A Retrospective Evaluation of Allometry, Population Pharmacokinetics, and Physiologically-Based Pharmacokinetics for Pediatric Dosing Using Clearance as a Surrogate

Dose Evaluation and Optimization of Amoxicillin in Children Treated for Lyme Disease

Amoxicillin is commonly used to treat erythema migrans in the first stage of Lyme disease in children, with a recommended dose of 50 mg/kg/day, administered three times a day (q8h). This model-based simulation study aimed to determine whether splitting the same daily dose into two administrations (q12h) would provide comparable drug exposure. A pharmacokinetic model suitable for a pediatric population (age: 1 month to 18 years, weight: 4-80 kg) was selected through a literature review. Simulations were performed with 15,000 virtual patients receiving 16.67 mg/kg/dose q8h, 25 mg/kg/dose q12h, or other q12h dosing variations. The target therapeutic level was defined by the percentage of time that the unbound drug concentration remained above the minimum inhibitory concentration (% fT > MIC) specific to Borrelia burgdorferi, with MICs of 0.06, 0.25, 1, 2, and 4 mg/L, requiring at least 40% and 50% of time for effective treatment. Probability of target attainment (PTA) was considered acceptable if it exceeded 50%, allowing for comparison of dosing schedules. Results indicated that the 50 mg/kg/day divided q12h regimen provided similar drug exposure to the q8h regimen for MICs below 2 mg/L (PTAs >50%). For a MIC of 2 mg/L, PTA was achieved with a higher dose of 30 mg/kg/dose q12h. However, for a MIC of 4 mg/L, the PTA criterion was not met. These findings suggest that a twice-daily dosing of 25 mg/kg/dose provides comparable bactericidal activity to the thrice-daily regimen for MICs between 0.06 and 1 mg/L. This simplified regimen may improve adherence and treatment implementation in children.

Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic models versus allometric scaling for prediction of tyrosine-kinase inhibitor exposure from adults to children

PURPOSE

Model-based methods can predict pediatric exposure and support initial dose selection. The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of allometric scaling of population pharmacokinetic (popPK) versus physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models in predicting the exposure of tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) for pediatric patients (≥ 2 years), based on adult data. The drugs imatinib, sunitinib and pazopanib were selected as case studies due to their complex PK profiles including high inter-patient variability, active metabolites, time-varying clearances and non-linear absorption.

METHODS

Pediatric concentration measurements and adult popPK models were derived from the literature. Adult PBPK models were generated in PK-Sim® using available physicochemical properties, calibrated to adult data when needed. PBPK and popPK models for the pediatric populations were translated from the models for adults and were used to simulate concentration-time profiles that were compared to the observed values.

RESULTS

Ten pediatric datasets were collected from the literature. While both types of models captured the concentration-time profiles of imatinib, its active metabolite, sunitinib and pazopanib, the PBPK models underestimated sunitinib metabolite concentrations. In contrast, allometrically scaled popPK simulations accurately predicted all concentration-time profiles. Trough concentration (Ctrough) predictions from the popPK model fell within a 2-fold range for all compounds, while 3 out of 5 PBPK predictions exceeded this range for the imatinib and sunitinib metabolite concentrations.

CONCLUSION

Based on the identified case studies it appears that allometric scaling of popPK models is better suited to predict exposure of TKIs in pediatric patients ≥ 2 years. This advantage may be attributed to the stable enzyme expression patterns from 2 years old onwards, which can be easily related to adult levels through allometric scaling. In some instances, both methods performed comparably. Understanding where discrepancies between the model methods arise, can further inform model development and ultimately support pediatric dose selection.

