Longitudinal growth assessment for prediction of adverse perinatal outcome in fetuses suspected to be small-for-gestational age

Assessment of fetal growth trajectory identifies infants at high risk of perinatal mortality

OBJECTIVE

To analyze perinatal risks associated with three distinct scenarios of fetal growth trajectory in the latter half of pregnancy compared with a reference group.

METHODS

This cohort study included women with a singleton pregnancy that delivered between 32 + 0 and 41 + 6 weeks' gestation and had two or more ultrasound scans, at least 4 weeks apart, from 18 + 0 weeks. We evaluated three different scenarios of fetal growth against a reference group, which comprised appropriate-for-gestational-age fetuses with appropriate forward-growth trajectory. The comparator growth trajectories were categorized as: Group 1, small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses (estimated fetal weight (EFW) or abdominal circumference (AC) persistently < 10th centile) with appropriate forward growth; Group 2, fetuses with decreased growth trajectory (decrease of ≥ 50 centiles) and EFW or AC ≥ 10th centile (i.e. non-SGA) at their final ultrasound scan; and Group 3, fetuses with decreased growth trajectory and EFW or AC < 10th centile (i.e. SGA) at their final scan. The primary outcome was overall perinatal mortality (stillbirth or neonatal death). Secondary outcomes included stillbirth, delivery of a SGA infant, preterm birth, emergency Cesarean section for non-reassuring fetal status and composite severe neonatal morbidity. Associations were analyzed using logistic regression.

RESULTS

The final study cohort comprised 5319 pregnancies. Compared to the reference group, the adjusted odds of perinatal mortality were increased significantly in Group 2 (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 4.00 (95% CI, 1.36-11.22)) and Group 3 (aOR, 7.71 (95% CI, 2.39-24.91)). Only Group 3 had increased odds of stillbirth (aOR, 5.69 (95% CI, 1.55-20.93)). In contrast, infants in Group 1 did not have significantly increased odds of demise. The odds of a SGA infant at birth were increased in all three groups compared with the reference group, but was highest in Group 1 (aOR, 111.86 (95% CI, 62.58-199.95)) and Group 3 (aOR, 40.63 (95% CI, 29.01-56.92)). In both groups, more than 80% of infants were born SGA and nearly half had a birth weight < 3rd centile. Likewise, the odds of preterm birth were increased in all three groups compared with the reference group, being highest in Group 3, with an aOR of 4.27 (95% CI, 3.23-5.64). Lastly, the odds of composite severe neonatal morbidity were increased in Groups 1 and 3, whereas the odds of emergency Cesarean section for non-reassuring fetal status were increased only in Group 3.

CONCLUSION

Assessing the fetal growth trajectory in the latter half of pregnancy can help identify infants at increased risk of perinatal mortality and birth weight < 3rd centile for gestation. © 2024 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Routine third trimester ultrasonography in predicting adverse perinatal outcomes: a prospective cohort study at a tertiary-care hospital in Eastern India

AIMS

Fetal growth restriction (FGR) may go undetected in the antenatal period with subjective clinical evaluation, and there is a growing propensity to perform a third-trimester scan, especially in the developed countries. The literature on the importance of the same in developing countries like ours, is scant. Hence, this study was undertaken to evaluate the role of routine third-trimester ultrasonography along with Doppler in predicting adverse perinatal outcome.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study was conducted at a tertiary-care hospital, in which routine third-trimester ultrasonography was performed for 265 antenatal women, and included estimation of amniotic fluid index (AFI), estimated fetal-weight (EFW), and cerebroplacental ratio (CPR). Women were categorized as having normal parameters or having at least one abnormal parameter. Post-natal adverse perinatal outcomes including low birth-weight, hypoglycemia, poor Apgar scores, prolonged hospital stay, need for ventilatory support, neonatal asphyxia, neonatal sepsis and early neonatal death were recorded. Prediction analyses for sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were done. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted for threshold for each parameter for adverse outcome.

RESULTS

Out of 260 women that were analyzed, 47.5% had no clinically identifiable risk factors, and 52.5% had at least one abnormal parameter. Sensitivity and negative predictive value for adverse outcome were highest for composite ultrasound finding (85.4% and 90.4% respectively). Specificity, positive predictive value and diagnostic accuracy were highest for CPR (97.8%, 86.7% and 76.9% respectively).

CONCLUSION

Routine third trimester ultrasonography, including Doppler, can help in risk-stratification of otherwise clinically low-risk pregnancies.

Third-trimester uterine artery Doppler for prediction of adverse outcome in late small-and adequate for-gestational-age fetuses

Fetal growth restriction includes all those fetuses that do not reach their own growth potential due to placental insufficiency and therefore at higher risk of adverse perinatal outcomes. Identification and follow-up of these fetuses is essential to decrease this additional risk. Although estimated fetal weight under the 3rd centile and pathological cerebroplacental ratio are the most accepted predictive criteria, some evidence suggests that abnormal uterine artery Doppler may be a useful prognostic parameter in late-onset growth restriction fetuses at the moment of diagnosis. However, its prediction capacity as a standalone parameter is limited. In that context, integrated models of biometric and hemodynamic ultrasound parameters including uterine Doppler have been proposed as an effective approach to stratify the risk and improve perinatal outcomes. Moreover, an association of abnormal uterine artery Doppler and histological findings of placental underperfusion due to vascular obstruction has been described. Finally, it has also been suggested that the evaluation of uterine artery Doppler at third trimester in appropriate-for-gestational-age fetuses could identify cases of subclinical placental insufficiency, but further evidence is needed to define such predictive strategies.

