Stage of cirrhosis predicts the risk of liver-related death in patients with low Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores and cirrhosis awaiting liver transplantation

Future of U.S. living donor liver transplant: Donor and recipient criteria, transplant indications, transplant oncology, liver paired exchange, and non-directed donor graft allocation

In the United States, living donor liver transplant (LDLT), from both directed and nondirected living donors, has expanded over the past several years. LDLT is viewed as an important opportunity to expand the overall donor pool for liver transplantation (LT), shorten waiting times for a life-prolonging LT surgery, and reduce LT waitlist mortality. The LT community's focus on LDLT expansion in the United States is fostering discussions around future opportunities, which include the safe expansion of donor and recipient candidate eligibility criteria, broadening indications for LDLT including applications in transplant oncology, developing national initiatives around liver paired exchange, and maintaining vigilance to living donor and recipient candidate risk/benefit equipoise. Potential opportunities for expanding living liver donor and recipient candidate criteria include using donors with more than minimal hepatic steatosis, evaluating older donors, performing LDLT in older recipients to facilitate timely transplantation, and providing candidates who would benefit from an LT, but may otherwise have limited access (ie, lower MELD scores), an avenue to receive a life-prolonging organ. Expansion opportunities for LDLT are particularly robust in the transplant oncology realm, including leveraging LDLT for patients with advanced HCC beyond Milan, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, and nonresectable colorectal cancer liver metastases. With ongoing investment in the deliberate growth of LDLT surgical expertise, experience, and technical advances in the United States, the LT community's future vision to increase transplant access to more patients with end-stage liver disease and selected oncology patients may be successfully realized.

Where you live matters: Area deprivation predicts poor survival and liver transplant waitlisting

Social determinants of health (SDOH) are important predictors of poor clinical outcomes in chronic diseases, but their associations among the general cirrhosis population and liver transplantation (LT) are limited. We conducted a retrospective, multiinstitutional analysis of adult (≥18-years-old) patients with cirrhosis in metropolitan Chicago to determine the associations of poor neighborhood-level SDOH on decompensation complications, mortality, and LT waitlisting. Area deprivation index and covariates extracted from the American Census Survey were aspects of SDOH that were investigated. Among 15 101 patients with cirrhosis, the mean age was 57.2 years; 6414 (42.5%) were women, 6589 (43.6%) were non-Hispanic White, 3652 (24.2%) were non-Hispanic Black, and 2662 (17.6%) were Hispanic. Each quintile increase in area deprivation was associated with poor outcomes in decompensation (sHR [subdistribution hazard ratio] 1.07; 95% CI 1.05-1.10; P < .001), waitlisting (sHR 0.72; 95% CI 0.67-0.76; P < .001), and all-cause mortality (sHR 1.09; 95% CI 1.06-1.12; P < .001). Domains of SDOH associated with a lower likelihood of waitlisting and survival included low income, low education, poor household conditions, and social support (P < .001). Overall, patients with cirrhosis residing in poor neighborhood-level SDOH had higher decompensation, and mortality, and were less likely to be waitlisted for LT. Further exploration of structural barriers toward LT or optimizing health outcomes is warranted.

Comparison of the efficacy of the gadoxetic acid MRI-derived relative enhancement index (REI) and functional liver imaging score (FLIS) in predicting liver function: validation with Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) grade

PURPOSE

This study compared the predictive performance of the relative enhancement index (REI) derived from gadoxetic acid (GA)-enhanced MRI with that of the functional liver imaging score (FLIS) in estimating liver function among patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) or liver cirrhosis (LC) by validating them with the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively examined 166 patients (79 women, 87 men; 57.4 years) who were diagnosed with LC or CLD and underwent GA-enhanced MRI between August 2020 and September 2023. The enhancement ratio (ER) is calculated using the formula: ER = [hepatobiliary phase liver signal (SI HBP20)-precontrast liver signal (SI pre)]/SI pre. The REI is calculated using the formula: REI = Liver Volume (LV) × ER. FLIS was assigned from the sum of three HBP image features, each scored between 0 and 2: liver parenchymal enhancement, biliary contrast excretion, and portal vein sign. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to determine the optimal cutoff values of ER, REI, and FLIS in differentiating between ALBI grades. The area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were calculated for REI and FLIS to distinguish the ALBI grades. Spearman's rank correlation was used to evaluate the ER, REI, and FLIS correlations between the ALBI grades. To evaluate inter-reader reliability for LV, ER, REI, and FLIS, intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) was used.

RESULTS

ROC curve analysis showed that the optimal cutoff value of REI for predicting ALBI Grade 1 was 899-905 for readers 1 and 2 and 461-477 for ALBI Grade 3, respectively. REI performed best in predicting ALBI Grade 1, achieving an accuracy range of 94%-92.2%, sensitivity of 94.9%-94.1%, and specificity of 91.7%-87.5% for readers 1 and 2, respectively. All parameters showed high accuracy in distinguishing ALBI Grade 3 from other grades. However, REI outperformed the others, showing an accuracy range of 98.8%-97.6%, sensitivity of 94.4%-94.4%, and specificity of 99.3%-98% for readers 1 and 2, respectively. REI showed the best and very strong correlation with ALBI for both readers.