A population pharmacokinetic model using allometric scaling for baricitinib in patients with juvenile idiopathic arthritis

Baricitinib is approved for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in more than 70 countries, and juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) in the European Union. Population pharmacokinetic (PK) models were developed in a phase 3 trial to characterize PK in pediatric patients with JIA and identify weight-based dosing regimens. The phase 3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled withdrawal, efficacy and safety trial, JUVE-BASIS, enrolled patients (aged 2 to <18 years) with polyarticular course JIA. During a safety/PK period, baricitinib concentration data from age-based dose cohorts were compared to concentrations from adult patients receiving 4-mg QD. PK data were used to develop a population PK model with allometric scaling to determine a weight-based posology in pediatric patients with JIA that matched the adult 4-mg exposure. Baricitinib plasma concentrations from 217 pediatric patients were used to characterize PK. Based on the adult model, pediatric PK was best described using a 2-compartment model with allometric scaling on clearance and volume of distribution and renal function (estimated with glomerular filtration rate [GFR], a known covariate affecting PK of baricitinib) on clearance. The PK modeling suggested the optimal dosing regimen based on weight for pediatric patients as: 2-mg QD for patients 10 to <30 kg and 4-mg QD for patients ≥30 kg. The use of a population PK model of baricitinib treatment in adult patients with RA, with the addition of allometric scaling for weight on clearance and volume terms, was useful to predict exposures and identify weight-based dosing in pediatric patients with JIA.

How to select the initial dose for a pediatric study?

In typical clinical development programs, a new drug is first developed for the adult use. Drugs are often approved for adult use or in the process of obtaining approval in adults in the target indication before pediatric development is initiated. In designing the first pediatric clinical trial, one of the challenges is to select the initial dose to be tested. The ICH E11 R1 guidance advises that chronologic age alone may not always be the most appropriate categorical determinant to define developmental subgroups in pediatric studies. In this manuscript, the approaches to utilize available data in adults related to those factors beyond age to inform the starting dose selection in pediatric drug development are discussed. Practical considerations and approaches are provided for informing pediatric starting dose. Additional considerations to use pre-clinical information are provided in the case when adult information is limited or not available.

Application of Modelling and Simulation Approaches to Predict Pharmacokinetics of Therapeutic Monoclonal Antibodies in Pediatric Population

Ethical regulations and limited paediatric participants are key challenges that contribute to a median delay of 6 years in paediatric mAb approval. To overcome these barriers, modelling and simulation methodologies have been adopted to design optimized paediatric clinical studies and reduce patient burden. The classical modelling approach in paediatric pharmacokinetic studies for regulatory submissions is to apply body weight-based or body surface area-based allometric scaling to adult PK parameters derived from a popPK model to inform the paediatric dosing regimen. However, this approach is limited in its ability to account for the rapidly changing physiology in paediatrics, especially in younger infants. To overcome this limitation, PBPK modelling, which accounts for the ontogeny of key physiological processes in paediatrics, is emerging as an alternative modelling strategy. While only a few mAb PBPK models have been published, PBPK modelling shows great promise demonstrating a similar prediction accuracy to popPK modelling in an Infliximab paediatric case study. To facilitate future PBPK studies, this review consolidated comprehensive data on the ontogeny of key physiological processes in paediatric mAb disposition. To conclude, this review discussed different use-cases for pop-PK and PBPK modelling and how they can complement each other to increase confidence in pharmacokinetic predictions.

Early Infliximab Clearance Predicts Remission in Children with Crohn's Disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Children with Crohn's disease have lower response rates to infliximab, lower infliximab levels, and higher infliximab clearance on weight-based dosing than adults. We hypothesize infliximab clearance is a predictive of later outcomes on infliximab in children with Crohn's disease.

METHODS

In this single-center retrospective study, data were collected from charts on diagnosis, anthropometry, routine labs, infliximab therapeutic drug monitoring, infliximab dosing, disease activity, and other treatments. With these data we generated a population pharmacokinetic model using non-linear mixed effects modeling and calculated infliximab clearance for each patient over time. Patients were classified as in remission, responder-only or non-responder at 5, 10 and 16 months. Regression and ROC analyses were used to assess for early predictors of remission and response to infliximab.