Uterine artery Doppler in early labor and perinatal outcome in low-risk term pregnancy: prospective multicenter study

OBJECTIVE

The prediction of adverse perinatal outcomes in low-risk pregnancies is poor, mainly owing to the lack of reliable biomarkers. Uterine artery (UtA) Doppler is closely associated with placental function and may facilitate the peripartum detection of subclinical placental insufficiency. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association of mean UtA pulsatility index (PI) measured in early labor with obstetric intervention for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise and adverse perinatal outcome in uncomplicated singleton term pregnancies.

METHODS

This was a prospective multicenter observational study conducted across four tertiary maternity units. Low-risk term pregnancies with spontaneous onset of labor were included. The mean UtA-PI was recorded between uterine contractions in women admitted for early labor and converted into multiples of the median (MoM). The primary outcome of the study was the occurrence of obstetric intervention, i.e. Cesarean section or instrumental delivery, for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise. Secondary outcomes were the occurrence of adverse perinatal outcomes, including 5-min Apgar score < 7, low cord arterial pH, raised cord arterial base excess, admission to the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) and postnatal diagnosis of small-for-gestational-age fetus. Composite adverse perinatal outcome was defined as the occurrence of at least one of the following: acidemia in the umbilical artery, defined as pH < 7.10 and/or base excess > 12 mmol/L, 5-min Apgar score < 7 or admission to the NICU.

RESULTS

Overall, 804 women were included, of whom 40 (5.0%) had abnormal mean UtA-PI MoM. Women who had an obstetric intervention for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise were more frequently nulliparous (72.2% vs 53.6%; P = 0.008), had a higher frequency of increased mean UtA-PI MoM (13.0% vs 4.4%; P = 0.005) and had a longer duration of labor (456 ± 221 vs 371 ± 192 min; P = 0.01). On logistic regression analysis, only increased mean UtA-PI MoM (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 3.48 (95% CI, 1.43-8.47); P = 0.006) and parity (aOR, 0.45 (95% CI, 0.24-0.86); P = 0.015) were independently associated with obstetric intervention for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise. Increased mean UtA-PI MoM was associated with a sensitivity of 0.13 (95% CI, 0.05-0.25), specificity of 0.96 (95% CI, 0.94-0.97), positive predictive value of 0.18 (95% CI, 0.07-0.33), negative predictive value of 0.94 (95% CI, 0.92-0.95), positive likelihood ratio of 2.95 (95% CI, 1.37-6.35) and negative likelihood ratio of 0.91 (95% CI, 0.82-1.01) for obstetric intervention for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise. Pregnancies with increased mean UtA-PI MoM also showed a higher incidence of birth weight < 10th percentile (20.0% vs 6.7%; P = 0.002), NICU admission (7.5% vs 1.2%; P = 0.001) and composite adverse perinatal outcome (15.0% vs 5.1%; P = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

Our study, conducted in a cohort of low-risk term pregnancies enrolled in early spontaneous labor, showed an independent association between increased mean UtA-PI and obstetric intervention for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise, albeit with moderate capacity to rule in, and poor capacity to rule out, this condition. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Fetal Growth Velocity according to the Mode of Assisted Conception

INTRODUCTION

Pregnancies conceived through assisted reproductive techniques (ARTs) are on the rise worldwide and have been associated with a higher risk of placental-related disease in the third trimester.

METHODS

A cohort was created of singleton pregnancies after assisted reproduction, admitted at our institution for delivery, between January 2020 and August 2022. Fetal growth velocity from the second trimester to delivery was compared against a gestational-age-matched group of pregnancies spontaneously conceived according to the origin of the selected oocyte (i.e., autologous vs. donated).

RESULTS

125 singleton pregnancies conceived through ART were compared to 315 singleton spontaneous conceptions. Overall, after adjusting for possible confounders, multivariate analysis demonstrated that ART pregnancies had a significantly lower estimated fetal weight (EFW) z-velocity from the second trimester to delivery (adjusted mean difference = -0.002; p = 0.035) and a higher frequency of EFW z-velocity in the lowest decile (adjusted OR = 2.32 [95% CI, 1.15-4.68]). Also, when ART pregnancies were compared according to the type of oocyte, those conceived with donated oocytes showed a significantly lower EFW z-velocity from the second trimester to delivery (adjusted mean difference = -0.008; p = 0.001) and a higher frequency of EFW z-velocity in the lowest decile (adjusted OR = 5.33 [95% CI, 1.34-21.5]).

CONCLUSIONS

Pregnancies achieved through ART exhibit a pattern of lower growth velocity across the third trimester, especially those conceived with donated oocytes. The former represents a sub-group at the highest risk of placental dysfunction that may warrant closer follow-up.

The magnitude rather than the rate of decline in fetal growth is a stronger risk factor for perinatal mortality in term infants

BACKGROUND

Prenatal diagnosis of an infant suspected of having fetal growth restriction is important because of its strong association with perinatal mortality and morbidity. The current Delphi consensus criteria include a decline of >50th percentiles in fetal growth when diagnosing late fetal growth restriction; however, the evidence underpinning this criterion is limited.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to analyze the relationships among the magnitude of decline in fetal growth and stillbirth, perinatal mortality, and adverse neonatal outcomes.

STUDY DESIGN

This cohort study of 15,861 pregnancies was conducted at the Mater Mother's Hospital in Brisbane, Australia. The decline in fetal growth was calculated as a drop in either estimated fetal weight or abdominal circumference percentiles between 2 ultrasound scans performed after 18 weeks of gestation. Relationships between declining fetal growth and the outcomes were, firstly, analyzed as a continuous variable and, if significant, further assessed with the rate of decline and different magnitudes of decline, compared to the referent category (change in growth of ±10 percentiles between scans). The 3 categories of growth decline were >10th to <25th percentiles, ≤25th to <50th percentiles, and ≥50th percentiles. Associations were analyzed by logistic regressions. The primary study outcomes were stillbirth and perinatal mortality (composite of stillbirth and neonatal death). The secondary outcomes were birth of a small-for-gestational-age infant (birthweight of <10th percentile for gestation), emergency cesarean delivery for nonreassuring fetal status, and composite severe neonatal morbidity.