CONCLUSION

REI showed a very strong correlation with the ALBI grades for assessing liver function. It outperformed FLIS in predicting the ALBI grades, indicating its potential as a radiologic tool comparable to or better than FLIS in predicting liver function, especially given its dependence on liver volume.

Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver clinical practice guidelines on liver transplantation

Liver transplantation is a highly complex and challenging field of clinical practice. Although it was originally developed in western countries, it has been further advanced in Asian countries through the use of living donor liver transplantation. This method of transplantation is the only available option in many countries in the Asia-Pacific region due to the lack of deceased organ donation. As a result of this clinical situation, there is a growing need for guidelines that are specific to the Asia-Pacific region. These guidelines provide comprehensive recommendations for evidence-based management throughout the entire process of liver transplantation, covering both deceased and living donor liver transplantation. In addition, the development of these guidelines has been a collaborative effort between medical professionals from various countries in the region. This has allowed for the inclusion of diverse perspectives and experiences, leading to a more comprehensive and effective set of guidelines.

Mac-2-Binding Protein Glycosylation Isomer to Albumin Ratio Predicts Bacterial Infections in Cirrhotic Patients

INTRODUCTION

Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) is a novel biomarker for liver fibrosis, but little is known about its role in cirrhosis-associated clinical outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the predictive role of M2BPGi in cirrhosis-associated complications.

METHODS

One hundred and forty-nine cirrhotic patients were retrospectively enrolled. Patients were followed up for 1 year, and cirrhosis-associated clinical events were recorded. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was used to establish the values of the predictive models for cirrhotic outcomes, and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify predictors of clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Sixty (40.3%) patients experienced cirrhosis-associated clinical events and had higher M2BPGi levels compared to those without events (8.7 vs. 5.1 cutoff index, p < 0.001). The most common cirrhosis-associated complications were bacterial infections (24.2%). On ROC analysis, M2BPGi to albumin ratio (M2BPGi/albumin) had comparable discriminant abilities for all cirrhosis-associated events (area under the ROC curve [AUC] = 0.74) compared with M2BPGi, Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease, albumin-bilirubin scores, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and was superior to M2BPGi alone for all bacterial infectious events (AUC = 0.80). Cox regression analysis revealed that the M2BPGi/albumin, but not M2BPGi alone, independently predicted all cirrhosis-associated events (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.34, p = 0.038) and all bacterial infectious events (HR = 1.51, p = 0.011) within 1 year. However, M2BPGi/albumin did not predict other cirrhotic complications and transplant-free survival.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION

M2BPGi/albumin might serve as a potential prognostic indicator for patients with cirrhosis, particularly for predicting bacterial infections.

Relative enhancement index can be used to quantify liver function in cirrhotic patients that undergo gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate MRI with gadoxetic acid to quantify liver function in cirrhotic patients using the relative enhancement index (REI) compared with Child-Pugh score (CPS), MELD score, and indocyanine green plasma disappearance rate (ICG-PDR) and to establish cutoffs for REI to stratify cirrhotic patients into good and poor liver function groups.

METHODS

We prospectively evaluated 60 cirrhotic patients and calculated CPS, MELD score, ICG-PDR, and REI for each patient. Spearman's correlation coefficient was used to assess correlation between REI, CPS, MELD, and ICG-PDR. Good and poor liver function groups were created by k-means clustering algorithm using CPS, MELD, and ICG-PDR. ROC curve analysis was performed and optimal cutoff was identified for group differentiation.

RESULTS

Good correlations were found between REI and other liver function biomarkers: REI and CPS (rho =  - 0.816; p < 0.001); REI and MELD score (rho =  - 0.755; p < 0.001); REI and ICG-PDR (rho = 0.745; p < 0.001)]. REI correlation was stronger for patients with Child-Pugh A (rho = 0.642, p = 0.002) and B (rho = 0.798, p < 0.001) than for those with Child-Pugh C (rho = 0.336, p = 0.148). REI is significantly lower in patients with poor liver function (p < 0.001). ROC curve showed an AUC 0.94 to discriminate patients with poor liver function (REI cutoff < 100; 100% sensitivity; 76% specificity).

CONCLUSIONS

REI is a valuable non-invasive index for liver function quantification that has good correlations with other liver function biomarkers. REI can be easily calculated and can be used to estimate liver function in clinical practice in the routine evaluation of cirrhotic patients that undergo MR imaging with gadoxetic acid contrast.

KEY POINTS

• REI is a valuable non-invasive index for liver function quantification that has good correlations with other liver function biomarkers. • REI can be easily calculated in the routine evaluation of cirrhotic patients that undergo gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI. • The REI enables stratification of cirrhotic patients into good and poor liver function groups and can be used as additional information, together with morphological and focal liver lesion evaluation.

Are MELD and MELDNa Still Reliable Tools to Predict Mortality on the Liver Transplant Waiting List?