RESULTS

Eighty-five subjects were included, with a median follow-up of 22.3 months (IQR 10.1-36.8). Our pharmacokinetic model showed infliximab clearance was positively associated with CRP and weight, while negatively associated with albumin. In regression analyses, early infliximab clearance was the only significant, consistent predictor of remission. A 0.1 L/day increase in infliximab clearance predicted remission with an OR between 0.179 and 0.426. Differences in dosing did not account for differences in outcome. Infliximab clearance alone had moderate predictive accuracy of remission, with an AUC between 0.682 and 0.738.

CONCLUSIONS

Early infliximab clearance is strongly associated with remission in children with Crohn's disease. It may be useful as a marker of response in proactive therapeutic drug monitoring to guide early dose optimization and/or changes in treatment for betterment of long-term outcomes.

General clinical and methodological considerations on the extrapolation of pharmacokinetics and optimization of study protocols for small molecules and monoclonal antibodies in children

Pharmacometric modelling plays a key role in both the design and analysis of regulatory trials in paediatric drug development. Studies in adults provide a rich source of data to inform the paediatric investigation plans, including knowledge on drug pharmacokinetics (PK), safety and efficacy. In children, drug disposition differs widely from birth to adolescence but extrapolating adult to paediatric PK, safety and efficacy either with pharmacometric or physiologically based approaches can help design or in some cases reduce the need for clinical studies. Aspects to consider when extrapolating PK include the maturation of drug metabolizing enzyme expression, glomerular filtration, drug excretory systems, and the expression and activity of specific transporters in conjunction with other drug properties such as fraction unbound. Knowledge of these can be used to develop extrapolation tools such as allometric scaling plus maturation functions or physiologically based PK. PK/pharmacodynamic approaches and well-designed clinical trials in children are of key importance in paediatric drug development. In this white paper, state-of-the-art of current methods used for paediatric extrapolation will be discussed. This paper is part of a conect4children implementation of innovative methodologies including pharmacometric and physiologically based PK modelling in clinical trial design/paediatric drug development through dissemination of expertise and expert advice. The suggestions arising from this white paper should define a minimum set of standards in paediatric modelling and contribute to the regulatory science.

Predictiveness of the Human-CYP3A4-Transgenic Mouse Model (Cyp3aXAV) for Human Drug Exposure of CYP3A4-Metabolized Drugs

The extrapolation of drug exposure between species remains a challenging step in drug development, contributing to the low success rate of drug approval. As a consequence, extrapolation of toxicology from animal models to humans to evaluate safe, first-in-human (FIH) doses requires high safety margins. We hypothesized that a human-CYP3A4-expressing transgenic (Cyp3aXAV) mouse is a more predictive model for human drug exposure of CYP3A4-metabolized small-molecule drugs. Population pharmacokinetic models based on wild-type (WT) and Cyp3aXAV mouse pharmacokinetic data of oral lorlatinib, brigatinib, ribociclib and fisogatinib were allometrically scaled and compared to human exposure. Extrapolation of the Cyp3aXAV mouse model closely predicted the observed human exposure for lorlatinib and brigatinib with a 1.1-fold and 1.0-fold difference, respectively, compared to a 2.1-fold and 1.9-fold deviation for WT-based extrapolations of lorlatinib and brigatinib, respectively. For ribociclib, the extrapolated WT mouse model gave better predictions with a 1.0-fold deviation compared to a 0.3-fold deviation for the extrapolated Cyp3aXAV mouse model. Due to the lack of a human population pharmacokinetic model for fisogatinib, only median maximum concentration ratios were calculated, resulting in ratios of 1.0 and 0.6 for WT and Cyp3aXAV mice extrapolations, respectively. The more accurate predictions of human exposure in preclinical research based on the Cyp3aXAV mouse model can ultimately result in FIH doses associated with improved safety and efficacy and in higher success rates in drug development.