RESULTS

The risks of stillbirth and perinatal mortality increased significantly by 2.6% (0.4%-4.6%) and 2.8% (1.0%-4.5%), respectively, per 1 percentile decline in fetal growth. In addition, the odds of stillbirth (adjusted odds ratio, 3.68 (1.32-10.24) and perinatal mortality (4.44) (1.82-10.84)) compared to the referent group were significantly increased only when the decline was ≥50th percentiles, regardless of birthweight. Furthermore, none of the primary outcomes were significantly associated with the rate of growth decline. The risk of a small-for-gestational-age infant increased by 2.4% (2.2%-2.7%) for every percentile decline. Conversely, reduced fetal growth was not associated with emergency cesarean delivery for nonreassuring fetal status or severe neonatal morbidity.

CONCLUSION

Our results supported the use of a ≥50th percentile decline in fetal growth as a criterion for identifying infants at risk of late fetal growth restriction. This cutoff also identified fetuses at high risk of perinatal mortality, regardless of birthweight and rate of growth decline. Our findings may guide obstetrical practice by alerting clinicians to the importance of incorporating the magnitude of fetal growth decline into antenatal counseling and decisions regarding the timing of birth.

Conditional standards for the quantification of foetal growth in an ethnic Chinese population: a longitudinal study

This was an observational study of low-risk singleton pregnancies in an ethnic Chinese population. Foetal biometric variables which included biparietal diameter (BPD), head circumference (HC), abdominal circumference (AC) and femur length (FL) were measured repeatedly. The standard views for measurement were obtained according to INTERGROWTH-21st criteria. A linear mixed model with fractional polynomial regression was used to describe the longitudinal design. The study included 1289 foetuses and a total of 5125 ultrasound scans, of which each foetus was scanned at least three times, the intervals between scans being at least two weeks. The parameters of the linear mixed models were estimated by Stata v.16 (College Station, TX). Using these parameters, the equations of the mean and variance for BPD, HC, AC and FL were constructed. The conditional percentiles or Z scores could be calculated based on the above equations and previous measurements of the same foetus. A spreadsheet was provided for implementation.Impact StatementWhat is already known on this subject? Longitudinal data derived from serial measurements are therefore appropriate for assessing both foetal size and foetal growth. At present, most reference charts of ethnic Chinese foetal biometry are derived from cross-sectional data, which can only assess foetal size.What do the results of this study add? In this study, we have constructed conditional standards for foetal biometry in an ethnic Chinese population and provided a spreadsheet for querying.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? The conditional standards can be used to assess foetal growth in clinical practice. In the future, we hope that these foetal growth standards can be applied to determine whether abnormal growth increases the risk of adverse outcomes.

Severe smallness as predictor of adverse perinatal outcome in suspected late small-for-gestational-age fetuses: systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the performance of severe smallness in the prediction of adverse perinatal outcome among fetuses with suspected late-onset small-for-gestational age (SGA).

METHODS

A systematic search was performed to identify relevant studies in PubMed, Web of Science and Scopus. Late-onset SGA was defined as estimated fetal weight (EFW) or abdominal circumference (AC) < 10^th percentile diagnosed at or after 32 weeks' gestation, while severe SGA was defined as EFW or AC < 3^rd percentile or < 2 SD. Random-effects modeling was used to generate hierarchical summary receiver-operating-characteristics (HSROC) curves. The performance of severe SGA (as a presumptive diagnosis) in predicting adverse perinatal outcome among singleton pregnancies with suspected late-onset SGA was expressed as area under the HSROC curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity and positive/negative likelihood ratios. The association between suspected severe SGA and adverse perinatal outcome was also assessed by random-effects modeling using the Mantel-Haenszel method and presented as odds ratio (OR). The non-exposed group was defined as non-severe SGA (EFW ≥ 3^rd centile).

RESULTS

Twelve cohort studies were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis. The studies included a total of 3639 fetuses with suspected late-onset SGA, of which 1246 had suspected severe SGA. Significant associations were found between suspected severe SGA and composite adverse perinatal outcome (OR, 1.97 (95% CI, 1.33-2.92)), neonatal intensive care unit admission (OR, 2.87 (95% CI, 1.84-4.47)) and perinatal death (OR, 4.26 (95% CI, 1.07-16.93)). However, summary ROC curves showed limited performance of suspected severe SGA in predicting perinatal outcomes, with AUCs of 60.9%, 66.9%, 53.6%, 57.2%, 54.6% and 64.9% for composite adverse perinatal outcome, neonatal intensive care unit admission, neonatal acidosis, Cesarean section for intrapartum fetal compromise, low Apgar score and perinatal death, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Although suspected severe SGA was associated with a higher risk of perinatal complications, it performed poorly as a standalone parameter in predicting adverse perinatal outcome. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Fetal weight projection model to define growth velocity and validation against pregnancy outcome in a cohort of serially scanned pregnancies

OBJECTIVE

Fetal growth assessment is central to good antenatal care, yet there is a lack of definition of normal and abnormal fetal growth rate which can identify pregnancies at risk of adverse outcome. The aim of this study was to develop and test a model for defining normal limits of growth velocity which are specific to the fetal weight measurement interval.