Liver transplantation is the only curative treatment for end-stage liver disease. Unfortunately, the scarcity of donor organs and the increasing pool of potential recipients limit access to this life-saving procedure. Allocation should account for medical and ethical factors, ensuring equal access to transplantation regardless of recipient's gender, race, religion, or income. Based on their short-term prognosis prediction, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and MELD sodium (MELDNa) have been widely used to prioritize patients on the waiting list for liver transplantation resulting in a significant decrease in waiting list mortality/removal. Recent concern has been raised regarding the prognostic accuracy of MELD and MELDNa due, in part, to changes in recipients' profile such as body mass index, comorbidities, and general condition, including nutritional status and cause of liver disease, among others. This review aims to provide a comprehensive view of the current state of MELD and MELDNa advantages and limitations and promising alternatives. Finally, it will explore future options to increase the donor pool and improve donor-recipient matching.

Hepatic Encephalopathy and Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis Improve Cirrhosis Outcome Prediction: A Modified Seven-Stage Model as a Clinical Alternative to MELD

Classification of cirrhosis based on clinical stages is rapid and based on five stages at present. Two other relevant events, hepatic encephalopathy (HE) and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), can be considered in a clinical perspective but no study has implemented a seven-stage classification and confirmed its value before. In addition, long-term validation of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) in large cohorts of patients with cirrhosis and comparison with clinical findings are insufficient. Therefore, we performed a study to address these items. From the Chang-Gung Research Database (CGRD), 20,782 patients with cirrhosis were enrolled for an historical survival study. The MELD score, the five-stage clinical score (i.e., occurrence of esophageal varices (EV), EV bleeding, ascites, sepsis) and a novel seven-stage clinical score (i.e., occurrence of EV, EV bleeding, ascites, sepsis, HE, SBP) were compared with their Cox models by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. The addition of HE and SBP to the seven-stage model had a 5% better prediction result than the five-stage model did in the survival ROC analysis. The result showed that the seven clinical stages are associated with an increased risk for mortality. However, the predicted performances of the seven-stage model and MELD system are likely equivalent. In conclusion, the study (i) proved that clinical staging of cirrhosis based on seven items/stages had higher prognostic value than the five-stage model and (ii) confirmed the validity of the MELD criteria vs. clinical assessment.

Validation of predictive models identifying patients at risk for massive transfusion during liver transplantation and their potential impact on blood bank resource utilization

BACKGROUND

Intraoperative massive transfusion (MT) is common during liver transplantation (LT). A predictive model of MT has the potential to improve use of blood bank resources.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Development and validation cohorts were identified among deceased-donor LT recipients from 2010 to 2016. A multivariable model of MT generated from the development cohort was validated with the validation cohort and refined using both cohorts. The combined cohort also validated the previously reported McCluskey risk index (McRI). A simple modified risk index (ModRI) was then created from the combined cohort. Finally, a method to translate model predictions to a population-specific blood allocation strategy was described and demonstrated for the study population.

RESULTS

Of the 403 patients, 60 (29.6%) in the development and 51 (25.5%) in the validation cohort met the definition for MT. The ModRI, derived from variables incorporated into multivariable model, ranged from 0 to 5, where 1 point each was assigned for hemoglobin level of less than 10 g/dL, platelet count of less than 100 × 10⁹ /dL, thromboelastography R interval of more than 6 minutes, simultaneous liver and kidney transplant and retransplantation, and a ModRI of more than 2 defined recipients at risk for MT. The multivariable model, McRI, and ModRI demonstrated good discrimination (c statistic [95% CI], 0.77 [0.70-0.84]; 0.69 [0.62-0.76]; and 0.72 [0.65-0.79], respectively, after correction for optimism). For blood allocation of 6 or 15 units of red blood cells (RBCs) based on risk of MT, the ModRI would prevent unnecessary crossmatching of 300 units of RBCs/100 transplants.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk indices of MT in LT can be effective for risk stratification and reducing unnecessary blood bank resource utilization.

Liver transplant candidates have impaired quality of life across health domains as assessed by computerized testing

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Liver transplantation candidates are among the most comorbid patients awaiting lifesaving intervention. Health related quality of life (HRQOL) measured by instruments that incorporate dynamic computerized adaptive testing, could improve their assessment. We aimed to determine the feasibility of administration of the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS-CAT) in liver transplant candidates.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Liver transplantation candidates were prospectively enrolled following a review of their available medical history. Subjects were given a tablet computer (iPad) to access the pre-loaded PROMIS CAT.

RESULTS

109 candidates with mean age 55.6±8.6 years were enrolled in this pilot study. Mean MELD-Na score was 16.3±6.3; 92.6% had decompensated liver disease. Leading etiologies of cirrhosis included hepatitis C (34.8%), nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (25.7%) and alcohol (21.1%). Subjects with MELD-Na score>20 had the most significant impairment in HRQOL (anxiety/fear+5.9±2.7, p=0.0289, depression+5.1±2.5, p=0.0428, fatigue+4.3±2.6, p=0.0973) and physical impairment (-7.8±2.5, p=0.0022). Stage of cirrhosis and decompensated liver disease were predictive of impaired HRQOL but Child-Pugh Turcotte score was not. Hepatic encephalopathy was the strongest independent predictor of impaired HRQOL, with significant impairment across all domains of health.