A General Biphasic Bodyweight Model for Scaling Basal Metabolic Rate, Glomerular Filtration Rate, and Drug Clearance from Birth to Adulthood

The objective of this study is to propose a unified, continuous, and bodyweight-only equation to quantify the changes of human basal metabolic rate (BMR), glomerular filtration rate (GFR), and drug clearance (CL) from infancy to adulthood. The BMR datasets were retrieved from a comprehensive historical database of male and female subjects (0.02 to 64 years). The CL datasets for 17 drugs and the GFR dataset were generated from published maturation and growth models with reported parameter values. A statistical approach was used to simulate the model-generated CL and GFR data for a hypothetical population with 26 age groups (from 0 to 20 years). A biphasic equation with two power-law functions of bodyweight was proposed and evaluated as a general model using nonlinear regression and dimensionless analysis. All datasets universally reveal biphasic curves with two distinct linear segments on log-log plots. The biphasic equation consists of two reciprocal allometric terms that asymptotically determine the overall curvature. The fitting results show a superlinear scaling phase (asymptotic exponent >1; ca. 1.5-3.5) and a sublinear scaling phase (asymptotic exponent <1; ca. 0.5-0.7), which are separated at the phase transition bodyweight ranging from 5 to 20 kg with a mean value of 10 kg (corresponding to 1 year of age). The dimensionless analysis generalizes and offers quantitative realization of the maturation and growth process. In conclusion, the proposed mixed-allometry equation is a generic model that quantitatively describes the phase transition in the human maturation process of diverse human functions.

Neural-ODE for pharmacokinetics modeling and its advantage to alternative machine learning models in predicting new dosing regimens

Forecasting pharmacokinetics (PK) for individual patients is a fundamental problem in clinical pharmacology. One key challenge is that PK models constructed using data from one dosing regimen must predict PK data for different dosing regimen(s). We propose a deep learning approach based on neural ordinary differential equations (neural-ODE) and tested its generalizability against a variety of alternative models. Specifically, we used the PK data from two different treatment regimens of trastuzumab emtansine. The models performed similarly when the training and the test sets come from the same dosing regimen. However, for predicting a new treatment regimen, the neural-ODE model showed substantially better performance. To date, neural-ODE is the most accurate PK model in predicting untested treatment regimens. This study represents the first time neural-ODE has been applied to PK modeling and the results suggest it is a widely applicable algorithm with the potential to impact future studies.

Comparison between physiologically based pharmacokinetic and population pharmacokinetic modelling to select paediatric doses of gepotidacin in plague

Aims

To develop physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) and population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) models to predict effective doses of gepotidacin in paediatrics for the treatment of pneumonic plague (Yersinia pestis).

Methods

A gepotidacin PBPK model was constructed using a population‐based absorption, distribution, metabolism and excretion simulator, Simcyp®, with physicochemical and in vitro data, optimized with clinical data from a dose‐escalation intravenous (IV) study and a human mass balance study. A PopPK model was developed with pooled PK data from phase 1 studies with IV gepotidacin in healthy adults.

Results

For both the PopPK and PBPK models, body weight was found to be a key covariate affecting gepotidacin clearance. With PBPK, ~90% of the predicted PK for paediatrics fell between the 5th and 95th percentiles of adult values except for subjects weighing ≤5 kg. PopPK‐simulated paediatric means for C_max and AUC_(0‐τ) were similar to adult exposures across various weight brackets. The proposed dosing regimens were weight‐based for subjects ≤40 kg and fixed‐dose for subjects >40 kg. Comparison of observed and predicted exposures in adults indicated that both PBPK and PopPK models achieved similar AUC and C_max for a given dose, but the C_max predictions with PopPK were slightly higher than with PBPK. The two models differed on dose predictions in children <3 months old. The PopPK model may be suboptimal for low age groups due to the absence of maturation characterization of drug‐metabolizing enzymes involved with clearance in adults.