METHODS

The cohort consisted of 102 138 singleton pregnancies which underwent at least two third-trimester measurements of ultrasound estimated fetal weight (EFW), usually carried out because routine early-pregnancy risk assessment had indicated an increased risk of fetal growth restriction. We projected the EFW from the first of each consecutive measurement pair along its own centile rank to the gestational age of the second scan. Normal growth was defined as the second EFW being within a weight range based on limits derived by partial receiver-operating-characteristics-curve (pROC) analyses for small-for-gestational-age (SGA; < 10^th  centile) and large-for-gestational-age (LGA; > 90^th  centile) birth weight. The limits were measurement-interval specific and calculated for a fixed false-positive rate (FPR) of 10%. The resultant normal, slow and accelerated growth rates calculated from consecutive EFW pairs were evaluated against the following predefined perinatal outcome measures: stillbirth, neonatal death, SGA and LGA at birth, 5-min Apgar score < 7 and admission to the neonatal intensive care unit. Slow growth based on the last two scans was compared with SGA fetal weight (EFW < 10^th  centile) at the last scan and association with stillbirth risk was assessed, expressed as relative risk (RR) with 95% CI.

RESULTS

The optimal cut-off limits for normal growth rate between consecutive scans varied according to the length of the measurement interval, with an average of -8.0% for slow growth and + 9.3% for accelerated growth at a fixed FPR of 10%. Slow growth between random consecutive scan pairs was associated significantly with all predefined outcome measures including stillbirth (RR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.84-2.53) and neonatal death (RR, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.60-3.13). Accelerated growth was associated with LGA at birth (RR, 2.15; 95% CI, 2.10-2.20), while normal growth was protective of all adverse outcome measures. Slow growth between the last two scans (which were performed at a median gestational age of 33 + 1 to 36 + 4 weeks) and SGA at the last scan were each predictors of stillbirth, and stillbirth risk was highest when both were present (RR, 2.65; 95% CI, 1.67-4.20). However, 66.2% of pregnancies with slow growth were not SGA at the last scan and these cases also had an increased risk of stillbirth (RR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.40-3.05).

CONCLUSION

Fetal growth velocity defined by projected, measurement-interval specific fetal weight limits is associated independently with perinatal outcome and should be used for antenatal surveillance in addition to assessment by fetal size. © 2022 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Perinatal Adverse Effects in Newborns with Estimated Loss of Weight Percentile between the Third Trimester Ultrasound and Delivery. The GROWIN Study

Fetal growth restriction has been associated with an increased risk of adverse perinatal outcomes (APOs). We determined the importance of fetal growth detention (FGD) in late gestation for the occurrence of APOs in small-for-gestational-age (SGA) and appropriate-for-gestational-age (AGA) newborns. For this purpose, we analyzed a retrospective cohort study of 1067 singleton pregnancies. The newborns with higher APOs were SGA non-FGD and SGA FGD in 40.9% and 31.5% of cases, respectively, and we found an association between SGA non-FGD and any APO (OR 2.61; 95% CI: 1.35–4.99; p = 0.004). We did not find an increased APO risk in AGA FGD newborns (OR: 1.13, 95% CI: 0.80, 1.59; p = 0.483), except for cesarean delivery for non-reassuring fetal status (NRFS) with a decrease in percentile cutoff greater than 40 (RR: 2.41, 95% CI: 1.11–5.21) and 50 (RR: 2.93, 95% CI: 1.14–7.54). Conclusions: Newborns with the highest probability of APOs are SGA non-FGDs. AGA FGD newborns do not have a higher incidence of APOs than AGA non-FGDs, although with falls in percentile cutoff over 40, they have an increased risk of cesarean section due to NRFS. Further studies are warranted to detect these newborns who would benefit from close surveillance in late gestation and at delivery.

Ten-year experience of protocol-based management of small-for-gestational-age fetuses: perinatal outcome in late-pregnancy cases diagnosed after 32 weeks

OBJECTIVE

To report our 10-year experience of protocol-based management of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses, based on standardized clinical and Doppler criteria, in late-pregnancy cases.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort was constructed of consecutive singleton pregnancies referred for late-onset (> 32 weeks) SGA (defined as estimated fetal weight (EFW) < 10^th centile) that were classified as fetal growth restriction (FGR) or low-risk SGA, based on the severity of smallness (EFW < 3^rd centile) and the presence of Doppler abnormalities (uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) ≥ 95^th centile or cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) < 5^th centile). Low-risk SGA pregnancies were followed at 2-week intervals and delivered electively at 40 weeks. FGR pregnancies were followed at 1-week intervals, or more frequently if there were signs of fetal deterioration, and were delivered electively after 37 + 0 weeks' gestation. The occurrence of stillbirth and composite adverse outcome (CAO; defined as neonatal death, metabolic acidosis, need for endotracheal intubation or need for admission to the neonatal intensive care unit) was analyzed in low-risk SGA and FGR pregnancies.

RESULTS

A total of 1197 pregnancies with EFW < 10^th centile were identified and classified at diagnosis as low-risk SGA (n = 619; 51.7%) or FGR (n = 578; 48.3%). Of these, 160 were delivered before 37 weeks' gestation; for obstetric reasons in 93 (58.1%) cases, severe pre-eclampsia in 33 (20.6%), FGR with severe hypoxia in 47 (29.4%) and stillbirth in four (2.5%) (indications are non-exclusive). During follow-up, 52/574 (9.1%) low-risk SGA pregnancies were reclassified as FGR, whereas 22/463 (4.8%) FGR pregnancies were reclassified as low-risk SGA. Overall, there were no stillbirths in the low-risk SGA group and four in the FGR group, all of which occurred before 37 weeks. There were no instances of neonatal death in pregnancies delivered ≥ 37 weeks. The risk of CAO was higher in those meeting antenatal criteria for FGR at 37 weeks than in those classified as low-risk SGA (32/493 (6.5%) vs 15/544 (2.8%); odds ratio, 2.5 (95% CI, 1.3-4.6)). In FGR pregnancies, the adjusted odds ratio (95% CI) for CAO was 6.3 (1.8-21.1) in those with EFW < 3^rd centile, while it was 3.2 (1.5-6.8) and 4.2 (1.9-8.9) in those with UtA-PI ≥ 95^th centile and CPR < 5^th centile, respectively, as compared to FGR pregnancies without each of these criteria.