CONCLUSIONS

Liver transplant candidates have significantly impaired HRQOL across multiple domains of health as measured by PROMIS-CAT. HRQOL impairment parallels disease severity. Future study is needed to determine how best HRQOL could be systematically included in liver transplantation listing policy, especially in those candidates with hepatic encephalopathy.

Thromboelastography Parameters Are Associated with Cirrhosis Severity

BACKGROUND

Coagulopathy in cirrhosis represents complex coagulation derangements, and thromboelastography (TEG) measures these complex derangements.

AIM

We sought to evaluate associations between TEG parameters and validated measures of cirrhosis severity, which have not been previously investigated.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Adults with cirrhosis undergoing liver transplant (LT) were identified. Patients had TEG drawn immediately prior to LT. TEG parameters included reaction time (R), kinetic time (K), alpha angle (α), and maximum amplitude (MA). The validated measures of cirrhosis severity were MELD-Na and clinical stage of cirrhosis (classified using history of varices, variceal bleeding, or ascites). Multivariable linear and logistic regression analyses were conducted to evaluate the associations between TEG and stage of cirrhosis and MELD-Na.

RESULTS

Among 164 patients with cirrhosis, advancing stage of cirrhosis was associated with more hypocoagulable TEG parameters including longer K-time (p = 0.05) and lower MA (p < 0.001). Similarly, with increasing MELD-Na quartiles, K-time was longer (p < 0.001), and both MA and α-angle decreased (p < 0.001, for both). Variceal bleeding within 6 weeks prior to LT was associated with longer R-times (p = 0.02), longer K-times (p = 0.04), smaller α-angle (p = 0.03), and lower MA (p = 0.01). On multivariable analyses, decreasing MA remained statistically significantly associated with advancing stage of cirrhosis and increasing MELD-Na, after adjusting for multiple covariates including platelet count, (p = 0.02 and p < 0.0001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Hypocoagulable TEG measurements are associated with advancing stage of cirrhosis and increasing MELD-Na among patients with cirrhosis. These data indicate that TEG, as an informative measure of complex hemostatic function, may be a useful objective marker of liver disease severity in cirrhosis.

Current Status of Living Donor Liver Transplantation in the United States

Adult-to-adult living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) was introduced in response to the shortage of deceased donor liver grafts. The number of adult living donor transplants is increasing due to improved outcomes and increasing need. Advantages of LDLT include optimization of the timing of transplant, better organ quality, and lower rates of recipient mortality compared to staying on the wait list for deceased donor liver transplant. Donor safety remains the major focus when considering LDLT. Recent advancements have supported the increased use of LDLT to help decrease wait list death and improve long-term survival of transplant recipients.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Associates Independently With Mortality in Hospitalized Patients With Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a biomarker of immune dysregulation in patients with cirrhosis and is inexpensive to measure. We investigated the association between NLR and mortality in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis at 4 liver transplant centers, controlling for severity of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study using data from the North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease on patients with index hospitalizations for cirrhosis from December 2011 through December 2016. We collected data on patient demographics, NLR, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores, serum levels of Na, cirrhosis stages, infections, hepatocellular carcinomas, and ACLF severity (based on number of organ failures). Competing risk regression analysis evaluated mortality within 1 year after hospital discharge, accounting for competing events (liver transplant).

RESULTS

At admission, the patients' mean age was 57 years, mean MELD score was 21, and mean serum level of Na was 134 mmol/L. Sixty-eight patients had no organ failure, 21 patients had 1 organ failures, 7 patients had 2 organ failures, 4 patients had 3 organ failures, and 1 patient had 4 organ failures; 36% of the patients had confirmed or suspected infections. In univariate models, risk of death associated with increasing NLR, up to a value of 8 (hazard ratio [HR]= 1.14; 95% CI, 1.07-1.20; P < .001), and NLR quartile (for NLR range of 3-5, HR = 2.17; for NLR range of >5-9, HR=2.46; for NLR quartile >9, HR=2.84 vs the lowest quartile [NLR<3]) (P ≤ .001). The NLR remained statistically significant in multivariable models, adjusting for age, MELD score, hepatocellular carcinoma, and ACLF severity. Additionally, NLR was a statistically significant independent predictor of length of index hospital stay and mortality within 90 days after discharge.

CONCLUSION

In a retrospective analysis of patients with cirrhosis, we found NLR to associate with death within 1 year after non-elective hospitalization. In these patients, the risk of death associated with acute immune dysregulation persists long after their initial hospitalization.