Conclusions

Both PBPK and PopPK approaches can reasonably predict gepotidacin exposures in children.

Spreadsheet-Based Minimal Physiological Models for the Prediction of Clearance of Therapeutic Proteins in Pediatric Patients

There is a growing interest in the use of physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models as clinical pharmacology drug development tools. In PBPK modeling, not every organ or physiological parameter is required, leading to the development of a minimal PBPK (mPBPK) model, which is simple and efficient. The objective of this study was to streamline mPBPK modeling approaches and enable straightforward prediction of clearance of protein-based products in children. Four mPBPK models for scaling clearance from adult to children were developed and evaluated on Excel spreadsheets using (1) liver and kidneys; (2) liver, kidneys, and skin; (3) liver, kidneys, skin, and lymph; and (4) interstitial, lymph, and plasma volume. There were 35 therapeutic proteins with a total of 113 observations across different age groups (premature neonates to adolescents). For monoclonal and polyclonal antibodies, more than 90% of observations were within a 0.5- to 2-fold prediction error for all 4 methods. For nonantibodies, 79% to 100% of observations were within the 0.5- to 2-fold prediction error for the 4 different methods. Methods 1 and 4 provided the best results, >90% of the total observations were within the 0.5- to 2-fold prediction error for all 3 classes of protein-based products across a wide age range. The precision of clearance prediction was comparatively lower in children ≤2 years of age vs older children (>2 years of age) with methods 1 and 4 predicting 80% to 100% and 75% to 90% of observations within the 0.5- to 2-fold prediction error, respectively. The results of the study indicated that mPBPK models can be developed on spreadsheets, with acceptable performance for prediction of clearance.

Model-Informed Pediatric Drug Development: Application of Pharmacometrics to Define the Right Dose for Children

One of the biggest challenges in pediatric drug development is defining a safe and effective dose in pediatric populations, which span across a wide age and development range from neonates to adolescents. Model-informed drug development approaches are particularly suited to address knowledge gaps including data leveraging to increase the success of pediatric studies. Considering the often limited number of patients available for study and logistic difficulties to collect the necessary data in pediatric populations, the application of pharmacometrics and modeling and simulation techniques can improve clinical trial efficiency, increase the probability of regulatory success, and optimize therapeutic individualization in support of dedicated trials. This review describes the state of pediatric model-informed drug development to define the right dose for children and provides suggestions for future development.

Model-Informed Drug Development in Pediatric Dose Selection

Model-informed drug development (MIDD) has been a powerful and efficient tool applied widely in pediatric drug development due to its ability to integrate and leverage existing knowledge from different sources to narrow knowledge gaps. The dose selection is the most common MIDD application in regulatory submission related to pediatric drug development. This article aims to give an overview of the 3 broad categories of use of MIDD in pediatric dose selection: leveraging from adults to pediatric patients, leveraging from animals to pediatric patients, and integrating mechanism in infants and neonates. Population pharmacokinetic analyses with allometric scaling can reasonably predict the clearance in pediatric patients aged >5 years. A mechanistic-based approach, such as physiologically based pharmacokinetic accounting for ontogeny, or an allometric model with age-dependent exponent, can be applied to select the dose in pediatric patients aged ≤2 years. The exposure-response relationship from adults or from other drugs in the same class may be useful in aiding the pediatric dose selection and benefit-risk assessment. Increasing application and understanding of use of MIDD have contributed greatly to several policy developments in the pediatric field. With the increasing efforts of MIDD under the Prescription Drug User Fee Act VI, bigger impacts of MIDD approaches in pediatric dose selection can be expected. Due to the complexity of model-based analyses, early engagement between drug developers and regulatory agencies to discuss MIDD issues is highly encouraged, as it is expected to increase the efficiency and reduce the uncertainty.