CONCLUSION

Protocol-based risk stratification with different management and monitoring schemes for late pregnancy with a suspected SGA baby, based on clinical and Doppler criteria, enables identification and tailored assessment of high-risk FGR, while allowing expectant management with safe perinatal outcome for low-risk SGA fetuses. Copyright © 2020 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Comparing fetal biometric growth velocity versus estimated fetal weight for prediction of neonatal small for gestational age

OBJECTIVE

Growth velocities derived from fetal biometrics have been proposed to improve prediction of small for gestational age (SGA) neonates. We sought to determine if ultrasound growth velocities for abdominal circumference (AC) and estimated fetal weight (EFW) improve the prediction of SGA infants when compared to using EFW alone.

STUDY DESIGN

This is a secondary analysis from a prospective study of women referred for growth ultrasounds during the third trimester. Growth velocities for AC and EFW were derived from the difference in Z-scores between measurements at the anatomy survey (18-22 weeks gestation) and later growth ultrasound (26-36 weeks gestation). Change in AC and EFW growth velocities <10th percentile were compared with prenatally suspected SGA from Hadlock EFW <10th percentile for prediction of SGA neonates. The primary outcome was defined as the sensitivity and specificity of the growth velocities and Hadlock EFW in predicting SGA neonates. Logistic regression modeling was used to determine if the growth velocities improved prediction of neonatal SGA. Area under the ROC curves (AUC) were determined and compared.

RESULTS

Of 612 singleton pregnancies meeting inclusion criteria, 68 (11.1%) resulted in SGA neonates. Hadlock EFW <10th percentile had higher sensitivity and specificity when compared to AC growth velocity and EFW growth velocity. Only AC growth velocity and Hadlock EFW had significant odds ratios for association with neonatal SGA. The AUC were 0.54, 0.53, and 0.61 using AC growth velocity, EFW growth velocity, and Hadlock EFW, respectively. The AUC did not significantly improve when the growth velocities were combined with Hadlock EFW (0.63). Adjustment of Z-scores for gestational age at anatomy scan or third trimester growth scan did not significantly change these results (AUC = 0.69).

CONCLUSION

EFW determined by Hadlock formula has the highest predictive value in detecting SGA neonates when compared to both AC and EFW growth velocities.

Role of Doppler ultrasound at time of diagnosis of late-onset fetal growth restriction in predicting adverse perinatal outcome: prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Pregnancies complicated by late-onset fetal growth restriction (FGR) are at increased risk of short- and long-term morbidities. Despite this, identification of cases at higher risk of adverse perinatal outcome, at the time of FGR diagnosis, is challenging. The aims of this study were to elucidate the strength of association between fetoplacental Doppler indices at the time of diagnosis of late-onset FGR and adverse perinatal outcome, and to determine their predictive accuracy.

METHODS

This was a prospective study of consecutive singleton pregnancies complicated by late-onset FGR. Late-onset FGR was defined as estimated fetal weight (EFW) or abdominal circumference (AC) < 3^rd centile, or EFW or AC < 10^th centile and umbilical artery (UA) pulsatility index (PI) > 95^th centile or cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) < 5^th centile, diagnosed after 32 weeks. EFW, uterine artery PI, UA-PI, fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA) PI, CPR and umbilical vein blood flow normalized for fetal abdominal circumference (UVBF/AC) were recorded at the time of the diagnosis of FGR. Doppler variables were expressed as Z-scores for gestational age. Composite adverse perinatal outcome was defined as the occurrence of at least one of emergency Cesarean section for fetal distress, 5-min Apgar score < 7, umbilical artery pH < 7.10 and neonatal admission to the special care unit. Logistic regression analysis was used to elucidate the strength of association between different ultrasound parameters and composite adverse perinatal outcome, and receiver-operating-characteristics (ROC)-curve analysis was used to determine their predictive accuracy.

RESULTS

In total, 243 consecutive singleton pregnancies complicated by late-onset FGR were included. Composite adverse perinatal outcome occurred in 32.5% (95% CI, 26.7-38.8%) of cases. In pregnancies with composite adverse perinatal outcome, compared with those without, mean uterine artery PI Z-score (2.23 ± 1.34 vs 1.88 ± 0.89, P = 0.02) was higher, while Z-scores of UVBF/AC (-1.93 ± 0.88 vs -0.89 ± 0.94, P ≤ 0.0001), MCA-PI (-1.56 ± 0.93 vs -1.22 ± 0.84, P = 0.004) and CPR (-1.89 ± 1.12 vs -1.44 ± 1.02, P = 0.002) were lower. On multivariable logistic regression analysis, Z-scores of mean uterine artery PI (P = 0.04), CPR (P = 0.002) and UVBF/AC (P = 0.001) were associated independently with composite adverse perinatal outcome. UVBF/AC Z-score had an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.723 (95% CI, 0.64-0.80) for composite adverse perinatal outcome, demonstrating better accuracy than that of mean uterine artery PI Z-score (AUC, 0.593; 95% CI, 0.50-0.69) and CPR Z-score (AUC, 0.615; 95% CI, 0.52-0.71). A multiparametric prediction model including Z-scores of MCA-PI, uterine artery PI and UVBF/AC had an AUC of 0.745 (95% CI, 0.66-0.83) for the prediction of composite adverse perinatal outcome.