Quantitative Assessment of Liver Function by Using Gadoxetic Acid-enhanced MRI: Hepatocyte Uptake Ratio

Purpose To determine whether hepatocyte uptake ratios derived at gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI correlate with quantitative measures of liver function and can help to identify contraindication to major hepatectomy. Materials and Methods Between August 2016 and October 2016, 50 study participants with chronic liver disease or cirrhosis underwent liver MRI at 3.0 T including T1 mapping and elastography. Liver function was quantitatively assessed by using the indocyanine green retention test (ICG R₁₅). T1 maps were obtained by using the Look-Locker sequence before and 10 minutes after gadoxetic acid administration (0.025 mmol/kg). The relationship between ICG R₁₅ and the following MRI parameters was evaluated: pre- and postcontrast T1 values of the liver, hepatocyte uptake ratio representing the amount of contrast media solely taken into hepatocytes, liver volume, and degree of enhancement at the common bile duct. Diagnostic performance of the hepatocyte uptake ratio to identify patients with ICG R₁₅ greater than 20% (ie, contraindication to hepatectomy) was compared with other parameters by using areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results Hepatocyte uptake ratio showed a negative correlation with ICG R₁₅ r of -0.78 (P < .001). In participants with chronic liver disease or Child-Pugh class A, those with ICG R₁₅ of 20% or less showed higher hepatocyte uptake ratio than those with ICG R₁₅ greater than 20% (P < .001). Hepatocyte uptake ratios demonstrated better performance for helping to detect ICG R₁₅ greater than 20% than did liver volume (area under the curve, 0.96 vs 0.70; P = .01). Conclusion Hepatocyte uptake ratios are negatively correlated with liver function as measured by indocyanine green retention test and provide acceptable diagnostic performance for helping to identify participants who have contraindications to major hepatectomy. © RSNA, 2018 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Reeder in this issue.

Recipient characteristics and morbidity and mortality after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Over the last decade, liver transplantation of sicker, older non-hepatitis C cirrhotics with multiple co-morbidities has increased in the United States. We sought to identify an easily applicable set of recipient factors among HCV negative adult transplant recipients associated with significant morbidity and mortality within five years after liver transplantation.

METHODS

We collected national (n = 31,829, 2002-2015) and center-specific data. Coefficients of relevant recipient factors were converted to weighted points and scaled from 0-5. Recipient factors associated with graft failure included: ventilator support (five patients; hazard ratio [HR] 1.59; 95% CI 1.48-1.72); recipient age >60 years (three patients; HR 1.29; 95% CI 1.23-1.36); hemodialysis (three patients; HR 1.26; 95% CI 1.16-1.37); diabetes (two patients; HR 1.20; 95% CI 1.14-1.27); or serum creatinine ≥1.5 mg/dl without hemodialysis (two patients; HR 1.15; 95% CI 1.09-1.22).

RESULTS

Graft survival within five years based on points (any combination) was 77.2% (0-4), 69.1% (5-8) and 57.9% (>8). In recipients with >8 points, graft survival was 42% (model for end-stage liver disease [MELD] score <25) and 50% (MELD score 25-35) in recipients receiving grafts from donors with a donor risk index >1.7. In center-specific data within the first year, subjects with ≥5 points (vs. 0-4) had longer hospitalization (11 vs. 8 days, p <0.01), higher admissions for rehabilitation (12.3% vs. 2.7%, p <0.01), and higher incidence of cardiac disease (14.2% vs. 5.3%, p <0.01) and stage 3 chronic kidney disease (78.6% vs. 39.5%, p = 0.03) within five years.

CONCLUSION

The impact of co-morbidities in an MELD-based organ allocation system need to be reassessed. The proposed clinical tool may be helpful for center-specific assessment of risk of graft failure in non-HCV patients and for discussion regarding relevant morbidity in selected subsets.

LAY SUMMARY

Over the last decade, liver transplantation of sicker, older patient with multiple co-morbidities has increased. In this study, we show that a set of recipient factors (recipient age >60 years, ventilator status, diabetes, hemodialysis and creatinine >1.5 mg/dl) can help identify patients that may not do well after transplant. Transplanting sicker organs in patients with certain combinations of these characteristics leads to lower survival.

Hepatocellular carcinoma with child Pugh-A Cirrhosis treated with stereotactic body radiotherapy

AIM

To evaluate the control, survival, and hepatic function for Child Pugh (CP)-A patients after Stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

From 2009 to 2016, 40 patients with Barcelona Liver Clinic (BCLC) stages 0-B HCC and CP-A cirrhosis completed liver SBRT. The mean prescription dose was 45 Gy (40 to 50 Gy in 4-5 fractions). Local relapse, defined as recurrence within the planning target volume was assessed with intravenous multiphase contrast computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging every 4-6 mo after completion of SBRT. Progression of cirrhosis was evaluated by CP and Model for End Stage Liver Disease scores every 3-4 mo. Toxicities were graded per the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (v4.03). Median follow-up was 24 mo.