Pediatric Dose Selection for Therapeutic Proteins

In selecting optimal dosing regimens in support of the clinical use of monoclonal antibodies and other therapeutic proteins in pediatric indications, the unique pharmacokinetic properties of this class of biologics, as well as the underlying physiologic and pathophysiologic processes and their modulation by childhood growth and development, needs to be appreciated. During drug development, first-in-pediatric dose selection is a capstone event in the pediatric investigation plan that relies heavily on extrapolation of pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic data from adult to pediatric populations. It is facilitated by combinations of pharmacometric approaches, including allometry, physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling, and population pharmacokinetic analyses, although data on reliability and qualification of some of these tools in the context of therapeutic proteins are still limited but emerging. Presented data suggest nonlinear relationships between body weight and both clearance and volume of distribution for therapeutic proteins in pediatric populations, with allometric exponents of 0.75 and 0.8, respectively. For newborns and infants (<1 year), even higher nonlinearity seems to occur. Translation of the quantitative characterization of the pediatric pharmacokinetics of therapeutic proteins into dosing regimens for the drug label requires compromising between precision dosing and clinical practicability, with tiered dosing algorithms based on size or age strata being the currently most frequently applied methodology.

Development of a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) population model for Chinese elderly subjects

Aims

This study aims to develop and verify a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) population model for the Chinese geriatric population in Simcyp.

Methods

Firstly, physiological information for the Chinese geriatric population was collected and later employed to develop the Chinese geriatric population model by recalibration of corresponding physiological parameters in the Chinese adult population model available in Simcyp (i.e., Chinese healthy volunteer model). Secondly, drug‐dependent parameters were collected for six drugs with different elimination pathways (i.e., metabolized by CYP1A2, CYP3A4 or renal excretion). The drug models were then developed and verified by clinical data from Chinese adults, Caucasian adults and Caucasian elderly subjects to ensure that drug‐dependent parameters are correctly inputted. Finally, the tested drug models in combination with the newly developed Chinese geriatric population model were applied to simulate drug concentration in Chinese elderly subjects. The predicted results were then compared with the observations to evaluate model prediction performance.

Results

Ninety‐eight per cent of predicted AUC, 95% of predicted C_max, and 100% of predicted CL values were within two‐fold of the observed values, indicating all drug models were properly developed. The drug models, combined with the newly developed population model, were then used to predict pharmacokinetics in Chinese elderly subjects aged 60–93. The predicted AUC, C_max, and CL values were all within two‐fold of the observed values.

Conclusion

The population model for the Chinese elderly subjects appears to adequately predict the concentration of the drug that was metabolized by CYP1A2, CYP3A4 or eliminated by renal clearance.

Development of a Virtual Chinese Pediatric Population Physiological Model Targeting Specific Metabolism and Kidney Elimination Pathways

Background: Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling and simulating may be a powerful tool in predicting drug behaviors in specific populations. It is a mathematical model that relates the pharmacokinetic (PK) profile of a compound with human anatomical characteristics, physiological characteristics, and biochemical parameters. Predictions using PBPK models offer a promising way to guide drug development and can be used to optimize clinical dosing regimens. However, PK data of new drugs in the pediatric population are too limited to guide clinical therapy, which may lead to frequent adverse events or insufficient efficacy for pediatric patients, particularly in neonates and infants.

Objective: The objective of this study was to establish a virtual Chinese pediatric population based on the physiological parameters of Chinese children that could be utilized in PBPK models.

Methods: A Chinese pediatric PBPK model was developed in Simcyp Simulator by collecting published Chinese pediatric physiological and anthropometric data to use as system parameters. This pediatric population model was then evaluated in the Chinese pediatric population by predicting the pharmacokinetic characteristics of four probe drugs: theophylline (major CYP1A2 substrate), fentanyl (major CYP3A4 substrate), vancomycin, and ceftazidime (renal-eliminated).