CONCLUSION

While CPR and uterine artery PI assessed at the time of diagnosis are associated independently with composite adverse perinatal outcome in pregnancies complicated by late-onset FGR, their diagnostic performance for composite adverse perinatal outcome is low. UVBF/AC showed better accuracy for prediction of composite adverse perinatal outcome, although its usefulness in clinical practice as a standalone predictor of adverse pregnancy outcome requires further research. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Third-trimester uterine artery Doppler for prediction of adverse outcome in late small-for-gestational-age fetuses: systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the predictive ability for adverse perinatal outcome of abnormal third-trimester uterine artery Doppler in late small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses.

METHODS

A systematic search was performed to identify relevant observational studies and randomized controlled trials evaluating the performance of abnormal third-trimester uterine artery Doppler for the prediction of adverse perinatal outcome in suspected SGA fetuses and SGA neonates. Abnormal uterine artery Doppler was defined as uterine artery pulsatility index > 95^th percentile or ≥ 2 SD above the mean, or bilateral uterine artery notching. Hierarchical summary receiver-operating-characteristics (ROC) curves were constructed using random-effects modeling. Bayesian analysis was used to calculate the posterior probability of adverse perinatal outcome following an abnormal or normal uterine artery Doppler assessment.

RESULTS

Seventeen observational studies (including 7552 fetuses either diagnosed with suspected SGA (n = 3461) or later diagnosed as a SGA neonate (n = 4091)) met the inclusion criteria; no randomized-controlled trials met the inclusion criteria. Summary ROC curves showed that, among suspected SGA fetuses, the best predictive accuracy of abnormal third-trimester uterine artery Doppler was for perinatal mortality and the worst was for composite adverse perinatal outcome, with areas under the summary ROC curves of 0.90 and 0.66, respectively. The corresponding positive and negative likelihood ratios were 16.5 and 0.6 for perinatal mortality and 2.82 and 0.65 for composite adverse perinatal outcome, respectively. Following an abnormal vs normal uterine artery Doppler assessment, the posterior risks for composite adverse perinatal outcome, admission to the neonatal intensive care unit, Cesarean section for intrapartum fetal compromise, 5-min Apgar score < 7, neonatal acidosis and perinatal death were: 52.3% vs 20.2%, 48.6% vs 18.7%, 23.1% vs 15.2%, 3.59% vs 1.32%, 9.15% vs 5.12% and 31.4% vs 1.64%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Abnormal uterine artery Doppler in the third trimester appears to be moderately useful in predicting perinatal death in pregnancies with suspected SGA. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Perinatal outcome of appropriate-weight fetuses with decelerating growth

INTRODUCTION

To assess the perinatal outcome of fetuses dropping by ≥50 estimated fetal weight (EFW) centiles between the second and third trimester.

METHODS

Singleton pregnancies progressing after 32 + 0 weeks, who had their second- and third-trimester scans at our institutions were enrolled in the study. The perinatal outcome of AGA fetuses crossing more than 50 centiles was compared to that of fetuses with FGR, small for gestational age (SGA) and nondecelerating appropriate for gestational age (AGA). The primary perinatal outcomes were perinatal death, neonatal intensive care (NICU) admission and emergency cesarean section (CS). The rates of these outcomes were compared between the four groups and regression analysis was performed to account for maternal and fetal confounders.

RESULTS

Our analysis included 4394 cases. Compared to nondecelerating SGA, fetuses crossing ≥50 centiles had higher rates of NICU admission (odds ratio [OR] 1.8, 95% confidence interval [CI] CI 1.1-3.1) and perinatal death (OR 3.8, 95%CI 1.3-11.4). Regression analysis showed that significant independent predictors for NICU admission included maternal age, gestational age at birth and FGR (area under the curve [AUC] 0.851), whereas significant predictors for perinatal death included maternal age, gestational age at birth, decelerating growth ≥50 centiles, conception through ART and third-trimester CPR centile (AUC 0.801).

CONCLUSION

AGA fetuses that cross >50 EFW centiles between the second and third trimester are at increased risk of adverse perinatal outcome and it seems advisable that they are followed up as typical FGR cases.

Ultrasound in labor admission to predict need for emergency cesarean section: a prospective, blinded cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether assessment with ultrasound could improve the detection of emergency cesarean section (ECS) in laboring women.

METHODS

Women who presented with symptoms of active labor or women in need of labor induction were invited to participate in the study. Women included in the study were evaluated with ultrasonography for fetal biometry and vaginal examinations for Bishop score assessment. The main aim in this study was determining factors associated with ECS due to fetal distress and obstructed labor.

RESULTS

No fetal biometry variable was associated with ECS due to any indication (fetal distress and obstructed labor combined) in the univariate analysis. In multivariate analyses, biometry variables were adjusted for Bishop score at admission and only abdominal circumference percentile showed a significant association with the odds of ECS due to any indication (OR:1.02, 95% CI: 1.01-1.03). Biparietal diameter and abdominal circumference variables were associated with the odds of ECS due to obstructed labor in both univariate and multivariate analyses (p < .05 for all). However, the predictive accuracy of biparietal diameter percentile (area under the curve (AUC): 0.55, 95% CI: 0.46-0.63) and abdominal circumference percentile (AUC: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.48-0.64) without adjunct variables were poor. Moreover, the addition of fetal biometry parameters to Bishop score did not improve the predictive accuracy of Bishop score.

CONCLUSION

Ultrasound assessment at admission, in addition to Bishop score assessment, did not significantly improve the prediction of ECS. Also, the fetal biometry alone had poor predictive capability for ECS. Routine ultrasound assessment at labor admission appears to be ineffective for predicting ECS.PrecisFetal biparietal diameter and abdominal circumference showed an association with emergency cesarean due to obstructed labor but the predictive accuracy of fetal biometry was low. Routine ultrasound examination at admission, in addition to Bishop score assessment, may not useful for assessing the risk of emergency section in unselected populations.

