Trends in cystic fibrosis survival over 40 years in South Africa: An observational cohort study

Global disparities in cystic fibrosis outcomes prior to CFTR modulators: A CF registries cohort study in South Africa and Canada

BACKGROUND

Outcomes of cystic fibrosis (CF) differ between low-middle income and high-income countries, but comparative data are lacking. We compared South African (SA) and Canadian CF outcomes to explore what disparities existed prior to access of CFTR modulators in Canada.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study of SA and Canadian CF registries data for period 1 January to 31 December 2018. CF registry data were harmonised between countries to compare lung function and nutrition outcomes. Poor nutrition was defined as BMIz-score < -1 in children and < 18.5 kg/m2 in adults. Standardised mean difference (SMD) >10 was considered significant.

RESULTS

After excluding Canadians on CFTR modulators and lung transplant recipients, data on 4049 Canadian and 446 SA people was analysed. Compared to Canada, people in SA were younger (median age 15.8 years vs. 24.1 years: SMD 52) with fewer males (47.8% vs 54.2%; SMD 12.5) and White (70.9% vs. 93.3%; SMD 61.3). Class I-III CFTR mutation frequency was similar in SA (n = 384, 86.1%) and Canada (n = 3426, 84.9%). After adjusting for age, gender, diagnosis age, genotype, P.aeruginosa infection and pulmonary treatments, FEV1pp was 8.9% lower (95% CI 6.3% to 11.4%) and poor nutrition 1.7-fold more common (OR 1.70; 95% CI 1.19-2.41) in SA compared to Canada.

CONCLUSION

Lung function and nutrition was significantly lower in SA compared to Canada. Global disparities in CF outcomes between high and low-middle income countries are likely to widen as CFTR modulators are rapidly scaled up in only high-income countries.

Survival of people with cystic fibrosis in Australia

Survival statistics, estimated using data from national cystic fibrosis (CF) registries, inform the CF community and monitor disease progression. This study aimed to estimate survival among people with CF in Australia and to identify factors associated with survival. This population-based cohort study used prospectively collected data from 23 Australian CF centres participating in the Australian CF Data Registry (ACFDR) from 2005-2020. Period survival analysis was used to calculate median age of survival estimates for each 5-year window from 2005-2009 until 2016-2020. The overall median survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Between 2005-2020 the ACFDR followed 4,601 people with CF, noting 516 (11.2%) deaths including 195 following lung transplantation. Out of the total sample, more than half (52.5%) were male and 395 (8.6%) had undergone lung transplantation. Two thirds of people with CF (66.1%) were diagnosed before six weeks of age or by newborn/prenatal screening. The overall median age of survival was estimated as 54.0 years (95% CI: 51.0-57.04). Estimated median survival increased from 48.9 years (95% CI: 44.7-53.5) for people with CF born in 2005-2009, to 56.3 years (95% CI: 51.2-60.4) for those born in 2016-2020. Factors independently associated with reduced survival include receiving a lung transplant, having low FEV₁pp and BMI. Median survival estimates are increasing in CF in Australia. This likely reflects multiple factors, including newborn screening, improvement in diagnosis, refinements in CF management and centre-based multidisciplinary care.