Results: The predicted maximum concentration (C_max), area under the curve of concentration-time (AUC), and clearance (CL) for theophylline (CYP1A2 metabolism pathway) and fentanyl (CYP3A4 metabolism pathway) were within two folds of the observed data. For drugs mainly eliminated by renal clearance (vancomycin and ceftazidime) in the Chinese pediatric population, the ratio of prediction to observation for major PK parameters was within a 2-fold error range.

Conclusion: The model is a supplement to the previous Chinese population PBPK model. We anticipate the model to be a better representative of the pediatric Chinese population for drugs PK, offering greater clinical precision for medication given to the pediatric population, ultimately advancing clinical development of pediatric drugs. We can refine this model further by collecting more physiological parameters of Chinese children.

Allometric scaling of therapeutic monoclonal antibodies in preclinical and clinical settings

Constant technological advancement enabled the production of therapeutic monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) and will continue to contribute to their rapid expansion. Compared to small-molecule drugs, mAbs have favorable characteristics, but also more complex pharmacokinetics (PK), e.g., target-mediated nonlinear elimination and recycling by neonatal Fc-receptor. This review briefly discusses mAb biology, similarities and differences in PK processes across species and within human, and provides a detailed overview of allometric scaling approaches for translating mAb PK from preclinical species to human and extrapolating from adults to children. The approaches described here will remain vital in mAb drug development, although more data are needed, for example, from very young patients and mAbs with nonlinear PK, to allow for more confident conclusions and contribute to further growth of this field. Improving mAb PK predictions will facilitate better planning of (pediatric) clinical studies and enable progression toward the ultimate goal of expediting drug development.

Prediction of Clearance in Children from Adults Following Drug-Drug Interaction Studies: Application of Age-Dependent Exponent Model

Background and Objective

Pharmacokinetic drug–drug interaction (DDI) studies are conducted in adult subjects during drug development but there are limited studies that have characterized pharmacokinetic DDI studies in children. The objective of this study was to evaluate if the DDI clearance values from adults can be allometrically extrapolated from adults to children.

Methods

Fifteen drugs were included in this study and the age of the children ranged from premature neonates to adolescents (30 observations across the age groups). The age-dependent exponent (ADE) model was used to predict the clearance of drugs in children from adults following DDI studies.

Results

The prediction error of drug clearances following DDIs in children ranged from 4 to 67%. Of 30 observations, 17 (57%) and 27 (90%) observations had a prediction error ≤ 30% and ≤ 50%, respectively.

Conclusion

This study indicates that it is possible to predict the clearance of drugs with reasonable accuracy in children from adults following DDI studies using an ADE model. The method is simple, robust, and reliable and can replace other complex empirical models.

Extrapolation of Drug Clearance in Children ≤ 2 Years of Age from Empirical Models Using Data from Children (> 2 Years) and Adults

BACKGROUND

The application of modeling and simulation approaches in clinical pharmacology studies has gained momentum over the last 20 years.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to develop six empirical models from clearance data obtained from children aged > 2 years and adults to evaluate the suitability of the models to predict drug clearance in children aged ≤ 2 years (preterm, term, and infants).

METHODS

Ten drugs were included in this study and administered intravenously: alfentanil, amikacin, busulfan, cefetamet, meperidine, oxycodone, propofol, sufentanil, theophylline, and tobramycin. These drugs were selected according to the availability of individual subjects' weight, age, and clearance data (concentration-time data for these drugs were not available to the author). The chosen drugs are eliminated by extensive metabolism by either the renal route or both the renal and hepatic routes. The six empirical models were (1) age and body weight-dependent sigmoidal maximum possible effect (E_max) maturation model, (2) body weight-dependent sigmoidal E_max model, (3) uridine 5'-diphospho [body weight-dependent allometric exponent model (BDE)], (4) age-dependent allometric exponent model (ADE), (5) a semi-physiological model, and (6) an allometric model developed from children aged > 2 years to adults. The model-predicted clearance values were compared with observed clearance values in an individual child. In this analysis, a prediction error of ≤ 50% for mean or individual clearance values was considered acceptable.