Longitudinal change in cerebroplacental ratio in small-for-gestational-age fetuses and risk of stillbirth

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether assessment of longitudinal change in Doppler variables in small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses improves the prediction of those at risk of stillbirth.

METHODS

This was a longitudinal study of two cohorts of singleton pregnancies, which included SGA and appropriate-for-gestational-age (AGA) fetuses, respectively. The inclusion criteria for the SGA cohort were singleton pregnancy at ≥ 20 weeks' gestation, classified as SGA (estimated fetal weight < 10^th centile). The AGA cohort consisted of singleton pregnancies deemed at high risk of being SGA, which were followed up longitudinally but remained AGA. Fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA) pulsatility index (PI) and umbilical artery (UA)-PI were measured longitudinally and cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) was calculated, and values were converted to multiples of the median. The last two measurements prior to delivery were included in the analysis. Longitudinal models for Doppler variables were developed using linear-mixed models and their accuracy in the prediction of stillbirth was tested using generalized linear models. A Bayesian framework was employed to compare the accuracy of longitudinal and standard (last-scan measurement) models.

RESULTS

In total, 1549 AGA and 941 SGA pregnancies were included in the analysis. There were 30 (3.2%) and no stillbirth cases in the SGA and AGA groups, respectively. Change in MCA-PI, UA-PI and CPR with advancing gestation was significantly different between liveborn AGA and SGA fetuses, with a less pronounced difference with advancing gestation. Using the last measurement, the best models for the prediction of stillbirth in SGA pregnancies were those based on CPR (accuracy, 75.0%; 95% CI, 72.6-77.2%) and UA-PI (accuracy, 71.0%; 95% CI, 68.6-73.4%). The posterior probability of the standard CPR model having a higher accuracy compared with the UA-PI model was 97.2% (magnitude of change (MC), 3.9%; 95% credible interval (CrI), 0.5-7.3%). The accuracies of the standard, compared with the longitudinal, models for UA-PI (71.0% vs 72.8%), MCA-PI (64.6% vs 63.8%) and CPR (75.0% vs 74.9%) in the prediction of stillbirth were not significantly different. The posterior probabilities for improvement in accuracy using longitudinal, compared with standard, assessment were 50.1% (MC, < 0.1%; 95% CrI, -3.3 to 3.3%), 35.2% (MC, -0.1%; 95% CrI, -4.5 to 2.8%) and 82.2% (MC, 1.9%; 95% CrI, -1.5 to 5.3%) for CPR, MCA-PI and UA-PI models, respectively. Therefore, change in Doppler parameters did not improve the accuracy of the prediction of stillbirth, compared with that of the last-scan measurement.

CONCLUSION

Longitudinal assessment of Doppler parameters was not useful in improving the detection of stillbirth in SGA pregnancies, as compared with a single-point assessment. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

ISUOG Practice Guidelines: ultrasound assessment of fetal biometry and growth

INTRODUCTION These Guidelines aim to describe appropriate assessment of fetal biometry and diagnosis of fetal growth disorders. These disorders consist mainly of fetal growth restriction (FGR), also referred to as intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR) and often associated with small‐for‐gestational age (SGA), and large‐for‐gestational age (LGA), which may lead to fetal macrosomia; both have been associated with a variety of adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes. Screening for, and adequate management of, fetal growth abnormalities are essential components of antenatal care, and fetal ultrasound plays a key role in assessment of these conditions. The fetal biometric parameters measured most commonly are biparietal diameter (BPD), head circumference (HC), abdominal circumference (AC) and femur diaphysis length (FL). These biometric measurements can be used to estimate fetal weight (EFW) using various different formulae1. It is important to differentiate between the concept of fetal size at a given timepoint and fetal growth, the latter being a dynamic process, the assessment of which requires at least two ultrasound scans separated in time. Maternal history and symptoms, amniotic fluid assessment and Doppler velocimetry can provide additional information that may be used to identify fetuses at risk of adverse pregnancy outcome. Accurate estimation of gestational age is a prerequisite for determining whether fetal size is appropriate‐for‐gestational age (AGA). Except for pregnancies arising from assisted reproductive technology, the date of conception cannot be determined precisely. Clinically, most pregnancies are dated by the last menstrual period, though this may sometimes be uncertain or unreliable. Therefore, dating pregnancies by early ultrasound examination at 8–14 weeks, based on measurement of the fetal crown–rump length (CRL), appears to be the most reliable method to establish gestational age. Once the CRL exceeds 84 mm, HC should be used for pregnancy dating2–4. HC, with or without FL, can be used for estimation of gestational age from the mid‐trimester if a first‐trimester scan is not available and the menstrual history is unreliable. When the expected delivery date has been established by an accurate early scan, subsequent scans should not be used to recalculate the gestational age1. Serial scans can be used to determine if interval growth has been normal. In these Guidelines, we assume that the gestational age is known and has been determined as described above, the pregnancy is singleton and the fetal anatomy is normal. Details of the grades of recommendation used in these Guidelines are given in Appendix 1. Reporting of levels of evidence is not applicable to these Guidelines.

Prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates at 35-37 weeks' gestation: contribution of maternal factors and growth velocity between 32 and 36 weeks

OBJECTIVE

To assess the additive value of fetal growth velocity between 32 and 36 weeks' gestation to the performance of ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation for prediction of delivery of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate and adverse perinatal outcome.

METHODS

This was a prospective study of 14 497 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 30 + 0 to 34 + 6 and at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine whether addition of growth velocity, defined as the difference in EFW Z-score or abdominal circumference (AC) Z-score between the early and late third-trimester scans divided by the time interval between the scans, improved the performance of EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks in the prediction of, first, delivery of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles within 2 weeks and at any stage after assessment and, second, a composite of adverse perinatal outcome, defined as stillbirth, neonatal death or admission to the neonatal unit for ≥ 48 h.