RESULTS

Forty-nine HCC lesions among 40 patients were analyzed in this IRB approved retrospective study. Median tumor diameter was 3.5 cm (1.5-8.9 cm). Six patients with tumors ≥ 5 cm completed planned selected transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in combination with SBRT. Eight patients underwent orthotropic live transplant (OLT) with SBRT as a bridging treatment (median time to transplant was 12 mo, range 5 to 23 mo). The Pathologic complete response (PCR) rate in this group was 62.5%. The 2-year in-field local control was 98% (1 failure). Intrahepatic control was 82% and 62% at 1 and 2 years, respectively. Overall survival (OS) was 92% and 60% at 1 and 2 years, with a median survival of 41 mo per Kaplan Meier analysis. At 1 and 2 years, 71% and 61% of patients retained CPA status. Of the patients with intrahepatic failures, 58% developed progressive cirrhosis, compared to 27% with controlled disease (P = 0.06). Survival specific to hepatic failure was 92%, 81%, and 69% at 12, 18, and 24 mo. There was no grade 3 or higher toxicity. On univariate analysis, gross tumor volume (GTV) < 23 cc was associated with freedom from CP progression (P = 0.05), hepatic failure-specific survival (P = 0.02), and trended with OS (P = 0.10).

CONCLUSION

SBRT is safe and effective in HCC with early cirrhosis and may extend waiting time for transplant in patients who may not otherwise be immediate candidates.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio correlates with proinflammatory neutrophils and predicts death in low model for end-stage liver disease patients with cirrhosis

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score has reduced accuracy for liver transplantation (LT) wait-list mortality when MELD ≤ 20. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a biomarker associated with systemic inflammation and may predict cirrhotic decompensation and death. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic utility of high NLR (≥4) for liver-related death among low MELD patients listed for LT, controlling for stage of cirrhosis. In a nested case-control study of cirrhotic adults awaiting LT (February 2002 to May 2011), cases were LT candidates with a liver-related death and MELD ≤ 20 within 90 days of death. Controls were similar LT candidates who were alive for ≥90 days after LT listing. NLR and other covariates were assessed at the date of lowest MELD, within 90 days of death for cases and within 90 days after listing for controls. There were 41 cases and 66 controls; MELD scores were similar. NLR 25th, 50th, 75th percentile cutoffs were 1.9, 3.1, and 6.8. NLR was ≥ 4 in 25/41 (61%) cases and in 17/66 (26%) controls. In univariate analysis, NLR (continuous ≥ 1.9, ≥ 4, ≥ 6.8), increasing cirrhosis stage, jaundice, encephalopathy, serum sodium, and albumin and nonselective beta-blocker use were significantly (P < 0.01) associated with liver-related death. In multivariate analysis, NLR of ≥1.9, ≥ 4, ≥ 6.8 were each associated with liver-related death. Furthermore, we found that NLR correlated with the frequency of circulating low-density granulocytes, previously identified as displaying proinflammatory properties, as well as monocytes. In conclusion, elevated NLR is associated with liver-related death, independent of MELD and cirrhosis stage. High NLR may aid in determining risk for cirrhotic decompensation, need for increased monitoring, and urgency for expedited LT in candidates with low MELD. Liver Transplantation 23 155-165 2017 AASLD.

Child-Turcotte-Pugh Class is Best at Stratifying Risk in Variceal Hemorrhage: Analysis of a US Multicenter Prospective Study

GOALS/BACKGROUND

Data on acute variceal hemorrhage (AVH) in the United States is limited and the best method to stratify risk is not clear. Taking advantage of a prospective US cohort study, we aimed to (1) describe clinical outcomes of AVH and their predictors; (2) compare predictors of 6-week mortality.

STUDY

Prospective 15-center US cohort of patients with cirrhosis presenting with endoscopically proven AVH, all of whom received antibiotics, vapreotide (a somatostain analog) infusion and endoscopic band ligation. Patients were enrolled between August 2006 and April 2008. Primary outcome was 6-week mortality. Secondary outcome was 5-day treatment failure. The prognostic value of Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) class, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and a recent recalibrated MELD were compared.

RESULTS

Seventy eligible patient were enrolled; 18 (26%) patients died within 6-weeks of index bleed. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were compared between survivors and nonsurvivors. Multivariate models showed that admission CTP or the MELD score (separately) were independent predictors of survival. The discriminative values of CTP (area under receiver operating characteristic: 0.75) and MELD (area under receiver operating characteristic: 0.79) were good and not significantly different (P=0.27). However, calibration (correlation between observed and predicted mortality) test was significantly better for CTP than for MELD, with the recently described recalibrated MELD model having the worst agreement. Predicted mortality for CTP-A was <10%, CTP-B 10% to 30%; and CTP-C >33%.

CONCLUSIONS

AVH mortality of 26% in the United States is in the upper range limit compared with recent series but may be due to inclusion of patients with more advanced cirrhosis. CTP score has the best overall performance in the prediction of 6-week mortality and is best at stratifying risk.

Effect of diet based on the principles of Iranian traditional medicine on cirrhosis (a clinical trial)

OBJECTIVES

Cirrhosis is associated with morbidity and mortality worldwide. Iranian traditional medicine (ITM) focused on nutritional intervention in order to improve liver function. The aim of this study was to assess the effectiveness of a diet designed based on ITM and current dietary recommendations.

DESIGN

This controlled trial study was performed on 57 subjects with cirrhosis in 5 tertiary hospitals in Teharn, Iran.