RESULTS

Across all age groups and the ten drugs, data for 282 children were compared between observed and model-predicted clearance values. The validation data consisted of 33 observations (sum of different age groups for ten drugs). Only three of the six models (body weight-dependent sigmoidal E_max model, ADE, and semi-physiological model) provided reasonably accurate predictions of clearance (> 80% observation with ≤ 50% prediction error) in children aged ≤ 2 years. In most instances, individual predicted clearance values were erratic (as indicated by % error) and were not in agreement with the observed clearance values.

CONCLUSIONS

The study indicated that simple empirical models can provide more accurate results than complex empirical models.

Development of an adverse drug event network to predict drug toxicity

Despite of their therapeutic effects, drug's exposure may have negative effects on human health such as adverse drug reaction (ADR) and side effects (SE). Adverse drug events (ADEs), that correspond to an event occurring during the drug treatment (i.e. ADR and SE), is not necessarily caused by the drug itself, as this is the case with medical errors and social factors. Due to the complexity of the biological systems, not all ADEs are known for marketed drugs. Therefore, new and effective methods are needed to determine potential risks, including the development of computational strategies. We present an ADE association network based on 90,827 drug-ADE associations between 930 unique drug and 6221 unique ADE, on which we implemented a scoring system based on a pull-down approach for prediction of drug-ADE combination. Based on our network, ADEs proposed for three drugs, safinamide, sonidegib, rufinamide are further discussed. The model was able to identify, already known drug-ADE associations that are supported by the literature and FDA reports, and also to predict uncharacterized associations such as dopamine dysregulation syndrome, or nicotinic acid deficiency for the drugs safinamide and sonidegib respectively, illustrating the power of such integrative toxicological approach.

First dose in neonates: pharmacokinetic bridging study from juvenile mice to neonates for drugs metabolized by CYP3A

First dose prediction is challenging in neonates. Our objective in this proof-of-concept study was to perform a pharmacokinetic (PK) bridging study from juvenile mice to neonates for drugs metabolized by CYP3A. We selected midazolam and clindamycin as model drugs. We developed juvenile mice population PK models using NONMEM. The PK parameters of these two drugs in juvenile mice were used to bridge PK parameters in neonates using different correction methods. The bridging results were evaluated by the fold-error of 0.5- to 1.5-fold. Simple allometry with and without a correction factor for maximum lifespan potential could be used for a bridging of clearance (CL) and volume of distribution (V_d), respectively, from juvenile mice to neonates. Simulation results demonstrated that for midazolam, 100% of clinical studies for which both the predictive CL and V_d were within 0.5- to 1.5-fold of the observed. For clindamycin, 75% and 100% of clinical studies for which the predictive CL and V_d were within 0.5- to 1.5-fold of the observed. A PK bridging of drugs metabolized by CYP3A is feasible from juvenile mice to neonates. It could be a complement to the ADE and PBPK models to support the first dose in neonates.

Physiologically-Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling vs. Allometric Scaling for the Prediction of Infliximab Pharmacokinetics in Pediatric Patients

The comparative performances of physiologically‐based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling and allometric scaling for predicting the pharmacokinetics (PKs) of large molecules in pediatrics are unknown. Therefore, both methods were evaluated for accuracy in translating knowledge of infliximab PKs from adults to children. PBPK modeling was performed using the base model for large molecules in PK‐Sim version 7.4 with modifications in Mobi. Eight population PK models from literature were reconstructed and scaled by allometry to pediatrics. Evaluation data included seven pediatric studies (~4–18 years). Both methods performed comparably with 66.7% and 68.6% of model‐predicted concentrations falling within twofold of the observed concentrations for PBPK modeling and allometry, respectively. Considerable variability was noted among the allometric models. Therefore, pediatric clinical trial planning would benefit from using approaches that require predictions depending on the specific question i.e., PBPK modeling and allometry.