existing tumor and the preneoplastic underlying liver tissue. However, LT, which is not available in many countries, is restricted to patients with minimum risk of tumor recurrence under immunosuppression. Limited availability of grafts as well as the risk and the cost of the LT procedure has led to considerable interest in combined treatment involving resection and LT. An increasing amount of evidence has shown that initial liver resection in transplantable patients with a single limited tumor and good liver function is a valid indication. Histological analysis of specimens allows identification of the subgroup of patients who could benefit from follow-up with LT in case of recurrence.

Sicker Patients for Liver Transplantation: Meld, Meld Sodium, and Integrated Meld’s Prognostic Accuracy in the Assessment of Posttransplantation Events at a Single Center from Argentina

Background. MELD or MELD sodium promotes sicker patients for earlier liver transplantation (LT); the balance between pre- and post-LT outcomes is still controversial. Aim. To compare MELD and related scores’ risk assessment of short-term morbidity and mortality after LT. Methods. We included only transplanted cirrhotic patients from 6/2005 to 6/2010 (). Immediate pre-LT MELD, integrated MELD (iMELD), and two MELD sodium formulas “MELD Na1” and “MELDNa2” were calculated. Results. Pre-LT scores for nonsurvivors were higher than those for survivors: MELD (28 ± 8 versus 22 ± 7, ), MELD Na1 (33 ± 8 versus 27 ± 10, ), and iMELD (51 ± 6 versus 46 ± 8, ). Patient survival assessment was performed by AUROC analysis (95% CI): MELD 0.694 (0.56–0.82; ), MELD Na1 0.682 (0.56–0.79; ), MELD Na2 0.651 (0.54–0.76; ), and iMELD 0.698 (0.593–0.80; ). Patients with MELD ≥25 points had longer intensive care stay (mean 10 versus 7 days, ) and longer mechanical ventilatory support (5.4 versus 1.9 days, ). Conclusions. The addition of serum sodium to MELD does not improve assessment of mortality after LT. Patients with higher MELD may preclude higher morbidity after transplantation.