SETTING

Subjects were included if they were diagnosed with class A or B cirrhosis between October 2013 and December 2014.

INTERVENTIONS

Subjects were randomly allocated into intervention (28 subjects) who received dietary and lifestyle recommendations based on ITM and controls (29 subjects) who received routine dietary and lifestyle recommendations for 3 months. Subjects were assessed at baseline and at the end of the intervention for anthropometric measures, liver function tests and cirrhosis severity scoring.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), anthropometric measures, serum albumin, liver function tests, International Normalized Ratio and alkaline phosphatase as well as subjective findings.

RESULTS

Mean age of the subjects was 51.19±11.88years. Weight reduction was observed in 41 subjects (22 subjects in intervention and 19 in control group). Dietary intervention resulted in a significant decrease in alanine aminotransferase (AST) (p=0.04) and significant resolution of icterus in sclera (p=0.02) in weight loss group and increase serum albumin in weight gain group (p=0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

ITM recommendations could be beneficial for cirrhotic patients both for the purpose of weight reduction and weight gain.

Indications for liver transplantation in adults : Recommendations of the Austrian Society for Gastroenterology and Hepatology (ÖGGH) in cooperation with the Austrian Society for Transplantation, Transfusion and Genetics (ATX)

Liver transplantation has emerged as an established and well-accepted therapeutic option for patients with acute and chronic liver failure and hepatocellular carcinoma. The disproportion between recipients and donors is still an ongoing problem that has only been solved partially over the last centuries. For several patients no life-saving organs can be distributed. Therefore, objective and internationally established recommendations regarding indication and organ allocation are imperative. The aim of this article is to establish evidence-based recommendations regarding the evaluation and assessment of adult candidates for liver transplantation. This publication is the first Austrian consensus paper issued and approved by the Austrian Society of Gastroenterology and Hepatology in cooperation with the Austrian Society of Transplantation, Infusion and Genetics.

Plasma Amino Acid Concentrations Predict Mortality in Patients with End-Stage Liver Disease

BACKGROUND

The liver plays a key role in amino acid metabolism. In former studies, a ratio between branched-chain and aromatic amino acids (Fischer's ratio) revealed associations with hepatic encephalopathy. Furthermore, low concentrations of branched-chain amino acids were linked to sarcopenia in literature. Encephalopathy and sarcopenia are known to dramatically worsen the prognosis. Aim of this study was to investigate a complex panel of plasma amino acids in the context of mortality in patients with end-stage liver disease.

METHODS

166 patients evaluated for orthotopic liver transplantation were included. 19 amino acids were measured from citrated plasma samples using mass spectrometry. We performed survival analysis for plasma amino acid constellations and examined the relationship to established mortality predictors.

RESULTS

33/166 (19.9%) patients died during follow-up. Lower values of valine (p<0.001), Fischer's ratio (p<0.001) and valine to phenylalanine ratio (p<0.001) and higher values of phenylalanine (p<0.05) and tyrosine (p<0.05) were significantly associated with mortality. When divided in three groups, the tertiles discriminated cumulative survival for valine (p = 0.016), phenylalanine (p = 0.024) and in particular for valine to phenylalanine ratio (p = 0.003) and Fischer's ratio (p = 0.005). Parameters were also significantly correlated with MELD and MELD-Na score.

CONCLUSIONS

Amino acids in plasma are valuable biomarkers to determine increased risk of mortality in patients with end-stage liver disease. In particular, valine concentrations and constellations composed of branched-chain and aromatic amino acids were strongly associated with prognosis. Due to their pathophysiological importance, the identified amino acids could be used to examine individual dietary recommendations to serve as potential therapeutic targets.

Safety and Efficacy of Percutaneous Biliary Covered Stent Placement in Patients with Malignant Biliary Hilar Obstruction; Correlation with Liver Function

PURPOSE

To estimate the safety and efficacy of percutaneous ePTFE-covered biliary stent placement and the relationship between underlying liver function and stent patency in patients with malignant hilar obstruction.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From March 2012 to June 2015, 41 patients [22 females, 19 males; mean age 69.8 (range 34-94) years] with malignant biliary obstruction underwent percutaneous biliary stent placement (31 patients with unilateral, 10 patients with bilateral side-by-side). Cumulative patient survival and stent patency rate curves were derived using the Kaplan-Meier method. A Cox model was used to explore the relationship between liver function and patient survival, and also biliary stent patency. Pearson correlation coefficient was used to analyze the relationship between patient survival and stent patency.

RESULTS

Technical success rate was 100 % and clinical success rate was 95 %. During follow-up, four complications occurred (two bilomas and two cases of acute cholecystitis) and were treated successfully with percutaneous drainage. No other complication occurred. Mean serum bilirubin level was 11.34 ± 7.35 mg/dL before drainage and 5.00 ± 4.83 mg/dL 2 weeks after stent placement. The median patent survival duration was 147 days (95 % CI, 69.6-224.4 days). The median stent patency duration was 101 days (95 % CI, 70.0-132.0 days). The cumulative stent patency rates at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months were 97, 57.6, 30.3, and 17.0 %, respectively. Child-Pugh score was correlated significantly with patient survival (P = 0.011) and stent patency (P = 0.007). MELD score was correlated significantly with stent patency (P = 0.044). There was a correlation between patient survival and stent patency (r = 0.778, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Percutaneous placement of ePTFE-covered biliary stent was a safe and an effective method for malignant biliary obstruction. Underlying liver function seemed to be one of the important factors affecting patient survival and stent patency, and stent patency showed statistically significant correlation with patient survival.