RESULTS

Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that significant contributors to the prediction of a SGA neonate were EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, fetal growth velocity, by either AC Z-score or EFW Z-score, and maternal risk factors. The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC) and detection rate (DR), at a 10% screen-positive rate, for prediction of a SGA neonate < 10^th percentile born within 2 weeks after assessment achieved by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks (AUC, 0.938 (95% CI, 0.928-0.947); DR, 80.7% (95% CI, 77.6-83.9%)) were not significantly improved by addition of EFW growth velocity and maternal risk factors (AUC, 0.941 (95% CI, 0.932-0.950); P = 0.061; DR, 82.5% (95% CI, 79.4-85.3%)). Similar results were obtained when growth velocity was defined by AC rather than EFW. Similarly, there was no significant improvement in the AUC and DR, at a 10% screen-positive rate, for prediction of a SGA neonate < 10^th percentile born at any stage after assessment or a SGA neonate < 3^rd percentile born within 2 weeks or at any stage after assessment, achieved by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks by addition of maternal factors and either EFW growth velocity or AC growth velocity. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the only significant contributor to adverse perinatal outcome was maternal risk factors. Multivariable logistic regression analysis in the group with EFW < 10^th percentile demonstrated that significant contribution to prediction of delivery of a neonate with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles and adverse perinatal outcome was provided by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks, but not by AC growth velocity < 1^st decile.

CONCLUSION

The predictive performance of EFW at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation for delivery of a SGA neonate and adverse perinatal outcome is not improved by addition of estimated growth velocity between 32 and 36 weeks' gestation. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates at 35-37 weeks' gestation: contribution of maternal factors and growth velocity between 20 and 36 weeks

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the performance of ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation in the prediction of delivery of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate and assess the additive value of, first, maternal risk factors and, second, fetal growth velocity between 20 and 36 weeks' gestation in improving such prediction.

METHODS

This was a prospective study of 44 043 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19 + 0 to 23 + 6 and at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine whether addition of maternal risk factors and growth velocity, the latter defined as the difference in EFW Z-score or fetal abdominal circumference (AC) Z-score between the third- and second-trimester scans divided by the time interval between the scans, improved the performance of EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks in the prediction of delivery of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles within 2 weeks and at any stage after assessment.

RESULTS

Screening by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation predicted 63.4% (95% CI, 62.0-64.7%) of neonates with birth weight < 10^th percentile and 74.2% (95% CI, 72.2-76.1%) of neonates with birth weight < 3^rd percentile born at any stage after assessment, at a screen-positive rate of 10%. The respective values for SGA neonates born within 2 weeks after assessment were 76.8% (95% CI, 74.4-79.0%) and 81.3% (95% CI, 78.2-84.0%). For a desired 90% detection rate of SGA neonate delivered at any stage after assessment, the necessary screen-positive rate would be 33.7% for SGA < 10^th percentile and 24.4% for SGA < 3^rd percentile. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that, in the prediction of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles, there was a significant contribution from EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, maternal risk factors and AC growth velocity, but not EFW growth velocity. However, the area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve for prediction of delivery of a SGA neonate by screening with maternal risk factors and EFW Z-score was not improved by addition of AC growth velocity.

CONCLUSION

Screening for SGA neonates by EFW at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation and use of the 10^th percentile as the cut-off predicts 63% of affected neonates. Prediction of 90% of SGA neonates necessitates classification of about 35% of the population as being screen positive. The predictive performance of EFW is not improved by addition of estimated growth velocity between the second and third trimesters of pregnancy. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Using fetal abdominal circumference growth velocity in the prediction of adverse outcome in near-term small-for-gestational-age fetuses

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether abdominal circumference growth velocity (ACGV) improves the prediction of perinatal outcome in small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses beyond that afforded by estimated fetal weight (EFW) and cerebroplacental ratio (CPR).

METHODS

A cohort of 235 singleton SGA fetuses at 36-38 weeks' gestation was examined. ACGV, EFW and CPR centiles were calculated. ACGV centile was determined using data from a large database of 19-21- and 36-38-week scans in an unselected population. Binary variables of ACGV < 10^th , EFW < 3^rd and CPR < 5^th centiles were defined as abnormal. Two composite adverse outcomes (CAO) were explored: CAO-1 defined as at least one of umbilical artery pH < 7.10, 5-min Apgar score < 7 or neonatal unit admission, and CAO-2 that included in addition hypoglycemia, intrapartum fetal distress and perinatal death. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to analyze the relationship between the three risk factors and their predictive value for CAO. The change in screening performance afforded by adding ACGV to EFW and CPR was assessed and receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves were calculated.

RESULTS

ACGV < 10^th centile was an independent risk factor for CAO. The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratios of a predictive model based on EFW < 3^rd centile and CPR < 5^th centile were, respectively, 51%, 70%, 1.71 and 0.69 for CAO-1 and 41%, 70%, 1.39 and 0.83 for CAO-2. After addition of ACGV < 10^th centile to the model, the respective values were 82%, 46%, 1.54 and 0.38 for CAO-1 and 71%, 47%, 1.34 and 0.62 for CAO-2. Using continuous variables, the areas under the ROC curves improved marginally from 0.669 (95% CI, 0.604-0.729) to 0.741 (95% CI, 0.677-0.798) for CAO-1 and from 0.646 (95% CI, 0.580-0.707) to 0.700 (95% CI, 0.633-0.759) for CAO-2 after addition of ACGV to the model.

CONCLUSIONS

ACGV is a risk factor for adverse neonatal outcome that is independent of EFW and of CPR, although any improvement in the prediction of adverse outcome is not statistically significant. Copyright © 2017 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.