Outcomes for liver transplant candidates listed with low model for end-stage liver disease score

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, which estimates mortality within 90 days, determines priority for liver transplantation (LT). However, longer-term outcomes on the wait list for patients who are initially listed with low MELD scores are not well characterized. All adults listed for primary LT at a single, high-volume center from 2005 to 2012 with an initial laboratory MELD score of 22 or lower were evaluated. Excluded were those patients listed with MELD exception points who underwent living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) or transplantation at another center, or who were removed from the wait list for nonmedical reasons. Outcomes and causes of death were identified by United Network for Organ Sharing, the National Death Index, and an electronic medical record review. Multivariate competing risk analysis evaluated predictors of death compared to deceased donor liver transplantation (DDLT); 893 patients were listed from 2005 to 2012. By the end of follow-up, 27% had undergone DDLT, and 31% were removed from the wait list for death or clinical deterioration. In a competing risks assessment, only MELD score of 6-9, older age, lower serum albumin, lower body mass index, and diabetes conferred an increased risk of wait-list dropout compared to DDLT. Listing for simultaneous liver-kidney transplantation was protective against wait-list dropout. Of the patients included, 275 patients died or were delisted for being too sick; 87% of the identifiable causes of death were directly related to end-stage liver disease or hepatocellular carcinoma. In conclusion, patients with low listing MELD scores remain at a significant risk for death due to liver-related causes and may benefit from early access to transplantation, such as LDLT or acceptance of high-risk donor livers. Predictors of death compared to transplantation may allow for early identification of patients who are at risk for wait-list mortality.

Defining long-term outcomes with living donor liver transplantation in North America

OBJECTIVES

To compare long-term survival of living donor liver transplant (LDLT) at experienced transplant centers with outcomes of deceased donor liver transplant and identify key variables impacting patient and graft survival.

BACKGROUND

The Adult-to-Adult Living Donor Liver Transplantation Cohort Study is a prospective multicenter National Institutes of Health study comparing outcomes of LDLT and deceased donor liver transplant and associated risks.

METHODS

Mortality and graft failure for 1427 liver recipients (963 LDLT) enrolled in the Adult-to-Adult Living Donor Liver Transplantation Cohort Study who received transplant between January 1, 1998, and January 31, 2014, at 12 North American centers with median follow-up 6.7 years were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox models.

RESULTS

Survival probability at 10 years was 70% for LDLT and 64% for deceased donor liver transplant. Unadjusted survival was higher with LDLT (hazard ratio = 0.76, P = 0.02) but attenuated after adjustment (hazard ratio = 0.98, P = 0.90) as LDLT recipients had lower mean model for end-stage liver disease (15.5 vs 20.4) and fewer received transplant from intensive care unit, were inpatient, on dialysis, were ventilated, or with ascites. Posttransplant intensive care unit days were less for LDLT recipients. For all recipients, female sex and primary sclerosing cholangitis were associated with improved survival, whereas dialysis and older recipient/donor age were associated with worse survival. Higher model for end-stage liver disease score was associated with increased graft failure. Era of transplantation and type of donated lobe did not impact survival in LDLT.

CONCLUSIONS

LDLT provides significant long-term transplant benefit, resulting in transplantation at a lower model for end-stage liver disease score, decreased death on waitlist, and excellent posttransplant outcomes. Recipient diagnosis, disease severity, renal failure, and ages of recipient and donor should be considered in decision making regarding timing of transplant and donor options.Clinical Trials ID: NCT00096733.

Update on the management of the liver transplant patient

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To review and highlight recent literature regarding the medical management of adult patients undergoing liver transplantation.

RECENT FINDINGS

The addition of serum sodium concentration to the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score more accurately predicts 90-day waitlist mortality. Predictors of waitlist mortality and posttransplant survival include lower albumin and the presence of ascites, varices, and encephalopathy, as well as more nontraditional predictors such as older age, obesity, frailty, and sarcopenia. Indications for liver transplantation are evolving with the advent of effective therapy for hepatitis C and the increased prevalence of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. Disparities persist in the current allocation system, including geographic variation and MELD inflation for hepatocellular carcinoma. Share 35 allows for broader regional sharing of organs for patients with the highest need, without detrimental effects on waitlist mortality or survival. Everolimus is a recently approved option for posttransplant immunosuppression that spares renal function.

SUMMARY

The MELD score has enabled the liver transplant community to equitably allocate organs. Recent literature has focused on the limitations of the MELD score and the disparities inherent in the current system. The next steps for liver transplantation will be to develop strategies to further optimize waitlist prioritization and organ allocation.